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Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from

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Speaker 1: the Volume Podcast Network. I'm Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer

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Speaker 1: of the Action Network. We are live on AMP thanks

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Speaker 1: to everybody who's flooding in to join. I am joined

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Speaker 1: as always by my co host, my BFF, my companion

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Speaker 1: professional letter Simmon Hunter. Hello, so I am in Chad.

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Speaker 1: What a weekend from sports feels like? It was like

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Speaker 1: two weekends and one just feels like the longest weekend ever,

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Speaker 1: but a good long weekend. Some bad but overall good

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Speaker 1: long weekend. Well, look, you're sad because of the Phillies

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Speaker 1: and us listened to the bonus episode on Friday. You

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Speaker 1: know that, me and Simon and Matt Mitchell and Rory

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Speaker 1: from the Volume Network who's on the helping to produce

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Speaker 1: the show. We were all in Lexington this past weekend.

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Speaker 1: We did a live show there. Simon, Matt Mitchell and

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Speaker 1: Stucky Action Network o G co host of the BBOC

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Speaker 1: podcast the Action Network podcast. Listening to both They're amazing.

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Speaker 1: He lives in Lexington. Took us to a couple of

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Speaker 1: bars that his wife runs. We watched the Phillies game

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Speaker 1: on Thursday night, later into the evening. Tough night, but

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Speaker 1: I love seeing our fans, Loved hanging out with people,

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Speaker 1: love having people buy us shots. Saturday morning, Matt Mitchell

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Speaker 1: went to the airport in Lexington trying to get back

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Speaker 1: to his hometown of Schlamizo slamazl Milwaukee, Wisconsin through Chicago. Delayed, delayed, delayed, delayed. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: pretty rough Saturday for me. Got delayed six hours at

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Speaker 1: the Lexington airport with our colleague Alex Monico before I

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Speaker 1: shot you this message, and if you don't want to

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Speaker 1: hear me yelling, just skip ahead. Two minutes the day

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Speaker 1: of Breeders Cup, I get to the airport nice and early.

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Speaker 1: I run into Alex Monico there with the volumes. Nice.

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Speaker 1: We're hanging out. Happened a nicetime. Oh Our flight to Chicago,

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Speaker 1: the last flight leaving the airport in Lexington today, is delayed,

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Speaker 1: then delayed again. We look at each other like, I

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Speaker 1: think we're gonna be boned here. We're not gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to catch our connections in Chicago. If there's one

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Speaker 1: more delay. Then we see the gate agent smiles. She

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Speaker 1: grabs the pilot. Pilot smiles, he grabs the p a

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Speaker 1: to give an announcement. We're like, okay, we're in luck,

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Speaker 1: and the guy goes, all right, good news. The ground

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Speaker 1: stop at in Chicago has ended and we are good

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Speaker 1: to fly out. And then like he's like he's doing

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Speaker 1: an improp set. He waits like three Mississippi and goes

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Speaker 1: in two and a half hours, and everyone's booed in

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Speaker 1: the like night at the fucking Apollo at the fucking terminal.

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Speaker 1: Everyone's gonna miss their connections. We go to the bar,

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Speaker 1: we start watching the only people having a worse thing

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Speaker 1: than us, the Tennessee Volunteers. Because we bet on him.

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Speaker 1: We go, okay, you know what, We're gonna be fine.

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Speaker 1: We'll catch a red eye or whatever out of Chicago.

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Speaker 1: And I'm like, I could just rent a car and

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Speaker 1: I'll just drive home from Chicago, whatever it takes. We

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Speaker 1: get another announcement that there's a full ground stop in

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Speaker 1: Chicago again, but that's the fucking president is flying in

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Speaker 1: and we hit a weather delay election cycle. Air Force

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Speaker 1: one visit Parlay. I say funk this, I grab my ship,

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Speaker 1: I get in a rent of car. I'm driving on

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Speaker 1: I six now to do the seven hours home to Milwaukee.

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Speaker 1: My wife's left me. She's remarried. I think she made

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Speaker 1: a guy named Hank. My kids are calling him dad

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Speaker 1: now and I just I just live on the road

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Speaker 1: in this rented Nissan which is now my condo. Goodbye

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Speaker 1: to my old life. That's what he does or his

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Speaker 1: family as a Phillies fan, proud of the boys. It

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Speaker 1: was a fun ride. The worst part of that we

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Speaker 1: were up to one. I really that was when I

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Speaker 1: really bought in. I dip my toes and I believed.

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Speaker 1: But in the back of mind, I was like, come on,

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Speaker 1: Houston's gonna beat us. I got the two one lead

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Speaker 1: was all in. I don't know if you even chat

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Speaker 1: even has ever even been depressed. He's such a happy guy,

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Speaker 1: but something like me. I probably get depressed once a week.

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Speaker 1: I'm just a downer guy where it's like, even when

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Speaker 1: things are going good, I get down. So I woke

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Speaker 1: up Sunday dead. Like you know when those movies they

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Speaker 1: have the camera above the guy laying in bed with

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Speaker 1: his covers tucked in on him. You're just laying there

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Speaker 1: looking at the ceiling. That was me. I could not

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Speaker 1: sleep my slipgudule was all messed up from the traveling.

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Speaker 1: But I was literally like one of those things, like,

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Speaker 1: what's the point of life? What are we doing here?

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Speaker 1: What are any of us doing here? Hopped on a

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Speaker 1: zoom call with Chad and the other people at work

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Speaker 1: with I don't know. It kind of brought me back

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Speaker 1: a little bit. If me and Cha didn't have a

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Speaker 1: good day though, I tell you this much, that might

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Speaker 1: have been it for the boys. But luckily Chad it

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Speaker 1: worked out because I was like, not that sports complete

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Speaker 1: out of things, but it is the ultimate distractor, right Like,

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Speaker 1: I didn't have time to mourn, had to get right

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Speaker 1: to work. So still hurting, like it's Tuesday now. I'm

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Speaker 1: still like even everyone I wake up, I just can't

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Speaker 1: believe baseball is over. I think I'll be over end

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Speaker 1: of the week. But as a true die hard Phillies fan,

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Speaker 1: it hurts, like my my soul hurts right now. But yeah, Chad,

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Speaker 1: we were about to dive into it, but we're just cruising.

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Speaker 1: So the vibes are immaculate with the football right now.

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Speaker 1: But that Phillies lost hurt. You know, It's funny. I

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Speaker 1: don't really get depressed I figured, I'm preternaturally optimistic. We

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Speaker 1: did have an amazing week, right, so are big balls

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Speaker 1: better the week we basically swept the board? Big balls

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Speaker 1: better the week Tennessee plus twelve and a half. I

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Speaker 1: made you do it, covered Washington plus three and a half.

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Speaker 1: That was Simon says, you were on it right away.

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Speaker 1: Exact decision the Bears. That was a squeaky one, but

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Speaker 1: it worked out. It was exciting. Uh, Foxhole, you were

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Speaker 1: on it since minus seven. You didn't waiver a little

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Speaker 1: bit Sunday morning after convinced me, Avon made his case

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Speaker 1: for the Panthers. You're like, I might buy out, but

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Speaker 1: it's just me being nice to my coworker who's seven

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Speaker 1: hitting setting percent of the season right now. Check did

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Speaker 1: feel a little weird. It did feel a little weird.

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Speaker 1: You caved a little too quickly out of here. What

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Speaker 1: What was my exact quote? I said, I'd either only

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Speaker 1: place since here, I'd buy out. I never wavered on

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Speaker 1: everything in Carolina. Don't get defensive. You're about to get

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Speaker 1: defensive because Matt Mitchell was in the taxi ride at

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Speaker 1: the airport. He heard everything you said about Caroline and Chad.

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Speaker 1: You're not gonna speak out of this. Let's just say that.

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Speaker 1: Let's say you can follow all these picks in the

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Speaker 1: Action Network Gap download for free. This is under the

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Speaker 1: handle of the favorite podcast you can get the Big Balls.

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Speaker 1: Simon says, exact decision in foxhol every week. That's where

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Speaker 1: we track them. Yeah, separate handle. Phase five. This is

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Speaker 1: the one we do for our contest four and one

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Speaker 1: this week Seattle plus Washington plus three and a half,

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Speaker 1: Chicago plus four and a half, Atlanta plus three and

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Speaker 1: a half. But when we lost was one you surprised

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Speaker 1: me with on Sunday morning, and I I'm going to

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Speaker 1: take the blame for this because you threw in the

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Speaker 1: Raiders minus one and a half, which I never liked.

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Speaker 1: I told you I didn't like. I said, this is

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Speaker 1: gonna be the week the Jack's put it all together

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Speaker 1: they did. You said, if I don't do this, if

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Speaker 1: we don't do this, I will hate myself. No, no, no,

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Speaker 1: I said, I would hate myself way less doing this

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Speaker 1: than taking the Colts because you liked. I don't know

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Speaker 1: why you love the Colts. And I just refused because

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Speaker 1: it had already bet New England. I had taken New

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Speaker 1: England first. Half as luckily for our fans would follow

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Speaker 1: me in the action app got that bet, but I'm

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Speaker 1: with you, like the Raiders want to made me feel

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Speaker 1: gross too, But I just said you, I cannot take

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Speaker 1: the culture. Even you said it best. It was a

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Speaker 1: good number for the Colts, but there was just something

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Speaker 1: funky about the mojo of that game. So no matter what,

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Speaker 1: we were gonna because again Chad keeps taking these road

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Speaker 1: public Dogs. I don't know what's going on with chat

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Speaker 1: these last two weeks, but I don't get it. Chatty.

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Speaker 1: You're you know better. You knew that Carolina was a trap.

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Speaker 1: I do that. But listen, you got out of the foxhole.

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Speaker 1: Don't say it. Act like you can't hop out of

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Speaker 1: that foxhole. I hopped out of the foxhole. How could you,

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Speaker 1: my companion. I know it was wrong. It was wrong.

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Speaker 1: No more Public Dogs, though. You gotta stop doing it.

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Speaker 1: You're getting killed by the way we killed on Seattle.

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Speaker 1: Yeah yeah, but I mean I we both love that one.

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Speaker 1: That was a no brainer. How do we not talk

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Speaker 1: about Detroit? I think there are two and a half

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Speaker 1: So I wasn't gonna do that again. That that was

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Speaker 1: definitely a miss. I mean again, holy crap, Green Bay.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, a week we're traveling. Chad, we talked in

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Speaker 1: that that morning. I said best to you where I

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Speaker 1: was like, we probably should take our bio week here

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Speaker 1: because we do have to take a week off in

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Speaker 1: our contest. But I said, do I have three here

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Speaker 1: that I feel like it's a guarantee three? And now

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Speaker 1: luckily those three hit and then we just had needed

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Speaker 1: Seattle for that fourth one. So yeah, the Raiders one

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Speaker 1: I never felt good about, like full of regret, no doubt.

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Speaker 1: But when they were up seventeen, nothing, you know that

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Speaker 1: feeling Chads like fun. Yeah, nailed that one and uh

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Speaker 1: quickly fell apart in that second half. So upsetting. Well,

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Speaker 1: we're four and one. We're two games out of first

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Speaker 1: in a million dollar contest. I can't believe we're only

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Speaker 1: two games out of first. After going four and one,

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Speaker 1: we were three games out. I'm disappointed we didn't pick

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Speaker 1: up two games. It's a competition. I think we have,

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Speaker 1: like I don't even know, twenty thousand entries. So the

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Speaker 1: fact we're in the point zero one percent or whatever

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Speaker 1: we're at now, it's it's pretty sweet. Above sevent were

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Speaker 1: ten weeks in, had yet to have a losing week. Chat. Uh,

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Speaker 1: either at this going to run. I know, damn held

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Speaker 1: Chad has never had this go to a run. Nine

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Speaker 1: straight winning weeks is insane for a contest, pickle, unbelievable.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to it. Let's get to it.

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Speaker 1: Thursday night football, we got a rematch of the Falcons

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Speaker 1: and the Panthers. We had the Panthers in a miracle

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Speaker 1: cover two weeks ago against the Falcons. Yeah, down the

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Speaker 1: road at Carolina, three point favorites. Look, we all know

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Speaker 1: the play here. The play is the under? What under ten?

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Speaker 1: It doesn't matter, but we have to have an opinion

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Speaker 1: on this, either for the contest or otherwise. Uh. And

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Speaker 1: Like as much as I want to take the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: I do know that taking the home dogs on Thursday

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Speaker 1: nights generally to cover the totals forty forty four and

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Speaker 1: a half. It's kind of what we do. But I

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Speaker 1: don't like it for a contest. Yeah. And again we

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Speaker 1: got burned last Thursday on the under. They hit a

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Speaker 1: two pointer at the end of the game. Stupid little

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Speaker 1: penalty and that's why I went over. But you just

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Speaker 1: keep riding the trends, guys. We just keep betting these

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Speaker 1: primetime unders and they usually keep coming through for us,

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Speaker 1: where the public will just bet these lines up and

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Speaker 1: we're getting free points on the under. So look at

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Speaker 1: this game. Chat is probably right, that's probably the move.

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Speaker 1: But how can I not take the Panthers like they're

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Speaker 1: just give me three and a half please, I'm begging

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Speaker 1: the book give me three and a half. I would

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Speaker 1: love that, But I get there. You know you probably won't.

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Speaker 1: You probably won't right now. It's of the tickets, six

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Speaker 1: six percent of the money, so it's not trending that way.

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Speaker 1: Bigger delta on the tickets right now and the money,

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Speaker 1: I would say, yeah, it's gonna happen. Um, I don't

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Speaker 1: see it unless we get to you know, seven fifty

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Speaker 1: five on Thursday night. Yeah, so then, like again, I

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Speaker 1: wouldn't make one of my bigger bets. But to me

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Speaker 1: and this divisional kind of a matchup, this will be

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Speaker 1: in a short week, we blindly take the Panthers. What

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Speaker 1: we expect to happen here is Atlanta will win by

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Speaker 1: a field goal. That's just how this game shapes up.

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Speaker 1: I mean last week against the Chargers, they had a

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Speaker 1: missed field goal, they had a fumbled Varanto the game.

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Speaker 1: Like Atlanta easily could have won that game. This number,

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Speaker 1: no doubt would be minus four, minus three and a

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Speaker 1: half if they had, so hopefully give us the bump

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Speaker 1: of three points we don't deserve for Carolina because it's

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Speaker 1: a good number right now. Three is what this number

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Speaker 1: should be. It's what I have it at. I just

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Speaker 1: prefer to take the home dog on the Thursday night,

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Speaker 1: so three and a half that that'd be a real

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Speaker 1: gift by the sports book if we could get there.

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Speaker 1: Margo's Mariota also missed Kyle Pitts. Why yeah, that was brutal.

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Speaker 1: Would have been a lead extending touchdown. Our favorite team

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Speaker 1: in Germany, the Seattle Seahawks, the Buccaneers. Buccaneers are two

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites right now. Here's what's interesting.

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Speaker 1: I was gonna take the Buccaneers at minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half, but I hadn't seen the splits yet. The

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Speaker 1: bets are on the Seahawks. Of the money is on

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Speaker 1: the Buccaneers. We've hit peaks Seahawks. You know, we did

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Speaker 1: the same thing with Atlanta, and we bet Atlanta that

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Speaker 1: extra week. They ended up losing to Cincinnati. I think

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Speaker 1: last week was a peak Seahawk moment. I think it's

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Speaker 1: a different game against the Buccaneers. I think this is

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Speaker 1: a get right spot at a short number. Sure it is,

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Speaker 1: but guess what, I will not be sucked in. Every

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Speaker 1: week I had these damn pros hitting me up, being

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Speaker 1: like quit taking. The Seahawks is gonna catch up to him.

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Speaker 1: And every week they keep winning for me, and they

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Speaker 1: keep covering, so I'll keep riding. I love the Seahawks.

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Speaker 1: Fun fact, Chad, you ever heard of man? No? No,

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Speaker 1: it's the die heart loyal fan base in Germany that

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Speaker 1: are all Seahawks fans. Yeah, random little fact. They have

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Speaker 1: one of these big fan groups there in Germany that's

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Speaker 1: apparently going to be like a home home game for them,

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Speaker 1: like they have that many fans in Germany. I'm so

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Speaker 1: scared the German. Don't let the Germans come after. I

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Speaker 1: love everything about it. Would be a gift again, another

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Speaker 1: gift if the books get us up to three, because

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Speaker 1: I think what you had talked about where a lot

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Speaker 1: of people view as is that Tampa's turned the corner here,

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Speaker 1: turn the season around kind of game for them, last

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Speaker 1: second come back against the Rams. What a joke. The

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Speaker 1: rams are to let that happen. In that game. You

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Speaker 1: have a team here, Seahawks, other side of the world, right,

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Speaker 1: do you know throws a pick six, goes down the field,

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Speaker 1: has two incredible drives to put his team back in

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Speaker 1: the lead. Like I know, I probably for the same way.

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Speaker 1: When he threw that pick, I was like, Okay, that's it.

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Speaker 1: You know, I had a nice run. That's how it's

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Speaker 1: gonna end it here. That like that's classic gino. Um No,

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Speaker 1: this team is humming. So maybe I'll get caught. Maybe

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Speaker 1: because of the flight to travel all this other stuff.

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Speaker 1: I can't buy that stuff. It's like modern medicine. These

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Speaker 1: guys get right. I mean they're all these you know,

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Speaker 1: billionaire airplanes. Uh team airplanes has everything you need on it.

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Speaker 1: I just can't. I can't get behind that. It's too

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Speaker 1: long a flight. And I know a lot of people

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Speaker 1: are actually capping that that there's like a four hour

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Speaker 1: difference in flight time or five hour difference. It doesn't

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Speaker 1: matter to me. I love the Seahawks. I'll just keep

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Speaker 1: taking them as a dog is they just keep people

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Speaker 1: just keep waiting for that the what we call to

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Speaker 1: catch a falling knife. With them like that, You're just

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Speaker 1: waiting for it to happen, like they're gonna fall off

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Speaker 1: a cliff here any day. Now the Seahawks will, but

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Speaker 1: you, you you know, just keeps playing at a high level.

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Speaker 1: He has these mental moments that's like exactly what I

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Speaker 1: look for in an elite quarterback. So I don't I

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Speaker 1: don't get it either, Chad. It's mind blowing. We talk

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Speaker 1: every year, there's always these surprise teams. No one saw

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Speaker 1: the Seahawks coming. No one did. Like again, the bookmakers

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Speaker 1: talk about the biggest they had all the summer on

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Speaker 1: them was about four hundred bucks. I think that's the

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Speaker 1: biggest bet I've seen on them for a super Bowl future.

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Speaker 1: So no one believes in the Seahawks, and here they

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Speaker 1: are leading the division six and three, still get no

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Speaker 1: respect from the public or the bookmakers, making Tom Brady

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Speaker 1: a favorite. It's maybe, Chad right here, I'm gonna get caught,

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Speaker 1: but I just can't see it. I think Tampa still

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Speaker 1: has major issues on that offensive line. Tom's got no time.

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Speaker 1: It's just an issue for that team. Are you saying

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Speaker 1: it's town versus time? I'm saying, Uh, the time is

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Speaker 1: not one yet, right, Tom's not the issue. I feel

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Speaker 1: like you agree for Tampa, right. So dude, he had

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Speaker 1: that terrible Facebook series. What was the called to right right? Yeah?

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Speaker 1: When he kissed his son on the Seahawks And I

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Speaker 1: don't want to spend too much time in this because

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Speaker 1: we're not going to put it in the contest, so

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Speaker 1: we'll see. Um. I love I mean, I love Seahawks man.

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Speaker 1: There's there's just good everything. I agree with you. I

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Speaker 1: don't think anything about them has been flukey. I think

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Speaker 1: their defense is getting better and better. They were really

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Speaker 1: great against Kyler Murray. They kept him contained a lot

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Speaker 1: of sacks. I mean, I love Kenneth Walker, love him.

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Speaker 1: And what happened on Sunday is exactly what we thought

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Speaker 1: would happen. We said it would happen. Kenneth Walker second

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Speaker 1: half of the game would start to dominate. He is

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Speaker 1: a big, strong guy who's super fast. Gino had that pick.

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Speaker 1: I'm like, oh boy. And then he came back and

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Speaker 1: he did great, and he was he was locked in

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Speaker 1: on a couple of Lockett had some bad plays and

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Speaker 1: he was throwing darts. I don't disagree with you. I

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Speaker 1: don't like the spot. That's my thing. I don't like

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Speaker 1: the spot. It's fair again they're in a bad spot

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Speaker 1: last week. It's just they're just that good. They're kind

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Speaker 1: of the team that breaks the mold. Um. That was

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Speaker 1: the biggest public side we were on last week, right Seahawks,

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Speaker 1: and it was one of our better bets. They won

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Speaker 1: by ten. Uh Jaguars visiting the Chiefs. The Chiefs or

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Speaker 1: nine and a half point favorites. I hate it, but

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Speaker 1: Chad knows we have to do here. I mean, it's

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Speaker 1: the same thing we did last week with the Titans.

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Speaker 1: Like as soon as that quarterback went out, the amount

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Speaker 1: of message I got there, like are you care that

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Speaker 1: it's not Tan Allen? It was like, no, we weren't

357
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Speaker 1: betting it because it was Tanned in the first place.

358
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Speaker 1: It's the Chiefs team for some reason in these positions. Um,

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Speaker 1: we have the data back it up. They just don't.

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Speaker 1: They don't cover if they're if they're bigger, then what

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Speaker 1: was the chapter If they're more than a seven point favorite, Um,

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Speaker 1: they cover it like below forty five clips. So just

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Speaker 1: going off the trends, we like the Jacks here, but

364
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Speaker 1: also what we saw last week with their offense, I

365
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Speaker 1: thought that was big for Trevor Lawrence down seventeen. They

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Speaker 1: did it like they kept driving up and down the field. Again,

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Speaker 1: that was one of the main games I had on

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Speaker 1: my TV um. I couldn't believe what I was watching

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Speaker 1: because we've seen it with them. They they are this

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Speaker 1: team that even when they came back, I still thought

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Speaker 1: we were gonna have a winner with the Raiders, just

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Speaker 1: because we've seen Jaguars come back. But then they just

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Speaker 1: fall apart in that fourth quarter. But they put it

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Speaker 1: all together and that's again a momentum flipping kind of thing.

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Speaker 1: So the Chief stole one last week. I remember earlier

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Speaker 1: in the year we tried to fade them after they

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Speaker 1: stole one against the Raiders. I think they put up

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Speaker 1: forty four points against that Fortyars defense. So in the

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Speaker 1: back of my mind, it's like, got to take the Jaguars.

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Speaker 1: But I've seen this where the injury puts them through

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Speaker 1: a hell of week of practice and they come out

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Speaker 1: even harder. So a little scary for that perspective, But

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Speaker 1: the problem you just is screaming, you gotta take the Jaguars.

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Speaker 1: So interesting to hear what other pros are saying this

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Speaker 1: week about this game, because I do like this number. Uh.

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Speaker 1: That was a Travis Etienne breakout game. And by the way, reminder,

387
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Speaker 1: you gave away Travis Etienne uh anytime touchdown and convinced me,

388
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Speaker 1: then gave it, gave out a two to go pet

389
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Speaker 1: on him for two touchdowns which also came through. Uh.

390
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Speaker 1: It was plus four hundred Texans plus six and a

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Speaker 1: half at the New Year of Football, Giants trending towards

392
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Speaker 1: the Pros Joe's game. I mean, inevitably, you're always gonna

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Speaker 1: get the Pros on the Giants and the Texans at

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Speaker 1: this point. But I don't know if I feel strongly

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Speaker 1: enough that I'm making us a contest game. We might

396
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Speaker 1: have to, though, because this is gonna be one of

397
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Speaker 1: the like I feel like you just nailed it where

398
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Speaker 1: the public will be all over the Giants and will

399
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Speaker 1: probably end up having to take the Texans. But I

400
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Speaker 1: hate it. I think me and Chad we had bad

401
00:20:26,760 --> 00:20:29,159
Speaker 1: run against going against this Giants team. We stayed away.

402
00:20:29,720 --> 00:20:33,760
Speaker 1: It's like the Seahawks against him. That was a no brainer. Um,

403
00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:37,080
Speaker 1: I finally gotta win against this Giants team. But they're

404
00:20:37,080 --> 00:20:38,800
Speaker 1: probably sucking me in here because again this line is

405
00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:42,600
Speaker 1: too big, like We know the Giants they're not that good,

406
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Speaker 1: and we know that Daniel Jones will play as well

407
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Speaker 1: at home. He plays better on the road. So to me,

408
00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:49,399
Speaker 1: this is just reeks of the Giants if they win

409
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Speaker 1: this game. They went by maybe a field goal, maybe

410
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Speaker 1: four points. Six and a half is so many points,

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Speaker 1: especially where we've seen Houston they have a good run

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Speaker 1: game like that that kids are real. He was running

413
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Speaker 1: all over that Eagles team. We've seen teams got run

414
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Speaker 1: against the Giants team. So I'm with you, Chad probably

415
00:21:05,920 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 1: won't be one of my favorite five. But another game

416
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Speaker 1: where it's like I feel like I don't have a

417
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Speaker 1: choice here, I have to take Houston. Yeah, football is ugly. Yeah,

418
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Speaker 1: that was like that watching that Houston Eagles game and

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Speaker 1: watching it with Matt Mitchell on that Thursday night we

420
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Speaker 1: were in Lexington. It was excruciating, right because they kept

421
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Speaker 1: it close cost us our first half. Eagles BETA kept

422
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Speaker 1: it close. I had the Texans to cover um, which

423
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Speaker 1: they did, and uh, you were against me on that one.

424
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:49,919
Speaker 1: And then I think Matt Mitchell also had like Texans

425
00:21:50,240 --> 00:21:53,320
Speaker 1: plus six and a half in the third quarter and

426
00:21:53,520 --> 00:21:55,720
Speaker 1: in the second half he lost every one of those bets.

427
00:21:55,760 --> 00:22:00,040
Speaker 1: It was hit the third quarter. He did, yea and

428
00:22:00,119 --> 00:22:02,919
Speaker 1: a half. They kicked the field goal. That's right, that's right,

429
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:06,000
Speaker 1: that's right. But no, that's that's what life is like

430
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:08,680
Speaker 1: betting for this Texas team. You need to get lucky, right.

431
00:22:08,720 --> 00:22:11,880
Speaker 1: They got an opening drive touchdown and they didn't score

432
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,440
Speaker 1: again until like the last seconds of the first half,

433
00:22:14,920 --> 00:22:16,399
Speaker 1: and they got all they got was a field all

434
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:18,159
Speaker 1: the rest of the game and they covered. So like,

435
00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,280
Speaker 1: that's again when we talk about taking the dog and

436
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,199
Speaker 1: the big numbers, that's the prime example. It's like, no

437
00:22:23,200 --> 00:22:25,920
Speaker 1: one has any idea how Texans covered that number, but

438
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 1: they did because it was fourteen. It was such a

439
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,840
Speaker 1: huge number. So, um, can they get lucky two weeks

440
00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:32,200
Speaker 1: in the road. Yeah, I feel like you're that's what

441
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:35,320
Speaker 1: you're kind of saying here. I don't know, hopefully not

442
00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 1: as good a team. They're not playing as good a

443
00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:43,120
Speaker 1: team right the Vikings. This is an interesting one right now,

444
00:22:43,320 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 1: six and a half point underdogs at the Bills. We

445
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,879
Speaker 1: don't know the status of Josh Allen m case keenum

446
00:22:49,920 --> 00:22:53,200
Speaker 1: is the backup quarterback for the Buffalo Bills. I mean,

447
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:57,000
Speaker 1: it's a past for me until I get a better

448
00:22:57,040 --> 00:23:01,200
Speaker 1: sense of who's plan. I mean, it's probably an auto

449
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:03,120
Speaker 1: play for me on the Vikings, just in the sense

450
00:23:03,119 --> 00:23:04,679
Speaker 1: that even if he is playing, we know there's an

451
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:07,119
Speaker 1: injury there with Josh Allen, right, so you expect him

452
00:23:07,119 --> 00:23:10,159
Speaker 1: to be wounded playing in this game. If he does play, Um,

453
00:23:11,440 --> 00:23:14,040
Speaker 1: I want to take them if there's no injury, obviously,

454
00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:16,639
Speaker 1: no brainer, because we've been waiting to catch this Vikings

455
00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:21,000
Speaker 1: team and last week crazy man like Vinjage kirk Cousins.

456
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:23,200
Speaker 1: If there is ever some you could say a one

457
00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:26,919
Speaker 1: o'clock game opening drive, puts up a touchdown and then

458
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,159
Speaker 1: does nothing until about three minutes left in the game

459
00:23:29,160 --> 00:23:31,040
Speaker 1: where they got a field going a touchdown after like

460
00:23:31,080 --> 00:23:34,560
Speaker 1: you said, Ah, they had a terrible turnover by Washington.

461
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,480
Speaker 1: It's it's one of It's just that year for the Vikings.

462
00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,640
Speaker 1: So I'm with each other, like I want to take

463
00:23:41,680 --> 00:23:47,360
Speaker 1: the bills here. Um, but man, that's that's a big deal.

464
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,560
Speaker 1: If this guy he's he's hurt a major muscle in

465
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,640
Speaker 1: his arm right now. Again, what they said is they're

466
00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:56,879
Speaker 1: gonna update today. It's an injury that could require Tommy

467
00:23:56,960 --> 00:23:59,040
Speaker 1: John surgery. So I'm sure man Mitchell is losing the

468
00:23:59,040 --> 00:24:00,640
Speaker 1: miner and I'm just waiting for an update. But it's

469
00:24:00,680 --> 00:24:03,879
Speaker 1: like a major deal. So I grabbed the seven and

470
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,720
Speaker 1: a half. I'd still grab the sixth snap just in case. Again,

471
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:10,680
Speaker 1: you can buy this position easily if he does come back. Um,

472
00:24:10,720 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 1: but to me, I wounded Josh Allen on a team

473
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:17,679
Speaker 1: that he is. That team, like we've seen that offense.

474
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:21,240
Speaker 1: It's literally built around Josh Allen. That's a huge deal

475
00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 1: if he misses any type of time or even this game.

476
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:26,920
Speaker 1: So I want to take like I said, I wanted

477
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:28,119
Speaker 1: to take the builds here. This is gonna be a

478
00:24:28,160 --> 00:24:30,280
Speaker 1: nice spot for them, coming off a bad divisional loss

479
00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:33,400
Speaker 1: against the Vikings team that no one knows how they're

480
00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:36,919
Speaker 1: seven oh one, but jeez, they've just been lucky all season.

481
00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:40,040
Speaker 1: This Vikings team again, they've played three backup quarterbacks. They

482
00:24:40,119 --> 00:24:42,200
Speaker 1: might be getting their fourth this week if it's case Keeno.

483
00:24:44,280 --> 00:24:47,919
Speaker 1: I mean, I can't even imagine how Matt Mitchell is

484
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:51,280
Speaker 1: getting through the day right now. Uh. Someone asked me

485
00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:55,040
Speaker 1: if I was more anxious for the broth of child

486
00:24:55,680 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 1: or this decision. I said, I got two kids. I

487
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:02,000
Speaker 1: only have one Josh Allen. So I definitely feel like

488
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,440
Speaker 1: throwing up all over the place until I find out

489
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,320
Speaker 1: that he's uh anything less than think it's it's fine,

490
00:25:07,359 --> 00:25:10,520
Speaker 1: It's fine. Here's the game that I feel strongly about.

491
00:25:10,840 --> 00:25:12,720
Speaker 1: And by the way, we haven't given a Simon Says

492
00:25:12,760 --> 00:25:16,800
Speaker 1: an exact decision or a foxhold yet. Lions on the

493
00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 1: Road at the Chicago Bears. Bears are two and a

494
00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:21,879
Speaker 1: half point favorites. Earlier today we had to give out

495
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:24,919
Speaker 1: a couple of picks. The pick I gave out was

496
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,159
Speaker 1: the Bears minus two and a half, and I had

497
00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: a lot of reasons, but I want to hear your

498
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:31,760
Speaker 1: thoughts first, because you actually didn't respond on that show.

499
00:25:31,840 --> 00:25:35,960
Speaker 1: So yeah, you know classic game where it's like every

500
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:38,560
Speaker 1: fiber in my body is saying take Detroit like this

501
00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 1: they're gonna be the public spy and the Bears. But

502
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:44,199
Speaker 1: I'm a Fields believer, like I just I love what

503
00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:45,800
Speaker 1: I'm seeing from the kid. I love the way they've

504
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:48,240
Speaker 1: been scheming him up. Ever since that Washington game. We've

505
00:25:48,240 --> 00:25:50,600
Speaker 1: seen a change in this offense um and how they

506
00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:54,119
Speaker 1: moved the ball Detroit outside. That's another big reason I

507
00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,280
Speaker 1: kind of want to fade it. We've seen golf be

508
00:25:56,520 --> 00:25:58,840
Speaker 1: horrible outdoors we've seen this offense not be able to

509
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,800
Speaker 1: move the ball outdoors, and we've seen their defense give

510
00:26:01,880 --> 00:26:04,879
Speaker 1: up tons of runs, tons of yards to running backs

511
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,920
Speaker 1: and running quarterbacks. Now we have arguably the best running

512
00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:11,280
Speaker 1: quarterback in football. So I know, child, I'm I'm right

513
00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:13,359
Speaker 1: with you. Where it's like the we're scared of it

514
00:26:13,359 --> 00:26:15,159
Speaker 1: because it's gonna be the most public side probably this

515
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:16,680
Speaker 1: week one of the games that's gonna be the highest

516
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 1: public side. Um. But the Bears just feel like the

517
00:26:20,640 --> 00:26:23,000
Speaker 1: smart side this week. If it's under three, it might,

518
00:26:23,040 --> 00:26:24,720
Speaker 1: it might get to three by time you hear this.

519
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:26,840
Speaker 1: But two and a half I have no problem to

520
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:29,159
Speaker 1: take on that number. It's bouncing around right now. Was

521
00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 1: that three? It's tad two and a half right now?

522
00:26:31,040 --> 00:26:34,920
Speaker 1: It goes back and forth. Let me give some stats, uh,

523
00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,639
Speaker 1: then I gave out on green Dot Daily today the

524
00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:41,600
Speaker 1: Bears are top two in every single Russian category. The

525
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,280
Speaker 1: ones that mean nothing to better is like total yards

526
00:26:44,600 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 1: on the ground, as well as the ones that do

527
00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:51,160
Speaker 1: mean something, such as first downs on the ground, which

528
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,680
Speaker 1: is an indicator of you're moving the ball on first

529
00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 1: and second down and you're getting first downs early in

530
00:26:57,680 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 1: a series. Explosive plays on the ground, twenty plus and

531
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:06,080
Speaker 1: forty plus touchdowns on the ground yards per carry. This

532
00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:10,480
Speaker 1: is a dominant running team because of justin fields, because

533
00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:13,800
Speaker 1: of Khalil Herbert and the Lions on the flip side.

534
00:27:14,080 --> 00:27:15,920
Speaker 1: Don't be fooled by the fact that they only gave

535
00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 1: up nine points to Green Bay. They're terrible on defense.

536
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:23,800
Speaker 1: They are bottom two in every single rush category. To me,

537
00:27:23,920 --> 00:27:26,840
Speaker 1: this is about a close game, the Bears owning the clock,

538
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:31,240
Speaker 1: owning the ground, and the books haven't adjusted to field yet.

539
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,040
Speaker 1: That's what I really think it is, too, because again

540
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 1: we talked last week, we thought that line from close

541
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,720
Speaker 1: for a three or three and a half almost looked

542
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:40,359
Speaker 1: like Diddiot's right. But luckily McDaniels one four and a

543
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:42,840
Speaker 1: fourth and one stepp kicking that field goal, and now

544
00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:44,560
Speaker 1: we we've got lucky. Four or four and a half

545
00:27:44,640 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 1: was a great number and it worked out. I'm tempted

546
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 1: to make them my exact decision, but I made the

547
00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 1: Bears my exact decision last week, and it feels there's

548
00:27:53,119 --> 00:27:55,679
Speaker 1: no rule. Chad, I don't know. It feels too homeless

549
00:27:55,840 --> 00:27:58,560
Speaker 1: to go back to back. Why not? And if you're hot,

550
00:27:58,600 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 1: you're hot. Exact decision on the Bears. Executive decision on

551
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 1: the Chicago Bears minus two and a half, the choice

552
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:11,760
Speaker 1: between the unthinkable and the impossible? Are you with your

553
00:28:10,840 --> 00:28:16,440
Speaker 1: orders executive decision? Yeah, two and a half of the

554
00:28:16,480 --> 00:28:19,240
Speaker 1: key there. I'm surprised you didn't claim it for Simon says,

555
00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:21,200
Speaker 1: because it's going to move to three, and you already

556
00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:22,960
Speaker 1: know the two. I'm gonna be on chat. You already

557
00:28:22,960 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 1: know my secrets. It's true. This game is very interesting

558
00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:31,240
Speaker 1: to me. Saints at the Steelers Steelers plus three right now?

559
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:33,720
Speaker 1: I know what do we do here though, because we

560
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:37,359
Speaker 1: don't even know who the Saints quarterback is. So I

561
00:28:37,400 --> 00:28:39,800
Speaker 1: wanted to take Andy Dalton. If it's not I'm world

562
00:28:39,840 --> 00:28:42,480
Speaker 1: learning pretty quickly here. If it's not prime time, you

563
00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:46,000
Speaker 1: take Andy. If it's a prime time game, God forbid,

564
00:28:46,160 --> 00:28:48,840
Speaker 1: do not take any Dolton. How do I keep doing?

565
00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:51,160
Speaker 1: I keep not seeing these stats about him melting down

566
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 1: at prime time? She was the game start's action. We'll

567
00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,280
Speaker 1: tweet it out. It's like, yeah, he's six and sixteen

568
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,280
Speaker 1: and primetime games. It's like, jeez, just left that money

569
00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 1: on fire. Uh, he fucking sucks any Dultan, I don't

570
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:03,800
Speaker 1: have to do here. Every every ounce of my body

571
00:29:03,840 --> 00:29:05,920
Speaker 1: wants me to take the Saints. They're the better team.

572
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:09,720
Speaker 1: They're the more complete team we've seen Pittsburgh. They've been

573
00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:12,000
Speaker 1: a seller at they're seller the deadline, but not even that.

574
00:29:12,880 --> 00:29:15,600
Speaker 1: I just they had their offenses no identity, like if

575
00:29:15,640 --> 00:29:18,400
Speaker 1: they just have nothing there where. The Saints, I know

576
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:21,240
Speaker 1: exactly who they are and what they are. So I

577
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:24,200
Speaker 1: don't know. I'll probably pass this one for right now,

578
00:29:24,240 --> 00:29:26,880
Speaker 1: but I'm leaning towards the Saints. I just think they're

579
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:29,719
Speaker 1: the better team. It was like a Mike Tomlin rob

580
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:34,360
Speaker 1: Rod to me, Yeah, it probably straight up win this game, bro,

581
00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:38,360
Speaker 1: win this game. The Steelers had to buy the Saints

582
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:42,160
Speaker 1: have a short week, a home dog. If you're gonna

583
00:29:42,200 --> 00:29:44,800
Speaker 1: get right and rally the troops around the guys in

584
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 1: the locker room, can you pick it, you know, an

585
00:29:48,080 --> 00:29:51,880
Speaker 1: extra week to learn. Yeah, the Saints coming off a

586
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:56,120
Speaker 1: really devastating loss. That feels to me like you're taking

587
00:29:56,120 --> 00:29:57,840
Speaker 1: the Steelers here, and by the way, you're hoping to

588
00:29:57,840 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 1: get him at three and not have it go to

589
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:01,200
Speaker 1: two and a half because the money's coming in on

590
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,800
Speaker 1: the on the Steelers right now. On the line is

591
00:30:03,840 --> 00:30:09,160
Speaker 1: moving Browns. Boy, this number is moving too. Opened it

592
00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:13,000
Speaker 1: four down to three and a half. Visiting the Dolphins.

593
00:30:13,400 --> 00:30:19,880
Speaker 1: We got a pro Joe alerts of the tickets on

594
00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:26,520
Speaker 1: the Dolphins, of the money on the Browns. Simon Simon says,

595
00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 1: grabbing says. When Simons says, do we do what sciences

596
00:30:35,120 --> 00:30:37,000
Speaker 1: and we blew? I mean we were laughing because we

597
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:38,880
Speaker 1: talked this morning. I told Chad I loved it up

598
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:41,400
Speaker 1: plus four and now it's already moving to plus three

599
00:30:41,400 --> 00:30:43,160
Speaker 1: and a half, so I would just grab it forward's

600
00:30:43,160 --> 00:30:45,920
Speaker 1: at three. Does the same scenario last week we had

601
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,320
Speaker 1: with Washington in Atlanta, Like we saw those numbers of

602
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:50,720
Speaker 1: three and a half, the pro's headed went down to

603
00:30:50,840 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 1: three and that's a lapp in this game. It's just

604
00:30:53,440 --> 00:30:58,200
Speaker 1: a classic scenario of Miami. They are four real like that.

605
00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:00,280
Speaker 1: Then then when that Bears game is a big deal

606
00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:01,880
Speaker 1: because I really didn't think that was kind of a

607
00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 1: trapped spot for them. Like going on the road back

608
00:31:04,440 --> 00:31:08,200
Speaker 1: to back, playing out on the elements to a two

609
00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:11,600
Speaker 1: is showing up right. I mean the Wattle Tyreek Hill combo.

610
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:15,880
Speaker 1: It's crazy, like we we rarely see things like this

611
00:31:15,960 --> 00:31:18,760
Speaker 1: where um again, people have talked about are gonna talk

612
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:21,320
Speaker 1: about all week. Just the fact that my Home's on

613
00:31:21,360 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 1: pace for his best season ever passing and Tiree Hills

614
00:31:24,560 --> 00:31:27,640
Speaker 1: on his on pace for his best receiving year ever.

615
00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:31,040
Speaker 1: So him him getting two thousand yards again, I get

616
00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:33,440
Speaker 1: white people trying to make the MVP argument for him.

617
00:31:33,480 --> 00:31:36,080
Speaker 1: There's just there's other quarterbacks this year. They're clearly carrying

618
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:37,920
Speaker 1: their teams. So I just could never see why receiver

619
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:41,160
Speaker 1: getting over the quarterback position. But it is cool what

620
00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:43,560
Speaker 1: tire is doing, Like he's open all the time. You

621
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:47,120
Speaker 1: watched all twenty two, Just never any green space for

622
00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 1: him in a league that it's really it's really hard

623
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,040
Speaker 1: to find open space, right. All these guys are so

624
00:31:52,120 --> 00:31:54,920
Speaker 1: fast with athletic he's just a notch above it. So

625
00:31:55,760 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 1: I'm gonna see I get why the public will come

626
00:31:57,640 --> 00:32:00,960
Speaker 1: in on Miami right there, tied for forst in that division.

627
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:05,040
Speaker 1: But the Browns just they're not They are bad, right,

628
00:32:05,120 --> 00:32:07,640
Speaker 1: their defense does have issues, but their offense has so

629
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:09,680
Speaker 1: many weapons. I just always can see them keeping up

630
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,400
Speaker 1: with teams like Miami. Here that Miami coup put up points.

631
00:32:12,440 --> 00:32:13,960
Speaker 1: We just saw last week with the Bears. You can

632
00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:16,240
Speaker 1: move the ball in them, especially on the ground and

633
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,560
Speaker 1: comes in Nick Chubb, one of the best running attacks

634
00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:22,320
Speaker 1: and all football. So matchup wise, I like Cleveland here

635
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:24,560
Speaker 1: um the reason making this time and says I just

636
00:32:24,600 --> 00:32:25,880
Speaker 1: I just want to make sure Peoplen get the three

637
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:28,520
Speaker 1: and a half before it goes to three. I hate

638
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:32,080
Speaker 1: I hate people getting pushes like what happened last week. Yep, yep,

639
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:34,600
Speaker 1: I'm with you. Uh three and a half across the

640
00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:38,920
Speaker 1: board right now, get it while you can. Broncos plus

641
00:32:38,960 --> 00:32:44,400
Speaker 1: three at the Tennessee Titans, let's ride baby, come on,

642
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:48,400
Speaker 1: come on. It's one of the best defenses football arguably

643
00:32:48,520 --> 00:32:54,400
Speaker 1: going up against a right yeah yeah, like again, Russell Wilson,

644
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:56,960
Speaker 1: we can goind them always one. This is gonna hurt

645
00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 1: like a mother when we back them and lose this game.

646
00:32:59,160 --> 00:33:02,440
Speaker 1: But this is kind of the spot we we've we've

647
00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: fade Rabel like we love Rabel as a dog. He's

648
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:07,040
Speaker 1: very he's good to us as a dog, but as

649
00:33:07,040 --> 00:33:08,760
Speaker 1: a home favor Usually these are kind of games they

650
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 1: dropped the ones you don't see coming. The public is

651
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:13,720
Speaker 1: going to be all over Tennessee. I don't even know

652
00:33:13,760 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 1: what the splits are, but they just went toe to

653
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:18,160
Speaker 1: Toe would arguably the best team of football in the

654
00:33:18,200 --> 00:33:22,560
Speaker 1: Chiefs in Arrowhead in a primetime game like that right there,

655
00:33:23,440 --> 00:33:25,680
Speaker 1: Especially if you bet Tennessee last week, you're loving them

656
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 1: because it was like a no sweat, no brainer bet

657
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,640
Speaker 1: and you're feeling good. Um, they're gonna back them against

658
00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:34,640
Speaker 1: a Denver team that everyone hates. Like again, Russell Wilson

659
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:37,560
Speaker 1: has become a joke of the league. We've done well,

660
00:33:37,600 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 1: We've faded them earlier the season. I always talked about

661
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:42,120
Speaker 1: there's a second half of the season. This is usually

662
00:33:42,160 --> 00:33:43,720
Speaker 1: want to come back in on the other side, and

663
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:45,480
Speaker 1: it's like a guy that I'm gonna start back and

664
00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:48,600
Speaker 1: we'll probably end up being Denver just because people have

665
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:51,440
Speaker 1: a really bad view of this team. Um, but yeah,

666
00:33:51,520 --> 00:33:54,000
Speaker 1: give me, give me the great defense against either a

667
00:33:54,080 --> 00:33:58,520
Speaker 1: rookie quarterback or a backup, backup and injured Ryan Tannehill.

668
00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:02,560
Speaker 1: I love that position in Um, it's bumped up to three.

669
00:34:02,600 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 1: I get see you get into three and a half

670
00:34:03,840 --> 00:34:05,920
Speaker 1: of the public coming in so heavy. But I would

671
00:34:05,920 --> 00:34:08,080
Speaker 1: grab the three just in case. I don't think it's

672
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:11,760
Speaker 1: going there. Yeah, So I'd grab it just in case. Now, Um,

673
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 1: this is one of the bets I made right when

674
00:34:13,600 --> 00:34:15,160
Speaker 1: I saw get the three from two and a half,

675
00:34:15,200 --> 00:34:17,799
Speaker 1: I grabbed the denver Um been sitting there all day now,

676
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:20,239
Speaker 1: So clearly the books don't mind you grabbing the three

677
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,520
Speaker 1: because the public, the public is coming in that heavy

678
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 1: on the Tennessee Titans. It's uh, it's a plus three

679
00:34:26,640 --> 00:34:29,799
Speaker 1: minus one fifteen right now, get it while you can.

680
00:34:31,120 --> 00:34:34,600
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681
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709
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710
00:36:26,680 --> 00:36:30,320
Speaker 1: on the road, six and a half point underdogs against

711
00:36:30,360 --> 00:36:33,320
Speaker 1: the Las Vegas Raiders. This is one of the most

712
00:36:34,239 --> 00:36:42,040
Speaker 1: surreal games we've got Jeff Saturday, no offensive coordinator. You've

713
00:36:42,080 --> 00:36:45,920
Speaker 1: got former pro coaches on the at least one former

714
00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:48,640
Speaker 1: pro coach, and Gus Bradley on the staff coaching the

715
00:36:48,719 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 1: best unit that the team has against the Raiders, who

716
00:36:55,239 --> 00:37:01,120
Speaker 1: are truly in ft right now. No, this it to me.

717
00:37:01,280 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 1: This is a outright pass like it makes no sense.

718
00:37:07,880 --> 00:37:12,359
Speaker 1: You're only inviting misery if you decide to beat this game.

719
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:14,880
Speaker 1: I mean, one of the best life lessons you have

720
00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:17,839
Speaker 1: in life is watching what happens when guys who make

721
00:37:18,080 --> 00:37:21,680
Speaker 1: an incredible fortune have their own business give that business

722
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:25,800
Speaker 1: to their sons. And we have two teams here, two owners,

723
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 1: both their daddies gave them their businesses, and you've seen

724
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:34,480
Speaker 1: what both has happened with both franchises. So Jimmy say,

725
00:37:35,040 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 1: luckiest man ever to luck into Peyton Manning, Like what

726
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:40,440
Speaker 1: the would the Colds be if they never had Peyton

727
00:37:40,440 --> 00:37:45,000
Speaker 1: manor Andrew Luck this franchise. It's terrifying. Like it's someone

728
00:37:45,040 --> 00:37:47,839
Speaker 1: that's a fan of sports teams, it is terrifying how

729
00:37:47,960 --> 00:37:50,359
Speaker 1: damaging owners can be. And we all know that all

730
00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:54,760
Speaker 1: sports they make or break teams. So the story goes

731
00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 1: that Jeff Saturday was there last weekend for some Super

732
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,520
Speaker 1: Bowl event. All the X players were there and he

733
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,160
Speaker 1: was in JEMC was just talking about the team and

734
00:38:04,160 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 1: what he had views of the team and his vision

735
00:38:06,080 --> 00:38:08,400
Speaker 1: of the team, and then little did he know, he

736
00:38:08,440 --> 00:38:10,399
Speaker 1: didn't even know right, he couldn't believe he was there.

737
00:38:10,840 --> 00:38:12,920
Speaker 1: He got called in a week later be the interim

738
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:15,320
Speaker 1: head coach of a team, like a guy from TV.

739
00:38:16,000 --> 00:38:19,879
Speaker 1: So just terrifun. I feel horrible for Colts fans, but

740
00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:21,960
Speaker 1: I told you guys weeks ago when the usually took

741
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,160
Speaker 1: Matt Ryan out, I viewed them as taking I viewed

742
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:27,160
Speaker 1: that fact they went oh too to Tennessee. That was

743
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,160
Speaker 1: the attorney point of the season where they're like, Okay,

744
00:38:29,320 --> 00:38:31,600
Speaker 1: we'll tank this year, we'll get one of these top quarterbacks.

745
00:38:31,600 --> 00:38:34,399
Speaker 1: And that's the move. If that is really what he's doing,

746
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:37,040
Speaker 1: Jim Mercedes a genius, And I take back everything I said,

747
00:38:37,360 --> 00:38:39,680
Speaker 1: because that's what this is, like that we expect him

748
00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:43,280
Speaker 1: to be horrible, right, Chad, Like everything about this screams

749
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 1: horrible decision, the move, the no c the awkwardness of

750
00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:50,160
Speaker 1: the whole thing, right, Like this guy coming in from

751
00:38:50,160 --> 00:38:52,919
Speaker 1: the outside compared to all these guys who have been there,

752
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:55,600
Speaker 1: hate it like I want to take the Colts bad

753
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:57,239
Speaker 1: because I know no one else is gonna take it.

754
00:38:57,239 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 1: And that's a huge number for an all for Raiders team.

755
00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:03,320
Speaker 1: But holy crap, what an absolute train wreck of a

756
00:39:03,400 --> 00:39:06,719
Speaker 1: franchise right now. That again, just a couple of weeks ago,

757
00:39:06,719 --> 00:39:08,759
Speaker 1: they were sitting there at three three and one like

758
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,239
Speaker 1: they weren't out of it by any means, and it's

759
00:39:11,239 --> 00:39:14,000
Speaker 1: completely gone sideways these last couple of weeks. Well, look,

760
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,560
Speaker 1: normally this is the exact spot where you take team

761
00:39:17,719 --> 00:39:21,680
Speaker 1: like the Colts. Uh, We've had a lot of success

762
00:39:21,719 --> 00:39:25,879
Speaker 1: over the years backing an underdog team with a coach

763
00:39:25,920 --> 00:39:28,080
Speaker 1: who had just gotten fired, or a team that is

764
00:39:28,120 --> 00:39:35,160
Speaker 1: making a quarterback change because the line gets so for

765
00:39:35,280 --> 00:39:42,759
Speaker 1: the for the favorites. This is fucking insanity. It's like

766
00:39:42,920 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 1: you you will let one reality star as president United

767
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 1: States and you just assume that anybody who's on TV

768
00:39:50,000 --> 00:39:53,040
Speaker 1: who can say something smart in thirty seconds or less

769
00:39:53,640 --> 00:39:57,160
Speaker 1: should be coaching the team. How do you, as Gus Bradley,

770
00:39:57,160 --> 00:40:00,919
Speaker 1: how do you and Jack Leonard, how Fox is there

771
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,920
Speaker 1: as as like John Fox is there? How do you,

772
00:40:04,320 --> 00:40:09,560
Speaker 1: as anybody who has spent your career doing this for

773
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 1: a living standing in front of people, trying to motivate people.

774
00:40:13,239 --> 00:40:15,279
Speaker 1: It's hard to stand in front of a room and

775
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:18,960
Speaker 1: tell people why they have to do something if they

776
00:40:19,000 --> 00:40:22,880
Speaker 1: have no faith in your ability to lead and don't

777
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:26,279
Speaker 1: believe that you've put in the work or don't think

778
00:40:26,320 --> 00:40:28,959
Speaker 1: you know how to do it. I'm not denigrating Jeff

779
00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:32,680
Speaker 1: Saturday as a player. He was an amazing player in

780
00:40:33,040 --> 00:40:38,600
Speaker 1: respect and he had the credibility of a guy who

781
00:40:38,600 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 1: could stand up to Peyton Manning, and Peyton Manning relied

782
00:40:42,600 --> 00:40:45,960
Speaker 1: on him. He won a Super Bowl, fantastic center, one

783
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 1: of the best centers in the time he was playing.

784
00:40:49,080 --> 00:40:51,759
Speaker 1: Come huh, yeah, I mean Galaxy brain and me wants

785
00:40:51,760 --> 00:40:55,359
Speaker 1: to say Raiders fired McDaniels right now and hire Frank Reich.

786
00:40:55,640 --> 00:40:58,200
Speaker 1: That would be the move of moves. But again, they

787
00:40:58,239 --> 00:41:02,080
Speaker 1: have a kid running that we're gonna zation complete, completely terrifying.

788
00:41:02,080 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 1: If I was a Vegas fan again, this this guy

789
00:41:04,880 --> 00:41:06,959
Speaker 1: I can't get over. Like, if I ever build anything

790
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:09,360
Speaker 1: out of my life to have my own ownership, no

791
00:41:09,520 --> 00:41:11,200
Speaker 1: chance I would leave it to my son. It's just

792
00:41:11,280 --> 00:41:14,080
Speaker 1: it just seems like it's a disaster. Every time I

793
00:41:14,160 --> 00:41:16,400
Speaker 1: promise you I will have nothing to leave to my

794
00:41:16,480 --> 00:41:24,160
Speaker 1: kids guarantee. So that's another pass. Uh. The Cowboys are

795
00:41:24,360 --> 00:41:28,600
Speaker 1: visiting the Green Bay Packers, and the Packers right now

796
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:34,120
Speaker 1: are five and a half point underdogs, the biggest home

797
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:38,680
Speaker 1: underdog Aaron Rodgers has been since two thousand and third.

798
00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 1: Do you hear that shot? I didn't hear anything. Those

799
00:41:43,640 --> 00:41:46,360
Speaker 1: are the bullets flying above our heads as we hoped

800
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:48,960
Speaker 1: down into a foxhole. We're going to the foxhole on

801
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay Packers, Let's climb down

802
00:41:56,160 --> 00:42:00,840
Speaker 1: into the foxhole. No brainer, Chad. As soon as you

803
00:42:00,840 --> 00:42:02,520
Speaker 1: saw this line a little I felt he probably the

804
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:04,760
Speaker 1: same feeling with me. This little smile comes across your face.

805
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:08,120
Speaker 1: You think you fucking suckers. This is where you feel

806
00:42:08,120 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 1: like we're the smartest people in the room. Because this

807
00:42:09,680 --> 00:42:13,200
Speaker 1: is a classic pros verse Joe's the pros will be

808
00:42:13,239 --> 00:42:15,680
Speaker 1: all over this one. We don't even care if we

809
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:17,719
Speaker 1: lose this one. This is literally a bet you make

810
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:22,040
Speaker 1: every single time. Green Bay. I don't even know they're

811
00:42:22,440 --> 00:42:24,839
Speaker 1: the least respected team in football. They have to be.

812
00:42:25,040 --> 00:42:27,120
Speaker 1: Anyone that was left on them last week, there was

813
00:42:27,160 --> 00:42:29,319
Speaker 1: like five people left that were still betting Green Bay

814
00:42:29,400 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 1: for some reason, that was it. They lost to that

815
00:42:32,520 --> 00:42:35,120
Speaker 1: game against Detroit seeing Rogers started two picks in the

816
00:42:35,120 --> 00:42:37,839
Speaker 1: red zone. That had to end it. Right, there's gonna

817
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:39,200
Speaker 1: be no one left. Chat, it's just gonna be mean

818
00:42:39,239 --> 00:42:40,920
Speaker 1: you when it's Fox will your brother. I'm telling you,

819
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,319
Speaker 1: it's it's like the Bengals last week. Honestly, it's just

820
00:42:43,360 --> 00:42:46,399
Speaker 1: a game where it's uncomfortable. I hate it. I don't

821
00:42:46,440 --> 00:42:49,160
Speaker 1: only want to do this. You have to do this stuff.

822
00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:52,520
Speaker 1: It's like you love to fade public perception. Who cares

823
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:55,160
Speaker 1: what happened last week. It's all about this week. And

824
00:42:55,200 --> 00:42:57,879
Speaker 1: then this week you have a Green Bay team at

825
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:01,040
Speaker 1: home against the Cowboys, team historically plays at against them.

826
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:04,839
Speaker 1: Mike McCarthy, first time coming back to this stadium where

827
00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:07,480
Speaker 1: all those years he spent. That's gotta be a big deal.

828
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,360
Speaker 1: That's gotta that's gotta fact him doing the emotion of

829
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,400
Speaker 1: this game. And again, emotions are a big game of football.

830
00:43:12,440 --> 00:43:15,279
Speaker 1: We saw the time coaches have these stupid blunders in

831
00:43:15,280 --> 00:43:17,319
Speaker 1: these games that really dictate a lot of games and

832
00:43:17,320 --> 00:43:21,319
Speaker 1: can get games closer when they should. So, man, I

833
00:43:21,360 --> 00:43:23,560
Speaker 1: love the fact of this line. It keeps jumping up.

834
00:43:23,719 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 1: I would have taken it for us three and a half.

835
00:43:25,280 --> 00:43:27,360
Speaker 1: No brainer to me on Green Bay. The fact that

836
00:43:27,400 --> 00:43:29,160
Speaker 1: it's creeped all up to five and a half now

837
00:43:29,280 --> 00:43:32,680
Speaker 1: just because like I just said it, everyone's gonna have everyone.

838
00:43:32,880 --> 00:43:36,759
Speaker 1: I'm saying, everyone will have Cowboys and their teasers, their

839
00:43:36,800 --> 00:43:39,319
Speaker 1: money line parlays. This is this is gonna be one

840
00:43:39,320 --> 00:43:42,200
Speaker 1: of the biggest needs of all the sports books. Happy

841
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:44,680
Speaker 1: to take that position, Happy to take a position on

842
00:43:44,760 --> 00:43:49,080
Speaker 1: Green Bay. So um man, I can't believe it's gone

843
00:43:49,160 --> 00:43:51,880
Speaker 1: up to five and a half. But again, it's not

844
00:43:51,920 --> 00:43:54,640
Speaker 1: a surprise like the Green Bay. This is the worst

845
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:56,640
Speaker 1: we've ever seen them in the Aaron Rodgers air right

846
00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:58,200
Speaker 1: at least since his rookie year. I think he was

847
00:43:58,239 --> 00:44:00,920
Speaker 1: six and ten his rookie year. Will be lucky to

848
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:03,080
Speaker 1: get the six and eleven, but this is one of

849
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:05,560
Speaker 1: those games they have to at least cover, right, Like

850
00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:08,880
Speaker 1: you just see this being a close battle just because

851
00:44:08,960 --> 00:44:13,000
Speaker 1: of um, what's going on with the Screen Bay team.

852
00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:19,400
Speaker 1: Do you think it would get up to um uh

853
00:44:19,560 --> 00:44:22,719
Speaker 1: five and a half because there's a lot of tickets

854
00:44:23,360 --> 00:44:29,279
Speaker 1: and um cowboys on the Cowboys right now? Yeah, this

855
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:31,400
Speaker 1: will be this is like again, you can you can

856
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:33,040
Speaker 1: go to your sports book when you make bets. You

857
00:44:33,080 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 1: can talk to hold one set hold on what sect?

858
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:37,760
Speaker 1: I say five and a half because now I'm looking

859
00:44:38,080 --> 00:44:41,120
Speaker 1: and the line is basically moved to five. So do

860
00:44:41,200 --> 00:44:45,200
Speaker 1: we think it will go higher? Yeah? Because again, uh,

861
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:47,360
Speaker 1: it's weird because I don't I'm not even trying to brag.

862
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 1: But like Chad knows, and I talked to him this morning.

863
00:44:50,160 --> 00:44:52,200
Speaker 1: It's not just talking to him, reaching out to all

864
00:44:52,239 --> 00:44:54,440
Speaker 1: my runners and all these other gamblers, and I know

865
00:44:54,480 --> 00:44:57,120
Speaker 1: exactly what they're doing, so I can tell you the

866
00:44:57,160 --> 00:44:59,520
Speaker 1: pros they've hit this number, saying with the Browns number

867
00:44:59,560 --> 00:45:02,680
Speaker 1: like that, just a no brainer bet today that I

868
00:45:02,760 --> 00:45:05,879
Speaker 1: knew a lot of people would be on. Um. Yeah,

869
00:45:05,880 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 1: I can I see getting back up there. Sure, but

870
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:10,280
Speaker 1: again it's professional money that's gonna keep smacking that down.

871
00:45:10,360 --> 00:45:12,880
Speaker 1: So um, it all depends when the pros can do.

872
00:45:12,920 --> 00:45:15,000
Speaker 1: If they if they let it sit and in the

873
00:45:15,000 --> 00:45:17,120
Speaker 1: public keeps coming in, maybe books will bump it back

874
00:45:17,200 --> 00:45:19,920
Speaker 1: up to try to get more money in. But I

875
00:45:19,920 --> 00:45:22,279
Speaker 1: can promise you it comes Sunday. We'll see tweets that

876
00:45:22,320 --> 00:45:24,800
Speaker 1: this is going to be ten to one. The amount

877
00:45:24,800 --> 00:45:27,239
Speaker 1: of tickets written on the Cowboys compared to Green Bay.

878
00:45:27,280 --> 00:45:30,120
Speaker 1: The money will probably be twelve one one written on

879
00:45:30,160 --> 00:45:32,799
Speaker 1: the Cowboys compared to Green Bay, just because of all

880
00:45:32,840 --> 00:45:34,960
Speaker 1: the parlays and teasers that will be on the Cowboys.

881
00:45:35,000 --> 00:45:37,279
Speaker 1: So you can roll the dice can wait. But like

882
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 1: I just said, I'd grab that five and a half.

883
00:45:39,080 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 1: You can still get it. It's five, Yeah, throw a

884
00:45:41,880 --> 00:45:43,440
Speaker 1: little bit on there. I just can't see it dipping

885
00:45:43,440 --> 00:45:47,160
Speaker 1: below four comes Sunday. So worst case scenario, you'll grab

886
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:50,280
Speaker 1: a four and a half, which is again a key number,

887
00:45:50,840 --> 00:45:52,799
Speaker 1: UM five and a half, five, five and a half.

888
00:45:52,920 --> 00:45:54,839
Speaker 1: We we view those as dead numbers. We still grab

889
00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:57,359
Speaker 1: them just because it's good value. What would you bet

890
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:01,320
Speaker 1: this down too? I may get three, but I wouldn't

891
00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:02,920
Speaker 1: bet it. I wouldn't bet at three. I'd bet it

892
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:06,520
Speaker 1: down to three and a half. Okay, because again it

893
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:08,799
Speaker 1: feels like the Cowboys will still win this game. They're

894
00:46:08,800 --> 00:46:12,600
Speaker 1: the better team, they have the better defense. You expecting

895
00:46:12,640 --> 00:46:14,320
Speaker 1: to win this game. It's just again, we'll have this

896
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 1: in our money line around Robin. This is it for

897
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 1: Green Bay season. If you don't win this, it is

898
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:26,320
Speaker 1: officially over. I mean, look, Mike McCarthy against Aaron Rodgers's

899
00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:33,560
Speaker 1: essentially what we're saying, crazy, just crazy. I like this game.

900
00:46:34,480 --> 00:46:39,040
Speaker 1: We're adding it to the list Packers plus five, Bears

901
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:43,640
Speaker 1: minus two and a half, Browns Jesus Christ Brown's plus

902
00:46:43,719 --> 00:46:47,200
Speaker 1: three and a half, and Vikings if we can get

903
00:46:47,239 --> 00:46:49,200
Speaker 1: six and a half. If there's no h if Josh

904
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:51,560
Speaker 1: Allen is out, there's there's a couple of the games.

905
00:46:51,600 --> 00:46:53,680
Speaker 1: There's at least one more game that I'm dying to

906
00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:57,520
Speaker 1: discuss that. I feel pretty strongly about Cardinals visiting the Rams,

907
00:46:57,840 --> 00:47:02,680
Speaker 1: Cardinals three point underdogs on the road. I don't have

908
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:05,200
Speaker 1: any strong opinion on this right now. Yeah, I hate

909
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:07,239
Speaker 1: I feel like I'm supposed to take the Cardinals here

910
00:47:07,280 --> 00:47:11,400
Speaker 1: because they're the better team, but man, just just awful.

911
00:47:11,440 --> 00:47:14,080
Speaker 1: It's like I could be convinced right if I hear

912
00:47:14,080 --> 00:47:17,359
Speaker 1: other shark groups are on it, But right now, sitting here,

913
00:47:17,480 --> 00:47:19,480
Speaker 1: like man, I don't even know if I have more

914
00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 1: than five on this, Like I have other games. I

915
00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:23,719
Speaker 1: got five figures on right now, four figures. This is

916
00:47:23,760 --> 00:47:26,520
Speaker 1: nothing for me earlier in the week. So Cardinals feel

917
00:47:26,560 --> 00:47:29,360
Speaker 1: like the right side of the smart side, more complete team.

918
00:47:29,480 --> 00:47:31,439
Speaker 1: They actually have a pass rush that you could see

919
00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:35,719
Speaker 1: getting to Stafford. Stafford just hasn't looked right all season. Again,

920
00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,800
Speaker 1: take away Cooper Cup. This Rams team has no identity

921
00:47:38,840 --> 00:47:41,080
Speaker 1: on offense. He really is the team right now. So

922
00:47:41,520 --> 00:47:44,600
Speaker 1: Cardinals feel like the smart side. But I'm with Chet. Can't, can't,

923
00:47:44,680 --> 00:47:46,879
Speaker 1: can't make this one of my five Yet I have

924
00:47:47,160 --> 00:47:50,719
Speaker 1: high single figures on the Bears right now. I love

925
00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:53,880
Speaker 1: it alright. The next game, the next game, and for

926
00:47:53,920 --> 00:47:57,560
Speaker 1: a reminder, foxhold was Packers plus five. Simon says it

927
00:47:58,160 --> 00:48:00,680
Speaker 1: was Brown's plus four. It's really Brown three and a half.

928
00:48:01,280 --> 00:48:03,799
Speaker 1: Exact decision is Bears minus two and a half. The

929
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:06,279
Speaker 1: next game that I want to talk about the Los

930
00:48:06,320 --> 00:48:11,200
Speaker 1: Angeles Chargers visiting the San Francisco forty Niners. The Chargers

931
00:48:11,520 --> 00:48:16,400
Speaker 1: are seven point underdogs. I'm telling you right now. I

932
00:48:16,440 --> 00:48:22,040
Speaker 1: am telling you right now, Simon. We have hit peak

933
00:48:22,360 --> 00:48:28,359
Speaker 1: over correction, way peak over correction. The market has come

934
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:31,919
Speaker 1: down so far on the Chargers and gone so far

935
00:48:32,080 --> 00:48:37,479
Speaker 1: up on the Niners. Charges plus seven is an auto play. Yeah,

936
00:48:37,600 --> 00:48:39,640
Speaker 1: and I had the way from my guy having Abrams

937
00:48:39,760 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: put out this article. But all the trends will back up.

938
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:47,799
Speaker 1: Fading Shanahan prime time favorite. Never good. You always take

939
00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:49,920
Speaker 1: the other side in these positions, and historically it will

940
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:52,800
Speaker 1: work out for you, um Chargers as a big dog.

941
00:48:53,480 --> 00:48:56,000
Speaker 1: That's where we like them. We don't like them as favorites, right,

942
00:48:56,000 --> 00:48:58,719
Speaker 1: Like we joked last week, they're not They're not a

943
00:48:58,719 --> 00:49:00,759
Speaker 1: good team as a favorite person and they always played

944
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:04,280
Speaker 1: teams close that they should beat up on this team again,

945
00:49:04,360 --> 00:49:05,960
Speaker 1: no one expecting them to beat up on him, right,

946
00:49:05,960 --> 00:49:08,480
Speaker 1: You're expecting this to be a closer game, especially towards

947
00:49:08,480 --> 00:49:11,759
Speaker 1: this fort nine side. Such a letdown spot right for

948
00:49:11,760 --> 00:49:15,000
Speaker 1: the Niners. Like Chad just said, they've been sitting back

949
00:49:15,040 --> 00:49:17,000
Speaker 1: all week here about how great they are as they

950
00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:19,960
Speaker 1: sit there at four and four, so crazy to think

951
00:49:19,960 --> 00:49:21,879
Speaker 1: they might drop this game. Then they'll be four and five,

952
00:49:22,120 --> 00:49:24,760
Speaker 1: and that is a massive, massive deal for that Seahawks

953
00:49:24,760 --> 00:49:28,760
Speaker 1: team sitting there at six and three. But oh, seven points,

954
00:49:29,160 --> 00:49:32,160
Speaker 1: seven points for Herbert here. I love that. I love that,

955
00:49:32,200 --> 00:49:33,799
Speaker 1: just the chances of the back door at that big

956
00:49:33,880 --> 00:49:36,440
Speaker 1: one number for a guy that won't stop slinging it.

957
00:49:36,560 --> 00:49:39,960
Speaker 1: So I'm right there with CHADU love it at seven.

958
00:49:40,000 --> 00:49:42,640
Speaker 1: Hopefully it stays there all week, but could easily see

959
00:49:42,680 --> 00:49:44,560
Speaker 1: this number dropping down as the week goes along. Here

960
00:49:46,120 --> 00:49:49,359
Speaker 1: I feel like we could come back around to this

961
00:49:49,400 --> 00:49:53,200
Speaker 1: game on Thursday. Is a big balls bet, yeah, I

962
00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:55,160
Speaker 1: mean it doesn't take huge balls yet though, because I

963
00:49:55,200 --> 00:49:58,520
Speaker 1: feel like like that you were spot on Tennessee last

964
00:49:58,520 --> 00:50:01,000
Speaker 1: week that one legit that took some ball. If that

965
00:50:01,080 --> 00:50:03,680
Speaker 1: was scary, I was scary to do this one. I

966
00:50:03,719 --> 00:50:05,800
Speaker 1: feel is like this is just the smart right play

967
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 1: where it's like, no fear, we just got we gotta

968
00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:13,320
Speaker 1: bet this one year. Um. But man, the Keenan Allen

969
00:50:13,320 --> 00:50:16,680
Speaker 1: injury and the Mike Williams injury, the Chargers clearly need

970
00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:18,880
Speaker 1: that back. Right. They only put up twenty points against

971
00:50:18,880 --> 00:50:21,600
Speaker 1: a bad secondary in that Atlanta team last week, so

972
00:50:22,080 --> 00:50:24,440
Speaker 1: support naries don't got to go to a secondary either, right,

973
00:50:24,440 --> 00:50:27,440
Speaker 1: we've seen them get lit up by passing offenses. You

974
00:50:27,440 --> 00:50:29,960
Speaker 1: could wait and see right, hoping keen Allen then come back.

975
00:50:29,960 --> 00:50:31,359
Speaker 1: But I would just grab the seven because I think

976
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:32,759
Speaker 1: a lot of other people will grab it now. I

977
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:34,239
Speaker 1: could see a drop in a six and a half.

978
00:50:34,280 --> 00:50:37,720
Speaker 1: Six is a week goes along here, grabbed the seven,

979
00:50:46,800 --> 00:50:50,279
Speaker 1: all right? Last game, last game on the board, Commanders

980
00:50:50,600 --> 00:50:58,800
Speaker 1: visiting the Eagles. Commanders eleven point dogs. That's that's crazy, really, Yeah,

981
00:50:59,520 --> 00:51:01,879
Speaker 1: it is. I I don't know. To me, I look

982
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:03,680
Speaker 1: at this and it's just the whole thought of Heineke

983
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:06,440
Speaker 1: where it's like it's all fun and good. It's been

984
00:51:06,480 --> 00:51:08,759
Speaker 1: great when he's done. Chad. We've seen these moments though,

985
00:51:08,840 --> 00:51:11,000
Speaker 1: right like to pick six moments with him or just

986
00:51:11,040 --> 00:51:12,640
Speaker 1: turning the bowl over in the middle of the field.

987
00:51:12,960 --> 00:51:16,239
Speaker 1: He doesn't play well against good defenses, and he's beat

988
00:51:16,320 --> 00:51:18,719
Speaker 1: up on the Vikings defense. We don't think it's that

989
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:21,200
Speaker 1: good of a defense. Played the Colts. We don't view

990
00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:23,480
Speaker 1: them as that good of a defense. And then they

991
00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:25,680
Speaker 1: barely be Green Bay at home. We don't view is

992
00:51:25,719 --> 00:51:28,000
Speaker 1: that good of a defense. So this could be the

993
00:51:28,000 --> 00:51:31,279
Speaker 1: first Heineke test. Just be careful everyone, I just see

994
00:51:31,280 --> 00:51:32,960
Speaker 1: that this would be one of the bigger public dogs

995
00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:35,480
Speaker 1: of the week. You know, I love a prime time dog.

996
00:51:36,160 --> 00:51:38,640
Speaker 1: I hate prime time dogs of the public loves like

997
00:51:38,719 --> 00:51:41,040
Speaker 1: Usually that's a bad sign. So it's early in the

998
00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:42,479
Speaker 1: week now, I don't know what the public is gonna

999
00:51:42,480 --> 00:51:44,680
Speaker 1: do on this number. I'm just going off a hunch.

1000
00:51:44,719 --> 00:51:46,400
Speaker 1: I could see them hitting. It's just in the fact

1001
00:51:46,440 --> 00:51:49,640
Speaker 1: that they've been good, they've been competitive Washington. That d

1002
00:51:49,760 --> 00:51:51,799
Speaker 1: line they have is for real. Eagles let a lot

1003
00:51:51,800 --> 00:51:53,480
Speaker 1: of people down last week that bet them right, I

1004
00:51:53,480 --> 00:51:56,800
Speaker 1: think the only one by twelve, So yeah, big big number.

1005
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:59,279
Speaker 1: I kind of view it as a nice spot for

1006
00:51:59,320 --> 00:52:02,120
Speaker 1: an Eagles team coming off what is it, twelve days

1007
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,120
Speaker 1: or eleven days of rest because they played on a Thursday.

1008
00:52:04,160 --> 00:52:06,560
Speaker 1: Now they're playing on Monday. Maybe I'll do my thing,

1009
00:52:06,640 --> 00:52:09,120
Speaker 1: keep doing the Eagles first half. I mean again, it

1010
00:52:09,239 --> 00:52:11,399
Speaker 1: was a brutal beat last week, but look of all

1011
00:52:11,400 --> 00:52:12,880
Speaker 1: the things had to go wrong for them not to

1012
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:16,080
Speaker 1: cover that first half, and it takes a lot, clearly

1013
00:52:16,160 --> 00:52:19,080
Speaker 1: for that to happen. So Eagles, I guess you're right.

1014
00:52:19,160 --> 00:52:20,719
Speaker 1: Check Like, maybe I can't force you to make this

1015
00:52:20,760 --> 00:52:23,279
Speaker 1: one of our five yet, but I feel like you'll

1016
00:52:23,280 --> 00:52:25,279
Speaker 1: agree only if we see that the public keeps coming

1017
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:27,759
Speaker 1: in on this Commander side and we keep seeing the

1018
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:29,920
Speaker 1: number go up. Because it wasn't ten with the ten

1019
00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 1: and a half, I'm seeing a couple of books at

1020
00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:34,400
Speaker 1: eleven now, So yeah, totally. Clearly professionals like the Eagles

1021
00:52:34,400 --> 00:52:36,319
Speaker 1: as well, um because it's it's again, it's a good

1022
00:52:36,320 --> 00:52:39,200
Speaker 1: matchup for their defense against a heinekey guy who likes

1023
00:52:39,200 --> 00:52:41,640
Speaker 1: to turn the ball over. Eagles lead the league and turnover,

1024
00:52:41,760 --> 00:52:44,040
Speaker 1: so a lot of things to look at in this one.

1025
00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:46,000
Speaker 1: But as you sit there on Tuesday, yeah, I'm not

1026
00:52:46,000 --> 00:52:47,719
Speaker 1: gonna blindly bet the Eagles yet, I need I need

1027
00:52:47,760 --> 00:52:49,960
Speaker 1: to look into this number a little bit more. Our

1028
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,640
Speaker 1: faves or Bears minus two and a half, Packers plus

1029
00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:56,560
Speaker 1: five Browns plus three and a half Chargers plus seven

1030
00:52:57,239 --> 00:53:00,840
Speaker 1: on the runway Jack's plus nine. I to have Texans

1031
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:05,480
Speaker 1: plus six and a half, Vikings plus six, Broncos plus three.

1032
00:53:05,719 --> 00:53:08,959
Speaker 1: I expect we'll get some sharp calls. Oh yeah, these

1033
00:53:09,000 --> 00:53:13,440
Speaker 1: games shoo. I don't know, man, this might be a

1034
00:53:13,640 --> 00:53:15,840
Speaker 1: this might be the week to pass. I feel no

1035
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:19,919
Speaker 1: knowing that we have to pass for a week. We're

1036
00:53:19,960 --> 00:53:22,480
Speaker 1: so hot though, it feels like we're holding on so

1037
00:53:22,560 --> 00:53:26,279
Speaker 1: tight the ball or is the ball gripping us. I

1038
00:53:26,280 --> 00:53:27,600
Speaker 1: can say you feel that way, as you said here

1039
00:53:27,640 --> 00:53:29,160
Speaker 1: on Tuesday, but noing you. I feel like by the

1040
00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:31,040
Speaker 1: time we get the Sunday, like, no fucking way we

1041
00:53:31,080 --> 00:53:34,120
Speaker 1: passed this week. No way we're fucking passing this week.

1042
00:53:35,760 --> 00:53:39,480
Speaker 1: Not a chance. This crew that is listening to this

1043
00:53:39,480 --> 00:53:41,960
Speaker 1: podcast has done an amazing job at keeping the favorites

1044
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:47,200
Speaker 1: in the top one of sports podcasts. We appreciate you.

1045
00:53:47,200 --> 00:53:49,480
Speaker 1: You are so kind to listen to us. We loved

1046
00:53:49,480 --> 00:53:52,280
Speaker 1: meeting so many of you in Lexington. It was great.

1047
00:53:53,239 --> 00:53:56,440
Speaker 1: It was fantastic. Yeah, really cool. Any family met man

1048
00:53:56,719 --> 00:54:01,759
Speaker 1: like everyone we ran into offering to buy drinks. Yeah.

1049
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:03,359
Speaker 1: I didn't linger though too long, which is the key

1050
00:54:03,360 --> 00:54:06,040
Speaker 1: to meeting people like get in, give your five to

1051
00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:08,000
Speaker 1: ten minutes, like shoot the ship with us, and then

1052
00:54:08,040 --> 00:54:09,840
Speaker 1: get the funk out. Right are you telling are you

1053
00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:11,560
Speaker 1: telling our fans you don't want to like, you don't

1054
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:13,200
Speaker 1: want to be with the riff raff for too long.

1055
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:16,719
Speaker 1: I'm just saying that's the point of view. I'll talk

1056
00:54:16,760 --> 00:54:19,960
Speaker 1: to anybody for a while. Okay, they're good guy. I'm

1057
00:54:20,000 --> 00:54:21,560
Speaker 1: one of those if you approach someone, I feel like

1058
00:54:21,560 --> 00:54:23,440
Speaker 1: you get the five at ten minutes and at that

1059
00:54:23,440 --> 00:54:25,399
Speaker 1: point you're holding them up from let them go back

1060
00:54:25,440 --> 00:54:28,319
Speaker 1: around back about their regular life chat. He lives for

1061
00:54:28,360 --> 00:54:32,080
Speaker 1: this me. I don't. I have no interest in being famous,

1062
00:54:32,120 --> 00:54:34,319
Speaker 1: but I do love meeting people. Shooting the ship like

1063
00:54:34,360 --> 00:54:37,040
Speaker 1: that was cool, But um, yeah, it was definitely. It's

1064
00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:41,520
Speaker 1: definitely a different feeling. Everything you say is a lie, right,

1065
00:54:42,040 --> 00:54:46,319
Speaker 1: keep sending in the reviews five stars, folks, that's one

1066
00:54:46,360 --> 00:54:49,160
Speaker 1: of the ways we stay in the top one. That's right, yet,

1067
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:54,640
Speaker 1: keep those positive reviews on Apple Podcasts coming. I will

1068
00:54:54,680 --> 00:54:58,920
Speaker 1: select five reviews next week and we'll give away some prizes.

1069
00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:01,800
Speaker 1: If you've already love to review, take your wife's phone,

1070
00:55:01,880 --> 00:55:04,760
Speaker 1: take your friend's phone, steal off phone on the subway,

1071
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:07,759
Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Just leave a new review and we'll name

1072
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:11,480
Speaker 1: some winners next week. Thanks guys. Feedback As a gift,

1073
00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:14,920
Speaker 1: download us from Apple Podcasts, from Spotify, wherever you get

1074
00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:18,400
Speaker 1: your podcasts. For Matt Mitchell, for Simon Hunter, I am

1075
00:55:18,480 --> 00:55:21,040
Speaker 1: Chad Meman. This has been the favorites from the Volume

1076
00:55:21,080 --> 00:55:24,480
Speaker 1: podcast Network. Until next time, I Love you,