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Speaker 1: The Volume. All right, welcome to's tonight here the Volume.

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Speaker 1: Happy Tuesday, everybody. Hope you guys are all having a

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Speaker 1: good start to her week. We are live on end

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Speaker 1: so if you're watching on YouTube or listening on the

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Speaker 1: podcast feed, don't forget that AMP is the very first

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Speaker 1: place that you guys can get these shows. We are

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Speaker 1: continuing our player rankings today with number nine. Jimmy Butler.

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Speaker 1: Been getting a lot of crap about putting Luca at ten.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna talk a little bit about that as well.

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Speaker 1: I also am gonna give a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: breakdown of why I use specific shooting percentages and specific

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Speaker 1: situations and give a little breakdown of what true shooting

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Speaker 1: percentage means. You guys know the joke before we get started.

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Speaker 1: Subscribe to the Volumes YouTube channel so you don't miss

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Speaker 1: any more of our videos. Follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: underscore Jason Lts. You guys don't miss anyhow announcements. And

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Speaker 1: if for whatever reason you miss one of these videos

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Speaker 1: and you can't get back over to YouTube to finish,

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Speaker 1: don't forget you can find them where every you get

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Speaker 1: your podcasts. Under Hoops Tonight, all right, let's talk some

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Speaker 1: basketball so really quick on the Lucas stuff, I figured

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Speaker 1: this was gonna happen no matter who I put at

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Speaker 1: number ten. Uh, that entire fan base was gonna be

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Speaker 1: pissed off. That was just the way this was gonna work. Again.

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Speaker 1: I encourage you, Luka Doncic fans or Dallas Mavericks fans

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Speaker 1: to look at the people above him on this list,

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Speaker 1: Like Steph one Finals MVP last year. You know, Uh,

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Speaker 1: Jannis was considered the best player in the world by

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Speaker 1: most people. Last year, Joki won Finals MVP. This year,

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Speaker 1: Kevin Durant is Kevin freaking Durant. Everyone else deep playoff runs,

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Speaker 1: you know, Lebron Western Conference Finals, Anthony Davis Western Conference Finals,

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Speaker 1: Tatum Eastern Conference Finals, Jimmy Butler three wins away from

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Speaker 1: an NBA championship. Joel Embi just won the league MVP award.

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Speaker 1: So any one of those guys gets put below Luca

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Speaker 1: and those fan bases are gonna be pissed off, which

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Speaker 1: is kind of the nature of these lists, And I

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Speaker 1: get it. I try to tell you guys, like I

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Speaker 1: view everyone on this list super close, particularly within these tiers, right,

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Speaker 1: I look at one through three is all kind of

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Speaker 1: really close to each other. I look at four through

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Speaker 1: twelve is really close to each other. And I look

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Speaker 1: at thirteen through thirty nine with all my honorable mention,

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Speaker 1: guys is really close to each other. To be honest,

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Speaker 1: like I have Jimmy Butler at nine today, still don't

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Speaker 1: know who I'm gonna put at number eight. I'm torn

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Speaker 1: between two guys and I've literally gone back and forth

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Speaker 1: on it a million times and I still don't know.

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Speaker 1: And I'm gonna sleep on it one more time and

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Speaker 1: we'll see how I feel tomorrow. But I see these

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Speaker 1: guys as all super close. Do I think Luka Doncic

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Speaker 1: is capable of out playing anybody on the higher end

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Speaker 1: of this list? Of course he's Luka Doncic. I know

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Speaker 1: what he's capable of. But at the end of the day,

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Speaker 1: like we play the games for a reason, I everything is.

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Speaker 1: If we don't value winning, then everything is theoretical. And

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Speaker 1: basketball is not theoretical. It's a game that you try

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Speaker 1: to win. And so for the purpose of my list,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to give the nod to winning in a

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Speaker 1: lot of these situations. And so with Luka don just

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Speaker 1: having missed the playoffs, entirely in a field that has

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Speaker 1: twenty of the thirty teams make the NBA Playoffs despite

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Speaker 1: him playing in what sixty five games or whatever he

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Speaker 1: played in this year, Like, I gave him the bottom

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Speaker 1: spot on that list. That's just the way that I

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Speaker 1: did it. I understand where you guys are coming from,

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Speaker 1: but don't take it. The tenth best player in the

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Speaker 1: league in the year twenty twenty three is not the

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Speaker 1: same as the tenth best player in the league in

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Speaker 1: the year twenty thirteen. The league is utterly stacked with talent.

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Speaker 1: I have Damian Lillard at fourteen in my list, and

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Speaker 1: like all the guys above him, have good cases to

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Speaker 1: be there. That's just the nature of how stacked this

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Speaker 1: league is. I do not dislike Luka Doncic. I tried

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Speaker 1: to give you guys a full breakdown yesterday of all

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Speaker 1: the different things that I feel about him, the things

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Speaker 1: I like, the things that I'm not particularly a fan of.

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Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, I'm certainly aware

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Speaker 1: of how incredibly good he is at basketball, and quite frankly,

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Speaker 1: I expect him to be much higher on the list

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Speaker 1: next year, and you know what, we'll reward him for

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Speaker 1: that when we get to that point. On that note,

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Speaker 1: let's move on with number nine on our list, Jimmy

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Speaker 1: Butler season recap. He played in sixty four games this season.

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Speaker 1: That's the most he's played in a single season since

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Speaker 1: twenty nineteen. He averaged twenty three points per game, which

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Speaker 1: was the second highest mark of his career. He did

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Speaker 1: average twenty four points per game in twenty seventeen with

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Speaker 1: the Chicago Bulls, but he played about four additional minutes

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Speaker 1: per game in that season, so on a per thirty

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Speaker 1: six basis, Jimmy actually averaged twenty five points per game

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Speaker 1: this year, which was the highest mark of his career,

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Speaker 1: so per minute scoring, the highest volume scoring season of

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Speaker 1: his career, and sixty four point seven percent true shooting,

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Speaker 1: which is the highest mark of his career and utterly

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Speaker 1: off the charge good. That's like Steph Curry type of

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Speaker 1: true shooting percentage performance from Jimmy Butler. So what I

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Speaker 1: wanted to do is take a couple of minutes here

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Speaker 1: to take a break from Jimmy and talk about true

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Speaker 1: shooting percentage and what it means, because I've had several

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Speaker 1: people ask about it, and you guys, see me always

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Speaker 1: throw out all these stats on this show. You'll hear

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Speaker 1: me throw out offensive rating, defensive rating. That's just points

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Speaker 1: per one hundred possession. All that is is the scoreboard

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Speaker 1: waited for pace. You'll hear me throw out points per

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Speaker 1: possession on play types. All that does is take every

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Speaker 1: single pick and roll that Steph Curry runs and how

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Speaker 1: many points they score. It's just a simple equation of

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Speaker 1: when Steph Curry either shoots out of pick and roll

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Speaker 1: or passes out of pick and roll, how many points

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Speaker 1: do they score. It's a good way for me to

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Speaker 1: measure play types, right. But then we have field goal percentage,

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage, and true shooting percentage, and all

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Speaker 1: three of them I think surve a purpose. So I

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Speaker 1: want to give a quick breakdown of what true shooting

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Speaker 1: percentage means and why I use specific percentages in certain situations. So,

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Speaker 1: first of all, true shooting percentage the actual equation. All

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Speaker 1: it is is half of your total points divided by

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Speaker 1: the number of true shooting attempts you had in that game.

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Speaker 1: Your true shooting attempts is just the number of field

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Speaker 1: goals you attempted plus the number of free throws you

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Speaker 1: attempted times zero point four to four. And the simplest

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Speaker 1: way I could break that down to you is to

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Speaker 1: say that true shooting percentage is just a field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage that is waited for both threes and free throws.

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Speaker 1: Because guess what, If I beat my man off the

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Speaker 1: dribble and he hacks me on the arm as I

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Speaker 1: go up for a layup and I miss the layup,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't count as a field goal attempt. But if

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Speaker 1: I go to the line and I make both free throws,

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Speaker 1: that is equally as valuable as if I drove to

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Speaker 1: the basket made a left handed layup while not getting

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Speaker 1: found right. So, true shooting percentage, in my opinion, is

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Speaker 1: a very valuable stat first to actually factor in all

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Speaker 1: the different ways that a player can score a basketball, right.

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Speaker 1: So let's talk about each of the three percentages and

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Speaker 1: why I think each of them have value. So, first

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Speaker 1: of all, true shooting percentage is just field goal percentage

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Speaker 1: waited for threes and free throws. Effective field goal percentage

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Speaker 1: is just field goal percentage weighted for threes, and field

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Speaker 1: goal percentage is just your total number of field goal

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Speaker 1: attempts in the percentage you made those specific field attempts

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Speaker 1: regardless of type. Right, here's why I value each Why

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Speaker 1: would I think of it this way? Why would a

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage matter? So if I went, you know,

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Speaker 1: seven for twenty from the field, but I made seven threes,

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Speaker 1: then I scored twenty one points on twenty shots, which

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Speaker 1: is going to be a pretty good effective field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage over fifty percent. Right, but I missed thirteen shots.

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Speaker 1: A missed shot isn't just a failure to score the basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's a rebound, often a long rebound on shots that

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Speaker 1: are lower percentage further away from the basket. Long rebounds

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Speaker 1: give opportunities for defenses to attack and transition the other way,

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Speaker 1: especially on corner three point shots or layups missed at

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Speaker 1: the rim. Why because in those situations, the offensive player

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Speaker 1: is all the way at the baseline in a disadvantageous

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Speaker 1: position to get back in transition defense. So field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage has value in the sense that if you're a

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Speaker 1: score that has a really low field goal percentage but

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Speaker 1: a really high true shooting percentage, often there is a

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Speaker 1: defensive price to be paid for all of those missshots.

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Speaker 1: So field goal percentage has value in this discussion. Effective

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage in my opinion is your is the

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Speaker 1: best indicator of your ability to actually put the ball

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Speaker 1: in the basket. Right, So, in a scenario where you're

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Speaker 1: not getting the benefit of a whistle, how good are

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Speaker 1: you at actually putting the ball in the basket. It's

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Speaker 1: the value of all field goals, but it only counts

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Speaker 1: field goals, not free throws. I use this one particularly

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Speaker 1: on specific shot types. So, for instance, pull up jump shooting,

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Speaker 1: there are a lot of pull up jump shooters that

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Speaker 1: shoot really high percentages but don't ever take pull up threes,

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Speaker 1: and so even though they shoot good percentages on pull

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Speaker 1: up jump shots, their value on them is not great.

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Speaker 1: Then there are a lot of guys like Steph Curry

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Speaker 1: and Damian Lillard who take a ton of pull up threes, right,

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Speaker 1: And those guys are gonna have lower field goal percentages

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Speaker 1: on pull up jumps shots, but they're gonna have higher

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentages. So on specific shot types, particularly

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Speaker 1: pull up shooting, you're gonna you guys are gonna hear

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Speaker 1: me say, effective field goal percentage a lot catch and shoots,

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Speaker 1: and in pull up jump shooting situations, for example, Kevin Durant,

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Speaker 1: Joel Embiid, and Shay Gil Just Alexander are all guys

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Speaker 1: that take a ton of pull up twos but very

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Speaker 1: rarely take pull up threes, so their field goal percentages

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Speaker 1: are pretty high, but the the their effective field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage on the shot on those shots is relatively low.

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Speaker 1: This is the best example I can give you. Steph

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Speaker 1: Curry was only a forty four percent pull up jump

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Speaker 1: shooter last year. Kevin Durant was a fifty five percent

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Speaker 1: pull up jump shooter in Brooklyn last year. That's an

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Speaker 1: eleven percent gap. But because Steph almost exclusively takes pull

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Speaker 1: up threes, his effective field goal percentage on pull up

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Speaker 1: jump shots was sixty one percent to just sixty percent

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Speaker 1: for Kevin Durant. So that's kind of the value of

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Speaker 1: effective field goal percentage. You're gonna primarily hear me reference

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Speaker 1: that one in relation to catch and shoot shooting and

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Speaker 1: pull up jump shooting because there's a delinea between long

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Speaker 1: twos and threes, right, true shooting percentage, in my opinion,

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Speaker 1: is the best overall marker of efficiency for a score

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Speaker 1: because it factors in all three and remember, getting to

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Speaker 1: the foul line is immensely valuable to your basketball team.

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Speaker 1: Why the exact opposite of the concept we were talking

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Speaker 1: about on missed shots mishots by transition opportunities for the

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Speaker 1: opposing team. Right. So the goal is to get your

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Speaker 1: defense set right, because when your defense is set, you've

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Speaker 1: got an on ball defender, you've got the two guys

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Speaker 1: one pass away playing in the passing lanes, and you

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Speaker 1: have the two guys on the back line loaded up

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Speaker 1: in the paint. That's your shell drill. Right. When your

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Speaker 1: defense is set, it's very hard to score on you.

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Speaker 1: When you're not set and the help defenders are spaced out,

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Speaker 1: locating their man in transition or simply not back, there

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Speaker 1: are a lot bigger gaps for the offense to attack,

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Speaker 1: or a lot of times people fail to pick up

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Speaker 1: the ball and the guy will drive the length of

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Speaker 1: the floor and get a good look for himself in

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Speaker 1: one way or another. Right, So getting your defense set

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Speaker 1: is vitally important. The best way to get your defense set.

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Speaker 1: Take a guess, is a dead ball situation, right, so

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Speaker 1: out of bounds, time out and to the quarter, anything

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Speaker 1: where the ball is being inbounded. Right. But what is

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Speaker 1: the second best situation to set your defense. It's a

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Speaker 1: free throw because in a free throw situation should you

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Speaker 1: choose to, you could have four players back on defense.

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Speaker 1: But even if you have two players in offensive rebound position,

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Speaker 1: typically you're gonna put either a very gifted offensive rebounder

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Speaker 1: or put your guards up there so they can pick

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Speaker 1: up ball pressure. You're gonna have three guys back or

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Speaker 1: two guys back ready and in a position to set

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Speaker 1: your defense quicker than usual. Right, and then the third

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Speaker 1: best situation to set your defense is an actual made basket.

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Speaker 1: Still opportunity to push the ball and transition in those situations,

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Speaker 1: but in a made basket, they have to take the

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Speaker 1: ball out of the net, get behind the baseline, and

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Speaker 1: then inbound it, so you buy yourself some time there. So,

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Speaker 1: in my opinion, true shooting percentage, even though there's a

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Speaker 1: downside to guys that are just purely foul grifters and

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Speaker 1: the way that can affect your offense, overall, it's a

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Speaker 1: beneficial thing for your team because if you get to

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Speaker 1: the foul line, you get to set your defense, which

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Speaker 1: makes it more likely for you to get a stop,

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Speaker 1: which helps you get out and transition yourself. That you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of chain reaction in a lot of cases can

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Speaker 1: be started by getting to the foul line. Not only

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Speaker 1: that it disrupts the rhythm of the opponent's offense. They're

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Speaker 1: trying to get into a groove and they can't because

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Speaker 1: they're constantly fouling you and sending you to the foul

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Speaker 1: line and standing around for ten to fifteen seconds at

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Speaker 1: a time. Right, But there are a lot of guys

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Speaker 1: in the NBA you put up great true shooting percentage numbers,

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Speaker 1: but they struggle to do that in the playoffs. Right,

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Speaker 1: this is not exactly super uncommon. This is the Tray

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Speaker 1: Young effect. This is the James Harden effect. Right? Why

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Speaker 1: is that? Do you guys think? In my opinion, it's

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Speaker 1: because if you have a great true shooting percentage, but

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Speaker 1: a gap between your true shooting percentage and your actual

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Speaker 1: shooting percentages, that implies, by the math, that you rely

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Speaker 1: more on making long distance jump shots and by getting

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Speaker 1: to the foul line. If you have a smaller gap

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Speaker 1: between your efficiency in true shooting percentage and your actual

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Speaker 1: field goal percentages, that means that you don't rely as

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Speaker 1: much on long distance jump shot result and getting to

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Speaker 1: the foul and getting a good whistle. Right, And so

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Speaker 1: I think a lot of times you will see players

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Speaker 1: that have those large gaps, really high true shooting percentages

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Speaker 1: but low field goal percentages, You'll see them be much

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Speaker 1: more prone to inconsistency in the playoffs because if they

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Speaker 1: don't get a whistle on any given night, they suffer

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Speaker 1: in the scoring. If they don't have their long distance

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Speaker 1: jump shot going, they end up suffering in the scoring.

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Speaker 1: The best example of this that I can give you,

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Speaker 1: guys is Lebron James and James Harden. I have a

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Speaker 1: couple of crazy stats that I'm going to give you guys,

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Speaker 1: just kind of break this down. So Lebron is considered

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Speaker 1: the most consistent playoff performer of this era. In the

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Speaker 1: regular season for his career, he's fifty one percent field goals,

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Speaker 1: fifty five percent effective field goals, fifty eight percent true shooting.

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Speaker 1: In the postseason, he's fifty percent field goals, fifty four

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Speaker 1: percent effective field goal percentage, and fifty eight percent in

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Speaker 1: true shooting. He doesn't rely too much on getting to

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Speaker 1: the fall line, and he doesn't rely too much on

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Speaker 1: long distance shooting, and so the output, instead of being

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Speaker 1: super up and down, is pretty consistent. Right. James Harden

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Speaker 1: is considered the worst playoff performer of this era. He

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Speaker 1: is a regular season career field goal percentage of forty

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Speaker 1: four percent, effective field goal percentage of sixty three percent

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Speaker 1: excuse me, fifty three percent, and a true shooting percentage

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Speaker 1: of sixty one percent. So the gap for Lebron between

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Speaker 1: is his actual field goal percentage and his true shooting

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Speaker 1: percentage is only seven percent. For James Harden it's seventeen percent.

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Speaker 1: So he relies a great deal on the whistle and

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Speaker 1: long distance shot result to get the scoring that he needs.

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Speaker 1: As a result of that, he's really inconsistent. If his

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Speaker 1: step back three isn't going, he could have a bad game.

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Speaker 1: If he he doesn't get the whistle that he wants,

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Speaker 1: he can have a bad game. Here's the final stat

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna read to you, guys. Lebron James has played

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Speaker 1: in two hundred and eighty two career playoff games. In

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Speaker 1: those two hundred and eighty two games, he has failed

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Speaker 1: to score twenty points just thirty times. Thirty times in

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Speaker 1: two hundred and eighty two games. That means he will

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Speaker 1: have a bad game in terms of scoring output about

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Speaker 1: one out of every ten times. In fact, even though

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Speaker 1: he was in his twentieth season. This year, it happened

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Speaker 1: to him just once this entire postseason. Old Lebron just

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Speaker 1: one time this postseason. And what was that seventeen games?

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Speaker 1: One out of seventeen times. Even if we take James

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Speaker 1: Harden's Oklahoma City years completely out of the equation, when

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Speaker 1: he was coming off the bench in inconsistent minutes and

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Speaker 1: he was super young, right, not the player that we

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Speaker 1: think of James Harden as. Now, let's take those games out.

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Speaker 1: Just looking at the Houston years, in the Brooklyn years

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Speaker 1: and everything since, right in the Philly years, he's played

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Speaker 1: in one hundred and seventeen playoff games. James Harden has

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Speaker 1: failed to score twenty points in thirty one of those

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Speaker 1: one hundred and seventeen playoff games, more than a fourth

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Speaker 1: of the time, more times than Lebron in about a

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Speaker 1: third as many games. Think about how crazy that is.

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Speaker 1: James Harden, more than a fourth of the time, is

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Speaker 1: gonna go out and not score twenty points in a

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Speaker 1: playoff game, because if his step back three isn't going,

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Speaker 1: and if he's not getting the whistle, that's where you're

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Speaker 1: seeing the gap and the true shooting percentage and the

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage manifest itself in the playoffs in inconsistency

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Speaker 1: of result. And so that's why, like again, you're gonna

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Speaker 1: see me use them in specific situations, but each one

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Speaker 1: of them has value. True shooting percentage, you're gonna see

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Speaker 1: me use that for full seasons, particularly playoff runs and

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Speaker 1: playoff series as well for scorers. And I'm gonna be

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Speaker 1: really paying close attention to how that affects you in

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Speaker 1: the postseason. Effective field goal percentage more jump shot result,

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Speaker 1: long distance twos versus threes, right, so catch and shoots

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Speaker 1: and pull up shooting situations. Field goal percentage, I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: use that mostly on shot types. What's your field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage on hooks? What's your field goal percentage on floaters?

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Speaker 1: What's your field goal percentage at the rim? What's your

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage on specific like, oh, a fadeaway jump

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Speaker 1: shot over your right shoulder, out of the post. You know,

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Speaker 1: those are the situations where I find field goal percentage

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Speaker 1: more useful. Also, as a team, field goal percentage is

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Speaker 1: super value. How often as a team do you have

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Speaker 1: an opportunity to set your defense? But they each have

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Speaker 1: specific value in these discussions. Again, it's not an exact science.

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Speaker 1: To quote my friend Mark Titus, basketball is an art,

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Speaker 1: not a science, and so this isn't perfection. Everyone's kind

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Speaker 1: of got a different way of looking at it. I

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Speaker 1: don't think an equation or a stat is ever going

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Speaker 1: to perfectly encapsulated basketball player. But we do the best

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Speaker 1: we can with the tools we have at our disposal,

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Speaker 1: and hopefully that little ran will help you guys understand

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Speaker 1: how I look at things in the statistical realm. For

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Speaker 1: shooting percentages, All right, let's get back to Jimmy Butler.

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Speaker 1: So sixty four four point seven percent for shooting for

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Speaker 1: a season. That is a truly great number, by far

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Speaker 1: the best mark of his career. Solid shot creation season

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Speaker 1: on a point per possession basis as well, one point

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Speaker 1: zero four points per possession and pick and roll that's

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Speaker 1: seventy first percentile one point one zero points per ISO

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Speaker 1: on good volume. He actually qualified for our two hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty ISO lists. So out of the twenty five

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Speaker 1: players to run at least two hundred and fifty ISOs

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Speaker 1: this season, Jimmy Butler ranked seventh in points per possession,

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Speaker 1: above the likes of Luka Doncic, Kawhi Leonard, and Kevin

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Speaker 1: Durant on that list. Also one point zero one points

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Speaker 1: per post up, which is slightly above average. Shot making

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Speaker 1: was also really good. Fifty six percent effective field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage on catch and shoot jumpers, although super low volume,

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Speaker 1: kind of similar to Luca. Doesn't take a lot of

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Speaker 1: catch and shoot threes, but he is super active in

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Speaker 1: spot up situations. He likes to drive closeouts. Forty seven

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Speaker 1: percent effective field goal percentage on pull up jump shots,

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Speaker 1: mostly twos ton of mid range pull ups. His actual

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Speaker 1: field goal percentage is just forty five percent, so very

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Speaker 1: small gap there because he's not taking any threes, forty

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Speaker 1: seven percent on floaters, fifty six percent on hooks, and

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Speaker 1: sixty two percent at the rim. So as a shot maker,

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Speaker 1: he's one of the better guys in the league. Then

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Speaker 1: he had this super interesting playoff run completely obliterated and

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Speaker 1: embarrassed Gianna Santana Kumpo in the Milwaukee Bucks. He scored

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Speaker 1: ninety eight points in the final two games of the series,

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Speaker 1: including a ton of clutch shots. To give you an example,

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Speaker 1: they're in all the clutch minutes of the series. Jimmy

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Speaker 1: Butler scored twenty one points and the Bucks as a

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Speaker 1: team scored twenty four points, so Jimmy almost by himself

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Speaker 1: outscored the Bucks in clutch situations in that series. He

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Speaker 1: finished the series averaging thirty eight six and five on

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Speaker 1: sixty percent from the field and forty four percent from three,

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Speaker 1: which translates to a sixty five percent effective field goal

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Speaker 1: percentage in sixty seven percent true shooting percentage for those

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Speaker 1: of you guys keeping track from earlier. By the way,

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Speaker 1: not a huge true shooting gap because it didn't shoot

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Speaker 1: well when he got to the foul line in that series,

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Speaker 1: missed a lot of free throws, but really not a

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Speaker 1: bad start to a playoff run. Ridiculous stat line. Two

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Speaker 1: massive games almost completely like just completely dominate the series

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Speaker 1: in clutch situations, and you did it to the number

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Speaker 1: one overall seed, and you did it to the guy

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Speaker 1: that most people considered the best player in the world

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Speaker 1: at the time. So again, Luka Doncic fans, when you're

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Speaker 1: thinking about who you should put below Luca, just think

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Speaker 1: about the things that the players above him accomplished in

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Speaker 1: this particular season and how they would feel if the

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Speaker 1: roles were reversed. Now, after that series, Jimmy Butler kind

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Speaker 1: of returned back to the normal Jimmy. He's kind of

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Speaker 1: a guy that also relies on a lot of pull

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Speaker 1: up jump shots and getting to the foul line, and

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Speaker 1: so he has a tendency to misshot some nights and

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Speaker 1: not get the calls some nights, and that can hurt

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Speaker 1: his scoring, and so you saw that he this year.

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Speaker 1: He's failed to score twenty in four of the final

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Speaker 1: eighteen playoff games, kind of similar to what happened last year.

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Speaker 1: Remember where he had two random single digit scoring games

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Speaker 1: in the Eastern Conference finals. The Heat in this postseason

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Speaker 1: were undefeated when Jimmy scored thirty or more points. That

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Speaker 1: was in five games, but they were two and four

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Speaker 1: when he scored twenty one points or fewer. So that

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Speaker 1: inconsistency did directly translate to the Heat losing some games

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Speaker 1: as well. That also dropped his numbers after the Bucks series.

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Speaker 1: So in the final three rounds of the playoffs, he

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Speaker 1: averaged twenty three point eight points per game, forty two

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Speaker 1: percent from the field and thirty one percent from three.

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Speaker 1: So that drop off and that inconsistency is the main

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Speaker 1: reason why I had him down at nine on this list,

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Speaker 1: despite being just three wins away from the NBA Championship.

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Speaker 1: I but like, honestly, as I was staring closely at it,

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Speaker 1: and again I was just just on the fence for

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Speaker 1: almost every single guy in this top ten. I'm still

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Speaker 1: on the fence as we move on day by day.

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Speaker 1: But I just think the guys above Jimmy on this

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Speaker 1: list are better than him right now and had enough

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Speaker 1: playoff success or winning success during the season to justify

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00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 1: having them there for the time being. But again, as

433
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:56,600
Speaker 1: it pertains to Luca, like, I just can't because even

434
00:21:56,640 --> 00:22:00,359
Speaker 1: with all of that, even with the inconsistency, even with

435
00:22:00,400 --> 00:22:04,639
Speaker 1: the somewhat average final three playoff rounds, he finished the

436
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:09,000
Speaker 1: playoff run averaging twenty seven, seven and six on fifty

437
00:22:09,080 --> 00:22:12,520
Speaker 1: seven percent true shooting, and was the clear best player

438
00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:15,000
Speaker 1: on a team that got three wins away from an

439
00:22:15,080 --> 00:22:18,280
Speaker 1: NBA championship, knocked out the two best records in the league,

440
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:21,239
Speaker 1: knocked out two guys above him on this list, Like,

441
00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,280
Speaker 1: come on, man, how can I put him below Luca?

442
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,480
Speaker 1: How in my right mind can I watch him actually

443
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:31,399
Speaker 1: do that in games and put him below Luca? Again,

444
00:22:32,040 --> 00:22:35,440
Speaker 1: if we just look at the skill sets, it's all theoretical.

445
00:22:35,880 --> 00:22:40,439
Speaker 1: We play the games to determine results, and for me,

446
00:22:40,560 --> 00:22:44,040
Speaker 1: on my list, I'm always gonna reward guys who win

447
00:22:44,240 --> 00:22:47,879
Speaker 1: basketball games, and I'm going to at least for the

448
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,520
Speaker 1: at least temporarily give guys lower spots on the list

449
00:22:51,520 --> 00:22:54,199
Speaker 1: when they have seasons where the winning doesn't follow for

450
00:22:54,240 --> 00:23:00,639
Speaker 1: one reason or another. Why does Jimmy Allway seem to

451
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:04,320
Speaker 1: go up a level in the postseason. I think this

452
00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:07,480
Speaker 1: is a super interesting topic because every year when this happens,

453
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:09,600
Speaker 1: everyone freaking loses their mind and goes, oh my gosh,

454
00:23:09,640 --> 00:23:13,000
Speaker 1: it's playff Jimmy. It's playoff Jimmy. But it's super unique

455
00:23:13,000 --> 00:23:16,080
Speaker 1: to me. But at the same time, it's explainable with

456
00:23:16,119 --> 00:23:18,040
Speaker 1: basketball concepts. So I want to dive into that a

457
00:23:18,040 --> 00:23:20,920
Speaker 1: little bit. I want to start on the defensive end here,

458
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:23,920
Speaker 1: because I think it's the most important element. Jimmy's postseason

459
00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,639
Speaker 1: numbers really aren't that impressive, right, Like, even as I

460
00:23:27,119 --> 00:23:29,240
Speaker 1: had read those number twenty seven to seven and six, like,

461
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:32,920
Speaker 1: that's pretty on par with like what what Jamal Murray

462
00:23:32,960 --> 00:23:35,480
Speaker 1: averaged in this playoff run, right, So, like, what is

463
00:23:35,520 --> 00:23:40,240
Speaker 1: it statistically that's impressive? Nothing particularly right, But at the

464
00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:44,240
Speaker 1: same time, he keeps winning these huge playoff games and

465
00:23:44,359 --> 00:23:48,400
Speaker 1: series against guys that we've always thought were better than him.

466
00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 1: So in the basketball game, not the box score. In

467
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,480
Speaker 1: the basketball game, Jimmy stays winning. And why do we

468
00:23:54,560 --> 00:23:57,040
Speaker 1: think that is? I think we have to start with

469
00:23:57,080 --> 00:23:59,320
Speaker 1: the defensive end of the floor. Jimmy is a defensive

470
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,760
Speaker 1: playmaker on the perimeter. He gets compared to Michael Jordan

471
00:24:02,840 --> 00:24:06,320
Speaker 1: a lot, and I don't really see that much offensively,

472
00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:08,399
Speaker 1: but I do see it on the defensive end of

473
00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:11,520
Speaker 1: the floor. Michael Jordan was a super aggressive defensive playmaker

474
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:13,560
Speaker 1: on the perimeter that forced a ton of turnovers and

475
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 1: got out in transition. That is Jimmy's bread and butter.

476
00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:18,879
Speaker 1: Whether it's poking the ball away from ball handlers in

477
00:24:18,920 --> 00:24:22,960
Speaker 1: the dribble pocket to playing passing lanes, he is constantly

478
00:24:23,480 --> 00:24:27,600
Speaker 1: jumping things, forcing turnovers and leading to easy baskets the

479
00:24:27,640 --> 00:24:30,119
Speaker 1: other way. Here's another crazy stat for you. Since the

480
00:24:30,160 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 1: twenty nineteen bubble, Jimmy Butler leads the entire NBA in

481
00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:37,439
Speaker 1: playoff steals by a mile. He has one hundred and

482
00:24:37,560 --> 00:24:41,480
Speaker 1: thirty eight steals in that span. Nobody else in the

483
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,680
Speaker 1: league has even cracked one hundred. Take a guess. Who's

484
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,719
Speaker 1: number two. If you guessed Kawhi Leonard, you were correct.

485
00:24:48,920 --> 00:24:51,520
Speaker 1: But in my opinion, he's arguably the best defensive playmaker

486
00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:53,720
Speaker 1: in the league, which is why it was so genius

487
00:24:53,720 --> 00:24:56,520
Speaker 1: to put him on Jlen Brown to break his confidence

488
00:24:56,560 --> 00:24:59,200
Speaker 1: in Game seven of the Eastern Conference Finals. It's why

489
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,160
Speaker 1: him and bam at a We're by far the most

490
00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,840
Speaker 1: effective duo guarding the Jamal Murray Nicole Jokic pick and

491
00:25:04,920 --> 00:25:07,800
Speaker 1: roll in or two man game in this postseason. Just

492
00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:10,919
Speaker 1: Jimmy's ridiculous ability to chase over the top, which allowed

493
00:25:10,920 --> 00:25:13,119
Speaker 1: Bam at A bio to stay home and battle with Jokic,

494
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,920
Speaker 1: and he pressured Jamal Murray into a lot of tough shots.

495
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:19,199
Speaker 1: In fact, four of the Nuggets' lowest scoring games in

496
00:25:19,240 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 1: this postseason were against Miami, and I thought Jimmy and

497
00:25:22,760 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 1: Bam were the key driving force behind that defensive success.

498
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:30,200
Speaker 1: I also thought that played a pretty significant role in

499
00:25:30,440 --> 00:25:34,600
Speaker 1: Miami's offense sputtering and Jimmy and BAM's offense sputtering. At times.

500
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:36,040
Speaker 1: I thought I had a lot to do with the

501
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,439
Speaker 1: amount of energy they were expending to slow down Denver

502
00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:43,119
Speaker 1: successfully compared to their peers. Although in a loss. He

503
00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,959
Speaker 1: was also super valuable in Miami's zone, playing in gaps

504
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:49,280
Speaker 1: and baiting the Celtics into making bad passes, enforcing turnovers.

505
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,680
Speaker 1: That defense development is a legit advantage that Jimmy has

506
00:25:52,720 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 1: over his peers, and it's a big part of why

507
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:56,679
Speaker 1: he keeps beating them in these big games. And that

508
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:57,919
Speaker 1: is a big part of why I have him as

509
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,760
Speaker 1: high on this list as I do. On the offensive end,

510
00:26:00,800 --> 00:26:03,159
Speaker 1: it's all the usual stuff. He's an excellent athlete at

511
00:26:03,200 --> 00:26:05,720
Speaker 1: his position, especially when it comes to strength, so he

512
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:08,399
Speaker 1: does not have trouble getting to his spots in the

513
00:26:08,400 --> 00:26:11,640
Speaker 1: physical environment of the NBA playoffs. He is a versatile

514
00:26:11,680 --> 00:26:14,639
Speaker 1: and creative scorer that very rarely does the same thing twice.

515
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,400
Speaker 1: He's got variety. As you're guarding him, you don't go, oh,

516
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,199
Speaker 1: I know he's going to this move next, You're like,

517
00:26:19,200 --> 00:26:21,760
Speaker 1: oh shit, what's he gonna do next? And that variety

518
00:26:21,840 --> 00:26:24,520
Speaker 1: is a huge part of his success. He's a rim,

519
00:26:24,560 --> 00:26:27,439
Speaker 1: pressuring forward that can make plays for his teammates. Everyone

520
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:31,440
Speaker 1: looks at Miami's shooting success is just random hot shooting,

521
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 1: but a lot of it has to do with Jimmy

522
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:36,680
Speaker 1: setting up his teammates for great looks out of rim pressure.

523
00:26:37,080 --> 00:26:38,920
Speaker 1: He passed out of pick and roll ISO or post

524
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:41,639
Speaker 1: up situations to spot up shooters one hundred and twenty

525
00:26:41,640 --> 00:26:44,960
Speaker 1: one times in this postseason run, and the Heat scored

526
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:47,399
Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty three points on those possessions. That

527
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:49,440
Speaker 1: is off the charge good. That is one point two

528
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:53,119
Speaker 1: six points per possession. That's worth almost as much as

529
00:26:53,119 --> 00:26:55,560
Speaker 1: a Michael Porter junior catching shoot three when he's open

530
00:26:55,640 --> 00:26:58,960
Speaker 1: like that is. That is ridiculous performance down the roster

531
00:26:59,040 --> 00:27:01,960
Speaker 1: for the Byam Heat because of the playmaking ability of

532
00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler. He is a super active off ball player.

533
00:27:05,040 --> 00:27:07,159
Speaker 1: He scored one hundred and six points in this playoff

534
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:09,439
Speaker 1: run either cutting to the basket or spotting up on

535
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: the perimeter, and he bolsters his numbers with easy baskets

536
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:16,200
Speaker 1: in dirty work. He had eighty points in transition during

537
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:18,800
Speaker 1: this playoff. He had thirty one points just on offensive

538
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:22,240
Speaker 1: rebound put backs and fouls in this postseason run. So

539
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:23,919
Speaker 1: you know, at the end of the day, Jimmy is

540
00:27:24,119 --> 00:27:28,080
Speaker 1: just a winning basketball player. It will never be properly

541
00:27:28,119 --> 00:27:31,119
Speaker 1: displayed in box score numbers or in the awards that

542
00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,679
Speaker 1: he wins, but it'll be resoundingly displayed in the simple

543
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,399
Speaker 1: fact that he's always playing in late May and June.

544
00:27:37,440 --> 00:27:40,440
Speaker 1: He wins basketball games, which is the entire reason why

545
00:27:40,480 --> 00:27:42,879
Speaker 1: we do this, and that is why I have him

546
00:27:43,080 --> 00:28:09,399
Speaker 1: as the ninth best basketball player in the world. The

547
00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:09,960
Speaker 1: volume