WEBVTT - Pick Your Favorite Johnson! 0:00:00.520 --> 0:00:04.200 Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio. 0:00:06.320 --> 0:00:10.600 Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly 0:00:10.640 --> 0:00:14.600 source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and 0:00:14.680 --> 0:00:18.040 whatever stupid stuff they decided to drop into the show. Now, 0:00:18.120 --> 0:00:19.840 here's your host, Paul Chargian. 0:00:21.480 --> 0:00:24.560 Hey, everybody, welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul 0:00:24.640 --> 0:00:29.280 Charchian my co host today Kent, Whyrock, Hey Kent, good 0:00:29.280 --> 0:00:29.800 to have you back. 0:00:29.880 --> 0:00:32.680 Ay Ball, how are we doing. Glad to be back, 0:00:32.840 --> 0:00:35.319 and you know, we wrapped up the divisions and now 0:00:35.320 --> 0:00:36.800 we get to explore some other fun stuff. 0:00:36.880 --> 0:00:39.080 Yeah, we're gonna have a great time today. Really excited 0:00:39.120 --> 0:00:40.920 for this show because we're going to talk about the 0:00:41.120 --> 0:00:43.479 last pick of your draft. You know, we focus on 0:00:43.560 --> 0:00:47.160 the rest of your draft almost exclusively. We don't talk 0:00:47.200 --> 0:00:49.640 that much about the last pick now. And this is 0:00:49.640 --> 0:00:53.280 a little bit different than sleepers. Everybody does sleeper stuff. 0:00:53.360 --> 0:00:58.240 That's not frankly all that comment uncommon at all. But 0:00:58.320 --> 0:01:01.160 anything could be a sleeper. In my definition of sleeper, Kent, 0:01:01.680 --> 0:01:05.560 if a third rounder who can perform like a first rounder, 0:01:05.720 --> 0:01:08.360 to me, constitutes a sleeper, not a you know, not 0:01:08.560 --> 0:01:10.400 a big one. It doesn't have you know, it could 0:01:10.400 --> 0:01:13.080 be an eighth rounder performs like a third rounder. So 0:01:13.280 --> 0:01:15.440 for me, this is a little bit different. This is 0:01:15.520 --> 0:01:19.880 finding a guy who can help you on the last 0:01:20.040 --> 0:01:23.120 pick of the draft, and that to me is a 0:01:23.319 --> 0:01:29.320 is a little it's orders of magnitude harder than just sleepers. 0:01:30.080 --> 0:01:32.760 Absolutely and sleepers. It's you know, it's like people are 0:01:32.800 --> 0:01:35.440 asleep at the wheel about their value. That's kind of 0:01:35.440 --> 0:01:37.560 the way to think about it. It's not just late 0:01:37.640 --> 0:01:40.680 round guys. It mostly is just because that's kind of 0:01:40.680 --> 0:01:43.120 the nature of how people are sleeping on players. But 0:01:43.800 --> 0:01:46.560 this is so interesting because you know, when we're talking 0:01:46.600 --> 0:01:48.280 about you know, and I know we pulled a lot 0:01:48.280 --> 0:01:50.040 of this from you know, like best ball data, because 0:01:50.040 --> 0:01:51.440 that's what we got right now. But we're getting into 0:01:51.440 --> 0:01:53.960 redraft season and those last couple of picks, they can 0:01:54.040 --> 0:01:57.000 either be dynamite or you just cut them week one 0:01:57.040 --> 0:01:59.760 or week two, and that's fine. But if you find 0:01:59.760 --> 0:02:03.360 that late, it's a big turnaround in terms of value. 0:02:03.360 --> 0:02:06.400 All right, Well, let's talk philosophically. Ken, With the last 0:02:06.400 --> 0:02:09.560 pick of your draft, would you rather find somebody who 0:02:09.720 --> 0:02:13.720 has who could drop, who has a small percentage chance 0:02:13.960 --> 0:02:17.360 but could end up being explosively good, or you just 0:02:17.440 --> 0:02:20.040 looking with that last pick of your draft to find 0:02:20.080 --> 0:02:21.920 a guy you can keep on your bench and just 0:02:21.960 --> 0:02:24.480 like start them two times during the year, three times 0:02:24.560 --> 0:02:26.840 during the year, and somebody that can just like fill 0:02:26.919 --> 0:02:29.680 a void. Do you understand the distinction I'm trying to make. 0:02:29.520 --> 0:02:32.800 Here, Yeah. Absolutely, And I'm looking for upside. I'm looking 0:02:32.800 --> 0:02:35.240 for the bowl case on all these guys, because you know, 0:02:35.360 --> 0:02:37.960 on any given week, you can probably depending on your 0:02:38.000 --> 0:02:40.080 league settings, find a guy who can start on the 0:02:40.080 --> 0:02:42.640 waiver wire. It's not gonna be great, it'll be in 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:45.320 a pinch, it'll be a you know, seven point outing 0:02:45.400 --> 0:02:47.120 or something like that, but you could find someone who 0:02:47.120 --> 0:02:50.560 can fill a gap pretty simply. It's it's that upside. 0:02:50.600 --> 0:02:53.200 It's that that crazy, like you win your league off 0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:55.440 of it type stuff that I think we're really shooting. 0:02:55.080 --> 0:02:57.400 For here, yep. And you're gonna see that in the 0:02:58.280 --> 0:03:01.120 six players you're gonna hear about. I think all have 0:03:01.880 --> 0:03:06.720 the possibility of turning into if the situation's break right. 0:03:06.840 --> 0:03:09.520 And obviously we're talking last pick your draft, so none 0:03:09.520 --> 0:03:13.040 of these none of these things are likely, but they were, 0:03:13.080 --> 0:03:16.560 they wouldn't be the last picks. But if things break right, 0:03:16.639 --> 0:03:19.920 these could all be massive contributors. And in most formats, 0:03:19.960 --> 0:03:24.000 not Guillotine. Most formats, Kent, you have to shoot for 0:03:24.000 --> 0:03:25.359 tip of the spear. You have to be the best 0:03:25.400 --> 0:03:27.360 of ten teams or the best of twelve teams. You 0:03:27.720 --> 0:03:30.320 have to get a couple of these breaks to go 0:03:30.440 --> 0:03:33.240 your way. Guillotine's different where you're just looking to survive 0:03:33.280 --> 0:03:36.320 every week. That's a very different model. Here. You have 0:03:36.400 --> 0:03:39.560 to get in a traditional league, most leagues, best ball. 0:03:40.040 --> 0:03:41.560 You just got to get some breaks, and these are 0:03:41.560 --> 0:03:43.760 guys that could potentially help you. Now I know Kent 0:03:43.760 --> 0:03:48.040 people are fascinated to learn the many travails of my 0:03:48.160 --> 0:03:53.680 move and where am I geographically in my house. This 0:03:53.720 --> 0:03:56.960 has been a roving discuss every week we talk about 0:03:57.000 --> 0:03:59.360 where I am now. I've done shows from the closet, 0:03:59.440 --> 0:04:02.760 I've done shows from u from my living room, I've 0:04:02.800 --> 0:04:06.680 done shows from my kitchen. This I'm now office. I'm 0:04:06.800 --> 0:04:10.560 I now have the Utah office going. But the movers 0:04:10.840 --> 0:04:13.720 showed up with the second half of my stuff two 0:04:13.800 --> 0:04:18.880 weeks late, and everything's in boxes. So I'm right now, 0:04:19.080 --> 0:04:21.440 I've got You can't see all the stuff. It's all 0:04:21.480 --> 0:04:24.720 just it's all pandemonium here, boxes and stuff's all on. 0:04:24.839 --> 0:04:27.560 You know, nothing's out, I do anything set up, don't 0:04:27.600 --> 0:04:29.400 have any of the sound dampening in my office that 0:04:29.440 --> 0:04:32.719 I want to have yet. So there's your there's just 0:04:32.720 --> 0:04:34.600 a quick update right now you get you can see it. 0:04:34.720 --> 0:04:37.440 We need where in the world is Paul Chargion drop 0:04:37.600 --> 0:04:39.000 for for what's going on right now? 0:04:39.040 --> 0:04:42.240 Yeah, we really do. You're too young to remember Carmen 0:04:42.320 --> 0:04:42.919 san Diego. 0:04:43.800 --> 0:04:46.160 I saw glimpses. I won't say I was any kind 0:04:46.160 --> 0:04:48.520 of a devout viewer, but it was around. Yeah. 0:04:48.560 --> 0:04:50.440 So now the fact that you even went to the 0:04:50.520 --> 0:04:52.320 viewer before the video game shows you. 0:04:52.360 --> 0:04:53.720 Right, Okay, that's a fair call out. 0:04:53.800 --> 0:04:56.520 Yeah, the the karma. Where in the World Is Carmen 0:04:56.560 --> 0:05:00.360 san Diego started its life as a edgeywear title. It 0:05:00.400 --> 0:05:04.359 was a video game from the nineteenth like late eighties 0:05:04.480 --> 0:05:07.600 or early nineties, I'm going to go early nineties, and 0:05:08.240 --> 0:05:10.159 it spun off into a TV show and the TV 0:05:10.200 --> 0:05:12.400 show did great. It was on for many, many years, 0:05:12.400 --> 0:05:15.599 and you learned about the geography of all these different 0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:17.680 places as Carmen san Diego rent around the world and 0:05:17.720 --> 0:05:20.680 you're trying to track her down. And although I think 0:05:20.760 --> 0:05:22.840 Carmen could be a guy too. I think he didn't 0:05:22.920 --> 0:05:26.600 know for sure if you were tracking a man or 0:05:26.600 --> 0:05:26.960 a woman. 0:05:27.160 --> 0:05:30.360 But yeah, the old days, well today we're tracking down 0:05:30.640 --> 0:05:31.560 some late round darts. 0:05:31.680 --> 0:05:33.960 Yeah, nice transition right there. Do you want to go? 0:05:34.120 --> 0:05:37.640 Let's have you go first. Who's the first last pick 0:05:38.160 --> 0:05:39.200 of your draft? Kent? 0:05:39.560 --> 0:05:42.320 My first last pick is going to be Roshan Johnson, 0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:45.480 running back for the Chicago Bears. And you know it's 0:05:45.520 --> 0:05:47.799 not a sexy name. He hasn't really been a huge 0:05:47.880 --> 0:05:50.960 producer over the last few years. In fact, he's somewhat 0:05:50.960 --> 0:05:52.920 struggled at times, and so you know that's kind of 0:05:52.960 --> 0:05:55.120 the reason why his ADP is where it is right now. 0:05:55.360 --> 0:05:58.040 But there is a new head coach in town, Ben Johnson. 0:05:58.279 --> 0:06:00.760 He was the latest and greatest in offensive coaches to 0:06:00.800 --> 0:06:03.080 pick up a head coaching gig. And you know he's 0:06:03.120 --> 0:06:05.599 coming from the Detroit Lions, where he had DeAndre Swift 0:06:05.680 --> 0:06:09.360 on his team back in twenty twenty two. Bench. Yeah, 0:06:09.520 --> 0:06:11.800 he certainly did. But one thing to note is that 0:06:11.880 --> 0:06:16.159 Ben Johnson's rush touchdown league ranks as an OC They're 0:06:16.160 --> 0:06:20.440 gonna be third, first, and second in the league. He's 0:06:20.480 --> 0:06:21.480 never been below third. 0:06:21.640 --> 0:06:23.960 Yeah, and so now and wait, let me just let 0:06:24.000 --> 0:06:27.239 me jump in right there. Ken, that's without Josh Allen 0:06:27.279 --> 0:06:30.520 and Jalen Hurts on his team. I mean, those quarterbacks 0:06:30.680 --> 0:06:32.920 have to be in. I mean, I gotta believe number 0:06:32.960 --> 0:06:36.360 one and number two teams are probably Philadelphia and Buffalo 0:06:37.040 --> 0:06:40.880 in those years because of the quarterbacks that are housing ten, twelve, 0:06:41.000 --> 0:06:45.200 fourteen touchdowns each up close. Ben Johnson's not doing that 0:06:45.279 --> 0:06:46.000 with Jared Goff. 0:06:46.760 --> 0:06:49.480 Nope, not too often. He doesn't sometimes, but he's certainly 0:06:49.600 --> 0:06:52.320 not a guy known for his legs, So we could 0:06:52.360 --> 0:06:54.920 go that route. But yeah, you might recall that back 0:06:54.960 --> 0:06:58.080 in twenty twenty two was actually the Jamal Williams year. 0:06:58.240 --> 0:07:00.640 He had two hundred and sixty two attempts, one thousand 0:07:00.680 --> 0:07:03.680 plus rushing yards, and seventeen rushing touchdowns. 0:07:03.240 --> 0:07:04.159 Which is unbelievable. 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:07.080 I think more than the rest of his career combined. 0:07:07.080 --> 0:07:08.360 I don't have the number off the top of my head, 0:07:08.400 --> 0:07:11.160 but it was a big chunk of his overall rushing 0:07:11.240 --> 0:07:14.280 touchdown percentage. And DeAndre Swift missed three games and he 0:07:14.480 --> 0:07:16.240 didn't even get to one hundred attempts on the ground, 0:07:16.240 --> 0:07:18.640 five hundred and forty two rush yards and only five touchdowns, 0:07:18.720 --> 0:07:21.880 So you know the fact that he Ben Johnson that 0:07:22.040 --> 0:07:24.480 is leaned into the usage of Jamal Williams that year 0:07:25.240 --> 0:07:28.800 is pretty stark in terms of comparing to DeAndre Swift, 0:07:28.840 --> 0:07:30.600 who we thought was kind of an up and coming 0:07:30.640 --> 0:07:32.520 guy at the time, and that was his first I think, 0:07:32.760 --> 0:07:36.000 like real down year and it's been kind of sketchy since. So, 0:07:36.400 --> 0:07:38.920 you know, real quick size comparison, I think is an 0:07:38.960 --> 0:07:42.120 important distinction here because we're talking about Roshan Johnson, who 0:07:42.240 --> 0:07:44.440 is six foot two hundred and twenty five pounds. Wow, 0:07:44.560 --> 0:07:46.680 Jamal Williams is six foot two hundred twenty four pounds, 0:07:46.720 --> 0:07:49.000 So if you'll allow me the one pound leeway, I 0:07:49.120 --> 0:07:51.680 can say they're pretty much the exact same size. And 0:07:51.760 --> 0:07:53.520 then Swift's a smaller guy. He's have five to nine 0:07:53.640 --> 0:07:56.240 two and fifteen pounds, So if we're looking for a 0:07:56.280 --> 0:07:59.200 one to one replacement of what he accomplished with Jamal Williams, 0:07:59.240 --> 0:08:02.680 I would rather look Roshan Johnson's way for that touchdown 0:08:02.720 --> 0:08:06.600 goal line potential. And you know last year his yards 0:08:06.600 --> 0:08:08.320 per carry, which I think a lot of people look 0:08:08.400 --> 0:08:11.320 at that's a very common stat It was two point seven. 0:08:12.240 --> 0:08:14.960 I say, we can just ignore it because he was 0:08:15.920 --> 0:08:20.280 almost exclusively used in short yardage situations last year and 0:08:20.400 --> 0:08:23.440 that's going to affect your yards per carry. And yeah, 0:08:23.480 --> 0:08:25.200 I was thirty eight percent of his carries were in 0:08:25.600 --> 0:08:29.640 one to three yard situations, right, and so in gold 0:08:29.680 --> 0:08:33.079 to gost situations, Roshan Johnson scored six out of excuse me, 0:08:33.120 --> 0:08:36.400 all six of his touchdowns on just seven attempts. So 0:08:36.480 --> 0:08:38.800 he scored on six out of seven gold to goes. 0:08:39.280 --> 0:08:42.600 That's really good stuff. That's the type of scoring potential 0:08:42.679 --> 0:08:46.040 that head coaches and offense coordinators love. They want the 0:08:46.080 --> 0:08:48.320 guy who can get into the pay dirt and score 0:08:48.360 --> 0:08:50.679 the points for the teams. So if they're looking to 0:08:50.760 --> 0:08:53.680 someone in the red zone at the one to five 0:08:53.760 --> 0:08:56.600 yard line, Roshan Johnson I think is a better person 0:08:56.679 --> 0:09:00.640 to look into than DeAndre Swift is who I think 0:09:00.679 --> 0:09:02.280 we all thought were going to sign a free agent 0:09:02.360 --> 0:09:05.880 running back didn't ever get one. So it's just Roshan 0:09:05.960 --> 0:09:08.160 Johnson Jeandre Swift. There there is a little bit of 0:09:08.400 --> 0:09:10.920 like camp height, and I know you've talked about Kyle Mnunguy, 0:09:11.000 --> 0:09:13.880 but he's a seventh rounder, a smaller So if he's 0:09:13.880 --> 0:09:15.760 going to replace anyone I would wager he's going to 0:09:15.800 --> 0:09:18.760 replace Swift and then they'll just have to figure out 0:09:18.800 --> 0:09:21.480 something with the receiving work. But I think if you're 0:09:21.480 --> 0:09:24.280 looking for that big bruiser goal line back, Roshan Johnson's 0:09:24.320 --> 0:09:27.320 the guy, and at Ben Johnson, who Johnson and Johnson, 0:09:27.440 --> 0:09:30.800 we got something going there can come to fruition. This 0:09:30.920 --> 0:09:33.080 could be a ten plus touchdown season for Roshan. 0:09:34.360 --> 0:09:36.600 I could see it. I think that's a defensible case. 0:09:36.679 --> 0:09:38.920 The offensive line got way better between the guards and 0:09:39.800 --> 0:09:43.400 Roshan Johnson. Ten touchdowns would not surprise me. I like it. 0:09:43.720 --> 0:09:45.319 That makes a ton of sense. My guy is less 0:09:45.360 --> 0:09:48.240 probable for ten touchdowns by a fair margin. I'm going 0:09:48.280 --> 0:09:51.840 with my first last pick of the draft. I am 0:09:51.920 --> 0:09:55.800 ta And by the way, I should note each of 0:09:55.880 --> 0:09:59.000 these players has to be from round fourteen or lower 0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:01.240 to constitute last pick of the draft. I think most 0:10:01.320 --> 0:10:05.080 leagues are at least fourteen players. Summer way bigger than fourteen. 0:10:05.200 --> 0:10:07.319 I don't love that, but that's just me. So he 0:10:07.400 --> 0:10:09.320 had to be at least pick one hundred and sixty 0:10:09.400 --> 0:10:11.760 eight to qualify. My guy's quite a bit below that. 0:10:12.240 --> 0:10:15.160 And it's New Orleans running back Devin Neil the rookie. 0:10:15.679 --> 0:10:19.400 He was Thor's number six running back when we checked 0:10:19.440 --> 0:10:21.760 in with Thor on this show shortly before the draft 0:10:21.840 --> 0:10:23.920 on the running back position. And I think the State 0:10:24.000 --> 0:10:27.319 Saints got just a steal taken Devin Neil in the 0:10:27.400 --> 0:10:32.120 sixth round. You know, Alvin Kamara last year absolutely played 0:10:32.280 --> 0:10:37.200 gallantly in the face of zero quarterbacking, no healthy receivers, 0:10:37.320 --> 0:10:42.959 and a absolutely beat up offensive line. You know, Kamara 0:10:43.040 --> 0:10:48.559 is sitting on two thousand, two hundred career touches. He 0:10:48.720 --> 0:10:51.800 turns thirty next month. He has had a ton of work. 0:10:52.320 --> 0:10:54.840 And if anything were to happen to Kamara, or if 0:10:54.880 --> 0:10:58.360 they just don't want to use him as much, the 0:10:58.480 --> 0:11:03.160 depth charts really thick in Kendrey Miller and Clyde Edwards Hilaire. 0:11:04.720 --> 0:11:06.920 Kendray Miller couldn't get on the field last year when 0:11:06.920 --> 0:11:10.280 they needed to spell, they needed to spell Kamara a lot. 0:11:10.800 --> 0:11:12.719 Kendrey Miller was a non factor for most of the 0:11:12.800 --> 0:11:15.280 last year, although also hurt for much of the year. 0:11:15.520 --> 0:11:19.559 Clyde Edwards Hilaire obviously cut by the Chiefs. Neil could 0:11:19.559 --> 0:11:23.119 easily win the backup job, and stylistically he's the closest 0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:26.240 player to Alvin Kamara the Saints have on the roster. 0:11:27.200 --> 0:11:31.960 He's slow where Kamara's really fast, but otherwise he's super shifty. 0:11:32.280 --> 0:11:37.480 He's got amazing footwork. His vision is tremendous. If a 0:11:37.559 --> 0:11:40.240 cutback lane opens up, Devin Neil's gonna find it and 0:11:40.320 --> 0:11:42.960 he can catch fifty one receptions the last two years 0:11:43.000 --> 0:11:47.240 at Kansas. So Devin Neils is that shot in the dark. 0:11:47.280 --> 0:11:50.000 We don't wish bad things on any player, especially injury, 0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:53.280 including Alvin Kamara, but if anything were to happen there 0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:55.960 or they just need to spell Camara more than they 0:11:56.040 --> 0:11:57.959 have in the past, Devin Neil at thirty years old, 0:11:58.000 --> 0:11:59.640 Devin Neil might be an interesting guy. 0:12:00.240 --> 0:12:02.160 Yeah, And I know we talked about this a little bit, 0:12:02.160 --> 0:12:04.400 and I like Alvin Kamara at his value this year 0:12:04.440 --> 0:12:07.559 because he is going later than he has in years past. 0:12:07.720 --> 0:12:10.240 But certainly the reason that he's being drafted as late 0:12:10.280 --> 0:12:13.000 as he is is because of the risk associated with, 0:12:13.200 --> 0:12:15.280 you know, his health and what the direction is of 0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:17.200 this team is going to be. I mean, they're still 0:12:17.240 --> 0:12:19.199 working their way out of a lot of cap problems 0:12:19.320 --> 0:12:21.439 that they're they're trying to fix, and this is Tyler 0:12:21.520 --> 0:12:24.720 Shuck's team for the foreseeable future. It's a very interesting 0:12:24.800 --> 0:12:27.280 direction for the Saints right now. And so you know, 0:12:27.360 --> 0:12:29.760 if they do want to find some juice and they're 0:12:29.760 --> 0:12:31.800 going to look to the guys who can perform regardless 0:12:31.840 --> 0:12:34.000 of where they got drafted, Devin Neils certainly in line 0:12:34.040 --> 0:12:36.080 to make a jump later in the year. 0:12:36.160 --> 0:12:39.559 All right, let's go to your second last pick of 0:12:39.880 --> 0:12:40.640 the draft. Kent. 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:44.040 Yeah, so this this one technically abides by our ADP 0:12:44.240 --> 0:12:47.720 rules ADP rules, But you know, Nick Chubb, the Houston 0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:51.360 running back, very recently signed. He could climb up in 0:12:51.440 --> 0:12:54.040 ADP in the in the coming weeks and certainly throughout 0:12:54.080 --> 0:12:57.320 camp if we hear positive news. But it's a very 0:12:57.360 --> 0:13:00.520 interesting situation. You know, last year he was turning from 0:13:00.559 --> 0:13:02.800 a very gruesome knee injury and repair. He had an 0:13:03.200 --> 0:13:06.440 MCL and meniscus and then subsequently had his ACL repaired 0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:08.559 on top of that, so it was a it was 0:13:08.640 --> 0:13:11.800 a tough road to recovery for him in his running form. 0:13:12.320 --> 0:13:15.360 And then last year he was looking rough and then 0:13:15.840 --> 0:13:18.520 started looking a little better and then got a foot 0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:21.640 fracture in week fifteen, so knocked out once again. Now, 0:13:21.720 --> 0:13:24.360 luckily foot fractures you can heal from pretty quickly. They're 0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:26.640 not too bad in terms of altering your running form 0:13:26.760 --> 0:13:29.760 or anything like that. So hopefully with one more offseason 0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:33.079 separated from that terrible knee injury, we can see a 0:13:33.080 --> 0:13:35.640 little bit more of the Nick Chubb of old. And honestly, 0:13:35.800 --> 0:13:39.520 last year between the tackles, he was better in advanced 0:13:39.600 --> 0:13:43.559 metrics than Joe Mixon was, and it's not much, and 0:13:43.760 --> 0:13:47.480 both of them were technically below expectation. But you know, 0:13:47.520 --> 0:13:50.319 we've talked about how one of the greatest attributes of 0:13:50.400 --> 0:13:53.080 Joe Mixon this year is that there's no competition. Well, 0:13:53.200 --> 0:13:56.080 if you can get Nick Chubb coming back to seventy 0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:58.960 five eighty percent of what he has been in the past, 0:14:00.000 --> 0:14:02.199 it might not be what you'd love out of Nick job, 0:14:02.240 --> 0:14:06.040 but it's certainly competition. It's certainly more than dari Ogumwallee 0:14:06.200 --> 0:14:12.440 and certainly more than Damian Pierce. So hey, careful, it's careful, Faul. Yeah, 0:14:12.800 --> 0:14:15.120 you know, I understand where you're coming from. 0:14:15.400 --> 0:14:18.640 I am I'm a Damien Pierce apologist. I always feel 0:14:18.640 --> 0:14:21.560 like he's been under used, but the rest of it 0:14:21.640 --> 0:14:23.240 I certainly agree with. Here, let me give you one 0:14:23.280 --> 0:14:26.680 more thing on mixing that worries me about him ran 0:14:26.880 --> 0:14:29.320 out of gas last year you could see, yeah, totally. 0:14:29.360 --> 0:14:33.160 And you know, over his final six games he drooped 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:36.560 down to twenty ninth in rushing yards, thirty first in 0:14:36.640 --> 0:14:40.320 average yards per carry, and twenty fifth in avoided tackle rate. 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:43.680 That's mixin final six games the last year. So now 0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:46.360 add another year onto the you know, onto his age. 0:14:46.600 --> 0:14:50.680 He's now twenty nine. He's had twenty three hundred career 0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:54.520 touches Joe Mixon has and I you know, it might 0:14:54.600 --> 0:14:56.560 not be Week one when he you know, he falls apart, 0:14:56.640 --> 0:14:59.960 but at some point you wonder if this coming sea 0:15:00.120 --> 0:15:02.720 and he's going to have another scenario where he just 0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:04.320 runs out of gas and they got to go to 0:15:04.640 --> 0:15:05.120 Nick Chubb. 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.440 Yeah, And so you know, this is a team that 0:15:08.480 --> 0:15:11.920 I think still has pretty good aspirations for the playoffs. Yeah, 0:15:12.200 --> 0:15:14.160 they might do some load balancing and stuff like that too. 0:15:14.320 --> 0:15:16.600 So if Nick Jubb is a guy who can end 0:15:16.640 --> 0:15:18.600 up getting up to like maybe ten touches a game, 0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:20.280 you know, limited compared to what we've seen in the 0:15:20.360 --> 0:15:22.360 year's past, that's still enough. If he can bounce back 0:15:22.400 --> 0:15:25.640 in terms of his efficiency in his running style. You know, 0:15:26.000 --> 0:15:28.880 last year the Texans were dead last and rushing success 0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:32.800 rate second worst, and run block win rate from ESPN. 0:15:33.720 --> 0:15:37.840 They didn't really fix their offensive line. They've made some changes, 0:15:37.920 --> 0:15:40.400 but I think one thing they didn't fix it. They 0:15:40.440 --> 0:15:42.680 made changes, but one thing I do want to call 0:15:42.720 --> 0:15:45.600 out is that they promoted a new offensive line coach, 0:15:45.760 --> 0:15:50.000 Cole Popovich just really distantly related to Greg Actually did 0:15:50.080 --> 0:15:52.920 not know that. Yeah, fun fact I found it out 0:15:53.200 --> 0:15:55.880 by doing the research, so that was fun. But that 0:15:56.040 --> 0:16:01.080 could be a catalyst for some improvement in maybe cohesiveness, 0:16:01.160 --> 0:16:02.720 if not just talent or ability. 0:16:03.480 --> 0:16:05.520 I really want to believe Houston's going to bounce back 0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:09.320 to the promise that they showed two years ago. They can. 0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:12.040 Their offensive coordinator, Bobby slok It looked like a genius 0:16:12.120 --> 0:16:14.240 in the first year. When you know, we're all like, 0:16:14.360 --> 0:16:16.960 oh my god, c J. Stroud is this is he 0:16:17.000 --> 0:16:19.080 had one of the best rookie seasons of any quarterback 0:16:19.120 --> 0:16:22.120 in memory. And to have it all fall apart so quickly, 0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:23.680 I don't think. I think most of that was on 0:16:23.760 --> 0:16:27.480 the offensive line, much more than Bobby Sloan. But we've 0:16:27.520 --> 0:16:31.040 given you three different running backs. This is not just 0:16:31.120 --> 0:16:33.520 a running back show we are doing. Last pick of 0:16:33.520 --> 0:16:35.320 the draft doesn't have to be a running back, although 0:16:35.320 --> 0:16:37.360 I think running backs it's it's a little frankly, it's 0:16:37.400 --> 0:16:39.200 it's a little bit easier to make cases for running 0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:40.280 backs and other position. 0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:41.040 They're the tickets. 0:16:41.160 --> 0:16:41.640 Absolutely. 0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:43.720 If you're looking for a guy to have a quick 0:16:43.880 --> 0:16:46.640 influx of value, it's almost always running backs. Midway through 0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:47.640 the year, let. 0:16:47.600 --> 0:16:51.040 Me give you a tight end. That's New Orleans tight 0:16:51.160 --> 0:16:57.040 end Juwan Johnson, who on the surface sounds ultra boring 0:16:57.120 --> 0:16:59.960 because he has never distinguished himself in the Saints offense, 0:17:00.160 --> 0:17:04.560 particularly although he's coming off career highs in targets, catches, 0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:08.560 and receiving yards last year, pretty good numbers. In March, 0:17:08.680 --> 0:17:12.840 they signed him to a three year, thirty million dollar extension. 0:17:13.359 --> 0:17:17.240 Ked I'm like Jwan Johnson, but you know what they knew. 0:17:17.560 --> 0:17:20.720 Taysom Hill's not coming back. He's tore his ACL in December, 0:17:21.560 --> 0:17:24.240 it's unclear, and he's thirty four years old. Taysom Hills 0:17:24.240 --> 0:17:29.959 sneaky old and backup Foster Moreau knee injury in January. 0:17:30.119 --> 0:17:32.159 He's he was not able to participate in any of 0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.160 the OTAs. His status for training camp is not clear, 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.920 and he's the backup anyway. Johnson is going to be 0:17:38.480 --> 0:17:42.280 the number one tight end on a Saints team where 0:17:42.600 --> 0:17:46.040 they're going to be starting a rookie quarterback, a green quarterback, 0:17:46.080 --> 0:17:48.680 no matter what, probably a rookie quarterback. And you know, 0:17:48.720 --> 0:17:50.600 we love we know rookie quarterbacks love their dump off 0:17:50.640 --> 0:17:53.080 tight ends, right they own, they get in the pocket, 0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:56.399 they make their one read, and then they panic and 0:17:56.480 --> 0:17:58.719 they dump the ball off to their safety valve tight end. 0:17:59.320 --> 0:18:02.439 It's easy to see Johnson getting a bunch of easy 0:18:02.640 --> 0:18:07.160 catches in this new Saints offense, and the depth chart, 0:18:07.200 --> 0:18:09.520 a wide receiver gets real thin, real fast. Yea Chris 0:18:09.560 --> 0:18:12.200 olave Rashidchi He's gonna try to come back from injury. 0:18:13.359 --> 0:18:16.520 And then last thing I'll mention on Juwan Johnson. Kellen 0:18:16.560 --> 0:18:19.200 Moore's your new head coach and he will be the 0:18:19.240 --> 0:18:22.960 play caller. He's the one in Stalling's offense. Last year 0:18:23.119 --> 0:18:27.080 Kellen Moore as Philadelphia's offensive coordinator, Dallas Goddard was tight 0:18:27.160 --> 0:18:30.680 end eleven in PPR points per game. The previous year 0:18:30.880 --> 0:18:32.919 he was with the Chargers as their offensive coordinator, they 0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.040 only had Gerald Everard. He was tight end twenty two. 0:18:35.200 --> 0:18:37.120 But the year before that he was the Cowboys offensive 0:18:37.119 --> 0:18:40.000 coordinator and Kellen Moore got Dalton Schultz to tight end 0:18:40.119 --> 0:18:43.960 seven and got him paid. And so there's some real 0:18:44.000 --> 0:18:47.520 opportunity in a Kellen Moore offense for Juwan Johnson to 0:18:48.080 --> 0:18:51.359 make good. As the last pick in your draft. 0:18:51.800 --> 0:18:53.960 I'm just wondering who your third Saints player is gonna be. 0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:58.000 I know, right, I think I've run out of meaningful 0:18:58.040 --> 0:19:00.399 Saints right now. There's that we may have app that 0:19:00.840 --> 0:19:01.840 that as far as it can go. 0:19:02.800 --> 0:19:06.040 Yeah, I mean it goes by how the quarterback situation goes. 0:19:06.119 --> 0:19:08.520 If if we see an emergence of Shuck, then you 0:19:08.600 --> 0:19:12.080 know this could be absolutely a breakout candidate and someone 0:19:12.119 --> 0:19:13.439 who that I know a lot of people have had 0:19:13.480 --> 0:19:14.760 their eyes on Juwan Johnson. 0:19:14.880 --> 0:19:17.800 So yeah, I don't think Shuck's gonna break out. Honestly, 0:19:17.960 --> 0:19:23.240 I think they'll be drafting another quarterback later but next year. 0:19:23.720 --> 0:19:25.639 But I still think he can catch a bunch of 0:19:25.720 --> 0:19:29.840 dump off stuff. We'll find out Juan Johnson. All right, Ken, 0:19:29.920 --> 0:19:32.919 who is your third and final last pick of the draft. 0:19:33.720 --> 0:19:35.919 Well, see one play one. I have a tight end 0:19:35.960 --> 0:19:39.919 as well. No wide receivers now, now that I'm realizing 0:19:39.920 --> 0:19:41.679 that unless you have one in your up your sleeve here, 0:19:41.800 --> 0:19:44.960 but my tight end is going to be New York 0:19:45.040 --> 0:19:50.040 Giants tight end Theo Johnson, and Theo Johnson's an interesting case. 0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:53.320 He's definitely under the radar. I think he might be 0:19:53.440 --> 0:19:55.639 one of the lowest ones in terms of ADP right now, 0:19:56.080 --> 0:20:00.080