WEBVTT - Bitcoin Price Has Been Dumping For Weeks Now...But Have We Found The Botttom?

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<v Speaker 1>Hello, and welcome to another episode of The Markma Show,

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<v Speaker 1>where we talk about the decentralized revolution each and every week,

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<v Speaker 1>talking about bitcoin, cryptocurrencies and the way the world is changing. Now.

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<v Speaker 1>I try to keep you up to date with the

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<v Speaker 1>education so you can see the world in the right way.

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<v Speaker 1>There's a lot of noise out there. We're looking for

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<v Speaker 1>the signal. We gotta kind of pull back the covers

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<v Speaker 1>on this and so I try to help you with that,

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<v Speaker 1>bring bring you some of the latest breaking news around

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<v Speaker 1>around the world so you can stay up to date

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<v Speaker 1>on what's going on, and of course bring to you

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<v Speaker 1>some some interesting guests so you can listen to and

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<v Speaker 1>right now, you know, we're gonna talk about some of

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<v Speaker 1>these big news stories so we can kind of understand

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<v Speaker 1>what's going on in the world today. I think it's

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<v Speaker 1>um there's a lot going on. And lately what's been

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<v Speaker 1>going on is the markets have been crashing. The stock

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<v Speaker 1>markets have been crashing, the real estate markets are softening up,

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<v Speaker 1>but the cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin has been crashing, and the

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<v Speaker 1>crypto markets have been crashing, and uh, you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>interesting going through what we call a bear market. When

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<v Speaker 1>the markets dropped this fast UM in the bitcoin space,

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<v Speaker 1>in the cryptocurrency space. It happens, you know, every couple

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<v Speaker 1>of years you go through this, this bitcoin bear market

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<v Speaker 1>there or this winter as they call it. And it's

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<v Speaker 1>been you know, I guess maybe just the second time

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<v Speaker 1>I've been through it, and uh, it doesn't get an easier.

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<v Speaker 1>But I want to give you some stories that will

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<v Speaker 1>help you through with this. All right, so let's talk.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's take a look and see what has been going on.

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<v Speaker 1>So UM obviously no surprise, the price of bitcoin is

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<v Speaker 1>way down. We know that UM from the November high

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<v Speaker 1>that it's set. We are down approximately as of right now,

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<v Speaker 1>about sixty seven percent off of the high, which is

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<v Speaker 1>not good. It's it's pretty far down. However, if you

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<v Speaker 1>put that into UM comparison, it's not good compared to

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<v Speaker 1>what right, That's always a question you want to ask yourself. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we know that the NASDAC, for example, which has all

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<v Speaker 1>the tech stocks, the Nasdaq index has bump up in

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<v Speaker 1>the last few days. We're down about thirty percent just

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<v Speaker 1>on the on the index, so sixty seven percent on

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin on the text docks. However, that doesn't really tell

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<v Speaker 1>the picture, right if we dig into the NASDAC. We

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<v Speaker 1>can see that half of the Nasdaq is down more

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<v Speaker 1>than most of it's down even more than Bitcoin. And

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<v Speaker 1>most of the big names that you know and love,

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<v Speaker 1>the zooms, the shopifies, the paypals, they're down seventy eighty

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<v Speaker 1>percent or more. So Bitcoin has done pretty good. But

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<v Speaker 1>what is going to happen with it from here? That's

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<v Speaker 1>a good question, and we'll dig into some of the

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<v Speaker 1>stories this week to try to figure that out. So

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<v Speaker 1>we can see that bitcoin is one of the last

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<v Speaker 1>free markets that we have. So it trades seven it

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<v Speaker 1>trades very liquid and uh, it's not uh and so

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<v Speaker 1>so trades pretty freely. That doesn't mean it's not manipulated.

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<v Speaker 1>So because it's such a small market, it was up

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<v Speaker 1>to about a trillion dollars at one point. It's down

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<v Speaker 1>to about four hundred billion today, which which is a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of money. But when you're a front hedge fund

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<v Speaker 1>on Wall Street, you throw around hundreds of billions at

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<v Speaker 1>a time. So four billion isn't that big in the

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<v Speaker 1>grand scheme of things compared to the overall market, stock markets, etcetera.

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<v Speaker 1>And so it moves, you know, it moves pretty easily.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very thinly traded, meaning there's not a liquidity there.

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<v Speaker 1>And so because of that, if you had enough liquidity,

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<v Speaker 1>you could move the market. So what do I mean

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<v Speaker 1>by that, Well, we can see that the market cap,

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<v Speaker 1>like I said, it's about four hundred million, but there's

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<v Speaker 1>about um let's see, there's about twenty five billion dollars

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<v Speaker 1>a day that's being traded in bitcoin. And so if

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<v Speaker 1>you were to overwhelm the market with you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>few hundred million dollars, you could you could really affect

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<v Speaker 1>the market one way or another. And so what we saw,

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<v Speaker 1>and I've been covering this for weeks now, we saw

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<v Speaker 1>this cascading, this domino effect of D five defy, decentralized

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<v Speaker 1>finance and c FI centralized finance, UM platform arms, companies,

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<v Speaker 1>et cetera, starting to collapse. And what happened is is

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<v Speaker 1>when one went down. We started with Tera Luna. We

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<v Speaker 1>talked about that at length. When that went down, it

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<v Speaker 1>started to create liquidation, to start liquidating people. That's what

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<v Speaker 1>happens when you use too much leverage, and we have

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<v Speaker 1>too much leverage across all of the markets, from real

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<v Speaker 1>estate to stocks and cryptocurrencies as well. And as those

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<v Speaker 1>people's leverage were leveraged up and the price started going down.

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<v Speaker 1>They started getting margin calls meaning hey, you better post

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<v Speaker 1>more collateral, we're gonna liquidate your position. And as those

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<v Speaker 1>positions got sold into the market, it was more selling.

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<v Speaker 1>More selling brought the price down even more, which then

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<v Speaker 1>caused even more liquidations. When it brought the price down

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<v Speaker 1>even more, which caused more liquidations than you understand how

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<v Speaker 1>it works, It's like a going down a set of stairs.

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<v Speaker 1>And so then we started seeing um Tara Luna go down,

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<v Speaker 1>and then it started to drag down other ones. So

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<v Speaker 1>then we saw like Celsius go down, and then it

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<v Speaker 1>brought down voyager Um. They had to file for bankruptcy

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<v Speaker 1>over the last week, and it started bringing all of

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<v Speaker 1>these down. But it looks like we've kind of hit

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<v Speaker 1>the bottom with all of these big liquidations, and so

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen f t X step in and basically backstop this.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's kind of similar. And I used the when

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about Terry Lune, I talked about like the

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<v Speaker 1>free banking era, and so before the Federal Reserve of

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<v Speaker 1>the United States in the late eighteen hundreds, we had

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<v Speaker 1>an era known as free banking where banks could pop up,

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<v Speaker 1>they could create their own currency. But these banks have

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<v Speaker 1>out of business all the time. So the Federal Reserve

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<v Speaker 1>was created, UM for what they tell us is to

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<v Speaker 1>to backstop the banks, to protect the banks, to make

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<v Speaker 1>sure that the banks don't out of business. They would

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<v Speaker 1>be what's called the lender of last resort. They would

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<v Speaker 1>come in and and buy them up or or prop

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<v Speaker 1>them up. And what we've kind of seen now is

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<v Speaker 1>we're seeing all these c FI and defy protocols and

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<v Speaker 1>platforms going down, and f t X has now stepped

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<v Speaker 1>in to start shoring these up to backstop these companies.

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<v Speaker 1>And so they've agreed to buy a block five. I

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<v Speaker 1>believe they've backstopped Voyager as well, and we're seeing f

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<v Speaker 1>t X now really Sam Bankman freed Alamy to come

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<v Speaker 1>in and kind of back stop this almost kind of

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<v Speaker 1>take this Federal Reserve position. UM. And I don't want

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<v Speaker 1>to get super deep into that, but UM, what I

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<v Speaker 1>do want to just cover is that it looks like

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<v Speaker 1>we've seen, um probably the worst of it at this point,

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<v Speaker 1>meaning that we probably don't have any more of these

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<v Speaker 1>giant liquidations in front of us, because I don't see

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<v Speaker 1>how they would put in, you know, hundreds of millions

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<v Speaker 1>of dollars to just let it go away disappear. Now

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<v Speaker 1>they're sitting on billions of dollars. If they need to

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<v Speaker 1>proping putting more money, they'll put in more money and

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<v Speaker 1>they're not going to let it go down now. So

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<v Speaker 1>I think that damage is done. So markets stopped going

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<v Speaker 1>down when there's no more sellers, pretty simple. And so

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<v Speaker 1>you had all these liquidations. These forced sellers continue to

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<v Speaker 1>sell and sell and sell, pushing the price down, which

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<v Speaker 1>caused more liquidations. I talked to you through that. But

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<v Speaker 1>now who are the sellers? Well, we saw more of

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<v Speaker 1>the last week or two. And what am I talking

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<v Speaker 1>about that? Well, now the bitcoin miners are forced to

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<v Speaker 1>start liquidating their bitcoin as a matter of fact, that

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<v Speaker 1>they've been dumping it, and it would be a better word.

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<v Speaker 1>And we can see a bunch of these big bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>mining companies, publicly traded ones have been dumping their their bitcoin.

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<v Speaker 1>We can see argo Blockchain was the latest crypto mining

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<v Speaker 1>firm to dump bitcoin. It's sold fifteen point six million

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<v Speaker 1>in bitcoin. It's the second crypto minor this week to

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<v Speaker 1>announce it sold more coin than it mined last month.

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<v Speaker 1>So they they typically they would be mining bitcoin, but

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<v Speaker 1>they wouldn't sell it all. They would keep some of it.

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<v Speaker 1>But argo had to sell all of the coins they

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<v Speaker 1>mind last month, and they had to dip into some

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<v Speaker 1>of their savings of the reserve and start selling that

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<v Speaker 1>as well. UM in June they had sold six hundred

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<v Speaker 1>and thirty seven bitcoin, which pushed the price down. UM

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<v Speaker 1>they had mined a hundred and seventy nine, so they

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<v Speaker 1>mined a hundred and seventy nine, but they sold sixty seven,

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<v Speaker 1>so that was big. But they're not the only ones

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<v Speaker 1>doing that. Another crypto minor called core Scientific dumped a

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<v Speaker 1>hundred and sixty five million dollars worth of bitcoin to

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<v Speaker 1>get more liquidity, so they had to sell over seven

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<v Speaker 1>thousand bitcoin to cover costs. Now they say that they

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<v Speaker 1>sold seventy two bitcoin at an average price of twenty

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<v Speaker 1>three thou dollars, leaving ud on their books, so they've

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<v Speaker 1>got rid of seven thousand. They still have almost two

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<v Speaker 1>thousand left, so they could potentially sell more, but they've

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<v Speaker 1>sold the majority of it. They said they're not having

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<v Speaker 1>a tough time. They're gonna be okay. They still expect

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<v Speaker 1>to bring on seventy thousand new bitcoin mining computers in

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<v Speaker 1>the next six months. They've already paid ninety US at

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<v Speaker 1>the cost for these, so those should be good. But

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<v Speaker 1>we see this going on and on and on. Here's

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<v Speaker 1>this says here in the last two weeks of June,

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<v Speaker 1>many large bitcoin wallets have emerged. Over the past two weeks,

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<v Speaker 1>a number of addresses holding ten to ten thousand bitcoin

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<v Speaker 1>appeared on the network while bitcoin was going down, and

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<v Speaker 1>uh they popped up to absorb more than eighteen thousand

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin worth three seventy two million dollars was put onto

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<v Speaker 1>the market by these bitcoin miners and it all got absorbed.

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<v Speaker 1>And so it looks like all of the big selling

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<v Speaker 1>is done. Now. Individuals can still sell. Some of these

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<v Speaker 1>miners still have some bitcoin they could still sell, but

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<v Speaker 1>the majority of it is done. And even more importantly,

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<v Speaker 1>all these big whales showed up and gobbled it all up.

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<v Speaker 1>So it's bullish. It looks like maybe we found the bottom.

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<v Speaker 1>Of course, we'd never know until we're looking backwards on it.

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<v Speaker 1>But based off of what we can see, based off

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<v Speaker 1>of the liquidations, based off the mining sales, maybe we

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<v Speaker 1>have you're listening to the Mark Mos show talking about

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<v Speaker 1>bitcoin cryptocurrencies and the decentralized revolution. I got a lot

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<v Speaker 1>more to cover in a minute when I come back,

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<v Speaker 1>So don't go away. I'll be right back, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome back. You're listening to the Mark Mo Show. We're

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<v Speaker 1>talking about the decentralized revolution. Look at the way the

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<v Speaker 1>world is changing. Of course, the catalyst being bitcoin cryptocurrencies,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh, we've been talking about bitcoin and what's going

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<v Speaker 1>on with the price, what's happening with the liquidations, what's

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<v Speaker 1>pushing the price down. There is a lot of stuff

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<v Speaker 1>going on, but it looks like we might have about

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<v Speaker 1>found the bottom of it. We know that markets stopped

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<v Speaker 1>going down when there's no more sellers now. Um, there

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<v Speaker 1>was a lot of big companies that went down, and

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<v Speaker 1>so we talked about Terry Luna that's gone. But sell

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<v Speaker 1>Seius is one of the biggest ones and they halted

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<v Speaker 1>withdraws and a lot of people have money locked up

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<v Speaker 1>on that platform that they may or may not be

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<v Speaker 1>able to get off, and a lot of people are

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<v Speaker 1>hopeful that they'll get their money off. Ah, there's a

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<v Speaker 1>chance depends on where your money is in which account,

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<v Speaker 1>if it's in a lending account, or if it's in

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<v Speaker 1>a holding account. Um, it depends on what they're they're

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<v Speaker 1>going through, like a bankruptcy now, so it depends on

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<v Speaker 1>how they decided to negotiate this out. Um. Will depend

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<v Speaker 1>on if you get some and how much you get.

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<v Speaker 1>So there's a lot of factors there. But first thing

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<v Speaker 1>they had to do is they had to survive to

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<v Speaker 1>even get to the point where they can negotiate that down. Now. Um,

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<v Speaker 1>we talked about market stoff going down when there's no

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<v Speaker 1>more sellers, and these big liquidations have been happening to

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<v Speaker 1>have been basically forcing the cell of thousands and thousands

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<v Speaker 1>and thousands of bitcoin, dumping them onto the market. And

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<v Speaker 1>it was a little bit scary for me because what's

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<v Speaker 1>been happening, and I've been talking about this extensively, um,

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<v Speaker 1>is that we have these big Wall Street funds and

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<v Speaker 1>they're hunting these pegs to break them so they can

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<v Speaker 1>make some money. Now, it happens all the time, It's

0:11:01.040 --> 0:11:02.920
<v Speaker 1>been happening for a long time. They do it outside

0:11:02.920 --> 0:11:06.080
<v Speaker 1>of cryptocurrency as well. I mean just think game stop, right, um.

0:11:06.080 --> 0:11:08.760
<v Speaker 1>And so they they purpose they try to break these pegs.

0:11:08.760 --> 0:11:11.360
<v Speaker 1>That's how George Soros got famously rich, made a billion

0:11:11.360 --> 0:11:13.520
<v Speaker 1>dollars in one day by breaking the peg of the

0:11:13.520 --> 0:11:16.000
<v Speaker 1>Bank of England. And so they'll throw around their weight,

0:11:16.000 --> 0:11:17.880
<v Speaker 1>they'll throw around their money to try to break these things.

0:11:18.440 --> 0:11:21.320
<v Speaker 1>And they may or may not have something to do

0:11:21.360 --> 0:11:23.840
<v Speaker 1>with Celsius. I'm going down having to halt with their draws.

0:11:24.120 --> 0:11:27.640
<v Speaker 1>But we could see because with bitcoin and blockchain, we

0:11:27.679 --> 0:11:30.400
<v Speaker 1>can see these most of these addresses, and we can

0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:32.520
<v Speaker 1>see where the wallets are um and how many coins

0:11:32.520 --> 0:11:35.000
<v Speaker 1>they hold in et cetera. And we could see based

0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:38.480
<v Speaker 1>off of these decentralized protocols, these defied lending protocols, that

0:11:38.520 --> 0:11:40.079
<v Speaker 1>they had a liquidation price. I want to say it

0:11:40.120 --> 0:11:42.480
<v Speaker 1>was around like eighteen thousand dollars and I Bitcoin got

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:45.600
<v Speaker 1>to about eighteen thousand dollars, then Celsius would be liquidated.

0:11:46.520 --> 0:11:48.319
<v Speaker 1>And that means two things. One that would push the

0:11:48.360 --> 0:11:50.760
<v Speaker 1>price of bitcoin down even more. And to uh, if

0:11:50.760 --> 0:11:52.760
<v Speaker 1>they got liquidated, anybody that had money on Celsius that

0:11:52.760 --> 0:11:55.679
<v Speaker 1>was trapped, that were hoping to get some back wouldn't

0:11:55.920 --> 0:11:58.360
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't get it, but they but they were able to

0:11:58.480 --> 0:12:01.800
<v Speaker 1>get money to continue to pay this this loan down.

0:12:01.840 --> 0:12:05.320
<v Speaker 1>They took out a decentralized finance loan on a on

0:12:05.360 --> 0:12:08.000
<v Speaker 1>a protocol called maker dow and so the way it

0:12:08.040 --> 0:12:10.480
<v Speaker 1>works on a decentralized protocol is that you have to

0:12:10.600 --> 0:12:13.800
<v Speaker 1>overcollateralize the loan. And so if I want to borrow

0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:17.959
<v Speaker 1>UM fifty dollars, I have to give them a hundred

0:12:17.960 --> 0:12:22.400
<v Speaker 1>dollars or more of collateral and so in order for UM.

0:12:22.440 --> 0:12:25.320
<v Speaker 1>If that gets liquidated, then Celsius would lose all of

0:12:25.360 --> 0:12:27.880
<v Speaker 1>that collateral they had on the exchange. But they've been

0:12:27.920 --> 0:12:29.880
<v Speaker 1>able to continue to get more money. And I don't

0:12:29.880 --> 0:12:31.880
<v Speaker 1>know where they've been getting money from, but it says

0:12:31.880 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 1>here that Celsius Network was able to pay down the

0:12:34.800 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 1>remaining forty one million of its debt on the defied

0:12:39.440 --> 0:12:42.959
<v Speaker 1>platform on the Maker down platform, which freed up four

0:12:43.080 --> 0:12:47.319
<v Speaker 1>hundred and forty million dollars worth of collateral, which is

0:12:47.360 --> 0:12:50.840
<v Speaker 1>a pretty good move for for Celsius, and it's good

0:12:50.880 --> 0:12:54.640
<v Speaker 1>if you have money trapped on the Celsius platform. Um,

0:12:54.720 --> 0:12:57.240
<v Speaker 1>we can see here. It says that the on chain data,

0:12:57.320 --> 0:12:58.839
<v Speaker 1>so that's how we can see what's happening here. We

0:12:58.840 --> 0:13:00.560
<v Speaker 1>can see all this on chain data. It's one of

0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:03.200
<v Speaker 1>the benefits of the bitcoin and the blockchain technology is

0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:05.120
<v Speaker 1>that we can see all that data, and so it

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.080
<v Speaker 1>adds transparency, which in my opinion is a good thing.

0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:11.320
<v Speaker 1>Um when you have things like stocks and equities and

0:13:11.360 --> 0:13:14.000
<v Speaker 1>things like that, you have no idea what's going on there,

0:13:14.320 --> 0:13:16.960
<v Speaker 1>but at least the blockchain we can see that data.

0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:19.000
<v Speaker 1>So on Chaine data shows that a wallet linked to

0:13:19.080 --> 0:13:22.040
<v Speaker 1>Celsius repaid the remaining forty one point two million of

0:13:22.080 --> 0:13:25.360
<v Speaker 1>the loan in die, which is the currency that maker

0:13:25.400 --> 0:13:29.000
<v Speaker 1>now uses, which is the says the maker's protocol stable coin.

0:13:29.480 --> 0:13:34.600
<v Speaker 1>That prompted the maker protocol to release nio. So about

0:13:34.600 --> 0:13:39.280
<v Speaker 1>twenty two thousand bitcoin two thousand bitcoin. Imagine there was

0:13:39.280 --> 0:13:41.840
<v Speaker 1>twenty two thousand bitcoin being dumped into the market. If

0:13:41.840 --> 0:13:44.959
<v Speaker 1>that was liquidated, that wouldn't be good for the overall

0:13:44.960 --> 0:13:47.080
<v Speaker 1>cryptocurrency market. It wouldn't be good for Bitcoin, It certainly

0:13:47.120 --> 0:13:48.920
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't be good for Celsius, and it certainly wouldn't be

0:13:48.960 --> 0:13:50.760
<v Speaker 1>good for anybody that has money trapped on Celsius that

0:13:50.800 --> 0:13:54.120
<v Speaker 1>are hoping to get that out. So that took that away.

0:13:54.200 --> 0:13:56.880
<v Speaker 1>Remember twenty bitcoin where a danger of being liquidated in

0:13:56.880 --> 0:13:59.679
<v Speaker 1>the market. It says that works out to about four

0:13:59.720 --> 0:14:02.400
<v Speaker 1>hundred forty eight millions. Since the bitcoin was recently traded

0:14:02.400 --> 0:14:05.640
<v Speaker 1>in about twenty four hundred, which at the time of

0:14:05.640 --> 0:14:07.880
<v Speaker 1>this recording were up a little bit higher than that.

0:14:07.880 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 1>We're over one right now. We can see here that

0:14:11.800 --> 0:14:14.800
<v Speaker 1>fund strat analyst UM told Coin Desk the collateral that

0:14:14.880 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Celsius freed up can be sold on centralized exchanges or

0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:21.480
<v Speaker 1>or via over the counter to meet credited demands and

0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:25.000
<v Speaker 1>customer with draws. So now they have that money, and

0:14:25.040 --> 0:14:28.640
<v Speaker 1>now maybe they could start letting some customers get withdraws. Now.

0:14:28.680 --> 0:14:30.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't think they can, because I believe now they're

0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:34.400
<v Speaker 1>kind of in this receivership or this reorganization or restructuring,

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:35.880
<v Speaker 1>or they're going to have to wait for like a

0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:38.760
<v Speaker 1>formal plan and orderly plan to start giving money back.

0:14:39.160 --> 0:14:41.600
<v Speaker 1>But hopefully there's some hope if you have money on

0:14:41.680 --> 0:14:44.760
<v Speaker 1>Celsius that you might actually get some back. Could be pennies,

0:14:45.200 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 1>could be none. UM, don't hold your breath, but there

0:14:48.800 --> 0:14:51.200
<v Speaker 1>is a little bit of hope. It says. The cell

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.800
<v Speaker 1>which is their native token on the Celsius platform, spiked

0:14:54.320 --> 0:14:55.960
<v Speaker 1>within minutes on the news, but it's still done eight

0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:59.000
<v Speaker 1>one on the year UM, and it says the loans

0:14:59.000 --> 0:15:03.200
<v Speaker 1>on decentralized the platforms such as Maker are generally overcollateralized.

0:15:03.320 --> 0:15:05.200
<v Speaker 1>So it goes back to if you want to borrow

0:15:05.200 --> 0:15:06.880
<v Speaker 1>fifty bucks, you have to put up about a hundred

0:15:06.880 --> 0:15:09.080
<v Speaker 1>bucks or more me and that the borrow has to

0:15:09.120 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 1>put up more assets and value as a backing of

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:14.720
<v Speaker 1>the loan than the value of the loan itself. Repaying

0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:16.920
<v Speaker 1>the loan made sense for Celsius because it could get

0:15:16.920 --> 0:15:19.160
<v Speaker 1>a grip of the valuable collateral by paying back a

0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:21.760
<v Speaker 1>fraction of its value. So they paid back the forty

0:15:21.800 --> 0:15:25.560
<v Speaker 1>million and they got four d forty million of collateral back.

0:15:26.920 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 1>So big news for Celsius. Now, it doesn't mean we're

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:35.360
<v Speaker 1>out of the woods, but I think it is good

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:39.040
<v Speaker 1>news nevertheless, But I would say that I hope this

0:15:39.120 --> 0:15:41.840
<v Speaker 1>is a wake up call for everybody. Now. I put

0:15:41.840 --> 0:15:43.640
<v Speaker 1>out a tweet I think it was I don't know

0:15:43.680 --> 0:15:45.880
<v Speaker 1>about a week ago, and I said something to the

0:15:45.880 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 1>effect of, um, the age of personal responsibility is going

0:15:50.400 --> 0:15:54.000
<v Speaker 1>to snap back and hard, and what do I mean

0:15:54.000 --> 0:15:56.880
<v Speaker 1>by that? So you know, I feel really bad for

0:15:56.920 --> 0:15:59.680
<v Speaker 1>anybody who's lost any money. I don't wish that upon anybody,

0:15:59.800 --> 0:16:01.480
<v Speaker 1>not even my enemies, which I don't think I have

0:16:01.520 --> 0:16:03.920
<v Speaker 1>any enemies. Hopefully I don't try not to, but I

0:16:03.960 --> 0:16:08.240
<v Speaker 1>don't wish anybody to lose money, so I feel bad

0:16:08.280 --> 0:16:11.960
<v Speaker 1>for them. But at the same time, you should never

0:16:12.080 --> 0:16:15.320
<v Speaker 1>be loaning money to somebody that you don't know what

0:16:15.440 --> 0:16:18.120
<v Speaker 1>the risk is of them paying you back. You shouldn't

0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:21.280
<v Speaker 1>do that. So if you put money onto Celsius, you

0:16:21.360 --> 0:16:24.840
<v Speaker 1>should have known there was risk there, And if you didn't,

0:16:24.880 --> 0:16:26.840
<v Speaker 1>then why would you put money there If you didn't

0:16:26.880 --> 0:16:28.680
<v Speaker 1>know there was risk. So right off the bat, you

0:16:28.680 --> 0:16:31.000
<v Speaker 1>shouldn't have put money there. Then you if you did

0:16:31.040 --> 0:16:32.320
<v Speaker 1>and you knew there was risk, you should have been

0:16:32.320 --> 0:16:34.440
<v Speaker 1>paying attention to that. Now, maybe you believed, like a

0:16:34.480 --> 0:16:37.400
<v Speaker 1>lot of people, that they had overcollateralized all their loans

0:16:37.640 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 1>and so that there was really no risk of them

0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:41.120
<v Speaker 1>not paying you back because if other people didn't pay

0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:43.440
<v Speaker 1>them back, they had they had the collateral right. But

0:16:43.480 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 1>then you saw in the news that um, they lost

0:16:45.920 --> 0:16:49.320
<v Speaker 1>money on Badger Dow. What the heck were they doing

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.680
<v Speaker 1>invested into something as risky as a Badger Dow, And

0:16:52.720 --> 0:16:54.840
<v Speaker 1>so that should have told you like, oh, shoot, they're

0:16:54.840 --> 0:16:56.960
<v Speaker 1>doing things that are pretty risky. I should maybe be

0:16:57.040 --> 0:16:59.480
<v Speaker 1>aware of that and and not just to pick on

0:16:59.520 --> 0:17:01.280
<v Speaker 1>Celsius to Could it be block fire, could be voyage,

0:17:01.320 --> 0:17:03.480
<v Speaker 1>or it could be any of these things. First of all,

0:17:03.520 --> 0:17:06.480
<v Speaker 1>they're offering to pay you eight ten interest. Maybe that's

0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:09.119
<v Speaker 1>too good to be true. Second of all, you know

0:17:09.200 --> 0:17:10.919
<v Speaker 1>that's gonna have risk. That's the only way they can

0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:12.639
<v Speaker 1>pay you back if there was risk. Third of all,

0:17:12.640 --> 0:17:15.439
<v Speaker 1>you should be paying attention to that. And when you

0:17:15.480 --> 0:17:18.040
<v Speaker 1>saw some of these risky signs, you should have done

0:17:18.080 --> 0:17:22.160
<v Speaker 1>something to remove that risk that you were facing. Now again,

0:17:22.240 --> 0:17:24.119
<v Speaker 1>I don't I'm not trying to wave my finger and

0:17:24.160 --> 0:17:26.359
<v Speaker 1>say I told you so. Um, certainly not saying that

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:28.520
<v Speaker 1>at all. What I'm saying is that it's time for

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:31.040
<v Speaker 1>you to step up and take responsibility for yourself. And

0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:34.000
<v Speaker 1>whether you got caught in one of these or didn't,

0:17:34.520 --> 0:17:38.000
<v Speaker 1>you should please use this. We either when are we learn?

0:17:38.280 --> 0:17:40.280
<v Speaker 1>We either win. If I lose, I at least I learned,

0:17:40.280 --> 0:17:42.879
<v Speaker 1>so at least learned from this. Learned that there's no

0:17:42.960 --> 0:17:46.440
<v Speaker 1>such thing as risk free returns. There's always risk. Understand

0:17:47.160 --> 0:17:50.960
<v Speaker 1>how to quantify that risk, take the proper steps to

0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:55.199
<v Speaker 1>limit that risk, and become responsible for yourself because no

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:56.600
<v Speaker 1>one's coming to save you. You're listening to the Mark

0:17:56.640 --> 0:18:00.760
<v Speaker 1>Ball Show. We're talking about the decentralized revolution, talking about bitcoin, potocurrencies,

0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:03.160
<v Speaker 1>and trying to make sense of the news that's going

0:18:03.160 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 1>on today so we can understand where things are going

0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:07.200
<v Speaker 1>in the near future. I'll be back with a lot

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:09.080
<v Speaker 1>more and a second, so don't go away. I'll be

0:18:09.160 --> 0:18:11.560
<v Speaker 1>right back. All right, Welcome back. You are listening to

0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:15.199
<v Speaker 1>the Markma Show. We're talking about the decentralized revolution, the

0:18:15.240 --> 0:18:17.400
<v Speaker 1>world as it's changing right before our very eyes. Of course,

0:18:17.440 --> 0:18:21.399
<v Speaker 1>it's being led by technologies like bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, and

0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:24.520
<v Speaker 1>so we talked about that and we watch the world

0:18:24.600 --> 0:18:27.440
<v Speaker 1>as it unfolds so we can navigate it. Now. One

0:18:27.480 --> 0:18:30.280
<v Speaker 1>thing that's important to think about when you're talking about

0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:35.800
<v Speaker 1>new technologies like bitcoin. Now, bitcoin isn't just a new technology.

0:18:35.880 --> 0:18:39.360
<v Speaker 1>Bitcoin is a technological revolution. There's a there's a difference.

0:18:39.760 --> 0:18:42.720
<v Speaker 1>A new technology is something cool and it's an improvement

0:18:43.160 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 1>and it extends markets. So like an iPhone was cool.

0:18:46.640 --> 0:18:48.359
<v Speaker 1>We took a computer and the phone, we put them together.

0:18:48.600 --> 0:18:50.199
<v Speaker 1>Now that's cool, and I love the iPhone, don't get

0:18:50.240 --> 0:18:53.040
<v Speaker 1>me wrong. A technological revolution is different in a way

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:55.760
<v Speaker 1>that it changes the course of humanity and it drives

0:18:55.800 --> 0:18:58.520
<v Speaker 1>financial markets. There's only been five. I believe bitcoin is

0:18:58.560 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 1>the sixth technological evolution. They come about every fifty years.

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 1>But whenever you're looking at new technologies and especially technological revolutions,

0:19:06.200 --> 0:19:08.720
<v Speaker 1>it's important to understand how to look at them properly.

0:19:09.880 --> 0:19:11.960
<v Speaker 1>And um, one of the things that I mean by

0:19:12.000 --> 0:19:15.000
<v Speaker 1>that is the wrong way to look at them is

0:19:15.000 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 1>by looking at the price. The price is the least

0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:21.159
<v Speaker 1>interesting thing and the least accurate thing to take a

0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:24.720
<v Speaker 1>look at. So UM, I like to use the story

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:26.360
<v Speaker 1>over and over. If you tune in every week, then

0:19:26.440 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 1>I apologize if you've heard this before, but I like

0:19:28.040 --> 0:19:30.720
<v Speaker 1>to think about Uber and uber. You know, it's pitched

0:19:30.720 --> 0:19:33.560
<v Speaker 1>in Silicon Valley a decade ago, and um, it was

0:19:33.720 --> 0:19:36.399
<v Speaker 1>supposedly going to be this new way to get a ride,

0:19:36.480 --> 0:19:38.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, from your from your phone and people are like,

0:19:38.400 --> 0:19:39.760
<v Speaker 1>what do you mean, I can't I use my phone

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:41.679
<v Speaker 1>to call a taxi? Well, yeah, it's sort of like that,

0:19:41.720 --> 0:19:43.879
<v Speaker 1>but this is a cool app or whatever, right, But

0:19:44.000 --> 0:19:47.160
<v Speaker 1>imagine if so when you invest into what's called venture

0:19:47.240 --> 0:19:50.880
<v Speaker 1>capital venture deals, these are really early companies. They typically

0:19:50.920 --> 0:19:53.040
<v Speaker 1>don't go public, if if they ever go at all,

0:19:53.600 --> 0:19:57.160
<v Speaker 1>for about a decade. So that means for a decade

0:19:57.400 --> 0:19:59.080
<v Speaker 1>you had money if you would have invested into Uber,

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:00.439
<v Speaker 1>which by the way, you would have don really well

0:20:00.440 --> 0:20:02.040
<v Speaker 1>if you would have done that. There's been a lot

0:20:02.040 --> 0:20:03.520
<v Speaker 1>of other losers. But if you would have invested into

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:05.719
<v Speaker 1>Uber in the early days, um, you would have had

0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:08.200
<v Speaker 1>to wait about a decade for it to go public

0:20:08.280 --> 0:20:10.480
<v Speaker 1>and have a daily stock price where you could get

0:20:10.520 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 1>your money out of it. So during that decade, how

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:16.199
<v Speaker 1>would you know if it's doing any good Because it

0:20:16.240 --> 0:20:18.159
<v Speaker 1>doesn't have a daily price and it's not publicly listed,

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:21.240
<v Speaker 1>so um, looking at the price is not something you

0:20:21.240 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 1>can do, and even if you could, it would be

0:20:22.640 --> 0:20:24.080
<v Speaker 1>the wrong thing to look at. And the reason why

0:20:24.400 --> 0:20:26.600
<v Speaker 1>is when it's so small and so new, it would

0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:29.080
<v Speaker 1>be extremely volatile and you'd be shaking all the time.

0:20:29.119 --> 0:20:31.879
<v Speaker 1>Imagine with Uber where it's like hey we uh we

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:34.240
<v Speaker 1>we moved into San Francisco, hooray, and the price goes

0:20:34.320 --> 0:20:36.720
<v Speaker 1>up and then oh um, New York cab drivers are

0:20:36.760 --> 0:20:39.280
<v Speaker 1>protesting against Uber, and then the price goes down, and

0:20:39.359 --> 0:20:41.320
<v Speaker 1>every time good news or bad news comes out, it

0:20:41.359 --> 0:20:42.720
<v Speaker 1>was up and down, up and down, up and down,

0:20:42.720 --> 0:20:45.199
<v Speaker 1>and you would drive you crazy. But That's exactly what

0:20:45.200 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 1>happened with bitcoin. Bitcoin has been a live price since

0:20:47.400 --> 0:20:50.760
<v Speaker 1>day one. Um, So if you can't look at the price,

0:20:50.840 --> 0:20:52.119
<v Speaker 1>or you shouldn't look at the price, what should you

0:20:52.160 --> 0:20:54.040
<v Speaker 1>be looking at? Well, you want to look at two things.

0:20:54.160 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 1>One is the network growth, the growth of the network

0:20:57.080 --> 0:21:00.760
<v Speaker 1>Metcalf's law. Is the network expanding or more people using it?

0:21:00.760 --> 0:21:03.200
<v Speaker 1>Are the number of wallets going up? Or the addresses

0:21:03.240 --> 0:21:06.159
<v Speaker 1>going up? Are the miners the amount of computers that

0:21:06.200 --> 0:21:08.920
<v Speaker 1>are mining on the network, which equals hash power the

0:21:09.680 --> 0:21:12.320
<v Speaker 1>combined power of those computers hash power? Is that going up?

0:21:12.400 --> 0:21:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Is the network growing? Is the network becoming stronger? And

0:21:16.480 --> 0:21:19.040
<v Speaker 1>then we want to look at the development on the network.

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:22.520
<v Speaker 1>So think about back to the Uber example. Um, is

0:21:22.520 --> 0:21:25.840
<v Speaker 1>is the Uber network growing? Are there more people signing

0:21:25.920 --> 0:21:29.120
<v Speaker 1>up to give rides? Right? What good is Uber if

0:21:29.119 --> 0:21:30.959
<v Speaker 1>there's no one that will give you a ride? So

0:21:31.080 --> 0:21:32.919
<v Speaker 1>you need to have all the cities and you need

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:34.600
<v Speaker 1>to have as many drivers as you can in all

0:21:34.600 --> 0:21:36.159
<v Speaker 1>the cities. Right, So the more cities and the more

0:21:36.200 --> 0:21:38.960
<v Speaker 1>drivers you have, the better. But you also need riders.

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:42.159
<v Speaker 1>So are the writers going up? So is the network growing?

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:45.399
<v Speaker 1>And so um we would say that with bitcoin, it is, right.

0:21:45.400 --> 0:21:47.080
<v Speaker 1>We can see that through the growth of the miners,

0:21:47.560 --> 0:21:49.879
<v Speaker 1>the growth of the bitcoin wallets. We can see how

0:21:49.880 --> 0:21:52.000
<v Speaker 1>many wallets are being added to the system. And the

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:53.920
<v Speaker 1>other thing with Uber is you look at the development

0:21:53.960 --> 0:21:57.760
<v Speaker 1>on the network. Is it developing? Have they added new

0:21:57.800 --> 0:22:00.399
<v Speaker 1>types of cars? Now they have rideshare, now they have vans,

0:22:00.840 --> 0:22:03.000
<v Speaker 1>um now they do Uber eats, right, and so they're

0:22:03.040 --> 0:22:06.160
<v Speaker 1>developing on the network. Um, they're improving the product and

0:22:06.280 --> 0:22:09.199
<v Speaker 1>the network is growing. Now it's important understanding with the network.

0:22:09.240 --> 0:22:12.119
<v Speaker 1>Network effects are very very powerful. So a lot of

0:22:12.160 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 1>people say, well, why can't you just copy Bitcoin? Well

0:22:14.119 --> 0:22:16.960
<v Speaker 1>you can, You can totally copy bitcoin, but you can't

0:22:16.960 --> 0:22:20.479
<v Speaker 1>copy the network. Right. So, um, I could probably have

0:22:20.520 --> 0:22:22.400
<v Speaker 1>someone make me a copy of Facebook and I can

0:22:22.400 --> 0:22:24.680
<v Speaker 1>call it marx Book, But it doesn't mean anybody would

0:22:24.720 --> 0:22:27.400
<v Speaker 1>use it. Right, So I can make a copy of Bitcoin,

0:22:27.480 --> 0:22:30.200
<v Speaker 1>but doesn't mean anybody would use it. More importantly, it

0:22:30.240 --> 0:22:33.400
<v Speaker 1>doesn't mean anybody would come mine on it. Would all

0:22:33.480 --> 0:22:36.639
<v Speaker 1>the miners that have spent hundreds of billions of dollars

0:22:36.680 --> 0:22:38.960
<v Speaker 1>to mine bitcoin to help secure the network, would they

0:22:38.960 --> 0:22:41.479
<v Speaker 1>all just come start mining Marxcoin. They'd give all that up?

0:22:42.400 --> 0:22:44.720
<v Speaker 1>Most likely, not what about all the development that's happened

0:22:44.720 --> 0:22:46.720
<v Speaker 1>on that all the services that have been built, so

0:22:46.880 --> 0:22:49.720
<v Speaker 1>the Bitcoin Lightning Layer two and all the different wallets

0:22:49.720 --> 0:22:51.720
<v Speaker 1>and all the apps and all of that. Would they

0:22:51.760 --> 0:22:54.639
<v Speaker 1>all just come onto marx Coin. Probably not. So why

0:22:54.840 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 1>while I can copy the idea, I could copy maybe

0:22:58.560 --> 0:23:03.320
<v Speaker 1>even the technology, I can't copy the network now. Um.

0:23:03.359 --> 0:23:05.439
<v Speaker 1>Michael Sailor wrote a book a long time ago, and

0:23:05.440 --> 0:23:07.160
<v Speaker 1>he was talking about network effects. And I believe he said,

0:23:07.160 --> 0:23:09.639
<v Speaker 1>like any any company that's achieved over like a hundred

0:23:09.640 --> 0:23:12.639
<v Speaker 1>billion dollar evaluation, the network effects are too strong for

0:23:12.640 --> 0:23:15.760
<v Speaker 1>it to be overcome. And you don't really see companies

0:23:15.880 --> 0:23:19.000
<v Speaker 1>lose once they've built that network up. And so again

0:23:19.119 --> 0:23:23.520
<v Speaker 1>think Facebook today. Um. Now, eventually maybe people stop using it,

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:26.240
<v Speaker 1>but but there's no way like another social media app

0:23:26.240 --> 0:23:29.120
<v Speaker 1>would come and replace that. Amazon right, these have big

0:23:29.160 --> 0:23:31.240
<v Speaker 1>network effects. Again, I can go make a new site

0:23:31.280 --> 0:23:33.440
<v Speaker 1>where you can buy and sell products, but doesn't mean

0:23:33.480 --> 0:23:36.160
<v Speaker 1>that network will come over. Um. But so we want

0:23:36.160 --> 0:23:38.160
<v Speaker 1>to look at those things. And I saw this week, UM,

0:23:38.440 --> 0:23:40.679
<v Speaker 1>something that we've seen over and over and over is

0:23:40.720 --> 0:23:43.840
<v Speaker 1>we're seeing minds share. Some of the smartest people in

0:23:43.880 --> 0:23:48.439
<v Speaker 1>the world are leaving their very high positions to come

0:23:48.440 --> 0:23:51.080
<v Speaker 1>work in this space. And so I know right now

0:23:51.080 --> 0:23:52.679
<v Speaker 1>we're in a bear market at the price of bitcoin

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:56.240
<v Speaker 1>and cryptocurrencies are way down and bitcoin is dead again,

0:23:56.320 --> 0:23:58.600
<v Speaker 1>right It's been dead I think thirteen or fourteen times

0:23:58.960 --> 0:24:01.600
<v Speaker 1>um every time the price draw up. It's dead. Never

0:24:01.680 --> 0:24:06.399
<v Speaker 1>mind that it's it's fallen all the way down to

0:24:06.520 --> 0:24:11.160
<v Speaker 1>its previous high position that was that before. So again

0:24:11.200 --> 0:24:14.119
<v Speaker 1>looking at the wrong um thing. But if bitcoin is dead,

0:24:14.200 --> 0:24:15.800
<v Speaker 1>and then why are some of the smartest people in

0:24:15.840 --> 0:24:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the biggest positions of the world coming over to work

0:24:17.840 --> 0:24:19.440
<v Speaker 1>on it? And so we saw this week a new

0:24:19.480 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 1>story came out and says three executives leave JP Morgan

0:24:23.800 --> 0:24:27.760
<v Speaker 1>this week to join crypto firms. So JP Morgan one

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:30.800
<v Speaker 1>of the biggest and most connected banks in the world

0:24:30.840 --> 0:24:34.960
<v Speaker 1>in the United States, Jamie Diamond and JP Morgan. Jamie

0:24:34.960 --> 0:24:37.639
<v Speaker 1>Diamond had once said, um, you know, bitcoin is a scam.

0:24:37.680 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>If anybody at JP Morgan traded, I would fire them.

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:42.159
<v Speaker 1>But of course now JP Morgan has moved into the space.

0:24:42.520 --> 0:24:46.119
<v Speaker 1>But three executives and one of the most connected banks

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:49.800
<v Speaker 1>in the world have left to go join crypto. Now,

0:24:50.280 --> 0:24:51.840
<v Speaker 1>a lot of people said, well, it's never gonna work

0:24:51.880 --> 0:24:53.960
<v Speaker 1>because you know, the Governm's gonna make it illegal and

0:24:54.560 --> 0:24:58.919
<v Speaker 1>all these things. Right, Well, these executives are you know,

0:24:58.960 --> 0:25:01.479
<v Speaker 1>they know a couple of things, and they would probably

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 1>not agree because they've left their high power jobs and

0:25:04.560 --> 0:25:07.280
<v Speaker 1>traditional finance to go work for this new company. And

0:25:07.359 --> 0:25:08.600
<v Speaker 1>take a look at that. So we can see here

0:25:09.280 --> 0:25:12.440
<v Speaker 1>UM a banner week for people departing mega bank JP

0:25:12.600 --> 0:25:16.840
<v Speaker 1>Morgan to join the cryptocurrency industry. Three executives taking the

0:25:16.880 --> 0:25:21.679
<v Speaker 1>plunge despite a looming crypto winter. So even though the

0:25:21.720 --> 0:25:24.520
<v Speaker 1>price is down, even though it's dead again, even though

0:25:24.560 --> 0:25:27.959
<v Speaker 1>it's never gonna work, they've decided to leave JP Morgan

0:25:28.359 --> 0:25:32.800
<v Speaker 1>to go join the crypt industry in the winter. No less. Now,

0:25:32.960 --> 0:25:35.159
<v Speaker 1>someone who's been through a few bear markets, and let

0:25:35.200 --> 0:25:37.320
<v Speaker 1>me just say that bear markets are the time to build,

0:25:37.680 --> 0:25:39.560
<v Speaker 1>that's the time we get ahead. We can see. The

0:25:39.600 --> 0:25:43.480
<v Speaker 1>latest leavers include Eric Raggy, a former managing director at

0:25:43.560 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan with twenty one years tenure at the bank. Look,

0:25:46.960 --> 0:25:48.720
<v Speaker 1>he wasn't just a guy who had been there for

0:25:48.760 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 1>a few months. He had twenty one year's tenure at

0:25:51.280 --> 0:25:55.439
<v Speaker 1>the bank. Um he left to go work ahead of

0:25:55.440 --> 0:25:57.760
<v Speaker 1>business development and capital markets at the company, and we

0:25:57.800 --> 0:26:01.919
<v Speaker 1>have Puja Samuel, formerly ahead of ideation and digitization at

0:26:02.000 --> 0:26:05.040
<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan based in New York City, joins the Digital

0:26:05.080 --> 0:26:09.040
<v Speaker 1>Currency Group. Digital Currency Group runs the new site coin desk,

0:26:09.160 --> 0:26:14.320
<v Speaker 1>They run the event called consensus Um. They have the UM,

0:26:16.320 --> 0:26:20.080
<v Speaker 1>they have the big gray scale trust Bitcoin Trust. So

0:26:20.320 --> 0:26:23.040
<v Speaker 1>he left to go work there UM, and we have

0:26:23.400 --> 0:26:27.000
<v Speaker 1>JP Morgan banker Samir Shaw left the bank to become

0:26:27.080 --> 0:26:31.800
<v Speaker 1>chief operating officer at an investment firm called Pantera Capital.

0:26:32.520 --> 0:26:36.280
<v Speaker 1>So look, these people don't think Krypto is dead. You might,

0:26:37.440 --> 0:26:40.600
<v Speaker 1>but I would just stop and ask myself. Am I

0:26:40.760 --> 0:26:43.520
<v Speaker 1>more connected than this guy that worked at JP Morgan

0:26:43.640 --> 0:26:47.920
<v Speaker 1>for twenty one years? I'm not. I don't know anybody

0:26:47.920 --> 0:26:50.959
<v Speaker 1>at Wall Street or inside JP Morgan. Am I smarter

0:26:51.040 --> 0:26:54.040
<v Speaker 1>than them? I probably no different things than they know.

0:26:54.560 --> 0:26:57.719
<v Speaker 1>But um, you might want to stop and think when

0:26:57.760 --> 0:27:00.879
<v Speaker 1>you see this amount of mindshare leaving tradition, no finance

0:27:01.080 --> 0:27:04.560
<v Speaker 1>to go work in this industry, especially in a bear market,

0:27:04.920 --> 0:27:06.159
<v Speaker 1>and that should give you hope. I think if you

0:27:06.240 --> 0:27:08.639
<v Speaker 1>zoom out and you can have the right time perspective,

0:27:09.280 --> 0:27:12.200
<v Speaker 1>these things can help you a lot. I still believe

0:27:12.240 --> 0:27:14.960
<v Speaker 1>it's the greatest opportunity that we'll ever see in our lifetime.

0:27:15.280 --> 0:27:17.120
<v Speaker 1>Now you listen to the Markmas Show. We're talking about

0:27:17.119 --> 0:27:19.719
<v Speaker 1>the decentralized revolution, the way the world is changing right

0:27:19.760 --> 0:27:22.439
<v Speaker 1>before our very eyes. The catalyst, of course is technology

0:27:22.520 --> 0:27:26.080
<v Speaker 1>as always being led by decentralized technology. We're talking about bitcoin.

0:27:27.680 --> 0:27:29.880
<v Speaker 1>Just going through some of the mind share that's leaving

0:27:29.920 --> 0:27:32.439
<v Speaker 1>the space. And uh, I got a lot more to

0:27:32.480 --> 0:27:35.919
<v Speaker 1>cover when I come back in a minute, some big stuff,

0:27:36.040 --> 0:27:38.399
<v Speaker 1>So don't go away. I'll be right back, all right,

0:27:38.400 --> 0:27:40.360
<v Speaker 1>Welcome back. You are listening to the Markma Show. We're

0:27:40.359 --> 0:27:43.320
<v Speaker 1>talking about the decentralized Revolution. We're talking about bitcoin, We're

0:27:43.359 --> 0:27:47.440
<v Speaker 1>talking about cryptocurrencies. We are talking about the latest breaking news.

0:27:47.520 --> 0:27:49.359
<v Speaker 1>So we can see all of this playing out in

0:27:49.480 --> 0:27:52.960
<v Speaker 1>real time. Now hopefully you've got the last segment there. Um,

0:27:52.960 --> 0:27:55.240
<v Speaker 1>it's a bear market, but it's not dead. We're seeing people,

0:27:55.400 --> 0:27:58.440
<v Speaker 1>some of the top people from the traditional finance space

0:27:58.480 --> 0:28:02.920
<v Speaker 1>are leaving their posts to come in. But I want to, UM,

0:28:02.920 --> 0:28:04.680
<v Speaker 1>I want to talk about a couple of things. Are

0:28:05.600 --> 0:28:11.919
<v Speaker 1>here real quick, so let's see here. First thing, we

0:28:12.000 --> 0:28:14.400
<v Speaker 1>have to understand what happened in the market. We saw

0:28:14.400 --> 0:28:17.200
<v Speaker 1>a bunch of experimentation, which I'm a fan of experimentation.

0:28:17.880 --> 0:28:24.359
<v Speaker 1>UM c FI defy decentralized finance, centralized finance, and we

0:28:24.359 --> 0:28:27.520
<v Speaker 1>saw it end pretty badly. Now, I was talking about

0:28:27.560 --> 0:28:32.040
<v Speaker 1>before that you know, if it sounds too good to

0:28:32.080 --> 0:28:33.679
<v Speaker 1>be true, a lot of times it is. Doesn't mean

0:28:33.760 --> 0:28:36.040
<v Speaker 1>it always is, but a lot of times it is.

0:28:36.200 --> 0:28:39.120
<v Speaker 1>And so UM, at a minimum, you should use some

0:28:39.240 --> 0:28:41.200
<v Speaker 1>extra scrutiny, and you should really dig in and take

0:28:41.240 --> 0:28:43.280
<v Speaker 1>a look at this. And I think when we're looking

0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:47.800
<v Speaker 1>at the c FI DFI platforms, centralized finances, decentralized finance platforms,

0:28:47.960 --> 0:28:52.480
<v Speaker 1>we're talking about the block fives, the celsius is, the voyagers, um,

0:28:53.000 --> 0:28:55.840
<v Speaker 1>the et cetera. When we're looking at those and they're

0:28:55.840 --> 0:29:00.080
<v Speaker 1>paying out, you know, interest, you might ask yourself of

0:29:00.280 --> 0:29:02.560
<v Speaker 1>how in the heck in the world that we're in

0:29:02.600 --> 0:29:06.000
<v Speaker 1>today with zero interest rates they're able to pay out,

0:29:07.920 --> 0:29:10.920
<v Speaker 1>And you would ask yourself that. Now, we talked about

0:29:10.960 --> 0:29:14.160
<v Speaker 1>how all this collapsed and how it became this cascading

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:17.760
<v Speaker 1>domino effect, and it's really dragged the entire market cap

0:29:17.800 --> 0:29:21.960
<v Speaker 1>down with it. But I think it's also fundamentally transformed

0:29:21.960 --> 0:29:24.360
<v Speaker 1>the industry. At least I hope so so I think

0:29:24.400 --> 0:29:29.120
<v Speaker 1>it's washed out most of, if not not not all,

0:29:29.160 --> 0:29:31.480
<v Speaker 1>but pretty much most of the leverage that's been built

0:29:31.520 --> 0:29:33.080
<v Speaker 1>up in the system. But what I also hope is

0:29:33.120 --> 0:29:36.880
<v Speaker 1>that it wakes people up to the to, like I

0:29:36.880 --> 0:29:40.920
<v Speaker 1>said I'm saying earlier, the era of of a personal responsibility,

0:29:41.880 --> 0:29:43.960
<v Speaker 1>and I think you have to want to be responsible

0:29:43.920 --> 0:29:45.640
<v Speaker 1>for yourself and think about the risk that you're taking.

0:29:45.680 --> 0:29:49.080
<v Speaker 1>But also I think it maybe marks an end to

0:29:49.960 --> 0:29:54.960
<v Speaker 1>that entire era that was there. You know, UM, people

0:29:55.000 --> 0:29:56.959
<v Speaker 1>were taking a lot of risk. They were putting a

0:29:57.000 --> 0:30:00.200
<v Speaker 1>coin on this defied platform, and they're taking it out here,

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:01.840
<v Speaker 1>and they're wrapping it, and they're putting it on here,

0:30:01.840 --> 0:30:03.160
<v Speaker 1>and they were taking the yield and they're wrapping that

0:30:03.200 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>and they're putting on here, and they're adding all these

0:30:05.040 --> 0:30:07.239
<v Speaker 1>steps and all this complexity to try to get more

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:11.200
<v Speaker 1>and more what we'd call alpha, more profit, more yield,

0:30:11.440 --> 0:30:13.040
<v Speaker 1>and in order to do that, they were taking more

0:30:13.080 --> 0:30:15.440
<v Speaker 1>and more risks. So it pushes people way out on

0:30:15.480 --> 0:30:18.960
<v Speaker 1>this on this risk curve in order to do that UM.

0:30:19.040 --> 0:30:21.440
<v Speaker 1>And now through the collapse of Anchor and other defied

0:30:21.480 --> 0:30:26.320
<v Speaker 1>protocols UM, we're seeing that these these platforms have blown up.

0:30:26.720 --> 0:30:30.760
<v Speaker 1>It's shrunk. The amount of value that's locked up into

0:30:30.800 --> 0:30:33.560
<v Speaker 1>these DeFi protocols at trunk about sevent from its all

0:30:33.600 --> 0:30:36.640
<v Speaker 1>time high, and we're seeing a lot of them that

0:30:36.680 --> 0:30:42.000
<v Speaker 1>have just disappeared altogether. And I think, um, well, I

0:30:42.000 --> 0:30:45.000
<v Speaker 1>don't know. You can't ever count out the stupidity of

0:30:45.040 --> 0:30:48.400
<v Speaker 1>other people. Um, but typically when you touch a hot stove,

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 1>when you burn your hand, you don't do that again. Um,

0:30:52.600 --> 0:30:55.000
<v Speaker 1>sometimes they might, but I think it should be a

0:30:55.120 --> 0:30:58.040
<v Speaker 1>it should be abundantly clear of anybody looking right now

0:30:58.440 --> 0:31:03.440
<v Speaker 1>that high returns equals higher risk and at a minimum,

0:31:03.520 --> 0:31:05.440
<v Speaker 1>if you want to continue to try these things, hopefully

0:31:05.480 --> 0:31:08.440
<v Speaker 1>you'll take a much more seasons approach to it. Now.

0:31:08.480 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 1>I also want to give um, that's kind of what

0:31:10.680 --> 0:31:12.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm thinking about the space overall, But I also want

0:31:12.520 --> 0:31:15.480
<v Speaker 1>to give some advice. I was went to a meet

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:18.200
<v Speaker 1>up last night. Swan Bitcoin put together shout out to

0:31:18.240 --> 0:31:21.120
<v Speaker 1>swan bitcoin. If you're looking to buy bitcoin, check them

0:31:21.120 --> 0:31:24.640
<v Speaker 1>out swan bitcoin dot com. I think slash mark, by

0:31:24.680 --> 0:31:28.200
<v Speaker 1>the way, get ten dollars in free bitcoin. But we

0:31:28.200 --> 0:31:29.880
<v Speaker 1>went to a meet up meet up last night and

0:31:29.920 --> 0:31:32.720
<v Speaker 1>we were talking about the market and what's going to happen,

0:31:32.720 --> 0:31:34.280
<v Speaker 1>and when when will the price of bitcoin come back?

0:31:35.400 --> 0:31:38.760
<v Speaker 1>And how long will this bear market last? This crypto

0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:42.040
<v Speaker 1>bear market? And uh, I said, you know, shoot, it

0:31:42.080 --> 0:31:44.240
<v Speaker 1>could be three years before we see the all time

0:31:44.320 --> 0:31:48.280
<v Speaker 1>high price come back. And some people didn't like that answer.

0:31:49.160 --> 0:31:52.640
<v Speaker 1>And UM, you know, I've been through this before. It

0:31:52.760 --> 0:31:55.520
<v Speaker 1>doesn't Maybe it's a little bit easier, but it's still

0:31:55.560 --> 0:31:58.600
<v Speaker 1>not not fun, still painful. But I said, you know,

0:31:58.680 --> 0:32:01.000
<v Speaker 1>if it took that long to get back, that would

0:32:01.040 --> 0:32:03.480
<v Speaker 1>be a three x return from here, you know, in

0:32:03.600 --> 0:32:07.240
<v Speaker 1>three years that that's pretty good return. I like that, UM.

0:32:07.320 --> 0:32:10.200
<v Speaker 1>But also I think that these bear markets, these these

0:32:10.200 --> 0:32:14.880
<v Speaker 1>winters are opportunities to UM build. And so let's talk

0:32:14.880 --> 0:32:18.200
<v Speaker 1>about a survival guide for the crypto bear market and

0:32:18.280 --> 0:32:21.480
<v Speaker 1>how to get ready for the next bull run. And

0:32:21.480 --> 0:32:23.000
<v Speaker 1>I think a couple of things. You know, one thing

0:32:23.040 --> 0:32:26.800
<v Speaker 1>that I think of is, um, what if it never

0:32:26.880 --> 0:32:30.360
<v Speaker 1>comes back? It's a scary one. I think about that.

0:32:30.880 --> 0:32:33.160
<v Speaker 1>And uh, having gone through this before, like I said,

0:32:33.200 --> 0:32:35.560
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't necessarily get easier. So what how do I

0:32:35.640 --> 0:32:39.240
<v Speaker 1>deal with that? Um? You know, should I panic? Should

0:32:39.280 --> 0:32:42.600
<v Speaker 1>I sell out right now? Or should I double down? Well?

0:32:42.640 --> 0:32:44.160
<v Speaker 1>I would I would think about a couple of ways.

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:47.320
<v Speaker 1>So first of all, why did you buy the asset?

0:32:47.880 --> 0:32:50.040
<v Speaker 1>What do you think is going to happen with that asset,

0:32:50.080 --> 0:32:54.400
<v Speaker 1>and what's your plan for that? So for me, for example,

0:32:54.840 --> 0:32:58.920
<v Speaker 1>I believe bitcoin is the most pristine asset reserve asset

0:32:58.960 --> 0:33:02.040
<v Speaker 1>we've ever seen. I believe it's a superior form of money.

0:33:02.160 --> 0:33:05.440
<v Speaker 1>I believe it's going to take a big majority out

0:33:05.440 --> 0:33:09.720
<v Speaker 1>of the global reserve assets. I I believe that um

0:33:09.840 --> 0:33:12.280
<v Speaker 1>and so that's why I bought it. That's why I

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:14.720
<v Speaker 1>hold it, and what am I plan to do with it?

0:33:14.720 --> 0:33:17.320
<v Speaker 1>While I'm planning to hold it until that becomes reality,

0:33:17.360 --> 0:33:22.239
<v Speaker 1>which could be past my lifetime. And so that's what

0:33:22.280 --> 0:33:25.320
<v Speaker 1>I'm waiting for. Now. When it crashes in price, should

0:33:25.360 --> 0:33:27.120
<v Speaker 1>I panic and seller? Should I double down? Well, I

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:31.360
<v Speaker 1>would ask myself, do I still think that could be true? Well?

0:33:31.400 --> 0:33:34.480
<v Speaker 1>The network still works as design, the network growth is

0:33:34.520 --> 0:33:36.640
<v Speaker 1>still happening in development, never gonna happen. It looks like

0:33:36.640 --> 0:33:39.080
<v Speaker 1>it's still on track to do that. So I'm gonna

0:33:39.080 --> 0:33:40.600
<v Speaker 1>continue to hold. As a matter of fact, I will

0:33:40.640 --> 0:33:43.160
<v Speaker 1>double down on this. Now, let's say that you bought

0:33:43.240 --> 0:33:46.040
<v Speaker 1>like a board ape n f T for example, why

0:33:46.080 --> 0:33:48.640
<v Speaker 1>did you buy it, and what did you expect to

0:33:48.680 --> 0:33:50.520
<v Speaker 1>happen in what were you thinking would happen. So let's

0:33:50.520 --> 0:33:52.920
<v Speaker 1>say that you bought this because all your friends were

0:33:52.920 --> 0:33:55.480
<v Speaker 1>buying them and were doubling tripling their money within thirty days.

0:33:55.840 --> 0:34:00.080
<v Speaker 1>Now you bought it and the price dropped, Well, do

0:34:00.080 --> 0:34:01.600
<v Speaker 1>you still think you can double the triple your money

0:34:01.640 --> 0:34:07.120
<v Speaker 1>in thirty days? Um? And uh? You know, and ask

0:34:07.160 --> 0:34:09.160
<v Speaker 1>yourself that question. Now I would say, well, shoot, now

0:34:09.239 --> 0:34:11.880
<v Speaker 1>there's been a million board apes come on, and I

0:34:11.920 --> 0:34:14.200
<v Speaker 1>can just go onto Google images and search board apes

0:34:14.239 --> 0:34:16.399
<v Speaker 1>and I could just right click and save any of those.

0:34:16.560 --> 0:34:18.080
<v Speaker 1>So I don't know if that's going to be a reality. More.

0:34:18.080 --> 0:34:19.520
<v Speaker 1>I really bought into the hype of the hype is

0:34:19.520 --> 0:34:21.360
<v Speaker 1>dead now and so since the hype is dead and

0:34:21.400 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 1>I only bought it for the hype and it's dead,

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:24.759
<v Speaker 1>then maybe I should get rid of it. Now. I'm

0:34:24.800 --> 0:34:26.239
<v Speaker 1>not saying that's the case, but these are ways that

0:34:26.239 --> 0:34:29.279
<v Speaker 1>I would think through this process. You never want to

0:34:29.400 --> 0:34:34.480
<v Speaker 1>become a forced seller. That means you don't want to

0:34:34.480 --> 0:34:37.560
<v Speaker 1>panic at the bottom. It's simple, not easy, but simple.

0:34:37.600 --> 0:34:40.279
<v Speaker 1>You're supposed to buy low and sell high, not buy

0:34:40.360 --> 0:34:41.640
<v Speaker 1>high and sell low. So you don't want to be

0:34:41.680 --> 0:34:43.719
<v Speaker 1>a force seller at the bottom. You shouldn't panic, which

0:34:43.719 --> 0:34:47.920
<v Speaker 1>brings me to the next point, which is avoid panic selling. Um.

0:34:47.960 --> 0:34:50.879
<v Speaker 1>You also want to avoid greed. So if you were

0:34:50.920 --> 0:34:53.960
<v Speaker 1>only buying these board apes at astronomical levels because you

0:34:53.960 --> 0:34:56.000
<v Speaker 1>thought you could triple or quadruple or ten extra money

0:34:56.000 --> 0:34:59.560
<v Speaker 1>in thirty days, you were buying into greed. So you

0:34:59.560 --> 0:35:01.440
<v Speaker 1>don't want to you want to avoid greed. Um. I

0:35:01.480 --> 0:35:04.160
<v Speaker 1>can tell you that my phone starts ringing off the

0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:05.799
<v Speaker 1>hook with people I haven't talked to in years and

0:35:05.880 --> 0:35:08.080
<v Speaker 1>years and years when Bitcoin reaches new all time highs.

0:35:08.400 --> 0:35:10.759
<v Speaker 1>They're buying into greed. You're supposed to buy at the

0:35:10.840 --> 0:35:14.239
<v Speaker 1>bottom when it's cheap, not at the top when it's expensive. Um,

0:35:14.280 --> 0:35:16.480
<v Speaker 1>but now it's cheap and people don't want to buy,

0:35:16.680 --> 0:35:18.160
<v Speaker 1>so think about that. But you want to avoid the

0:35:18.160 --> 0:35:20.279
<v Speaker 1>panic selling. That means being forced to sell. That means

0:35:20.320 --> 0:35:23.640
<v Speaker 1>avoid liquidations. And so that goes to my next point,

0:35:23.640 --> 0:35:26.319
<v Speaker 1>which is staying solvent. So you don't ever want to

0:35:26.360 --> 0:35:30.719
<v Speaker 1>buy um or trade with leverage. I like to say

0:35:30.800 --> 0:35:33.560
<v Speaker 1>leverages like fire. It can warm your house up or

0:35:33.600 --> 0:35:35.359
<v Speaker 1>it can burn your house down. And a lot of

0:35:35.400 --> 0:35:39.600
<v Speaker 1>times people get into the greedy part they start using leverage,

0:35:40.040 --> 0:35:42.680
<v Speaker 1>and then they are they become a forced seller. So

0:35:42.719 --> 0:35:45.520
<v Speaker 1>those things all kind of work together. And so shoot,

0:35:45.600 --> 0:35:48.440
<v Speaker 1>if my bitcoin is not levered, then I can let

0:35:48.480 --> 0:35:50.040
<v Speaker 1>it ride all the way down and I'll hold it

0:35:50.120 --> 0:35:51.799
<v Speaker 1>until it goes all the way back up again. But

0:35:51.880 --> 0:35:54.799
<v Speaker 1>if I have leverage against it, I've taken loans against it,

0:35:55.719 --> 0:35:58.440
<v Speaker 1>or I'm trading with leverage with it, then and the

0:35:58.440 --> 0:36:01.040
<v Speaker 1>price moves down, then I get liquidated. Then I become

0:36:01.080 --> 0:36:04.399
<v Speaker 1>a forced seller. So then I was forced to sell low.

0:36:04.440 --> 0:36:06.840
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to sell low. I want to sell high.

0:36:06.920 --> 0:36:09.080
<v Speaker 1>And so you don't ever want to become a force seller.

0:36:09.200 --> 0:36:11.000
<v Speaker 1>You don't want to be a panic seller. You want

0:36:11.000 --> 0:36:14.680
<v Speaker 1>to still stay solvent. The other thing I'd say is research.

0:36:15.239 --> 0:36:18.960
<v Speaker 1>Spend your time doing research. What's going on? Is it

0:36:19.000 --> 0:36:21.719
<v Speaker 1>going to survive? What was my thesis? Why did I

0:36:21.719 --> 0:36:24.000
<v Speaker 1>buy it? What did I expect? What happened? Is that

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:27.240
<v Speaker 1>still on track? As long as long as I'm researching

0:36:27.239 --> 0:36:29.719
<v Speaker 1>and as long as my thesis is remaining true, and

0:36:29.719 --> 0:36:31.960
<v Speaker 1>as long as that project is staying on track, then

0:36:31.960 --> 0:36:33.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to continue to stay in it. If I

0:36:33.920 --> 0:36:37.640
<v Speaker 1>come to find out that there's new information and it's

0:36:37.719 --> 0:36:39.640
<v Speaker 1>not on track anymore than I should get out of

0:36:39.640 --> 0:36:41.839
<v Speaker 1>it as fast as I can. The last piece I'd

0:36:41.840 --> 0:36:43.960
<v Speaker 1>give you is keep your job. We saw a record

0:36:44.000 --> 0:36:45.600
<v Speaker 1>amount of job quits at the end of last year.

0:36:45.640 --> 0:36:47.520
<v Speaker 1>People want to quit their jobs to trade options on

0:36:47.600 --> 0:36:52.280
<v Speaker 1>robin Hood and trade cryptocurrencies. Think twice about quitting your job.

0:36:52.560 --> 0:36:54.400
<v Speaker 1>You want to have income coming in so you're not

0:36:54.600 --> 0:36:57.960
<v Speaker 1>forced into be an emotional force to seller. Hopefully that

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:00.120
<v Speaker 1>helps you get through the crypto bearer market. How Ever,

0:37:00.200 --> 0:37:02.160
<v Speaker 1>long at last and listening to the Mark Moa show

0:37:02.200 --> 0:37:05.400
<v Speaker 1>talking about the decentralized Revolution talking about bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.

0:37:05.680 --> 0:37:07.600
<v Speaker 1>That's what I got for you today. Thanks for listening.

0:37:07.760 --> 0:37:08.480
<v Speaker 1>Until next time.