Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news the single best idea.
Speaker 1: And we're careful here in the last number of days
Speaker 1: in real conversation among the team about getting the right
Speaker 1: guests on the news in the Eastern Mediterranean over to Tehran.
Speaker 1: We're really working and not getting pundits and what's it
Speaker 1: mean for the election and that, but just people that
Speaker 1: are steeped the region and that have experience as well.
Speaker 1: Robert D. Kaplan has been affiliated with Brookings. He was
Speaker 1: a Eurasia group with Ian Bremer and he is absolutely
Speaker 1: definitive with a series of books. I'm going to say
Speaker 1: ten books, which is basically get out the map and go,
Speaker 1: and that has been his esteemed career. Whether you agree
Speaker 1: or disagree with him, he gets out the map and
Speaker 1: he goes. He visits, He parachutes in to troubled regions
Speaker 1: across all of the globe. The Loom of Time was
Speaker 1: my book of the Year last year. It's just spectacular,
Speaker 1: going from Morocco and Gibraltar all the way over to
Speaker 1: the Fertile Crescent. He has a new effort. I really
Speaker 1: want to emphasize I've never done this before. It's almost
Speaker 1: an election book. It's one hundred and fifteen pages warning.
Speaker 1: Its dense, no mathematics, but a lot of dense thinking,
Speaker 1: taking us from the Greeks forward to how we think today.
Speaker 1: It is the tragic behind fear, fate and the burden
Speaker 1: of power. Robert T. Kep I can't say enough about
Speaker 1: this effort. He visited with us this morning. Robert T.
Speaker 1: Kamplan on how to end the tragedy of the Eastern Mediterranean.
Speaker 2: I think the fate of the Eastern Mediterranean is that
Speaker 2: we will be in this cycle of wars, cease fires,
Speaker 2: negotiations until or is a domestic change in the regime
Speaker 2: inside Iran. Remember, the Cold War ended not because of
Speaker 2: a battle was won or anything international. It ended for
Speaker 2: it because of a domestic reason. The Soviet system collapsed.
Speaker 2: And I think at some point the regime in Iran
Speaker 2: will transform, transition or collapse on its own, not from
Speaker 2: an invasion or anything. And at that point the whole
Speaker 2: Middle East will be different. You'll see diplomatic relations between
Speaker 2: Iran and Israel, lots of other big changes. But the
Speaker 2: key thing to watch here is that if the Israeli
Speaker 2: attack can do something that will the Israeli counterattack can
Speaker 2: do something that will seriously embarrass the regime and Tehran
Speaker 2: in the minds of its own people.
Speaker 1: We continue with the Roberty cap on, a theme that
Speaker 1: we've had over the last number of days of looking
Speaker 1: at it. They're modern politics versus the time of it's
Speaker 1: ak Rabin.
Speaker 2: It'sak Rabin first of all, would not be the leader
Speaker 2: of such a right wing, extreme Israeli government. Yitzhak Rabin
Speaker 2: was comfortable negotiating with people who, frankly, frankly, with Americans
Speaker 2: who frankly, were much smarter than the Biden administration. The
Speaker 2: Biden President. Biden made a big mistake in the last
Speaker 2: forty eight hours. He he said publicly that Israel should
Speaker 2: not attack the Iranian nuclear facilities. That's something you communicate privately,
Speaker 2: not publicly, because you should never tell your enemy what
Speaker 2: you're not gonna do, never take anything off the table.
Speaker 2: Yitzhak Rabin was a really wily operator, and I think
Speaker 2: now he's you know, given this situation right at this moment,
Speaker 2: being would hit Iran very hard. So though rob Bean
Speaker 2: and Neatsanya, who are from two opposite ends of the
Speaker 2: political spectrum in Israel, at this moment, they would be this,
Speaker 2: you know, they would be aligned Robert Kaplan.
Speaker 1: And again I can't say enough about the tragic mind,
Speaker 1: your fate in the burden of power. It's what I'm
Speaker 1: reading right now. Got to slip this in. It's too important.
Speaker 1: Nathan Sheet's with us some City group today. He's really
Speaker 1: good at really high level reports on where we are
Speaker 1: and what we don't know. In the Jobs Day tomorrow
Speaker 1: on Nathan Sheets on the strangeness of our productivity.
Speaker 3: I think at the moment we're seeing very strong productivity growth. Again,
Speaker 3: I'm interpreting that as post pandemic kind of cyclical adjustment.
Speaker 3: But nevertheless, underneath that, I am a productivity poll. I
Speaker 3: think this new AI technology that's being developed is fundamental,
Speaker 3: and I think that out you know, three five, seven years,
Speaker 3: we are likely in the United States and over time
Speaker 3: globally to have a significant productivity devindad on the order
Speaker 3: of what we saw with the integration of the Internet
Speaker 3: in the late nineties.
Speaker 2: So I am polish.
Speaker 3: I think that AI is the real deal.
Speaker 1: Nathan Sheets of City Group there, and of course a
Speaker 1: good overlay into the mysteries of eight thirty tomorrow morning.
Speaker 1: We'll go beneath the headline data. Michael McKee, leading our
Speaker 1: coverage there of a hugely anticipated jobs report. We're on YouTube.
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Speaker 3: NB admits we were interclud in er