1
00:00:00,960 --> 00:00:03,200
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

2
00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,000
Speaker 1: your bets. It is me Joey Pa Joe Pizzapia.

3
00:00:05,519 --> 00:00:08,200
Speaker 2: And it's week eighteen. It's time to talk about the

4
00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:09,440
Speaker 2: chaos that is DFS.

5
00:00:09,440 --> 00:00:11,280
Speaker 1: And this week feels a little bit more like preseason

6
00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:13,480
Speaker 1: because you can allow of backups, a lot of weird situations,

7
00:00:13,480 --> 00:00:15,360
Speaker 1: but there are some games that matter. There's some games

8
00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:17,799
Speaker 1: on Saturday and a full slate on Sunday. We're gonna

9
00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:19,600
Speaker 1: break them all down, of course, with Derek Brown Debro,

10
00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:22,079
Speaker 1: the King of Bros, the Fantasy Bro. Don't forget everybody,

11
00:00:22,120 --> 00:00:25,400
Speaker 1: use our optimizer with Fantasypros dot com slash Optimizer, simulate

12
00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:29,000
Speaker 1: your lineups, download them, upload them to the fan duel sites,

13
00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,880
Speaker 1: to the Draftking sites, all the sites. Get your DFS

14
00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:34,920
Speaker 1: on and don't forget also to subscribe to Betting Pros

15
00:00:34,960 --> 00:00:37,400
Speaker 1: wherever we hear podcasts, and subscribe to our YouTube channel

16
00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:38,879
Speaker 1: over there as well, and ring the bell till it

17
00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:41,120
Speaker 1: goes ding. All right, d Bro, Let's start here with

18
00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:44,720
Speaker 1: the Saturday games Pittsburgh Baltimore total of thirty five. No Lamar.

19
00:00:44,960 --> 00:00:47,040
Speaker 1: A lot of the guys are sitting there for Baltimore. Obviously,

20
00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:49,800
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh can at least give themselves in the conversation here

21
00:00:49,800 --> 00:00:52,040
Speaker 1: with a W against the secondary team of Baltimore. Then

22
00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:54,600
Speaker 1: you've got the Houston Indianapolis game, which feels like a

23
00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,040
Speaker 1: playoff game basically for these two teams. Oh it is

24
00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:58,600
Speaker 1: I should say forty seven and a half a much

25
00:00:58,640 --> 00:01:01,240
Speaker 1: higher number for this one. So the Saturday slate, how

26
00:01:01,280 --> 00:01:03,160
Speaker 1: do you approach these four teams?

27
00:01:03,480 --> 00:01:06,800
Speaker 3: I think that the correct build on the chalk build

28
00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:09,200
Speaker 3: is going to be to heavily stack the Colts and

29
00:01:09,440 --> 00:01:13,480
Speaker 3: Texans game. But starting off with Steelers and Ravens, I mean,

30
00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:16,080
Speaker 3: Tyler Huntley is firmly in play. We know the rushing aside,

31
00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,800
Speaker 3: rushing upside is firmly there since week twelve. Also, the

32
00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:23,600
Speaker 3: Steelers secondary has been gettable Joe fifth highest sharts per ATTENPT,

33
00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:26,960
Speaker 3: seven most passing touchdowns, and sixth highest passer rating aloud.

34
00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:30,280
Speaker 3: So Huntley is going to probably come in like third.

35
00:01:30,520 --> 00:01:32,399
Speaker 3: I would say, as far as how popular on this

36
00:01:32,440 --> 00:01:36,440
Speaker 3: two games slate behind Minshew and Stroud, I don't disagree

37
00:01:36,440 --> 00:01:39,360
Speaker 3: with it, but he's good leverage on this slate. Naji

38
00:01:39,400 --> 00:01:41,520
Speaker 3: Harris Jalen Warren are both in play. Although we need

39
00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:45,120
Speaker 3: to be monitoring Naji's health. Didn't practice on Wednesday, see

40
00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:46,600
Speaker 3: what he does for the rest of the Week's dealing

41
00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,160
Speaker 3: dealing with a knee issue. But if Naj plays, he's

42
00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,639
Speaker 3: my favorite guy to that backfield. I love Jalen Warren,

43
00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:54,680
Speaker 3: but Naji has taken over the backfield again. He has

44
00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:57,520
Speaker 3: out touched Jalen Warren over the last few weeks since

45
00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:01,240
Speaker 3: Week nine, with thirty two reds on opportunities to Warren's

46
00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:04,480
Speaker 3: eighteen and if any if not, as you were to

47
00:02:04,480 --> 00:02:06,640
Speaker 3: miss this game, Jalen Warren is a lock play. Just

48
00:02:06,720 --> 00:02:10,600
Speaker 3: lock him in. In that same game, Melvin Gordon is

49
00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:12,840
Speaker 3: going to go under rostered. He is going to probably

50
00:02:12,840 --> 00:02:16,359
Speaker 3: see fifteen to twenty touches in that game, just as Hill.

51
00:02:16,560 --> 00:02:18,600
Speaker 3: I don't think he's going to play. Gus Edwards is

52
00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,200
Speaker 3: probably not going to play, so Melvin Gordon is going

53
00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:22,919
Speaker 3: to be the lone guy left standing.

54
00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:23,560
Speaker 2: It's not a.

55
00:02:23,520 --> 00:02:25,880
Speaker 3: Great matchup, but the volume is real. He falls in

56
00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:28,240
Speaker 3: the end zone, he could be the guy that unlocks

57
00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:31,520
Speaker 3: the slate for you. Deontay Johnson's in play. He's a

58
00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:35,320
Speaker 3: really good matchup against Baltimore's two high usage I'm off

59
00:02:35,360 --> 00:02:38,480
Speaker 3: of George Pickens, just considering the two high usage. That's

60
00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,880
Speaker 3: not George Pickens deal. You're going to stack Tyler Huntley,

61
00:02:42,440 --> 00:02:44,639
Speaker 3: you're gonna want to do it with Nelson Agilor, who

62
00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:46,520
Speaker 3: I think is gonna be the wide receiver one this week.

63
00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:48,840
Speaker 3: He's down far enough on the depth chart that he

64
00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:52,280
Speaker 3: probably gets full run in this game. Pittsburgh since week

65
00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,680
Speaker 3: twelve because Aagalare runs out of the slot has allowed

66
00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:57,800
Speaker 3: the third highest PPR points per target to slot wide receivers.

67
00:02:58,040 --> 00:02:59,560
Speaker 3: And just to kind of wrap the a bow on

68
00:02:59,639 --> 00:03:03,000
Speaker 3: this game, Joe pat Friarmuth is definitely in play. And again,

69
00:03:03,040 --> 00:03:06,440
Speaker 3: if you're stacking Huntley, I think single stacking him is

70
00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:08,679
Speaker 3: probably the way to go. But if you are going

71
00:03:08,720 --> 00:03:10,679
Speaker 3: to single or double stack him, if you want to

72
00:03:10,720 --> 00:03:14,400
Speaker 3: avoid Agalore, I think Charlie Kohler is a really strong play.

73
00:03:14,440 --> 00:03:18,040
Speaker 3: He's gonna be the every down guy, athletic receiving tight end.

74
00:03:18,400 --> 00:03:21,040
Speaker 3: Limited usage this year, but one point eight yards per

75
00:03:21,080 --> 00:03:23,119
Speaker 3: route run. Yeah, man, I mean, I think that game

76
00:03:23,200 --> 00:03:25,680
Speaker 3: is very interesting if it goes over the total and

77
00:03:25,800 --> 00:03:29,320
Speaker 3: turns into like a sneaky shootout, which Baltimore's playing like.

78
00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:30,600
Speaker 2: I know their defense stuff.

79
00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:33,440
Speaker 3: It's like they're a really strong defense, but we also

80
00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:34,600
Speaker 3: have to understand they're playing.

81
00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:36,880
Speaker 2: All their backup, So take all of that stuff with

82
00:03:36,880 --> 00:03:37,680
Speaker 2: a grain of salt.

83
00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,560
Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, if anybody stand out for you

84
00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:42,480
Speaker 3: that I didn't go roll through for the Steelers in

85
00:03:42,520 --> 00:03:43,400
Speaker 3: Baltimore game.

86
00:03:43,600 --> 00:03:45,600
Speaker 1: No, it makes sense to me, man, and especially with

87
00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:48,240
Speaker 1: the whole scenario of you know, the Harris situation too,

88
00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:49,720
Speaker 1: I mean, obviously all the war and then.

89
00:03:49,640 --> 00:03:51,960
Speaker 2: In that scenario, let's jump ahead to Sunday.

90
00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,560
Speaker 1: First game on the slate, Atlanta New Orleans, which is

91
00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:56,960
Speaker 1: forty two and a half. I'm concerned this one is

92
00:03:57,000 --> 00:04:00,400
Speaker 1: going to come into the under potentially. Would you started

93
00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:01,880
Speaker 1: to look at which you have in terms of body,

94
00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:03,600
Speaker 1: the work of these two teams, these like the two

95
00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,400
Speaker 1: gangs couldn't shoot straight. This one does not give me

96
00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:07,080
Speaker 1: a lot of love. I know Malvin Kamara did not

97
00:04:07,120 --> 00:04:09,280
Speaker 1: practice today. I've done a lot of faith in Atlanta's

98
00:04:09,320 --> 00:04:11,600
Speaker 1: offense on the road, and rightfully so your thoughts on

99
00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:13,040
Speaker 1: Atlanta New Orleans the.

100
00:04:13,000 --> 00:04:15,240
Speaker 3: Only two stand up plays from this game. I'm full

101
00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:17,960
Speaker 3: of fading the Saints this week. I just don't see

102
00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:20,039
Speaker 3: a reason to chase that offense. A lave is not

103
00:04:20,080 --> 00:04:24,359
Speaker 3: fully healthy. Juwan Johnson, he is actually in place, so

104
00:04:24,600 --> 00:04:27,119
Speaker 3: I'll recount a little bit of that, but we also

105
00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:29,279
Speaker 3: need to monitor his health. He did not practice on

106
00:04:29,320 --> 00:04:32,080
Speaker 3: Wednesday with a chest issue. If he's out, then yes,

107
00:04:32,120 --> 00:04:34,360
Speaker 3: the full fate of the Saints is on. As far

108
00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:37,039
Speaker 3: as the Falcons, it's Bjeon Robinson and Kyle Pitts. Man

109
00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:39,680
Speaker 3: the Saints. We know you can run on them. Since

110
00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,120
Speaker 3: week twelve, fifth most rushing yards allowed per game. Kyle Pitts,

111
00:04:43,240 --> 00:04:48,120
Speaker 3: he's the matchup guy for this secondary matchup. New Orleans

112
00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,960
Speaker 3: have been single high heavy since week twelve. Kyle Pitts

113
00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:54,839
Speaker 3: has been their leader against single high eighteen percent target

114
00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:56,400
Speaker 3: chair in New Orleans of the back half of the

115
00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:59,040
Speaker 3: season has really given up a lot of production to

116
00:04:59,120 --> 00:05:01,760
Speaker 3: tight end since we eight eleventh most receiving yards and

117
00:05:01,760 --> 00:05:03,800
Speaker 3: eleventh highest arts perception to the position.

118
00:05:03,839 --> 00:05:07,440
Speaker 1: All right, Next one on the list, Jacksonville Jaguars Tennessee Titans.

119
00:05:07,600 --> 00:05:09,440
Speaker 1: A big game for the Jags here. Thirty nine and

120
00:05:09,440 --> 00:05:11,440
Speaker 1: a half is the number forty in some other spots.

121
00:05:11,520 --> 00:05:13,560
Speaker 1: Tennessee is a tough offense to invest in. I gotta

122
00:05:13,560 --> 00:05:15,800
Speaker 1: tell you is like my faith in Jacksonville's you know,

123
00:05:16,200 --> 00:05:18,400
Speaker 1: at a minimal of these days. But I know this

124
00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:20,039
Speaker 1: important game for them. Is that enough for you to

125
00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:21,920
Speaker 1: invest in any players this week?

126
00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:24,640
Speaker 3: The only two players that I'm willing to invest in

127
00:05:24,640 --> 00:05:26,719
Speaker 3: out of this game because it's not a good matchup

128
00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,000
Speaker 3: for travesy TN, so I'm not going to him on

129
00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:31,680
Speaker 3: the ground again. Not a good matchup for Evan Ingram.

130
00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,440
Speaker 3: Tennessee has been locked down versus tight ends the entire year.

131
00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:37,800
Speaker 3: Say Jones isn't healthy, Trevor Lawrence isn't healthy. While a

132
00:05:37,839 --> 00:05:39,720
Speaker 3: lot of people could look to play Triver Lawrence, I'm

133
00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:41,520
Speaker 3: not there. I just don't think there's a reason to go.

134
00:05:41,480 --> 00:05:43,440
Speaker 2: There this week. I won't be surprised if this game

135
00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:44,159
Speaker 2: hits the under.

136
00:05:44,360 --> 00:05:46,760
Speaker 3: So there's only two guys that stand out to me

137
00:05:46,920 --> 00:05:50,400
Speaker 3: on this for this game, one being DeAndre Hopkins. I

138
00:05:50,440 --> 00:05:52,880
Speaker 3: know people are incentive chasing. He's got some numbers out

139
00:05:52,880 --> 00:05:55,320
Speaker 3: there that would, you know, lead you to maybe having

140
00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:57,120
Speaker 3: a big game, But for me, it's just a matchup.

141
00:05:57,200 --> 00:06:00,719
Speaker 3: Jacksonville Secondary has been futrid since Week twelve, eleventh most

142
00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:03,280
Speaker 3: receiving yards and twelve highest PPR points per target to

143
00:06:03,320 --> 00:06:06,680
Speaker 3: perimeter wide receivers. So Hopkins is in play, and the

144
00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,360
Speaker 3: other guy that if he plays in this game, he

145
00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:11,960
Speaker 3: will be chalky for this slate, I think because he

146
00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:16,240
Speaker 3: is damn near men priced Joe Christian Kirk. He had

147
00:06:16,279 --> 00:06:19,919
Speaker 3: his at his window open. He's been practicing, he's been

148
00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:22,320
Speaker 3: running routes. He looks good from the videos I've seen,

149
00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,680
Speaker 3: so I do think he plays, and if he plays,

150
00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:27,800
Speaker 3: it's in a full time role. Tennessee lots of too High.

151
00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,880
Speaker 3: That has been all Christian Kirk weeks one through twelve,

152
00:06:30,960 --> 00:06:33,520
Speaker 3: twenty five percent target chare two point three yards per

153
00:06:33,600 --> 00:06:36,120
Speaker 3: route run against too high. And for anybody reading the

154
00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:38,920
Speaker 3: primer and saying, oh, where's Covin Ridley, Calvin Ridley has

155
00:06:38,960 --> 00:06:41,720
Speaker 3: been dogwater against too High. So no, I don't care

156
00:06:41,720 --> 00:06:44,440
Speaker 3: about Calvin Ridley this week. If Kirk does not play,

157
00:06:44,480 --> 00:06:46,680
Speaker 3: then I'm full fading the Jaguars offense, all right.

158
00:06:46,760 --> 00:06:50,800
Speaker 2: Next one on the list, Minnesota Detroit. Detroit is going to.

159
00:06:51,279 --> 00:06:53,720
Speaker 1: Go in hot because of course, Dan Campbell team, that's

160
00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:55,840
Speaker 1: what we're talking about here. They're eleven to five, they're

161
00:06:55,880 --> 00:06:57,520
Speaker 1: at home forty four and a half. I mean, this

162
00:06:57,600 --> 00:06:59,520
Speaker 1: should be a good situation for the Lions. Any love

163
00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:02,000
Speaker 1: for a minute soda running back on the other side, Obviously,

164
00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:05,240
Speaker 1: last week we got sort of turned around, twisted lide

165
00:07:05,240 --> 00:07:06,840
Speaker 1: tool befuddled. I don't know how you want to talk

166
00:07:06,839 --> 00:07:09,240
Speaker 1: about it in terms of the quarterback situation in Minnesota.

167
00:07:09,400 --> 00:07:12,680
Speaker 1: I don't want to play that game again, Derek, do you.

168
00:07:13,080 --> 00:07:14,600
Speaker 2: I think that this is one of the games.

169
00:07:14,640 --> 00:07:16,920
Speaker 3: I was kind of surprised, Joe, to be honest, that

170
00:07:17,000 --> 00:07:18,800
Speaker 3: this game open with only a forty five and a

171
00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:21,240
Speaker 3: half total. Both of these offenses have shown they could

172
00:07:21,240 --> 00:07:24,280
Speaker 3: put up points. Both of these defense, especially their secondaries,

173
00:07:24,400 --> 00:07:26,680
Speaker 3: have shown they're willing to give up points. So I

174
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:29,480
Speaker 3: have already bet the over for this game. I think

175
00:07:29,520 --> 00:07:31,480
Speaker 3: this game is a sneaky shootout. This is one of

176
00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:34,640
Speaker 3: the games to both of these teams are fully motivated.

177
00:07:34,680 --> 00:07:37,280
Speaker 3: I think that in anybody saying, oh, the Lions probably

178
00:07:37,280 --> 00:07:39,880
Speaker 3: pull their players, I don't think that that happens because

179
00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:43,400
Speaker 3: Detroit can move up to the two seed if both

180
00:07:43,520 --> 00:07:46,360
Speaker 3: Philly and Dallas lose. Now you're saying, Okay, what's the

181
00:07:46,360 --> 00:07:49,720
Speaker 3: probability of that happening. It's probably low, But Detroit doesn't

182
00:07:49,720 --> 00:07:51,640
Speaker 3: freaking know that they play on the early part of

183
00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:53,840
Speaker 3: the slate, so they know that they have to go

184
00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:56,560
Speaker 3: out and win this game, and the Vikings need to

185
00:07:56,600 --> 00:07:59,680
Speaker 3: have a win to have any chance mathematically to make

186
00:07:59,680 --> 00:08:03,960
Speaker 3: the play. So both of these teams will be fully motivated.

187
00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:06,120
Speaker 3: So Jared Goff and Nick Mullens are fully in play.

188
00:08:06,200 --> 00:08:08,960
Speaker 3: Nick Mullens is one of my favorite plays of the slate. Yes,

189
00:08:09,000 --> 00:08:12,080
Speaker 3: we're gonna embrace the risk, but geez joe, like two

190
00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:14,960
Speaker 3: full starts this year, he's averaging three hundred and fifty

191
00:08:15,040 --> 00:08:17,640
Speaker 3: seven passing yards ten point three yards per attempt.

192
00:08:17,960 --> 00:08:19,720
Speaker 2: Ah, yeah, sign me up for that.

193
00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:23,120
Speaker 3: He dropped four hundred and eleven passing yards against this

194
00:08:23,160 --> 00:08:26,320
Speaker 3: secondary last time they met. So I love both the quarterbacks.

195
00:08:26,400 --> 00:08:29,160
Speaker 3: Jamior Gibbs is in play every freaking slate because he's

196
00:08:29,240 --> 00:08:31,720
Speaker 3: matchup proof. He's one of the best running backs in

197
00:08:31,760 --> 00:08:35,560
Speaker 3: the NFL, breaking tackles at will. If you're stacking either

198
00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,040
Speaker 3: one of these quarterbacks, I mean, the stacking options are

199
00:08:38,040 --> 00:08:42,240
Speaker 3: pretty obvious. Justin Jefferson, Nomenross Saint Brown are both in play.

200
00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:45,280
Speaker 3: Jordan Addison if you're double stacking Nick Mullins, if you

201
00:08:45,320 --> 00:08:47,360
Speaker 3: want to go with a cheap double stack of Nick Mullens,

202
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:49,320
Speaker 3: or you want to get wild and triple stack him

203
00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:52,080
Speaker 3: Johnny munt Is in play. He had an eighty four

204
00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:56,000
Speaker 3: percent route run rate last week. Him not Josh Oliver

205
00:08:56,120 --> 00:08:58,640
Speaker 3: took over the primary role with TJ. Hockinson on the shelf,

206
00:08:58,880 --> 00:09:01,360
Speaker 3: and Detroit they given up production to tight ends the

207
00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,640
Speaker 3: entire season. So I love this game and I think

208
00:09:03,679 --> 00:09:05,520
Speaker 3: the stacking options are pretty obvious.

209
00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,840
Speaker 1: The next game has a very low total thirty and

210
00:09:08,840 --> 00:09:10,679
Speaker 1: a half New England York.

211
00:09:11,880 --> 00:09:13,320
Speaker 2: Well, there you go. There's the analysis, folks.

212
00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:17,439
Speaker 1: Let's move on Tampa Bay Carolina thirty seven and a half.

213
00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:19,240
Speaker 1: There's really nothing else to say. You said it all,

214
00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:23,439
Speaker 1: my friend, Tampa Bay Carolina. Tampa, you're so frustrating last week.

215
00:09:23,480 --> 00:09:25,840
Speaker 1: You should handle your business. You haven't handled your business.

216
00:09:25,880 --> 00:09:28,600
Speaker 1: I mean you're gonna handle against Carolina. So I guess

217
00:09:28,880 --> 00:09:31,600
Speaker 1: here is again. We've been very pro Tampa on this

218
00:09:31,679 --> 00:09:34,040
Speaker 1: show down the stretch. This is another one where I

219
00:09:34,080 --> 00:09:35,520
Speaker 1: want to live. I want to live with this trio

220
00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:37,240
Speaker 1: stack there. If you want to have god Win over

221
00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:40,760
Speaker 1: on DK instead, that's fine, but to me, it's against

222
00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:43,559
Speaker 1: the touchdown equity. Mike Evans brings you his history against

223
00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:46,920
Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers Rashad White's volume and hopefully a bounce

224
00:09:46,960 --> 00:09:48,079
Speaker 1: back game for Baker Mayfield.

225
00:09:48,120 --> 00:09:50,800
Speaker 3: Your thoughts, This game is easy, Joey full fad the

226
00:09:50,840 --> 00:09:54,280
Speaker 3: Carolina Panthers because their offense is dead dead dead yep,

227
00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:57,880
Speaker 3: and the Buccaneers. It's easy, man. The two guys that

228
00:09:57,920 --> 00:09:59,920
Speaker 3: I want to talk about here are Rashad White Mike Evan.

229
00:10:00,160 --> 00:10:02,560
Speaker 3: I'm with you, man, I mean, we know the standout

230
00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:06,320
Speaker 3: matchup for Rashad White in the last time he played

231
00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:10,680
Speaker 3: this defense nineteen or he had excuse me, twenty three touches,

232
00:10:10,720 --> 00:10:13,199
Speaker 3: one hundred and six toty yards nineteen PPR points.

233
00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:14,520
Speaker 2: I think you can do that again.

234
00:10:14,600 --> 00:10:16,760
Speaker 3: He's a lock for almost twenty to twenty five carries

235
00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:19,480
Speaker 3: or twenty five touches in this game. So love Rashad

236
00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:22,400
Speaker 3: White in this game. But Mike Evans again. If Rashad

237
00:10:22,440 --> 00:10:24,880
Speaker 3: White comes in as one of the most popular plays

238
00:10:24,960 --> 00:10:28,640
Speaker 3: of the slate, we both know this, Joey, Mike Evans

239
00:10:28,679 --> 00:10:32,040
Speaker 3: is never popular. Nobody ever likes to click Mike Evans's

240
00:10:32,120 --> 00:10:35,600
Speaker 3: name whenever they log into whatever DFS provider that you're

241
00:10:35,600 --> 00:10:37,840
Speaker 3: going with. They do not like to play him. I

242
00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:39,640
Speaker 3: will have all the Mike Evans this week.

243
00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:42,040
Speaker 2: Why he's been so good. I play him all the

244
00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:43,360
Speaker 2: time time they don't.

245
00:10:43,559 --> 00:10:46,880
Speaker 3: We are never popular, he will never chalk. He never

246
00:10:47,040 --> 00:10:50,160
Speaker 3: is Chris Godwin does. People love Chris Godwin, but Mike

247
00:10:50,160 --> 00:10:53,520
Speaker 3: Evans isn't. And this is a fantastic matchup for Mike Evans.

248
00:10:53,600 --> 00:10:56,720
Speaker 3: I mean, Carolina tons a single high. Mike Evans is

249
00:10:56,720 --> 00:10:59,719
Speaker 3: a viscerated single high, twenty six percent target chair, three

250
00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:02,120
Speaker 3: point point one yards per route run against single high

251
00:11:02,120 --> 00:11:02,720
Speaker 3: all season.

252
00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:04,959
Speaker 2: And let's be kind of rewind Joey.

253
00:11:05,000 --> 00:11:08,280
Speaker 3: In Week thirteen he torched them for seven receptions and

254
00:11:08,360 --> 00:11:10,760
Speaker 3: one hundred and sixty two receiving yards. I'm not saying

255
00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,360
Speaker 3: he's gonna do that again, but if he does, I

256
00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:14,599
Speaker 3: will not be surprised.

257
00:11:14,720 --> 00:11:17,640
Speaker 1: Cleveland Cincinnati, the Battle of Ohio. Thirty seven and a

258
00:11:17,640 --> 00:11:20,160
Speaker 1: half is the number on this one. No Flacco in

259
00:11:20,200 --> 00:11:23,600
Speaker 1: this one. Cleveland resting as starters. So although tricky, any

260
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:26,200
Speaker 1: love or any particular guys you look for and backups

261
00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:28,960
Speaker 1: on Cleveland or starters on Cincinnati that are interesting in

262
00:11:29,000 --> 00:11:29,560
Speaker 1: this contest.

263
00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:33,560
Speaker 3: Jeff Jisco week man, he's gonna get the start for Cleveland.

264
00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:36,319
Speaker 3: Cincinnati has been a terrible pass defense. I don't think

265
00:11:36,320 --> 00:11:39,079
Speaker 3: that changes. He has rushing upside. We've seen that in

266
00:11:39,120 --> 00:11:43,080
Speaker 3: previous seasons. So large fille GPPs. He is in play

267
00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:45,719
Speaker 3: the guy that I really and I'm not saying he's

268
00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,080
Speaker 3: a lock button play, but good lord, he's close to it.

269
00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:51,320
Speaker 3: Joe Pierrestrong, He's gonna get all the work this week.

270
00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:54,480
Speaker 3: Kareem Hunt's not gonna play. Jerome Ford's not gonna play.

271
00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:56,920
Speaker 3: They only have three running backs on the roster. I

272
00:11:56,920 --> 00:12:00,760
Speaker 3: think you see Pierre Strong walk into a workhorse, and

273
00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:03,720
Speaker 3: we've seen just running backs dominate this run defense the

274
00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:06,199
Speaker 3: entire year. Moving on to the rest of the guys

275
00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:08,680
Speaker 3: in this game, I mean, if you're playing draft Driscal,

276
00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:12,320
Speaker 3: you want to stack him with one of or you

277
00:12:12,360 --> 00:12:13,960
Speaker 3: want to go for the cheap double stack and then

278
00:12:13,960 --> 00:12:17,720
Speaker 3: play all the freaking studs. It's Marquise Goodwin, who I

279
00:12:17,720 --> 00:12:20,160
Speaker 3: think runs as their wide receiver. Won this week again.

280
00:12:20,320 --> 00:12:23,959
Speaker 3: Terrible secondary. You could pass on this secondary and Jordan Akins.

281
00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:26,960
Speaker 3: Cincinnati has given up tons of production to tight ends

282
00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:30,679
Speaker 3: the entire year, second most receiving yards allowed, the most receptions,

283
00:12:30,679 --> 00:12:32,199
Speaker 3: and the third most fantasy points.

284
00:12:32,480 --> 00:12:35,200
Speaker 2: And I don't know what happens with Jamar Chase or T. Higgins.

285
00:12:35,240 --> 00:12:37,040
Speaker 3: I don't know if either one of them play this week.

286
00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:40,680
Speaker 3: I'm guessing Chase plays, but does he play the entire game?

287
00:12:40,800 --> 00:12:43,440
Speaker 3: Cincinnati has nothing to play for outside of Pride.

288
00:12:43,480 --> 00:12:44,440
Speaker 2: I don't think we see T.

289
00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,520
Speaker 3: Higgins, So if T Higgins is out, I mean you

290
00:12:47,520 --> 00:12:50,560
Speaker 3: can count me in for Andre Yoshavas like he got

291
00:12:51,240 --> 00:12:53,280
Speaker 3: the last time. The last time we saw him play

292
00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:55,840
Speaker 3: the full time role Joe, he showed us that he

293
00:12:56,000 --> 00:13:01,000
Speaker 3: can demand targets nineteen percent target share, twenty one point

294
00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:03,200
Speaker 3: four percent first red share, So he is.

295
00:13:03,080 --> 00:13:04,000
Speaker 2: Definitely in play.

296
00:13:04,160 --> 00:13:06,760
Speaker 3: And this is one of those games where, look, Cincinnati's

297
00:13:06,760 --> 00:13:08,880
Speaker 3: defense is played bad all across the board.

298
00:13:08,960 --> 00:13:11,000
Speaker 2: The Browns are gonna run a ton of backups out.

299
00:13:11,240 --> 00:13:13,040
Speaker 3: I know the total in this game is low at

300
00:13:13,080 --> 00:13:15,640
Speaker 3: thirty seven and a half, but I am going to

301
00:13:15,679 --> 00:13:16,040
Speaker 3: bet the.

302
00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:17,520
Speaker 2: Over in this one. And this is one that I'm

303
00:13:17,559 --> 00:13:18,120
Speaker 2: not saying it's.

304
00:13:18,040 --> 00:13:20,040
Speaker 3: A sneaky shootout, but I do think he goes over

305
00:13:20,120 --> 00:13:22,360
Speaker 3: the total, and we do see points out of this game.

306
00:13:22,559 --> 00:13:25,920
Speaker 1: Seattle, Arizona. The numbers forty eight, pretty good size over here.

307
00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,960
Speaker 1: This is a very tempting game for numerous reasons. Arizona

308
00:13:29,000 --> 00:13:31,760
Speaker 1: coming off a big win last week. We love Trey

309
00:13:31,800 --> 00:13:34,120
Speaker 1: McBride here on the program. He has been a very

310
00:13:34,120 --> 00:13:37,120
Speaker 1: investible player for quite some time since the return of

311
00:13:37,160 --> 00:13:39,400
Speaker 1: Kyler Murray. Murray's in play obviously in this one, of course,

312
00:13:39,480 --> 00:13:41,160
Speaker 1: running back with Seattle. To me, this is one of

313
00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:42,640
Speaker 1: the game stacks. It makes a lot of sense. The

314
00:13:42,679 --> 00:13:45,720
Speaker 1: next one we're gonna talk about one is Green Bay Chicago.

315
00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:47,600
Speaker 1: That one also makes sense to me. But first, Arizona,

316
00:13:47,640 --> 00:13:49,960
Speaker 1: Seattle your thoughts here, because this is one. It might

317
00:13:50,000 --> 00:13:51,240
Speaker 1: be chalky, but I feel like it's right.

318
00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:54,439
Speaker 3: Derek, It's right. It's definitely right. You pull out the

319
00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:56,040
Speaker 3: biggest spoon that you got in the drawer and you

320
00:13:56,040 --> 00:13:56,720
Speaker 3: eat all the chalk.

321
00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:57,040
Speaker 4: Baby.

322
00:13:58,320 --> 00:14:01,200
Speaker 3: We're going with Chef Gino. Kyler Murray is definitely in play.

323
00:14:01,280 --> 00:14:03,280
Speaker 3: This is one of the games. I think you can

324
00:14:03,360 --> 00:14:06,120
Speaker 3: build some really interesting teams this week, Joe. If you

325
00:14:06,240 --> 00:14:09,440
Speaker 3: start out with the idea of I'm going to full

326
00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:14,520
Speaker 3: game stack both Detroit and the Seattle and Cardinals game

327
00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:18,520
Speaker 3: like taking both of those games that have really good totals.

328
00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,520
Speaker 3: Both of these teams are fully motivated, and yes, I

329
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:24,120
Speaker 3: know Arizona's not playing for a playoff role. But they

330
00:14:24,120 --> 00:14:26,400
Speaker 3: have him in for weeks. That doesn't stop them. That's

331
00:14:26,440 --> 00:14:27,200
Speaker 3: not they stopped them.

332
00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:29,320
Speaker 2: People. Yeah they're still they've competed all year.

333
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:31,800
Speaker 1: They just they're just a deficit of talent. But yeah, yeah,

334
00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:32,800
Speaker 1: they've competed all season.

335
00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,640
Speaker 3: So I mean, like both the quarterbacks are in play here.

336
00:14:35,760 --> 00:14:39,440
Speaker 3: Kenneth Walker is a smash play so is James Connor.

337
00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:42,840
Speaker 3: Talked about him last week he ran wild, Gonna talk

338
00:14:42,880 --> 00:14:45,960
Speaker 3: about him again. Seattle has been a terrible run defense.

339
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,440
Speaker 3: I mean we're talking about a bottom five run defense.

340
00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:51,240
Speaker 3: James Connor has been eating. He's been quietly one of

341
00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:54,200
Speaker 3: the most efficient running backs in the NFL this year.

342
00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:57,080
Speaker 2: Tons of tread left on the tires. So love both

343
00:14:57,120 --> 00:14:58,320
Speaker 2: those guys out of the backfields.

344
00:14:58,360 --> 00:15:01,800
Speaker 3: And if you're stacking Kyler or the stacking options are

345
00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:04,479
Speaker 3: very clear if you read the primer, I mean Arizona

346
00:15:04,520 --> 00:15:07,080
Speaker 3: has been running a ton of too high. That is

347
00:15:07,160 --> 00:15:10,920
Speaker 3: not DK Metcalf's wheelhouse. That is all Tyler Lockett and JSN.

348
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:13,680
Speaker 3: So double up Gino and if you're gonna stack up

349
00:15:13,760 --> 00:15:16,680
Speaker 3: Kyler Murray, just go with a single stack of Traming Bride.

350
00:15:16,680 --> 00:15:20,840
Speaker 3: The guy is getting alpha wide receiver, one type of volume.

351
00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:22,240
Speaker 2: The matchup is good.

352
00:15:22,640 --> 00:15:26,480
Speaker 3: This is a wonderful game environment to stack double tight end.

353
00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:28,880
Speaker 1: If you know, he's the one guy right now that

354
00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:30,640
Speaker 1: I feel good about. If you're gonna double tight end,

355
00:15:30,640 --> 00:15:32,600
Speaker 1: that's fun because you're getting, like you said, wide receiver

356
00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:33,480
Speaker 1: productivity from him.

357
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:35,280
Speaker 2: Chicago. I did that last week in a line up.

358
00:15:35,280 --> 00:15:35,920
Speaker 2: It worked out too.

359
00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,640
Speaker 1: Chicago green Bay forty four and a half is the

360
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:40,760
Speaker 1: number I love Jane Reid this game. Seven touchdowns in

361
00:15:40,800 --> 00:15:42,600
Speaker 1: seven games for him, He's been on fire. I know

362
00:15:42,640 --> 00:15:44,600
Speaker 1: he's banged up, but he's gonna play. The kid's tough.

363
00:15:44,800 --> 00:15:47,560
Speaker 1: He's played hurt many times this year. Fields and the

364
00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:50,640
Speaker 1: Bear's been very good look, I mean good total.

365
00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:52,280
Speaker 2: This is another game that has a lot of appeal

366
00:15:52,320 --> 00:15:53,800
Speaker 2: to me. Man I love.

367
00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:57,880
Speaker 3: I think my highest rostered quarterback on this slate will

368
00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:02,160
Speaker 3: be justin Fields. Green Bay's defense has been god awful

369
00:16:02,680 --> 00:16:06,680
Speaker 3: and justin fields, I mean over the last few weeks, Joey,

370
00:16:07,000 --> 00:16:09,040
Speaker 3: you could basically knock him down. I think it's two

371
00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:11,040
Speaker 3: of his last three games or three of his last four.

372
00:16:11,160 --> 00:16:15,040
Speaker 3: One of those he has twenty four or more Fantasy points.

373
00:16:15,360 --> 00:16:17,960
Speaker 3: Green Bay has been a bad pass defense. I think

374
00:16:18,000 --> 00:16:21,840
Speaker 3: the stacking options for Justin Fields are pretty easy. I

375
00:16:21,880 --> 00:16:23,760
Speaker 3: want to double stack him in this in this spot,

376
00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:26,720
Speaker 3: and I know the correlation. All the correlation brews out

377
00:16:26,720 --> 00:16:28,440
Speaker 3: there are going to tell me this isn't right, But

378
00:16:28,520 --> 00:16:31,160
Speaker 3: you're if Chicago puts up points and we know where

379
00:16:31,200 --> 00:16:34,080
Speaker 3: the volume is going to go, it's easy, man, Just

380
00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:38,560
Speaker 3: play Justin Fields with DJ Moore and Khalil Herbert. I

381
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:40,880
Speaker 3: know it's not a pass game correlation, but it is

382
00:16:40,920 --> 00:16:45,680
Speaker 3: a Chicago smashes correlation, and we know that the matchup

383
00:16:45,760 --> 00:16:46,760
Speaker 3: is there on the ground.

384
00:16:47,080 --> 00:16:48,600
Speaker 2: So double stacking fields.

385
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:52,760
Speaker 3: And I don't dislike Jay and Reed, especially if Jalen

386
00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:54,240
Speaker 3: Johnson does miss this game.

387
00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:56,480
Speaker 2: But the packer guy that I've been talking.

388
00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:58,240
Speaker 3: About and I want to continue to talk about, and

389
00:16:58,320 --> 00:17:01,880
Speaker 3: we're going to discuss here the cheese has himself missed

390
00:17:01,880 --> 00:17:04,520
Speaker 3: a craft. Tucker Craft Baby, he is going to be

391
00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:06,440
Speaker 3: the tight end that's gonna be starting again this week.

392
00:17:06,480 --> 00:17:09,080
Speaker 3: I don't think Luke Musgrave plays. There's no reason to

393
00:17:09,080 --> 00:17:11,720
Speaker 3: play him this week. He's still just a limited participant

394
00:17:11,760 --> 00:17:14,840
Speaker 3: in practice, working his way back from the last rated kidney.

395
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:17,520
Speaker 3: Tucker Craft has been the truth man. He's been awesome

396
00:17:17,800 --> 00:17:22,040
Speaker 3: sixteen percent targets here. Since week thirteen, he has seven

397
00:17:22,480 --> 00:17:25,600
Speaker 3: red zone targets in his last six games. And correct

398
00:17:25,600 --> 00:17:27,840
Speaker 3: me if I'm wrong here, Joey, but he has not

399
00:17:28,080 --> 00:17:29,960
Speaker 3: scored in any of those games.

400
00:17:30,440 --> 00:17:32,240
Speaker 2: See he's due.

401
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,200
Speaker 3: Baby in Chicago has been giving up a ton of production.

402
00:17:35,640 --> 00:17:38,639
Speaker 3: Two tight ends. So Tucker Craft is probably my favorite

403
00:17:38,680 --> 00:17:42,560
Speaker 3: packer because I'm not playing Aaron Jones against this run defense.

404
00:17:42,600 --> 00:17:45,400
Speaker 3: The secondary has been really good. And I'll correct myself here.

405
00:17:45,560 --> 00:17:49,720
Speaker 3: Tucker Craft has one touchdown out of his last five games.

406
00:17:49,720 --> 00:17:52,359
Speaker 3: So still with that type of red zone usage, right,

407
00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:57,760
Speaker 3: yeah there, regression, taking a regression, I give you the Eagles.

408
00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:00,240
Speaker 1: The total of this game is forty one and a half.

409
00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:03,919
Speaker 1: Sorry too soon. Toron Taylor on the other side of

410
00:18:03,920 --> 00:18:05,240
Speaker 1: the game of the Giants very much in play. He

411
00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:07,280
Speaker 1: was in play last week, dropped to twenty spots, exactly

412
00:18:07,359 --> 00:18:09,359
Speaker 1: what we wanted. You convinced me I was a harder

413
00:18:09,359 --> 00:18:09,960
Speaker 1: cell last week.

414
00:18:09,960 --> 00:18:10,600
Speaker 2: But he convinced me.

415
00:18:10,800 --> 00:18:12,760
Speaker 1: I got in there as glad that I did a

416
00:18:13,000 --> 00:18:14,240
Speaker 1: great game with the rushing I think.

417
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,560
Speaker 2: A quarterback and the millionmaker winner. I'm sure he was.

418
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:19,320
Speaker 1: I mean, it was so cheap, how could you not

419
00:18:19,600 --> 00:18:21,400
Speaker 1: like it, I mean just allows you to do so much.

420
00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:22,879
Speaker 1: And look, the Eagles are a team right now that

421
00:18:22,920 --> 00:18:24,600
Speaker 1: are just like kind of running the wrong direction.

422
00:18:24,720 --> 00:18:27,639
Speaker 2: So this is a tricky one. I'm on the Giants

423
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:28,040
Speaker 2: side of.

424
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,879
Speaker 1: This game for betting, but as there's a DFS, do

425
00:18:29,880 --> 00:18:31,160
Speaker 1: you like either side of this game?

426
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:34,200
Speaker 3: I think that we could see a fully motivated Eagles

427
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:34,760
Speaker 3: team here.

428
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,080
Speaker 2: Now I know that do they have the motivation?

429
00:18:37,240 --> 00:18:40,320
Speaker 3: Are they going to play like all the different things

430
00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,920
Speaker 3: they need to win here and a Dallas loss to

431
00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,199
Speaker 3: jump up to the number two seed. I think that

432
00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:48,600
Speaker 3: the Eagles run their guys out at least long enough

433
00:18:48,640 --> 00:18:51,520
Speaker 3: for Jalen Hurts and AJ Brown to smash and this

434
00:18:51,520 --> 00:18:54,239
Speaker 3: this is one of those games where AJ Brown has

435
00:18:54,280 --> 00:18:56,880
Speaker 3: been quiet. He has been no I'm not gonna say

436
00:18:56,880 --> 00:18:59,800
Speaker 3: non existent, but we're talking about a guy that really

437
00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,760
Speaker 3: he has Since week eleven, he has only two games

438
00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,480
Speaker 3: where he's surpassed ninety receiving yards. He has not posted

439
00:19:05,520 --> 00:19:09,200
Speaker 3: more than twenty Fantasy points in any game since Week eight.

440
00:19:09,600 --> 00:19:12,119
Speaker 2: He is due do do.

441
00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:15,320
Speaker 3: For a monster game. He's come out and talked to

442
00:19:15,359 --> 00:19:17,760
Speaker 3: the media. I think to AJ Brown backs it all up.

443
00:19:17,760 --> 00:19:20,280
Speaker 3: I think he smashes this week. So whether you want

444
00:19:20,280 --> 00:19:22,840
Speaker 3: to play Hurts or not, I think aj Brown is

445
00:19:22,880 --> 00:19:25,119
Speaker 3: gonna be a core play. He's a fantastic play. And

446
00:19:25,600 --> 00:19:27,840
Speaker 3: on the other side of this game, dude, it's just easy.

447
00:19:28,040 --> 00:19:29,080
Speaker 3: It's Saquon Barkley.

448
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:30,120
Speaker 2: Like the Eagles.

449
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,720
Speaker 3: You can run, run, run, run, run on them. We

450
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:36,159
Speaker 3: talk about this every single week. James Connor did it

451
00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:39,000
Speaker 3: last week. What's the top Saquon this week? And if

452
00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,159
Speaker 3: you're gonna stack up to Rod, you gotta go with

453
00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,800
Speaker 3: Darren Waller. I know we talked about Darius Slayton, we

454
00:19:43,880 --> 00:19:46,080
Speaker 3: talked about Wan Dell last week. I'm all of those

455
00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:50,240
Speaker 3: guys this week. Considering the matchup, I think Darren Waller again,

456
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:51,760
Speaker 3: he's not been a full time player. I know the

457
00:19:51,840 --> 00:19:55,199
Speaker 3: numbers have not been great, but if you're looking at

458
00:19:55,240 --> 00:19:58,119
Speaker 3: over the last two games, fifteen percent target share, twenty

459
00:19:58,240 --> 00:20:01,520
Speaker 3: four percent first read share, and Philly gives up production

460
00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,440
Speaker 3: to tight end. So I'll just skinny stack to Rod

461
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:04,440
Speaker 3: this week with Darren.

462
00:20:04,240 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 1: Waller, Rams and forty nine ers on vacation forty one

463
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:08,160
Speaker 1: and a half for this game.

464
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:09,040
Speaker 2: No CMC.

465
00:20:09,320 --> 00:20:13,520
Speaker 1: Sam Donald's playing quarterback Dogs and Cats living together. You

466
00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:16,639
Speaker 1: got to Hiaran Williams, who, as you mentioned earlier, not

467
00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,159
Speaker 1: playing in this game. So look, I mean this is

468
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,840
Speaker 1: a This one seems like a hard pass.

469
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:23,080
Speaker 2: Am I missing something? No, you're not missing anything. I

470
00:20:23,119 --> 00:20:24,919
Speaker 2: mean this is a game I'm just gonna go to.

471
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,760
Speaker 3: If you're playing more than twenty lineups, like if you're emmying,

472
00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:33,160
Speaker 3: you're going one fifties, I will sprinkle in some Sam Donald.

473
00:20:33,680 --> 00:20:35,840
Speaker 3: He was very, very good in this system in the

474
00:20:35,840 --> 00:20:40,160
Speaker 3: preseason eight point five yards per attempt, sixty six point

475
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 3: seven percent completion percentage plus pushing the ball downfield almost

476
00:20:43,640 --> 00:20:45,880
Speaker 3: a ten to eight dot. So I think Sam Donald's

477
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:47,960
Speaker 3: in play, and this is just an easy game. If

478
00:20:47,960 --> 00:20:50,760
Speaker 3: you're gonna play Sam Donald, attach him to Ronnie Bell.

479
00:20:50,880 --> 00:20:53,120
Speaker 3: I do not think the Debo or Brandon Ayut gets

480
00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:55,400
Speaker 3: more than maybe a drive maybe two in this game.

481
00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:58,600
Speaker 3: So Ronnie Bell's in play. And again, if you're looking

482
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:01,800
Speaker 3: for points for this game, look, Carson Wentz is playing,

483
00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:03,960
Speaker 3: They're playing all their backups. I think the backfield is

484
00:21:03,960 --> 00:21:06,359
Speaker 3: gonna be a mixed mess. So avoiding both of the

485
00:21:06,359 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 3: backfields in this one. I know people are probably expecting

486
00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,440
Speaker 3: me to bring up Elijah Mitchell. I'm not the Rams

487
00:21:11,440 --> 00:21:13,240
Speaker 3: have been good again defending the run.

488
00:21:13,280 --> 00:21:15,480
Speaker 2: I think that does bleed over to their backups.

489
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,199
Speaker 3: I think we see a lot of like Elijah Mitchell

490
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:21,399
Speaker 3: plus Jordan Mason, because Elijah Mitchell is not gonna get

491
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:24,080
Speaker 3: the full run. He's the primary backup to c MC.

492
00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:26,560
Speaker 3: I do not see Kyle Shanahan for a guy that

493
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:28,800
Speaker 3: has not been healthy for most of the years, saying

494
00:21:28,840 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 3: yes in week eighteen, let's us give Elijah Mitchell twenty

495
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:35,240
Speaker 3: five carries. So I'm fading both the backfields. But if

496
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,920
Speaker 3: you're playing this game, you're playing one fifties. Throw in

497
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:39,520
Speaker 3: a little bit of two two at well in there.

498
00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:41,520
Speaker 3: I think that he runs as the wide receiver one

499
00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,040
Speaker 3: this week. He's far enough down the depth chart tom

500
00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:46,359
Speaker 3: ROAs Robinson. I was gonna say that's that was the

501
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,840
Speaker 3: guy that I was thinking. He's been their wide receiver three.

502
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:51,640
Speaker 3: I think Robinson does not play this week. I think

503
00:21:51,800 --> 00:21:54,960
Speaker 3: you see I think you see Puka Nakua get one

504
00:21:55,119 --> 00:21:58,280
Speaker 3: drive to as sure that he gets the records. He

505
00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:03,240
Speaker 3: gets pulled, Cup does some. I think Robinson will probably

506
00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:06,800
Speaker 3: play as long as Puka plays, and then he gets

507
00:22:06,800 --> 00:22:09,040
Speaker 3: pulled as well. So I think it's too two, it's

508
00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:11,159
Speaker 3: Ronnie Bell, it's Arnold. Let's move on.

509
00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: It's Las Vegas hosting Denver. Thirty eight and a half

510
00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:15,080
Speaker 1: is the total for this game.

511
00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:17,720
Speaker 2: I like this one. I like the Vegas defense.

512
00:22:18,240 --> 00:22:20,800
Speaker 1: I like Zamir White because Jacob's is a game time

513
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:22,840
Speaker 1: decision and we all know what that means. So those

514
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:25,000
Speaker 1: two pieces in particular have a lot of value to me.

515
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:27,680
Speaker 1: Do you see that or anything else? It's an interest

516
00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:29,040
Speaker 1: to you in Denver, Vegas.

517
00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:31,560
Speaker 2: We've been on the Zamir train in the last few weeks. Show.

518
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:32,880
Speaker 2: We're gonna stay on it this week.

519
00:22:33,240 --> 00:22:35,440
Speaker 3: Zamir White's the only guy out of this game I want,

520
00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,000
Speaker 3: I think you if you pair him with the Raiders defense,

521
00:22:38,040 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 3: I'm totally down with that. I'm not playing any broncos.

522
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,800
Speaker 3: Zamir White's been getting all the work. I do not

523
00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:47,040
Speaker 3: think that Josh Jacobs plays this week. Yet again, regardless

524
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:50,240
Speaker 3: of whatever Antonio Peers says, Jacob still is not practicing.

525
00:22:50,320 --> 00:22:53,040
Speaker 3: So another week of the Zamir Show and he I mean,

526
00:22:53,040 --> 00:22:55,040
Speaker 3: he could run wild versus Denver, So count me in,

527
00:22:55,560 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 3: all right?

528
00:22:56,119 --> 00:23:00,600
Speaker 1: Next one here, Kansas City, Los Angeles Chargers. Obviously, you

529
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:04,639
Speaker 1: know resting happening here. Chargers have been resting all season.

530
00:23:04,840 --> 00:23:08,320
Speaker 1: Thirty five is the number for this game. Very low

531
00:23:08,400 --> 00:23:11,959
Speaker 1: total obviously, all things considered. So what do you consider

532
00:23:12,000 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 1: in this game? If anything, it's Week eighteen, folks, I'm

533
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:16,680
Speaker 1: salty entire.

534
00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:19,240
Speaker 2: I'm here for it. I hope you are.

535
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,880
Speaker 3: Let's go the salt and vinegar, baby, I'm so in

536
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:23,320
Speaker 3: for a man.

537
00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:25,160
Speaker 2: Love the chips. The Sultan vinegar chip guy.

538
00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:27,000
Speaker 1: By the way, Oh, I like them.

539
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:27,920
Speaker 2: They're good too.

540
00:23:28,119 --> 00:23:30,240
Speaker 3: I love it, especially if you have a nice like

541
00:23:30,280 --> 00:23:32,040
Speaker 3: a toasted sandwich and you put the chips on the

542
00:23:32,040 --> 00:23:33,400
Speaker 3: sandwich for the crunchy aspect.

543
00:23:33,480 --> 00:23:34,000
Speaker 2: There you go.

544
00:23:34,640 --> 00:23:38,159
Speaker 1: Now we're cooking. Chargers, Chiefs the salt.

545
00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,040
Speaker 3: And vinegar chips of this game. The have to is

546
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:41,800
Speaker 3: in this one. I think are easy man. I think

547
00:23:42,240 --> 00:23:44,639
Speaker 3: ch sits. I think all the Chiefs guys sit. I

548
00:23:44,640 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 3: think we see a twenty carey game out of Lomichael p.

549
00:23:47,040 --> 00:23:47,240
Speaker 4: Ryan.

550
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:49,680
Speaker 2: So count me in from Lomichael p Ryan.

551
00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:52,560
Speaker 3: Chargers run defense has been bad since Week twelve six

552
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 3: most rushing arts per game, eighth, highest charges of contact

553
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:56,560
Speaker 3: per attempt and.

554
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:58,040
Speaker 2: For the Chiefs, just ross baby.

555
00:23:58,200 --> 00:23:59,800
Speaker 3: I think he gets a lot of run in this game,

556
00:24:00,160 --> 00:24:02,600
Speaker 3: Andy Reid came out and talked about three guys getting

557
00:24:02,600 --> 00:24:06,399
Speaker 3: a lot of run in their receiving corps, being me,

558
00:24:06,520 --> 00:24:09,159
Speaker 3: Cole Hardman, Kadarius Tony, and Justin Ross.

559
00:24:09,320 --> 00:24:11,639
Speaker 2: Kardarius Tony is still limited participant in practice.

560
00:24:11,680 --> 00:24:14,119
Speaker 3: That tells me all I need to know, not fully healthy,

561
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:15,480
Speaker 3: not investing in him.

562
00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:18,800
Speaker 2: The Chiefs know what they have in me. Cole Hardman again,

563
00:24:19,000 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 2: don't care.

564
00:24:19,760 --> 00:24:21,520
Speaker 3: So Justin Ross is the guy that if we're going

565
00:24:21,560 --> 00:24:22,920
Speaker 3: to see a guy come out of the woodwork and

566
00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:25,280
Speaker 3: post a really good score against what has been a

567
00:24:25,359 --> 00:24:28,840
Speaker 3: bad Bold secondary, I think it's him. So p Ryan

568
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:31,719
Speaker 3: Ross only guys. I went out of this game, like

569
00:24:31,760 --> 00:24:35,040
Speaker 3: you said. Chargers has been pretending like a the offseason already. Baby,

570
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:36,320
Speaker 3: I don't want any part of their offense.

571
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:39,600
Speaker 1: Last one Dallas at Washington. Dallas has not been good

572
00:24:39,600 --> 00:24:41,960
Speaker 1: on the road this year. Forty six and a half

573
00:24:42,080 --> 00:24:43,560
Speaker 1: is the number four, this one so.

574
00:24:43,520 --> 00:24:45,720
Speaker 2: Pretty high total. Do you think that's correct?

575
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:48,080
Speaker 3: I think it's correct, and we're going all in on

576
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,360
Speaker 3: the Cowboys offense. It's Dak and yes I am going

577
00:24:51,359 --> 00:24:55,199
Speaker 3: to say it's Tony Pollard because Washington has been terrible

578
00:24:55,280 --> 00:24:59,120
Speaker 3: versus the run since losing Montes Wett and Chase Chase Young,

579
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:02,160
Speaker 3: they have been horrible since week twelve, third most rushing

580
00:25:02,240 --> 00:25:06,440
Speaker 3: yards per game, fourth highest or fourth most rushing scores allowed.

581
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:09,919
Speaker 3: So it's easy man, It's Dak, it's Tony Pollard, and

582
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:13,720
Speaker 3: it's Ceedee Lamb. I'm not playing any Commanders, Like, could

583
00:25:13,760 --> 00:25:16,280
Speaker 3: I make you a case for Curtis Samuel in this game,

584
00:25:16,320 --> 00:25:18,440
Speaker 3: considering and everybody's gonna bring up, okay, what he did

585
00:25:18,920 --> 00:25:21,840
Speaker 3: versus Dallas earlier in the year, Yes, I could. Also,

586
00:25:22,080 --> 00:25:24,280
Speaker 3: it needs to be stated the Commanders are just basically

587
00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:25,200
Speaker 3: a floundering team.

588
00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:26,080
Speaker 2: They're dead in the water.

589
00:25:26,560 --> 00:25:29,919
Speaker 3: Their coach is not gonna be there next year. Sam

590
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:33,600
Speaker 3: Howell is not gonna be the starter. I'm not playing

591
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:34,399
Speaker 3: any Commanders.

592
00:25:34,920 --> 00:25:37,760
Speaker 1: Okay, not playing any Commanders, but hopefully you'll be playing

593
00:25:37,760 --> 00:25:40,240
Speaker 1: some dfs and don't forget, we'll be back with playoff

594
00:25:40,280 --> 00:25:43,600
Speaker 1: action next week. So make sure you subscribe to the podcast,

595
00:25:43,600 --> 00:25:45,720
Speaker 1: subscribe to the YouTube channel of Betting Pros, download the

596
00:25:45,720 --> 00:25:47,719
Speaker 1: Betting Pros apps, start betting smarter, not harder.

597
00:25:47,840 --> 00:25:49,360
Speaker 2: Playoffs are around the corner, folks.

598
00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,359
Speaker 1: Time to really have some fun in the betting market,

599
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,200
Speaker 1: and we want to have fun with you, so join

600
00:25:53,320 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 1: us for all the fun. Did I mention it's fun?

601
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:56,720
Speaker 1: It's gonna be fun. That'll do it for us. But

602
00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:58,960
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on. It's fun for

603
00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 1: Derek Brown, I'm Joey. Hey, we'll see you next time.

604
00:26:01,800 --> 00:26:02,119
Speaker 2: Kids.

605
00:26:02,640 --> 00:26:05,399
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

606
00:26:05,440 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

607
00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:11,240
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

608
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,199
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

609
00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:16,120
Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

610
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:17,600
Speaker 2: Also subscribe to our

611
00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros