1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:02,400 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:03,120 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 2: I'm just about that action also. 3 00:00:07,640 --> 00:00:13,720 Speaker 1: All right, here we go throwing up. I'm sitting up 4 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:17,480 Speaker 1: to cash touchtop. That's all we'll see. Most gamble is 5 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: when they go to gamble, they go to win. That's incredible. 6 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 1: Big bank, small bank. I like to make money. All right, 7 00:00:25,960 --> 00:00:31,520 Speaker 1: this is the ultimate kaban you want to pack and 8 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 1: we are underway. What's going on? Welcome to the Action 9 00:00:36,880 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: Network Podcast presented by DraftKings. I'm your host, Chris Raybond. 10 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:44,160 Speaker 1: It is NFL Week eight. We have anytime touchdown bets 11 00:00:44,159 --> 00:00:47,400 Speaker 1: for every game on the Sunday and Monday slate. I 12 00:00:47,400 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: will be joined by one of the most accurate rankers 13 00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 1: in the game, Sean Kerner and touchdown betting guru Jill Gallant. 14 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: Last week we hit on Ormondre Stevenson, Johnson, Taylor two 15 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: plus touchdowns, Gadsden, Theo, Johnson, bon Nicks, zach Ertz. Today 16 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: we'll get through the week eight slate and if you 17 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: want to tail some of these bets, just look for 18 00:01:07,080 --> 00:01:10,280 Speaker 1: the quick swipwink in the podcast and video description, or 19 00:01:10,319 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: you can go to actionetwork dot com slash bet. Now, 20 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:15,640 Speaker 1: before we get into these touchdowns, I'll toss it over 21 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 1: to myself for a word from our sponsor. The Action 22 00:01:18,319 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 1: Network podcast is sponsored by DraftKings sportsbook and in partnership 23 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 1: with DraftKings. Action Network. Podcast listeners get a great offer 24 00:01:25,920 --> 00:01:28,760 Speaker 1: right now. New customers can bet five dollars and get 25 00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:32,160 Speaker 1: three hundred dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins, 26 00:01:32,240 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: and three months of NBA League Pass to get started. 27 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 1: Use promo Code Action Network when signing up with DraftKings. 28 00:01:38,760 --> 00:01:42,280 Speaker 1: That's Code Action Network when signing up with DraftKings for 29 00:01:42,360 --> 00:01:45,880 Speaker 1: three months of NBA League Pass and three hundred dollars 30 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: back in bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown 31 00:01:49,400 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 1: is yours. All right, we'll start with the Sunday slate. Sean, 32 00:01:52,560 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 1: how's it going and how's your weekend? Who do you 33 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:58,960 Speaker 1: like in Falcons? Dolphins? Good, real good. 34 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 3: You know, finally got their run to GETZ and breakout 35 00:02:01,680 --> 00:02:04,440 Speaker 3: game I was hoping for. Hopefully it continues tonight, so 36 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:07,520 Speaker 3: fingers crossed there. But I'm going to kick it off 37 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 3: with a bang for this Dolphins game. You know, the 38 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:14,360 Speaker 3: Dolphins are a sinking ship right now, so I'm going 39 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:16,840 Speaker 3: to just go with just a wild ass play here 40 00:02:16,880 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 3: I'm going to go d s Coriage at thirty to 41 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 3: one right now to score. Dee of course, was you know, 42 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 3: a former second round pick way back in the day. 43 00:02:25,400 --> 00:02:28,280 Speaker 3: I'd say he's been a bust so far, just really 44 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,959 Speaker 3: hasn't been able to fit in any offense so far. 45 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 3: But you know, he saw an uptick in routes run 46 00:02:34,840 --> 00:02:38,280 Speaker 3: last week. He was up to thirty two in this offense. 47 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:40,680 Speaker 3: So you know, Tyreri Hill out for the season, he 48 00:02:40,760 --> 00:02:44,120 Speaker 3: has some opportunity here now. Jayalen Waddle you know, banged up, 49 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:48,160 Speaker 3: you know he could be Jaen waddles replacement. Really see 50 00:02:48,200 --> 00:02:51,919 Speaker 3: an uptick in snaps if he misses any time. Plus 51 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 3: he returns kicks, and with the new kickoff role, you 52 00:02:54,520 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 3: know there's a chance he could return a kick for 53 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,720 Speaker 3: a touchdowns. He has multiple paths to get there. I 54 00:02:59,760 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 3: could even see them designing a you know. 55 00:03:02,320 --> 00:03:03,000 Speaker 1: Carry for him. 56 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:05,600 Speaker 3: So at thirty to one, way too many paths for 57 00:03:05,680 --> 00:03:09,600 Speaker 3: him to get there. So that's my Dolphins pick. And 58 00:03:09,639 --> 00:03:12,040 Speaker 3: then the Falcon side, I'm gonna go with Darnell Mooney 59 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:15,799 Speaker 3: at plus three twenty. He was able to return last 60 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,799 Speaker 3: week from injury and he returned to basically a full 61 00:03:18,800 --> 00:03:22,359 Speaker 3: time role. He had an eighty four percent routes run rate. 62 00:03:23,320 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 3: Should see his you know, usage increase this week, assuming 63 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:29,040 Speaker 3: he is closer to one hundred percent, and he has 64 00:03:29,120 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 3: big play upside, which is perfect against this horrible Dolphins defense. 65 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:34,920 Speaker 3: So you know, you can break a long run here 66 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:37,240 Speaker 3: and anytime you can get him, you know, like plus 67 00:03:37,320 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 3: three twenty odds here, I think you do it. I'm 68 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 3: projecting him closer about you know, plus two to eighty 69 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:42,640 Speaker 3: as a fair price here. 70 00:03:43,720 --> 00:03:46,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I'll say d Escude has definitely been a bust. 71 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 1: I mean the fact that sites don't even have haven't 72 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:51,280 Speaker 1: decided on the name for him, like some of them 73 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:53,080 Speaker 1: have him as d some of them have him as 74 00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:56,160 Speaker 1: d Wayne, so that that's usually a sign that you're 75 00:03:56,200 --> 00:04:00,360 Speaker 1: not really doing your thing in the NFL. But I 76 00:04:00,360 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: think TODJ. Washington was inactive for the Dolphins in that 77 00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:05,800 Speaker 1: last game, so they only have four receivers active, which 78 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:11,200 Speaker 1: increases estridges odds. Joe, how are you doing and who 79 00:04:11,280 --> 00:04:13,720 Speaker 1: you like in Bears Ravens. 80 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: I'm feeling good And I wanted to bring up the 81 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 2: Theo Johnson touchdown from last week because a lot of 82 00:04:19,160 --> 00:04:21,800 Speaker 2: the time when we talk about some of these touchdown bets, 83 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:24,080 Speaker 2: we think about the losses and the luck that comes 84 00:04:24,120 --> 00:04:27,240 Speaker 2: with like an Amari Demcardo or Donnie Mitchell, and they'll 85 00:04:27,279 --> 00:04:29,760 Speaker 2: drop it before they get to the end zone. Theo Johnson, 86 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:33,080 Speaker 2: on the other hand, caught it deflection and then scored 87 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:35,520 Speaker 2: the touchdown. Again, we have to, I feel like acknowledge 88 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:38,560 Speaker 2: sometimes the good luck that comes with the bad luck 89 00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 2: in variance with these touchdown bets. Now, sticking with the 90 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,040 Speaker 2: tight end theme because I'm sure you're gonna hear this 91 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 2: a million times this week that it is National tight 92 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:50,160 Speaker 2: Ends Week. So gonna go with Mark Andrews. He's around 93 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:53,479 Speaker 2: plus two sixty, and I'm kind of going back to 94 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:55,520 Speaker 2: Andrews here because I have a pretty good feeling that 95 00:04:55,600 --> 00:04:58,000 Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson is going to be back. I'm seeing limited 96 00:04:58,000 --> 00:05:00,440 Speaker 2: practice both for Wednesday and Thursday, but give them where 97 00:05:00,440 --> 00:05:02,280 Speaker 2: they're at in the standings at one and five. I 98 00:05:02,320 --> 00:05:04,280 Speaker 2: think we're kind of in desperation mode. He's kind of 99 00:05:04,320 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 2: come back here in this spot. But Andrews, I wanted 100 00:05:08,480 --> 00:05:10,159 Speaker 2: to talk about him because he has a two touchdown 101 00:05:10,160 --> 00:05:12,760 Speaker 2: game versus the Lions, and I highlight that game because 102 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:15,040 Speaker 2: the Lions they threw a lot of man coverage at 103 00:05:15,040 --> 00:05:17,080 Speaker 2: the Ravens in that game. And Andrews at his best 104 00:05:17,080 --> 00:05:19,200 Speaker 2: game of the season and he sees his target rate 105 00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,600 Speaker 2: go up when facing man coverage. Well, the Bears, that's 106 00:05:21,640 --> 00:05:22,880 Speaker 2: what they do. They tend to play a lot of 107 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:25,320 Speaker 2: man coverage under Danna Sound, and they're still one of 108 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:27,640 Speaker 2: the worst pass defenses in the NFL. They could be 109 00:05:27,680 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 2: also missing cornerback Tyreek Stevenson as well, So I think 110 00:05:30,720 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 2: the whole Ravens offense, given the fact they're one and five, 111 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:36,279 Speaker 2: they've blown some leads, I think there's some more upside 112 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:38,240 Speaker 2: for them to go full throttle all the way to 113 00:05:38,279 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 2: the end of the game to ensure that they get 114 00:05:40,440 --> 00:05:42,840 Speaker 2: a win. So I like Mark Andrews to get a 115 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:46,000 Speaker 2: touchdown around plus two to sixty on the Bear side, 116 00:05:46,720 --> 00:05:48,880 Speaker 2: I bet this earlier in the week at five to one, 117 00:05:48,920 --> 00:05:50,760 Speaker 2: trying to be an injury merchant, and I think it's 118 00:05:50,800 --> 00:05:52,840 Speaker 2: going to pay off because Colston Lovelin right now is 119 00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,640 Speaker 2: around plus three fifty to score and Cole Kamett is 120 00:05:55,640 --> 00:05:57,560 Speaker 2: probably going to be out this week with a back injury. 121 00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:00,960 Speaker 2: So Loveland saw a season highs across the board once 122 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 2: Comet was out ran the most routes season high and 123 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 2: four targets played sixty seven percent of snaps, and I 124 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 2: think the Bears are probably going to lean on the 125 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:09,880 Speaker 2: pass even more in this matchup if they're in a 126 00:06:09,880 --> 00:06:11,800 Speaker 2: trailing game script. It's suppouted to six and a half 127 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 2: point underdogs. Right now, I know I'm seeing Rokwan Smith 128 00:06:15,440 --> 00:06:18,400 Speaker 2: and Marlin Humphrey. They are both expected back, but honestly, 129 00:06:18,520 --> 00:06:20,560 Speaker 2: with them in the lineup, they were bad this year, 130 00:06:20,680 --> 00:06:23,720 Speaker 2: so I'm not really as worried about it. So twenty eighth, 131 00:06:23,720 --> 00:06:27,039 Speaker 2: the defensive DVOA versus tight ends fourteen passing touchdowns allowed. 132 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,719 Speaker 2: I think there's upside for Colston Lovelin to finally get 133 00:06:29,839 --> 00:06:31,520 Speaker 2: his first touchdown of the season. 134 00:06:32,600 --> 00:06:34,159 Speaker 1: Yeah, I like that bet a lot. I think you 135 00:06:34,200 --> 00:06:36,360 Speaker 1: have a bunch of different ways for him to hit. 136 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 1: I mean, it could be a trailing game script. It 137 00:06:37,920 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: could just be because the Ravens defense is bad. It 138 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,159 Speaker 1: could because he plays so many snaps. So really like 139 00:06:43,200 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: the Loveland call as well. Browns at Patriots. For the Patriots, 140 00:06:48,520 --> 00:06:52,719 Speaker 1: I like Kaishaan Butte at plus twot eighty Cleveland. They're 141 00:06:52,760 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 1: great defense, but not as good on the road, and 142 00:06:54,720 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: they give up a lot of explosive plays in the 143 00:06:56,800 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: past game because it blitz a lot and they play 144 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:02,159 Speaker 1: a lot of man coverage. So I like Booty to 145 00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,719 Speaker 1: get over the top here. Cleveland, with eight touchdowns allowed 146 00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,680 Speaker 1: to wide receivers tie for eighth most in the league, 147 00:07:06,760 --> 00:07:09,600 Speaker 1: just seven combined to running backs and tight ends. And 148 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:12,119 Speaker 1: then for the Browns, we'll kind of go a little 149 00:07:12,120 --> 00:07:15,200 Speaker 1: bit off the board here with Jamari Thrash at fifteen 150 00:07:15,240 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: to one. It's a guy I used to like as 151 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:19,320 Speaker 1: a rookie. Kind of fell off the map for a 152 00:07:19,360 --> 00:07:22,160 Speaker 1: little bit. But Isaiah Bond is playing so poorly that 153 00:07:22,240 --> 00:07:25,280 Speaker 1: Thrashes has seen an uptick and snaps, and in the 154 00:07:25,320 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: red zone he's playing snaps as well and taking some 155 00:07:27,840 --> 00:07:32,120 Speaker 1: away from Bond as that number two receiver, And you know, 156 00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,280 Speaker 1: against the Patriots it's tougher to run on them. And 157 00:07:35,320 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 1: so I do think if Cleveland does get in the 158 00:07:37,440 --> 00:07:39,840 Speaker 1: end zone, which is a question mark, they'll have to 159 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,560 Speaker 1: do it through the air. And like Thrash here at 160 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:44,760 Speaker 1: fifteen to one, I think he's undervalue just based on 161 00:07:44,760 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 1: the amount of usage he's getting. With Tilman out, Bond 162 00:07:47,680 --> 00:07:51,880 Speaker 1: struggling in this spot so give me Kaishan Boody and 163 00:07:52,240 --> 00:07:57,440 Speaker 1: Jamaari Thrash for Brown's Patriots. Kerner could go back to 164 00:07:57,520 --> 00:08:01,840 Speaker 1: you Giants Eagles rematch, second time in three weeks. We 165 00:08:01,960 --> 00:08:06,120 Speaker 1: have this game. Who are you looking at on these 166 00:08:06,160 --> 00:08:06,800 Speaker 1: two squads? 167 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:08,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, So for the Giant side, I'm going to go 168 00:08:09,040 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 3: Tyrone and Tracy Junior here at plus six point fifty. 169 00:08:12,560 --> 00:08:15,960 Speaker 3: You know, Cam Scattaboo passed him up. You know, Tracy 170 00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:18,160 Speaker 3: started the season as the lead back and then Scataboo 171 00:08:18,200 --> 00:08:21,400 Speaker 3: passed him up in Week two. Really hasn't looked back since. 172 00:08:21,720 --> 00:08:23,560 Speaker 3: And then you know, Tracy missed a couple of games 173 00:08:23,600 --> 00:08:28,120 Speaker 3: due to injury. But once Tracy returned and the previous 174 00:08:28,120 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 3: game against the Eagles, you know, the ease them back in. 175 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:34,200 Speaker 3: But last week he you saw his role expand quite 176 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:36,839 Speaker 3: a bit, so they're not, you know, really removing him 177 00:08:36,840 --> 00:08:38,880 Speaker 3: from the rotation. I think he's gonna be more involved 178 00:08:39,080 --> 00:08:42,000 Speaker 3: than people maybe realize. And he actually he scored last week, 179 00:08:42,040 --> 00:08:44,320 Speaker 3: So I think just based on that usage, I think 180 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:47,680 Speaker 3: the market's kind of overlooking Tracy's role within the offense 181 00:08:48,120 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 3: right now. So at plus six fifty, I think he's 182 00:08:50,040 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 3: worth the sprinkle and then I'm going to go chocky 183 00:08:52,600 --> 00:08:54,240 Speaker 3: for the Eagles. I'm going to go with AJ Brown 184 00:08:54,280 --> 00:08:56,960 Speaker 3: at plus one eighty Giants play man coverage at the 185 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 3: top three or eight. So AJ gets a boost of 186 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,400 Speaker 3: course there. And he had a slow start to the season, 187 00:09:01,480 --> 00:09:03,840 Speaker 3: but he was nursing a hamstring injury at the end 188 00:09:03,920 --> 00:09:06,120 Speaker 3: of preseason, so I think that was maybe the reason 189 00:09:06,120 --> 00:09:08,760 Speaker 3: why he had the slow start. He's been heating up lately. 190 00:09:09,080 --> 00:09:11,000 Speaker 3: Four catches, one hundred and twenty one yards and two 191 00:09:11,080 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 3: touchdowns last week. And we actually saw some cracks in 192 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:16,960 Speaker 3: the tush push itself. You know, the Vikings figured out 193 00:09:17,080 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 3: that put the nose tackle there and then you have 194 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 3: two guys jump over the top. You just saw it down. 195 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:24,920 Speaker 3: They called a false start. So if we start to 196 00:09:25,000 --> 00:09:29,280 Speaker 3: see the tush push, you know, have any cracks around 197 00:09:29,280 --> 00:09:31,680 Speaker 3: the goal line where you know they get a false start, 198 00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:34,319 Speaker 3: and that's third and goal from the six, you know, 199 00:09:34,400 --> 00:09:36,520 Speaker 3: more likely to be an AJ Brown touchdown than a 200 00:09:36,559 --> 00:09:37,959 Speaker 3: bullshit Jalen Hurts. 201 00:09:37,679 --> 00:09:39,040 Speaker 1: One yard you know rush. 202 00:09:39,080 --> 00:09:41,680 Speaker 3: So I think that's a sneaky path for AJ Brown 203 00:09:41,720 --> 00:09:44,600 Speaker 3: to score you more touchdowns going forward. So I'm already showing, 204 00:09:44,640 --> 00:09:46,839 Speaker 3: you know, thin value here, I have it plus one 205 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:50,040 Speaker 3: sixty five, but I think AJ Brown has some sneaky 206 00:09:50,080 --> 00:09:52,439 Speaker 3: pass now to finally catch more touchdowns. 207 00:09:53,720 --> 00:09:56,079 Speaker 1: Yeah, and I mean I'll just ignore all the double 208 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 1: on tandras with the you know, nose tackling the cracks 209 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:01,360 Speaker 1: and the fush push and just say Paulson Adibo the 210 00:10:01,400 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 1: Giants number one corner two straight dnps to start the week. 211 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:07,760 Speaker 1: He's probably gonna miss with a knee injury, which just 212 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:10,520 Speaker 1: makes it tougher for them to cover him, especially if 213 00:10:10,520 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 1: they stick with that man covered scheme. So yeah, AJ 214 00:10:13,880 --> 00:10:19,280 Speaker 1: Brown's in a good spot for the egos. Jill. Go 215 00:10:19,400 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 1: back to you here on Niners Texans, who do you 216 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:23,920 Speaker 1: like to find the end zone of that game? 217 00:10:24,240 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 2: Well, I think Christian McCaffrey, just for an anytime touchdown 218 00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:30,080 Speaker 2: is decent value at minus one forty, But I don't 219 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 2: want to give that out. I think we have to 220 00:10:31,320 --> 00:10:33,160 Speaker 2: go to the next level. I think two touchdowns of 221 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:36,280 Speaker 2: plus four fifty is showing more value for me given 222 00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 2: just his role in this offense and really his role 223 00:10:39,840 --> 00:10:42,240 Speaker 2: in the NFL of how he is being used because 224 00:10:42,520 --> 00:10:46,000 Speaker 2: man first and rush attempts fourth in total targets, and 225 00:10:46,040 --> 00:10:48,040 Speaker 2: I think as well. I was waiting for the Brian 226 00:10:48,120 --> 00:10:51,600 Speaker 2: Robinson emergence. It's just not there. He's getting eighty percent 227 00:10:51,600 --> 00:10:54,760 Speaker 2: of all red zone carries right now for the Niners, 228 00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: and that's first in the NFL amongst all you know 229 00:10:57,520 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 2: running back groups, right So, I just don't think the 230 00:10:59,760 --> 00:11:02,439 Speaker 2: touch market is caught up to the fact that CMC 231 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 2: is typically getting first and second crack now at the 232 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:08,559 Speaker 2: goal line and then usually the third down passing play 233 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:11,120 Speaker 2: right now, given the way that they're using him, and 234 00:11:11,880 --> 00:11:14,160 Speaker 2: I think as well, facing this Texans defense, I don't 235 00:11:14,160 --> 00:11:16,079 Speaker 2: really want anything to do with the wideouts. I don't 236 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,600 Speaker 2: want to have anything to do with Stingley or any 237 00:11:18,679 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 2: of the just because they've only given up two touchdowns 238 00:11:20,760 --> 00:11:23,319 Speaker 2: for wide receivers all year, whereas they've given up seven 239 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 2: touchdowns to running backs this year. So for me, we 240 00:11:25,920 --> 00:11:28,160 Speaker 2: just watched them give up two touchdowns. As Zach Sharbone 241 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:31,000 Speaker 2: last week, I think McCaffrey is the angle that you 242 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 2: want to take if you're going to take a Niners touchdown. 243 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:35,160 Speaker 2: Bet so not saying to take the any time touchdown 244 00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 2: even though I am showing value. So we're going to 245 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,000 Speaker 2: take the two touchdowns at plus four to fifty On 246 00:11:39,080 --> 00:11:42,000 Speaker 2: the Texan side, though, I like Xavier Hudson Hutchinson to score. 247 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 2: He's around plus three ten. I was thinking about Dalton 248 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:46,680 Speaker 2: Schultz in the spot given the tight end narrative, but 249 00:11:46,800 --> 00:11:49,760 Speaker 2: I mean he's like plus one seventy to score. And 250 00:11:50,080 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 2: Nico Collins he's in concussion protocol. He may not play 251 00:11:52,960 --> 00:11:55,199 Speaker 2: this week. So if we go with hutch He's second 252 00:11:55,200 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 2: on the team in total routes run has a two 253 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,440 Speaker 2: touchdown game under his belt. He's second on the team 254 00:11:59,440 --> 00:12:02,760 Speaker 2: and end zone targets. And the funny thing about the 255 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,559 Speaker 2: way that this game is priced is both hutch Jayden Higginson, 256 00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:08,720 Speaker 2: and Jalen Nole They're all priced about the same. But 257 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:11,439 Speaker 2: I know that Hutchinson is gonna play over seventy five 258 00:12:11,440 --> 00:12:13,600 Speaker 2: percent of snaps. I'm not sure if Noel, if that's 259 00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:15,000 Speaker 2: going to be the case. I'm not gonna sure if 260 00:12:15,040 --> 00:12:17,000 Speaker 2: that's going to be the case for Higgins. So forty 261 00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:19,760 Speaker 2: nine ers, twenty fourth in defensive DVOA versus the past, 262 00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:22,079 Speaker 2: I think we got to target Texans pass catchers in 263 00:12:22,120 --> 00:12:24,400 Speaker 2: this matchup, So I think Hutchinson is a good solid 264 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:25,880 Speaker 2: bet to get another touchdown this week. 265 00:12:27,160 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, one of those guys is probably gonna score, 266 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: and one of them is probably gonna be the cardio 267 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,560 Speaker 1: king and just running by your rats and not get targeted. 268 00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:36,400 Speaker 1: But I like the Hutchinson call because I think, you know, 269 00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: Noel had the big game last week. Higgins has been quiet. 270 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: I don't know what's really up with him. He hasn't 271 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,959 Speaker 1: been playing as well. But Hutchinson has been a staple 272 00:12:43,559 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 1: in that past game, even before guys started going down 273 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:52,560 Speaker 1: with injuries. Next up, we have Bills at Panthers. For 274 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,520 Speaker 1: the Buffalo Bills, I'm gonna go with Dawson Knox at 275 00:12:55,559 --> 00:12:59,040 Speaker 1: plus three fifty. Carolina gives up the fourth most yardage 276 00:12:59,360 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 1: and tie for the fourth most touchdown receptions per game 277 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:06,679 Speaker 1: to tight ends and Dustin Nuts already was seeing some 278 00:13:06,720 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 1: red zone snaps at the expense of Dalton Kincaid before 279 00:13:09,240 --> 00:13:12,640 Speaker 1: Kincaid's injury. He's Kinkaid has been limited in practice all week. 280 00:13:12,840 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: There's there's a chance that he may miss because Buffalo 281 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,679 Speaker 1: is extremely cautious with players, So you know, if King 282 00:13:18,720 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 1: Kid doesn't get back to a full practice, there's even 283 00:13:20,679 --> 00:13:22,920 Speaker 1: a chance he could get scratched. Either way, Buffalo I 284 00:13:22,960 --> 00:13:24,520 Speaker 1: expect them to play a lot of two and three 285 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:26,760 Speaker 1: tight end sets here against the Panthers, who have been 286 00:13:27,160 --> 00:13:29,199 Speaker 1: good against the run, but if you know, you get 287 00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 1: more bodies out there, that's how you kind of beat that. 288 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:34,240 Speaker 1: And they've been good against wide receivers and bad against 289 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:37,440 Speaker 1: tight ends. So like the matchup for Buffalo tight ends 290 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,120 Speaker 1: in terms of the touchdown market, and then for the 291 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 1: Panthers got to go exavier to get at plus four fifty. 292 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:45,480 Speaker 1: I think he's just way under priced in the market. 293 00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:48,320 Speaker 1: I know he's caught touchdowns and I think both game 294 00:13:48,400 --> 00:13:51,360 Speaker 1: since returning, but still under priced, tied for the most 295 00:13:51,400 --> 00:13:55,160 Speaker 1: red zone routes and target since he returned, and you 296 00:13:55,160 --> 00:13:57,200 Speaker 1: know the coverage is still going to kind of go 297 00:13:57,320 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: towards McMillan first, and that I think really helps. Like 298 00:14:00,080 --> 00:14:03,559 Speaker 1: at in this Panther offense and with the Bills, you 299 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:05,880 Speaker 1: know they're gonna play a lot of zone would get 300 00:14:06,000 --> 00:14:08,839 Speaker 1: is second on the team in in in targets against 301 00:14:08,880 --> 00:14:11,800 Speaker 1: zone coverage as well, So a lot of good things 302 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:13,719 Speaker 1: for Lagety. I just think he's way under price in 303 00:14:13,760 --> 00:14:17,040 Speaker 1: the market. Up at plus four fifty, he's plus he's 304 00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: down a plus three thirties three hundred somewhere, and I 305 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: still think he's underpriced there, so wide range out of 306 00:14:23,120 --> 00:14:25,360 Speaker 1: prices for him, but like him to get in the 307 00:14:25,440 --> 00:14:29,359 Speaker 1: end zone. Kerner. Let's go back to you with Jets Bengals. 308 00:14:29,640 --> 00:14:33,320 Speaker 1: This one looks like Flacco is going to go up against. 309 00:14:33,560 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: Is it going to be Tyrod? I don't know. I 310 00:14:34,960 --> 00:14:37,000 Speaker 1: mean the Jets just the injury report is massive. But 311 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:39,480 Speaker 1: who you like? Even though there aren't money odds up 312 00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 1: for this game at this point. 313 00:14:41,680 --> 00:14:44,920 Speaker 3: Yeah, typical. I ended up with this matchup not a 314 00:14:44,960 --> 00:14:46,800 Speaker 3: lot of odds out there because we don't really know 315 00:14:46,840 --> 00:14:50,440 Speaker 3: who's playing for the Jets. Every single starting offensive player 316 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 3: is questionable. But I'll do my best here. 317 00:14:52,760 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 1: I'm going to go with. 318 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:59,000 Speaker 3: Joseabash andre Yosabash at plus four twenty five, just because 319 00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:02,360 Speaker 3: you know, Joe Flacco gave this this passing attack and 320 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:05,760 Speaker 3: the offense in general spark these these last two games, 321 00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:07,880 Speaker 3: and he's only going to get better as he learns 322 00:15:07,880 --> 00:15:10,920 Speaker 3: the playbook, as he gets chemistry with his pass catchers, 323 00:15:10,960 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 3: and Josebash probably gets a boost going forward with Mike 324 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:17,760 Speaker 3: Eseki being out on IR. I know, no offense going 325 00:15:17,840 --> 00:15:19,880 Speaker 3: to step up, but you know you're going to probably 326 00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:22,520 Speaker 3: see more of three white sets where he's his target 327 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:24,720 Speaker 3: share might go up a little bit, and we always 328 00:15:24,760 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 3: love taking him in the touchdown mark. I think he's 329 00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:29,480 Speaker 3: always kind of overlooked, So at plus four twenty five, 330 00:15:29,560 --> 00:15:32,120 Speaker 3: I am showing some value there. And then on the 331 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:35,440 Speaker 3: Jets side, I'm just gonna go with Garrett Wilson around 332 00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:39,000 Speaker 3: plus one seventy five because Jill and I were talking 333 00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:41,200 Speaker 3: about this, you know before, but I think you know, 334 00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:44,880 Speaker 3: Tyrod helps the Jets offense. I think you know Andy 335 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:46,960 Speaker 3: Dalton's going to help out the Panthers offense this week. 336 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,880 Speaker 3: So I think Garrett Wilson gets a boost this week 337 00:15:49,920 --> 00:15:53,400 Speaker 3: if it is Tyrod under center. And assuming you know 338 00:15:53,480 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 3: Wilson does play, there's a chance that some of these 339 00:15:56,000 --> 00:15:59,160 Speaker 3: other skill players get ruled out, like Brits Hall, Mason Taylor. 340 00:15:59,200 --> 00:16:02,080 Speaker 3: We don't really know, and in those situations, you know 341 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,320 Speaker 3: he's gonna get a boost either way. So I think 342 00:16:04,360 --> 00:16:07,560 Speaker 3: taking him early on would make sense if you are 343 00:16:07,600 --> 00:16:10,160 Speaker 3: going to be bet this game right now. But there's 344 00:16:10,240 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 3: just so much uncertainty that I would just check our 345 00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:15,160 Speaker 3: prop tool the day of. You might see some other players, 346 00:16:15,240 --> 00:16:17,080 Speaker 3: you know, popping in our models, But as of now, 347 00:16:17,120 --> 00:16:19,280 Speaker 3: I think Garret Wilson at plus one seventy five would 348 00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:19,720 Speaker 3: be the play. 349 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,120 Speaker 1: Yeah, I was, I'm wondering how you kind of foot 350 00:16:23,160 --> 00:16:26,480 Speaker 1: off the urge to just go with Joannie Woods here 351 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:32,920 Speaker 1: with Stone Smart Taylor on Thursday. But they're you. 352 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:38,360 Speaker 3: Know, they're pricing him like you know, everybody's out. Everybody's 353 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 3: that there ceiling right now in this market is what 354 00:16:40,520 --> 00:16:45,120 Speaker 3: I'm getting at. But on Sunday morning, if Taylor and 355 00:16:45,200 --> 00:16:47,760 Speaker 3: Smarter out and Jelanni Woods is sitting there, what eight 356 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:51,680 Speaker 3: to one? Yeah, that's that's that's a play for sure, 357 00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:53,400 Speaker 3: And I better see a full unit play from you. 358 00:16:53,560 --> 00:17:02,120 Speaker 1: Ray By better get that one in, man. Yeah, I 359 00:17:02,560 --> 00:17:04,000 Speaker 1: see him. I don't even see him on the board 360 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:08,520 Speaker 1: right now. So it's health books are kind of scared. Yeah, 361 00:17:08,560 --> 00:17:11,399 Speaker 1: I mean as healthy as a guy who gets healthy 362 00:17:11,440 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 1: scratched every game of the season can be. Well. 363 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:19,200 Speaker 3: Yes, yeah, but he's he's been, he's missed, he hasn't 364 00:17:19,200 --> 00:17:21,280 Speaker 3: played the last three years. He's as fresh as you 365 00:17:21,320 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 3: can get, but very talented. So I think if if 366 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 3: he is kind of forcing in a role this week, 367 00:17:26,640 --> 00:17:29,400 Speaker 3: he is absolutely going to be like a nice sleeper pick. 368 00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 1: Yeah, the Bengals versus tight ends too, just been been 369 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:36,439 Speaker 1: rough for them, So like that, like that call if 370 00:17:36,480 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 1: it comes to it. But Yosebash and Wilson are your 371 00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:42,679 Speaker 1: official plays there, Joe. Next up, we got the Bucks 372 00:17:42,720 --> 00:17:46,240 Speaker 1: going to New Orleans to face the Saints. This is 373 00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:49,200 Speaker 1: a luck rankings game for us in terms of betting, 374 00:17:49,359 --> 00:17:52,680 Speaker 1: with the Saints being the unlucky Scott side that we're 375 00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:55,000 Speaker 1: looking at. But who do you like as far as 376 00:17:55,000 --> 00:17:56,800 Speaker 1: some touchdown luck in this spot? 377 00:17:57,119 --> 00:17:59,520 Speaker 2: For sure? And on the Saints side, I'm not going 378 00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,359 Speaker 2: to overcome implicated. I think you just got to keep 379 00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:03,240 Speaker 2: going with Crystal Lava here. I think he's one of 380 00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:05,800 Speaker 2: the best young wide receivers in the NFL. Second in 381 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,480 Speaker 2: the NFL in total targets. He leads the Saints by 382 00:18:08,520 --> 00:18:10,840 Speaker 2: a mile with eight end zone targets compared to the 383 00:18:10,840 --> 00:18:14,280 Speaker 2: next closest that only has two. Scored twice last week. 384 00:18:14,400 --> 00:18:16,600 Speaker 2: And I think there's been the book out on him 385 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 2: is that he's not really been a deep threat in 386 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,400 Speaker 2: his time in the NFL, but this season that's kind 387 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 2: of changed. He continues to be a deep threat this year. 388 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:25,920 Speaker 2: They actually has the same amount of deep targets this 389 00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:29,160 Speaker 2: season as Rashid Shihied and the Bucks. They played man 390 00:18:29,200 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 2: in zone a kind of a league average rate. Of course, 391 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 2: you know they're going to play cover two under top bowls. 392 00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 2: But with a Lave he leads the NFL in targets 393 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:38,720 Speaker 2: per rut run or pardon me, he leads the team 394 00:18:38,800 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 2: rather not NFL in targets per route run against both 395 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,199 Speaker 2: of those coverages. So I think it's more of a 396 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:45,399 Speaker 2: set and forget it. You just take Crystal Lava anytime 397 00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,720 Speaker 2: you can get him over plus two hundred. But on 398 00:18:47,760 --> 00:18:50,720 Speaker 2: the Bucks side, you guys will be proud of me 399 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:52,920 Speaker 2: because I feel like I've tried my hardest to find 400 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:54,640 Speaker 2: a long shot for the Bucks every time I get 401 00:18:54,640 --> 00:18:57,240 Speaker 2: ex signed to this team, and it's so difficult. But 402 00:18:57,400 --> 00:19:00,520 Speaker 2: Payne Durham, we're going there thirteen to one. I found 403 00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:02,040 Speaker 2: a thirteen to one. Initially I thought it was going 404 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 2: to be eight to one. It's thirteen to one right now, 405 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,320 Speaker 2: and with a B and national tight end week, I 406 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:08,480 Speaker 2: wanted to throw a weird one out there, and just 407 00:19:08,560 --> 00:19:11,000 Speaker 2: especially with on this offense, given the turmoil at the top, 408 00:19:11,040 --> 00:19:12,880 Speaker 2: because Mike Evans is going to be out now, Chris 409 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 2: Godwin's hurt again and Mecca Buca is around minus uts 410 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:19,520 Speaker 2: to score. Kate Auten is around plus one ninety like so, 411 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:22,800 Speaker 2: Payne Durham scored twice last year. One of the games 412 00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,240 Speaker 2: that he did score against the Saints in Week eighteen 413 00:19:25,280 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 2: and is seen a snap right increase in each of 414 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:29,920 Speaker 2: the last three games. The Saints UH not very good 415 00:19:29,920 --> 00:19:32,680 Speaker 2: against tight ends either, twenty seventh of defensive DVA four 416 00:19:32,720 --> 00:19:35,560 Speaker 2: touchdowns allowed to the position. So let's get crazy. Let's 417 00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:38,040 Speaker 2: take Payne Durham to score a touchdown at thirteen to one. 418 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, Payn Durham were good in limited action last year. 419 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,120 Speaker 1: I remember that. I remember that end of the year 420 00:19:43,800 --> 00:19:46,280 Speaker 1: game where he was flashing him and uh and colp 421 00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,840 Speaker 1: the two backup. Yeah, I wouldn't be surprised to get 422 00:19:48,880 --> 00:19:50,920 Speaker 1: through it. Weird. I like that. I like that one. 423 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:54,679 Speaker 1: I like that one. All right, U next out do? Yeah? 424 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 1: Titans at Coats, this is a game. We should see 425 00:19:58,000 --> 00:20:02,120 Speaker 1: some points indoor track. It's going Jonathan Taylor automatic three 426 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 1: touchdown game six to one. You know he's I joke, 427 00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:07,720 Speaker 1: but he's done it three times in seven games, which 428 00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,000 Speaker 1: is absurd. You know the odds are you know saying 429 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:13,360 Speaker 1: it's about a under a twenty percent chance, and he's 430 00:20:13,400 --> 00:20:16,200 Speaker 1: done it about over forty percent of the time. So 431 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,360 Speaker 1: that just speaks to how absurd Taylor has been this year. 432 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:22,040 Speaker 1: He's getting in the end zone. The Titans defense most 433 00:20:22,080 --> 00:20:25,440 Speaker 1: touchdowns allowed to running backs this year, with eleven through 434 00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 1: seven weeks of the season. So I think Taylor has 435 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:32,040 Speaker 1: a good shot at getting there. But obviously like him, 436 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:34,359 Speaker 1: you know, two touchdowns or you know, as an anchor 437 00:20:34,440 --> 00:20:37,560 Speaker 1: leg of a parlay. He with even his one touchdown, 438 00:20:37,600 --> 00:20:40,199 Speaker 1: although that's pretty juiced up at this point. And for 439 00:20:40,280 --> 00:20:44,119 Speaker 1: the Titans, guy who scored last week for them, Shim 440 00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:45,560 Speaker 1: Ray DK, I like him. We get back in the 441 00:20:45,640 --> 00:20:48,879 Speaker 1: end zones plus four seventy five Tyra Lockett cut. You know, 442 00:20:48,880 --> 00:20:51,119 Speaker 1: he's been passed up by DK's past couple of weeks. 443 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:54,439 Speaker 1: So DK's playing that full slot role with you know, 444 00:20:54,600 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 1: gets about sixty five to seventy percent of the dropbacks 445 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,480 Speaker 1: he'll be running a rout on and he's a team 446 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:02,919 Speaker 1: in red zone targets for the year. And this was 447 00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:04,560 Speaker 1: something I kind of pointed out early in the year. 448 00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,639 Speaker 1: Didn't catch Whitening in a bottle then, But they've been 449 00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,160 Speaker 1: trying to get him in the end zone. Since since 450 00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:12,040 Speaker 1: we won pretty much and with this new coaching staff, 451 00:21:12,040 --> 00:21:14,560 Speaker 1: they finally were able to get it done. But that's 452 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,440 Speaker 1: something that I expect to continue. He's been the guy 453 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:18,960 Speaker 1: that's really emerging. We've kind of seen the signs of 454 00:21:19,000 --> 00:21:21,560 Speaker 1: it all year. So that the Coats have given up 455 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:23,800 Speaker 1: nine touchdowns to opposing wide house, it's time for six 456 00:21:23,880 --> 00:21:27,080 Speaker 1: most so like Taylor to score three times, DK to 457 00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:34,200 Speaker 1: score once and let's go to Cowboys at Broncos current. 458 00:21:34,240 --> 00:21:36,040 Speaker 1: I liked the Cowboys here. I didn't think I'd be 459 00:21:36,119 --> 00:21:38,400 Speaker 1: on them, but I like the matchup for them. Where 460 00:21:38,440 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 1: you looking in terms of Cowboys Broncos for some touchdown scores. 461 00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm going to go with mister mal Santa himself, 462 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:50,399 Speaker 3: Dak Prescott at plus eight hundred. You know, recently the 463 00:21:50,440 --> 00:21:52,520 Speaker 3: past few seasons, he's kind of shied away from his 464 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,600 Speaker 3: rushing upside because he's had so many significant lower body andrews, 465 00:21:56,640 --> 00:21:59,280 Speaker 3: you know last year included, but last couple of games 466 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:02,440 Speaker 3: he's been using his legs a bit more. He had, 467 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:04,639 Speaker 3: you know, twenty eight rushing yards against the Jets a 468 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,119 Speaker 3: few weeks ago, had a rushing score against the Packers, 469 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:09,240 Speaker 3: in Week four, which is kind of what I would 470 00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,480 Speaker 3: envision here. You know, they're they're inside of the five 471 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,720 Speaker 3: yard line. The Broncos are using, you know, a ton 472 00:22:14,760 --> 00:22:17,960 Speaker 3: of man coverage. Everyone's covered up. Dak just chooses to 473 00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:19,840 Speaker 3: run up the middle for a score. That's kind of 474 00:22:19,840 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 3: what I envision here if he does score. So I'm 475 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:24,879 Speaker 3: showing some value on him here at plus eight hundred. 476 00:22:25,359 --> 00:22:27,159 Speaker 3: And then for the Broncos side, when it comes to 477 00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:30,159 Speaker 3: the Broncos Raybond, we always talk about, you know, Corlin 478 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:33,439 Speaker 3: Sutton and JK. Dobbins, those are the stable guys. The 479 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:36,280 Speaker 3: markets aware of that, but they're the team you got 480 00:22:36,280 --> 00:22:38,880 Speaker 3: to get weird, So especially on tight ends week, I'm 481 00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,760 Speaker 3: gonna get weird here and not go with Evan Ingram, 482 00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:47,840 Speaker 3: but Nate Atkins at nine to one. And Adkins is 483 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,639 Speaker 3: like your typical Broncos troll touchdown. We saw it the 484 00:22:50,720 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 3: other week. He scored the other week where he was 485 00:22:53,320 --> 00:22:57,080 Speaker 3: wide open. And this Cowboys defense is awful. So if 486 00:22:57,119 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 3: there's any defense that would leave someone like Nabe Adkins open, 487 00:23:01,040 --> 00:23:03,840 Speaker 3: it'd be the Cowboys. So I'm actually showing some decent 488 00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 3: value on him at ninety to one, just because this 489 00:23:06,080 --> 00:23:08,159 Speaker 3: is a team where it's just a wide arrange outcomes 490 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,959 Speaker 3: on who's gonna score. Uh, So I'm gonna get sneaky 491 00:23:10,960 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 3: here and go with Adkins at nine to one. 492 00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,200 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it. I love it. You gotta, you gotta. 493 00:23:16,560 --> 00:23:18,680 Speaker 1: Sean Payton lost nothing more than to try it out, 494 00:23:18,880 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 1: like four different heavy personnel guys on every single down 495 00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:26,840 Speaker 1: and every drive everywhere. Did you see Garrett leading red 496 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:31,760 Speaker 1: zone Gary touchdown end zone target? I mean, is he 497 00:23:31,840 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 1: on the board? But yeah, just anybody's in play with them, 498 00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:36,000 Speaker 1: even with Dak. 499 00:23:36,040 --> 00:23:37,439 Speaker 2: The one thing I was going to point out in 500 00:23:37,440 --> 00:23:39,800 Speaker 2: the last two weeks, because they faced Jackson Dart and 501 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,879 Speaker 2: Justin Fields, whenever they were back up to pass, you 502 00:23:42,920 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 2: could see that they had a spy over the middle 503 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,000 Speaker 2: waiting for that. I don't think they're going to have 504 00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:49,520 Speaker 2: a spy for that, Prescott, So I think you're feeling 505 00:23:49,560 --> 00:23:52,320 Speaker 2: pretty good right now. Get that at eight to one. 506 00:23:52,800 --> 00:23:55,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, that spy should be like on CD or Jake 507 00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:58,919 Speaker 3: Ferguson not watching Dak. So that's what I'm It's just 508 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:01,760 Speaker 3: going to be a complete broken play where everyone's covered 509 00:24:01,800 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 3: and then he'll be like, I'll run it in And 510 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:06,400 Speaker 3: he did that against the Packers, although that one looked 511 00:24:06,400 --> 00:24:09,159 Speaker 3: like it was more designed. But either way, you know, 512 00:24:09,160 --> 00:24:10,560 Speaker 3: it's been nice to see him use his legs a 513 00:24:10,560 --> 00:24:11,440 Speaker 3: little bit more this year. 514 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,639 Speaker 1: Yeah, who knew. Brian Schottenheimer's got that offense, got that 515 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:21,080 Speaker 1: team playing way above expectations. So maybe I mean, sheesh, 516 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:25,040 Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy's just just looking worse for you. But all right, 517 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:27,320 Speaker 1: before we continue, don't forget to sign up for Action 518 00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 1: Pro for real time pick alerts from experts like Sean Kerner, Joeglant, 519 00:24:30,520 --> 00:24:33,960 Speaker 1: and myself plus the entire Action Network squad, and you 520 00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:36,359 Speaker 1: can access our pro projections powered by Kerner and our 521 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,959 Speaker 1: predictive analytics team. Just go to Action network dot com 522 00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,840 Speaker 1: slash pro and get twenty dollars off the annual price 523 00:24:41,880 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 1: with promo code Pod twenty. That's Pod two zero, So 524 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:46,719 Speaker 1: don't mess up miss out on the best bets at 525 00:24:46,720 --> 00:24:49,400 Speaker 1: the best prices. Visit Action Network dot com slash Pro 526 00:24:49,680 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 1: use promo code Pod two zero to get twenty dollars 527 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:55,720 Speaker 1: off a year of Action Pro. All right, it's time 528 00:24:55,840 --> 00:25:01,960 Speaker 1: for our favorite Sunday Anytime Touchdown par presented by DraftKings 529 00:25:02,400 --> 00:25:05,359 Speaker 1: and Sean. I'm gonna start with you, who do you 530 00:25:05,440 --> 00:25:06,440 Speaker 1: like for your leg? 531 00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:09,680 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm gonna stick with probably the most likely touchdown 532 00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,840 Speaker 3: of the handful I picked this week and go with 533 00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 3: AJ Brown at plus one eighty. 534 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:18,320 Speaker 1: Here, Joe, who's your leg of the Sunday anytime touchdown Parway? 535 00:25:18,440 --> 00:25:20,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't mean to knock the Taylor 536 00:25:20,920 --> 00:25:23,400 Speaker 2: three touchdown bet. I just like Daniel Jones to get 537 00:25:23,400 --> 00:25:25,520 Speaker 2: a touchdown here, just given the fact of the upside 538 00:25:25,560 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 2: of rushing ability against this Titans defense. So I mean, 539 00:25:28,359 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 2: even Taylor could have two touchdowns and Dimes could still 540 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:33,000 Speaker 2: have one on his own, right, So I just like 541 00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 2: Daniel Jones as in any time touchdown right now is 542 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:36,399 Speaker 2: the second leg of this. 543 00:25:37,720 --> 00:25:39,960 Speaker 1: And I like Xaviriel get Here. I just think he's 544 00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:42,439 Speaker 1: under price in the market for a Panthers team that's 545 00:25:42,800 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 1: probably not gonna do much with their tight ends in 546 00:25:44,840 --> 00:25:46,919 Speaker 1: this spot. Those have been really good against tight ends. 547 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:50,360 Speaker 1: Wide receivers is how you kind of beat them through 548 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,120 Speaker 1: the air. So I'm gonna go with XAVIERL get Parway, 549 00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: AJ Brown, Daniel Jones, and XAVIERL get anytime touchdowns at 550 00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,840 Speaker 1: DraftKings and you get a nice juicy plus thirty seven 551 00:26:00,960 --> 00:26:04,919 Speaker 1: sixty four or thirty seven to one. So that is 552 00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:09,359 Speaker 1: our favorite anytime touchdown paraway presented by Draft King. All right, 553 00:26:09,400 --> 00:26:11,840 Speaker 1: let's get into the primetimes. Wait, we'll start with Sunday 554 00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:16,199 Speaker 1: Night football, Packers at Steelers. I'll have a write up 555 00:26:16,280 --> 00:26:18,879 Speaker 1: on this for Action Sean. Where are you looking for 556 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:19,440 Speaker 1: a touchdown? 557 00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:22,200 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Romeo Dobbs here at two to one. 558 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 3: You know, D'antavian Wicks looks like he's doubtful. Chrisha Watson 559 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,399 Speaker 3: looks like he could return this week from the IR 560 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:32,000 Speaker 3: but I'm assuming he would be pretty limited. So you know, 561 00:26:32,119 --> 00:26:35,199 Speaker 3: Dobbs is going to continue to see just excellent usage 562 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:38,280 Speaker 3: and be one of you know, Love's favorite targets in 563 00:26:38,359 --> 00:26:40,679 Speaker 3: the end zone. So I'm sure on quite a bit 564 00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:43,200 Speaker 3: of value here at plus two to one. 565 00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:46,920 Speaker 2: Joe Yeap going with Tucker Craft four touchdowns in six 566 00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:49,440 Speaker 2: games has just been a focal point of this offense, 567 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,760 Speaker 2: so I think both him and Dobbs can score, and. 568 00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,600 Speaker 1: I gotta go DK Metcalf plus one forty five stuck 569 00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:57,920 Speaker 1: and I give out the DK and DK on DK 570 00:26:58,119 --> 00:27:01,240 Speaker 1: paraway on the Action Pod on Today with Shim Ray 571 00:27:01,320 --> 00:27:04,960 Speaker 1: and Metcalf and I like Metcalf here. The Packers play 572 00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:07,800 Speaker 1: more zone than anybody. Metcalf has been the top target 573 00:27:07,800 --> 00:27:10,440 Speaker 1: for Aaron Rodgers against zone coverage and you don't usually 574 00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:12,800 Speaker 1: see that with wide receivers, So that shows how good 575 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:15,119 Speaker 1: Metcalf has been the same thing in the red zone. 576 00:27:15,160 --> 00:27:18,159 Speaker 1: So like DK Metcalf at plus one forty five, you 577 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:22,119 Speaker 1: partway Dobbs Craft Metcalf for anytime touchdowns at DraftKings, you 578 00:27:22,160 --> 00:27:27,120 Speaker 1: get odds of fifteen to one. Monday Night Football Commanders 579 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,520 Speaker 1: at Chiefs, this line keeps going up in favor of 580 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,840 Speaker 1: the Chiefs, with Marcus Marioto looking like he's going to 581 00:27:32,880 --> 00:27:37,080 Speaker 1: get another start here in place of Jaden Daniels Turner. 582 00:27:37,600 --> 00:27:40,600 Speaker 1: Who do you like to score in Commander's Chiefs. 583 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,399 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go with Marcus marid to here at plus 584 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:46,240 Speaker 3: four fifty. It sounds like, you know, Terry McLaurin and 585 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:49,440 Speaker 3: Deebo might return, so that'll help them, you know, get 586 00:27:49,680 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 3: to the red zone potentially. 587 00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:53,200 Speaker 1: And then unlike Dak where I have to kind. 588 00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:55,120 Speaker 3: Of think of like a weird play where he's gonna 589 00:27:55,200 --> 00:27:57,359 Speaker 3: use his legs to score, don't have to do that 590 00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:00,480 Speaker 3: with Marcus Marott He's usually looking to use his legs, 591 00:28:01,119 --> 00:28:03,240 Speaker 3: especially you know, in the red zone. 592 00:28:03,320 --> 00:28:04,120 Speaker 1: So you know, I. 593 00:28:04,119 --> 00:28:06,920 Speaker 3: Love the value we're getting here at plus four plus 594 00:28:06,920 --> 00:28:08,040 Speaker 3: four fifty for Mariota. 595 00:28:09,119 --> 00:28:11,439 Speaker 1: Yeah, Mariota also uses legs to like flip on his 596 00:28:11,520 --> 00:28:15,000 Speaker 1: button throw the pass backwards once, So like he's probably 597 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: gonna using his legs in the past game and the 598 00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:24,600 Speaker 1: running game. You I was just thinking Chiefs Jeeves Commanders. 599 00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:26,040 Speaker 2: Well, I was just thinking about the Chiefs matchup when 600 00:28:26,040 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 2: he was with the Titans and he scored another way 601 00:28:27,840 --> 00:28:31,320 Speaker 2: where he had that deflection bath to him as well. Yeah, 602 00:28:31,359 --> 00:28:33,200 Speaker 2: so you can have that up there as an angle 603 00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:36,399 Speaker 2: as well. On the Chiefs, I'm gonna go with Xavier 604 00:28:36,440 --> 00:28:39,680 Speaker 2: Worthy mainly because of the defensive shift that's going to 605 00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:43,800 Speaker 2: see from facing the Raiders compared to the Commanders. Commander's 606 00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 2: played way more man coverage. Xavier worthies had better numbers 607 00:28:46,520 --> 00:28:49,160 Speaker 2: versus man so far this season, and I think rashe 608 00:28:49,240 --> 00:28:52,320 Speaker 2: Rice will still be effective, but won't be as effective 609 00:28:52,320 --> 00:28:54,120 Speaker 2: against man compared to the way he was last week 610 00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 2: where he just completely diced up that Raiders zone defense. 611 00:28:57,640 --> 00:28:59,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, this is a This is an interesting matchup because 612 00:28:59,880 --> 00:29:03,840 Speaker 1: the Commander's play the fifth most man in the league 613 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:06,520 Speaker 1: overall on defense in the red zone, they've played the 614 00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:09,280 Speaker 1: fifth most zone, so it's like it's anyone's guests, like, 615 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:11,680 Speaker 1: but I do think Worthy he's always involved, always my 616 00:29:11,720 --> 00:29:14,760 Speaker 1: favorite anytime touchdown on the Chiefs. Thought about going with 617 00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:17,200 Speaker 1: Marku's Brown as well, but I'm gonna go with Burchard 618 00:29:17,280 --> 00:29:19,920 Speaker 1: Smith here, and the reason being because the Commanders do 619 00:29:20,000 --> 00:29:22,920 Speaker 1: play a lot of man coverage. Brechard Smith is actually 620 00:29:22,920 --> 00:29:25,120 Speaker 1: a running back that they trust to beat man, so 621 00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,720 Speaker 1: he could get an explosive score here. But he's also 622 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:30,640 Speaker 1: been playing more in the red zone, just as you know, 623 00:29:30,800 --> 00:29:32,760 Speaker 1: one of the three running backs in the rotation now. 624 00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:35,080 Speaker 1: And we saw Kareem Hunt not play all of the 625 00:29:35,320 --> 00:29:37,560 Speaker 1: you know, goal line red zone snaps last week. I 626 00:29:37,560 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 1: know he got hobbled early in the game, but he 627 00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:41,720 Speaker 1: did come back in so still I think it's a 628 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:43,640 Speaker 1: good sign for Smith that he's just kind of getting 629 00:29:43,640 --> 00:29:46,560 Speaker 1: more action here. And with the spread going up, it 630 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:50,000 Speaker 1: increases the likelihood of a blowout and if you have 631 00:29:50,280 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 1: the you know, kind of garbage time crew in Brashard 632 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,520 Speaker 1: Smith also is a part of that crew. So like 633 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:58,720 Speaker 1: him at plus two thirty five of all the Chiefs 634 00:29:58,760 --> 00:30:03,240 Speaker 1: kind of buck together in that same same odds zone. 635 00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:05,720 Speaker 1: But you know, there are a bunch of options I 636 00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,120 Speaker 1: think on the Chiefs, but bershard Smith is my favorite. 637 00:30:08,400 --> 00:30:12,479 Speaker 1: At plus two thirty five. You partaway Mariota, Xavier Worthy 638 00:30:12,680 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 1: Bershard Smith for anytime touchdowns on DraftKings you get forty 639 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,400 Speaker 1: two to one odds. Very juicy. So I will see 640 00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:22,200 Speaker 1: how these go. That was our show. As I mentioned, 641 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:26,440 Speaker 1: we'll add these anytime touchdowns to the quick accounts. You 642 00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,520 Speaker 1: can find those in the description. Also follow the Parlay 643 00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:32,120 Speaker 1: Express account in the Action Network app if you have 644 00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,520 Speaker 1: not already. We're gonna have all these best tracked there 645 00:30:34,560 --> 00:30:37,680 Speaker 1: as well. And while you're looking at Express, don't forget 646 00:30:37,680 --> 00:30:39,480 Speaker 1: you can sign up for Action Pros, the only way 647 00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:42,400 Speaker 1: for you to get real time pick awords and best 648 00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:45,200 Speaker 1: bets at the best prices, with immediate notifications from all 649 00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:47,160 Speaker 1: of us the minute they go out so the line 650 00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 1: doesn't move on you. And you should get twenty hours 651 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:51,640 Speaker 1: off right now by using promo code Pod twenty when 652 00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:54,200 Speaker 1: you sign up for a year of Action Pro. That's 653 00:30:54,200 --> 00:30:56,120 Speaker 1: gonna do it for our NFL Week eight Touchdown show 654 00:30:56,200 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings from Sean Kurder and Jill Gowan. I'm 655 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:01,920 Speaker 1: Chris Raybon. You can find Sean on next at the 656 00:31:01,960 --> 00:31:05,880 Speaker 1: underscribed maker. Joe is at G dog five thousand D 657 00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,520 Speaker 1: a w G to spell the dog, and I'm at 658 00:31:08,560 --> 00:31:11,160 Speaker 1: Chris Raybon. Brought those same handles on the action app 659 00:31:11,200 --> 00:31:32,240 Speaker 1: Until the next time It's Gonna fish money