WEBVTT - Dolphins Bills Wildcard Playoff Round Preview

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<v Speaker 1>You were listening to the Miami Dolphins podcast network. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Drive Time with Travis wheat Field. Back to throw

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<v Speaker 1>to a looking gla wine open touchtop clinic cow, unbelievable,

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<v Speaker 1>just blue fire for a second time. Don't know where

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<v Speaker 1>he was going right away? A hit of that man.

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<v Speaker 1>I want to help you soon up on his way.

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<v Speaker 1>Wattle waddle to a shotgun, back to throw all looking

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<v Speaker 1>stups up fires, totopa, it's waddle. It's six touchdown pa day.

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<v Speaker 1>Drive Time with Travis Winfield begins. Now let me check

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<v Speaker 1>your pulse if none of what is up? Dolphins and

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<v Speaker 1>welcome to the Drift Time Podcast, part of the Miami

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<v Speaker 1>Dolphins podcast networks covering your team, your Miami Dolphins. How's

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<v Speaker 1>it going everybody? I am your host at Travis Wingfield

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<v Speaker 1>and on today's show, it's time to preview week number nineteen.

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<v Speaker 1>Why off. We'll go position by position and look at

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<v Speaker 1>each matchup through the lens of the tape and the stats,

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<v Speaker 1>plus the three keys and twenty three NFL playoff picks.

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<v Speaker 1>All of that and more from the Baptist Health Studios

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<v Speaker 1>inside the Baptist Health Training Complex. This is the Drive

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<v Speaker 1>Time Podcast. Three weeks three division rivals on the other

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<v Speaker 1>sideline another week where I don't think an introduction into

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<v Speaker 1>our opponent is necessary. I recall doing this for the

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<v Speaker 1>season finale, and I like doing it again, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>the first time we play each team each year. But honestly,

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<v Speaker 1>the script hasn't really changed that much from Buffalo in

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<v Speaker 1>that game. They were aggressive this offseason and pursuing and

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<v Speaker 1>rounding out a championship level roster, but the biggest piece

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<v Speaker 1>of that, Von Miller is out for the year. But still,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Da Kuan Jones has been awesome for them,

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<v Speaker 1>James Cook and added element to their offense. But really,

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<v Speaker 1>for the most part, it's just been inherent growth from

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<v Speaker 1>their previous off seasons of good drafting and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>acquiring veteran players that have been big boons for them

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<v Speaker 1>offensively and defensively. They entered the season as Super Bowl favorites,

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<v Speaker 1>and I would imagine they're the postseason favorites as well

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<v Speaker 1>heading into the playoffs. Here, I'm not sure if they

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<v Speaker 1>actually are, but they remain my Super Bowl pick. They

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<v Speaker 1>just have way too many ways to win even if

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<v Speaker 1>they don't play well in you know, significant areas of

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<v Speaker 1>the game. They can strike in a second and flip

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<v Speaker 1>the game, just like we saw on Sunday against the Patriots.

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<v Speaker 1>But they are also a good lesson in the journey

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<v Speaker 1>of an NFL season. I've been trying to get this

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<v Speaker 1>point across from my entire life. It feels like now,

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<v Speaker 1>but they started off as favorites, enter the third season

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<v Speaker 1>as favorites. But recall those dips in the middle of

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<v Speaker 1>the season, the losses to the Vikings and Jets, the

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<v Speaker 1>Lions damn near knocking them off on Thanksgiving. Every team

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<v Speaker 1>every year faces adversity, but the truth is nobody remembers it.

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<v Speaker 1>When you take care of business late. We know they'll

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<v Speaker 1>be motivated it. We know that place will be a madhouse.

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<v Speaker 1>And just real quick on that point. You know the

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<v Speaker 1>The rock Pile Report podcast. Couple of guys that I

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<v Speaker 1>used to do their show all the time before I

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<v Speaker 1>worked for the team, and I remember last year one

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<v Speaker 1>of the co host was upset about the loss to

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<v Speaker 1>Jacksonville say like they might not make the playoffs. Now

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<v Speaker 1>it's like, dude, calm down, You're gonna win the division.

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<v Speaker 1>You'll be just fine. You guys are gonna win your division.

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<v Speaker 1>They're getting to the playoffs, you'll be a force to

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<v Speaker 1>be reckoned with. And sure enough they had the most

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<v Speaker 1>epic playoff game really ever And what did it do

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<v Speaker 1>besides everyone kind of crowned Josh Allen as a new

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<v Speaker 1>great quarterback in the NFL and it put them in

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<v Speaker 1>this position this year where again, why are to wire

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<v Speaker 1>favorites to win the whole damn thing? So perspective understanding,

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<v Speaker 1>the standard that you hold your own team too is

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<v Speaker 1>usually higher than what you hold the rest of the

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<v Speaker 1>league too, because everybody, every team, every player has dips

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<v Speaker 1>and valleys and adversity you have to overcome. These Buffalo Bills,

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<v Speaker 1>who again are a stacked team, have experienced exactly that

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<v Speaker 1>as recently as six weeks ago, and for US third

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<v Speaker 1>playoff games since twent two thousand and one, the last

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<v Speaker 1>two did not go well and uh, you know, a

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<v Speaker 1>home loss after the two thousand eight division title and

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<v Speaker 1>a road loss after winning ten games and earned the

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<v Speaker 1>wild card spot back in. Now it sounds like it's

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<v Speaker 1>gonna be Skyler Thompson will find out later this week

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<v Speaker 1>who for sure is going to be under center. In

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<v Speaker 1>two thousand eight, we had our quarterback and m VP

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<v Speaker 1>runner up in Chad Pennington, but he played his worst

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<v Speaker 1>game of the season against a loaded Ravens defense. Four

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<v Speaker 1>turnovers in that one. But also remember two thousand sixteen,

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<v Speaker 1>no Ryan Tannehill and playing with Matt Moore in a

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<v Speaker 1>game where you're one snap away from the third stream quarterback.

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<v Speaker 1>And my question to Dolphins Nation right now, but does

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<v Speaker 1>anybody remember the quarterback who was going to replace him

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<v Speaker 1>if he couldn't get back in the game and we

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<v Speaker 1>saw him warming up on the sidelines. If you guessed

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<v Speaker 1>t J. Yates, you would be correct. So for Dolphins fans,

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<v Speaker 1>playoff appearances seemed to come with injury riddled quarterback rooms.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's about the most frustrating and just torturous thank

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<v Speaker 1>you can imagine as a football fan, you only get

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<v Speaker 1>so many of these games every year. You get seven

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<v Speaker 1>team for sure, and for Dolphins fans you get bonus

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<v Speaker 1>games really every two presidential campaigns, and the last two

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<v Speaker 1>times you didn't have your starting quarterbacks. So it's I

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<v Speaker 1>can understand the frustration. Um, it is what it is,

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<v Speaker 1>but it definitely sucks. But going back even further in

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<v Speaker 1>the playoff animals with the Miami Dolphins, who recalls the

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<v Speaker 1>nineteen nineties. My first ever podcast appearance was with Sam

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<v Speaker 1>Markup and the guys at perfect Ville, and he would

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<v Speaker 1>always tell me the Bills ruined the nineties for him,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's the case for doll fans of a certain age, right,

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<v Speaker 1>all of all the Dolphins and that kind of you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess coming up on I'm a man, I'm forty. Admittedly,

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<v Speaker 1>I don't remember those early nineties seasons very well because

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<v Speaker 1>I am not yet a man. I am not yet

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<v Speaker 1>forty and thirty five. My first real memory was the

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<v Speaker 1>San Diego loss in nine four I was held when

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<v Speaker 1>I've been there six years old. My most vivid one

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<v Speaker 1>was the ninety nine playoffs and the win in Seattle

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<v Speaker 1>followed by the game we don't speak of that came

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<v Speaker 1>after that. But against the Bills. Man, this is a

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<v Speaker 1>I've always had the reason that Dan Marino didn't get

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<v Speaker 1>a Super Bowl ring. It's because of these freaking Bills.

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<v Speaker 1>Divisional round thirty four loss in Buffalo, a f C

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<v Speaker 1>championship here in Miami to ten loss to the Bills

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<v Speaker 1>that would have been such a killer if I remembered it.

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<v Speaker 1>I was only, you know, four years old. Thirty seven,

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<v Speaker 1>twenty two lost in Buffalo and the wild card round,

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<v Speaker 1>and the seventeen win over Buffalo and the wild card

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<v Speaker 1>round before getting stomped by Denver thirty eight three in

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<v Speaker 1>the divisional round. So again, Kelly Marino was the matchup,

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<v Speaker 1>and it still pains me we did not get at

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<v Speaker 1>least one of those wins because the biggest obstacle between

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<v Speaker 1>Marino and his ring was these freaking Buffalo Bills, and

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<v Speaker 1>those were the only ones man. The Bills, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>weren't a regular playoff team during the Dolphins peak in

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<v Speaker 1>the seventies and eighties. So it's three to one in

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<v Speaker 1>favor of Buffalo in the all time playoff series O

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<v Speaker 1>and two in games up in that little town in

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<v Speaker 1>western New York. Enough history, lesson, Let's go ahead and

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<v Speaker 1>get into it. Dolphins offense first, Bill's defense and the

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<v Speaker 1>quarterback in Miami offense versus the defense and safety position

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<v Speaker 1>of the Buffalo Bills. And this we've been over this.

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<v Speaker 1>This is one of the most unique defenses in the

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<v Speaker 1>NFL in terms of their usage, and it's really built

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<v Speaker 1>around one player that allows them to do this, and

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<v Speaker 1>that's te Ron Johnson. It's one of the best players

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<v Speaker 1>in the on the field and calling him a nickel

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<v Speaker 1>or slot cornerback. Would you know it would be entirely

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<v Speaker 1>disingenuous to do that, And we'll cover his game more

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<v Speaker 1>in the cornerback section, but his name is required here

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<v Speaker 1>because of this. They run nickel of the time, less

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<v Speaker 1>than two percent. They run three four or four three

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<v Speaker 1>or dime packages. It's the same defense every time, and

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<v Speaker 1>so that allows you to dictate matchups based upon their personnel.

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<v Speaker 1>And it's why I was confident, if you know, if

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<v Speaker 1>we have all of our parts back, because I think

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<v Speaker 1>the running game, you go twenty one personnel against the

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<v Speaker 1>nickel defense that refuses to get at nickel defense. You

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<v Speaker 1>can still run the ball on that look even without

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<v Speaker 1>you know, Raheem most or even without even without two

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<v Speaker 1>of probably um, but you're gonna have to do it

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<v Speaker 1>well every single play to have a chance in this game.

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<v Speaker 1>They run high safeties like the cover zero three percent

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<v Speaker 1>one high safety too high fifty pc of the time.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a good mix of man and zone. It is

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<v Speaker 1>primarily a zone based defense, but they have up to

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<v Speaker 1>their man coverage after the loss of von miller Um.

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<v Speaker 1>They've also been kind of on and off with rookie

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<v Speaker 1>cornerback Kayer Elam, and I think you know, ideally when

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<v Speaker 1>they have White and him go full speed together, they

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<v Speaker 1>become a better man coverage team. But I don't know

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<v Speaker 1>if you can expect that in a game like this,

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<v Speaker 1>but as always, you do want to be prepared for

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<v Speaker 1>both because you know, White, Dane Jackson, Toron Johnson, Kayer Elam,

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<v Speaker 1>They've all got man in zone skills. It's part of

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<v Speaker 1>that very versatile defense they can run as far as

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<v Speaker 1>what they do postnap, pre snap no versatility nickel defense

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<v Speaker 1>every time, but post snap there's a lot of versatility there.

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<v Speaker 1>They do blitz nine team point four percent of the time,

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<v Speaker 1>which is the tenth lowest rate in the league, but

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<v Speaker 1>their pressure rate is twenty two point four percent, which

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<v Speaker 1>is thirteenth best in the league. And again those numbers

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<v Speaker 1>have fluctuated with the loss of von Miller back in November,

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<v Speaker 1>but they're blitzing more and haven't generated as much pressure

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<v Speaker 1>from their fore man fronts without Vaughn, but it's still

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<v Speaker 1>a key piece of their defense. With Rousseau Epanessa at

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<v Speaker 1>all over all being so dang good, they need to

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<v Speaker 1>pressure with four to really maximize their system for man pressure,

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<v Speaker 1>complex zones, and guys that have played together for a

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<v Speaker 1>long time with really smooth pattern matching and communicating. They

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<v Speaker 1>blitzed us just eight times combined in the two games,

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<v Speaker 1>and that's obviously with a different quarterback back there. But

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<v Speaker 1>if that's the plan again, Skylert Thompson is going to

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<v Speaker 1>have to be super sharp finding openings and attacking the

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<v Speaker 1>opportunities against man coverage when they are in fact there.

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<v Speaker 1>We saw them dial up man a couple of times

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<v Speaker 1>and Tyreek got him on the deep ball and Waddle

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<v Speaker 1>ran across their zone one time, so you know, you

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<v Speaker 1>gotta find your spots. They are uber athletic at the

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<v Speaker 1>linebacker position. They know what they have to contend with

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<v Speaker 1>and Waddle and Hill that paired with their almost never

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<v Speaker 1>changes defense, means again Miami has to successfully run the

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<v Speaker 1>football to win this game. We saw him do it

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<v Speaker 1>last time. Even more important now as you go into

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<v Speaker 1>this game with a rookie quarterback in the lineup, let's

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<v Speaker 1>go ahead and cover this quarterback and safety matchup. It's

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<v Speaker 1>different without Micah Hide all the He did return to

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<v Speaker 1>practice with his twenty one day window opening up. No

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<v Speaker 1>word on if he plays this week. Just guessing here,

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<v Speaker 1>I would imagine Buffalo kind of holds off until next

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<v Speaker 1>week with him, But Jordan Poyer is still They're doing

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<v Speaker 1>great things weekly. He makes plays man Ex Skyler has

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<v Speaker 1>to be sharp, has to identify where number twenty one

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<v Speaker 1>is lined up, not lock onto his target and hold

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<v Speaker 1>him on each each and every single play. It's got

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<v Speaker 1>four more picks this year, another handful of pass breakups.

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<v Speaker 1>He gets four or five picks every single season. Now

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<v Speaker 1>he's playing in that deep center field more often this

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<v Speaker 1>year without Hyde, and I think that limits the true

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<v Speaker 1>strength of their defense with them both in there, and

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<v Speaker 1>they're virtually interchangeable because in Hyde's place was to mar Hamlin,

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<v Speaker 1>who was discharged from the hospital on Wednesday, some more

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<v Speaker 1>great news with him, but replacing him last Sunday. I

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<v Speaker 1>mean they're onto their fourth safety there. It's Dean Marlow.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh you know, Michael Hyde and Hamlin would come in

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<v Speaker 1>on the pass rush quite often, but Hart Marlow has

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<v Speaker 1>just one pass brush rep to point your seventeen this year.

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<v Speaker 1>That's just sixty nine snaps. Nice for Marlow, but um yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>it kind of takes away from their interchangeability there a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit. Where Miami really needs to get after this

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<v Speaker 1>team is wide receiver and tight end versus cornerback. The

0:11:07.240 --> 0:11:10.160
<v Speaker 1>Bills are good in the secondary, but you know, Waddle

0:11:10.160 --> 0:11:14.120
<v Speaker 1>and Tyreek or both top five receivers, and they're gonna

0:11:14.120 --> 0:11:15.600
<v Speaker 1>have to go out and play like it and help

0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:18.000
<v Speaker 1>their quarterback out. We mentioned to Ron Johnson in the open,

0:11:18.520 --> 0:11:19.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, there's only so much you can do to

0:11:19.920 --> 0:11:21.760
<v Speaker 1>get open, and if the ball's not there, it's not there.

0:11:21.760 --> 0:11:24.080
<v Speaker 1>And we saw a Waddle open all game longest the Jets.

0:11:24.280 --> 0:11:26.000
<v Speaker 1>But one of the true Jenga pieces in the NFL

0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.640
<v Speaker 1>is to Ron Johnson. He's just so important. I thought

0:11:28.640 --> 0:11:30.680
<v Speaker 1>we saw him match up with Tyreek and Jalen a lot,

0:11:30.720 --> 0:11:33.480
<v Speaker 1>but back in you know, week three, we only saw

0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:35.760
<v Speaker 1>two targets against the two of them, and two more

0:11:35.800 --> 0:11:37.640
<v Speaker 1>targets against the two of them in week fifteen, so

0:11:38.320 --> 0:11:40.480
<v Speaker 1>both Tyreek and Jalan aligning the slot less than twent

0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:42.440
<v Speaker 1>the time. So that's kind of your answer right there,

0:11:42.480 --> 0:11:45.760
<v Speaker 1>that you can dictate the matchup and not put you know,

0:11:46.280 --> 0:11:48.400
<v Speaker 1>your best players on their best corner. But then again,

0:11:48.440 --> 0:11:50.679
<v Speaker 1>Trey White's back too, so it's all kind of you know,

0:11:50.920 --> 0:11:53.960
<v Speaker 1>compounding variables there. But Johnson really helps them kind of

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:56.640
<v Speaker 1>key their disguises because he switches his roles to the line.

0:11:56.840 --> 0:11:59.040
<v Speaker 1>He'll rush, he'll insert against the run, he'll blow up

0:11:59.040 --> 0:12:01.200
<v Speaker 1>the screen. He's a great player in a second day

0:12:01.240 --> 0:12:03.000
<v Speaker 1>that's been banged up all year. He's leading them in

0:12:03.040 --> 0:12:05.880
<v Speaker 1>coverage snaps by a mile. He's got six hundred fifteen

0:12:06.040 --> 0:12:08.160
<v Speaker 1>and has allowed just six hundred twenty three yards with

0:12:08.200 --> 0:12:12.000
<v Speaker 1>thirty five run stops. Again, he's a very, very good player.

0:12:12.280 --> 0:12:15.720
<v Speaker 1>Dane Jackson has been the third starter when he's been healthy.

0:12:16.240 --> 0:12:18.560
<v Speaker 1>Five hundred and fifty three yards on him on five

0:12:18.640 --> 0:12:22.120
<v Speaker 1>hundred and fifty two coverage snaps. That's like ideal two

0:12:22.200 --> 0:12:24.000
<v Speaker 1>picks nine p b U s than of course, Trey

0:12:24.000 --> 0:12:26.160
<v Speaker 1>White was one of the most competitive players you'll find.

0:12:26.520 --> 0:12:28.920
<v Speaker 1>He wants to play physical, he wants to challenge you,

0:12:28.920 --> 0:12:31.240
<v Speaker 1>and he's so dang adept at falling off his man

0:12:31.559 --> 0:12:33.760
<v Speaker 1>and winding up in a place he's not supposed to be,

0:12:33.800 --> 0:12:34.920
<v Speaker 1>so you have to keep an eye out for him.

0:12:35.160 --> 0:12:37.920
<v Speaker 1>Twenty seven. I'm really curious see how they aligned pre snap,

0:12:37.960 --> 0:12:40.679
<v Speaker 1>because this Dolphins offense just gives you so many different

0:12:40.679 --> 0:12:43.559
<v Speaker 1>issues that most teams can't. But on the season, they

0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:45.920
<v Speaker 1>play press just thirty nine percent of the time and

0:12:45.960 --> 0:12:48.120
<v Speaker 1>they're off sixty one percent at the time. The biggest

0:12:48.120 --> 0:12:49.800
<v Speaker 1>thing to me is how do they defend Tyreek Hill.

0:12:49.840 --> 0:12:51.840
<v Speaker 1>They gave him all the attention back in Week three

0:12:52.120 --> 0:12:53.959
<v Speaker 1>and we saw a waddle rice to the occasion and

0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:55.880
<v Speaker 1>that one. Then we saw both guys make a bunch

0:12:55.880 --> 0:12:57.840
<v Speaker 1>of players back in the week fifteen game. But I

0:12:57.840 --> 0:12:59.520
<v Speaker 1>think that had more to do with the Dolphins running

0:12:59.520 --> 0:13:01.920
<v Speaker 1>game getting owing and then taking advantage of their chances

0:13:01.920 --> 0:13:03.680
<v Speaker 1>when they got them in the passing game. And like

0:13:03.800 --> 0:13:06.559
<v Speaker 1>we say, every single week starts up front right offensive line,

0:13:06.640 --> 0:13:10.000
<v Speaker 1>verse defensive line. Greg Russo has taken a giant step

0:13:10.040 --> 0:13:13.080
<v Speaker 1>forward and with Miller, man like they were tough to stop,

0:13:13.080 --> 0:13:15.800
<v Speaker 1>but they still are. But it's obviously impossible to replace

0:13:15.800 --> 0:13:17.920
<v Speaker 1>a talent like von Miller. But don't get it twisted.

0:13:17.960 --> 0:13:19.960
<v Speaker 1>You still need your best, you know, effort against these guys,

0:13:20.000 --> 0:13:22.480
<v Speaker 1>because listen to these numbers for pressures and run stops.

0:13:22.559 --> 0:13:27.520
<v Speaker 1>Russo forte, Epanessa and twelve lost in twenty and thirteen,

0:13:27.559 --> 0:13:29.800
<v Speaker 1>bash them eighteen and eight. So really it's Rousseau who

0:13:29.880 --> 0:13:32.360
<v Speaker 1>gets the most production. But you know, these are big,

0:13:32.400 --> 0:13:35.840
<v Speaker 1>heavy handed long powerful players that can play through you.

0:13:36.360 --> 0:13:38.480
<v Speaker 1>And Miami whooped their butt in the running game last

0:13:38.480 --> 0:13:39.960
<v Speaker 1>time around, they're gonna have to do it again in

0:13:39.960 --> 0:13:42.840
<v Speaker 1>this game to have a you know, fighter's chance. Um,

0:13:42.880 --> 0:13:44.400
<v Speaker 1>But that's how they play their style. They want to

0:13:44.440 --> 0:13:46.040
<v Speaker 1>play through you on the way to the quarterback and

0:13:46.280 --> 0:13:48.680
<v Speaker 1>helps them play the run as well. But you know,

0:13:48.720 --> 0:13:51.560
<v Speaker 1>if they're gonna play light fronts with that nickel package,

0:13:51.600 --> 0:13:54.720
<v Speaker 1>like shoot man, do you do? You just stay in

0:13:54.760 --> 0:13:56.920
<v Speaker 1>twenty two personnel the entire damn game and run the

0:13:56.920 --> 0:14:00.600
<v Speaker 1>football in every single snap like I don't know? I there? Well,

0:14:00.600 --> 0:14:02.440
<v Speaker 1>so I'm curious to what the plan looks like because

0:14:02.720 --> 0:14:04.600
<v Speaker 1>you're not gonna match points with this team, as you

0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:07.600
<v Speaker 1>heard Mike mcdown talk about in the Wednesday press conference.

0:14:07.800 --> 0:14:10.120
<v Speaker 1>On the interior very good as well, even though Miami

0:14:10.240 --> 0:14:12.440
<v Speaker 1>kicked the crap out of at all over last time around.

0:14:12.880 --> 0:14:14.960
<v Speaker 1>He does lead that group with thirty one pressures and

0:14:15.040 --> 0:14:17.880
<v Speaker 1>nineteen run stops. Day Kwan Jones is right behind him

0:14:17.880 --> 0:14:20.840
<v Speaker 1>with thirty pressures but more run stops with twenty. He's

0:14:20.840 --> 0:14:23.280
<v Speaker 1>been very, very good for them. We know about Jordan Phillips.

0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:25.360
<v Speaker 1>He didn't practice on Wednesday, but nine team pressures and

0:14:25.400 --> 0:14:28.840
<v Speaker 1>thirteen run stops. Then Tim settle eleven and twelve for him,

0:14:29.440 --> 0:14:31.560
<v Speaker 1>those four names and the four off the edge, even

0:14:31.560 --> 0:14:34.280
<v Speaker 1>without Miller, it's as good as it gets. Man inside,

0:14:34.360 --> 0:14:36.400
<v Speaker 1>you know, our power and ability to stay on blocks

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:40.280
<v Speaker 1>will be tested Oliver's and just an absolute specimen. And

0:14:40.400 --> 0:14:42.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, typically he's one on one and he's a

0:14:42.760 --> 0:14:45.560
<v Speaker 1>tough matchup. But last time Connor Williams and Rob Hunt

0:14:45.640 --> 0:14:48.359
<v Speaker 1>took him to task. His length and get off and countermoves.

0:14:48.360 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 1>He challenges in every single way. And I thought, you know,

0:14:51.240 --> 0:14:52.880
<v Speaker 1>Oliver didn't play in the Week three game, and I

0:14:52.880 --> 0:14:55.120
<v Speaker 1>wrote in the podcast back then, this is his biggest

0:14:55.120 --> 0:14:57.120
<v Speaker 1>test of the year. Well he matched that with Flying

0:14:57.120 --> 0:14:59.880
<v Speaker 1>Colors Man, so I gotta do that again. We know Phillips,

0:15:00.080 --> 0:15:02.200
<v Speaker 1>he plays his hair on fire, and it's just always

0:15:02.240 --> 0:15:04.240
<v Speaker 1>fired to play against us, the team that drafted him.

0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:06.320
<v Speaker 1>He does like to anticipate the snap count, so hard

0:15:06.440 --> 0:15:09.040
<v Speaker 1>counts always an option against him, but that's sometimes really

0:15:09.080 --> 0:15:11.560
<v Speaker 1>tough in that environment. He will come clean seemingly a

0:15:11.600 --> 0:15:13.160
<v Speaker 1>couple of times a game, so you have to mitigate

0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:16.240
<v Speaker 1>his interior pressure and then settles a great space eater.

0:15:16.320 --> 0:15:18.320
<v Speaker 1>De Kwon Jones one of the most underrated players in

0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:21.000
<v Speaker 1>the league. To me, he's there. Zack Steeler, consistent, tough

0:15:21.040 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 1>to move, makes a splash player to every single game,

0:15:23.560 --> 0:15:26.000
<v Speaker 1>and then off the edge. They certainly have that type right,

0:15:26.040 --> 0:15:28.560
<v Speaker 1>heavy handed long pass rushers who can collapse the pocket.

0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:31.040
<v Speaker 1>Our quarterback Skyler are gonna have to be able to

0:15:31.040 --> 0:15:33.840
<v Speaker 1>move within the pocket because they tend to not really

0:15:34.400 --> 0:15:37.240
<v Speaker 1>offer up escape hatches with how infrequently blitz and how

0:15:37.280 --> 0:15:39.680
<v Speaker 1>athletic the linebackers are, and they're good safeties as well,

0:15:40.000 --> 0:15:44.200
<v Speaker 1>so suddenly being mobile in the pocket but still winning

0:15:44.200 --> 0:15:46.080
<v Speaker 1>from the pocket are going to be big keys for

0:15:46.120 --> 0:15:49.680
<v Speaker 1>Sky Thompson in this game. Running backs and linebackers. Matt

0:15:49.760 --> 0:15:52.360
<v Speaker 1>Milano legit defensive Player of the Year candidate. The way

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.560
<v Speaker 1>he's played, he just kind of keys everything, and uh

0:15:55.800 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 1>is your disguise buster as it were. He's a critical

0:15:57.920 --> 0:16:00.320
<v Speaker 1>piece of that defense, especially against an offense that wants

0:16:00.360 --> 0:16:04.080
<v Speaker 1>to create hesitation through you know, multiple conflict defenders. Tremaine

0:16:04.160 --> 0:16:07.160
<v Speaker 1>Edmonds lengthy, fast, explosive like the linebackers that gave us

0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:09.880
<v Speaker 1>issues earlier in the season. Second most rushing yards of

0:16:09.880 --> 0:16:11.960
<v Speaker 1>bills allowed this year, though, was that Week fifteen game.

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:14.360
<v Speaker 1>Miami needs more of that. The backs. I think we

0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 1>need a big game both in the passing game and

0:16:16.080 --> 0:16:18.800
<v Speaker 1>as ball carriers. We mentioned the minimal blitz, is you

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:20.600
<v Speaker 1>know see that and get out into the pattern or

0:16:20.640 --> 0:16:23.040
<v Speaker 1>if they come help us, you know, Skyler, get that

0:16:23.080 --> 0:16:26.000
<v Speaker 1>extra half second to find holes left in the coverage

0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:28.160
<v Speaker 1>from the blitz. Big, big game, and I can't wait

0:16:28.200 --> 0:16:31.400
<v Speaker 1>to see either side's playing here offensively and defensively. And

0:16:31.440 --> 0:16:33.920
<v Speaker 1>speaking of that, let's go ahead and take our first

0:16:33.960 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 1>break and come back on the other side and do

0:16:36.240 --> 0:16:40.520
<v Speaker 1>Dolphins defense versus Bill's offense. That's next Drivetime Podcast, your

0:16:40.560 --> 0:16:52.000
<v Speaker 1>host Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation. Back

0:16:52.000 --> 0:16:56.600
<v Speaker 1>here on a Thursday edition of the Drivetime Podcast. Matt

0:16:56.640 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 1>sucks without Monday Night and Thursday Night football, And we're

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 1>getting close to the end here man to the worst

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 1>part of the calendar. Go Mariners, though, coming up, go

0:17:04.880 --> 0:17:06.320
<v Speaker 1>Heat on the stretch run. That was a fun game

0:17:06.359 --> 0:17:11.800
<v Speaker 1>against Okay se either the not uh Dolphins defense Bills offense.

0:17:12.440 --> 0:17:14.240
<v Speaker 1>Let's go ahead and start with their personnel, which has

0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:16.720
<v Speaker 1>changed a lot from the last couple of years. UH

0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:19.200
<v Speaker 1>they run eleven personnel. The bread and butter of the

0:17:19.280 --> 0:17:23.240
<v Speaker 1>NFL one back, one tight end, three receivers sixty percent

0:17:23.320 --> 0:17:26.520
<v Speaker 1>of the time, nice four percent out of twelve personnel,

0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:29.359
<v Speaker 1>fourteen percent out of twenty one personnel. And then they

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 1>run two backs, two tights. That's twenty two personnel three

0:17:32.320 --> 0:17:34.600
<v Speaker 1>percent of the time, and they have some work out

0:17:34.600 --> 0:17:37.640
<v Speaker 1>of ten one Do you guys know what that means?

0:17:38.000 --> 0:17:40.919
<v Speaker 1>Ten personnel, one back, no tight ends, four receivers. It's

0:17:40.960 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 1>always running back, tight end and then the leftover number

0:17:44.600 --> 0:17:48.000
<v Speaker 1>is your eligible receivers. Just interesting adaptation going from Brian

0:17:48.080 --> 0:17:50.400
<v Speaker 1>Dabal to Ken Dorsey and he's up for some potential

0:17:50.400 --> 0:17:53.399
<v Speaker 1>interviews for head coaching jobs as well this year. Um,

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:55.680
<v Speaker 1>but just the complete absence of ten personnel this year,

0:17:55.680 --> 0:17:59.200
<v Speaker 1>that's a grouping that almost nobody eclipses one percent in annually,

0:17:59.560 --> 0:18:01.199
<v Speaker 1>but the last couple of years it was always that

0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:04.240
<v Speaker 1>way for all but two teams Cliff Kingsbury's Cardinals and

0:18:04.480 --> 0:18:07.720
<v Speaker 1>Barfe Larber. But they're incorporating a fullback and going into

0:18:07.760 --> 0:18:11.240
<v Speaker 1>the complete opposite direction of that with Reggie Gilliam Dawson

0:18:11.320 --> 0:18:13.240
<v Speaker 1>Knox also a big part of that. To counter how

0:18:13.240 --> 0:18:15.480
<v Speaker 1>teams have played the Bills is a big part of that,

0:18:15.520 --> 0:18:17.679
<v Speaker 1>as well, and it helps them get digs into one

0:18:17.720 --> 0:18:20.560
<v Speaker 1>on one situations and create more space for him, or

0:18:20.600 --> 0:18:23.199
<v Speaker 1>you double him and then you get Mitch Matches on

0:18:23.320 --> 0:18:25.679
<v Speaker 1>explosive backs and Dawson Knox, So it's kind of pick

0:18:25.720 --> 0:18:28.920
<v Speaker 1>your poison. Offense are loaded. Josh Allen has the longest

0:18:28.960 --> 0:18:31.200
<v Speaker 1>time to throw in the NFL among quarterbacks that played

0:18:31.200 --> 0:18:34.120
<v Speaker 1>the majority of the year, two point eight eight seconds

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:38.480
<v Speaker 1>and gosh, fifty seven scrambles this year. Uh, and he's

0:18:38.520 --> 0:18:40.919
<v Speaker 1>been their best runner. He's the entire offense goes to

0:18:40.920 --> 0:18:44.000
<v Speaker 1>this guy, and it's I mean, can you make him

0:18:44.040 --> 0:18:47.359
<v Speaker 1>have a bad game? It's tough to do. Even when

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:48.879
<v Speaker 1>he has bad games, he still finds a way to

0:18:48.880 --> 0:18:52.080
<v Speaker 1>put points on the board because he's so explosive. His

0:18:52.160 --> 0:18:57.359
<v Speaker 1>blitz splits. That's a fun phrasing to say. Blitz splits

0:18:57.400 --> 0:18:59.960
<v Speaker 1>are fascinating to me. This year. When he's blitz which

0:19:00.080 --> 0:19:02.120
<v Speaker 1>is twenty eight and a half percent of his dropbacks

0:19:02.160 --> 0:19:05.080
<v Speaker 1>this year, he's only fifty six percent for six point

0:19:05.119 --> 0:19:08.040
<v Speaker 1>one yards, nine touchdowns and four picks. When he's not blitzed,

0:19:08.040 --> 0:19:11.600
<v Speaker 1>which is seventy one point five percent of his dbs

0:19:11.640 --> 0:19:15.040
<v Speaker 1>sixties six point three percent completion so a ten percent

0:19:15.119 --> 0:19:19.439
<v Speaker 1>increase um. I put the yardage total, not the y

0:19:19.480 --> 0:19:23.919
<v Speaker 1>PA in here, three thousand, two hundred and seventy seven yards. Pretty,

0:19:24.359 --> 0:19:25.639
<v Speaker 1>let's let's go ahead and pose it and get that

0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:28.400
<v Speaker 1>number four you real quick, and we're back. It's eight

0:19:28.440 --> 0:19:30.960
<v Speaker 1>point two yards per attempts, so a two point one

0:19:31.119 --> 0:19:35.000
<v Speaker 1>average yards per attempt increase when he's not blitzed. Twenty

0:19:35.040 --> 0:19:37.720
<v Speaker 1>six touchdowns and ten picks, so it's like he turns

0:19:37.720 --> 0:19:39.160
<v Speaker 1>it over a lot when you don't blitz him, because

0:19:39.160 --> 0:19:41.359
<v Speaker 1>a lot of those picks come from him kind of

0:19:41.400 --> 0:19:43.360
<v Speaker 1>like standing back there and scanning and surveying and then

0:19:43.400 --> 0:19:46.760
<v Speaker 1>just missing somebody. And again talking about holding your own

0:19:46.800 --> 0:19:49.000
<v Speaker 1>team to the same standards everybody else, Like this quarterback

0:19:49.040 --> 0:19:51.359
<v Speaker 1>misses a lot of throws. All quarterbacks missed throws, but

0:19:51.359 --> 0:19:53.480
<v Speaker 1>he misses his plenty. And again, where he makes up

0:19:53.520 --> 0:19:56.080
<v Speaker 1>is the fact that he's so special otherwise all those

0:19:56.080 --> 0:19:58.920
<v Speaker 1>physical traits, but he's you know, he's not ineffective against

0:19:58.960 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 1>pressure whatsoever. In the only quarterback that was a higher

0:20:02.800 --> 0:20:05.639
<v Speaker 1>rated passer against pressure than two of this year was

0:20:05.760 --> 0:20:08.560
<v Speaker 1>Josh Allen. You can win on first and second down,

0:20:08.560 --> 0:20:10.359
<v Speaker 1>he can miss both those throws even but then on

0:20:10.400 --> 0:20:12.880
<v Speaker 1>third down hill absorb you know, a squared up pass,

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:15.359
<v Speaker 1>rush shot from a rusher, stay on his feet, break

0:20:15.400 --> 0:20:17.879
<v Speaker 1>the pocket, spin hurdle, have a guy hanging off his

0:20:17.880 --> 0:20:19.800
<v Speaker 1>shoulder pads, and the rip one forty yards down the

0:20:19.800 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 1>field of Stefon digs right on the face mask because

0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:24.280
<v Speaker 1>he's falling to the turf. It's just insane what he's

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:26.920
<v Speaker 1>capable of doing. He's the best playmaker the sport has

0:20:26.960 --> 0:20:28.840
<v Speaker 1>and that's the book from his time. You know at

0:20:28.880 --> 0:20:31.760
<v Speaker 1>Wyoming right, he was always a fun, fun watch just

0:20:31.880 --> 0:20:34.399
<v Speaker 1>carrying that offense despite some drops and breakdowns and no

0:20:34.560 --> 0:20:37.480
<v Speaker 1>run game, he's just wills his way to big plays

0:20:37.480 --> 0:20:39.640
<v Speaker 1>and gets points on the board. And now as a pro,

0:20:40.000 --> 0:20:42.320
<v Speaker 1>same situation, he's dialed it in and this year he's

0:20:42.320 --> 0:20:44.719
<v Speaker 1>taking his game to another level where teams are, you know,

0:20:44.960 --> 0:20:47.560
<v Speaker 1>playing kind of that Josh Bolier Week three game plan,

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:50.560
<v Speaker 1>like making be patient they can play the position because

0:20:50.600 --> 0:20:52.879
<v Speaker 1>again he puts the ball in harm's way, but you

0:20:53.040 --> 0:20:55.840
<v Speaker 1>have to capitalize on those. So I don't know, man,

0:20:55.920 --> 0:20:57.600
<v Speaker 1>it's it's tricky. I don't know how you want to

0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:00.560
<v Speaker 1>play this. Dude. To me, you have to find a

0:21:00.600 --> 0:21:02.760
<v Speaker 1>way to create big plays and just gamble with it

0:21:02.800 --> 0:21:06.719
<v Speaker 1>because of your situation on offense, the quarterback situation, you

0:21:06.760 --> 0:21:08.119
<v Speaker 1>have to find a way. I turned this game on

0:21:08.160 --> 0:21:10.800
<v Speaker 1>its head multiple times, and so maybe that's blitzing. Maybe

0:21:10.880 --> 0:21:13.560
<v Speaker 1>I don't know. It's gonna be a tough, tough, tall order,

0:21:14.000 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 1>and I'm glad it's not my job to come up

0:21:15.640 --> 0:21:18.680
<v Speaker 1>with that decision. His deep throws this year fourteen point

0:21:18.760 --> 0:21:20.920
<v Speaker 1>six percent of his throws or twenty plus yards downfield,

0:21:20.920 --> 0:21:24.360
<v Speaker 1>averaging fourteen point two yards per attempt, with eleven touchdowns

0:21:24.359 --> 0:21:27.600
<v Speaker 1>and five picks, So not his usual downfield prowess. My

0:21:27.720 --> 0:21:29.680
<v Speaker 1>key here is this. He's tied for the second most

0:21:29.680 --> 0:21:34.040
<v Speaker 1>interceptions in the NFL, and he has more turnover worthy plays,

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:36.280
<v Speaker 1>which is a PF stat than any other quarterback, which

0:21:36.280 --> 0:21:39.480
<v Speaker 1>means teams aren't capitalizing on his takeaway opportunities. And again

0:21:39.480 --> 0:21:42.120
<v Speaker 1>it's most of the time doesn't matter because he can

0:21:42.160 --> 0:21:45.080
<v Speaker 1>give you one quarter of football and just put you away.

0:21:45.160 --> 0:21:48.000
<v Speaker 1>But it seems like every time we play this damn dude,

0:21:48.720 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 1>we have opportunities that we just don't take advantage of.

0:21:52.040 --> 0:21:55.000
<v Speaker 1>Going back toy, like how many missed picks in that game?

0:21:55.000 --> 0:21:56.840
<v Speaker 1>Because I talked about it yesterday. Beca Aban Howard and

0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:58.639
<v Speaker 1>Kyle Van Noi both had picks in their hands that

0:21:58.680 --> 0:22:01.119
<v Speaker 1>could have changed that game entirely and just didn't make

0:22:01.160 --> 0:22:03.720
<v Speaker 1>the catch. So you must intercept the ball when you

0:22:03.720 --> 0:22:06.119
<v Speaker 1>get the chance to do so. Good offenses plus more

0:22:06.119 --> 0:22:09.520
<v Speaker 1>opportunities equals disaster. Simple formula we discussed here a few times.

0:22:09.520 --> 0:22:11.680
<v Speaker 1>Don't give the New York Yankees four outs on offense

0:22:11.760 --> 0:22:14.760
<v Speaker 1>or I should say Houston Astros right. Javon Holland, as

0:22:14.760 --> 0:22:16.920
<v Speaker 1>often as he is, is the catalyst to me here,

0:22:17.080 --> 0:22:19.520
<v Speaker 1>does a great job of limiting opposing teams deep passing.

0:22:19.760 --> 0:22:22.400
<v Speaker 1>He inserts off the edge as a rusher against the run.

0:22:22.440 --> 0:22:24.480
<v Speaker 1>We saw him spy up on Alan for a huge

0:22:24.520 --> 0:22:27.160
<v Speaker 1>open field tackle short of the sticks on that third

0:22:27.160 --> 0:22:30.040
<v Speaker 1>down playback in Buffalo a couple of weeks ago. The

0:22:30.080 --> 0:22:32.960
<v Speaker 1>ability of the Bills to get to you know, anything

0:22:33.040 --> 0:22:35.800
<v Speaker 1>from any personnel, deep shots from twenty two, run game

0:22:35.840 --> 0:22:38.760
<v Speaker 1>from ten, and everything in between some modern style offense

0:22:38.760 --> 0:22:42.040
<v Speaker 1>that Javon Hollands built to defend. So in the current NFL,

0:22:42.119 --> 0:22:45.600
<v Speaker 1>blitzing the top blind quarterbacks usually equals instant death. Right,

0:22:45.640 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 1>they'll find it and they'll carve you up. Before you

0:22:47.320 --> 0:22:49.840
<v Speaker 1>can even you know, get pressure by finding the vacancy

0:22:49.880 --> 0:22:51.919
<v Speaker 1>and coverage. And we saw that back in week three,

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:54.040
<v Speaker 1>and we talked about the numbers in the podcast yesterday,

0:22:54.640 --> 0:22:57.119
<v Speaker 1>but since week nine, here's some interesting numbers for you.

0:22:57.400 --> 0:23:00.000
<v Speaker 1>Forty sixty eight versus the Blitz, it's fifty eight percent,

0:23:00.240 --> 0:23:02.359
<v Speaker 1>five point four yards per passing, three touchdowns, and that

0:23:02.359 --> 0:23:04.800
<v Speaker 1>includes a game against Miami where he was better against

0:23:04.840 --> 0:23:06.720
<v Speaker 1>the Blitz than not. So it's sort of like, again,

0:23:06.760 --> 0:23:09.680
<v Speaker 1>I don't know what you do here. I really don't, uh.

0:23:09.880 --> 0:23:11.720
<v Speaker 1>I laugh while saying this, because it's like you put

0:23:11.720 --> 0:23:13.320
<v Speaker 1>the pros and cons up there, and there are plenty

0:23:13.359 --> 0:23:15.600
<v Speaker 1>of both. I just think it's a tough, tough decision.

0:23:15.600 --> 0:23:17.679
<v Speaker 1>And again, why you pay these coaches the big bucks

0:23:17.920 --> 0:23:19.520
<v Speaker 1>to come up with a plan against a guy like this.

0:23:19.600 --> 0:23:21.320
<v Speaker 1>If they can, you know, find a hero plan that

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:23.840
<v Speaker 1>beats this Buffalo Bills team, then you know, build damn

0:23:23.880 --> 0:23:25.760
<v Speaker 1>statues with these guys. Because it's a Toller. This week

0:23:26.000 --> 0:23:28.000
<v Speaker 1>mentioned Javon Hallen in the passing game Plann. Let's go

0:23:28.000 --> 0:23:29.240
<v Speaker 1>ahead and move on to the next portion of the

0:23:29.240 --> 0:23:32.200
<v Speaker 1>Buffalo offense, that is the receivers and tight ends. First,

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:34.240
<v Speaker 1>the Miami corners, and this is probably the toughest match

0:23:34.320 --> 0:23:37.040
<v Speaker 1>up against this Bill's offense. Their top heavy, but they're

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:39.760
<v Speaker 1>also deep. There are diverse, and they match and play

0:23:39.840 --> 0:23:41.440
<v Speaker 1>style of their quarterback as well as anybody in the

0:23:41.520 --> 0:23:45.840
<v Speaker 1>NFL maybe besides Miami. It's super intriguing because Alan holds

0:23:45.880 --> 0:23:47.840
<v Speaker 1>the ball in big play hunts more than any other quarterback.

0:23:48.080 --> 0:23:50.679
<v Speaker 1>But Miami has been getting home with pressure, among the

0:23:50.680 --> 0:23:53.680
<v Speaker 1>best teams in the NFL just having to finish those pressures,

0:23:53.680 --> 0:23:55.080
<v Speaker 1>and this guy is the toughest one to finish off

0:23:55.080 --> 0:23:57.560
<v Speaker 1>in the entire league. So does Alan take up the

0:23:57.640 --> 0:23:59.840
<v Speaker 1>quick hitters and just eat up short complations with the

0:24:00.000 --> 0:24:02.520
<v Speaker 1>ocasional deep shot built in, or does he play that

0:24:02.640 --> 0:24:05.879
<v Speaker 1>true you know, his true style and just bank on

0:24:05.960 --> 0:24:09.159
<v Speaker 1>making rushers missed like he wants to do. I don't know.

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:11.440
<v Speaker 1>Stefon Diggs is one of the best receivers in the NFL.

0:24:11.480 --> 0:24:13.840
<v Speaker 1>There aren't many quarterbacks who can match up better one

0:24:13.840 --> 0:24:17.680
<v Speaker 1>on one and remove him from the game than Xavian Howard,

0:24:17.680 --> 0:24:19.920
<v Speaker 1>and he did that pretty well back in Week three.

0:24:20.560 --> 0:24:22.760
<v Speaker 1>You know, Diggs had seven for seventy four, which she says,

0:24:22.760 --> 0:24:25.240
<v Speaker 1>that's a pretty good game. Travis well, yeah, just ten

0:24:25.280 --> 0:24:28.320
<v Speaker 1>point six yards per catch eleven targets. That's that's a

0:24:28.320 --> 0:24:30.760
<v Speaker 1>good number yards per target wise less than seven per target.

0:24:31.680 --> 0:24:33.679
<v Speaker 1>I guess the guy who averages around ten this season.

0:24:34.040 --> 0:24:35.679
<v Speaker 1>And there was you know that one long play to

0:24:35.680 --> 0:24:37.359
<v Speaker 1>open the game twenty eight yards back for that just

0:24:37.359 --> 0:24:39.800
<v Speaker 1>six forty six It's really dang good, especially if it

0:24:39.800 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 1>gets that picked before the end of the first half

0:24:41.480 --> 0:24:43.919
<v Speaker 1>and takes it back. Now, he did get routes on

0:24:44.000 --> 0:24:47.080
<v Speaker 1>six players, but X only saw only X on more

0:24:47.119 --> 0:24:48.720
<v Speaker 1>than one target. I should say they were three for

0:24:48.800 --> 0:24:51.439
<v Speaker 1>five for forty seven yards going elsewhere. That feels with

0:24:51.480 --> 0:24:53.240
<v Speaker 1>the play here, and the script was pretty similar in

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:55.400
<v Speaker 1>week fifteen. Like in a game like this, you needs

0:24:55.400 --> 0:24:57.679
<v Speaker 1>your best to beat their best. But again, matchups like

0:24:57.680 --> 0:24:59.640
<v Speaker 1>this are never gonna be one pcent in the game.

0:25:00.040 --> 0:25:01.360
<v Speaker 1>But if you want to have a chance, you've got

0:25:01.400 --> 0:25:03.879
<v Speaker 1>you have to have Tyreek, you know, beating Trey White.

0:25:04.040 --> 0:25:06.119
<v Speaker 1>You have to have ex beating Stefon Diggs. You have

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:09.159
<v Speaker 1>to have Christian Wilkins beating Mitch Morrise. These have to

0:25:09.160 --> 0:25:11.520
<v Speaker 1>be consistent things you went across the board to mitigate

0:25:11.600 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 1>from what you you're losing from injuries, Buffalo again, they're

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:16.320
<v Speaker 1>deep though, so you need your answer for Gabe Davis,

0:25:16.359 --> 0:25:18.720
<v Speaker 1>who is one of the best downfield threats you know,

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:22.280
<v Speaker 1>in in a sizeable body, tremendous feel, an excellent route

0:25:22.320 --> 0:25:24.639
<v Speaker 1>runner in terms of setting guys up on double moves,

0:25:24.680 --> 0:25:26.800
<v Speaker 1>precise movements to get action on that first move and

0:25:26.840 --> 0:25:29.040
<v Speaker 1>then springing to the second level. And when Alan breaks

0:25:29.040 --> 0:25:31.119
<v Speaker 1>the pocket, he loves to find these two dudes getting

0:25:31.160 --> 0:25:33.480
<v Speaker 1>vertical down the field. John Brown's back in the fold

0:25:33.520 --> 0:25:36.800
<v Speaker 1>catching long touchdowns. So you know, for Gabe Davis, I

0:25:36.800 --> 0:25:39.040
<v Speaker 1>think kator Co who is the best one on him,

0:25:39.080 --> 0:25:41.240
<v Speaker 1>because he's the most physical corner we have right now,

0:25:41.520 --> 0:25:43.560
<v Speaker 1>and those seem to be like the right man matchups.

0:25:43.600 --> 0:25:45.800
<v Speaker 1>But again it varies plenty of zone and match so

0:25:45.840 --> 0:25:49.920
<v Speaker 1>we'll see. But plastering again when when Alan scrambles huge

0:25:50.000 --> 0:25:52.720
<v Speaker 1>key this week, Isaiah mackenzie does all kinds of creative

0:25:52.720 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 1>stuff with jet sweeps and screens and catches the football,

0:25:55.160 --> 0:25:57.639
<v Speaker 1>you know, running downhill on mesh. He's kind of a

0:25:57.720 --> 0:25:59.800
<v Speaker 1>glue piece and that nobody does what he can do.

0:26:00.119 --> 0:26:01.919
<v Speaker 1>Then you've got Dawson Knox and to me as an

0:26:02.040 --> 0:26:04.119
<v Speaker 1>Eric Row game to come dust off that tight end

0:26:04.119 --> 0:26:06.359
<v Speaker 1>e racer label. He didn't play last time around. It

0:26:06.400 --> 0:26:08.240
<v Speaker 1>was a big issue for us. You know, He's done

0:26:08.280 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 1>so much both in coverage and against the run from

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:14.280
<v Speaker 1>that position. And Knox is a tough task man, tall order,

0:26:14.320 --> 0:26:16.680
<v Speaker 1>but you're gonna have to, you know, give up plays

0:26:16.720 --> 0:26:19.159
<v Speaker 1>these guys. But I cannot emphasize enough the importance of

0:26:19.200 --> 0:26:21.399
<v Speaker 1>capitalizing on the plays that are there. And the Bills

0:26:21.480 --> 0:26:23.840
<v Speaker 1>losses this season, that's been the difference for them. They

0:26:23.920 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>turned the ball over as teams capitalize on those opportunities.

0:26:27.880 --> 0:26:30.760
<v Speaker 1>Offensive line, defensive line. The Dolphin's pass rush continues to

0:26:30.800 --> 0:26:34.400
<v Speaker 1>heat up opposing quarterbacks, uh really quickly. But again, those

0:26:34.440 --> 0:26:36.560
<v Speaker 1>quarterbacks are mitigating that by getting the ball out to

0:26:36.600 --> 0:26:39.119
<v Speaker 1>the open guy early, and they've been open early too often.

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:41.919
<v Speaker 1>But the past rush has been relentless all year. Man

0:26:41.960 --> 0:26:43.919
<v Speaker 1>Phillip has been tremendous. Wilkins has been as good as

0:26:43.920 --> 0:26:46.520
<v Speaker 1>anybody in football at his position. You know, Melvin Ingram

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:49.400
<v Speaker 1>has been efficient. Bradley Chubb, you know, got back onto

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:51.919
<v Speaker 1>the field a limited role last week and he's been effective.

0:26:52.200 --> 0:26:54.719
<v Speaker 1>And then Andrew van Ginkl just solid his entire career.

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:59.240
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to get press rush production guys for the

0:26:59.240 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 1>balls out in less than two and a half seconds.

0:27:00.720 --> 0:27:03.200
<v Speaker 1>It is very, very difficult. They did have Alan under

0:27:03.240 --> 0:27:05.520
<v Speaker 1>constant arrest that Week three game and just forced the

0:27:05.560 --> 0:27:07.359
<v Speaker 1>ball out all game long, and at the end of

0:27:07.359 --> 0:27:08.720
<v Speaker 1>it it was too much for the Bills to muster

0:27:08.800 --> 0:27:11.639
<v Speaker 1>up more than seventeen points offensively. In Week fifteen, he

0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:13.639
<v Speaker 1>made a splash plays early, the one at the end

0:27:13.640 --> 0:27:15.919
<v Speaker 1>of the half that was like, Oh, they're gonna get

0:27:15.920 --> 0:27:17.600
<v Speaker 1>a field goal. Oh no, now they're not gonna get anything.

0:27:17.600 --> 0:27:19.680
<v Speaker 1>Always a touchdown there you go. And then the fourth

0:27:19.760 --> 0:27:21.560
<v Speaker 1>quarter he did what he does usually and put on

0:27:21.600 --> 0:27:24.080
<v Speaker 1>the Josh Allen cape. But Miami did well to stifle

0:27:24.160 --> 0:27:26.400
<v Speaker 1>him in the Bill's offense for long periods in both games.

0:27:26.400 --> 0:27:28.560
<v Speaker 1>Can you extend that for four quarters? You have to.

0:27:28.760 --> 0:27:31.560
<v Speaker 1>This week comes down to that. Uh. Their offensive line

0:27:31.640 --> 0:27:34.639
<v Speaker 1>pressures allowed and pass blocking snaps. Dion Dawkins left tackle

0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:38.919
<v Speaker 1>thirty at six six, Roger Staffold thirty six pressures allowed

0:27:39.080 --> 0:27:42.040
<v Speaker 1>at six snaps play. That is a big number for

0:27:42.040 --> 0:27:45.639
<v Speaker 1>a guard, so go get him. Mitch Moore's seventeen on

0:27:45.680 --> 0:27:50.640
<v Speaker 1>four three. Uh, Ryan Bates excuse me, twenty eight pressures

0:27:50.640 --> 0:27:53.119
<v Speaker 1>six and fifteen snaps the pretty big number there for

0:27:53.160 --> 0:27:55.479
<v Speaker 1>a guard too, and then Spencer Brown forty two at

0:27:55.520 --> 0:27:57.800
<v Speaker 1>five fifty one. The offensive lines vulnerable and we saw

0:27:57.840 --> 0:28:00.280
<v Speaker 1>the Dolphins again put pressure on Allen that Week fifteen game.

0:28:01.000 --> 0:28:02.800
<v Speaker 1>You have you have to win every other matchup in

0:28:02.800 --> 0:28:04.040
<v Speaker 1>this game. It's how it's gonna go like, It's how

0:28:04.040 --> 0:28:05.359
<v Speaker 1>you're gonna be a team that I think it's like

0:28:05.400 --> 0:28:08.760
<v Speaker 1>thirteen and a half, you know, uh advantage right now.

0:28:09.080 --> 0:28:10.960
<v Speaker 1>Dawkins one of the best left tackles in the NFL.

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 1>He missed one game and some change and it was

0:28:13.119 --> 0:28:15.200
<v Speaker 1>a noticeable difference when they didn't have him out there.

0:28:15.400 --> 0:28:17.080
<v Speaker 1>Any wins you get on him or a bonus. That's

0:28:17.080 --> 0:28:19.040
<v Speaker 1>why you pay Bradley Chubb the big bucks, Like, you know,

0:28:19.119 --> 0:28:21.680
<v Speaker 1>go go beat that dude on the other side. Phillips,

0:28:21.680 --> 0:28:23.120
<v Speaker 1>I just think is one of the best player in league.

0:28:23.160 --> 0:28:25.960
<v Speaker 1>Keeps getting better every single week. Um made some plays

0:28:25.960 --> 0:28:27.840
<v Speaker 1>back in week three and had that massive force fumble

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:30.520
<v Speaker 1>back in week fifteen, and then Wilkins just wins regardless

0:28:30.520 --> 0:28:32.399
<v Speaker 1>of who's across from him. So hopefully you know you

0:28:32.440 --> 0:28:36.320
<v Speaker 1>can pair pass rush wins on the same snap frequently.

0:28:36.480 --> 0:28:39.400
<v Speaker 1>You know, with all the guys, running backs and linebackers. Finally,

0:28:39.440 --> 0:28:42.560
<v Speaker 1>another position where the bills are just extremely multiple. James

0:28:42.560 --> 0:28:45.960
<v Speaker 1>Coke explosive, is all get out. Devin Singletary love his game.

0:28:46.080 --> 0:28:49.320
<v Speaker 1>They're both right around three yards average after initial contact.

0:28:49.600 --> 0:28:52.520
<v Speaker 1>Thirty three miss tackles force for Singletary, nineteen for Cook.

0:28:52.760 --> 0:28:55.600
<v Speaker 1>They're both dynamic passing game options and good outlets when

0:28:55.640 --> 0:28:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Alan gets that multiple rusher pressure. When they play patient,

0:28:59.320 --> 0:29:01.000
<v Speaker 1>get the ball to the acts in the passing game,

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:04.480
<v Speaker 1>and play a run the ball effectively, they are impossible

0:29:04.520 --> 0:29:06.760
<v Speaker 1>to stop. So if you have to mitigate that somehow,

0:29:07.000 --> 0:29:09.120
<v Speaker 1>I've been so impressed with how Jerome Baker plays in

0:29:09.320 --> 0:29:11.840
<v Speaker 1>situations like these because he has multiple roles. You have

0:29:11.880 --> 0:29:13.240
<v Speaker 1>to have him do that again. You have to have

0:29:13.280 --> 0:29:15.480
<v Speaker 1>Duke Riley have a big game because speed's key against

0:29:15.520 --> 0:29:18.560
<v Speaker 1>this offense. Ken Dorsey's offense is so creative, has false

0:29:18.640 --> 0:29:20.480
<v Speaker 1>keys and can bump the ball to any of the

0:29:20.480 --> 0:29:23.200
<v Speaker 1>eligible So you need all the linebackers here to be

0:29:23.240 --> 0:29:26.080
<v Speaker 1>really pumping on all cylinders. Let's go ahead and take

0:29:26.080 --> 0:29:27.720
<v Speaker 1>our last break and come back on the other side

0:29:27.760 --> 0:29:30.200
<v Speaker 1>and do special teams and the three keys and what's

0:29:30.240 --> 0:29:32.560
<v Speaker 1>at stake. Even though you already know will also pick

0:29:32.600 --> 0:29:35.520
<v Speaker 1>the playoff bracket. That's next Draft Time podcast, your host

0:29:35.560 --> 0:29:47.920
<v Speaker 1>Travis Wingfield, brought to you by Auto Nation, coming to

0:29:48.160 --> 0:29:52.080
<v Speaker 1>a conclusion on potentially the final preview podcast of the season.

0:29:52.560 --> 0:29:54.560
<v Speaker 1>That was the case last week. We're glad that it

0:29:54.640 --> 0:29:56.120
<v Speaker 1>is not. We have at least one more here to

0:29:56.160 --> 0:29:58.760
<v Speaker 1>get to Special Teams d v o A ranks this

0:29:58.800 --> 0:30:02.480
<v Speaker 1>year in Miami's twenty Buffaloes first, whoops, yikes, that could

0:30:02.520 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 1>be rough. Tyler Bass is seven for thirty one this year.

0:30:05.440 --> 0:30:07.880
<v Speaker 1>He's missed two of his fifty p e T s.

0:30:08.200 --> 0:30:10.160
<v Speaker 1>I was updating the numbers from the last podcast and

0:30:10.200 --> 0:30:12.640
<v Speaker 1>like he's only kicked like five more field goals since

0:30:12.720 --> 0:30:15.440
<v Speaker 1>that game, but has booted like four s And then

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:18.800
<v Speaker 1>in the interim, Sam Martin averages forty two point one

0:30:18.840 --> 0:30:20.920
<v Speaker 1>gross with an inside the twenty yard line rate of

0:30:20.960 --> 0:30:24.959
<v Speaker 1>thirty and a touchback rate of eleven percent. Jason Sanders

0:30:25.000 --> 0:30:27.560
<v Speaker 1>coming off a playoff clinching field goal, he has for

0:30:27.720 --> 0:30:30.280
<v Speaker 1>thirty two this year, and Thomas moore Stead's gross is

0:30:30.360 --> 0:30:32.720
<v Speaker 1>forty point five with an inside that twenty yard line

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:35.200
<v Speaker 1>rate of forty percent and a touchback rate of just

0:30:35.240 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 1>three point three percent. What's at stake? You might ask,

0:30:38.120 --> 0:30:40.239
<v Speaker 1>that seems pointless this week, doesn't it. We all know

0:30:40.320 --> 0:30:43.800
<v Speaker 1>exactly what's his take the entire damn season. Man three

0:30:43.880 --> 0:30:48.400
<v Speaker 1>keys in the game capitalize on takeaway opportunities. The Bills

0:30:48.400 --> 0:30:50.600
<v Speaker 1>have put the ball on the turf six times in

0:30:50.600 --> 0:30:53.040
<v Speaker 1>the two games. We recovered one of those fumbles. If

0:30:53.040 --> 0:30:55.520
<v Speaker 1>they fumble the ball three times, we recover it three times.

0:30:56.240 --> 0:30:59.240
<v Speaker 1>Maybe you have a fighter's chance. Number two, ride the

0:30:59.320 --> 0:31:04.120
<v Speaker 1>running backs, same game, running game. Jeff Wilson, Savannakhmed if

0:31:04.120 --> 0:31:06.440
<v Speaker 1>for him can go raheem, just it's time for those

0:31:06.440 --> 0:31:08.760
<v Speaker 1>guys to, you know, carry the load. And there was

0:31:08.760 --> 0:31:12.200
<v Speaker 1>a game Chiefs and Titaness this year. Malik Willow started

0:31:12.240 --> 0:31:13.920
<v Speaker 1>the game and they couldn't do anything through the air,

0:31:13.920 --> 0:31:16.560
<v Speaker 1>and they damned near beat the Chiefs. That's to me,

0:31:16.680 --> 0:31:18.360
<v Speaker 1>that's the only way you're gonna have a chance in

0:31:18.400 --> 0:31:20.280
<v Speaker 1>this game is to muddy it up like that. And

0:31:20.320 --> 0:31:22.200
<v Speaker 1>so the running game is going to be paramount if

0:31:22.240 --> 0:31:25.120
<v Speaker 1>that's the case. Number three, keep Alan in the pocket.

0:31:25.560 --> 0:31:27.240
<v Speaker 1>If he gets outside the pocket and runs the ball,

0:31:27.360 --> 0:31:28.840
<v Speaker 1>you can go for forty yards at a clip. He

0:31:28.920 --> 0:31:30.840
<v Speaker 1>runs the guys over. Just don't let him do that,

0:31:30.880 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 1>because he'll kill you that way. As for picks twelve

0:31:33.600 --> 0:31:35.720
<v Speaker 1>and four last week means I got to the goal.

0:31:36.640 --> 0:31:38.560
<v Speaker 1>I think that goal change like three times, though, so

0:31:38.600 --> 0:31:41.400
<v Speaker 1>I don't know if it's actually achievement. One nine, eight

0:31:41.560 --> 0:31:44.480
<v Speaker 1>and two two seventy one games in the books, Buffalo

0:31:44.520 --> 0:31:46.640
<v Speaker 1>and Cincinnati obviously number two seventy two. They did not

0:31:46.680 --> 0:31:49.880
<v Speaker 1>get played good for a seven oh three win percentage.

0:31:50.000 --> 0:31:53.320
<v Speaker 1>Next year, we'll go to seventy will be the goal

0:31:53.360 --> 0:31:55.320
<v Speaker 1>next year. That would have been nice in the fiftieth anniversary,

0:31:55.360 --> 0:31:57.360
<v Speaker 1>But I digress. So here's what we'll do for the playoffs.

0:31:57.360 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna give you my entire bracket, but we'll also

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:01.480
<v Speaker 1>still pick the game aimes each week after the fact,

0:32:01.840 --> 0:32:03.959
<v Speaker 1>and I'm gonna give you almost all chalk here. I

0:32:03.960 --> 0:32:06.400
<v Speaker 1>know upsets happened every single year, but man, I'm having

0:32:06.440 --> 0:32:09.120
<v Speaker 1>a hard time finding them this time around, especially with

0:32:09.120 --> 0:32:11.040
<v Speaker 1>the quarterbacks that are out in the wild card round.

0:32:11.480 --> 0:32:13.240
<v Speaker 1>It's weird because in the middle of the year it

0:32:13.280 --> 0:32:15.440
<v Speaker 1>felt like it was going to be as wide open

0:32:15.480 --> 0:32:18.080
<v Speaker 1>as it ever was. Remember the round the NFL podcast

0:32:18.120 --> 0:32:20.240
<v Speaker 1>kept doing like is anybody good in the NFL? Who's good?

0:32:20.280 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 1>It's like, yeah, now you kind of have it figured out,

0:32:22.880 --> 0:32:26.320
<v Speaker 1>because pretty consensus, casey, Buffalo and Cincinnati are the teams

0:32:26.320 --> 0:32:28.120
<v Speaker 1>to beat in the a f C Philly and Frisco.

0:32:28.160 --> 0:32:30.640
<v Speaker 1>In the NFC. Maybe Dallas, but you know, after losing

0:32:30.640 --> 0:32:34.040
<v Speaker 1>to Washington that certainly losing some of it shine there.

0:32:35.480 --> 0:32:41.400
<v Speaker 1>Wild Card round picks, I have one upset near. I

0:32:41.400 --> 0:32:43.280
<v Speaker 1>did have Baltimore over the Bengals, but I changed it

0:32:43.280 --> 0:32:45.520
<v Speaker 1>because Lamar Jackson is probably not gonna play. The hell's

0:32:45.520 --> 0:32:48.880
<v Speaker 1>going on there by the way, I don't know. I

0:32:48.880 --> 0:32:53.840
<v Speaker 1>don't know. Wild Card round Niners over Seahawks seems pretty

0:32:54.600 --> 0:32:59.760
<v Speaker 1>pretty expected. Jacksonville over the Charges. This almost tough because

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't really think either team is that great. Ah,

0:33:04.240 --> 0:33:09.200
<v Speaker 1>but someone's gotta win, and I like the home team

0:33:09.280 --> 0:33:12.520
<v Speaker 1>against a quarterback that I think doesn't necessarily raise his

0:33:12.600 --> 0:33:16.680
<v Speaker 1>game in these types of situations. Buffalo over Miami. Yeah,

0:33:17.000 --> 0:33:19.440
<v Speaker 1>Minnesota over the Giants a stinker of a game that

0:33:19.480 --> 0:33:23.920
<v Speaker 1>feels like Bengals over Ravens and Cowboys over bucks Man.

0:33:23.920 --> 0:33:27.280
<v Speaker 1>This is a bad slate. If if we had two

0:33:27.440 --> 0:33:29.120
<v Speaker 1>and Lamar it would be good, but we don't, so

0:33:29.160 --> 0:33:32.240
<v Speaker 1>it's not. Uh. And then from their divisional round Niners

0:33:32.280 --> 0:33:36.840
<v Speaker 1>over the Vikings, Eagles over the Cowboys, Bills over the Bungles,

0:33:36.880 --> 0:33:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and the Chiefs over the Jags. Chalk Man, Buffalo over Casey,

0:33:40.560 --> 0:33:43.560
<v Speaker 1>and the championship round Philly over San Francisco. And this

0:33:43.600 --> 0:33:45.640
<v Speaker 1>is my super Bowl pick back in August, so Zero

0:33:45.680 --> 0:33:50.000
<v Speaker 1>sent in changing it now, Buffalo over the Eagles. I

0:33:50.040 --> 0:33:52.640
<v Speaker 1>hope not man. I hope they keep on losing super bowls.

0:33:52.640 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 1>We're not getting to the super Bowl. That's that's what

0:33:54.200 --> 0:33:56.440
<v Speaker 1>I would like to see. But we'll see, We'll see

0:33:56.440 --> 0:33:59.960
<v Speaker 1>what happens. That's your Thursday preview podcast tomorrow. Joe Marino

0:34:00.160 --> 0:34:02.920
<v Speaker 1>locked on Bills a legend around these parts, one of

0:34:02.920 --> 0:34:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the best billsh coverage guys there is. I just love

0:34:05.880 --> 0:34:08.040
<v Speaker 1>everything that he does with football, and we'll have him

0:34:08.080 --> 0:34:09.359
<v Speaker 1>back on for the draft season as well. But he's

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:11.480
<v Speaker 1>gonna break down Dolphins and Bills for us tomorrow. In

0:34:11.520 --> 0:34:13.479
<v Speaker 1>the meantime, it's gonna be my time you all. Please

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:16.280
<v Speaker 1>be sure to subscribe to the podcast on Apple Podcast.

0:34:16.520 --> 0:34:18.840
<v Speaker 1>Leave us a rating, leave us a review. Follow me

0:34:18.960 --> 0:34:22.320
<v Speaker 1>on Twitter at Wingfield NFL. Follow the team at Miami Dolphins.

0:34:22.480 --> 0:34:24.319
<v Speaker 1>Check out the Fish Tank with Seth and Juice our

0:34:24.400 --> 0:34:27.200
<v Speaker 1>Twitter Spaces show went out last night. You can go

0:34:27.280 --> 0:34:30.440
<v Speaker 1>find that on my timeline. The recorded version is available

0:34:30.480 --> 0:34:33.440
<v Speaker 1>for y'all. Also check out the team YouTube channel for

0:34:33.480 --> 0:34:36.799
<v Speaker 1>media availabilities. Dolphins Today. UH, some drag time and fish

0:34:36.840 --> 0:34:38.719
<v Speaker 1>tank content is in there as well, and last but

0:34:38.960 --> 0:34:41.840
<v Speaker 1>not least, Miami Dolphins dot Com until next time finds

0:34:41.920 --> 0:34:45.319
<v Speaker 1>up Caroline and Cameron Daddy's coming over