1 00:00:02,640 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Daybreak here for this Wednesday, the fifteenth 2 00:00:05,360 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: of February in London. Coming up today, Pivot pushed back, 3 00:00:08,840 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 1: Traders abounded ray card bets as US inflation remains stubbornly high. 4 00:00:13,440 --> 00:00:17,240 Speaker 1: The stage of Omaha doubles down on Apple. Bloomberg analyzes 5 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:21,120 Speaker 1: what Buffett has had by all that glitters isn't Goldman 6 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 1: David Solomon says the bank expects to rein in hiring soon, 7 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 1: A considers back dating pay Both scenario plans are returned 8 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,800 Speaker 1: to Brazil and a two billion dollar lottery win. Those 9 00:00:32,880 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: are the stories we're looking at in today's papers. And 10 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:39,360 Speaker 1: I'm Leanne Geron's plus in search of more followers. Reports 11 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:43,519 Speaker 1: emerge that Elon Musk tweet the algorithm to boost his tweets. 12 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:50,760 Speaker 1: That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. The business 13 00:00:50,800 --> 00:00:53,000 Speaker 1: news you need to start your day in just one 14 00:00:53,120 --> 00:00:57,560 Speaker 1: fifteen minute podcast on Apple, Spotify, the Bloomberg Business app, 15 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:03,560 Speaker 1: and everywhere you get your podcasts. Good morning, I'm Stephen 16 00:01:03,600 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: Carroll and I'm Caroline Hick. Here all the stories that 17 00:01:06,319 --> 00:01:09,760 Speaker 1: we're following today. Traders are abandoning bets of the Federal 18 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:11,920 Speaker 1: Reserve is about to cut rates, with a two year 19 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 1: treasury yield rising above four and a half percent. The 20 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: market rethink comes after data showed consumer prices rising six 21 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: point four percent in January compared to a year earlier. 22 00:01:23,400 --> 00:01:27,520 Speaker 1: Speaking exclusively to Bloomberg, Richmond FED President Thomas Barkin says 23 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,720 Speaker 1: the central bank will hike higher if needed. We may 24 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: or may not choose to take rates up further if 25 00:01:33,520 --> 00:01:36,199 Speaker 1: inflation continues to persist, but we'll have to see what happens. 26 00:01:36,240 --> 00:01:39,039 Speaker 1: If inflation settles, maybe we don't go quite as far. 27 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 1: But of inflation persists and levels well above our our target, 28 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,720 Speaker 1: may we'll have to do more. Barkin's view was echoed 29 00:01:45,760 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: elsewhere by Dallas FED President Laurry Logan, who said rate 30 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:53,480 Speaker 1: rises may be needed for a longer period than previously anticipated. 31 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:59,000 Speaker 1: Now moving on, Once considered uninvestable, Chinese stocks have become 32 00:01:59,040 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 1: a must have for edge funds again. The latest filings 33 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: show that they loaded up on the shares last quarter 34 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:09,000 Speaker 1: as Beijing abandoned its COVID zero policy. Even Michael Burry, 35 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: the money manager made famous by the Big Short, is 36 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,239 Speaker 1: going along. Meanwhile, Berkshire Hathaway has provided an update on 37 00:02:15,360 --> 00:02:18,160 Speaker 1: what it's holding, and it's been bulking up its position 38 00:02:18,320 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: in Apple. The story from Bloombergs Charlie Palace. In addition, 39 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: Berkshire expanded its stakes in Paramount Global and Louisiana Pacific Corp. 40 00:02:27,120 --> 00:02:30,560 Speaker 1: In the last three months of two according to a 41 00:02:30,680 --> 00:02:33,560 Speaker 1: regulatory filing. At the same time, Berkshire trimmed as some 42 00:02:33,720 --> 00:02:37,640 Speaker 1: of its financial holdings, including its stakes in US BANKORPS, 43 00:02:37,880 --> 00:02:41,480 Speaker 1: Bank of New York, Melon and Ally Financial. The remainder 44 00:02:41,520 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 1: of the company's portfolio was largely unchanged in New York. 45 00:02:45,680 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Daybreak Europe Now, Bloomberg has learned that 46 00:02:49,639 --> 00:02:52,440 Speaker 1: the European Union is seeking to force banks to report 47 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:56,560 Speaker 1: information on frozen Russian Central Bank assets as part of 48 00:02:56,639 --> 00:03:00,880 Speaker 1: its tenth package of sanctions targeting Moscow. Commission is also 49 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 1: proposing extensive trade restrictions on goods used by Russia's military, 50 00:03:05,720 --> 00:03:10,679 Speaker 1: including technology, heavy vehicles, and electronics. After a record slew 51 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: of job cuts, Goldman CEO David Solomon says the bank 52 00:03:13,680 --> 00:03:17,320 Speaker 1: plans to have stricter hiring policies going forward. He told 53 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 1: her Credit Swiss conference cutting costs was a key focus 54 00:03:20,320 --> 00:03:23,720 Speaker 1: for him. We are in a position to lower the 55 00:03:23,800 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 1: head count of the firm. We've taken some action. Um, 56 00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:29,639 Speaker 1: we have a much tighter hiring plan in three and 57 00:03:29,680 --> 00:03:32,600 Speaker 1: then attrition rolls through and so that also helps and 58 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:35,560 Speaker 1: creates more cost leverage. I think we're very targeted and 59 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:38,960 Speaker 1: focused and we'll be in a good place. Speaking at 60 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:41,800 Speaker 1: the same conference as Solomon JP, Morgan's chief financial officer, 61 00:03:41,920 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: Jeremy Barnum also struck a pessimistic tone. He warned the 62 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:48,640 Speaker 1: lender's first quarter trading revenue for this year made a 63 00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:51,920 Speaker 1: kline compared to the eight point eight billion dollars it 64 00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 1: pulled in at the start of two. And finally, Elon 65 00:03:56,120 --> 00:04:00,320 Speaker 1: Musk has reportedly had Twitter's engineers all to the social 66 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,840 Speaker 1: media's algorithm so that his own tweets get more views. 67 00:04:04,280 --> 00:04:07,920 Speaker 1: According to Platformer, the billionaire owner for the social media 68 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: firm was unhappy with the number of views that his 69 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,920 Speaker 1: Super Bowl tweet got. The change would be at odd 70 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:17,840 Speaker 1: with musque previous comments on preferential treatment before taking the 71 00:04:17,880 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 1: company private. He said that he wanted to make the 72 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 1: site an even playing field without bias. Okay, those are 73 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:28,000 Speaker 1: top stories this morning. Well, well, well, people doing doing 74 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: making ways to make their their social media more popular 75 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:33,840 Speaker 1: and not just a regular social media strategy, really, is it? No? 76 00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: I mean, look it's a little bit strange, isn't it. 77 00:04:36,720 --> 00:04:40,520 Speaker 1: But yes, it's one report on elon mask and the 78 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:43,479 Speaker 1: super Bowl tweets over the weekend, and look, I've been 79 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:46,320 Speaker 1: more focused on what's happening here in the UK Waitrose 80 00:04:46,400 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 1: custing prices to compete that the high sweet competition, champagne 81 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,080 Speaker 1: corps being puffed everywhere as a result. Look, I mean 82 00:04:53,120 --> 00:04:55,200 Speaker 1: it's a bit more mundane than that, isn't it. Waits 83 00:04:55,279 --> 00:04:57,280 Speaker 1: is facing so much competition on the high street other 84 00:04:57,680 --> 00:05:00,080 Speaker 1: firms of slashing costs and it goes of course to 85 00:05:00,200 --> 00:05:03,200 Speaker 1: the inflation number that is the all important data. After 86 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,480 Speaker 1: the U s CPI figure yesterday we get the UK 87 00:05:05,600 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 1: inflation data at seven am, three d own brand products 88 00:05:10,240 --> 00:05:14,880 Speaker 1: from Waitrose are going to see prices cut. Food price 89 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:18,599 Speaker 1: inflation is just staggering sixteen point seven and looks interesting 90 00:05:18,640 --> 00:05:21,080 Speaker 1: because we've had other supermarkets have done this already. You know, 91 00:05:21,240 --> 00:05:23,120 Speaker 1: many of the other big players, test Go a Little 92 00:05:23,160 --> 00:05:25,720 Speaker 1: Algae have their price match guaranteed to ensure their charge 93 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,159 Speaker 1: and the same price as Waitrose until now hasn't gotten 94 00:05:28,200 --> 00:05:30,360 Speaker 1: in on that. But they've obviously decided that even the 95 00:05:30,480 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 1: hallowed Waitrose consumer is also worried about prices going up, 96 00:05:34,279 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 1: so it is interesting to see them taking this action 97 00:05:35,920 --> 00:05:38,559 Speaker 1: as well. Yeah. Plus also on the kind of paying 98 00:05:38,640 --> 00:05:44,080 Speaker 1: for things side of issues, Yeah, slightly to but should 99 00:05:44,080 --> 00:05:47,040 Speaker 1: have brought an electric vehicle. I'm certainly kicking myself when 100 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: I look at the data that we've been reporting on 101 00:05:49,960 --> 00:05:53,640 Speaker 1: this morning. It's Tom Tom data, but apparently London second 102 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:56,120 Speaker 1: only to Hong Kong in terms of how expensive it 103 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,159 Speaker 1: is to drive a petrol vehicle more than two thousand, 104 00:05:59,240 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 1: five hundred quick last year. It makes you think, certainly, 105 00:06:03,720 --> 00:06:08,320 Speaker 1: walk a bit more. Stephen up next Sooner considers backdating pay. 106 00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 1: Barsonaro plans a return to Brazil and a two billion 107 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: dollar lottery win. Now the paper review on Blue Birddaybreak Europe. 108 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:21,600 Speaker 1: The news you need to know from today's papers. I 109 00:06:21,880 --> 00:06:24,480 Speaker 1: thought we've got a lottery win in today's newspapers will 110 00:06:24,520 --> 00:06:26,800 Speaker 1: get to that well. I suppose it's a fun story. 111 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:28,800 Speaker 1: A bit later on Blue Bakeley and Karen's is here 112 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:32,680 Speaker 1: with details. Let's start with the meet the serious staff 113 00:06:32,720 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: for the report in the ft. The headline we she 114 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:39,040 Speaker 1: soon like explores public sector paid deal that back dates 115 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 1: wage offer. Yes, indeed, Caroline, good morning to you. So 116 00:06:42,720 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 1: the Prime Minister and the Chancellor, according to the FT, 117 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,840 Speaker 1: are exploring this pay offer, and this is really to 118 00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:52,120 Speaker 1: try to end the way for public sector strikes that 119 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: we have seen here for months. According to the paper, 120 00:06:56,520 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 1: to try to sweeten this pill, Richie Soon, I can 121 00:06:59,720 --> 00:07:03,039 Speaker 1: Jerry me Hunt are considering giving workers a lum sum 122 00:07:03,240 --> 00:07:07,159 Speaker 1: of money by back dating next year's pay rise, which 123 00:07:07,279 --> 00:07:12,680 Speaker 1: takes effect from April probably to the start of January three. 124 00:07:12,960 --> 00:07:15,760 Speaker 1: Now we did hear ripples and a few rumors months 125 00:07:15,840 --> 00:07:19,280 Speaker 1: back about this back dated pay but now after weeks 126 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:23,920 Speaker 1: of deadlock, it's really important to clarify that no final 127 00:07:24,200 --> 00:07:28,200 Speaker 1: decisions have actually been made as of yet. However, the 128 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 1: newspaper highlights that these talks do reflect fears currently brewing 129 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 1: in Downing Street that the waves of strikes could run 130 00:07:36,360 --> 00:07:39,360 Speaker 1: on for months and months. And remember we're not that 131 00:07:39,560 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 1: far from an election, and public sector pay awards for 132 00:07:43,240 --> 00:07:48,600 Speaker 1: two and twenty three were around five percent and inflation 133 00:07:48,760 --> 00:07:52,320 Speaker 1: actually stood at ten point five pc back in December, 134 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:56,400 Speaker 1: so way above those public sector pay awards, and there's 135 00:07:56,440 --> 00:07:58,760 Speaker 1: going to be more news on the inflation front. Today 136 00:07:58,840 --> 00:08:02,120 Speaker 1: we get the UK headline CPI growth and that's scene 137 00:08:02,200 --> 00:08:05,240 Speaker 1: is slowing to ten point three percent in January from 138 00:08:05,360 --> 00:08:09,680 Speaker 1: that figure in December, and that's due to weaker fuel prices, 139 00:08:10,000 --> 00:08:13,000 Speaker 1: even though it is expensive in London to drive, like 140 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:16,160 Speaker 1: you just mentioned. I just think tenuous link. Yes, no, 141 00:08:16,360 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: it is. I also just think it's isn't it's clever 142 00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:22,800 Speaker 1: that this is how potentially the government would get around 143 00:08:22,840 --> 00:08:25,360 Speaker 1: the idea that the Prime Minister has said that he 144 00:08:25,440 --> 00:08:28,440 Speaker 1: doesn't want to reopen the pay negotiations for pay this year. Well, 145 00:08:28,840 --> 00:08:32,480 Speaker 1: if it's about next year's pay, that is just backdated. 146 00:08:33,200 --> 00:08:35,319 Speaker 1: It's a little bit of wiggle room in the language, 147 00:08:35,360 --> 00:08:37,240 Speaker 1: isn't there. Yeah, I'm took me a minute to get 148 00:08:37,320 --> 00:08:38,720 Speaker 1: my head around that idea. But I think I've gotten 149 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:40,920 Speaker 1: a know, so love somebody back dating next year's pay 150 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:43,240 Speaker 1: your eyes to the storage of this year. That is 151 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:45,440 Speaker 1: kind of essentially an advance on next year's pay rise. Right, 152 00:08:45,440 --> 00:08:46,800 Speaker 1: I think I've gotten it now. Right, let's turn to 153 00:08:46,800 --> 00:08:49,120 Speaker 1: the World Street Journal next. We've all got it now, Stephen, 154 00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:51,800 Speaker 1: thank you. Yes, I'm always the last. Turn to the 155 00:08:51,840 --> 00:08:54,599 Speaker 1: World Street Journal next, Baltonaro says he will return to 156 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:57,760 Speaker 1: Brazil and march to lead opposition. Yes, indeed, so the 157 00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:02,760 Speaker 1: former Brazilian president Shayea Bolsonaro is planning his return to Brazil, 158 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,079 Speaker 1: and he said that's actually going to be next month, 159 00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 1: and he's planning to lead the political opposition to President 160 00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:13,839 Speaker 1: Lula de Silva and defend himself against his accusations that 161 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:18,520 Speaker 1: he incited attacks by protesters on government buildings when he 162 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: was voted out of offers. Now, this is his first 163 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:26,080 Speaker 1: interview since leaving the top job with the Wall Street Journal, 164 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: and according to the paper, Bolsonaro was surrounded by bodyguards 165 00:09:30,520 --> 00:09:33,680 Speaker 1: as he gave this interview in the US and said 166 00:09:33,720 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 1: the right wing movement is not dead and we live 167 00:09:38,000 --> 00:09:43,320 Speaker 1: on Balsonaro has never conceded that he actually lost that election, 168 00:09:43,520 --> 00:09:47,000 Speaker 1: last year's election, and now was actually staying with friends 169 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:50,679 Speaker 1: in Florida. Well, it seems that he's plotting. Has come 170 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:53,839 Speaker 1: back to Brazil, and Bolsonaro says he is eager to 171 00:09:53,960 --> 00:09:57,839 Speaker 1: get home, but acknowledge those illegal risks he faced after 172 00:09:57,960 --> 00:10:01,880 Speaker 1: he was accused by prosecutors of inciting rights in January 173 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:05,720 Speaker 1: with social media posts that did warn of a voter 174 00:10:06,040 --> 00:10:09,240 Speaker 1: fraud echoes there to what may have happened in the 175 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: US Caroline, but it does appear that Bolsonaro is plotting 176 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:17,280 Speaker 1: a return despite Lula da Silva being in power. He 177 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 1: won by a slim majority, but still a majority. He 178 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 1: won exactly so in terms. Yeah, Also, they did have 179 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,640 Speaker 1: a nice photograph. Actually, I thought that they actually had 180 00:10:27,679 --> 00:10:30,880 Speaker 1: a picture Barsonara looking relatively relaxed, I thought in the 181 00:10:30,920 --> 00:10:33,439 Speaker 1: water Journal. And we've seen him go to KFC in 182 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:36,640 Speaker 1: all different restaurants while he has been staying in the States. 183 00:10:36,800 --> 00:10:39,920 Speaker 1: Just put that out there. Interesting. The headline in the 184 00:10:40,000 --> 00:10:44,680 Speaker 1: Times two billion dollar lottery win Edwin Castro is shocked 185 00:10:44,840 --> 00:10:49,040 Speaker 1: and ecstatic. Why did you want to highlight this newspaper story? Well, 186 00:10:49,080 --> 00:10:50,920 Speaker 1: I want to highlight those because I think this is 187 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,559 Speaker 1: a very smart man. And the reason it's not just 188 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: because he's won the lottery, but he actually has told 189 00:10:57,400 --> 00:11:01,160 Speaker 1: officials that he wants to remain in private and has 190 00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 1: declined to release his age, occupation and also his address. 191 00:11:05,720 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 1: But his name has now come into the forefront after 192 00:11:08,840 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 1: he did win the biggest amount on the lottery ever, 193 00:11:12,760 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 1: I mean, what are you going to do with two 194 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:18,840 Speaker 1: point zero four billion dollars. Yes, do you. Oh well, 195 00:11:18,880 --> 00:11:22,960 Speaker 1: I'm sure, but he actually scooped that lottery win after 196 00:11:23,080 --> 00:11:26,160 Speaker 1: buying a ticket at a convenience store in l A. 197 00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 1: So what a lucky guy. Now, Castro's win means that 198 00:11:30,400 --> 00:11:33,959 Speaker 1: three of the ten largest tickets in US history have 199 00:11:34,240 --> 00:11:38,760 Speaker 1: all been sold in California. That's just a tip. Yes, 200 00:11:38,840 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 1: I've got my playing ticket booked hours ago, but that's 201 00:11:41,679 --> 00:11:43,760 Speaker 1: just a tip bit for anyone who wants to buy 202 00:11:43,800 --> 00:11:46,599 Speaker 1: a winning ticket go to California. But I think this 203 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:51,359 Speaker 1: is interesting because I think to not actually release your age, occupation, 204 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 1: and address is probably quite sensible. And I do agree 205 00:11:55,280 --> 00:11:58,760 Speaker 1: as a sense of lottery that they don't don't stay 206 00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 1: sensible for very long. Yes, and tee. But the odds 207 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:05,079 Speaker 1: I mean of winning. I'm sorry, I'm still into the mathsphatism. Yeah, 208 00:12:05,160 --> 00:12:07,760 Speaker 1: you're more likely to be hit by a meteor, rights, etcetera, 209 00:12:07,840 --> 00:12:10,240 Speaker 1: etcetera than than win. But yeah, really good. Thank you 210 00:12:10,240 --> 00:12:12,600 Speaker 1: so much again for the roundup of newspapers this morning. 211 00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:14,760 Speaker 1: Let's get back to some of the Central Bank action. 212 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:18,080 Speaker 1: Several FED officials stressing on Tuesday that interest rates may 213 00:12:18,080 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 1: need to move to a higher level after US consumer 214 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:23,199 Speaker 1: prices rose by half a percent in January. That was 215 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,720 Speaker 1: the most in three months. We've got Bloomberg's Mark Cranfield 216 00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:28,920 Speaker 1: from our Markets Life team with us for more market Mark. 217 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:31,960 Speaker 1: Great to have you with us. Traders forced to rethink 218 00:12:32,000 --> 00:12:35,840 Speaker 1: the Fed path after this inflation data. Yeah, it's been 219 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:39,920 Speaker 1: a very steady stream of hawkish Federal reserveial racist jobs 220 00:12:40,000 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 1: data earlier in the month. But probably the most significant 221 00:12:43,760 --> 00:12:47,800 Speaker 1: thing that's that's happened is that traders are finally taken 222 00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,640 Speaker 1: out the potential rate cuts for later in this year. 223 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:54,439 Speaker 1: For some time we were still pricing but the lower 224 00:12:54,520 --> 00:12:58,760 Speaker 1: rates before the end of that's finally now being taken 225 00:12:58,840 --> 00:13:01,760 Speaker 1: out of the market and seeing that yields arise everywhere, 226 00:13:01,840 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 1: and people now are starting to price for the fact 227 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:07,400 Speaker 1: that the Fed could continue raising rates even through to 228 00:13:07,520 --> 00:13:10,360 Speaker 1: June this year, which is a slight change from what 229 00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:12,520 Speaker 1: we've been seeing in recent weeks. So it's it's all 230 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:15,319 Speaker 1: starting to come home there and in the rates market 231 00:13:15,360 --> 00:13:17,760 Speaker 1: and obviously other asset platists or we need to start 232 00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: paying attention to that because there was some people thinking 233 00:13:21,720 --> 00:13:24,040 Speaker 1: that the Feds will go too far and it was 234 00:13:24,080 --> 00:13:26,600 Speaker 1: going to have to reverse course quickly. But that really 235 00:13:26,640 --> 00:13:28,160 Speaker 1: doesn't look as that it's going to be the case, 236 00:13:28,280 --> 00:13:31,679 Speaker 1: and particularly equity market probably hasn't really noticed that just yet. 237 00:13:32,880 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 1: The rethink on inflation has been applied to many other 238 00:13:35,320 --> 00:13:38,479 Speaker 1: global central banks though too. You know this is recalibrating 239 00:13:38,840 --> 00:13:42,960 Speaker 1: for the fairs. Yeah, I mean, it's what happens there 240 00:13:43,200 --> 00:13:45,640 Speaker 1: tends to spread to other places. So it's obviously the 241 00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: Europeans will be looking at it pretty closely, probably the 242 00:13:48,640 --> 00:13:51,880 Speaker 1: Bank of England as well. It doesn't usually stop in 243 00:13:52,240 --> 00:13:54,280 Speaker 1: one place like that, and obviously when you look at 244 00:13:54,640 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 1: the CPI data there were revisions higher as well. So 245 00:13:57,280 --> 00:14:00,360 Speaker 1: though um, we're under a six percent how door now 246 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: for for CPR, which is a slight improvement, they're still 247 00:14:02,840 --> 00:14:05,599 Speaker 1: way too high and they put up some of the 248 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:10,000 Speaker 1: previous months. So there's no way as the inflation battle finished. 249 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,320 Speaker 1: As far as the feeders concerned. Europeans are saying similar 250 00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:16,839 Speaker 1: things as well. Um, looks as though the seculation story, 251 00:14:16,920 --> 00:14:20,400 Speaker 1: which we thought was the story, actually the three story, 252 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 1: and it looks like he's going to go on for 253 00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:24,760 Speaker 1: some time. We've also been hearing mark from the governor 254 00:14:24,760 --> 00:14:27,920 Speaker 1: of Australia Center Bank, Philip I was speaking to lawmakers 255 00:14:28,000 --> 00:14:33,200 Speaker 1: in Canberra and much in his testimony for markets UM, 256 00:14:33,360 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 1: he was indicating that he thinks a soft lending it's 257 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:40,560 Speaker 1: still possible for Australia, and the rates market took it 258 00:14:40,640 --> 00:14:43,760 Speaker 1: pretty well. There was a rebound in the Australian bondom 259 00:14:43,760 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: market on the back of that UM so as though 260 00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 1: they were thinking that he wouldn't have to go too 261 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:51,440 Speaker 1: much further on interest rate hikes. He said the job 262 00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 1: wasn't finished, but they seemed to be indicating that there 263 00:14:54,920 --> 00:14:57,360 Speaker 1: might not be too much more, maybe one, possibly too 264 00:14:58,000 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 1: two more rate hikes in australa radio. But he does 265 00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 1: seem to have a bit of a communication issue because 266 00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: it was only last week that the RBA stunded very 267 00:15:06,080 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: hawkish and since there he sees you backtracking a little 268 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:11,560 Speaker 1: bit on some of the things he said. And it's 269 00:15:11,680 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 1: been a little bit of the case over the past 270 00:15:13,920 --> 00:15:16,080 Speaker 1: few months that the the r BA say one thing 271 00:15:16,120 --> 00:15:18,600 Speaker 1: and then a few days later there's a different story 272 00:15:18,680 --> 00:15:20,800 Speaker 1: going around and bond traders are having a very difficult 273 00:15:20,840 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: time trying to figure out exactly what the RBA means. 274 00:15:24,960 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: And you can see there's a lot of flip flopping 275 00:15:27,480 --> 00:15:30,560 Speaker 1: in that market. So not an easy time to be 276 00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:34,000 Speaker 1: a bond trader in Australia. This is Bloomberg Daybreak Europe, 277 00:15:34,040 --> 00:15:36,800 Speaker 1: your morning brief on the stories making news from London 278 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:39,440 Speaker 1: to Wall Streets and beyond. Look for us on your 279 00:15:39,480 --> 00:15:43,440 Speaker 1: podcast speed every morning on Apple, Spotify and anywhere else 280 00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts. You can also listen live each 281 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,880 Speaker 1: morning on London D A B Radio, the Bloomberg Business app, 282 00:15:48,960 --> 00:15:52,040 Speaker 1: and Bloomberg dot Com. Our flagship New York station, is 283 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:56,040 Speaker 1: also available on your Amazon Alexa devices. Just Say Alexa 284 00:15:56,160 --> 00:16:00,240 Speaker 1: played Bloomberg thirty. I'm Caroline Hetke and I'm Stephen Caroll. 285 00:16:00,320 --> 00:16:02,600 Speaker 1: Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you 286 00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:05,960 Speaker 1: need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak Europe. 287 00:16:09,760 --> 00:16:09,800 Speaker 1: M