Speaker 1: Welcome players, You're welcome. Are It's time now Benny Versus
Speaker 1: the Penny? That it is. It is week nine in
Speaker 1: the NFL. You're gambling analysis here on the Magic podcast
Speaker 1: Box and its entirety Benny versus the Penny. Now we
Speaker 1: will not talk about the Cincinnati Bengals, the Atlanta Falcons,
Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Rams, or the New Orleans Saints. They
Speaker 1: are all on a bye week. But everyone else either
Speaker 1: has played like that Thursday night game earlier this week
Speaker 1: with Santa Clara and Arizona UH, and a bunch of
Speaker 1: games obviously coming up Sunday and Monday as well. And
Speaker 1: the Penny is represented by Gascon David Gascon. And before
Speaker 1: we look ahead, we must look back. Gascon, another winning
Speaker 1: week for me, another plus week against the spread picking
Speaker 1: NFL games. I believe I one no. Nine, that is correct,
Speaker 1: nine games. You won nine. And I have to ask,
Speaker 1: because this has been on the front of my mind
Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, but has this been the
Speaker 1: best start you've ever had in Benny Versus the Penny? Uh?
Speaker 1: You know you've asked me that before. I know you
Speaker 1: have asked me that pretty much every week. You asked
Speaker 1: me the same question because you have nothing else to ask.
Speaker 1: But I, I, uh, I am very enthusiastic that I
Speaker 1: have done this well. I am flattered. I feel like
Speaker 1: I've finally figured it out after all these years. But
Speaker 1: I have to say that it is my most sustained
Speaker 1: success that I have enjoyed handicapping NFL games. I just
Speaker 1: want to point out again I want to remind people
Speaker 1: as a disclaimer, Gaston, since gambling is happening more and
Speaker 1: more here that the way this works, I give advice
Speaker 1: on every game. I'd spend a lot of time, way
Speaker 1: too much time. It's one of my hobbies handicapping these games.
Speaker 1: So the way I I designed the po podcast here
Speaker 1: is if you you should do your own homework, and
Speaker 1: then if you agree with what I say, if we
Speaker 1: were on the same page and I think that's a game,
Speaker 1: you should probably better. Um. But as with everything, money
Speaker 1: management is very important. Try to avoid the sucker bets.
Speaker 1: A lot of people love the sucker bets with the
Speaker 1: parlay you know, seven team parlay's and all that stuff,
Speaker 1: but I I generally do not. And so anyway, that's
Speaker 1: that's my advice. All right, all right, we got we've
Speaker 1: got plenty of games. I know the Santa Clara Arizona
Speaker 1: game last night. Yeah, so let's do this thing, all right,
Speaker 1: let's do it. We'll do it. We'll start with Houston
Speaker 1: five and three at Jacksonville four and four. This is
Speaker 1: a London game at Wembley Stadium in London, and it
Speaker 1: will start at nine thirty in the morning Eastern Standard Time,
Speaker 1: which means on the West Coast where we broadcast from
Speaker 1: six thirty in the morning. Sweet baby Jesus, I hope
Speaker 1: that game goes well. I will not be watching. Uh.
Speaker 1: And it's it's not on the networks. They used to
Speaker 1: put these games on the networks. But it's on NFL network,
Speaker 1: not on a you know, CBS, Fox or NBC. Uh No,
Speaker 1: it is on the NFL network. They're flying over Rich Eisen,
Speaker 1: Kurt Warner, Steve Mariucci, and Michael Irvin. It takes four
Speaker 1: people to brought a four man booth for Houston and Jacksonville. Now,
Speaker 1: the Texans opened up a three point favorite. They're favored
Speaker 1: by one. It's gonna be cloudy in fifty three degrees
Speaker 1: at kickoff at Wembley Stadium in London, and the pick
Speaker 1: is in. I'm gonna take Jacksonville this game. I feel
Speaker 1: like the wrong team is favorite here. The Texans have
Speaker 1: been an up and down team, but more importantly, they
Speaker 1: have been ripped apart at their soul with injury. I'm
Speaker 1: talking about not only J. J. Watt, who's out for
Speaker 1: the year yet again stopped me if you've heard that before,
Speaker 1: but there's other players in the second year they are
Speaker 1: also dinged up. And and I'm looking out at Gardner
Speaker 1: Minshew Mania and this has a set up for jackson
Speaker 1: with the public is loading up on Houston like they're
Speaker 1: the Patriots or something like that, and they're not. Uh,
Speaker 1: Jacksonville is being underappreciated here. And you know they often
Speaker 1: say that matchups make fights, right, Jacksonville's defensive front against
Speaker 1: the revolving doors of the Houston Texans offensive line. You
Speaker 1: toss in Deshaun Watson, who's like a bad water heater.
Speaker 1: The water you don't know whether the hot water is
Speaker 1: cold or hot, and it goes from hot to cold
Speaker 1: and cold. I mean, it's just it's a week to week.
Speaker 1: And let's not forget last time he played Jacksonville, he
Speaker 1: passed for a hundred and fifty nine yards and lost
Speaker 1: two fumbles and Jacksonville would have won the game on
Speaker 1: a two point conversion they didn't convert at the end.
Speaker 1: In addition to that, if you saw the World serious
Speaker 1: this week, Deshaun Watson was invited to Game seven. He
Speaker 1: couldn't move, couldn't go to the game. Why his eye
Speaker 1: was so mutilated when he got stepped on in the
Speaker 1: game against the Raiders that he had to cancel that
Speaker 1: World Series appearance to treat his wounded eye. Good luck
Speaker 1: on that. And it's a London game. I know, weird
Speaker 1: things happen in London, but Jacksonville goes there every year.
Speaker 1: That's their one of the home stadiums. Jags twenty four
Speaker 1: or actually Jacks twenty six, Texans twenty Ben Penning's going
Speaker 1: the other way, going with Houston. Yeah, it's a bad pick.
Speaker 1: I mean one an old boom gune for me. I
Speaker 1: don't know about that. Be sure to catch live editions
Speaker 1: of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern
Speaker 1: eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I
Speaker 1: Heart Radio app al Right next up Washington one in
Speaker 1: seven at Buffalo five and two, It's on Fox. Do
Speaker 1: you want to play the Dick Stockton game. Since you
Speaker 1: brought it up? Is this the Dick Stockton game? No,
Speaker 1: it is not the Stockton Yeah, Chris Myers and Darryl
Speaker 1: Moose Johnston have the call my former colleague are Fox
Speaker 1: Sports Radio? No Christian? Christian? I know that now you don't? Yeah?
Speaker 1: I forgot. And Bills opened up a ten point favorite,
Speaker 1: their favorite by nine and a half. It'll be cloudy
Speaker 1: in thirty nine degrees at kickoff at New Era of
Speaker 1: Field and Orchard Park, New York. And I figured we're
Speaker 1: getting into November this weekend. What are we a couple
Speaker 1: of weeks away from possible blizzard lake Lake effects snow
Speaker 1: hitting a Bill's home game always fun. I don't know
Speaker 1: it's about to dip below seventy here in Los Angeles.
Speaker 1: So I've got my jacket about you, all right, I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Redskins in this game. And here's why.
Speaker 1: First of all, the Bills to me get downgraded a
Speaker 1: couple of notches after a rather las a fair pathetic
Speaker 1: effort on all fronts against the Eagles. So contender pretender
Speaker 1: this debate. I have them more in the pretender category.
Speaker 1: And how many terrible games does this Josh Allen have
Speaker 1: to play before his fair game to highlight his quarterback
Speaker 1: in competence. Allen's the twenty eight ranked quarterback in the NFL.
Speaker 1: Only Baker Mayfield has been worse among quarterbacks that have
Speaker 1: start at all season. Now, the saving graces for Buffalo
Speaker 1: has been the defense, and the Bills have held opponents
Speaker 1: to under four undred yards going back nineteen consecutive games,
Speaker 1: so that obviously predates this season, last couple of years
Speaker 1: for that Buffalo defense, just the longest active streak in
Speaker 1: the NFL. And we know the Redskins have some issues.
Speaker 1: And the Redskins haven't even generated four hundred yards of
Speaker 1: offense in twenty three straight games. I believe that is
Speaker 1: the longest for that franchise in like fifteen plus years
Speaker 1: or something like that. But anyway, I am taking the
Speaker 1: Redskins here, and this game is about running backs. You know,
Speaker 1: the game is not at that attractive when the marquis
Speaker 1: says that this is gonna this game is gonna pick
Speaker 1: two of the top six rushers all time in NFL history,
Speaker 1: Frank Gore and Adrian Peterson. This is the first time
Speaker 1: in NFL history that two players over thirteen thousand, five
Speaker 1: hundred career rushing yards have gone head to head. Uh,
Speaker 1: and that tells you there's nothing else to talk about.
Speaker 1: But as long as case Keenom's playing, and the word
Speaker 1: is he's going to play from what I heard, So
Speaker 1: as long the Keendom's playing over the compass, I'll take
Speaker 1: him over the compass, Rose Josh Allen uh. And so
Speaker 1: all the Redskins have to do is kind of keep
Speaker 1: it close. The Bills aren't gonna score a lot of
Speaker 1: points even against a bad Redskins defense. The Redskins have
Speaker 1: actually been playing better of late than the team in Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Think about that for a second. I mean they won one. Uh,
Speaker 1: they did beat the Dolphins, but they played the forty
Speaker 1: niners and even though it's a rain game, they only
Speaker 1: lost that game nine and nothing. That the Vikings were
Speaker 1: the appointed last week, the Redskins matched them punch for
Speaker 1: punch until case Keendom got hurt, and that was in Minnesota.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the road team Buffalo. I love
Speaker 1: getting the points. Certainly in this spot, you gotta take it.
Speaker 1: Bills will win, but they won't cover. Bills twenty, Redskins thirteen.
Speaker 1: Penny's going with the Bills. Here we go, Buffalo, Here
Speaker 1: we go Buffalo. All right, NFC four and four at
Speaker 1: Carolina four and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumble
Speaker 1: and Trent Green on the call. The Panthers opened a
Speaker 1: four and a half point favorite. They are favored by
Speaker 1: three and a half. This game will be played at
Speaker 1: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. It will be sunny
Speaker 1: in fifty five degrees in the Carolinas at kickoff. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the home team here, Carolina, and I don't
Speaker 1: love it because of the hook, but I'm gonna take Carolina.
Speaker 1: The Panthers, I would think, are still suffering from PTSD
Speaker 1: after that horror show against the forty Niners last week.
Speaker 1: It was a death plunge off a cliff of of
Speaker 1: competition and they were right there in the slaughterhouse for
Speaker 1: Kyle Allen to be that baffle. I know the Niners
Speaker 1: have a good defense, but Kyle Allen was completely thunderstruck
Speaker 1: in that game. That is I mean, that was his chance.
Speaker 1: That was a chance. Now, I believe this week for
Speaker 1: Carolina this is a redemption situation in the Titans are
Speaker 1: not that great. They're an average NFL team. If Carolina
Speaker 1: is an average NFL teams, I think there's an even matchup.
Speaker 1: The Panthers have had nine touchdown drives that have lasted
Speaker 1: under two minutes this season. That's that's more than any
Speaker 1: other team in the NFL, which shows you are able
Speaker 1: to quickly move the ball. They've also had some benefit
Speaker 1: of turnovers, so it certainly helps when you don't have
Speaker 1: to take that much time off the clock and go
Speaker 1: down to score. Now, Tennessee got a gift a couple
Speaker 1: of weeks ago against the Chargers when Melvin Gordon fumbled
Speaker 1: at the goal line. And I understand they're not as
Speaker 1: wretched with Ryan Tannehill under center. But let's not call
Speaker 1: him some kind of virtuoso, some kind of genius quarterback.
Speaker 1: He does not tip the scales from me. He's had
Speaker 1: some beginner's luck against the Chargers and Buccaneers. You would
Speaker 1: think Carolina is gonna be a more difficult game here.
Speaker 1: I expect Kyle Allen to bounce back. I don't trust Tannehill.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be a close game. I realized the Panthers
Speaker 1: of the favorite here, but I say they get a
Speaker 1: late touchdown and that's enough. Panthers Titans one Penny going
Speaker 1: with Caroline as well. Be sure to catch live editions
Speaker 1: of The Ben Miller Show weekdays at two am Eastern
Speaker 1: eleven pm Pacific. Spenny Versus the Penny. Next up, Chicago
Speaker 1: three and four at phil Delphia four and four. Alright,
Speaker 1: guess n we're playing the Dick Stockton game. Is this
Speaker 1: the Dick Stockton game? No, I don't think he Oh,
Speaker 1: he can't be on this game? Is that your final
Speaker 1: answer is? Yeah, it's my final answers. Not on this game.
Speaker 1: You have failed the Dick stoctor. Dick Stockton and Mark
Speaker 1: slay Wrath have the call on Fox from Philly, and
Speaker 1: so Stockton will be eating a tasty cake in one
Speaker 1: hand and a cheese steak and the other checking this
Speaker 1: game out. The Eagles opened a three point favorite. You
Speaker 1: see what the line is now, Yes, it's not it's
Speaker 1: not pretty. It's well, it's gone up. It's if Philly
Speaker 1: is favored by five? Why I know it mostly sunny
Speaker 1: fifty one degrees at kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday.
Speaker 1: I I'm taking the Bears here. I don't I don't
Speaker 1: get this line. This is no. One of those points spreads.
Speaker 1: I look at us and what they have for these people? Think? Now,
Speaker 1: I understand Mitch Drabinsky is deep in the in the
Speaker 1: weeds here and he's he's so upside down that did
Speaker 1: you see the story the other day? He's decided to
Speaker 1: study his game tape from the TV broadcast rather than
Speaker 1: the All twenty two, which they normally watch. Maybe it's
Speaker 1: because he wants to listen to a guy like Tony
Speaker 1: Romo who's predicting plays and assignments, and he needs some
Speaker 1: some extra help along the way. Shouldn't every quarterback know
Speaker 1: that stuff? I mean, isn't that If you're a pro quarterback,
Speaker 1: you should know that right thing? But there are certain
Speaker 1: quarterbacks in the NFL that need the extra help. Well,
Speaker 1: you do not have to be Adam Schefter, J Glazer
Speaker 1: any in any other NFL insider to know that. This
Speaker 1: tells you how out of whack the Bears quarterback is.
Speaker 1: And Matt Naggy who gets shots thrown at him deservedly so,
Speaker 1: and the rest of that Bears team they deserve better.
Speaker 1: That franchise traded a hunch to get Mr Dbiski as
Speaker 1: he highly ranked quarterback, and he has not lived up
Speaker 1: to his end of the bargain. He is not. Now
Speaker 1: that said, the reason, the real reason I'm taking the
Speaker 1: Bears here is that defense, the defense of the real deal.
Speaker 1: And Philadelphia. Here's a fun fact about the Eagles. Eagles
Speaker 1: are four and oh this season. When they score at
Speaker 1: least thirty points, they're oh and four when they don't
Speaker 1: get to that mark. Do you think they're gonna score
Speaker 1: thirty against the Chicago Bears. I do not. I do not.
Speaker 1: And and and then there's also a lot of money on
Speaker 1: Philly and I generally, when I can, I like to
Speaker 1: be on the side of the bookmaker. I like to
Speaker 1: be the side of the house. I think it's a
Speaker 1: better side to be on. And the Eagles, I don't
Speaker 1: trust them. They have been one of these teams so
Speaker 1: far the five hundred. They'll take a step forward, take
Speaker 1: two steps back, take two steps forward, take two steps back.
Speaker 1: Helter skelter underperformers. He played spineless football against the Cowboys.
Speaker 1: Then they come back to the thrown haymakers against the Bills.
Speaker 1: It's been that kind of a jitterbug for them all
Speaker 1: season long. So my theory is that they cannot handle
Speaker 1: any prolonged sustained success. Uh you have a lot of
Speaker 1: noise from the locker room. Carson wains is the he's
Speaker 1: a better quarterback, but that in this Chicago's defense kind
Speaker 1: of equals that out. Plus, this is a revenge you
Speaker 1: look at the mental part of game. This is a
Speaker 1: revenge spot for Chicago. How did they their season end
Speaker 1: last year? They lost to Philadelphia in a double joint
Speaker 1: kick in the playoffs. So there's a chance a little redemption.
Speaker 1: Uh So I'm gonna take the Bears plus the points.
Speaker 1: I think the Eagle's actually win it, but I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Bears and the points. Eagles twenty seven, Bears
Speaker 1: twenty six. This goes against everything you mentioned the earlier
Speaker 1: podcast about momentum. There's no such thing. Pain is going
Speaker 1: with the Philadelphia Eagles. Book it. Okay, you want to
Speaker 1: bet like between us is men. Yeah we can like
Speaker 1: the Bears plus five done Philidel Philadelphia wins. You owe
Speaker 1: me a Phillip cheesteak. Yeah, all right, you coming to
Speaker 1: the Mallar Mansion. No no, no no, no, no, no, I
Speaker 1: actually want like something edible, something that's dead, not alive.
Speaker 1: Let me tell something stupid. Okay, let me tell something
Speaker 1: My homemade Philly cheese steak is better than a restaurant
Speaker 1: Philly cheese. I don't live in South Philly, but I
Speaker 1: have mastered you on many YouTube videos. I've watched people
Speaker 1: making cheese steak authentic places in Philly. I will challenge
Speaker 1: my cheese steak against any man, woman, or child in
Speaker 1: the kitchen. So I would have to drive to Siberia
Speaker 1: to Arizona to eat a Philly cheese steak. No, what's
Speaker 1: wrong with that? I'll even give you one in a
Speaker 1: doggie bag. No, you like dog food, We'll do you
Speaker 1: Philly cheese steak from Fat Seals. How about that? Ye
Speaker 1: wad like you just lost your bets? Wow. Fox Sports
Speaker 1: Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.
Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot
Speaker 1: com and when in the I Heart Radio app, search
Speaker 1: f s R to listen live. Wow. Wow. Alright, Minnesota
Speaker 1: six and two at Canesa City five and three's on Fox.
Speaker 1: You better watch. Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis, the voice
Speaker 1: of Madden, have the call now. The Chiefs opened up
Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite. They are favorite
Speaker 1: by two at this time. Kansas City, Everybody two it's
Speaker 1: at Arrowheads, Sonny and fifty two kickoff in one of
Speaker 1: my favorite cities, can Is City. So first of all,
Speaker 1: I'm I'm gonna take the Vikings. This is a week
Speaker 1: for Dalvin Cook to star, to be the leading man
Speaker 1: the Chiefs run defense. To say it's bad isn't understand.
Speaker 1: It's an abomination. Kansas City is thirtieth in yards allowed
Speaker 1: per carry, So I would imagine since Mike Zimmer is
Speaker 1: not a moron and at Dingleberry, he's gonna mix and
Speaker 1: match a balanced offense, but a lean towards the running game.
Speaker 1: And the Vikings have had some extra time to get
Speaker 1: They played last Thursday against Washington, so a couple extra
Speaker 1: days to get those cracks out of the body and
Speaker 1: all that. It was a sloppy game, unforced errors there.
Speaker 1: Statistically they played fine, but the eyeball test was not
Speaker 1: very good for the Vikings. So I expect him to
Speaker 1: play a more complete, cleaner game this week. And secondly,
Speaker 1: I know Andy Reid at the time we're recording the
Speaker 1: podcast has intimated that Patrick Mahomes could play. He's listed
Speaker 1: as uncertain. I think there's no chance that Mahomes plays
Speaker 1: in this game, so when I handicapped the game, I
Speaker 1: handicapped the game believing that Matt Moore is going to
Speaker 1: play and more was out of this world for the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: all the planets aligned. In his debut, he was matching
Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers throw for throw for most of that game.
Speaker 1: Some of that was, you say, beginner's luck. I do
Speaker 1: think first time starters usually do pretty well historically after
Speaker 1: not playing a long time. But I'm a big believer
Speaker 1: in the purple people, eaters, defense, buy into at Vikings
Speaker 1: are third in the NFL defensively, their tenth offensively as
Speaker 1: far as scoring is concerned. So with no Mahomes, no
Speaker 1: win for Casey, I'm taking the Vikings thirty in the
Speaker 1: Chiefs twenty three. Penny going that way as well with Minnesota.
Speaker 1: All right, next up the oh This is a big
Speaker 1: game here, New York Jets one in six at the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins all in seven. This is a big game. Yeah,
Speaker 1: we need them to go to oh and eight the Dolphins. Yeah,
Speaker 1: every year I root for a team to go perfect
Speaker 1: in reverse. Yeah I like that too, That's that's I
Speaker 1: get joy out of that. Also, so this is on CBS,
Speaker 1: you imagine has to call this game on pigs. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna say Spirodidas ding Nick Nick Nick Ning, Yeah, you win.
Speaker 1: The Spirodidas game. Spirit is former voice of the Lakers
Speaker 1: and the Knicks with Adam Archiletta, my old TV buddy,
Speaker 1: and they will be calling this game. Good luck to them.
Speaker 1: A lot of a lot of filler I'm imagining here,
Speaker 1: but like you said, even the bad games have an
Speaker 1: opportunity to make some money on I'm guessing a lot
Speaker 1: of b roll from Don Shula and Joan Yeah, Joe Namath,
Speaker 1: Mark Duper Yeah. All right, So the Jets opened up
Speaker 1: a six and that point favorite. They're favorite by five.
Speaker 1: Now typical Miami weather, thunderstorms, eighty five degrees that kickoff
Speaker 1: at hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. I am going
Speaker 1: to take oh boy, I'm gonna take the Dolphins here.
Speaker 1: And now the reason I've been up, I've been bet
Speaker 1: against the Dolphins all that the Dolphins have shown more
Speaker 1: of a pulse lately than the Jets. They've actually covered
Speaker 1: the last couple of games. And and now the way
Speaker 1: the Dolphins playing lately, they scratched and claw for about
Speaker 1: a half, about a half and then they go into
Speaker 1: surrender mode like a French soldier, and they drop out
Speaker 1: of site either in the third quarter of the fourth quarter,
Speaker 1: like they did last week against uh Pittsburgh, where they
Speaker 1: really only played well in the first quarter. They had
Speaker 1: a fourteen nothing leading this that that game. But they
Speaker 1: they've covered the last couple of games. This is I
Speaker 1: would call the dysentery Bowl. I think that's a good
Speaker 1: name for the dysenterry Bowl. Uh, there's no juice to it.
Speaker 1: This should be broadcast on the dark web is where
Speaker 1: it should be broadcast. Check this out. The Dolphins are
Speaker 1: averaging eleven points per game. The Jets are averaging eleven
Speaker 1: point one points per game, and they're the NFL's worst
Speaker 1: scoring teams this season. The last time we got to
Speaker 1: November or later and two teams averaging under twelve points
Speaker 1: played each other was nineteen seventy two, almost fifty years ago,
Speaker 1: when the Eagles and Oilers played About that. How perfect
Speaker 1: nineteen seventy two last team that was undefeated as well.
Speaker 1: Look at that Everything's people Patternicity by David Gista Patternicity. Uh,
Speaker 1: Sam Donald has the yips. He's played like you know,
Speaker 1: he's played like he's played like a cat on a
Speaker 1: hot tin roof, anxious, unable to sit still, relax seeing
Speaker 1: stuff that's not there. These teams both blow uh and
Speaker 1: they're as good as the stuff on the floor of
Speaker 1: a porta potty. But you gotta pick somebody. And I say,
Speaker 1: this will just be the worst game on the world,
Speaker 1: in the world. So I'm gonna take the points, figuring
Speaker 1: it's a close game because the Jets also are gonna
Speaker 1: be trying to screw this up. So Jets twelve Dolphins
Speaker 1: ninepending going the other way with the Jets. Next up,
Speaker 1: Indianapolis five and two at Pittsburgh. It's on CBS. I
Speaker 1: An Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The game
Speaker 1: opened up and pick them now a culture favored by
Speaker 1: one and and this is a game that I went
Speaker 1: back and forth on. Now. The weather is gonna be
Speaker 1: mostly cloudy, thirty nine degrees at kickoff at Hines Field.
Speaker 1: And this is one of the hardest games for me
Speaker 1: to handicap. And I'll tell you what, all right, because
Speaker 1: you look at it on the surface, you said, well,
Speaker 1: you picked the Coals five and two Pittsburgh's three and four.
Speaker 1: They were trailing at against the Dolphins for much of
Speaker 1: that game. They didn't play well against Miami last week.
Speaker 1: So it's easy, easy piece. Just take the Colts. That's it.
Speaker 1: We're good. I'm done, see you later. Uh. And then
Speaker 1: the more I looked at the numbers and I was
Speaker 1: getting into the in the grass. Uh, not that kind
Speaker 1: of grass, but the high grass. I said, now I
Speaker 1: gotta go the other way. I don't, I gotta go.
Speaker 1: I gotta take. I gotta take the Steelers here. So
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Now. The reason why the Colts,
Speaker 1: they were supposed to have a top ten defense. They've
Speaker 1: been slightly worse than that. They've won a lot of
Speaker 1: these games. Um, Jacoby Bric has been better then I
Speaker 1: thought he would be, and certainly better than Mason Root.
Speaker 1: Rudolph As practiced systematic and competence. Certainly last week the
Speaker 1: first half of that game against the Miami defense, he
Speaker 1: was holding the ball for too long. He was his
Speaker 1: throws were going all over the place. He had no
Speaker 1: idea where the ball was going. Uh, you do that
Speaker 1: this week and Indy will win easily. All right. Now,
Speaker 1: that said, the Steelers secondary has impressed me, and I
Speaker 1: would not have made the trade with the Dolphins. For
Speaker 1: Macca Fitzpatrick, but he has played well. He has played well.
Speaker 1: The other thing is the mental part of it, And
Speaker 1: I do talk about this a lot, but I think
Speaker 1: it's a key thing and it's been proven over the
Speaker 1: years to work. Is that if you're a gambler, you
Speaker 1: should know that you look for certain spots that traditionally
Speaker 1: have worked out. And this is a much more important
Speaker 1: game for Pittsburgh than it is for the Colts. The
Speaker 1: Colts can lose this game. They're still in good shape,
Speaker 1: they're fine, they're still in first place. Um, And so
Speaker 1: the mental part of it for Pittsburgh, they have to
Speaker 1: work their way back after starting horrifically and they're trying
Speaker 1: to catch the Ravens. And the Ravens have a game
Speaker 1: they're likely to lose this weekend against the New England
Speaker 1: page which well handicapped that game later. So this is
Speaker 1: a pretty good spot as far as the motivation factor.
Speaker 1: And if you bet trends, you also love the Steelers.
Speaker 1: The Colts have lost fourteen in the last fifteen games
Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh and their last five games against the Steelers overall.
Speaker 1: And the other thing here, the cherry on top of
Speaker 1: the thing that pushed me over the cliff like a lemming.
Speaker 1: The public has loaded up on Indie. This is one
Speaker 1: of the most lopsided wager games as of the time
Speaker 1: we're doing the podcast. People seem to think that this
Speaker 1: is a Brinkx truck that was driving on the highway
Speaker 1: and opened up and money was flying out, and you
Speaker 1: get money, you get money, you get money, uh and
Speaker 1: all that. I I don't trust the Colts. They've built
Speaker 1: the tapestry of a good and bad team that lost
Speaker 1: to the Raiders, barely won against Tennessee. So they're up
Speaker 1: and down Steelers as a home dog even without Roethlisberger
Speaker 1: and Antonio Brown and Levian Bell and all that. Steelers
Speaker 1: twenty Colts seventeen penny going the other way, going with
Speaker 1: Inde al right. Next up we get to the late
Speaker 1: television window, the late games, the West Coast games where
Speaker 1: you're dancing and dining pleasure, because that's how we roll
Speaker 1: the late game. Uh. The first up, we have Detroit
Speaker 1: three three and one and the oaklen Rights three and four.
Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman. I
Speaker 1: thought this could be the Dick Stockton game when I
Speaker 1: first looked at the card, but it was not. We
Speaker 1: talked about that earlier. Uh, the game open to pick him.
Speaker 1: The Raiders are a two point favorite. You know what
Speaker 1: they call the Colisseum in Oakland now a toilet, Well
Speaker 1: that's what they should call. They called the Ring Central Colosseum.
Speaker 1: Did you know? I did not know that. Ye, it's
Speaker 1: the It's the Rings Central Colosseum is what it is.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the the Lions in this game.
Speaker 1: And I don't love this pick because I am going
Speaker 1: with the public. But what looked like a promising start
Speaker 1: has turned sour and bitter for John Gruden last couple
Speaker 1: of weeks against Green Bay and Houston. Now the Raiders
Speaker 1: actually have a home game, something they have not had
Speaker 1: in like over a month, first time since the Bronze era,
Speaker 1: and the other they have a quick turnaround. They played
Speaker 1: the Thursday night game next week against the Charges. And
Speaker 1: if you listen to this podcast and you've heard me
Speaker 1: over the years, that's one of those things where teams
Speaker 1: before they lay a Thursday night game often get caught
Speaker 1: distracted looking ahead peek a boo. However, you want to say, uh,
Speaker 1: you know, both these teams can move the ball. Both
Speaker 1: these teams struggle to stop anyone, so it's very similar. Uh. Secondly,
Speaker 1: Detroit's defense, I think we should highlight that they have
Speaker 1: been biblically bad. They are thirty first in yards allowed
Speaker 1: per games. Everyone is having a career day against the lines.
Speaker 1: Derek Carr must be licking his chops right now. Only
Speaker 1: the Bengals, who are oh and eight, have been worse,
Speaker 1: and they're in a bye week this week. Only the
Speaker 1: Bengals have been worse than the Lions. There's bad tackling,
Speaker 1: bad fundamentals. And Matt Patricia was hired not only because
Speaker 1: he's a rocket scientist, but he's a defensive rocket scientists.
Speaker 1: How's that working? You got out the players. However, it's
Speaker 1: not like the Raiders have been much better. The Raiders
Speaker 1: are twenty five in total defense. So this game has
Speaker 1: tracked meat. Might as well be played at the Olympic
Speaker 1: Village because it's gonna be that kind of game. The Raiders. Also,
Speaker 1: they don't play the Lions very often. They last beat
Speaker 1: the Lions in nineteen nineties six. You know who was
Speaker 1: the player that the Raiders stopped on the Lions to
Speaker 1: win that game. I'm gonna say Barry Sanders. Yeah, they
Speaker 1: helped Barry Sanders to thirty six yards in that game.
Speaker 1: And you know who the Raider quarterback was in Uh,
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it's Jeff Hostel. Wow, you love your Raiders.
Speaker 1: Jeff Hosteller through four touchdowns for the Raiders in that game. Anyway,
Speaker 1: that's in the past, that's the history Channel, Lions thirty eight,
Speaker 1: Writers thirty four. That's gonna be a fun game, and
Speaker 1: I shouldn't be. Penny is going with the Oakland Raiders
Speaker 1: fun game if you bet the over. Of course, everyone's
Speaker 1: gonna betting the over Gascon, which means the game will
Speaker 1: be like sixteen or something like that. It always happens,
Speaker 1: all right. Next up on Fox, it's Tampa Bay two
Speaker 1: and five at Seattle six and two Kenny Albert and
Speaker 1: Ronde Barber. Kenny Albert friend of the show, A friend
Speaker 1: of me. Not you guys? Can we can we do
Speaker 1: an introduction? You know, I don't know. I think about it.
Speaker 1: Who have you introduced me to? Uh? Introduced you to
Speaker 1: the Chief? Yeah, but I've never actually physically met him.
Speaker 1: I talked him on the phone one time. I've never
Speaker 1: been to shake his hand. Yeah, it's not really a fit.
Speaker 1: I talked to people on the phone all the time,
Speaker 1: but it's not really meeting them press the flash man. Yeah,
Speaker 1: all right. Anyway, So Kenny Albert Rodney Barber. The Seahawks
Speaker 1: opened a five and a half point favorite. They are
Speaker 1: favored now by six. Every body six. This is at
Speaker 1: Century Link Field in Seattle, cloudy and fifty three degrees
Speaker 1: no rain though at kickoff. Anyway, I'm gonna take the
Speaker 1: Bucketeers in this game, and I'll tell you why. Seattle.
Speaker 1: They gave up the back door coverage of the Falcons.
Speaker 1: They had a twenty four nothing lead. How about this,
Speaker 1: and I had I had Seattle. I lost that game.
Speaker 1: Last one I lost is that at twenty four Nothingly,
Speaker 1: they let Matt shob take a butcher knife, all right
Speaker 1: and swashbuckle his way through a machete and slice them
Speaker 1: up in garbage time. To me, that's a bad sign.
Speaker 1: He didn't just do that. He threw for over fogs
Speaker 1: that defense. I think it was like four sixties. I
Speaker 1: think it was the most yards ever against the Seattle defense. Awful. Yeah,
Speaker 1: So the last three weeks, the Seahawks have the NFL's
Speaker 1: worst run defense. In addition, they're allowing five point six
Speaker 1: yards per carry. That's not that's not the recipe to
Speaker 1: blow a team out or at least win by a touchdown.
Speaker 1: Now that I don't disagree that Russell Wilson should tee
Speaker 1: off against the thirty first ranked past defense of Tampa Bay.
Speaker 1: So I'm thinking this is gonna be similar to the
Speaker 1: Lions and the Raiders, where it's gonna be a shootout
Speaker 1: type of game. But you've also got the peak a boat.
Speaker 1: Uh in the Seattle they got a mammoth game, especially
Speaker 1: depending on what happened in the third day night game.
Speaker 1: Next week Seattle plays the forty Niners. That is a
Speaker 1: showcase jewel game. That is a big time divisional game
Speaker 1: for them. I'm thinking, you know, a little little bit,
Speaker 1: just maybe like five percent. They're looking ahead and you
Speaker 1: don't really get up for Tampa Bay. The Buck's biggest
Speaker 1: issue has been obviously turnovers, and when you bet on
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, you are you are praying and hoping that
Speaker 1: the football gods allowed Jamis Winston to stop being the baker,
Speaker 1: because he should open a bakery, right. He's one of
Speaker 1: the that cooks up more turnovers than anyone but but Winston.
Speaker 1: I have noticed that he rarely has back to back
Speaker 1: stink bombs, Like he'll have a horrific game where he
Speaker 1: gets killed on sports radio and then he will rebound
Speaker 1: typically after that. So if this trend continues, last week
Speaker 1: he was a ridiculously bad quarterback, I expect him to
Speaker 1: play better. And the Buccaneers, they have. Their run defense
Speaker 1: is not the problem. They can't stop the past, but
Speaker 1: they've been number one in the NFL the last a
Speaker 1: few weeks. It's stopping the run. Seattle is mostly a
Speaker 1: running team. They like to say that they're a passing team,
Speaker 1: but they're mostly a running team. And the Buccaneers have
Speaker 1: been a better team on the road. In fact, both
Speaker 1: their winds have come on the road. Last time they
Speaker 1: were on the West Coast, they curb stopped the Rams.
Speaker 1: Unfortunately for me and Seattle. If you look at their losses,
Speaker 1: both their losses happened on their home field. So I
Speaker 1: feel like this line is too big, too inflated. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Seahawks to win, but not cover. Seahawks thirty,
Speaker 1: Buccaneers twenty six. Depending on the other way. At the
Speaker 1: home team, Seattle, you're listening to Benny versus the Penny,
Speaker 1: but you already knew that. Next up, Cleveland two and
Speaker 1: five at Denver two and six is on CBS with
Speaker 1: Kevin Harlan and Rich Get. I give Kevin Harlan credit.
Speaker 1: Kevin Harland is like the Kenny Albert of CBS. He's
Speaker 1: all over the place doing radio broadcast s on Monday
Speaker 1: Night NBA games for T n T. He's all over me.
Speaker 1: He's host. Can you give up some of those gigs,
Speaker 1: you guest? Can Harlan give some of those up? I
Speaker 1: think his games a little too high profile for me.
Speaker 1: Have some confidence, you loserat JUP. I have confidence, but
Speaker 1: just as good as Kevin Harlan, you just haven't been
Speaker 1: given the opportunity. It's kind of a nice compliment he
Speaker 1: paid for me. Make sure you edit that out of
Speaker 1: the podcast. Keep in mind, though, guscan my my radio tree.
Speaker 1: The Mallard Radio Tree includes an NBA play by play voice,
Speaker 1: Alan Horton radio voice in the minist of filled in
Speaker 1: on the Ben Maller Show before he went on to
Speaker 1: be a big time NBA broadcaster. So I want you
Speaker 1: to know that I have a tie to broadcasting success.
Speaker 1: That's good. I was hoping you wouldn't say, like the
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick tree of let's move on Cleveland two and
Speaker 1: five at Denver two and six, as we said Brown's. Eventually,
Speaker 1: the Broncos were favorite by a point. Browns are favorite
Speaker 1: by three Parley Sonny forty seven at kickoff off at
Speaker 1: empower Field at Mile High. I'm taking the Browns. This
Speaker 1: is should be a show up win situation for the Browns. Uh.
Speaker 1: They can't screw this up right now? Now? Would that
Speaker 1: be something if if they did? Sure, and Baker mayfields
Speaker 1: a mess and he leads to the NFL and interceptions
Speaker 1: and all that stuff. In fact, he's throwing an interception
Speaker 1: in eight straight games. No other quarterback has a streak
Speaker 1: of more than three. Uh. That said, I do trust
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb to to do well against the Broncos defense.
Speaker 1: But this is let's not kid ourselves. This is more
Speaker 1: of a bet against Brandon Allen, third string quarterback taking
Speaker 1: over for Joe Flacco. I would have been on the
Speaker 1: Browns anyway if Flacco had played. I liked the game
Speaker 1: more because Alan is playing. I would think the Broncos,
Speaker 1: who have a dinged up offensive line, are gonna have
Speaker 1: night tremors from Miles Garrett, who's gonna wreck havoc on
Speaker 1: that front line for the Broncos. Brown's twenty Broncos ten
Speaker 1: homer alert for the penny. She's going with the Broncos. Alright,
Speaker 1: Green Bay seven and one, the l A Chargers three
Speaker 1: and I it's on CBS. Jim Nancy, Tony Romo are
Speaker 1: going to a soccer stadium to call a game. I'm
Speaker 1: sure they're excited about that. Packers opened up a four
Speaker 1: point favorite, their favorite by three and a half. It'll
Speaker 1: be sunny seventy one at kick off at Dignity Health
Speaker 1: Sports Park. I'm gonna take the home team, which is
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packer. Is there really this is a
Speaker 1: really home game for them? Uh? First of all, Aaron
Speaker 1: Rodgers has jump started his season now, he's he's got
Speaker 1: it going. He didn't get it going early, and he
Speaker 1: got to go against the Charger defense that has struggled
Speaker 1: to slow down in recent weeks. The likes of Ryan
Speaker 1: Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, plus Green Bay could
Speaker 1: it sounds like they're gonna get Davante Adams back at
Speaker 1: least at the time we're doing this. He did practice
Speaker 1: I know on Thursday, supposedly in full so it looks
Speaker 1: like Davante Adams will come back. Secondly, the Chargers home stadium,
Speaker 1: you know it's gonna be called Lambo by the Sea. Uh.
Speaker 1: You got that sea breeze at that that stadium in Carson, California,
Speaker 1: been there before for games. Uh, It's gonna be a
Speaker 1: sea of green, pure green. This will be the ninth
Speaker 1: home game for the Cheeseheads and the Cheese Kurds. Uh. Now,
Speaker 1: l A has a lot of flaws since Melvin Gordon returned.
Speaker 1: The Chargers are averaging thirty five rushing yards per game,
Speaker 1: two point two yards per care. They suck and Philip
Speaker 1: rivers right twelve touchdown passes, the fewest he's thrown in
Speaker 1: the first eight games in almost a decade, and they're
Speaker 1: throwing interceptions in recent games. I mean, everything indicates the
Speaker 1: to go the way of the Packers. The only thing
Speaker 1: that scares me mildly is Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram
Speaker 1: messing up Aaron Rodgers. And that could screw you up.
Speaker 1: But you can't handicap that Packers thirty one Chargers penny
Speaker 1: with the Packers as well, all Right, Sunday Night Football,
Speaker 1: New England eight and O at Baltimore five and two.
Speaker 1: It's on n b C with Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth.
Speaker 1: Now the game open Packers or Patriots rather by six
Speaker 1: and a half. Their favored by three and a half.
Speaker 1: So there's been a line adjustment. There'll be forty five agrees.
Speaker 1: The House that Sports with Coleman built at M and
Speaker 1: T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and clear, I'm taking the Patriots.
Speaker 1: I'm not a dope. I'm taking the Patriots as a
Speaker 1: small home favorite. Uh. First of all, Belichick, you know,
Speaker 1: tortured Lamar Jackson. And I want to point out everyone
Speaker 1: says Lamar's may become this this great quarterback. Let me
Speaker 1: tell you something. The first two weeks, Lamar Jackson had
Speaker 1: seven touchdowns, no interceptions, had a passer rating of forty
Speaker 1: five against a couple of cream puffs Miami and Arizona.
Speaker 1: Since then, the rest of the season, Lamar Jackson's got
Speaker 1: four touchdowns and five interceptions, passing a passer rating below eighty.
Speaker 1: He has been worse than Baker Mayfield in some statistics
Speaker 1: since the first couple of games of the year, and
Speaker 1: now He's averaged more rushing yards than passing yards the
Speaker 1: last five weeks against mostly non playoff teams. While the
Speaker 1: Patriots said listen, they played the easiest schedule in the NFL,
Speaker 1: everyone loves to point that out. Well, spoiler alert, the
Speaker 1: Ravens have played the fourth easiest schedule in the NFL,
Speaker 1: so both these teams have feasted on tomato cans. Secondly,
Speaker 1: if Baltimore had a better defense, I can make the
Speaker 1: argument to take the pages because the Patriots are offensively challenged,
Speaker 1: but they don't. They have the middle of the pack defense.
Speaker 1: These aren't your daddy's Ravens and pretty generic generic brand
Speaker 1: nineteenth In total defense, the key is obviously the Patriots
Speaker 1: messing up the passing of Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady will
Speaker 1: just do enough at this point in his forties to
Speaker 1: get enough out of it. The Patriots have limited weaponry
Speaker 1: and all that, I expect Mohammed Sanu to play better
Speaker 1: this week. Patriots on the Road guest on twenty four
Speaker 1: Ravens thirteen day Go with the Patriots, Well, last one,
Speaker 1: all right? Last game? Monday Night Football Dallas four and
Speaker 1: three at the Giants two and six is on ESPN
Speaker 1: Joe test It tore your favorite guy and Booker McFarland
Speaker 1: have the call. I know you're excited about that. And
Speaker 1: the Cowboys opened at nine point favorite about them Cowboys
Speaker 1: nine point favorite. Cowboys are favorite now by seven at
Speaker 1: MetLife Stadium in Jersey. It'll be partly cloudy forty nine
Speaker 1: at kick off on Monday night. That's the forecast. I'm
Speaker 1: gonna take the Giants here a couple of reasons why. Hey,
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones has been, as advertised rookie quarterback pretty much
Speaker 1: terrible most of the time. He leads the NFL with
Speaker 1: six lost fumbles seven interceptions. So I'm taking the Giants
Speaker 1: because you gotta think that this is a peak a
Speaker 1: booze situation as all right. The you look at the
Speaker 1: high profile game coming up for the Cowboys, a match
Speaker 1: up with the Vikings and Sunday Night Football, and even
Speaker 1: though this is a rivalry Giants and Cowboys, and the
Speaker 1: Giants and no A, no good. The Cowboys have a
Speaker 1: marginal pass rush, they don't have a great secondary. There
Speaker 1: is an opportunity here to hang around and you're getting
Speaker 1: a touchdown in this game, which is a lot of
Speaker 1: value and be the the dak Prescott thing heat t
Speaker 1: off on the Giants back in week one, and much
Speaker 1: like Lamar Jackson got off to a great start and
Speaker 1: has become tumbling back to Earth like a failed satellite
Speaker 1: and Dakota Prescott last four weeks three touchdown, five interceptions
Speaker 1: of passer rating of eight six. He's right in the
Speaker 1: middle of the bell curve. He's average almost any time
Speaker 1: you get over seven points, almost any not always, almost
Speaker 1: any time over seven in advisional game, you don't ask questions.
Speaker 1: You take the points and you're like, I'm happy. I'm happy, happy, happy,
Speaker 1: happy happy. I'm a happy hippo, and I'm gonna do
Speaker 1: that right now. Cowboys will win, but will not cover.
Speaker 1: He's surprisingly somewhat competitive. Monday night football game, Go figure
Speaker 1: Cowboys twenty six, Giants twenty three, depending with the Giants
Speaker 1: as well. Uh all right, that's a wrap, a shorter
Speaker 1: version of the benny versus the penny. We were hurried up,
Speaker 1: gascon kept turning me up. Giddy up, giddy up, getty up,
Speaker 1: getty up, getty up, giddy up, getty up, getty up. Yeah.
Speaker 1: So anyway, uh, we thank you for listening, enjoy the games,
Speaker 1: Good luck, win a lot of money, think of us.
Speaker 1: If you want a lot of money. If you lose
Speaker 1: a lot of money, don't think of us at all.
Speaker 1: Enjoy your weekend. We're back on the radio talking about
Speaker 1: all these games and what actually happened, what not, what
Speaker 1: we thought is gonna happen on Sunday night in the
Speaker 1: Monday on the Overnight Show two am in the East
Speaker 1: on Monday, eleven pm in the West on Sunday Night.
Speaker 1: We'll catch you then, have a great weekend.