1 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:13,760 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. This is the Bloomberg 2 00:00:13,840 --> 00:00:17,920 Speaker 1: Surveillance Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at seven am Eastern 3 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:22,000 Speaker 1: on Apple CarPlay or Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. 4 00:00:22,360 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, or watch 5 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,040 Speaker 1: us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 2: Joining us now with the best newsletter. Note in the 7 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:34,360 Speaker 2: street is Kellye Cox. She is a privilege of working 8 00:00:34,720 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 2: at Ritzhold Wealth Management for surviving their senior management. Kelly 9 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:44,600 Speaker 2: joins us right now, and the note is optimist. Kelly. 10 00:00:45,000 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 2: Let's start there, Kelly Cox, how do you avoid the 11 00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 2: pessivit pessimism that forces people into safety when they've got 12 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 2: actual assumptions that say they need growth. 13 00:00:58,480 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 3: The notes name Tom. I have to give a shout 14 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 3: out to senior management because that was Josh Brown's idea. 15 00:01:04,200 --> 00:01:06,600 Speaker 3: But I think it's a good reflection of how we 16 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,920 Speaker 3: at rid hoolts and personally how I view you know, 17 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:11,880 Speaker 3: markets and the economy. And I think you have to 18 00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,200 Speaker 3: do that based on the burden of proof, right evidence 19 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:18,040 Speaker 3: throughout history that US stocks and the stock market has 20 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,000 Speaker 3: been the only game in town to build wealth and 21 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 3: beat infletion. So my newsletter is all about processing the 22 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,160 Speaker 3: headlines that we see day after day in the context 23 00:01:27,360 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 3: of that super important context. 24 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 2: Do the layoffs that you feature today great charts, by 25 00:01:32,480 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 2: the way, see that at Redholts Wealth Management, Kelly Cox 26 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 2: to the layoffs the trauma of inside the Beltway, Washington. 27 00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:44,800 Speaker 2: Does that lead to diminished consumption which finally slows the 28 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 2: stock market? 29 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:47,200 Speaker 3: You know, I think we have to take a few 30 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 3: steps back here. And I have been on the record 31 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,240 Speaker 3: for years saying that the job market is the engine 32 00:01:52,280 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 3: of the economy. So when you see one of the 33 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 3: biggest job cuts or mass layoffs in history, you have 34 00:01:58,040 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 3: to talk about it no matter where you are in 35 00:01:59,600 --> 00:02:03,600 Speaker 3: the political spectrum. You know these layoffs, and we're also 36 00:02:03,680 --> 00:02:06,680 Speaker 3: getting a sense of how big they are. But the 37 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,079 Speaker 3: reports right now are that you know, most, if not all, 38 00:02:10,160 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 3: of probationary workers in the federal government could have been affected. 39 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 3: That's two hundred thousand people, you know, if that's true, 40 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,359 Speaker 3: plus the buyouts we've seen, plus the hiring freezes we've 41 00:02:20,360 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 3: seen in the federal government, that could have a huge 42 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:26,320 Speaker 3: impact on the job market in DC and consequently on 43 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 3: the job market in America. And yeah, if you think 44 00:02:28,960 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 3: about Americans, you know, we when we make money, we 45 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:34,639 Speaker 3: spend money. Consumer spending is seventy percent of the economy. 46 00:02:34,720 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 3: You should be worried about this. 47 00:02:36,639 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 4: And Tom on that issue. Torsten slock Are from the 48 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:43,040 Speaker 4: Apollo is out with the note tracking the employment rate 49 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:45,880 Speaker 4: in the Creator DC area and I starting to see 50 00:02:45,880 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 4: a tick up a little bit. So he's going to 51 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 4: and it comes to that every every Thursday morning for 52 00:02:49,760 --> 00:02:53,360 Speaker 4: the district in northern parts of Virginia and southern Maryland. 53 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:56,160 Speaker 4: So we'll keep an eye on that. Kelly. So you know, 54 00:02:56,200 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 4: you talked about, you know, kind of the equity markets 55 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,840 Speaker 4: being that the real driver of wealth creation historically, and 56 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 4: actually within the epuity markets, it's been the tech names 57 00:03:04,200 --> 00:03:07,239 Speaker 4: that have been really the sources of our performance here. 58 00:03:07,280 --> 00:03:09,679 Speaker 4: Can that still be the case going forward, whether it's 59 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:12,440 Speaker 4: MAG seven or some broader definition of tech, is that 60 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:13,360 Speaker 4: still going to be a leader? 61 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:13,959 Speaker 5: Well? 62 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:17,000 Speaker 3: Another concept we like talking about at rid Holts a lot, 63 00:03:17,040 --> 00:03:20,040 Speaker 3: and we serve long term clients, right, We're not making 64 00:03:20,080 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 3: trades for a month or even a quarter or a 65 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 3: year ahead. We're thinking five to ten years down the road. 66 00:03:26,040 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 3: But you know something that we preach at rid Holts 67 00:03:28,160 --> 00:03:31,160 Speaker 3: and that I personally believe in is portfolio balance, and 68 00:03:31,280 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 3: I think portfolio balance is going to be the phrase 69 00:03:34,280 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 3: of the year heading into twenty twenty five, and we're 70 00:03:36,760 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 3: already seeing it right. You know, tech is lagging the 71 00:03:40,160 --> 00:03:42,960 Speaker 3: S and P five hundred. The magnificent seven hasn't been 72 00:03:42,960 --> 00:03:47,320 Speaker 3: so magnificent, and it hasn't necessarily been because of fundamental developments. 73 00:03:47,720 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 3: Profits are still growing at a strong pace among big 74 00:03:51,600 --> 00:03:54,880 Speaker 3: tech companies in the tech sector in general, but expectations 75 00:03:54,880 --> 00:03:57,080 Speaker 3: are really high for tech companies right now, and it's 76 00:03:57,080 --> 00:04:01,080 Speaker 3: becoming clear that, you know, they're not the obvious winners 77 00:04:01,120 --> 00:04:03,360 Speaker 3: of this AI story that's propelled them for so long. 78 00:04:03,560 --> 00:04:08,080 Speaker 2: Kelly Cox of Redults Wealth Management, what's the cocks Exubert 79 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:10,600 Speaker 2: meter look like? Kiley? It's been our theme this morning, 80 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:16,120 Speaker 2: huge divergence amongst strategists. But is there a retail exuberants 81 00:04:16,120 --> 00:04:18,200 Speaker 2: out there? Redults is very good at that, aren't you. 82 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:19,080 Speaker 1: Ah. 83 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,000 Speaker 3: So we look at a few different gauges here. The 84 00:04:21,000 --> 00:04:25,760 Speaker 3: one that's my favorite gauge is the AAII gauge of sentiment, 85 00:04:25,800 --> 00:04:27,720 Speaker 3: which was looking a little for toward the end of 86 00:04:27,839 --> 00:04:30,400 Speaker 3: last year, but there's actually been a big swing from 87 00:04:30,400 --> 00:04:34,560 Speaker 3: euphora to euphoria. To you know, some of the biggest 88 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:37,960 Speaker 3: pessimism we've seen in a year and a half, which 89 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:40,240 Speaker 3: I think speaks to the policy uncertainty that we're under 90 00:04:40,320 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 3: right now, you know, the selloff or the relative weakness 91 00:04:44,400 --> 00:04:46,400 Speaker 3: we've seen in tech. You know, I think it's one 92 00:04:46,440 --> 00:04:49,480 Speaker 3: of the interesting, most interesting stories on the market right now, 93 00:04:49,680 --> 00:04:53,200 Speaker 3: because these past few years have been propelled by fear 94 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:54,840 Speaker 3: and pessimism and now it's coming back. 95 00:04:55,800 --> 00:04:58,440 Speaker 4: Kelly, we're almost eighty percent the way through the earning 96 00:04:58,640 --> 00:05:01,560 Speaker 4: season this season. Is there enough earnings growth out there 97 00:05:01,600 --> 00:05:03,600 Speaker 4: to support this market? Based upon what you've seen and 98 00:05:03,640 --> 00:05:06,000 Speaker 4: maybe some some of the guidance we've heard, I think so. 99 00:05:06,040 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 3: And you have to keep this in mind when you're 100 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 3: talking about how the market is overvalued. Yes, valuations are 101 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,240 Speaker 3: quite high, especially in tech, especially in these more growthy names. 102 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,720 Speaker 3: But we are seeing strong profit growth and i'd say 103 00:05:17,720 --> 00:05:21,920 Speaker 3: the strongest profit growth in growth names right now. That 104 00:05:22,040 --> 00:05:24,000 Speaker 3: may not continue. You know, if you look at Wall 105 00:05:24,000 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 3: Street analysts essments, there are expectations that this earnings growth 106 00:05:28,040 --> 00:05:31,040 Speaker 3: will broaden out to other sectors, in fact as soon 107 00:05:31,160 --> 00:05:33,720 Speaker 3: as this quarter and the next earning season. So if 108 00:05:33,760 --> 00:05:36,599 Speaker 3: that's the case, then I would expect other sectors to 109 00:05:37,080 --> 00:05:39,520 Speaker 3: play catch up in markets, and that's one of the 110 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:41,440 Speaker 3: reasons why we're preaching portfolio balance. 111 00:05:41,560 --> 00:05:44,000 Speaker 2: But it's not broadened out. What it's really about is 112 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:47,360 Speaker 2: a huge body of people that aren't in the market. 113 00:05:47,720 --> 00:05:49,680 Speaker 2: What do you advise to the cash crowd? 114 00:05:50,040 --> 00:05:52,160 Speaker 3: You're right, Tom, you know there's a lot of cash 115 00:05:52,200 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 3: on the sidelines right now, in an unusual amount considering 116 00:05:56,000 --> 00:05:58,200 Speaker 3: how well the stock market has done over the past 117 00:05:58,200 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 3: two years. I get it. If you're getting four percent 118 00:06:01,000 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 3: on your savings account right now and the world feels uncertain, 119 00:06:03,480 --> 00:06:07,240 Speaker 3: then yeah, you probably like the comfort of cash right now. 120 00:06:07,279 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 3: But I think you have to be very intentional with 121 00:06:10,120 --> 00:06:12,719 Speaker 3: your cash balances. At the moment, I think cash looks 122 00:06:12,920 --> 00:06:15,600 Speaker 3: like more of an attractive hedge than it did possibly 123 00:06:15,640 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 3: a year ago, because it looks like rates will stay 124 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 3: relatively sturdy. But again, stocks are your path to building 125 00:06:21,960 --> 00:06:23,840 Speaker 3: wealth and beeting inflation. You can't forget that. 126 00:06:24,040 --> 00:06:27,720 Speaker 2: Optimist Kelly. Thank you so much. Kelly Cox with Rutult's 127 00:06:28,120 --> 00:06:34,320 Speaker 2: wealth manager. 128 00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:38,440 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Surveillance podcast. Catch us Live 129 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:41,640 Speaker 1: weekday afternoons from seven to ten am Eastern Listen on 130 00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: Applecarplay and Android otto with the Bloomberg Business app or 131 00:06:45,560 --> 00:06:47,040 Speaker 1: watch us live on YouTube. 132 00:06:47,040 --> 00:06:51,599 Speaker 2: Mark Champion with Bloomberg Opinion and of course Encyclopedic on 133 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 2: the continent of Europe. Mark, I want you to give 134 00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:59,320 Speaker 2: me an arc of the moment in Europe. I take 135 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:03,040 Speaker 2: great of events, whatever anyone's in politics with a British 136 00:07:03,120 --> 00:07:07,919 Speaker 2: newspaper giving me Neville Chamberlain at Munich and whatever is 137 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:12,520 Speaker 2: going on. Now, what's your analogue with all your excellent 138 00:07:12,560 --> 00:07:15,640 Speaker 2: smart Champion to where we are right now? 139 00:07:16,240 --> 00:07:21,000 Speaker 6: Well, I think the better analogue is what President Putin 140 00:07:22,400 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 6: did in two thousand and seven at the very same 141 00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:30,000 Speaker 6: conference in Munich that Vice President Vance spoke at, and 142 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,640 Speaker 6: you know this weekend, and you know what he did 143 00:07:33,680 --> 00:07:36,960 Speaker 6: there was to just you know, put the West in general, 144 00:07:37,000 --> 00:07:41,080 Speaker 6: Europe and the United States unnoticed that he was not 145 00:07:41,320 --> 00:07:44,960 Speaker 6: going to play by their rules anymore. That he felt 146 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:48,200 Speaker 6: that you know, Russia had been cheated and that he 147 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:52,800 Speaker 6: was going to assert Russian interests from now on any 148 00:07:52,840 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 6: way that he felt was necessary. And you know, you've 149 00:07:58,880 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 6: a year later you had war in Georgia, You've then 150 00:08:01,520 --> 00:08:03,160 Speaker 6: had you know, war was in Crime, et cetera. So 151 00:08:03,200 --> 00:08:07,360 Speaker 6: it was very consequential what happened this time was essentially 152 00:08:07,400 --> 00:08:10,480 Speaker 6: the United States saying to Europe, we are no longer 153 00:08:10,520 --> 00:08:14,920 Speaker 6: on the same page. We are, you know, no longer 154 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:18,960 Speaker 6: going to give you the sort of you know, total 155 00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:21,760 Speaker 6: security guarantees that you have enjoyed since the end of 156 00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,600 Speaker 6: the Cold War, since before, you know, during the Cold War, 157 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,680 Speaker 6: and you know, we're going to move on from here. 158 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:31,200 Speaker 6: He also talked about, you know, why it is that 159 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:33,719 Speaker 6: he thought that, you know, Europe and the US were 160 00:08:33,800 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 6: no longer you know, shared values, and he got involved 161 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:41,920 Speaker 6: in trying to you know, determine who the next you know, 162 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,680 Speaker 6: leaders of Germany should be. So it was a big 163 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:48,360 Speaker 6: shock for Europe and may well prove you know, consequential 164 00:08:48,440 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 6: as two thouven thousand and seven did. 165 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:52,720 Speaker 2: And listen this language, Paul, this is from memory Horden. 166 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:57,920 Speaker 2: This is a state department readout established a consultation mechanism 167 00:08:58,520 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 2: to address irritants to our bilateral relationship. Now that sounds 168 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:07,000 Speaker 2: like I'm talking to a seventeen year old daughter named 169 00:09:07,000 --> 00:09:10,319 Speaker 2: after that, But you know, I mean that language, Paul, 170 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:14,480 Speaker 2: is so vague to address irritants exactly. 171 00:09:14,760 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 4: So Mark, where does that leave NATO? 172 00:09:19,600 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 6: Well, I mean, you know, so NATO is is you know, 173 00:09:23,280 --> 00:09:25,720 Speaker 6: at the same time, you know, as people always say, 174 00:09:25,760 --> 00:09:28,840 Speaker 6: the most successful alliance in history, et cetera. But it 175 00:09:28,920 --> 00:09:31,319 Speaker 6: is based on something that was always very fragile, which 176 00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:35,400 Speaker 6: is the faith in Article five. The faith that you know, 177 00:09:35,440 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 6: if one country is attacked, no matter how small that 178 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 6: member of NATO, if it's attacked, then you know, the 179 00:09:43,040 --> 00:09:45,920 Speaker 6: rest of NATO and that you know, most importantly, the 180 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:50,120 Speaker 6: United States would pile in to defend them. And so 181 00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:53,839 Speaker 6: what you the real kind of worry for Europe in 182 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:57,160 Speaker 6: this kind of talk is that, you know, what you're 183 00:09:57,160 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 6: really saying is we're not sure about Article five. And 184 00:10:02,360 --> 00:10:06,400 Speaker 6: you know, it's not just whether Estonia or Poland believes 185 00:10:06,440 --> 00:10:08,480 Speaker 6: in you know, that that's the case, and that they 186 00:10:08,559 --> 00:10:10,679 Speaker 6: know not. They start to be worried about whether they 187 00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,520 Speaker 6: really the US really has their back if Russia was 188 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:18,080 Speaker 6: ever to attack them. It also, even more importantly, is 189 00:10:18,120 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 6: where the Russia believes that that security guarantee remains, because 190 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,800 Speaker 6: it is it's you know, the most importantly, it is 191 00:10:25,840 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 6: a deterrent. It was you know, the whole purpose of 192 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 6: nature was never had to have to fight the former 193 00:10:30,880 --> 00:10:34,320 Speaker 6: Soviet Union or you know, anyone else after the fall 194 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:39,000 Speaker 6: of the Soviet Union. So that is what really worries 195 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:40,000 Speaker 6: people in Europe. 196 00:10:40,840 --> 00:10:44,200 Speaker 4: So Mark, if that were to be the case, is 197 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 4: there a belief within the European Union that the states 198 00:10:48,240 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 4: the countries can in fact step up their defense spending 199 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:54,439 Speaker 4: and make up for some of the American support. 200 00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:58,480 Speaker 6: Well, I mean that's what they're talking about trying to 201 00:10:58,520 --> 00:11:01,680 Speaker 6: do now. It's always been possible. The problem is that 202 00:11:01,679 --> 00:11:04,120 Speaker 6: they've known that they needed to do this for more 203 00:11:04,160 --> 00:11:07,040 Speaker 6: than a decade. They have increased their defense spending a 204 00:11:07,080 --> 00:11:10,840 Speaker 6: lot in recent years, but nowhere near enough, and they 205 00:11:10,880 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 6: started far too late. They've also are not very efficient 206 00:11:14,559 --> 00:11:16,960 Speaker 6: in the way that they do it, and therefore they 207 00:11:17,920 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 6: have to recognize they do recognize that they still are 208 00:11:20,800 --> 00:11:22,800 Speaker 6: not able to defend themselves without the US. 209 00:11:23,120 --> 00:11:24,760 Speaker 2: Mark. I got to squeeze this in. I think it's 210 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:27,800 Speaker 2: too important. One of the fourteen threads of this over 211 00:11:27,840 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 2: the weekend is that the US or whoever will exit 212 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:39,679 Speaker 2: the Baltic Region, the Baltic States, defense of the three Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, 213 00:11:39,960 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 2: that we will hold Finland less protected. How will mister 214 00:11:44,520 --> 00:11:47,560 Speaker 2: Putin respond to that? Is that, like the gift of 215 00:11:47,640 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 2: gods to the Tsar of Russia. 216 00:11:51,800 --> 00:11:55,719 Speaker 6: Yes, in a word, you know, it's slightly more complicated 217 00:11:55,720 --> 00:11:58,480 Speaker 6: than that. He's I think quite unlikely to go after Finland. 218 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:03,000 Speaker 6: Finland's actually quite well protected. You know, it has more 219 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:07,120 Speaker 6: artillery pieces than Germany, France and the UK combined, for example. 220 00:12:08,360 --> 00:12:11,480 Speaker 6: And so but if you know, the Baltic States are 221 00:12:11,520 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 6: another matter. You know, they in terms of sort of 222 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:16,160 Speaker 6: share of GDP, one could say that they you know, 223 00:12:16,200 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 6: they spend pretty decently, but they are tiny, and they 224 00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:24,600 Speaker 6: are definitely you know, in what Putin considers as the 225 00:12:24,679 --> 00:12:27,920 Speaker 6: proper sphere of influence of Russia. So you know, if 226 00:12:27,920 --> 00:12:31,000 Speaker 6: it succeeds in Ukraine, he will be interested in Moldova, 227 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:33,440 Speaker 6: for example, he will be interested in the Baltic States. 228 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:36,760 Speaker 6: How he does that, whether by hybrid means, you know, 229 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,280 Speaker 6: by different kinds of coercion, whether he just invades that, 230 00:12:40,600 --> 00:12:43,000 Speaker 6: you know, But I think the real concern for them 231 00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 6: would be that that the logical place if he wants 232 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:50,120 Speaker 6: to test whether Article five really exists anymore. 233 00:12:50,120 --> 00:12:52,720 Speaker 2: Not enough time, merch champions, Thank you for your work. 234 00:12:52,840 --> 00:12:56,080 Speaker 2: Twenty four hours seven work to explain all of this 235 00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 2: for all of us across America is just huge value 236 00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:02,480 Speaker 2: added with opinion. Look for Mark Champion. I'll get his 237 00:13:02,559 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 2: work out on social here as I can through the morning. 238 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 239 00:13:10,960 --> 00:13:14,360 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto 240 00:13:14,400 --> 00:13:17,360 Speaker 1: with the Bloomberg Business App. You can also listen live 241 00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:21,000 Speaker 1: on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. Just 242 00:13:21,040 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 1: say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 243 00:13:24,120 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 2: This is important and that we have Tobin Marcus with us. 244 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 2: He's had a policy at Wolf Research, but far more 245 00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 2: than that, we stood the White House within the Biden administration, 246 00:13:35,640 --> 00:13:40,320 Speaker 2: providing policy and economic perspective. He's qualified, given the way 247 00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 2: your head spinning in my head spinning because he's out 248 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:47,600 Speaker 2: of physics at Brown University. I remember sitting in quantum 249 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:53,120 Speaker 2: mechanics surviving Schroeder equations, and then Heisenberg showed up. How 250 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:56,720 Speaker 2: dare he? And there's an uncertainty principle. Now, if you 251 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:59,680 Speaker 2: have two particles, you can focus on one, but the 252 00:13:59,679 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 2: moment you focus on one, you lose sight of the other. 253 00:14:03,160 --> 00:14:07,439 Speaker 2: A whole important idea within the magic of quantum mechanics. 254 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:13,079 Speaker 2: Tell me the quantum mechanics now of our diplomatic efforts 255 00:14:13,120 --> 00:14:16,679 Speaker 2: in America. We can focus on one thing, but then 256 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 2: the other things drift away, as seems instantly. 257 00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,480 Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean, look, the focus is I think shifting rapidly. 258 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:27,360 Speaker 7: The Europeans trying to get their their heads around it. 259 00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:29,600 Speaker 7: But I mean, coming out of the Trump administration, we're 260 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:31,920 Speaker 7: seeing certainly an attempt to move forward on a lot 261 00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 7: of different dimensions. Simultaneously, we have obviously this diplomatic effort 262 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 7: out of Ukraine. You know, the Europeans simultaneously are very 263 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:41,360 Speaker 7: very concerned about what Trump's terif role out last week 264 00:14:41,720 --> 00:14:43,920 Speaker 7: could mean for them. You know, it's a lot of 265 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:44,560 Speaker 7: moving pieces. 266 00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,720 Speaker 2: So you were with a Biden administration, would you suggest 267 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:51,120 Speaker 2: that the Biden administration did not move forward? 268 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:54,720 Speaker 7: I was, I worked for Biden the Obama administration, so 269 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:56,520 Speaker 7: somewhat longer ago, Oka. 270 00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:59,640 Speaker 2: But did they not move forward? I mean is what 271 00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:03,000 Speaker 2: we're going now is initiative. If I'm a Trump supporter, 272 00:15:03,080 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 2: I'm saying, look, we've got an initiative now. 273 00:15:05,400 --> 00:15:08,480 Speaker 7: Yes, I mean, certainly, I think the latter stages of 274 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:11,680 Speaker 7: the divided administration were somewhat listless. You know, they came 275 00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:14,920 Speaker 7: in with a lot of ideas. Were you know, faced 276 00:15:15,040 --> 00:15:17,160 Speaker 7: a challenging global landscape, but you know, certainly you look 277 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,320 Speaker 7: at places like Ukraine, I don't think that we saw 278 00:15:20,360 --> 00:15:22,720 Speaker 7: a lot of progress over the course of the past 279 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:24,680 Speaker 7: couple of years, sort of theory of the case after 280 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,440 Speaker 7: the big you know, counter offensive that they tried to 281 00:15:26,480 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 7: prepare the Ukrainians for, which didn't really succeed. You know, 282 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:32,200 Speaker 7: I think mostly we were kind of holding ground for 283 00:15:32,240 --> 00:15:33,000 Speaker 7: the past few years. 284 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 4: So I guess one of the bigger issues that we're 285 00:15:35,960 --> 00:15:37,440 Speaker 4: all coming to grips with over the last couple of 286 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:40,840 Speaker 4: days is just kind of transatlantic relationship that has been 287 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:44,640 Speaker 4: in place since the end of World War Two, you know, 288 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:48,960 Speaker 4: against maybe you know, to challenge the USSR now Russia. 289 00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:52,680 Speaker 4: Is that fundamentally changing now right before our eyes. 290 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:56,160 Speaker 7: Yeah, certainly the incoming administration does not look very you know, 291 00:15:56,400 --> 00:16:00,480 Speaker 7: trans atlanticist. They're you know, they're looking at our alliances 292 00:16:00,480 --> 00:16:02,680 Speaker 7: in Europe through a lens of American self interest, and 293 00:16:02,720 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 7: I think they're not convinced that the current set of 294 00:16:05,880 --> 00:16:08,520 Speaker 7: structures that we have in places is really serving us. 295 00:16:09,040 --> 00:16:10,880 Speaker 4: So where does Europe go from here? 296 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:11,200 Speaker 6: Do you think? 297 00:16:11,200 --> 00:16:13,560 Speaker 4: Because it appears like the US policy seems to be 298 00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:16,600 Speaker 4: pretty clear here in terms of we're going to drive 299 00:16:16,600 --> 00:16:18,600 Speaker 4: this ship and if you want to come on board, great. 300 00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:20,040 Speaker 4: So how does Europe respond? 301 00:16:20,040 --> 00:16:22,040 Speaker 7: Do you think, Yeah, they're really I don't know that 302 00:16:22,200 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 7: the Europeans have the level of internal cohesion that they 303 00:16:24,720 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 7: need to formulate and sort of alternative strategy. I mean, 304 00:16:27,120 --> 00:16:29,120 Speaker 7: there's been lots of talk for years now about the 305 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:32,080 Speaker 7: European Union emerging as a full spectrum geopolitical actor, but 306 00:16:32,360 --> 00:16:33,880 Speaker 7: you know, thus far they've not really been able to 307 00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:34,640 Speaker 7: get out of their own way. 308 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 2: My essay the Weekend off Mario Dragy's Chathamhouse work of 309 00:16:39,200 --> 00:16:42,200 Speaker 2: six seven months ago was a brilliant essay in the 310 00:16:42,320 --> 00:16:46,320 Speaker 2: Ft where he said Europe has self inflicted service sector 311 00:16:46,400 --> 00:16:49,560 Speaker 2: tariffs with all their regulation, which he and his team 312 00:16:49,640 --> 00:16:53,960 Speaker 2: calculate out to thirty forty even forty five percent tariffs. 313 00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:58,360 Speaker 2: The zeitgeist this morning is the markets are okay because 314 00:16:58,440 --> 00:17:02,480 Speaker 2: tariffs don't affects. Do you agree with that summary? 315 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:05,320 Speaker 7: Well, they certainly haven't affected markets a lot so far. 316 00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 7: It's been striking the extent to which markets have looked 317 00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:09,399 Speaker 7: through them, even you know the China piece that actually 318 00:17:09,440 --> 00:17:11,840 Speaker 7: already happened. It's equivalent in scale to the entire twenty 319 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:14,399 Speaker 7: eighteen twenty nineteen China trade war, and we shrugged it 320 00:17:14,440 --> 00:17:17,560 Speaker 7: off completely in markets because we didn't simultaneously do twenty 321 00:17:17,560 --> 00:17:20,560 Speaker 7: five percent on Canada and Mexico. But you look forward, 322 00:17:20,800 --> 00:17:24,240 Speaker 7: the reciprocal tariff rollout last week was greeted with relief 323 00:17:24,280 --> 00:17:26,520 Speaker 7: because it wasn't taking effect right away. We never thought 324 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:28,280 Speaker 7: it was going to take effect right away. But the 325 00:17:28,359 --> 00:17:31,080 Speaker 7: numbers that we could get spin out if we're looking 326 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,680 Speaker 7: at vats alongside tariffs, are incredibly high. I mean they're 327 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:35,880 Speaker 7: north of what Trump was talking about on the campaign trail. 328 00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 7: You're looking at twenty thirty percent tariffs all in on 329 00:17:38,720 --> 00:17:40,439 Speaker 7: a lot of these countries if you're just adding up 330 00:17:40,480 --> 00:17:43,720 Speaker 7: their tariffs and their vats. So I think it's a 331 00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:45,560 Speaker 7: little premature to be too too relieved. 332 00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 4: So what are you telling your clients these days about 333 00:17:48,640 --> 00:17:52,159 Speaker 4: the inflation risk associated potentially with tariffs with changes in 334 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:52,800 Speaker 4: immigration law? 335 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 3: Forgether? 336 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 7: Yeah, no, certainly. I mean they're both sacflationary shocks of 337 00:17:56,880 --> 00:18:00,280 Speaker 7: different extents. On immigration, there's been a lot of spuiled 338 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:04,000 Speaker 7: about deportation. I think it's been someone underappreciated. You know, 339 00:18:04,000 --> 00:18:05,479 Speaker 7: what's going to happen to people who are already here 340 00:18:05,520 --> 00:18:07,400 Speaker 7: who stand to lose their work rent. So the big, 341 00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 7: big impact there. And on tariffs, I mean, look like 342 00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:12,320 Speaker 7: we have what's already happened on China that's meaningful, but 343 00:18:12,359 --> 00:18:15,119 Speaker 7: not world changing. If he goes through and does exactly 344 00:18:15,160 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 7: what he said last week underciprocolar tariffs, that's very inflation. 345 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 2: So quickly folded into Wolf Research is belief in the 346 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:24,760 Speaker 2: equity market. Do they take the world of Tobin Marcus 347 00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:28,240 Speaker 2: and say we cannot ignore it, but we can at 348 00:18:28,359 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 2: least prosper within this maelstream. 349 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:33,440 Speaker 7: Yeah, No, we're not. We're not sort of market wide 350 00:18:33,480 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 7: bears on equities. I think things can continue working. They 351 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,440 Speaker 7: certainly have so far. You know, from a raids perspective, 352 00:18:39,520 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 7: we're at no FED cuts this year for sure. I 353 00:18:42,359 --> 00:18:44,520 Speaker 7: think that's that's one impact that we're seeing clearly in 354 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,879 Speaker 7: terms of what this all adds up to. Ongoing debate. 355 00:18:47,920 --> 00:18:50,320 Speaker 2: But that's what we're fascinating. Come back tomorrow when the 356 00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:54,040 Speaker 2: news completely changes. Tobin Marcus for this Wolf Research here 357 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:54,639 Speaker 2: this morning. 358 00:19:01,080 --> 00:19:05,000 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast. Listen live each weekday 359 00:19:05,040 --> 00:19:08,359 Speaker 1: starting at seven am Eastern on Apple Corclay and Android auto. 360 00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:11,280 Speaker 1: With the Bloomberg Business app. You can also watch us 361 00:19:11,320 --> 00:19:15,240 Speaker 1: live every weekday on YouTube and always on the Bloomberg terminal. 362 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:17,399 Speaker 2: The daily look at the front page is a Leasa 363 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:21,440 Speaker 2: Matteo hour and now a two hour newspapers because there's 364 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:23,800 Speaker 2: that much news. Slowertius start. 365 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:26,800 Speaker 5: Well, not sure if you notice on your Google Maps, 366 00:19:26,800 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 5: but the Gulf of Mexico now reads Gulf of America. 367 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:33,879 Speaker 5: You could see it now. Mexico though now threatening to 368 00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:36,480 Speaker 5: sue Google over the name change. You know, it all 369 00:19:36,520 --> 00:19:40,200 Speaker 5: started because of president from Executive Water to change the name. 370 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,479 Speaker 5: But during a news conference yesterday you had Mexican's president 371 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:45,639 Speaker 5: started talking about this. She said, a lot of the 372 00:19:45,640 --> 00:19:48,680 Speaker 5: body of water, Yeah, it's Olexide and you see it right, 373 00:19:49,200 --> 00:19:51,720 Speaker 5: see it's in the US. You could see that. But 374 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:53,679 Speaker 5: she's saying is that a lot of the body of 375 00:19:53,720 --> 00:19:57,159 Speaker 5: water lies outside the US maritime borders, in regions that 376 00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:00,679 Speaker 5: are controlled by Mexico in Cuba. And she says executive 377 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,479 Speaker 5: orders to rename it only applied to those in the 378 00:20:03,600 --> 00:20:07,320 Speaker 5: US Continental Shelf. So that's what she is arguing back 379 00:20:07,359 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 5: and forth. 380 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:10,640 Speaker 2: Encyclopedia Britannica said, now we're not going to do that. 381 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:12,399 Speaker 2: They didn't do it, and I think I don't know 382 00:20:12,400 --> 00:20:14,760 Speaker 2: where AP is. I believe they've also said that we're 383 00:20:14,800 --> 00:20:15,439 Speaker 2: not going to do that. 384 00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:16,280 Speaker 5: They have not yet. 385 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:17,120 Speaker 2: I have no idea. 386 00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:18,680 Speaker 5: They're not allowed on air farms either. 387 00:20:18,720 --> 00:20:19,760 Speaker 6: How you do that? 388 00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 4: I mean, I didn't know how they came up with 389 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:23,720 Speaker 4: the Gulf of Mexico versus Golf of America to do 390 00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:26,520 Speaker 4: some research on that. But it is about the territorial waters. 391 00:20:26,560 --> 00:20:28,800 Speaker 4: I think Mexico has more centers of. 392 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:32,440 Speaker 2: The territorial Mexico and Cube is enormous, like Cuba goes 393 00:20:32,440 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 2: way over to the west. 394 00:20:33,560 --> 00:20:33,800 Speaker 6: Yep. 395 00:20:35,119 --> 00:20:36,640 Speaker 5: Yeah, but now it's a battle. 396 00:20:37,720 --> 00:20:39,080 Speaker 2: It the golf of Jimmy Buffett. 397 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:42,080 Speaker 4: That would be perfect straight went over. 398 00:20:42,960 --> 00:20:45,640 Speaker 5: We've been talking about right, the bird flew spreading from 399 00:20:45,680 --> 00:20:50,320 Speaker 5: birds to chickens to cows, and now scientists are saying, well, 400 00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:54,520 Speaker 5: maybe it could be coming from more humans. There's been 401 00:20:54,640 --> 00:20:57,560 Speaker 5: more dairy farmers about sixty eight confirmed cases and people, 402 00:20:57,640 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 5: but they're mostly dairy farmers, and now veterinarians who cared 403 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:05,080 Speaker 5: for the cows are contracting it. So what they're saying 404 00:21:05,119 --> 00:21:07,480 Speaker 5: is that scientists are worried because it hasn't really spread 405 00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:11,000 Speaker 5: from human to human transmission. So that's where they think 406 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,639 Speaker 5: things could change. And if you know, it could happen 407 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:17,679 Speaker 5: because we're in the worst flu season, so you have that, 408 00:21:17,680 --> 00:21:20,440 Speaker 5: it could raise it possibly this new more infectious blue 409 00:21:20,880 --> 00:21:24,600 Speaker 5: bird flu strain because we're in such an infectious flu season. 410 00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,879 Speaker 2: Can I do something dumb? What if you get bird 411 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:28,720 Speaker 2: flow flu? 412 00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:29,520 Speaker 5: It's correct? 413 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,520 Speaker 2: Is it like a three day I've got the plague? 414 00:21:31,560 --> 00:21:33,560 Speaker 2: I can't go to work? Or is it more serious? 415 00:21:33,720 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 5: I don't know if it's more serious. But what they're 416 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:37,639 Speaker 5: saying the problem is that the Federal Gunman has this 417 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:41,400 Speaker 5: limited stockpile of vaccines if you were to get it, 418 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:43,920 Speaker 5: so that could be an issue if it starts spreading 419 00:21:43,920 --> 00:21:44,880 Speaker 5: to more humans. 420 00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:46,919 Speaker 2: I'm not up to speed on this other than I 421 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 2: can't buy eggs right? When can we not buy milk? 422 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:54,199 Speaker 2: I mean, what's you know? Does it go over to cows? 423 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:55,280 Speaker 2: Like you say milk? 424 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:56,360 Speaker 5: It's time? 425 00:21:56,960 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 2: Don't do eggs right, let's go up. 426 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 5: The at Costco. They did have the brown eggs only, 427 00:22:05,000 --> 00:22:06,560 Speaker 5: and everyone was scrambling for them. 428 00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:10,439 Speaker 2: It was like and you were you were fried because 429 00:22:10,480 --> 00:22:11,240 Speaker 2: you were last. 430 00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:14,680 Speaker 4: Paul poached? 431 00:22:14,880 --> 00:22:17,479 Speaker 2: Okay last quickly? Uh? 432 00:22:18,720 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 5: How to say, fit past one hundred years old without 433 00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:26,439 Speaker 5: going to the gym. Okay, so this take notes, Okay, 434 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:29,439 Speaker 5: because business insiders spoke to centenarians and they say that 435 00:22:29,480 --> 00:22:31,439 Speaker 5: they did a couple of things. So what you have 436 00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:33,880 Speaker 5: to do is you have to walk a lot more 437 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:37,240 Speaker 5: so outside up and down the hallway, go to Walmart, 438 00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 5: walk the walk the aisles, whatever you do. You have 439 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 5: to cycle instead of driving, Okay, even if it's like 440 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,239 Speaker 5: a stationary bike. If you can't drive, you know at 441 00:22:46,240 --> 00:22:49,760 Speaker 5: that age, all right, you can get on the peloton, Paul. Okay, 442 00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:52,639 Speaker 5: make it a social thing, so join like a club, 443 00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:53,879 Speaker 5: like a bowling. 444 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:57,280 Speaker 4: Club, Paul, Centenarians are there out there. 445 00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:00,919 Speaker 5: There is more than you think to be amaz. So 446 00:23:00,960 --> 00:23:03,520 Speaker 5: they're basically saying these things because they're saying, here's what 447 00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:06,479 Speaker 5: we've been doing over the past, you know, ten twenty years, 448 00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:08,360 Speaker 5: and that's why we're living so long. 449 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 2: Paul and I are just trying to get through a 450 00:23:10,320 --> 00:23:13,760 Speaker 2: Tuesday morning. It's twelve degrees outact and you just seemed 451 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,240 Speaker 2: glad all over. I mean, I don't know what to say, Lisa. 452 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:18,760 Speaker 4: You just you know, she's so glad he's with them. 453 00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:20,920 Speaker 5: Yeah, you gotta keep moving. 454 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:24,520 Speaker 2: Lisa Matteo with the newspapers. Thank you so much. 455 00:23:24,720 --> 00:23:29,560 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Surveillance Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify, 456 00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:33,960 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each weekday, 457 00:23:34,119 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: seven to ten am Easter and on Bloomberg dot com, 458 00:23:37,480 --> 00:23:41,280 Speaker 1: the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business app. 459 00:23:41,600 --> 00:23:44,720 Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube 460 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:47,000 Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal