Speaker 1: Check it down Man, Now Down Man. September ten, it's
Speaker 1: being in the Big Podcast Week one of the National
Speaker 1: Football League season. It's Gill Alexander is our I'm gonna
Speaker 1: call our tenth season on the megapod very pumped. Thank
Speaker 1: you to everybody who has listened throughout the years. Uh,
Speaker 1: for everybody who asked for it. On Thursdays on Twitter,
Speaker 1: we love you back this year. The staples of the show.
Speaker 1: Yen's there from Pittsburgh, one of the stars of Showtimes
Speaker 1: docuseries Action Back in the Day. It's Todd wishing of
Speaker 1: a spelt, Todd wishing of how many pounds have you lost? Toddy, Well,
Speaker 1: I'm down to two nine. If you know, during the
Speaker 1: Action show I was three. So that's uh, if you're
Speaker 1: doing the math at home, that's about seventy six pounds. Anyways,
Speaker 1: that's a lot of pounds. Seventy six pounds from the
Speaker 1: talk and since since I was in Vegas another forty one.
Speaker 1: We're also a flying start everybody, and of course Mike
Speaker 1: Palm ladies and gentleman Derek Stephen's conciliary, uh, the vice
Speaker 1: president of operations over there at Circus Sports, Mikey, thank
Speaker 1: you for doing this. I'm so excited to be back
Speaker 1: on with Todd. I missed him as uh you know,
Speaker 1: was the Census year, and like all of his people,
Speaker 1: he had a return home for the Census, So I'm
Speaker 1: looking forward to seeing him. Not even sure, I don't
Speaker 1: even know what kind of like did that was. I
Speaker 1: didn't even really get it, so Mike, maybe you'll explain
Speaker 1: it to me later. That's just a governmental joke from Mike,
Speaker 1: nothing more a rotating guests, and we always have a
Speaker 1: rotating guest. He is always in the leadoff spot, a
Speaker 1: tradition unlike any other passed. We want him to give
Speaker 1: the year anymore former Super Contest champion over there when
Speaker 1: it was called the Hilton, so that gives you some
Speaker 1: sense of when in history, something like that, part of
Speaker 1: the San Susi team when he wanted at the time
Speaker 1: the finest record in Super Contest history as well. It's
Speaker 1: Brady Hand and how you doing, Brady. I'm doing great.
Speaker 1: Good to be back on the megapode now, Mike. Here's
Speaker 1: what happened before the show. Mikey joked that if Brady's
Speaker 1: on the show, is gonna last double the like that
Speaker 1: it normally does. So now Brady's only speaking in phrases.
Speaker 1: He's like, thank you's so happy to be here. You
Speaker 1: want to get on with it, Mike, get you down.
Speaker 1: I don't think you talked too much. And you know, Mike,
Speaker 1: he just loves to like get a get a like
Speaker 1: a meme going about somebody that's totally not true. And
Speaker 1: you know how it is, those big casino executives, they
Speaker 1: just care about themselves. We know, Brady, how many people
Speaker 1: were in the Super Contest in two thousand and eleven
Speaker 1: when you won it? Five hundred and seventeen. And what's
Speaker 1: interesting about that number? That was a record high at
Speaker 1: the time, and ever since then it really just increased exponentially.
Speaker 1: I think the next year there was about seven fifty,
Speaker 1: and then they got to about eleven hundred. And you know,
Speaker 1: nowadays we're into the neighborhood of the three thousands. Not
Speaker 1: this year, but yeah, five hundred and seventeen, and that
Speaker 1: was a record high. Brady, you're you're a modest Is
Speaker 1: it fair to say that it was your idea to
Speaker 1: have Super Contest weekend? Thereafter? It was? Yes, After the
Speaker 1: victory by San Susie, I got on the phone with
Speaker 1: Jake Hornegay and I said, Hey, let's let's throw a
Speaker 1: golf tournament. Let's have a big to do to get
Speaker 1: everybody fired up about football and have everybody come to
Speaker 1: your hotel for the weekend. And I think it was
Speaker 1: just a few weeks ago that we completed our ninth
Speaker 1: Super Contest weekend, so that has stuck. And now Mikey's
Speaker 1: involved too. They have their own contest weekend, so it's
Speaker 1: great stuff. Did you use the phrase to do when
Speaker 1: you asked about this with Jake Cornigant? Is that actually
Speaker 1: came up? I did, specifically, Yes, Mikey. Mikey. What Brady
Speaker 1: is referring to, obviously, is that Circus Sports h entered
Speaker 1: the contest game last year and too much fanfare. You
Speaker 1: are doing it again this year. You are doing it
Speaker 1: with a survivor contest as well. Can you explain to
Speaker 1: the people's I don't know why I just talked like
Speaker 1: Bill Cosgy, but can you explain to the people's what
Speaker 1: the overlay may or may not be in both of
Speaker 1: those as we approach Saturday week one deadline, because you've
Speaker 1: got a huge sprint here at the end of entries,
Speaker 1: didn't you a real a real last minute rush. I
Speaker 1: mean you asked the P. T. Barnum question about three
Speaker 1: weeks ago when we were at about three hundred entries.
Speaker 1: How much of this overlay is real? And how much
Speaker 1: is P T. Barnum? In the last fifteen days, we've
Speaker 1: done almost two thousand as we speak. The circle million
Speaker 1: to which this year Derek guaranteed three million instead of
Speaker 1: one point five million and needs three thousand entries to
Speaker 1: break even for us? Is that two thousand, four hundred
Speaker 1: and fifty six, And I mean there's an outside shot
Speaker 1: we get to three thousand. We did three hundred and
Speaker 1: thirty on Tuesday, and we did four hundred and thirty
Speaker 1: entries yesterday and we're at almost so you're gonna get
Speaker 1: it for sure. Then now we're not not for sure.
Speaker 1: Remember the proxies starting really tomorrow and Saturday have to
Speaker 1: start p and picks in so it's hard for them
Speaker 1: to get up a lot of appointments. The late rush,
Speaker 1: if it is one, will be mostly locals, people living
Speaker 1: in Nevada. So what's the what's the what's the drop
Speaker 1: dead hour? Like exact hour, the bewitching hour is two
Speaker 1: pm on Saturday, Todd and then you have to have
Speaker 1: your picks in by three now the survivor. We introduced
Speaker 1: it to Last Man Standing. I'm sure many of your
Speaker 1: loyal megapod listeners are familiar with dad. You pick a team,
Speaker 1: no point spread, you can only use them once during
Speaker 1: the year, and who's ever left at the end wins
Speaker 1: a million. Derek guaranteed a million, so we actually surpassed it,
Speaker 1: and we're at a thousand, forty seven right now, so
Speaker 1: maybe we get to twelve hundred, twelve fifty in that
Speaker 1: for a pot of one point three million. We added
Speaker 1: the rink goal that if anybody all, Todd, I want
Speaker 1: you to treat this like this is the McLaughlin group
Speaker 1: talk when you are called upon. Well, I haven't gotten
Speaker 1: any eartime in months, so it's my time, baby, It's
Speaker 1: my time. Let him tell his story. Todd is saying,
Speaker 1: with metaphysical certainty, will get to three thousand. There's some
Speaker 1: Laughlin reference for you, eleanor cliff anyhow maybe we can
Speaker 1: get the thirteen hundred. It's winner take all, Todd if
Speaker 1: anybody goes perfect. And we added the three Thanksgiving Day
Speaker 1: games as its own week, so you gotta say one
Speaker 1: of those six teams in case you get there. If
Speaker 1: anybody goes eighteen and oh, or multiple people go eighteen
Speaker 1: and old, Derek will add a million dollars on top
Speaker 1: of the pot. So one guy goes eighteen and al,
Speaker 1: he's looking at like two point two million right now.
Speaker 1: So even if it ended in week fourteen and there
Speaker 1: was one player left, he's still gotta put picks in
Speaker 1: the rest of the way to see even get the
Speaker 1: million dollar bonus. By the way, typically do survivor people
Speaker 1: go the entire season to win or do they usually
Speaker 1: win before the season ends? You know in stations they
Speaker 1: have a hundred thousand people in it. You know they're twenty.
Speaker 1: We'll have about a thousand. I would be surprised if
Speaker 1: if somebody made it eighteen and oh, I predicted it
Speaker 1: would be around fifteen or sixteenth week, would we'd be
Speaker 1: down to one? But we'll see. It's interesting, it's a
Speaker 1: different year, uh, And it'd be may may be tough
Speaker 1: to get through the first few weeks when we haven't
Speaker 1: seen anybody play. I asked Mikey a few weeks ago
Speaker 1: how much of this is real and how much of
Speaker 1: this is P. T. Barnum, which is my way of saying, damn,
Speaker 1: how much of this is you and Derek bullshit? I
Speaker 1: wanted told question for me. I apologize three weeks later,
Speaker 1: but you know, I thought a worthwhile question. Nonetheless, all right, boys,
Speaker 1: here's how it goes. We have the format that we've
Speaker 1: had for years. Let's move the Thursday night game up
Speaker 1: to the front. We don't have to elaborate on it
Speaker 1: if we have no particular conviction on either the side
Speaker 1: or the total. But it is the Chiefs and the Texans.
Speaker 1: It is nine and a half in favor of the
Speaker 1: Chiefs in a quote unquote home game. Right, it is
Speaker 1: a home game, but it's obviously the year of COVID,
Speaker 1: so things aren't exactly the same as they used to be. Uh.
Speaker 1: The total is at fifty four. Mikey, let's start with you,
Speaker 1: or actually, let's start with our guest, because that's the
Speaker 1: only polite thing to do. Brady, anything tonight Thursday Night football.
Speaker 1: I actually did play the Texans, and uh, you know,
Speaker 1: this is not a handicapping element that I think you
Speaker 1: want to base your play on, but I do think
Speaker 1: there is a little bit of a revenge angle here, uh,
Speaker 1: and specifically playoff revenge because we remember the Texans got
Speaker 1: out to a twenty four to nothing lead, and again
Speaker 1: that is not the basis of the handicap here. But
Speaker 1: I still believe that they have not forgotten that and
Speaker 1: do want to make amends for that. I also think
Speaker 1: the general public likes to bet against Bill O'Brien and
Speaker 1: the Chiefs conversely or are a big public darling. So
Speaker 1: I think this point spread is skewed a little bit. Um.
Speaker 1: I do think Houston has a chance to win the game. Um,
Speaker 1: but I'll go with the points here plus nine and
Speaker 1: a half and I'll say Kansas City by six. One
Speaker 1: of the more memorable playoff games in recent history. As
Speaker 1: Brady said, the Texans went out to nothing lead. Kansas
Speaker 1: City eventually wanted fifty one to thirty one, but they
Speaker 1: came back from the to nothing deficit, as I recall,
Speaker 1: with eight straight drives in which they scored, seven of
Speaker 1: which were touchdowns, one field goal. Just an amazing turn
Speaker 1: of events. One of the great playoffs is that, Brady
Speaker 1: is actual. Is that one of your three picks, Brady,
Speaker 1: Because as the stenographer, I have to get this down correctly. No,
Speaker 1: it is not one of my official best bets. For
Speaker 1: the podcast, but I do officially have the Texans in pocket. Todd,
Speaker 1: Let's ask you a question. Could you let the last
Speaker 1: three words of my last sentence finished before you do that?
Speaker 1: Or you just need to knock out those last three words? Two? Five?
Speaker 1: All right? I appreciate that, Mikey or Todd anything on
Speaker 1: this game tonight. Anything. I can't believe Todd Hadson spoken.
Speaker 1: And by the way, you're the secretary, You're not the
Speaker 1: straphyll he called me. I did, I did all fair.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry. Maybe I should doutgrade him if that's a
Speaker 1: I have an official play on this Okay. One of
Speaker 1: my three picks is tonight, and uh it's only because
Speaker 1: I'm really struggling to come up with three plays. But
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go over fifty four tonight this game. I
Speaker 1: think this Houston offense, you're down grading yourself. It's actually
Speaker 1: fifty three or fifty three and a half. This is
Speaker 1: the first time ever four in the open. If you
Speaker 1: were listening, he previewed the game as fifty four. Well,
Speaker 1: Gil got it wrong. Well, let me see, maybe I
Speaker 1: did get it wrong because I didn't have the totals up,
Speaker 1: So it's very possible ladies and gentlemen, that the number
Speaker 1: of the consensus number is my screens that coming up.
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, fifty three and a half. Actually, hold on,
Speaker 1: hold everything, fifty three. It is fifty three. Pardon whole point, Mikey,
Speaker 1: Wait a minute, you said fifty three and a half.
Speaker 1: You were trying to still chine me out of a half.
Speaker 1: So I'm gonna go over three or fifty three and
Speaker 1: a half. I saved you a point. I'm gonna go
Speaker 1: over fifty three. I think this Texans offense is loaded
Speaker 1: and and and here's the other reason. There's no crowd
Speaker 1: noise that arrowhead to mess with them on third and long. Okay,
Speaker 1: this will be an interesting factor for bookmakers when they're
Speaker 1: trying to set these totals. The defense is not gonna
Speaker 1: benefit the home team from loud noise and snap counts,
Speaker 1: not only the false starts, but your offensive line not
Speaker 1: firing off the ball all at the same time, I
Speaker 1: think this is the shootout. I'm with I'm with Brady.
Speaker 1: I think this number is greatly exaggerated. And if you
Speaker 1: could have gotten ten on this game, good for you.
Speaker 1: But official play todd over over fifty three from Mike
Speaker 1: Palm Todd anything from you right now, I'm not making
Speaker 1: any official play on this game. I really don't have
Speaker 1: a feel for it. Although I leaned towards the Texans.
Speaker 1: I mean, nine and a half points is a lot
Speaker 1: of points, and and it's not like the Chiefs now.
Speaker 1: Granted in the playoffs, they did have that blowout, but
Speaker 1: the Chiefs didn't blow people out every single week last week,
Speaker 1: if you remember, there were a lot of close games
Speaker 1: and and nine and a half points against the good team,
Speaker 1: there's too many. Now, I'm not making it a pick
Speaker 1: or anything, but you know I would lean with Brady
Speaker 1: on this one. No pick from me in game opportunity.
Speaker 1: I think if I leaned anything, i'd lean with Mikey.
Speaker 1: But no pick for me on this. Let us begin
Speaker 1: with the official best bets. Brady, we start with you.
Speaker 1: What is pick number umber one, sir? I'm going to
Speaker 1: begin with the Los Angeles Rams. And I actually made
Speaker 1: this bet back in May uh Rams plus three against
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, And much of this was based off of
Speaker 1: my feeling gil on what the public perception of these
Speaker 1: two teams is. And I think in week one, UH,
Speaker 1: starting your point of handicap with public perception is kind
Speaker 1: of a good starting point. You can dive into the personnel,
Speaker 1: the injuries and and all that type of thing. Obviously,
Speaker 1: we don't have preseason two assess this year, but I
Speaker 1: think public perception is a good starting point in Week one.
Speaker 1: And with the Cowboys, you know new head coach, a
Speaker 1: perceived upgrade from Jason Garrett, the shiny new draft pick
Speaker 1: in Ceedee Lamb, and how much talent this team has
Speaker 1: had for years, brutally under underachieving last season, and it
Speaker 1: just seems like people are giddy about America's team and
Speaker 1: are already crowning them super Bowl champion. Conversely, I think
Speaker 1: the public perception is extremely low on the Los Angeles Rams,
Speaker 1: and I also think it's very interesting that all summer
Speaker 1: long this line was pretty much frozen at three, even
Speaker 1: though it seems the public judgment of these two teams
Speaker 1: already exist. And now just finally here on opening night,
Speaker 1: we're we're starting to see some two and a half
Speaker 1: pop up, So maybe some Rams money finally coming in. Um.
Speaker 1: I think the Cowboys will be good for sure, but
Speaker 1: I think the Rams will be much better than the
Speaker 1: general consensus is. I also think Sean mcveigh's offense is
Speaker 1: going to be able to use misdirection and really take
Speaker 1: advantage of what is a pretty weak Dallas Cowboy linebacking corps.
Speaker 1: If you look at the running backs that they have
Speaker 1: in Los Angeles to replace Todd Gurley, the draft pick
Speaker 1: cam Acres, Malcolm Brown, Darryl Henderson. Cam Acres is really
Speaker 1: a stud and a lot of people would have known
Speaker 1: more about him if Florida State was any good last year.
Speaker 1: But I think those three guys will allow Jared Goff
Speaker 1: to have play action pass opportunities, and we all, I
Speaker 1: think could agree whether you like Jared Goff or not.
Speaker 1: When he's able to do play action pass, uh, that's
Speaker 1: when he's at his best. I think this game has
Speaker 1: a potential for a lot of points, but I think
Speaker 1: the Rams are kind of a sleeping dog here with
Speaker 1: everybody so high on Dallas and down on on the Rams.
Speaker 1: Also a couple of big losses in the lineup at
Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage for Dallas. I don't think this
Speaker 1: necessarily affects the point spread, but could affect the game.
Speaker 1: That's offensive tackle Ao Collins out for Dallas. Gerald McCoy
Speaker 1: of course will be out on defense, so I think
Speaker 1: the Rams could win this thing out right. I did
Speaker 1: not bet the money line, but I will see if
Speaker 1: I can win the game with the points. All right,
Speaker 1: Rams plus three extra juice, give us some extra juice there,
Speaker 1: Toddy plus three minus once when he consensus on the Rams.
Speaker 1: That is the Sunday Night game of the week. By
Speaker 1: the way, Drew DINSI, who does such great work. Whale
Speaker 1: caper art Twitter, who was on a numbers game on
Speaker 1: visa with me earlier this week, he also loves the Rams.
Speaker 1: We'll hope to get him on the Megapod at some
Speaker 1: point this year. By the way, in contrast to the
Speaker 1: Texans and the Chiefs, where the Chiefs obviously beat the
Speaker 1: Texans and they come back we just talked about on
Speaker 1: their way to winning the Super Bowl last year, Cowboys
Speaker 1: in the Rams two of the most disappointing teams last
Speaker 1: year in the NFL we were called Cowboys, ended up
Speaker 1: going eight and eight out of the playoffs, a game
Speaker 1: behind the Eagles in the NFC East and the Rams.
Speaker 1: After getting to the Super Bowl the previous year and
Speaker 1: losing to the Patriots, they finished nine and seven on
Speaker 1: the outside looking in third place behind the Niners and
Speaker 1: the Seahawks in the NFC West Todd number one from you.
Speaker 1: Well you all know that. Um. Even though some people
Speaker 1: don't think I'm that bright, I did uh have a
Speaker 1: lot of very juicy stuff last year in the National
Speaker 1: Football League and have forgotten more about gambling than some
Speaker 1: people will ever know. I won't talk about who those
Speaker 1: people maybe, but I will just say this. I was
Speaker 1: dead right on the damn Tampa Bay Buccaneers going over
Speaker 1: every damn week of the NFL season, except the funds
Speaker 1: that I held off. Didn't bet them over. Against Houston Texans,
Speaker 1: it didn't go over, and then all the rest of them,
Speaker 1: I just kept going over because we they couldn't play defense,
Speaker 1: and they had a great offensive football team. Plus Jamis
Speaker 1: Winston pitched in with a bunch of pick sixes, and
Speaker 1: it was just beautiful. It was like Gonzaga over, baby
Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Buccaneers over. And I'm gonna go with even
Speaker 1: though I've got background noise from bar Canada, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: go with the over. Why in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Speaker 1: New Orleans States game? And here's why. I've got Tom
Speaker 1: Terrific Brady at the offensive helm. That's gotta be as
Speaker 1: good as Jamis Winston. We're gonna be able to score
Speaker 1: a lot of points. I haven't. I don't believe that
Speaker 1: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have upgraded the defensive end of
Speaker 1: the ball until I see it with my own eyes
Speaker 1: and guess who they're going against. Yeah, that's right, They're
Speaker 1: going against Drew Brees, he of the Well. Maybe not
Speaker 1: the smartest things to say in a racial pandemic situation.
Speaker 1: Let the true Brees. Let New Orleans Saints. I'll see
Speaker 1: over because I think there's gonna be points all over
Speaker 1: this football field. The consensus is forty seven and a
Speaker 1: half for forty eight, Gil, tell me what I get.
Speaker 1: I'm going over those numbers, baby, you get forty seven
Speaker 1: and a half, sir, over forty seven and a half
Speaker 1: for the Tampa Bay New Orleans game. That's an afternoon game,
Speaker 1: one of three afternoon games on Sunday week one. How
Speaker 1: many early games I hate when they do this. There
Speaker 1: are a grand total of nine early games in three
Speaker 1: afternoon games that we have a Sunday night and remember
Speaker 1: a Monday night doubleheader coming up as well. Mikey, was
Speaker 1: that pick that you gave earlier? Was that your number
Speaker 1: one best bet on the over of the Houston k
Speaker 1: C game. Why don't give us your number one best bet?
Speaker 1: It was actually my number two best bet? And what
Speaker 1: is a racial pandemic? My number one number one? You
Speaker 1: don't know what a racial pandemic is? No one knows.
Speaker 1: It's the Tennessee Titans on Monday night, the second Gil
Speaker 1: didn't give his first pick. You can't go to the
Speaker 1: second pick already. Well, I was trying here, Todd. Okay, fine,
Speaker 1: here's the thing. My number one pick happens to be.
Speaker 1: Are you ready for this? The Tennessee Titans. So because
Speaker 1: Mikey in order? Okay, but Mikey already gave a pick.
Speaker 1: So I was just asking if that it was his
Speaker 1: number one pick. Do you understand how it was his
Speaker 1: number two pick? You asked me to hold you in
Speaker 1: in Okay, Okay, you helped me in contempt, So okay,
Speaker 1: I'll follow the guy who apparently is more than just
Speaker 1: the secretary. He also can all this in contempt. I'm
Speaker 1: on Tennessee. And then Mikey, you can chime in with
Speaker 1: your number two pick to start things out. How about
Speaker 1: that or your number one pick on this? Also? You
Speaker 1: know your number two. No, you're number one, but here's
Speaker 1: my number one as well. This is both Mikey and
Speaker 1: my number one pick. We're on Tennessee. I'm on Tennessee
Speaker 1: because of the following. If you listen to a numbers game.
Speaker 1: Maybe I said it on the megapod to last year,
Speaker 1: but all last year, and I think I did this
Speaker 1: with Utah a number of times. No one loves Drew
Speaker 1: Lock more than Drew Lock. When he made good plays,
Speaker 1: that dude was the happiest guy in the world. He
Speaker 1: just thought he was a world killer. But if you
Speaker 1: go back and look at his run late last year,
Speaker 1: Drew Lock beat up on really bad past defenses in
Speaker 1: his four victories, really bad bottom quarter bottom third actually yeah,
Speaker 1: no bottom quarter checked that past defenses in the National
Speaker 1: Football League, and so competition matters. H Adam Chernoff, who
Speaker 1: was on Visa and the Show be Former and Follow
Speaker 1: the Money with Mitch Moss and PAULI Howard, he absually
Speaker 1: added to that as well, where he said not only
Speaker 1: that he was also helped Drew Lock was by yards
Speaker 1: after catch, primarily by his receivers, in a way that
Speaker 1: most quarterbacks were not. And if you look deep into
Speaker 1: his pressure stats. How does he perform under pressure? Not
Speaker 1: good at all, almost bottom of the barrel in the
Speaker 1: National Football League. So here he is now the beginning
Speaker 1: of his sophomore season. There's a von Miller problem that
Speaker 1: just happened in Denver, brutal loss for of the Denver Broncos.
Speaker 1: Tennessee was a two point dog, two and a half
Speaker 1: point dog at one point, they're a two point favorite.
Speaker 1: Guess what. I still like him as long as it's
Speaker 1: not three Tennessee Titans, who, on the other hand, to me,
Speaker 1: are criminally underrated, even after their great playoff run, having
Speaker 1: beaten the Patriots and the Ravens last year. So for me,
Speaker 1: it's Tennessee. Mikey, Yeah, I agree with you. I was
Speaker 1: listening to the president of the Todd Wishing of Fan Club,
Speaker 1: Michael Lombardi, talking about They're not gonna play Drew Lock
Speaker 1: in September the way they played Drew Lock in December
Speaker 1: last year in those meaningless games. Uh, there's too much
Speaker 1: public perception of this great Drew Lock. I agree with you, Gil,
Speaker 1: it's much different. He's gonna have to go up up
Speaker 1: against a much more well coached defense than he faced
Speaker 1: at the end of the year last year, and yeah,
Speaker 1: von Miller is a factor in this. For me, I
Speaker 1: thought this was a cheap price. Personally, I make the
Speaker 1: Titans about a four point favorite in this game. So
Speaker 1: that's my number one. Best Okay, that's my number one
Speaker 1: as well, Brady, let's get your number two since we
Speaker 1: already had Mikey's number two. My second play is on
Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons and as high as plus two and
Speaker 1: a half. Now I got them at plus two over
Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks, and I think he can begin with
Speaker 1: public perception again here too. People remember Atlanta starting the
Speaker 1: season last year at one and seven, dan Quinn was
Speaker 1: going to be fired. They tend to forget that this
Speaker 1: team finished the year six and two with wins over
Speaker 1: San Francisco the Saints. Uh, they won their last four
Speaker 1: in a row. I also think public perception on Todd
Speaker 1: Gurley is low, but I think the change of scenery
Speaker 1: will be very good for him. It seems like this
Speaker 1: guy's been around forever, but people forget he's only twenty
Speaker 1: six years old, and you add to had to add
Speaker 1: him to this offense that I think is extremely powerful
Speaker 1: from a passing standpoint and a potentially elite running back.
Speaker 1: I think this can be a really well bound, balanced,
Speaker 1: formidable attack for Atlanta. And on the other side of
Speaker 1: the coin here, I think the public look public looks
Speaker 1: at Seattle only laying a pointer two and it looks
Speaker 1: like low hanging fruit and gil. You know, Seattle has
Speaker 1: notoriously struggled against the spread on the road. Atlanta, by
Speaker 1: the way, very good at home eleven and one straight
Speaker 1: up against the spread in home openers under Matt Ryan. UM.
Speaker 1: I think Seattle is still questionable on the offensive line.
Speaker 1: They don't have a great pass rush. We know they
Speaker 1: did not signed Clowney. Dan Quinn, of course, spent a
Speaker 1: long time in Seattle under Pete Carroll as the defensive coordinator.
Speaker 1: He knows what this team is going to try to do. Uh.
Speaker 1: Falcons also last four meetings against Seattle are undefeated against
Speaker 1: the spread. UM. I think it's possible that the wrong
Speaker 1: team is favored here. Now you know there's not a
Speaker 1: huge difference between Seattle minus two and Atlanta minus one. UM,
Speaker 1: but I think this game should probably be picked them
Speaker 1: at worse. UM. I like Atlanta at home catching a
Speaker 1: couple of points. Seattle on the road, I think is
Speaker 1: a fade situation in the in the opening game of
Speaker 1: the season. I'll take Atlanta here. A matter of fact, Todd,
Speaker 1: give him plus two and a half. That seems to
Speaker 1: be the consensus right now. So Atlanta plus two and
Speaker 1: a half. That game for me is gonna come up later,
Speaker 1: but in a totally different context later on the show,
Speaker 1: as we progress through all of our questions. It's one
Speaker 1: thing to have a global pandemic. It's one thing to
Speaker 1: have racial protests. Is an entirely different thing to have
Speaker 1: a racial pandemic. Ladies, and gentleman Todd wished of on
Speaker 1: the board with his first ridiculous comment, what do you
Speaker 1: got number two? Todd? Well, here's the thing about me.
Speaker 1: I like to be entertaining as well as informative. Some
Speaker 1: people are informative like you, Gil. Some people are entertaining,
Speaker 1: like Mike. I try to bring the two together. Now, Yeah,
Speaker 1: you're the total baggage. My second pick. You know what
Speaker 1: I have to say. I gotta go with Brady on
Speaker 1: this one. I like the Atlanta Falcons too. And here's why.
Speaker 1: If you remember the Atlanta Falcons, they do have a quarterback,
Speaker 1: and they Maddie Ice, and of course I've poined the
Speaker 1: phrase Gilly Ice for mental fortitude lacking that that Maddie
Speaker 1: Ice has as well. But if you noticed last year,
Speaker 1: late in the season, Maddie Ice got his crap together
Speaker 1: and the Atlanta Falcons played a lot better football late
Speaker 1: in the season. I believe there was a game against
Speaker 1: Seattle where Matt shab was the quarterback and they kept
Speaker 1: it close and played them real tight. I think plus
Speaker 1: two and a half. Seattle's, to me is the kind
Speaker 1: of team. They can look amazing, they can look you know,
Speaker 1: you know, they're very up and down. You know, Russell
Speaker 1: Wilson gets three touchdowns behind and then it comes flying
Speaker 1: back and and wins the game out of nowhere. I
Speaker 1: could totally see this thing like a six game. I'm
Speaker 1: getting two and a half points Atlanta at home. You know,
Speaker 1: Atlanta played really poorly coming out of the gate last year.
Speaker 1: They've got to have that in the back of their mind,
Speaker 1: thinking we gotta get off the schnite early in the season.
Speaker 1: You've got to play hard right off the get go.
Speaker 1: Give me Atlanta Falcons with Brady Rustling two and a half.
Speaker 1: That game's got Planko written all over it for me.
Speaker 1: Plinko plus two and a half. I get two and
Speaker 1: a half points in plink Plinko might go against you, man,
Speaker 1: that ship might end up in a slot you don't like. Um,
Speaker 1: but you know, just my opinion. Uh. My number two picks,
Speaker 1: since we already have Mikey's is the over in the
Speaker 1: Houston Kansas City game tonight. My number two pick as
Speaker 1: we fight through the the just absolute din at the
Speaker 1: d in downtown Las Vegas, where it must be teaming
Speaker 1: with contests signer ruppers better than Mike's heavy breathing from
Speaker 1: last year. Um, alright, My number two pick is the
Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins. Hit it Todd, mymid Dolphins, mymiph number one. Alright,
Speaker 1: that's enough. I'm on the Dolphins plus the six and
Speaker 1: a half against the New England Patriots. Uh new era
Speaker 1: obviously in New England, not just because Tom Brady has
Speaker 1: gone and Cam Newton is in behind center, but because
Speaker 1: they are team opt out, so many opt outs over
Speaker 1: five less than ten. I want to count seven or
Speaker 1: eight tone goal, but that includes Patrick Chung, It includes
Speaker 1: Donta Hi Tower. In fact, uh, they are without their
Speaker 1: starting linebacking crew from last year, not just because of
Speaker 1: opt outs, but also because of transactional things, and so
Speaker 1: the conventional wisdom seems to be, well, it's still Bill Belichick,
Speaker 1: it's still the New England Patriots. They're gonna give six
Speaker 1: and a half points to the Miami Dolphins. I simply
Speaker 1: do not get this. Ryan Fitzpatrick is the best quarterback
Speaker 1: in the a f C East period, and I am
Speaker 1: all about the Dolphins. I have a Dolphins bet for
Speaker 1: them to win the a f C East at eleven
Speaker 1: to one. I have a bet on them with the
Speaker 1: season win total over. I think this is a criminally
Speaker 1: underrated football team. You're giving me six and a half
Speaker 1: a team that, remember, beat the Patriots in Week seventeen
Speaker 1: last year, when the Patriots did have Tom Brady and
Speaker 1: did desperately need to win that football game, completely ruined
Speaker 1: their playoff run by uh killing their seating. Give me
Speaker 1: the Dolphins plus six and half, Thank you very much,
Speaker 1: Brady number three. Okay, number three, I'm gonna go to
Speaker 1: the a f C East as well, and I'm going
Speaker 1: to take the New York Jets, also getting six and
Speaker 1: a half and uh for the third time in a row.
Speaker 1: I'm also going to start with public perception here and
Speaker 1: you know who is in love with the Jets this
Speaker 1: year besides their fans, and even those fans are perennial
Speaker 1: downers doubters. Um. Meanwhile, everybody loves the Bills, and including myself.
Speaker 1: But I do think Buffalo has a really good chance
Speaker 1: to go deep in the playoffs. That doesn't mean game one.
Speaker 1: Week one, I'm going to lay a touchdown with them
Speaker 1: against a division opponent, and we know, especially the first
Speaker 1: three weeks in the NFL season, the division underdogs are
Speaker 1: a strong play. Um. I go back to the fact
Speaker 1: that revenge is not a strong handicapping angle, and I
Speaker 1: don't put put much stock into it. But we go
Speaker 1: back to the opening game last year, and it was
Speaker 1: a pretty tough pill to swallow, I imagine for the Jets.
Speaker 1: They were up sixteen to nothing on the Bills. C. J.
Speaker 1: Mosley gets hurt late in the game, Bills come back
Speaker 1: to win seventeen to sixteen. I gotta believe that the
Speaker 1: Jets have not forgotten that, and their season just immediately
Speaker 1: went downhill. Sam Donald got Mono and the entire campaign
Speaker 1: was shot. So they kind of get a second chance
Speaker 1: here to start off their season with a good start
Speaker 1: and uh. I love the running back trio of Levian Bell,
Speaker 1: Frank Gore, and Michael p Ryan. UH love the draft
Speaker 1: pick of Denzel Mims Mickey Beckton. I think both of
Speaker 1: these teams are improved. But when the Jets were healthy
Speaker 1: last season, which was completely few and far between, I
Speaker 1: don't think they're nearly as bad as most of their
Speaker 1: season appeared or played out. Um So, in my mind,
Speaker 1: these teams are much closer than a six and a
Speaker 1: half point spread. I would say this ought to be
Speaker 1: more like the standard field goal spread and not jump
Speaker 1: all the way to a touchdown. I'll take New York
Speaker 1: and the points New York Jets six and a half.
Speaker 1: Give the man six and a half against the Buffalo Bills,
Speaker 1: Todd number two, number three, your third pick. I'm kind
Speaker 1: of torn. I sort of like the idea of betting
Speaker 1: against Mike Mularkey led Dallas Cowboys team. That's one place
Speaker 1: I might want to go, or the over in that
Speaker 1: Dolphins game. You know what, because we've already had We've
Speaker 1: already had a pick on that Cowboys game. I'm I'm
Speaker 1: gonna pass the Cowboys game, although I do I am
Speaker 1: with Brady on that l A. Rams team. I think
Speaker 1: the Cowboys are a joke as always. Um, let me
Speaker 1: go with Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots over the forty two?
Speaker 1: Is that what you have? Gil? Forty two? Let's say here,
Speaker 1: hold on, hold onto, yes, sir, okay, I'm gonna go
Speaker 1: over the forty two in the Miami Dolphins Pats game.
Speaker 1: And here's why. With the Miami Dolphins, I get Ryan
Speaker 1: Fitzpatrick almost a Hall of Fame spread quarterback. I mean,
Speaker 1: the guy covers the spread like Tom Brady wins Super Bowls.
Speaker 1: But he they obviously were able to move the football
Speaker 1: last year against New England. I think they'll be able
Speaker 1: to move the football against decimated out Patriots team. I
Speaker 1: think Miami can get you some points in this game.
Speaker 1: And the New England Patriots. You know Tom Brady, I mean,
Speaker 1: you know, you know Bill Belichick is sitting there thinking,
Speaker 1: my new toy. Now, Cameron Newton. I don't know if
Speaker 1: you guys have ever heard of this guy, but he
Speaker 1: played for Auburn, and I believe that, you know, Belichick
Speaker 1: is gonna gonna coach him up with some kind of
Speaker 1: you know, for years and years and years he had
Speaker 1: Thomas Brady Clydesdale running quarterback slower than even me to
Speaker 1: get to the pizza. This guy was slow. Now he's
Speaker 1: got Cameron Newton, who's got to be a lot healthier,
Speaker 1: and he's got to be thinking I can run all
Speaker 1: kinds of fun stuff. And who knows what he and
Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels have cooked up. I think they can move
Speaker 1: to football against the Miami Dolphins. And it's only forty two.
Speaker 1: Give me the over. Let's go points. Let's go points
Speaker 1: over forty two. Mikey final pick, Todd, what do you
Speaker 1: have on a number for Bears, Lions, side and total? Gil?
Speaker 1: I have forty two and a half as the total,
Speaker 1: and I have it uh three juiced heavily to the underdog.
Speaker 1: Is that what you have? Gil? The three is juiced
Speaker 1: heavily to the underdog. But I have forty three as
Speaker 1: the official consensus. We'll go with forty three and plus
Speaker 1: three minus. Yep, I'm gonna play that game. Gil is
Speaker 1: my final pick. Over the forty three, Over the forty three.
Speaker 1: This is a This is a bad Bears team, all right.
Speaker 1: It doesn't get helped out by Mitchell Trabinski. The good
Speaker 1: thing for Mitchell Trabinsky is that Matt Patricia will play
Speaker 1: very very vanilla defenses. Mitchell Drabinsky will be able to
Speaker 1: move the ball down the field with a short passing game.
Speaker 1: You know, he's not accurate at all when he goes
Speaker 1: deep down the field, but he does have some legs
Speaker 1: to him, and they'll have the ability to throw underneath
Speaker 1: in this game. I like the Lions, but I think
Speaker 1: that the Bears can put up seventeen as well, and
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna go over forty three here. And also
Speaker 1: a note, something that's equally as good this year is
Speaker 1: that you don't have to listen to my heavy breathing.
Speaker 1: Is that since Todd is at his mother's house, he
Speaker 1: had to put clothes on. That's right. For those who
Speaker 1: don't know, Mikey and I get to actually do this
Speaker 1: on video with Todd, so we are regaled by his
Speaker 1: beautiful spelt body, thankfully, though still cloaked and clothes. My
Speaker 1: last pick is not gonna have any really deep dive analysis. Uh.
Speaker 1: Cleveland is the third pick. I'll take the points against
Speaker 1: Baltimore as long as this is over a touchdown. I'm
Speaker 1: getting seven and a half here. I will take the
Speaker 1: Cleveland Browns the thinking just simply being that the subtraction
Speaker 1: of Freddie Kitchens is going to be a huge boon
Speaker 1: for the Cleveland Browns. Matty Humans who worked for the
Speaker 1: Veggas heads and Information Newey has a great nick name
Speaker 1: for Freddy Kitchens, Larry the Cable Guy, which I think
Speaker 1: is a great, uh great sort of image of what
Speaker 1: Freddie Kitchens brought to that ball club, which is not
Speaker 1: much and was perhaps a detriment to the team. I
Speaker 1: also think with the continuity of Baker Mayfield and his
Speaker 1: teammates on offense, I think that this team will be matured.
Speaker 1: I hope Baker Mayfield is actually more matured heading into
Speaker 1: a new season. Sometimes I think he was a little
Speaker 1: about himself. I just think that this is a lot
Speaker 1: of points. But give me the seven and a half.
Speaker 1: If Baltimore beats me, you know, thirty four to nothing,
Speaker 1: lesson learned. But I'll take my chances. In an NFL
Speaker 1: where I think, with no off season and no preseason
Speaker 1: games a little less contact than normally, it's a lot
Speaker 1: of points to give in any game, especially against the
Speaker 1: team as talented at least on papers the Cleveland brown
Speaker 1: So Cleveland plus seven and a half is my final
Speaker 1: pick teasers of the week. Now, if you recalled last
Speaker 1: year's megapod, I was spectacularly bad in six point teasers.
Speaker 1: To Team six point teasers, Mikey, what do you recall
Speaker 1: my record being I exaggerated, but for a long time
Speaker 1: you were stuck on two wins. I think you were
Speaker 1: like one at one point before a flurry that got
Speaker 1: me to about five and eleven or whatever it was
Speaker 1: at the end. Um, all right, Brady to team six
Speaker 1: point teaser. Because obviously a lot of people like to
Speaker 1: do teasers. I still think teasers, if done properly, are
Speaker 1: one of the best bets in the National Football League,
Speaker 1: if not the best, if you do them Stanford Wong Wise,
Speaker 1: that didn't work out last year, though, because all of
Speaker 1: mine were Brady, what's your teaser the week? Yeah? No,
Speaker 1: you're right, Gil. In fact, a member of my San
Speaker 1: Susy team who has an extensive casino background told me
Speaker 1: one time, and this is back in the day when teasers,
Speaker 1: you know, we're minus one ten, maybe even at minus one. Uh.
Speaker 1: He felt a two team six point teaser is the
Speaker 1: very best bet you can make in the NFL. UM,
Speaker 1: And you guys know, I like the Falcons with the
Speaker 1: point spread of two. That's also a very advantageous number
Speaker 1: for a six point teaser, taking it up to eight
Speaker 1: or in this case eightan a half. So so that's
Speaker 1: the first leg of my two team teaser here. The
Speaker 1: second leg is the forty Niners down to one and
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl loser angle here is a factor for sure,
Speaker 1: but I think that applies more so to this team
Speaker 1: covering the full seven points in the game. Uh, and
Speaker 1: also a gener role uh, you know, account of their
Speaker 1: success in a follow up season to losing the Super Bowl,
Speaker 1: not necessarily just winning this game. And I do think
Speaker 1: the forty Niners are a far better team than Arizona
Speaker 1: the Cardinals. They grabbed everybody's attention this offseason acquiring DeAndre
Speaker 1: Hopkins all of a sudden, they were, you know, a
Speaker 1: challenger for the division. UM. I think this team still
Speaker 1: has holes on the offensive line, their defensive spotty at best,
Speaker 1: the secondary is getting older. I do think they're going
Speaker 1: to be a fun team to watch, and I think
Speaker 1: they'll be involved in some shootouts and this could be
Speaker 1: one on Sunday. But I'm not ready to put them
Speaker 1: up and over San Francisco Seattle and Los Angeles in
Speaker 1: the division. And I know Arizona dis is a division
Speaker 1: dog here and and the Niners, you know, tend to
Speaker 1: struggle with mobile quarterbacks. But I think San Francisco has
Speaker 1: an excellent running game and the receiving corps I think
Speaker 1: is better than people think. People like to note the
Speaker 1: loss of Emmanuel Sanders, but they forget the draft choice
Speaker 1: of Brandon Aiyuk out of Arizona State, who I think
Speaker 1: can be a real weapon. You've got Mostart Coleman and
Speaker 1: a finally healthy Jerick McKinnon, which is a sick Kyle
Speaker 1: shanahan type backfield. I think Javin kin Law is going
Speaker 1: to be an awesome player on the defensive line. And again,
Speaker 1: you know thirteen and three last year, a loss on
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. I think in general San Francisco is
Speaker 1: a bit of a fade for me this season. I
Speaker 1: would go under their season win total um. But to
Speaker 1: win this game over Arizona, who I think is a
Speaker 1: little bit overhyped this year. To win this game by
Speaker 1: two points, I think that's a good teaser play. Okay,
Speaker 1: Brady with the Falcons Niners two teams six point teaser
Speaker 1: by the way, for those who wondered what I was
Speaker 1: saying before Stanford wrong teaser. Stanford Wong is pseudonym for
Speaker 1: an author that wrote great gambling books in the past.
Speaker 1: But the most positive e V teaser legs are short
Speaker 1: home of favorites that you get to tease through the
Speaker 1: three and the seven, short home dogs that you get
Speaker 1: to tease through the three and the seven, and home
Speaker 1: teams of us above a seven point spread where you
Speaker 1: can tease it back down through the seven and the three.
Speaker 1: Now that's in a normal year with no more normal
Speaker 1: home field advantage. This is obviously a quirky year or
Speaker 1: home field advantage, if it's anything at all, is still
Speaker 1: to be determined, but that is historically what quality Stanford
Speaker 1: Wong teaser legs are. I will buck that momentarily and
Speaker 1: not use one of those. But um Brady's only right
Speaker 1: yours yours does apply in both cases, although although San
Speaker 1: Francisco gets you through the three really technically so yeah,
Speaker 1: not a perfect stand for the wall in the leg,
Speaker 1: but almost perfect. Todd, what's yours? Okay, I'm gonna go.
Speaker 1: Also with the Atlanta Falcons, I like the Atlanta Falcons.
Speaker 1: We've talked about why I like the Atlanta Falcons. Brady's
Speaker 1: talked about why he likes the Atlanta Falcons. We're gonna
Speaker 1: get eight and a half points. I'll take it in
Speaker 1: Atlanta plus the eight and a half. For the second
Speaker 1: part of the teaser, I'm gonna take the New England Patriots. Um.
Speaker 1: I just think that the Paths have that thing in
Speaker 1: the back of their heads. They lost to this Miami
Speaker 1: Dolphins team in a big game late season. Um. Like
Speaker 1: I said before, I think Belichick's got new uh toy
Speaker 1: and his candy store with um with the Camp Newton.
Speaker 1: So I think the Pats come out here and and
Speaker 1: all I've got to do is win the game. I'm
Speaker 1: on my half. Give me the Pats the second team
Speaker 1: in my two team team, all right, Atlanta in New
Speaker 1: England for Toddy Mikey, Did Todd know that we were
Speaker 1: doing this show today? Why is there so much folk
Speaker 1: angst about what his picks are gonna be? Didn't he
Speaker 1: make them before we went on air? You a party
Speaker 1: like it's two thousand eleven and use both of them.
Speaker 1: I'm allowed to have angst, Mike, Okay, you're allowed to
Speaker 1: have the first week my turn, I didn't interrupt you
Speaker 1: when you talk. I'm gonna party like it's two thousand
Speaker 1: a lot. You can't take the under in the first year, Mike,
Speaker 1: you can't take the under in the first period in
Speaker 1: these picks. Sorry, Lady Cannon's top two picks. The Rams,
Speaker 1: let's teach ab update and a half and the Falcons.
Speaker 1: Let's tease them up to eight and a half. And
Speaker 1: Todd's already talked about why Brady liked them, so I
Speaker 1: don't need to talk about Atlanta and who was the
Speaker 1: other team, Mikey, I'm sorry, and the Rams Atlanta and
Speaker 1: the Rams, oh, the Brady Cannon special um dare I
Speaker 1: make it all four of us who are taking the
Speaker 1: Atlanta Falcons on these teasers? You know what that means? Yeah? Well, yeah,
Speaker 1: to some extent, it is so Atlanta teasing through the
Speaker 1: three and the seven two about eight and a half
Speaker 1: Atlanta plus eight and a half on one side of
Speaker 1: the teaser. My other side is actually not a textbook
Speaker 1: leg I'm taking the Indianapolis Colts and teasing them down
Speaker 1: through the seven and the three against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Speaker 1: I think this could be a historically bad football team.
Speaker 1: They're obviously tanking for Trevor. All the are the Jacksonville Jaguars,
Speaker 1: and if the Colts just can't beat them, all I'm
Speaker 1: asking them to do is beat them. For goodness sakes,
Speaker 1: I deserve to be owing one on the teaser. So
Speaker 1: it's Indianapolis in Atlanta as my teaser of the week
Speaker 1: minus half, okay, because I see the Colts everywhere as eight?
Speaker 1: So are you sure? Give me minus one? Give me
Speaker 1: minus one, give me minus two? Yes, I'm sorry, give
Speaker 1: me minus two. Okay, I'm not holding you in contempt,
Speaker 1: but I am still warning, okay, still warning everybody. Minus too.
Speaker 1: I'm sorry. I don't know what I was thinking. Right there,
Speaker 1: idyls minus too again. As long as it's under the three,
Speaker 1: that's my play, alright. I like Mikey's even though I
Speaker 1: don't like Mikey as a person. Do you like his
Speaker 1: pick with the Rams update? Now? All right? You didn't
Speaker 1: like mine? Is that what you're telling me? I'm just
Speaker 1: saying that I wanted to say something nice about Mike
Speaker 1: because you know he's just he's a bad person and
Speaker 1: you can want to help him out of and you
Speaker 1: interrupted him five times first he was stenographer. Now is
Speaker 1: the judge, let's get as amazing. All right, last thing
Speaker 1: before the final two questions, Survivor pick of the week. Now,
Speaker 1: if any of us are still alive and Survivor late
Speaker 1: in the season, you are allowed not to give your pick.
Speaker 1: But here week one, why not Brady if you were
Speaker 1: in a Survivor. By the way, are you in circus Survivor? Brady? Yes,
Speaker 1: I'm not that. That is really just not my ty key.
Speaker 1: As far as the style of NFL gambling, I'm not
Speaker 1: a Survivor guy. I've played a few times. I've come close,
Speaker 1: but I am not in Mike's contest. All right, what
Speaker 1: would it be if you were in Survivor? What would
Speaker 1: it be? Well, I have to preface this by saying
Speaker 1: I have not mapped out the entire sixteen seventeen week season.
Speaker 1: What have you? Um So I'm not necessarily being strategic
Speaker 1: about who I'm going to pick this week. But I
Speaker 1: think the forty Niners are a good team to win
Speaker 1: this week. Um you know, I expressed my feelings there
Speaker 1: and my teaser play. Not sure if they'll cover the seven,
Speaker 1: but I think they win the game. That would be
Speaker 1: my uh my Survivor play this week. Mikey, just clarify
Speaker 1: for everybody the rules of Circus Survivor. You are allowed
Speaker 1: to use the same team more than once, yes or no?
Speaker 1: And is it against the spread or is it straight up?
Speaker 1: Straight up? And you can only use the team one okay,
Speaker 1: and you have to use the Thanksgiving Day that's a
Speaker 1: week onto itself. So there's eighteen weeks all right, straight up.
Speaker 1: Cannot use a team more than once. I knew this,
Speaker 1: by the way, I just wanted to clarify. Okay, who
Speaker 1: do you have, Mikey. I'm using the Colts against the
Speaker 1: tanking Jaguires this week. That's exactly who I'm using Colts,
Speaker 1: at least in one of my two entries. I'm taking
Speaker 1: the Colts because I wouldn't mind having them fall by
Speaker 1: the wayside in terms of being able not to use
Speaker 1: them again. That is, so I'm taking the Colts. Todd. Now, Mike,
Speaker 1: of course is going to give me a hard time
Speaker 1: for not being prepared. But nobody told me we were
Speaker 1: doing Survivor this year until the beginning of this phone call.
Speaker 1: So I like Brady, who is being intelligent and telling
Speaker 1: us that you have to map out the season so
Speaker 1: you see who you're gonna need later. That's the only
Speaker 1: way to really play survivor correctly. But since you and
Speaker 1: Mikey didn't realize that, that's fine, No we did. We're
Speaker 1: just for god, I know you did. I'm just giving
Speaker 1: you a little dig. Calm down, Relax, relax, Okay. I'm
Speaker 1: going to take a team that comes by the name
Speaker 1: of the Pittsburgh Steelers. That's right, the Stellars are back
Speaker 1: with Danny Roethlisburger at the quarterback position. We're going into
Speaker 1: play Danny Dimes and yeah, I think Ben Roethlisburger sands
Speaker 1: the beard, gets it done, and who probably is gonna
Speaker 1: need them later nobody. I'll take the steel and they
Speaker 1: will let me have him. On M S G Plus Mikey,
Speaker 1: do you believe that it's amazing? I got serious? Yeah. Oh,
Speaker 1: All of a sudden, I'm gonna be unentertaining for now
Speaker 1: on I'm gonna go back to Todd. That was a
Speaker 1: very quick way of turning things against you. All of
Speaker 1: a sudden. Look out the tables turned alur final two,
Speaker 1: final two questions he can dish he can't receive uh
Speaker 1: final two questions of all the big favorites on the board,
Speaker 1: which is the most likely in your opinion to lose outright?
Speaker 1: Otherwise known as what's the team that's gonna jack up
Speaker 1: your your money line favorite parlay? If that's how you
Speaker 1: choose to play the NFL, Brady, who's the big favorite
Speaker 1: that you are least likely to trust? And let let
Speaker 1: me define who these are? The Kansas City Chiefs nine
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites against Houston tonight. Let's go
Speaker 1: with the six and a half because there's not enough
Speaker 1: to choose from. If I don't Buffalo six and a
Speaker 1: half over the Jets, New England six and a half
Speaker 1: over the Dolphins, Baltimore seven and a half over Cleveland,
Speaker 1: and San Francisco seven point favorites against Arizona. Did I
Speaker 1: skip the Colts Colts by eight over Jacksonville. Pardon me, Well,
Speaker 1: you're not gonna like hearing this, but that would be
Speaker 1: my choice. The Indianapolis Colts. Um. I think they have
Speaker 1: a great deal of talent and really all over the field.
Speaker 1: I actually picked this team to win the division, but
Speaker 1: so much of their talent is brand new, including their
Speaker 1: most important piece, Philip Rivers at quarterback. So you guys know,
Speaker 1: training campus been basically a glorified zoom meeting. You have
Speaker 1: no preseason reps, and now all of a sudden, this
Speaker 1: team is supposed to just immediately gel and fire on
Speaker 1: all cylinders in game one, week one. I I also
Speaker 1: don't believe in the tank theory on Jacksonville. I think
Speaker 1: we saw that with the Miami Dolphins last year and
Speaker 1: it didn't really come to fruition. Um. What the Jacksonville
Speaker 1: Jaguars have that the Colts don't is continuity. And you
Speaker 1: touched on this a little bit earlier, Gil, this is
Speaker 1: basically the same team, same coaching staff, a couple of
Speaker 1: minor upgrades via the draft. Uh in Jacksonville. And also
Speaker 1: this Colts team, they are built for playing in the
Speaker 1: Dome with speed, and now they go to hot, sticky Florida.
Speaker 1: It's gonna be eighty eight degrees humidity on grass. I
Speaker 1: also think that COVID travel is different from traditional travel
Speaker 1: for road teams. This year, you've got a division game,
Speaker 1: Division home dog. I think the Jags actually have a show. Okay, yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean we are Mikey and I are relying on
Speaker 1: Philip Rivers to survive in our survivor to in our
Speaker 1: survivor pool with that pick, Todd, biggest favorite, most likely
Speaker 1: news out right in your opinion, I'm gonna go with
Speaker 1: the Colts too. If you're going to go and talk
Speaker 1: about big faves, it could theoretically go down. I believe
Speaker 1: the Colts lost in Week sixteen to the Jacks last
Speaker 1: year to put them under the total of their season
Speaker 1: win total. I mean, who was the Colts? Like? What's
Speaker 1: so special about the Colts? I don't think there's anything
Speaker 1: special about him in Philip Rivers is certainly not somebody
Speaker 1: who I think is a Hall of Fame quarterback. Mikey
Speaker 1: right that down, Mikey, Well, you know, the Colts have
Speaker 1: a to answer your question. Colts have a pretty spectacular
Speaker 1: offensive line in Jacksonville has lost players since then. News.
Speaker 1: That's why their favorite. Todd wishnev I only have outgoing,
Speaker 1: but incoming. I cannot take incoming again. This is gonna
Speaker 1: be the new thing. Todd can't take anything blah blah
Speaker 1: black Mike, But Todd, what about the Houston oilers? How
Speaker 1: good were those oilers? You? Warren Moon could spin it.
Speaker 1: Maybe Warren Moon could spin it all right, I'm gonna
Speaker 1: take the Patriots as the favorite that could get upset.
Speaker 1: I think there's so many guys that have left that program.
Speaker 1: We really don't know what we're getting. I like Fitzpatrick,
Speaker 1: they were able to beat this team last year. I
Speaker 1: give the Dolphins a shot to win this game. Yeah,
Speaker 1: and as you know, I'm already on the Dolphins. Patriots
Speaker 1: would be my selection as well, for all the reasons stated.
Speaker 1: We just don't know. They don't have players, Like how
Speaker 1: good do you people think Belichick is? I mean, you
Speaker 1: cannot overcome not having the players on the field. Stop
Speaker 1: it already, as I now cut to a shot of
Speaker 1: me Sunday night, just shaking my head in dismay. If
Speaker 1: the Patriots question, uh, last question, if we were playing
Speaker 1: a bizarro game, pick Gil, what's your pick on the
Speaker 1: big favorite could move? Oh? My god? Did he was? He?
Speaker 1: Was he here New England? You you and Mike you
Speaker 1: like pets? Yes? I remember I had Miami earlier too,
Speaker 1: as as one of my best bets. Alright, final final question.
Speaker 1: If we were in a Bizarro world and we had
Speaker 1: to pay it, I had to play a side rather
Speaker 1: in each of it, every one of these games, but
Speaker 1: we got one free pass one game that you wanted
Speaker 1: no part of on the side, Brady, what would it be? Well,
Speaker 1: I'm with you guys, leaning towards Miami versus New England
Speaker 1: with the points. But but I really don't know what
Speaker 1: to make of this team yet. And I really don't
Speaker 1: know what to make of New England. Uh So I'm
Speaker 1: just gonna wait and see. I do not have a
Speaker 1: bet on that game. But the one I really want
Speaker 1: no part of is Tennessee versus Denver on Monday Night.
Speaker 1: And I know you guys really like the Titans, UM,
Speaker 1: and this is really not about the von Miller thing,
Speaker 1: but I'm not really sold on either of these teams.
Speaker 1: I think Mike Brabel is a great coach, he's improving
Speaker 1: year in and year out. UM. But I thought they
Speaker 1: caught a little bit of lightning in the bottle last
Speaker 1: year with Tannehill and Derrick Henry going nuts the second
Speaker 1: half of the season. UM and the Drew lock point. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, how good is this guy really? And all
Speaker 1: of a sudden, you know they're, you know, a contender
Speaker 1: for the division because he beat up on week competition
Speaker 1: the last four games. So I am not high on
Speaker 1: either of these teams. And I don't know who's going
Speaker 1: to show up if it's going to be a good
Speaker 1: or bad version on Monday night, so I'll stay a
Speaker 1: long ways away. I'm glad you're the first guest this year, Brady,
Speaker 1: because you do see things a lot differently than I
Speaker 1: know I do heading into week one and we'll see, uh,
Speaker 1: who's uh on it most of the time, or who's
Speaker 1: been completely wrong, or maybe it'll just split down the middle.
Speaker 1: So I really appreciate the perspective Todd gave. You want
Speaker 1: no part of I want no part of the Cincinnati
Speaker 1: Bengals against the Los Angeles Chargers. What in the world
Speaker 1: is that? Who knows what you're getting with Cincinnati? Los
Speaker 1: Angeles has lost their Philip Rivers. I have no idea
Speaker 1: is ekel are going to get stopped at the half
Speaker 1: yard line forty two times? An instant replace started me
Speaker 1: from winning up that. Who knows what's gonna happen? I
Speaker 1: don't want to I was. I was on the right
Speaker 1: side of that, meaning the winning side, let's not call
Speaker 1: it the right side. I was on the winning side
Speaker 1: of that. I was standing at the caso. That was
Speaker 1: the cheating side. But I do believe there was the
Speaker 1: cheating side, and I said, I said to Uh, I
Speaker 1: can't remember who I was with, but I said to him,
Speaker 1: I was like, don't if I ever tell you, I
Speaker 1: don't get the you know, nothing good ever happens to me,
Speaker 1: remind me of this moment. By the way, I'm more,
Speaker 1: I'm surprised that more people anecdotally right, I don't have
Speaker 1: the evidence on this, but I'm surprised that more people,
Speaker 1: just in in people I've talked to aren't on the
Speaker 1: Chargers like there does not There does not seem to
Speaker 1: be any Chargers love against a rookie quarterback playing his
Speaker 1: first game in the National Football League very interesting to me. Uh,
Speaker 1: mikey game you want no part of at How bad
Speaker 1: of the scheduling by the NFL that that's one of
Speaker 1: the three late games? Just awful? Anyhow, I want no
Speaker 1: part of this Saints this game, just because I need
Speaker 1: to see this this Bucks team. I'm not necessarily sold
Speaker 1: on the hype. Is Tom Brady better than Jamis? I
Speaker 1: don't know. I mean he looked pretty bad the last
Speaker 1: two months of the season. Uh last year, um playing
Speaker 1: in the system that he's known for so long. Yeah,
Speaker 1: he'll have a lot more weapons, but his father time
Speaker 1: going to catch up them. So I'm gonna take await
Speaker 1: and see approach on the bucks, probably for a few
Speaker 1: weeks and certainly this week. That's as good a choice
Speaker 1: as any. I ended up on Seattle Atlanta. I know
Speaker 1: I haven't landed my teaser, but to me, that is
Speaker 1: the most plinko ish game out there, um, meaning it
Speaker 1: could fall anywhere on the number. Seattle Atlanta would be
Speaker 1: my pick, but I would give Tampa Bay, New Orleans
Speaker 1: honorable mentioned as well. I agree with Mike too that
Speaker 1: that one is really hard to figure out. Yeah, that's
Speaker 1: a tough one. Absolutely New Orleans favored by three. And
Speaker 1: I want to switch? Can I switch my teaser from
Speaker 1: Atlanta plus eight and a half two and Pats minus
Speaker 1: pointing a half two rams plus eight and a half
Speaker 1: in Atlanta plus eight half because I like the rams also,
Speaker 1: so can I switch of my pat side of my
Speaker 1: one of my Okay, isn't that what you had? Mikey? Also?
Speaker 1: That is what Mike. Yeah, you're glad to glad do
Speaker 1: whatever you want, Todd wish Knev, whatever you want. I
Speaker 1: see your strategy, Todd, You're just gonna copy me on
Speaker 1: the teasers and tie for first because we know Gil
Speaker 1: has no job. Apparently you guys have never seen primetime
Speaker 1: action on MSG plus, where I can't miss thinking about
Speaker 1: moving to New York. Yeah, there you go. For Todd Wish,
Speaker 1: Deev and Mike Palm Staples on the show each and
Speaker 1: every weeker on the Megapod. And to Brady Cannon kind
Speaker 1: enough to join us for the first week each and
Speaker 1: every year former Super Contest Champion. Thank you, gentlemen, appreciate it.
Speaker 1: It's Gill Alexander can't believe football is here. Very pumped.
Speaker 1: Enjoy good luck with all your bets stuff. Thanks for
Speaker 1: listening to the Megapod M