1 00:00:01,280 --> 00:00:17,000 Speaker 1: The volume. All right, Well, good to Hoops Tonight. Here 2 00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,119 Speaker 1: at the volume heavy Wednesday, everybody. Hope all of you 3 00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,480 Speaker 1: guys are having a great week so far. Got a 4 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:24,240 Speaker 1: jam packshow for you guys today. We're continuing our player rankings. 5 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:26,960 Speaker 1: We have three more players we're getting to today, number 6 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:30,480 Speaker 1: twenty three, number twenty two, and number twenty one. You 7 00:00:30,480 --> 00:00:32,240 Speaker 1: guys are the joke before we get started. Subscribe to 8 00:00:32,280 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 1: Hoops Tonight YouTube channels. You don't miss any more of 9 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:36,720 Speaker 1: our videos. Follow me on Twitter and underscore jcnlt so 10 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 1: you guys don't miss a show announcement. So forget about 11 00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:40,040 Speaker 1: a pocast few where we get your podcast on our 12 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:41,919 Speaker 1: Hoops Tonight tell us a super helpful if you leave 13 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:44,120 Speaker 1: a rating and a review on that front. Jackson is 14 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: doing great work on our social media feeds on Twitter, Instagram, 15 00:00:46,479 --> 00:00:48,839 Speaker 1: Facebook and TikTok. Make sure you guys follow us there 16 00:00:48,880 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 1: for more content throughout the year. The last but not least, 17 00:00:51,240 --> 00:00:53,680 Speaker 1: keep dropping mail bag questions and the YouTube comments. We 18 00:00:53,720 --> 00:00:56,080 Speaker 1: talked about this after the first video, but our mail 19 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:57,840 Speaker 1: bags over the course of the rest of the summer 20 00:00:58,120 --> 00:01:00,000 Speaker 1: are going to be more geared towards the player. 21 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:00,640 Speaker 2: Your rankings. 22 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: Obviously, ask whatever questions you have, and if I see 23 00:01:02,840 --> 00:01:05,480 Speaker 1: a very interesting question that's not related to the player rankings, 24 00:01:05,480 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 1: we'll get into it. But this is all very subjective 25 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 1: and all very up for debate. As we talked about 26 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:14,479 Speaker 1: in our first video, it's very little separating number five 27 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 1: from number fourteen on my list and number fifteen all 28 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,400 Speaker 1: the way from the fortieth guy that I considered for 29 00:01:20,440 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: this list. There's a lot of room for argument there. 30 00:01:24,040 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 1: And so if you guys disagree with any of my placement, 31 00:01:26,319 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 1: a guy too high, a got too low, a guy 32 00:01:27,959 --> 00:01:29,320 Speaker 1: who missed the list who should have made it, a 33 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:30,840 Speaker 1: guy who made the list who shouldn't have made it, 34 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:34,440 Speaker 1: anything that you disagree with, right mail bag with the colon, 35 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: drop your kind of like counterpoint, keep it short, keep 36 00:01:38,280 --> 00:01:41,920 Speaker 1: it brief like elevator. Pitch for what you guys disagree with, 37 00:01:42,240 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: and we'll argue about those in our mail bags throughout 38 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:46,000 Speaker 1: the rest of the summer. 39 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:47,160 Speaker 2: Now it's gonna be a little tricky. 40 00:01:47,280 --> 00:01:49,800 Speaker 1: This Friday's mail bag is just going to be reacting 41 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:52,760 Speaker 1: to our first video because I'm going out of town. 42 00:01:52,760 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 1: I'm going to Alaska, and I'm going to be gone 43 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 1: for like ten days. So the first two Fridays will 44 00:01:58,200 --> 00:02:00,760 Speaker 1: just have the one mail bag this Friday that reacts 45 00:02:00,800 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 1: to the first video. But the rest of the list, 46 00:02:04,560 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: we have like five additional mail bags that will be 47 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,320 Speaker 1: recording over the course of the list, where you guys 48 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 1: will have plenty of opportunity to argue about what you 49 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:15,000 Speaker 1: disagree with, so make sure you guys get those into 50 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 1: the comments. So, without any further ado, let's talk some basketball. 51 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:23,200 Speaker 1: Number twenty three Bam out of Baio, a guy who 52 00:02:23,280 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 1: was dropped from where he was last year in the 53 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:28,560 Speaker 1: top twenty for me. His season in review, he played 54 00:02:28,560 --> 00:02:32,480 Speaker 1: in seventy eight games, averaged eighteen point one points per game. 55 00:02:32,520 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: That was his lowest since twenty twenty nine. Point six 56 00:02:35,520 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 1: rebounds per game, four point three assists per game is 57 00:02:38,760 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 1: highest since twenty twenty one, two point zero stocks per 58 00:02:42,919 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 1: game is one point three steals per game last year 59 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,200 Speaker 1: was the second highest total of his career. Now his 60 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:50,359 Speaker 1: efficiency is where things are going to get pretty interesting, 61 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:51,600 Speaker 1: and I have a lot of different stuff I want 62 00:02:51,639 --> 00:02:54,680 Speaker 1: to get into with Bam here. So he was just 63 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:57,200 Speaker 1: forty nine percent from the field last year. That was 64 00:02:57,240 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: the lowest mark of his career to this point now. 65 00:03:00,440 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: Part of it was the increase in his three point volume. 66 00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,040 Speaker 1: People are going to shoot lower percentages on threes. That's 67 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:08,239 Speaker 1: going to affect your field goal percentage. He had never 68 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:10,840 Speaker 1: taken more than one three point attempts per game in 69 00:03:10,880 --> 00:03:13,840 Speaker 1: the first several seasons of his career. Last year was 70 00:03:13,880 --> 00:03:15,840 Speaker 1: the first year that he attempted over one. He attempted 71 00:03:15,880 --> 00:03:18,880 Speaker 1: almost three threes per game, so that obviously plays a 72 00:03:18,919 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 1: certain role in the drop in his field goal percentage, 73 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 1: But he also shot poorly on twos. He shot fifty 74 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:28,360 Speaker 1: two percent on twos, which is his lowest mark since 75 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 1: his rookie season. He's had three straight years from twenty 76 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: twenty to twenty twenty two in the past where he 77 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:38,560 Speaker 1: averaged the same points per game eighteen points per game, 78 00:03:39,160 --> 00:03:42,480 Speaker 1: but shot fifty seven percent on twos over the course 79 00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:46,400 Speaker 1: of those three seasons, so substantially lower this year than 80 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: levels he's reached previously in his career. He's flat out 81 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 1: regressing as a shot maker inside the arc. He shot 82 00:03:55,800 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: below forty percent on floaters and hooks last year, which 83 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: is brutal for his position at the center position when 84 00:04:03,320 --> 00:04:05,840 Speaker 1: you do so much work rolling out of ball screens, 85 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 1: your ability to short range shot make, either beating switches 86 00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: with quick quick hook shots or catching on the roll 87 00:04:12,360 --> 00:04:15,440 Speaker 1: and spinning into a quick hook, or making floaters on 88 00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 1: the role. Those are vitally important parts of shot making 89 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 1: at the center position, and he was below forty percent 90 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 1: on them last year. He used to just be better 91 00:04:24,680 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 1: at it. He's fifty two percent on floaters and hooks 92 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:31,720 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty one, fifty five percent on floaters and 93 00:04:31,760 --> 00:04:34,880 Speaker 1: hooks in twenty twenty two. So, for whatever reason, and 94 00:04:34,920 --> 00:04:39,160 Speaker 1: I really don't have an explanation for it, he just 95 00:04:39,240 --> 00:04:42,960 Speaker 1: hasn't been able to recreate what he did in years 96 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:46,680 Speaker 1: past and elevate from there to that next level. It 97 00:04:46,800 --> 00:04:48,720 Speaker 1: kind of came to the surface, if you guys remember 98 00:04:48,800 --> 00:04:51,600 Speaker 1: as an issue for Bam during the twenty twenty three 99 00:04:51,680 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: finals in the series against Denver, he was consistently getting 100 00:04:56,400 --> 00:05:00,360 Speaker 1: quality short range looks, layups a little bit further away 101 00:05:00,360 --> 00:05:05,080 Speaker 1: from the rim, short hooks, floaters, little bank shots. He 102 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: was getting all of these looks and he just wasn't 103 00:05:07,240 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: making them against Denver, and he was becoming a problem 104 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:12,000 Speaker 1: because they were the kind of shots that were open 105 00:05:12,040 --> 00:05:16,240 Speaker 1: in their offense. Often his touch it's not just on 106 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:19,120 Speaker 1: hooks and floaters. Either on layups, it's been an issue. 107 00:05:20,120 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 1: He shot just fifty percent last year on layups. That's 108 00:05:25,240 --> 00:05:28,039 Speaker 1: way below where his peers are at the center position 109 00:05:28,880 --> 00:05:34,680 Speaker 1: again Bam fifty percent, Anthony Davis sixty percent, Carl Anthony 110 00:05:34,720 --> 00:05:38,760 Speaker 1: Towns fifty eight percent, if he eats the Zubats fifty 111 00:05:38,839 --> 00:05:42,240 Speaker 1: seven percent, nikolea Jokic sixty seven percent. You guys get 112 00:05:42,240 --> 00:05:46,440 Speaker 1: the point. Compared to his peers, he really struggles on 113 00:05:46,560 --> 00:05:51,520 Speaker 1: short range shot making layups, hooks, floaters, that sort of thing, 114 00:05:51,839 --> 00:05:53,560 Speaker 1: and that has ended up being an issue for him 115 00:05:53,720 --> 00:05:56,359 Speaker 1: as he's failed to kind of take that next step 116 00:05:56,400 --> 00:05:59,000 Speaker 1: as an offensive player. There was kind of like this 117 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:02,240 Speaker 1: inflection point for Bam in right around that twenty twenty 118 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:04,600 Speaker 1: two to twenty twenty three phase when the Heat made 119 00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 1: those back to back conference finals runs in their NBA 120 00:06:06,720 --> 00:06:08,960 Speaker 1: Finals run, where it kind of felt like he was 121 00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 1: either going to improve as a finisher and become like 122 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:15,919 Speaker 1: one of those legit second tier stars like Anthony Davis, 123 00:06:16,600 --> 00:06:20,200 Speaker 1: or he was gonna plateau, and instead he's kind of regressed. 124 00:06:21,600 --> 00:06:24,479 Speaker 1: This is actually crazy, even with the influx of his 125 00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:26,560 Speaker 1: three point shooting, which is legitimate, like he had never 126 00:06:26,640 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: attempted more than one three per game. He attempted almost 127 00:06:29,040 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 1: three three three pointers per game this year, and he 128 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:35,440 Speaker 1: made thirty six percent of him, which is very respectable 129 00:06:35,480 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 1: as a three point shooter. But even with that influx 130 00:06:39,279 --> 00:06:42,359 Speaker 1: of like a more efficient shot profile, he posted a 131 00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:46,160 Speaker 1: true shooting percentage of just fifty six percent last year, 132 00:06:46,520 --> 00:06:50,400 Speaker 1: which was the lowest mark of his entire career. This 133 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 1: is a big part of how he slipped out of 134 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:55,400 Speaker 1: the top twenty for me, despite the fact that Tyrese 135 00:06:55,440 --> 00:06:58,600 Speaker 1: Haliburt and Damian Lillard Jason Tatum have dropped out of 136 00:06:58,640 --> 00:07:02,000 Speaker 1: the list entirely, which should have bolstered him against that. 137 00:07:02,600 --> 00:07:04,960 Speaker 1: But I dropped him because he's just regressing as an 138 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:09,080 Speaker 1: offensive player and it's preventing the Heat from getting to 139 00:07:09,120 --> 00:07:13,119 Speaker 1: their ultimate goals in the postseason. The lack of shot 140 00:07:13,120 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: making for Bam is especially frustrating because of how amazing 141 00:07:17,480 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 1: he is at everything else, including passing out of the 142 00:07:20,680 --> 00:07:23,760 Speaker 1: center position. When it comes to that part of offense, 143 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:27,240 Speaker 1: being that five out dribble handoff folkrum, going side to side, 144 00:07:27,280 --> 00:07:29,480 Speaker 1: making reeds at a two million game, being the guy 145 00:07:29,480 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: that ties everything together for that offense, he's actually great 146 00:07:33,800 --> 00:07:37,800 Speaker 1: at that there are only four centers in the entire 147 00:07:37,880 --> 00:07:42,080 Speaker 1: NBA who meet the following criteria at least twenty five 148 00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:43,720 Speaker 1: minutes per game, so a guy who plays a lot, 149 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:46,880 Speaker 1: a usage rate of at least twenty percent, so guy 150 00:07:46,880 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 1: who has the ball a lot, and an assistant turnover 151 00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:53,360 Speaker 1: ratio of at least two to one. There's four guys 152 00:07:53,440 --> 00:07:56,280 Speaker 1: in the entire NBA at the center position that meet 153 00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:59,440 Speaker 1: those criteria, and the other three guys are not very 154 00:07:59,480 --> 00:08:05,120 Speaker 1: athletic Demonisibonis, Nicola Vucevich. Those guys are right around two 155 00:08:05,120 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 1: to one, and then Yokich, who's better than three to one, 156 00:08:07,120 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 1: who obviously is kind of the anomaly, but those are 157 00:08:09,400 --> 00:08:14,040 Speaker 1: like skill focused centers who are great playmakers. And then 158 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: it's Bam. Bam is the fourth guy on that list. 159 00:08:16,320 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 1: Another way to put it is like this, Bam is 160 00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: the only truly athletic center in the NBA who can 161 00:08:24,040 --> 00:08:27,800 Speaker 1: playmake at that elite like at that elite level of 162 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:31,080 Speaker 1: efficiency and volume or he's not turning the ball over. 163 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:34,520 Speaker 1: He's top five and assists per game among centers. He's 164 00:08:34,559 --> 00:08:37,679 Speaker 1: the only guy who brings that athleticism in that like 165 00:08:37,960 --> 00:08:43,360 Speaker 1: refined playmaking at that center position in the entire league. 166 00:08:43,679 --> 00:08:47,679 Speaker 1: You combine that with his unbelievable defensive versatility, which we're 167 00:08:47,679 --> 00:08:49,679 Speaker 1: about to get more into in a minute, and you 168 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:53,000 Speaker 1: have a player that had a truly sky high potential, 169 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 1: like top tier superstar potential, if he could have just 170 00:08:57,240 --> 00:09:01,000 Speaker 1: added reliable shot making. That's why I've been so keyed 171 00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:02,640 Speaker 1: in on that piece of his game over the last 172 00:09:02,679 --> 00:09:04,120 Speaker 1: few years, and it just kind of feels like a 173 00:09:04,160 --> 00:09:07,120 Speaker 1: missed opportunity. He's regressing when it should be something that 174 00:09:07,160 --> 00:09:10,520 Speaker 1: he's improving on. But again, he's an excellent playmaker. He's 175 00:09:10,520 --> 00:09:13,200 Speaker 1: fifth and assists per game among centers overall. We talked 176 00:09:13,200 --> 00:09:16,120 Speaker 1: about that modern dribble handoff fulkrum in the NBA, like 177 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:17,880 Speaker 1: when you have guys that can score and pass out 178 00:09:17,880 --> 00:09:21,800 Speaker 1: of action guards having a big who can flow from 179 00:09:21,840 --> 00:09:24,199 Speaker 1: side to side, meaning like run that first action. Oh 180 00:09:24,200 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 1: it doesn't work. Quick, make yourself available at the top 181 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:27,679 Speaker 1: of the key, catch turn, and go to the other 182 00:09:27,720 --> 00:09:30,440 Speaker 1: side of the floor dribble handoff while always being able 183 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,120 Speaker 1: to make the reads out of it, like, oh, they're 184 00:09:32,160 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 1: overplaying me. I'm gonna fake the dribble handoff and go 185 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,680 Speaker 1: to the rim or setting the good screens that free 186 00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:39,640 Speaker 1: the guys up passing to guards as they backcut or 187 00:09:39,679 --> 00:09:41,600 Speaker 1: if they get top locked and are forced to backcut. 188 00:09:41,600 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 1: The playmaking that you do out of that. There's all 189 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:47,440 Speaker 1: of this stuff that in terms of decision making and 190 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:50,599 Speaker 1: playmaking you need from the center position in order to 191 00:09:50,640 --> 00:09:52,760 Speaker 1: run five out offense in the modern NBA, and offense 192 00:09:52,760 --> 00:09:56,679 Speaker 1: that the Heat run more than many teams in the NBA. 193 00:09:57,400 --> 00:10:01,080 Speaker 1: BAM's great at that. And then again the defensive end 194 00:10:01,120 --> 00:10:05,840 Speaker 1: of the floors where Bam really separates himself. Bam didn't 195 00:10:05,880 --> 00:10:09,040 Speaker 1: have his best defensive season last year. Zero point seven 196 00:10:09,080 --> 00:10:11,920 Speaker 1: blocks per game were the lowest since his rookie since 197 00:10:11,920 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: his rookie year in the NBA. Now context there, he's 198 00:10:15,480 --> 00:10:17,160 Speaker 1: playing with more two big looks. That's going to put 199 00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:20,520 Speaker 1: him in some different situations playing alongside Killo where and 200 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,080 Speaker 1: I generally think it was the least motivated he's been 201 00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: as a defender since he came into the league. As 202 00:10:24,760 --> 00:10:27,480 Speaker 1: the Heat were just so far away from achieving their 203 00:10:27,520 --> 00:10:31,079 Speaker 1: postseason goals, he finished outside of the top five and 204 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:33,120 Speaker 1: Defensive Player of the Year voting for the first time 205 00:10:33,160 --> 00:10:34,360 Speaker 1: since twenty nineteen. 206 00:10:34,600 --> 00:10:35,080 Speaker 2: Last year. 207 00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:39,360 Speaker 1: I do still believe in Bam as an apex defender 208 00:10:39,360 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 1: in this league. I think that he will continue to 209 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,760 Speaker 1: operate closer to that top five defensive player of the 210 00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 1: year type of caliber player looking forward in his career, 211 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 1: I look at last year as more of like an outlier. 212 00:10:52,520 --> 00:10:54,079 Speaker 2: The big differentiator for. 213 00:10:54,120 --> 00:10:58,840 Speaker 1: Bam is that he's essentially a hybrid between a traditional 214 00:10:58,960 --> 00:11:02,360 Speaker 1: rim protecting bit and kind of like a legitimate wing 215 00:11:02,800 --> 00:11:04,560 Speaker 1: in terms of his ability to move his feet on 216 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:09,520 Speaker 1: the perimeter. He brings the best scheme versatility defensively out 217 00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 1: of any center in the league, aside from maybe Victor Wembanyama. 218 00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:17,880 Speaker 1: I think he's the best switching center in the league, Bam. 219 00:11:17,960 --> 00:11:19,760 Speaker 1: There was a time when I thought it was Anthony Davis, 220 00:11:19,960 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 1: and you could argue Ad is still maybe a better 221 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,679 Speaker 1: defender all around because of how good he is at 222 00:11:23,720 --> 00:11:25,720 Speaker 1: the rim. But Ad put on a bunch of weight 223 00:11:25,720 --> 00:11:27,000 Speaker 1: and hasn't been able to move his feet on the 224 00:11:27,000 --> 00:11:29,199 Speaker 1: perimeter as well. It hasn't been as good defending switches. 225 00:11:29,600 --> 00:11:33,839 Speaker 1: Bam is legitimately awesome switching out onto the perimeter. One 226 00:11:33,840 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 1: of the unique things he does that many other big 227 00:11:35,640 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: struggle with. We're gonna talk about this when we get 228 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:39,200 Speaker 1: to Evan Mobley. But one of the things that like 229 00:11:39,240 --> 00:11:41,959 Speaker 1: Evan Mobley struggles with is when he gets switched onto 230 00:11:42,080 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: quicker guards, he gives too much space and those guys 231 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:47,559 Speaker 1: get really comfortable with their pull up three point shooting. 232 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:50,440 Speaker 1: Evan got lit on fire on pull up threes in 233 00:11:50,480 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 1: ISOs this year, kind of prevented him from being as 234 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:55,360 Speaker 1: good of an ISO big as as he could have been, 235 00:11:55,559 --> 00:11:58,160 Speaker 1: as good of a switching big as he could have been. Bam, 236 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 1: You'll see him like two feet out outside the three 237 00:12:00,640 --> 00:12:03,720 Speaker 1: point line picking up pull up shooters way out on 238 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:06,440 Speaker 1: the perimeter. He's way more active with his hands to 239 00:12:06,520 --> 00:12:08,880 Speaker 1: disrupt the rhythm and flow of pull up shooters so 240 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,640 Speaker 1: they can't comfortably settle into pull up jump shots, while 241 00:12:11,679 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 1: also having the speed laterally and the recovery athleticism to 242 00:12:16,120 --> 00:12:21,160 Speaker 1: deal with quickness getting past him. He's unbelievable defending on switches. 243 00:12:22,080 --> 00:12:24,360 Speaker 1: Even last year and what everyone considers to be a 244 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:28,679 Speaker 1: down year, he was still amazing on the perimeter and switches. Statistically, 245 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:31,760 Speaker 1: there were one hundred and fifty one players in the 246 00:12:31,840 --> 00:12:36,480 Speaker 1: NBA last year who defended at least fifty ISOs. Bam 247 00:12:36,520 --> 00:12:39,320 Speaker 1: Allouja zero point six to two points per possession in 248 00:12:39,440 --> 00:12:43,240 Speaker 1: ISO that ranked third on that list, third out of 249 00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty one players. He does this while 250 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 1: also being very good in traditional coverages. He gets up 251 00:12:52,360 --> 00:12:54,400 Speaker 1: to the level of screens quickly and at the level 252 00:12:54,400 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: coverages and can disrupt pull up shooters. He can contest 253 00:12:57,160 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 1: in the mid range. He can protect the rim. He 254 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,200 Speaker 1: obviously is in his protecting the rim as some of 255 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,080 Speaker 1: the taller, longer centers in the NBA, but he's good 256 00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,360 Speaker 1: enough at it in conjunction with. 257 00:13:06,360 --> 00:13:08,720 Speaker 2: Being one of those truly elite. 258 00:13:08,720 --> 00:13:11,880 Speaker 1: Top tier switching defenders that he makes life very easy 259 00:13:11,880 --> 00:13:16,680 Speaker 1: for Eric Spolsterras schematically because they can build out any 260 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:20,040 Speaker 1: defensive scheme that they want. Bam can do literally anything 261 00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:23,000 Speaker 1: you ask him to do. One of the most versatile 262 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:27,440 Speaker 1: defensive foundations in the game. Bam can be a frustrating player, 263 00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,320 Speaker 1: and his lack of developing upside has certainly prevented Miami 264 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,520 Speaker 1: from reaching their ultimate goals, and his regression there is, 265 00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 1: like like I said, downright frustrating, especially if you're a 266 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:40,400 Speaker 1: fan of Bam in the heat. But you can't do 267 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:42,320 Speaker 1: a whole lot better in the modern NBA than a 268 00:13:42,360 --> 00:13:46,480 Speaker 1: big man who can legitimately anchor any defensive coverage at 269 00:13:46,480 --> 00:13:49,320 Speaker 1: a Defensive Player of the Year level, giving you an 270 00:13:49,440 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: enormous amount of flexibility from opponent to ponent, both in 271 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:56,760 Speaker 1: the regular season and in the playoffs, while also being 272 00:13:56,760 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 1: a legitimately good dribble handoff fokram on offense that can 273 00:14:00,320 --> 00:14:02,920 Speaker 1: kind of get guys set up in the right spot. Now, 274 00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:07,560 Speaker 1: his lack of touch, especially around the rim, prevents him 275 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: from reaching that second tier of superstars in the NBA, 276 00:14:10,800 --> 00:14:13,559 Speaker 1: but his overall value is still enough to put him 277 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: at twenty three on this year's list. All right, number 278 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:23,760 Speaker 1: twenty two Evan Mobley. Nothing says summer like long days, 279 00:14:23,920 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: clutch plays, and firing off a few bets on the game, 280 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,480 Speaker 1: all with DraftKings Sportsbook. As the season heats up, so 281 00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: do the bats and DraftKings Sportsbook hasts you covered with 282 00:14:32,240 --> 00:14:36,000 Speaker 1: live betting, home run props, odds, boosts, and more. 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It's a 313 00:16:15,800 --> 00:16:21,120 Speaker 1: hell of a breakout season for the young star. His 314 00:16:21,200 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 1: averages he averaged nineteen points, nine rebounds, and three assists 315 00:16:25,040 --> 00:16:27,920 Speaker 1: two point five stocks per game. His efficiency used fifty 316 00:16:28,000 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 1: six percent from the field, sixty two percent on twos. 317 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:36,000 Speaker 1: He doesn't have amazing touch on short twos, like forty 318 00:16:36,000 --> 00:16:39,280 Speaker 1: percent on floaters and hooks fifty three percent on layups. 319 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 1: Those marks are only slightly ahead of where bam Adebayo was, 320 00:16:42,920 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 1: but he had one hundred and ninety four dunks last year. 321 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:48,320 Speaker 1: Bam only had one hundred and forty. Now, some of 322 00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:50,920 Speaker 1: that is that Evan Mobley played with better ball handlers, 323 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:53,440 Speaker 1: but some of it is also that Evan Mobley is 324 00:16:53,440 --> 00:16:55,800 Speaker 1: a better vertical spacer and that was something that allowed 325 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:59,120 Speaker 1: him to be way more efficient on twos than bam 326 00:16:59,120 --> 00:17:02,880 Speaker 1: Adebio was last year. He also shot thirty seven percent 327 00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 1: from three on three point two attempts per game last 328 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:08,600 Speaker 1: year in the regular season, more than double the attempts 329 00:17:08,600 --> 00:17:11,680 Speaker 1: of any previous season in his career, and he shot 330 00:17:11,720 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 1: well in the postseason. He shot forty five percent from 331 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:16,920 Speaker 1: three in the postseason on four attempts per game, so 332 00:17:16,960 --> 00:17:20,360 Speaker 1: the jump shot feels real. He's legitimately a substantially better 333 00:17:20,440 --> 00:17:24,600 Speaker 1: jump shooter than bam Ade Bio. He was sixty percent 334 00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:28,080 Speaker 1: in effective field goal percentage and a career high sixty 335 00:17:28,200 --> 00:17:32,919 Speaker 1: three percent in true shooting, seven percentage points ahead of 336 00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:36,840 Speaker 1: where bam Adebayo was last year. Evan Mobley, in my opinion, 337 00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: has become flatly a better offensive player than bam was 338 00:17:40,960 --> 00:17:44,920 Speaker 1: or is. The perimeter jump shot is more reliable. He's 339 00:17:44,960 --> 00:17:47,080 Speaker 1: added some of the ability to run action. I do 340 00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: think bam is a better like five out dribble handoff fulkrum, 341 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,600 Speaker 1: but Evan Mobley has closed the gap in terms of 342 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,880 Speaker 1: offensive initiation with some of his ability to run offense, 343 00:17:55,960 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 1: to run inverted action, and his superior jump shooting and 344 00:17:59,480 --> 00:18:01,960 Speaker 1: his vertical spacing, like we talked about earlier, it made 345 00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:06,880 Speaker 1: Evan Mobley a very dynamic roleman. Evan Mobley scored one 346 00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:10,199 Speaker 1: point one seven points per roleman possession last year compared 347 00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,920 Speaker 1: to just zero point nine seven for bam Ata Bio, 348 00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:16,439 Speaker 1: so twenty points better per one hundred roll man possessions. 349 00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:18,880 Speaker 1: And again, some of that is the gap in ball handling, 350 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:21,119 Speaker 1: but most of it is just that Mobley has become 351 00:18:21,160 --> 00:18:25,479 Speaker 1: a better offensive player. Evan Mobley shot thirty eight percent 352 00:18:25,560 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 1: on pick and pop three's last year. Bam shot twenty 353 00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,359 Speaker 1: three percent on pick and pop three, So three is 354 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:33,680 Speaker 1: when he was slipping out of ball screens. Those are 355 00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:36,560 Speaker 1: generally wide open regardless of who the ball handler is. 356 00:18:37,600 --> 00:18:40,720 Speaker 1: So like that, again, there is an obvious ball handling 357 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,239 Speaker 1: gap between those two teams, but I think there's an 358 00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:47,320 Speaker 1: obvious gap in offensive refinement between Evan Mobley and Bamadabayo 359 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:50,600 Speaker 1: as well. Here's some play type data for Evan Mobley. 360 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: He's a hyper efficient play finisher. One point one to 361 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,760 Speaker 1: seven points per roleman possession. That's sixty six percentiles of 362 00:18:57,800 --> 00:18:59,600 Speaker 1: pretty far above average. 363 00:18:59,440 --> 00:19:00,159 Speaker 2: One point five. 364 00:19:00,080 --> 00:19:02,320 Speaker 1: Five to nine points possession on cuts that's in the 365 00:19:02,400 --> 00:19:05,199 Speaker 1: ninety second percentile. That's that awesome vertical spacing and his 366 00:19:05,240 --> 00:19:08,640 Speaker 1: good hands around the basket, very good in transition, very 367 00:19:08,640 --> 00:19:10,480 Speaker 1: good in offensive rebound situations. 368 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:11,840 Speaker 2: In action. 369 00:19:12,680 --> 00:19:15,000 Speaker 1: If you go back two years to twenty twenty four, 370 00:19:15,480 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 1: Evan Mobley ran just one hundred and fifty three pick 371 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:20,880 Speaker 1: and rolls, ISOs and post ups including passes. Last year 372 00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:24,400 Speaker 1: that skyrocketed up to three hundred and thirty nine, more 373 00:19:24,440 --> 00:19:28,320 Speaker 1: than double Now. The efficiency was only okay, zero point 374 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 1: nine to one points possession including passes on all three 375 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:33,399 Speaker 1: play types combined. Again not excellent, but it was his 376 00:19:33,480 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: first season as like a high volume creator, and that's 377 00:19:36,280 --> 00:19:40,640 Speaker 1: really not bad. He was specifically successful in inverted ball 378 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:43,439 Speaker 1: screen situations, meaning when he was handling the ball in 379 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,040 Speaker 1: either Donovan Mitchell or Darius Garland or one of the 380 00:19:46,040 --> 00:19:48,720 Speaker 1: shooters like Sam Merrill or Max Strew's would come up 381 00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:50,760 Speaker 1: screen for him and then slip out to the three 382 00:19:50,760 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: point line. It kind of created some very simple reads 383 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:56,959 Speaker 1: for him, like if the guards screened and the guard's 384 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,879 Speaker 1: man didn't help, he would just turn the corner and 385 00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:00,399 Speaker 1: go downhill and he'd either get all the way to 386 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:02,479 Speaker 1: the rim or he'd make a kick if someone stepped 387 00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 1: over to help. It was a pretty simple set of reads. 388 00:20:04,800 --> 00:20:08,119 Speaker 1: If the guard lingered in a hedge, then the shooter 389 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:09,919 Speaker 1: would slip out free and he would just pitch it 390 00:20:09,960 --> 00:20:11,400 Speaker 1: back to the shooter as he got to the three 391 00:20:11,400 --> 00:20:13,640 Speaker 1: point line. It was a very simple kind of order 392 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 1: of operations for Evan Mobley that allowed him to be 393 00:20:16,880 --> 00:20:19,280 Speaker 1: effective and one of the hardest actions to guard in 394 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,840 Speaker 1: the NBA. That kind of like ghost screen action with 395 00:20:21,960 --> 00:20:26,720 Speaker 1: a bigger ball handler involved. When he passed out of 396 00:20:26,800 --> 00:20:30,560 Speaker 1: inverted ball screens. The Calves got one point zero six 397 00:20:30,560 --> 00:20:34,240 Speaker 1: points per possession last year, which is very good. I 398 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 1: also thought Mobley played well in the playoffs. His jump 399 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,680 Speaker 1: shot was going in at a higher clip than the 400 00:20:39,720 --> 00:20:43,520 Speaker 1: regular season. He was making his hook shot, his shot 401 00:20:43,560 --> 00:20:46,400 Speaker 1: creation was successful. He ran fifteen of those inverted ball 402 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:49,040 Speaker 1: screens in the playoffs and got nineteen points. That's great. 403 00:20:49,160 --> 00:20:51,800 Speaker 1: That's a great number. He ran fourteen post ups in 404 00:20:51,840 --> 00:20:54,479 Speaker 1: ISOs for thirteen points, which is not amazing, but it's 405 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:57,520 Speaker 1: above his regular season efficiency. I thought the Caves held 406 00:20:57,600 --> 00:20:59,680 Speaker 1: up well on the offensive glass in that series, where 407 00:20:59,680 --> 00:21:01,879 Speaker 1: in us past that was something that Evan Mobley and 408 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,840 Speaker 1: Jared Allen both had struggled with. I thought last year 409 00:21:05,000 --> 00:21:08,800 Speaker 1: was just a monumental step forward in Evan Mobley's development 410 00:21:09,240 --> 00:21:10,399 Speaker 1: as a basketball player. 411 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:11,880 Speaker 2: Now. 412 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 1: On the defensive end, I actually think Evan Mobley is 413 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:18,760 Speaker 1: a tiny bit overrated. I would not have given him 414 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 1: Defensive Player of the Year last year. I do believe 415 00:21:21,520 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 1: that Evan Mobley is a very very good defender, but 416 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:27,199 Speaker 1: for instance, I do think that bam Adebayo is a 417 00:21:27,240 --> 00:21:29,760 Speaker 1: better defensive player than Evan Mobley. I do not view 418 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 1: Evan Mobley in the conversation for best defenders in basketball. Again, 419 00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,400 Speaker 1: a big part of it is he wasn't very good 420 00:21:36,440 --> 00:21:40,480 Speaker 1: on switches. In that list of one hundred and fifty 421 00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,520 Speaker 1: one players who defended at least fifty ISOs that Bam 422 00:21:43,640 --> 00:21:48,120 Speaker 1: was third place on, Evan Mobley ranked sixty sixth on 423 00:21:48,119 --> 00:21:52,199 Speaker 1: that list. He allowed twenty seven more points per one 424 00:21:52,280 --> 00:21:56,120 Speaker 1: hundred ISOs than bam Adebio did. And his weakness, again, 425 00:21:56,160 --> 00:21:57,560 Speaker 1: we talked about it a little bit earlier when we 426 00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:00,359 Speaker 1: were talking about Bam. Bam was picking up pull up 427 00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:03,840 Speaker 1: shooters outside the three point line and stunting at the ball, 428 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:09,400 Speaker 1: which allowed him to prevent himself from allowing easy pull 429 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:13,920 Speaker 1: up jump shots over the top. Evan was consistently back 430 00:22:13,960 --> 00:22:17,199 Speaker 1: on his heels further back behind the three point line, 431 00:22:17,240 --> 00:22:21,679 Speaker 1: and so he contained the ball well. Excuse me, he 432 00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:24,120 Speaker 1: contained the ball well, but he gave up a lot 433 00:22:24,119 --> 00:22:27,720 Speaker 1: of easy pull up three point shots on his heels 434 00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:32,200 Speaker 1: in those ISO situations. He does have a good amount 435 00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:35,520 Speaker 1: of scheme versatility. It's worth mentioning. He does a lot 436 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:37,680 Speaker 1: of work and two big looks as like a low 437 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:40,000 Speaker 1: man on the back line. He can do a decent 438 00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,160 Speaker 1: job in switches. Again, he's not bad at it. He's 439 00:22:43,240 --> 00:22:45,240 Speaker 1: just not nearly as good as some of the other 440 00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:47,119 Speaker 1: bigs in the league because of him being kind of 441 00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 1: passive and on his heels, and he does protect the 442 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:54,560 Speaker 1: rim reasonably well. Evan Mobley getting the Defensive Player of 443 00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:56,640 Speaker 1: the Year award again, I disagreed with that. I thought 444 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:58,399 Speaker 1: that had more to do with the Cavs just winning 445 00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:00,639 Speaker 1: a shit ton of games and being kind of like 446 00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:05,000 Speaker 1: an award geared around team success. I do still believe 447 00:23:05,040 --> 00:23:08,080 Speaker 1: Evan Mobley is an excellent defender overall, even if I 448 00:23:08,080 --> 00:23:10,840 Speaker 1: don't necessarily believe he was deserving of the accolades that 449 00:23:10,880 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: he got last year on the defensive end. The best 450 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,679 Speaker 1: way for me to explain how I landed with Bam 451 00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:19,320 Speaker 1: at twenty three and Evan Mobley at twenty two is 452 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 1: to say that I believe Evan Mobley is the better 453 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:24,480 Speaker 1: offensive player, and I believe Bam is the better defensive player. 454 00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,000 Speaker 1: But I believe the gap between how good Evan Mobley 455 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:30,080 Speaker 1: is on offense and how good BAM is on offense 456 00:23:30,400 --> 00:23:33,439 Speaker 1: is bigger than the gap between how good BAM is 457 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:35,600 Speaker 1: on defense and Evan Mobley is on defense. 458 00:23:35,640 --> 00:23:38,640 Speaker 2: I think that gap is smaller, and no matter. 459 00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,119 Speaker 1: What, it's a really impressive step forward for Evan Mobley 460 00:23:41,119 --> 00:23:44,480 Speaker 1: in his development. The next step it's going to be 461 00:23:44,480 --> 00:23:48,400 Speaker 1: improving as a switch defender and continuing to improve overall 462 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:51,119 Speaker 1: as an offensive initiator and as a three point shooter. 463 00:23:52,320 --> 00:23:56,040 Speaker 1: All of this lands Evan at twenty two in this 464 00:23:56,160 --> 00:24:04,479 Speaker 1: year's rankings. All Right, number twenty one. Number twenty one 465 00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:08,840 Speaker 1: in this year's player rankings is Jalen Brown. Last season 466 00:24:08,880 --> 00:24:10,960 Speaker 1: interview for Jalen, he played sixty three games. That was 467 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:12,800 Speaker 1: his lowis in twenty twenty one. He was dealing with 468 00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:14,399 Speaker 1: the knee issue throughout the year, which is going to 469 00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:16,760 Speaker 1: be a big part of the way we framed things 470 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 1: for Jalen Brown. In this particular segment, he averaged twenty 471 00:24:21,359 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 1: two points per game. That was his lowis in twenty 472 00:24:23,240 --> 00:24:27,640 Speaker 1: twenty six rebounds four point five assists, which was by 473 00:24:27,720 --> 00:24:31,880 Speaker 1: far a career high from him. The increase in assists 474 00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,760 Speaker 1: mainly stemmed from Jalen becoming a much more willing passer 475 00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,800 Speaker 1: out of his one on one situations, specifically ISO's and 476 00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:42,040 Speaker 1: post ups. For example, in the twenty twenty four season, 477 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:45,560 Speaker 1: when he passed out of iso or passed out of 478 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 1: post ups, he generated just zero point ninety five points 479 00:24:49,760 --> 00:24:54,480 Speaker 1: per possession. In the twenty twenty five season, he passed 480 00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 1: out of ISOs and post ups about a time and 481 00:24:56,600 --> 00:24:58,640 Speaker 1: a half as frequently, so he did it a lot 482 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 1: more and he generated one point three zero points per 483 00:25:03,320 --> 00:25:08,359 Speaker 1: possession when he passed out of those situations. The specific 484 00:25:08,480 --> 00:25:11,200 Speaker 1: improvement that I noticed the most on tape was him 485 00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:15,200 Speaker 1: passing out of the post. He did a lot better 486 00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: job this year when he would get in the post 487 00:25:17,119 --> 00:25:20,000 Speaker 1: of just kind of probing until that second defender would 488 00:25:20,040 --> 00:25:23,240 Speaker 1: come in, making the appropriate kickout passes on time on 489 00:25:23,280 --> 00:25:26,639 Speaker 1: target to shooters. The Celtics did shoot super well on 490 00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:29,119 Speaker 1: his post kickouts this year, but there was also a 491 00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:31,800 Speaker 1: market improvement in the quality of the threes that he 492 00:25:31,880 --> 00:25:34,199 Speaker 1: was generating, and I tend to think those things are associated. 493 00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:36,960 Speaker 1: So obviously a little bit of shooting luck, but a 494 00:25:37,000 --> 00:25:40,920 Speaker 1: lot of shot quality as well. He generated thirty two 495 00:25:41,119 --> 00:25:44,679 Speaker 1: made threes out of post ups for his teammates in 496 00:25:44,800 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 1: just sixty three games this year. Last year, in seventy games, 497 00:25:48,359 --> 00:25:54,960 Speaker 1: he generated just twenty. That increase in overall playmaking ability 498 00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,520 Speaker 1: from Jalen made up for some of what was a 499 00:25:57,560 --> 00:26:00,159 Speaker 1: pretty down year for Jalen Brown as a shooter. But 500 00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,199 Speaker 1: I want to get into some of the specific reasons why, 501 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:04,640 Speaker 1: because it's very fascinating. First of all, let's just get 502 00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:07,280 Speaker 1: through the numbers. He was forty six percent from the field. 503 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:10,160 Speaker 1: That's the lowest since his rookie year. He was fifty 504 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,439 Speaker 1: three percent on twos, lowest since his second year in 505 00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 1: the league, thirty two percent from three, lowest since his 506 00:26:17,000 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 1: rookie year. Fifty two percent in effective field goal percentage. 507 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:22,639 Speaker 1: Excuse me the thirty two percent from three that was 508 00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,639 Speaker 1: the lowest of his entire career. Fifty two percent in 509 00:26:25,680 --> 00:26:29,359 Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage, lowest since his rookie year. Fifty 510 00:26:29,440 --> 00:26:33,600 Speaker 1: six percent in true shooting percentage, lowest since twenty nineteen. 511 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:36,640 Speaker 1: So why did efficiency dip the way that it did 512 00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 1: this year. I think it mostly had to do with 513 00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:43,159 Speaker 1: his knee. There's this thing that I talk about a 514 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 1: lot in this show called energy transfer. It's a concept 515 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:49,680 Speaker 1: for jump shooting in general, shot making in basketball, essentially, 516 00:26:49,760 --> 00:26:52,360 Speaker 1: like if you make a move to get to anywhere 517 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:53,679 Speaker 1: on the floor, or even if you're just in a 518 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:56,560 Speaker 1: catch and shoot situation, at the end of that sequence, 519 00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:01,199 Speaker 1: you are transferring energy from your feet up through your knees, 520 00:27:01,280 --> 00:27:03,920 Speaker 1: up through your hips, up through your shoulder, elbow, four arm, 521 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:06,520 Speaker 1: all the way through the wrist on the snap of 522 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:10,359 Speaker 1: the snap of the jump shot right. And if you 523 00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: get less power, then you usually get out of one 524 00:27:15,200 --> 00:27:19,440 Speaker 1: part of that system. The entire calibration of it gets 525 00:27:19,440 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 1: thrown off. I thought it was evidenced by a couple 526 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:26,480 Speaker 1: of key areas in his shooting efficiency. Take a look 527 00:27:26,520 --> 00:27:31,520 Speaker 1: at this. His jump shooting was down mostly across the board, 528 00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:35,560 Speaker 1: like overall one point zero four points per shot on 529 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,280 Speaker 1: jump shots in twenty twenty four, zero point nine to 530 00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:40,639 Speaker 1: two points per shot in twenty twenty five, so twelve 531 00:27:40,720 --> 00:27:43,360 Speaker 1: points per one hundred jump shots. Worse overall on jump 532 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:47,080 Speaker 1: shots off the dribble zero point eighty five points per 533 00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:50,600 Speaker 1: shot last year. The year before one point zero zero 534 00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:52,959 Speaker 1: points per shot, so fifteen points per one hundred off 535 00:27:52,960 --> 00:27:57,399 Speaker 1: the dribble jump shots, worse contested catch and shoots twenty 536 00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:00,480 Speaker 1: twenty four one point zero four, twenty two twenty five 537 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:03,760 Speaker 1: zero point nine to eight six per one hundred worse, right, 538 00:28:04,680 --> 00:28:07,280 Speaker 1: But in wide open catch and shoot shooting he was 539 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,720 Speaker 1: actually up year over year. He was one point one four, 540 00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:13,760 Speaker 1: twenty twenty four, one point one point eight, and twenty 541 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,720 Speaker 1: twenty five. Now, before we dig into why that's interesting, 542 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:20,880 Speaker 1: let's talk about his rim finishing two. In twenty twenty four, 543 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:23,880 Speaker 1: he got to the rim seven point three times per 544 00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:26,960 Speaker 1: game and shot sixty two percent there. According to Synergy 545 00:28:27,680 --> 00:28:31,120 Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, just six point seven attempts per game 546 00:28:31,400 --> 00:28:34,480 Speaker 1: and just sixty percent at the rim, So a little 547 00:28:34,480 --> 00:28:37,600 Speaker 1: bit worse in both volume and efficiency. So what does 548 00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:41,640 Speaker 1: it tell us that Jalen has improved as a playmaker 549 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 1: and improved as a wide open catch and shoot guy 550 00:28:45,440 --> 00:28:49,320 Speaker 1: year over year, but that he struggled on contested jump 551 00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:52,240 Speaker 1: shots off the dribble jump shots and his rim volume 552 00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:56,480 Speaker 1: in efficiency both dropped year over year. It sounds to 553 00:28:56,560 --> 00:29:00,360 Speaker 1: me like the game continues to slow down for him 554 00:29:00,440 --> 00:29:03,960 Speaker 1: and his skill set is continuing to refine, but that 555 00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:07,400 Speaker 1: he was obviously dealing with the struggle to get lift 556 00:29:07,480 --> 00:29:11,280 Speaker 1: and separation, which is going to make a lot of 557 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,000 Speaker 1: sense for a guy who's dealing with the issues. What 558 00:29:14,080 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 1: are the shots that are going to require extra oomph 559 00:29:17,320 --> 00:29:22,000 Speaker 1: in your lower body in that energy transfer, contested catch 560 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: and shoot, jump shots, shooting off the dribble and out 561 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:29,200 Speaker 1: of footwork and getting to and finishing at the rim, 562 00:29:29,600 --> 00:29:33,600 Speaker 1: That's where he saw the drop off. Now, it's at 563 00:29:33,680 --> 00:29:37,280 Speaker 1: least worth mentioning that he's about to turn twenty nine 564 00:29:37,320 --> 00:29:40,600 Speaker 1: years old and he has a ton of miles on 565 00:29:40,640 --> 00:29:44,560 Speaker 1: his body relative to most NBA players his age. For perspective, 566 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 1: he's played forty five hundred playoff minutes. Lebron James has 567 00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:52,880 Speaker 1: played twelve thousand. So the way to look at it 568 00:29:52,920 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 1: is Jalen Brown already at just age twenty eight, has 569 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 1: played thirty eight percent of the playoff off minutes that 570 00:30:01,440 --> 00:30:04,920 Speaker 1: Lebron James has played, and he's well into his forties now. 571 00:30:06,360 --> 00:30:10,320 Speaker 1: So Jalen's dip in athleticism and the associated struggles, as 572 00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:12,120 Speaker 1: well as the reality of his age and the amount 573 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:14,280 Speaker 1: of mileage on his body that's a big part of 574 00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:16,240 Speaker 1: how he slipped a little bit down the list For 575 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:19,040 Speaker 1: me this year, I'll be curious to see if he's 576 00:30:19,040 --> 00:30:21,440 Speaker 1: able to overcome that knee issue and get back to 577 00:30:21,520 --> 00:30:23,720 Speaker 1: one hundred percent next year, or if it's something that 578 00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 1: lingers and that can become a problem as things continue 579 00:30:27,160 --> 00:30:31,560 Speaker 1: throughout his career. Next year will be our first opportunity 580 00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:34,880 Speaker 1: to see Jalen Brown in a truly featured primary shot 581 00:30:34,920 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 1: creator role. Last year, Jalen's volume was sizable, especially in 582 00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:42,400 Speaker 1: one on one situations. He ran over five hundred pick 583 00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:44,440 Speaker 1: and roles and excuse me, over five hundred post ups 584 00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:48,040 Speaker 1: and ISOs, but his overall shot creation volume is still 585 00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,680 Speaker 1: low relative to his peers at the top of the league. 586 00:30:50,760 --> 00:30:53,880 Speaker 1: He was good, though, one point zero one points per 587 00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 1: possession and pick and roll including including passes on four 588 00:30:57,640 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty three reps. 589 00:30:58,920 --> 00:31:00,520 Speaker 2: That's slightly above average. 590 00:31:01,880 --> 00:31:04,720 Speaker 1: One point per ISO including passes on pretty high volume 591 00:31:04,720 --> 00:31:06,680 Speaker 1: three hundred and two reps that was the thirteenth most 592 00:31:06,680 --> 00:31:09,920 Speaker 1: in the entire NBA efficiency efficiency for that, once again 593 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:14,560 Speaker 1: slightly above average. He was one point two eight points 594 00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,600 Speaker 1: per possession in post ups including passes, which is excellent. 595 00:31:18,160 --> 00:31:21,840 Speaker 1: That ranked number one. Jalen Brown was number one out 596 00:31:21,880 --> 00:31:24,560 Speaker 1: of the eighteen players to run at least two hundred 597 00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:26,960 Speaker 1: post ups last year. Now, again, some of that is 598 00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:29,560 Speaker 1: influenced by the fact that the Celtics shot super well 599 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,640 Speaker 1: on his kickouts. I think they shot like sixty percent 600 00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: on his kickout threes out of post ups. But it's 601 00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,600 Speaker 1: worth mentioning again, when I looked at the film, the 602 00:31:36,680 --> 00:31:40,640 Speaker 1: kickouts were happening more frequently and he was generating better 603 00:31:40,680 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 1: shots than he did in previous years. So some of 604 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:44,920 Speaker 1: it was shooting variants, some of it was also the 605 00:31:45,000 --> 00:31:49,040 Speaker 1: quality of shots he was generating. I expect Jalen Brown 606 00:31:49,080 --> 00:31:52,880 Speaker 1: to continue to thrive at volume in ISO and post 607 00:31:52,960 --> 00:31:56,480 Speaker 1: up situations. They tend to present the simplest reads in 608 00:31:56,520 --> 00:31:59,160 Speaker 1: a four out one in system. So, for instance, if 609 00:31:59,160 --> 00:32:01,440 Speaker 1: you're on a cleared side post up for Jalen Brown, 610 00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:03,400 Speaker 1: very easy reads for him. If you put him on 611 00:32:03,400 --> 00:32:04,600 Speaker 1: the left block and he's got the ball in his 612 00:32:04,680 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 1: right hand, you double from the top. It's an easy 613 00:32:07,240 --> 00:32:09,400 Speaker 1: kick out up to the wing for a three point shot. 614 00:32:09,480 --> 00:32:11,480 Speaker 1: You double off the opposite wing. He can rifle that 615 00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:13,440 Speaker 1: pass to the opposite wing. I've seen him make that 616 00:32:13,480 --> 00:32:16,160 Speaker 1: specific pass. Many times they could get a little tougher 617 00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,440 Speaker 1: when they load up and make the weak side corner available, 618 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 1: but Jalen will is typically pretty good at getting deeper 619 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 1: into the paint making the kickouts. They're easier reads ISO, 620 00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:28,000 Speaker 1: same sort of thing, cleared side ISO exact same reads 621 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,040 Speaker 1: we just covered wing ISOs in four out one in. 622 00:32:31,160 --> 00:32:33,280 Speaker 1: It's pretty simple. If the defender's funneling you towards the 623 00:32:33,280 --> 00:32:36,440 Speaker 1: baseline and you drive. If you drive and they don't 624 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,560 Speaker 1: help off the strong side corner, you're gonna face help 625 00:32:38,600 --> 00:32:41,440 Speaker 1: off of the weak side corner if they rotate down 626 00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:43,120 Speaker 1: the reads to the wing. If they don't the reads 627 00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:45,320 Speaker 1: to the corner, it's a pretty simple set of reads 628 00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,280 Speaker 1: out of an ISO. If you do get to the middle, 629 00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:50,440 Speaker 1: if they pinch down from the nail, you pinch up 630 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:52,360 Speaker 1: to you pitch it out to the wing. If they 631 00:32:52,440 --> 00:32:54,760 Speaker 1: stay glued to the wing and you get past that guy, 632 00:32:54,800 --> 00:32:56,200 Speaker 1: they're probably gonna help off the corner. 633 00:32:56,240 --> 00:32:57,320 Speaker 2: You make the kick to the corner. 634 00:32:57,360 --> 00:33:00,480 Speaker 1: It's like those one on one situations present that I 635 00:33:00,480 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 1: think Jalen Brown can handle really well. 636 00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:04,600 Speaker 2: So increasing his volume. 637 00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:07,360 Speaker 1: Because he's the primary guy, he's just gonna get into 638 00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:09,840 Speaker 1: a better rhythm, and it'll make him even better at 639 00:33:09,840 --> 00:33:11,920 Speaker 1: making those basic reads. I think he's gonna be fine 640 00:33:11,960 --> 00:33:15,040 Speaker 1: in ISO and post up situations. 641 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 2: Now. 642 00:33:16,160 --> 00:33:18,920 Speaker 1: Whether or not Jalen Brown has a truly great season 643 00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:21,520 Speaker 1: leading the Celtics will come down to his work and 644 00:33:21,560 --> 00:33:24,400 Speaker 1: pick and roll. That is not a skill set that 645 00:33:24,440 --> 00:33:28,720 Speaker 1: comes naturally to Jalen Brown. When he has to read 646 00:33:28,800 --> 00:33:33,000 Speaker 1: lots of moving parts, navigating a defender behind him and 647 00:33:33,160 --> 00:33:35,840 Speaker 1: in front of him, looking off defenders some of the 648 00:33:35,880 --> 00:33:39,120 Speaker 1: more complex help and recover situations that you see in 649 00:33:39,160 --> 00:33:43,200 Speaker 1: pick and roll, tougher angles, tougher passing reads, that's where 650 00:33:43,200 --> 00:33:46,200 Speaker 1: it can get tough for him. I do think it's 651 00:33:46,200 --> 00:33:48,200 Speaker 1: a coverage he's gonna see quite a lot this year too, 652 00:33:48,720 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: especially since he'll be surrounded by less talent. Teams will 653 00:33:52,240 --> 00:33:56,080 Speaker 1: switch less against the Celtics, there will be more loaded 654 00:33:56,160 --> 00:33:59,120 Speaker 1: up pick and roll traditional coverages. My guess is that 655 00:33:59,200 --> 00:34:02,440 Speaker 1: Jalen Brown struggle here. I think we'll see a pretty 656 00:34:02,480 --> 00:34:04,960 Speaker 1: high turnover rate from him this year. I think his 657 00:34:05,040 --> 00:34:09,360 Speaker 1: efficiency in pick and roll per per possession including passes 658 00:34:09,560 --> 00:34:12,280 Speaker 1: will flirt with a point and maybe dip below a point. 659 00:34:13,160 --> 00:34:16,000 Speaker 1: But if he can prove me wrong here. He does 660 00:34:16,080 --> 00:34:18,680 Speaker 1: have the potential to have a special offensive season, especially 661 00:34:18,719 --> 00:34:20,520 Speaker 1: if he can get his knee back to one hundred percent. 662 00:34:20,719 --> 00:34:22,520 Speaker 1: But my guess is it's going to be really nice 663 00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:25,280 Speaker 1: in ice in post up situations about that, he'll struggle 664 00:34:25,320 --> 00:34:27,319 Speaker 1: in pick and roll, and then overall it'll be kind 665 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:30,840 Speaker 1: of a mixed bag from him this year. On defense, 666 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,800 Speaker 1: I have a tremendous amount of respect for Jalen Brown. 667 00:34:33,600 --> 00:34:36,680 Speaker 1: I think he's just one of the absolute apex perimeter 668 00:34:36,719 --> 00:34:39,080 Speaker 1: defenders in the league when he really locks in there, 669 00:34:40,160 --> 00:34:43,600 Speaker 1: certainly in the top tier. He's just such an amazing 670 00:34:43,640 --> 00:34:46,279 Speaker 1: weapon to have on a roster. He even brings the 671 00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:50,160 Speaker 1: switch ability that gave Boston the championship ceiling they had 672 00:34:50,200 --> 00:34:51,920 Speaker 1: in the past. We talk so much about Jason Tatum 673 00:34:51,960 --> 00:34:54,160 Speaker 1: and his ability to guard centers and how that made 674 00:34:54,160 --> 00:34:57,000 Speaker 1: things work because they could switch. Well, that only works 675 00:34:57,040 --> 00:34:59,360 Speaker 1: that the guy that's guarding the guard can also switch 676 00:34:59,400 --> 00:35:04,480 Speaker 1: on to center, which Jalen Brown could effectively do. Obviously, 677 00:35:04,480 --> 00:35:06,440 Speaker 1: this year will be different, and that you probably have 678 00:35:06,480 --> 00:35:10,200 Speaker 1: way too much offensive responsibility to be that apex defender 679 00:35:10,480 --> 00:35:12,720 Speaker 1: while also doing everything he needs to do on offense. 680 00:35:14,400 --> 00:35:16,480 Speaker 1: But it's still an important part of his skill set 681 00:35:16,520 --> 00:35:18,839 Speaker 1: that we have to factor in when we're considering a 682 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:22,360 Speaker 1: list like this. Jalen Brown's dropped a bit on this 683 00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:24,239 Speaker 1: list as his body has started to let him down 684 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,560 Speaker 1: a bit in the playoffs, especially, he shot very poorly 685 00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,160 Speaker 1: on long jump shots, very poorly at the rim. He 686 00:35:30,239 --> 00:35:32,320 Speaker 1: was just fifty five percent at the RAM in the postseason. 687 00:35:32,920 --> 00:35:36,440 Speaker 1: But again, as an Apex perimeter defender and a bona 688 00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:39,040 Speaker 1: fide secondary shot creator in this league, I think he's 689 00:35:39,160 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 1: firmly entrenched in the top twenty five. I have him 690 00:35:41,920 --> 00:35:45,239 Speaker 1: at spot number twenty one this year. All Right, guys, 691 00:35:45,280 --> 00:35:46,840 Speaker 1: This's all I have for today is always to sincerely 692 00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:48,799 Speaker 1: appreciate you guys for supporting and supporting the show. Remember 693 00:35:48,800 --> 00:35:51,920 Speaker 1: to get your mailbag questions in. It won't be for 694 00:35:51,960 --> 00:35:54,080 Speaker 1: a couple of fridays that we get to this particular 695 00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:56,719 Speaker 1: episode in our mail bags, just because I'm going out 696 00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:58,879 Speaker 1: of town to Alaska. But I do plan on going 697 00:35:58,880 --> 00:36:01,160 Speaker 1: through all the videos and finding all of the arguments 698 00:36:01,200 --> 00:36:03,080 Speaker 1: for our mailbags. So if you disagree with any of 699 00:36:03,120 --> 00:36:05,640 Speaker 1: the rankings in any way, shape or form, give a 700 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,920 Speaker 1: quick elevator pitch and the YouTube comments with as a 701 00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,200 Speaker 1: mailbag question, and we'll get to them in our mail 702 00:36:11,239 --> 00:36:13,000 Speaker 1: bags throughout the remainder of the list. Again, as always, 703 00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:14,879 Speaker 1: I appreciate you guys for supporting me and supporting the show. 704 00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:16,399 Speaker 2: Now I'll see you guys next time.