1 00:00:02,440 --> 00:00:14,880 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news the single best idea. 2 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: And we're careful here in the last number of days 3 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: in real conversation among the team about getting the right 4 00:00:21,600 --> 00:00:25,800 Speaker 1: guests on the news in the Eastern Mediterranean over to Tehran. 5 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,319 Speaker 1: We're really working and not getting pundits and what's it 6 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,519 Speaker 1: mean for the election and that, but just people that 7 00:00:33,600 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 1: are steeped the region and that have experience as well. 8 00:00:38,479 --> 00:00:41,760 Speaker 1: Robert D. Kaplan has been affiliated with Brookings. He was 9 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: a Eurasia group with Ian Bremer and he is absolutely 10 00:00:45,360 --> 00:00:48,080 Speaker 1: definitive with a series of books. I'm going to say 11 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 1: ten books, which is basically get out the map and go, 12 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:55,480 Speaker 1: and that has been his esteemed career. Whether you agree 13 00:00:55,560 --> 00:00:58,800 Speaker 1: or disagree with him, he gets out the map and 14 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:03,960 Speaker 1: he goes. He visits, He parachutes in to troubled regions 15 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 1: across all of the globe. The Loom of Time was 16 00:01:07,680 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 1: my book of the Year last year. It's just spectacular, 17 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:14,360 Speaker 1: going from Morocco and Gibraltar all the way over to 18 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: the Fertile Crescent. He has a new effort. I really 19 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:20,840 Speaker 1: want to emphasize I've never done this before. It's almost 20 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 1: an election book. It's one hundred and fifteen pages warning. 21 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: Its dense, no mathematics, but a lot of dense thinking, 22 00:01:30,880 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 1: taking us from the Greeks forward to how we think today. 23 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 1: It is the tragic behind fear, fate and the burden 24 00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 1: of power. Robert T. Kep I can't say enough about 25 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:46,280 Speaker 1: this effort. He visited with us this morning. Robert T. 26 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:50,680 Speaker 1: Kamplan on how to end the tragedy of the Eastern Mediterranean. 27 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 2: I think the fate of the Eastern Mediterranean is that 28 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:57,400 Speaker 2: we will be in this cycle of wars, cease fires, 29 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 2: negotiations until or is a domestic change in the regime 30 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 2: inside Iran. Remember, the Cold War ended not because of 31 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 2: a battle was won or anything international. It ended for 32 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:17,120 Speaker 2: it because of a domestic reason. The Soviet system collapsed. 33 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 2: And I think at some point the regime in Iran 34 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:26,079 Speaker 2: will transform, transition or collapse on its own, not from 35 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:30,120 Speaker 2: an invasion or anything. And at that point the whole 36 00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:34,079 Speaker 2: Middle East will be different. You'll see diplomatic relations between 37 00:02:34,120 --> 00:02:38,440 Speaker 2: Iran and Israel, lots of other big changes. But the 38 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:42,440 Speaker 2: key thing to watch here is that if the Israeli 39 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 2: attack can do something that will the Israeli counterattack can 40 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 2: do something that will seriously embarrass the regime and Tehran 41 00:02:52,720 --> 00:02:54,640 Speaker 2: in the minds of its own people. 42 00:02:54,960 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 1: We continue with the Roberty cap on, a theme that 43 00:02:57,040 --> 00:02:59,680 Speaker 1: we've had over the last number of days of looking 44 00:02:59,720 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 1: at it. They're modern politics versus the time of it's 45 00:03:04,080 --> 00:03:04,680 Speaker 1: ak Rabin. 46 00:03:04,880 --> 00:03:07,760 Speaker 2: It'sak Rabin first of all, would not be the leader 47 00:03:07,840 --> 00:03:13,519 Speaker 2: of such a right wing, extreme Israeli government. Yitzhak Rabin 48 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 2: was comfortable negotiating with people who, frankly, frankly, with Americans 49 00:03:21,440 --> 00:03:26,480 Speaker 2: who frankly, were much smarter than the Biden administration. The 50 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 2: Biden President. Biden made a big mistake in the last 51 00:03:30,200 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 2: forty eight hours. He he said publicly that Israel should 52 00:03:34,760 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 2: not attack the Iranian nuclear facilities. That's something you communicate privately, 53 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 2: not publicly, because you should never tell your enemy what 54 00:03:44,600 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 2: you're not gonna do, never take anything off the table. 55 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:53,600 Speaker 2: Yitzhak Rabin was a really wily operator, and I think 56 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: now he's you know, given this situation right at this moment, 57 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:04,200 Speaker 2: being would hit Iran very hard. So though rob Bean 58 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,400 Speaker 2: and Neatsanya, who are from two opposite ends of the 59 00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:12,720 Speaker 2: political spectrum in Israel, at this moment, they would be this, 60 00:04:12,960 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 2: you know, they would be aligned Robert Kaplan. 61 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:18,279 Speaker 1: And again I can't say enough about the tragic mind, 62 00:04:18,839 --> 00:04:20,920 Speaker 1: your fate in the burden of power. It's what I'm 63 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 1: reading right now. Got to slip this in. It's too important. 64 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,559 Speaker 1: Nathan Sheet's with us some City group today. He's really 65 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:31,640 Speaker 1: good at really high level reports on where we are 66 00:04:32,080 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 1: and what we don't know. In the Jobs Day tomorrow 67 00:04:35,520 --> 00:04:39,480 Speaker 1: on Nathan Sheets on the strangeness of our productivity. 68 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 3: I think at the moment we're seeing very strong productivity growth. Again, 69 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:48,840 Speaker 3: I'm interpreting that as post pandemic kind of cyclical adjustment. 70 00:04:49,440 --> 00:04:55,000 Speaker 3: But nevertheless, underneath that, I am a productivity poll. I 71 00:04:55,040 --> 00:04:59,880 Speaker 3: think this new AI technology that's being developed is fundamental, 72 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:04,920 Speaker 3: and I think that out you know, three five, seven years, 73 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 3: we are likely in the United States and over time 74 00:05:08,160 --> 00:05:13,479 Speaker 3: globally to have a significant productivity devindad on the order 75 00:05:13,520 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 3: of what we saw with the integration of the Internet 76 00:05:16,040 --> 00:05:17,040 Speaker 3: in the late nineties. 77 00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:18,520 Speaker 2: So I am polish. 78 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:20,599 Speaker 3: I think that AI is the real deal. 79 00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:23,520 Speaker 1: Nathan Sheets of City Group there, and of course a 80 00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:27,320 Speaker 1: good overlay into the mysteries of eight thirty tomorrow morning. 81 00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:29,800 Speaker 1: We'll go beneath the headline data. Michael McKee, leading our 82 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:35,760 Speaker 1: coverage there of a hugely anticipated jobs report. We're on YouTube. 83 00:05:35,839 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: Subscribe to Bloomberg podcasts on your commute, Apple Car Play, 84 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:43,880 Speaker 1: Android Auto Along the Corridor ninety two nine FM Boston, 85 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 1: ninety nine to one Washington, Our flagship Bloomberg eleven to 86 00:05:48,120 --> 00:05:51,960 Speaker 1: three oh in New York City, where the Mets played tonight. 87 00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:59,919 Speaker 1: This is single best idea. 88 00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 3: NB admits we were interclud in er