WEBVTT - Super Bowl Secrets 0:00:01.080 --> 0:00:04.760 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:06.920 --> 0:00:11.160 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:11.240 --> 0:00:15.200 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:15.240 --> 0:00:17.960 whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. 0:00:18.400 --> 0:00:20.400 Now here's your host, Paul Archian. 0:00:21.440 --> 0:00:24.919 It's a Super Bowl edition of Fantasy Football Weekly. I 0:00:24.960 --> 0:00:29.000 am Paul Charchian. Co host today Brian Johnson. 0:00:29.080 --> 0:00:31.080 Hey, buddy, what up charge? 0:00:31.200 --> 0:00:34.400 I just dusted off my notes from two years ago 0:00:34.440 --> 0:00:34.800 when we. 0:00:34.720 --> 0:00:38.319 Did just repeat that. 0:00:39.479 --> 0:00:43.760 It wasn't a little Saquon Barkley of course. Yeah, and 0:00:43.840 --> 0:00:48.080 we gotta we gotta do over. Yeah, we're excited. Yay 0:00:48.280 --> 0:00:48.880 super Bowl. 0:00:49.520 --> 0:00:53.000 Yeah, Jeeves, I am excited about the super good game. 0:00:54.040 --> 0:00:58.240 It's not the teams people wanted, not that you know, 0:00:58.640 --> 0:01:00.000 But no, I don't have a problem. 0:01:00.240 --> 0:01:01.520 I do think the best team in. 0:01:01.520 --> 0:01:04.240 The AFC, although I thought I thought Buffalo was better, 0:01:04.280 --> 0:01:06.600 but they lost. The best team in the AFC and 0:01:06.600 --> 0:01:08.160 the best team in the NFC you're playing each other. 0:01:08.200 --> 0:01:11.400 I don't have a problem with that. It's the Catches. 0:01:11.680 --> 0:01:15.320 It's just fatigue, right, we have Chiefs fatigue and the 0:01:15.880 --> 0:01:18.679 Eagles have been here three times in whatever six years, 0:01:18.720 --> 0:01:19.680 seven years. 0:01:20.400 --> 0:01:22.640 And we don't have to beat around the bush or 0:01:22.760 --> 0:01:25.039 avoid the elephant in the room or whatever it's. It's 0:01:25.080 --> 0:01:27.440 it's very hard to root for a Philadelphia team if 0:01:27.440 --> 0:01:32.000 you're not from Philadelphia. Sorry, Philadelphians, that's just the way 0:01:32.000 --> 0:01:36.760 the cookie crumbles. We know, not everyone in Philly is 0:01:36.800 --> 0:01:39.559 the guy yelling the Sea word at the Packers fans, 0:01:39.640 --> 0:01:44.280 but that's your image and it will forever be that way. 0:01:44.360 --> 0:01:49.000 So ah, yeah, look, they get that. 0:01:49.080 --> 0:01:51.920 I would just last night I did a long podcast 0:01:51.960 --> 0:01:56.120 with some friends from Philadelphia and Degenerate Dungeon. 0:01:56.120 --> 0:01:57.320 You should look it up. It's a good it's a 0:01:57.360 --> 0:02:00.320 good bit. And they know that. 0:02:00.520 --> 0:02:03.640 I mean, they're self aware enough to know that how 0:02:03.800 --> 0:02:06.360 the rest of the world sees Eagles fans and that 0:02:06.640 --> 0:02:09.720 you know that there's a certain amount of disdain there 0:02:10.000 --> 0:02:11.000 for a lot of people. 0:02:11.680 --> 0:02:14.520 That's just that's it, that's how it goes. They get it. 0:02:15.280 --> 0:02:16.480 Well. At the end of the day, we got a 0:02:16.520 --> 0:02:20.240 close game, one and a half points spread, so wrong 0:02:20.280 --> 0:02:24.000 team favor Yeah, so right now, right now, the Chiefs 0:02:24.000 --> 0:02:26.600 are favored. You think it's the I'm with you. I 0:02:26.639 --> 0:02:28.640 think it should be the the Eagles. It should just 0:02:28.639 --> 0:02:31.480 be you should be a coin flip. Really, but uh yeah, 0:02:31.560 --> 0:02:34.239 one and a half on on DraftKings right now. Kind 0:02:34.240 --> 0:02:36.600 of the the gold standard, I guess you can say 0:02:36.600 --> 0:02:39.800 when it comes to the lines, so uh but yeah, 0:02:39.440 --> 0:02:42.680 I'm taking those points. I'm just going money line. There's 0:02:42.680 --> 0:02:44.680 no point in taking if you like the one and 0:02:44.680 --> 0:02:45.920 a half with the Eagles, you just you. 0:02:46.160 --> 0:02:48.720 Just take the money line, right because it's unlikely that 0:02:48.800 --> 0:02:52.320 you need the one and a half points. I feel 0:02:52.360 --> 0:02:54.799 so strongly on the Eagle side, although you may change 0:02:54.800 --> 0:02:57.359 my mind today, you're gonna you're gonna break down the 0:02:57.360 --> 0:02:57.760 Eagle side. 0:02:57.760 --> 0:03:00.320 I'm gonna break down the Chief side. I'm so strongly 0:03:00.440 --> 0:03:02.000 on Eagles. 0:03:01.639 --> 0:03:04.000 That were I in a state, if I lived in 0:03:04.040 --> 0:03:06.240 a state where I could place a legal wager, my 0:03:06.560 --> 0:03:12.720 wagering would be Eagles money line, Eagles giving five and 0:03:12.760 --> 0:03:16.080 a half points, Eagles giving nine and a half points, 0:03:16.080 --> 0:03:17.280 and Eagles giving. 0:03:17.080 --> 0:03:18.360 Thirteen and a half points. 0:03:18.880 --> 0:03:22.799 I think, I think there is the chance of an 0:03:22.800 --> 0:03:25.400 Eagles blowout in this game. 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.680 All right, let me what, but you might change our mind. 0:03:29.720 --> 0:03:33.799 I mean, the Eagles giving thirteen and a half with that. 0:03:33.680 --> 0:03:37.800 Gets you plus six sixty. I believe if I've got 0:03:37.840 --> 0:03:40.320 this in my notes, right, six eight six eighty now 0:03:40.440 --> 0:03:42.280 plus six eighty little, Yeah. 0:03:42.120 --> 0:03:45.840 That's uh, maybe I'll maybe I'll entertain that. But yeah, 0:03:45.880 --> 0:03:48.600 that's well, I do. I do like Philly in this game. 0:03:49.560 --> 0:03:52.040 Not change not the players you would think. I like 0:03:52.080 --> 0:03:54.600 as much as as one would imagine. 0:03:54.840 --> 0:03:57.200 I got a huge take on Devontae Adams. We'll talk 0:03:57.200 --> 0:04:00.400 about him more later. I guess, well, maybe let's not. 0:04:00.480 --> 0:04:02.680 Let's why don't we just dive into the eagle side 0:04:02.720 --> 0:04:04.920 of this thing. We'll break it down Fantasy Football weekly 0:04:04.960 --> 0:04:08.960 style letter grades on all the players, and I'll let 0:04:09.000 --> 0:04:10.440 you take it from here. Do you want to start 0:04:10.480 --> 0:04:12.000 with the you want to start with Saquon? Do you 0:04:12.000 --> 0:04:13.880 want to start with the passing game? How do you 0:04:13.920 --> 0:04:14.360 want to attack? 0:04:15.080 --> 0:04:17.120 Let's start. Let's start with Saquon because that's you know, 0:04:17.400 --> 0:04:19.880 everyone's just going to assume a grade for Saquon, right, 0:04:19.880 --> 0:04:23.640 He's been playing at a A plus level all season long, 0:04:23.680 --> 0:04:26.880 but uh, I'm giving him a B in this matchup. 0:04:27.000 --> 0:04:27.960 It's a tough match up. 0:04:28.960 --> 0:04:32.760 It's a tough matchup on paper. Now, granted, the Chiefs 0:04:32.760 --> 0:04:36.000 have not faced Saquon Barkley yet this year, but they 0:04:36.000 --> 0:04:39.240 faced some good backs and Kansas City during the regular 0:04:39.320 --> 0:04:42.640 season only allowed seventy point four rushing yards per game 0:04:42.720 --> 0:04:46.920 to opposing running backs. Only one Loan back was able 0:04:46.960 --> 0:04:50.600 to eclipse eighty rushing yards in a game against Kansas City, 0:04:50.600 --> 0:04:53.560 and that was Jerome Ford in Week fifteen. He had 0:04:53.600 --> 0:04:55.600 eighty four yards on seven carries, so he kind of 0:04:55.600 --> 0:04:57.520 just broke like a long run, so it was almost 0:04:57.600 --> 0:05:00.560 kind of foogie. So they've been very tough against backs 0:05:00.600 --> 0:05:03.400 on the ground. Now in the playoffs, posing backs have 0:05:03.480 --> 0:05:06.960 fared a little better. Jaapson had eighteen carries eighty eight 0:05:07.040 --> 0:05:10.960 yards and a touchdown in the divisional round. James Cook 0:05:11.120 --> 0:05:15.400 eighty five yards on just thirteen carries in Depplicably, they 0:05:15.400 --> 0:05:16.760 went away from James Cook. 0:05:16.880 --> 0:05:18.080 Yeah, they regret that now. 0:05:18.160 --> 0:05:22.919 I believe there was a lot of good, valid angst 0:05:23.040 --> 0:05:25.640 from Bill's fans about the fact that they got away 0:05:25.839 --> 0:05:29.000 from the running game and almost completely abandoned it down 0:05:29.040 --> 0:05:32.159 the stretch, which I can understand. You've got Josh Allen. 0:05:32.200 --> 0:05:34.680 You want to let your quarterback be heroic. I totally 0:05:34.720 --> 0:05:38.200 get that, But man, James Cook was a problem for 0:05:38.240 --> 0:05:40.279 the Chiefs and they took him off the board. 0:05:41.160 --> 0:05:44.599 Yeah, it's totally bizarre. They're going to be questioning that 0:05:44.680 --> 0:05:47.160 all offseason. But anyway, we got time to talk about 0:05:47.200 --> 0:05:51.240 Buffalo later later in the offseason. But back to Barkley, 0:05:51.640 --> 0:05:53.919 there's really not much of a receiving angle either for 0:05:53.920 --> 0:05:56.719 opposing backs. Oh against the Chiefs that they have not 0:05:56.800 --> 0:06:00.800 allowed a receiving touchdown. So fantasy wise, like you know, 0:06:00.839 --> 0:06:05.440 if you're gonna be playing like showdown type format and everyone, 0:06:05.640 --> 0:06:07.960 Barkley is gonna be the chalkiest player out there. If 0:06:08.000 --> 0:06:11.039 I'm doing like a one a one silver bullet entry 0:06:11.040 --> 0:06:13.240 trying to take down a big tournament, I'm fade in 0:06:13.320 --> 0:06:16.159 Barkley in this one. And I don't like I don't 0:06:16.240 --> 0:06:20.080 like the rushing props. He's right around one thirteen is 0:06:20.279 --> 0:06:22.760 over under for rushing yards. I take the under. To 0:06:22.800 --> 0:06:25.640 get the plus money on his rushing props, you gotta 0:06:25.680 --> 0:06:28.279 go to one hundred and twenty yards plus. I don't 0:06:28.320 --> 0:06:30.560 like those bets at all. So I'm just I'm out 0:06:30.600 --> 0:06:34.960 on the Barkley market entirely, basically, and I'm fade in 0:06:35.040 --> 0:06:38.839 them again in any kind of big tournament format where 0:06:38.880 --> 0:06:42.000 you're just gonna assume sixty seventy percent of the field 0:06:42.040 --> 0:06:46.080 are gonna be utilizing Barkley whenever format you're playing. So 0:06:46.880 --> 0:06:49.440 I like the passing game a lot more, and you 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:53.200 think I would jump into the wide receivers, But I'm 0:06:53.200 --> 0:06:56.280 going right to Dallas Goddard is my favorite play in 0:06:56.320 --> 0:06:58.520 this game, giving him an A grade. 0:06:59.240 --> 0:07:04.039 Did you see Did you see that ninety nine percent 0:07:04.160 --> 0:07:07.119 of the prop bets on Dallas Goddard are the over? 0:07:07.920 --> 0:07:09.960 Are they that ninety nine percent? 0:07:11.640 --> 0:07:15.200 But you know what's shocking now? I know not he 0:07:15.360 --> 0:07:19.000 but his position tight end never won Super Bowl MVP. 0:07:19.240 --> 0:07:21.640 But yep, one hundred and twenty to one right now, 0:07:21.960 --> 0:07:24.840 I've bet this somewhat hard. I think those are incredible 0:07:24.840 --> 0:07:27.560 odds for a guy like Dallas Goddard who is in 0:07:27.640 --> 0:07:29.120 a in a smash spot. 0:07:30.000 --> 0:07:32.840 I agree those are those are crazy odds. 0:07:33.120 --> 0:07:36.360 Opposing tight ends of average eight targets per game against 0:07:36.360 --> 0:07:39.320 the Chiefs of the season averaging more than six catches 0:07:39.360 --> 0:07:43.040 seventy yards per contest. Dalton Schultz had a strong game 0:07:43.160 --> 0:07:46.640 and look like Dalton kincaid. He could have had a 0:07:46.640 --> 0:07:51.080 good game in the AFC Championship, dropped a long pass. 0:07:51.560 --> 0:07:54.880 The weather was a concern there. This is indoors. The 0:07:54.960 --> 0:07:57.160 Chiefs is going to be super focused on stopping Barkley. 0:07:57.200 --> 0:07:59.520 We'll get to the wide receivers in a minute. Dallas 0:07:59.520 --> 0:08:03.600 Goddard monster game potential here and one hundred and twenty 0:08:04.320 --> 0:08:07.280 to one for MVP. I love that, So I'm betting that. 0:08:07.360 --> 0:08:11.360 I'm betting his receiving ladder starting at sixty yards, he 0:08:11.400 --> 0:08:12.800 getting the plus money all the way up to one 0:08:12.840 --> 0:08:16.800 hundred plus souh A grade for Dallas Goddard. I might 0:08:16.840 --> 0:08:20.440 even bet Grant Calcatara anytime touchdown, just because the odds 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:23.640 are so good. I'm gonna bet Dallas Goddard first touchdown, 0:08:23.680 --> 0:08:27.080 anytime touchdown. He could score two touchdowns Grant. Hence why 0:08:27.080 --> 0:08:28.720 I like him as Super Bowl MVP. At the one 0:08:28.760 --> 0:08:32.240 hundred and twenty to one sou A grade on Goddard. 0:08:32.120 --> 0:08:34.360 I've got I you know I'm with you. 0:08:34.400 --> 0:08:37.840 I would a again, can't bet in Minnesota yet, but 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:41.040 MVP I would bet. I would put some money on 0:08:41.080 --> 0:08:43.640 Goddard because he does have that upside for one hundred 0:08:43.640 --> 0:08:45.960 and twenty yards and two touchdowns, and now he wins, 0:08:46.679 --> 0:08:49.320 and those odds are nuts. The other MVP bet I like, 0:08:50.840 --> 0:08:53.079 And again I think the Eagles are gonna cover easily 0:08:53.080 --> 0:08:57.640 in this game. How about Jalen Hurts at plus three 0:08:57.640 --> 0:09:00.800 point fifty, he's the you know usual you know, I 0:09:00.800 --> 0:09:02.520 don't know, eight times out of ten this goes to 0:09:02.520 --> 0:09:05.880 the quarterback on the winning team, And because Saquon Barkley 0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:10.320 is on that team, he's got higher odds then Hurts 0:09:10.360 --> 0:09:13.480 has got And so I get the quarterback on the team. 0:09:13.480 --> 0:09:15.400 I think that's gonna win. At three and a half 0:09:15.400 --> 0:09:19.520 to one. That's a you know, that feels like an 0:09:19.640 --> 0:09:24.240 awfully good opportunity. And and as you mentioned, I don't 0:09:24.280 --> 0:09:27.120 I don't think Barkley. I don't think Barkley is is 0:09:27.320 --> 0:09:28.600 likely to win MVP here. 0:09:29.400 --> 0:09:32.600 No, I'm with you, And yeah, I would bet Hurts 0:09:32.600 --> 0:09:35.360 over Barkley at MVP. And and oddly enough, I like 0:09:36.080 --> 0:09:39.640 the rushing props for Hurts more than I do for Barkley. 0:09:39.800 --> 0:09:41.000 He's over underwriting or. 0:09:41.000 --> 0:09:41.600 Something like that. 0:09:42.600 --> 0:09:45.040 It varies, but yeah, I mean it's right around forty 0:09:45.160 --> 0:09:48.160 forty one, it's going up and now, but starting at 0:09:48.200 --> 0:09:50.679 fifty plus you're getting plus money. So I bet the 0:09:50.760 --> 0:09:53.199 Hurts rushing ladder and it goes up to one twenty, 0:09:53.280 --> 0:10:00.160 so I'm hitting every stop at fifty hundred yards Now 0:10:00.360 --> 0:10:03.640 for those unfamiliar with prop or with a ladder bets 0:10:03.960 --> 0:10:06.440 like at the fifty sixty seventy ra age, I'll start, 0:10:06.480 --> 0:10:09.400 you know, half, I'm personally not betting major money, but 0:10:09.440 --> 0:10:11.680 you know, like tennish dollars, and as you go up 0:10:11.720 --> 0:10:14.400 the ladder, you uh, you're assuming if you if he's 0:10:14.440 --> 0:10:19.200 hitting these milestones, your your bets later on or house money, 0:10:19.240 --> 0:10:21.120 and but they your bets will go down as you 0:10:21.120 --> 0:10:25.200 go up the ladder. But anyway, been these teams in general, 0:10:25.280 --> 0:10:27.679 you see mobile quarterbacks run in the Super Bowl a 0:10:27.720 --> 0:10:31.400 lot more, even like sort of non mobile quarterbacks like 0:10:31.480 --> 0:10:33.760 Patrick Mahomes. He runs a tone in the Super Bowl 0:10:33.800 --> 0:10:36.960 even when injured. Hurts ran fifteen times for seventy yards 0:10:37.000 --> 0:10:39.600 in the first meeting, had three touchdowns. By the way, 0:10:39.920 --> 0:10:42.240 when I say the first meeting the Super Bowl two 0:10:42.280 --> 0:10:44.360 years ago, and I think that that was before the 0:10:44.400 --> 0:10:46.960 inception of the Toush push, which was last she had 0:10:46.960 --> 0:10:48.800 three monster games. 0:10:48.880 --> 0:10:51.000 No, I think I think they were Toush pushing two year, 0:10:51.080 --> 0:10:51.640 two seasons. 0:10:53.000 --> 0:10:54.959 The first one I think that was just been around 0:10:55.360 --> 0:10:59.040 so long word I think so, I think so that 0:10:59.040 --> 0:11:02.440 would make sense. But but back to the rushing Josh 0:11:02.520 --> 0:11:06.720 Allen forty yards against the Chiefs two weeks ago. Not great, 0:11:06.760 --> 0:11:09.600 but they didn't really utilize that in the game plan. 0:11:10.000 --> 0:11:12.480 C J. Stroud had forty two yards on six carries 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:15.360 in the divisional round during the season, Lamar Jackson one 0:11:15.440 --> 0:11:18.080 hundred and twenty two yards, Russell Wilson fifty five yards, Bo. 0:11:18.120 --> 0:11:20.080 Nicks forty seven yards. 0:11:20.120 --> 0:11:23.000 So if he gets the carries, which I think he 0:11:23.040 --> 0:11:26.040 will see double digit carries in this game, yeah hurts. 0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.440 I love the I love the rushing props and his 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:32.120 chances to win MVP for sure. And lastly, we got 0:11:32.160 --> 0:11:34.920 to talk quickly only about two wide receivers. 0:11:35.040 --> 0:11:36.079 Yeah, you really don't. 0:11:36.200 --> 0:11:38.480 Although I've got a dots and angle that I'll share 0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:39.319 with you at the end. 0:11:40.080 --> 0:11:42.280 I wanted one, but I mean zero targets one of 0:11:42.320 --> 0:11:43.200 the last games. 0:11:44.440 --> 0:11:49.000 Well, well his his his receiving prop is half a catch. 0:11:49.000 --> 0:11:51.400 So right, Yeah, that's that's all. That's what I figured. 0:11:51.600 --> 0:11:53.720 It's probably in his yards are probably what like four 0:11:53.760 --> 0:11:56.560 and a half. Yeah, he needs a catch to catch it, 0:11:56.640 --> 0:11:59.040 but he has no targets of the last two games. 0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:02.200 When when AJ Brown has been healthy over the last 0:12:02.200 --> 0:12:04.840 two weeks. In the wildcard round, was kind of more 0:12:04.840 --> 0:12:07.760 of a decoy, but the last two weeks major alpha 0:12:07.880 --> 0:12:11.199 role for Brown over to Vonda Smith. One hundred and 0:12:11.240 --> 0:12:15.240 eighty air yards to twenty three from Smith over the 0:12:15.280 --> 0:12:20.960 last two weeks, so Brown will command one would assume 0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:23.480 the majority of the work through the air in a 0:12:23.480 --> 0:12:26.199 decent matchup. The Chiefs allowed twelve catches one hundred and 0:12:26.240 --> 0:12:29.319 forty yards per game to opposing wideouts. Aren't huge numbers, 0:12:29.360 --> 0:12:32.600 but they did allow nineteen touchdowns to the position, that 0:12:32.679 --> 0:12:36.400 was fourth most in the league. Secondary receivers did farewell 0:12:36.400 --> 0:12:40.480 against Kansas City later in the year, So I am 0:12:40.520 --> 0:12:43.600 thrown a dart at Devonda Smith as Super Bowl MVP 0:12:43.720 --> 0:12:45.559 as well at six too one. 0:12:45.640 --> 0:12:48.800 That's my other play is exactly that, sixty five to 0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:50.880 one for Smith yes. 0:12:50.720 --> 0:12:54.120 Week sixteen, Tank Dell six catches ninety eight yards a touchdown. 0:12:54.480 --> 0:12:59.800 Week seventeen, Calvin Austin outpaced George Pickens, obviously the number 0:12:59.840 --> 0:13:04.520 two receiver there. Marvin Mims, Devon Vley, and Devon Vley 0:13:04.679 --> 0:13:10.400 in Week eighteen combined for three touchdowns. So secondary receivers successful. 0:13:10.440 --> 0:13:13.360 DeVonta Smith can pop the top on any play. So yeah, 0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:15.600 sixty five to one, let me give you those seem 0:13:15.640 --> 0:13:18.120 too long, So yeah, we're on the same wavelength there. 0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:22.640 Let me give you more on DeVante Smith. He runs 0:13:22.679 --> 0:13:25.000 from the slot more than any Eagle by a mile. 0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:28.240 He averages twenty nine snaps per game from the slot. 0:13:28.559 --> 0:13:32.720 AJ Brown ten snaps from the slot. John Dotson is 0:13:32.800 --> 0:13:36.280 twelve snaps from the slot. So Smith is the de 0:13:36.400 --> 0:13:39.800 facto slot receiver. And running from the slot, he goes 0:13:39.880 --> 0:13:45.319 up against slot cornerback Chamari Connor, who allows the highest 0:13:45.720 --> 0:13:50.000 catch rate of passes in his coverage than any cornerback 0:13:50.000 --> 0:13:53.520 in the league eighty five percent. So base you know, 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:55.360 eight and a half out of ten passes that go 0:13:55.520 --> 0:13:56.839 his way get caught. 0:13:57.160 --> 0:13:58.040 So and that. 0:13:58.080 --> 0:14:02.240 Means most of those will Beante Smith catches. And of 0:14:02.760 --> 0:14:05.880 all thirty two teams, Kansas City allows the second highest 0:14:05.880 --> 0:14:10.680 percentage of receptions to slot receivers versus outside receivers. And 0:14:11.760 --> 0:14:14.640 here's his last here's his three lifetime games against Steve 0:14:14.679 --> 0:14:18.880 Spagnolo's Kansas City Chiefs. Seven catches hundred yards, six catches 0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:21.760 ninety nine yards, seven catches one hundred and twenty two yards. 0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:23.840 DeVante Smith, I. 0:14:23.800 --> 0:14:26.920 Might have to hit that again, hit that bed again 0:14:26.960 --> 0:14:28.760 if you want in you got my number. 0:14:28.880 --> 0:14:32.360 I appreciate that. Thank you. Off sixty five to one 0:14:32.480 --> 0:14:32.880 for Smith. 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.040 So you know, much like you were talking about Goddard, 0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:37.320 is there a pathway for him to have one hundred 0:14:37.320 --> 0:14:38.640 and twenty yards and two touchdowns? 0:14:38.840 --> 0:14:44.560 There is for Smith, no doubt, absolutely, So I don't 0:14:44.560 --> 0:14:48.600 think I ditched out the grades to sum up a's 0:14:48.640 --> 0:14:52.000 Goddard Hurts and then it's bees for Smith, Brown and Barkley. 0:14:52.040 --> 0:14:55.880 It's it's Goddard and Hurts are the plays plays we 0:14:56.560 --> 0:14:57.200 like in this one. 0:14:57.400 --> 0:14:59.640 So you're a's and bees for the Eagles, and I'm 0:14:59.680 --> 0:15:02.440 with you on virtually everything you said. I'm a little 0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:05.480 bit more nervous about AJ Brown going up against Trent 0:15:05.560 --> 0:15:09.000 McDuffie a lot, but that's, you know, that's splitting hairs 0:15:11.360 --> 0:15:14.440 for the Chiefs side. It's a couple of nervous bees, 0:15:15.040 --> 0:15:20.040 some c's and bench grades, and that these individual matchups 0:15:20.080 --> 0:15:23.600 just they lean so heavily towards the Eagles, and that's 0:15:23.640 --> 0:15:25.160 part of why I think that this is going to 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:29.080 be a perhaps one sided Eagles game. But let's start 0:15:29.080 --> 0:15:33.640 with Travis Kelcey playoff. Kelsey posted one big playoff game. 0:15:33.760 --> 0:15:35.280 It was the Houston game, and then he had a 0:15:35.280 --> 0:15:39.360 silent one last game against the Bills. The Chiefs easily 0:15:39.400 --> 0:15:42.120 won that big game against Houston, and they struggled to 0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:44.520 get the win against Buffalo. So I think they will 0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:47.120 try to target him a lot in this game. And 0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:51.520 the Eagles don't have like shut down tight end player. 0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:55.360 I went back and looked at who's covering Kelsey or 0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:58.680 sorry tight ends, and it's just it's all just different guys, 0:15:58.720 --> 0:16:01.240 you know, it just depends on higherly on the scheme. 0:16:00.960 --> 0:16:01.560 For that play. 0:16:01.880 --> 0:16:05.960 They use safeties, they use linebackers, they use cornerbacks. There's 0:16:06.040 --> 0:16:08.800 no there is no one guy that you can point 0:16:08.840 --> 0:16:10.760 at and go, well, it's gonna be this guy against Kelsey. 0:16:11.320 --> 0:16:16.280 The Eagles were awesome against tight ends in the regular season, Brian. 0:16:16.320 --> 0:16:19.840 They ranked number one in fantasy points allowed, number three 0:16:19.840 --> 0:16:22.760 in tight end receptions, and number one in tight end 0:16:22.840 --> 0:16:26.160 yards allowed. They were awesome in the regular season. Then 0:16:26.200 --> 0:16:30.880 the playoffs came and they've got they got attacked. Zach 0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:34.160 Ertz eleven catches one hundred and four yards and Tyler 0:16:34.240 --> 0:16:38.720 Higbee nine catches fifty four yards. So you know, I 0:16:38.800 --> 0:16:40.920 was ready to have a whole big narrative about how 0:16:41.080 --> 0:16:44.080 Travis Kelcey was going to struggle against this great defense 0:16:44.120 --> 0:16:46.040 that doesn't do anything to tight ends, and then Zach 0:16:46.120 --> 0:16:48.440 Ertz blows them up in Tyler Higby. You know, they 0:16:48.440 --> 0:16:50.320 combined for twenty catches in two games. 0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:53.200 So I've got a B grade on Travis Kelcey. 0:16:54.120 --> 0:16:56.640 Can we take a quick second just to talk about 0:16:57.360 --> 0:17:01.240 Travis Kelcey next season. I think feel like he's cornered 0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:05.440 into playing because if if the Chiefs win, he's got 0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:09.159 to go for four, right like he's and if they lose, 0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:11.560 he he can't go out a winner or a loser. 0:17:11.920 --> 0:17:14.399 I feel like, I don't know, so I feel like 0:17:14.480 --> 0:17:18.520 kel you think I think if they went back regarding. 0:17:18.280 --> 0:17:20.000 Us if he wins, I think they I think he 0:17:20.080 --> 0:17:20.960 retires right here. 0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:24.000 Really he doesn't go for four, He's I don't know. 0:17:24.760 --> 0:17:27.320 I only say that. I'm only really worried because I'm 0:17:27.359 --> 0:17:30.080 already drafting best ball teams and I have no interest 0:17:30.160 --> 0:17:33.240 in Kelsey and his cookie cutter ADP right now. But 0:17:33.280 --> 0:17:35.800 I got auto picked Kelsey, and I'm like, dah, I 0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:37.159 don't even know if he's gonna play, So I'm just 0:17:37.160 --> 0:17:39.040 trying to convince myself that he's gonna play next year, 0:17:39.320 --> 0:17:41.040 no matter what happens. Yeah. 0:17:41.240 --> 0:17:46.199 Yeah, So I've got a B grade on Kelsey. The 0:17:46.240 --> 0:17:48.760 other B grade I've got, and it's a bit of 0:17:48.760 --> 0:17:51.199 a nervous one, is well, I'm nervous on Kelsey's B 0:17:51.280 --> 0:17:55.720 grade too, is Xavier Worthy. So Worthy has been basically 0:17:55.840 --> 0:17:58.920 wide receiver one and wide receiver two the past yes 0:17:59.600 --> 0:18:02.760 six in eight games where they've started peppering him with 0:18:02.760 --> 0:18:07.359 targets and almost nobody else. It's but it's a little 0:18:07.359 --> 0:18:08.480 bit tricky to break him down. 0:18:08.480 --> 0:18:09.520 But here's what you need to know. 0:18:09.600 --> 0:18:11.240 He runs from the left, he runs from the right, 0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:12.639 He runs from the slot, and he runs from the 0:18:12.640 --> 0:18:15.600 slot more than anybody else. And when he runs from 0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:18.320 the slot, he's got a match up with Cooper Degene, 0:18:18.320 --> 0:18:22.400 who's been great, shockingly good. He's given is a rookie. 0:18:23.160 --> 0:18:25.560 He's gave up zero touchdowns this year in. 0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.159 His coverage Cooper Degene. 0:18:28.160 --> 0:18:32.520 Only five cornerbacks in the entire league that had more 0:18:32.640 --> 0:18:37.879 snaps than Cooper Degene allowed zero touchdowns. It's that kid's 0:18:37.920 --> 0:18:40.080 gonna be He's already great and he's gonna get even better. 0:18:40.440 --> 0:18:42.359 But he does give up some catches. He gives up 0:18:42.600 --> 0:18:45.040 His average game is four catches for thirty two yards, 0:18:45.359 --> 0:18:50.960 which for cornerbacks is actually kind of common. And so 0:18:51.119 --> 0:18:53.359 I'm not ready to call Cooper Degene he's shut down 0:18:53.359 --> 0:18:56.960 corner He's not at that level yet. But Quinn and 0:18:57.080 --> 0:19:00.639 Mitchell's pretty close. You know, when Xavier worthies from the 0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:03.240 left side of the field, that's Mitchell's side of the field, 0:19:03.320 --> 0:19:05.159 and that's going to be really tricky. 0:19:05.280 --> 0:19:09.160 Quinyon Mitchell's fantastic. Get this. I got a good Quinnyon 0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:11.880 Mitchell stat for you. Let me dig this up. I've 0:19:11.880 --> 0:19:12.720 got it right. 0:19:15.080 --> 0:19:19.880 The longest completion against Quinjon Mitchell has been fourteen yards 0:19:20.200 --> 0:19:22.360 or less in fourteen of. 0:19:22.280 --> 0:19:25.800 His last fifteen games. That's nothing, nothing. 0:19:26.520 --> 0:19:29.119 So I've just got to be grade unworthy because he 0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.600 gets Pepper to target so much more than everybody else 0:19:31.640 --> 0:19:32.240 on the team. 0:19:32.480 --> 0:19:33.800 From a receiver standpoint. 0:19:35.000 --> 0:19:37.160 The other receiver that I'm intrigued by, and this one 0:19:37.200 --> 0:19:40.840 actually like to be too better than the betting line 0:19:41.200 --> 0:19:42.760 Mark Keith Brown Bryan. 0:19:43.000 --> 0:19:46.119 He has last game, he was up to forty two snaps. 0:19:46.880 --> 0:19:50.080 He has surged past all the other receivers other than 0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.720 Xavier Worthy to become the clear, undisputed number two guy, 0:19:53.760 --> 0:19:57.320 and he's also the downfield receiver. In the two playoff games, 0:19:57.320 --> 0:20:00.639 his average distance of target was thirty five four yards 0:20:00.680 --> 0:20:05.280 and fifteen yards, and he runs almost entirely from the outside. 0:20:05.320 --> 0:20:10.360 He's got that tough quinnyon Mitchell matchup on one side 0:20:10.359 --> 0:20:12.040 of the field. The other side of the field though, 0:20:12.640 --> 0:20:17.119 Darius Slay and that's a beatable spot. He's allowed at 0:20:17.200 --> 0:20:20.560 least twenty two yards in a single catch in four 0:20:20.600 --> 0:20:21.760 of the last five games. 0:20:21.800 --> 0:20:22.600 And Hollywood. 0:20:22.600 --> 0:20:25.520 Brown's whole deals, you know, is downfield stuff and breaking 0:20:25.800 --> 0:20:29.200 break a tackle, go run for speed. So I kind 0:20:29.200 --> 0:20:32.200 of like Marquise Brown. I've got a C grade on him. 0:20:33.040 --> 0:20:36.199