1 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? 2 00:00:14,840 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Saturday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:19,640 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Parolta. Guys 4 00:00:19,680 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 2: can following me because all socials at sports talk Matt. 5 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 2: Following a two in one day. The basketball bet was bad, 6 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: baseball bet was good, and the soccer bet cashed amazingly 7 00:00:30,080 --> 00:00:32,640 Speaker 2: enough for nothing win from Morocco. That game flew over, 8 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:35,599 Speaker 2: So two and one day. Nice winning day on a Friday. 9 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:38,599 Speaker 2: Heading into a Saturday, I'm gonna do a little bit 10 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:41,200 Speaker 2: of a different thing. So getting ready for football season. 11 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 2: You guys know that the cards on Saturday for me 12 00:00:44,240 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 2: tend to be larger. There's more stuff going on, there's 13 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:50,520 Speaker 2: more stuff to bet on. I'm gonna give you three 14 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:57,279 Speaker 2: plays officially, okay, but I have bet two things, Like 15 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 2: I have two plays on the Team USA game. I 16 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:04,600 Speaker 2: have two bets for a UFC fight night in Abu Dhabi. 17 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:07,480 Speaker 2: I've got two bets in Major League Baseball. I'm going 18 00:01:07,520 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 2: to give you all six you guys can do like 19 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: a choose your own adventure type of thing. If you 20 00:01:11,000 --> 00:01:13,640 Speaker 2: don't like my official play, maybe you like the other one. 21 00:01:13,680 --> 00:01:13,880 Speaker 1: Okay. 22 00:01:13,959 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 2: So I'm just going to tell you what my card 23 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 2: looks like for today. Three official plays. Three plays I 24 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,040 Speaker 2: will make that you can do what you want with it. 25 00:01:22,200 --> 00:01:24,160 Speaker 2: The official plays are the plays I like the best. Okay, 26 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: those are plays I recommend. I like a lot. But 27 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 2: because there's so much going on here today, I thought 28 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:31,800 Speaker 2: i'd give you some extra things to look at and 29 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 2: things you can use this podcast for. You know, obviously 30 00:01:35,040 --> 00:01:37,280 Speaker 2: you can choose whatever you want to bet. We track 31 00:01:37,360 --> 00:01:40,039 Speaker 2: the official plays here on the podcast, so we'll do 32 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 2: that here for today. So we've got basketball, UFC, fighting 33 00:01:45,640 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: in baseball going on here today for us here on 34 00:01:48,160 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 2: a Saturday. Now, golf is in round three. I'm taping this. 35 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:56,800 Speaker 2: It's currently eleven thirty West Coast times, so golf is overnight. 36 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 2: We'll see what Tom Kim can do for us. We 37 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:01,360 Speaker 2: got that plus four under on him top five. He's 38 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 2: currently tied for the top five. So let's see what 39 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 2: Tom Kim can do here in round three. Need Colin 40 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 2: Moracawa to get going a little bit, but he's tied 41 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:09,919 Speaker 2: for nineteenth. 42 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:11,440 Speaker 1: He's not too far off. 43 00:02:11,960 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 2: If I do anything with the fourth and final round, 44 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 2: I'll put it in the Discord channel bettingpros dot Com 45 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 2: slash chat to get into that. Look at the djpicks 46 00:02:20,960 --> 00:02:24,639 Speaker 2: angle that subcategory. I will put the pick in there 47 00:02:24,639 --> 00:02:28,600 Speaker 2: if I do anything with golf overnight into Sunday, because 48 00:02:28,600 --> 00:02:31,119 Speaker 2: we don't bet baseball on Sunday, right, so we got 49 00:02:31,120 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 2: to find other things to bet coming up for Sunday, 50 00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 2: So that would be a late night Saturday play late 51 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:40,840 Speaker 2: night tonight. Remember the UFC card is a three pm 52 00:02:40,919 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 2: Eastern time start. Okay, it's not a night card daycard. 53 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 2: Remember that basketball is the middle of the day East 54 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:48,880 Speaker 2: Coast time as well. 55 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: Baseball is at night like it normally is. 56 00:02:51,080 --> 00:02:54,320 Speaker 2: But before we give you the picks for today, reminder 57 00:02:54,360 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 2: if you would like to win a signed jersey from 58 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:00,840 Speaker 2: our friends at Pristine Auction dot com. It is a 59 00:03:00,960 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 2: signed Amari Cooper jersey that's up for grabs here in 60 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 2: the month of August. 61 00:03:04,600 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 1: All you need to do is head over to. 62 00:03:05,840 --> 00:03:09,680 Speaker 2: Bettingpros dot com slash contest, complete the form, and either 63 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:13,200 Speaker 2: download the Betting Pros app, leave a review for a 64 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 2: Betting Pros podcast like this one, or subscribe to our 65 00:03:16,600 --> 00:03:20,360 Speaker 2: social media channels at betting Pros on x, Twitter and TikTok, 66 00:03:20,520 --> 00:03:23,840 Speaker 2: or at betting Pros NFL on Instagram. The more actions 67 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,839 Speaker 2: you complete, the more entries you will receive. We will 68 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 2: be making the announcement of the winner right here on 69 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice, so make sure you get the notifications 70 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 2: turned on so you can be alerted when the new 71 00:03:34,000 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 2: episodes are up for the Daily Juice and you can 72 00:03:37,120 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 2: claim your prize hopefully at the end of this month, 73 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 2: with the signed Amari Cooper Jersey. Enter for free at 74 00:03:44,000 --> 00:03:49,040 Speaker 2: bettingpros dot Com. Slash contest Okay, Team USA taking on 75 00:03:49,840 --> 00:03:54,320 Speaker 2: Team Puerto Rico. USA is better at every position. There 76 00:03:54,360 --> 00:03:58,200 Speaker 2: are some NBA players on this roster, however, and anytime 77 00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 2: Puerto Rico plays America, you know you're going to get 78 00:04:01,080 --> 00:04:02,040 Speaker 2: their best effort. 79 00:04:02,080 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 1: This is their super Bowl, Okay. 80 00:04:05,120 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 2: We've heard talks of potentially there's going to and I 81 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,120 Speaker 2: believe Carlos Arroyo is the coach of Puerto Rico, the 82 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:13,880 Speaker 2: UMass basketball player. 83 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: We're the same age. 84 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:18,920 Speaker 2: Cars Arroyo played basketball at UMass when I was there, 85 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:22,119 Speaker 2: so he's like forty seven or so. Like Dream Team, 86 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:25,720 Speaker 2: he remembers those guys. Now, he wasn't on the Dream 87 00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 2: Team obviously, but I believe that's the same Cars Arroyo. 88 00:04:27,960 --> 00:04:29,280 Speaker 2: I might be wrong about that, but I'm pretty the 89 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:32,120 Speaker 2: same UMass guy. But regardless, you know what we're going 90 00:04:32,200 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 2: to see out of Puerto Rico. Everything they've got thirty 91 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:39,039 Speaker 2: five and a half points. Thirty five and a half points, 92 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:44,440 Speaker 2: it's a gigantic number. Team USA hasn't covered yet. In 93 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:47,679 Speaker 2: the Olympics, Team USA tends to play with their food, 94 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:50,200 Speaker 2: and I know that Steve Kerr is, like, we want 95 00:04:50,240 --> 00:04:52,520 Speaker 2: to go out there and play hard, but Steve Kerr 96 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,040 Speaker 2: is doing some weird things with the lineup, like and 97 00:04:55,120 --> 00:04:57,760 Speaker 2: Bee didn't play in the last game. We saw Jason 98 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:01,599 Speaker 2: Tatum not play in the first game. Tmusa against Sudan, 99 00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:06,520 Speaker 2: Tmosa up against Serbia, like they've just they they look good, 100 00:05:06,520 --> 00:05:08,800 Speaker 2: but thirty five and a half points good. 101 00:05:09,839 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 1: I mean, I know. 102 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:15,320 Speaker 2: Serbia killed killed Puerto Rico, but they missed a ton 103 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 2: of shots. If Puerto Rico misses all their threes, we're 104 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:22,159 Speaker 2: probably dead here. But I'm taking the points. It's thirty 105 00:05:22,160 --> 00:05:24,080 Speaker 2: five and a half points. I'm not in love with 106 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:27,919 Speaker 2: this Tmusa team. They're gonna win the game, but do 107 00:05:28,000 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 2: they care to win the game by forty like one 108 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:35,240 Speaker 2: hundred to sixty is it a forty minute basketball game? 109 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,559 Speaker 2: Four ten minute quarters? Thirty five and a half? Can't 110 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,919 Speaker 2: do it? Sorry, taken Puerto Rico plus thirty five and 111 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: a half. And if I'm taking the dog, how many 112 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 2: points is Tosa gonna score? 113 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 1: Like? 114 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 2: It's gonna be like right there, it's one twelve and 115 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:53,120 Speaker 2: a half. The reason why this play is not the 116 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:54,600 Speaker 2: official place because I think it's gonna be like a 117 00:05:54,600 --> 00:05:57,480 Speaker 2: bucket or two. Right, seventy five seventy six and a 118 00:05:57,520 --> 00:06:00,719 Speaker 2: half is what Puerto Rico is scheduled for expected to score. 119 00:06:01,080 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: Say they score eighty like hypothetically, right, if they get 120 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:07,280 Speaker 2: to eighty thirty five and a half, they're covering it. 121 00:06:07,800 --> 00:06:09,360 Speaker 2: How many points this team he was taking to score 122 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:13,760 Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty, I don't see it. One ten 123 00:06:14,880 --> 00:06:18,919 Speaker 2: to eighty is thirty points. One ten to eighty is 124 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:25,279 Speaker 2: thirty points. That's not enough to cover team total under 125 00:06:25,360 --> 00:06:28,320 Speaker 2: one twelve and a half for Team USA. Okay, I 126 00:06:29,360 --> 00:06:32,200 Speaker 2: faded the Dream Team already, the new Dream Team. This 127 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:36,880 Speaker 2: version it burned me. I took Serbia burned me. Maybe 128 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,400 Speaker 2: it burns me again. Okay, maybe I go down in flames. 129 00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:41,240 Speaker 2: You want to fade both these bets, go right ahead. 130 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:43,599 Speaker 2: I got the France bet way wrong. I got teav two. 131 00:06:43,640 --> 00:06:45,279 Speaker 2: I mean I'm much better with the women than I 132 00:06:45,279 --> 00:06:47,239 Speaker 2: have been the men. I think I'm OH to three 133 00:06:47,960 --> 00:06:50,719 Speaker 2: in men's basketball. I'm definitely O and two. I don't 134 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 2: think of out in the men's basketball. 135 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:54,839 Speaker 1: Bet right. Done well with the women's basketball, not good 136 00:06:54,839 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 1: with the men. 137 00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: You want to fade it, go ahead, but official plays 138 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:00,599 Speaker 2: Puerto Rico plus thirty five and a half one point 139 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:03,160 Speaker 2: one units. I'm also gonna take the team total under 140 00:07:03,160 --> 00:07:04,840 Speaker 2: one twelve and a half for Team USA if you 141 00:07:04,920 --> 00:07:06,000 Speaker 2: want extra on that game. 142 00:07:07,160 --> 00:07:08,920 Speaker 1: It's a forty point game. That's what I think it's. 143 00:07:09,080 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 1: I just I was doing the math. 144 00:07:10,000 --> 00:07:12,160 Speaker 2: I forget the exactly thing was two point eight points 145 00:07:12,160 --> 00:07:19,160 Speaker 2: per minute to get to one thirteen something like that ridiculous. 146 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:21,440 Speaker 1: I mean, it's really. 147 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 2: Hard to get to one hundred and twelve one hundred 148 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,160 Speaker 2: and thirteen points in a forty minute basketball game. 149 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:26,080 Speaker 1: I don't care who you're playing. 150 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:28,520 Speaker 2: And if Puerto Rico plays zone and then take the 151 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:32,920 Speaker 2: air out of the ball and under tmusa one twelve 152 00:07:32,960 --> 00:07:35,960 Speaker 2: and a half points team total under could hit as well. 153 00:07:36,080 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 2: So officier plays Puerto Rico plus thirty five and a 154 00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:44,400 Speaker 2: half here for Team USA and Puerto Rico bet number two. 155 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:49,440 Speaker 2: Let's talk about the UFC. All right, this is a 156 00:07:49,680 --> 00:07:54,800 Speaker 2: interesting fight. The card is great. Okay, this is a 157 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:57,840 Speaker 2: great card. There are so many good fights to break down, 158 00:07:57,880 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: so many good fights talk about. But let's talk about 159 00:08:00,880 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 2: Vera against Figaredo. There's two fights we're gonna break down, 160 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:09,760 Speaker 2: Mackenzie Duran's fight and Vera against Cheeto Vera in in 161 00:08:09,760 --> 00:08:13,600 Speaker 2: Devison Figaredo. Both these fights are two sixty and minus 162 00:08:13,640 --> 00:08:18,120 Speaker 2: three hundred to the over three round fights. Both of 163 00:08:18,160 --> 00:08:20,800 Speaker 2: these are expected to go to the cards. Okay, so 164 00:08:21,440 --> 00:08:24,400 Speaker 2: you can bet by decision if you want for either 165 00:08:24,400 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 2: one of these fights I'm gonna talk about and it's 166 00:08:26,920 --> 00:08:29,080 Speaker 2: plus money. So if you just want to say, hey, 167 00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:32,440 Speaker 2: but I'm always worried in combat sports. I'm always concerned 168 00:08:32,440 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 2: about someone getting clipped, always worried about something funky happening. 169 00:08:36,080 --> 00:08:38,520 Speaker 2: And then you know, especially on a fight like this, 170 00:08:38,559 --> 00:08:43,040 Speaker 2: because Figuredo's got knockout power. Okay, Cheeto Vera has never 171 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:48,160 Speaker 2: been finished. This dude is just ridiculous. I mean to ridiculous. 172 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:52,079 Speaker 2: Last three fights for Cheeto Vera have all gone the distance, 173 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,160 Speaker 2: a five round, a three round, in a five round, 174 00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:57,480 Speaker 2: he knocked out Dominant Cruz, he knocked out Or. He 175 00:08:57,559 --> 00:09:01,040 Speaker 2: got a decision against Rob BoNT, He knocked out Frankie Edgar. 176 00:09:01,360 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 2: He got a decision against Davey Grant, lost to Jose 177 00:09:05,640 --> 00:09:09,560 Speaker 2: Aldo back in twenty twenty two or last three fights 178 00:09:09,559 --> 00:09:13,040 Speaker 2: still have been lost here by Cheeto Vera, including he 179 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:17,040 Speaker 2: lost the five round decision against Sugarshan O'Malley for the belt. 180 00:09:18,600 --> 00:09:23,240 Speaker 2: And here we go with Devinson Figaredo. Okay, look, I've 181 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 2: been a big fan of Figaredo. He hits really hard. 182 00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:30,400 Speaker 2: Figuredo's last fight against Cody Garbrandt, he got him with 183 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,000 Speaker 2: a rear naked choke in the second round, but Rob 184 00:09:33,080 --> 00:09:35,679 Speaker 2: BoNT went to a decision. He got knocked out by 185 00:09:35,679 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 2: Brandon Moreno in the late in that fight, really late 186 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:43,040 Speaker 2: in that fight. And then he got a decision against 187 00:09:43,080 --> 00:09:45,440 Speaker 2: Brandon Moreo Reno where he beat him, but it was 188 00:09:45,480 --> 00:09:49,920 Speaker 2: a controversial decision. Controversial, you know, everything was controversial with 189 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 2: that how it went. He's one to two against Brandon Moreno. Look, 190 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 2: I think Figureedo by decision at plus one ten is a. 191 00:09:59,520 --> 00:10:02,840 Speaker 1: Really good bet. Okay, I think he'll do more on 192 00:10:02,880 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 1: the feet. 193 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:06,160 Speaker 2: I think the stats you look at it, and I 194 00:10:06,160 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 2: think Cheeto Vera's is getting up there in age. 195 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,120 Speaker 1: Figaredo is actually older than Marvel n Vero. 196 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 2: But I think the damage that Cheeto Vera has taken 197 00:10:14,480 --> 00:10:17,840 Speaker 2: is extensive. He's lost two of his last three fights, 198 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 2: two straight wins here for Devison Figaredo. He hits so 199 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:27,680 Speaker 2: darn hard in this division. I think Figaredo by decision 200 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:32,120 Speaker 2: at plus one ten is a good bet. Okay, you 201 00:10:32,160 --> 00:10:35,040 Speaker 2: can take him just to win. It's minus one thirty five. 202 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 2: You can just take him by and maybe he is 203 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:41,000 Speaker 2: the first person to ever stop Cheeto Vera. But I mean, 204 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 2: you just look at the average fight times thirteen to 205 00:10:44,120 --> 00:10:48,480 Speaker 2: twenty five for Vera, eleven fifty six for Figaredo. These 206 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:52,160 Speaker 2: fights tend to go, you know, really long. The only 207 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:55,400 Speaker 2: times we've seen losses here in the career for Chito 208 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:58,800 Speaker 2: Vera have all been by decision, going all the way 209 00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:02,720 Speaker 2: back to twenty fourteen, no one has solved this riddle. 210 00:11:03,120 --> 00:11:06,319 Speaker 2: No one has knocked this guy out. Maybe Figureedo's the 211 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,920 Speaker 2: guy to do it, But for one unit, I'm gonna 212 00:11:08,920 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 2: take by decision Devison Figaredo plus one ten by decision 213 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:17,439 Speaker 2: here for one unit up against Cheeto Vera. I think 214 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 2: this will be three losses in four for Figaredo, and 215 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:22,480 Speaker 2: I think he continues that climb here, trying to get 216 00:11:22,480 --> 00:11:27,240 Speaker 2: back into the conversation about potentially for a title shot 217 00:11:27,559 --> 00:11:28,800 Speaker 2: in the bantamweight division. 218 00:11:29,360 --> 00:11:32,000 Speaker 1: It's possible. At one thirty five. 219 00:11:32,160 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 2: Figaredo hits really really hard, and Vera is always a 220 00:11:34,880 --> 00:11:38,400 Speaker 2: slow starter first round. He always kind of loses it automatically, 221 00:11:38,640 --> 00:11:41,240 Speaker 2: loses it fast, and he just really can't do that 222 00:11:41,320 --> 00:11:43,720 Speaker 2: against a guy like Figaredo with how hard he punches. 223 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: Official Play Figaredo by decision at plus one ten. Now 224 00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:51,200 Speaker 2: let's talk about McKenzie Dern. Did you see her on 225 00:11:51,240 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 2: the scale? She looked tremendous. Now, a lot of people 226 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 2: are talking about her opponent, and this is a trap fight. 227 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 2: This is a fight where we're gonna see people jump 228 00:12:02,520 --> 00:12:06,600 Speaker 2: in and say, okay, definitely take McKenzie Dern. Look looks 229 00:12:06,640 --> 00:12:07,440 Speaker 2: coming to play here. 230 00:12:07,480 --> 00:12:07,800 Speaker 1: Okay. 231 00:12:07,920 --> 00:12:11,760 Speaker 2: People are like, wow, she looks tremendous. Yes, she's gotten 232 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:16,240 Speaker 2: quote enhancements since you know recently in January she talked 233 00:12:16,240 --> 00:12:20,880 Speaker 2: about it. Yes, Lupi Godden is and I don't really know. 234 00:12:20,960 --> 00:12:24,480 Speaker 2: I say her name, but she's dangerous. She lost her 235 00:12:24,559 --> 00:12:27,160 Speaker 2: last fight by decision. She won her last fight by 236 00:12:27,200 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 2: split decision, but she hasn't fought anybody like she lost 237 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:34,480 Speaker 2: to Angela Hill. Like I I just I'm looking at 238 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,679 Speaker 2: Mackenzie Dern. I look at the way she has approached things. 239 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:41,360 Speaker 2: Her striking has always been tough. She's lost three of four. 240 00:12:41,800 --> 00:12:45,080 Speaker 2: This is kind of it for Mackenzie Dern. Whenever I 241 00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:48,600 Speaker 2: see a name like Mackenzie Dern, it has a large following, 242 00:12:48,960 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 2: I always go, hmm, what's better for the company. Mackenzie 243 00:12:54,760 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 2: Durn by submission is a really decent bet. But what's 244 00:13:00,160 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 2: the problem is is that her opponent, like every fight's 245 00:13:05,160 --> 00:13:08,160 Speaker 2: gone to the card except one going all the way 246 00:13:08,160 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 2: back to twenty twenty one, Like, she doesn't get finished 247 00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 2: and she doesn't finish anybody else. She's got one win 248 00:13:14,440 --> 00:13:17,240 Speaker 2: by rear naked choke that happened back in twenty twenty 249 00:13:17,240 --> 00:13:21,559 Speaker 2: three against at least read But I mean. 250 00:13:22,720 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: Who's that. 251 00:13:23,720 --> 00:13:26,000 Speaker 2: It's not anyone to jump up down about and be like, Okay, 252 00:13:27,520 --> 00:13:33,320 Speaker 2: Mackenzie durned by decision. I think it's a decent bet. 253 00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,679 Speaker 2: McKenzie Durned by decision is plus two point fifty. If 254 00:13:37,679 --> 00:13:39,440 Speaker 2: you don't want to do mckendurn by decision, just do 255 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 2: mackenzie Durned minus one ten. If you think she finishes 256 00:13:42,200 --> 00:13:45,920 Speaker 2: this girl has you know you can do that. Durned 257 00:13:45,920 --> 00:13:48,960 Speaker 2: by submission also isn't a horrible way of betting this either. 258 00:13:49,000 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 2: Like I mentioned, so, there's a lot of ways to 259 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:53,880 Speaker 2: bet this fight, a lot of ways to get into it. 260 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:55,199 Speaker 2: If you just want to say, look at, I want 261 00:13:55,320 --> 00:13:57,400 Speaker 2: multiple outs and not have to worry about, you know, 262 00:13:57,440 --> 00:14:00,960 Speaker 2: anyone in the cards or things going against me on this, 263 00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:03,760 Speaker 2: I mean over two and a half rounds is minus 264 00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 2: two sixty. You don't see that very often on a 265 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:10,080 Speaker 2: three round fight. Durn by submission, if you want to 266 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:11,680 Speaker 2: go and you know to go to the distance is 267 00:14:11,679 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 2: minus two hundred. Durn by submission is plus two fifty. 268 00:14:16,640 --> 00:14:19,760 Speaker 2: Durned by decision is plus two sixty plus two seventy 269 00:14:19,800 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 2: five depending on the book. I mean, it's wild some 270 00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 2: of these numbers here. The books are saying, look at, 271 00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:27,040 Speaker 2: this is going to go to the cards and then 272 00:14:27,080 --> 00:14:28,720 Speaker 2: it's up to the judges. And I think when it 273 00:14:28,720 --> 00:14:31,200 Speaker 2: comes to the judges, it's better for the company for 274 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 2: Mackenzie Dern. Dern needs to get this on the ground, 275 00:14:34,800 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 2: but it's not going to be easy to get Loopy 276 00:14:36,960 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 2: on the ground. 277 00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 1: I mean, she's got good takedown defense. 278 00:14:41,160 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 2: Her average fight time is thirteen to twenty six strikes 279 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,520 Speaker 2: landed per minute three point three to four point one, 280 00:14:47,680 --> 00:14:54,680 Speaker 2: pretty even there. Taked on average, I mean three average 281 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:58,960 Speaker 2: takedowns per fifteen minutes. Mackenzie Durn's takedown accuracy is really 282 00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:03,040 Speaker 2: shrunk recently. Fifteen percent take down defense twenty eight percent, 283 00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:04,720 Speaker 2: eighty four percent. 284 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 1: For Loopy been pretty good. She's hard to get on 285 00:15:07,240 --> 00:15:07,600 Speaker 1: the ground. 286 00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:13,000 Speaker 2: If we stand, Durn's gonna have to prove it because 287 00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:16,240 Speaker 2: strike absorbed per minute four point zero nine. That's not 288 00:15:16,360 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 2: good for Mackenzie Dern. You don't want to stand there 289 00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 2: and get cracked over and over again. And Lupy should 290 00:15:22,160 --> 00:15:25,120 Speaker 2: have the advantage here on the feet. But I just 291 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:28,080 Speaker 2: think Dern can do enough. I think she's improved her 292 00:15:28,120 --> 00:15:32,440 Speaker 2: striking enough. It's not an official play, but I think 293 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 2: you can get involved with McKenzie durned by decision, McKenzie 294 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:38,280 Speaker 2: Durn by submission, or just take it at mine one 295 00:15:38,360 --> 00:15:40,880 Speaker 2: ten for just to win the fight. You can do that, 296 00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,880 Speaker 2: but the official play is Figaredo by decision at plus 297 00:15:43,920 --> 00:15:46,400 Speaker 2: one ten. All right, so it's Puerto Rico plus thirty 298 00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 2: five and a half for one point one units Figaredo 299 00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:53,920 Speaker 2: by decision at plus one ten for one unit, and 300 00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,600 Speaker 2: that takes us to baseball two games to look at 301 00:15:56,960 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 2: Mitch Keller and the Pirates. Mitch Keller at home nine 302 00:16:01,280 --> 00:16:03,120 Speaker 2: to eight was the final last night. By the way 303 00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,640 Speaker 2: Diamondbacks hit back to back to back home runs in 304 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:07,760 Speaker 2: the first inning, they won the game nine to eight. 305 00:16:08,880 --> 00:16:13,320 Speaker 2: At home, Keller's been great two seventy four ERA five 306 00:16:13,360 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 2: and two record of posing batting averages two thirty six, 307 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 2: just seven home runs and twenty earned runs in sixty 308 00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 2: five and two third innings worth of work. Recently at 309 00:16:22,360 --> 00:16:25,240 Speaker 2: home two to one win over Saint Louis, eight to 310 00:16:25,520 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 2: win over the Mets, a one nothing win over the Reds, 311 00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:32,800 Speaker 2: a three to nothing win over the Twins, a four 312 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:36,520 Speaker 2: to one win over the Atlanta Braves. Only one game 313 00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 2: has gone over for Mitch Keller at home in the 314 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:44,360 Speaker 2: last two and a half months. The Diamondbacks are going 315 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,400 Speaker 2: to counter here with Jordan Montgomery, who has a six 316 00:16:47,440 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 2: point five to one ERA. However, on the road it's 317 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:54,160 Speaker 2: a four point three seven ERA, a four and two 318 00:16:54,320 --> 00:16:57,000 Speaker 2: record in the posing batting average of two sixty three. 319 00:16:57,040 --> 00:16:59,720 Speaker 2: He has given up seventeen earned runs, just two home 320 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:03,280 Speaker 2: runs in thirty five innings worth of work for Jordan 321 00:17:03,320 --> 00:17:07,720 Speaker 2: Montgomery pitching on the road five innings, one earned run 322 00:17:07,960 --> 00:17:11,000 Speaker 2: last time out at the Royals six' to two win 323 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:15,479 Speaker 2: against The, phillies two urn runs in six innings on 324 00:17:15,520 --> 00:17:19,000 Speaker 2: the road against The, mets he got, hammered gave up 325 00:17:19,119 --> 00:17:20,960 Speaker 2: eight earned. Runs but that was back on the thirty 326 00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:24,160 Speaker 2: first Of. May it's been a. While his last two 327 00:17:24,200 --> 00:17:26,879 Speaker 2: road starts have been very very good here. 328 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,480 Speaker 1: Totals eight and a. Half we're gonna go under eight 329 00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:30,680 Speaker 1: and a. 330 00:17:30,720 --> 00:17:35,479 Speaker 2: Half The pirates have been an under, team, okay The 331 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 2: pirates after a win or twenty eight and twenty five 332 00:17:38,640 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 2: and two to the. Under The pirates at home this 333 00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:45,159 Speaker 2: year been pretty much an under team twenty, eight twenty 334 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:45,679 Speaker 2: three and. 335 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:47,560 Speaker 1: Two they don't have a great. 336 00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 2: Offense Mitch, keller big start here for him after what 337 00:17:52,280 --> 00:17:55,360 Speaker 2: happened yesterday With ortiz getting. HAMMERED i just think it's 338 00:17:55,359 --> 00:17:57,560 Speaker 2: a chance to jump in. Here, YES i do know 339 00:17:57,600 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 2: that The diamondbacks have an offense they've been scoring a 340 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:02,639 Speaker 2: hundred runs, lately scored nine runs, yesterday so that is 341 00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:05,320 Speaker 2: a little bit concerning with how well they, GO i 342 00:18:05,320 --> 00:18:07,640 Speaker 2: mean their. Offense but on the road this, year the twenty, 343 00:18:07,640 --> 00:18:10,480 Speaker 2: six twenty, six and two Need keller to pitch, well 344 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:14,200 Speaker 2: Need montgomery pitch. Well fisher plays under eight and a 345 00:18:14,240 --> 00:18:18,440 Speaker 2: half minus one ten for one point one, units and then. 346 00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:19,720 Speaker 1: Look just go right back To. 347 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,920 Speaker 2: Baltimore, OKAY i Mean baltimore is on a ridiculous. Run 348 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 2: it doesn't even matter who's. Pitching rookie kids to getting 349 00:18:26,960 --> 00:18:29,320 Speaker 2: thrown for The. Guardians but going all the way, back 350 00:18:29,359 --> 00:18:32,399 Speaker 2: we talked about it last, night go back to The 351 00:18:32,400 --> 00:18:38,680 Speaker 2: marlins game back on the twenty third Of. July since 352 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:41,680 Speaker 2: the twenty third Of, july here are the scores involving 353 00:18:41,760 --> 00:18:46,720 Speaker 2: The orioles six to three six three seven six six' 354 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:50,280 Speaker 2: four nine four eight six eleven five eight four six' 355 00:18:50,359 --> 00:18:53,040 Speaker 2: two ten four ten three eight four. 356 00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:58,520 Speaker 1: Over over over over over totals eight. And a half it's. 357 00:18:58,560 --> 00:19:00,800 Speaker 2: Going to nine it'll be hired that, by my guests 358 00:19:00,800 --> 00:19:01,959 Speaker 2: but its mis one twenty two. 359 00:19:02,440 --> 00:19:02,520 Speaker 1: To. 360 00:19:02,600 --> 00:19:08,679 Speaker 2: The Over here zach efflin's going. HIS second Start I 361 00:19:08,720 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 2: know zach efflin's, been very good but in His First 362 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:15,160 Speaker 2: start zach evelyn was okay on the road this year 363 00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,120 Speaker 2: five zero point three to two eer a two to 364 00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,119 Speaker 2: five record of posing balle over, two eighty five. 365 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:20,600 Speaker 1: Most of those Games. 366 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,679 Speaker 2: With, the rays however in his one Start with the orioles, 367 00:19:23,720 --> 00:19:26,760 Speaker 2: since being, traded six innings three earned runs and an 368 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 2: eleven to Five. 369 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 1: WIN over toronto I just. THINK baltimore scores I think. 370 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 2: The guardians score orioles are trying to avoid being swept Here. 371 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 2: By the guardians they've been their pitching has, been getting 372 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:43,440 Speaker 2: killed and They're throwing. The Guardians, doing joey cantonillo who 373 00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:46,119 Speaker 2: only has one start this, year so far four to 374 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:48,360 Speaker 2: three Win over the phillies, on the road win three, 375 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:49,280 Speaker 2: and a third give up. 376 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:51,080 Speaker 1: Three earn runs how many things is this? 377 00:19:51,080 --> 00:19:54,520 Speaker 2: Guy gonna go probably. Not Too many but guardians have 378 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:56,480 Speaker 2: been scoring a ton of. Runs at home they're the 379 00:19:56,480 --> 00:19:58,760 Speaker 2: best team at. Home this year just go ahead and 380 00:19:58,760 --> 00:20:00,440 Speaker 2: bet the over over eight and a half at minus 381 00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:05,200 Speaker 2: one Twenty two For. Cleveland, and baltimore okay so three 382 00:20:05,320 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 2: OFFICIAL plays for us here in three sports. Doing It 383 00:20:08,359 --> 00:20:11,639 Speaker 2: again puerto rico plus thirty five and a half in 384 00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,960 Speaker 2: Men's BASKETBALL Against team Usa devins and figaredo By Decision 385 00:20:16,040 --> 00:20:20,000 Speaker 2: against cheeto vera at plus one ten and under eight 386 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 2: and a Half for the Pirates and the diamondbacks at. 387 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,920 Speaker 2: Minus one ten the other plays that if you want 388 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:31,160 Speaker 2: more UNOFFICIAL plays tm usa team total under one twelve 389 00:20:31,200 --> 00:20:34,760 Speaker 2: And A half mackenzie dern in any which, way you 390 00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:38,760 Speaker 2: Want By decision mackenzie dern by submission minus won ten, 391 00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,560 Speaker 2: just by anything taking reminus one ten during to, win 392 00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:43,679 Speaker 2: the fight and then over eight and A half For 393 00:20:43,720 --> 00:20:46,080 Speaker 2: cleveland and baltimore as well at mis one twenty two 394 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:50,480 Speaker 2: for that Game Here minus matt paront following me across 395 00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 2: All Socials At. 396 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,920 Speaker 1: Sports talk matt every single morning wherever you, get your. 397 00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:57,160 Speaker 2: Podcasts It's the daily juts being, brought to You Presented 398 00:20:57,200 --> 00:20:57,960 Speaker 2: by betting. 399 00:20:57,960 --> 00:21:09,960 Speaker 1: Pros dot com