1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 2: I mean may not have an overall recession. We're having 3 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:06,800 Speaker 2: a rolling recession. To Kanye roll looks pretty strongly is 4 00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 2: when it comes to jobs. 5 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 3: The financial story is that shape are worth. 6 00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 2: Three major regional bank failures send shockwaves through the banking system. 7 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 2: We're all trying to figure out what to make of 8 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 2: generative AI. 9 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,320 Speaker 3: Through the eyes of the most influential voices. 10 00:00:19,440 --> 00:00:22,400 Speaker 2: Welcome down, Doctor Paul Krugman, Ryan Moynahan, a Bank of America, 11 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:25,360 Speaker 2: deebro Lair of the Paulson Institute, Len Hubbard of the 12 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:26,240 Speaker 2: Columbia Business. 13 00:00:26,000 --> 00:00:30,120 Speaker 3: School, Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio. 14 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:33,199 Speaker 4: The Law of unintended consequences for the Fed, for Biden, 15 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 4: and for India. This is Wall Street Week. I'm Romain 16 00:00:36,280 --> 00:00:40,440 Speaker 4: Bosting in for David Weston this week, The geopolitical wins 17 00:00:40,520 --> 00:00:44,479 Speaker 4: blowing in India's favor. A conversation with Rockefeller International Chairman 18 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 4: Rasher Sharma on the Rendramodi's economic ambition. 19 00:00:47,640 --> 00:00:50,199 Speaker 5: You'd have to be a very big contradiant to take 20 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:51,479 Speaker 5: a bit against India. 21 00:00:51,520 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 4: Plus The Business of Sports with Boston Celtics co founder 22 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,520 Speaker 4: ce Felauca on the high stakes deal making in basketball 23 00:00:57,560 --> 00:00:58,040 Speaker 4: and soccer. 24 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 6: A lot of these valuations have been drown up by 25 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 6: the fact that certainly basketball and soccer are global game. 26 00:01:04,319 --> 00:01:07,679 Speaker 4: At HPE, CEO Antonio n on the rush to strike. 27 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 7: While the AI iron is high. 28 00:01:09,600 --> 00:01:12,280 Speaker 8: AI will be a huge boost of revenue growth. 29 00:01:25,000 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 4: It was a compressed trading week in US markets, markets 30 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 4: that for a second week in a row, orbited around 31 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:33,199 Speaker 4: one J. Powell, the FED Chair, making a semi annual 32 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:36,319 Speaker 4: pilgrimage to Congress, two days of questioning before the House 33 00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 4: and the Senate on the outlook for interest rates. 34 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:42,480 Speaker 9: It only makes common sense to move at a careful pace. 35 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,240 Speaker 9: We don't want to do more than we have to, 36 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,520 Speaker 9: but overwhelmingly people in the committee do think that there's 37 00:01:47,600 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 9: more rate hikes coming. 38 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,640 Speaker 4: Lawmakers also press Powell to explain how the FED will 39 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 4: strengthen the supervision and regulation of our banks. 40 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 9: We need to update our thinking around liquidity regulation, which 41 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:01,559 Speaker 9: was based on a certain speed of bank runs, which 42 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:06,120 Speaker 9: now looks to be outdated. Really, the liquidity regulation was 43 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 9: just not It was not appropriate. 44 00:02:08,160 --> 00:02:10,200 Speaker 4: The rise of interest rates and the regional bank fauled 45 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,360 Speaker 4: out have already had considerable consequence for the housing market, 46 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:16,000 Speaker 4: the number of homes for sale in the US dropping 47 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:18,639 Speaker 4: to a record low, homeowners opting to stay put since 48 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 4: moving would mean giving up a cheaper mortgage. 49 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:24,520 Speaker 10: Those that have that three percent four percent mortgage are 50 00:02:24,520 --> 00:02:26,720 Speaker 10: going to be very reluctant. 51 00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:27,359 Speaker 8: To give up that interest rate. 52 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 1: They have equity in their home. They have equity in 53 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:30,399 Speaker 1: their mortgage. 54 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:32,520 Speaker 7: Then there are the consequences of high inflation. 55 00:02:32,880 --> 00:02:35,760 Speaker 4: Central bankers around the globe this week making clear that 56 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:36,559 Speaker 4: the battle. 57 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 7: Decurb price pressures far from over. Fresh rate heights from Switzerland, Norway, Turkey, 58 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 7: and the UK. 59 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 4: The Bank of England unexpectedly boosting its benchmark rate by 60 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 4: a half percentage point, a day after core inflation unexpectedly 61 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 4: surge to a thirty one year high. 62 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 11: Well, today's figures strengthen the case for the government to 63 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:58,200 Speaker 11: stick to its gums. No matter what the pressure from left, 64 00:02:58,440 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 11: right or center, we wouldn't be pushed off course. 65 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 4: Meanwhile, the consequence of a single word. The week started 66 00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,840 Speaker 4: with US Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln making progress on 67 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,240 Speaker 4: thawing relations with China, but by the end of the 68 00:03:11,240 --> 00:03:14,639 Speaker 4: week that progress was undone. An unscripted comment from President 69 00:03:14,720 --> 00:03:17,799 Speaker 4: Biden at a campaign event, preferring to Jijian PINGUS quote 70 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:18,600 Speaker 4: a dictator. 71 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 12: We had an incident that caused some confusion, it might say, 72 00:03:23,880 --> 00:03:26,799 Speaker 12: But the Secretary of Blincoln had a great trip to China. 73 00:03:27,520 --> 00:03:30,919 Speaker 12: I expect to be meeting with President she sometime on 74 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 12: a near term. And I don't think it's had any 75 00:03:34,639 --> 00:03:36,040 Speaker 12: real consequence and. 76 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:39,160 Speaker 4: The consequence for poor US China relations. It's looking to 77 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 4: be advantageous for India Prime Minister voting in his first 78 00:03:42,640 --> 00:03:45,040 Speaker 4: official state visit to the US, making the case for 79 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 4: corporate CEOs and government officials to view India as a 80 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:52,520 Speaker 4: partner in technology and a counterbalance to China in the pond. 81 00:03:52,640 --> 00:04:00,600 Speaker 7: Few YUS that have been many advances in AI E 82 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:04,560 Speaker 7: at the same time that help been. 83 00:04:06,440 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 13: Even more momentous development in another AIA. 84 00:04:13,280 --> 00:04:16,600 Speaker 7: I made it long and India. 85 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,760 Speaker 4: Meanwhile, back on Wall Street, global stocks notching their worst 86 00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:23,440 Speaker 4: week since March, the SMP and the Nasdaq down more 87 00:04:23,480 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 4: than a percent on the week, the socks six hundred, 88 00:04:25,480 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 4: Europe sliding three and the World beating NK in Japan 89 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 4: ending a run of ten straight week of gains. The 90 00:04:31,400 --> 00:04:33,560 Speaker 4: money flowing out of equities did find its way into 91 00:04:33,560 --> 00:04:35,920 Speaker 4: the perceived safety of government bonds, and that did push 92 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 4: yields lower, deepening the inversion of the treasury yield curve, 93 00:04:39,480 --> 00:04:41,880 Speaker 4: and that in turn prompted a flight into the dollar 94 00:04:42,000 --> 00:04:44,640 Speaker 4: and a flight out of commodities. It was a somewhat 95 00:04:44,680 --> 00:04:48,039 Speaker 4: confusing and chaotic week four financial markets. Financial markets that 96 00:04:48,120 --> 00:04:50,560 Speaker 4: have been on an unexpected rally this year in defiance 97 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:53,840 Speaker 4: of mixed economic data and Hawker's central bank actions. 98 00:04:53,839 --> 00:04:54,960 Speaker 7: Investors now left. 99 00:04:54,760 --> 00:04:57,919 Speaker 4: To decide what's worse, the fear of missing out or 100 00:04:57,960 --> 00:05:00,640 Speaker 4: fear of the next shoe to drop. Joining us now 101 00:05:00,680 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 4: for our roundtable is Chris Alman, the chief investment officer 102 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 4: over at Calsters, and Sarah Ketter are the co founder 103 00:05:06,320 --> 00:05:09,800 Speaker 4: over at Causeway Capital. And Sarah, this is a question 104 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:11,479 Speaker 4: that I think is going to be debated for weeks, 105 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:14,040 Speaker 4: if not months to come here. Looking at this rally 106 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,800 Speaker 4: that we've had so far this year, do you think 107 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 4: that whatever tail winds caused that rally will persist into 108 00:05:21,000 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 4: the second half. 109 00:05:21,560 --> 00:05:21,960 Speaker 1: Of the year. 110 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:25,119 Speaker 14: Probably not, And for some of the reasons that you've 111 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:29,480 Speaker 14: opened the show with today, the economic situation is likely 112 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 14: to slow, certainly overseas. Europe's already slowing. UK has a 113 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:38,280 Speaker 14: terrible inflation problem, is doing its best to contain it. 114 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:43,279 Speaker 14: And as for the US, I mean even more inverted 115 00:05:43,400 --> 00:05:48,280 Speaker 14: yield curve plus the fastest FED funds rate rise up 116 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:51,039 Speaker 14: to five percentage points that we've seen. I don't know 117 00:05:51,080 --> 00:05:55,440 Speaker 14: how long. What's going on in credit and tightening a 118 00:05:55,480 --> 00:05:59,039 Speaker 14: credit and there are numerous reasons why the stock market 119 00:05:59,520 --> 00:06:02,480 Speaker 14: in the US and oversees may have gotten ahead of themselves. 120 00:06:02,480 --> 00:06:04,520 Speaker 14: It doesn't mean to say there aren't stocks to own, 121 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 14: just the broad indices might have a bit of a 122 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 14: setback ahead. 123 00:06:10,720 --> 00:06:13,200 Speaker 4: The KBW Bank index is falling more than five percent 124 00:06:13,240 --> 00:06:15,800 Speaker 4: this week amid what Wells Fargo analyst Mike Mayo said 125 00:06:16,200 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 4: is a combination of a bank crisis discount, a recession discount, 126 00:06:20,360 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 4: and a regulatory discount. The results of the stress tests 127 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 4: are set to be released next week and could provide 128 00:06:26,400 --> 00:06:29,880 Speaker 4: some insight into the potential for higher capital requirements for 129 00:06:29,920 --> 00:06:32,359 Speaker 4: the biggest lenders out there, and insight of course, and 130 00:06:32,400 --> 00:06:35,800 Speaker 4: to the feed through into bank lending and economic activity. Sarah, 131 00:06:35,839 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 4: there's sort of two components here when we talk about 132 00:06:38,040 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 4: the banks, and I guess what we want out of 133 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:42,800 Speaker 4: the banks, right, there's that extension of credit, I guess, 134 00:06:42,880 --> 00:06:45,560 Speaker 4: to the economy, to folks that need to borrow. There's 135 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,320 Speaker 4: also the issue of capital returns to shareholders. 136 00:06:49,720 --> 00:06:55,360 Speaker 14: Yes, and the conflict at present in the US. US banks, 137 00:06:55,920 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 14: certainly the regional level, are under quite a bit of 138 00:06:59,080 --> 00:07:01,839 Speaker 14: pressure and as long as rates remain high, they have 139 00:07:01,880 --> 00:07:04,720 Speaker 14: a series problem both their assets and their liabilities, flight 140 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:09,280 Speaker 14: of liabilities and markdown and assets. So what are they 141 00:07:09,279 --> 00:07:11,680 Speaker 14: going to do? I think they just just embrace against time. 142 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 15: For them, they've got to hold it all together. 143 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:18,040 Speaker 14: You think they're somewhat unsavory place to be investing at present. 144 00:07:18,440 --> 00:07:23,880 Speaker 14: In contrast, European banks over capitalized in general and returning 145 00:07:23,880 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 14: capitalist shareholders through dividends and share buybacks. That's you know, 146 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 14: it's interesting to see the turn of the tables. After 147 00:07:29,720 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 14: all those years of European banks being under performers versus 148 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 14: the US, it has all changed. 149 00:07:35,680 --> 00:07:38,880 Speaker 4: Chris, I am here is when we talk about economic conditions, 150 00:07:38,960 --> 00:07:40,440 Speaker 4: or at least we try to read the tea leads 151 00:07:40,440 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 4: of what those economic conditions might be. We do know 152 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:47,400 Speaker 4: that well having credit, basically banks lending money to consumers 153 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 4: and to businesses is a big part of the grease 154 00:07:50,160 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 4: for our economy here and their concerns that that grease 155 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 4: just isn't there, at least not into the level that 156 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:55,480 Speaker 4: we want it to be. 157 00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,360 Speaker 16: Well remain I think the banks have really slowed down 158 00:07:59,360 --> 00:08:03,560 Speaker 16: their corporate lending in their direct line programs as a 159 00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 16: result of the regulations that came in two thousand and eight, 160 00:08:07,080 --> 00:08:11,120 Speaker 16: but I did definitely being more conservative. The regional banks. 161 00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:14,960 Speaker 10: Hold a lot of real estate debt in office real 162 00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:17,239 Speaker 10: estate debt, and you guys have talked a lot today 163 00:08:17,280 --> 00:08:20,400 Speaker 10: about how the real estate market is due for write 164 00:08:20,440 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 10: downs and declines in value. That's going to put pressure 165 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:27,960 Speaker 10: on their balance sheets, as in some cases the owners 166 00:08:28,000 --> 00:08:29,240 Speaker 10: throw the keys at them. 167 00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:30,440 Speaker 7: So I'm worried. 168 00:08:30,880 --> 00:08:33,400 Speaker 10: You know, there's still a lot of private credit that 169 00:08:33,640 --> 00:08:36,840 Speaker 10: has now come in from institutional investors into the market 170 00:08:37,200 --> 00:08:40,439 Speaker 10: that can fill that financing gap. Those rates of return 171 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:43,280 Speaker 10: look pretty attractive now that there really are yields and 172 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:46,680 Speaker 10: fixed income. That said, I think the regional banks are 173 00:08:46,720 --> 00:08:49,960 Speaker 10: going to continue to feel pressure just because their natural 174 00:08:50,000 --> 00:08:53,680 Speaker 10: market is certainly compressed. They've got better interest rates to 175 00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:54,920 Speaker 10: help them, but it's going to be tough. 176 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,840 Speaker 4: That natural market is compressed right now. Chris So and 177 00:08:57,920 --> 00:09:00,680 Speaker 4: you mentioned commercial real estate. That's obviously a big focus 178 00:09:00,720 --> 00:09:02,520 Speaker 4: as well. But then even j Powell, when he was 179 00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:05,439 Speaker 4: on Capitol Hill this week, was asked about the need 180 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:09,200 Speaker 4: for additional or I should say, higher capital requirements, and 181 00:09:09,640 --> 00:09:11,319 Speaker 4: he pretty much, at least in the way that Jay 182 00:09:11,360 --> 00:09:12,920 Speaker 4: Powell speaks, affirm that. 183 00:09:14,720 --> 00:09:15,160 Speaker 7: He did. 184 00:09:15,240 --> 00:09:18,080 Speaker 10: Romaine and I think that you know, they would like 185 00:09:18,160 --> 00:09:20,920 Speaker 10: to see stronger, safer banks. We took a lot of 186 00:09:20,960 --> 00:09:24,240 Speaker 10: time to look deep into Silicon Valley Bank and understand 187 00:09:24,240 --> 00:09:26,520 Speaker 10: that exposure first reserve bank. 188 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:29,359 Speaker 16: They really were outliers. 189 00:09:29,400 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 10: When you look at the inflows and outflows to banks, 190 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:37,560 Speaker 10: their capital structure, the regional banks, there are some that 191 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:39,000 Speaker 10: are weak and some that are strong. 192 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 16: The money center banks really are in very good shape 193 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:42,679 Speaker 16: in the. 194 00:09:42,679 --> 00:09:45,480 Speaker 4: US, say Sarah, you're probably a little bit more of 195 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:47,520 Speaker 4: an active manager than what Chris would be. 196 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:48,440 Speaker 7: I am curious. 197 00:09:48,800 --> 00:09:51,319 Speaker 4: Does what happen with the banking crisis, the regional banking 198 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,360 Speaker 4: crisis back in March and the potential sort of specter 199 00:09:54,440 --> 00:09:58,600 Speaker 4: of additional regulation, does that change your broader investment thesis overall? 200 00:10:00,360 --> 00:10:02,679 Speaker 15: No, it doesn't. That we're value managers. 201 00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,640 Speaker 14: It causeway in our fundamental portfolios, international and global and 202 00:10:06,679 --> 00:10:09,120 Speaker 14: We're no matter where we are in the economic cycle, 203 00:10:09,200 --> 00:10:12,319 Speaker 14: whether we're in a slowing phase or an expansion, We're 204 00:10:12,360 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 14: looking for companies engaged in operational restructuring, so something has 205 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:19,640 Speaker 14: gone wrong with their earnings and then new management or 206 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:23,400 Speaker 14: the reformed management is there to fix it and reaccelerate. 207 00:10:23,440 --> 00:10:27,320 Speaker 14: And those companies exist all over the world. 208 00:10:27,559 --> 00:10:30,680 Speaker 4: This is a great conversation. Sarah Ketterer over at Causeway Capital, 209 00:10:30,720 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 4: and there on the other side of your screen, Chris 210 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:37,000 Speaker 4: Ailman over at Cawsters. Two big and really smart people 211 00:10:37,080 --> 00:10:39,199 Speaker 4: here to talk about the week that was and maybe 212 00:10:39,240 --> 00:10:44,640 Speaker 4: the weeks to come up ahead. Coming up, norendromodes high 213 00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:47,720 Speaker 4: fline ambitions and a fresh opportunity to sell the world. 214 00:10:47,920 --> 00:10:52,680 Speaker 4: On India's economic future, Rockefeller internationals Rashier Sharma says there's 215 00:10:52,720 --> 00:10:53,640 Speaker 4: still a long way to go. 216 00:10:54,640 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 5: India's China shouldn't be or wait, China was about twenty 217 00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:03,400 Speaker 5: years ago or so. 218 00:11:03,480 --> 00:11:05,960 Speaker 7: That's next on Wall Street Week on Bloomberg. 219 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:12,920 Speaker 3: This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David Weston from 220 00:11:13,040 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 3: Bloomberg Radio. 221 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,640 Speaker 4: India is now the world's fifth largest economy and it 222 00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:27,880 Speaker 4: is big plans to step out of China's shadow Prime 223 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:29,959 Speaker 4: Minister Narendra Modi addressing Congress in. 224 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:32,280 Speaker 7: His first official state visit here to the US. 225 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:36,000 Speaker 4: Laying out an economic model for expanding India's manufacturing nohow 226 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:40,160 Speaker 4: welcoming foreign capital and solidifying his government as a premier 227 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 4: partner for the US and his technology companies. 228 00:11:43,559 --> 00:11:47,080 Speaker 13: India willive be the our largest economics soon. 229 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:50,160 Speaker 4: The World Bank estimates that India's GDP will expand by 230 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 4: six point three percent in twenty twenty three, outpacing China's 231 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:56,400 Speaker 4: five point six percent forecastid growth. That's drawing a lot 232 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 4: of attention and a lot of money from foreign investors, 233 00:11:58,920 --> 00:12:03,040 Speaker 4: a rotation to India, particularly among those worried that China's 234 00:12:03,080 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 4: economic recovery is sputtering and in need of a fiscal boost. 235 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 11: I think the Chinese have a very difficult set of 236 00:12:12,400 --> 00:12:14,360 Speaker 11: challenges ahead of them. 237 00:12:14,840 --> 00:12:17,439 Speaker 17: They're very serious financial overhangs. 238 00:12:17,760 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 4: It's not just India's economic road that is giving China 239 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,760 Speaker 4: a run for its money. India has taken away China's 240 00:12:22,760 --> 00:12:25,439 Speaker 4: title as the most populous country in the world. That's 241 00:12:25,440 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 4: according to estimates by the UN's World Population Dashboard. 242 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 18: Projections indicate that the size of the Chinese population could 243 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,320 Speaker 18: drop below one billion before the end of the century. 244 00:12:36,080 --> 00:12:39,800 Speaker 18: In India, by contrast, the population is expected to continue 245 00:12:39,800 --> 00:12:41,640 Speaker 18: growing for several decades. 246 00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:46,000 Speaker 4: Its younger population gives it an edge attracting multinational companies 247 00:12:46,000 --> 00:12:49,440 Speaker 4: from Goldman Sachs to Rolls Royce to Rakuten make in India. 248 00:12:49,160 --> 00:12:50,439 Speaker 7: The world's back office. 249 00:12:50,679 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 4: Recent economic data highlighted a rapid service sector expansion that 250 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:58,199 Speaker 4: can be attributed to the soul called global capability centers. 251 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:01,640 Speaker 4: These gccs now count for more than one percent of 252 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:02,520 Speaker 4: India's GDP. 253 00:13:02,880 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 18: You have to think about the labor productivity issues in 254 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:10,040 Speaker 18: the country because it's already a services dominated economy in 255 00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:11,280 Speaker 18: terms of the share of GDP. 256 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,160 Speaker 4: Apple is doing its part in heating up competition between 257 00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:17,440 Speaker 4: India and China. Apple's biggest supplier of Fox Con It's 258 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,440 Speaker 4: set to start manufacturing iPhones in India by next year 259 00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:22,520 Speaker 4: as Apple diversifies away from China. 260 00:13:22,840 --> 00:13:26,720 Speaker 18: We've had considerable success and tailments in the smartphone segment, 261 00:13:26,880 --> 00:13:29,880 Speaker 18: and we have been great interest from the likes of 262 00:13:29,920 --> 00:13:32,200 Speaker 18: Apple and Samsung and expanding and growing here. 263 00:13:32,520 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 7: Investors appear to be all on board. 264 00:13:34,480 --> 00:13:36,920 Speaker 4: Rupee denominated bonds are on track for the longest streak 265 00:13:36,960 --> 00:13:39,400 Speaker 4: a monthly buying by overseas funds in almost four years. 266 00:13:39,559 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 7: The local currency is offering the. 267 00:13:41,040 --> 00:13:43,880 Speaker 4: Second best carrier returns in Asia this year, and equities 268 00:13:43,880 --> 00:13:46,559 Speaker 4: have loured almost ten billion dollars in net foreign inflows 269 00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:49,800 Speaker 4: this quarter, helping India's three point four trillion dollars stock 270 00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:53,199 Speaker 4: market reclaim its spot as the world's fifth largest. 271 00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,640 Speaker 6: See the great thing about India is that with one 272 00:13:55,640 --> 00:13:58,120 Speaker 6: point four billion, you could go into the penny industry. 273 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:00,320 Speaker 7: There's a market domestic. 274 00:14:00,280 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 4: As it positions itself as a leader on the global stage, 275 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:06,040 Speaker 4: India faces challenges at home with the withering scrutiny of 276 00:14:06,080 --> 00:14:09,840 Speaker 4: a Donni Group after a report from Hindenberg Research alleged 277 00:14:09,880 --> 00:14:11,880 Speaker 4: accounting fraud and stock manipulation. 278 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,320 Speaker 15: These things don't happen every so often. 279 00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,680 Speaker 16: They're kind of rare, and our views that we need 280 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:18,720 Speaker 16: to bet a little bit bigger when you do get 281 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:20,320 Speaker 16: these outsize opportunities. 282 00:14:20,560 --> 00:14:24,120 Speaker 4: India's modern nations free must also confront some significant shortcomings, 283 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:27,440 Speaker 4: the country's deadliest rail accident in nearly three decades raising 284 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:29,880 Speaker 4: questions about outdated infrastructure. 285 00:14:30,160 --> 00:14:31,880 Speaker 17: It is a huge headpack find you. 286 00:14:32,440 --> 00:14:35,400 Speaker 14: They see federal elections with just a couple of months ago. 287 00:14:35,440 --> 00:14:37,360 Speaker 1: There they will be Nikiya. 288 00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:41,280 Speaker 6: For more. 289 00:14:41,360 --> 00:14:44,880 Speaker 4: We welcome Rashier Sharma, the chair of Rockefeller International. Rashier, 290 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,760 Speaker 4: great to have you here on the program. You know 291 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 4: emerging markets better than anyone, and I'm sure you also 292 00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:53,400 Speaker 4: know that for years, decades, really investors have really been 293 00:14:53,440 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 4: interested in the promise of India. There is a focus 294 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 4: right now, if you will, on that country, on its 295 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:02,640 Speaker 4: economy and on its cap markets that seems much different 296 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:04,240 Speaker 4: than what that focus had been in the past. 297 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:04,960 Speaker 7: What's changed? 298 00:15:05,720 --> 00:15:08,720 Speaker 5: Well, I think that this focus you're seeing on the 299 00:15:08,720 --> 00:15:11,440 Speaker 5: back of Prime Minister Moody's visit here has a lot 300 00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 5: to do with. 301 00:15:11,960 --> 00:15:13,200 Speaker 17: Geography and size. 302 00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:18,080 Speaker 5: The fact that there is such disenchantment with China and 303 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:22,000 Speaker 5: India's the only country of that kind of size, and 304 00:15:22,440 --> 00:15:27,600 Speaker 5: now also its economic size has become and made it 305 00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:28,640 Speaker 5: so relevant. 306 00:15:28,800 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 4: Are there lessons though, that Mody can take from Xijenping 307 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:37,120 Speaker 4: and his move to globalize the Chinese economy and avoid 308 00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:39,720 Speaker 4: some of the maybe the missteps that Jijienping made. 309 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,040 Speaker 5: Yeah, I think it's quite clear, which is that as 310 00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 5: far as China is concerned, that if you look at 311 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 5: China's development path, it was a fantastic development path. It's 312 00:15:49,160 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 5: only in the last few years that it's got derailed. 313 00:15:52,120 --> 00:15:54,880 Speaker 5: And it's got derailed because they took on too much debt. 314 00:15:55,160 --> 00:15:58,480 Speaker 5: It's got derailed because the state there has decided to 315 00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:02,880 Speaker 5: become much more interventionist flex its muscle, and because China 316 00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 5: is in a way also been retreating from the world 317 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:06,680 Speaker 5: and turning more inward. 318 00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:08,400 Speaker 17: So what Mode needs to sort. 319 00:16:08,280 --> 00:16:13,640 Speaker 5: Of realize today is that India is where China should be, 320 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 5: or where China was about twenty years ago or so. 321 00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 17: It should still be a country that's opening up. 322 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 5: It should still be a country that is backing its 323 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:24,680 Speaker 5: private sector. 324 00:16:24,880 --> 00:16:27,440 Speaker 4: We were speaking a little bit earlier this week about 325 00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:32,160 Speaker 4: the unemployment rate in China, specifically among the youth, something over. 326 00:16:32,080 --> 00:16:32,880 Speaker 1: Twenty one percent. 327 00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 4: India isn't that far behind, I think, depending on what 328 00:16:35,480 --> 00:16:38,400 Speaker 4: numbers are used, somewhere around seventeen eighteen percent here. So 329 00:16:38,440 --> 00:16:40,320 Speaker 4: that's something that has to be addressed. But it's also 330 00:16:40,360 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 4: those same demographics that I think attracts a lot of investors, 331 00:16:43,200 --> 00:16:45,840 Speaker 4: the idea that they have a younger population relative to China, 332 00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 4: younger working age population, as you're saying, relative to China. 333 00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:51,720 Speaker 5: This is a country that has consistently disappointed the optimists 334 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,840 Speaker 5: in the pessimists. So the last few years it has 335 00:16:54,920 --> 00:16:59,760 Speaker 5: clearly disappointed the pessimists because it's done much better than 336 00:16:59,800 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 5: what the worst forecasts were. Now, I think that we 337 00:17:04,080 --> 00:17:06,400 Speaker 5: just have to be careful that India doesn't follow its 338 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:10,439 Speaker 5: past pattern and disappoint the optimists as well. So I 339 00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:13,480 Speaker 5: think that this is about expectations, about controlling that, about 340 00:17:13,560 --> 00:17:16,480 Speaker 5: letting the numbers come through, because if you look at 341 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:19,919 Speaker 5: India today, the amount of foreign investment that India attracts 342 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:23,040 Speaker 5: is still quite small as a share of its economy. 343 00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:25,520 Speaker 5: Look at numbers you know, such as foreign direct investment, 344 00:17:25,920 --> 00:17:29,399 Speaker 5: the amount that comes into India as is like around 345 00:17:29,440 --> 00:17:32,720 Speaker 5: one percent of GDP. Now, when China was booming and 346 00:17:32,840 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 5: really sort of growing at a nineteen percent clip, it 347 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:40,040 Speaker 5: was attracting foreign investment or foreign direct investment in particular 348 00:17:40,320 --> 00:17:42,800 Speaker 5: of close to four percent of GDP. Even today, other 349 00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 5: emerging markets are attracting foreign investment of around two two 350 00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:49,400 Speaker 5: and a half percent of GDP. So we need those 351 00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:53,439 Speaker 5: numbers now to come through after this incredible amount of 352 00:17:53,480 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 5: expectations and also outperformance that we have seen. 353 00:17:57,640 --> 00:17:59,280 Speaker 4: In order to do that, do they need to sort of, 354 00:17:59,320 --> 00:18:01,760 Speaker 4: I guess broad and what's available to invest in. One 355 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 4: criticism that I've heard from foreign investors is that the 356 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:06,439 Speaker 4: Indian economy, at least in terms of what can be 357 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:08,960 Speaker 4: invested in, and they're primarily talking about public markets, is 358 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:11,000 Speaker 4: way narrower than what you're going to find in China 359 00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:13,320 Speaker 4: any other emerging markets. You even see that in a 360 00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:16,719 Speaker 4: market capitalization three trillion dollars stock market compared to mainland 361 00:18:16,800 --> 00:18:18,960 Speaker 4: China stock market which is like twelve or thirteen trillion. 362 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:21,240 Speaker 5: Yeah, but that I think the stock market in India 363 00:18:21,280 --> 00:18:23,760 Speaker 5: has done very well because you know, the Indian economy 364 00:18:23,840 --> 00:18:26,400 Speaker 5: members also about three trillions. 365 00:18:26,480 --> 00:18:27,919 Speaker 17: So but if you. 366 00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:29,880 Speaker 4: Notice that where the growth is so the list being 367 00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:32,560 Speaker 4: in the publicly listed company. Yes, the criticism is that 368 00:18:32,600 --> 00:18:34,480 Speaker 4: a lot of the companies and industries they want to 369 00:18:34,520 --> 00:18:37,639 Speaker 4: invest in aren't public yet, so they either feel like 370 00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:39,679 Speaker 4: they have to find a direct way into those companies 371 00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:41,400 Speaker 4: or they have to sit on the sidelines until there's 372 00:18:41,400 --> 00:18:42,040 Speaker 4: a listening. 373 00:18:41,880 --> 00:18:44,480 Speaker 5: Well for foreign investors and their track record are big 374 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,400 Speaker 5: private investments in India is quite mixed. So I think 375 00:18:47,400 --> 00:18:49,800 Speaker 5: that the public markets in India have done very well. 376 00:18:50,440 --> 00:18:52,520 Speaker 5: If you look at the breadth of companies in India 377 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:55,439 Speaker 5: and the diversity of the stock market that's one of 378 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:57,320 Speaker 5: the best I know of any country in the world. 379 00:18:57,760 --> 00:19:01,840 Speaker 5: There are so many sectors represented out there, from manufacturing 380 00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 5: to healthcare to commodities. It's all their technology, like obviously 381 00:19:06,400 --> 00:19:08,520 Speaker 5: is known. If you look at other emerging markets, they 382 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:10,719 Speaker 5: tend to be very concentrated. You know, Brazil has one 383 00:19:10,760 --> 00:19:13,440 Speaker 5: or two sectors which are make up the market, or 384 00:19:13,640 --> 00:19:16,280 Speaker 5: even China got so sort of taken up by tech. 385 00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:19,080 Speaker 17: As far as the good performing markets concerned. 386 00:19:18,760 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 5: So I don't think that's an issue as far as 387 00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:23,600 Speaker 5: India's concern. What's an issue today is just the fact 388 00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 5: that the valuations are very high, which is reflective of 389 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 5: the fact that expectations are very high out of India, 390 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:33,920 Speaker 5: and those is what those need to come through. 391 00:19:33,960 --> 00:19:34,120 Speaker 2: Now. 392 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 5: We need to see the numbers come through. And you 393 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:38,720 Speaker 5: can never have an attitude that where else will the 394 00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:40,800 Speaker 5: money go, It's got to come to India. I think 395 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:44,720 Speaker 5: that that attitude can be problematic. So we're all sort 396 00:19:44,760 --> 00:19:46,840 Speaker 5: of you know, I think that today you'll have to 397 00:19:46,880 --> 00:19:49,800 Speaker 5: be a very big contrariant to take a bet against 398 00:19:49,880 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 5: India because the fundamentals do look pretty good as far 399 00:19:54,320 --> 00:19:58,359 Speaker 5: as India's concerned, but also the fact that expectations and 400 00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:02,800 Speaker 5: the hype around India is something which is quite unprecedented. 401 00:20:03,000 --> 00:20:04,760 Speaker 4: All right, that's a great place to Endre Rashier really 402 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:06,200 Speaker 4: appreciate you taking time for us. 403 00:20:06,520 --> 00:20:07,960 Speaker 7: Thanks Rushir Sharmerck. 404 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:10,960 Speaker 4: Where's a chair of Rockefeller International and long career Morgan 405 00:20:11,040 --> 00:20:14,040 Speaker 4: Sanley and now of course the founder over at Breakout Capital. 406 00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 4: Coming up, AI gets another champion. Hewlett Packard Enterprise CEO 407 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 4: Antonio Nerry on how HPE fits into the competition. 408 00:20:22,560 --> 00:20:25,400 Speaker 8: AI would be competitive too, but we always start from 409 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:26,800 Speaker 8: the customer point of view. 410 00:20:27,480 --> 00:20:37,840 Speaker 4: That's next on Wall Street Week on Bloomberg. This is 411 00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,399 Speaker 4: Wall Street Week. I'm Romaine Boss again for David Weston. 412 00:20:40,800 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 4: This week, HPE pushed deeper into the AI fray an 413 00:20:44,600 --> 00:20:47,840 Speaker 4: announcement of a cloud service designed to handle the large 414 00:20:47,840 --> 00:20:52,560 Speaker 4: computing power needed to support generative artificial intelligence. I had 415 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:54,919 Speaker 4: a chance to sit down with Antonio Nry, the CEO, 416 00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:59,199 Speaker 4: about HPE's long transition away from hardware to the cloud 417 00:20:59,240 --> 00:21:00,359 Speaker 4: and now to AI. 418 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:05,640 Speaker 8: The announcement we made yesterday and AI completes our vision 419 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:08,400 Speaker 8: and the execution of the strategy we have been through 420 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:11,960 Speaker 8: over the last four to five years, which green Lake 421 00:21:12,280 --> 00:21:16,240 Speaker 8: is our cloud platform where we offer edge services, hybrid 422 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 8: cloud services, and now we're going to offer AI services, 423 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,560 Speaker 8: so in many ways complete entire portfolio. Because in twenty 424 00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:25,640 Speaker 8: eighteen I stated that the enterprise of the future will 425 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,879 Speaker 8: be edge centric, cloud enabled, and data driven, and obviously 426 00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:33,000 Speaker 8: AI is an accelerate of the data driven strategy. And 427 00:21:33,040 --> 00:21:36,679 Speaker 8: we made available an amazing set of services yesterday, with 428 00:21:36,840 --> 00:21:40,639 Speaker 8: the leading service being THEAI Cloud, meaning a public offer 429 00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:45,240 Speaker 8: so customers can come and privately to train their AI 430 00:21:45,400 --> 00:21:47,480 Speaker 8: models in the most sustainable infrastructure. 431 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:49,359 Speaker 7: Well, let's talk about shareholder value. 432 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:52,440 Speaker 4: What are we looking at in terms of the addition 433 00:21:53,160 --> 00:21:56,879 Speaker 4: to growth, whether it's profitability or revenue. 434 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:00,679 Speaker 8: AI will be a huge boost of and your growth, 435 00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,080 Speaker 8: and we talked about this in the Q two earnings 436 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 8: where we specifically call out in ninety days, just in 437 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:10,840 Speaker 8: Q two we booked an incremental eight hundred million dollars 438 00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 8: just for this type of AI world loads. Since then, 439 00:22:14,000 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 8: our pipeline has grown out to over three billion dollars. 440 00:22:17,920 --> 00:22:20,639 Speaker 8: And so this is what you see the momental macell 441 00:22:20,760 --> 00:22:22,840 Speaker 8: rated and the reason why they're coming to us is 442 00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 8: because they know we have the capabilities, but also we 443 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:29,480 Speaker 8: have the trust. Trust is everything when it comes down 444 00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:31,879 Speaker 8: to AI, and to build trust, you need to have 445 00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:34,919 Speaker 8: model completion, and to have model completion, need to have 446 00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:38,000 Speaker 8: this capability. So we expect this business to continue to 447 00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:39,840 Speaker 8: grow and write profitable growth for. 448 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:41,840 Speaker 4: Our sholders well as you seek to get a little 449 00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:43,840 Speaker 4: bit more traction on this, particularly when it comes to 450 00:22:43,880 --> 00:22:46,359 Speaker 4: revenue growth. Is that going to be enough Antonio to 451 00:22:46,440 --> 00:22:48,040 Speaker 4: make up for some of the lack that we've been 452 00:22:48,080 --> 00:22:49,280 Speaker 4: seeing in the compute segment. 453 00:22:50,520 --> 00:22:53,640 Speaker 8: Now, listen, last year the compute business grew double digits 454 00:22:53,680 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 8: and we drove an amazing profitability. 455 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 7: And we know compute things to be cyclical. 456 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:02,400 Speaker 8: You know, there are period of times where your modernize 457 00:23:02,920 --> 00:23:05,680 Speaker 8: and you add compute capacity depending on where you want 458 00:23:05,720 --> 00:23:08,159 Speaker 8: to host the worloads, and there periods that will go 459 00:23:08,200 --> 00:23:12,000 Speaker 8: through digestive. But remember Green Lake, and that's an accelerator 460 00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:16,320 Speaker 8: of our compute demand because ultimately that compute demand stays 461 00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:18,960 Speaker 8: there for a longer period of time with hybrid prosmologen 462 00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:22,560 Speaker 8: and honestly higher attached rates. So that's why we are 463 00:23:22,560 --> 00:23:25,240 Speaker 8: growing the edge, we are growing the hybrid cloud, and 464 00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:27,879 Speaker 8: now we're going to grow. The AI together with the 465 00:23:27,960 --> 00:23:30,600 Speaker 8: data and computer will continue to be a very important 466 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:34,639 Speaker 8: aspect of portfolio, but over time the portfolio mix is 467 00:23:34,680 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 8: going to go to those line of businesses just mentioned. 468 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:41,600 Speaker 7: That was HPE CEO Antonio Neri. 469 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,880 Speaker 4: AI is attracting the tension across sectors, bringing from education 470 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,639 Speaker 4: to healthcare. But while the use of the nascent technology 471 00:23:48,720 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 4: might vary, the concerns are similar. Some even characterize AI 472 00:23:53,000 --> 00:23:56,760 Speaker 4: as an existential threat. I sat down with Neurologic CEO 473 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,120 Speaker 4: Janna Eggers a little bit earlier to ask her about 474 00:23:59,119 --> 00:23:59,960 Speaker 4: where AI is at. 475 00:24:02,040 --> 00:24:04,840 Speaker 13: In most people's opinion, you know, they think of AI 476 00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:06,960 Speaker 13: as when is it going to be like the human 477 00:24:07,040 --> 00:24:08,959 Speaker 13: I think we're very, very far from that. 478 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:11,480 Speaker 15: But where we are, which is exciting. 479 00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 14: Is we're at a point where AI can really augment. 480 00:24:14,520 --> 00:24:16,600 Speaker 15: Humans and help us out. 481 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,600 Speaker 13: And you're seeing them with chat, GPT and some of 482 00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,840 Speaker 13: the excitements that people have around the things that it's 483 00:24:21,880 --> 00:24:24,560 Speaker 13: able to do for them as far as generating ideas 484 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:27,679 Speaker 13: maybe for a vacation or for a new marketing campaign, 485 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:31,280 Speaker 13: that it's coming up with different ways than they were thinking. 486 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:34,520 Speaker 4: I well, speaking with the CEO of Hewlett Packard Enterprise. 487 00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,280 Speaker 4: They just had a big splash you roll out this 488 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:38,920 Speaker 4: week of some new AI tools that they're integrating really 489 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:42,879 Speaker 4: into their larger cloud and enterprise software products. Here, you 490 00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 4: advise a lot of companies. You deal with a lot 491 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,240 Speaker 4: of companies that are looking to build out into this space. 492 00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:50,679 Speaker 4: Is there sort of a scale up factor here that 493 00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:53,320 Speaker 4: you think is viable, particularly when it comes to software 494 00:24:53,359 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 4: and a lot of cloud services. 495 00:24:55,440 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 13: Well, I typically actually advise company is to scale back 496 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:05,960 Speaker 13: rather than scale out. You know, most companies aren't going 497 00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:11,240 Speaker 13: to use something like chat GPT for their business unless 498 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:15,640 Speaker 13: it's uh and HPE has an offering there, unless it's 499 00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 13: really focused on their business. So they're training models not 500 00:25:20,520 --> 00:25:23,240 Speaker 13: to be the whole web of information, but to be 501 00:25:23,600 --> 00:25:28,359 Speaker 13: their corporate information. And I do think that's really important, 502 00:25:28,480 --> 00:25:32,399 Speaker 13: and so I wouldn't you know, obviously their use cases 503 00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:35,840 Speaker 13: will scale out, but I think the data self scales back, 504 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,480 Speaker 13: even though again things like chat GPT give us those 505 00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,160 Speaker 13: ideas of what could be done. 506 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:43,040 Speaker 4: Well, we have to talk a little bit here about 507 00:25:43,119 --> 00:25:45,040 Speaker 4: some of the risk, or at least the perceived risk 508 00:25:45,200 --> 00:25:48,600 Speaker 4: of this uh uh. This week, Bloomberg Technology held a 509 00:25:48,600 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 4: big AI summit. They had to sit down with the 510 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,399 Speaker 4: open ai co founder and there was a little bit 511 00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:55,560 Speaker 4: of a pushback here to some of the I guess 512 00:25:55,560 --> 00:25:58,280 Speaker 4: worst case scenarios that have been positive about what AI 513 00:25:58,720 --> 00:26:00,320 Speaker 4: ends up being for us, for human being. 514 00:26:01,119 --> 00:26:05,119 Speaker 13: So I'm I'm again excited that consumers are able to 515 00:26:05,200 --> 00:26:07,359 Speaker 13: use it because they start seeing more of what's wrong 516 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:13,000 Speaker 13: with it, and because of that, I think they'll learn 517 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 13: a bit more about AI and. 518 00:26:14,440 --> 00:26:16,560 Speaker 15: Start questioning, which I think is terrific. 519 00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:22,400 Speaker 13: I think, you know some of those fears. I'm more 520 00:26:22,400 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 13: worried about AI hype than I am actually worried about 521 00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:26,600 Speaker 13: AI itself. 522 00:26:27,080 --> 00:26:29,639 Speaker 15: So people start believing that it's something that it's not. 523 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:31,320 Speaker 15: That's what worries me. 524 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:35,920 Speaker 13: And so I'm I am more excited where people can 525 00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:37,480 Speaker 13: use it, understand that there's some. 526 00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:40,520 Speaker 15: Hype around it, and then they can. 527 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 14: Start questioning it more and. 528 00:26:42,960 --> 00:26:47,679 Speaker 13: Demanding more, demanding things like transparency and explainability, so that 529 00:26:47,760 --> 00:26:51,239 Speaker 13: we know what data's used, how it's used, and what 530 00:26:51,359 --> 00:26:56,320 Speaker 13: data was actually led to this suggestion or this information, 531 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:57,320 Speaker 13: and whether it. 532 00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:57,960 Speaker 15: Was created or not. 533 00:26:57,960 --> 00:27:01,800 Speaker 13: I mean, you've see some examples of GPT making up 534 00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,400 Speaker 13: and people call it hallucinating. 535 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:06,200 Speaker 15: Citations. 536 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,840 Speaker 13: So if I know that that actually didn't come from 537 00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:12,239 Speaker 13: a real site. I should be able to see that, 538 00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,320 Speaker 13: So chat GPT should tell me that as an example. 539 00:27:15,440 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 4: Well, that gets to this whole idea of just how 540 00:27:17,760 --> 00:27:21,119 Speaker 4: reliable the use of this can be. Also, it raises 541 00:27:21,160 --> 00:27:23,919 Speaker 4: a lot of questions about bias. You know, the idea 542 00:27:24,000 --> 00:27:28,240 Speaker 4: that the chat GPT or whatever other generative AI products 543 00:27:28,240 --> 00:27:31,760 Speaker 4: are using. The output is only be as good or 544 00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:35,480 Speaker 4: as qualitative as the inputs, right, And I'd. 545 00:27:35,200 --> 00:27:37,960 Speaker 13: Even say if you have you may have some really 546 00:27:38,040 --> 00:27:39,959 Speaker 13: good data, but the question is is it good for 547 00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:40,840 Speaker 13: that use case? 548 00:27:41,440 --> 00:27:45,320 Speaker 15: So people understanding I always talk about AIS really three parts. 549 00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:48,919 Speaker 13: First part is the data, second part is the algorithm, 550 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:50,639 Speaker 13: and the third part is the objective. 551 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:52,560 Speaker 15: So making sure that those are. 552 00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:56,040 Speaker 13: All aligned and that this is good data for that 553 00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:58,440 Speaker 13: use case and of the right size. 554 00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 15: Again, you may not need the whole internet of information. 555 00:28:02,119 --> 00:28:05,200 Speaker 13: You may just need your corporate information to actually give 556 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,800 Speaker 13: you better answers than what the whole Internet would give. 557 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:10,400 Speaker 15: And then back to my point. 558 00:28:10,160 --> 00:28:15,280 Speaker 13: About transparency and explainability. Being able to understand which data 559 00:28:15,320 --> 00:28:19,320 Speaker 13: from which data set or which aggregation of data sets 560 00:28:19,680 --> 00:28:23,159 Speaker 13: really drove that answer is actually quite important now and 561 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:24,800 Speaker 13: becoming more important. 562 00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:26,840 Speaker 4: As we go down this path, and this does appear 563 00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,200 Speaker 4: to be kind of the future in some form or another. 564 00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,280 Speaker 4: There's been a lot of discussions about the data itself, 565 00:28:32,320 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 4: the ownership of that data. We know, at least with 566 00:28:34,840 --> 00:28:36,840 Speaker 4: some of these consumer products, if you're just scraping in 567 00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:38,840 Speaker 4: the web, the question is do you have a right 568 00:28:38,920 --> 00:28:42,280 Speaker 4: to use something that someone else produced without their permission 569 00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,960 Speaker 4: and more importantly, without compensation. How do you sort of 570 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:49,240 Speaker 4: reconcile that given the large data needs that are required 571 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:49,480 Speaker 4: for this. 572 00:28:50,240 --> 00:28:54,600 Speaker 13: Yeah, I am actually very much in the protect and 573 00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:58,160 Speaker 13: protect people's copyrights and really respect their data. This is 574 00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,080 Speaker 13: why when I talk about corporation and you know them 575 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:03,480 Speaker 13: going with their own data. When our customers come to 576 00:29:03,600 --> 00:29:06,360 Speaker 13: us and say, hey, can you also help us find data, 577 00:29:06,440 --> 00:29:08,280 Speaker 13: I always push back and say, let's start with your 578 00:29:08,360 --> 00:29:08,880 Speaker 13: data first. 579 00:29:09,040 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 15: Maybe we'll need that eventually, but let's start with your 580 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:12,680 Speaker 15: data first. 581 00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,840 Speaker 13: Because most corporations have plenty of data, they don't need 582 00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:18,920 Speaker 13: to go outside of their of their you know. 583 00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:22,719 Speaker 15: Corporate walls to do well with data. So that that 584 00:29:23,160 --> 00:29:24,640 Speaker 15: to me, the amount of data is. 585 00:29:24,960 --> 00:29:27,760 Speaker 7: A red herring that was narrow logic. 586 00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:30,720 Speaker 4: CEO Janna Eggers more coverage coming up here on Wall 587 00:29:30,760 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 4: Street Week on Bloomberg, including a look at turning around 588 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:37,479 Speaker 4: a company and winning the NBA Finals. Believe it or not, 589 00:29:37,760 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 4: they actually have a lot in common. A conversation coming 590 00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:42,400 Speaker 4: up with Seve Palayuker, the co owner of the Boston 591 00:29:42,440 --> 00:29:46,360 Speaker 4: Celtics and of course, former co chair over at Bain Capital. 592 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,719 Speaker 4: He's going to tell us how he applies his private 593 00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 4: equity background to basketball. 594 00:29:51,240 --> 00:29:53,880 Speaker 7: That's coming up next on Wall Street Week on Bloomberg. 595 00:30:00,960 --> 00:30:03,320 Speaker 4: I'm here right now with Stephen Palayuka, of course, the 596 00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,600 Speaker 4: former co chairman of Bine Capital and co owner of 597 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 4: the Boston Celtics. We've been talking a lot about the 598 00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 4: business of sports here, Steven. Probably no business has grown 599 00:30:14,120 --> 00:30:15,960 Speaker 4: as much, at least not here in the US as 600 00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:20,800 Speaker 4: a National Basketball Association. The current television broadcast rights set 601 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,840 Speaker 4: to expire sometime in mid twenty twenty five. I know 602 00:30:23,960 --> 00:30:27,840 Speaker 4: negotiations have already begun, at least with current partners, but 603 00:30:27,880 --> 00:30:30,280 Speaker 4: there's a lot of speculation right now about how much 604 00:30:30,320 --> 00:30:32,840 Speaker 4: the NBA will broaden its reach in terms of the 605 00:30:32,880 --> 00:30:34,720 Speaker 4: TV rights and the TV partners it has. 606 00:30:35,160 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 1: Well, We're very optimistic. Viewership has never been higher. 607 00:30:38,520 --> 00:30:43,440 Speaker 6: It's been a fantastic season, great competitive balance and wonderful playoffs. 608 00:30:43,200 --> 00:30:45,280 Speaker 1: So singers looking up for the NBA. 609 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:49,000 Speaker 6: It's a global game and we continue to build the 610 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:53,520 Speaker 6: business in Africa overseas, and so really exciting times ahead in. 611 00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,560 Speaker 4: Order to sort of reach a lot of the new 612 00:30:55,600 --> 00:30:58,400 Speaker 4: folks as well as even the current crop of fans 613 00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:01,240 Speaker 4: that you have in the league. Here is some concern 614 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:03,440 Speaker 4: here that over the last few years, if you wanted 615 00:31:03,440 --> 00:31:05,320 Speaker 4: to watch an NBA game, there were really only a 616 00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:07,440 Speaker 4: couple of places that you can do it. You know 617 00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,120 Speaker 4: that how we watch TV, how we consume media has 618 00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:13,320 Speaker 4: changed a lot, even over the last five years. When 619 00:31:13,360 --> 00:31:16,680 Speaker 4: you anticipate what a new contract, a new broadcast contract 620 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 4: looks like, do you think it's going to be a 621 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,479 Speaker 4: much wider number of companies involved than what we currently have. 622 00:31:22,800 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 6: Yes, that's been the trend, trend in the NFL, the 623 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 6: trend in all sports, so more people can see more games. Fundamentally, 624 00:31:29,520 --> 00:31:31,280 Speaker 6: a lot of these valuations have been driven up by 625 00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 6: the fact that certainly basketball and soccer are global games, 626 00:31:35,960 --> 00:31:40,280 Speaker 6: and with the streaming capability and ability to reach millions 627 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,880 Speaker 6: and millions of customers. We used to measure the fan 628 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,959 Speaker 6: base in millions, and now it's tens of millions, hundreds of millions, 629 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:48,160 Speaker 6: and even billions as far as football goes. 630 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 4: As we see evaluation for the popular sports, the soccers 631 00:31:52,000 --> 00:31:54,600 Speaker 4: of the world, the nbas of the world, we've also 632 00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:56,640 Speaker 4: seen investors now start to look at I guess what 633 00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,320 Speaker 4: can be considered second tier sports, where you're talking about 634 00:31:59,320 --> 00:32:03,680 Speaker 4: something like lac or even something as what was once 635 00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:06,680 Speaker 4: obscure like pickleball, at least as a professional sport. Have 636 00:32:06,760 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 4: you taken any interest in that sort of tier of 637 00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:10,680 Speaker 4: sports leagues. 638 00:32:10,720 --> 00:32:13,760 Speaker 6: Yes, PAGs Group Sports our family office, we've looked at 639 00:32:13,760 --> 00:32:18,480 Speaker 6: several opportunities, and again, I think sports is compelling programming 640 00:32:18,880 --> 00:32:20,080 Speaker 6: and there's going to be a trickle down. 641 00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:21,360 Speaker 1: Effect into all these other leagues. 642 00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:24,520 Speaker 6: So people will start have the capability of watching lacrosse 643 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,640 Speaker 6: or watching pickleball because it's compelling programming. 644 00:32:27,680 --> 00:32:29,280 Speaker 1: So I think you're going to see growth in those 645 00:32:29,280 --> 00:32:30,200 Speaker 1: ancillary sports. 646 00:32:30,920 --> 00:32:35,240 Speaker 4: I am curious about your career in private equity. I 647 00:32:35,240 --> 00:32:38,000 Speaker 4: know you've stepped away from your main role at Bain 648 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:42,640 Speaker 4: Capital earlier this year. There are I think personally some 649 00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,400 Speaker 4: parallels to the growth that we've seen in the private 650 00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:47,720 Speaker 4: equity space over the last couple of decades and the 651 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 4: growth that we've seen in the interest and valuations in 652 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,920 Speaker 4: sports franchises over that same period of time. Is there 653 00:32:55,080 --> 00:32:58,080 Speaker 4: a material difference in how you approach what you did 654 00:32:58,480 --> 00:33:00,680 Speaker 4: at Bain and the companies that you involved with the 655 00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:03,360 Speaker 4: Bane and what you're doing now in the world of sports. 656 00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:07,280 Speaker 6: It's actually very similar. There are similar dynamics in sports. 657 00:33:07,640 --> 00:33:09,840 Speaker 6: You need to have a great operation, you want to 658 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:12,000 Speaker 6: build a championship team, you have to have fantastic management 659 00:33:12,080 --> 00:33:13,120 Speaker 6: like we have at the Celtics. 660 00:33:14,000 --> 00:33:15,440 Speaker 1: So there are a lot of parallels. 661 00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:19,360 Speaker 6: The great news is there is a tailwind in the 662 00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:21,320 Speaker 6: growth and private equity. 663 00:33:21,760 --> 00:33:23,160 Speaker 1: It's been a missing over in the past. 664 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:26,080 Speaker 6: Maybe forty years ago, private equity was known for taking 665 00:33:26,080 --> 00:33:29,760 Speaker 6: out costs. Today the industry is competitive and really focused 666 00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,280 Speaker 6: on building businesses, and they want to build growth businesses. 667 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:36,600 Speaker 1: So it's very similar in that aspect. People want to 668 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 1: buy and invest in companies. 669 00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:40,360 Speaker 6: That can grow, and sports is a very growing property 670 00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:41,040 Speaker 6: throughout the world. 671 00:33:41,080 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 7: All right. 672 00:33:41,360 --> 00:33:43,000 Speaker 4: See Well, one of the reasons why we wanted to 673 00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:45,400 Speaker 4: talk to you specifically on this week is because the 674 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:49,840 Speaker 4: National Basketball Association Draft was held Thursday here in New 675 00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:52,800 Speaker 4: York City. There was a lot of discussion about who 676 00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:55,400 Speaker 4: would be picked first. I don't think the discussion really 677 00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:58,280 Speaker 4: veered too far away from I guess the man that 678 00:33:58,360 --> 00:33:59,800 Speaker 4: everyone thinks is going to be the future of this 679 00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,720 Speaker 4: when Bamania, I think, is what they're calling it right now? 680 00:34:02,840 --> 00:34:03,920 Speaker 7: What do you make of him? 681 00:34:03,960 --> 00:34:06,320 Speaker 4: And more importantly, I think what he can mean for 682 00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:08,240 Speaker 4: the league and what it can mean for new viewership. 683 00:34:08,600 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 6: Well, the league has been fortunate in that, you know, 684 00:34:10,840 --> 00:34:14,360 Speaker 6: I've been following it for forty years now, and we 685 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:18,480 Speaker 6: had the Larry Magic, you know, Michael Jordan Age, and 686 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:20,640 Speaker 6: now there are more stars than ever in the league. 687 00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,040 Speaker 6: So if you look down the list, there are thirty 688 00:34:23,080 --> 00:34:27,920 Speaker 6: forty what i'd call transcendent players. And when Bymania, you 689 00:34:27,960 --> 00:34:28,960 Speaker 6: know is going to be amazing. 690 00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:29,799 Speaker 1: He's one of. 691 00:34:29,800 --> 00:34:32,200 Speaker 6: The most skilled big men we've ever seen. He can 692 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:35,399 Speaker 6: do it all, not unlike Lebron when he came in. 693 00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:37,600 Speaker 7: All right, Steve, really appreciate you taking time for us. 694 00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:40,239 Speaker 4: Steven Peluca there he is, of course, the former co 695 00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:43,960 Speaker 4: chairman of Bane Capitol, co owner of the Boston Celtics. 696 00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:44,600 Speaker 7: That does it. 697 00:34:44,640 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 4: For this episode of Wall Street Week, I'm Romaine Bostik, 698 00:34:47,960 --> 00:34:49,200 Speaker 4: This is Bloomberg,