1 00:00:02,240 --> 00:00:06,320 Speaker 1: All right, and welcome into the Betting Pros College Football Show. 2 00:00:06,640 --> 00:00:09,959 Speaker 1: The CFP Semi Finals roll on with the Chick fil 3 00:00:10,000 --> 00:00:13,360 Speaker 1: A Peach Bowl Come your way from Hot Atlanta Friday 4 00:00:13,400 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: night at seven thirty pm Eastern Times. Dan Lanning's five 5 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:21,320 Speaker 1: seed Oregon Ducks. They seeker benge on sig Signetti's undefeated 6 00:00:21,360 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: and top ranked Indiana Hoosiers with a spot in the 7 00:00:24,320 --> 00:00:27,320 Speaker 1: Natty on the line. I'm your host, Seth Wilcox, still 8 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,800 Speaker 1: in awe of the turnaround that my fellow Western Pa 9 00:00:31,160 --> 00:00:35,239 Speaker 1: yinzer Kurtzignetti has had with the Hoosiers. I really think 10 00:00:35,280 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 1: it's one of the greatest all time sports stories, at 11 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: least in the modern era of college football. And help 12 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:43,199 Speaker 1: me break down whether they're unprecedented. Run will continue as 13 00:00:43,240 --> 00:00:45,800 Speaker 1: a man who's not from Western Pennsylvania but is still 14 00:00:45,840 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 1: a diehard Pittsburgh Steelers fan. He's Scott Bogman Boggs. What 15 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:53,199 Speaker 1: a run it's been for both IU and Oregon this season, 16 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: and here we are on the doorstep of another big 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:56,640 Speaker 1: time rematch. 18 00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, just to let everybody know, Dad's hold side family 19 00:01:00,760 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 2: is from Beaver Falls, so got the roots. Yeah, that 20 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 2: is why I grew up a Steelers fan, and then 21 00:01:07,920 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 2: my mom took me on an elevator and I played 22 00:01:11,160 --> 00:01:14,120 Speaker 2: Peekaboo with Earl Campbell, which is why we are big 23 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:17,479 Speaker 2: Texas fans over Aggie's fans in my area here. Man, 24 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 2: I am so excited for this game. I love that 25 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,280 Speaker 2: we get a rematch of this game, because this is 26 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:24,400 Speaker 2: kind of one that you look at and you go, Okay, 27 00:01:25,160 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 2: if Indiana is still the same, they're going to lose 28 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,880 Speaker 2: to Oregon. And I think this kind of signified to 29 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:33,759 Speaker 2: us whoa Indiana might be for real. They went on 30 00:01:33,800 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 2: the road to Oregon in one there and really the 31 00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 2: only defense made Oregon look real bad all year. So 32 00:01:42,440 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 2: this was kind of the spark game of man, Indiana 33 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 2: could probably do this, and then when they beat Ohio State, 34 00:01:48,800 --> 00:01:51,000 Speaker 2: there was no doubt that they could do this. And 35 00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 2: here we are on this crazy run. It has been fun. 36 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:57,200 Speaker 2: As Kurt Signetti would say, not bad. 37 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:01,680 Speaker 1: Yes, absolutely, and as we know, whether it's in the 38 00:02:01,760 --> 00:02:05,040 Speaker 1: NFL with our Pittsburgh Steelers or even just with Ole 39 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,640 Speaker 1: Miss and Georgia last week, it's really tough to beat 40 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: a good team twice in a row, especially when you're 41 00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: familiar in conference play. So I am really looking forward 42 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 1: to see this matchup. And before we jump in to 43 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,560 Speaker 1: all the handicapping and the picks, shout to all the 44 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 1: wonderful humans out there have been riding along with us 45 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,640 Speaker 1: all the way back from week zero in August to 46 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,239 Speaker 1: the Semis now in the new year, either on the 47 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 1: BP YouTube channel or the audio feed, we see you, 48 00:02:31,200 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 1: We appreciate you. Please just do us a quick favor 49 00:02:33,760 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 1: give this video a thumbs up if you enjoy this 50 00:02:35,840 --> 00:02:37,959 Speaker 1: type of content. Also make sure you're subscribing to the 51 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,120 Speaker 1: channel if you're new, so you don't miss a moment 52 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:43,320 Speaker 1: of college football or NFL betting coverage. The rest of 53 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: the way, and let's jump into the game breakdown for 54 00:02:46,160 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 1: the Oregon DUTs against the Indiana Hoosiers, Round two, the sequel. 55 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 1: Here we go in the line movement, it open at 56 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:56,359 Speaker 1: Indiana minus four is now settled back to three and 57 00:02:56,400 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 1: a half. Everywhere else it looks like on the total 58 00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:02,440 Speaker 1: we now have this being bet down from forty seven 59 00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 1: and a half to forty six and a half points. 60 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 1: So some good defense is what we're expecting. Least that's 61 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:09,560 Speaker 1: what the public is seeing out there. The only potential 62 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 1: Oregon injuries right now cornerback Kingston Lopa and their wide 63 00:03:13,400 --> 00:03:17,080 Speaker 1: receiver Evan Stewart. They are both questionable right now, but 64 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:20,359 Speaker 1: their coach is offensive coordinator Will Stein he is now 65 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,200 Speaker 1: the University of Kentucky head coach, and defensive corner Tash 66 00:03:24,360 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 1: Loopool he is now the cow head coach, So they're 67 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:30,640 Speaker 1: splitting time between Eugene and their new gigs. That hasn't 68 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 1: been an issue for most teams so far in the postseason. 69 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 1: We'll see if it has anything to do with Oregon's 70 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:39,480 Speaker 1: success on Thursday, Indiana. Their only notable injury remains edge 71 00:03:39,520 --> 00:03:43,400 Speaker 1: Stephen Daily BP projections. Right now, we have Indiana by 72 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,080 Speaker 1: nearly three points. And as far as what the public 73 00:03:46,200 --> 00:03:49,000 Speaker 1: is on, seventy three percent tickets, eighty two percent of 74 00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:51,840 Speaker 1: the cash are on IU and fifty five percent of 75 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,960 Speaker 1: the tickets are on the over, but sixty three cash 76 00:03:55,000 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: on that is up. 77 00:03:56,120 --> 00:04:00,839 Speaker 2: That is updated sethy now seventy percent tickets, seventy one 78 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,200 Speaker 2: percent cash on Indy. 79 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,880 Speaker 1: In the Oregon starting to get bought now, Okay. 80 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:07,560 Speaker 2: Oregon's starting to get bought a little bit, so we 81 00:04:07,640 --> 00:04:11,320 Speaker 2: might see this number come down to three, maybe two 82 00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 2: and a half before kickoff. 83 00:04:12,720 --> 00:04:15,920 Speaker 1: We'll see, Okay, we'll see on that bugs. When it 84 00:04:15,960 --> 00:04:18,880 Speaker 1: comes to the side or the total for this game. 85 00:04:18,960 --> 00:04:20,960 Speaker 1: Do you have a bet that you have made or 86 00:04:21,040 --> 00:04:23,480 Speaker 1: are going to be making before this thing kicks off. 87 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 2: I'm gonna be taking Indiana, man, I'm gonna be taking 88 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:31,000 Speaker 2: the Hoosiers. I just think that they are an unstoppable 89 00:04:31,040 --> 00:04:33,480 Speaker 2: force right now. And I feel like we kind of 90 00:04:33,600 --> 00:04:38,480 Speaker 2: saw the cracks in Oregon against Texas Tech. Surprisingly enough 91 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:42,760 Speaker 2: as it was right like that performance from Texas Tech, 92 00:04:42,800 --> 00:04:45,559 Speaker 2: and I think I think you agree with me here, Seth. 93 00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 2: Was this a overwhelmingly dominant performance by the Oregon defense 94 00:04:50,320 --> 00:04:52,920 Speaker 2: or was this an all time meltdown from Baron Morton? 95 00:04:52,920 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 2: If you had to put it in one of those buckets, 96 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:56,160 Speaker 2: where would you put it. 97 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:58,880 Speaker 1: Well, let's just say this. I don't think it matters 98 00:04:58,880 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 1: what I think. Let's say that Texas Tech the next 99 00:05:01,520 --> 00:05:05,839 Speaker 1: day made Brendan soarsby a very rich rich man, partially 100 00:05:05,880 --> 00:05:07,599 Speaker 1: because of the play from Baron Morton. 101 00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 2: Yeah, five million dollars. I heard Bud Elliott talking about that. 102 00:05:11,600 --> 00:05:14,200 Speaker 2: How look, if you got a third round projection, that's 103 00:05:14,240 --> 00:05:16,839 Speaker 2: probably what you get. Yeah, I mean in the market 104 00:05:16,920 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 2: is fine staying right now, Yeah, right, so, because that's 105 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 2: what you get on your rookie contract as a quarterback. 106 00:05:21,839 --> 00:05:23,480 Speaker 2: So if you want to stay in college, you have 107 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:26,000 Speaker 2: to get that amount if you got a third round rating. 108 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:29,560 Speaker 2: So probably an appropriate amount for him as far as 109 00:05:29,640 --> 00:05:32,280 Speaker 2: the free market goes. But they made sure to go 110 00:05:32,400 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 2: get their guy because Baron Morton was the difference in 111 00:05:35,960 --> 00:05:39,200 Speaker 2: this game. He was awful, So I feel like we 112 00:05:39,279 --> 00:05:42,479 Speaker 2: saw some of the cracks on their offense in that game. 113 00:05:42,520 --> 00:05:45,200 Speaker 2: Oregon held the ball for thirty eight minutes to twenty 114 00:05:45,240 --> 00:05:46,800 Speaker 2: two for Texas Tech, and they still want to put 115 00:05:46,839 --> 00:05:49,400 Speaker 2: up three hundred and nine total yards in that game. 116 00:05:49,839 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 2: They only scored two touchdowns and then were held the 117 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: field goals a fifty to forty three to thirty nine 118 00:05:54,320 --> 00:05:56,800 Speaker 2: and a thirty six yard miss on a field goal. 119 00:05:56,920 --> 00:06:00,400 Speaker 2: So Oregon very strong team. They're capable of winning this game. 120 00:06:00,440 --> 00:06:03,120 Speaker 2: But the Indiana loss and the close calls to Penn 121 00:06:03,200 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 2: State Iowa Wisconsin are again all against killer defenses, and 122 00:06:07,960 --> 00:06:11,160 Speaker 2: that is exactly what Indiana brings to the table here. 123 00:06:11,839 --> 00:06:14,400 Speaker 2: Dante More has been great this season, is truly one 124 00:06:14,440 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 2: of the best quarterbacks in the country, but the wide 125 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,000 Speaker 2: receiver Corps has been lacking a little bit. Malik Benson 126 00:06:19,040 --> 00:06:22,320 Speaker 2: has the only two one hundred yard games Washington against 127 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:25,599 Speaker 2: James Madison and this season in tight end Kennyingon se 128 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 2: Dek leads this team in receptions with forty six. So 129 00:06:29,680 --> 00:06:33,040 Speaker 2: I do think that there are issues on offense for 130 00:06:33,160 --> 00:06:33,920 Speaker 2: Oregon right now. 131 00:06:34,080 --> 00:06:34,200 Speaker 3: Now. 132 00:06:34,760 --> 00:06:38,040 Speaker 2: Mendoza's worst game of the season was against Oregon twenty 133 00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 2: to thirty one, two hundred and fifteen yards, a touchdown, 134 00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:43,360 Speaker 2: a pick, and his pick went for six the other way, 135 00:06:43,839 --> 00:06:46,480 Speaker 2: so this game was thirty to twenty. He gave them 136 00:06:46,560 --> 00:06:49,520 Speaker 2: seven points, so this probably should have been closer to 137 00:06:49,640 --> 00:06:52,840 Speaker 2: a thirty thirteen game if Mendoza doesn't immediately give up 138 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:55,600 Speaker 2: those points. Right, They also got a fumble and scored 139 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:59,040 Speaker 2: on a short field, so maybe you know, give it 140 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 2: back both ways. But I think both teams will struggle 141 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,080 Speaker 2: to pass, but I do think they'll both probably be 142 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:06,560 Speaker 2: able to run a little bit. With Morton having that 143 00:07:06,640 --> 00:07:08,479 Speaker 2: all time out down last week, I think the Stellar 144 00:07:08,520 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 2: performance was less impressive than most makeout of it, but 145 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,600 Speaker 2: they whooped Texas Tech up front, and that defensive line 146 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:18,920 Speaker 2: is scary for Oregon. Mendoza will take a sack, but 147 00:07:19,040 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 2: he typically only does it when necessary, and it's part 148 00:07:21,560 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 2: of the reason why he has one of the better 149 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 2: turnover where he played rates in the country this season, right, 150 00:07:27,600 --> 00:07:29,679 Speaker 2: is because he will take a sack instead of putting 151 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:32,040 Speaker 2: the ball in harm's way. They'll make it up another time, 152 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:34,440 Speaker 2: or they'll depend on their defense like they have all years. 153 00:07:34,480 --> 00:07:36,320 Speaker 2: So the name of the game for Indiana is just 154 00:07:36,400 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 2: don't turn the ball over in bad spots, you know, 155 00:07:39,080 --> 00:07:42,440 Speaker 2: and give it back to Oregon. We also saw Texas 156 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:45,600 Speaker 2: Tech put constant pressure on Dante More led to an interception, 157 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,320 Speaker 2: a tip that probably should have been an interception, and 158 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 2: his own fumble that he recovered. So Indiana got him 159 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:55,160 Speaker 2: six times last time. And you know, a lot is 160 00:07:55,200 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 2: being made about Steven Deeley, as you mentioned, being out 161 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,240 Speaker 2: in this game, but he didn't do a ton in 162 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 2: that game last time. I had two hurries but no 163 00:08:01,280 --> 00:08:05,320 Speaker 2: hits or sacks. Daniel Dukeway had the same stat line 164 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:07,960 Speaker 2: against Bama last week, right, and they got to Ty 165 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:10,240 Speaker 2: Simpson a bunch of times. So I do think that 166 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 2: we see that we will see Indiana State committed to 167 00:08:13,160 --> 00:08:16,960 Speaker 2: being balanced on offense unless Oregon gets up and can 168 00:08:17,120 --> 00:08:20,080 Speaker 2: move the ball against this defense, and I think that 169 00:08:20,360 --> 00:08:23,440 Speaker 2: is just I think Indiana is just too powerful this year. 170 00:08:23,520 --> 00:08:26,280 Speaker 2: The two highest scores against the Hoosiers this year were 171 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:29,720 Speaker 2: twenty four that your Penn State Nitney Lyons put up 172 00:08:29,760 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 2: on Indiana, So a little something, a little something to 173 00:08:33,480 --> 00:08:35,840 Speaker 2: be proud of for your team, right, and probably should 174 00:08:35,840 --> 00:08:39,400 Speaker 2: have won that game. And then the twenty was the 175 00:08:39,520 --> 00:08:42,959 Speaker 2: second highest amount that they gave up to Oregon, and 176 00:08:43,080 --> 00:08:45,880 Speaker 2: by the way, they gave them seven in that game. 177 00:08:46,320 --> 00:08:49,240 Speaker 2: So this defense is just it's been good all year. 178 00:08:49,720 --> 00:08:52,160 Speaker 2: Indiana held Ohio State to ten, they held Bama to 179 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:55,360 Speaker 2: three points and one hundred and ninety three total yards. 180 00:08:55,760 --> 00:08:58,640 Speaker 2: So to me, this game boils down to what have 181 00:08:58,760 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 2: we seen recently and what do you believe. Do you 182 00:09:00,360 --> 00:09:03,559 Speaker 2: believe that Texas Tech melted down or that Oregon was 183 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 2: so dominant that they shut them out and killed them 184 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 2: on both sides of the ball, because I didn't really 185 00:09:08,800 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 2: see that game that way, and I watched the whole game, 186 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 2: and I will be the first to amit. I was 187 00:09:12,960 --> 00:09:15,920 Speaker 2: one hundred percent completely wrong about Texas Tech being in 188 00:09:16,000 --> 00:09:18,599 Speaker 2: that game because the offense was so terrible, but the 189 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,480 Speaker 2: defense played well enough to win that game. I know 190 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:23,640 Speaker 2: it sounds silly to say in a twenty three to 191 00:09:23,679 --> 00:09:28,720 Speaker 2: nothing shutout, but the defense did stop Oregon. They played great. 192 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:31,000 Speaker 1: I'll say this. I had the twenty six and a 193 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,640 Speaker 1: half team total under for the Ducks, and it really 194 00:09:33,760 --> 00:09:35,679 Speaker 1: wasn't a sweater, right. They only got to twenty three 195 00:09:35,760 --> 00:09:37,040 Speaker 1: kind of at the very end of the game when 196 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: they were trying to chew clock. So I completely agree 197 00:09:39,920 --> 00:09:41,839 Speaker 1: with you. The Tech defense did its part. It's just 198 00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:44,560 Speaker 1: their offense was non existent. And let's keep in mind too, 199 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:46,679 Speaker 1: there are a lot of short fields for Oregon when 200 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:49,079 Speaker 1: they were starting on the Tech forty and they just 201 00:09:49,080 --> 00:09:49,840 Speaker 1: couldn't get done. 202 00:09:50,360 --> 00:09:52,920 Speaker 2: And one thing also allowed them to go on fourth 203 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,800 Speaker 2: down eight times because they had no fear of the 204 00:09:55,920 --> 00:09:57,920 Speaker 2: Texas Tech offense because I couldn't move the ball at all. 205 00:09:58,800 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 1: One point I want to make as you're kind of 206 00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:05,200 Speaker 1: referencing back that October game between Oregon and Indiana as well, Bogs, 207 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:07,959 Speaker 1: that was in Eugene, this is going to be in Atlanta, 208 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,199 Speaker 1: and at least from what I have seen track record 209 00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:13,240 Speaker 1: wise since Oregon has joined the Big Ten, I know 210 00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,200 Speaker 1: it's only a couple of sample sizes, but for these 211 00:10:15,280 --> 00:10:17,679 Speaker 1: neutral site games that are on the East Coast, they 212 00:10:17,760 --> 00:10:21,400 Speaker 1: usually don't show up, like Oregon fans don't. Indiana fans meanwhile, 213 00:10:21,559 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: like this is the run of all runs, right, Like 214 00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:26,400 Speaker 1: if you're an Indiana fans there, you're gonna be there. 215 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,480 Speaker 1: And so I just think they're like we saw last week, 216 00:10:28,520 --> 00:10:31,480 Speaker 1: Indian's gonna have a huge crowd advantage against them as well, 217 00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,280 Speaker 1: and I think that's gonna play in a big, big 218 00:10:34,400 --> 00:10:37,160 Speaker 1: way into this one, because you look, Indiana is the 219 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:39,760 Speaker 1: cleaner team to begin with fifth fewest penalties in the 220 00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:42,880 Speaker 1: nation at three point six per game. Oregon they're still 221 00:10:42,960 --> 00:10:45,800 Speaker 1: pretty good twenty ninth, but five point one penalties per game. 222 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:49,079 Speaker 1: So give me the cleaner team. Indiana. Also, they have 223 00:10:49,280 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: this tendency bogs just to like use this one hundred 224 00:10:52,000 --> 00:10:54,480 Speaker 1: and twenty fifth rank pace to its advantage. They're gonna 225 00:10:54,760 --> 00:10:57,439 Speaker 1: to the clock, they're gonna control time possession of a 226 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:59,959 Speaker 1: top five clip like they usually do. And we saw 227 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,560 Speaker 1: them take the life out of Ohio State and then 228 00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 1: Alabama with these long sustained drives. And when you look 229 00:11:06,600 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 1: at the Alabama game, a little bit closer to like 230 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:11,000 Speaker 1: they only need to settle for a field goal one 231 00:11:11,160 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 1: time in their six trips inside the Tides twenty five 232 00:11:14,080 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 1: yard line, So that lines up with their seventeenth ranked 233 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,040 Speaker 1: red zone scoring offense. Oregon. Meanwhile, you mentioned it like 234 00:11:20,480 --> 00:11:22,680 Speaker 1: they have just been pretty average in the red zone, 235 00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:26,040 Speaker 1: converting at the sixty eighth best percentage down there in 236 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:29,160 Speaker 1: the twenty and they really struggled to convert those scoring 237 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:31,600 Speaker 1: chances against Tech. And when they even had the sudden 238 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 1: changes of possession in Raiders territory, they couldn't get it done. 239 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,920 Speaker 1: So I think that the lack of efficiency when the 240 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:41,160 Speaker 1: field shrinks for Oregon, Indiana's ability to wear down the 241 00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 1: Ducks defense on these long drives will be the difference 242 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 1: in this one. I you they won by ten Eugene 243 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 1: the last two times these teams met. I think they're 244 00:11:49,679 --> 00:11:52,040 Speaker 1: gonna win by a similar margin. But I'm just gonna 245 00:11:52,080 --> 00:11:54,240 Speaker 1: opt again. You know how I roll Bogs. I don't 246 00:11:54,240 --> 00:11:56,040 Speaker 1: mind a drink a little juice. I'm going for that 247 00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: alt line minus two and a half four Indiana. I'm 248 00:11:59,280 --> 00:12:02,480 Speaker 1: gonna secure that key number. It's minus one fifty two. 249 00:12:02,600 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 1: But again, Christmas keeps on rolling over here, especially if 250 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 1: you're a hard rock bet. Right now, Bogs minus one 251 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:10,360 Speaker 1: sixteen on the boost, so barely drinking any type of 252 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:12,440 Speaker 1: juice to grab that two and a half. And if 253 00:12:12,480 --> 00:12:15,200 Speaker 1: you even want to wait until game day, like you said, now, 254 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:17,839 Speaker 1: Oregon has been bought back, so maybe there's a chance 255 00:12:17,880 --> 00:12:19,320 Speaker 1: you can just get them without a boost as well. 256 00:12:19,400 --> 00:12:19,960 Speaker 1: At the two and a. 257 00:12:19,920 --> 00:12:22,680 Speaker 2: Half number, I mean, I'm eating that one minus one 258 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,559 Speaker 2: sixteen up every time. So if I can get that 259 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,959 Speaker 2: and minus one sixteen, that's great. I'll lay the three 260 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:29,720 Speaker 2: and a half. I think they win by a touchdown. 261 00:12:30,120 --> 00:12:31,679 Speaker 2: I don't know that this game is going to be 262 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:34,200 Speaker 2: as close, but I'm on the Indiana side as well. 263 00:12:34,280 --> 00:12:36,280 Speaker 2: It's kind of hard to I feel like it's hard 264 00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,400 Speaker 2: to bet against them. They have had close games, right, 265 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 2: They had a close game against Iowa. They add a 266 00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 2: close game against Penn State, so they. 267 00:12:42,559 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: Well, well, the Iowa game looks closer than it was 268 00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,040 Speaker 1: because we can't forget what happened that day, Bogs. I 269 00:12:48,160 --> 00:12:50,559 Speaker 1: was trying not to bring it up. Brother, you already 270 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:51,240 Speaker 1: brought it up that. 271 00:12:52,040 --> 00:12:54,920 Speaker 2: I thought I thought you were over that. I thought 272 00:12:55,000 --> 00:12:55,760 Speaker 2: we've moved past that. 273 00:12:56,080 --> 00:12:58,640 Speaker 1: If we could get one more IU win here into 274 00:12:58,679 --> 00:13:02,599 Speaker 1: the championship, he passed it yeah, yeah, then we passed it. 275 00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,280 Speaker 2: Okay, all right, So Indiana's got a lot riding on 276 00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 2: the line, except Wilcox's loyalty in the future is on 277 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 2: the line here as well. But yeah, I'm gonna take 278 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:13,080 Speaker 2: I'm gonna take the Hoosiers. I'm gonna lay the points. 279 00:13:13,160 --> 00:13:16,000 Speaker 2: I just I And you mentioned the part about the travel, right, 280 00:13:16,080 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 2: Like Orkin just went from home game to Orange Bowl, 281 00:13:21,400 --> 00:13:24,880 Speaker 2: back to Oregon, back to Atlanta, right, So like that's 282 00:13:24,960 --> 00:13:27,840 Speaker 2: a lot of traveling. That's a lot of wear and tear. Uh, 283 00:13:28,000 --> 00:13:30,199 Speaker 2: Indiana just had the home game or just had the 284 00:13:30,280 --> 00:13:33,400 Speaker 2: Rose Bowl, then home and now Atlanta. So a lot 285 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 2: of traveling for them, for any team that's still playing 286 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:38,120 Speaker 2: at this point of course. But yeah, I think the 287 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:41,120 Speaker 2: Hoosiers are the best team in the country. I think 288 00:13:41,120 --> 00:13:44,080 Speaker 2: they proved that. And uh, until somebody knocks him off 289 00:13:44,120 --> 00:13:45,079 Speaker 2: the pedestal there on it. 290 00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:48,959 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll tell you what, despite the results of this one, 291 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:51,439 Speaker 1: I think I'll be back in in twenty twenty six 292 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:53,839 Speaker 1: on the Hoosiers. I mean, Josh Hoover not a bad 293 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:56,360 Speaker 1: quarterback coming over from TC. You've been of a ball chucker, right, 294 00:13:56,400 --> 00:13:58,360 Speaker 1: he likes to Hey, look clearly the guy they wanted 295 00:13:58,400 --> 00:14:00,600 Speaker 1: because they could get anybody. Yeah, yeah, that's the guy 296 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:02,720 Speaker 1: they wanted. And they got Nick marsh too, who's gonna 297 00:14:02,720 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 1: be a star wide receiver I think as well, coming 298 00:14:05,480 --> 00:14:08,280 Speaker 1: down from Michigan State. So really looking forward to that, Bogs. 299 00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:10,240 Speaker 1: Before we keep it moving though, a quick reminder to 300 00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: the people that if you want to track all your 301 00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,199 Speaker 1: wagers in just one place, then you should definitely be 302 00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:18,120 Speaker 1: checking out the Betting Pros Pick Tracker tool. It synks 303 00:14:18,280 --> 00:14:20,360 Speaker 1: up with all of your Schwartz books to tally which 304 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 1: picks are hitting and which ones are missing. Plus it's 305 00:14:22,720 --> 00:14:24,640 Speaker 1: gonna give you a live look at what the public 306 00:14:24,800 --> 00:14:27,000 Speaker 1: is doing, so you can use real time tracking to 307 00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:29,160 Speaker 1: determine which place to make and which ones to actually 308 00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: fade as well. Track your picks today with the Betting 309 00:14:32,160 --> 00:14:35,680 Speaker 1: Pros Picktracker at Bettingpros dot com, slash Tracking or on 310 00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:39,240 Speaker 1: the free Betting Pros app. All right, Bogs, we're getting 311 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,560 Speaker 1: to the player props market, and this is gonna be 312 00:14:42,600 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 1: a fun one because this is a game. Whether it's 313 00:14:45,440 --> 00:14:48,880 Speaker 1: tight ends or quarterbacks or running backs, there are stars 314 00:14:48,960 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 1: all over the place, and you have two, specifically that 315 00:14:52,280 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 1: you think will fall into the end zone and three 316 00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:56,480 Speaker 1: that you're taking on their yardage props. 317 00:14:57,200 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean the touchdowns are kind of simple, right, 318 00:15:00,520 --> 00:15:03,840 Speaker 2: It's Fernando Mendoza because we like the juice. You're getting 319 00:15:03,840 --> 00:15:05,560 Speaker 2: plus money on that. I believe it's like plus one 320 00:15:05,640 --> 00:15:09,320 Speaker 2: twenty plus one thirty somewhere in that range. And Kaylen Black, 321 00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:13,520 Speaker 2: you know, a great game last week. I think both 322 00:15:13,600 --> 00:15:15,880 Speaker 2: these guys could get in the end zone, and I 323 00:15:15,920 --> 00:15:17,880 Speaker 2: think if you look at this team, I think those 324 00:15:17,920 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 2: are the two that are most likely to score. I mean, 325 00:15:19,680 --> 00:15:22,320 Speaker 2: you put him be in there as well, but we're 326 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,320 Speaker 2: gonna go with Mendoza because we like the juice and 327 00:15:24,360 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 2: Black because he scored twice last week. Then the yardages 328 00:15:27,960 --> 00:15:30,240 Speaker 2: are the other props that I have. We're gonna go 329 00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,800 Speaker 2: Dante Moore over twenty nine and a half pass attempts. 330 00:15:32,840 --> 00:15:35,080 Speaker 2: He's hit this in four of his last five weeks. 331 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 2: I think Indiana leads late and Dante more is going to. 332 00:15:37,760 --> 00:15:38,640 Speaker 1: Have to be throwing late. 333 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:41,760 Speaker 2: And he had thirty four in their first meeting, which 334 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:45,520 Speaker 2: was the second most that he's had this season. So 335 00:15:46,320 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 2: we're going to go over twenty nine and a half attempts. 336 00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:50,600 Speaker 2: I think he gets to at least thirty attempts, specifically 337 00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 2: because they are down late. Let's go to Kenyan Sadik 338 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,760 Speaker 2: over three and a half receptions. Again, he's hit this 339 00:15:56,880 --> 00:15:59,120 Speaker 2: in four of the last five weeks. He has to 340 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:01,160 Speaker 2: have a bigger impact in this game that he had 341 00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:03,920 Speaker 2: in the last game. If Oregon has a chance here, 342 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 2: in my opinion, more should have quicker passes after getting 343 00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 2: sacked six times in this last matchup that they had, 344 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 2: I think a lot of that, and he had the 345 00:16:12,280 --> 00:16:15,440 Speaker 2: second lowest a dot of the top five receiving options 346 00:16:15,920 --> 00:16:18,840 Speaker 2: Johnson at one point one yards lower than his But 347 00:16:18,960 --> 00:16:22,600 Speaker 2: tight ends will be targeted here from Oregon this week 348 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:24,920 Speaker 2: and then my last one. We're going to take Roman 349 00:16:24,960 --> 00:16:27,160 Speaker 2: Henby over fifty five and a half rushing yards. He's 350 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,320 Speaker 2: hit this ten times a season. He's getting a lot 351 00:16:29,360 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 2: of carries, and in the last game here he had 352 00:16:32,160 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 2: nineteen carries against him for seventy yards and two touchdowns. 353 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 2: Oregon's defense is really good, but again I think what 354 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:42,080 Speaker 2: they did last week was a lot because number one, 355 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:46,760 Speaker 2: the defensive line is great and they absolutely overwhelmed Texas Tech. Right, 356 00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:50,560 Speaker 2: but Texas Tech had no passing game and Jacoby Williams 357 00:16:50,560 --> 00:16:53,600 Speaker 2: still had a fifty yard breakaway, right, So I think 358 00:16:53,640 --> 00:16:55,440 Speaker 2: Henby can get to fifty five and a half. 359 00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:58,960 Speaker 1: Here, Okay. I like that a lot, so much though 360 00:16:59,000 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: that when it comes to our state game parlay of 361 00:17:01,320 --> 00:17:04,119 Speaker 1: the week for this game in leg one, I'm gonna 362 00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,320 Speaker 1: go with that Indiana minus two and a half at 363 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:08,720 Speaker 1: minus one fifty two. And then in leg two, I'm 364 00:17:08,720 --> 00:17:11,440 Speaker 1: going to Kenan Sadek. I'm taking your favorite prop there 365 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:13,920 Speaker 1: over three and a half receptions at minus one fifteen. 366 00:17:13,960 --> 00:17:17,399 Speaker 1: And the thing about Sadik is not only has he 367 00:17:17,600 --> 00:17:20,600 Speaker 1: really been the security blanket for Dante more, but he 368 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:23,080 Speaker 1: is so strong with his hands, Like this guy has 369 00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:26,000 Speaker 1: a great catch radius. He just has soft hands that 370 00:17:26,080 --> 00:17:28,679 Speaker 1: it feels like whatever route he's running, he can make 371 00:17:28,760 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 1: a really stellar catch. So I think like, if he 372 00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:33,399 Speaker 1: sees five targets, there's a good chance he's catching four 373 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 1: of him. Right. And let's not forget Bogs. There's gonna 374 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,200 Speaker 1: be a lot of scouts out there for these quarterbacks, 375 00:17:38,480 --> 00:17:40,360 Speaker 1: a lot. I'm gonna be looking at Kenyan Sadik as well, 376 00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:42,400 Speaker 1: because this guy is starting to get buzzed. It's really 377 00:17:42,520 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 1: him and Eli Stowers for who are going to be 378 00:17:45,119 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 1: the top tight end out of this twenty twenty five class. 379 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,560 Speaker 1: So I think Kenyan Sideik has a lot to prove, 380 00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,280 Speaker 1: not only from a team perspective, but also a personal 381 00:17:52,320 --> 00:17:55,320 Speaker 1: perspective as well. Looking forward to the April draft, and 382 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:57,520 Speaker 1: then leg three give us Dante more on that over 383 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,720 Speaker 1: twenty nine and a half passing attempts fifteen. The reason 384 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:03,439 Speaker 1: I love this box is because it's correlated. Right. If 385 00:18:03,520 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 1: Indiana's gonna win and get out to a lead, Dante 386 00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:09,359 Speaker 1: Moore is going to have to throw and Kenyan Sadik 387 00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:11,120 Speaker 1: is going to be his best weapons. So I really 388 00:18:11,160 --> 00:18:13,760 Speaker 1: like the correlation we're getting with these three legs. You 389 00:18:13,840 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 1: put them all together. Plus two sixty six, my friend, Yeah. 390 00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:20,040 Speaker 2: Dante Moore, I love plus two sixty six. By the way, 391 00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: but Dante Moore has been playing his best football recently. 392 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:23,280 Speaker 3: Now. 393 00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:25,480 Speaker 2: The game against Sexast Tech was not great, and he 394 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:29,120 Speaker 2: did have the two kind of you know, lackadaisical, we'll 395 00:18:29,160 --> 00:18:31,919 Speaker 2: call them interceptions against James Madison. But down the stretch, 396 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 2: Dante Moore has been really good, and I think you 397 00:18:34,640 --> 00:18:36,800 Speaker 2: want the ball in his hands if you plan on 398 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 2: winning a national championship. So I do think he's gonna 399 00:18:39,640 --> 00:18:40,600 Speaker 2: have a lot of passes here. 400 00:18:40,920 --> 00:18:44,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, especially if their line can't get together. How many 401 00:18:44,080 --> 00:18:46,159 Speaker 1: snaps were there from that center that were on the 402 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,440 Speaker 1: ground or over Dante Moore's head. Yeah, he had to 403 00:18:49,560 --> 00:18:52,960 Speaker 1: run kill drives, killed multiple scoring possessions. So I think 404 00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:55,240 Speaker 1: that type of stuff, especially in a big game environment 405 00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,679 Speaker 1: with potentially a lot of IU fans in the building 406 00:18:57,960 --> 00:19:00,879 Speaker 1: in Hotlanta, is going to be hostile and Dante Moore 407 00:19:00,960 --> 00:19:03,400 Speaker 1: Ken you Steeker have to do their best Superman impression 408 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:06,080 Speaker 1: to come back and win this one box, let's get 409 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:07,800 Speaker 1: out of here. On the final score predictions, what do 410 00:19:07,840 --> 00:19:10,960 Speaker 1: you have for this Chick fil A Peach Bowl? You 411 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:11,760 Speaker 1: fan Chick fil A. 412 00:19:11,800 --> 00:19:15,679 Speaker 2: By the way, Yeah, of course, chicken is amazing, actually 413 00:19:16,320 --> 00:19:18,359 Speaker 2: so and cheap. I actually had it for lunch today, 414 00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:22,840 Speaker 2: No big deal. But twenty four seventeen give me give 415 00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:24,479 Speaker 2: me the Hoosiers in this game. I think they went 416 00:19:24,520 --> 00:19:26,040 Speaker 2: by a touchdown. I think it's going to be closer 417 00:19:26,480 --> 00:19:29,440 Speaker 2: than last game. Again, you know everyone has said this 418 00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:31,920 Speaker 2: and everything that you listen to, but it is really 419 00:19:32,080 --> 00:19:34,159 Speaker 2: hard to beat an elite team twice, and that's what 420 00:19:34,280 --> 00:19:36,720 Speaker 2: we're asking Indiana to do here. But I do think 421 00:19:36,800 --> 00:19:39,280 Speaker 2: in this scenario, this is where they do get it 422 00:19:39,359 --> 00:19:41,200 Speaker 2: done and they win this game by a touchdown. 423 00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:44,920 Speaker 1: Okay. Also, I'm a spicy chicken sandwich guy. Don't give 424 00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 1: me any of the original. We gotta rolls a little 425 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:50,040 Speaker 1: spicy action. And speaking of spice, I'm gonna go Indiana 426 00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,840 Speaker 1: thirty one Oregon twenty. I know I only laid the 427 00:19:52,880 --> 00:19:55,640 Speaker 1: two and a half, but hey, sometimes gotta be cautious 428 00:19:55,680 --> 00:19:57,560 Speaker 1: even though your heart saying this could be a double 429 00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:00,800 Speaker 1: digit point type of game. So there you have at 430 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:04,080 Speaker 1: Indiana thirty one, Oregon twenty for meat bogs India twenty four, 431 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:08,280 Speaker 1: Organ seventeen. So we'll see if Kurt Signetti Sig Signetti 432 00:20:08,320 --> 00:20:11,119 Speaker 1: can keep smoking that pack into the natty. That is 433 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:13,280 Speaker 1: gonna do it. Though, for us on this episode of 434 00:20:13,359 --> 00:20:16,120 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros College Football Show, be sure to check 435 00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:19,959 Speaker 1: out our VRBO Fiesta Bowl preview episode that's already out 436 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,440 Speaker 1: everywhere for you on the VP YouTube channel and the 437 00:20:22,520 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 1: audio feed. In the meantime, let us know down in 438 00:20:25,040 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 1: the comments blow your picks for the Chick fil A 439 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 1: Peach Bowl, And while you're here, make sure you're smashing 440 00:20:30,600 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 1: that like Bunton subscribing to the channel. If you're new 441 00:20:32,920 --> 00:20:35,360 Speaker 1: for Scott Big Time Bogman, I'm seted. We'll cock take 442 00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:35,840 Speaker 1: care of y'all. 443 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,159 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 444 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:41,600 Speaker 3: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 445 00:20:41,640 --> 00:20:45,000 Speaker 3: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 446 00:20:45,359 --> 00:20:47,920 Speaker 3: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 447 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:51,720 Speaker 3: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 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