WEBVTT - Benny vs The Penny, Round 9

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome players, You're welcome. Are It's time now Benny Versus

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<v Speaker 1>the Penny? That it is. It is week nine in

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<v Speaker 1>the NFL. You're gambling analysis here on the Magic podcast

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<v Speaker 1>Box and its entirety Benny versus the Penny. Now we

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<v Speaker 1>will not talk about the Cincinnati Bengals, the Atlanta Falcons,

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<v Speaker 1>the Los Angeles Rams, or the New Orleans Saints. They

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<v Speaker 1>are all on a bye week. But everyone else either

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<v Speaker 1>has played like that Thursday night game earlier this week

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<v Speaker 1>with Santa Clara and Arizona UH, and a bunch of

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<v Speaker 1>games obviously coming up Sunday and Monday as well. And

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<v Speaker 1>the Penny is represented by Gascon David Gascon. And before

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<v Speaker 1>we look ahead, we must look back. Gascon, another winning

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<v Speaker 1>week for me, another plus week against the spread picking

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<v Speaker 1>NFL games. I believe I one no. Nine, that is correct,

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<v Speaker 1>nine games. You won nine. And I have to ask,

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<v Speaker 1>because this has been on the front of my mind

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<v Speaker 1>the last couple of weeks, but has this been the

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<v Speaker 1>best start you've ever had in Benny Versus the Penny? Uh?

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<v Speaker 1>You know you've asked me that before. I know you

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<v Speaker 1>have asked me that pretty much every week. You asked

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<v Speaker 1>me the same question because you have nothing else to ask.

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<v Speaker 1>But I, I, uh, I am very enthusiastic that I

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<v Speaker 1>have done this well. I am flattered. I feel like

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<v Speaker 1>I've finally figured it out after all these years. But

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<v Speaker 1>I have to say that it is my most sustained

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<v Speaker 1>success that I have enjoyed handicapping NFL games. I just

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<v Speaker 1>want to point out again I want to remind people

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<v Speaker 1>as a disclaimer, Gaston, since gambling is happening more and

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<v Speaker 1>more here that the way this works, I give advice

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<v Speaker 1>on every game. I'd spend a lot of time, way

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<v Speaker 1>too much time. It's one of my hobbies handicapping these games.

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<v Speaker 1>So the way I I designed the po podcast here

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<v Speaker 1>is if you you should do your own homework, and

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<v Speaker 1>then if you agree with what I say, if we

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<v Speaker 1>were on the same page and I think that's a game,

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<v Speaker 1>you should probably better. Um. But as with everything, money

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<v Speaker 1>management is very important. Try to avoid the sucker bets.

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<v Speaker 1>A lot of people love the sucker bets with the

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<v Speaker 1>parlay you know, seven team parlay's and all that stuff,

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<v Speaker 1>but I I generally do not. And so anyway, that's

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<v Speaker 1>that's my advice. All right, all right, we got we've

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<v Speaker 1>got plenty of games. I know the Santa Clara Arizona

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<v Speaker 1>game last night. Yeah, so let's do this thing, all right,

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<v Speaker 1>let's do it. We'll do it. We'll start with Houston

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<v Speaker 1>five and three at Jacksonville four and four. This is

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<v Speaker 1>a London game at Wembley Stadium in London, and it

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<v Speaker 1>will start at nine thirty in the morning Eastern Standard Time,

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<v Speaker 1>which means on the West Coast where we broadcast from

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<v Speaker 1>six thirty in the morning. Sweet baby Jesus, I hope

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<v Speaker 1>that game goes well. I will not be watching. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's it's not on the networks. They used to

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<v Speaker 1>put these games on the networks. But it's on NFL network,

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<v Speaker 1>not on a you know, CBS, Fox or NBC. Uh No,

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<v Speaker 1>it is on the NFL network. They're flying over Rich Eisen,

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<v Speaker 1>Kurt Warner, Steve Mariucci, and Michael Irvin. It takes four

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<v Speaker 1>people to brought a four man booth for Houston and Jacksonville. Now,

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<v Speaker 1>the Texans opened up a three point favorite. They're favored

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<v Speaker 1>by one. It's gonna be cloudy in fifty three degrees

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<v Speaker 1>at kickoff at Wembley Stadium in London, and the pick

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<v Speaker 1>is in. I'm gonna take Jacksonville this game. I feel

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<v Speaker 1>like the wrong team is favorite here. The Texans have

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<v Speaker 1>been an up and down team, but more importantly, they

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<v Speaker 1>have been ripped apart at their soul with injury. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>talking about not only J. J. Watt, who's out for

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<v Speaker 1>the year yet again stopped me if you've heard that before,

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<v Speaker 1>but there's other players in the second year they are

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<v Speaker 1>also dinged up. And and I'm looking out at Gardner

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<v Speaker 1>Minshew Mania and this has a set up for jackson

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<v Speaker 1>with the public is loading up on Houston like they're

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<v Speaker 1>the Patriots or something like that, and they're not. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>Jacksonville is being underappreciated here. And you know they often

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<v Speaker 1>say that matchups make fights, right, Jacksonville's defensive front against

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<v Speaker 1>the revolving doors of the Houston Texans offensive line. You

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<v Speaker 1>toss in Deshaun Watson, who's like a bad water heater.

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<v Speaker 1>The water you don't know whether the hot water is

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<v Speaker 1>cold or hot, and it goes from hot to cold

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<v Speaker 1>and cold. I mean, it's just it's a week to week.

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<v Speaker 1>And let's not forget last time he played Jacksonville, he

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<v Speaker 1>passed for a hundred and fifty nine yards and lost

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<v Speaker 1>two fumbles and Jacksonville would have won the game on

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<v Speaker 1>a two point conversion they didn't convert at the end.

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<v Speaker 1>In addition to that, if you saw the World serious

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<v Speaker 1>this week, Deshaun Watson was invited to Game seven. He

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<v Speaker 1>couldn't move, couldn't go to the game. Why his eye

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<v Speaker 1>was so mutilated when he got stepped on in the

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<v Speaker 1>game against the Raiders that he had to cancel that

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<v Speaker 1>World Series appearance to treat his wounded eye. Good luck

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<v Speaker 1>on that. And it's a London game. I know, weird

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<v Speaker 1>things happen in London, but Jacksonville goes there every year.

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<v Speaker 1>That's their one of the home stadiums. Jags twenty four

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<v Speaker 1>or actually Jacks twenty six, Texans twenty Ben Penning's going

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<v Speaker 1>the other way, going with Houston. Yeah, it's a bad pick.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean one an old boom gune for me. I

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<v Speaker 1>don't know about that. Be sure to catch live editions

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<v Speaker 1>of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I

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<v Speaker 1>Heart Radio app al Right next up Washington one in

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<v Speaker 1>seven at Buffalo five and two, It's on Fox. Do

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<v Speaker 1>you want to play the Dick Stockton game. Since you

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<v Speaker 1>brought it up? Is this the Dick Stockton game? No,

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<v Speaker 1>it is not the Stockton Yeah, Chris Myers and Darryl

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<v Speaker 1>Moose Johnston have the call my former colleague are Fox

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<v Speaker 1>Sports Radio? No Christian? Christian? I know that now you don't? Yeah?

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<v Speaker 1>I forgot. And Bills opened up a ten point favorite,

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<v Speaker 1>their favorite by nine and a half. It'll be cloudy

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<v Speaker 1>in thirty nine degrees at kickoff at New Era of

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<v Speaker 1>Field and Orchard Park, New York. And I figured we're

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<v Speaker 1>getting into November this weekend. What are we a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks away from possible blizzard lake Lake effects snow

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<v Speaker 1>hitting a Bill's home game always fun. I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>it's about to dip below seventy here in Los Angeles.

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<v Speaker 1>So I've got my jacket about you, all right, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna take the Redskins in this game. And here's why.

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<v Speaker 1>First of all, the Bills to me get downgraded a

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<v Speaker 1>couple of notches after a rather las a fair pathetic

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<v Speaker 1>effort on all fronts against the Eagles. So contender pretender

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<v Speaker 1>this debate. I have them more in the pretender category.

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<v Speaker 1>And how many terrible games does this Josh Allen have

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<v Speaker 1>to play before his fair game to highlight his quarterback

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<v Speaker 1>in competence. Allen's the twenty eight ranked quarterback in the NFL.

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<v Speaker 1>Only Baker Mayfield has been worse among quarterbacks that have

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<v Speaker 1>start at all season. Now, the saving graces for Buffalo

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<v Speaker 1>has been the defense, and the Bills have held opponents

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<v Speaker 1>to under four undred yards going back nineteen consecutive games,

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<v Speaker 1>so that obviously predates this season, last couple of years

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<v Speaker 1>for that Buffalo defense, just the longest active streak in

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<v Speaker 1>the NFL. And we know the Redskins have some issues.

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<v Speaker 1>And the Redskins haven't even generated four hundred yards of

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<v Speaker 1>offense in twenty three straight games. I believe that is

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<v Speaker 1>the longest for that franchise in like fifteen plus years

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<v Speaker 1>or something like that. But anyway, I am taking the

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<v Speaker 1>Redskins here, and this game is about running backs. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>the game is not at that attractive when the marquis

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<v Speaker 1>says that this is gonna this game is gonna pick

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<v Speaker 1>two of the top six rushers all time in NFL history,

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<v Speaker 1>Frank Gore and Adrian Peterson. This is the first time

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<v Speaker 1>in NFL history that two players over thirteen thousand, five

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<v Speaker 1>hundred career rushing yards have gone head to head. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and that tells you there's nothing else to talk about.

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<v Speaker 1>But as long as case Keenom's playing, and the word

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<v Speaker 1>is he's going to play from what I heard, So

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<v Speaker 1>as long the Keendom's playing over the compass, I'll take

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<v Speaker 1>him over the compass, Rose Josh Allen uh. And so

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<v Speaker 1>all the Redskins have to do is kind of keep

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<v Speaker 1>it close. The Bills aren't gonna score a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>points even against a bad Redskins defense. The Redskins have

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<v Speaker 1>actually been playing better of late than the team in Buffalo.

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<v Speaker 1>Think about that for a second. I mean they won one. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>they did beat the Dolphins, but they played the forty

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<v Speaker 1>niners and even though it's a rain game, they only

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<v Speaker 1>lost that game nine and nothing. That the Vikings were

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<v Speaker 1>the appointed last week, the Redskins matched them punch for

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<v Speaker 1>punch until case Keendom got hurt, and that was in Minnesota.

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<v Speaker 1>So I'm gonna take the road team Buffalo. I love

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<v Speaker 1>getting the points. Certainly in this spot, you gotta take it.

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<v Speaker 1>Bills will win, but they won't cover. Bills twenty, Redskins thirteen.

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<v Speaker 1>Penny's going with the Bills. Here we go, Buffalo, Here

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<v Speaker 1>we go Buffalo. All right, NFC four and four at

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina four and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumble

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<v Speaker 1>and Trent Green on the call. The Panthers opened a

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<v Speaker 1>four and a half point favorite. They are favored by

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<v Speaker 1>three and a half. This game will be played at

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<v Speaker 1>Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. It will be sunny

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<v Speaker 1>in fifty five degrees in the Carolinas at kickoff. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>gonna take the home team here, Carolina, and I don't

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<v Speaker 1>love it because of the hook, but I'm gonna take Carolina.

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<v Speaker 1>The Panthers, I would think, are still suffering from PTSD

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<v Speaker 1>after that horror show against the forty Niners last week.

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<v Speaker 1>It was a death plunge off a cliff of of

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<v Speaker 1>competition and they were right there in the slaughterhouse for

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<v Speaker 1>Kyle Allen to be that baffle. I know the Niners

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<v Speaker 1>have a good defense, but Kyle Allen was completely thunderstruck

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<v Speaker 1>in that game. That is I mean, that was his chance.

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<v Speaker 1>That was a chance. Now, I believe this week for

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<v Speaker 1>Carolina this is a redemption situation in the Titans are

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<v Speaker 1>not that great. They're an average NFL team. If Carolina

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<v Speaker 1>is an average NFL teams, I think there's an even matchup.

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<v Speaker 1>The Panthers have had nine touchdown drives that have lasted

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<v Speaker 1>under two minutes this season. That's that's more than any

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<v Speaker 1>other team in the NFL, which shows you are able

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<v Speaker 1>to quickly move the ball. They've also had some benefit

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<v Speaker 1>of turnovers, so it certainly helps when you don't have

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<v Speaker 1>to take that much time off the clock and go

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<v Speaker 1>down to score. Now, Tennessee got a gift a couple

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<v Speaker 1>of weeks ago against the Chargers when Melvin Gordon fumbled

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<v Speaker 1>at the goal line. And I understand they're not as

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<v Speaker 1>wretched with Ryan Tannehill under center. But let's not call

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<v Speaker 1>him some kind of virtuoso, some kind of genius quarterback.

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<v Speaker 1>He does not tip the scales from me. He's had

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<v Speaker 1>some beginner's luck against the Chargers and Buccaneers. You would

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<v Speaker 1>think Carolina is gonna be a more difficult game here.

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<v Speaker 1>I expect Kyle Allen to bounce back. I don't trust Tannehill.

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<v Speaker 1>It's gonna be a close game. I realized the Panthers

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<v Speaker 1>of the favorite here, but I say they get a

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<v Speaker 1>late touchdown and that's enough. Panthers Titans one Penny going

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<v Speaker 1>with Caroline as well. Be sure to catch live editions

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<v Speaker 1>of The Ben Miller Show weekdays at two am Eastern

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<v Speaker 1>eleven pm Pacific. Spenny Versus the Penny. Next up, Chicago

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<v Speaker 1>three and four at phil Delphia four and four. Alright,

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<v Speaker 1>guess n we're playing the Dick Stockton game. Is this

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<v Speaker 1>the Dick Stockton game? No, I don't think he Oh,

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<v Speaker 1>he can't be on this game? Is that your final

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<v Speaker 1>answer is? Yeah, it's my final answers. Not on this game.

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<v Speaker 1>You have failed the Dick stoctor. Dick Stockton and Mark

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<v Speaker 1>slay Wrath have the call on Fox from Philly, and

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<v Speaker 1>so Stockton will be eating a tasty cake in one

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<v Speaker 1>hand and a cheese steak and the other checking this

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<v Speaker 1>game out. The Eagles opened a three point favorite. You

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<v Speaker 1>see what the line is now, Yes, it's not it's

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<v Speaker 1>not pretty. It's well, it's gone up. It's if Philly

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<v Speaker 1>is favored by five? Why I know it mostly sunny

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<v Speaker 1>fifty one degrees at kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday.

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<v Speaker 1>I I'm taking the Bears here. I don't I don't

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<v Speaker 1>get this line. This is no. One of those points spreads.

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<v Speaker 1>I look at us and what they have for these people? Think? Now,

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<v Speaker 1>I understand Mitch Drabinsky is deep in the in the

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<v Speaker 1>weeds here and he's he's so upside down that did

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<v Speaker 1>you see the story the other day? He's decided to

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<v Speaker 1>study his game tape from the TV broadcast rather than

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<v Speaker 1>the All twenty two, which they normally watch. Maybe it's

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<v Speaker 1>because he wants to listen to a guy like Tony

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<v Speaker 1>Romo who's predicting plays and assignments, and he needs some

0:12:31.320 --> 0:12:33.600
<v Speaker 1>some extra help along the way. Shouldn't every quarterback know

0:12:33.720 --> 0:12:36.800
<v Speaker 1>that stuff? I mean, isn't that If you're a pro quarterback,

0:12:36.840 --> 0:12:39.040
<v Speaker 1>you should know that right thing? But there are certain

0:12:39.120 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks in the NFL that need the extra help. Well,

0:12:41.679 --> 0:12:43.840
<v Speaker 1>you do not have to be Adam Schefter, J Glazer

0:12:43.880 --> 0:12:46.760
<v Speaker 1>any in any other NFL insider to know that. This

0:12:46.880 --> 0:12:50.400
<v Speaker 1>tells you how out of whack the Bears quarterback is.

0:12:50.440 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 1>And Matt Naggy who gets shots thrown at him deservedly so,

0:12:55.080 --> 0:12:57.160
<v Speaker 1>and the rest of that Bears team they deserve better.

0:12:57.960 --> 0:13:01.959
<v Speaker 1>That franchise traded a hunch to get Mr Dbiski as

0:13:01.960 --> 0:13:04.560
<v Speaker 1>he highly ranked quarterback, and he has not lived up

0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:07.600
<v Speaker 1>to his end of the bargain. He is not. Now

0:13:07.640 --> 0:13:09.160
<v Speaker 1>that said, the reason, the real reason I'm taking the

0:13:09.160 --> 0:13:11.560
<v Speaker 1>Bears here is that defense, the defense of the real deal.

0:13:12.320 --> 0:13:15.480
<v Speaker 1>And Philadelphia. Here's a fun fact about the Eagles. Eagles

0:13:15.480 --> 0:13:17.160
<v Speaker 1>are four and oh this season. When they score at

0:13:17.200 --> 0:13:20.280
<v Speaker 1>least thirty points, they're oh and four when they don't

0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:22.120
<v Speaker 1>get to that mark. Do you think they're gonna score

0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:26.320
<v Speaker 1>thirty against the Chicago Bears. I do not. I do not.

0:13:26.800 --> 0:13:28.880
<v Speaker 1>And and and then there's also a lot of money on

0:13:29.120 --> 0:13:33.000
<v Speaker 1>Philly and I generally, when I can, I like to

0:13:33.040 --> 0:13:34.920
<v Speaker 1>be on the side of the bookmaker. I like to

0:13:34.960 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>be the side of the house. I think it's a

0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:39.080
<v Speaker 1>better side to be on. And the Eagles, I don't

0:13:39.080 --> 0:13:41.000
<v Speaker 1>trust them. They have been one of these teams so

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:43.320
<v Speaker 1>far the five hundred. They'll take a step forward, take

0:13:43.320 --> 0:13:45.800
<v Speaker 1>two steps back, take two steps forward, take two steps back.

0:13:46.080 --> 0:13:51.600
<v Speaker 1>Helter skelter underperformers. He played spineless football against the Cowboys.

0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:54.000
<v Speaker 1>Then they come back to the thrown haymakers against the Bills.

0:13:54.440 --> 0:13:58.120
<v Speaker 1>It's been that kind of a jitterbug for them all

0:13:59.160 --> 0:14:01.640
<v Speaker 1>season long. So my theory is that they cannot handle

0:14:01.679 --> 0:14:05.280
<v Speaker 1>any prolonged sustained success. Uh you have a lot of

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:09.360
<v Speaker 1>noise from the locker room. Carson wains is the he's

0:14:09.400 --> 0:14:13.160
<v Speaker 1>a better quarterback, but that in this Chicago's defense kind

0:14:13.160 --> 0:14:18.400
<v Speaker 1>of equals that out. Plus, this is a revenge you

0:14:18.400 --> 0:14:19.720
<v Speaker 1>look at the mental part of game. This is a

0:14:19.760 --> 0:14:22.280
<v Speaker 1>revenge spot for Chicago. How did they their season end

0:14:22.360 --> 0:14:25.400
<v Speaker 1>last year? They lost to Philadelphia in a double joint

0:14:25.440 --> 0:14:27.800
<v Speaker 1>kick in the playoffs. So there's a chance a little redemption.

0:14:28.640 --> 0:14:30.360
<v Speaker 1>Uh So I'm gonna take the Bears plus the points.

0:14:30.360 --> 0:14:32.120
<v Speaker 1>I think the Eagle's actually win it, but I'm gonna

0:14:32.120 --> 0:14:34.800
<v Speaker 1>take the Bears and the points. Eagles twenty seven, Bears

0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:40.720
<v Speaker 1>twenty six. This goes against everything you mentioned the earlier

0:14:40.760 --> 0:14:44.640
<v Speaker 1>podcast about momentum. There's no such thing. Pain is going

0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:48.680
<v Speaker 1>with the Philadelphia Eagles. Book it. Okay, you want to

0:14:48.720 --> 0:14:52.160
<v Speaker 1>bet like between us is men. Yeah we can like

0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:56.120
<v Speaker 1>the Bears plus five done Philidel Philadelphia wins. You owe

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:59.080
<v Speaker 1>me a Phillip cheesteak. Yeah, all right, you coming to

0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:01.440
<v Speaker 1>the Mallar Mansion. No no, no no, no, no, no, I

0:15:01.520 --> 0:15:04.920
<v Speaker 1>actually want like something edible, something that's dead, not alive.

0:15:05.680 --> 0:15:08.040
<v Speaker 1>Let me tell something stupid. Okay, let me tell something

0:15:09.000 --> 0:15:13.600
<v Speaker 1>My homemade Philly cheese steak is better than a restaurant

0:15:13.600 --> 0:15:16.480
<v Speaker 1>Philly cheese. I don't live in South Philly, but I

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:19.320
<v Speaker 1>have mastered you on many YouTube videos. I've watched people

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:23.720
<v Speaker 1>making cheese steak authentic places in Philly. I will challenge

0:15:23.760 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 1>my cheese steak against any man, woman, or child in

0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:30.440
<v Speaker 1>the kitchen. So I would have to drive to Siberia

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:34.560
<v Speaker 1>to Arizona to eat a Philly cheese steak. No, what's

0:15:34.600 --> 0:15:36.800
<v Speaker 1>wrong with that? I'll even give you one in a

0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:39.560
<v Speaker 1>doggie bag. No, you like dog food, We'll do you

0:15:39.720 --> 0:15:43.800
<v Speaker 1>Philly cheese steak from Fat Seals. How about that? Ye

0:15:44.360 --> 0:15:52.800
<v Speaker 1>wad like you just lost your bets? Wow. Fox Sports

0:15:52.880 --> 0:15:55.520
<v Speaker 1>Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.

0:15:55.840 --> 0:15:58.760
<v Speaker 1>Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot

0:15:58.760 --> 0:16:01.520
<v Speaker 1>com and when in the I Heart Radio app, search

0:16:01.680 --> 0:16:06.359
<v Speaker 1>f s R to listen live. Wow. Wow. Alright, Minnesota

0:16:07.480 --> 0:16:12.240
<v Speaker 1>six and two at Canesa City five and three's on Fox.

0:16:13.080 --> 0:16:15.920
<v Speaker 1>You better watch. Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis, the voice

0:16:15.920 --> 0:16:18.840
<v Speaker 1>of Madden, have the call now. The Chiefs opened up

0:16:18.840 --> 0:16:21.720
<v Speaker 1>a three and a half point favorite. They are favorite

0:16:21.760 --> 0:16:25.640
<v Speaker 1>by two at this time. Kansas City, Everybody two it's

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.640
<v Speaker 1>at Arrowheads, Sonny and fifty two kickoff in one of

0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:31.280
<v Speaker 1>my favorite cities, can Is City. So first of all,

0:16:31.280 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm I'm gonna take the Vikings. This is a week

0:16:34.000 --> 0:16:37.160
<v Speaker 1>for Dalvin Cook to star, to be the leading man

0:16:37.520 --> 0:16:40.360
<v Speaker 1>the Chiefs run defense. To say it's bad isn't understand.

0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:44.880
<v Speaker 1>It's an abomination. Kansas City is thirtieth in yards allowed

0:16:44.920 --> 0:16:48.240
<v Speaker 1>per carry, So I would imagine since Mike Zimmer is

0:16:48.280 --> 0:16:51.760
<v Speaker 1>not a moron and at Dingleberry, he's gonna mix and

0:16:51.800 --> 0:16:55.480
<v Speaker 1>match a balanced offense, but a lean towards the running game.

0:16:56.600 --> 0:16:59.840
<v Speaker 1>And the Vikings have had some extra time to get

0:17:00.200 --> 0:17:03.640
<v Speaker 1>They played last Thursday against Washington, so a couple extra

0:17:03.760 --> 0:17:06.560
<v Speaker 1>days to get those cracks out of the body and

0:17:06.560 --> 0:17:09.520
<v Speaker 1>all that. It was a sloppy game, unforced errors there.

0:17:10.280 --> 0:17:12.800
<v Speaker 1>Statistically they played fine, but the eyeball test was not

0:17:12.880 --> 0:17:14.440
<v Speaker 1>very good for the Vikings. So I expect him to

0:17:14.440 --> 0:17:17.560
<v Speaker 1>play a more complete, cleaner game this week. And secondly,

0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:19.240
<v Speaker 1>I know Andy Reid at the time we're recording the

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:24.760
<v Speaker 1>podcast has intimated that Patrick Mahomes could play. He's listed

0:17:24.760 --> 0:17:28.280
<v Speaker 1>as uncertain. I think there's no chance that Mahomes plays

0:17:28.720 --> 0:17:30.639
<v Speaker 1>in this game, so when I handicapped the game, I

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>handicapped the game believing that Matt Moore is going to

0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:39.600
<v Speaker 1>play and more was out of this world for the Chiefs,

0:17:39.600 --> 0:17:42.199
<v Speaker 1>all the planets aligned. In his debut, he was matching

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:46.439
<v Speaker 1>Aaron Rodgers throw for throw for most of that game.

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:49.679
<v Speaker 1>Some of that was, you say, beginner's luck. I do

0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 1>think first time starters usually do pretty well historically after

0:17:54.600 --> 0:17:57.439
<v Speaker 1>not playing a long time. But I'm a big believer

0:17:57.480 --> 0:18:01.400
<v Speaker 1>in the purple people, eaters, defense, buy into at Vikings

0:18:01.400 --> 0:18:04.800
<v Speaker 1>are third in the NFL defensively, their tenth offensively as

0:18:04.800 --> 0:18:08.880
<v Speaker 1>far as scoring is concerned. So with no Mahomes, no

0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:13.960
<v Speaker 1>win for Casey, I'm taking the Vikings thirty in the

0:18:14.040 --> 0:18:20.639
<v Speaker 1>Chiefs twenty three. Penny going that way as well with Minnesota.

0:18:20.800 --> 0:18:23.000
<v Speaker 1>All right, next up the oh This is a big

0:18:23.000 --> 0:18:26.679
<v Speaker 1>game here, New York Jets one in six at the

0:18:26.720 --> 0:18:31.920
<v Speaker 1>Miami Dolphins all in seven. This is a big game. Yeah,

0:18:32.160 --> 0:18:35.200
<v Speaker 1>we need them to go to oh and eight the Dolphins. Yeah,

0:18:35.240 --> 0:18:37.560
<v Speaker 1>every year I root for a team to go perfect

0:18:37.600 --> 0:18:40.720
<v Speaker 1>in reverse. Yeah I like that too, That's that's I

0:18:40.760 --> 0:18:44.000
<v Speaker 1>get joy out of that. Also, so this is on CBS,

0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:46.800
<v Speaker 1>you imagine has to call this game on pigs. I'm

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:51.320
<v Speaker 1>gonna say Spirodidas ding Nick Nick Nick Ning, Yeah, you win.

0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:53.880
<v Speaker 1>The Spirodidas game. Spirit is former voice of the Lakers

0:18:53.880 --> 0:18:57.439
<v Speaker 1>and the Knicks with Adam Archiletta, my old TV buddy,

0:18:57.520 --> 0:18:59.640
<v Speaker 1>and they will be calling this game. Good luck to them.

0:18:59.680 --> 0:19:01.760
<v Speaker 1>A lot of a lot of filler I'm imagining here,

0:19:02.320 --> 0:19:04.600
<v Speaker 1>but like you said, even the bad games have an

0:19:04.600 --> 0:19:06.680
<v Speaker 1>opportunity to make some money on I'm guessing a lot

0:19:06.720 --> 0:19:11.880
<v Speaker 1>of b roll from Don Shula and Joan Yeah, Joe Namath,

0:19:12.080 --> 0:19:16.520
<v Speaker 1>Mark Duper Yeah. All right, So the Jets opened up

0:19:16.520 --> 0:19:19.080
<v Speaker 1>a six and that point favorite. They're favorite by five.

0:19:19.200 --> 0:19:23.399
<v Speaker 1>Now typical Miami weather, thunderstorms, eighty five degrees that kickoff

0:19:23.440 --> 0:19:27.639
<v Speaker 1>at hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. I am going

0:19:27.720 --> 0:19:31.040
<v Speaker 1>to take oh boy, I'm gonna take the Dolphins here.

0:19:31.040 --> 0:19:32.560
<v Speaker 1>And now the reason I've been up, I've been bet

0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:34.840
<v Speaker 1>against the Dolphins all that the Dolphins have shown more

0:19:34.880 --> 0:19:37.200
<v Speaker 1>of a pulse lately than the Jets. They've actually covered

0:19:37.240 --> 0:19:40.760
<v Speaker 1>the last couple of games. And and now the way

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:43.119
<v Speaker 1>the Dolphins playing lately, they scratched and claw for about

0:19:43.160 --> 0:19:45.520
<v Speaker 1>a half, about a half and then they go into

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:47.640
<v Speaker 1>surrender mode like a French soldier, and they drop out

0:19:47.640 --> 0:19:49.880
<v Speaker 1>of site either in the third quarter of the fourth quarter,

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:53.399
<v Speaker 1>like they did last week against uh Pittsburgh, where they

0:19:53.440 --> 0:19:54.919
<v Speaker 1>really only played well in the first quarter. They had

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.159
<v Speaker 1>a fourteen nothing leading this that that game. But they

0:19:57.240 --> 0:19:59.359
<v Speaker 1>they've covered the last couple of games. This is I

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:03.160
<v Speaker 1>would call the dysentery Bowl. I think that's a good

0:20:03.240 --> 0:20:06.560
<v Speaker 1>name for the dysenterry Bowl. Uh, there's no juice to it.

0:20:06.680 --> 0:20:09.520
<v Speaker 1>This should be broadcast on the dark web is where

0:20:09.520 --> 0:20:12.360
<v Speaker 1>it should be broadcast. Check this out. The Dolphins are

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:15.360
<v Speaker 1>averaging eleven points per game. The Jets are averaging eleven

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:19.400
<v Speaker 1>point one points per game, and they're the NFL's worst

0:20:19.640 --> 0:20:23.879
<v Speaker 1>scoring teams this season. The last time we got to

0:20:24.000 --> 0:20:28.200
<v Speaker 1>November or later and two teams averaging under twelve points

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:35.880
<v Speaker 1>played each other was nineteen seventy two, almost fifty years ago,

0:20:35.960 --> 0:20:40.240
<v Speaker 1>when the Eagles and Oilers played About that. How perfect

0:20:40.359 --> 0:20:44.400
<v Speaker 1>nineteen seventy two last team that was undefeated as well.

0:20:44.440 --> 0:20:49.040
<v Speaker 1>Look at that Everything's people Patternicity by David Gista Patternicity. Uh,

0:20:49.119 --> 0:20:51.840
<v Speaker 1>Sam Donald has the yips. He's played like you know,

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:53.680
<v Speaker 1>he's played like he's played like a cat on a

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:58.600
<v Speaker 1>hot tin roof, anxious, unable to sit still, relax seeing

0:20:58.640 --> 0:21:02.879
<v Speaker 1>stuff that's not there. These teams both blow uh and

0:21:02.880 --> 0:21:05.159
<v Speaker 1>they're as good as the stuff on the floor of

0:21:05.160 --> 0:21:08.760
<v Speaker 1>a porta potty. But you gotta pick somebody. And I say,

0:21:08.800 --> 0:21:10.879
<v Speaker 1>this will just be the worst game on the world,

0:21:11.119 --> 0:21:13.320
<v Speaker 1>in the world. So I'm gonna take the points, figuring

0:21:13.320 --> 0:21:15.520
<v Speaker 1>it's a close game because the Jets also are gonna

0:21:15.560 --> 0:21:18.840
<v Speaker 1>be trying to screw this up. So Jets twelve Dolphins

0:21:18.920 --> 0:21:24.919
<v Speaker 1>ninepending going the other way with the Jets. Next up,

0:21:24.960 --> 0:21:29.440
<v Speaker 1>Indianapolis five and two at Pittsburgh. It's on CBS. I

0:21:29.600 --> 0:21:32.440
<v Speaker 1>An Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The game

0:21:32.560 --> 0:21:35.440
<v Speaker 1>opened up and pick them now a culture favored by

0:21:35.520 --> 0:21:37.760
<v Speaker 1>one and and this is a game that I went

0:21:37.880 --> 0:21:39.720
<v Speaker 1>back and forth on. Now. The weather is gonna be

0:21:39.800 --> 0:21:43.280
<v Speaker 1>mostly cloudy, thirty nine degrees at kickoff at Hines Field.

0:21:44.280 --> 0:21:46.040
<v Speaker 1>And this is one of the hardest games for me

0:21:46.160 --> 0:21:48.880
<v Speaker 1>to handicap. And I'll tell you what, all right, because

0:21:49.440 --> 0:21:51.239
<v Speaker 1>you look at it on the surface, you said, well,

0:21:51.240 --> 0:21:54.320
<v Speaker 1>you picked the Coals five and two Pittsburgh's three and four.

0:21:54.400 --> 0:21:57.320
<v Speaker 1>They were trailing at against the Dolphins for much of

0:21:57.400 --> 0:21:59.880
<v Speaker 1>that game. They didn't play well against Miami last week.

0:22:00.520 --> 0:22:03.720
<v Speaker 1>So it's easy, easy piece. Just take the Colts. That's it.

0:22:03.920 --> 0:22:07.480
<v Speaker 1>We're good. I'm done, see you later. Uh. And then

0:22:07.760 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 1>the more I looked at the numbers and I was

0:22:10.240 --> 0:22:13.719
<v Speaker 1>getting into the in the grass. Uh, not that kind

0:22:13.760 --> 0:22:16.720
<v Speaker 1>of grass, but the high grass. I said, now I

0:22:16.760 --> 0:22:18.200
<v Speaker 1>gotta go the other way. I don't, I gotta go.

0:22:18.400 --> 0:22:20.480
<v Speaker 1>I gotta take. I gotta take the Steelers here. So

0:22:20.520 --> 0:22:23.399
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Now. The reason why the Colts,

0:22:23.920 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 1>they were supposed to have a top ten defense. They've

0:22:26.040 --> 0:22:27.639
<v Speaker 1>been slightly worse than that. They've won a lot of

0:22:27.680 --> 0:22:32.080
<v Speaker 1>these games. Um, Jacoby Bric has been better then I

0:22:32.160 --> 0:22:34.440
<v Speaker 1>thought he would be, and certainly better than Mason Root.

0:22:34.520 --> 0:22:39.080
<v Speaker 1>Rudolph As practiced systematic and competence. Certainly last week the

0:22:39.160 --> 0:22:42.480
<v Speaker 1>first half of that game against the Miami defense, he

0:22:42.680 --> 0:22:45.159
<v Speaker 1>was holding the ball for too long. He was his

0:22:45.320 --> 0:22:47.080
<v Speaker 1>throws were going all over the place. He had no

0:22:47.200 --> 0:22:50.159
<v Speaker 1>idea where the ball was going. Uh, you do that

0:22:50.359 --> 0:22:54.720
<v Speaker 1>this week and Indy will win easily. All right. Now,

0:22:54.840 --> 0:22:59.760
<v Speaker 1>that said, the Steelers secondary has impressed me, and I

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:01.680
<v Speaker 1>would not have made the trade with the Dolphins. For

0:23:01.840 --> 0:23:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Macca Fitzpatrick, but he has played well. He has played well.

0:23:06.160 --> 0:23:07.639
<v Speaker 1>The other thing is the mental part of it, And

0:23:07.760 --> 0:23:09.040
<v Speaker 1>I do talk about this a lot, but I think

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:10.600
<v Speaker 1>it's a key thing and it's been proven over the

0:23:10.680 --> 0:23:12.240
<v Speaker 1>years to work. Is that if you're a gambler, you

0:23:12.280 --> 0:23:15.440
<v Speaker 1>should know that you look for certain spots that traditionally

0:23:15.520 --> 0:23:18.360
<v Speaker 1>have worked out. And this is a much more important

0:23:18.440 --> 0:23:20.920
<v Speaker 1>game for Pittsburgh than it is for the Colts. The

0:23:20.960 --> 0:23:22.760
<v Speaker 1>Colts can lose this game. They're still in good shape,

0:23:22.800 --> 0:23:25.280
<v Speaker 1>they're fine, they're still in first place. Um, And so

0:23:25.400 --> 0:23:27.800
<v Speaker 1>the mental part of it for Pittsburgh, they have to

0:23:28.040 --> 0:23:31.840
<v Speaker 1>work their way back after starting horrifically and they're trying

0:23:31.880 --> 0:23:33.880
<v Speaker 1>to catch the Ravens. And the Ravens have a game

0:23:33.920 --> 0:23:36.960
<v Speaker 1>they're likely to lose this weekend against the New England

0:23:36.960 --> 0:23:39.359
<v Speaker 1>page which well handicapped that game later. So this is

0:23:39.359 --> 0:23:41.679
<v Speaker 1>a pretty good spot as far as the motivation factor.

0:23:41.840 --> 0:23:44.280
<v Speaker 1>And if you bet trends, you also love the Steelers.

0:23:45.040 --> 0:23:47.600
<v Speaker 1>The Colts have lost fourteen in the last fifteen games

0:23:47.640 --> 0:23:52.240
<v Speaker 1>in Pittsburgh and their last five games against the Steelers overall.

0:23:52.359 --> 0:23:54.000
<v Speaker 1>And the other thing here, the cherry on top of

0:23:54.000 --> 0:23:56.639
<v Speaker 1>the thing that pushed me over the cliff like a lemming.

0:23:57.119 --> 0:23:59.679
<v Speaker 1>The public has loaded up on Indie. This is one

0:23:59.680 --> 0:24:02.440
<v Speaker 1>of the most lopsided wager games as of the time

0:24:02.480 --> 0:24:05.399
<v Speaker 1>we're doing the podcast. People seem to think that this

0:24:05.560 --> 0:24:08.159
<v Speaker 1>is a Brinkx truck that was driving on the highway

0:24:08.200 --> 0:24:10.600
<v Speaker 1>and opened up and money was flying out, and you

0:24:10.720 --> 0:24:13.800
<v Speaker 1>get money, you get money, you get money, uh and

0:24:13.920 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 1>all that. I I don't trust the Colts. They've built

0:24:16.680 --> 0:24:20.080
<v Speaker 1>the tapestry of a good and bad team that lost

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:23.520
<v Speaker 1>to the Raiders, barely won against Tennessee. So they're up

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:28.119
<v Speaker 1>and down Steelers as a home dog even without Roethlisberger

0:24:28.200 --> 0:24:31.960
<v Speaker 1>and Antonio Brown and Levian Bell and all that. Steelers

0:24:32.040 --> 0:24:39.520
<v Speaker 1>twenty Colts seventeen penny going the other way, going with

0:24:39.640 --> 0:24:42.920
<v Speaker 1>Inde al right. Next up we get to the late

0:24:43.160 --> 0:24:46.200
<v Speaker 1>television window, the late games, the West Coast games where

0:24:46.240 --> 0:24:48.800
<v Speaker 1>you're dancing and dining pleasure, because that's how we roll

0:24:49.560 --> 0:24:51.959
<v Speaker 1>the late game. Uh. The first up, we have Detroit

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:56.720
<v Speaker 1>three three and one and the oaklen Rights three and four.

0:24:56.800 --> 0:25:01.520
<v Speaker 1>It's on Fox with Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman. I

0:25:01.600 --> 0:25:03.440
<v Speaker 1>thought this could be the Dick Stockton game when I

0:25:03.520 --> 0:25:06.680
<v Speaker 1>first looked at the card, but it was not. We

0:25:06.840 --> 0:25:09.080
<v Speaker 1>talked about that earlier. Uh, the game open to pick him.

0:25:09.119 --> 0:25:11.560
<v Speaker 1>The Raiders are a two point favorite. You know what

0:25:11.640 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>they call the Colisseum in Oakland now a toilet, Well

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 1>that's what they should call. They called the Ring Central Colosseum.

0:25:18.320 --> 0:25:20.760
<v Speaker 1>Did you know? I did not know that. Ye, it's

0:25:20.800 --> 0:25:24.440
<v Speaker 1>the It's the Rings Central Colosseum is what it is.

0:25:24.840 --> 0:25:28.359
<v Speaker 1>So I'm gonna take the the Lions in this game.

0:25:28.560 --> 0:25:31.120
<v Speaker 1>And I don't love this pick because I am going

0:25:31.160 --> 0:25:34.240
<v Speaker 1>with the public. But what looked like a promising start

0:25:34.320 --> 0:25:38.440
<v Speaker 1>has turned sour and bitter for John Gruden last couple

0:25:38.440 --> 0:25:41.080
<v Speaker 1>of weeks against Green Bay and Houston. Now the Raiders

0:25:41.160 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 1>actually have a home game, something they have not had

0:25:44.840 --> 0:25:47.840
<v Speaker 1>in like over a month, first time since the Bronze era,

0:25:49.200 --> 0:25:51.560
<v Speaker 1>and the other they have a quick turnaround. They played

0:25:51.600 --> 0:25:54.200
<v Speaker 1>the Thursday night game next week against the Charges. And

0:25:54.240 --> 0:25:55.680
<v Speaker 1>if you listen to this podcast and you've heard me

0:25:55.760 --> 0:25:58.320
<v Speaker 1>over the years, that's one of those things where teams

0:25:59.080 --> 0:26:02.399
<v Speaker 1>before they lay a Thursday night game often get caught

0:26:03.560 --> 0:26:08.479
<v Speaker 1>distracted looking ahead peek a boo. However, you want to say, uh,

0:26:08.640 --> 0:26:10.960
<v Speaker 1>you know, both these teams can move the ball. Both

0:26:11.040 --> 0:26:15.879
<v Speaker 1>these teams struggle to stop anyone, so it's very similar. Uh. Secondly,

0:26:16.000 --> 0:26:18.920
<v Speaker 1>Detroit's defense, I think we should highlight that they have

0:26:19.000 --> 0:26:23.040
<v Speaker 1>been biblically bad. They are thirty first in yards allowed

0:26:23.119 --> 0:26:28.720
<v Speaker 1>per games. Everyone is having a career day against the lines.

0:26:28.800 --> 0:26:31.760
<v Speaker 1>Derek Carr must be licking his chops right now. Only

0:26:31.880 --> 0:26:35.080
<v Speaker 1>the Bengals, who are oh and eight, have been worse,

0:26:35.160 --> 0:26:36.639
<v Speaker 1>and they're in a bye week this week. Only the

0:26:36.720 --> 0:26:39.800
<v Speaker 1>Bengals have been worse than the Lions. There's bad tackling,

0:26:39.960 --> 0:26:44.120
<v Speaker 1>bad fundamentals. And Matt Patricia was hired not only because

0:26:44.119 --> 0:26:47.040
<v Speaker 1>he's a rocket scientist, but he's a defensive rocket scientists.

0:26:47.080 --> 0:26:51.119
<v Speaker 1>How's that working? You got out the players. However, it's

0:26:51.160 --> 0:26:53.080
<v Speaker 1>not like the Raiders have been much better. The Raiders

0:26:53.119 --> 0:26:56.879
<v Speaker 1>are twenty five in total defense. So this game has

0:26:57.280 --> 0:26:59.280
<v Speaker 1>tracked meat. Might as well be played at the Olympic

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:03.520
<v Speaker 1>Village because it's gonna be that kind of game. The Raiders. Also,

0:27:03.720 --> 0:27:05.760
<v Speaker 1>they don't play the Lions very often. They last beat

0:27:05.840 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>the Lions in nineteen nineties six. You know who was

0:27:10.680 --> 0:27:13.200
<v Speaker 1>the player that the Raiders stopped on the Lions to

0:27:13.240 --> 0:27:17.119
<v Speaker 1>win that game. I'm gonna say Barry Sanders. Yeah, they

0:27:17.200 --> 0:27:19.960
<v Speaker 1>helped Barry Sanders to thirty six yards in that game.

0:27:20.680 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 1>And you know who the Raider quarterback was in Uh,

0:27:24.880 --> 0:27:27.960
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna say it's Jeff Hostel. Wow, you love your Raiders.

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:32.000
<v Speaker 1>Jeff Hosteller through four touchdowns for the Raiders in that game. Anyway,

0:27:32.240 --> 0:27:36.640
<v Speaker 1>that's in the past, that's the history Channel, Lions thirty eight,

0:27:37.880 --> 0:27:40.159
<v Speaker 1>Writers thirty four. That's gonna be a fun game, and

0:27:40.240 --> 0:27:43.439
<v Speaker 1>I shouldn't be. Penny is going with the Oakland Raiders

0:27:44.720 --> 0:27:46.719
<v Speaker 1>fun game if you bet the over. Of course, everyone's

0:27:46.760 --> 0:27:48.600
<v Speaker 1>gonna betting the over Gascon, which means the game will

0:27:48.600 --> 0:27:52.639
<v Speaker 1>be like sixteen or something like that. It always happens,

0:27:52.800 --> 0:27:56.680
<v Speaker 1>all right. Next up on Fox, it's Tampa Bay two

0:27:56.760 --> 0:28:01.040
<v Speaker 1>and five at Seattle six and two Kenny Albert and

0:28:01.240 --> 0:28:03.560
<v Speaker 1>Ronde Barber. Kenny Albert friend of the show, A friend

0:28:03.560 --> 0:28:06.040
<v Speaker 1>of me. Not you guys? Can we can we do

0:28:06.080 --> 0:28:11.480
<v Speaker 1>an introduction? You know, I don't know. I think about it.

0:28:12.240 --> 0:28:15.000
<v Speaker 1>Who have you introduced me to? Uh? Introduced you to

0:28:15.080 --> 0:28:17.840
<v Speaker 1>the Chief? Yeah, but I've never actually physically met him.

0:28:17.840 --> 0:28:19.480
<v Speaker 1>I talked him on the phone one time. I've never

0:28:19.560 --> 0:28:23.399
<v Speaker 1>been to shake his hand. Yeah, it's not really a fit.

0:28:23.480 --> 0:28:24.960
<v Speaker 1>I talked to people on the phone all the time,

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:29.120
<v Speaker 1>but it's not really meeting them press the flash man. Yeah,

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:33.320
<v Speaker 1>all right. Anyway, So Kenny Albert Rodney Barber. The Seahawks

0:28:33.440 --> 0:28:36.600
<v Speaker 1>opened a five and a half point favorite. They are

0:28:36.760 --> 0:28:40.200
<v Speaker 1>favored now by six. Every body six. This is at

0:28:40.280 --> 0:28:44.440
<v Speaker 1>Century Link Field in Seattle, cloudy and fifty three degrees

0:28:44.480 --> 0:28:47.360
<v Speaker 1>no rain though at kickoff. Anyway, I'm gonna take the

0:28:47.360 --> 0:28:50.680
<v Speaker 1>Bucketeers in this game, and I'll tell you why. Seattle.

0:28:51.520 --> 0:28:53.720
<v Speaker 1>They gave up the back door coverage of the Falcons.

0:28:53.720 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 1>They had a twenty four nothing lead. How about this,

0:28:56.200 --> 0:28:59.440
<v Speaker 1>and I had I had Seattle. I lost that game.

0:28:59.560 --> 0:29:01.440
<v Speaker 1>Last one I lost is that at twenty four Nothingly,

0:29:01.520 --> 0:29:06.600
<v Speaker 1>they let Matt shob take a butcher knife, all right

0:29:06.720 --> 0:29:10.600
<v Speaker 1>and swashbuckle his way through a machete and slice them

0:29:10.720 --> 0:29:13.440
<v Speaker 1>up in garbage time. To me, that's a bad sign.

0:29:13.680 --> 0:29:17.040
<v Speaker 1>He didn't just do that. He threw for over fogs

0:29:17.120 --> 0:29:19.080
<v Speaker 1>that defense. I think it was like four sixties. I

0:29:19.120 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 1>think it was the most yards ever against the Seattle defense. Awful. Yeah,

0:29:23.480 --> 0:29:26.040
<v Speaker 1>So the last three weeks, the Seahawks have the NFL's

0:29:26.080 --> 0:29:30.040
<v Speaker 1>worst run defense. In addition, they're allowing five point six

0:29:30.160 --> 0:29:33.480
<v Speaker 1>yards per carry. That's not that's not the recipe to

0:29:33.560 --> 0:29:35.680
<v Speaker 1>blow a team out or at least win by a touchdown.

0:29:35.960 --> 0:29:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Now that I don't disagree that Russell Wilson should tee

0:29:38.440 --> 0:29:43.400
<v Speaker 1>off against the thirty first ranked past defense of Tampa Bay.

0:29:44.240 --> 0:29:46.320
<v Speaker 1>So I'm thinking this is gonna be similar to the

0:29:46.520 --> 0:29:50.320
<v Speaker 1>Lions and the Raiders, where it's gonna be a shootout

0:29:50.440 --> 0:29:53.200
<v Speaker 1>type of game. But you've also got the peak a boat.

0:29:53.680 --> 0:29:58.880
<v Speaker 1>Uh in the Seattle they got a mammoth game, especially

0:29:58.920 --> 0:30:00.640
<v Speaker 1>depending on what happened in the third day night game.

0:30:01.160 --> 0:30:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Next week Seattle plays the forty Niners. That is a

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:09.760
<v Speaker 1>showcase jewel game. That is a big time divisional game

0:30:09.840 --> 0:30:13.719
<v Speaker 1>for them. I'm thinking, you know, a little little bit,

0:30:13.840 --> 0:30:16.600
<v Speaker 1>just maybe like five percent. They're looking ahead and you

0:30:16.640 --> 0:30:20.000
<v Speaker 1>don't really get up for Tampa Bay. The Buck's biggest

0:30:20.040 --> 0:30:22.160
<v Speaker 1>issue has been obviously turnovers, and when you bet on

0:30:22.280 --> 0:30:25.520
<v Speaker 1>Tampa Bay, you are you are praying and hoping that

0:30:25.640 --> 0:30:29.960
<v Speaker 1>the football gods allowed Jamis Winston to stop being the baker,

0:30:30.000 --> 0:30:32.000
<v Speaker 1>because he should open a bakery, right. He's one of

0:30:32.040 --> 0:30:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the that cooks up more turnovers than anyone but but Winston.

0:30:36.200 --> 0:30:38.880
<v Speaker 1>I have noticed that he rarely has back to back

0:30:39.040 --> 0:30:43.160
<v Speaker 1>stink bombs, Like he'll have a horrific game where he

0:30:43.640 --> 0:30:46.480
<v Speaker 1>gets killed on sports radio and then he will rebound

0:30:46.560 --> 0:30:51.000
<v Speaker 1>typically after that. So if this trend continues, last week

0:30:51.160 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 1>he was a ridiculously bad quarterback, I expect him to

0:30:54.440 --> 0:30:59.320
<v Speaker 1>play better. And the Buccaneers, they have. Their run defense

0:30:59.440 --> 0:31:00.920
<v Speaker 1>is not the problem. They can't stop the past, but

0:31:00.960 --> 0:31:03.760
<v Speaker 1>they've been number one in the NFL the last a

0:31:03.880 --> 0:31:06.640
<v Speaker 1>few weeks. It's stopping the run. Seattle is mostly a

0:31:06.720 --> 0:31:08.840
<v Speaker 1>running team. They like to say that they're a passing team,

0:31:08.880 --> 0:31:11.880
<v Speaker 1>but they're mostly a running team. And the Buccaneers have

0:31:12.040 --> 0:31:15.640
<v Speaker 1>been a better team on the road. In fact, both

0:31:15.680 --> 0:31:17.680
<v Speaker 1>their winds have come on the road. Last time they

0:31:17.720 --> 0:31:20.240
<v Speaker 1>were on the West Coast, they curb stopped the Rams.

0:31:20.400 --> 0:31:25.560
<v Speaker 1>Unfortunately for me and Seattle. If you look at their losses,

0:31:25.680 --> 0:31:28.600
<v Speaker 1>both their losses happened on their home field. So I

0:31:28.640 --> 0:31:31.400
<v Speaker 1>feel like this line is too big, too inflated. I'm

0:31:31.400 --> 0:31:36.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna take the Seahawks to win, but not cover. Seahawks thirty,

0:31:36.320 --> 0:31:41.200
<v Speaker 1>Buccaneers twenty six. Depending on the other way. At the

0:31:41.200 --> 0:31:44.000
<v Speaker 1>home team, Seattle, you're listening to Benny versus the Penny,

0:31:44.000 --> 0:31:45.800
<v Speaker 1>but you already knew that. Next up, Cleveland two and

0:31:45.960 --> 0:31:51.000
<v Speaker 1>five at Denver two and six is on CBS with

0:31:51.240 --> 0:31:53.840
<v Speaker 1>Kevin Harlan and Rich Get. I give Kevin Harlan credit.

0:31:53.920 --> 0:31:57.880
<v Speaker 1>Kevin Harland is like the Kenny Albert of CBS. He's

0:31:57.920 --> 0:32:00.920
<v Speaker 1>all over the place doing radio broadcast s on Monday

0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 1>Night NBA games for T n T. He's all over me.

0:32:04.240 --> 0:32:06.840
<v Speaker 1>He's host. Can you give up some of those gigs,

0:32:06.960 --> 0:32:09.200
<v Speaker 1>you guest? Can Harlan give some of those up? I

0:32:09.360 --> 0:32:11.560
<v Speaker 1>think his games a little too high profile for me.

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:15.360
<v Speaker 1>Have some confidence, you loserat JUP. I have confidence, but

0:32:16.040 --> 0:32:17.800
<v Speaker 1>just as good as Kevin Harlan, you just haven't been

0:32:17.840 --> 0:32:20.800
<v Speaker 1>given the opportunity. It's kind of a nice compliment he

0:32:20.880 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 1>paid for me. Make sure you edit that out of

0:32:22.840 --> 0:32:26.280
<v Speaker 1>the podcast. Keep in mind, though, guscan my my radio tree.

0:32:26.640 --> 0:32:30.720
<v Speaker 1>The Mallard Radio Tree includes an NBA play by play voice,

0:32:30.800 --> 0:32:34.720
<v Speaker 1>Alan Horton radio voice in the minist of filled in

0:32:35.040 --> 0:32:37.040
<v Speaker 1>on the Ben Maller Show before he went on to

0:32:37.080 --> 0:32:39.000
<v Speaker 1>be a big time NBA broadcaster. So I want you

0:32:39.080 --> 0:32:42.440
<v Speaker 1>to know that I have a tie to broadcasting success.

0:32:42.720 --> 0:32:44.640
<v Speaker 1>That's good. I was hoping you wouldn't say, like the

0:32:44.720 --> 0:32:49.240
<v Speaker 1>Bill Belichick tree of let's move on Cleveland two and

0:32:49.360 --> 0:32:55.080
<v Speaker 1>five at Denver two and six, as we said Brown's. Eventually,

0:32:55.120 --> 0:32:57.400
<v Speaker 1>the Broncos were favorite by a point. Browns are favorite

0:32:57.440 --> 0:33:00.280
<v Speaker 1>by three Parley Sonny forty seven at kickoff off at

0:33:00.320 --> 0:33:03.200
<v Speaker 1>empower Field at Mile High. I'm taking the Browns. This

0:33:03.400 --> 0:33:07.160
<v Speaker 1>is should be a show up win situation for the Browns. Uh.

0:33:07.240 --> 0:33:09.920
<v Speaker 1>They can't screw this up right now? Now? Would that

0:33:10.160 --> 0:33:13.720
<v Speaker 1>be something if if they did? Sure, and Baker mayfields

0:33:14.080 --> 0:33:16.520
<v Speaker 1>a mess and he leads to the NFL and interceptions

0:33:16.560 --> 0:33:18.600
<v Speaker 1>and all that stuff. In fact, he's throwing an interception

0:33:18.680 --> 0:33:20.840
<v Speaker 1>in eight straight games. No other quarterback has a streak

0:33:20.880 --> 0:33:23.120
<v Speaker 1>of more than three. Uh. That said, I do trust

0:33:23.200 --> 0:33:25.880
<v Speaker 1>Nick Chubb to to do well against the Broncos defense.

0:33:26.600 --> 0:33:28.640
<v Speaker 1>But this is let's not kid ourselves. This is more

0:33:28.680 --> 0:33:32.200
<v Speaker 1>of a bet against Brandon Allen, third string quarterback taking

0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:33.920
<v Speaker 1>over for Joe Flacco. I would have been on the

0:33:33.960 --> 0:33:36.080
<v Speaker 1>Browns anyway if Flacco had played. I liked the game

0:33:36.120 --> 0:33:39.960
<v Speaker 1>more because Alan is playing. I would think the Broncos,

0:33:40.000 --> 0:33:41.960
<v Speaker 1>who have a dinged up offensive line, are gonna have

0:33:42.560 --> 0:33:45.880
<v Speaker 1>night tremors from Miles Garrett, who's gonna wreck havoc on

0:33:46.000 --> 0:33:51.320
<v Speaker 1>that front line for the Broncos. Brown's twenty Broncos ten

0:33:54.320 --> 0:33:57.600
<v Speaker 1>homer alert for the penny. She's going with the Broncos. Alright,

0:33:57.640 --> 0:33:59.760
<v Speaker 1>Green Bay seven and one, the l A Chargers three

0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:02.479
<v Speaker 1>and I it's on CBS. Jim Nancy, Tony Romo are

0:34:02.520 --> 0:34:04.840
<v Speaker 1>going to a soccer stadium to call a game. I'm

0:34:04.840 --> 0:34:07.479
<v Speaker 1>sure they're excited about that. Packers opened up a four

0:34:07.520 --> 0:34:09.839
<v Speaker 1>point favorite, their favorite by three and a half. It'll

0:34:09.880 --> 0:34:13.640
<v Speaker 1>be sunny seventy one at kick off at Dignity Health

0:34:13.960 --> 0:34:18.880
<v Speaker 1>Sports Park. I'm gonna take the home team, which is

0:34:18.920 --> 0:34:20.200
<v Speaker 1>the Green Bay Packer. Is there really this is a

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:22.520
<v Speaker 1>really home game for them? Uh? First of all, Aaron

0:34:22.600 --> 0:34:25.400
<v Speaker 1>Rodgers has jump started his season now, he's he's got

0:34:25.480 --> 0:34:27.279
<v Speaker 1>it going. He didn't get it going early, and he

0:34:27.360 --> 0:34:29.759
<v Speaker 1>got to go against the Charger defense that has struggled

0:34:29.920 --> 0:34:32.000
<v Speaker 1>to slow down in recent weeks. The likes of Ryan

0:34:32.120 --> 0:34:35.440
<v Speaker 1>Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, plus Green Bay could

0:34:35.680 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 1>it sounds like they're gonna get Davante Adams back at

0:34:38.600 --> 0:34:40.480
<v Speaker 1>least at the time we're doing this. He did practice

0:34:41.080 --> 0:34:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I know on Thursday, supposedly in full so it looks

0:34:43.560 --> 0:34:47.040
<v Speaker 1>like Davante Adams will come back. Secondly, the Chargers home stadium,

0:34:47.080 --> 0:34:50.200
<v Speaker 1>you know it's gonna be called Lambo by the Sea. Uh.

0:34:50.920 --> 0:34:54.640
<v Speaker 1>You got that sea breeze at that that stadium in Carson, California,

0:34:54.760 --> 0:34:57.000
<v Speaker 1>been there before for games. Uh, It's gonna be a

0:34:57.080 --> 0:34:59.680
<v Speaker 1>sea of green, pure green. This will be the ninth

0:34:59.760 --> 0:35:03.000
<v Speaker 1>home game for the Cheeseheads and the Cheese Kurds. Uh. Now,

0:35:03.239 --> 0:35:06.440
<v Speaker 1>l A has a lot of flaws since Melvin Gordon returned.

0:35:07.160 --> 0:35:11.799
<v Speaker 1>The Chargers are averaging thirty five rushing yards per game,

0:35:12.200 --> 0:35:14.840
<v Speaker 1>two point two yards per care. They suck and Philip

0:35:14.960 --> 0:35:19.000
<v Speaker 1>rivers right twelve touchdown passes, the fewest he's thrown in

0:35:19.080 --> 0:35:22.520
<v Speaker 1>the first eight games in almost a decade, and they're

0:35:22.520 --> 0:35:25.680
<v Speaker 1>throwing interceptions in recent games. I mean, everything indicates the

0:35:26.160 --> 0:35:27.600
<v Speaker 1>to go the way of the Packers. The only thing

0:35:27.640 --> 0:35:30.120
<v Speaker 1>that scares me mildly is Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram

0:35:30.640 --> 0:35:32.880
<v Speaker 1>messing up Aaron Rodgers. And that could screw you up.

0:35:32.920 --> 0:35:42.839
<v Speaker 1>But you can't handicap that Packers thirty one Chargers penny

0:35:43.000 --> 0:35:45.040
<v Speaker 1>with the Packers as well, all Right, Sunday Night Football,

0:35:45.080 --> 0:35:47.080
<v Speaker 1>New England eight and O at Baltimore five and two.

0:35:47.120 --> 0:35:51.440
<v Speaker 1>It's on n b C with Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth.

0:35:52.040 --> 0:35:55.480
<v Speaker 1>Now the game open Packers or Patriots rather by six

0:35:55.520 --> 0:35:57.279
<v Speaker 1>and a half. Their favored by three and a half.

0:35:57.320 --> 0:36:00.320
<v Speaker 1>So there's been a line adjustment. There'll be forty five agrees.

0:36:00.400 --> 0:36:02.480
<v Speaker 1>The House that Sports with Coleman built at M and

0:36:02.560 --> 0:36:07.840
<v Speaker 1>T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and clear, I'm taking the Patriots.

0:36:07.880 --> 0:36:09.600
<v Speaker 1>I'm not a dope. I'm taking the Patriots as a

0:36:09.640 --> 0:36:12.880
<v Speaker 1>small home favorite. Uh. First of all, Belichick, you know,

0:36:13.080 --> 0:36:16.400
<v Speaker 1>tortured Lamar Jackson. And I want to point out everyone

0:36:16.440 --> 0:36:20.200
<v Speaker 1>says Lamar's may become this this great quarterback. Let me

0:36:20.280 --> 0:36:22.680
<v Speaker 1>tell you something. The first two weeks, Lamar Jackson had

0:36:22.719 --> 0:36:25.959
<v Speaker 1>seven touchdowns, no interceptions, had a passer rating of forty

0:36:26.000 --> 0:36:28.760
<v Speaker 1>five against a couple of cream puffs Miami and Arizona.

0:36:29.200 --> 0:36:32.279
<v Speaker 1>Since then, the rest of the season, Lamar Jackson's got

0:36:32.320 --> 0:36:36.760
<v Speaker 1>four touchdowns and five interceptions, passing a passer rating below eighty.

0:36:37.440 --> 0:36:40.480
<v Speaker 1>He has been worse than Baker Mayfield in some statistics

0:36:40.520 --> 0:36:42.560
<v Speaker 1>since the first couple of games of the year, and

0:36:42.640 --> 0:36:45.880
<v Speaker 1>now He's averaged more rushing yards than passing yards the

0:36:46.000 --> 0:36:50.040
<v Speaker 1>last five weeks against mostly non playoff teams. While the

0:36:50.400 --> 0:36:52.959
<v Speaker 1>Patriots said listen, they played the easiest schedule in the NFL,

0:36:53.000 --> 0:36:55.840
<v Speaker 1>everyone loves to point that out. Well, spoiler alert, the

0:36:55.920 --> 0:36:59.000
<v Speaker 1>Ravens have played the fourth easiest schedule in the NFL,

0:36:59.120 --> 0:37:02.240
<v Speaker 1>so both these teams have feasted on tomato cans. Secondly,

0:37:02.719 --> 0:37:04.640
<v Speaker 1>if Baltimore had a better defense, I can make the

0:37:04.760 --> 0:37:08.160
<v Speaker 1>argument to take the pages because the Patriots are offensively challenged,

0:37:08.840 --> 0:37:11.240
<v Speaker 1>but they don't. They have the middle of the pack defense.

0:37:11.280 --> 0:37:16.000
<v Speaker 1>These aren't your daddy's Ravens and pretty generic generic brand

0:37:16.080 --> 0:37:20.120
<v Speaker 1>nineteenth In total defense, the key is obviously the Patriots

0:37:20.160 --> 0:37:24.480
<v Speaker 1>messing up the passing of Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady will

0:37:24.600 --> 0:37:27.960
<v Speaker 1>just do enough at this point in his forties to

0:37:28.600 --> 0:37:31.080
<v Speaker 1>get enough out of it. The Patriots have limited weaponry

0:37:31.120 --> 0:37:33.839
<v Speaker 1>and all that, I expect Mohammed Sanu to play better

0:37:33.920 --> 0:37:38.680
<v Speaker 1>this week. Patriots on the Road guest on twenty four

0:37:38.880 --> 0:37:44.880
<v Speaker 1>Ravens thirteen day Go with the Patriots, Well, last one,

0:37:44.920 --> 0:37:47.200
<v Speaker 1>all right? Last game? Monday Night Football Dallas four and

0:37:47.320 --> 0:37:49.760
<v Speaker 1>three at the Giants two and six is on ESPN

0:37:49.920 --> 0:37:54.120
<v Speaker 1>Joe test It tore your favorite guy and Booker McFarland

0:37:54.280 --> 0:37:57.320
<v Speaker 1>have the call. I know you're excited about that. And

0:37:57.719 --> 0:38:01.200
<v Speaker 1>the Cowboys opened at nine point favorite about them Cowboys

0:38:01.800 --> 0:38:06.560
<v Speaker 1>nine point favorite. Cowboys are favorite now by seven at

0:38:06.719 --> 0:38:10.480
<v Speaker 1>MetLife Stadium in Jersey. It'll be partly cloudy forty nine

0:38:10.600 --> 0:38:14.080
<v Speaker 1>at kick off on Monday night. That's the forecast. I'm

0:38:14.080 --> 0:38:17.200
<v Speaker 1>gonna take the Giants here a couple of reasons why. Hey,

0:38:17.600 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 1>Daniel Jones has been, as advertised rookie quarterback pretty much

0:38:21.440 --> 0:38:23.960
<v Speaker 1>terrible most of the time. He leads the NFL with

0:38:24.040 --> 0:38:28.760
<v Speaker 1>six lost fumbles seven interceptions. So I'm taking the Giants

0:38:29.239 --> 0:38:32.120
<v Speaker 1>because you gotta think that this is a peak a

0:38:32.200 --> 0:38:35.960
<v Speaker 1>booze situation as all right. The you look at the

0:38:36.239 --> 0:38:39.920
<v Speaker 1>high profile game coming up for the Cowboys, a match

0:38:40.040 --> 0:38:43.640
<v Speaker 1>up with the Vikings and Sunday Night Football, and even

0:38:43.719 --> 0:38:47.040
<v Speaker 1>though this is a rivalry Giants and Cowboys, and the

0:38:47.200 --> 0:38:50.160
<v Speaker 1>Giants and no A, no good. The Cowboys have a

0:38:50.320 --> 0:38:54.359
<v Speaker 1>marginal pass rush, they don't have a great secondary. There

0:38:54.520 --> 0:38:58.600
<v Speaker 1>is an opportunity here to hang around and you're getting

0:38:58.719 --> 0:39:01.840
<v Speaker 1>a touchdown in this game, which is a lot of

0:39:02.040 --> 0:39:06.160
<v Speaker 1>value and be the the dak Prescott thing heat t

0:39:06.440 --> 0:39:10.000
<v Speaker 1>off on the Giants back in week one, and much

0:39:10.080 --> 0:39:13.279
<v Speaker 1>like Lamar Jackson got off to a great start and

0:39:13.360 --> 0:39:17.200
<v Speaker 1>has become tumbling back to Earth like a failed satellite

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:23.520
<v Speaker 1>and Dakota Prescott last four weeks three touchdown, five interceptions

0:39:23.520 --> 0:39:26.600
<v Speaker 1>of passer rating of eight six. He's right in the

0:39:26.680 --> 0:39:29.799
<v Speaker 1>middle of the bell curve. He's average almost any time

0:39:29.880 --> 0:39:32.680
<v Speaker 1>you get over seven points, almost any not always, almost

0:39:32.680 --> 0:39:37.520
<v Speaker 1>any time over seven in advisional game, you don't ask questions.

0:39:37.760 --> 0:39:41.439
<v Speaker 1>You take the points and you're like, I'm happy. I'm happy, happy, happy,

0:39:41.520 --> 0:39:44.480
<v Speaker 1>happy happy. I'm a happy hippo, and I'm gonna do

0:39:44.600 --> 0:39:48.839
<v Speaker 1>that right now. Cowboys will win, but will not cover.

0:39:49.640 --> 0:39:53.480
<v Speaker 1>He's surprisingly somewhat competitive. Monday night football game, Go figure

0:39:54.000 --> 0:39:59.640
<v Speaker 1>Cowboys twenty six, Giants twenty three, depending with the Giants

0:39:59.680 --> 0:40:03.080
<v Speaker 1>as well. Uh all right, that's a wrap, a shorter

0:40:03.280 --> 0:40:06.480
<v Speaker 1>version of the benny versus the penny. We were hurried up,

0:40:06.520 --> 0:40:09.680
<v Speaker 1>gascon kept turning me up. Giddy up, giddy up, getty up,

0:40:09.680 --> 0:40:12.560
<v Speaker 1>getty up, getty up, giddy up, getty up, getty up. Yeah.

0:40:12.680 --> 0:40:15.840
<v Speaker 1>So anyway, uh, we thank you for listening, enjoy the games,

0:40:15.880 --> 0:40:17.560
<v Speaker 1>Good luck, win a lot of money, think of us.

0:40:17.600 --> 0:40:18.719
<v Speaker 1>If you want a lot of money. If you lose

0:40:18.719 --> 0:40:20.680
<v Speaker 1>a lot of money, don't think of us at all.

0:40:21.160 --> 0:40:23.479
<v Speaker 1>Enjoy your weekend. We're back on the radio talking about

0:40:23.520 --> 0:40:26.360
<v Speaker 1>all these games and what actually happened, what not, what

0:40:26.480 --> 0:40:28.600
<v Speaker 1>we thought is gonna happen on Sunday night in the

0:40:28.680 --> 0:40:31.600
<v Speaker 1>Monday on the Overnight Show two am in the East

0:40:31.800 --> 0:40:35.879
<v Speaker 1>on Monday, eleven pm in the West on Sunday Night.

0:40:36.000 --> 0:40:37.480
<v Speaker 1>We'll catch you then, have a great weekend.