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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast PoTA.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn. Ten seconds remaining, Son,

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Speaker 2: just go show up to the basket.

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Speaker 1: Under the basket.

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Speaker 2: It's the troupe for the wind.

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Speaker 3: God make Amerracle I.

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Speaker 2: Up the water. Hit that one from the parking lot.

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Speaker 3: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. I'm Mike

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Speaker 3: Calbery's We're diving into the women's Final four down in Tampa, Florida,

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Speaker 3: and I am joined by a luminary of the women's game,

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Speaker 3: Danomataiah from her hoopstats dot Com, to break it all down, Dano.

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Speaker 3: Much like the men's Final four, the Cream has risen

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Speaker 3: to the top ear Three of the four teams that

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Speaker 3: have made it to the national semifinal spent time during

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Speaker 3: the season as the number one ranked team in the

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Speaker 3: AP Poll. The only exception, of course, is Yukon, and

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Speaker 3: they've only lost one since the calendar turned to twenty

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Speaker 3: twenty five. We have absolute heavyweight legends on the sideline,

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Speaker 3: Gino Ari, Emma down Staley. They've combined for fourteen national championships.

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Speaker 3: Texas is Vic Shaffer, who led Mississippi State to back

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Speaker 3: to back national title games, has elevated this Texas program,

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Speaker 3: bringing the Longhorns back to the Final Four for the

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Speaker 3: first time in twenty two years. And then of course

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Speaker 3: there's Corey Close and UCLA attending their very first Final Four.

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Speaker 3: She just took home National Player or Coach of the

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Speaker 3: Year honors, I should say multiple of them to boot.

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Speaker 3: So the coaching is absolutely loaded here in the Final four.

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Speaker 3: But let's go on to the court.

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Speaker 2: We got star power as well.

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Speaker 3: You got Yukon's Page Beckers, you got UCLA's Lauren Betts.

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Speaker 3: They were both Naysmith finalists this season. But as we know,

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Speaker 3: basketball is a team sport. Texas has suffocated teams on

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Speaker 3: the defensive end in route to the Final four, and

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Speaker 3: then South Carolina has shown its depth. They've had four

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Speaker 3: separate leading scorers in their four wins leading up to

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Speaker 3: the Final four. So let's start there. In terms of

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Speaker 3: your handicap, do you look at the coaching, do you

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Speaker 3: look at the star power or do you look at

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Speaker 3: the team's overall statistical resume When you break down some

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Speaker 3: of these handicaps, I.

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Speaker 1: Think it's definitely multiple factors. I think experience this is

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Speaker 1: a huge thing. So we know that the game Cocks

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Speaker 1: have three players that have been to four final fours now,

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Speaker 1: which is incredible, highly respect that, but they do rely

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Speaker 1: on some incredibly young talent in Malaysia Full Wiley and

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Speaker 1: Joyce Edwards. Don Staley incredible coach. Can't say anything about that, Gino,

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Speaker 1: you know what you're gonna get. Corey Close has not

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Speaker 1: been able to, you know, get over that hump. I mean,

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Speaker 1: she just got her first Final four. She's been probably

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Speaker 1: criticized the most out of these four coaches. And then

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Speaker 1: Vick Schaeffer has been definitely criticized for not winning the

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Speaker 1: big one.

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Speaker 2: He's won as an assistant. But come Close.

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Speaker 1: You know, been to a couple of national championships, and

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Speaker 1: we know that Texas's offense is a rough watch, but

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Speaker 1: you've alluded to it earlier.

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Speaker 2: The defense is something special.

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Speaker 1: So it's I'm glad we get the best four teams.

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Speaker 1: I mean, the best team in the field left is

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Speaker 1: a two seed by far. The books know it, everybody

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Speaker 1: knows it. Pagebackers is special. I don't think we've seen

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Speaker 1: a run in March like this from a woman player really.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we had Kayln Clark, but besides here, in

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Speaker 1: the last few years there's nothing close to what Page

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Speaker 1: is doing right now, and with the parody that's in

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Speaker 1: women's college basketball now, it's almost as just as special

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Speaker 1: as what Kaitlin did so excited to see.

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Speaker 3: Let's start chronologically. First matchup up is South Carolina against

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Speaker 3: Texas and SEC matchup. The game Cocks are a four

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Speaker 3: and a half point favorite, the total set at one

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Speaker 3: twenty four and a half. Do you think this is

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Speaker 3: going to be an Underbetter's paradise, a true rock fight

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Speaker 3: between the game Cocks and the Long Corns.

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Speaker 2: Absolutely.

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Speaker 1: I mean, this game open at one twenty five and

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Speaker 1: a half, it's down to one twenty four and a half,

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Speaker 1: which I still like. I think these two teams are

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Speaker 1: two of the best three defensive teams in the country

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Speaker 1: outside of Yukon. They're both physical, they don't shoot many threes.

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Speaker 1: Texas took three point attempts against TCU but held them

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Speaker 1: to forty eight points.

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Speaker 2: It's I mean, they have motivation like both to lock up.

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Speaker 2: They both talk about, oh, I can't you know if

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Speaker 2: she can't guard me.

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Speaker 1: Masive Booker famously said that against pre Hall, and then

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Speaker 1: she went out and scored less than ten points in

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Speaker 1: the SEC championship game.

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Speaker 2: One of these games, one of.

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Speaker 1: Their three matchups did go over or did go over

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Speaker 1: went to one to twenty eight. So there's always a

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Speaker 1: chance at the end of these tournament games that you're

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Speaker 1: going to see a ton of free throws.

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Speaker 2: So that is a cause for concern.

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Speaker 1: If this did, you know, live drop below one p

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Speaker 1: fifteen and a half, I'd probably take a you know,

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Speaker 1: a half unit on the over to at least get

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Speaker 1: myself some some coverage there. But I think it's going

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Speaker 1: to be a disgusting game that leads us into probably

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Speaker 1: the game of the tournament between UCLA and You've gone.

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Speaker 3: Is there any additional player props that you're interested in

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Speaker 3: that one?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, definitely.

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Speaker 1: So I spoke earlier about experience, and one player that

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Speaker 1: have relied on this season is All American Joyce Edwards

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Speaker 1: or high school All American Joyce Edwards. Freshman Big plays

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Speaker 1: the four for South Carolina, but her production is significantly

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Speaker 1: down in the tournament, not including their blowout win by

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Speaker 1: seventy against Tennessee Tech.

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Speaker 2: In the next three games leading up to the.

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Speaker 1: Final four, she's averaging just five points a game and

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Speaker 1: averaging two less minutes in the regular season. I mean,

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Speaker 1: and now she's going to be on a bigger stage

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Speaker 1: than ever before with tons of pressure because everybody expects

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Speaker 1: the game talks to always make it to the national

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Speaker 1: championship now, so I think that Texas has the bigs

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Speaker 1: and the defense to cightle her. She's went over this

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Speaker 1: number once against Texas, and as I said before, she's

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Speaker 1: not really given you the same type of production in

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Speaker 1: the tournament, and I don't see her stepping.

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Speaker 3: Up before we get into futures that you can still

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Speaker 3: place teams to win the National Championship players to be

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Speaker 3: named most outstanding player of the final four. Let's look

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Speaker 3: at Yukon versus UCLA. The Huskies are seven and a

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Speaker 3: half point favorite here, the total sitting in one thirty.

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Speaker 2: Five and a half.

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Speaker 3: Is this just a runaway train that the Huskies are

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Speaker 3: just too tough at this point? And if so, is

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Speaker 3: there different ways to play them at a at her number,

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Speaker 3: whether you're taking them at a live number, a first half,

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Speaker 3: first quarter.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I think this open at eight and a half,

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Speaker 1: and I probably liked Ucla at that number gives you,

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Speaker 1: you know, basically or almost three possessions. It is so

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Speaker 1: hard to even think about bidding against the Yukon right now,

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Speaker 1: not just in the tournament, but in the month of March.

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Speaker 1: They're eight to zero against the spread and doing it

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Speaker 1: in multiple ways, just blowing out teams, letting teams come

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Speaker 1: back in, and then blowing them out in a fourth

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Speaker 1: quarter like they did it against USC.

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Speaker 2: Pagebackers like you.

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Speaker 1: Said before, playing at an unbelievable level, three straight games

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Speaker 1: of thirty points in this tournament, which has not been

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Speaker 1: done ever. Kaylyn Clark dropped multiple forty point games but

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Speaker 1: then ended with twenty nine, So it's it's tough to

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Speaker 1: bet against them.

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Speaker 2: But also I can see Yukon letting up a bit,

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Speaker 2: and you know, I.

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Speaker 1: Mean, there's a there's a right to be or you're

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Speaker 1: rightful to be fearful of born bets.

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Speaker 2: She's six seven.

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Speaker 1: She basically a cheat code, and Yukon has not played

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Speaker 1: anybody like her this year. And I mean the closest

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Speaker 1: cop is probably Raya Marshall from USC who just had

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Speaker 1: twenty three and fourteen against Yukon. So I do think

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Speaker 1: they hang. If you were tell me to bet this game,

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Speaker 1: I would take the points with UCLA, but I love

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Speaker 1: the first quarter spread for Yukon minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: They've covered the first quarter in every game this month

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Speaker 1: of March, with the exception of a tournament game against

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Speaker 1: Villanova in the Big East. But I mean, I think

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Speaker 1: the last five games thirty four to five, holding holding

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Speaker 1: every team under fourteen points. I think teams are averaging

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Speaker 1: ten points a game in first quarters against Yukon. So

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Speaker 1: I love the first quarter edge there. Page has been

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Speaker 1: on this stage before. Nobody else from UCLA has come

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Speaker 1: near the final four. I think they lost in the

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Speaker 1: sweet sixteen last year against LSU, So it is it's

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Speaker 1: to me a smash spot for You've got to come

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Speaker 1: out and shock the Bruins right away.

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Speaker 3: With this national semi final, it's an opportunity for sportsbooks

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Speaker 3: to also put out player props across the board. What

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Speaker 3: I found interesting, We've talked so much given the flowers

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Speaker 3: to Paige Becker's and she deserves it. The fact that

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Speaker 3: her points, rebounds and assists are in the mid thirties.

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Speaker 3: I just heard you go through her scoring streak, you know,

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Speaker 3: to be able to tackle on rebounds and assists. I mean,

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Speaker 3: this feels like maybe this is too much of a

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Speaker 3: public play, am I a sucker to just go worked

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Speaker 3: her on this at thirty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: No, you're not a sucker. I mean one.

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Speaker 1: It is extremely fun to bet on star players, especially

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Speaker 1: in the women's game. I think last year at the

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Speaker 1: final four, I gave out a Kaitlyn Clark assist under

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Speaker 1: or two years ago. Is she had nine going into

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter and ended with nine when she went there,

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Speaker 1: Kaylyn Clark mode with page, you got two things going

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Speaker 1: for you. Gino is going to play her the entire

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Speaker 1: game unless she really does bad, and I don't see

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Speaker 1: her not being focused at all.

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Speaker 2: She's going to come in locked in.

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Speaker 1: Last year in the tournament, she played forty straight minutes

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Speaker 1: up until the final four when they got knocked out

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Speaker 1: against Iowa. She's playing over thirty eight minutes with the

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Speaker 1: exception of the seventy point win against Arkansas State. So

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Speaker 1: I feel very comfortable here. She's looking for her shot,

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Speaker 1: she's being aggressive, she's scoring at all three levels. Get

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Speaker 1: into the line, and then yeah, give me some rebounds

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Speaker 1: and assist. Absolutely, so I think I mean to me,

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Speaker 1: I think I'm taking this up to forty. I don't

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Speaker 1: know how much you know sports look to let you

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Speaker 1: get down on this type of prop specifically, but I

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Speaker 1: do love.

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Speaker 3: It now looking at the final four teams here, there

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Speaker 3: are any different angles in terms of playing a national

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Speaker 3: championship future right at this moment, a most outstanding player

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Speaker 3: in the Final four trying to get the national title

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Speaker 3: game exacta is anything on your radar as a different

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Speaker 3: way to play the Final Four in action on Saturday?

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Speaker 1: Excuse me on Sunday, Yeah, I mean I as a

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Speaker 1: Texas fan, I am very hopeful that Texas can pull

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Speaker 1: off an upset win is underdogs against South Carolina, but

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Speaker 1: I do think we are going to get Yukon South Carolina.

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't mind doing a moneyline parlay or an exactly there.

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Speaker 1: To me, I don't see anybody beating Yukon. They just

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Speaker 1: look so dominant. Everybody's locked in, They're getting contributions from everybody,

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Speaker 1: and I think they're now down the minus one fifty

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Speaker 1: everywhere or minus one sixty. And to me, if you

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Speaker 1: can get page backers at most outstanding player, that's.

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Speaker 2: Probably the angle to go. You're going to get slightly

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Speaker 2: better odds there.

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Speaker 3: That'll do it for us. If you like what you

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Speaker 3: heard from Dano, you can find this Final four picks

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Speaker 3: and WNBA picks all season long at Spread the Floor,

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Speaker 3: available at her hoopstats dot com, and get excited because

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Speaker 3: next month Dana will be joining our very own Jim

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Speaker 3: Turvy talking WNBA betting every week on our Buckets WNBA podcast.

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Speaker 3: There's also full coverage for the men's Final Four from

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Speaker 3: the Three Man Weave, as well as my preview with

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Speaker 3: Stucky Greg Wadell, now both available on podcast and our

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Speaker 3: BBOC YouTube channel, so be sure to check those out

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Speaker 3: and leave us a five star review for Dano Matia

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Speaker 3: on Mike Calabrey's Enjoy the Games and best of luck

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Speaker 3: with your bets.

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Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

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