1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: But the big question on everybody's living. The other chat lifts, 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: they're chatly right. Think Phil going to come out and 3 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:12,039 Speaker 1: see a shadow? Phil hands right with Chuck Chuckers. It's 4 00:00:12,480 --> 00:00:23,120 Speaker 1: road Hello and welcome to Stephanomics, the podcast that brings 5 00:00:23,160 --> 00:00:26,040 Speaker 1: the global economy to you, and it is ground dog 6 00:00:26,160 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 1: Day this week not just for punks Attorney Phil, but 7 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 1: also possibly for Italy, where politics has long seemed to 8 00:00:33,800 --> 00:00:38,640 Speaker 1: be stuck on a painful, repeated loop from crisis to salvation, 9 00:00:39,240 --> 00:00:43,080 Speaker 1: to political argument and then back to crisis again. We 10 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 1: thought Mario drug might be the one to break the 11 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,520 Speaker 1: cycle when he became Prime Minister just over a year ago, 12 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,600 Speaker 1: but he may now be heading for a cushier job 13 00:00:52,640 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: as Italy's President, in which case Italy may be heading 14 00:00:56,800 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 1: back to crisis and the whole cycle beginning again. Our 15 00:01:00,640 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: economy reporter in Rome, Alessandra Amliaccio, will tell you everything 16 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,120 Speaker 1: that's happening and why it matters in just a few minutes. 17 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 1: But first I wanted to talk about price gouging, inflation 18 00:01:12,360 --> 00:01:15,520 Speaker 1: and the Biden Administration's plans to cut the price of 19 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:20,160 Speaker 1: a stake voters don't like. Inflation highest in forty years, now, 20 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,480 Speaker 1: and President Biden doesn't like to be seen to be 21 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:27,560 Speaker 1: doing nothing about it. He also came into office promising 22 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:31,680 Speaker 1: to be more active in breaking up monopolies boosting competition. 23 00:01:32,720 --> 00:01:35,639 Speaker 1: In a few minutes, I'll talk to a distinguished former 24 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: antitrust official, Bill beat about how these two political desires 25 00:01:40,800 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: have come together in the administration's decision to pick a 26 00:01:44,440 --> 00:01:47,880 Speaker 1: fight with America's meat packers, and what the president's new 27 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: approach to competition might mean for the likes of Amazon 28 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:54,880 Speaker 1: and Facebook. But first, a brief introduction to the story 29 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:57,960 Speaker 1: from our U S Economy editor Molly Smith. In a 30 00:01:58,040 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: butcher shop in New Jersey. Uh and I'm afraid that 31 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 1: these you know, these inflation prices are going to stay. 32 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:08,280 Speaker 1: It seems like it's a little bit of greed on 33 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 1: their part, knowing the whole situation, and they have a 34 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:13,840 Speaker 1: good excuse right now to keep the prices at that 35 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 1: high market. That was Anthony Chiampa, owner of A and 36 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,959 Speaker 1: A Fine Foods in Lincoln Park, New Jersey, and he's 37 00:02:22,040 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: dealing with runaway inflation in the price of meat in 38 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,320 Speaker 1: his shop, with some prices for cuts going for now 39 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,800 Speaker 1: nineteen or twenty dollars a pound up from just nine 40 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:35,440 Speaker 1: or ten last summer. His vendor said it was COVID related, 41 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 1: as some plants were backlogged on production from being shut 42 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 1: down for a long period of time. But Chiampa has 43 00:02:42,360 --> 00:02:46,320 Speaker 1: another explanation. I sure feel that there's no need for it, 44 00:02:46,639 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: but unfortunately it's you know, these big companies that are 45 00:02:50,880 --> 00:02:54,800 Speaker 1: you know, dictating the pricing right. That's also what many 46 00:02:54,840 --> 00:02:58,080 Speaker 1: in the Biden administration think, and they're vowing to take 47 00:02:58,120 --> 00:03:00,960 Speaker 1: on food giants and force them to cut their prices. 48 00:03:01,639 --> 00:03:05,880 Speaker 1: There's economics and politics at work here. Inflation is hurting 49 00:03:05,880 --> 00:03:09,919 Speaker 1: President Biden's popularity, and the administration needs to show it's 50 00:03:09,960 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 1: doing something to bring it down. Consumer prices in the 51 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:19,639 Speaker 1: US rose seven per cent in the fastest calendar ar 52 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:23,160 Speaker 1: increase in thirty nine years. It's not just at the 53 00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:26,280 Speaker 1: grocery store. You've probably noticed it at the gas station 54 00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: as well, your energy bill or trying to buy a car. 55 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:33,280 Speaker 1: Economists largely agree this was brought on by supply demand 56 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:37,080 Speaker 1: and balances in the pandemic. Massive stimulus from governments and 57 00:03:37,200 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: central banks fuel demand, while lockdowns and COVID outbreaks limited 58 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: supplies of materials and labor. Many expect these dueling forces 59 00:03:46,040 --> 00:03:48,680 Speaker 1: will ease up this year as supply chains get back 60 00:03:48,680 --> 00:03:52,320 Speaker 1: in order and Americans spend down their pandemic savings, But 61 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 1: dominant companies could contribute even more to the Consumer Price 62 00:03:55,840 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: Index or cp I going forward. That's what Jeffrey Melly 63 00:04:00,040 --> 00:04:02,960 Speaker 1: has to say, the Global head of Research at Barclay's, 64 00:04:03,080 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 1: an author of a recent report on the impact of 65 00:04:05,840 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 1: COVID nineteen on market power, generalized inflation as a starting 66 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 1: point now because of supply chain distructions, but some companies 67 00:04:14,200 --> 00:04:16,920 Speaker 1: can take advantage of that by raising their prices, and 68 00:04:16,960 --> 00:04:20,240 Speaker 1: then that needs into CPI. But then that means there's 69 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 1: more generalized inflation than so companies of market power have 70 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:27,320 Speaker 1: even more air cover and even more profits. Tyson Foods 71 00:04:27,320 --> 00:04:30,839 Speaker 1: and JBS, some of the biggest meat processors in the country, 72 00:04:31,240 --> 00:04:35,719 Speaker 1: each reported gross profit margins of around in the fourth quarter, 73 00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:40,040 Speaker 1: some of the highest ever. In fact, the Biden administration 74 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:42,640 Speaker 1: is keeping a close eye on the meat packing industry, 75 00:04:43,040 --> 00:04:46,719 Speaker 1: or just a handful of companies control the market. Then 76 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:50,320 Speaker 1: there's Coke and Pepsi, who announced price increases within days 77 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,400 Speaker 1: of each other in July and meet around three billion 78 00:04:53,440 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: dollars in operating profits three months later at or near records. 79 00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,600 Speaker 1: Some economists and the Biden Emit illustration argue that if 80 00:05:01,640 --> 00:05:05,719 Speaker 1: companies were raising prices just enough to cover costs, those 81 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:10,000 Speaker 1: profit margins would be flat. In response, the meat packers 82 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,600 Speaker 1: say that labor shortages and strong demand are to plaim 83 00:05:13,600 --> 00:05:17,200 Speaker 1: for higher costs, while a Coke representative said the company 84 00:05:17,200 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 1: adjust its pricing to balance quote premiumization and affordability. But 85 00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 1: if you listen to recent calls that executives have had 86 00:05:27,480 --> 00:05:30,840 Speaker 1: with investors, you'll find quite a few talking about their 87 00:05:30,839 --> 00:05:34,960 Speaker 1: newfound pricing power. Here's Norwegian Cruise Line CEO Frank del 88 00:05:35,040 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: Rio on an earnings call in November. Yes, we have 89 00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:42,479 Speaker 1: inflation pressures on some online on in fuel, commodities, food, 90 00:05:43,080 --> 00:05:47,760 Speaker 1: but we've got that pricing power that is translating into 91 00:05:48,480 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 1: high yield. So we we believe that in late twenty 92 00:05:52,120 --> 00:05:57,840 Speaker 1: two three forward our margins should improve. And here's Mark Klaus, 93 00:05:57,880 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: CEO of Campbell's Soup at an investor or day last month. 94 00:06:01,520 --> 00:06:05,360 Speaker 1: And it's really about the full impact of our pricing, 95 00:06:05,360 --> 00:06:08,360 Speaker 1: which we do very much believe we have the pricing 96 00:06:08,440 --> 00:06:12,760 Speaker 1: power to address inflation. The Federal Reserve hopes to check 97 00:06:12,800 --> 00:06:17,000 Speaker 1: these price increases by raising interest rates this year. Meanwhile, 98 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 1: Biden has staffed antitrust agencies with regulators who are committed 99 00:06:21,680 --> 00:06:25,719 Speaker 1: to cracking down on big business. Lena Khan, who chairs 100 00:06:25,720 --> 00:06:29,360 Speaker 1: the Federal Trade Commission, said last week that she intends 101 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:32,840 Speaker 1: to act with a quote fierce sense of urgency to 102 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:36,800 Speaker 1: police competition in the economy. She'll have to balance that 103 00:06:36,880 --> 00:06:39,279 Speaker 1: with all the good things that come from big businesses, 104 00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:43,719 Speaker 1: namely the efficiencies and economies of scale that actually keep 105 00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:49,040 Speaker 1: prices down. In the end, both approaches present challenges, according 106 00:06:49,080 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: to Yanda Loger, a professor at ku love In in Belgium, 107 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:55,880 Speaker 1: and it's it's not that by sort of breaking up 108 00:06:55,880 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: these companies or or suddenly regulating them that you're going 109 00:07:00,960 --> 00:07:03,839 Speaker 1: to solve things as well, right, because that may actually 110 00:07:04,000 --> 00:07:09,000 Speaker 1: create harm for consumers down the road as well. Chiamba, 111 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:12,200 Speaker 1: the butcher shop owner, isn't holding his breath for prices 112 00:07:12,240 --> 00:07:14,920 Speaker 1: to come down. His vendors are saying it will be 113 00:07:14,960 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: another six to eight months before they can hopefully catch 114 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 1: up with production, and then if they have a lot 115 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,360 Speaker 1: of product that's not selling due to the price that's 116 00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: so high to the consumer, then they'll back off and 117 00:07:26,760 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 1: then I'll have more products and then I'll have to 118 00:07:28,400 --> 00:07:31,679 Speaker 1: bring that prices down, So that eventually will happen, I hope, 119 00:07:31,960 --> 00:07:34,400 Speaker 1: but I don't see it for the near future. For 120 00:07:34,440 --> 00:07:45,400 Speaker 1: Bloomberg News, I'm Molly Smith. Well, Molly has set us 121 00:07:45,440 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 1: up nicely, I think, for a conversation about pricing power 122 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:51,080 Speaker 1: and what the administration could or should do about it 123 00:07:51,120 --> 00:07:55,040 Speaker 1: with Bill Bear, now a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution, 124 00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:58,000 Speaker 1: but previously I think the only person to have led 125 00:07:58,080 --> 00:08:02,600 Speaker 1: antitrust enforcement at both of the U S antitrust agencies. 126 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,080 Speaker 1: So he was Assistant Attorney General in charge of antitrust 127 00:08:06,240 --> 00:08:10,679 Speaker 1: for the Department of Justice sixteen. But he also served 128 00:08:10,680 --> 00:08:13,080 Speaker 1: as a director at the Bureau of Competition at the 129 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:16,360 Speaker 1: Federal Trade Commission in the late nineties. So Bill, thank 130 00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:19,520 Speaker 1: you very much for joining us. We should start with 131 00:08:19,520 --> 00:08:22,400 Speaker 1: the subject of the day, meat packing. Is there a 132 00:08:22,440 --> 00:08:28,640 Speaker 1: serious competition problem that for the administration to fix? Definitely, 133 00:08:28,720 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: no doubt there is a serious problem here. We have 134 00:08:32,679 --> 00:08:41,120 Speaker 1: in beef and pork and poultry processing unprecedented concentration. In 135 00:08:41,240 --> 00:08:46,960 Speaker 1: beef they're just four players, and poultry there five. In 136 00:08:47,160 --> 00:08:51,880 Speaker 1: pork there are just four, and that gives the meat 137 00:08:51,920 --> 00:08:56,800 Speaker 1: packers enormous power both in dealing with the producers of 138 00:08:56,880 --> 00:09:00,840 Speaker 1: the livestock but also downstream in terms of setting prices 139 00:09:00,880 --> 00:09:04,520 Speaker 1: for the average consumer. There is a problem. Okay, there's 140 00:09:04,520 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: a problem, but how might be trickier? How should the 141 00:09:08,320 --> 00:09:13,319 Speaker 1: administration go about addressing this? There are a couple of 142 00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 1: things that can be done, and the administration is working 143 00:09:16,240 --> 00:09:21,320 Speaker 1: with them under the packers and stockyards and the Department 144 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:25,800 Speaker 1: of Agriculture has regulatory authority and have some ability to 145 00:09:26,040 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: force the packers too and the stockyards to uh deal 146 00:09:32,800 --> 00:09:38,520 Speaker 1: more fairly with the livestock producers. And in addition, what 147 00:09:38,760 --> 00:09:42,320 Speaker 1: the Biden administration is doing is providing funding to the 148 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:49,200 Speaker 1: farm agri culture for alternatives packers to develop alternative methods 149 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:54,120 Speaker 1: for livestock producers, the people who produced the cattle of 150 00:09:55,200 --> 00:09:59,920 Speaker 1: the chicken that go through these stock cared alternative sources 151 00:10:00,080 --> 00:10:05,319 Speaker 1: more competition, so there is more opportunity for the producer 152 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:08,640 Speaker 1: to get a fair share, and then more competition in 153 00:10:08,760 --> 00:10:12,400 Speaker 1: terms of setting price downstream. They are devoting uh some 154 00:10:12,520 --> 00:10:18,079 Speaker 1: hundreds of millions of dollars two funding alternative middlemen and 155 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,680 Speaker 1: provide more competition in a sector that I think most 156 00:10:21,679 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 1: people believe is way too concentrate. If if these companies 157 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,960 Speaker 1: are just making meat too expensive, especially now when we 158 00:10:30,080 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: have a lot of people are being encouraged to eat 159 00:10:32,360 --> 00:10:35,680 Speaker 1: less meat anyway, and there are plenty of alternatives to meet, 160 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: why is this not something that will get resolved on 161 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:41,679 Speaker 1: its own in the sense of prices go too high, 162 00:10:41,679 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: consumers are just not going to buy. Well, it's there 163 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:49,080 Speaker 1: is some ability, I suppose for consumer demand to move 164 00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 1: away from meat, but at the same time, a lot 165 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:56,720 Speaker 1: of consumers, um, that's what they want, that's what they're 166 00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: going to buy, that's what they're used to. The demand 167 00:10:59,720 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 1: is somewhat anelastic for these products, which gives a concentrated 168 00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:11,440 Speaker 1: market with very few sellers the ability to extort prices 169 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 1: that are higher than its competitive market would provide. In 170 00:11:14,960 --> 00:11:19,320 Speaker 1: a way, the complaint about the meat packing is quite 171 00:11:19,320 --> 00:11:22,080 Speaker 1: a traditional approach to antitrust that you judge by whether 172 00:11:22,200 --> 00:11:24,800 Speaker 1: or not you think prices are too expensive and consumers 173 00:11:24,800 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 1: are not being served because prices are expensive. But one 174 00:11:28,960 --> 00:11:30,840 Speaker 1: of the things that seems to have changed in this 175 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:34,079 Speaker 1: administration is that we're not just thinking about the price 176 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 1: for consumers. We might be worried about a company being 177 00:11:36,400 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 1: really big even if it's offering all its things for free, Facebook, 178 00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:43,640 Speaker 1: for example, which often comes up in these conversations, would 179 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 1: you welcome the idea that the administration is now quite 180 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:50,760 Speaker 1: focused on size, actually is caring about the size of 181 00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:54,920 Speaker 1: a company even if all its consumers seem to love 182 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:58,600 Speaker 1: its products and use it a great deal, and that's 183 00:11:58,640 --> 00:12:00,320 Speaker 1: one of the reasons why it's so big. I guess 184 00:12:00,320 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 1: Amazon is another classic example. Yeah, I think it is 185 00:12:04,360 --> 00:12:08,640 Speaker 1: a legitimate focus. You have any trust lawsuits depending right 186 00:12:08,679 --> 00:12:13,280 Speaker 1: now involving Facebook and involving Amazon. There are rumors of 187 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:20,679 Speaker 1: possible lawsuits against against Apple, UH and UM and others, 188 00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 1: and I think those lawsuits are focused on the fact 189 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:28,800 Speaker 1: that once you get to a certain size, you have 190 00:12:28,960 --> 00:12:33,600 Speaker 1: tremendous market power, tremendous ability to limit the opportunity of 191 00:12:33,720 --> 00:12:37,040 Speaker 1: rivals to grow up to compete with a Facebook or 192 00:12:37,080 --> 00:12:40,640 Speaker 1: to compete with the Amazon. The case the FTC brought 193 00:12:40,679 --> 00:12:47,080 Speaker 1: against Facebook involves Facebook's tact man strategy where they gobble 194 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 1: up at anybody who looks like they could be a 195 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:55,120 Speaker 1: competitive threat. And the documents that have come out in 196 00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:58,320 Speaker 1: that litigation and congressional hearings, so that was a very 197 00:12:58,360 --> 00:13:03,280 Speaker 1: deliberate strategy from from the top. Let's not let Instagram 198 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:07,160 Speaker 1: or what's app go any further. Let's catch them and 199 00:13:07,200 --> 00:13:08,880 Speaker 1: they can then catch them and make them part of 200 00:13:08,920 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 1: their off ing where they can catch them and kill them. 201 00:13:11,520 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 1: And that is a legitimate anti trust worry, and it 202 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:21,880 Speaker 1: has a significant effect on our abilities consumers to move 203 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:25,920 Speaker 1: from one platform to another. There's only one one platform 204 00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 1: that serves our needs, whether it's shopping or communication. We 205 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:34,080 Speaker 1: are subject to those platforms rules on privacy, on sharing 206 00:13:34,080 --> 00:13:38,439 Speaker 1: of our information, as well as giving them enormous pricing 207 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:42,480 Speaker 1: power in terms of what we pay for the goods 208 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:46,920 Speaker 1: we buy through an Amazon platform. And to the extent 209 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:52,600 Speaker 1: we're not paying dollars and cents or or pounds sterling 210 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:54,839 Speaker 1: for the right to be on the platform, we are 211 00:13:54,960 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 1: paying with our personal data, which is of great value 212 00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:02,480 Speaker 1: not just the platform, but the people who sell products 213 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,120 Speaker 1: on those platform as the line I always sell my 214 00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:07,560 Speaker 1: my teenage son. If you're not paying for the product, 215 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:10,920 Speaker 1: you're the product your data. And lots of people tend 216 00:14:10,920 --> 00:14:14,080 Speaker 1: to be worried about the size, the sheer size of 217 00:14:14,120 --> 00:14:19,480 Speaker 1: these companies, but then you see things like the testimony 218 00:14:19,520 --> 00:14:25,240 Speaker 1: that and that Mark Zuckerberg gave in his appearance on 219 00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 1: the in Congress a few years ago, where it became 220 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:30,640 Speaker 1: completely obvious that the senators really didn't know anything about 221 00:14:30,640 --> 00:14:33,520 Speaker 1: Facebook and didn't know anything about social media. Do we 222 00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:36,600 Speaker 1: have any sense that government really is going to be 223 00:14:36,640 --> 00:14:40,520 Speaker 1: able to do this better than the companies themselves? I 224 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:44,280 Speaker 1: think the any trust and worsers um at the Federal 225 00:14:44,280 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 1: Trade Commission, the Justice Department no a lot more than 226 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:52,560 Speaker 1: than perhaps some people give them credit for knowing. You 227 00:14:52,640 --> 00:14:56,600 Speaker 1: look at the Hill hearing that have been conducted NOAD 228 00:14:57,320 --> 00:15:02,840 Speaker 1: eighteen months. There are a lot of people sophisticated in technology. 229 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:06,280 Speaker 1: And you see that frankly in the UK at the 230 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 1: Central Markets Authority. You see it in in Brussels with 231 00:15:11,480 --> 00:15:15,560 Speaker 1: the European Commission. These are people who they have hired, 232 00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: people who know a lot about technology, who know how 233 00:15:19,320 --> 00:15:23,120 Speaker 1: to hire installtance that will inform them where they may 234 00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:25,760 Speaker 1: lack the knowledge. I think they're up to the task. 235 00:15:25,840 --> 00:15:28,400 Speaker 1: I really do. Is it fair to say that Facebook 236 00:15:28,600 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: is the standard oil of our time, that great massive 237 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:35,960 Speaker 1: monopoly that Roosevelt broke up in the in the antitrust, 238 00:15:36,000 --> 00:15:40,240 Speaker 1: the trust busting era of the early nineteen hundreds, well, 239 00:15:40,360 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 1: no analogy is perfect, but I do think, uh, Facebook, Google, Amazon, 240 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 1: Apple in their particular space, our tech platform that have 241 00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:56,560 Speaker 1: enormous power, and that was what was that issue in 242 00:15:56,600 --> 00:16:02,160 Speaker 1: the Standard oil case. How you address misuse of that power, 243 00:16:02,360 --> 00:16:08,080 Speaker 1: how you promote competition. Maybe somewhat different in technology than 244 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:11,160 Speaker 1: it was with Standard Oil or back thirty years ago 245 00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 1: when the government broke up the A, T and T monopoly, 246 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 1: but they are comparable in the sense that they are 247 00:16:21,080 --> 00:16:25,040 Speaker 1: very powerful companies that appear to be using that power 248 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:29,200 Speaker 1: to suppress competition, and that's bad for the American economy, 249 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:32,120 Speaker 1: it's bad for consumer. The conversations I've had with people 250 00:16:32,120 --> 00:16:35,880 Speaker 1: in motions about this have said that actually, there's a 251 00:16:35,920 --> 00:16:38,800 Speaker 1: lot of talk about it, and the administration has kind 252 00:16:38,840 --> 00:16:41,720 Speaker 1: of talked to big game, but ultimately it's going to 253 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:45,040 Speaker 1: be too hard and certainly very difficult to pass anything 254 00:16:45,040 --> 00:16:47,600 Speaker 1: through Congress, and we're not going to see that kind 255 00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,600 Speaker 1: of dramatic action against Facebook or other companies. Do you agree. 256 00:16:53,280 --> 00:16:55,360 Speaker 1: I don't know what's going to happen in Congress. You know, 257 00:16:55,680 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: betting on Congress, which is so divided and so many 258 00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,840 Speaker 1: issues right now, is not money well spent. At the 259 00:17:02,840 --> 00:17:06,879 Speaker 1: same time, there are these anti trust enforcement actions which 260 00:17:07,359 --> 00:17:10,480 Speaker 1: are pending, are moving on and have the ability to 261 00:17:10,560 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 1: achieve that the courts agree that there's a problem there 262 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:17,520 Speaker 1: to achieve some of the results that that Congress is 263 00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:21,000 Speaker 1: considering right now, and Congress may or may not pass. 264 00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 1: Just going back to where we started, do you think 265 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:28,520 Speaker 1: they're trying to put too much onto antitrust? That it 266 00:17:28,560 --> 00:17:35,640 Speaker 1: can be a policy for improving consumer outcomes in certain sectors, 267 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,760 Speaker 1: or helping workers get paid more in other sectors in 268 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:42,359 Speaker 1: fast food, for example, or it can be a way 269 00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:44,639 Speaker 1: of tackling some of the things we don't like about 270 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:47,640 Speaker 1: Facebook or other social media platforms. But can it really 271 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:51,159 Speaker 1: do all of those things and reduce inflation? Are we 272 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:55,240 Speaker 1: just asking too much? I think we need to be 273 00:17:55,320 --> 00:18:01,119 Speaker 1: careful about what we have competition policy who accomplished. I 274 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:05,960 Speaker 1: think that is a fair caution. For example, um uh, 275 00:18:06,359 --> 00:18:12,159 Speaker 1: unfettered competition can produce bad outcomes externalities in the environment, 276 00:18:12,960 --> 00:18:17,520 Speaker 1: in terms of social outcomes, two big companies merge, they 277 00:18:17,520 --> 00:18:21,600 Speaker 1: declare redundancies and workers are out of work. Is any 278 00:18:21,640 --> 00:18:24,399 Speaker 1: trust the best way to address that problem? Or do 279 00:18:24,440 --> 00:18:27,639 Speaker 1: you take it on as a public policy question where 280 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:32,160 Speaker 1: companies who are emerging are required to have an extended 281 00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:35,639 Speaker 1: severance period continue to in the US to cover the 282 00:18:35,640 --> 00:18:40,359 Speaker 1: health benefits of workers declared redundant. So I I do 283 00:18:40,560 --> 00:18:46,080 Speaker 1: think it is wrong to think of competition as the 284 00:18:46,160 --> 00:18:49,639 Speaker 1: magic pill that will solve all problems. At the same time, 285 00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:55,480 Speaker 1: there clearly our ways in which we can make competition 286 00:18:55,520 --> 00:19:00,280 Speaker 1: policy a part of the solution to higher price is 287 00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:04,800 Speaker 1: too overly concentrated industries to problems in terms of not 288 00:19:04,920 --> 00:19:09,200 Speaker 1: just price, but also product quality and innovation. Nary Sumas, 289 00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:13,160 Speaker 1: for example, has has talked about scarcity denial. He says 290 00:19:13,200 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: that some of the administrations sort of blaming of inflation 291 00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:21,400 Speaker 1: on greed and price price gouging by companies is actually 292 00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,040 Speaker 1: just in denial that there's a shortage of some key 293 00:19:24,119 --> 00:19:26,280 Speaker 1: stuff at the moment because of the pandemic. And as 294 00:19:26,320 --> 00:19:27,880 Speaker 1: long as you deny that, as long as you blame 295 00:19:27,880 --> 00:19:31,840 Speaker 1: it on greed, you're kind of not being serious about inflation. Well, 296 00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:35,119 Speaker 1: I don't think anyone in this administration that I've heard 297 00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:40,879 Speaker 1: speak or who's written something, has suggested that concentration is 298 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:46,679 Speaker 1: the soul or principle factor contributing to this recent inflationary trend. 299 00:19:47,160 --> 00:19:52,120 Speaker 1: You know, fiscal policy, monetary policy, COVID shortages, the whole 300 00:19:52,160 --> 00:19:58,159 Speaker 1: supply chain disruption clearly is having a driving effect on 301 00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 1: price increases. At the same time, in concentrated industries you 302 00:20:04,080 --> 00:20:09,680 Speaker 1: see the dominant firms doing more than just passing on 303 00:20:10,040 --> 00:20:15,119 Speaker 1: price increases. They are actually adding a expl level of 304 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 1: profit margin to their price increases. In truly competitive markets, 305 00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:25,119 Speaker 1: that would be very hard to do, but in many industries, 306 00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:31,359 Speaker 1: including UH agriculture, concentration makes it possible for that to happen. Bilbert, 307 00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:42,159 Speaker 1: thank you, You're welcome. It's been a pleasure. And now 308 00:20:42,200 --> 00:20:46,119 Speaker 1: to road in a byzantine process to select the next 309 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:49,919 Speaker 1: Italian president, which may yet put Italy back at the 310 00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:52,600 Speaker 1: top of the list of European countries most likely to 311 00:20:52,640 --> 00:20:56,080 Speaker 1: have a crisis. You'll remember, last time we checked the 312 00:20:56,119 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 1: great technocrats and savior of the euro the former head 313 00:20:59,119 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 1: of the European Center Bank, President Mario drag was putting 314 00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,280 Speaker 1: Italy on the road to reform and in the process 315 00:21:05,320 --> 00:21:07,880 Speaker 1: putting it in line to receive billions of euros from 316 00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:12,120 Speaker 1: the European Recovery Fund set up in response to COVID. Well, 317 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:15,919 Speaker 1: now it seems drug is ready for a change. But 318 00:21:16,000 --> 00:21:19,879 Speaker 1: what about the rest of Italy's government. Here's Alessandra Meliaccio. 319 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,479 Speaker 1: Mario Drag has been touted as Italy's savior from an 320 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:28,680 Speaker 1: endless political groundhog day loop, which is seen about seventy 321 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:32,280 Speaker 1: governments taking turns in as many years. The plot is 322 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 1: a familiar one Italy in crisis, enter savior, reforms, exit savior, 323 00:21:39,440 --> 00:21:44,919 Speaker 1: enter squabbling politicians, and again Italy in crisis and repeat. 324 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,600 Speaker 1: But the presidential vote this week and the political frenzy 325 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 1: around it has raised concerns about who will lead Italy 326 00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 1: if Drug leaves his post as Prime Minister, an executive role, 327 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:59,000 Speaker 1: to become the country's next president, a prestigious but less 328 00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 1: hands on role elected by the parliament. Will his legacy 329 00:22:02,920 --> 00:22:05,200 Speaker 1: of changes be enough to make sure that Italy keeps 330 00:22:05,280 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 1: up with the regular schedule of reforms promised to the 331 00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,520 Speaker 1: European Union. If not, it could put in jeopardy more 332 00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,359 Speaker 1: than two hundred billion euros worth of recovery fund cash 333 00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:19,480 Speaker 1: coming the country's way in the next few years. Enzovans, 334 00:22:20,040 --> 00:22:23,520 Speaker 1: a politician and professor at Lewis University in Rome, is 335 00:22:23,560 --> 00:22:27,920 Speaker 1: familiar with what he calls Italy's recurring loop of technocratic 336 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:34,920 Speaker 1: and then political governments, considering the present European recovery plans constrained, 337 00:22:35,720 --> 00:22:39,080 Speaker 1: you need an expert and respected driver to lead the 338 00:22:39,840 --> 00:22:45,720 Speaker 1: Italian government. It is undoubtedly part of Mario Drugs positive 339 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:50,439 Speaker 1: legacy to have established a situation requiring the leadership figure 340 00:22:51,119 --> 00:22:55,760 Speaker 1: of very high spending, whatever it happens means, served as 341 00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:59,280 Speaker 1: Foreign Affairs and European Affairs Minister in three different administrations 342 00:22:59,720 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 1: led by technocratic Premier Mario Monty and by political premiers 343 00:23:03,840 --> 00:23:07,840 Speaker 1: Enrico Leta and grew Zeppe. Content He thinks Druggi has 344 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,520 Speaker 1: raised the bar for whoever will come next. If he 345 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:16,040 Speaker 1: becomes President of the Republic, his replacement must have the 346 00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:21,119 Speaker 1: strength and the specific competence to govern Italy through struck 347 00:23:21,240 --> 00:23:27,360 Speaker 1: from reform strictly monitored by the EU authorities and institution. 348 00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:34,399 Speaker 1: Not that Italy isn't able to pull itself together when needed. 349 00:23:34,800 --> 00:23:36,760 Speaker 1: It did so to become part of the Euro Single 350 00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:39,760 Speaker 1: Currency Club, It did so to avoid catastrophe in two 351 00:23:39,800 --> 00:23:43,200 Speaker 1: thousand eleven when it's financing caused sword to dangerous levels, 352 00:23:43,760 --> 00:23:45,919 Speaker 1: and it did so last year when it met all 353 00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:48,440 Speaker 1: of the EU criteria to unlock the first twenty four 354 00:23:48,440 --> 00:23:52,600 Speaker 1: billion euro installment of EU Recovery Fund cash and in fact, 355 00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,440 Speaker 1: meeting all the use requirements for its pandemic relief money 356 00:23:55,760 --> 00:23:58,520 Speaker 1: has been a heavy burden. There were fifty one targets 357 00:23:58,560 --> 00:24:02,320 Speaker 1: to me from drafting laws to setting up of tender 358 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:04,960 Speaker 1: and selecting projects, and there will be more than a 359 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:09,480 Speaker 1: hundred goals this year, including proof of actual investments, always 360 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,320 Speaker 1: a challenge for Italy with its red tape in a 361 00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:14,640 Speaker 1: history of not using YOU funds in time, and not 362 00:24:14,760 --> 00:24:17,520 Speaker 1: using the funds would mean missing out on investments that 363 00:24:17,560 --> 00:24:22,280 Speaker 1: are the only way to fund growth and escape economic stagnation. Now, 364 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:26,320 Speaker 1: given Italy's ability to cram for exams but tendency to 365 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:30,280 Speaker 1: stray in between obligations, what Druggy tried working with you 366 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,280 Speaker 1: is to leave his country with a system that will 367 00:24:33,320 --> 00:24:36,760 Speaker 1: force it to stay on track, regardless of the political squabbling. 368 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:39,760 Speaker 1: As Druggie himself put it during his end of year 369 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: press conference, his presence is no longer indispensable. Hell, we 370 00:24:50,119 --> 00:24:53,919 Speaker 1: have done three important things. We have turned Italy into 371 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:57,080 Speaker 1: one of the most flaccinated countries in the world. We 372 00:24:57,160 --> 00:25:01,639 Speaker 1: have delivered our National Recovery and Resilient Investment plan on time, 373 00:25:02,080 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 1: and we have achieved to use fifty one targets, and 374 00:25:06,359 --> 00:25:09,560 Speaker 1: so we have created the conditions that can allow and 375 00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:13,760 Speaker 1: work on the recovery plan and its targets to continue. 376 00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:17,920 Speaker 1: The government has created these conditions independently from whom will 377 00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,879 Speaker 1: be in power. Yet a luck could still go wrong, 378 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:25,160 Speaker 1: particularly with Italy notoriously querulous politicians training at the leash 379 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,720 Speaker 1: to take power once again. Inability to use funds and 380 00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:30,800 Speaker 1: put in place long term growth could be fatal to 381 00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:34,280 Speaker 1: Italy's future. And then there's always the chance of unleashing 382 00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:37,120 Speaker 1: a sell off of Italian debt if markets don't trust 383 00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,560 Speaker 1: the country's leadership. Druggy isn't stepping out of public life altogether. 384 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:43,959 Speaker 1: The Prime Minister and former head of the European Central 385 00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:47,720 Speaker 1: Bank is now eyeing the presidential palace once a papal 386 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 1: residents perched atop ROMs queerin Ali Hill. Druggy biographer Marco 387 00:25:52,520 --> 00:25:56,880 Speaker 1: Cecchini thinks it's really been his plan all along. One 388 00:25:57,240 --> 00:26:05,119 Speaker 1: Druggy left MTB, he uh thought that Quirinale was his 389 00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:10,440 Speaker 1: natural destination, and in fact the seven Moni of Farewell 390 00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:16,720 Speaker 1: in Frankfort at the end of October twenty nineteen was 391 00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:23,200 Speaker 1: a sort of crowning of him as leader, an European leader, 392 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:29,920 Speaker 1: and so that UH is another another contriguration to to 393 00:26:30,200 --> 00:26:36,640 Speaker 1: justify his destination UH in the Quirinale. After all, if 394 00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:39,760 Speaker 1: he remains Prime Minister, drugging might get tracked down into 395 00:26:39,840 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 1: the mire of political squabbling, has happened to Italy's previous 396 00:26:43,040 --> 00:26:47,520 Speaker 1: technocratic savior, Mario Munty. If he manages to become president, however, 397 00:26:47,800 --> 00:26:50,399 Speaker 1: he removes himself from the fray and becomes italy Is 398 00:26:50,440 --> 00:26:55,000 Speaker 1: guaranteer and moral authority for the next seven years, possibly 399 00:26:55,440 --> 00:27:17,119 Speaker 1: another way to break the ground home day cycle. And 400 00:27:17,240 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 1: that is it for this season of Stephanomics. We're supposed 401 00:27:20,880 --> 00:27:23,200 Speaker 1: to kick off again in April, but if I talk 402 00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:26,159 Speaker 1: to anyone really interesting in the meantime, we'll put it 403 00:27:26,160 --> 00:27:29,480 Speaker 1: on this feed. And with Stephanomics gone, you should have 404 00:27:29,560 --> 00:27:32,160 Speaker 1: that much more time to learn about the global economy 405 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:36,399 Speaker 1: by following at Economics on Twitter. This episode, all our 406 00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:40,359 Speaker 1: episodes are produced by Magnus Henderson, with special thanks to 407 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:45,080 Speaker 1: Molly Smith, Alessandra Miliaccio, and Bill Bear. Mike Sasso is 408 00:27:45,119 --> 00:27:48,360 Speaker 1: executive producer of Stephanomics and the head of Bloomberg Podcast 409 00:27:48,560 --> 00:27:49,520 Speaker 1: of Francesco mus