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Speaker 1: Welcome players, You're welcome. Are It's time now Benny Versus

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Speaker 1: the Penny? That it is. It is week nine in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. You're gambling analysis here on the Magic podcast

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Speaker 1: Box and its entirety Benny versus the Penny. Now we

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Speaker 1: will not talk about the Cincinnati Bengals, the Atlanta Falcons,

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Speaker 1: the Los Angeles Rams, or the New Orleans Saints. They

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Speaker 1: are all on a bye week. But everyone else either

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Speaker 1: has played like that Thursday night game earlier this week

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Speaker 1: with Santa Clara and Arizona UH, and a bunch of

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Speaker 1: games obviously coming up Sunday and Monday as well. And

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Speaker 1: the Penny is represented by Gascon David Gascon. And before

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Speaker 1: we look ahead, we must look back. Gascon, another winning

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Speaker 1: week for me, another plus week against the spread picking

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Speaker 1: NFL games. I believe I one no. Nine, that is correct,

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Speaker 1: nine games. You won nine. And I have to ask,

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Speaker 1: because this has been on the front of my mind

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Speaker 1: the last couple of weeks, but has this been the

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Speaker 1: best start you've ever had in Benny Versus the Penny? Uh?

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Speaker 1: You know you've asked me that before. I know you

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Speaker 1: have asked me that pretty much every week. You asked

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Speaker 1: me the same question because you have nothing else to ask.

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Speaker 1: But I, I, uh, I am very enthusiastic that I

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Speaker 1: have done this well. I am flattered. I feel like

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Speaker 1: I've finally figured it out after all these years. But

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Speaker 1: I have to say that it is my most sustained

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Speaker 1: success that I have enjoyed handicapping NFL games. I just

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Speaker 1: want to point out again I want to remind people

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Speaker 1: as a disclaimer, Gaston, since gambling is happening more and

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Speaker 1: more here that the way this works, I give advice

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Speaker 1: on every game. I'd spend a lot of time, way

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Speaker 1: too much time. It's one of my hobbies handicapping these games.

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Speaker 1: So the way I I designed the po podcast here

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Speaker 1: is if you you should do your own homework, and

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Speaker 1: then if you agree with what I say, if we

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Speaker 1: were on the same page and I think that's a game,

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Speaker 1: you should probably better. Um. But as with everything, money

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Speaker 1: management is very important. Try to avoid the sucker bets.

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Speaker 1: A lot of people love the sucker bets with the

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Speaker 1: parlay you know, seven team parlay's and all that stuff,

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Speaker 1: but I I generally do not. And so anyway, that's

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Speaker 1: that's my advice. All right, all right, we got we've

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Speaker 1: got plenty of games. I know the Santa Clara Arizona

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Speaker 1: game last night. Yeah, so let's do this thing, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's do it. We'll do it. We'll start with Houston

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Speaker 1: five and three at Jacksonville four and four. This is

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Speaker 1: a London game at Wembley Stadium in London, and it

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Speaker 1: will start at nine thirty in the morning Eastern Standard Time,

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Speaker 1: which means on the West Coast where we broadcast from

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Speaker 1: six thirty in the morning. Sweet baby Jesus, I hope

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Speaker 1: that game goes well. I will not be watching. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And it's it's not on the networks. They used to

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Speaker 1: put these games on the networks. But it's on NFL network,

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Speaker 1: not on a you know, CBS, Fox or NBC. Uh No,

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Speaker 1: it is on the NFL network. They're flying over Rich Eisen,

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Speaker 1: Kurt Warner, Steve Mariucci, and Michael Irvin. It takes four

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Speaker 1: people to brought a four man booth for Houston and Jacksonville. Now,

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Speaker 1: the Texans opened up a three point favorite. They're favored

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Speaker 1: by one. It's gonna be cloudy in fifty three degrees

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Speaker 1: at kickoff at Wembley Stadium in London, and the pick

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Speaker 1: is in. I'm gonna take Jacksonville this game. I feel

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Speaker 1: like the wrong team is favorite here. The Texans have

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Speaker 1: been an up and down team, but more importantly, they

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Speaker 1: have been ripped apart at their soul with injury. I'm

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Speaker 1: talking about not only J. J. Watt, who's out for

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Speaker 1: the year yet again stopped me if you've heard that before,

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Speaker 1: but there's other players in the second year they are

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Speaker 1: also dinged up. And and I'm looking out at Gardner

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Speaker 1: Minshew Mania and this has a set up for jackson

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Speaker 1: with the public is loading up on Houston like they're

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Speaker 1: the Patriots or something like that, and they're not. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville is being underappreciated here. And you know they often

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Speaker 1: say that matchups make fights, right, Jacksonville's defensive front against

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Speaker 1: the revolving doors of the Houston Texans offensive line. You

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Speaker 1: toss in Deshaun Watson, who's like a bad water heater.

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Speaker 1: The water you don't know whether the hot water is

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Speaker 1: cold or hot, and it goes from hot to cold

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Speaker 1: and cold. I mean, it's just it's a week to week.

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Speaker 1: And let's not forget last time he played Jacksonville, he

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Speaker 1: passed for a hundred and fifty nine yards and lost

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Speaker 1: two fumbles and Jacksonville would have won the game on

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Speaker 1: a two point conversion they didn't convert at the end.

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Speaker 1: In addition to that, if you saw the World serious

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Speaker 1: this week, Deshaun Watson was invited to Game seven. He

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Speaker 1: couldn't move, couldn't go to the game. Why his eye

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Speaker 1: was so mutilated when he got stepped on in the

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Speaker 1: game against the Raiders that he had to cancel that

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Speaker 1: World Series appearance to treat his wounded eye. Good luck

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Speaker 1: on that. And it's a London game. I know, weird

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Speaker 1: things happen in London, but Jacksonville goes there every year.

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Speaker 1: That's their one of the home stadiums. Jags twenty four

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Speaker 1: or actually Jacks twenty six, Texans twenty Ben Penning's going

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Speaker 1: the other way, going with Houston. Yeah, it's a bad pick.

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Speaker 1: I mean one an old boom gune for me. I

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Speaker 1: don't know about that. Be sure to catch live editions

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Speaker 1: of The Ben Maller Show weekdays at two am Eastern

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Speaker 1: eleven pm Pacific on Fox Sports Radio and the I

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Speaker 1: Heart Radio app al Right next up Washington one in

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Speaker 1: seven at Buffalo five and two, It's on Fox. Do

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Speaker 1: you want to play the Dick Stockton game. Since you

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Speaker 1: brought it up? Is this the Dick Stockton game? No,

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Speaker 1: it is not the Stockton Yeah, Chris Myers and Darryl

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Speaker 1: Moose Johnston have the call my former colleague are Fox

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Speaker 1: Sports Radio? No Christian? Christian? I know that now you don't? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: I forgot. And Bills opened up a ten point favorite,

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Speaker 1: their favorite by nine and a half. It'll be cloudy

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Speaker 1: in thirty nine degrees at kickoff at New Era of

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Speaker 1: Field and Orchard Park, New York. And I figured we're

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Speaker 1: getting into November this weekend. What are we a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks away from possible blizzard lake Lake effects snow

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Speaker 1: hitting a Bill's home game always fun. I don't know

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Speaker 1: it's about to dip below seventy here in Los Angeles.

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Speaker 1: So I've got my jacket about you, all right, I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the Redskins in this game. And here's why.

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Speaker 1: First of all, the Bills to me get downgraded a

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Speaker 1: couple of notches after a rather las a fair pathetic

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Speaker 1: effort on all fronts against the Eagles. So contender pretender

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Speaker 1: this debate. I have them more in the pretender category.

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Speaker 1: And how many terrible games does this Josh Allen have

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Speaker 1: to play before his fair game to highlight his quarterback

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Speaker 1: in competence. Allen's the twenty eight ranked quarterback in the NFL.

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Speaker 1: Only Baker Mayfield has been worse among quarterbacks that have

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Speaker 1: start at all season. Now, the saving graces for Buffalo

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Speaker 1: has been the defense, and the Bills have held opponents

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Speaker 1: to under four undred yards going back nineteen consecutive games,

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Speaker 1: so that obviously predates this season, last couple of years

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Speaker 1: for that Buffalo defense, just the longest active streak in

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Speaker 1: the NFL. And we know the Redskins have some issues.

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Speaker 1: And the Redskins haven't even generated four hundred yards of

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Speaker 1: offense in twenty three straight games. I believe that is

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Speaker 1: the longest for that franchise in like fifteen plus years

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Speaker 1: or something like that. But anyway, I am taking the

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Speaker 1: Redskins here, and this game is about running backs. You know,

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Speaker 1: the game is not at that attractive when the marquis

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Speaker 1: says that this is gonna this game is gonna pick

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Speaker 1: two of the top six rushers all time in NFL history,

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Speaker 1: Frank Gore and Adrian Peterson. This is the first time

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Speaker 1: in NFL history that two players over thirteen thousand, five

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Speaker 1: hundred career rushing yards have gone head to head. Uh,

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Speaker 1: and that tells you there's nothing else to talk about.

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Speaker 1: But as long as case Keenom's playing, and the word

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Speaker 1: is he's going to play from what I heard, So

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Speaker 1: as long the Keendom's playing over the compass, I'll take

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Speaker 1: him over the compass, Rose Josh Allen uh. And so

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Speaker 1: all the Redskins have to do is kind of keep

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Speaker 1: it close. The Bills aren't gonna score a lot of

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Speaker 1: points even against a bad Redskins defense. The Redskins have

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Speaker 1: actually been playing better of late than the team in Buffalo.

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Speaker 1: Think about that for a second. I mean they won one. Uh,

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Speaker 1: they did beat the Dolphins, but they played the forty

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Speaker 1: niners and even though it's a rain game, they only

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Speaker 1: lost that game nine and nothing. That the Vikings were

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Speaker 1: the appointed last week, the Redskins matched them punch for

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Speaker 1: punch until case Keendom got hurt, and that was in Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the road team Buffalo. I love

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Speaker 1: getting the points. Certainly in this spot, you gotta take it.

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Speaker 1: Bills will win, but they won't cover. Bills twenty, Redskins thirteen.

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Speaker 1: Penny's going with the Bills. Here we go, Buffalo, Here

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Speaker 1: we go Buffalo. All right, NFC four and four at

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Speaker 1: Carolina four and three. It's on CBS with Greg Gumble

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Speaker 1: and Trent Green on the call. The Panthers opened a

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Speaker 1: four and a half point favorite. They are favored by

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Speaker 1: three and a half. This game will be played at

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Speaker 1: Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. It will be sunny

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Speaker 1: in fifty five degrees in the Carolinas at kickoff. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take the home team here, Carolina, and I don't

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Speaker 1: love it because of the hook, but I'm gonna take Carolina.

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Speaker 1: The Panthers, I would think, are still suffering from PTSD

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Speaker 1: after that horror show against the forty Niners last week.

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Speaker 1: It was a death plunge off a cliff of of

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Speaker 1: competition and they were right there in the slaughterhouse for

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Speaker 1: Kyle Allen to be that baffle. I know the Niners

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Speaker 1: have a good defense, but Kyle Allen was completely thunderstruck

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Speaker 1: in that game. That is I mean, that was his chance.

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Speaker 1: That was a chance. Now, I believe this week for

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Speaker 1: Carolina this is a redemption situation in the Titans are

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Speaker 1: not that great. They're an average NFL team. If Carolina

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Speaker 1: is an average NFL teams, I think there's an even matchup.

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Speaker 1: The Panthers have had nine touchdown drives that have lasted

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Speaker 1: under two minutes this season. That's that's more than any

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Speaker 1: other team in the NFL, which shows you are able

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Speaker 1: to quickly move the ball. They've also had some benefit

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Speaker 1: of turnovers, so it certainly helps when you don't have

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Speaker 1: to take that much time off the clock and go

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Speaker 1: down to score. Now, Tennessee got a gift a couple

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Speaker 1: of weeks ago against the Chargers when Melvin Gordon fumbled

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Speaker 1: at the goal line. And I understand they're not as

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Speaker 1: wretched with Ryan Tannehill under center. But let's not call

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Speaker 1: him some kind of virtuoso, some kind of genius quarterback.

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Speaker 1: He does not tip the scales from me. He's had

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Speaker 1: some beginner's luck against the Chargers and Buccaneers. You would

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Speaker 1: think Carolina is gonna be a more difficult game here.

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Speaker 1: I expect Kyle Allen to bounce back. I don't trust Tannehill.

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Speaker 1: It's gonna be a close game. I realized the Panthers

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Speaker 1: of the favorite here, but I say they get a

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Speaker 1: late touchdown and that's enough. Panthers Titans one Penny going

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Speaker 1: with Caroline as well. Be sure to catch live editions

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Speaker 1: of The Ben Miller Show weekdays at two am Eastern

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Speaker 1: eleven pm Pacific. Spenny Versus the Penny. Next up, Chicago

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Speaker 1: three and four at phil Delphia four and four. Alright,

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Speaker 1: guess n we're playing the Dick Stockton game. Is this

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Speaker 1: the Dick Stockton game? No, I don't think he Oh,

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Speaker 1: he can't be on this game? Is that your final

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Speaker 1: answer is? Yeah, it's my final answers. Not on this game.

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Speaker 1: You have failed the Dick stoctor. Dick Stockton and Mark

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Speaker 1: slay Wrath have the call on Fox from Philly, and

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Speaker 1: so Stockton will be eating a tasty cake in one

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Speaker 1: hand and a cheese steak and the other checking this

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Speaker 1: game out. The Eagles opened a three point favorite. You

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Speaker 1: see what the line is now, Yes, it's not it's

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Speaker 1: not pretty. It's well, it's gone up. It's if Philly

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Speaker 1: is favored by five? Why I know it mostly sunny

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Speaker 1: fifty one degrees at kickoff at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I I'm taking the Bears here. I don't I don't

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Speaker 1: get this line. This is no. One of those points spreads.

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Speaker 1: I look at us and what they have for these people? Think? Now,

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Speaker 1: I understand Mitch Drabinsky is deep in the in the

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Speaker 1: weeds here and he's he's so upside down that did

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Speaker 1: you see the story the other day? He's decided to

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Speaker 1: study his game tape from the TV broadcast rather than

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Speaker 1: the All twenty two, which they normally watch. Maybe it's

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Speaker 1: because he wants to listen to a guy like Tony

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Speaker 1: Romo who's predicting plays and assignments, and he needs some

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Speaker 1: some extra help along the way. Shouldn't every quarterback know

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Speaker 1: that stuff? I mean, isn't that If you're a pro quarterback,

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Speaker 1: you should know that right thing? But there are certain

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Speaker 1: quarterbacks in the NFL that need the extra help. Well,

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Speaker 1: you do not have to be Adam Schefter, J Glazer

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Speaker 1: any in any other NFL insider to know that. This

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Speaker 1: tells you how out of whack the Bears quarterback is.

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Speaker 1: And Matt Naggy who gets shots thrown at him deservedly so,

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Speaker 1: and the rest of that Bears team they deserve better.

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Speaker 1: That franchise traded a hunch to get Mr Dbiski as

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Speaker 1: he highly ranked quarterback, and he has not lived up

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Speaker 1: to his end of the bargain. He is not. Now

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Speaker 1: that said, the reason, the real reason I'm taking the

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Speaker 1: Bears here is that defense, the defense of the real deal.

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Speaker 1: And Philadelphia. Here's a fun fact about the Eagles. Eagles

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Speaker 1: are four and oh this season. When they score at

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Speaker 1: least thirty points, they're oh and four when they don't

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Speaker 1: get to that mark. Do you think they're gonna score

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Speaker 1: thirty against the Chicago Bears. I do not. I do not.

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Speaker 1: And and and then there's also a lot of money on

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Speaker 1: Philly and I generally, when I can, I like to

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Speaker 1: be on the side of the bookmaker. I like to

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Speaker 1: be the side of the house. I think it's a

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Speaker 1: better side to be on. And the Eagles, I don't

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Speaker 1: trust them. They have been one of these teams so

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Speaker 1: far the five hundred. They'll take a step forward, take

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Speaker 1: two steps back, take two steps forward, take two steps back.

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Speaker 1: Helter skelter underperformers. He played spineless football against the Cowboys.

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Speaker 1: Then they come back to the thrown haymakers against the Bills.

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Speaker 1: It's been that kind of a jitterbug for them all

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Speaker 1: season long. So my theory is that they cannot handle

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Speaker 1: any prolonged sustained success. Uh you have a lot of

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Speaker 1: noise from the locker room. Carson wains is the he's

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Speaker 1: a better quarterback, but that in this Chicago's defense kind

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Speaker 1: of equals that out. Plus, this is a revenge you

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Speaker 1: look at the mental part of game. This is a

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Speaker 1: revenge spot for Chicago. How did they their season end

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Speaker 1: last year? They lost to Philadelphia in a double joint

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Speaker 1: kick in the playoffs. So there's a chance a little redemption.

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Speaker 1: Uh So I'm gonna take the Bears plus the points.

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Speaker 1: I think the Eagle's actually win it, but I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take the Bears and the points. Eagles twenty seven, Bears

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Speaker 1: twenty six. This goes against everything you mentioned the earlier

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Speaker 1: podcast about momentum. There's no such thing. Pain is going

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Speaker 1: with the Philadelphia Eagles. Book it. Okay, you want to

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Speaker 1: bet like between us is men. Yeah we can like

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Speaker 1: the Bears plus five done Philidel Philadelphia wins. You owe

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Speaker 1: me a Phillip cheesteak. Yeah, all right, you coming to

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Speaker 1: the Mallar Mansion. No no, no no, no, no, no, I

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Speaker 1: actually want like something edible, something that's dead, not alive.

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Speaker 1: Let me tell something stupid. Okay, let me tell something

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Speaker 1: My homemade Philly cheese steak is better than a restaurant

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Speaker 1: Philly cheese. I don't live in South Philly, but I

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Speaker 1: have mastered you on many YouTube videos. I've watched people

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Speaker 1: making cheese steak authentic places in Philly. I will challenge

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Speaker 1: my cheese steak against any man, woman, or child in

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Speaker 1: the kitchen. So I would have to drive to Siberia

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Speaker 1: to Arizona to eat a Philly cheese steak. No, what's

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Speaker 1: wrong with that? I'll even give you one in a

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Speaker 1: doggie bag. No, you like dog food, We'll do you

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Speaker 1: Philly cheese steak from Fat Seals. How about that? Ye

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Speaker 1: wad like you just lost your bets? Wow. Fox Sports

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Speaker 1: Radio has the best sports talk lineup in the nation.

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Speaker 1: Catch all of our shows at Fox Sports Radio dot

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Speaker 1: com and when in the I Heart Radio app, search

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Speaker 1: f s R to listen live. Wow. Wow. Alright, Minnesota

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Speaker 1: six and two at Canesa City five and three's on Fox.

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Speaker 1: You better watch. Kevin Burkhardt and Charles Davis, the voice

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Speaker 1: of Madden, have the call now. The Chiefs opened up

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Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite. They are favorite

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Speaker 1: by two at this time. Kansas City, Everybody two it's

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Speaker 1: at Arrowheads, Sonny and fifty two kickoff in one of

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Speaker 1: my favorite cities, can Is City. So first of all,

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Speaker 1: I'm I'm gonna take the Vikings. This is a week

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Speaker 1: for Dalvin Cook to star, to be the leading man

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Speaker 1: the Chiefs run defense. To say it's bad isn't understand.

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Speaker 1: It's an abomination. Kansas City is thirtieth in yards allowed

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Speaker 1: per carry, So I would imagine since Mike Zimmer is

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Speaker 1: not a moron and at Dingleberry, he's gonna mix and

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Speaker 1: match a balanced offense, but a lean towards the running game.

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Speaker 1: And the Vikings have had some extra time to get

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Speaker 1: They played last Thursday against Washington, so a couple extra

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Speaker 1: days to get those cracks out of the body and

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Speaker 1: all that. It was a sloppy game, unforced errors there.

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Speaker 1: Statistically they played fine, but the eyeball test was not

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Speaker 1: very good for the Vikings. So I expect him to

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Speaker 1: play a more complete, cleaner game this week. And secondly,

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Speaker 1: I know Andy Reid at the time we're recording the

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Speaker 1: podcast has intimated that Patrick Mahomes could play. He's listed

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Speaker 1: as uncertain. I think there's no chance that Mahomes plays

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Speaker 1: in this game, so when I handicapped the game, I

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Speaker 1: handicapped the game believing that Matt Moore is going to

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Speaker 1: play and more was out of this world for the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: all the planets aligned. In his debut, he was matching

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers throw for throw for most of that game.

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Speaker 1: Some of that was, you say, beginner's luck. I do

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Speaker 1: think first time starters usually do pretty well historically after

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Speaker 1: not playing a long time. But I'm a big believer

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Speaker 1: in the purple people, eaters, defense, buy into at Vikings

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Speaker 1: are third in the NFL defensively, their tenth offensively as

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Speaker 1: far as scoring is concerned. So with no Mahomes, no

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Speaker 1: win for Casey, I'm taking the Vikings thirty in the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs twenty three. Penny going that way as well with Minnesota.

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Speaker 1: All right, next up the oh This is a big

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Speaker 1: game here, New York Jets one in six at the

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Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins all in seven. This is a big game. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: we need them to go to oh and eight the Dolphins. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: every year I root for a team to go perfect

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Speaker 1: in reverse. Yeah I like that too, That's that's I

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Speaker 1: get joy out of that. Also, so this is on CBS,

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Speaker 1: you imagine has to call this game on pigs. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna say Spirodidas ding Nick Nick Nick Ning, Yeah, you win.

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Speaker 1: The Spirodidas game. Spirit is former voice of the Lakers

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Speaker 1: and the Knicks with Adam Archiletta, my old TV buddy,

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Speaker 1: and they will be calling this game. Good luck to them.

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Speaker 1: A lot of a lot of filler I'm imagining here,

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Speaker 1: but like you said, even the bad games have an

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Speaker 1: opportunity to make some money on I'm guessing a lot

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Speaker 1: of b roll from Don Shula and Joan Yeah, Joe Namath,

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Speaker 1: Mark Duper Yeah. All right, So the Jets opened up

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Speaker 1: a six and that point favorite. They're favorite by five.

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Speaker 1: Now typical Miami weather, thunderstorms, eighty five degrees that kickoff

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Speaker 1: at hard Rock Stadium in South Florida. I am going

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Speaker 1: to take oh boy, I'm gonna take the Dolphins here.

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Speaker 1: And now the reason I've been up, I've been bet

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Speaker 1: against the Dolphins all that the Dolphins have shown more

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Speaker 1: of a pulse lately than the Jets. They've actually covered

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Speaker 1: the last couple of games. And and now the way

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Speaker 1: the Dolphins playing lately, they scratched and claw for about

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Speaker 1: a half, about a half and then they go into

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Speaker 1: surrender mode like a French soldier, and they drop out

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Speaker 1: of site either in the third quarter of the fourth quarter,

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Speaker 1: like they did last week against uh Pittsburgh, where they

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Speaker 1: really only played well in the first quarter. They had

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Speaker 1: a fourteen nothing leading this that that game. But they

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Speaker 1: they've covered the last couple of games. This is I

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Speaker 1: would call the dysentery Bowl. I think that's a good

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Speaker 1: name for the dysenterry Bowl. Uh, there's no juice to it.

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Speaker 1: This should be broadcast on the dark web is where

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Speaker 1: it should be broadcast. Check this out. The Dolphins are

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Speaker 1: averaging eleven points per game. The Jets are averaging eleven

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Speaker 1: point one points per game, and they're the NFL's worst

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Speaker 1: scoring teams this season. The last time we got to

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Speaker 1: November or later and two teams averaging under twelve points

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Speaker 1: played each other was nineteen seventy two, almost fifty years ago,

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Speaker 1: when the Eagles and Oilers played About that. How perfect

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Speaker 1: nineteen seventy two last team that was undefeated as well.

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Speaker 1: Look at that Everything's people Patternicity by David Gista Patternicity. Uh,

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Speaker 1: Sam Donald has the yips. He's played like you know,

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Speaker 1: he's played like he's played like a cat on a

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Speaker 1: hot tin roof, anxious, unable to sit still, relax seeing

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Speaker 1: stuff that's not there. These teams both blow uh and

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Speaker 1: they're as good as the stuff on the floor of

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Speaker 1: a porta potty. But you gotta pick somebody. And I say,

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Speaker 1: this will just be the worst game on the world,

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Speaker 1: in the world. So I'm gonna take the points, figuring

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Speaker 1: it's a close game because the Jets also are gonna

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Speaker 1: be trying to screw this up. So Jets twelve Dolphins

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Speaker 1: ninepending going the other way with the Jets. Next up,

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Speaker 1: Indianapolis five and two at Pittsburgh. It's on CBS. I

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Speaker 1: An Eagle and Dan Fouts have the call. The game

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Speaker 1: opened up and pick them now a culture favored by

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Speaker 1: one and and this is a game that I went

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Speaker 1: back and forth on. Now. The weather is gonna be

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Speaker 1: mostly cloudy, thirty nine degrees at kickoff at Hines Field.

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Speaker 1: And this is one of the hardest games for me

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Speaker 1: to handicap. And I'll tell you what, all right, because

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Speaker 1: you look at it on the surface, you said, well,

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Speaker 1: you picked the Coals five and two Pittsburgh's three and four.

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Speaker 1: They were trailing at against the Dolphins for much of

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Speaker 1: that game. They didn't play well against Miami last week.

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Speaker 1: So it's easy, easy piece. Just take the Colts. That's it.

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Speaker 1: We're good. I'm done, see you later. Uh. And then

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Speaker 1: the more I looked at the numbers and I was

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Speaker 1: getting into the in the grass. Uh, not that kind

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Speaker 1: of grass, but the high grass. I said, now I

399
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Speaker 1: gotta go the other way. I don't, I gotta go.

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Speaker 1: I gotta take. I gotta take the Steelers here. So

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Pittsburgh. Now. The reason why the Colts,

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Speaker 1: they were supposed to have a top ten defense. They've

403
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Speaker 1: been slightly worse than that. They've won a lot of

404
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Speaker 1: these games. Um, Jacoby Bric has been better then I

405
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Speaker 1: thought he would be, and certainly better than Mason Root.

406
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:39,080
Speaker 1: Rudolph As practiced systematic and competence. Certainly last week the

407
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Speaker 1: first half of that game against the Miami defense, he

408
00:22:42,680 --> 00:22:45,159
Speaker 1: was holding the ball for too long. He was his

409
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:47,080
Speaker 1: throws were going all over the place. He had no

410
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Speaker 1: idea where the ball was going. Uh, you do that

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Speaker 1: this week and Indy will win easily. All right. Now,

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Speaker 1: that said, the Steelers secondary has impressed me, and I

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Speaker 1: would not have made the trade with the Dolphins. For

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Speaker 1: Macca Fitzpatrick, but he has played well. He has played well.

415
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Speaker 1: The other thing is the mental part of it, And

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Speaker 1: I do talk about this a lot, but I think

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Speaker 1: it's a key thing and it's been proven over the

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Speaker 1: years to work. Is that if you're a gambler, you

419
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Speaker 1: should know that you look for certain spots that traditionally

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Speaker 1: have worked out. And this is a much more important

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Speaker 1: game for Pittsburgh than it is for the Colts. The

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Speaker 1: Colts can lose this game. They're still in good shape,

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Speaker 1: they're fine, they're still in first place. Um, And so

424
00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,800
Speaker 1: the mental part of it for Pittsburgh, they have to

425
00:23:28,040 --> 00:23:31,840
Speaker 1: work their way back after starting horrifically and they're trying

426
00:23:31,880 --> 00:23:33,880
Speaker 1: to catch the Ravens. And the Ravens have a game

427
00:23:33,920 --> 00:23:36,960
Speaker 1: they're likely to lose this weekend against the New England

428
00:23:36,960 --> 00:23:39,359
Speaker 1: page which well handicapped that game later. So this is

429
00:23:39,359 --> 00:23:41,679
Speaker 1: a pretty good spot as far as the motivation factor.

430
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 1: And if you bet trends, you also love the Steelers.

431
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 1: The Colts have lost fourteen in the last fifteen games

432
00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 1: in Pittsburgh and their last five games against the Steelers overall.

433
00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,000
Speaker 1: And the other thing here, the cherry on top of

434
00:23:54,000 --> 00:23:56,639
Speaker 1: the thing that pushed me over the cliff like a lemming.

435
00:23:57,119 --> 00:23:59,679
Speaker 1: The public has loaded up on Indie. This is one

436
00:23:59,680 --> 00:24:02,440
Speaker 1: of the most lopsided wager games as of the time

437
00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:05,399
Speaker 1: we're doing the podcast. People seem to think that this

438
00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:08,159
Speaker 1: is a Brinkx truck that was driving on the highway

439
00:24:08,200 --> 00:24:10,600
Speaker 1: and opened up and money was flying out, and you

440
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:13,800
Speaker 1: get money, you get money, you get money, uh and

441
00:24:13,920 --> 00:24:16,600
Speaker 1: all that. I I don't trust the Colts. They've built

442
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:20,080
Speaker 1: the tapestry of a good and bad team that lost

443
00:24:20,119 --> 00:24:23,520
Speaker 1: to the Raiders, barely won against Tennessee. So they're up

444
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: and down Steelers as a home dog even without Roethlisberger

445
00:24:28,200 --> 00:24:31,960
Speaker 1: and Antonio Brown and Levian Bell and all that. Steelers

446
00:24:32,040 --> 00:24:39,520
Speaker 1: twenty Colts seventeen penny going the other way, going with

447
00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:42,920
Speaker 1: Inde al right. Next up we get to the late

448
00:24:43,160 --> 00:24:46,200
Speaker 1: television window, the late games, the West Coast games where

449
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:48,800
Speaker 1: you're dancing and dining pleasure, because that's how we roll

450
00:24:49,560 --> 00:24:51,959
Speaker 1: the late game. Uh. The first up, we have Detroit

451
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 1: three three and one and the oaklen Rights three and four.

452
00:24:56,800 --> 00:25:01,520
Speaker 1: It's on Fox with Tom Brenneman and Chris Spielman. I

453
00:25:01,600 --> 00:25:03,440
Speaker 1: thought this could be the Dick Stockton game when I

454
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,680
Speaker 1: first looked at the card, but it was not. We

455
00:25:06,840 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 1: talked about that earlier. Uh, the game open to pick him.

456
00:25:09,119 --> 00:25:11,560
Speaker 1: The Raiders are a two point favorite. You know what

457
00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 1: they call the Colisseum in Oakland now a toilet, Well

458
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,600
Speaker 1: that's what they should call. They called the Ring Central Colosseum.

459
00:25:18,320 --> 00:25:20,760
Speaker 1: Did you know? I did not know that. Ye, it's

460
00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:24,440
Speaker 1: the It's the Rings Central Colosseum is what it is.

461
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna take the the Lions in this game.

462
00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:31,120
Speaker 1: And I don't love this pick because I am going

463
00:25:31,160 --> 00:25:34,240
Speaker 1: with the public. But what looked like a promising start

464
00:25:34,320 --> 00:25:38,440
Speaker 1: has turned sour and bitter for John Gruden last couple

465
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,080
Speaker 1: of weeks against Green Bay and Houston. Now the Raiders

466
00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:44,800
Speaker 1: actually have a home game, something they have not had

467
00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:47,840
Speaker 1: in like over a month, first time since the Bronze era,

468
00:25:49,200 --> 00:25:51,560
Speaker 1: and the other they have a quick turnaround. They played

469
00:25:51,600 --> 00:25:54,200
Speaker 1: the Thursday night game next week against the Charges. And

470
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:55,680
Speaker 1: if you listen to this podcast and you've heard me

471
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 1: over the years, that's one of those things where teams

472
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:02,399
Speaker 1: before they lay a Thursday night game often get caught

473
00:26:03,560 --> 00:26:08,479
Speaker 1: distracted looking ahead peek a boo. However, you want to say, uh,

474
00:26:08,640 --> 00:26:10,960
Speaker 1: you know, both these teams can move the ball. Both

475
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:15,879
Speaker 1: these teams struggle to stop anyone, so it's very similar. Uh. Secondly,

476
00:26:16,000 --> 00:26:18,920
Speaker 1: Detroit's defense, I think we should highlight that they have

477
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:23,040
Speaker 1: been biblically bad. They are thirty first in yards allowed

478
00:26:23,119 --> 00:26:28,720
Speaker 1: per games. Everyone is having a career day against the lines.

479
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:31,760
Speaker 1: Derek Carr must be licking his chops right now. Only

480
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:35,080
Speaker 1: the Bengals, who are oh and eight, have been worse,

481
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,639
Speaker 1: and they're in a bye week this week. Only the

482
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:39,800
Speaker 1: Bengals have been worse than the Lions. There's bad tackling,

483
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:44,120
Speaker 1: bad fundamentals. And Matt Patricia was hired not only because

484
00:26:44,119 --> 00:26:47,040
Speaker 1: he's a rocket scientist, but he's a defensive rocket scientists.

485
00:26:47,080 --> 00:26:51,119
Speaker 1: How's that working? You got out the players. However, it's

486
00:26:51,160 --> 00:26:53,080
Speaker 1: not like the Raiders have been much better. The Raiders

487
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 1: are twenty five in total defense. So this game has

488
00:26:57,280 --> 00:26:59,280
Speaker 1: tracked meat. Might as well be played at the Olympic

489
00:26:59,400 --> 00:27:03,520
Speaker 1: Village because it's gonna be that kind of game. The Raiders. Also,

490
00:27:03,720 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 1: they don't play the Lions very often. They last beat

491
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:10,520
Speaker 1: the Lions in nineteen nineties six. You know who was

492
00:27:10,680 --> 00:27:13,200
Speaker 1: the player that the Raiders stopped on the Lions to

493
00:27:13,240 --> 00:27:17,119
Speaker 1: win that game. I'm gonna say Barry Sanders. Yeah, they

494
00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:19,960
Speaker 1: helped Barry Sanders to thirty six yards in that game.

495
00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: And you know who the Raider quarterback was in Uh,

496
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,960
Speaker 1: I'm gonna say it's Jeff Hostel. Wow, you love your Raiders.

497
00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:32,000
Speaker 1: Jeff Hosteller through four touchdowns for the Raiders in that game. Anyway,

498
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:36,640
Speaker 1: that's in the past, that's the history Channel, Lions thirty eight,

499
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:40,159
Speaker 1: Writers thirty four. That's gonna be a fun game, and

500
00:27:40,240 --> 00:27:43,439
Speaker 1: I shouldn't be. Penny is going with the Oakland Raiders

501
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:46,719
Speaker 1: fun game if you bet the over. Of course, everyone's

502
00:27:46,760 --> 00:27:48,600
Speaker 1: gonna betting the over Gascon, which means the game will

503
00:27:48,600 --> 00:27:52,639
Speaker 1: be like sixteen or something like that. It always happens,

504
00:27:52,800 --> 00:27:56,680
Speaker 1: all right. Next up on Fox, it's Tampa Bay two

505
00:27:56,760 --> 00:28:01,040
Speaker 1: and five at Seattle six and two Kenny Albert and

506
00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:03,560
Speaker 1: Ronde Barber. Kenny Albert friend of the show, A friend

507
00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:06,040
Speaker 1: of me. Not you guys? Can we can we do

508
00:28:06,080 --> 00:28:11,480
Speaker 1: an introduction? You know, I don't know. I think about it.

509
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 1: Who have you introduced me to? Uh? Introduced you to

510
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,840
Speaker 1: the Chief? Yeah, but I've never actually physically met him.

511
00:28:17,840 --> 00:28:19,480
Speaker 1: I talked him on the phone one time. I've never

512
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:23,399
Speaker 1: been to shake his hand. Yeah, it's not really a fit.

513
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:24,960
Speaker 1: I talked to people on the phone all the time,

514
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:29,120
Speaker 1: but it's not really meeting them press the flash man. Yeah,

515
00:28:29,480 --> 00:28:33,320
Speaker 1: all right. Anyway, So Kenny Albert Rodney Barber. The Seahawks

516
00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:36,600
Speaker 1: opened a five and a half point favorite. They are

517
00:28:36,760 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 1: favored now by six. Every body six. This is at

518
00:28:40,280 --> 00:28:44,440
Speaker 1: Century Link Field in Seattle, cloudy and fifty three degrees

519
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,360
Speaker 1: no rain though at kickoff. Anyway, I'm gonna take the

520
00:28:47,360 --> 00:28:50,680
Speaker 1: Bucketeers in this game, and I'll tell you why. Seattle.

521
00:28:51,520 --> 00:28:53,720
Speaker 1: They gave up the back door coverage of the Falcons.

522
00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:55,560
Speaker 1: They had a twenty four nothing lead. How about this,

523
00:28:56,200 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: and I had I had Seattle. I lost that game.

524
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:01,440
Speaker 1: Last one I lost is that at twenty four Nothingly,

525
00:29:01,520 --> 00:29:06,600
Speaker 1: they let Matt shob take a butcher knife, all right

526
00:29:06,720 --> 00:29:10,600
Speaker 1: and swashbuckle his way through a machete and slice them

527
00:29:10,720 --> 00:29:13,440
Speaker 1: up in garbage time. To me, that's a bad sign.

528
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 1: He didn't just do that. He threw for over fogs

529
00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:19,080
Speaker 1: that defense. I think it was like four sixties. I

530
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:23,320
Speaker 1: think it was the most yards ever against the Seattle defense. Awful. Yeah,

531
00:29:23,480 --> 00:29:26,040
Speaker 1: So the last three weeks, the Seahawks have the NFL's

532
00:29:26,080 --> 00:29:30,040
Speaker 1: worst run defense. In addition, they're allowing five point six

533
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,480
Speaker 1: yards per carry. That's not that's not the recipe to

534
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,680
Speaker 1: blow a team out or at least win by a touchdown.

535
00:29:35,960 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 1: Now that I don't disagree that Russell Wilson should tee

536
00:29:38,440 --> 00:29:43,400
Speaker 1: off against the thirty first ranked past defense of Tampa Bay.

537
00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 1: So I'm thinking this is gonna be similar to the

538
00:29:46,520 --> 00:29:50,320
Speaker 1: Lions and the Raiders, where it's gonna be a shootout

539
00:29:50,440 --> 00:29:53,200
Speaker 1: type of game. But you've also got the peak a boat.

540
00:29:53,680 --> 00:29:58,880
Speaker 1: Uh in the Seattle they got a mammoth game, especially

541
00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:00,640
Speaker 1: depending on what happened in the third day night game.

542
00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:05,680
Speaker 1: Next week Seattle plays the forty Niners. That is a

543
00:30:05,920 --> 00:30:09,760
Speaker 1: showcase jewel game. That is a big time divisional game

544
00:30:09,840 --> 00:30:13,719
Speaker 1: for them. I'm thinking, you know, a little little bit,

545
00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,600
Speaker 1: just maybe like five percent. They're looking ahead and you

546
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:20,000
Speaker 1: don't really get up for Tampa Bay. The Buck's biggest

547
00:30:20,040 --> 00:30:22,160
Speaker 1: issue has been obviously turnovers, and when you bet on

548
00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,520
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay, you are you are praying and hoping that

549
00:30:25,640 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 1: the football gods allowed Jamis Winston to stop being the baker,

550
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 1: because he should open a bakery, right. He's one of

551
00:30:32,040 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 1: the that cooks up more turnovers than anyone but but Winston.

552
00:30:36,200 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 1: I have noticed that he rarely has back to back

553
00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 1: stink bombs, Like he'll have a horrific game where he

554
00:30:43,640 --> 00:30:46,480
Speaker 1: gets killed on sports radio and then he will rebound

555
00:30:46,560 --> 00:30:51,000
Speaker 1: typically after that. So if this trend continues, last week

556
00:30:51,160 --> 00:30:54,400
Speaker 1: he was a ridiculously bad quarterback, I expect him to

557
00:30:54,440 --> 00:30:59,320
Speaker 1: play better. And the Buccaneers, they have. Their run defense

558
00:30:59,440 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 1: is not the problem. They can't stop the past, but

559
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,760
Speaker 1: they've been number one in the NFL the last a

560
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:06,640
Speaker 1: few weeks. It's stopping the run. Seattle is mostly a

561
00:31:06,720 --> 00:31:08,840
Speaker 1: running team. They like to say that they're a passing team,

562
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,880
Speaker 1: but they're mostly a running team. And the Buccaneers have

563
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,640
Speaker 1: been a better team on the road. In fact, both

564
00:31:15,680 --> 00:31:17,680
Speaker 1: their winds have come on the road. Last time they

565
00:31:17,720 --> 00:31:20,240
Speaker 1: were on the West Coast, they curb stopped the Rams.

566
00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:25,560
Speaker 1: Unfortunately for me and Seattle. If you look at their losses,

567
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 1: both their losses happened on their home field. So I

568
00:31:28,640 --> 00:31:31,400
Speaker 1: feel like this line is too big, too inflated. I'm

569
00:31:31,400 --> 00:31:36,200
Speaker 1: gonna take the Seahawks to win, but not cover. Seahawks thirty,

570
00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:41,200
Speaker 1: Buccaneers twenty six. Depending on the other way. At the

571
00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:44,000
Speaker 1: home team, Seattle, you're listening to Benny versus the Penny,

572
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 1: but you already knew that. Next up, Cleveland two and

573
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:51,000
Speaker 1: five at Denver two and six is on CBS with

574
00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:53,840
Speaker 1: Kevin Harlan and Rich Get. I give Kevin Harlan credit.

575
00:31:53,920 --> 00:31:57,880
Speaker 1: Kevin Harland is like the Kenny Albert of CBS. He's

576
00:31:57,920 --> 00:32:00,920
Speaker 1: all over the place doing radio broadcast s on Monday

577
00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,160
Speaker 1: Night NBA games for T n T. He's all over me.

578
00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:06,840
Speaker 1: He's host. Can you give up some of those gigs,

579
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 1: you guest? Can Harlan give some of those up? I

580
00:32:09,360 --> 00:32:11,560
Speaker 1: think his games a little too high profile for me.

581
00:32:12,480 --> 00:32:15,360
Speaker 1: Have some confidence, you loserat JUP. I have confidence, but

582
00:32:16,040 --> 00:32:17,800
Speaker 1: just as good as Kevin Harlan, you just haven't been

583
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,800
Speaker 1: given the opportunity. It's kind of a nice compliment he

584
00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:22,840
Speaker 1: paid for me. Make sure you edit that out of

585
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 1: the podcast. Keep in mind, though, guscan my my radio tree.

586
00:32:26,640 --> 00:32:30,720
Speaker 1: The Mallard Radio Tree includes an NBA play by play voice,

587
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:34,720
Speaker 1: Alan Horton radio voice in the minist of filled in

588
00:32:35,040 --> 00:32:37,040
Speaker 1: on the Ben Maller Show before he went on to

589
00:32:37,080 --> 00:32:39,000
Speaker 1: be a big time NBA broadcaster. So I want you

590
00:32:39,080 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 1: to know that I have a tie to broadcasting success.

591
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:44,640
Speaker 1: That's good. I was hoping you wouldn't say, like the

592
00:32:44,720 --> 00:32:49,240
Speaker 1: Bill Belichick tree of let's move on Cleveland two and

593
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:55,080
Speaker 1: five at Denver two and six, as we said Brown's. Eventually,

594
00:32:55,120 --> 00:32:57,400
Speaker 1: the Broncos were favorite by a point. Browns are favorite

595
00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,280
Speaker 1: by three Parley Sonny forty seven at kickoff off at

596
00:33:00,320 --> 00:33:03,200
Speaker 1: empower Field at Mile High. I'm taking the Browns. This

597
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:07,160
Speaker 1: is should be a show up win situation for the Browns. Uh.

598
00:33:07,240 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: They can't screw this up right now? Now? Would that

599
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:13,720
Speaker 1: be something if if they did? Sure, and Baker mayfields

600
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:16,520
Speaker 1: a mess and he leads to the NFL and interceptions

601
00:33:16,560 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 1: and all that stuff. In fact, he's throwing an interception

602
00:33:18,680 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 1: in eight straight games. No other quarterback has a streak

603
00:33:20,880 --> 00:33:23,120
Speaker 1: of more than three. Uh. That said, I do trust

604
00:33:23,200 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb to to do well against the Broncos defense.

605
00:33:26,600 --> 00:33:28,640
Speaker 1: But this is let's not kid ourselves. This is more

606
00:33:28,680 --> 00:33:32,200
Speaker 1: of a bet against Brandon Allen, third string quarterback taking

607
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:33,920
Speaker 1: over for Joe Flacco. I would have been on the

608
00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:36,080
Speaker 1: Browns anyway if Flacco had played. I liked the game

609
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:39,960
Speaker 1: more because Alan is playing. I would think the Broncos,

610
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:41,960
Speaker 1: who have a dinged up offensive line, are gonna have

611
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 1: night tremors from Miles Garrett, who's gonna wreck havoc on

612
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:51,320
Speaker 1: that front line for the Broncos. Brown's twenty Broncos ten

613
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:57,600
Speaker 1: homer alert for the penny. She's going with the Broncos. Alright,

614
00:33:57,640 --> 00:33:59,760
Speaker 1: Green Bay seven and one, the l A Chargers three

615
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:02,479
Speaker 1: and I it's on CBS. Jim Nancy, Tony Romo are

616
00:34:02,520 --> 00:34:04,840
Speaker 1: going to a soccer stadium to call a game. I'm

617
00:34:04,840 --> 00:34:07,479
Speaker 1: sure they're excited about that. Packers opened up a four

618
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:09,839
Speaker 1: point favorite, their favorite by three and a half. It'll

619
00:34:09,880 --> 00:34:13,640
Speaker 1: be sunny seventy one at kick off at Dignity Health

620
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:18,880
Speaker 1: Sports Park. I'm gonna take the home team, which is

621
00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:20,200
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packer. Is there really this is a

622
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 1: really home game for them? Uh? First of all, Aaron

623
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:25,400
Speaker 1: Rodgers has jump started his season now, he's he's got

624
00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,279
Speaker 1: it going. He didn't get it going early, and he

625
00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:29,759
Speaker 1: got to go against the Charger defense that has struggled

626
00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:32,000
Speaker 1: to slow down in recent weeks. The likes of Ryan

627
00:34:32,120 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 1: Tannehill a couple of weeks ago, plus Green Bay could

628
00:34:35,680 --> 00:34:38,520
Speaker 1: it sounds like they're gonna get Davante Adams back at

629
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:40,480
Speaker 1: least at the time we're doing this. He did practice

630
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 1: I know on Thursday, supposedly in full so it looks

631
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:47,040
Speaker 1: like Davante Adams will come back. Secondly, the Chargers home stadium,

632
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:50,200
Speaker 1: you know it's gonna be called Lambo by the Sea. Uh.

633
00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:54,640
Speaker 1: You got that sea breeze at that that stadium in Carson, California,

634
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:57,000
Speaker 1: been there before for games. Uh, It's gonna be a

635
00:34:57,080 --> 00:34:59,680
Speaker 1: sea of green, pure green. This will be the ninth

636
00:34:59,760 --> 00:35:03,000
Speaker 1: home game for the Cheeseheads and the Cheese Kurds. Uh. Now,

637
00:35:03,239 --> 00:35:06,440
Speaker 1: l A has a lot of flaws since Melvin Gordon returned.

638
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:11,799
Speaker 1: The Chargers are averaging thirty five rushing yards per game,

639
00:35:12,200 --> 00:35:14,840
Speaker 1: two point two yards per care. They suck and Philip

640
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:19,000
Speaker 1: rivers right twelve touchdown passes, the fewest he's thrown in

641
00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:22,520
Speaker 1: the first eight games in almost a decade, and they're

642
00:35:22,520 --> 00:35:25,680
Speaker 1: throwing interceptions in recent games. I mean, everything indicates the

643
00:35:26,160 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 1: to go the way of the Packers. The only thing

644
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 1: that scares me mildly is Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram

645
00:35:30,640 --> 00:35:32,880
Speaker 1: messing up Aaron Rodgers. And that could screw you up.

646
00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:42,839
Speaker 1: But you can't handicap that Packers thirty one Chargers penny

647
00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,040
Speaker 1: with the Packers as well, all Right, Sunday Night Football,

648
00:35:45,080 --> 00:35:47,080
Speaker 1: New England eight and O at Baltimore five and two.

649
00:35:47,120 --> 00:35:51,440
Speaker 1: It's on n b C with Al Michaels and Chris Collinsworth.

650
00:35:52,040 --> 00:35:55,480
Speaker 1: Now the game open Packers or Patriots rather by six

651
00:35:55,520 --> 00:35:57,279
Speaker 1: and a half. Their favored by three and a half.

652
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:00,320
Speaker 1: So there's been a line adjustment. There'll be forty five agrees.

653
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 1: The House that Sports with Coleman built at M and

654
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 1: T Bank Stadium in Baltimore and clear, I'm taking the Patriots.

655
00:36:07,880 --> 00:36:09,600
Speaker 1: I'm not a dope. I'm taking the Patriots as a

656
00:36:09,640 --> 00:36:12,880
Speaker 1: small home favorite. Uh. First of all, Belichick, you know,

657
00:36:13,080 --> 00:36:16,400
Speaker 1: tortured Lamar Jackson. And I want to point out everyone

658
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,200
Speaker 1: says Lamar's may become this this great quarterback. Let me

659
00:36:20,280 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 1: tell you something. The first two weeks, Lamar Jackson had

660
00:36:22,719 --> 00:36:25,959
Speaker 1: seven touchdowns, no interceptions, had a passer rating of forty

661
00:36:26,000 --> 00:36:28,760
Speaker 1: five against a couple of cream puffs Miami and Arizona.

662
00:36:29,200 --> 00:36:32,279
Speaker 1: Since then, the rest of the season, Lamar Jackson's got

663
00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:36,760
Speaker 1: four touchdowns and five interceptions, passing a passer rating below eighty.

664
00:36:37,440 --> 00:36:40,480
Speaker 1: He has been worse than Baker Mayfield in some statistics

665
00:36:40,520 --> 00:36:42,560
Speaker 1: since the first couple of games of the year, and

666
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,880
Speaker 1: now He's averaged more rushing yards than passing yards the

667
00:36:46,000 --> 00:36:50,040
Speaker 1: last five weeks against mostly non playoff teams. While the

668
00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:52,959
Speaker 1: Patriots said listen, they played the easiest schedule in the NFL,

669
00:36:53,000 --> 00:36:55,840
Speaker 1: everyone loves to point that out. Well, spoiler alert, the

670
00:36:55,920 --> 00:36:59,000
Speaker 1: Ravens have played the fourth easiest schedule in the NFL,

671
00:36:59,120 --> 00:37:02,240
Speaker 1: so both these teams have feasted on tomato cans. Secondly,

672
00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:04,640
Speaker 1: if Baltimore had a better defense, I can make the

673
00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:08,160
Speaker 1: argument to take the pages because the Patriots are offensively challenged,

674
00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,240
Speaker 1: but they don't. They have the middle of the pack defense.

675
00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:16,000
Speaker 1: These aren't your daddy's Ravens and pretty generic generic brand

676
00:37:16,080 --> 00:37:20,120
Speaker 1: nineteenth In total defense, the key is obviously the Patriots

677
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:24,480
Speaker 1: messing up the passing of Lamar Jackson. Tom Brady will

678
00:37:24,600 --> 00:37:27,960
Speaker 1: just do enough at this point in his forties to

679
00:37:28,600 --> 00:37:31,080
Speaker 1: get enough out of it. The Patriots have limited weaponry

680
00:37:31,120 --> 00:37:33,839
Speaker 1: and all that, I expect Mohammed Sanu to play better

681
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:38,680
Speaker 1: this week. Patriots on the Road guest on twenty four

682
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:44,880
Speaker 1: Ravens thirteen day Go with the Patriots, Well, last one,

683
00:37:44,920 --> 00:37:47,200
Speaker 1: all right? Last game? Monday Night Football Dallas four and

684
00:37:47,320 --> 00:37:49,760
Speaker 1: three at the Giants two and six is on ESPN

685
00:37:49,920 --> 00:37:54,120
Speaker 1: Joe test It tore your favorite guy and Booker McFarland

686
00:37:54,280 --> 00:37:57,320
Speaker 1: have the call. I know you're excited about that. And

687
00:37:57,719 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: the Cowboys opened at nine point favorite about them Cowboys

688
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:06,560
Speaker 1: nine point favorite. Cowboys are favorite now by seven at

689
00:38:06,719 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 1: MetLife Stadium in Jersey. It'll be partly cloudy forty nine

690
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:14,080
Speaker 1: at kick off on Monday night. That's the forecast. I'm

691
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:17,200
Speaker 1: gonna take the Giants here a couple of reasons why. Hey,

692
00:38:17,600 --> 00:38:21,279
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones has been, as advertised rookie quarterback pretty much

693
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:23,960
Speaker 1: terrible most of the time. He leads the NFL with

694
00:38:24,040 --> 00:38:28,760
Speaker 1: six lost fumbles seven interceptions. So I'm taking the Giants

695
00:38:29,239 --> 00:38:32,120
Speaker 1: because you gotta think that this is a peak a

696
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,960
Speaker 1: booze situation as all right. The you look at the

697
00:38:36,239 --> 00:38:39,920
Speaker 1: high profile game coming up for the Cowboys, a match

698
00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:43,640
Speaker 1: up with the Vikings and Sunday Night Football, and even

699
00:38:43,719 --> 00:38:47,040
Speaker 1: though this is a rivalry Giants and Cowboys, and the

700
00:38:47,200 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 1: Giants and no A, no good. The Cowboys have a

701
00:38:50,320 --> 00:38:54,359
Speaker 1: marginal pass rush, they don't have a great secondary. There

702
00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:58,600
Speaker 1: is an opportunity here to hang around and you're getting

703
00:38:58,719 --> 00:39:01,840
Speaker 1: a touchdown in this game, which is a lot of

704
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:06,160
Speaker 1: value and be the the dak Prescott thing heat t

705
00:39:06,440 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 1: off on the Giants back in week one, and much

706
00:39:10,080 --> 00:39:13,279
Speaker 1: like Lamar Jackson got off to a great start and

707
00:39:13,360 --> 00:39:17,200
Speaker 1: has become tumbling back to Earth like a failed satellite

708
00:39:18,200 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: and Dakota Prescott last four weeks three touchdown, five interceptions

709
00:39:23,520 --> 00:39:26,600
Speaker 1: of passer rating of eight six. He's right in the

710
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:29,799
Speaker 1: middle of the bell curve. He's average almost any time

711
00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:32,680
Speaker 1: you get over seven points, almost any not always, almost

712
00:39:32,680 --> 00:39:37,520
Speaker 1: any time over seven in advisional game, you don't ask questions.

713
00:39:37,760 --> 00:39:41,439
Speaker 1: You take the points and you're like, I'm happy. I'm happy, happy, happy,

714
00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:44,480
Speaker 1: happy happy. I'm a happy hippo, and I'm gonna do

715
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:48,839
Speaker 1: that right now. Cowboys will win, but will not cover.

716
00:39:49,640 --> 00:39:53,480
Speaker 1: He's surprisingly somewhat competitive. Monday night football game, Go figure

717
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:59,640
Speaker 1: Cowboys twenty six, Giants twenty three, depending with the Giants

718
00:39:59,680 --> 00:40:03,080
Speaker 1: as well. Uh all right, that's a wrap, a shorter

719
00:40:03,280 --> 00:40:06,480
Speaker 1: version of the benny versus the penny. We were hurried up,

720
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:09,680
Speaker 1: gascon kept turning me up. Giddy up, giddy up, getty up,

721
00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:12,560
Speaker 1: getty up, getty up, giddy up, getty up, getty up. Yeah.

722
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:15,840
Speaker 1: So anyway, uh, we thank you for listening, enjoy the games,

723
00:40:15,880 --> 00:40:17,560
Speaker 1: Good luck, win a lot of money, think of us.

724
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:18,719
Speaker 1: If you want a lot of money. If you lose

725
00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:20,680
Speaker 1: a lot of money, don't think of us at all.

726
00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:23,479
Speaker 1: Enjoy your weekend. We're back on the radio talking about

727
00:40:23,520 --> 00:40:26,360
Speaker 1: all these games and what actually happened, what not, what

728
00:40:26,480 --> 00:40:28,600
Speaker 1: we thought is gonna happen on Sunday night in the

729
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,600
Speaker 1: Monday on the Overnight Show two am in the East

730
00:40:31,800 --> 00:40:35,879
Speaker 1: on Monday, eleven pm in the West on Sunday Night.

731
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:37,480
Speaker 1: We'll catch you then, have a great weekend.