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Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into a Monday

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Speaker 1: morning edition of the Dally Juice Podcast. My name is

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Speaker 1: Matt Parolet here on bettingpros dot com. Always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM. I got a couple of

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Speaker 1: bets for you available with BETMGM. You guys can get

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Speaker 1: involved if you would like. You know what that offer is,

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Speaker 1: well one, it's ten dollars to win one hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty dollars with the promo code Juice one fifty at BETMGM.

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Speaker 1: Or you can do the very fun ten dollars bet

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Speaker 1: to win two hundred dollars. If your team scores a

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Speaker 1: touchdown bet ten bucks you win two hundred bucks in

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Speaker 1: free wagers if either team scores touchdown. It's available in

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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, DC,

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Speaker 1: and Arizona Yo ming Juice one hundred is a promo

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Speaker 1: code for that even though it's one hundred dollars, Juice

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Speaker 1: one hundred, ten dollars anytime touchdown but the team you

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Speaker 1: bet on you went two hundred dollars. Don't ask me.

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Speaker 1: It's all very complicated and kind of convoluted. Let me

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Speaker 1: move the camera a little bit. I think the camera's

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Speaker 1: a little bit off on YouTube. Everything's a little bit

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Speaker 1: off right now. By the way, I'm really tired. It's midnight.

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Speaker 1: I just flew. I came in from California. It's going

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Speaker 1: to be a really long day. So today this is

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Speaker 1: going to be kind of a short podcast. I'm going

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Speaker 1: to recap some of the picks. I didn't see any

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Speaker 1: football because I was I saw the first half of

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Speaker 1: the Bills and the Steelers. I did not see how

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Speaker 1: the Steelers blew it or the Bills blew it to

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Speaker 1: the Steelers. But we're just here and it's late, and

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Speaker 1: I'll just run through the weekend because it's down the juice.

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Speaker 1: I went one to zero on Friday, went one and

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Speaker 1: two on Saturday. Then I went in the early games.

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Speaker 1: I did not do well in the early games at all.

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Speaker 1: I was one in three on the early games, and

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Speaker 1: then I was two and oh on the late games.

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Speaker 1: So three and three for my one unit plays official

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Speaker 1: full unit plays, and then two and two on the

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Speaker 1: prop bets. So all in all, just a blah Friday,

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Speaker 1: Saturday and Sunday. Down the juice. And that's how the

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Speaker 1: books get us. Right. We're laying minus one ten to

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Speaker 1: their one hundred, and when we lose, we lose. If

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Speaker 1: you're laying one hundred and ten dollars down, it's you know,

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Speaker 1: you're just getting bled dry. I think we're down a

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Speaker 1: half a unit in three days, right, So it's not

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Speaker 1: a lot of money. We're not down a lot, but

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Speaker 1: it's still kind of frustrating. You go through all that

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Speaker 1: work and do all that preper worket. It's basically just

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Speaker 1: they get to bleed us for Friday, Saturday and Sunday

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Speaker 1: and take a little bit here, a little bit there.

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Speaker 1: It's just kind of how they do it. That's why

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Speaker 1: the books, you know, are the books. But I'm really

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Speaker 1: frustrated with that teaser because I really like that teaser

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Speaker 1: and the Buffalo Bills losing to the Steelers is not

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Speaker 1: good for my Steelers bet. The Saints was the game

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Speaker 1: I got the most correct. I told you I was

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Speaker 1: really on Jamis. I'm high on the Saints. They blew

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Speaker 1: out the Packers thirty eight to three. Love and the

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Speaker 1: plus four. I went four and one. By the way,

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Speaker 1: on my personal circle plays, we went two and three

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Speaker 1: on the Daily Juice Circle place, which is not bad,

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Speaker 1: by the way. Okay, in case you're curious, people are like, ouch, look,

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Speaker 1: here's the thing. As long as you avoid one in fours,

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Speaker 1: in zero to fives, we're gonna be fine. Okay, three

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Speaker 1: and two, two and three every week will have us

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Speaker 1: right where we want to be towards the end. Okay,

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Speaker 1: it's not a great start, but it's not the end.

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Speaker 1: It's not the the worst. Hopefully it is the worst record.

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Speaker 1: But I've done much worse. Okay. I've gone one in four.

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Speaker 1: I've gone two and eight over a two week period

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Speaker 1: before in the Circle million. Okay, so it's a long season.

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Speaker 1: Just buckle up and for if you're curious how we

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Speaker 1: got to the Daily Juice, somebody asked, how did you

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Speaker 1: get to the detailed Juice team picks? I basically had

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Speaker 1: every team member submit five picks myself where there was

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Speaker 1: a consensus. Those are the five that we grabbed. That's

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Speaker 1: why when I was telling you on Friday that the

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Speaker 1: team was taking Green Bay, because three of the guys

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Speaker 1: had bet green Bay. I was betting New Orleans. People

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Speaker 1: were betting the Patriots, I was betting the Dolphins. I

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Speaker 1: just you know, we both run Carolina, we both run Washington.

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Speaker 1: That's the only pick I got wrong for my personal

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Speaker 1: Circa team, the pushing the odds circle team, and what

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Speaker 1: was the other one? Carolina we got right, and then

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Speaker 1: we got the Seahawks right now. I was on the

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Speaker 1: Seahawks as well for my personal team. So two and

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Speaker 1: one where the overlap happened. The differences were I was

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Speaker 1: taking the Dolphins and the Saints, and then we took

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Speaker 1: I don't think we took the Patriots. I can't remember.

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Speaker 1: My brain's not working very well right now, but we're

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Speaker 1: gonna jump. It was just two and three days, so

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Speaker 1: that's how I got to those consensus five picks. But

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Speaker 1: now now we're back. Now I'm back, and now we

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Speaker 1: will do a day lead Juice circa million live discord

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Speaker 1: chat coming up this week. I'm gonna find a time.

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Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be Saturday afternoon. I think that's

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Speaker 1: when we're gonna do it for fifteen to twenty minutes

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Speaker 1: to hammer out the picks. But the picks are due

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Speaker 1: at two pm on Saturday. I wanted to do it

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Speaker 1: at four pm on Saturday, but that's not gonna work.

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Speaker 1: To two pm Pacific. That's not gonna work. So now

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Speaker 1: we've gotta find time to do it earlier. So we

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Speaker 1: didn't do the Discord Channel bet this week obviously because

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Speaker 1: of where I was. We'll bring that back as well.

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Speaker 1: So I'm thinking we're gonna just combine it into one big,

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Speaker 1: huge conversation that we will do the Discord Channel conversation.

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Speaker 1: But I don't know yet because I don't know if

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Speaker 1: everyone can attend, and it's just it's like hurting cats

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Speaker 1: to get the entire team together to be able to

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Speaker 1: be on a Discord stage conversation. So I'm gonna try

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Speaker 1: my best to get to a time that everybody can

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Speaker 1: do it and have everybody on. So we'll hammer out

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Speaker 1: them CIRCU million, but four and one personally, two and

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Speaker 1: three for the Daily Juice officially for us with the

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Speaker 1: Deal Juice. So horrible start. But so I got the

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Speaker 1: Saints right, that was great, got the Dolphins right. I

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Speaker 1: missed the game entirely. I didn't see Mac Jones at all.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go back and watch it tomorrow when I

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Speaker 1: get some sleep, and I'll go back and watch I'll

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Speaker 1: see how Mac Jones did. I think he did Okay.

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Speaker 1: By the sounds of it, they're driving to win the

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Speaker 1: game and somebody fumbled. I still don't know who fumbled.

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Speaker 1: Somebody fumbled. I'll know that by the time you guys

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Speaker 1: listen to this, I will be aware as to which

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Speaker 1: Patriot player fumbled and cost the pictures of the game.

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Speaker 1: But it saved my bet. So instead of going, you know,

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Speaker 1: two in you know it's going two and four, I

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Speaker 1: went three and three, which was much better. MU much

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Speaker 1: better two and two on the prop bets. I'm not

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Speaker 1: going to go over the prop bets. But the live chat,

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Speaker 1: I hope you guys liked it. Live chat was awesome.

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Speaker 1: It was really, really fun. It was awesome, Dan Harrison,

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Speaker 1: I had a ton of fun with it. Okay, so

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Speaker 1: here are the picks I'm gonna give you guys four today.

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Speaker 1: I told you this just gonna be a little bit

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Speaker 1: shorter podcast because it's midnight and I'm absolutely burned out.

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Speaker 1: So we're on the over fifty and a half. I

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Speaker 1: can't add a side bet to this because Josh Jacobs

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Speaker 1: is questionable for this game, so I just can't. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what's going on. If he's out, I would

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Speaker 1: lean Ravens, but if he's out, I don't know. I'm

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Speaker 1: leaning Raiders plus four plus four and a half. That's

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Speaker 1: Ru'm leaning, But I don't know if I'm there yet.

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Speaker 1: I may add it officially, I may take it for

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Speaker 1: a half a unit because I'm not sold on it.

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Speaker 1: But I have made two bets that I want to

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Speaker 1: give out here today, and they're both prop bets. Okay,

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Speaker 1: Darren Waller at bet MGM, his receiving total is sixty

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Speaker 1: eight and a half. It's minus one zh five for

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Speaker 1: a quarter unit. We're going to jump on this, Okay.

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Speaker 1: So Darren Waller last year was really really good. Played

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Speaker 1: in all sixteen games, was targeted one hundred and forty

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Speaker 1: five times, had nine touchdown catches eight point two five

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Speaker 1: yards per target. He's a guy that really is a

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Speaker 1: difficult matchup for either safeties or linebackers in corners guarding him.

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Speaker 1: He can beat corners at one hundred and seven receptions

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Speaker 1: for nearly twelve hundred yards. Last year, he is the

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Speaker 1: number one receiving weapon. Okay, against the Bucks he had

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Speaker 1: fifty yards receiving. But against teams that you know aren't great,

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Speaker 1: he against the Chargers he had one hundred and seventy

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Speaker 1: two Becaus the Jets, he had two hundred. Against the

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Speaker 1: Saints he had one hundred and five, Dolphins one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twelve, Chiefs one hundred and thirty six, Broncos one

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty four. He did have games where the

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Speaker 1: Browns took him out, he only had twenty seventy yard

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Speaker 1: receiving and against the Falcons he had twenty three yards receiving.

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Speaker 1: But generally speaking, this dude, in particular at home, this

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Speaker 1: guy gets open and this guy gets the football. Okay,

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Speaker 1: twelve point one six yards per reception in home games

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Speaker 1: last year. Okay for receiving touchdowns at home. He was

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Speaker 1: targeted seventy six times in the eight games, had fifty

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Speaker 1: eight receptions. In those games. He averaged eighty eight point

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Speaker 1: one yards per reception. Sorry per game at home last

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Speaker 1: year for the Vegas Raiders. I think Waller and if

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Speaker 1: Jacobs is out, I like this prop even more. I

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Speaker 1: think Darren Waller is going to get targeted. In absolute

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Speaker 1: ton and the prop bet cheat sheet, which you can

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Speaker 1: find on bettingpros dot com, go under NFL and then

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Speaker 1: prop bet cheat sheet. It is the number four most

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Speaker 1: popular fore most recommended. They're projecting seventy six point one

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Speaker 1: four yards per in this game, so that's over. It's

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Speaker 1: over seven yards you're gonna grab here. I'm going over

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Speaker 1: sixty eight and a half for Darren Waller in the

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Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders here to have over sixty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half yards receiving for a quarter unit, where we

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Speaker 1: have a full unit going on the over fifty and

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Speaker 1: a half that still stays, that's still live. I still

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Speaker 1: love that. And then the other prop for a quarter

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Speaker 1: unit is the number two recommended prop bet and that's

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Speaker 1: Henry Ruggs over thirty five and a half yards receiving.

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Speaker 1: They're projecting the prop bet cheat sheets projecting fifty point

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Speaker 1: four to two yards. That's fourteen fifteen yards of value

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Speaker 1: here with Henry Ruggs. Here's the thing with Henry Ruggs,

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Speaker 1: it could be one pass play. I know he wasn't

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Speaker 1: great last year. I do think he takes a really

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Speaker 1: big step forward in this offense. In particular, if Jacobs

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Speaker 1: is unavailable, I think you're gonna see a lot of

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Speaker 1: deep ball threat deep balls being thrown. Rugs look forty

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Speaker 1: fifty yard pass plays. The Raiders need it because with

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Speaker 1: or without Jacobs. I mean, they're gonna have to run

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Speaker 1: the football. And whether it's Kenyan Drake or whether it's

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Speaker 1: h Or or it's Josh Jacobs, they're gonna have to

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Speaker 1: run the football. I'll be curious if Jacobs is out.

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Speaker 1: Kenyan Drake's number for rushing right now is thirty seven

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Speaker 1: and a half at FanDuel. Okay, I mean, look, if

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Speaker 1: Jacobs is out, jump on Drake like fast. Now you

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Speaker 1: can take a flyer and say, Okay, Drake's gonna play.

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Speaker 1: Drake's gonna be the guy and Jacobs isn't gonna play.

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Speaker 1: But until I see for sure, I'm not betting this,

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Speaker 1: Like I need to see if Jacobs is there or not.

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Speaker 1: Because he's there, he's the belcow and he'll get the

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Speaker 1: vast majority of the carries. So I don't want to

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Speaker 1: jump in on that. But his point total, his rushing

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Speaker 1: total was pretty low. Better he has got a forty

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Speaker 1: nine and a half for Josh Jacobs. That's pretty darn

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Speaker 1: low in my mind. Again, I'm looking for offense here

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Speaker 1: from both teams. I think then be able to move

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Speaker 1: the football. I think the Raiders are live. I really do. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I just I need everyone there. I don't know what

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. I may come in with a half

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Speaker 1: unit on the Raiders catching four at home. I love

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Speaker 1: home dogs, Like you know, I think the atmosphere is

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Speaker 1: going to be insane. The injuries could have the Ravens rattled.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you're talking about five season ending injuries, including

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Speaker 1: Marcus Peters, all three running backs. I mean, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: wonder where the head is for this entire team, for

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Speaker 1: the Baltimore Ravens. So maybe not a full unit play.

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Speaker 1: Maybe it would be a half unit play on the

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Speaker 1: Raiders plus four at home. But let's see what happens

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Speaker 1: with this Josh Jacobs situation, and let's see what happens.

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Speaker 1: Who's available and when they're available. So the two prop

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Speaker 1: bets for Monday Night Football that we're giving out officially

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Speaker 1: for a quarter unit here both at bet MGM. These

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Speaker 1: are available. Darren Waller over sixty eight and a half

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Speaker 1: yards receiving at minus one oh five for a quarter unit.

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Speaker 1: And Henry Ruggs over thirty five and a half yards

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Speaker 1: receiving at minus one oh five that also for a

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Speaker 1: quarter unit. Just you know, that's how I bet props.

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Speaker 1: I never go big on props because I'd fairly volidiz,

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Speaker 1: like what happened with one of our prop bets where

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Speaker 1: Rahie Moser got hurt in the game against in the

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Speaker 1: four and nuinder game, he got hurt against the Lions

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Speaker 1: and he had twenty yard rushing and that was it.

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Speaker 1: So that's why it's really hard. Injuries happen and all

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Speaker 1: of a sudden you're just gonna get like you just

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Speaker 1: get screwed. So I just don't like it, Okay. So

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Speaker 1: those are the two prop bets for Monday Night Football

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Speaker 1: tonight in the Discord channel bettingpros dot com s last

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Speaker 1: chat for more information, I will drop something in there

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Speaker 1: underneath me here on YouTube is a link to get there.

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Speaker 1: If you're watching, I am exhausted. I'm gonna go get

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Speaker 1: some sleep. I will talk to you guys coming up

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Speaker 1: for the Discord channel and then on Monday Night Football

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Speaker 1: we'll do some live ads potentially, and then I'll tell

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Speaker 1: you whether or not I'm taking the Raiders plus four

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Speaker 1: plus four plus four and a half here at home

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Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football up against the Baltimore Ravens. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt PEARLTZ. Follow me on Twitter at sports

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Speaker 1: Talk Matt. Every morning it's the The Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: Right here in Bettingpros dot Com, I always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet I'm jam k