WEBVTT - Executive Disorder: White House Weekly #22 0:00:01.720 --> 0:00:08.000 Colson Media. 0:00:08.039 --> 0:00:11.320 Oh, who's got ed? 0:00:11.720 --> 0:00:13.520 That's not how we start these episodes. 0:00:13.560 --> 0:00:16.799 Wow, that's how we're starting this one, Garrison, it's already begun. 0:00:17.440 --> 0:00:22.920 Welcome to Executive Disorder, our weekly newscast covering what's happening 0:00:23.000 --> 0:00:25.400 in the White House, the krumbling world, and what it 0:00:25.440 --> 0:00:26.040 means for you. 0:00:26.560 --> 0:00:28.280 Yay, that's right, motherfuckers. 0:00:28.520 --> 0:00:31.320 That's Robert Evans. I'm Garrison Davis. I'm also joined by 0:00:31.360 --> 0:00:35.159 Mia Wong and James Stout. This week, we are covering 0:00:35.640 --> 0:00:39.040 the week of June eighteen to June twenty five. 0:00:39.280 --> 0:00:42.519 That's right, a good week where nothing but good things happened, 0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:48.800 assuming you are someone who manufactures thirty pound gravity utilizing 0:00:48.880 --> 0:00:50.080 bunker busting bombs. 0:00:50.200 --> 0:00:53.520 Thirty pound, that's quite a small one. Thirty thousand, thirty thousand, 0:00:53.680 --> 0:00:57.680 that's a thirty thousand. Sorry, Anyway, we're talking about Iran. 0:00:58.040 --> 0:00:59.920 We're gonna start with Iran. We're gonna start with a 0:01:00.280 --> 0:01:01.800 nuclear program, and I think we should start. 0:01:02.280 --> 0:01:05.559 We need to start by giving the Cool Zone Media 0:01:05.680 --> 0:01:07.880 cool kid's guide for how to enrich uranium. 0:01:08.040 --> 0:01:12.160 Oh no, I don't want to get arrested robbers, now, Mia, 0:01:12.480 --> 0:01:15.560 it's not illegal to tell people how to enrich uranium. 0:01:15.800 --> 0:01:19.240 Google will do it, and I assume they're correct. Robert, 0:01:19.400 --> 0:01:21.720 it is legal for white people to do this. 0:01:21.959 --> 0:01:24.120 I don't know if it's legal for me to do this. 0:01:25.640 --> 0:01:29.600 It's okay, it's okay, it's okay. Look, if I've learned 0:01:29.640 --> 0:01:32.160 one thing, it's that it's okay for white people to 0:01:32.160 --> 0:01:34.360 talk about any kind of bomb on the internet. So 0:01:34.880 --> 0:01:37.640 we'll be fine. I'll be fine. That's what matters, Robert. 0:01:37.720 --> 0:01:42.039 Do I have kidnapping insurance? Do we have an extraction 0:01:42.200 --> 0:01:43.959 team for me when I go to ice prints? 0:01:44.000 --> 0:01:44.480 We do. 0:01:45.319 --> 0:01:48.240 We have an extraction team, but it's not the cool 0:01:48.320 --> 0:01:52.320 kind anyway. So let's talk about how to make nukes. 0:01:52.320 --> 0:01:54.760 Because one thing you'll constantly hear whenever the US or 0:01:54.840 --> 0:01:57.080 is Reel talks about Aron's nuclear program is that they're 0:01:57.160 --> 0:01:59.760 just three to eight months away, right, there are weeks 0:01:59.800 --> 0:02:02.559 so way, this is what you'll hear sometimes just takingly 0:02:02.560 --> 0:02:04.919 if you three months is a number of weeks away whatever. 0:02:05.040 --> 0:02:07.600 And they've been saying this for longer than I've been alive. 0:02:09.639 --> 0:02:13.119 Here's the thing. It's technically correct, not in a way 0:02:13.120 --> 0:02:15.680 that like is correct in the way they are trying 0:02:15.720 --> 0:02:17.080 to push it, but in a way that is like 0:02:17.160 --> 0:02:21.120 literally correct, which is that Iran paused their nuclear program 0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:24.040 in two thousand and three. The current Ayatola has not 0:02:24.280 --> 0:02:26.640 given the command to start it up again. There is 0:02:26.720 --> 0:02:30.320 no evidence that it is currently operative. Back in March, 0:02:30.639 --> 0:02:34.520 US military intelligence the DIA concluded that there was no 0:02:34.639 --> 0:02:39.040 indication Iran had decided or attempted to restart their nuclear program. 0:02:39.560 --> 0:02:41.720 That said, it has been true since two thousand and 0:02:41.760 --> 0:02:44.919 three that they are potentially about three months or so 0:02:45.120 --> 0:02:47.680 away from having a nuke because of the way that 0:02:47.720 --> 0:02:51.040 making nukes work. So in order to make the standard 0:02:51.120 --> 0:02:53.960 kind of nuclear weapon that we're talking about here, you 0:02:54.040 --> 0:02:57.840 need a bunch of enriched uranium, right, and there's two 0:02:58.000 --> 0:03:00.320 kinds of uranium. There's two thirty five in the two 0:03:00.360 --> 0:03:03.760 thirty eight, and naturally they always show up together, and 0:03:03.800 --> 0:03:06.079 there's always a lot more two thirty eight than two 0:03:06.160 --> 0:03:09.360 thirty five, and two thirty eight is fucking bullshit. If 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:11.800 you're trying to make yourself a bomb, right, you want 0:03:11.840 --> 0:03:15.040 the two thirty five. And I'm not going to go 0:03:15.120 --> 0:03:17.840 into a ton of detail about like how you do this, 0:03:17.960 --> 0:03:22.040 but because of just the nature of how uranium two 0:03:22.120 --> 0:03:25.079 thirty five and two thirty eight work. They're chemically identical, 0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:28.760 so you can't use chemical reactions to separate them, right, 0:03:28.840 --> 0:03:31.120 So you can't use any of the easy ways that 0:03:31.160 --> 0:03:33.040 you would like separate one from the other in order 0:03:33.080 --> 0:03:36.120 to concentrate the kind of uranium that they want. The 0:03:36.160 --> 0:03:39.960 only way to actually do that is by using a centrifuge, 0:03:40.040 --> 0:03:44.160 which is, in short, uses the magic of spinning in 0:03:44.280 --> 0:03:47.840 order to separate out the uranium that you want from 0:03:47.880 --> 0:03:51.640 their uranium that's not very useful to you. And Iran 0:03:51.800 --> 0:03:56.120 has a substantial quantity of like sixty percent enriched uranium, 0:03:56.280 --> 0:03:59.400 which is basically one step away from ninety percent, which 0:03:59.440 --> 0:04:01.520 is like what you need to actually build the bomb 0:04:01.560 --> 0:04:03.440 that they need. And they've had a shitload of this 0:04:03.640 --> 0:04:07.960 uranium sitting around for a while, right, because it keeps well, 0:04:08.440 --> 0:04:12.200 and theoretically, if they were to start their program up again, 0:04:12.720 --> 0:04:16.839 it would be theoretically possible to enrich it in fairly 0:04:16.920 --> 0:04:20.560 short order to the concentration that you need. Right And 0:04:20.640 --> 0:04:23.880 at that point, once you have a sufficient quantity, and 0:04:24.640 --> 0:04:27.960 you'll hear slightly different numbers, but generally agreed that they 0:04:28.000 --> 0:04:31.919 have a sufficient quantity of uranium that is fairly enriched 0:04:31.960 --> 0:04:34.640 that if they were to finish the process, they can 0:04:34.720 --> 0:04:37.880 make somewhere between like eight to ten warheads with it, right, 0:04:38.040 --> 0:04:41.120 like something somewhere in that vicinity, and they could have 0:04:41.480 --> 0:04:44.520 a functional warhead within a matter of weeks after enriching, 0:04:44.560 --> 0:04:47.240 because enriching the uranium is the hard part. Once you've 0:04:47.279 --> 0:04:50.800 done that, it's very easy to make a nuclear weapon, right, 0:04:51.160 --> 0:04:54.320 sufficiently skilled people could do it with like fairly minimal 0:04:54.360 --> 0:04:57.279 technology if they like. Getting the rich uranium is the 0:04:57.279 --> 0:05:00.200 hard part. So it's technically true that Iran is that, 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:02.800 you know, close to having a weapon. They have been 0:05:02.839 --> 0:05:05.160 since two thousand and three. But the more important part 0:05:05.160 --> 0:05:07.599 of the story is that they have not been working 0:05:07.680 --> 0:05:09.800 on a weapon, and there's no evidence even for the 0:05:09.920 --> 0:05:13.279 DA concluded in March that they were not actively working 0:05:13.279 --> 0:05:16.640 on a nuclear weapon. So what's actually been going on 0:05:16.720 --> 0:05:21.320 here is that while the Ayatola has not reauthorized the 0:05:21.360 --> 0:05:24.360 program in quite some time, pressure has been It's been 0:05:24.400 --> 0:05:27.839 generally agreed by people watching you know, Iranian politics, that 0:05:28.040 --> 0:05:30.760 pressure has been building on him in order to reauthorize 0:05:30.760 --> 0:05:33.640 the program. Right. There's a good CBS News article on 0:05:33.680 --> 0:05:37.360 this that notes that the US Intelligence Community assessment stated 0:05:37.400 --> 0:05:39.440 that there was an erosion of a decades long taboo 0:05:39.480 --> 0:05:42.400 on discussing nuclear weapons in public, brought on by all 0:05:42.520 --> 0:05:45.880 of the pressure against Iran by Israel. Right. In other words, 0:05:46.120 --> 0:05:48.839 the more Israel in the United States threaten and actually 0:05:48.839 --> 0:05:51.680 do bomb Iran, the more public support there is, and 0:05:51.680 --> 0:05:56.080 the more acceptable it comes to talk about restarting the program, right, 0:05:56.520 --> 0:05:59.800 because continuing to bomb and attack them makes the case 0:06:00.240 --> 0:06:03.520 strongly that well, we probably need one of these fucking things, right, 0:06:03.560 --> 0:06:07.240 because otherwise they're simply not going to stop. And that's 0:06:07.279 --> 0:06:09.120 been the lesson of the twenty first century, which is, 0:06:09.640 --> 0:06:11.760 if you are a country that has beef with the 0:06:11.839 --> 0:06:14.640 United States or any other nuclear power, the safest thing 0:06:14.680 --> 0:06:16.800 to do is get a nuke and then get more 0:06:16.880 --> 0:06:20.480 nukes as quickly as possible. Right. So that's the situation 0:06:20.640 --> 0:06:24.080 that we're in. Iran has not moved any closer to 0:06:24.160 --> 0:06:26.719 having a nuclear weapon over the last twenty some years, 0:06:27.120 --> 0:06:31.000 but because they've got this uranium, you could always technically say, well, 0:06:31.000 --> 0:06:34.559 they could be months away. Right. So this all leads 0:06:34.640 --> 0:06:38.640 us up to last week's strikes on Iran. These were 0:06:38.720 --> 0:06:41.920 using a wing of B two bombers. Actually, there was 0:06:42.000 --> 0:06:45.239 quite a few aircraft involved. Prior to the bombing attack, 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:47.359 there was a lot of discussions, like the United States 0:06:47.400 --> 0:06:51.440 preparing for much more extensive action in Iran because we 0:06:51.520 --> 0:06:54.760 flew all of these different, like refueling planes all around 0:06:54.800 --> 0:06:57.720 the world, and we're like setting up very clearly this 0:06:57.800 --> 0:07:00.919 like massive set of infrastructure to refule and keep a 0:07:00.920 --> 0:07:03.440 bunch of planes in the air. Now, the reality is 0:07:03.440 --> 0:07:06.440 that all of these refueling planes and whatnot were part 0:07:06.560 --> 0:07:09.000 of this bombing mission. And the bombing mission did not 0:07:09.120 --> 0:07:12.240 just include the seven bombers that actually struck Iran, but 0:07:12.360 --> 0:07:14.720 another wing of B two bombers that flew in the 0:07:14.720 --> 0:07:17.520 opposite direction as part of a feint, as well as 0:07:17.640 --> 0:07:22.240 fighter jets and reconplanes that were necessary to help set 0:07:22.320 --> 0:07:24.920 up and protect the whole apparatus that we were setting 0:07:25.000 --> 0:07:28.200 up to get these seven B twos to the target area. 0:07:28.320 --> 0:07:32.520 Right now, the actual mission was about thirty seven hours, 0:07:32.600 --> 0:07:35.239 which is not the longest mission B two crews have flown. 0:07:35.320 --> 0:07:37.840 That was forty four hours, and it was over Afghanistan 0:07:37.920 --> 0:07:40.160 in two thousand and one. And keep a pin in 0:07:40.200 --> 0:07:43.120 that because we will be talking about how successful that 0:07:43.200 --> 0:07:45.480 mission was, because there's some similarities between it and what 0:07:45.600 --> 0:07:47.880 was done in Iran. Now, the B twos that we 0:07:47.920 --> 0:07:50.960 flew over Iran were armed with these big thirty thousand 0:07:51.000 --> 0:07:54.960 pound bunker busting bombs, and we'll talk about these as 0:07:55.000 --> 0:07:56.920 well in a while, but I want to I found 0:07:56.920 --> 0:08:00.000 out there's a very interesting article on a CNN Politics 0:08:00.080 --> 0:08:03.000 by Michael Williams that interviews one of the guys who 0:08:03.280 --> 0:08:05.559 was part of the longest B two mission, that mission 0:08:05.600 --> 0:08:07.760 over Afghanistan, who talked about like what you have to 0:08:07.800 --> 0:08:09.960 do in order to carry out a mission like this. 0:08:10.000 --> 0:08:11.240 And I want to bring it up because, you know, 0:08:11.280 --> 0:08:13.600 in the middle of this very shameful episode for the 0:08:13.680 --> 0:08:16.200 United States, it reminds me of what makes me proud 0:08:16.240 --> 0:08:17.960 of this country. And what makes me proud of this 0:08:18.000 --> 0:08:21.600 country is our tendency to dose bomber pilots with massive 0:08:21.680 --> 0:08:25.000 quantities of amphetamines so that they can be absolutely spun 0:08:25.160 --> 0:08:28.640 off their asses when bombing a foreign country. And that's 0:08:28.680 --> 0:08:32.000 exactly how you get bomber teams over to a country 0:08:32.080 --> 0:08:34.920 like Iran for thirty seven hours of flight time is 0:08:34.960 --> 0:08:38.040 everybody is prescribed amphetamines and they are high as shit. 0:08:38.320 --> 0:08:40.800 They are pissing in ziploc bags full of kitty litter, 0:08:40.800 --> 0:08:43.200 they've got a chemical toilet in the back. They're just 0:08:43.240 --> 0:08:45.959 spun off of their asses, pissing into cat litter. And 0:08:46.120 --> 0:08:48.800 that's that's how strikes like this are managed, which I 0:08:48.840 --> 0:08:49.760 think is beautiful. 0:08:49.920 --> 0:08:52.680 Yeah, except for the whole you know, Trump starting a 0:08:52.720 --> 0:08:54.400 little war aspect of end. 0:08:54.400 --> 0:08:58.720 Yeah, sure, sure, the massive civilian casualties are always a tragedy. 0:08:58.840 --> 0:08:59.839 Yeah, the death of Minicent. 0:09:00.320 --> 0:09:03.440 But you know it also, it was from fighter pilots 0:09:03.520 --> 0:09:06.520 that we get swinger culture, and it's from fighter pilots 0:09:06.520 --> 0:09:09.160 and swinger culture that we get popularized amphetamines in the 0:09:09.280 --> 0:09:12.760 United States. And without that, you know, I don't know, 0:09:12.960 --> 0:09:14.839 we actually probably wouldn't miss out on much that was 0:09:14.960 --> 0:09:16.400 very good, But the. 0:09:16.400 --> 0:09:17.680 Seventies would have been different. 0:09:18.000 --> 0:09:19.240 The value was lost. 0:09:19.920 --> 0:09:22.080 Might be better, Yeah, it might have been better. 0:09:22.120 --> 0:09:24.000 I don't know. I feel like Jefferson Airplane wouldn't have 0:09:24.040 --> 0:09:24.520 been as good. 0:09:25.200 --> 0:09:28.560 But maybe they'd be cool something else. Yeah, maybe they'd 0:09:28.600 --> 0:09:29.600 been called something else. 0:09:30.040 --> 0:09:33.280 So the primary munition that these B twos were supposed 0:09:33.320 --> 0:09:35.040 to be dropping over Iran and the whole reason why 0:09:35.080 --> 0:09:37.240 the United States was needed because Israel had carried out 0:09:37.240 --> 0:09:41.320 a bunch of strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. But Basically, Iran, 0:09:41.920 --> 0:09:45.080 being intelligent, knew that, like, well, they're going to bomb 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:48.600 these facilities like as long as they exist, and it's 0:09:48.760 --> 0:09:51.920 very difficult to get like these centrifugias made right like that. 0:09:52.080 --> 0:09:54.600 That's the hardest part of getting a nuclear weapon is 0:09:54.640 --> 0:09:58.120 getting the equipment that will allow you to enrich uranium. 0:09:58.520 --> 0:10:00.600 And so it's very precious and you you don't just 0:10:00.600 --> 0:10:03.600 have you can't just remake it super easily. So Aron 0:10:03.760 --> 0:10:06.240 buried this shit, right. They had a number of different 0:10:06.280 --> 0:10:08.680 sites which were hit by both the US and Israel, 0:10:08.720 --> 0:10:10.600 the most deeply buried of which was a place called 0:10:10.640 --> 0:10:13.679 at a place called Fourdoh, and the actual facilities were 0:10:13.720 --> 0:10:16.760 buried underneath like the ridge of a mountain, beneath ninety 0:10:16.840 --> 0:10:20.719 meters or about three hundred feet of rock. Right. And 0:10:20.960 --> 0:10:23.560 we have this tendency in the West in part because 0:10:23.600 --> 0:10:28.040 of generations of military industry propaganda and in part because 0:10:28.160 --> 0:10:30.560 the Air Force really wants you to believe this that 0:10:30.679 --> 0:10:34.160 bombs are a lot more powerful than they are now. 0:10:34.200 --> 0:10:37.120 Bombs are great at blowing up buildings that are just 0:10:37.200 --> 0:10:39.520 hanging around on the surface of the earth, and they're 0:10:39.559 --> 0:10:42.840 great at killing people. They're great at killing civilians, people 0:10:42.840 --> 0:10:45.960 who are not armored or defended against them. They're awesome 0:10:46.000 --> 0:10:48.400 at that. You know, what bombs suck at is going 0:10:48.400 --> 0:10:50.560 more than a couple of feet below the earth. They're 0:10:50.640 --> 0:10:54.240 terrible at it. Even really big bombs, even the scariest 0:10:54.280 --> 0:10:57.800 bombs we've ever made, absolute dog shit at getting through, 0:10:57.960 --> 0:11:01.720 especially like stone and rock. And so Israel was like, 0:11:01.800 --> 0:11:04.480 we don't have the capacity, we don't have the technology 0:11:04.600 --> 0:11:07.800 to actually like crack a facility like fourdoh. The only 0:11:07.880 --> 0:11:10.320 thing that can is these bombs that can only be 0:11:10.480 --> 0:11:13.000 carried by the B two, which are these thirty thousand 0:11:13.080 --> 0:11:16.880 pounds bunker busters. Right. And the question that comes up 0:11:16.880 --> 0:11:19.240 then is like, okay, well, this four to doah is 0:11:19.320 --> 0:11:22.640 ninety meters. It was beneath ninety meters of rock. How 0:11:22.760 --> 0:11:26.439 deep can these GBU fifty sevens, these massive ordnance penetrator 0:11:26.520 --> 0:11:28.400 bombs which had not been used in combat before. How 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:31.760 deep can these fuckers go? Right? That seems like a 0:11:31.840 --> 0:11:34.679 simple question. You will usually see most of the graphics 0:11:34.760 --> 0:11:37.760 on the news will show that it penetrates sixty meters 0:11:37.840 --> 0:11:40.160 right or two hundred feet, and then it detonates right, 0:11:40.640 --> 0:11:43.040 which you know could do damage to a facility that's 0:11:43.080 --> 0:11:45.840 buried deeper. Right, If you're detonating it like sixty meters 0:11:45.880 --> 0:11:48.760 down and it goes down ninety meters, that explosion could 0:11:48.800 --> 0:11:51.400 do enough extra damage that could damage a facility that's 0:11:51.440 --> 0:11:53.000 just like another thirty meters below. 0:11:53.120 --> 0:11:53.240 Right. 0:11:53.320 --> 0:11:58.400 Theoretically, however, that doesn't tell the full story. And I'm 0:11:58.520 --> 0:12:00.640 very indebted in this part to it in PA article 0:12:00.760 --> 0:12:04.240 by Joff Brumfell, who did actually like the math. Right, 0:12:04.320 --> 0:12:06.360 So we figured out a long time ago when we 0:12:06.400 --> 0:12:10.800 started bombing things, there's like a mathematical equation to how 0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:14.080 far a bomb that's a given weight and dropped from 0:12:14.120 --> 0:12:17.160 a given height and has a given explosive payload can 0:12:17.200 --> 0:12:20.040 penetrate through different kind of substrates, right, that you can 0:12:20.120 --> 0:12:23.199 just kind of plug that equation in. And yeah, I 0:12:23.200 --> 0:12:26.560 want to quote from Jeff's article right now because it 0:12:26.679 --> 0:12:29.600 does a very good job of like looking at kind 0:12:29.600 --> 0:12:32.520 of why this was sort of a dogshit plan from 0:12:32.559 --> 0:12:34.640 the start. I went back to take a look at 0:12:34.640 --> 0:12:36.240 the math from those early studies, and I found it 0:12:36.280 --> 0:12:39.480 was actually straightforward. The so called penetration equations have existed 0:12:39.480 --> 0:12:41.760 since the nineteen sixties and depend on a limited number 0:12:41.760 --> 0:12:43.800 of factors. Including the shape of the nose cone, the 0:12:43.800 --> 0:12:46.040 weight and diameter of the weapon, the speed at which 0:12:46.080 --> 0:12:48.080 it hits the ground, and crucially, the type of earth 0:12:48.080 --> 0:12:50.679 it gets dropped on. It depends enormously on the kind 0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:53.559 of rocks, as Raymond gene Laws, the professor at the 0:12:53.600 --> 0:12:56.240 University of California, Berkeley and one of the original authors 0:12:56.240 --> 0:12:58.319 of the two thousand and five National Academic Study and 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:01.319 Earth Penetrators, When I ran the calculations using a key 0:13:01.320 --> 0:13:03.760 equation from that study, I found that the GBU fifty 0:13:03.760 --> 0:13:06.480 seven could go up to eighty meters underground if it 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:09.720 was dropped in salty clay. In medium strength rock, things 0:13:09.760 --> 0:13:12.200 looked far different. The GBU fifty seven could only go 0:13:12.280 --> 0:13:16.160 around seven point nine meters beneath the earth. So that's 0:13:16.200 --> 0:13:18.959 not nearly the sixty meters that you're seeing claimed on 0:13:19.040 --> 0:13:22.320 most and it's nowhere close to ninety, right, And there's 0:13:22.360 --> 0:13:25.280 a good amount of data we already have. Trump obviously 0:13:25.280 --> 0:13:27.560 claimed as soon as we did this bombing run, because 0:13:27.640 --> 0:13:31.720 we dropped a fairly heavy cluster of these bombs, twelve 0:13:31.800 --> 0:13:34.280 on four to zero, and Trump's claim was that, like, yeah, 0:13:34.280 --> 0:13:37.040 it was completely destroyed. His press secretary said when you 0:13:37.120 --> 0:13:40.480 dropped twelve thirty thousand pound bombs with perfect precision on 0:13:40.559 --> 0:13:44.720 a target, there's only one result, complete destruction. And that's 0:13:44.720 --> 0:13:46.400 not true even if you just like look at the 0:13:46.440 --> 0:13:48.920 past of us using these weapons. I mentioned earlier that 0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:51.760 two thousand and one mission to Afghanistan that was US 0:13:51.760 --> 0:13:55.160 trying to blow up that's purported like cave fortress that 0:13:55.240 --> 0:13:56.240 been laden had. 0:13:56.280 --> 0:13:58.840 You may have seen the diagram in Tora Bora, and 0:13:59.280 --> 0:13:59.960 we didn't. 0:14:01.000 --> 0:14:03.920 It didn't work because it's really hard for all of 0:14:03.960 --> 0:14:08.160 our technological might, it's very hard to blow up something 0:14:08.280 --> 0:14:11.440 buried under rock. Like it doesn't matter how many of 0:14:11.480 --> 0:14:15.079 these giant bombs you have, we're shit at it. Right now, 0:14:15.320 --> 0:14:18.360 there's still some debate. The DIA assessment says that basically 0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:21.440 we did damage, but it was at most maybe enough 0:14:21.480 --> 0:14:23.800 to knock them back by eight months, and probably less 0:14:23.840 --> 0:14:26.840 than that. Right, it's kind of debatable, and we don't 0:14:26.840 --> 0:14:28.840 have perfect data on this, right, I don't know that 0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:30.760 Iran has perfect data on this, because one thing we 0:14:30.800 --> 0:14:34.040 can confirm is that the bombing sealed the entrances, so 0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:36.880 it's possible they can't get into fod Oh quite yet. Right, Like, 0:14:36.920 --> 0:14:38.720 there's going to be some work needed to do to 0:14:38.720 --> 0:14:40.640 be able to get these facilities if they were to 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.560 do that, which again they were not based on US 0:14:43.600 --> 0:14:47.120 military intelligence, we're not doing prior to the bombing, But 0:14:47.440 --> 0:14:50.160 based on satellite imagery, it does not look like there's 0:14:50.200 --> 0:14:52.600 not really good evidence that we did any kind of 0:14:52.640 --> 0:14:56.880 significant damage. There's some reports that some centrifugias were damaged, 0:14:57.200 --> 0:15:00.200 but those reports state that other centrifugions were intact. It's 0:15:00.240 --> 0:15:03.600 one of those things where like there's not any strong evidence, 0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:06.200 and in fact, the DIA's report suggests that, like the 0:15:06.280 --> 0:15:09.800 damage done was fairly minimal, given the extreme cost of 0:15:09.840 --> 0:15:12.640 this operation and the brags that the administration has been 0:15:12.640 --> 0:15:16.280 making that like they totally destroyed these facilities, right, right, 0:15:16.360 --> 0:15:20.840 We simply did not totally destroy these facilities. Now, it's 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:24.960 a little too early to say so precisely, like how 0:15:25.040 --> 0:15:27.920 bad is this? Right, But you know, again that's kind 0:15:27.960 --> 0:15:31.160 of the early data, is that, like the DIA assessment says, 0:15:31.160 --> 0:15:33.560 we set them back maybe a few months at most. 0:15:33.960 --> 0:15:36.000 One of the fun things about this is that Iran 0:15:36.120 --> 0:15:39.640 moved their uranium prior to the bombing, right, Like, you 0:15:39.640 --> 0:15:43.400 can't really move these giant centrifuges or these big underground facilities. 0:15:43.440 --> 0:15:45.440 But you can take the uranium and you can just 0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:48.080 drive at places and we don't know exactly where they 0:15:48.160 --> 0:15:50.160 hit it. The head of the IAEA, which is the 0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:53.720 International Atomic Energy Commission, has already come out and said, like, 0:15:53.840 --> 0:15:56.920 I have no idea where Iran's uranium is. And it's 0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:59.280 the job the IEA's job is to account for every 0:15:59.320 --> 0:16:02.840 fucking gram of uranium held by every country in the world. 0:16:02.920 --> 0:16:05.040 Right they are supposed to know at all times where 0:16:05.040 --> 0:16:07.960 it is. And he's like, I have no fucking idea, Like, 0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:09.720 we don't know where it is, and we don't know 0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:11.520 how much dammage is double, we don't know where this is. 0:16:11.800 --> 0:16:14.080 There is at least one report stating that Iron's plan 0:16:14.200 --> 0:16:16.360 was basically load this up into the trunks of a 0:16:16.400 --> 0:16:18.800 bunch of cars and park them in public parking lots, 0:16:18.880 --> 0:16:20.880 because they probably they're not going to bomb a public 0:16:20.920 --> 0:16:21.640 parking lot. 0:16:21.440 --> 0:16:26.640 Outside of like a store, which is really funny, actually fair, 0:16:26.760 --> 0:16:27.840 the US might do that. 0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:31.600 A Israel will send me bomb a fucking parking they 0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.720 hit a press which park there's so many yeah, yeah, 0:16:34.720 --> 0:16:37.000 and they'll pray a shell game, right like they will 0:16:37.040 --> 0:16:40.640 send hundreds of trucks and vans from every location. Yeah, right, 0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:41.160 they'll send. 0:16:41.680 --> 0:16:44.320 It's just the funniest thing in terms of it also 0:16:44.360 --> 0:16:46.840 points out how doomed efforts like this are where you're 0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.840 just like, well, with our technology and our fancy stealth bombers, 0:16:50.000 --> 0:16:52.160 we clearly we should be able to figure this out. 0:16:52.160 --> 0:16:54.200 And it's like, nah, we're just gonna park We need 0:16:54.240 --> 0:16:57.000 one hundred cars. We'll bring in six hundred cars and 0:16:57.080 --> 0:17:00.200 we'll park them randomly all around the country. Fuck you, 0:17:00.480 --> 0:17:03.160 what are you gonna do? Bomb every parking lot? Like, 0:17:05.600 --> 0:17:07.360 it's very funny quote. 0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:09.199 From parking lot bombed? What are you gonna do? 0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:15.080 Yeah? Anyway, that's uh. What's going on with us bombing Iran? 0:17:15.400 --> 0:17:19.600 And so again? Very expensive? Yeah, probably did not do much. 0:17:19.760 --> 0:17:22.960 Trump the dove strikes again the peace Maker? They going 0:17:23.000 --> 0:17:23.760 them the peace Maker. 0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:26.800 Yeah, we'll talk about the peace bullshit after this. We 0:17:26.840 --> 0:17:28.040 should throw to ads first. 0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:30.320 Thank you note from Grumman for sponsoring the segment. 0:17:42.880 --> 0:17:48.200 We're back. So like the four to oh nuclear enrichment facility, 0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:51.840 Trump is between a rock and a hard place with 0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:56.159 with this whole carrying out illegal stripes on a sovereign 0:17:56.240 --> 0:17:58.919 nation thing of a jig in that he came. He 0:17:59.000 --> 0:18:01.359 came to power a large part by promising, I'm not 0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:03.680 going to do a World War three. I'm not gonna 0:18:03.800 --> 0:18:07.200 all these democrats are crazy warmongers, but not old Donnie t. 0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:09.240 You know you can you can trust me to be 0:18:09.280 --> 0:18:12.680 a peacemaker. And then he fucking bombs Iran, which is 0:18:12.760 --> 0:18:16.359 kind of a major escalation, right, so, and we're not 0:18:16.400 --> 0:18:18.760 gonna There's been people arguing with this have happened under 0:18:18.800 --> 0:18:21.520 Kamala Yaddia. I don't don't. I don't give a shit. 0:18:21.560 --> 0:18:23.880 I don't read a shit. It's happening now, fucking fuck off, 0:18:24.320 --> 0:18:27.160 Like it's not it's not worth talking about that. We're 0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:29.240 talking about what's happening, which is that this is a 0:18:29.280 --> 0:18:32.119 major escalation. But Trump has had to He's kind of 0:18:32.119 --> 0:18:34.960 been hedging between like, yeah, look at how fucking cool 0:18:35.000 --> 0:18:36.919 our weapons are. We fuck them up so bad and 0:18:37.000 --> 0:18:39.200 also and now it's time for peace. We have to 0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:41.879 stop the violence. Why don't you guys come to the table, 0:18:41.960 --> 0:18:42.919 let's all be friends. 0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:45.800 And getting pretty pissed at the Israeli governments. 0:18:46.000 --> 0:18:49.240 Yes, because he announced a ceasefire and Iran was like 0:18:49.440 --> 0:18:52.800 after striking back and hitting US bases in a number 0:18:52.800 --> 0:18:55.240 of countries, was like, okay, we're done. Like we did 0:18:55.280 --> 0:18:57.239 the thing we had, we did the face saving thing. 0:18:57.280 --> 0:18:59.600 We have to launch missiles after youbamas. We can't not 0:18:59.720 --> 0:19:02.240 do that. But we did it. We got our strike off, 0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:05.360 and we're not going to continue if you guys don't continue, right, 0:19:05.760 --> 0:19:07.720 And Trump was like, I did it. I made peace. 0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:09.520 Look at look at how good I am. And then 0:19:09.560 --> 0:19:13.439 Israel immediately starts carrying out more strikes, and Trump is, 0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:16.480 are we gonna play the audio of in cursing on TV? 0:19:16.640 --> 0:19:20.760 Because it's very good. Here's here's Trump being confronted about this, Like, 0:19:20.800 --> 0:19:22.920 within hours of this Israeli strikes. 0:19:23.359 --> 0:19:25.879 You know what we have? We basically have two countries 0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:29.440 that have been fighting so long and so hard that 0:19:29.480 --> 0:19:31.520 they don't know what the fuck they're doing. 0:19:31.520 --> 0:19:32.639 Do you understand that? What? 0:19:34.119 --> 0:19:38.040 So that's a pissed off man, and he's pissed off again. 0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:40.520 I do think people are generally wrong when they're like, oh, 0:19:40.560 --> 0:19:43.240 Trump's much better on Israel because he can confront net Yahoo. 0:19:43.320 --> 0:19:45.639 That hasn't really proved to be the case yet. But 0:19:45.840 --> 0:19:49.600 unlike Biden, Trump clearly doesn't care about like he's willing 0:19:49.640 --> 0:19:52.720 to be pissed at net Yahoo, and he was really pissed. 0:19:52.400 --> 0:19:55.800 In this openly, like absolutely openly. 0:19:55.920 --> 0:19:58.159 Very yet because again he's hanging a lot on like 0:19:58.440 --> 0:20:01.040