Speaker 1: Hello, friendos, it's your friendly neighborhood baseball heead.
Speaker 2: It's Chris Welsh.
Speaker 1: Today on Fantasy Pros, we're talking about thirteen undervalued players
Speaker 1: you need to target in your drafts.
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Speaker 1: and start playing smarter, not harder. Now it's time for
Speaker 1: the undervalued.
Speaker 2: Players you need to target.
Speaker 1: As we count down, Coming in at number thirteen, Arizona
Speaker 1: Diamondbacks outfielder or DH Lordis Guriel. Lordis is coming off
Speaker 1: a career worst in twenty twenty two, hitting only five
Speaker 1: home runs. This is only one year removed though from
Speaker 1: a twenty one home run season, where he also had
Speaker 1: eighty four RBI. Lords's move to Arizona has led to
Speaker 1: many questions, but one thing we've seen all spring long
Speaker 1: is Lords hitting third for the d Backs.
Speaker 2: Now.
Speaker 1: Arizona were one of the top five most running teams
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty two, so hitting in front of Gurriel
Speaker 1: would be Corbyn Carroll and potentially ktel Marte. The RBI
Speaker 1: opportunities in front of Lordis, while hitting three could lead
Speaker 1: to a huge bounce back season. The outfield is crowded
Speaker 1: and the DH spot could potentially get filled by Evan Longoria,
Speaker 1: but the way the team has used him seems to
Speaker 1: imply he won't be out of the lineup much. His
Speaker 1: ADP of two thirty four with by the way Aloaya,
Speaker 1: who of three forty two, Lordis might be the lowest
Speaker 1: ranked number three hitter in the league, assuming he stays there.
Speaker 1: Number twelve on the list. Washington Nationals first baseman or
Speaker 1: DH Joey Manesis. Manessas is coming off a fantastic small
Speaker 1: season run with the Nationals last year, where he hit
Speaker 1: thirteen home runs in just fifty six games. Vanessa's carried
Speaker 1: over this great twenty twenty two into the twenty twenty
Speaker 1: three WBC, where he is currently still hitting over three
Speaker 1: point fifty with two homers six RBI in just five games,
Speaker 1: with as of recording, this still time to go. Steamer
Speaker 1: is projecting Mnessa's for twenty five home runs with a
Speaker 1: two sixty one batting average whether he's at first or DH,
Speaker 1: it looks like he's going to be hitting in a
Speaker 1: prime spot of their lineup at three.
Speaker 2: With an ADP of one ninety five.
Speaker 1: Manessa's homer and RBIs are just being greatly undervalued, and
Speaker 1: that means you get to reap the rewards. Number eleven
Speaker 1: on our undervalued list. Colorado Rockies outfielder Jerikson Profar. Profar
Speaker 1: did not have a team until he finished up with
Speaker 1: the WBC playing for the Netherlands, where he just signed
Speaker 1: an almost eight million.
Speaker 2: Dollar deal with the Rockies.
Speaker 1: The Rockies then announced that he would be playing in
Speaker 1: left field and potentially leaning off. In twenty twenty two,
Speaker 1: Profar had fifteen home runs and five stolen bases with
Speaker 1: the Padres. He's going to see an increase in plate
Speaker 1: appearances leading off, and he's going to.
Speaker 2: Get to hit in course field.
Speaker 1: Profar has an adp at three sixty five on Fantasy pros. Now,
Speaker 1: some sites are catching up as we have seen him
Speaker 1: around the two fifties. Now that he has a team,
Speaker 1: leagues have not fully caught back up to Profar's new home,
Speaker 1: but you can and you can take all the upside
Speaker 1: coming in at number ten, New York Yankees starting pitcher
Speaker 1: Clark Schmidt. Now, Clark Schmid has taken some of his
Speaker 1: new arsenal into this year's spring training and we've seen
Speaker 1: some all or nothing results.
Speaker 2: He's had a bit of an inflated era at four,
Speaker 2: but check this out.
Speaker 1: A point six y nine whip nice to go along
Speaker 1: with seventeen strikeouts in just eleven and two thirds innings pitched.
Speaker 1: Schmidt altered a slider into a sweeper and then he
Speaker 1: added a cutter, which has been huge success so far
Speaker 1: this spring. His spot on the rotation could have been
Speaker 1: a little bit more in question, but he seems to
Speaker 1: have that lockdown with Radon out and if he keeps rolling,
Speaker 1: he should be able to mant hanging that spot for
Speaker 1: most of the year. Atc project Schmid at one hundred
Speaker 1: innings pitched, and if he beats that, he's going to
Speaker 1: destroy his ADP, which currently is at three point fifty seven.
Speaker 1: We've got more undervalued players you need to target, But first,
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Speaker 1: to win. Now more undervalued players to target. Number nine
Speaker 1: Los Angeles Dodgers DH JD.
Speaker 2: Martinez.
Speaker 1: There is no doubt a DH only player has to
Speaker 1: perform because of the flexibility they take away. JD. Martinez, though,
Speaker 1: is just that twenty twenty two Martinez had the lowest
Speaker 1: full season home run total since twenty and thirteen. Projections
Speaker 1: agree that this is something we can brush off, as
Speaker 1: every system sees twenty plus homers coming back to JD.
Speaker 2: Martinez.
Speaker 1: The bat x projects seventy four runs and eighty RBI.
Speaker 1: His ADP doesn't match up with the potential production at
Speaker 1: one eighty eight on Fantasy pros ADP, and he's even
Speaker 1: going beyond two hundred on NFBC. Hitting five in the
Speaker 1: Dodgers lineup could lead to a big offensive potential for
Speaker 1: a guy that was consistent as consistent gets up until
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two.
Speaker 2: Don't let the DH scare you. Enjoy the crazy value.
Speaker 1: Number eight Arizona Diamondbacks second baseman can tell Marte now.
Speaker 2: Marte is coming off.
Speaker 1: Of the lowest babbit of his career at two seventy six,
Speaker 1: where he averaged almost forty points higher on his career.
Speaker 1: Mart's always hit the ball hard. He always does that,
Speaker 1: but he loses his ability to hit for contact, or
Speaker 1: at least he has as of recent projection see a
Speaker 1: bounce back with an almost thirty point increase in batting
Speaker 1: average and home run numbers that should touch around twenty.
Speaker 1: We're gonna talk about it more, but second base is
Speaker 1: a struggle. Could tell Marte, though, might be one of
Speaker 1: the best deals of any previously productive middle infielder.
Speaker 2: With an ADP of one ninety three.
Speaker 1: We'll also see Marte hit two in the d Backs
Speaker 1: lineup and is a real four category threat and massively
Speaker 1: undervalued fantasy player. Number seven Texas Rangers starting pitcher Andrew Heeny,
Speaker 1: who would like a starting pitcher with a thirteen k
Speaker 1: per nine, just about two walks per nine and a
Speaker 1: three ere Well that's who Heeny was last year. Now,
Speaker 1: his health is a big concern, and I lovingly call
Speaker 1: him walmart Jacob de Grom because of the many aforementioned things.
Speaker 1: If Haney reaches just one hundred and forty innings, as
Speaker 1: many like to point out with de Grom, he will
Speaker 1: break inside the top one hundred overall of fantasy players,
Speaker 1: de Grom being the number one fantasy pitcher.
Speaker 2: If he were to break it.
Speaker 1: Heiney currently is going outside the top two hundred. Though.
Speaker 1: It's good to build in the concerns, but is a
Speaker 1: no brainer post one point fifty. That Texas Rangers team
Speaker 1: also has a lot of offensive and defensive support that
Speaker 1: give him a little extra boost we see from starters
Speaker 1: on other high win teams.
Speaker 2: Andrew Haney screams undervalued.
Speaker 1: Number six Cincinnati Reds outfielder Will Myers outfield can really
Speaker 1: get away from us in our drafts in the later rounds.
Speaker 1: That's why I target Will Myers, who also qualifies at
Speaker 1: first base. By the way, there is no greater ballpark
Speaker 1: for hitters than in Cincinnati, not even Colorado anymore. Myers
Speaker 1: is a real twenty home run ten stolen based threat
Speaker 1: for the Reds while he's also hitting three. See there's
Speaker 1: a trend a lot of undervalued players that are hitting three.
Speaker 1: Any bounce back, by the way from Jonathan India or
Speaker 1: Joey Vado who are hitting in front of him will
Speaker 1: benefit Will Myers. So count that in his ADP would
Speaker 1: sits around two ninety. Gives very little risk and a
Speaker 1: ton of upside. All Right, the top five most undervalued
Speaker 1: players you need to target are coming. But I want
Speaker 1: to remind you guys that this Wednesday, March twenty second,
Speaker 1: from one to five pm Eastern right here in Fantasy
Speaker 1: Pros is Fantasy Fest. Join Joe Pisapia myself the Welsh
Speaker 1: and tons of your favorite fantasy baseball analysts like Nick Pollock,
Speaker 1: Paul spor Ino, Seras, Frank Stanfel, and tons more. It's
Speaker 1: Fantasy Fest March twenty second, from one to five pm Eastern.
Speaker 1: Get your draft prep on with Fantasy pros getting back
Speaker 1: to the top five. Coming in at number five, Atlanta
Speaker 1: Braves starting pitcher Charlie Morton. If we didn't look at
Speaker 1: Charlie Morton's age, we would laugh at where he's going
Speaker 1: compared to what he's doing on the field. Morton was
Speaker 1: able to push one hundred and seventy innings pitched in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two with just under eleven k per nine.
Speaker 1: At ten point seven k p nine, his ERA was
Speaker 1: four point three four, but he had a three point
Speaker 1: six x FIP lot of room for positive regression. Morton
Speaker 1: has had at least thirty starts in four straight seasons,
Speaker 1: not counting the shortened season. Even at thirty nine, Morton
Speaker 1: is projected for an under four ERA with thirteen wins
Speaker 1: by the way and just short of ten k per
Speaker 1: nine according to the bat Projection System. The Braves provide
Speaker 1: more stability for wins and his one p fifty to
Speaker 1: eightyp is easily fifty spots too low. Number four San
Speaker 1: Diego Padres starting pitcher Blake Snell. Snell legitimately could go
Speaker 1: where his pitching mate, You Darvish is going, if he
Speaker 1: could just go deeper into games. The arsenal and this
Speaker 1: stuff is kind of similar. Snell had a twelve K
Speaker 1: pro nine last year, and he had a second half
Speaker 1: where he maintained a two point one nine ERA to
Speaker 1: go along with a thirty three percent K percentage. Many
Speaker 1: projections have built in time, but he's still projected for
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty plus innings and over an eleven
Speaker 1: K per nine. Targeting teams with great run support is
Speaker 1: never a bad idea, and between the high strikeouts and
Speaker 1: the superstars behind him, if Snell sees his innings increase,
Speaker 1: his ADP outside the top one hundred is going to
Speaker 1: look really silly. Number three Colorado Rocky shortstop Ezekiel Tovar, Now,
Speaker 1: the young shortstop doesn't get the love the other top
Speaker 1: prospects get, yet he is hitting in one of the
Speaker 1: most hit or friendly environments in baseball. He's a low
Speaker 1: strikeout threat and projected as nearly a fifteen to fifteen
Speaker 1: home run stolen base guy, not even across a full season.
Speaker 1: So if Tovar hits ninth, which we do see on
Speaker 1: roster resource, that's less than ideal. If he hits successfully
Speaker 1: early on, though, he can easily move up this lineup,
Speaker 1: Tovar also may see an uptick in stolen bases. As
Speaker 1: one of the beneficiaries to baseball's new rules, he has
Speaker 1: a shot to be a really good three category player
Speaker 1: and possibly even four. Don't be surprised when the season
Speaker 1: ends and Tovar finishes higher in rankings than Carlos Korea,
Speaker 1: coming in at number two. Cleveland Guardians second baseman Andres Jmenez.
Speaker 1: Now second base was already not good. We've talked about
Speaker 1: a few in here, and then Jose al Tuove came
Speaker 1: along and got injured and everything got worse. Andresjmenez, though
Speaker 1: stole the fourth most basis of qualified second basement in
Speaker 1: twenty twenty two. With twenty with the rules change that
Speaker 1: we've talked about, where the guys can't throw over more
Speaker 1: than twice, we also have bigger bases. Derek Carty's the
Speaker 1: bat projections have already pushed him up not.
Speaker 2: Just a couple though.
Speaker 1: How about forty percent more from twenty up to twenty
Speaker 1: eight in twenty twenty three. Those twenty eight are the
Speaker 1: third most projected at that position. Only Jazz Chism and
Speaker 1: Tommy Edmond are projected for more. Yet Hamenez is going
Speaker 1: forty picks after Jazz and almost a round after Tommy Edmund.
Speaker 1: If Jmenez reaches a fifteen to thirty season, he will
Speaker 1: easily return a top fifty overall fantasy season at one
Speaker 1: of the worst positions to draft. At ADP eighty two
Speaker 1: on Fantasy Pros, he is one of the most undervalued
Speaker 1: players in fantasy, but the number one is Angels starting
Speaker 1: pitcher Read debt Meers. Debtmers in twenty twenty two had
Speaker 1: a fastball that was averaging about ninety three and a
Speaker 1: slider that was averaging around eighty six.
Speaker 2: Still fine.
Speaker 1: Well, this spring, we've seen a massive increase on Debtmer's fastball,
Speaker 1: which is now sitting two miles an hour higher between
Speaker 1: ninety five and ninety seven, with what also looks like
Speaker 1: a new power slider. It was eighty six before now
Speaker 1: it's pushing eighty eight to ninety one, putting this velo
Speaker 1: uptick into context for this spring Debtmers has struck out
Speaker 1: seventeen batters with a point seventy seven whip. His Fantasy
Speaker 1: Pros ADP currently is sitting at two oh one. If
Speaker 1: Dettmers carries over his spring success, he will more than
Speaker 1: return double on his ADP and push inside the top
Speaker 1: one hundred value.
Speaker 2: He could be a league winner.
Speaker 1: He's a huge sleeper and he is the number one
Speaker 1: most undervalued player that you need to target in your drafts.
Speaker 2: That's going to do it here for.
Speaker 1: The thirteen most undervalued players you need to target. Who
Speaker 1: do you think we need to target? We'll put it
Speaker 1: in the comments section below. We love to see it
Speaker 1: here at Fantasy Pros, and make sure you join us
Speaker 1: on Wednesday for Fantasy Fest right here on Fantasy pro
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Speaker 1: go live or with any of the awesome stuff we do.
Speaker 2: I'm Chris Welsh.
Speaker 1: You can find me on Twitter at is It the
Speaker 1: Wellshit of course, on all of these great podcasts and
Speaker 1: videos here on Fantasy Pros.
Speaker 2: Thank you so much for.
Speaker 1: Hanging out and we will talk to you about some
Speaker 1: more draft prep next time.
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