1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,320 Speaker 1: We are getting a hot headline from the Bloomberg terminal. 2 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 1: Bank of Japan sets policy rate in a range between 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:10,640 Speaker 1: zero to ten basis points, so a big move and 4 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:14,480 Speaker 1: scrapping the ill curve control program. So the sources at 5 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: the nie K seem to be well placed. Martin, what 6 00:00:18,320 --> 00:00:20,959 Speaker 1: reaction might you have to what we're learning now? 7 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:24,840 Speaker 2: This is what we were expecting. So we got kind 8 00:00:24,880 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: of glad that it actually happened, and we didn't get 9 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:29,960 Speaker 2: a kind of shock. Oh no, no, they are not 10 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 2: doing anything. They chose a perfect timing more or less. 11 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:37,720 Speaker 2: So this seems to be quite welcome by markets who 12 00:00:37,720 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 2: have been tested before. So let's see how Japan is 13 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 2: now working with the normalization. 14 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,640 Speaker 3: We're not actually seeing a huge change in dollars yen. 15 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 3: We're moving at the moment one fifty or so, so 16 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 3: that's pretty steady. And also in terms of the nie ke, 17 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 3: we'd have been on the lunch break, so very interesting 18 00:00:57,320 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 3: to see how those things move. We're getting these flashes 19 00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:02,000 Speaker 3: now now every couple of seconds. We have David in Glace, 20 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:06,160 Speaker 3: one of our market correspondence and also an anchor on 21 00:01:06,240 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Television with us in the studios. David your early 22 00:01:09,280 --> 00:01:10,640 Speaker 3: thoughts on what we're seeing in markets. 23 00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 4: Well, it's a counterintuitive move. We're seeing in the yen. 24 00:01:14,720 --> 00:01:16,840 Speaker 4: We're weaker in fact here point three percent. And this 25 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 4: is to your point, Brian. We're moving really on the 26 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 4: second here, a couple of other headlines coming through. So 27 00:01:22,600 --> 00:01:24,639 Speaker 4: we know most of these because of all the leaks 28 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 4: that have taken place. Right, So, they've scrap yield curve control, 29 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 4: they've raced rates for the first time since two thousand 30 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:34,600 Speaker 4: and seven. They've tweaked their acid purchases as well. Nothing 31 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,160 Speaker 4: so far I could be mistaken. Still here, they've also 32 00:01:37,280 --> 00:01:41,399 Speaker 4: ended buying ets. Now just taking a step back, right, 33 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,320 Speaker 4: So I was having a look at some market measures 34 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 4: going into this meeting today, and what really called my 35 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 4: eye were yen ten year swaps. And you look at 36 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:54,160 Speaker 4: how behaved that gauge has been. In fact, that was 37 00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 4: really bid up substantially in previous meetings on the back 38 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:01,600 Speaker 4: of expectations of what we'd get. What we did get 39 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,120 Speaker 4: right now, that's actually you remained in range. In fact, 40 00:02:04,240 --> 00:02:06,240 Speaker 4: the spread and this is going to sound like Greek, 41 00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 4: but I'll explain it in a bit. The spread between 42 00:02:08,480 --> 00:02:12,400 Speaker 4: the ten year swap and a tenure yield is actually 43 00:02:12,440 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 4: now back to the narrowest since the Fed started raising 44 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:18,680 Speaker 4: interest rates in twenty twenty two, which tells me the 45 00:02:18,720 --> 00:02:22,120 Speaker 4: market was expecting this. It's number one and number two. 46 00:02:22,919 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 4: It looks like for now the BOJ is done right. 47 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 4: We'll have a separate conversation on what whether or not 48 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:32,360 Speaker 4: they need a second rate hike, but for now it 49 00:02:32,400 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 4: seems like they've done what they needed to do. 50 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: Interesting, and bond buying will continue. We're getting a hot 51 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:40,440 Speaker 1: headline that the BOJ will continue buying jgbs with broadly 52 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,280 Speaker 1: the same amount as before. What is missing here is 53 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: obviously a target in the yield curve here. I mean, so, 54 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: are they going to be much more clandestined in moving 55 00:02:51,320 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 1: in the marketplace? Are they going to be less transparent? 56 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:55,239 Speaker 1: What do you think it? 57 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 5: I think again, no one's surprised by this news. Dollar 58 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:05,520 Speaker 5: yen's not moving anywhere, because on purpose, we were all 59 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 5: told what was going to happen. No. I think they're 60 00:03:08,880 --> 00:03:13,119 Speaker 5: going to favor a managed information process where they don't 61 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:15,400 Speaker 5: want to shock the market in a way. They've achieved 62 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:19,280 Speaker 5: exactly what they wanted here, Delian. Actually nothing's changed. They're 63 00:03:19,320 --> 00:03:22,600 Speaker 5: getting out of buying ETFs, because that's a long term 64 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 5: problem for them how to unwind the ETF purchases. You 65 00:03:25,480 --> 00:03:27,680 Speaker 5: can always buy more bonds, and I remember having this 66 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 5: conversation with guys on the BOJA ten years ago. They 67 00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 5: can hold a bond until it runs out. Disposing of 68 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:37,560 Speaker 5: an ETF is a different issue altogether, and I believe 69 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 5: this indicates some level of confidence by the way that 70 00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:42,680 Speaker 5: consumers are returning to buying equities and they don't have 71 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 5: to engage in that behavior any further. 72 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,320 Speaker 3: It is interesting that the vote was not unanimous. It 73 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,040 Speaker 3: was seven to two to scrap the negative interest rate. 74 00:03:52,360 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 3: That's closer than what some people expected. Martin. Can we 75 00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 3: read anything into that or is that something that you 76 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,640 Speaker 3: know you'd figure on a move as big as this, 77 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:03,960 Speaker 3: that there might be a little dissent. 78 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:06,240 Speaker 6: Not really. 79 00:04:06,360 --> 00:04:08,839 Speaker 2: I mean, there are people who are just looking at 80 00:04:08,880 --> 00:04:12,280 Speaker 2: the economy, and the economy has been slowing. So if 81 00:04:12,320 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: you would be just looking and well reading the data, 82 00:04:16,640 --> 00:04:19,479 Speaker 2: looking only in your domestic economy, then there is a 83 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:23,839 Speaker 2: good reason to keep policy more expansionly, not to increase 84 00:04:23,880 --> 00:04:26,320 Speaker 2: interest rates. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan 85 00:04:26,400 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 2: has been driven and the government has recognized that as 86 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 2: well by the very weak yend. So this is an 87 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,960 Speaker 2: important variable that you don't have to take, but it 88 00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 2: affects policy. Plus by sentiment overall that well, the economy 89 00:04:40,279 --> 00:04:44,680 Speaker 2: is normalizing, the policy should be normalized as well. This 90 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 2: is the overwhelming mood around well people in industry and 91 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 2: also in the Bank of Japan. 92 00:04:51,520 --> 00:04:53,920 Speaker 1: You know, ed made an interesting point David and Glace 93 00:04:54,000 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: about the effect that the equity market is having maybe 94 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:02,680 Speaker 1: on the to community in Japan, and I'm wondering if 95 00:05:02,680 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 1: you can imagine how that may have impacted the thinking 96 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,039 Speaker 1: at the BOJ when you're looking at an ek that's 97 00:05:08,080 --> 00:05:10,800 Speaker 1: not far from an all time high. 98 00:05:11,000 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 4: Interesting a question. In fact, this came up about two 99 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 4: hours back on the TV show Man Group was on, 100 00:05:18,720 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 4: and certainly to your point at this point in the 101 00:05:22,400 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 4: rally forty thousand, right, you know how you know what 102 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:27,000 Speaker 4: exposure to you this one one with the in the 103 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:31,159 Speaker 4: Japanese equity market. And the interesting point from our guest 104 00:05:31,560 --> 00:05:34,839 Speaker 4: is that is the biogen what they're doing. Now you 105 00:05:34,880 --> 00:05:36,960 Speaker 4: could look at that as simply a symptom of the 106 00:05:37,040 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 4: underlying change that's taking place in the economy. Right, Two 107 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:43,840 Speaker 4: things there, right, One is the economy is normalizing, right, 108 00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 4: so they enter this ultra aggressive policy stands I think 109 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 4: thirteen years ago. I just joined Bloomberg then, and that 110 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:55,760 Speaker 4: was when Caroroda was coming in April of course, twenty thirteen, 111 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 4: that's when they embarked in this. And you know, eleven 112 00:05:57,600 --> 00:06:00,560 Speaker 4: years after that they've managed to achieve two percent, right, 113 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 4: which and they're coming out with in fact guidance and 114 00:06:03,000 --> 00:06:06,679 Speaker 4: inflation they're saying will likely remain above two percent through 115 00:06:07,000 --> 00:06:10,240 Speaker 4: fiscal twenty twenty four. But here's the interesting part too. 116 00:06:10,320 --> 00:06:14,560 Speaker 4: They've also downgraded their assessment on consumer spending and production. 117 00:06:14,720 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 4: So job done, but job done not just yet. So 118 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 4: the part I'm trying to make is what exposure does 119 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:23,880 Speaker 4: one want for man group? They think it's time to 120 00:06:23,880 --> 00:06:25,880 Speaker 4: go to small caps because that's the part of the 121 00:06:25,880 --> 00:06:29,520 Speaker 4: equity market that might not be as exposed to a 122 00:06:29,560 --> 00:06:31,560 Speaker 4: stronger yet in case the yen strengthens from here. 123 00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:34,280 Speaker 3: So the end hasn't really moved all that much at 124 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:37,000 Speaker 3: the moment, trading at one forty nine eighty four, so 125 00:06:37,040 --> 00:06:40,400 Speaker 3: it's actually weakened a little here, and that's a pattern 126 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:42,840 Speaker 3: that we've seen. Nick had been lower but now is higher, 127 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:46,039 Speaker 3: moving up around about ninety five points or so a 128 00:06:46,160 --> 00:06:49,160 Speaker 3: quarter of one percent. Let me go back to ed 129 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:53,760 Speaker 3: Rodgers in terms of looking at the equity market that 130 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 3: question that David was dressing earlier about whether or not 131 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 3: it's getting close to being tapped out. I think you 132 00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:01,240 Speaker 3: were one one of the first ones who told me 133 00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:05,320 Speaker 3: that in looking at Japanese companies, they're sort of like 134 00:07:06,040 --> 00:07:09,640 Speaker 3: a warrant on global growth. Do you think that the 135 00:07:09,680 --> 00:07:11,800 Speaker 3: games that we've seen in the nik are signaling a 136 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:13,720 Speaker 3: little bit that global growth is coming back. 137 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 5: I think there's optimism, yes, and definitely that small MidCap 138 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:24,560 Speaker 5: space in Japan has in many ways been a harbinger 139 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,680 Speaker 5: and foreshadowing of a global global you know, to play 140 00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:33,040 Speaker 5: on the global economy in many respects. I'll still stand 141 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:34,120 Speaker 5: by those statements. 142 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:35,920 Speaker 6: The kind of. 143 00:07:35,960 --> 00:07:39,160 Speaker 5: Leveraged if you will exposure you can get in that 144 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 5: space for certain parts of the globe economy are absolutely real. 145 00:07:42,600 --> 00:07:44,680 Speaker 5: And the differentiation that we're going to now see in 146 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:47,160 Speaker 5: that space is also I think going to be real. 147 00:07:47,840 --> 00:07:49,840 Speaker 5: You know, some of those companies that won't have access 148 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:52,480 Speaker 5: to chief capital or free money anymore, it's going to 149 00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 5: have impact on their businesses. You know, in addition to 150 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 5: other things, you know, lack of labor and other things. 151 00:07:57,440 --> 00:08:00,440 Speaker 5: You can talk about a lot of things, but oh yes, 152 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:02,320 Speaker 5: I'd still stand by those datements. 153 00:08:03,280 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: Ed Rodgers is the CEO also CIO of Rogers Investment Advisors, 154 00:08:07,960 --> 00:08:10,960 Speaker 1: joining us as we continue our special coverage of the 155 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:15,320 Speaker 1: BOJ decision, with the Bank of Japan hiking interest rates 156 00:08:15,320 --> 00:08:19,280 Speaker 1: a target range night between zero and ten bases points. 157 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:24,560 Speaker 1: The BOJ also ending yield curve control, the last country 158 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: essentially to exit negative interest rates. Joined by Bloomberg's Brian Curtis, 159 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,719 Speaker 1: co host of Daybreak Asia, Day to Dating, Glace is 160 00:08:32,800 --> 00:08:37,120 Speaker 1: with US, host of one of the Bloomberg TV shows 161 00:08:37,160 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 1: in Hong Kong, and Martin Schulz is with US chief 162 00:08:39,920 --> 00:08:43,000 Speaker 1: economist at Fujitsu. Martin, we were talking a moment ago 163 00:08:43,040 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 1: about the drag that the Chinese economy, the weak Chinese economy, 164 00:08:47,840 --> 00:08:51,280 Speaker 1: is having on Japan. You know, recently there's been a 165 00:08:51,280 --> 00:08:55,240 Speaker 1: little bit of conversation about the parallels between what China 166 00:08:55,280 --> 00:08:58,520 Speaker 1: may be facing now in deflation and what Japan has 167 00:08:58,559 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 1: been struggling with for what's seems like three decades. 168 00:09:01,440 --> 00:09:01,640 Speaker 6: Now. 169 00:09:01,920 --> 00:09:05,760 Speaker 1: Do you think policymakers in Beijing have really looked at 170 00:09:05,760 --> 00:09:08,840 Speaker 1: the mistakes that Japan may have made over the last 171 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:13,080 Speaker 1: thirty years and are learning from them absolutely. 172 00:09:13,480 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 2: I mean the Japanese how to deal with a real 173 00:09:17,280 --> 00:09:20,080 Speaker 2: estate of financial bubble has been one of the main 174 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 2: cases in any textbook. The Chinese government is very well 175 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:29,120 Speaker 2: aware that their growth model, with a huge amount of 176 00:09:29,160 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 2: investment into infrastructure investment in particular, has been driving the 177 00:09:33,160 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 2: economy and this needs to change towards more consumer spending, 178 00:09:37,280 --> 00:09:42,559 Speaker 2: towards a more domestic driven economy that is focusing on technology, 179 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:47,080 Speaker 2: on digital digital technologies. This is what they've been focusing on. 180 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:50,960 Speaker 2: They have been studying the Japanese case very very well. 181 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 2: The problem is it remains to be hard. Such a 182 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:59,040 Speaker 2: change is really a significant problem. China knows it will 183 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:02,720 Speaker 2: have to expand well it exports somehow, which will have 184 00:10:02,800 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 2: to go into Asia. We should expect to see this 185 00:10:05,800 --> 00:10:08,240 Speaker 2: in the future, and that they have to deal with 186 00:10:08,280 --> 00:10:11,560 Speaker 2: the well more technology driven companies that have been growing 187 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:14,199 Speaker 2: so much. This is why the policy makers are probably 188 00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:18,480 Speaker 2: so very careful with their technology giants. They are not sure. 189 00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:20,600 Speaker 2: They know that they have to rely on them, but 190 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 2: they are not sure if they can control them. Figuring 191 00:10:23,480 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 2: out the right way forward. Here will be a major 192 00:10:26,480 --> 00:10:29,120 Speaker 2: major challenge for policy makers in China over the next 193 00:10:29,160 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 2: few years. 194 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 3: David's something we touched on a little bit earlier in 195 00:10:32,800 --> 00:10:35,760 Speaker 3: this hour when we were waiting on the bog announcement. 196 00:10:36,360 --> 00:10:39,480 Speaker 3: We were sort of musing over what might happen with 197 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:43,280 Speaker 3: the holdings, the existing holdings of ETFs and reads. Now 198 00:10:43,280 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 3: we see today that they have scrapped the purchases of 199 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:48,520 Speaker 3: these and we understand they haven't actually been buying all 200 00:10:48,520 --> 00:10:51,280 Speaker 3: that much of late, but they still have those large holdings. 201 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:53,560 Speaker 3: We put it to the other guests, what might happen. 202 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:56,880 Speaker 3: Do you think that it's sizeable enough that it could 203 00:10:56,920 --> 00:11:00,199 Speaker 3: weigh on the levels of the equity market injine And 204 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:02,200 Speaker 3: if they start to sell now? And would they. 205 00:11:03,600 --> 00:11:05,800 Speaker 4: Good question if I had If I had the answer, 206 00:11:05,800 --> 00:11:08,439 Speaker 4: I'd be sitting on a sunny beat somewhere else with 207 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:09,760 Speaker 4: a very expensive cocktail. 208 00:11:09,920 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 3: We can't get inside their minds, can't wait. 209 00:11:12,840 --> 00:11:14,959 Speaker 4: The interesting thing though, is the is the vote on 210 00:11:15,559 --> 00:11:18,840 Speaker 4: the purchases right, So it seems that the vote on 211 00:11:19,120 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 4: policy is seven to two and two, yeah, but it's 212 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:26,400 Speaker 4: eight to one on JGBS on the purchases as well, 213 00:11:26,440 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 4: So that you have a slightly more slightly larger majority 214 00:11:30,280 --> 00:11:34,640 Speaker 4: there if you will on ETFs, I mean you have 215 00:11:34,679 --> 00:11:37,400 Speaker 4: an incremental buyer now right. You know, I haven't done 216 00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:39,800 Speaker 4: the math, but you do have an incremental buyer outside 217 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:42,280 Speaker 4: of BOJ at the moment. And I'd still be interested 218 00:11:42,320 --> 00:11:44,600 Speaker 4: to see what they'll do with all the jgb's under 219 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:45,920 Speaker 4: balance beat right, and they can hold that for a. 220 00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:48,040 Speaker 3: Veran It wouldn't be interesting if they set up a 221 00:11:48,040 --> 00:11:52,199 Speaker 3: scheme just like the FED in QT when they finally 222 00:11:52,520 --> 00:11:55,439 Speaker 3: decide to dispose of a lot of what they've bought 223 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:57,319 Speaker 3: that it just becomes kind of like machine. 224 00:11:57,160 --> 00:12:01,120 Speaker 4: Like, Yeah, and shrinking the balance sheet. Right, Yeah, that's 225 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:03,719 Speaker 4: a good point because the Feds tomorrow and something else 226 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:06,400 Speaker 4: that came up on shows today. You look at what's 227 00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:09,320 Speaker 4: happening in the US equity market, you look at risk assets, 228 00:12:09,320 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 4: you look at crypto, You look at where copper is 229 00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:13,920 Speaker 4: eleven month highs, you look at oil at four month highs, SMP. 230 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 4: It doesn't seem that what the Fed's telling us is true, 231 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,480 Speaker 4: you know, if it's been saying policies restrictive enough. You 232 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 4: look at markets, it looks like there's enough liquidity out there. 233 00:12:22,800 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that, Martin. I know that 234 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 1: you've been with us for much of the hour, and 235 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,400 Speaker 1: I want to thank you, Martin Schulz, a chief economist 236 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:32,840 Speaker 1: at Fujitsu, for joining us on our special coverage of 237 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 1: the decision from the Bank of Japan at Rogers of 238 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 1: Rogers Investment Advisors. Stay with us. I'm looking at the 239 00:12:39,920 --> 00:12:42,880 Speaker 1: WEI function now in the Bloomberg terminal. We're seeing a 240 00:12:42,920 --> 00:12:45,640 Speaker 1: weaker NK down only two tenths of one percent and 241 00:12:45,679 --> 00:12:49,199 Speaker 1: the end pulling into one forty nine sixty five thereabouts, 242 00:12:49,520 --> 00:12:52,120 Speaker 1: with a loss against the greenback of about three tenths 243 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,720 Speaker 1: of one percent. But if you look inside the NK 244 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:58,439 Speaker 1: right now, anything that's interest rates sensitive, real estate, utilities, 245 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 1: financial shares push to the upside. Seeing a little bit 246 00:13:01,920 --> 00:13:05,559 Speaker 1: of weakness in healthcare and consumer discretionary. David, you were 247 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:09,760 Speaker 1: making a point earlier about the relative strength of the 248 00:13:09,880 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 1: n K, and I'm wondering whether or not we should 249 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,960 Speaker 1: kind of read into that that maybe at the margins 250 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,520 Speaker 1: had something to do with the decision today on the 251 00:13:18,520 --> 00:13:19,479 Speaker 1: Bank of Japan. 252 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:24,600 Speaker 4: Most likely in fact the NICK and also when they 253 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,360 Speaker 4: look at the Bank's index right because the Topics Bank 254 00:13:27,559 --> 00:13:31,600 Speaker 4: index has really been a boj trade that's actually up 255 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:35,920 Speaker 4: right now, I'm getting more details on the statement, and 256 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,960 Speaker 4: you know what this is actually looking And I could 257 00:13:39,960 --> 00:13:41,480 Speaker 4: be wrong, and the next yards could prove me wrong. 258 00:13:41,520 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 4: We'll see what they say in the press briefing. But 259 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 4: the headlines that are coming through right now are tilting 260 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 4: this narrative more in favor of this being actually a 261 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:54,600 Speaker 4: doubvish move. Right, So fine, first rate hikes in two 262 00:13:54,600 --> 00:13:57,600 Speaker 4: thousand and seven, and notwithstanding it's just barely above zero, 263 00:13:57,960 --> 00:13:59,839 Speaker 4: but the bog is coming out and saying that they 264 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,880 Speaker 4: had increased GG be buying if rates writes rapidly, So 265 00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:06,760 Speaker 4: it's looking like they'll be there to keep rates steady. 266 00:14:07,160 --> 00:14:09,520 Speaker 3: Well, yeah, that's that's what we thought was the case, 267 00:14:09,600 --> 00:14:12,120 Speaker 3: because if you scrap everything, you know, you might have 268 00:14:12,360 --> 00:14:14,880 Speaker 3: yields running to the upside. So when I saw that 269 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 3: Nick story that they would continue with government bond purchases 270 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:23,680 Speaker 3: but scrap YCC, it gives them more control in the market. 271 00:14:24,200 --> 00:14:26,200 Speaker 3: It gives them the freedom to get in there and 272 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:29,440 Speaker 3: buy you know, when and where they see, and they 273 00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,360 Speaker 3: can they can guide the yield to a level that 274 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,920 Speaker 3: they feel comfortable with. And we were speculating what would 275 00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 3: that level be, you know, would it be one percent, 276 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,040 Speaker 3: would it be one and a half percent. Let's go 277 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 3: back to ed Rodgers ed anything that you've been seeing 278 00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:45,080 Speaker 3: here in some of the latest flashes that catch your attention, 279 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 3: that that might show that the market is somehow in 280 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 3: or out of favor with what the boj would like 281 00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:53,320 Speaker 3: to see. 282 00:14:55,440 --> 00:14:57,800 Speaker 5: So I got the same we I open. I got 283 00:14:57,840 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 5: the say, btmm, interest rates aren't really moving. 284 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:04,200 Speaker 3: It bounce around a little bit, you know from playing. 285 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:10,320 Speaker 5: But this is such a non event, which because we've 286 00:15:10,320 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 5: all been predicting it for a while, and they told 287 00:15:12,640 --> 00:15:14,520 Speaker 5: us what the trigger was going to be like when 288 00:15:14,560 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 5: you saw the wage the conclusion of the wage high, right, 289 00:15:18,640 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 5: it was kind of obvious. Now we're there. What the 290 00:15:22,080 --> 00:15:24,000 Speaker 5: other thing I'm watching on Bloomberg is, you know every 291 00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 5: grand loses seventy eight billion dollars. You know, it's eight 292 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 5: times the accounting fraud, you know, the Enron's and the 293 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,480 Speaker 5: world comms. And I think we should be thinking a 294 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:38,400 Speaker 5: lot more about what a potential China implosion looks like 295 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:42,240 Speaker 5: visa of each Japan Wow, and everybody else by the 296 00:15:42,280 --> 00:15:46,160 Speaker 5: way too, because there is there is you know, if 297 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,000 Speaker 5: you go back to the late eighties and the early nineties. 298 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,480 Speaker 5: When Japan's trouble started, there were a lot of people 299 00:15:50,520 --> 00:15:52,880 Speaker 5: that would tell you, yeah, well there's one set of 300 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:54,840 Speaker 5: boats and another set of boats, and not a whole 301 00:15:54,880 --> 00:15:58,200 Speaker 5: lot of good disclosure going on at the national level. 302 00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 5: You know, Japan's a really good, clean, easy place to 303 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 5: do business now for the most part, as is the 304 00:16:03,640 --> 00:16:05,840 Speaker 5: United States again for the most part. I think China 305 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:08,920 Speaker 5: is a real question, and I think we've touched on 306 00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 5: a couple of times. But if you really want to 307 00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 5: think about ripple effects, I think that's where you start 308 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 5: to think about where the big next big ripple effects 309 00:16:16,320 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 5: might be felt. And I agree with I think Martin 310 00:16:18,480 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 5: was saying, you know, the Chinese have sort of been 311 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:22,920 Speaker 5: studying Japan for a long time about what happened with 312 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:24,800 Speaker 5: their real estate. It was a real estate driven crisis, 313 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 5: right nine, the peak was a real estate driven crisis. 314 00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 5: Here you look at two thousand and United State, it's 315 00:16:29,840 --> 00:16:32,200 Speaker 5: a real estate crisis. So the impact of a real 316 00:16:32,280 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 5: estate crisis on a large economy, I don't know if 317 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:37,600 Speaker 5: anybody's ever really done all the right studies about the 318 00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:41,120 Speaker 5: level of political, social, and economic impact when it's something 319 00:16:41,160 --> 00:16:44,440 Speaker 5: that big, and you know that's the bloombird screen. I've 320 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:45,920 Speaker 5: been reading a lot of them this morning. 321 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:46,800 Speaker 1: No doubt about that. 322 00:16:47,480 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 5: It's already priced in. It's already priced in. 323 00:16:49,920 --> 00:16:53,239 Speaker 1: It's already priced in well telegraphed. I think you're not surprising, 324 00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 1: but well telegraphed. Nick Smith is with us. He is 325 00:16:56,680 --> 00:17:01,040 Speaker 1: Japan strategist at CLSA. On the line, Nick, your reaction 326 00:17:01,160 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 1: to this move by the BOJA to essentially do everything 327 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,200 Speaker 1: that the knee k said the BOJ would. 328 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:10,560 Speaker 6: Do well, I've been warning of this for quite a while. 329 00:17:10,600 --> 00:17:14,080 Speaker 6: I got the three hikes right last year and said 330 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:17,719 Speaker 6: that would be coming out of negative rates today. So 331 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:22,360 Speaker 6: exactly has forecast the questions what you do with your 332 00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:25,560 Speaker 6: equities from here on in. I mean I've been very 333 00:17:25,560 --> 00:17:28,880 Speaker 6: long banks her for quite a while and done extremely 334 00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,280 Speaker 6: nicely out of them. The questions whether they underperform like 335 00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:35,200 Speaker 6: they did after the first rate hike in two thousand 336 00:17:35,240 --> 00:17:39,280 Speaker 6: and six, or whether they keep going. I think that 337 00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 6: the BOJ hasn't finished this. I think there's a certain 338 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:46,920 Speaker 6: amount of contrition from the Bank of Japan that they 339 00:17:46,920 --> 00:17:51,200 Speaker 6: have been waterboarding the economy for quite some time, and 340 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:54,879 Speaker 6: that's the speech of seven December, when they're saying, sorry, 341 00:17:54,920 --> 00:17:58,480 Speaker 6: we crushed net interest income in the household sector, in 342 00:17:58,520 --> 00:18:01,600 Speaker 6: the financial sector. Certainly didn't help in the corporate sector 343 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:05,160 Speaker 6: because they don't have debt anymore, and so they're essentially 344 00:18:05,280 --> 00:18:09,639 Speaker 6: they were essentially saying, we messed up. We didn't expect 345 00:18:09,640 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 6: it to go on for as long as that. We 346 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 6: knew that the longer we do it, the more it 347 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:16,440 Speaker 6: hurts the economy. And therefore they've been signaling for quite 348 00:18:16,480 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 6: some time they'll get out on this. I think think 349 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 6: there's possibly more to come. 350 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:24,159 Speaker 3: Nick, we were sort of musing at the beginning of 351 00:18:24,160 --> 00:18:26,920 Speaker 3: this week, you know, what would have the bigger impact 352 00:18:27,000 --> 00:18:30,680 Speaker 3: on markets? Would it be the Bank of Japan call today? 353 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:34,520 Speaker 3: Would it be the Nvidia Developers conference or the FED? 354 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 3: Given that you know, we got a lot telegraphed from 355 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:42,280 Speaker 3: from the BOJ, through the Nike and through Kyoto on 356 00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:46,160 Speaker 3: what might happen today, I'm just curious whether you think 357 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:48,840 Speaker 3: maybe what your own pal says in the next twenty 358 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 3: four hours could be the most important. 359 00:18:52,320 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 6: Yeah. I mean, obviously, in terms of the currency, this 360 00:18:55,520 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 6: is a relatively small impact. In fact, it's sending the 361 00:18:59,480 --> 00:19:01,560 Speaker 6: currency in the wrong direction. Rates have gone up, and 362 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:04,439 Speaker 6: yet the currency is weakened. What's going to be important 363 00:19:04,440 --> 00:19:06,760 Speaker 6: for the currency is clearly going to be the FED, 364 00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 6: and that the cuts we've been expecting from the Fed. 365 00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:14,560 Speaker 6: I think people are getting less and less confidence that 366 00:19:15,119 --> 00:19:17,440 Speaker 6: they'll get the number and size of them that they'd 367 00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:21,920 Speaker 6: thought some while ago. That's why we're staying weak. I mean, 368 00:19:21,920 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 6: the main thing with the end is it effects emotions. 369 00:19:25,960 --> 00:19:29,200 Speaker 6: The effect on profits is nowhere close to what most 370 00:19:29,240 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 6: people think it is. 371 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:32,800 Speaker 1: Let's get back to Ed Rogers very quickly. For the 372 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,960 Speaker 1: last time, Ed and few had had take a guess 373 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:37,679 Speaker 1: at what the FED is going to do in terms 374 00:19:37,720 --> 00:19:40,560 Speaker 1: of forecasting future rate cuts this year, are you in 375 00:19:40,600 --> 00:19:44,159 Speaker 1: the seventy five basis point in terms of total cuts 376 00:19:44,160 --> 00:19:49,360 Speaker 1: this year? Are you leaning more towards fifty My. 377 00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:51,760 Speaker 5: Guess that it would be lower than seventy five. If 378 00:19:51,760 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 5: you're going to put a gun in my head and 379 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:57,880 Speaker 5: make me tick, you're going to be a bit more gradualist, 380 00:19:57,880 --> 00:20:01,439 Speaker 5: because I think there's a lot more concern and uncertainty 381 00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:04,800 Speaker 5: in that in that regard in the United States about 382 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:06,160 Speaker 5: what exactly impact will be. 383 00:20:06,359 --> 00:20:09,440 Speaker 3: Where to go, David, let me put this question to 384 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:13,159 Speaker 3: you then about the environment. We've had earnings and that 385 00:20:13,200 --> 00:20:15,640 Speaker 3: has driven stock market gains in the US and people 386 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,600 Speaker 3: have set aside macro policy a little bit. Now you've 387 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:20,880 Speaker 3: got uh, the FED coming in in the next day, 388 00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:22,800 Speaker 3: and we really are at the end of the earnings 389 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:25,640 Speaker 3: for this season. Did we start to fret a little 390 00:20:25,640 --> 00:20:28,160 Speaker 3: bit more about rates and levels of inflation? 391 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,800 Speaker 4: Well, let let's well, let's see what the dots look 392 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:36,320 Speaker 4: like first, right, and let's see what the thinking there said. 393 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,320 Speaker 4: And I think that's a very good point. Let me 394 00:20:39,359 --> 00:20:42,159 Speaker 4: rephrase that. You know, markets have done well despite the 395 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:45,600 Speaker 4: fact that we pushed back in rate high expectations, right, yeah, 396 00:20:45,800 --> 00:20:46,960 Speaker 4: and the fact that. 397 00:20:46,920 --> 00:20:49,359 Speaker 3: And that's because of earnings. Earnings have been pretty solid. 398 00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 4: Yes, I think that the Nvidia story overnight just to 399 00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:55,800 Speaker 4: crowbar that in the crowbar that in right. So the 400 00:20:55,920 --> 00:20:57,960 Speaker 4: issue for Nvidia, if you had to pick one, that 401 00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 4: price for perfection was of a company that pretty much 402 00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:05,240 Speaker 4: as a monopoly on you know, a very narrow set 403 00:21:05,280 --> 00:21:09,719 Speaker 4: of very wealthy and large big buyers, and demand seems insatiable, right, 404 00:21:09,760 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 4: And the question there was was that new trip blackwell, 405 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:15,520 Speaker 4: I think was what the chip was called. Does that 406 00:21:15,600 --> 00:21:19,359 Speaker 4: then widen enough the customer base for Nvidia to justify 407 00:21:19,440 --> 00:21:22,040 Speaker 4: those the valuations. We put that question earlier on to 408 00:21:22,119 --> 00:21:23,880 Speaker 4: one guest and he said, yeah, no problem, in Vidia. 409 00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:24,679 Speaker 1: Still buy Nvidia. 410 00:21:24,720 --> 00:21:26,359 Speaker 4: So yeah, to answer your question, you buy you. It's 411 00:21:26,400 --> 00:21:29,440 Speaker 4: equity markets. If in Nvidia keeps doing what it does, 412 00:21:29,480 --> 00:21:32,359 Speaker 4: as it represents, of course a narrow pool of other equities, 413 00:21:32,560 --> 00:21:33,199 Speaker 4: well maybe that. 414 00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:35,840 Speaker 3: Well, my feeling was I was tempted to think that 415 00:21:35,880 --> 00:21:38,800 Speaker 3: the equity market could move sideways to down here because 416 00:21:39,119 --> 00:21:41,160 Speaker 3: the focus would be more on the FED and interest 417 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,880 Speaker 3: rates and inflation. That's a little stickier than what people 418 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:46,960 Speaker 3: had hoped for them, say a month ago, and that 419 00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:48,919 Speaker 3: since you don't have earnings, you're not going to hear 420 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:52,680 Speaker 3: less about Nvidia and and AMD and some of these, 421 00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:56,480 Speaker 3: and you know, the nervousness might come back in. You know, 422 00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:58,440 Speaker 3: just some final thoughts from you before we wrap up. 423 00:21:59,480 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'd say watch China right if if if one 424 00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:07,120 Speaker 4: is up the view that global equities will do well, 425 00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,399 Speaker 4: you sell one hand to buy the other. You know, 426 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 4: India's done very well last year. A lot of fun 427 00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,600 Speaker 4: flowers are selling India and slowly coming back into China. 428 00:22:17,640 --> 00:22:20,960 Speaker 4: How long that lasts? Nobody knows, but it's I guess 429 00:22:21,000 --> 00:22:23,000 Speaker 4: in some ways it's zero sum game, just looking at 430 00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:24,600 Speaker 4: from that specific perspective. 431 00:22:24,720 --> 00:22:28,960 Speaker 1: Nick Smith very quickly, Japan's strategist at cs l C 432 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,840 Speaker 1: L s A, what's your strategy on putting money to 433 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,119 Speaker 1: work in Japan? Very quickly. 434 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:36,440 Speaker 6: I think that what we're going to have from here 435 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:40,760 Speaker 6: on in is continued inflation with continued negative real rates, 436 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 6: which means real estate companies could continue to do very well. 437 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,040 Speaker 6: We'll have a short period of out performance for the 438 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,560 Speaker 6: for the banks, but they're they're a trade dunekake falling 439 00:22:49,560 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 6: in love with them. They're not not quality. But mostly 440 00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:56,280 Speaker 6: I'd be saying stick with the hair with high dividend Dealders, 441 00:22:56,680 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 6: that's the only way of getting a real return in 442 00:22:59,640 --> 00:23:03,400 Speaker 6: the country where bums are such big negative real returns. 443 00:23:03,800 --> 00:23:05,800 Speaker 1: So glad it worked out that you could join us, Nick, 444 00:23:06,160 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: don't be a stranger. We'll have to have you on 445 00:23:07,880 --> 00:23:11,320 Speaker 1: the Daybreak Asia radio program in the near future. Nicholas Smith, 446 00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:15,679 Speaker 1: Japan strategist at CLSA, Ed Rogers as we wrap up 447 00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:16,760 Speaker 1: final thoughts. 448 00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 5: Ultimately, I think this is a good thing and this 449 00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 5: should be a positive signal for Japan getting back to 450 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:30,399 Speaker 5: a more normal ish interestrate environment and more normal you 451 00:23:30,440 --> 00:23:32,840 Speaker 5: know tools if you will, or responses, maybe it's a 452 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,200 Speaker 5: better word on the part of the BOJ. Is ultimately 453 00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 5: a fine of health and this should be viewed as such. 454 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:42,960 Speaker 5: It's fairly robust. Japan looks pretty good right now and 455 00:23:43,000 --> 00:23:45,400 Speaker 5: this is I think more signs that things are looking 456 00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:46,520 Speaker 5: good for Japan and. 457 00:23:46,640 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 1: It's always a pleasure. Thank you so much for making 458 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,880 Speaker 1: the chime to join our special coverage of the bo 459 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:56,200 Speaker 1: j's policy decision ed Rogers CEO c IO at Rogers 460 00:23:56,359 --> 00:24:00,639 Speaker 1: Investment Advisors as the BOJ hikes rates were the first 461 00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,680 Speaker 1: time since two thousand and seven, the policy rate now 462 00:24:03,800 --> 00:24:08,479 Speaker 1: in a range of zero to positive ten basis points. 463 00:24:08,520 --> 00:24:12,439 Speaker 1: We've been at negative ten basis points, it seems like, 464 00:24:12,840 --> 00:24:15,800 Speaker 1: for quite some time, and that will do it. I'm 465 00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:19,280 Speaker 1: thanking David Anglace from the TV side at Bloomberg Television 466 00:24:19,320 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 1: and Brian Curtis, co host of Daybreak Asia in Hong 467 00:24:22,320 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 1: Kong as well. This is Bloomberg