1
00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,920
Speaker 1: More memories are made when you're there for live NFL

2
00:00:02,960 --> 00:00:05,680
Speaker 1: action and when you need tickets, our friends at Ticketmaster

3
00:00:05,840 --> 00:00:09,560
Speaker 1: have got you covered. As the official marketplace of the NFL.

4
00:00:09,640 --> 00:00:12,639
Speaker 1: Ticketmaster gives you more ways to find your perfect seat.

5
00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:15,760
Speaker 1: Their interactive seat map gives you three hundred and sixty

6
00:00:15,800 --> 00:00:18,680
Speaker 1: degree previews of your section to make sure you have

7
00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,200
Speaker 1: the best view of those pivotal plays and if your

8
00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:26,119
Speaker 1: plans change. Ticketmaster gives you more flexibility to sell or

9
00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,479
Speaker 1: transfer your tickets. Plus mobile tickets make getting in on

10
00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:32,520
Speaker 1: game day a breeze. You can even customize your Ticketmaster

11
00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:35,800
Speaker 1: app to rep your team's colors. Find tickets today at

12
00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,440
Speaker 1: ticketmaster dot com. Slash NFL.

13
00:00:39,120 --> 00:00:41,760
Speaker 2: The Action Network Podcast.

14
00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:43,479
Speaker 3: I'm just about that action also.

15
00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:49,680
Speaker 2: All right, here we go from the growing in job,

16
00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:56,240
Speaker 2: I'm sitting it to catch town. We see most gamblers

17
00:00:56,360 --> 00:00:58,080
Speaker 2: when they go to gamble, but they go to win.

18
00:00:59,120 --> 00:00:59,760
Speaker 1: That's in.

19
00:01:01,480 --> 00:01:04,000
Speaker 2: Big bank, small banks. I like to make money, all right.

20
00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:10,240
Speaker 4: That's is the ultimate kaba you want to pull. And

21
00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:11,880
Speaker 4: we are underway.

22
00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:17,319
Speaker 2: What's up, everybody? Welcome to The Action Network Podcast presented

23
00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,200
Speaker 2: by Bett MGM. I'm your host, Chris Raybond, and this

24
00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:26,479
Speaker 2: is your NFL Week three betting preview. We will talk

25
00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:31,560
Speaker 2: about our favorite sides, totals, teasers, survivor picks, underdog, money lines,

26
00:01:32,000 --> 00:01:35,720
Speaker 2: and of course crack open our weekly Sunday six pack

27
00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,040
Speaker 2: up against the spread bets. And I'm gonna do it

28
00:01:38,080 --> 00:01:40,600
Speaker 2: with the help of my co host, the Prime Minister

29
00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:45,720
Speaker 2: of Degenerate Nation, Stucky Stuck. What's going on? How you

30
00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:48,920
Speaker 2: how you recovering from that? The Wilson and Wilson debacle.

31
00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:50,880
Speaker 4: It was the ugliest week I ever had. I was

32
00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:53,520
Speaker 4: treading it. I didn't love the card and it started

33
00:01:53,520 --> 00:01:56,080
Speaker 4: off well, we get an over on Thursday night football. Yep.

34
00:01:56,160 --> 00:01:58,000
Speaker 4: Oh that was way more painful than it had to be.

35
00:01:58,360 --> 00:02:01,240
Speaker 4: But then the Wilson bros. At all, everything was going

36
00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,600
Speaker 4: too well. Now, Zach Wilson, I'm not even gonna slander him.

37
00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:06,040
Speaker 4: I said I was gonna slnderman as a cup. I

38
00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,519
Speaker 4: don't think it was his fault. What two things, and

39
00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:10,120
Speaker 4: you know we already knew he's terrible. He's gonna be

40
00:02:10,120 --> 00:02:11,240
Speaker 4: geinst one of the best. He does the c in Cup.

41
00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:13,799
Speaker 4: They didn't move him around like you get sit Zach

42
00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,480
Speaker 4: Wilson in the pocket, and the defense didn't make plays.

43
00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:18,240
Speaker 4: I don't know what the game plan was for Wilson.

44
00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:20,200
Speaker 4: You gotta move him around, you gotta roll him out,

45
00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:22,200
Speaker 4: you gotta make you know, you gotta like Daniel Jones him.

46
00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:24,680
Speaker 4: You gotta give him easy throws. Didn't do any of that,

47
00:02:24,760 --> 00:02:26,760
Speaker 4: so obviously you just got sat in the pocket and

48
00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:30,680
Speaker 4: got killed. I was more upset with the broncos I

49
00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:33,560
Speaker 4: went down on all of my survivors. They were Sean

50
00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:37,720
Speaker 4: Payton was also seventy two and oh with an eighteen

51
00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:40,080
Speaker 4: point lead, eighteen or more point lead in his career

52
00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:42,440
Speaker 4: advance Joseph, I don't know what is going on. Then

53
00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,840
Speaker 4: we'll talk about later in the show. But the Washington

54
00:02:44,880 --> 00:02:47,040
Speaker 4: basically just came back by running screen passes. They went

55
00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:48,639
Speaker 4: eight to eight on screen passes, like one hundred and

56
00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:51,360
Speaker 4: thirty yards in the second half and never adjusted. Kareem

57
00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:53,880
Speaker 4: Jackson gets thrown out. They bring in a rookie to

58
00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,280
Speaker 4: play safety, he gets hurt, and then you're you're putting

59
00:02:57,360 --> 00:02:59,680
Speaker 4: Bassie back there at corner and he gives up the

60
00:02:59,680 --> 00:03:01,959
Speaker 4: game when touchdown, and then they get the hail Mary

61
00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:04,920
Speaker 4: really back in and then they don't get the two

62
00:03:04,919 --> 00:03:07,400
Speaker 4: point conversion. It's not a great experience. Although Russ, I

63
00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:10,000
Speaker 4: don't blame either of them. Russ played well enough and

64
00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:12,079
Speaker 4: I don't blame Zach. They didn't have a good game platform.

65
00:03:12,200 --> 00:03:13,640
Speaker 4: The defense didn't do what I expect them to do.

66
00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:18,000
Speaker 4: So I have good news. Neither are part of our

67
00:03:18,080 --> 00:03:19,079
Speaker 4: six pack this week.

68
00:03:19,600 --> 00:03:24,520
Speaker 2: And for those asking, these episodes will always be available

69
00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:28,320
Speaker 2: in full on the Action Network YouTube page, typically posting

70
00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:33,840
Speaker 2: every Thursday afternoon, so check that out if you prefer videos.

71
00:03:34,200 --> 00:03:37,800
Speaker 2: But let's get right into our Thursday Night football breed.

72
00:03:40,600 --> 00:03:44,200
Speaker 4: It's not the best game, but it's the only game tonight.

73
00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:48,160
Speaker 2: Let's bet Thursday night football.

74
00:03:53,520 --> 00:03:53,760
Speaker 4: All right.

75
00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,080
Speaker 2: We got the Giants going to San Francisco to take

76
00:03:56,120 --> 00:03:59,520
Speaker 2: on the Niners. The Niners are favored by ten, the

77
00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:04,160
Speaker 2: totals forty four and a half. Saquon Barkley is probably

78
00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:07,560
Speaker 2: going to miss this game for the Giants. What do

79
00:04:07,560 --> 00:04:08,280
Speaker 2: you see here.

80
00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:11,200
Speaker 4: When I complain about Thursday night football? This is the

81
00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:13,880
Speaker 4: game that's in my head, A ten point favorite against

82
00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:17,000
Speaker 4: an overmatched opponent that has injuries, where a bunch of

83
00:04:17,000 --> 00:04:20,279
Speaker 4: guys can't play on a short week. So my numbers

84
00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:23,600
Speaker 4: spot onto here from a trend if you're into trends,

85
00:04:23,839 --> 00:04:28,599
Speaker 4: like Jones as a road dog has been phenomenal, dable

86
00:04:29,640 --> 00:04:31,800
Speaker 4: you would imagine in this spot is probably going to

87
00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:34,000
Speaker 4: cover more times than not, especially when you add on

88
00:04:34,040 --> 00:04:36,360
Speaker 4: to the fact that Shanahan hasn't been great in this

89
00:04:36,440 --> 00:04:38,440
Speaker 4: spot a lot of times. He's just a little bit

90
00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:41,440
Speaker 4: too conservative when he has a team, when he has

91
00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:44,159
Speaker 4: a superior team, right like fourth and one at twelve,

92
00:04:44,600 --> 00:04:46,400
Speaker 4: let me just take the field goal. I can rely

93
00:04:46,480 --> 00:04:49,000
Speaker 4: on my defense, but I don't know if that's necessarily

94
00:04:49,080 --> 00:04:53,039
Speaker 4: true here. The San Francisco offense since Bertie has taken over,

95
00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,840
Speaker 4: has been on some kind of role. They basically score

96
00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:59,600
Speaker 4: thirty plus every game, and I don't know how much

97
00:04:59,800 --> 00:05:05,320
Speaker 4: was distance this Giants defense can provide. Obviously I'm not

98
00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:07,360
Speaker 4: high on them, but I still want to see more

99
00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:10,400
Speaker 4: before I really judge them and kind of where they're

100
00:05:10,400 --> 00:05:13,480
Speaker 4: on the pecking order. Because the Dallas game it kind

101
00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:15,520
Speaker 4: of just like slipped away because there was a block

102
00:05:15,560 --> 00:05:18,159
Speaker 4: field before touchdown, I'll pick six and then like, what

103
00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,640
Speaker 4: are you gonna do? Right, like dact into anything right

104
00:05:20,680 --> 00:05:22,960
Speaker 4: because you didn't have to the game state there was

105
00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:25,719
Speaker 4: just not conducive to getting any field. Then you play

106
00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:28,760
Speaker 4: the Cardinals and you go down twenty nothing. That's very

107
00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:32,400
Speaker 4: concerning to give up twenty eight just in general to

108
00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:34,520
Speaker 4: the Cardinals. I still want to see more from this

109
00:05:34,560 --> 00:05:37,320
Speaker 4: Giants defense before I'm like, I think they're the tenth

110
00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:40,400
Speaker 4: worst or or their average or they're here to get

111
00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:42,520
Speaker 4: a better feel compared to where I have them now.

112
00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:46,240
Speaker 4: But like it feels like the forty nine ers. Maybe

113
00:05:46,279 --> 00:05:49,680
Speaker 4: with sloppiness on a Thursday night, maybe they don't get

114
00:05:50,160 --> 00:05:53,719
Speaker 4: to thirty, but it feels like almost a given that

115
00:05:53,760 --> 00:05:56,640
Speaker 4: without Flukes they're gonna get to twenty seven to thirty. Right,

116
00:05:56,960 --> 00:05:59,520
Speaker 4: So you have to ask yourself, do you trust this

117
00:06:00,080 --> 00:06:04,360
Speaker 4: Giants offense with a banged up offensive line, no Saquon

118
00:06:04,839 --> 00:06:08,960
Speaker 4: to get to seventeen to twenty.

119
00:06:09,480 --> 00:06:09,800
Speaker 2: I don't know.

120
00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:11,920
Speaker 4: I wouldn't feel comfortable with that. My numbers right on.

121
00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:16,360
Speaker 2: I've projected minus nine and a half forty five, So

122
00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:19,440
Speaker 2: you know I'm right on here. The Giants are the

123
00:06:19,560 --> 00:06:22,359
Speaker 2: pick by the trends. But it's Thursday. We can always

124
00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:26,880
Speaker 2: talk about this superior teams. The superior team usually has

125
00:06:26,880 --> 00:06:29,160
Speaker 2: the edge, especially on Thursday. Now you're talking about the

126
00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:33,080
Speaker 2: Giants best offensive player out probably going to be a

127
00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:37,080
Speaker 2: blowout for San Francisco. So it's just to stay away

128
00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:38,640
Speaker 2: from me. I don't want to way double digits either.

129
00:06:38,920 --> 00:06:40,560
Speaker 4: I would lean under if you can get if it

130
00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:42,919
Speaker 4: pops to forty five or above if you're looking for

131
00:06:42,920 --> 00:06:45,160
Speaker 4: a play, But keep an eye on any props on

132
00:06:45,480 --> 00:06:45,880
Speaker 4: the app.

133
00:06:46,240 --> 00:06:55,000
Speaker 2: All right, Yeah, let's go into the six pac Thursday

134
00:06:55,080 --> 00:07:01,119
Speaker 2: for action. Let's crack Openday six pack.

135
00:07:04,160 --> 00:07:04,600
Speaker 4: All right.

136
00:07:05,040 --> 00:07:07,559
Speaker 2: For our week two six pack, we went three and three.

137
00:07:08,120 --> 00:07:11,120
Speaker 2: Those Wilson brothers wet us down, as did the Bears.

138
00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:14,760
Speaker 2: Never again, that was a pick six on a screen

139
00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:17,640
Speaker 2: pass after they just threw a screen pass. Just ridiculous.

140
00:07:18,360 --> 00:07:20,400
Speaker 2: One of the worst, if not the worst coach team

141
00:07:20,400 --> 00:07:23,400
Speaker 2: in the league. It's nine to six meters on the

142
00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,000
Speaker 2: six pack. Again. We do two points for our first two,

143
00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:29,040
Speaker 2: a point for our third, another point for our total,

144
00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,000
Speaker 2: and another point if you sleep everything or the first

145
00:07:32,040 --> 00:07:36,880
Speaker 2: pick of the week three Sunday six pack going with

146
00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,360
Speaker 2: the Atlanta Falcons plus three and a half at the

147
00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:44,320
Speaker 2: Detroit Lions. And this is a mix of injuries for

148
00:07:44,400 --> 00:07:47,960
Speaker 2: the Lions, and I like the spot for the Falcons.

149
00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:51,120
Speaker 2: So injuries for the Lions. Aman Ross Saint Brown is

150
00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,040
Speaker 2: banged up their left tackle. Taylor Decker is probably going

151
00:07:55,080 --> 00:07:59,600
Speaker 2: to go on ir Ye Tide the guard. You know,

152
00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:02,640
Speaker 2: he's he's injured as well. And then CJ. Gardner Johnson,

153
00:08:02,760 --> 00:08:06,120
Speaker 2: who was a big addition to that secondary, not only

154
00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:08,640
Speaker 2: in terms of skill level, but just overall kind of

155
00:08:08,640 --> 00:08:10,480
Speaker 2: attitude and swag because remember this was one of the

156
00:08:10,480 --> 00:08:15,160
Speaker 2: worst defenses in the league, terrible secondary and CJ. Gardner

157
00:08:15,200 --> 00:08:17,679
Speaker 2: Johnson came in and I think he, you know, helped

158
00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:19,800
Speaker 2: them start getting back to to where they need to

159
00:08:19,840 --> 00:08:21,720
Speaker 2: be or getting to where they need to be. So

160
00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:24,200
Speaker 2: he's out now. So just a lot of injuries for

161
00:08:24,320 --> 00:08:27,720
Speaker 2: Detroit to a lot of good players. I do think

162
00:08:28,400 --> 00:08:31,520
Speaker 2: aman Rod plays, but he may not be one hundred percent.

163
00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:34,839
Speaker 2: And this Falcon team, you know, their defense is better,

164
00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,360
Speaker 2: which you know, something we expected. You know, they could

165
00:08:37,360 --> 00:08:39,560
Speaker 2: get a little more pressure now than they've been in

166
00:08:39,600 --> 00:08:43,400
Speaker 2: the past. Their secondary is a little better than it's

167
00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:46,760
Speaker 2: been in the past, and I think the Falcons can

168
00:08:46,760 --> 00:08:49,520
Speaker 2: stay closer, and I think the Falcons can can get

169
00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:51,120
Speaker 2: to win. You know, It's kind of like the Seahawks

170
00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:54,320
Speaker 2: last week. Everyone's like, oh my god, they have no tackles.

171
00:08:54,320 --> 00:08:56,200
Speaker 2: It's like, all right, those their tackles are like average

172
00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:58,840
Speaker 2: at best. But the Lions are still kind of just

173
00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:02,480
Speaker 2: like teetering on, like are they really good or are

174
00:09:02,520 --> 00:09:05,680
Speaker 2: they just kind of like another one of these teams

175
00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:07,200
Speaker 2: that you have to lump in with the Falcons and

176
00:09:07,200 --> 00:09:09,880
Speaker 2: the Packers and the Saints and all these other NFC teams.

177
00:09:10,640 --> 00:09:13,160
Speaker 2: From what I'm seeing, especially with these injuries, the Lions

178
00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:14,839
Speaker 2: are kind of coming back to the pack a little bit.

179
00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:17,560
Speaker 2: If the Seahawks can beat them, win no tackles. The

180
00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:21,000
Speaker 2: Falcons with Bijon and all these weapons and a good

181
00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,440
Speaker 2: offensive line, I think can do the same. And we're

182
00:09:24,440 --> 00:09:27,000
Speaker 2: getting a hook here at three and a half. So

183
00:09:27,320 --> 00:09:31,319
Speaker 2: love it. Week three underdogs plus seven or less facing

184
00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:34,400
Speaker 2: a favorite with a negative against the spread margin, which

185
00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:38,600
Speaker 2: Detroit is about minus two point eight sixty thirty one

186
00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:41,480
Speaker 2: and two against the spread sixty six percent since two

187
00:09:41,559 --> 00:09:44,280
Speaker 2: thousand and five, Give me the Falcon.

188
00:09:45,240 --> 00:09:47,120
Speaker 4: I don't disagree taking the hook. I will say that

189
00:09:47,160 --> 00:09:50,200
Speaker 4: I was semi interested in maybe getting Detroit if the

190
00:09:50,240 --> 00:09:52,640
Speaker 4: market kept coming down to three, and I wanted to

191
00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:55,840
Speaker 4: monitor all the injury situations. I agreed with you that

192
00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:59,640
Speaker 4: the Lions were a bit overvalued last week, you know,

193
00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:03,120
Speaker 4: over reaction from the Chiefs game, and they were at

194
00:10:03,160 --> 00:10:06,400
Speaker 4: one point laying like six to Seattle an office discount

195
00:10:06,600 --> 00:10:09,800
Speaker 4: just gets down to three against Atlanta. I know that

196
00:10:09,800 --> 00:10:13,040
Speaker 4: there's some injuries, but it's not like a quarterback or

197
00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:17,840
Speaker 4: that's a pretty big drastic move for a Falcons team.

198
00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,200
Speaker 4: They're two and oh, but they're not the most impressive

199
00:10:21,240 --> 00:10:25,600
Speaker 4: wins that you'll ever see. Right, you're beating a rookie quarterback.

200
00:10:25,640 --> 00:10:27,920
Speaker 4: Then you beat a Packers team that did that wasn't

201
00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:30,880
Speaker 4: playing without that was playing without two of its best weapons,

202
00:10:31,040 --> 00:10:33,560
Speaker 4: two of its best offensive linemen. You know, I do

203
00:10:33,640 --> 00:10:36,160
Speaker 4: still have questions about the Falcons and Golf. If he

204
00:10:36,200 --> 00:10:39,320
Speaker 4: does have at least have his wide receivers here and

205
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:41,760
Speaker 4: you know Gibbs coming out of the backfield, he should

206
00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:46,440
Speaker 4: have Tom and that's another injury.

207
00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:48,240
Speaker 2: Like these are all like the players that have been

208
00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:51,800
Speaker 2: handling the ball for Detroit, they're two of their Like,

209
00:10:52,080 --> 00:10:54,240
Speaker 2: these are a lot of good players. Kind of even

210
00:10:54,240 --> 00:10:56,480
Speaker 2: if they some of them play like they're not going

211
00:10:56,520 --> 00:10:58,280
Speaker 2: to be practicing in full Like I just I just

212
00:10:58,320 --> 00:11:00,000
Speaker 2: think Detroit is kind of out of Sawyers right now.

213
00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,319
Speaker 4: If you're going to have some offensive line injuries, this

214
00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:06,920
Speaker 4: isn't the worst team to go up against. The Lion's

215
00:11:07,040 --> 00:11:11,080
Speaker 4: rundy has actually been okay, and if you look dig

216
00:11:11,080 --> 00:11:13,120
Speaker 4: into some of the metrics and they played, you know,

217
00:11:13,800 --> 00:11:18,960
Speaker 4: some decent offenses. The past dy still a problem and

218
00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:21,160
Speaker 4: now you're dealing with injuries and the secondary and C. J.

219
00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:24,600
Speaker 4: Gardner Johnson on paper probably profiled as the most impactful

220
00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:27,640
Speaker 4: player in that secondary. It's a big loss. But can

221
00:11:27,720 --> 00:11:33,200
Speaker 4: Ritter really take advantage of the secondary? That's my that's

222
00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:35,840
Speaker 4: my my priory concern. I would try. I would feel

223
00:11:35,880 --> 00:11:38,720
Speaker 4: much more coupable with maybe laying three with this coming

224
00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:41,240
Speaker 4: down with Goff. If he has his healthy weapons on

225
00:11:41,280 --> 00:11:44,079
Speaker 4: the outside, we'll have enough time. But the injuries throw

226
00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:45,960
Speaker 4: a wrench into it. You want to take this ball

227
00:11:46,040 --> 00:11:48,440
Speaker 4: control Falcons offense, It's going to be in a lot

228
00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,760
Speaker 4: of close games, and you're taking the hook. I don't

229
00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:51,200
Speaker 4: mind it.

230
00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:53,800
Speaker 2: Like I'm just higher on the Falcons again.

231
00:11:53,679 --> 00:11:55,080
Speaker 4: I don't mind you taking the hook here with the

232
00:11:55,120 --> 00:12:01,679
Speaker 4: injury uncertainty. For my first pick of the week three

233
00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:07,360
Speaker 4: Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Indianapolis Colts. You're

234
00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:13,240
Speaker 4: Indianapolis Colts plus eight against my Baltimore Ravens. This is

235
00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,400
Speaker 4: true for the entire season in the NFL. When I'm

236
00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:21,360
Speaker 4: betting it is looking to sell high by low, try

237
00:12:21,360 --> 00:12:23,199
Speaker 4: and tie the market. Right, Okay, I think this team's

238
00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,720
Speaker 4: at its peak, or okay, now I think this team

239
00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:29,640
Speaker 4: is undervalued. And I think that's the case with the Ravens.

240
00:12:30,200 --> 00:12:32,760
Speaker 4: This week they're two and oh. Straight up, they're two

241
00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:35,600
Speaker 4: and oh against the spread. But if you dig into it,

242
00:12:36,240 --> 00:12:39,280
Speaker 4: they play a Week one home game against a rookie

243
00:12:39,360 --> 00:12:41,800
Speaker 4: quarterback and an offensive line that was pieced together that week,

244
00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:46,439
Speaker 4: like it, they had no chance. Last week they play

245
00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:50,760
Speaker 4: Cincinnati and Burrow clearly is hurt and he is throwing

246
00:12:50,760 --> 00:12:52,960
Speaker 4: balls into the ground. Not going to beat an NFL

247
00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:56,000
Speaker 4: team like the Ravens if your quarterback can't complete a pass.

248
00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:00,680
Speaker 4: So they really have benefited from back to back weeks

249
00:13:00,880 --> 00:13:04,600
Speaker 4: of other circumstances. Right, rookie quarterback playing in front of

250
00:13:04,600 --> 00:13:08,400
Speaker 4: a hostile crowd with a piecemeal offensive line, and last

251
00:13:08,400 --> 00:13:10,880
Speaker 4: week Burrow is hurt. I mean you might be out

252
00:13:11,480 --> 00:13:13,400
Speaker 4: who knows for how long, but you could see it

253
00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:16,600
Speaker 4: in Week one, you could see it last week. And

254
00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:21,280
Speaker 4: everyone is seemingly forgot about the Ravens injuries, which there

255
00:13:21,280 --> 00:13:24,280
Speaker 4: are now more of those injuries, and they're clustered. I

256
00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:27,160
Speaker 4: mean in the secondary, you now lost your slot. You're

257
00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:30,360
Speaker 4: already without Marcus Williams. You're already without Marlon Humphrey. It

258
00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:32,079
Speaker 4: didn't really matter when you're playing a Rooie quarterback on

259
00:13:32,080 --> 00:13:36,280
Speaker 4: the offensive line and hurt Joe Burrow. But it's eventually

260
00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:39,000
Speaker 4: going to catch up to the Ravens. Al Way Bowser

261
00:13:39,640 --> 00:13:42,240
Speaker 4: now both gonna be on ir as well. On the

262
00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:44,719
Speaker 4: offensive side of the ball, you already lost Dobbins, You're

263
00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:47,240
Speaker 4: gonna be without Stanley, You're gonna be without Linderbaum, your

264
00:13:47,280 --> 00:13:50,360
Speaker 4: two best offensive linemen. You'd probably be without Beckham. I mean,

265
00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:55,640
Speaker 4: it's never ending. We're talking about eight nine of your

266
00:13:55,880 --> 00:13:59,559
Speaker 4: most important players on the team. I have liked what

267
00:13:59,600 --> 00:14:01,599
Speaker 4: I've seen Todd Monkin and Laarr Jacksons get rid of

268
00:14:01,600 --> 00:14:04,440
Speaker 4: the ball really quick, a lot quicker than before. His

269
00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:08,840
Speaker 4: passing underlying passing metrics are encouraging. But these injuries are

270
00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:10,439
Speaker 4: going to catch up to the Ravens. I don't think

271
00:14:10,480 --> 00:14:12,720
Speaker 4: Anthony Richardson is gonna play. I haven't seen an update

272
00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:15,800
Speaker 4: as of now. I think Gardner Minshew's actually an upgrade

273
00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:18,199
Speaker 4: as of this point, because you could throw it downfield, Richardson,

274
00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:20,440
Speaker 4: I don't think it's attempted to a ball past twenty yards.

275
00:14:20,640 --> 00:14:23,240
Speaker 4: You got to attack this Ravens team with all their

276
00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:26,880
Speaker 4: injuries in the secondary downfield, and I just think we're

277
00:14:26,920 --> 00:14:32,720
Speaker 4: getting the Ravens a little over value in a weird spot.

278
00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:36,160
Speaker 4: They you know, go on the road, get revenge against Cincy.

279
00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:39,360
Speaker 4: They got Cleveland next week, come home for the Colts.

280
00:14:39,920 --> 00:14:41,920
Speaker 4: Could be some weather here, a lot of wind, It

281
00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:44,120
Speaker 4: could be an ugly game. Or eight points feels like

282
00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:47,440
Speaker 4: a lot in your back pocket. And the Colts over

283
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:49,240
Speaker 4: the first two weeks are one of the teams that

284
00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:52,280
Speaker 4: I've actually upgraded the most. I was super low on them,

285
00:14:52,560 --> 00:14:57,320
Speaker 4: Anthony Richardson, better than I expected this early, and really

286
00:14:57,440 --> 00:14:59,680
Speaker 4: in the trenches, they've been a lot better. The offensive line,

287
00:14:59,680 --> 00:15:01,960
Speaker 4: which is falling off a cliff the past years, looks great.

288
00:15:02,920 --> 00:15:04,960
Speaker 4: You know, Ryan Kelly, the number one rated center in

289
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:08,440
Speaker 4: the league. Everything looks just more connected, and their defensive

290
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:12,280
Speaker 4: line has actually been really good. Now granted they've gone

291
00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:15,360
Speaker 4: up against some under man and injured units, but that's

292
00:15:15,400 --> 00:15:18,760
Speaker 4: what's going to happen again here. So I think this

293
00:15:18,920 --> 00:15:22,160
Speaker 4: number is too high, And you brought this up last week.

294
00:15:22,880 --> 00:15:31,240
Speaker 4: The Ravens, Lamar Jackson are the new Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes.

295
00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:35,120
Speaker 4: I mean, if you look at his numbers as a favorite,

296
00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:37,440
Speaker 4: as an underdog or favorite of less than three points,

297
00:15:38,440 --> 00:15:40,640
Speaker 4: he's I think he's seventeen and four against the spread,

298
00:15:41,320 --> 00:15:43,840
Speaker 4: but as a favorite over three points, the Ravens have

299
00:15:43,840 --> 00:15:45,920
Speaker 4: been great. Harbal has't been great in the spot has

300
00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:48,360
Speaker 4: a bigger favorite at home. I think it's a sleepy spot.

301
00:15:48,480 --> 00:15:51,600
Speaker 4: Injuries catch up to him here in the past. This

302
00:15:51,680 --> 00:15:53,920
Speaker 4: is a completely random note which is a Ravens fan.

303
00:15:53,960 --> 00:15:56,760
Speaker 4: I know this. Whenever we played the Colton we get

304
00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:59,320
Speaker 4: behind and then Lamar has made a comeback in the

305
00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:01,360
Speaker 4: fourth quarter. I think that's how it's going to play

306
00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:04,880
Speaker 4: out here. So I'll happily take the eight here Minshew

307
00:16:05,000 --> 00:16:08,240
Speaker 4: or Richardson, whoever it is, and hopefully if minshe's near

308
00:16:08,240 --> 00:16:10,640
Speaker 4: the goal line and I need a back toor cover

309
00:16:10,680 --> 00:16:11,600
Speaker 4: he gets in this time.

310
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,560
Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree. I've up rated the Colts as well.

311
00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,200
Speaker 2: You know, they look a lot closer to mediocre than

312
00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:20,880
Speaker 2: the dumpster fire I thought they were going to be.

313
00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,880
Speaker 2: And I agree, I think, you know, Minshew probably is

314
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,040
Speaker 2: less likely to turn the ball over also less likely

315
00:16:27,080 --> 00:16:29,160
Speaker 2: to punch it in from the one yard line on

316
00:16:29,440 --> 00:16:32,400
Speaker 2: whatever it was. But I digress. I can't hate on it.

317
00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:35,280
Speaker 2: I think this is kind of a perfect you know play,

318
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:38,040
Speaker 2: you know two and oh Ravens team You're getting, you

319
00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:41,040
Speaker 2: know over a touchdown with a Colts team that I

320
00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:43,760
Speaker 2: think is a little better than people expect. So uh yeah,

321
00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:48,880
Speaker 2: I like that one too. For my second pick, the

322
00:16:48,920 --> 00:16:53,680
Speaker 2: third overall of the week three Sunday six pack, going

323
00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:56,600
Speaker 2: with the New Orleans Saints plus two at the Green

324
00:16:56,840 --> 00:17:02,600
Speaker 2: Bay Packers. And I think the Packers, you know, they've

325
00:17:02,680 --> 00:17:05,040
Speaker 2: looked pretty good, but I think they've been getting it.

326
00:17:05,040 --> 00:17:07,520
Speaker 2: They've been running a little bit lucky here, and I

327
00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:11,120
Speaker 2: think the Saints team can get the win. So first

328
00:17:11,160 --> 00:17:15,640
Speaker 2: of all, green Bay fifth on third down conversion rate,

329
00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:19,359
Speaker 2: first in the red zone. They've they only outgained the

330
00:17:19,359 --> 00:17:22,680
Speaker 2: Bears by eight and they were out gained by eleven

331
00:17:23,480 --> 00:17:27,840
Speaker 2: by the Atlanta Falcons. And meanwhile, and also, the Packers

332
00:17:27,840 --> 00:17:31,520
Speaker 2: haven't turned the ball over yet, So Jordan Love big

333
00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,439
Speaker 2: interception machine all throughout his career. He's been taking care

334
00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:36,800
Speaker 2: of the ball very well. But I don't know how

335
00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,920
Speaker 2: much longer the Packers are going to go without turning

336
00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:42,320
Speaker 2: the ball over. Meanwhile, I think the Saints haven't quite

337
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:48,119
Speaker 2: played as well as they should be playing they are,

338
00:17:48,400 --> 00:17:50,679
Speaker 2: you know, they they what they had that one, you know,

339
00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:52,960
Speaker 2: four point win, No it was at one point. One

340
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,080
Speaker 2: point went over the Titans, and then a three point

341
00:17:55,119 --> 00:17:59,480
Speaker 2: win over the Carolina Panthers when the Panthers get you know,

342
00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:02,480
Speaker 2: the late touch down. The Titans kicked that field goal

343
00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:04,919
Speaker 2: late to cover, and then the Saints, you know, they

344
00:18:04,960 --> 00:18:06,280
Speaker 2: sit on the ball at the end, so it could

345
00:18:06,320 --> 00:18:08,040
Speaker 2: have been a little bit different. But you know, the

346
00:18:08,119 --> 00:18:11,280
Speaker 2: Saints out gained the Titans by sixty six. They outgained

347
00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,280
Speaker 2: the Panthers by one hundred and two, so you know,

348
00:18:13,320 --> 00:18:17,639
Speaker 2: they're plus one sixty eight in terms of total yards

349
00:18:17,720 --> 00:18:19,520
Speaker 2: through two games, which I think is good. You know,

350
00:18:19,800 --> 00:18:23,359
Speaker 2: car talked about it's kind of a rough start for him,

351
00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:26,520
Speaker 2: but his receivers are getting open. Michael Thomas looks great,

352
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:28,800
Speaker 2: which is always important when you play Green Bay because

353
00:18:29,119 --> 00:18:31,440
Speaker 2: you know they do have a corner that can shut

354
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:35,800
Speaker 2: down probablyo Lave. We'll see how they kind of deploy

355
00:18:35,880 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 2: Jai Air. But I think the Saints have enough year

356
00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:40,880
Speaker 2: in this spot to get it done against this Green

357
00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,080
Speaker 2: Bay team that I just know they've kind of been

358
00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:45,560
Speaker 2: going as well as it could be, and yet they

359
00:18:45,760 --> 00:18:50,359
Speaker 2: still you know that, like, what is it twenty four

360
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,080
Speaker 2: to twelve entering the fourth against Atlanta and they can't

361
00:18:53,080 --> 00:18:55,040
Speaker 2: get it done. I just think this Green Bay team,

362
00:18:55,320 --> 00:18:58,640
Speaker 2: like it's like they're doing a good job of kind

363
00:18:58,680 --> 00:19:02,920
Speaker 2: of managing Jordan Love. But even if Aaron Jones comes

364
00:19:02,920 --> 00:19:05,400
Speaker 2: back this week, I don't think he's gonna like make

365
00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:10,360
Speaker 2: a massive massive difference here, and Christian Watson will see

366
00:19:10,400 --> 00:19:13,040
Speaker 2: about him. But overall, I still think the Saints have

367
00:19:13,119 --> 00:19:15,520
Speaker 2: more weapons. I think they have a defense that's just

368
00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:19,560
Speaker 2: as good, if not better, especially with Joe Barry coordinating

369
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:22,199
Speaker 2: for the Packers. And I just think the Packers have

370
00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:25,119
Speaker 2: been getting a little lucky here on third down the

371
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:28,720
Speaker 2: red zone and we turnover. So give me the Saints

372
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:33,040
Speaker 2: plus two Week three underdogs against a one in one

373
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:36,040
Speaker 2: straight up favorite that coming off of loss in Week

374
00:19:36,080 --> 00:19:41,720
Speaker 2: two fifty percent against the spread, Give me Saints.

375
00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,879
Speaker 4: I disagree with this one. I would need free to

376
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:49,280
Speaker 4: consider it, but I'm higher than the Packers and almost anybody.

377
00:19:49,640 --> 00:19:51,520
Speaker 4: They have been fortunate in quite a few stats, but

378
00:19:51,560 --> 00:19:54,359
Speaker 4: they've also been dealing with a lot of injuries, which

379
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 4: we still don't have any clarity on. Watson was limited

380
00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:01,840
Speaker 4: today as of five minutes ago. Jones did not practice

381
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:06,400
Speaker 4: doctor r did not practice Jenks Jenkins. Yeah, so that's bad.

382
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:09,480
Speaker 4: That could be where you can make your case. Now

383
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,600
Speaker 4: did Packers defense? I still like the matchup against car

384
00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,119
Speaker 4: It doesn't look comfortable yet. He doesn't this offense, but

385
00:20:17,160 --> 00:20:21,000
Speaker 4: they are. But can can you The way you want

386
00:20:21,040 --> 00:20:24,520
Speaker 4: to beat the Packers? And why I liked your Falcons

387
00:20:24,520 --> 00:20:27,040
Speaker 4: play last week is like, if you're able to just

388
00:20:27,640 --> 00:20:30,720
Speaker 4: maul and control the ball, you can run on them.

389
00:20:31,280 --> 00:20:36,160
Speaker 4: So one, do you think this is a big, heavier

390
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 4: use Taysom Hill game? And then two, who's what? What

391
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:40,720
Speaker 4: running backs are left.

392
00:20:40,440 --> 00:20:43,159
Speaker 2: For the Saints?

393
00:20:43,240 --> 00:20:44,000
Speaker 4: Just Tony Jones?

394
00:20:44,040 --> 00:20:46,440
Speaker 2: I mean, well, KENDRAI Miller might be healthy this week.

395
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:49,439
Speaker 2: You know he's I think he's been getting closer and closer, So,

396
00:20:49,760 --> 00:20:51,800
Speaker 2: I mean he's a pretty talented back. We'll see about him.

397
00:20:51,800 --> 00:20:53,280
Speaker 2: I think Jamal Williams is banged up.

398
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:57,480
Speaker 4: Jamal Williams, you have Eno Benjamin and I are Kamara

399
00:20:57,520 --> 00:21:00,480
Speaker 4: is suspended, So yeah, it's like there's a chance it's

400
00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:04,160
Speaker 4: just Tony Jones. So then do you go like heavier,

401
00:21:04,880 --> 00:21:06,480
Speaker 4: use Taysom Hill some more.

402
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:09,240
Speaker 2: They say they want to get it more involved, So

403
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:11,480
Speaker 2: that wouldn't be a bad idea. I mean, I don't

404
00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,120
Speaker 2: really worry about the Saints running the ball. I mean

405
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:16,119
Speaker 2: they're gonna find somebody to run the ball. I mean

406
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,080
Speaker 2: they could just hand it off to Rashid Shahid and

407
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,639
Speaker 2: let them jet sweep it or something like. The Saints

408
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,679
Speaker 2: always found a way to run the ball. I just

409
00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,520
Speaker 2: need Car to play a little better than he's played.

410
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:29,360
Speaker 2: But the receivers that make you know, if Carr can

411
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:32,119
Speaker 2: kind of get get right, Like the receivers are open,

412
00:21:32,920 --> 00:21:35,439
Speaker 2: all three of them. So uh and like for me,

413
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:37,520
Speaker 2: what it really comes down to the Packers and you

414
00:21:37,840 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 2: kind of hit on it. The injuries. Remember this is

415
00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:43,160
Speaker 2: a very young team, like Jordan Love doesn't have much experience.

416
00:21:43,440 --> 00:21:46,760
Speaker 2: All the skill positions are very young aside from you know,

417
00:21:46,840 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 2: Aaron Jones, uh and Dylan and I just think, you know,

418
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:53,680
Speaker 2: all these missed practices, and you know, every time one

419
00:21:53,680 --> 00:21:56,680
Speaker 2: guy gets healthy, another guy goes down offensive lines like.

420
00:21:56,760 --> 00:21:59,560
Speaker 4: These injuries, which if they lingered in this week, I

421
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:02,200
Speaker 4: don't mind this play at all because you know Josh

422
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,280
Speaker 4: Myers has some weaknesses at center. So like if you

423
00:22:04,280 --> 00:22:06,720
Speaker 4: don't have back Yar and Jenkins and like that gets

424
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:11,800
Speaker 4: even that problem gets magnified, and then Watson not having him,

425
00:22:11,880 --> 00:22:13,840
Speaker 4: it's just another weapon that you don't have. And I

426
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,200
Speaker 4: actually do think Aaron Jones matters. You know, they always

427
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:20,159
Speaker 4: say running back don't matter because Dylan. I feel like

428
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:23,440
Speaker 4: they just they're stubborn on Dylan and where they drafted him.

429
00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,000
Speaker 4: There's just no explosiveness there. And the difference between what

430
00:22:26,080 --> 00:22:28,240
Speaker 4: he could do not only running the ball, but especially

431
00:22:28,280 --> 00:22:31,680
Speaker 4: in the passing attack. I think that's a pretty significant difference.

432
00:22:31,720 --> 00:22:33,800
Speaker 4: Like it could be a couple first downs a game

433
00:22:34,400 --> 00:22:36,960
Speaker 4: that could keep a couple a few drives going. I

434
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,280
Speaker 4: like a teaser of the Saint so I'm my grany

435
00:22:40,320 --> 00:22:41,640
Speaker 4: and some sets. But we'll talk about that later.

436
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,720
Speaker 2: Maybe for one thing before we move on, you mentioned

437
00:22:44,760 --> 00:22:47,399
Speaker 2: the first downs. Here's a crazy stat. The Packers have

438
00:22:47,440 --> 00:22:51,399
Speaker 2: played the Bears and the Falcons. Right, Packers have thirty

439
00:22:51,440 --> 00:22:55,600
Speaker 2: two first downs on offense. Their opponents have forty nine

440
00:22:55,920 --> 00:22:58,119
Speaker 2: and they played the Bears and Falcons like that. I

441
00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,560
Speaker 2: just I just see some regression coming for this team.

442
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:02,400
Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, yeah, right, where do you.

443
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:07,320
Speaker 4: Go for my second pick and the fourth overall of

444
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:09,960
Speaker 4: the week three Sunday six pack, I'm going with the

445
00:23:10,000 --> 00:23:14,000
Speaker 4: Cleveland Browns minus three. Yes, I'm doing it. I am

446
00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:18,919
Speaker 4: fading the underdog god Mike Rable if they're backing him

447
00:23:18,960 --> 00:23:21,080
Speaker 4: the first two weeks as an underdog. He's now over

448
00:23:21,160 --> 00:23:24,959
Speaker 4: five hundred straight up as an underdog. But I do

449
00:23:25,160 --> 00:23:28,920
Speaker 4: kind of separate, you know, underdog of three and a

450
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 4: half or more versus three and below. And I just

451
00:23:32,119 --> 00:23:34,880
Speaker 4: need the Browns to win this by at least a field,

452
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:36,680
Speaker 4: which I'm comptable doing this. I was sitting at four

453
00:23:36,720 --> 00:23:40,160
Speaker 4: and a half and earlier in the week and has

454
00:23:40,200 --> 00:23:42,120
Speaker 4: come down. I would not have played the Browns minus

455
00:23:42,119 --> 00:23:44,640
Speaker 4: four and a half. At three, which is the most

456
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:48,800
Speaker 4: important number in NFL, extremely key number, I'm comfortable playing

457
00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:52,640
Speaker 4: with playing the Browns here. So for a couple of reasons. Yes,

458
00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,520
Speaker 4: they lose Nick Chubb, He's one of the best backs

459
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 4: in the NFL. But the Browns I think can still

460
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:03,200
Speaker 4: have a productive rushing attack with wherever they're going to

461
00:24:03,240 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 4: have back there. We saw that last week with their

462
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:09,159
Speaker 4: offensive line and in this particular matchup, Deshaun Watson has

463
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,119
Speaker 4: been great throwing the deep ball, and he's been a

464
00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 4: little inconsistent. But you're gonna want to attack this Tennessee

465
00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:16,080
Speaker 4: team through the air a little bit more, especially with

466
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,800
Speaker 4: some of their potential injuries on the back end, which

467
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:24,679
Speaker 4: I think, you know, Hooker and Fulton aren't one hundred

468
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,960
Speaker 4: percent again this week and don't play. Especially if they

469
00:24:27,000 --> 00:24:29,800
Speaker 4: don't play, I think there's gonna be some opportunities for

470
00:24:29,840 --> 00:24:33,119
Speaker 4: the Browns to move the ball. But most importantly, I

471
00:24:33,240 --> 00:24:40,080
Speaker 4: just don't think the market is really appreciating how dominant

472
00:24:40,240 --> 00:24:43,720
Speaker 4: this Browns defense is. I love this Browns defense. Coming

473
00:24:43,720 --> 00:24:46,600
Speaker 4: into the season, I was I thought it was going

474
00:24:46,680 --> 00:24:49,240
Speaker 4: to be the most improved unit in the entire NFL.

475
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 4: First ball, you hired defensive court, energym sports. You just

476
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,560
Speaker 4: needed to hire any new defense coordinator to bring organization

477
00:24:54,600 --> 00:24:57,879
Speaker 4: of this defense. Did that They needed to be more aggressive.

478
00:24:58,040 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 4: They're doing that blitzing, moving guys around. They needed to

479
00:25:00,960 --> 00:25:04,960
Speaker 4: add bulk to improve their run defense. Did that lead

480
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,920
Speaker 4: the NFL and rush success rate? Added one thornhill on

481
00:25:07,960 --> 00:25:10,680
Speaker 4: the back end. They already have three good corners. You

482
00:25:10,680 --> 00:25:14,480
Speaker 4: could argue this is a top three defense in the NFL.

483
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:18,920
Speaker 4: Everyone's talking about the Dallas defense. The Cleveland defense statistically

484
00:25:18,960 --> 00:25:21,640
Speaker 4: has been better, and they didn't play Zach Wilson, although

485
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 4: Kenny Pickett's pretty similar. So I mean, look twenty five

486
00:25:25,960 --> 00:25:29,479
Speaker 4: percent success rate twenty five to twenty seven in their

487
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:33,239
Speaker 4: first two games against division opponents last year, fewer than

488
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:37,879
Speaker 4: six games total across the NFL where a defense had

489
00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 4: a success rate that low. They should be two to zero.

490
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:45,840
Speaker 4: If not for two defensive touchdowns against Pittsburgh, A team

491
00:25:45,880 --> 00:25:49,439
Speaker 4: hasn't sniffed the red zone against them yet, and now

492
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:51,920
Speaker 4: you're gonna get that pass rush going up against the

493
00:25:51,960 --> 00:25:53,879
Speaker 4: Tennessee offensive lines. I still have a ton of questions

494
00:25:53,880 --> 00:25:58,320
Speaker 4: about Skronsky's probably out again and a quarterback who cannot move.

495
00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:00,920
Speaker 4: I just think this is going to be a long

496
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:04,000
Speaker 4: day for Tannehill. I think this is also a rally game,

497
00:26:04,440 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 4: like one of those intangible emotions where you've already seen

498
00:26:08,520 --> 00:26:13,080
Speaker 4: Newsome come out and say we're all dedicating this to Chop.

499
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:15,040
Speaker 4: So I think the Browns really from out their hair

500
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 4: and fire. It's their defense that's going to be the

501
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:22,200
Speaker 4: difference against Tannahill. And you know, Derrick Henry hasn't gotten

502
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:24,280
Speaker 4: going yet, but the Brown's run He's been great, this

503
00:26:24,400 --> 00:26:26,600
Speaker 4: defense so undervalued in the market. To me, had a

504
00:26:26,640 --> 00:26:30,120
Speaker 4: field goal, it's a bye. I'm willing to go against

505
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:34,240
Speaker 4: the dog god Rabel. Nothing but respect, Mike. I wouldn't

506
00:26:34,240 --> 00:26:35,960
Speaker 4: have faded you at three and a half, four, four

507
00:26:35,960 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 4: and a half, but at three, I gotta do it here.

508
00:26:38,800 --> 00:26:41,160
Speaker 4: I think the Titans are going to struggle to get

509
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:43,960
Speaker 4: to ten to thirteen points.

510
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:46,800
Speaker 2: I'm not there with you on this one, and I

511
00:26:46,840 --> 00:26:49,439
Speaker 2: agree with you on the Browns defense. My issue is

512
00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 2: the Titans are a pretty elite run defense, and so yeah,

513
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:57,200
Speaker 2: now that means you have to rely on de Shaun Watson.

514
00:26:57,440 --> 00:27:00,399
Speaker 2: But I just don't trust Deshaun Watson yet. And I

515
00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 2: feel like Deshaun Watson can be the equalizer for whatever

516
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,119
Speaker 2: you know Tennessee doesn't have in terms of skill or

517
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,080
Speaker 2: whatever else. You know, we already know they're gonna have

518
00:27:10,119 --> 00:27:12,840
Speaker 2: the intangible too with Rabel, so you know, call that

519
00:27:12,960 --> 00:27:17,040
Speaker 2: a wash. But if Cleveland can't run the ball, Deshaun

520
00:27:17,080 --> 00:27:20,119
Speaker 2: Watson's been under six yards attempted five out of his

521
00:27:20,200 --> 00:27:24,920
Speaker 2: eight starts with the Cleveland Browns, He's turned the ball over.

522
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:27,560
Speaker 2: You know, I just I feel like this is just

523
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,800
Speaker 2: kind of a toss up game. Whatever you think about Tannehill.

524
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,120
Speaker 2: And yes, Deshaun Watson can move more, but I mean

525
00:27:34,240 --> 00:27:38,880
Speaker 2: the end result has been almost worse for Deshaun Watson

526
00:27:39,160 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 2: five point six yards in attempt this year, six point

527
00:27:42,840 --> 00:27:45,160
Speaker 2: two in his career with the with the Browns five

528
00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:48,320
Speaker 2: point seven adjusted. I just don't trust this guy right now.

529
00:27:48,480 --> 00:27:51,000
Speaker 2: I wouldn't dare go against Rabel in this spot.

530
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:54,480
Speaker 4: But front besides this game, just like the Steelers front

531
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:58,520
Speaker 4: decided last week game. That's uh, that's my prediction. Here

532
00:27:58,560 --> 00:27:59,440
Speaker 4: we go, Brownies.

533
00:28:01,000 --> 00:28:04,280
Speaker 2: Let's go to my third pick, the fifth overall of

534
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 2: the week, number three Sunday six pack, going with the

535
00:28:08,640 --> 00:28:13,320
Speaker 2: Houston Texans plus nine and a half at the Jacksonville Jaguars.

536
00:28:13,600 --> 00:28:18,760
Speaker 2: So so Tuns practice today, tunseel did practice on Wednesday.

537
00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:26,280
Speaker 2: That's big. Listen, man, it is it is. But listen,

538
00:28:26,320 --> 00:28:30,920
Speaker 2: we're talking about over a possession in a divisional game

539
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:34,919
Speaker 2: with a you know, I think it works in the

540
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,720
Speaker 2: Texans favor more because you know, they have you know,

541
00:28:38,000 --> 00:28:41,440
Speaker 2: the new coaching staff and new players and uh, you know,

542
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:45,000
Speaker 2: I think de Mico is gonna kind of find his footing.

543
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,800
Speaker 2: You know, hopefully they get at least one of the

544
00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:50,479
Speaker 2: safeties back you know that think that really hurt him

545
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,160
Speaker 2: last week. But you know, tunsl practicing has big. But

546
00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 2: Houston in the red in the red zone this year

547
00:28:55,920 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 2: on offense and because you know, see Stroud has looked

548
00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:00,479
Speaker 2: pretty good, you know, all things considered. I'm especially when

549
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:02,760
Speaker 2: you look around the league, look at like Bryce Young

550
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,520
Speaker 2: for example, and Richardson you know, can't stay on the field,

551
00:29:06,040 --> 00:29:09,240
Speaker 2: but strouts are good. Now the issue for Houston one

552
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,479
Speaker 2: of six in the red zone sixteen point seven percent.

553
00:29:12,720 --> 00:29:15,720
Speaker 2: That is dead last in the league. I think Houston

554
00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:17,680
Speaker 2: is gonna be able to move the ball on this

555
00:29:17,800 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 2: Jacksonville team, and we don't expect the team to go

556
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:24,400
Speaker 2: seventeen percent for the red zone all year. And by

557
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:29,800
Speaker 2: the same token, Houston's opponents seventy eight percent in the

558
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:33,040
Speaker 2: red zone. That's fourth worst. So I think you're gonna

559
00:29:33,040 --> 00:29:34,600
Speaker 2: have you know, these these numbers tend to be a

560
00:29:34,640 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 2: little more volatile. I think you're gonna see a little

561
00:29:37,040 --> 00:29:39,520
Speaker 2: bit of regression, especially for the Houston offenses. I do

562
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 2: think looks good. I think Tank Dell. Tank Dell is

563
00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:45,680
Speaker 2: one of my favorite rookie receivers is probably already the

564
00:29:45,680 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 2: best receiver on the Texas now, Nico Collins has been

565
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,160
Speaker 2: playing really well as well. So I don't think offense

566
00:29:50,240 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: is going to be the issue. Yere don't love this

567
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 2: Jags defense. And on the other side, you know, Jacksonville

568
00:29:56,240 --> 00:29:58,520
Speaker 2: offensive line is still a little bit banged up, stilled out.

569
00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 2: You know, they're left tackle whos suspended. Uh, And you

570
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:06,040
Speaker 2: know we've seen this kind of inconsistency from Trevor Lawrence.

571
00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:10,680
Speaker 2: So you know, can the can the Texans keep it

572
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 2: within one possession? I think they can. They're gonna get

573
00:30:13,080 --> 00:30:16,000
Speaker 2: They're gonna get a cover and start hitting in the

574
00:30:16,000 --> 00:30:18,720
Speaker 2: red zone at some point. Now, when you look at Houston,

575
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:23,680
Speaker 2: they actually outgained uh. You know, both of their opponents

576
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 2: this year. They outgained Baltimore, they outgained uh, Indianapolis. But

577
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:29,040
Speaker 2: it's just that the red zone has been a real issue.

578
00:30:29,080 --> 00:30:32,440
Speaker 2: So this Jacksonville team, I still don't think Jacksonville's taking

579
00:30:32,440 --> 00:30:35,600
Speaker 2: that next step in c J. Stroud, considering the first

580
00:30:35,640 --> 00:30:38,600
Speaker 2: two games he's had only gonna get better. Uh. So

581
00:30:39,400 --> 00:30:41,520
Speaker 2: I want to kind of buy low on Houston here.

582
00:30:41,560 --> 00:30:44,600
Speaker 2: It's a big number for a divisional game, zero to

583
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:49,000
Speaker 2: two straight up underdogs against the favorite with with at

584
00:30:49,160 --> 00:30:52,320
Speaker 2: least one win in week three forty one sixty two

585
00:30:52,360 --> 00:30:55,080
Speaker 2: percent against the spread thirty four and fourteen against the

586
00:30:55,120 --> 00:31:00,000
Speaker 2: spread seventy one percent since twenty ten, and UH teams

587
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:02,680
Speaker 2: that are zero to two against the spread that are

588
00:31:02,760 --> 00:31:06,440
Speaker 2: underdogs in week three fifty seven and thirty five against

589
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:10,240
Speaker 2: the spread sixty two percent. So the trends back Houston.

590
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,240
Speaker 2: I like the quarterback. I think the offense. It does

591
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:19,200
Speaker 2: enough year to keep it within one possession against the Jaguarars.

592
00:31:20,560 --> 00:31:23,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, Jaggs had no business covered against the Colts and

593
00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:25,719
Speaker 4: then last week, bad, bad loss at home. It only

594
00:31:25,720 --> 00:31:28,480
Speaker 4: put nine puts up on the Chiefs to lose by

595
00:31:28,560 --> 00:31:31,000
Speaker 4: eight to the Chiefs in a game where the Chiefs

596
00:31:31,000 --> 00:31:34,240
Speaker 4: had twelve penalties for one hundred yards and three turnovers

597
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 4: and only scored you know twice in four red zone trips.

598
00:31:39,680 --> 00:31:43,960
Speaker 4: Ijags that JAG's offensive performance was discussing Chiefs six point

599
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:46,160
Speaker 4: two yards per play four hundred total yards of offense.

600
00:31:46,520 --> 00:31:48,880
Speaker 4: You might not know that from the seventeen points, but

601
00:31:48,960 --> 00:31:51,120
Speaker 4: there was a bunch of penalties and turnovers and red

602
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:55,320
Speaker 4: zone lack of execution. Jaggs only four point two yards

603
00:31:55,320 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 4: per play it'st the Chiefs bad. So yeah, I don't

604
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:03,680
Speaker 4: have a really strong feeling it, But if I was

605
00:32:03,720 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 4: going to bet it, it would be Houston or nothing.

606
00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:10,960
Speaker 4: And uh yeah, I think that they're definitely gonna there's

607
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:13,480
Speaker 4: gonna be some value in Houston. Maybe it starts this

608
00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:18,000
Speaker 4: week moving forward, especially as their offensive line just gets

609
00:32:18,360 --> 00:32:21,880
Speaker 4: healthier that offense. The hardest thing to implement from a

610
00:32:21,880 --> 00:32:27,560
Speaker 4: scheme perspective is just the offensive line, continuity, the reads,

611
00:32:27,640 --> 00:32:30,040
Speaker 4: and it usually takes some time. You got a lot

612
00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:34,320
Speaker 4: of moving parts. So as there continue to figure it out,

613
00:32:34,720 --> 00:32:38,320
Speaker 4: I think that execution in the red zone, scoring efficiency,

614
00:32:38,360 --> 00:32:40,400
Speaker 4: all that is going to continue to improve.

615
00:32:40,800 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 2: Yeah, this is uh, this is a spot you want

616
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,320
Speaker 2: to faye Trevor Lawrence. He is two and six against

617
00:32:45,320 --> 00:32:47,760
Speaker 2: the spread as a favorite, zero and four against the

618
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,200
Speaker 2: spread as a favorite by four or more points. So

619
00:32:50,400 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 2: this is this is the Fade Laurence spot as well.

620
00:32:55,160 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 2: Where you going for you or third?

621
00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 4: Yeah? For my third and final pick of the week

622
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 4: three Sunday six pack, I'm going with the Las Vegas

623
00:33:09,000 --> 00:33:12,280
Speaker 4: Raiders minus two and a half against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

624
00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:17,280
Speaker 4: I don't really value any travel trends or but This

625
00:33:17,320 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 4: is one that still I think holds a little bit

626
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:22,120
Speaker 4: away East Coast team on a short week going across

627
00:33:22,160 --> 00:33:24,160
Speaker 4: the country to play in primetime on the West Coast.

628
00:33:24,400 --> 00:33:26,160
Speaker 4: I think teams in that spot are the best twenty

629
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:29,360
Speaker 4: five years, eight and sixteen against the spread just seems

630
00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:32,400
Speaker 4: to throw off your body, clock less preparation. But this

631
00:33:32,560 --> 00:33:38,080
Speaker 4: is primarily a major fade of the Pittsburgh Steelers. I

632
00:33:38,320 --> 00:33:42,239
Speaker 4: have not seen anything to give me any confidence that

633
00:33:42,280 --> 00:33:46,320
Speaker 4: they can score with any consistency. You already, I mean,

634
00:33:46,320 --> 00:33:49,160
Speaker 4: you have Johnson, Jah Johnson, who's now in I are

635
00:33:49,760 --> 00:33:52,400
Speaker 4: it doesn't matter. They can't call. Their offensive line is

636
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:55,920
Speaker 4: still a mess. But I'm not a canny pick a guy.

637
00:33:56,720 --> 00:34:00,760
Speaker 4: Don't believe in him. And most importantly, he's not really

638
00:34:00,760 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 4: getting help around him that offensive line. He's got wide

639
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:06,640
Speaker 4: receiver injuries. I love pickings, but that's about it. Matt

640
00:34:06,680 --> 00:34:10,000
Speaker 4: Canada is terrible. He's running an outdated offense. He doesn't

641
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:14,200
Speaker 4: use any of the modern tools that all the other

642
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,799
Speaker 4: best offenses in the league are using. This offense needs

643
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:20,720
Speaker 4: to be blown up. And I'm just not a believer

644
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,920
Speaker 4: in picket. The Steelers didn't sniff the red zone stand

645
00:34:24,960 --> 00:34:28,080
Speaker 4: in sniff it last week against the Browns. It was

646
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:31,279
Speaker 4: this pathetic offensive performance, and then on the other side

647
00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:34,160
Speaker 4: of the ball on defense, I think this defense is

648
00:34:34,200 --> 00:34:38,400
Speaker 4: a tad bit overrated against the run. Without Cam Hayward,

649
00:34:38,480 --> 00:34:41,440
Speaker 4: the numbers fall off a cliff. We saw that last week.

650
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,600
Speaker 4: Didn't matter if Chubb was in there or not. Browns

651
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:45,880
Speaker 4: are running wild no matter who they handed the ball to,

652
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:50,719
Speaker 4: running all over everywhere. Mikah Fitzpatrick also banged up out

653
00:34:50,760 --> 00:34:52,560
Speaker 4: of the hospital. He might play, but if he's out

654
00:34:52,600 --> 00:34:56,839
Speaker 4: that secondary then it becomes really problematic. You gotta hope

655
00:34:56,880 --> 00:35:00,759
Speaker 4: that Josh Jacobs can run forward now a lot. He's

656
00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,040
Speaker 4: out of shape and teams are stacking the box now

657
00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:06,239
Speaker 4: and bearing. Jimmy g to beat them with his arm,

658
00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:08,000
Speaker 4: but I think can get rid of the ball quick here.

659
00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,360
Speaker 4: The secondary can't really cover the Raiders receivers, and I

660
00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:14,839
Speaker 4: just I don't care if the Raiders d is bad.

661
00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:16,480
Speaker 4: And I don't care if the Raiders went to Buffalo

662
00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,960
Speaker 4: and got blown out this week. I expected that. I

663
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,680
Speaker 4: don't like this Pittsburgh team. Terrible spot after a lucky,

664
00:35:21,719 --> 00:35:25,280
Speaker 4: emotional win, going out to the West Coast in prime time.

665
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:28,279
Speaker 4: This is the type of game that Jimmy g can win.

666
00:35:29,040 --> 00:35:30,919
Speaker 4: I don't like this a three, but anything under three

667
00:35:32,560 --> 00:35:35,279
Speaker 4: this is a pure fate of this Pittsburgh offense that

668
00:35:35,400 --> 00:35:38,600
Speaker 4: is a complete mess right now, and then adding the

669
00:35:38,640 --> 00:35:42,520
Speaker 4: injuries and the situation, I'm happy to lay under three

670
00:35:42,520 --> 00:35:43,040
Speaker 4: with the Raiders.

671
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:49,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Pittsburgh. Here's a fun stat for Pittsburgh. Only one

672
00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:53,680
Speaker 2: team has fewer red zone trips than the Chicago Bears,

673
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:57,719
Speaker 2: who have three, and is the Pittsburgh Steelers, who have two.

674
00:35:58,680 --> 00:36:02,480
Speaker 2: Two what a game? Not good? That is gonna do

675
00:36:02,520 --> 00:36:06,440
Speaker 2: it for the week three Sunday six pack two recap

676
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:10,760
Speaker 2: stuck as the Indianapolis Colts plus seven and a half

677
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:15,680
Speaker 2: at Baltimore, the Cleveland Browns minus three at home against

678
00:36:15,719 --> 00:36:19,160
Speaker 2: the Titans, and the Las Vegas Raiders the minus two

679
00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:22,759
Speaker 2: and a half at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers. I'll

680
00:36:22,760 --> 00:36:24,279
Speaker 2: have a write up for that game at Action network

681
00:36:24,320 --> 00:36:26,239
Speaker 2: dot Com in the app by the way, so be

682
00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:29,440
Speaker 2: sure to check that out. And I have the Falcons

683
00:36:29,440 --> 00:36:32,080
Speaker 2: plus three and a half at Detroit, the Saints plus

684
00:36:32,520 --> 00:36:37,960
Speaker 2: two at Green Bay, and the Houston Texans plus nine

685
00:36:38,000 --> 00:36:42,279
Speaker 2: and a half at the Jacksonville Jaguars. All right, that

686
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:45,120
Speaker 2: was our Sunday six pack. Now it is time for

687
00:36:45,200 --> 00:36:47,439
Speaker 2: our Week three coaches pep talk.

688
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,000
Speaker 4: You keep playing the way you're playing, We're gonna get

689
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,760
Speaker 4: an ass speed again to ninth and it stopped right now.

690
00:36:54,200 --> 00:36:57,279
Speaker 2: This week's coaches cup talk comes to us from coach

691
00:36:57,360 --> 00:37:01,840
Speaker 2: Willie in the nineteen ninety one film Sarry Roughness, and

692
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:10,000
Speaker 2: we are gonna dedicate this to the Chicago Bears. I

693
00:37:10,040 --> 00:37:13,000
Speaker 2: mean they have no coaches. The Bears are in the Chargers.

694
00:37:13,080 --> 00:37:16,320
Speaker 2: Let's go Bears and Chargers Chargers defense, because the Chargers

695
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:18,279
Speaker 2: defense has been the worst defensive football. So it's like

696
00:37:18,320 --> 00:37:20,120
Speaker 2: they have no coaches, even though they're supposed to have

697
00:37:20,160 --> 00:37:24,120
Speaker 2: a defensive coach. And then the Bears, they're just coaching backwards.

698
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:28,160
Speaker 4: You know how to play hard those footballs like a

699
00:37:28,200 --> 00:37:30,520
Speaker 4: goddamn wild man, like a.

700
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,919
Speaker 2: Goddamn ron, bracing pace, and that's the way you're gonna

701
00:37:33,920 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: do it.

702
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:35,560
Speaker 4: You go out there, you'll.

703
00:37:35,400 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 2: Tell you that fucking heads off and your ship down

704
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:39,479
Speaker 2: the next Let us.

705
00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:43,120
Speaker 4: Pray maybe the Bears should hire Stania as the defensive coordinator.

706
00:37:43,280 --> 00:37:44,600
Speaker 4: I think that would work for everybody.

707
00:37:45,280 --> 00:37:47,799
Speaker 2: I would like to see an experiment of like a

708
00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:51,200
Speaker 2: team without coaches, just let the let the guys go

709
00:37:51,239 --> 00:37:53,280
Speaker 2: out there and just let the green down on defense,

710
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:55,720
Speaker 2: call the plays, let justin field to drop some plays

711
00:37:55,760 --> 00:37:58,680
Speaker 2: and run around back there. I guarantee the Bears would

712
00:37:58,719 --> 00:38:02,480
Speaker 2: do better than you know whatever is is. Yeah, exactly

713
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:08,080
Speaker 2: stuck you and I know that more memories are made

714
00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:11,200
Speaker 2: when you're there for live NFL action and when you

715
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,040
Speaker 2: need tickets, Ticketmaster has got you covered. As the official

716
00:38:14,080 --> 00:38:18,480
Speaker 2: marketplace of the NFL. Ticketmaster gives you more ways to

717
00:38:18,520 --> 00:38:22,160
Speaker 2: find your perfect seat to Their interactive seat map gives

718
00:38:22,200 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 2: you three hundred and sixty degree previews of your section

719
00:38:25,080 --> 00:38:28,200
Speaker 2: to make sure you have the best view of those

720
00:38:28,400 --> 00:38:32,319
Speaker 2: pivotal plays and if your plans change, Ticketmaster gives you

721
00:38:32,360 --> 00:38:36,000
Speaker 2: more flexibility to sell or transfer your tickets, plus mobile

722
00:38:36,000 --> 00:38:39,040
Speaker 2: tickets make getting it on game debres, and you can

723
00:38:39,080 --> 00:38:42,960
Speaker 2: even customize your Ticketmaster app to wrap your favorite teams colors.

724
00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:49,080
Speaker 2: Find tickets today at ticketmaster dot com slash NFL. All right,

725
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:53,000
Speaker 2: time for our favorite totals of the week.

726
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:56,680
Speaker 4: Well, this is shocking. I cast two overs on the

727
00:38:56,719 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 4: show last week. We're going back to another over. This

728
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:02,759
Speaker 4: might be the last one of the year. I tend

729
00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:05,440
Speaker 4: to look for unders, but an over pop. We're going

730
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:12,160
Speaker 4: to Broncos Dolphins over the Broncos. I still think the

731
00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:16,680
Speaker 4: market is low on totals on Broncos games because there's

732
00:39:16,719 --> 00:39:21,000
Speaker 4: still like this sentiment that Russ sucks and the Broncos

733
00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:23,640
Speaker 4: defense is respectable, but it's like the opposite. Now the

734
00:39:23,680 --> 00:39:27,200
Speaker 4: Broncos lead the NFL in points per drive. The difference

735
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:30,399
Speaker 4: Payton has revamped this offense. A lot of it is

736
00:39:30,400 --> 00:39:34,040
Speaker 4: his scripted portion of his scripted plays have been amazing.

737
00:39:34,480 --> 00:39:36,400
Speaker 4: But that's good. The Broncos couldn't do that later, They

738
00:39:36,400 --> 00:39:39,520
Speaker 4: wouldn't score it until like the garbage time. But the

739
00:39:40,200 --> 00:39:42,839
Speaker 4: you know, his his scripting has been amazing, and then

740
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:45,239
Speaker 4: you know, the Broncos offense has fallen off in the

741
00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:49,360
Speaker 4: second half, but you know, I like to use some

742
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:53,160
Speaker 4: more plaction, extra blockers, and the offense is definitely way

743
00:39:53,200 --> 00:39:55,359
Speaker 4: more competent than it was last year. It's just way

744
00:39:55,600 --> 00:40:00,839
Speaker 4: better school and the defense is a disaster. They replaced well.

745
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:03,600
Speaker 4: They ad vic Fanjoe is one of the most well

746
00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:06,160
Speaker 4: respected defensive coordinators. Who's couldna be on the other side

747
00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:07,440
Speaker 4: for this game. But I'll get to that in a second.

748
00:40:07,960 --> 00:40:10,200
Speaker 4: With Evro, who I love and I think is a

749
00:40:10,239 --> 00:40:14,880
Speaker 4: fantastic defensive coordinator. He's gone vance Joseph comes in. I

750
00:40:14,920 --> 00:40:17,720
Speaker 4: have no idea what's going on all this defense. Joseph

751
00:40:17,760 --> 00:40:20,400
Speaker 4: loves the blitz, but there's no rhyme or reason behind

752
00:40:20,400 --> 00:40:24,680
Speaker 4: his blitzing. There's too much zone in the back end. Yeah,

753
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:29,880
Speaker 4: there's one of I mean tomorrow, Mathis has been I

754
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:32,319
Speaker 4: can't even describe how bad he's been. He's obviously fight,

755
00:40:32,480 --> 00:40:34,680
Speaker 4: but by far the worst rate mentioned.

756
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:36,440
Speaker 2: Him last week. I was like, that was what worried

757
00:40:36,480 --> 00:40:39,240
Speaker 2: me more than anything with that Broncos game was Tomari

758
00:40:39,320 --> 00:40:41,120
Speaker 2: matthis like singularly.

759
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:44,759
Speaker 4: He's adjusting got again, they're not adjusting that like that.

760
00:40:44,920 --> 00:40:47,759
Speaker 4: That's they only target ed certained like twice, but they're

761
00:40:47,760 --> 00:40:50,839
Speaker 4: not adjusting that. Just how I mentioned four, I think

762
00:40:50,840 --> 00:40:53,440
Speaker 4: how Went's seven or eight of eight in on screen

763
00:40:53,520 --> 00:40:57,800
Speaker 4: passes in the second half for ninety two yards thirteen

764
00:40:57,840 --> 00:41:01,480
Speaker 4: point one average, basically won in the game they adjusted.

765
00:41:01,800 --> 00:41:06,400
Speaker 4: Now I get Kareem Jackson was just he got thrown

766
00:41:06,440 --> 00:41:08,920
Speaker 4: out and then there was an injury to turn or

767
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:12,400
Speaker 4: Yell and then it was a mess in the secondary.

768
00:41:13,280 --> 00:41:15,600
Speaker 4: But the defense just isn't making any plays. The linebackers

769
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:18,760
Speaker 4: are playing well and Certain and people just avoid Certain,

770
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:23,680
Speaker 4: And I don't know how you fix things in a week.

771
00:41:23,920 --> 00:41:25,840
Speaker 4: I think Jose was gonna up getting fired. But I

772
00:41:25,840 --> 00:41:27,919
Speaker 4: don't know how you fix things in a week going

773
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:32,879
Speaker 4: up against this prolific offense that is rolling. I mean,

774
00:41:32,880 --> 00:41:36,600
Speaker 4: maybe you could argue that you stick Certain on Tyreek,

775
00:41:36,760 --> 00:41:38,440
Speaker 4: I just don't do. I don't think there's any way

776
00:41:38,440 --> 00:41:41,400
Speaker 4: to blanket to shadow Tyreek Hill with anybody with the

777
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 4: way that they move him around. It's just not possible.

778
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:47,480
Speaker 4: But that would be the acas. Waddle is in concussion protocol.

779
00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 4: Apparently he's progress progressing well, but they're McDaniel's gonna cook

780
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:55,440
Speaker 4: the rest of the secondary and just take advantage of

781
00:41:55,520 --> 00:42:00,400
Speaker 4: all the matchups they have. Broncos aren't getting pressures, nothing

782
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:02,080
Speaker 4: for me here now. On the other side, the Miami

783
00:42:02,160 --> 00:42:06,800
Speaker 4: defense not doing anything for me. They you know, obviously

784
00:42:06,840 --> 00:42:08,680
Speaker 4: they weren't going to shootout with the Chargers who scored

785
00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:11,520
Speaker 4: at will. And then last week, even if it's a bad,

786
00:42:11,680 --> 00:42:14,520
Speaker 4: bad Patriots offense, the Patriots were in I think in

787
00:42:14,560 --> 00:42:17,120
Speaker 4: Miami territory six times and on drive, so they didn't

788
00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:20,640
Speaker 4: score any points. And I think Denver will be able

789
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:22,120
Speaker 4: to move the ball. What Denver is doing is they're

790
00:42:22,160 --> 00:42:24,080
Speaker 4: like efficiently moving the ball. There's not really a lot

791
00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:27,600
Speaker 4: of explosedness. Well that's what Fangio gives you. So I

792
00:42:27,600 --> 00:42:29,560
Speaker 4: think the Bronxs gonna be happy to take that. They're

793
00:42:29,560 --> 00:42:31,640
Speaker 4: gonna move up and down the field. I think I

794
00:42:31,640 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 4: think they're gonna get points early on in the scripted

795
00:42:34,239 --> 00:42:39,240
Speaker 4: portion in the Miami defense, just Howard might be washed.

796
00:42:39,960 --> 00:42:45,719
Speaker 4: They really miss Ramsey and I just am not a

797
00:42:45,760 --> 00:42:47,680
Speaker 4: fan of it. It's gonna take time for Fanjo to

798
00:42:47,719 --> 00:42:51,319
Speaker 4: get this right. Usually there's some growing pains, so there's

799
00:42:51,360 --> 00:42:55,239
Speaker 4: no slowing down this Miami offense, but especially I don't

800
00:42:55,280 --> 00:42:58,160
Speaker 4: see this Denver defense slowing down. There's no reason why

801
00:42:58,200 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 4: Miami kid get to thirty plus. And I think gender

802
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:02,360
Speaker 4: is good for seventeen to twenty.

803
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:08,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, Miami overs Denver overs both. I think both are

804
00:43:08,239 --> 00:43:11,680
Speaker 2: going to be profitable at least early in this year

805
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:14,799
Speaker 2: until the market fully adjusted. So I like that as well.

806
00:43:16,960 --> 00:43:22,120
Speaker 3: For my total, I'm going with the steal one that

807
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:24,160
Speaker 3: thought on that the offense all the line, I want

808
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:25,680
Speaker 3: to give them credit because they're playing a lot better

809
00:43:25,760 --> 00:43:29,160
Speaker 3: than I thought they've been building that offensive line, but

810
00:43:30,520 --> 00:43:31,000
Speaker 3: so far.

811
00:43:31,040 --> 00:43:33,839
Speaker 4: So good that can really take this offense to another level.

812
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:35,840
Speaker 4: Look at yeah, I.

813
00:43:35,840 --> 00:43:40,919
Speaker 2: Mean Daniel, he just he knows how to scheme man. Okay, yeah,

814
00:43:40,920 --> 00:43:44,640
Speaker 2: I'm going Steelers Raiders under forty three. And you know,

815
00:43:44,719 --> 00:43:46,560
Speaker 2: we kind of started to talk about it, the Steer

816
00:43:46,680 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 2: offense even against you know, a Raider defense that you know,

817
00:43:49,719 --> 00:43:51,600
Speaker 2: we kind of think of as one of the worst

818
00:43:51,600 --> 00:43:53,520
Speaker 2: and probably guess one of the worst in the National

819
00:43:53,560 --> 00:43:57,320
Speaker 2: Football League. I still think the Steelers are going to

820
00:43:57,360 --> 00:44:00,040
Speaker 2: struggle here, you know, and if they do score, I

821
00:44:00,080 --> 00:44:03,279
Speaker 2: don't think it's gonna be you know, explosive. I think

822
00:44:03,280 --> 00:44:04,600
Speaker 2: they're gonna have to kind of go up and down

823
00:44:04,640 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 2: the field. But they are last in the National Football

824
00:44:07,719 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 2: League in points per drive at point eighty. I already

825
00:44:12,560 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 2: mentioned it, last in the league in red zone trips

826
00:44:15,920 --> 00:44:20,040
Speaker 2: with just two. And on the other side, this Raider offense,

827
00:44:21,080 --> 00:44:24,240
Speaker 2: they've really slowed the tempo down this year with Jimmy

828
00:44:24,239 --> 00:44:27,160
Speaker 2: g They're twenty ninth in seconds per play and that's

829
00:44:27,320 --> 00:44:31,200
Speaker 2: that's even with a a game where they lost by

830
00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:33,840
Speaker 2: twenty eight, you know, included that's one of their two games.

831
00:44:33,880 --> 00:44:37,719
Speaker 2: And still they are in the bottom four in terms

832
00:44:37,840 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 2: of pace and I think this Raider offense is it's

833
00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:45,920
Speaker 2: gonna I think the Raiders are the right side, like

834
00:44:46,080 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 2: like you said, But I do think this Raider offense

835
00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:53,319
Speaker 2: is going to struggle a little bit because, first of all,

836
00:44:53,440 --> 00:44:56,920
Speaker 2: Jimmy G hasn't been sacked yet. You know, I think

837
00:44:56,960 --> 00:44:59,680
Speaker 2: that's gonna turn around. But I do think the Raiders

838
00:44:59,680 --> 00:45:02,120
Speaker 2: will could continue to play this slow pace because they're

839
00:45:02,200 --> 00:45:03,839
Speaker 2: finally probably gonna be able to run the ball. They

840
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:05,400
Speaker 2: have not been able to run the ball in the

841
00:45:05,440 --> 00:45:08,320
Speaker 2: first two weeks. Now that's concerning, you know, in and

842
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:11,120
Speaker 2: of itself, because last year, if there's one thing working

843
00:45:11,960 --> 00:45:13,520
Speaker 2: for the Raiders, it was their run game. But they

844
00:45:13,560 --> 00:45:16,000
Speaker 2: have sixty one against the Broncos, fifty three, oh fifty

845
00:45:16,000 --> 00:45:19,160
Speaker 2: five excuse me against Buffalo. That's not going to cut it.

846
00:45:19,239 --> 00:45:22,759
Speaker 2: They've failed to crack two hundred and seventy total yards

847
00:45:22,760 --> 00:45:26,560
Speaker 2: of offense yet. So I think this Raider team is,

848
00:45:26,960 --> 00:45:30,399
Speaker 2: you know, playing Pittsburgh, nothing's going to come super easy.

849
00:45:30,719 --> 00:45:33,520
Speaker 2: But I do think they'll kind of stick with Jacobs here.

850
00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:35,439
Speaker 2: I don't think Jimmy G will have to do too much.

851
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:38,560
Speaker 2: And you know these teams did match up, now it

852
00:45:38,719 --> 00:45:41,759
Speaker 2: was it was Derek Carr. But these teams matched up

853
00:45:42,280 --> 00:45:46,080
Speaker 2: fairly recently. Week sixteen of last year thirteen to ten

854
00:45:46,840 --> 00:45:52,239
Speaker 2: game was the final result with the Steelers pulling it

855
00:45:52,280 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 2: out wait on a comeback. So Kenny Pikett if he doesn't,

856
00:45:55,760 --> 00:45:57,920
Speaker 2: you know, get a last second comeback, I mean, this

857
00:45:58,080 --> 00:46:01,359
Speaker 2: is like a thirty ten to seven so and that's

858
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,439
Speaker 2: you know, that's like five games ago for these teams.

859
00:46:03,520 --> 00:46:06,280
Speaker 2: So I don't think Jimmy g upgrades the Raiders offense

860
00:46:06,600 --> 00:46:10,120
Speaker 2: that massively over Derek Carr to where we're expecting a

861
00:46:10,200 --> 00:46:13,920
Speaker 2: ton here. So I think it's gonna be a hard fought, slow,

862
00:46:14,480 --> 00:46:18,040
Speaker 2: slower paced game where you know, the Steelers are gonna

863
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:21,920
Speaker 2: are gonna kind of make the Raiders defense actually look solid,

864
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:24,440
Speaker 2: and the Raiders are just gonna run on the Steelers

865
00:46:24,480 --> 00:46:26,600
Speaker 2: because that's what you do. That's what teams have been

866
00:46:26,600 --> 00:46:30,279
Speaker 2: having success doing. And uh, I think before you know it,

867
00:46:30,400 --> 00:46:32,360
Speaker 2: you know, you're gonna look up in the third quarter,

868
00:46:32,440 --> 00:46:35,080
Speaker 2: it's gonna be like, you know, thirteen to seven Raiders

869
00:46:35,160 --> 00:46:38,440
Speaker 2: or thirteen six Raiders or something like that. So give

870
00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:43,280
Speaker 2: me the Steelers Raiders under and also got some pretty

871
00:46:43,920 --> 00:46:50,040
Speaker 2: good Mike Tomlin road under trends road under since twenty

872
00:46:50,120 --> 00:46:55,279
Speaker 2: fourteen for the Steelers forty nine, twenty three and one

873
00:46:55,880 --> 00:47:00,920
Speaker 2: sixty eight percent, covering by three point four points per

874
00:47:01,040 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 2: game under forty three.

875
00:47:03,080 --> 00:47:04,239
Speaker 4: We all talk too much.

876
00:47:04,960 --> 00:47:07,879
Speaker 2: Sharp dues can just see it because sharp dudes don't

877
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:11,080
Speaker 2: care what you say anyway, They just watching, you know

878
00:47:11,120 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 2: what I mean? All right? So yes, Dolphins Broncos over

879
00:47:15,760 --> 00:47:18,520
Speaker 2: forty eight and a half, Raiders, Steelers under forty three.

880
00:47:19,040 --> 00:47:21,479
Speaker 2: Now it's time for our favorite teaser of the week.

881
00:47:22,680 --> 00:47:32,160
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, six point teasers. Don't chase, don't tease me,

882
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:33,920
Speaker 2: try to please.

883
00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 4: A couple of quick rules. Never teas through zero, never

884
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 4: tease totals, and ideally you want to tease, you know,

885
00:47:44,280 --> 00:47:48,200
Speaker 4: through key numbers three and seven, and lower the total

886
00:47:48,239 --> 00:47:52,400
Speaker 4: the better because there is less variance in the scoring. So,

887
00:47:53,360 --> 00:47:57,520
Speaker 4: having said that, my favorite teaser of the week is,

888
00:47:57,600 --> 00:48:01,960
Speaker 4: we're going to take two dogs that are catching two

889
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:06,000
Speaker 4: and a half two points in games with low projected

890
00:48:06,040 --> 00:48:09,360
Speaker 4: totals and tease them up over a touchdown. And that

891
00:48:09,600 --> 00:48:13,239
Speaker 4: is the Saints talked about earlier. It's really hard for

892
00:48:13,320 --> 00:48:15,719
Speaker 4: me to see the Packers running away with this. With

893
00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:17,719
Speaker 4: the way that the Saints play d especially when you

894
00:48:17,800 --> 00:48:21,759
Speaker 4: take into account the Packers' injuries, and then we're gonna

895
00:48:21,800 --> 00:48:26,160
Speaker 4: bring in We're gonna bring them back, mister Wilson, Zach Wilson,

896
00:48:27,080 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 4: bringing them back into the fall. But we're gonna this

897
00:48:29,960 --> 00:48:32,839
Speaker 4: is we're gonna get. We're gonna get six points in Zach,

898
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:36,600
Speaker 4: which is important. And I think that this Jets defense

899
00:48:36,680 --> 00:48:38,680
Speaker 4: is going to show up this week. They feel like

900
00:48:38,719 --> 00:48:41,960
Speaker 4: they feel like they were embarrassed last week and they

901
00:48:42,040 --> 00:48:43,640
Speaker 4: really want this one. They haven't beat the Patriots in

902
00:48:43,680 --> 00:48:48,200
Speaker 4: what eight years Bill Belichick has owned Zach Wilson, which

903
00:48:48,239 --> 00:48:51,520
Speaker 4: is kind of concerning, but this game should be super

904
00:48:51,640 --> 00:48:54,520
Speaker 4: of it. I think the total is thirty seven. The

905
00:48:54,640 --> 00:48:58,759
Speaker 4: Patriots offense is just so limited, always happy to take

906
00:48:58,840 --> 00:49:01,359
Speaker 4: over a touchdown in the low total game against them.

907
00:49:01,520 --> 00:49:03,319
Speaker 4: So Saints and Jets for.

908
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:07,800
Speaker 2: Me, yeah, I like I like that. I'm going Saints

909
00:49:07,920 --> 00:49:11,960
Speaker 2: and Bills. This Bills team has lost, you know, four

910
00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,359
Speaker 2: times since the start of last year. Two have come

911
00:49:14,440 --> 00:49:17,360
Speaker 2: against the Jets. One of them was an overtime and

912
00:49:17,400 --> 00:49:20,440
Speaker 2: a park return. One of them was that ridiculous sequence

913
00:49:20,480 --> 00:49:23,680
Speaker 2: of events against the Vikings, uh, and then one of

914
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:26,440
Speaker 2: them was that ridiculous sequence of events against the Miami Dolphins.

915
00:49:26,480 --> 00:49:30,920
Speaker 2: So this Bills team, you know, don't love They usually

916
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:33,640
Speaker 2: do win big, but I don't love laying six and

917
00:49:33,680 --> 00:49:35,840
Speaker 2: a half on the road. You know, we saw Washington

918
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:39,480
Speaker 2: go down and get frisky and come back and against Denver.

919
00:49:39,680 --> 00:49:42,160
Speaker 2: So I'll tease the Bills down, expect them to keep

920
00:49:42,200 --> 00:49:45,080
Speaker 2: winning here and you know, get to two and one

921
00:49:45,239 --> 00:49:46,920
Speaker 2: and then yeah, tease the Saints.

922
00:49:46,920 --> 00:49:49,359
Speaker 4: Washington fraudulent, fraudulent two and now, I mean they could

923
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:52,759
Speaker 4: have lost the Arizona at home, and they were down

924
00:49:52,960 --> 00:49:55,960
Speaker 4: three touchdowns to the Broncos and came back and won.

925
00:49:57,040 --> 00:50:00,359
Speaker 4: So two wins by two bear two wins. It's teams

926
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:01,680
Speaker 4: that aren't going to stiff the playoffs.

927
00:50:02,600 --> 00:50:02,799
Speaker 3: Yeah.

928
00:50:02,960 --> 00:50:06,560
Speaker 2: So Buffalo and I already talked about New Orleans. I

929
00:50:06,600 --> 00:50:10,279
Speaker 2: think it's a great teaser spot. I don't for Sea

930
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:14,040
Speaker 2: Green Bay blown anyone out. I think New Orleans wins

931
00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:16,759
Speaker 2: this game, but love getting the eight years. So teas

932
00:50:16,800 --> 00:50:18,920
Speaker 2: and Warrans to eight, Buffalo to half a point, and

933
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:21,240
Speaker 2: you got New Orleans to plus eight and the Jets

934
00:50:21,280 --> 00:50:26,520
Speaker 2: to plus eight and a half. That is our teaser

935
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:31,920
Speaker 2: for week number three. As a reminder, Action Network Podcast

936
00:50:32,040 --> 00:50:37,239
Speaker 2: is presented by bet MGM use Bonus Code Action Actio

937
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 2: and when signing up to get up to fifteen one

938
00:50:40,520 --> 00:50:44,439
Speaker 2: hundred dollars paid back in bonus bets if your first

939
00:50:44,680 --> 00:50:52,400
Speaker 2: bet loses. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

940
00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:57,759
Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming,

941
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:00,960
Speaker 2: terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older

942
00:51:01,040 --> 00:51:06,120
Speaker 2: and gambling problem call one eight hundred gambler. Right now,

943
00:51:06,160 --> 00:51:18,480
Speaker 2: it's time for an underdog money line parlay. Didn't hit

944
00:51:18,520 --> 00:51:20,359
Speaker 2: the parlay, but we've each hit one so far.

945
00:51:20,920 --> 00:51:22,000
Speaker 4: Let's put them together this week.

946
00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:23,640
Speaker 2: Yeah, we got to get them together this week. But

947
00:51:23,760 --> 00:51:25,600
Speaker 2: you know, either way, you know, if you've just followed,

948
00:51:26,120 --> 00:51:28,560
Speaker 2: you should be profitable on these, you know, just betting,

949
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:31,560
Speaker 2: even the individually. But we always want to hit the parway.

950
00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:32,520
Speaker 2: So where are you going?

951
00:51:33,160 --> 00:51:36,160
Speaker 4: Let's go. So when I do this, my favorite way

952
00:51:36,239 --> 00:51:38,279
Speaker 4: to do this is when I'm looking for with the

953
00:51:38,320 --> 00:51:43,400
Speaker 4: money one underdog is look for some uncertainty and some variants.

954
00:51:43,680 --> 00:51:48,640
Speaker 4: So let's go to Seattle and take the Carolina Panthers

955
00:51:48,800 --> 00:51:51,319
Speaker 4: on the money line. Nice, nice little price here. They're

956
00:51:51,320 --> 00:51:54,160
Speaker 4: close to I think a six point underdog at the moment.

957
00:51:54,760 --> 00:52:00,000
Speaker 4: And the variance here is twofold one. I already talked

958
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:05,000
Speaker 4: talked about Carolina's defensive coordinator a big fan of and

959
00:52:05,480 --> 00:52:09,160
Speaker 4: he's gonna he's gonna get some quarterbacks this year in

960
00:52:09,200 --> 00:52:11,480
Speaker 4: a couple of weeks and just confuse the hell out

961
00:52:11,480 --> 00:52:13,320
Speaker 4: of them and they're gonna make a couple key mistakes.

962
00:52:14,200 --> 00:52:18,200
Speaker 4: I can easily see Geno Smith doing that here. And additionally,

963
00:52:19,120 --> 00:52:20,920
Speaker 4: the on the other side of the ball where I

964
00:52:20,920 --> 00:52:25,200
Speaker 4: think there's more variance is for Ice Young hasn't looked

965
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:28,600
Speaker 4: great so far. There's only a two starts, you know,

966
00:52:28,960 --> 00:52:31,960
Speaker 4: your first one on the road, your second one against

967
00:52:31,960 --> 00:52:35,560
Speaker 4: a really good Saints Day. Now we're gonna learn a

968
00:52:35,600 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 4: lot about him, Like I'm really interested to watch this

969
00:52:37,640 --> 00:52:42,560
Speaker 4: game to learn about where he could potentially go, maybe

970
00:52:42,600 --> 00:52:45,680
Speaker 4: not just this year, but beyond. Because against Seattle you

971
00:52:45,719 --> 00:52:48,720
Speaker 4: should have time and he's gonna have time in the pocket.

972
00:52:49,440 --> 00:52:52,800
Speaker 4: Can he make the throws this week against the Seattle

973
00:52:52,880 --> 00:52:56,480
Speaker 4: d That does not look great. If he shows signs

974
00:52:56,520 --> 00:52:59,040
Speaker 4: of life, they're gonna be promised. If he doesn't have

975
00:52:59,040 --> 00:53:02,080
Speaker 4: a good game this week. He's not making the throws

976
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,960
Speaker 4: could be a worrying sign, but we still don't know

977
00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:07,680
Speaker 4: a ton about him, and he's gonna have time, and

978
00:53:07,719 --> 00:53:10,360
Speaker 4: when he has time, he theoretically should be able to

979
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:13,439
Speaker 4: make all the throws. So yeah, I'm gonna I'm gonna

980
00:53:13,480 --> 00:53:19,160
Speaker 4: buy low on Carolina here. Hope for some defensive coordinator magic,

981
00:53:19,600 --> 00:53:24,000
Speaker 4: and I hope for Bryce Young to kind of have

982
00:53:24,400 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 4: a little bit of a breakout game against the defense

983
00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:29,880
Speaker 4: that is pretty conducive to going against as for a

984
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:32,040
Speaker 4: rookie quarterback. So let's go with the Panthers.

985
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 2: H how would your line your number change if Andy

986
00:53:37,680 --> 00:53:38,280
Speaker 2: Dalton started.

987
00:53:38,920 --> 00:53:42,440
Speaker 4: I don't think it would change much, but I think

988
00:53:42,480 --> 00:53:46,040
Speaker 4: I would if Andy Dalton started, as of right now,

989
00:53:46,360 --> 00:53:49,359
Speaker 4: I would upgrade the Panthers by like a half a point.

990
00:53:49,960 --> 00:53:51,719
Speaker 4: So I mean the line would change by about a

991
00:53:51,719 --> 00:53:54,040
Speaker 4: half a point. That's just because I know more about

992
00:53:54,080 --> 00:53:57,160
Speaker 4: Andy Dalton. And there's you know, rookie quarterbacks, you're supposed

993
00:53:57,160 --> 00:53:59,040
Speaker 4: to assume that they're going to struggle. But I wouldn't

994
00:53:59,080 --> 00:54:01,799
Speaker 4: take the money on underdog if it was Andy Dalton.

995
00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:03,960
Speaker 2: Sorry, yeah, because Bryce Young didn't this practice today with

996
00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:06,880
Speaker 2: an ankle injury, and they signed Jacob Lowton to the

997
00:54:06,920 --> 00:54:11,080
Speaker 2: practice squad, which is somewhat concerning. So that is something

998
00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:13,640
Speaker 2: to monitor. But yeah, I don't think we're gonna be

999
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:17,000
Speaker 2: looking too funly on Panthers offensive coaching either. But yeah,

1000
00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:20,160
Speaker 2: the defense has been very good. Just got to hope

1001
00:54:20,160 --> 00:54:22,760
Speaker 2: they can weather that that store with j C. Horne

1002
00:54:22,880 --> 00:54:26,879
Speaker 2: and Shaq Thompson being out. All right, for me, I'm

1003
00:54:26,920 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 2: going and you talked about it, I'm gonna go to

1004
00:54:29,160 --> 00:54:34,520
Speaker 2: the Jets plus one twenty five. They finally finally get

1005
00:54:34,560 --> 00:54:37,399
Speaker 2: this win against the Patriots that's been eluding them. It's

1006
00:54:37,440 --> 00:54:40,200
Speaker 2: just a matchup of two very good defenses. I think

1007
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:43,600
Speaker 2: the Jets are the better defense. You got the Jets

1008
00:54:43,600 --> 00:54:48,640
Speaker 2: as a home dog, and I'm like you said, Patriots offense,

1009
00:54:49,520 --> 00:54:52,960
Speaker 2: it's it's not. It's not. It's like the Patricia It's

1010
00:54:53,000 --> 00:54:55,320
Speaker 2: not Patricia bad or whatever, Joe Judge, whatever that was

1011
00:54:55,480 --> 00:54:59,080
Speaker 2: last Steelers. Right, Yeah, it's improved, but you know, for

1012
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:03,600
Speaker 2: all the improved, you know, you're essentially benched your prize

1013
00:55:03,600 --> 00:55:06,400
Speaker 2: free agent signing Juju Smith Schuster. He's playing like fifty

1014
00:55:06,400 --> 00:55:09,600
Speaker 2: percent of the snaps if he's lucky. Rookie fumbled last

1015
00:55:09,640 --> 00:55:12,440
Speaker 2: week and got benched. Zee Elliott is we know he's

1016
00:55:12,960 --> 00:55:15,239
Speaker 2: doesn't have much left in the tank. So it's still

1017
00:55:15,320 --> 00:55:20,400
Speaker 2: really Remondre, Stevenson, Hunter, Henry and you know, maybe a

1018
00:55:20,480 --> 00:55:24,120
Speaker 2: wide receiver like Kendrick Bourne here and there or Parker.

1019
00:55:24,239 --> 00:55:27,160
Speaker 2: But it's it's not, it's not. It's not enough for

1020
00:55:27,320 --> 00:55:30,200
Speaker 2: me to be scared of Zach Wilson in this spot,

1021
00:55:30,280 --> 00:55:33,480
Speaker 2: especially when you're talking about a money line dog. I

1022
00:55:33,560 --> 00:55:36,320
Speaker 2: think that's you know, the Jets and now it's inside

1023
00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,839
Speaker 2: of three, you know, taking them to cover the two

1024
00:55:38,880 --> 00:55:40,719
Speaker 2: and a half, might as well just take the money

1025
00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:43,960
Speaker 2: line here. But I think you just two good defenses.

1026
00:55:44,239 --> 00:55:46,440
Speaker 2: I think Zach Wilson looked. I think he looked a

1027
00:55:46,719 --> 00:55:49,080
Speaker 2: little bit, but I know his numbers are terrible. But

1028
00:55:49,160 --> 00:55:50,920
Speaker 2: he faced the Cowboys and the Bills, two of the

1029
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:53,200
Speaker 2: best defense in the league. Patriots are good. I don't

1030
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:54,239
Speaker 2: know if they're on that level.

1031
00:55:54,840 --> 00:55:58,280
Speaker 4: So yeah, give me the Jets, Zach, patriotstals some injuries

1032
00:55:58,320 --> 00:56:01,080
Speaker 4: and offensive line in the secondary. Well, yeah, here we

1033
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:03,600
Speaker 4: go with Jets and the Panthers.

1034
00:56:03,840 --> 00:56:06,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, FUS five seventy five, nice little juicy one if

1035
00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:09,680
Speaker 2: you par am this week. So we'll see how that goes,

1036
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:13,080
Speaker 2: and now it's time for best of the rest the games.

1037
00:56:13,160 --> 00:56:16,160
Speaker 2: We haven't covered in any other segment, but are still,

1038
00:56:16,320 --> 00:56:20,840
Speaker 2: as they say, meaningful to some That's going to be

1039
00:56:20,920 --> 00:56:23,200
Speaker 2: a touchdown, but that may be meaningful to some of you,

1040
00:56:24,719 --> 00:56:26,520
Speaker 2: you know what I mean? All right? First up, we

1041
00:56:26,640 --> 00:56:31,399
Speaker 2: got the Chargers active vikings. This line has been flip

1042
00:56:31,440 --> 00:56:35,720
Speaker 2: flopping within the one as we record this at bet MGM.

1043
00:56:36,200 --> 00:56:41,840
Speaker 2: The Chargers are favored by one on the road. I

1044
00:56:41,840 --> 00:56:44,480
Speaker 2: would have been a little more interested if the Chargers

1045
00:56:44,520 --> 00:56:49,480
Speaker 2: were dogs, but now that their favorites, nothing I really

1046
00:56:49,480 --> 00:56:52,400
Speaker 2: want to do here. I just I just don't know

1047
00:56:53,680 --> 00:56:57,520
Speaker 2: why this defense has been so so bad. I mean

1048
00:56:57,520 --> 00:57:01,359
Speaker 2: the death like, it's not just you know, they give

1049
00:57:01,480 --> 00:57:03,640
Speaker 2: up twenty seven to the Type was it, Yeah, twenty

1050
00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:06,320
Speaker 2: seven to the Titans, they give up thirty six to

1051
00:57:06,400 --> 00:57:08,160
Speaker 2: the Dolphins. They and then they give up that huge

1052
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:11,040
Speaker 2: comeback to the Jaguars. I mean this just you know,

1053
00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:14,759
Speaker 2: they're they're switching guys. Is Jaser Taylor now is gonna

1054
00:57:14,800 --> 00:57:17,960
Speaker 2: take over the star? Samuel played the star the first week,

1055
00:57:18,040 --> 00:57:19,080
Speaker 2: then he went outside.

1056
00:57:19,520 --> 00:57:19,720
Speaker 4: J C.

1057
00:57:19,920 --> 00:57:24,480
Speaker 2: Jackson, Jasons my ability. Yeah, he's what happened. But you know,

1058
00:57:24,600 --> 00:57:28,080
Speaker 2: I think it is. I think it's you know Stanley,

1059
00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:31,720
Speaker 2: we know his reputation. He's a guy, you know, supposed

1060
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:35,160
Speaker 2: to be like an analytical guy and a good, great mind.

1061
00:57:35,200 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 2: But I think the defense is just too complicated because

1062
00:57:38,320 --> 00:57:42,520
Speaker 2: you're just seeing coverage busts and and all these type

1063
00:57:42,520 --> 00:57:44,440
Speaker 2: of things. And you know, with the Rams, when they

1064
00:57:44,480 --> 00:57:46,439
Speaker 2: had like a lot more like of a veteran group

1065
00:57:46,520 --> 00:57:49,800
Speaker 2: back there, you know, it worked, but like you know,

1066
00:57:49,920 --> 00:57:52,520
Speaker 2: these guys, they're it's not it's just not working for

1067
00:57:52,600 --> 00:57:54,320
Speaker 2: these guys. And they have talent, you know, they have

1068
00:57:54,440 --> 00:57:57,240
Speaker 2: edge rushers, The quarterbacks are solid. I mean, they shouldn't

1069
00:57:57,240 --> 00:58:00,960
Speaker 2: be getting burned like this. You have Gerwin, so yeah,

1070
00:58:01,520 --> 00:58:04,000
Speaker 2: now you're playing the Vikings with Jefferson, Like, if there's

1071
00:58:04,000 --> 00:58:05,640
Speaker 2: one thing the Vikers could do, it's throw the ball

1072
00:58:05,640 --> 00:58:06,400
Speaker 2: around the yard, you know.

1073
00:58:07,080 --> 00:58:09,480
Speaker 4: So yeah, and the Stanley's not scheming up this day.

1074
00:58:09,480 --> 00:58:11,480
Speaker 4: And O'Connell can scheme up some plays too, and they

1075
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:14,120
Speaker 4: have the talent, and yeah, I have no idea what

1076
00:58:14,200 --> 00:58:18,200
Speaker 4: to expect this game. You also have Herbert. Like that,

1077
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:24,560
Speaker 4: you have the Herbert going up against a defense that

1078
00:58:24,680 --> 00:58:28,120
Speaker 4: has nothing on the back end. But Brian Flores, he

1079
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:30,440
Speaker 4: saw it last week. He's probably gonna come up with

1080
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:33,600
Speaker 4: a tricky game plan at least at first, but there's

1081
00:58:33,640 --> 00:58:35,640
Speaker 4: only so much the Vikings can do for so long

1082
00:58:36,640 --> 00:58:38,919
Speaker 4: with that personnel, so there's doesn't surprise me this total

1083
00:58:39,040 --> 00:58:41,040
Speaker 4: is ticked up. I have no idea what to expect.

1084
00:58:41,240 --> 00:58:45,840
Speaker 4: It's the Vikings regression monster revenge like coming for revenges

1085
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:48,360
Speaker 4: from last year, like they can't. They're actually playing well.

1086
00:58:48,480 --> 00:58:50,840
Speaker 4: The arguably could be two and zero, but they just

1087
00:58:51,160 --> 00:58:54,600
Speaker 4: lose every fumble, get touchbacks, reaching into the end zone,

1088
00:58:54,720 --> 00:58:56,520
Speaker 4: all the things that never happened last year are all

1089
00:58:56,520 --> 00:58:59,560
Speaker 4: happening at once. Versus the team and the Chargers who

1090
00:58:59,640 --> 00:59:01,840
Speaker 4: find used to lose, who also could be two and o.

1091
00:59:02,280 --> 00:59:06,840
Speaker 4: Both these teams are owing too and they're finding ways

1092
00:59:06,880 --> 00:59:09,959
Speaker 4: to lose, one from turnover and luck progression, another because

1093
00:59:10,000 --> 00:59:12,880
Speaker 4: they're just charging. I have no idea what to expect.

1094
00:59:13,040 --> 00:59:15,280
Speaker 4: This is a great live betting game. Whoever's down in

1095
00:59:15,320 --> 00:59:17,480
Speaker 4: this game is probably gonna win, and then they'll probably

1096
00:59:17,520 --> 00:59:18,880
Speaker 4: go up and then you can bet the other team

1097
00:59:18,920 --> 00:59:21,160
Speaker 4: live good trading game. There should be a lot of scoring.

1098
00:59:21,400 --> 00:59:24,920
Speaker 4: No idea what to expect, but I will say it's

1099
00:59:24,960 --> 00:59:29,360
Speaker 4: probably each of their team seasons, you go to OZ

1100
00:59:29,480 --> 00:59:33,480
Speaker 4: in three. Historically it's like a two percent chance you're

1101
00:59:33,480 --> 00:59:36,360
Speaker 4: gonna make the playoffs. And by the way we were talking,

1102
00:59:37,360 --> 00:59:39,240
Speaker 4: we'll talk about this game next. We were talking about

1103
00:59:39,240 --> 00:59:41,360
Speaker 4: the Chiefs, like, oh, the Chiefs rowing one, they lose

1104
00:59:41,440 --> 00:59:45,840
Speaker 4: to the they lose to the Lines at home. This

1105
00:59:45,960 --> 00:59:49,720
Speaker 4: division is gonna go some other way. Well, now that

1106
00:59:49,920 --> 00:59:53,480
Speaker 4: the Chiefs win, the Chargers are owing to the Raiders lost,

1107
00:59:53,760 --> 00:59:57,920
Speaker 4: the Broncos are owing too, and the Chiefs upcoming schedule

1108
00:59:58,720 --> 01:00:07,360
Speaker 4: Bears Ats Vikings, Broncos, Chargers Broncos. Chiefs might have this

1109
01:00:07,440 --> 01:00:10,640
Speaker 4: division locked up by week eight. But no, no, I

1110
01:00:10,800 --> 01:00:12,200
Speaker 4: no idea. What's gonna happen in this game? Good live

1111
01:00:12,240 --> 01:00:14,760
Speaker 4: betting game, though you should close it a pick.

1112
01:00:15,720 --> 01:00:17,959
Speaker 2: Yeah, if I had to choose, I would I would

1113
01:00:17,960 --> 01:00:22,000
Speaker 2: say the Chargers find the Charges because more talented.

1114
01:00:22,120 --> 01:00:25,280
Speaker 4: Yeah, and that will I think be the difference. But

1115
01:00:25,720 --> 01:00:28,880
Speaker 4: maybe Flores makes up for the makes up for with

1116
01:00:28,960 --> 01:00:31,160
Speaker 4: the scheme because the scheme isn't working for the Chargers.

1117
01:00:31,200 --> 01:00:34,680
Speaker 4: Both offenses should have advantages this game. It should be fun.

1118
01:00:35,520 --> 01:00:38,120
Speaker 4: Maybe maybe that overtime, yes, overtime yes.

1119
01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:41,320
Speaker 2: Right, yeah, I mean I got Nick Giffin's overtime model.

1120
01:00:41,320 --> 01:00:42,840
Speaker 2: We gotta see what with that's looking like it's been

1121
01:00:42,960 --> 01:00:46,560
Speaker 2: crushing lately. Uh so everybody go check that out. But yeah,

1122
01:00:46,560 --> 01:00:50,320
Speaker 2: I think I mean the Vikings if the Falcons can

1123
01:00:50,360 --> 01:00:52,960
Speaker 2: beat the Lions and the Saints beat the Packers, which

1124
01:00:53,000 --> 01:00:54,480
Speaker 2: is not out of the question. You know, both are

1125
01:00:54,720 --> 01:00:57,320
Speaker 2: short dogs. The Vikings could go oh in three and

1126
01:00:57,440 --> 01:00:59,440
Speaker 2: still be in the division race. No one would be

1127
01:00:59,480 --> 01:01:01,280
Speaker 2: above five hundred in this division.

1128
01:01:01,920 --> 01:01:02,120
Speaker 4: Yeah.

1129
01:01:02,800 --> 01:01:05,240
Speaker 2: So but yeah, the Chargers, I think it's kind of

1130
01:01:05,280 --> 01:01:08,160
Speaker 2: a muscle because they're they're gonna have to come out

1131
01:01:08,440 --> 01:01:10,919
Speaker 2: like with their best because like if.

1132
01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:15,240
Speaker 4: They go on three, we already have like the Dolphins,

1133
01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:19,040
Speaker 4: the Ravens, the Browns. You have too many wildcard teams

1134
01:01:19,120 --> 01:01:21,520
Speaker 4: that are going to be competent to climb over and

1135
01:01:21,560 --> 01:01:23,280
Speaker 4: then you're not catching the Chiefs from ohing three.

1136
01:01:23,560 --> 01:01:26,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Staley, I mean, if they go start owing three.

1137
01:01:26,760 --> 01:01:29,919
Speaker 4: Is he gone? He might be gone? Yeah. So yeah,

1138
01:01:29,960 --> 01:01:31,560
Speaker 4: we need a spark because then you're gonna win like

1139
01:01:31,640 --> 01:01:32,920
Speaker 4: seven in a rower or something.

1140
01:01:33,080 --> 01:01:35,919
Speaker 2: Whereas like the Vikings, I mean, yes, it's it's tough

1141
01:01:35,960 --> 01:01:37,640
Speaker 2: to go oh and two and oh and three, but

1142
01:01:38,240 --> 01:01:40,840
Speaker 2: you know you have O'Connor has that thirty and four

1143
01:01:41,200 --> 01:01:44,200
Speaker 2: you know season to kind of rest on at least.

1144
01:01:44,520 --> 01:01:46,600
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're kind of kind of quietly rebuilding. They're not

1145
01:01:46,760 --> 01:01:50,960
Speaker 4: like and the Chargers. It's like Herbert on this contract

1146
01:01:51,000 --> 01:01:54,280
Speaker 4: right now. You gotta win that they're trying to win now. Yep, yep.

1147
01:01:54,640 --> 01:01:58,320
Speaker 2: It's uh inexplicable the way if Charges just find a way.

1148
01:01:58,400 --> 01:02:00,320
Speaker 2: But yeah, if I had a gun of my I

1149
01:02:00,440 --> 01:02:04,080
Speaker 2: picked the Chargers. But like you said, probably better live game.

1150
01:02:04,120 --> 01:02:06,400
Speaker 2: I don't know if there's a massive edge on your side.

1151
01:02:07,000 --> 01:02:10,600
Speaker 2: Dallas at Arizona, the Cardinals are twelve and a half

1152
01:02:10,680 --> 01:02:13,200
Speaker 2: point underdogs at home. The total is forty three and

1153
01:02:13,240 --> 01:02:17,200
Speaker 2: a half. You know, we've talked about this on a

1154
01:02:17,280 --> 01:02:20,760
Speaker 2: happy hour. It's yeah, no interest in the Cardinals, right

1155
01:02:21,080 --> 01:02:24,200
Speaker 2: and yeah, I'm.

1156
01:02:24,080 --> 01:02:26,600
Speaker 4: Not taking the Cardinals against this defense. Pass for what

1157
01:02:26,720 --> 01:02:27,120
Speaker 4: it's worth.

1158
01:02:27,280 --> 01:02:31,920
Speaker 2: Dak Prescott twenty five and twelve against the spread versus

1159
01:02:32,040 --> 01:02:33,400
Speaker 2: sub five hundred teams, So.

1160
01:02:33,760 --> 01:02:36,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, you know there'll be under no pressure here. I

1161
01:02:36,200 --> 01:02:38,760
Speaker 4: mean they did Dallas. Thea have to do what they

1162
01:02:38,800 --> 01:02:41,280
Speaker 4: want and then get into the backfield cause chaos. But

1163
01:02:41,320 --> 01:02:42,640
Speaker 4: like they could be up seventeen in a blow out

1164
01:02:42,640 --> 01:02:44,120
Speaker 4: and the Arizona gets a back door a touchdown.

1165
01:02:44,200 --> 01:02:46,960
Speaker 2: Would you how would you feel about a tease like

1166
01:02:47,040 --> 01:02:49,160
Speaker 2: so Dallas would just have to win by a touchdown essentially.

1167
01:02:50,320 --> 01:02:52,320
Speaker 4: I can't my brain won't let me do that, but

1168
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:54,760
Speaker 4: it's hard for me to see them losing beyunder a touchdown.

1169
01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:58,680
Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah, all right, let's wrap it up with Survivor.

1170
01:03:00,200 --> 01:03:09,840
Speaker 2: The Survivor Pool pick of the week, totally stuck. I

1171
01:03:09,960 --> 01:03:12,760
Speaker 2: warned you about this Wilson ship man. I was like,

1172
01:03:13,160 --> 01:03:15,480
Speaker 2: I don't think you need to You never need to

1173
01:03:16,280 --> 01:03:19,520
Speaker 2: survive on Russell Wilson, Like, that's just not There's thirty

1174
01:03:19,520 --> 01:03:23,200
Speaker 2: two teams in the league. Yeah, that unfortunately didn't work out.

1175
01:03:23,320 --> 01:03:25,560
Speaker 2: I'm going to go with the Chiefs this week. You

1176
01:03:25,640 --> 01:03:29,120
Speaker 2: know it's there's a couple of big favorites this week.

1177
01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:31,520
Speaker 2: You know the Giants were I mean, I know that

1178
01:03:31,760 --> 01:03:36,080
Speaker 2: was no business coming back in that game. But when

1179
01:03:36,120 --> 01:03:38,360
Speaker 2: I look at the Chiefs schedule down the line, and

1180
01:03:38,520 --> 01:03:41,000
Speaker 2: obviously you know they teams could get hurt or get

1181
01:03:41,040 --> 01:03:44,240
Speaker 2: their quarterback hurt. But as a as a stands, uh,

1182
01:03:44,360 --> 01:03:46,880
Speaker 2: most of the other games that I would have the

1183
01:03:47,000 --> 01:03:51,600
Speaker 2: Chiefs as sizeable favorites are gonna be in the division

1184
01:03:51,640 --> 01:03:54,360
Speaker 2: and the Chiefs do win divisional games. They have a

1185
01:03:54,400 --> 01:03:58,280
Speaker 2: great record, but still uh not my favorite, you know

1186
01:03:58,320 --> 01:04:02,720
Speaker 2: with survivor to choose to pick teams indivisional games because

1187
01:04:02,720 --> 01:04:05,080
Speaker 2: there's just more uncertainty and weird things tend to happen.

1188
01:04:05,240 --> 01:04:07,760
Speaker 2: So you know, going forward, like there's the Jets on

1189
01:04:07,840 --> 01:04:09,240
Speaker 2: the but that's on the road. It's not as good

1190
01:04:09,240 --> 01:04:12,640
Speaker 2: as Chicago at home Denver. That's a divisional game. That's

1191
01:04:12,680 --> 01:04:14,880
Speaker 2: really it. As far as you know, gimme's on the

1192
01:04:14,920 --> 01:04:17,760
Speaker 2: chief schedule. You know, he's got Cincinnati, they got Buffalo,

1193
01:04:18,520 --> 01:04:21,040
Speaker 2: Uh got they got they go to Lambeau, they go

1194
01:04:21,160 --> 01:04:24,520
Speaker 2: to Foxborough. So I'm just gonna just gonna use the

1195
01:04:24,560 --> 01:04:27,360
Speaker 2: Chiefs now against the Chicago Bear team. You know, maybe

1196
01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:29,880
Speaker 2: the Bears will kind of rebound a little bit, but

1197
01:04:30,320 --> 01:04:32,000
Speaker 2: I cannot see the Bears winning this game.

1198
01:04:32,640 --> 01:04:35,040
Speaker 4: Uh yeah, I know what's going on with the Bears,

1199
01:04:35,120 --> 01:04:39,120
Speaker 4: like they it's it's really bad. Fields obviously hasn't progressed,

1200
01:04:39,160 --> 01:04:41,840
Speaker 4: but the coaching is really bad. Look, their defensive coordinator

1201
01:04:42,000 --> 01:04:44,320
Speaker 4: is nowhere to be found. Reflue smoke confirm if he's

1202
01:04:44,320 --> 01:04:47,480
Speaker 4: still employed. Fields came out and said he's playing too robotic.

1203
01:04:47,600 --> 01:04:50,320
Speaker 4: But then today he said coaching, which it is. They're

1204
01:04:50,320 --> 01:04:51,840
Speaker 4: not running him, that's his biggest strength.

1205
01:04:52,400 --> 01:04:54,400
Speaker 2: Like I think two design runs through two weeks or

1206
01:04:54,440 --> 01:04:54,760
Speaker 2: something like that.

1207
01:04:55,440 --> 01:04:58,200
Speaker 4: Sodiculous coming out and saying that, and then there's a

1208
01:04:58,240 --> 01:05:00,280
Speaker 4: lot of turmoil going on. I think they're gonna have

1209
01:05:00,320 --> 01:05:05,520
Speaker 4: to put that. They're they're left their left tackle this

1210
01:05:05,600 --> 01:05:08,760
Speaker 4: name this case right now on ir more movement on

1211
01:05:08,840 --> 01:05:13,720
Speaker 4: along the offensive line. The defense is obviously bad. This

1212
01:05:13,920 --> 01:05:16,880
Speaker 4: is the ultimate by low Spot. Everyone is just shitting on.

1213
01:05:16,920 --> 01:05:20,800
Speaker 4: The Bears were lost twelve straight. Overall, I can't get there.

1214
01:05:22,400 --> 01:05:25,840
Speaker 4: I can't. I I'm not betting the Chiefs, but I

1215
01:05:25,880 --> 01:05:27,120
Speaker 4: don't mind it for survivor either.

1216
01:05:28,400 --> 01:05:30,760
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, the usually we look at these big

1217
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:32,640
Speaker 2: spreads and you know, oh and two teams.

1218
01:05:32,400 --> 01:05:35,240
Speaker 4: Because the Chiefs are all these big spreads by low Spot.

1219
01:05:35,320 --> 01:05:38,040
Speaker 4: But I just I can't back this Bears team right

1220
01:05:38,120 --> 01:05:41,960
Speaker 4: now unless I knew, like if they were gonna unleash

1221
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:44,560
Speaker 4: fields running the ball this week, I would consider, But

1222
01:05:44,640 --> 01:05:45,520
Speaker 4: I don't trust them too.

1223
01:05:46,600 --> 01:05:48,880
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm sure they'll get back to it. You know,

1224
01:05:48,960 --> 01:05:51,840
Speaker 2: there's just so much discourse about it. I'm sure they

1225
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:55,200
Speaker 2: change something up, but even you know even so like

1226
01:05:55,280 --> 01:05:57,960
Speaker 2: this Chiefs defense, I think that's kind of the underrated,

1227
01:05:58,720 --> 01:06:03,760
Speaker 2: uh like develop of this new Year'll yeah, I mean

1228
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:05,760
Speaker 2: they tell the Jackson nine and we we know Trevor

1229
01:06:05,840 --> 01:06:09,320
Speaker 2: Lawrence is inconsistent. So but you know, still nine points against.

1230
01:06:09,000 --> 01:06:11,200
Speaker 4: Anyone lines the four team without Chris Jones.

1231
01:06:11,520 --> 01:06:15,800
Speaker 2: Yeah, so you know this is this is this is

1232
01:06:15,840 --> 01:06:20,080
Speaker 2: something I'm monitoring because, uh, you know, if this defense

1233
01:06:20,160 --> 01:06:21,760
Speaker 2: is going to be that good, I'm you know, it's

1234
01:06:21,800 --> 01:06:23,520
Speaker 2: going to be a short number. But I might have

1235
01:06:23,640 --> 01:06:26,840
Speaker 2: to invest in some some Chiefs Super Bowl futures.

1236
01:06:27,480 --> 01:06:30,960
Speaker 4: If chief Chiefs under teaser the big now an under

1237
01:06:31,040 --> 01:06:32,480
Speaker 4: team I know, right, Yeah, I.

1238
01:06:32,480 --> 01:06:35,800
Speaker 2: Mean I gets Chicago's defense, though not under I want

1239
01:06:35,840 --> 01:06:37,320
Speaker 2: to take. Yeah, It's like it's like all the things

1240
01:06:37,360 --> 01:06:39,520
Speaker 2: I would want to do for this game, I just

1241
01:06:39,600 --> 01:06:41,040
Speaker 2: can't bring myself.

1242
01:06:40,960 --> 01:06:43,400
Speaker 4: To do pass good for Survivor.

1243
01:06:44,040 --> 01:06:46,680
Speaker 2: All right, that is going to do it. For the

1244
01:06:46,760 --> 01:06:52,080
Speaker 2: Week three Action Network Podcast, We'll be back every Thursday

1245
01:06:52,160 --> 01:06:55,080
Speaker 2: all season long. You can hear more of me this

1246
01:06:55,200 --> 01:06:58,640
Speaker 2: week with my guy Sean Kerner talking fantasy dfs and

1247
01:06:58,720 --> 01:07:01,680
Speaker 2: all that good stuff on the Fantasy Flex Pod. We

1248
01:07:01,760 --> 01:07:05,360
Speaker 2: also have the Projections Pod right here on this channel,

1249
01:07:05,480 --> 01:07:07,800
Speaker 2: So check that out and you can hear Stuck talking

1250
01:07:07,840 --> 01:07:12,760
Speaker 2: college ball over on Big Bets on campus every Friday

1251
01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:18,000
Speaker 2: morning right here. And if i'd stuck on Twitter, I

1252
01:07:18,080 --> 01:07:21,440
Speaker 2: mean X whatever you're calling it these days at Stucky two,

1253
01:07:21,760 --> 01:07:24,919
Speaker 2: I'm at Chris raybond Reth those same handles on the free,

1254
01:07:24,960 --> 01:07:29,640
Speaker 2: award winning Action Network app. Until next time you get

1255
01:07:29,680 --> 01:07:42,120
Speaker 2: this money, let go. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly.

1256
01:07:42,480 --> 01:07:45,000
Speaker 4: If you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

1257
01:07:45,280 --> 01:07:47,640
Speaker 4: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1258
01:07:47,760 --> 01:07:48,440
Speaker 4: hundred Gambler