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Speaker 1: Happy Wednesday, guys, what's up? Welcome into a Wednesday morning

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Speaker 1: episode of the Daily Juice Podcast with me Matt Perolt

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Speaker 1: at Sports Talk. Matt to follow me on Twitter. After

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Speaker 1: a very good night three and one, another winning night,

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Speaker 1: looking good this week six and one start to the week.

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Speaker 1: Always love that up. Another couple of units. So we're

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Speaker 1: riding high here into a Wednesday in a great time

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Speaker 1: to use the bet MGM offer thousand dollars first bet

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Speaker 1: offer for new users with that promo code Juice at

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Speaker 1: betmgm dot come. So I'm gonna ride hockey a bit today.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna do a college basketball bet. We're two and

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Speaker 1: zero on the week in college basketball. I'm gonna jump

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Speaker 1: in with another college basketball bet. Got a total in

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Speaker 1: the hockey that I'm gonna give you, and I've got

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Speaker 1: a half unit. Play one is a is a first

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Speaker 1: period total. Bet in one is a gift parlay. Because

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Speaker 1: well it's Wednesday, we're up and I want to push

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Speaker 1: my luck just a little bit. Have you guys gone

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Speaker 1: to bettingpros dot com slash shop recently? I haven't heard

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Speaker 1: this or seen this pushed all that often. If you're

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Speaker 1: watching this on the Betting Pros YouTube channel. You can

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Speaker 1: see this fun little Daily Juice hat that I've got.

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Speaker 1: One of the best things we did. My first iteration

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Speaker 1: as the host of this podcast is that you guys

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Speaker 1: bought tears and you bought hats, and you took pictures

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Speaker 1: and you sent those pictures to me, and then I

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Speaker 1: saw you guys wearing them.

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Speaker 2: I was watched. I was wearing a Daily Juice T shirt.

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Speaker 2: One day.

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Speaker 1: I was walking into the gym with my daughter. A

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Speaker 1: guy goes Matt and I was like, yeah, what he

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Speaker 1: is like, I listen every day. I was like, shut up.

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Speaker 2: My daughter was there.

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Speaker 1: She thought it was the coolest thing ever. She was like,

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Speaker 1: that guy listens to the Daily Juice. I was like, yeah,

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Speaker 1: he saw the T shirt. He likes the Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: I got to get a couple of new Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: T shirts. Still got a couple of Daily Juice hats.

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Speaker 1: If you're gonna go ahead and buy this stuff because

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Speaker 1: I support you, want to support the pod or Betting Pros,

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Speaker 1: I very much appreciate it. Send me a picture, let

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Speaker 1: me give you some love on social media. Blast it

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Speaker 1: out there, put it on the discord channel, Get it

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Speaker 1: out bettingpros dot com slash shop, T shirts and all's

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Speaker 1: just the cool stuff sweatshirts and hats and all fun

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Speaker 1: stuff you guys can buy for the Daily Juice as

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Speaker 1: you guys can show off and help to advertise the

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Speaker 1: pod and help to grow the podcast. We are looking

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Speaker 1: to grow the Discord channel as well. We got about

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Speaker 1: twelve thousand, I believe. I think I said thirteen thousand.

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Speaker 1: I'm not sure where I got that number. I think

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Speaker 1: it's thirteen thousand on the YouTube channel and twelve thousand

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Speaker 1: on the discord I think I got my numbers twisted

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Speaker 1: and turned. But let's see if we can get to

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Speaker 1: fifteen one thousand by the time that we get to

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Speaker 1: say my birthday, which is in April. So if you're

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Speaker 1: not in the Discord channel, come on in. Easy to

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Speaker 1: get there bettingpros dot com, slash chat or there is

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Speaker 1: a direct link which is underneath me on YouTube that

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Speaker 1: will take you to come on in.

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Speaker 2: It's a cool place to go. There's a Daily Juice.

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Speaker 1: Channel on the Discord channel, so subcategory for there says

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Speaker 1: Daily Juice. That's where I hang out. I don't really

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Speaker 1: go anywhere else. That's where you want to talk to me.

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Speaker 1: Come talk to me. You got a direct conversation with me,

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Speaker 1: not Twitter too, But Discord's easier.

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Speaker 2: Just there's no other junk. It's just me. Come on in,

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Speaker 2: be a part of it. Let's go. Let's build our

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Speaker 2: community and keep it rolling.

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Speaker 1: Literally every day I'm getting a note from somebody saying, wait,

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Speaker 1: you're back.

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Speaker 2: I didn't know. So it's cool.

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Speaker 1: People who had gone away, who had stopped listening, are

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Speaker 1: now coming back. So if you're one of those people, welcome,

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Speaker 1: get in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 2: Be a part of this.

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Speaker 1: Buy a hat, get a t shirt, let's go have

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Speaker 1: some fun here for us as we head into well,

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Speaker 1: I think the Super Bowl is New Year's Day for

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Speaker 1: the sports holiday, for the or sports calendar.

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Speaker 2: That's the last day, you know. Next day is.

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Speaker 1: The first day of the year. So we're into a

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Speaker 1: brand new sports year and I'm back as the host

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Speaker 1: not harder.

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Speaker 2: Okay, let's get to hockey.

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Speaker 1: We've been doing quite well in the NHL for the

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Speaker 1: very good year betting in the NHL. Want to keep

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Speaker 1: it rolling, all right, Let's talk about the first and

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Speaker 1: only full unit play that I've got, Edmonton hosting the

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Speaker 1: Detroit Red Wings.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 1: Edmonton is seventeen seven and three to the over at home.

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Speaker 1: They're one of the best over teams in all of

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Speaker 1: the NHL. Detroit is thirteen ten and one to the

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Speaker 1: over on the road. As of right now, the expected

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Speaker 1: goaltenders are Skinner and whoso. Skinner's got two point nine

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Speaker 1: to nine goals against average at home, Whoso's got a

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Speaker 1: three point one nine goal against average on the road,

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Speaker 1: and he gave up four goals. When these teams met

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Speaker 1: just a couple of weeks ago, it was a five

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Speaker 1: to nothing or sorry, a five to two win.

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Speaker 2: Here.

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Speaker 1: Detroit is scoring goals, though. The one thing that jumps

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Speaker 1: out at me on this Detroit a wait. Since coming

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Speaker 1: off of the All Star Break, they have scored two, two,

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Speaker 1: five and six goals. We're gonna need at least two,

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Speaker 1: probably three goals from Detroit tonight here for this over

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Speaker 1: to hit. On the other side, the Oilers have scored two, six,

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Speaker 1: one and five since they came back. They are three

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Speaker 1: and one to the over over the last four games

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Speaker 1: since the break, and so same same number for the

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Speaker 1: Red Wings. They are also three and one to the

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Speaker 1: over seven seven, three and seven goals totals since they've

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Speaker 1: come back, eight nine, three and seven goals Since the

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Speaker 1: Oilers have come back, these teams give up. Each of

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Speaker 1: them give up three point one, nine and three point

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Speaker 1: two goals per game. We just need an average game

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Speaker 1: defensively from both teams. Edmonton's thirteen to eleven and three

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Speaker 1: on the road this year. Detroit is ten to nine

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Speaker 1: and five. We just need a repeat of the first matchup,

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Speaker 1: which was a five to two win for the Oilers.

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Speaker 1: But I got a feeling this is gonna be a

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Speaker 1: four to three win for one of these two teams,

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Speaker 1: and I think the number is gonna close at seven.

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Speaker 1: I think the books are gonna go to seven here

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Speaker 1: r at minus one twenty five already here overnight, so

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Speaker 1: I think the books are gonna wind up going to

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Speaker 1: the over and drop it to seven, probably just juice

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Speaker 1: it to the under for seven, So before that happens,

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Speaker 1: I'm okay with laying the juice at minus one twenty

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Speaker 1: five and putting the one point twenty five units down

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Speaker 1: here on the over. If you get seven, I don't

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Speaker 1: mind playing seven. Really good push potential, because I do

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Speaker 1: think it's gonna be a four to three, you know,

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Speaker 1: maybe five to three type of hockey game here tonight.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think either goaltender is going to be great.

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Speaker 1: I don't think either team's gonna have great defense to

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Speaker 1: go out this tonight. I'm gonna bet the over one

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Speaker 1: point twenty five units Oilers, Red Wings over six and

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Speaker 1: a half at minus one twenty five. Now we're gonna

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Speaker 1: play some numbers here with the other unit in hockey,

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Speaker 1: the Vancouver Canucks. Like we are the number one team

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Speaker 1: to a first period over, they are also the number

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Speaker 1: one team to a gift here in hockey. Thirty nine

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Speaker 1: times of fifty three games Vancouver has seen a goal

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Speaker 1: in the first ten minutes. That is seventy three point

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Speaker 1: five percent of the time and seven of the last

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Speaker 1: ten times that has happened. For a Vancouver Canuck hockey game.

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Speaker 1: The over one and a half goals is equally as good.

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Speaker 1: Forty times that's happened in fifty three games they've had.

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Speaker 1: They've had two or more goals being scored in the

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Speaker 1: first period in games involving the Canucks. That is a

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Speaker 1: seventy five point four percent clip eight of the last

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Speaker 1: ten as well, for an eighty percent clip for Vancouver.

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Speaker 1: Now Vancouver tonight taking on the New York Rangers. The

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Speaker 1: Rangers aren't great to a first period over twenty four

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Speaker 1: times out of fifty three games. That's under fifty percent,

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Speaker 1: but they are six and four over the last ten

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Speaker 1: for a gift for vancous. They are still, like I mentioned,

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Speaker 1: red hot. The Rangers are equally kind of black. They're

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Speaker 1: not as bad as the New York Islanders, but they're

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Speaker 1: not great. To a gift in the first period, they

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Speaker 1: are twenty seven out of fifty three. That's fifty point

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Speaker 1: nine percent of the time, So it's a coin flip.

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Speaker 1: But six of the last four times, sorry six to

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Speaker 1: last ten times that the Rangers have played, they have

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Speaker 1: seen a goal in the first ten minutes. I am

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Speaker 1: going to look at the Wild here at the completely

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Speaker 1: other end of the spectrum, the Wild have been on

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Speaker 1: an insane run. Okay, first period unders. Ten of the

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Speaker 1: last eleven games the Wild have seen a first period

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Speaker 1: under one and a half goals.

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Speaker 2: We played it in their last game.

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Speaker 1: The Wild are playing Colorado, who are coming off of

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Speaker 1: a game last night in which they want to in

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Speaker 1: in a shootout. Back to back games for Colorado, they

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Speaker 1: are four and six to the under. Sorry to the

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Speaker 1: overra there's a six and four to the under for

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Speaker 1: Colorado for our first period one and a half goals under.

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Speaker 1: They scored one goal last night. Now the problem are

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Speaker 1: the goaltenders, because we know what Minnesota has been doing

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Speaker 1: this is only a minus one zero five bet here. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna put a half a unit down on the

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Speaker 1: under one and a half goals for Minnesota in Colorado

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Speaker 1: and Mark Andre Flurry, who is three to one to

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Speaker 1: the first period under over the last four games, has

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Speaker 1: got to play like Mark Andre Flurry. He's been giving

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Speaker 1: up goals a ton in the second and third period,

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Speaker 1: including getting ripped in his last game against the Vegas

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Speaker 1: goal the Knights, his former team now Georgiev I think

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Speaker 1: it's say it for Colorado. He played last night. He

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Speaker 1: is expected to play in net again tonight. We don't

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Speaker 1: know that for sure for Colorado, so there's a bit

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Speaker 1: of a question mark as to who should be in net.

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Speaker 1: But the number one goaltender for Colorado has given up

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Speaker 1: zero goals in the first period over his last five games,

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Speaker 1: including last night, So hopefully we get the starting goaltender

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Speaker 1: for Colorado. If we don't and it's one of the

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Speaker 1: two backups, is not horrible. The two backups aren't awful

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Speaker 1: for Colorado. But I'm hoping that we see the starting

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Speaker 1: goaltender play again tonight. Even though it is it is

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Speaker 1: a back to back for this one, it's only minus

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Speaker 1: one oh five for this reason, because of Colorado and

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Speaker 1: because of Mark Andre Flurry, I believe, But I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: go ahead and take it. Minnesota under one and a

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Speaker 1: half goals in the first period up against Colorado, We're

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Speaker 1: gonna lay it to win a half a unit coming

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Speaker 1: back here at minus one oh five.

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Speaker 2: Now, what am I gonna do with the other half

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Speaker 2: a unit?

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Speaker 1: Well, I'm gonna go parlay shopping here for gifts Vancouver

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Speaker 1: New York Rangers. It's too good to pass it up.

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Speaker 1: But I can't lay the minus one eighty here. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is bunkers. The price for this to lay the

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Speaker 1: Rangers in Vancouver, it's minus one seventy five. Excuse me,

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Speaker 1: way too expensive for a goal in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: So you gotta parlay it with something. Well, Buffalo is

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Speaker 1: right behind Vancouver right now for goals in the first

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Speaker 1: ten minutes, and they are nine to one over their

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Speaker 1: last ten games to a goal in the first ten minute. Yes,

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Speaker 1: seventy point five percent of the time on the year,

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Speaker 1: Buffalo has seen this happen, and nine of the last

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Speaker 1: ten ninety percent obviously for the Buffalo Sabers, and Buffalo

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Speaker 1: is taking on a team tonight in the Anaheim Ducks,

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Speaker 1: who have been pretty good to a gift thirty four

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Speaker 1: times out of fifty four games. That's sixty two point

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Speaker 1: nine percent of the time, six and four though over

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Speaker 1: the last ten. But given when you combine it with Buffalo,

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Speaker 1: that's why it's minus one to eighty. It's actually more

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Speaker 1: expensive to bet this than it is to bet the

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Speaker 1: Vancouver Rangers because of the Rangers and their propensity to

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Speaker 1: not allow a goal in the first ten minutes or

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Speaker 1: can they score on Vancouver or in the first ten minutes.

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Speaker 1: This is a plus one forty four parlay. I'm jumping

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Speaker 1: in with this. We're gonna parlay Vancouver and Buffalo to

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Speaker 1: have a goal in the first ten minutes for a

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Speaker 1: half a unit at plus one forty four. All right,

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Speaker 1: So three bets two units going are a little more

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Speaker 1: than two point twenty five units going. Tonight's in the

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Speaker 1: NHL one final. Bet for you. It's in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: It's the game of the night in college basketball Alabama

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Speaker 1: and Tennessee. So I've been trying to stay away from

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Speaker 1: the most popular game of the night in college basketball

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Speaker 1: because I just think when you go down the list

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Speaker 1: a little bit, you're more lucky to find value. I

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Speaker 1: might be way off on this, all right, I might

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Speaker 1: be totally off my rocker, but the total for Alabama

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is one forty five and a half. So I

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Speaker 1: got last night at Circus Sports here in Vegas one

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Speaker 1: forty five and a half. Kempom has this total at

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Speaker 1: one forty. Now the Lion's three for Tennessee. Alabama's been

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Speaker 1: phenomenal at home. On the road, they've been okay, but

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Speaker 1: five and a half points off ken Pom. This is

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Speaker 1: a rarity. You never see that, and I can see never.

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Speaker 1: You rarely ever see the books being this far off

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Speaker 1: what Kenpom has now. Maybe their own models are good enough,

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Speaker 1: but it's a two point win for Alabama. According to Kenpom.

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Speaker 1: The number is sorry for Tennessee rather and the number

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Speaker 1: is two. So the spread is right where you would

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Speaker 1: expect it for Alabama and Tennessee number two and number

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Speaker 1: five teams. No, actually, I'm sorry, yeah, yeah, this is

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Speaker 1: a two We has right two point for Tennessee. So

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Speaker 1: let's spreads three. Kempom is a two point win, So

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Speaker 1: the spread is right on with ken Pom. But the

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Speaker 1: total is not one forty five and a half. So

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Speaker 1: you start looking at the numbers for Alabama and Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: To totals, Alabama is thirteen eleven and one to the

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Speaker 1: under this year. Overall, Tennessee is fifteen and ten to

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Speaker 1: the under this year. Alabama in the SEC is eight

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Speaker 1: three and one to the under this year. In conference play,

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Speaker 1: Tennessee is seven and five to the under. In conference play,

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Speaker 1: Alabama on the road is six six and one flat

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Speaker 1: to totals. At home, Tennessee is seven and six to

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Speaker 1: the under this year. Tennessee three of the last four

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Speaker 1: games have gone under. The last game against Missouri flew over.

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Speaker 1: Total was one forty two. Final score was eighty six

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Speaker 1: eighty five over by twenty nine points. They were twelve

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Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. They lost outright. Not a

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Speaker 1: good night for Tennessee. Alabama last game on the road

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Speaker 1: against Auburn one p fifty six went under by ten points,

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Speaker 1: seventy seven to sixty nine, the win for Alabama. I

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Speaker 1: leaned towards the Crimson tide here in this game because

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Speaker 1: I really like Alabama a lot. But on the road

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Speaker 1: Bama is seven to five and one ats Tennessee is

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Speaker 1: eight and five. Alabama has been hot. They've won four

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Speaker 1: games in a row, beating at Auburn, Florida, LSU, and

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Speaker 1: Vanderbilt by fifty seven, ten, twenty eight in eight. On

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Speaker 1: the other side, Tennessee has lost three to four, losing

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Speaker 1: by thirteen to Florida, one to Vanderbilt, one to Missouri,

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Speaker 1: beating Auburn by three in that run. Here for a

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Speaker 1: three and one or one in three mark straight up.

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Speaker 1: But they didn't cover in any of those games. Oh

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Speaker 1: to four didn't cover on any of them, So I

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Speaker 1: don't really trust Eileen. Alabama plus three here, but road

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Speaker 1: teams catching points. This is going to be a rocking

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Speaker 1: atmosphere for Tennessee. This could be the ultimate Bilo spot

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Speaker 1: on Tennessee. I think this is a grinder of a

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Speaker 1: basketball game. I think the better bed here is to

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Speaker 1: talk about Ken Palm's got it as an under under

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Speaker 1: one forty five and a half.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to be so interested.

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Speaker 1: The first thing I'm doing when I'm getting up in

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Speaker 1: the morning today is I'm checking the total to see

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Speaker 1: what happens overnight, because one forty five and a half,

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Speaker 1: when the East Coast folks wake up, I can't see

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Speaker 1: this number closing. Maybe I'm dead wrong. Maybe this thing

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Speaker 1: will rise. Maybe Ken Palmsdan wrong. I don't know. This

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Speaker 1: just seems like the wrong number to me. This seems

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Speaker 1: way too high for Alabama and Tennessee. I'm going under

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Speaker 1: one forty five and a half for one point one

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Speaker 1: units here in college basketball, all right, So we are

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Speaker 1: going the over six and a half at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty five for Edmonton in Detroit, the wild first period

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Speaker 1: against Colorado, under one and a half goals in the

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Speaker 1: first period at minus one oh five, a gift in

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Speaker 1: the Vancouver game, and the Buffalo game at plus one

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Speaker 1: forty four for a half a unit, and the under

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Speaker 1: one forty five and a half for Alabama and Tennessee

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Speaker 1: that for one point one units minus.

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Speaker 2: Matt Parratz. You guys can follow me on Twitter at

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Speaker 2: Sports Talk Matt. Each and every morning, it is the

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Speaker 2: Deli

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Speaker 1: Juce Podcast, being brought to you by bet MGM