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Speaker 1: What's up?

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Speaker 2: College basketball fans, welcome into another week of Picks with

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Speaker 2: me Matt Parolt here on the Betting Pros YouTube channel

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Speaker 2: and Betting Pros Audio podcast wherever you guys get your

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Speaker 2: audio podcasts. We were off last week. We started this

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Speaker 2: show two weeks ago, but we are back and we're

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Speaker 2: going to be with you, hopefully from now until we

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Speaker 2: get to Indianapolis with the final four. We've got picks, plays,

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Speaker 2: and a bunch of thoughts as to what happens today.

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Speaker 2: It is a big slate of games here on a Tuesday.

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Speaker 2: We're not going to look at Wednesday's games just because

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Speaker 2: I think I want to focus on Tuesday and give

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Speaker 2: you guys actionable stuff today. There are some plays, obviously.

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Speaker 2: The Daily Juice podcast is where you guys normally see me.

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Speaker 2: I'm Matt Parolt. Did I say that? I know if

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Speaker 2: I said that. But we've got obviously a laundry list

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Speaker 2: of things to bettle on over the next couple of

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Speaker 2: days with the World Baseball Classic and the NBA and

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Speaker 2: everything else, so college basketball kind of gets shuffled through

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Speaker 2: and it's you know, we went two and oh yesterday

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Speaker 2: on the Daily Juice in college basketball but this is

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Speaker 2: a chance just to focus on the college ranks and

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Speaker 2: not be influenced by anything else. Again, just to reminder,

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Speaker 2: these plays do not factor into the official plays on

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice. We kind of keep ourselves going here

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Speaker 2: just with this. I believe we went two and one

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Speaker 2: last week or two weeks ago for the first episode here.

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Speaker 2: I got two bets and a hard rock bet of

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Speaker 2: the day coming at you here in just one second.

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Speaker 2: See terms in the site for details. Okay, let's start

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Speaker 2: with Alabama and Georgia in the SEC coming up here

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Speaker 2: for tonight this game, It's gonna be a lot of fun. Now,

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Speaker 2: kenpom has this as a high scoring game. Kempom has

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Speaker 2: this game going ninety two to ninety one. Now that's

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Speaker 2: one eighty three. The current number is one seventy nine.

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Speaker 2: And I'm not saying kempom is the the the gold standard,

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Speaker 2: but I'm surprised that the total for this game is

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Speaker 2: only at one seventy nine and a half. Alabama is

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Speaker 2: eight five and one this year to the over on

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Speaker 2: the road, and while they're just eight seven and one

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Speaker 2: over all in the SEC, George's ten and seven to

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Speaker 2: the over at home. And both these tea teams looked

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Speaker 2: to play fast. The last four games before the home

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Speaker 2: game against South Carolina for Georgia all went over seven

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Speaker 2: and a half. It went over against Oklahoma, two and

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Speaker 2: a half, went over against Kentucky seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: In the last home game before the South Carolina game

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Speaker 2: against Texas in four and a half against Vanderbilt. They

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Speaker 2: beat South Carolina eighty seven sixty eight and it only

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Speaker 2: went under by three and a half points, and that

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Speaker 2: was a blowout. So Georgia scoring eighty seven, eighty ninety one,

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Speaker 2: eighty six seventy eight. Okay, they're scoring and they're playing

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Speaker 2: up tempo. We know what Bama does. They run in

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Speaker 2: a jack threes right on the road. Against Tennessee, the

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Speaker 2: game went way under, but that's because of how the

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Speaker 2: balls play, right. We took Alabama to win that game.

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Speaker 2: We put the points in on the money line. Alabama

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Speaker 2: won the game outright over the weekend in Knoxville. But

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Speaker 2: before that against Psissippi State, the game went under by

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Speaker 2: a gate by one and a half points at one

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Speaker 2: seventy six and a half because they won the game

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Speaker 2: one hundred to seventy five blowouts of the death of overs.

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Speaker 2: But the last road game before the Tennessee game against

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Speaker 2: LSU ninety eighty three, the win for Alabama went over

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Speaker 2: by one and a half points. They crushed in double

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Speaker 2: overtime against Arkansas, they crushed the total. It flew over

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Speaker 2: by forty eight points, but that was in double overtime.

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Speaker 2: Against Ole Miss it was won sixty three. Alabama scored

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Speaker 2: ninety three points in the game went over by four points.

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Speaker 2: Alabama average possession length on offense seventh quickest in the country.

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Speaker 2: Georgia their twelfth quickest in the country. Defensively, Georgia will

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Speaker 2: make you work a little bit more than Bama will defensively.

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Speaker 2: It's seventeen point five seconds average possession length for Georgia

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Speaker 2: on defense. That's one hundred and eighty ninth, but Alabama's

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Speaker 2: fiftieth at sixteen point nine. They want to go up

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Speaker 2: and down. Alabama shoots, Alabama scores. This is a Nate

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Speaker 2: Oates offense. We know what they do. But what's been

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Speaker 2: interesting about Georgia this year and every year is different,

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Speaker 2: but Mike White's team has been scoring. Mike white team,

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Speaker 2: you know, in terms of offensive efficiency, teenth in the

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Speaker 2: country in offensive efficiency at Georgia. They're fifty ninth in

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Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage. They don't shoot a lot of threes,

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Speaker 2: which is kind of a bummer because you know, obviously

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Speaker 2: when you bet overs you want to have three point

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Speaker 2: shooting come into play. But two point shooting. They're twenty

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Speaker 2: six in the country with two point shooting. So Alabama's

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Speaker 2: not known for their defense, but they haven't been awful

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Speaker 2: this year. They're fifty ninth in effective in defensive efficiency,

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Speaker 2: they're fifty fourth in defensive effective field goal percentage one

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Speaker 2: hundred and first in three point defense. Again, Georgia doesn't

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Speaker 2: shoot the three very well, but forty seventh in two

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Speaker 2: point defense. Georgia is top twenty six in the country

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Speaker 2: in that category. Alabama is thirty second, and they're fifty

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Speaker 2: ninth in three point shooting. Alabama gets forty one point

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Speaker 2: nine percent of their offense from behind the three point

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Speaker 2: line if they hit their threes. This game's going over.

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Speaker 2: The number is tricky. The number is either one or

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Speaker 2: pick them, which is a little bit surprising. Okay, just

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Speaker 2: giving them way. George's played at home. I think Alabama

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Speaker 2: wins the game. I do, but I'm a little bit

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Speaker 2: skeptical and a little bit nervous about fading home teams

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Speaker 2: here in college basketball late in the season in March,

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Speaker 2: especially for a game that Georgia needs. Alabama's been playing

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Speaker 2: really well, but they're twelve and sixteen ats on the year.

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Speaker 2: They have covered their last two games.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I'm I mean, I'm a little bit second straight road

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Speaker 2: game for Alabama, they've been at Tennessee. Eh, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Home win over South Carolina for Georgia. I don't feel

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Speaker 2: great about the side. I feel much better about the total.

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Speaker 2: I want to come in here and we're going to

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Speaker 2: jump in and we're going to go Alabama at Georgia

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Speaker 2: over one seventy nine at minus one ten. Here we're

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Speaker 2: jumping in with the tide and offense. I like Alabama,

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Speaker 2: I do, but I like the over more over one

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Speaker 2: seventy nine and a half. Let's go out west here

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Speaker 2: where I live in the western part of the country

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Speaker 2: with Nebraska and Ucla. Hoscars are twenty four, sorry, twenty

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Speaker 2: five and four on the year. UCLA is nineteen and ten.

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Speaker 2: This number equally is somewhat confusing because it was minus

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Speaker 2: one and there's been money come in on UCLA, and

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Speaker 2: I have a hard time understanding it. Kem Pom has

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Speaker 2: it as a two point win for Nebraska at seventy

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Speaker 2: two to seventy, and the thought is that Nebraska's offense

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Speaker 2: is going to be stagnated by this defense for UCLA.

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Speaker 2: But on paper, UCLA's defense is not great. I get it,

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Speaker 2: it's Polyavilion, I get all the history. But you've got

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Speaker 2: a team that in UCLA they are two hundred and

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Speaker 2: forty fourth in two point defense. Alabama is twenty first

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Speaker 2: in the country in two point defense. I mean the

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Speaker 2: handicap kind of comes down just to that. I don't

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Speaker 2: think UCLA is going to be able to stop Nebraska.

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Speaker 2: And what's wild, the Huskers on the road this year

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Speaker 2: are tremendous. They're nine to three ats on the road

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Speaker 2: after beating USC by fifteen points. That's the game that

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Speaker 2: got everyone's attention. When Chad Baker Mazzara got hurt, sat

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Speaker 2: in the crowd. Eventually UCLA kicked him off the team.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of turmoil going around with UCLA and

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Speaker 2: maybe you say there's a dead cat bounce and you

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Speaker 2: know Chad Baker mazar is out, so the team's going

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Speaker 2: to rally.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't think that's the case.

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Speaker 2: I think Nebraska's got more talent and frankly, they need

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Speaker 2: this game as much as anybody. Huskers are set sixteen

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Speaker 2: to twelve and one ats.

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Speaker 1: Nine of those.

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Speaker 2: Sixteen covers have come on the road, so they're a

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Speaker 2: better team away from home than they are in Lincoln.

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Speaker 2: And there are eleven six and one in the Big

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Speaker 2: Ten this season, while UCLA is just seven to ten

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Speaker 2: in one ATS this year in conference play. I just

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Speaker 2: think Nebraska's offense is going to take advantage of a

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Speaker 2: team that looks to take away the three point line,

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Speaker 2: but that's not the Huskers. I mean, they do get

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Speaker 2: forty one percent of their offense from behind the arc,

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Speaker 2: so yes, it is a very big and important part

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Speaker 2: of the Huskers offense. But the two point game I

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Speaker 2: think comes into play majorly here.

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Speaker 1: I think bamus.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I think Nebraska' scored in the interior and

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Speaker 2: on the flip side, the Husker defense is sneaky good.

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Speaker 2: I mean their fifth and defensive efficiency, they're twenty third

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Speaker 2: and defensive effective field goal percentage, they're tenth and three

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Speaker 2: point defense, and they're ninety second and two point defense.

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Speaker 1: UCLA does shoot.

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Speaker 2: Threes well, but only thirty percent of their offense come

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Speaker 2: from behind the arc, so they're very kind of you

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Speaker 2: know that they don't rely on the three point shot

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Speaker 2: all that much. I know it's a late night game

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Speaker 2: eleven PM on the East Coast for you guys, but

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Speaker 2: bet it and forget it and hopefully you guys wake.

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Speaker 1: Up to a victory here. I'm not gonna overthink this.

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Speaker 2: I'm just going to come in and I'm taking the

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Speaker 2: Huskers on the money line, Nebraska to win. If you're

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Speaker 2: giving me a money line play here. I'm taking Nebraska

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Speaker 2: on the money line Nebraska minus one, Huskers to win

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Speaker 2: on the road at Ucla to complete the USC and

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Speaker 2: UCLA double double.

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Speaker 1: For the Huskers to come.

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Speaker 2: In and get a w hard Rock Bet of the

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Speaker 2: day before we get out of here. But let me

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Speaker 2: tell you about our friends at hard Rock Bet. They

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Speaker 2: are hoop heads over there and they are ready to

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Speaker 2: go here for the college basketball ranks. They are a

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Speaker 2: book that is the sports betting partner of the Orlando

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Speaker 2: your first deposit. We take a look at a game

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Speaker 2: out here involving a school that I am pretty close to,

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Speaker 2: with Utah State and UNLV. I have not bet much

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Speaker 2: with you and LV this year with Josh Passner's club

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Speaker 2: because I haven't been all that impressed. Utah State is

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Speaker 2: first in the Mountain West. They're twenty four and five.

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Speaker 2: UNLV is fifteen and fourteen, and frankly, it's been a

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Speaker 2: little bit of a disappointing year here for a coach

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Speaker 2: that people including myself, had really high hope for this season,

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Speaker 2: thinking they were going to have a really big year.

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Speaker 2: The talent just really hasn't been there. However, we have

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Speaker 2: seen UNLV lately start to turn a corner. UNLV in

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Speaker 2: their last game against Nevada, they win the game at

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Speaker 2: home as home dogs are catching one and a half.

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Speaker 1: They hit a shot at the buzzer.

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Speaker 2: Now that was after a Grand Canyon loss by thirteen

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Speaker 2: where they did not cover, but they were on the road.

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Speaker 2: They covered against Air Force. They were laying sixteen and

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Speaker 2: a half and they won the game by twenty five points.

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Speaker 1: They played Utah State.

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Speaker 2: On the road earlier this year they were catching fifteen

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Speaker 2: and they lost by ten. Now you have a Utah

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Speaker 2: State team that hasn't covered in their last three games,

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Speaker 2: and they're starting to get a little bit this time

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Speaker 2: of the year, you start to feel pressure. Utah State

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Speaker 2: lost to Nevada on the road eighty seventy seven. Same

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Speaker 2: Nevada team U and LV just beat they lost to

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Speaker 2: San Diego State nine to seventy two. They turned around,

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Speaker 2: they beat Grand Canyon at home seventy four to sixty nine.

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Speaker 2: But now they go right back on the road to

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Speaker 2: play a U and LV team that's catching eight points

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Speaker 2: at home. These are games you start to worry about

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Speaker 2: because Utah State out of the Mountain West Conference. This

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Speaker 2: is most likely a small one two three big league

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Speaker 2: maximum right to start worrying about your resume a little bit.

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Speaker 2: You start worrying, people start to pay attention. Well, wait

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Speaker 2: a minute, you're going to be a tournament team. You

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Speaker 2: start getting everybody's best shot. UNLV is not going anywhere

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Speaker 2: but home crowd, home environment, and a chance for UNLV

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Speaker 2: on Senior Day at Senior Night tonights, this is the

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Speaker 2: last home game of the year. You're going to have

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Speaker 2: a lot of extra motivationism, extra juice in this building.

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Speaker 2: U and LV lost by ten earlier on the road.

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Speaker 2: They're now eight point dogs at home. Give me a

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Speaker 2: home dog in March here with nothing to play for

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Speaker 2: and a motivator. I mean, Josh Passner is a motivator,

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Speaker 2: and I think he's going to have the rebels ready

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Speaker 2: to go. I think Utah State wins the game, but

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Speaker 2: I think they're going to get pushed. I think they're

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Speaker 2: going to be all the way to the end here.

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Speaker 2: I think it comes down to the wire and I'll

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Speaker 2: take you and LV plus the points here to cover

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Speaker 2: the eight at home against Utah State. We're taking the

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Speaker 2: Running Rebels plus eight at home tonight for our hard

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Speaker 2: rock bet of the day up against Utah State.

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Speaker 1: Again.

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Speaker 2: It's another late night game, but it's a big game

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Speaker 2: here or I am in Las Vegas, so plays for

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Speaker 2: today U and LV plus eight up against Utah State tonight.

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Speaker 2: We're going Alabama at Georgia over one seventy nine and

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Speaker 2: a half and I'm taking the Huskers in Nebraska on

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Speaker 2: the road money line at UCLA that should be minus

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Speaker 2: one oh five minus one ten somewhere in that neighborhood

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Speaker 2: for you coming up here for today, three games good

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Speaker 2: college basketball Slate, enjoy it. If you have not joined

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Speaker 2: our Discord channel, come on over. I'll be watching these

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Speaker 2: games with you guys coming up tonight. Bettingpros dot Com

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Speaker 2: slash chat to join our Discord channel to hop on

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Speaker 2: in and reminder every Tuesday we're making picks and plays

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Speaker 2: for college basketball with our weekly college basketball show, my

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Speaker 2: name is Matt Parolt, to protect you next week here

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Speaker 2: on the Betting Bros.

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Speaker 1: YouTube channel.