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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go fifteen twenty twenty five, thirty

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Speaker 2: thirty five, Tony Cody five fifty.

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Speaker 1: And the chick As Block the College Football World.

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Speaker 2: Stunners, Oh my goodness, please stumbled and bubble the latter

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Speaker 2: of turn a cutter of the.

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Speaker 3: Insub don't you the lad came off the field to night.

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Speaker 1: It's not the side of the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 3: It's the side of the fight in the dog.

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast is the

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Speaker 2: Group of five deep dive on Mike Calvary's joined by

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Speaker 2: Mike Ianello for our Bowl extravaganza here in G five Land,

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Speaker 2: going through every single game then volves one of those

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Speaker 2: wonderful from the Group of five. We're going to start

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Speaker 2: with Georgia Southern against Ohio and the Myrtle Beach Bowl

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Speaker 2: and walk you all the way through the wilderness back

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Speaker 2: out on the other side for Oregon against Liberty in

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Speaker 2: the Fiesta Bowl. So let's get started with that Myrtle

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Speaker 2: Beach matchup. Georgia Southern a three and a half point

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Speaker 2: favorite over Ohio. Now by kickoff in this game, the

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Speaker 2: Bobs could be down their starting quarterback, their top two

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Speaker 2: running backs. That's not a good situation. Like offensively, this

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Speaker 2: is a team that was not humming for most of

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Speaker 2: the year. You know, if Rourke is out because of

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Speaker 2: the portal, Parker Navarro, with virtually no experience, is their guy,

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Speaker 2: and Georgia Southern has much fewer question marks. Jalen White

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Speaker 2: is out at running back, but everyone else as of

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Speaker 2: recording right now, seems to be in. And also I'd

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Speaker 2: like to point out Davis Brinn, somebody that we've made

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Speaker 2: no bones about. The guy has been a turnover machine

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Speaker 2: in his career. He actually had eight games with zero

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Speaker 2: or only one pick this season. He's so liable to

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Speaker 2: go off. He had five picks against Wisconsin. He had

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Speaker 2: three turnovers or four turnovers against app State. But in general,

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Speaker 2: I think if I were to play this one, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna go ahead with the under because Ohio was an

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Speaker 2: under machine this year. Nine o the twelve games went

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Speaker 2: under the closing number. So that's my lean in this one.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna listen through. We don't have strong opinions on

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Speaker 2: every single game. We're gonna be straight with you. We're

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Speaker 2: gonna try to help you out with your confidence pool

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Speaker 2: as well, and a quick shout out to the absolute

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Speaker 2: goat of the transfer portal and opt out season. That's

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Speaker 2: our man, Stucky. He's put together a living document that's

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Speaker 2: up on the Action Network website and the app. It

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Speaker 2: is updated daily. It's giving you all the breaking news

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Speaker 2: for who's in, who's out, who's you know, training for

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Speaker 2: the NFL draft, coaching movement, all of it. You absolutely

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Speaker 2: need it before you lock in plays, so please go

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Speaker 2: ahead and check that out. We couldn't do our job

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Speaker 2: without him doing this incredible job, so shout out to Stuck.

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Speaker 2: All right, what are your thoughts here on the Myrtle

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Speaker 2: Beach Bowl.

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Speaker 3: I know, well, first I just want to tag on

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Speaker 3: it and say for those listening, depending on when you listen,

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Speaker 3: because we're gonna run through all the way through New

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Speaker 3: Year's We're recording this Monday, December eleventh, so obviously the

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Speaker 3: way this sport works, something we could say it could

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Speaker 3: be totally outdated by tomorrow. So keep that them on

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Speaker 3: and you're listening. Obviously we're talking about a player and

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Speaker 3: then he opts out on Thursday.

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Speaker 2: I mean, totally outdated as of right now. You have

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Speaker 2: no children by the time someone listens to that. You

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Speaker 2: could have your first child here in the world. That's

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Speaker 2: the d day we are here.

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Speaker 3: I'm on baby watch. So yes, I like George Southern

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Speaker 3: a lot. In this game, I've bet him plus three.

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Speaker 3: They've moved all the way to like three and a half.

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Speaker 3: I still like it. I think the style of Georgia's

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Speaker 3: Southern plays with that passing attack, they play quick. I

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Speaker 3: think this is good out of hand if they pulled

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Speaker 3: away early. You mentioned it. No Rourke, no Benger, no

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Speaker 3: Alison Miles crosses out. You need to mention it.

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Speaker 1: Like C. J.

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Speaker 3: Harris is normally their backup. He's out for the season,

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Speaker 3: so you said park and bar he's the third string Ohio.

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Speaker 3: It just looked broken all year. They were able to

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Speaker 3: beat the bottom of the MAC and with Georgia Southern's offense,

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Speaker 3: they want to throw the ball all over the yard.

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Speaker 3: You said it. Caleb pud and Derwin Burgess are both

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Speaker 3: expected to play as of now. So Ohio's got a

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Speaker 3: good defense. But we'll the schedule. Who's named the passing

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Speaker 3: attack they played even the non con they played like

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Speaker 3: San Diego State, who has a safety playing quarterback, and

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Speaker 3: Fau and Kasey Thompson was terrible. So like, I think

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Speaker 3: the Eagles can really pull away in this one, and

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Speaker 3: just the title that they play. You know, if they

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Speaker 3: get down early and then Ohio's got to start throwing

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Speaker 3: the ball to the third string quarterback Jordan Tellton could

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Speaker 3: blow the doors off them. So, like I said, I

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Speaker 3: have plus three, but I still like three and a half.

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Speaker 3: I think I think they could crush him.

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Speaker 2: All right, where are we headed next?

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Speaker 3: All right, next we are going down to the Bayou

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Speaker 3: the New Orleans Bowl. Jacksonville State minus three and a

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Speaker 3: half against Louisiana. I'll just say this, I love Jacksonville State.

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Speaker 3: They were one of the teams where I was kind

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Speaker 3: of like, I'm blindly betting it no matter what the

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Speaker 3: line was. Jackson's they opened three and a half. It's

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Speaker 3: now all the way down to minus three. James Massy

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Speaker 3: got all the attention, but the game Cocks eight and

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Speaker 3: fourign Conference six and two their first FBS season, so

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Speaker 3: they really don't have any Their only guy their kickers

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Speaker 3: in the portal. But other than that, there's really nothing

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Speaker 3: in portal wise for either of these teams. To me,

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Speaker 3: this just comes down to ah I think Jacksonville State

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Speaker 3: is better. I think you know lose. Viana State's terrible

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Speaker 3: against the run. That's what Jacksonville State does best. eLife

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Speaker 3: Jackson and or Lewis ron Wigans Zion Webb's legs obviously

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Speaker 3: talked about him all year. I and they just run

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Speaker 3: the ball on Louisiana's throat all game. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 3: curious if you see it differently. We know Richard that's

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Speaker 3: another one where this is another game where we know

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Speaker 3: Richrod loves to play fast. So if they get up

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Speaker 3: or like, they can keep running it up quickly. So

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Speaker 3: I'm I'm all over the game Cocks here.

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Speaker 2: So in full transparency, this is like a mid twenties

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Speaker 2: confidence play for me on Jacksonville State, I have no

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Speaker 2: problem laying the three points. Xeon Cris broke his fibula

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Speaker 2: against Arkansas State. Under you're high on him, I'm very

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Speaker 2: high on him. I think he's going to be a

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Speaker 2: huge difference maker next year. I think an opportunity to

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Speaker 2: play him early in the season and the Ragion cachens

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Speaker 2: because their offens just looks different. But without him, they

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Speaker 2: lost to Southern mess woof, they lose to troit by seven,

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Speaker 2: which is a good loss, and they beat you know,

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Speaker 2: Monroe by thirty one. I don't care about that because

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State's defense is the truth. They're thirteenth and success

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Speaker 2: rate awesome against the run, fourth in yards per carried,

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Speaker 2: it allowed it only two point eight. My only concern

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Speaker 2: here is really it's two things. One, Jay rock Swain

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Speaker 2: is questionable. He is the best player I think in

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Speaker 2: this game on their edge on either side of the

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Speaker 2: ball for either team. So I'd love to have him

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Speaker 2: just to make life really difficult for Louisiana if they

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Speaker 2: fall behind in this game. But the other thing that

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Speaker 2: scares me just a little bit is rich Rod in

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Speaker 2: Bowl games two and nine against the spread in Bowl games,

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Speaker 2: so that is really rough. Hopefully a little bit and

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Speaker 2: kind of dig his way out of this.

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Speaker 3: Ben Chandler Field is he back at quarterback for Louisiana.

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Speaker 2: I believe so he's the presumptive starter in this one.

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Speaker 3: I agree with rich Rod.

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Speaker 2: Now.

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Speaker 3: I just think it like it just Louisianas can't stop

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Speaker 3: the run, and that's kind of all Jacksonville thing does.

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Speaker 3: I just think it's a really good matchup for them.

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Speaker 2: I mean, I'm hoping You're right, we're on the same

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Speaker 2: page here. I just think there's a little bit of

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Speaker 2: an issue in terms of I guess it's a little

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Speaker 2: bit of hidden value in Louisiana playing in a much

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Speaker 2: better conference in terms of like their overall competition. But

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Speaker 2: I just think at the end of the day, this

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Speaker 2: is going to be a bit of a rock fight,

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Speaker 2: and Jacksonville State I had more trust in their offense

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Speaker 2: and their ceiling, So we'll go ahead. Looks like we're

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Speaker 2: reliant on that one.

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Speaker 3: I have a question for you New Orleans Bowl, Louisiana

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Speaker 3: playing the New Orleans Bowl, do you view playing you know,

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Speaker 3: we'll talk about as Boston College. Do you view a

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Speaker 3: team playing at home or close to home as an

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Speaker 3: advantage home field advantage or disadvantage because like you don't

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Speaker 3: really get the like we're in a bowl, feel the

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Speaker 3: perk code you get, you know, three weeks practicing at

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Speaker 3: home and then you're just like still at home. Like

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Speaker 3: do you see that as like a they'll be less

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Speaker 3: interested because it's not like the glitz and glamour, or

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Speaker 3: do you see it as an advantage because like, obviously,

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Speaker 3: I mean Jacksonville States, you travel too, but do you

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Speaker 3: see as more of the off home for the advantage,

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Speaker 3: or they won't be like as motivated.

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's always a slippery slope to get into

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Speaker 2: the mentality and you know who's excited to be there.

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Speaker 2: But I just try to look at it as a

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Speaker 2: preseason situation, like Louisiana for a long time was competing

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Speaker 2: for Sun Belt championships under Billy Napier. This year kind

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Speaker 2: of went off the rails and they just sneak in

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Speaker 2: with you know, a win over Monroe to get in

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Speaker 2: at six and six, whereas Jacksonville State it's the first

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Speaker 2: bowl game ever. I think there's novelty to it. I

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Speaker 2: think that they clearly were a better team for the

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Speaker 2: majority of the season, and I think there's that motivation

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Speaker 2: of getting to play in a venue like they're going

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Speaker 2: Wing to play in. I think the excitement level is

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Speaker 2: going to be there, and really travel wise, I think

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Speaker 2: this is probably going to be a fifty to fifty crowd.

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Speaker 2: I don't see Louisiana just because it's the home state

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Speaker 2: getting a huge bump. It's not just off to go

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Speaker 2: ahead and a Google map it. But I don't think

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Speaker 2: it's that much farther for their fan base to come

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Speaker 2: for the game. Cocks right turning two the Alvocados from

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Speaker 2: Mexico Cure Bowl. I love the sponsorships. I will be

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Speaker 2: reading out sponsorships for every one of the Bulls that

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Speaker 2: I announced. Miami of Ohio, the RedHawks play an app State,

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Speaker 2: laying five and a half. A little bit of a

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Speaker 2: surprise because Miami Ohio obviously winning the MAC title, kicking

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Speaker 2: coach Kandle and the Rockets out of potentially a New

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Speaker 2: Year six Bowl game. Playing a big time spoiler there

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Speaker 2: this total sin at forty seven and a half. I mean,

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Speaker 2: hand up. We got a lot of things right on

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Speaker 2: this podcast, calling things early. We were not on the

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Speaker 2: app State offensive explosion. Joey Aguilar enters with almost thirty

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Speaker 2: eight hundred total yards thirty five total tds. Nate Noel

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Speaker 2: is out, but Kanye Roberts, in my opinion, is ready

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Speaker 2: to roll. I think he'll be the next great Mountaineer

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Speaker 2: running back. Keep that tradition alive. As I mentioned, Miami

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Speaker 2: Ohio off of the conference title, but they're down to

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Speaker 2: their third string quarterback Henry Hessen has thrown five college passes.

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Speaker 2: He's likely to start in this one. That's tough. But

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Speaker 2: we just keep underestimating Miami and they keep covering. They

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Speaker 2: covered ten or thirteen games this year and really comes

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Speaker 2: out of their defense seventh best scoring def in the

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Speaker 2: country sixteen point two points per game. They're absolutely dominant

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Speaker 2: on special teams with Graham Nicholson, the Groso Award winner

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Speaker 2: in the portal Out of the Portal, he's back, He's

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Speaker 2: coming to Miami for one more year. He'll be kicking

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Speaker 2: in this one. I don't know. I think I'm probably

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Speaker 2: leaning towards app State. I think the number is a

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Speaker 2: little bit high, a little bit rich for my blood

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Speaker 2: at five and a half. So this is more of

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Speaker 2: a maybe a single digit or ten pointer in the

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Speaker 2: confidence pool. But in terms of the points, Miami really

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Speaker 2: showed me a lot against Toledo. Like when they get

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Speaker 2: up for a game, their defense can hang with anybody.

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Speaker 2: So it's a pass for me against the spread.

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Speaker 3: Yeah. So, as you hear throughout this pod, I have

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Speaker 3: a ton of good closing line value and was on

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Speaker 3: the right side of a lot of line movement transfer

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Speaker 3: news that got really good numbers. This is not one

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Speaker 3: of them. This is one where I bet Miami, Ohio

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Speaker 3: money line and Avion Smith entered the portal like two

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Speaker 3: hours later. So, like I said, I bet Miami Ohio

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Speaker 3: money line, I wouldn't bet that without Avion Smith. But

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Speaker 3: I still like it. On the spread, the numbers floating around,

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Speaker 3: it keeps moving depending on the book. You can get

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Speaker 3: six and a half at places. If you get over six,

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Speaker 3: I like Miami Ohio. You said, as we saw in

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Speaker 3: the MAC championship game, Mammy can win this game with

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Speaker 3: defense and special teams. That's what they've done all year.

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Speaker 3: You mentioned Graham Nicholson. How often do you get a

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Speaker 3: big run it back graphic for the kicker coming back,

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Speaker 3: But he's the best kicker in the country. We also

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Speaker 3: got one for Matthew Salvlepek, who is the star linebacker

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Speaker 3: who's also returning. He's one of the best defenders in

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Speaker 3: the MAC. He's quarterback of the defense. So you're gonna

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Speaker 3: win with defensive special teams. You got your two best

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Speaker 3: players coming back. So as much as Smith being the

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Speaker 3: portal sucks, it's a little bit of a who cares

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Speaker 3: like he really didn't do anything. We just saw Troy

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Speaker 3: run it down app State's throat, So run the ball

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Speaker 3: with for shot amos, play defense, makefield goals, win the game.

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Speaker 3: Like I said, I have money line. Probably wouldn't take

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Speaker 3: it again without Smith, but I would still take Miami,

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Speaker 3: Ohio plus six and a half. Next up is the

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Speaker 3: Group of five Deep Dive Bowl, just the New Mexico Bowl,

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Speaker 3: New Mexico State minus three and a half. First friend

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Speaker 3: in those state usually were going to read transfer portal news.

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Speaker 3: Guess what I'm not reading them. Diego's playing, That's all

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Speaker 3: that matters. Jerry Covers came out and said, Diego's good

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Speaker 3: to go. Good enough for me. We're taking the Aggies

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Speaker 3: minus three and a half. That's all I care about.

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Speaker 3: If you did want to learn anything else me the

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Speaker 3: only big key that kind of helped me. Also, Jeff

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Speaker 3: Tedford's not coaching this game due to health concerns. Really,

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Speaker 3: you know, no big opt outs on either side other

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Speaker 3: than Jeff Tedford being out. Like I said, Diego's plan,

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Speaker 3: we're taking the Aggies. Tell me I'm wrong, You're not wrong.

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Speaker 2: Basically, once Jerry said he's getting an MRI, I'm cautiously

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Speaker 2: optimistic and then said he's good to go. That's all

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Speaker 2: I need to hear. I mean, I can read off

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Speaker 2: all the stats, but it's a Ponzi scheme. It's it's

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Speaker 2: an emotional you know, basically conversation that we have to

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Speaker 2: have between our listeners. And these guys have been in

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Speaker 2: atm They went eleven and three against the spread. They

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Speaker 2: hit big plays when he scrambles twenty second in an

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Speaker 2: aerial explosives. They scored thirty one on the frickin road

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Speaker 2: against Auburn and an upset they scored thirty five with

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Speaker 2: a backup play and for a quarter plus against a

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Speaker 2: liberty team that's in the New Year six Bowl. Like,

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Speaker 2: these guys are gutty, they're gonna play hard. I know

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Speaker 2: that Trent Hudson, their wide receiver, had ten tds. He's

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Speaker 2: in the portal. But I run that pretty clean situation

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Speaker 2: for the Aggies and you mentioned it, Jeff Tedford out. Also,

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Speaker 2: this team went from eight to one and four and one.

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Speaker 2: The Mountain West absolutely had a path to the New

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Speaker 2: Year six finishes eight and four, four and four in

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Speaker 2: conference blowout loss to Santase State, eight point loss to

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Speaker 2: New Mexico. That one is a gut punch to lose

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Speaker 2: by eight to New Mexico. Woof, and then a fifteen

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Speaker 2: point loss to San Diego State. I just view this

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Speaker 2: as Fresno headed in the wrong direction at the wrong time,

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Speaker 2: and now they got to go back to the state

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Speaker 2: of New Mexico and play against a team that's you know,

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Speaker 2: America's Gamley Darling.

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Speaker 3: So you also have a Freensdo State team that last

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Speaker 3: year won the Mountain West Championship and then beat Washington

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Speaker 3: State in the LA Bowl. And now they're playing New

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Speaker 3: Mexico State in album like come on, well, like that's

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Speaker 3: such a drop off for them. You said, no, head coach,

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Speaker 3: They're probably there's no way friends one State cares about

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Speaker 3: this game where you know, Jerry Kill's gonna get his

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Speaker 3: boys out. Also, like I said, Diego's playing, But boy

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Speaker 3: did Blaize certainly look electric as well, So God forbid

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Speaker 3: worst case scenario. I'll ride with Blaize any day of

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Speaker 3: the week after what I saw from him in the

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Speaker 3: second half of that game.

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Speaker 2: BBOC is presented by Bett MGM used bonus code action

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00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:31,440
Speaker 2: when signing up to get fifteen hundred dollars paid back

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Speaker 2: users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

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Speaker 2: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia, and Wyoming.

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Speaker 2: Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one or older.

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Speaker 2: Gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. All right, you

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Speaker 2: just mentioned the La Bowl. I believe it used to

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Speaker 2: be the Jimmy Kimmel. Now it's the starco Brands. Ucla

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Speaker 2: lay in two against Boise State, the total at forty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half, and this game is heavily impacted

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Speaker 2: by the transfer portal and opt outs. Taylor Green goes

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Speaker 2: from the Mount West Championship game, runs right off the

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Speaker 2: field onto a plane down to Fayetteville to hopefully be

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Speaker 2: the replacement for kJ Jefferson, their backup quarterback for Bois's

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Speaker 2: out for the season. Madson, we could see true freshman CJ.

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Speaker 2: Tiller in this game. Yes, gent is in, but will

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Speaker 2: you know UCLA just focusing on him. Also kind of

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Speaker 2: a cool story. They kick the tires on a couple

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Speaker 2: of different options where they go with Spencer Danielson now

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Speaker 2: from interim to the full time head coach. The whole

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Speaker 2: team went crazy. It was a great, you know, feel

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Speaker 2: good video because a lot of the players were going

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Speaker 2: Rudy style going to the eighties office and being like,

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Speaker 2: I'll just walk out of this program if it's not

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Speaker 2: Danielson and apparently they tip the scales, so good for him,

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Speaker 2: But offensively the quarterback play without Green, who really looked

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Speaker 2: amazing in the Mount West title game, Like that's a

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Speaker 2: big drop off, But the Bruins are down. Plenty of

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Speaker 2: the stars too. Dante Moore in the portal. The rumors

337
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Speaker 2: are he's going to be a Michigan Wolverine. A lot

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Speaker 2: too is opted out. He's going to be a first

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Speaker 2: round pick in the NFL draft. You know, Lynn, Their

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Speaker 2: DC goes cross Town, leaves for USC and their quarterback

341
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Speaker 2: Ryan Gunderson left to be the OC at Oregon State,

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Speaker 2: So not great for UCLA. Plus Chip Kelly has never

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Speaker 2: been phenomenal in Bowl games two and three straight up,

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Speaker 2: two and three against the spread. The only silver lining

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Speaker 2: I could say why I lean towards the Bruins is

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Speaker 2: maybe he saw this coming. He played like a million

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Speaker 2: quarterbacks this year, and Ethan Garber's could play, and if

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Speaker 2: he doesn't, Colin Schlee could play. He's had some experience

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Speaker 2: playing this season. No one is knocking my socks off

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Speaker 2: in this game, so maybe I go under maybe a

351
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Speaker 2: slight le into Ucla. But this is like a four

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Speaker 2: pointer on the confidence board this game. You know, if

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Speaker 2: everybody was healthy and Dante Moore they let him cook,

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Speaker 2: and Taylor Green, you know, was riding that momentum, this

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Speaker 2: could have been one of the best P five verse

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Speaker 2: G five Bowl games. But instead, I think this one's

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Speaker 2: going to be a turn. That's just my feeling here

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Speaker 2: on the LA Bowl.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we've had some good games because we had I

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Speaker 3: guess said, Fresno beat Washington State last I believe the

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Speaker 3: year before, didn't Utah State beat Organ State? Am I

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Speaker 3: making that?

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Speaker 2: That sounds right? That sounds right?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Yeah, I'm with you.

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Speaker 2: I was.

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Speaker 3: I was hoping you'd convinced me you did not do

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Speaker 3: a good job. I lean Ucla. But like I said,

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Speaker 3: I was hoping you convinced me to bet it and

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Speaker 3: you didn't really do that. You mentioned are you.

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Speaker 2: Really going to put your hardened dollars behind Ethan Garber's

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Speaker 2: in this game?

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Speaker 3: My thinking is more greenout Matt's and out their top

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Speaker 3: three receivers in the portal This is one hundred percent

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Speaker 3: the aston gent show. And even without a lot to

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Speaker 3: you can't run on this UCLA front seven. They're second

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Speaker 3: in the country. They've allowed sixty nine rushing yards per

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Speaker 3: game two point three yards per carry. The Bruins have

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Speaker 3: only allowed three rushing touchdowns all season, the fewest in

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Speaker 3: the country. So a lot too as of now, is

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Speaker 3: the only opt out for the defense. And I know,

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Speaker 3: you know Lin's gone, but he's the only player so

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Speaker 3: far it's opted out. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Dunk ourselves into the under here. Forty nine and a

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Speaker 2: half sounds a lot when you start throwing this around.

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Speaker 3: I don't know how boyd you state scores? You said,

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Speaker 3: there's forty nine and a half. Yeah, yeah, we're taking it.

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Speaker 3: Let's go new pick delete everything we said under there

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Speaker 3: we go, all right. I don't know how, boyd you

389
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Speaker 3: state scores unless all of a sudden, like eight, you know,

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Speaker 3: players opt out on defense, which again, even with a lot,

391
00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:23,800
Speaker 3: is more of a pass rusher than a run stopper.

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Speaker 3: But their linebackers are sick, and as of now all

393
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Speaker 3: of them are playing. I don't know how boyd you

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Speaker 3: state scores?

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Speaker 2: Speaking of you know, quandaries putting yourself in this next

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Speaker 2: bowl game that you're going to tee up. Two of

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00:18:34,359 --> 00:18:36,920
Speaker 2: these teams have kind of been your darlings over the years.

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Speaker 2: Who are you going with here?

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Speaker 3: Yes, we are going to the famous Toastery Bowl. I

400
00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:44,520
Speaker 3: don't even know what that means. This was the weird

401
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Speaker 3: one that was like supposed to be the Bahamas. Right

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Speaker 3: then I got moved and Western Kentucky first?

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Speaker 2: Is Toasty Toasters? Or is it like JavaScript? Or is

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00:18:52,520 --> 00:18:54,600
Speaker 2: that an half like what is Toastery?

405
00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:58,399
Speaker 3: The logo has a piece of post on it, so

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Speaker 3: I'm assuming.

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Speaker 2: That super helpful. So we're off to a good start here.

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00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,120
Speaker 3: And it was food based kitchen apply you google it, mom.

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Speaker 3: Prefacing this Old Dominion minus two and a half. At

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Speaker 3: the time of recording, they opened as a dog. I

411
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Speaker 3: actually bet them plus one point fifty five on the

412
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Speaker 3: money line. They were like three and a half point dogs.

413
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Speaker 3: They swung all the way to a two and a

414
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Speaker 3: half point favorite. And I agree with it because there

415
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Speaker 3: is another case where Old Dominion outperformed expectations, fought hard

416
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Speaker 3: to win their final two games to reach a bowl game.

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Speaker 3: Western Kentucky. Yeah, I'll wear it. I was wrong. I

418
00:19:32,600 --> 00:19:34,280
Speaker 3: was all over them. They were expected to be in

419
00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:37,200
Speaker 3: the conference championship game. They pretty much looked like shit

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Speaker 3: all season. And you look at the transfer Portal News

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00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:44,119
Speaker 3: Old Dominions without Javon Harvey and Jordan Bli, two of

422
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:47,280
Speaker 3: their better receivers, and they're starting safety, so those are

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00:19:47,359 --> 00:19:50,680
Speaker 3: kind of their big opt outs. But Western Kentucky their

424
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Speaker 3: stud left guard, they're starting center, they're starting right tackle,

425
00:19:53,920 --> 00:19:57,640
Speaker 3: their starting quarterback, they're starting linebacker. Their whole offensive line

426
00:19:57,720 --> 00:20:01,760
Speaker 3: is basically out, so that is a massive Old Dominion

427
00:20:01,960 --> 00:20:04,560
Speaker 3: is eighth in the country. And explosiveness. They have two

428
00:20:04,640 --> 00:20:07,320
Speaker 3: really good running backs, Candarius Callaway and Keishawn Wicks, who

429
00:20:07,320 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 3: are both playing Grant Wilson, and their two top receivers

430
00:20:10,800 --> 00:20:14,080
Speaker 3: are still playing, Romelo Murphy and Kelby Williams. They both

431
00:20:14,119 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 3: averaged eighteen yards per reception, so they are just walking

432
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:20,240
Speaker 3: big plays. And this is the first bowl game for

433
00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,119
Speaker 3: a lot of these Old Dominion players, so I think

434
00:20:22,160 --> 00:20:24,240
Speaker 3: they're going to be excited to be here. Western Kentucky

435
00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:26,000
Speaker 3: really just like I said, they just didn't look at

436
00:20:26,000 --> 00:20:29,000
Speaker 3: all year. Ninety fourth on offense, one hundred and third

437
00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:33,320
Speaker 3: on defense, pretty bad Conference USA. I mentioned, I'm trying

438
00:20:33,320 --> 00:20:35,320
Speaker 3: to target some fun Belt teams because of how good

439
00:20:35,359 --> 00:20:38,680
Speaker 3: that conference was this year, and if I wasn't gonna

440
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:41,440
Speaker 3: bet them, I pretty much am left with no choice because,

441
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:45,320
Speaker 3: as you mentioned, I'm on baby watch. December eighteenth is

442
00:20:45,480 --> 00:20:48,040
Speaker 3: the due date, and I threw out a tweet saying

443
00:20:48,119 --> 00:20:50,919
Speaker 3: that I'm trying to convince my wife to name our

444
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:55,720
Speaker 3: child after the star or coach of the game that

445
00:20:56,240 --> 00:20:59,440
Speaker 3: our son is born during. Well, somehow I said this

446
00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:02,280
Speaker 3: was the dude. They somehow Ricky Ronnie, my boy former

447
00:21:02,359 --> 00:21:04,720
Speaker 3: Penn State coach. Somehow Ricky Ronnie saw the tweet and

448
00:21:04,800 --> 00:21:08,760
Speaker 3: he responded and claimed naming right to my unborn child.

449
00:21:09,200 --> 00:21:11,920
Speaker 3: So I kind of have to ride with the Monharks now,

450
00:21:12,520 --> 00:21:16,520
Speaker 3: So give me old dominion, Uncle Ricky. We're riding with you, baby.

451
00:21:16,880 --> 00:21:19,440
Speaker 2: I mean that was a lot. Hopefully are you riding

452
00:21:19,480 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 2: with us? Of course I'm gonna ride with you. Because

453
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,280
Speaker 2: Western Kentucky the offense was kind of broken this year,

454
00:21:25,359 --> 00:21:28,040
Speaker 2: and it was broken before their offensive line fell apart

455
00:21:28,080 --> 00:21:30,879
Speaker 2: and everybody left. So I am absolutely on old dominion.

456
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:33,920
Speaker 2: Found out the Famous Toastry Bowl Famous Toasty is like

457
00:21:34,400 --> 00:21:36,920
Speaker 2: looks like this boozy brunch place kind of in the

458
00:21:37,000 --> 00:21:40,600
Speaker 2: American Southeast. You can get a flight of Mini Moses,

459
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:44,680
Speaker 2: a peach, mango, wild berry, passion fruit and classic orange juice.

460
00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:48,119
Speaker 2: That sounds delightful. Your wife's gonna want as soon as

461
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,080
Speaker 2: she's with the delivery.

462
00:21:50,000 --> 00:21:52,240
Speaker 3: The baby is born, you might find us there.

463
00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 2: All right. We are on too, you know, from one

464
00:21:57,080 --> 00:21:59,640
Speaker 2: silly bowl game to a very serious one the Scooter's

465
00:21:59,680 --> 00:22:03,879
Speaker 2: Coffee Frisco Bowl between Utsa and Marshall. This is one

466
00:22:03,960 --> 00:22:07,600
Speaker 2: of my absolute favorite confidence plays on the board. The

467
00:22:07,720 --> 00:22:10,159
Speaker 2: road Runners max out the points here. They're nine and

468
00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:12,600
Speaker 2: a half point favorite over Marshall. Total sendent at fifty

469
00:22:12,640 --> 00:22:15,679
Speaker 2: four and a half. It's pretty simple. Jeff Trailer flirts

470
00:22:15,720 --> 00:22:17,920
Speaker 2: with a bunch of Power five jobs, or at least

471
00:22:18,080 --> 00:22:21,199
Speaker 2: maybe secretly gets an interview or two. He's back. Get

472
00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:24,440
Speaker 2: the coaching continuity there, Doctor Frank Harris his farewell game

473
00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:27,200
Speaker 2: seventh year in college. Gives them what they need on

474
00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:29,680
Speaker 2: offense from the quarterback position. But they've actually got pretty

475
00:22:29,720 --> 00:22:33,000
Speaker 2: balanced by year's ends, like you were seeing them using

476
00:22:33,040 --> 00:22:35,800
Speaker 2: all these different running backs. They had multiple backs beyond

477
00:22:35,920 --> 00:22:38,720
Speaker 2: Cavorian Barnes, So I really like what they bring to

478
00:22:38,760 --> 00:22:41,879
Speaker 2: the table from that perspective. They do lose AAC Defensive

479
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 2: Player of the Year, Trey Moore. I think he's rumored

480
00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,520
Speaker 2: to be going to Ohio State. But Marshall was a

481
00:22:46,600 --> 00:22:49,120
Speaker 2: team that started four to oh and then fell apart

482
00:22:49,160 --> 00:22:52,040
Speaker 2: down the stretch going two and six. Cam Fancher is out.

483
00:22:52,400 --> 00:22:54,960
Speaker 2: Cole Pennington is in, but he's not, you know, a

484
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,760
Speaker 2: world beater by any stretch. Their best offensive lineman, Trent

485
00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:59,840
Speaker 2: Holer is out. In the middle of their O line

486
00:23:00,160 --> 00:23:03,199
Speaker 2: rasheinal Lee very well could sit out, either opt out

487
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:05,760
Speaker 2: for the NFL draft or transfer to a power flight program,

488
00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:07,720
Speaker 2: and I think he's got to be frustrated because they've

489
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,520
Speaker 2: been able to open wholes for him all year. So

490
00:23:09,680 --> 00:23:11,479
Speaker 2: I think the right team is favored here. I think

491
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:13,960
Speaker 2: it should be more. It should be closer to two

492
00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:15,880
Speaker 2: touchdowns as opposed to nine and a half. I think

493
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:20,000
Speaker 2: there's value still here on the spread, so across the

494
00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:24,000
Speaker 2: board spread a confidence points. Roadrunners meet meat. Let's do it, yep.

495
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:27,080
Speaker 3: I laid the ten with the Roadrunners as well as

496
00:23:27,160 --> 00:23:29,840
Speaker 3: much as you know. It's exciting to see a Pennington

497
00:23:30,000 --> 00:23:33,639
Speaker 3: slinging the ball around in Marshall and a Marshall jersey.

498
00:23:33,720 --> 00:23:36,280
Speaker 3: He just he does not have the same accuracy as

499
00:23:36,440 --> 00:23:40,119
Speaker 3: his dad did. Three games this year, zero touchdown passes,

500
00:23:40,440 --> 00:23:44,280
Speaker 3: six interceptions, And you mentioned it Rasheina led does see

501
00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:46,359
Speaker 3: enter the portal see opt out for the draft. You

502
00:23:46,400 --> 00:23:49,560
Speaker 3: mentioned that you know their best lineman's out, Do they

503
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,520
Speaker 3: really run him into the ground because that's their only

504
00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 3: chance to win this game? And I you know, I

505
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:59,000
Speaker 3: think I think the Roadrunners send Doctor Frank Harris off

506
00:23:59,280 --> 00:24:01,040
Speaker 3: in style. I think, you know, they they're going to

507
00:24:01,119 --> 00:24:02,480
Speaker 3: run it up for him. I think they're gonna let

508
00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:04,680
Speaker 3: him keep slinging it, let him do his thing. He

509
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:07,639
Speaker 3: will go down as the best player in this program's history.

510
00:24:07,720 --> 00:24:10,640
Speaker 3: He meant so much of this team that I think

511
00:24:10,680 --> 00:24:12,840
Speaker 3: they just let him. Let him cook in This game

512
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:16,960
Speaker 3: is kind of a you know, doctor Frank Harris appreciation night.

513
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:18,320
Speaker 3: So yeah, meet me.

514
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean they were so close. They won seven

515
00:24:21,119 --> 00:24:23,960
Speaker 2: straight games in AAC play, moving up, you know, in

516
00:24:24,080 --> 00:24:27,120
Speaker 2: the conference pecking order, and they just had a bad

517
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:29,520
Speaker 2: game against Julian five turnovers. They got snake bit in

518
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:31,680
Speaker 2: that way. Their defense played well enough to keep him around.

519
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:33,719
Speaker 2: So I think this is a team that very well

520
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:35,720
Speaker 2: could have seen themselves in the AAC title game. You're

521
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:39,480
Speaker 2: getting value against the Marshall team that was flagrantly mediocre,

522
00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:41,639
Speaker 2: and I just don't see where the offense is going

523
00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:43,480
Speaker 2: to come from. It certainly didn't show up in the

524
00:24:43,560 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 2: last six weeks of the season.

525
00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:49,800
Speaker 3: December twenty first the Boker Raton Bowl, South Florida versus

526
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:54,880
Speaker 3: Syracuse minus three and a half. Obviously, Syracuse fired head

527
00:24:54,920 --> 00:25:01,439
Speaker 3: coach Dino Babers Nounzio Campanelli. Hey Newton Zeo is going

528
00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,479
Speaker 3: to serve as the interim coach a good old Paison,

529
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:06,480
Speaker 3: so shout out to him. They hired Texas A and

530
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:09,840
Speaker 3: M's Elijah Robinson as a new DC but other than that,

531
00:25:10,240 --> 00:25:13,840
Speaker 3: no really notable opt outs. Will Jones is out for

532
00:25:13,920 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 3: South Florida. I mean Jerry Bohannon's I forgot he was

533
00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:19,440
Speaker 3: even on that team. Just even have lgbil left. It's

534
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 3: just kind of stay away from me. I really don't

535
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:22,639
Speaker 3: have a feel. I think this is a good to

536
00:25:22,880 --> 00:25:26,640
Speaker 3: a good place too in a conference pool. Throw South

537
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,240
Speaker 3: Florida in there as a good underdog pick. South Florida

538
00:25:29,320 --> 00:25:33,399
Speaker 3: is very boomer bus on offense, so they tend to

539
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:35,640
Speaker 3: get into shootouts in all their games. I'm not sure

540
00:25:35,640 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 3: if Syracuse is built for that or we'll want to

541
00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:41,440
Speaker 3: do that. Who knows Garrett Strader's status. So I would

542
00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:45,080
Speaker 3: throw South Florida as my confidence not a high confidence pick,

543
00:25:45,160 --> 00:25:47,639
Speaker 3: but you got to pick some underdogs to win. So

544
00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:50,920
Speaker 3: I would just throw South Florida as an underdog play

545
00:25:51,119 --> 00:25:52,800
Speaker 3: just because of the variants that they tend to play with.

546
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:56,159
Speaker 2: Hey, we're a G five podcast here. This is a

547
00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,520
Speaker 2: G five superstar Byron Brown. He had four games with

548
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:03,920
Speaker 2: four more touchdowns. They went from being an absolute dead

549
00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 2: body corpse offensively for the last two years to finishing

550
00:26:07,760 --> 00:26:11,440
Speaker 2: twenty ninth in explosiveness under goalish in year one. And

551
00:26:11,520 --> 00:26:14,560
Speaker 2: also Nikwon Wright was a nice little piece in the

552
00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 2: running game as well. Syracuse this is one of those

553
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:20,399
Speaker 2: like it means a lot to South Florida. They're, you know,

554
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:24,200
Speaker 2: ascending and Syracuse is basically starting from scratch and that

555
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:27,760
Speaker 2: weird like substitute teacher vibe with Nunzio on the sideline,

556
00:26:27,960 --> 00:26:30,520
Speaker 2: they have a different head coach. Who are they listening to? Like,

557
00:26:31,160 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 2: as a Paisan, I'd love to go with Kevinil, but

558
00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:36,680
Speaker 2: I can't do it, So I'm gonna go with usf

559
00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 2: outright I'm gonna agree with you. I think this is

560
00:26:38,840 --> 00:26:40,639
Speaker 2: like spice it up with like a ten to eleven

561
00:26:40,680 --> 00:26:43,760
Speaker 2: pointer and a confidence pool, get plus like one twenty five,

562
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,879
Speaker 2: one thirty on the money line, and maybe do a

563
00:26:45,920 --> 00:26:48,000
Speaker 2: same game parlay with the over, because I think if

564
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:50,080
Speaker 2: South Florida gets the win, it's because their offense is

565
00:26:50,119 --> 00:26:53,800
Speaker 2: doing the heavy lifting. On to the Union Home Mortgage

566
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,720
Speaker 2: Gasparilla Bowl. Georgia Tech UCF is a four and a

567
00:26:57,760 --> 00:26:58,639
Speaker 2: half point favorite.

568
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:01,760
Speaker 3: This isn't a G five game. We kicked you CF out,

569
00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:03,640
Speaker 3: get him out here. We ain't talking about them. Gah,

570
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:04,320
Speaker 3: there we go.

571
00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:09,520
Speaker 2: Thank you for keeping your co host here, honest because when.

572
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:11,840
Speaker 3: I it's late night and Breeze just texted as X.

573
00:27:13,560 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 2: When I saw this, I was like, absolutely gotta sit down.

574
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:19,520
Speaker 2: I gotta do my homework. And I was almost totally finished,

575
00:27:19,760 --> 00:27:21,399
Speaker 2: and I was like, these sons of bitches are in

576
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,240
Speaker 2: the Big twelve. They finally got me. I mean, college basketball,

577
00:27:24,240 --> 00:27:26,320
Speaker 2: it's a lot more difficult. You got like Chicago State

578
00:27:26,400 --> 00:27:29,399
Speaker 2: move into the NEEC, but like it shouldn't be that difficult.

579
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:33,720
Speaker 3: For hey, hey, Gus mals On, all right, just kidding.

580
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,080
Speaker 2: We go to Troy Laying seven and a half against

581
00:27:36,119 --> 00:27:38,159
Speaker 2: Duke forty three and a half as the total in

582
00:27:38,320 --> 00:27:43,320
Speaker 2: the seventy six Birmingham Bull DC. Greg Gasparado is in

583
00:27:43,440 --> 00:27:46,960
Speaker 2: as the Troy head coach, Trooper Taylor in as the

584
00:27:47,080 --> 00:27:50,600
Speaker 2: Duke head coach. So we got some interim subs here.

585
00:27:51,240 --> 00:27:53,000
Speaker 3: Seems I think we're making up these names.

586
00:27:53,359 --> 00:27:56,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, Trooper Taylor doesn't. Actually, they both sound

587
00:27:56,680 --> 00:27:59,760
Speaker 2: equally made up. But I assure you that's real, as

588
00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:02,159
Speaker 2: is the fact that six Duke starters are in the portal.

589
00:28:02,359 --> 00:28:04,560
Speaker 2: They could be down two more due to injuries. Dwayne

590
00:28:04,600 --> 00:28:07,240
Speaker 2: Carter at defensive line could opt out. He's got an

591
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,440
Speaker 2: NFL future, Troy has older players. That's enough for me.

592
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:12,040
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go ahead and lay the seven and a

593
00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:14,160
Speaker 2: half year and hope for the best against a Duke

594
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:16,600
Speaker 2: team that at one point was ascending. They get that

595
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:18,960
Speaker 2: upset of Clempson and then it all falls apart at

596
00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:20,480
Speaker 2: the end of that game against Notre Dame and it

597
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:22,800
Speaker 2: never got back on the tracks. So I'll go with

598
00:28:22,920 --> 00:28:23,880
Speaker 2: the Trojans here.

599
00:28:24,080 --> 00:28:26,520
Speaker 3: Yeah. I think John Summerl's a good enough coach that

600
00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 3: him Levin scares me away from laying the spread. But

601
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:33,200
Speaker 3: I like Troy moneyline in I would have him pretty

602
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:36,920
Speaker 3: high and confidence play confidence pools. I don't think Troy

603
00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:39,960
Speaker 3: is just a good money line parlay piece. I would

604
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:43,600
Speaker 3: anchor them in other games, you know, I'm trying to

605
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:45,680
Speaker 3: look at if there's any other games that day, you know,

606
00:28:45,720 --> 00:28:47,440
Speaker 3: the UCF game or whatever. If you want to tack

607
00:28:47,520 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: on Troy money line to a couple of moneyline parlays,

608
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:52,720
Speaker 3: I would use them. I think they win the game.

609
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 3: But like I said, I'm staying away from the spread.

610
00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,440
Speaker 3: But if Grenna Watson and Commanding Vidal play, Troy should

611
00:28:58,440 --> 00:29:00,480
Speaker 3: win the game, all right. Next up we have the

612
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 3: Chamellia Bowl, Arkansas State versus Northern Illinois. Not a ton

613
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,280
Speaker 3: of opt outs, and this one you got Arkansas State

614
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 3: without starting linebacker Javonte Mackie, Northern Illinois without their best receiver,

615
00:29:13,480 --> 00:29:17,520
Speaker 3: Trayvon Rudolph Allen. Allen's more significant, and I like Arkansas

616
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:19,840
Speaker 3: State in this spot. I'm trying to target a lot

617
00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 3: of SUN teams. As I said, twelve of their fourteen

618
00:29:22,640 --> 00:29:24,600
Speaker 3: teams reached the Bowl, so I think they were a

619
00:29:24,640 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 3: pretty good conference. I think the MAC was pretty bad,

620
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:30,240
Speaker 3: so Arkansas State was better than a lot of people thought,

621
00:29:30,280 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 3: I know you were burying them early in the year.

622
00:29:32,440 --> 00:29:34,960
Speaker 3: Freshman Jalen Rayner took over, though, and after three games

623
00:29:34,960 --> 00:29:38,040
Speaker 3: and this offense really improved. They weren't really super consistent,

624
00:29:38,200 --> 00:29:41,520
Speaker 3: but top twenty in the country in explosiveness. They're pretty

625
00:29:41,520 --> 00:29:44,640
Speaker 3: good at getting big plays. And Northern Illinois just their

626
00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:47,320
Speaker 3: offense is so one dimensional. They have no passing attack.

627
00:29:47,760 --> 00:29:50,560
Speaker 3: Now they're without their best receiver, their their whole receiving

628
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:54,440
Speaker 3: course hurt. Defense can't stop the run. So I just

629
00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:57,239
Speaker 3: don't think this team's very good, and I don't think

630
00:29:57,280 --> 00:29:59,720
Speaker 3: the conference is very good as a whole. So I

631
00:29:59,760 --> 00:30:02,840
Speaker 3: think red Wolves are a better team. So I'm gonna

632
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:05,320
Speaker 3: ride with Arkansas State here. I know this isn't a

633
00:30:05,400 --> 00:30:08,840
Speaker 3: sexy underdog plus one, but got to pick some underdogs.

634
00:30:09,360 --> 00:30:11,440
Speaker 3: This is going to take take a little money line

635
00:30:11,520 --> 00:30:12,040
Speaker 3: on the red.

636
00:30:11,960 --> 00:30:15,120
Speaker 2: Wolves, Butch better have my money. This is a good pick.

637
00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:17,560
Speaker 2: This is a really good pick. There's six to one

638
00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:20,240
Speaker 2: and one. That's Butch Jones in bowl games in his

639
00:30:20,320 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 2: career against the spread, he clearly cares about it. He

640
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:26,120
Speaker 2: gets his team up for it, and you hit all

641
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,680
Speaker 2: the main points, and I you it's not just Rudolph

642
00:30:28,680 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 2: who's out you know Rukawitz as well. They don't have

643
00:30:31,920 --> 00:30:36,040
Speaker 2: anything on the perimeter, and because of what Arkansas State

644
00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,200
Speaker 2: has been able to put together offensively, I agree. I

645
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 2: think they're going to be playing from head and NIU

646
00:30:41,280 --> 00:30:44,120
Speaker 2: just doesn't have it to come back. So I like

647
00:30:44,200 --> 00:30:46,600
Speaker 2: this one a lot. I actually think by my power ratings,

648
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:48,560
Speaker 2: this is off by six points, so this is one

649
00:30:48,560 --> 00:30:51,480
Speaker 2: of the biggest differentials. I'm gonna go a little bit heavier.

650
00:30:51,520 --> 00:30:53,360
Speaker 2: I'm gonna be in the twenties on the confidence pool

651
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:57,120
Speaker 2: on Butch Jones of all people, strange fellows here in

652
00:30:57,240 --> 00:31:01,120
Speaker 2: G five land, speaking of needed to switch gears a

653
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:03,960
Speaker 2: little bit from you know, picking up the purple pomp

654
00:31:04,000 --> 00:31:07,840
Speaker 2: poms for JMU two fading them here in the Lockheed

655
00:31:07,960 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 2: Martin Armed Forces Bowl. As my daddy always told me,

656
00:31:11,320 --> 00:31:14,080
Speaker 2: don't bet against the Service Academy when there's a weapons

657
00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 2: manufacturer sponsoring a bowl game. It's you know, tale as

658
00:31:17,040 --> 00:31:19,600
Speaker 2: old as time. Here we are Air Force. I think

659
00:31:19,640 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 2: should be favored in this one. That totals at forty

660
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:24,640
Speaker 2: one and a half, and it's all because jmu's entire

661
00:31:24,680 --> 00:31:26,960
Speaker 2: coaching staff just walked out the door head coach, dc

662
00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 2: OC quarterback coach Ali for Indiana offensive line coach associate

663
00:31:32,280 --> 00:31:37,400
Speaker 2: head coach Damian roleblis Ski. Roblis Ski, he'll serve as

664
00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:39,440
Speaker 2: the acting head coach. We'll have to get used to

665
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:44,200
Speaker 2: that name, because JM you. In my opinion, they've already

666
00:31:44,200 --> 00:31:46,920
Speaker 2: played their Super Bowl. They had their opportunity for a

667
00:31:47,000 --> 00:31:50,080
Speaker 2: perfect season. They lose an overtimed app state with college

668
00:31:50,120 --> 00:31:52,200
Speaker 2: game day on their campus. They come back, they play

669
00:31:52,240 --> 00:31:54,600
Speaker 2: their hearts out in the season finale. I think they've

670
00:31:54,680 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 2: left it all on the field. They've also left a

671
00:31:56,680 --> 00:31:59,920
Speaker 2: lot of people in the portal. Four starters, three contributors

672
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:01,880
Speaker 2: who are in the portal who could be out. They

673
00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:03,560
Speaker 2: said that they want to stay in and play in

674
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,080
Speaker 2: the bowl game. But as we know, these things change

675
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:09,240
Speaker 2: hour to hour, so be sure to check Stucky's tracker

676
00:32:09,320 --> 00:32:12,280
Speaker 2: for opt outs and transfer portal information. Head of this one,

677
00:32:12,400 --> 00:32:15,520
Speaker 2: Jordan McCloud, their quarterback, said he'll play. But you know,

678
00:32:15,640 --> 00:32:18,240
Speaker 2: if a Power five school or another G five school

679
00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 2: says we want you on scholarship, we want you in

680
00:32:20,600 --> 00:32:22,960
Speaker 2: the program right away, I don't really know if they're

681
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,080
Speaker 2: just going to say yes, sure, go play your bowl game.

682
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:27,760
Speaker 2: Potentially get hurt. So that's what puts it up in

683
00:32:27,800 --> 00:32:30,800
Speaker 2: the air. Jalen Green, they're all American, you know, edge player.

684
00:32:30,880 --> 00:32:33,960
Speaker 2: He remains out, whereas Air Force has a big donut hole.

685
00:32:34,120 --> 00:32:36,600
Speaker 2: Zero people in the transfer portal, which makes sense, there's

686
00:32:36,640 --> 00:32:40,880
Speaker 2: no revolving door there. At a Service Academy, Zach larr

687
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:43,960
Speaker 2: Er should be back at quarterback, Dane Kinneman and Jared

688
00:32:44,080 --> 00:32:46,840
Speaker 2: Roznos on the perimeter will be back. And I think

689
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,160
Speaker 2: because of those editions you're starting quarterback and you're explosive

690
00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:52,440
Speaker 2: wide receivers, You're going to see them play closer to

691
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:54,480
Speaker 2: as they did earlier in the year when they started

692
00:32:54,480 --> 00:32:57,440
Speaker 2: at eight to zero. Finally, Service Academies in Bowl games

693
00:32:57,440 --> 00:33:00,240
Speaker 2: since twenty three, twenty and thirteen straight up three and

694
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,040
Speaker 2: ten against the spread, and Calhoun always does a great

695
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,120
Speaker 2: job getting you know, these boys up for these games.

696
00:33:05,160 --> 00:33:07,760
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna go ahead and ride with the Service

697
00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:11,440
Speaker 2: Academy here, going with Air Force fly fight win. One

698
00:33:11,480 --> 00:33:12,960
Speaker 2: of my favorite dogs of ball season.

699
00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:15,600
Speaker 3: I agree with this one. I like JAMU. They were

700
00:33:15,880 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 3: kind of like Jacksonville State. They were kind of a

701
00:33:17,600 --> 00:33:19,280
Speaker 3: team where I was like, I don't care who they're

702
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:22,840
Speaker 3: playing I'm taking James Madison. I'll be honest, I kind

703
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:24,760
Speaker 3: of wish they're playing any team but Air Force. I

704
00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:27,600
Speaker 3: get it. Service academies are like blind bet ons in

705
00:33:27,680 --> 00:33:30,440
Speaker 3: Bowl games. I know I hate doing it, but to

706
00:33:30,720 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 3: JAMIU was kind of a blind bet on for me

707
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,160
Speaker 3: going in, and I'm riding with them. I disagree. I

708
00:33:36,320 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 3: get it. Their whole teams in the transfer portal, but

709
00:33:39,080 --> 00:33:41,640
Speaker 3: they are all adamant that they're playing in this game.

710
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 3: They campaigned for this. They literally were writing like letters

711
00:33:44,800 --> 00:33:49,280
Speaker 3: to Congress. They did so much. Their chant their their

712
00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,200
Speaker 3: fans are chanting let us bowl. On game day, you know,

713
00:33:52,400 --> 00:33:56,880
Speaker 3: for six straight hours, them all transferring, them having no

714
00:33:57,040 --> 00:34:00,120
Speaker 3: coaching staff and coming together and saying we're playing this

715
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 3: game together. It matters to them. It means something to them.

716
00:34:03,760 --> 00:34:05,480
Speaker 3: I think they're gonna finish what they started. I think

717
00:34:05,480 --> 00:34:08,320
Speaker 3: they're gonna fight. I get it Service academies, but this

718
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:10,680
Speaker 3: Air Force team is in a tailspin. They lost their

719
00:34:10,760 --> 00:34:13,480
Speaker 3: final four games were they should be in a New

720
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:15,680
Speaker 3: Year six Bowl, and they absolutely shipped down their leg

721
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,719
Speaker 3: to end the year. Zach Larer has been hurt. Is

722
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,400
Speaker 3: he back, probably, but they're terrible without him, so he

723
00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:25,840
Speaker 3: better be. Also, John Lee Elridge is in the transfer portal,

724
00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:28,960
Speaker 3: so they actually don't have their starting running back. And

725
00:34:29,040 --> 00:34:31,200
Speaker 3: this James Madison team is just their first in the

726
00:34:31,320 --> 00:34:35,480
Speaker 3: country and rushing success. On defense, they are so good

727
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:38,680
Speaker 3: at stopping the run. I haven't played it yet, because again,

728
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:42,120
Speaker 3: college kids can change their mind anytime. I agree. If

729
00:34:42,160 --> 00:34:44,040
Speaker 3: someone comes and drops a bag, I mean not that

730
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,400
Speaker 3: I think Jordan McLeod's getting like a bag. He probably

731
00:34:46,440 --> 00:34:49,080
Speaker 3: goes see Indiana, to be honest with you, so I

732
00:34:49,160 --> 00:34:51,960
Speaker 3: haven't bet it yet. I'm gonna watch situation. This game

733
00:34:52,080 --> 00:34:55,520
Speaker 3: is at three thirty on Saturday the twenty third. If

734
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:59,840
Speaker 3: all those guys get off the bus, I'm hammering James Madison.

735
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,000
Speaker 3: I like the Dukes here. I think they finished what

736
00:35:02,080 --> 00:35:04,239
Speaker 3: they fought for for two years together. And then they

737
00:35:04,280 --> 00:35:07,879
Speaker 3: all ride off in the sunset. One of our bigger disagreements.

738
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:08,920
Speaker 3: I love the Dukes here.

739
00:35:09,400 --> 00:35:11,960
Speaker 2: All right. The next Bowl game is heavily impacted by

740
00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:12,480
Speaker 2: the portal.

741
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:16,080
Speaker 3: What do you got Ida Potatable, Georgia State, Utah State.

742
00:35:16,160 --> 00:35:18,720
Speaker 3: I'm going to read my notes for you word for word.

743
00:35:18,880 --> 00:35:22,560
Speaker 3: I put absolutely no feel I will read down the

744
00:35:22,920 --> 00:35:26,239
Speaker 3: names Marcus Carroll, their stud running back for Georgia State

745
00:35:26,320 --> 00:35:30,279
Speaker 3: is in the portal. He just announced he's going to Missouri. YEP,

746
00:35:30,760 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 3: great get for them. Their top receiver, Robert lewis in

747
00:35:33,239 --> 00:35:35,719
Speaker 3: the portal. They're starting right tackles in the porter. Their

748
00:35:35,760 --> 00:35:38,880
Speaker 3: backup running backs in the portal. They're starting cornerbacks in

749
00:35:38,920 --> 00:35:41,880
Speaker 3: the portal. On the Utah State side, really no significant

750
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:47,520
Speaker 3: news other than Levi Williams is retiring to join the military.

751
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:49,799
Speaker 2: But he's gonna be a Navy seal, or at least

752
00:35:49,840 --> 00:35:50,840
Speaker 2: he's gonna try so.

753
00:35:52,320 --> 00:35:54,520
Speaker 3: He certainly wasn't a quarterback, so I don't know who's

754
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:56,200
Speaker 3: playing quarterback. I don't like that.

755
00:35:56,320 --> 00:35:59,680
Speaker 2: So listen, he ran them into Bowl eligibility over New

756
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,319
Speaker 2: Mexican Ago. You know what, Just for that, I'm doubling down.

757
00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,600
Speaker 2: I'm on Utah State. That was a lean as now play.

758
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:08,560
Speaker 3: Levi Williams balled out for Wyoming in the Bowl game

759
00:36:08,719 --> 00:36:12,320
Speaker 3: last year. You sure did, Tyli Williams. I don't know

760
00:36:12,320 --> 00:36:14,120
Speaker 3: who US States quarterback is. Is it going to be

761
00:36:14,200 --> 00:36:16,280
Speaker 3: Cooper Lagott or McKay Hillstead.

762
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:18,319
Speaker 2: I have no fee on this game.

763
00:36:18,520 --> 00:36:21,920
Speaker 3: Georgia State was such a bipolar team all year without Carol.

764
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:24,879
Speaker 3: I yeah, I have absolutely no play.

765
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,719
Speaker 2: I mean, I'm leaning Utah State in the famous Iitahoe Bowl,

766
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,719
Speaker 2: but that's about it, just because every Georgia state just

767
00:36:31,840 --> 00:36:33,760
Speaker 2: basically laid down at the end of the year anyway,

768
00:36:33,880 --> 00:36:36,680
Speaker 2: and now all their quality players are gone. So you

769
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,600
Speaker 2: can't really advocate for taking the Panthers.

770
00:36:38,719 --> 00:36:41,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I probably I'm not betting. I'm not watching it,

771
00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:44,600
Speaker 3: but i'd probably take you to State and like confidence

772
00:36:44,640 --> 00:36:47,520
Speaker 3: tools low, but i'd have them that would be decided

773
00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:47,840
Speaker 3: to go with.

774
00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 2: All right, sixty eight Adventures Bowl. You can help me

775
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:52,480
Speaker 2: out on this one. Look up with sixty eight Ventures

776
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,800
Speaker 2: as it feels like a Baskin Robbins thirty one flavor situation.

777
00:36:55,920 --> 00:37:00,200
Speaker 2: South Alabama laying sixteen against Eastern Michigan. EMU is down

778
00:37:00,320 --> 00:37:04,120
Speaker 2: to ike or ek you den Wu the third at quarterback,

779
00:37:04,360 --> 00:37:08,080
Speaker 2: mainly a rushing threats, can't throw the ball. South Alabama

780
00:37:08,320 --> 00:37:10,920
Speaker 2: disappointing season, but up and down. I mean, they crush

781
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:14,040
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State and still Water, but they have you know,

782
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:16,239
Speaker 2: Lacy in the portal. He's not going to be there,

783
00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,080
Speaker 2: is it. Carter Bradley? Is it trot or a quarterback?

784
00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:21,040
Speaker 2: Either one. I feel like that's a huge, you know,

785
00:37:21,719 --> 00:37:25,360
Speaker 2: advantage over what Eastern Michigan's trotting out. Ladamian Webb announced

786
00:37:25,360 --> 00:37:28,520
Speaker 2: he's going pro. I doubt that he still plays, but like,

787
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,600
Speaker 2: let's not mince words here. This is all about fading

788
00:37:31,880 --> 00:37:34,920
Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan. They are the very worst Bowl team. They

789
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:37,799
Speaker 2: are outside the top one hundred and offensive and defensive efficiency,

790
00:37:38,120 --> 00:37:42,720
Speaker 2: and their six wins were absolutely future and Howard UMass

791
00:37:42,840 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 2: Ball State, Kent State, Akron in Buffalo. I just I

792
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:48,239
Speaker 2: don't see how they score very much in this game.

793
00:37:48,280 --> 00:37:50,000
Speaker 2: They finish one hundred and nineteenth and success R eight

794
00:37:50,000 --> 00:37:52,399
Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty fifth and explosives, So they can't

795
00:37:52,400 --> 00:37:54,719
Speaker 2: put together drives. They can't you know, have those quick

796
00:37:54,760 --> 00:37:57,719
Speaker 2: strike opportunities. This is going to be, if not my

797
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:00,239
Speaker 2: top one of my top two or three. Off on

798
00:38:00,280 --> 00:38:03,200
Speaker 2: his plays, even with South Alabama a little bit, you know,

799
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:05,480
Speaker 2: playing with a hand type behind their back without Lacy

800
00:38:05,560 --> 00:38:07,359
Speaker 2: on the perimeter, I still think they get it done here,

801
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:08,360
Speaker 2: So I'll take the Jacks.

802
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:12,680
Speaker 3: Sixty Adventures is an investment company in Daphnee, Alabama. Their

803
00:38:12,719 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 3: tagline is we offer real estate services that deliver results

804
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:20,359
Speaker 3: for clients, customers, and partners. Our bold vision and drive

805
00:38:20,600 --> 00:38:22,560
Speaker 3: are transforming the golf coast.

806
00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:27,600
Speaker 2: I believe Daphney, Alabama, hometown of West Virginia legend Pat White.

807
00:38:27,600 --> 00:38:29,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna look this one up real quick.

808
00:38:29,400 --> 00:38:32,160
Speaker 3: I love that way Iam with you. I'm not betting

809
00:38:32,200 --> 00:38:35,600
Speaker 3: it South Alabama. I'd have them pretty high in confidence pools,

810
00:38:35,600 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 3: though Eastern Michigan is absolute hot garbage and they don't

811
00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:42,000
Speaker 3: They don't even have their bad quarterbacks, so God knows

812
00:38:42,040 --> 00:38:45,720
Speaker 3: what the backup must be like. So yep, South Alabama

813
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,279
Speaker 3: pretty high in conference bools. But I'm not betting this game,

814
00:38:49,080 --> 00:38:53,560
Speaker 3: all right, what's next? Next game I do love from

815
00:38:53,600 --> 00:38:58,360
Speaker 3: a betting perspective is the Hawaii Bowl Coastal Carolina against

816
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:01,360
Speaker 3: San Jose State. I'm sure you're riding with me on

817
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,080
Speaker 3: this one. I love San Jose State, like even at

818
00:39:04,120 --> 00:39:07,759
Speaker 3: minus ten. They ended this game so hot six straight

819
00:39:07,840 --> 00:39:10,400
Speaker 3: games in the year, as I believe my esteemed co

820
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:14,279
Speaker 3: host called pretty. You called it after like what I'm

821
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,040
Speaker 3: game two in that six game streak, you said they're

822
00:39:17,040 --> 00:39:17,480
Speaker 3: winning out.

823
00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:20,759
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I was on it. They as I

824
00:39:20,840 --> 00:39:23,880
Speaker 2: kept banging the drum. They played such a difficult opening schedule.

825
00:39:23,960 --> 00:39:25,960
Speaker 2: They were playing in Oregon State and USC and air

826
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:28,400
Speaker 2: Force when Air Force was rolling, and then as soon

827
00:39:28,440 --> 00:39:30,560
Speaker 2: as they started playing some ten cans, they started knocking

828
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:34,960
Speaker 2: them down. In my opinion, Coastal with Ethan Vesco Vasco

829
00:39:35,040 --> 00:39:36,200
Speaker 2: as their quarterback.

830
00:39:38,360 --> 00:39:41,480
Speaker 3: Calls in the portal. By the way, him coming back

831
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 3: one more year cost him so much money. Interim, Yeah,

832
00:39:45,600 --> 00:39:48,040
Speaker 3: I mean, I mean he was probably what second third

833
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:50,040
Speaker 3: round draft pick last year if he came out, and

834
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:52,520
Speaker 3: now it's like would he even be drafted if he

835
00:39:52,800 --> 00:39:56,560
Speaker 3: entered the draft. Jared Guest is out, starting receiver Jared

836
00:39:56,600 --> 00:39:59,440
Speaker 3: Brown is out, They're starting running back CJ. Beasley's out,

837
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:04,759
Speaker 3: They're starting linebackers out. San Jose State's pretty pretty good.

838
00:40:04,800 --> 00:40:06,759
Speaker 3: They're they're gonna be out there left tackle in their

839
00:40:06,800 --> 00:40:10,880
Speaker 3: tight end. But Cordero's playing and we saw how he

840
00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:12,879
Speaker 3: got going least to the end of the year during

841
00:40:12,880 --> 00:40:15,520
Speaker 3: your hot steak, you riding him thirteen touchdowns one pick

842
00:40:15,600 --> 00:40:18,880
Speaker 3: in the last six games. Tyer Robinson is an absolute

843
00:40:18,960 --> 00:40:21,800
Speaker 3: stud running back over one hundred yards per game. And

844
00:40:22,840 --> 00:40:25,240
Speaker 3: San Jose, this Coast to Carolina team just can't stop

845
00:40:25,239 --> 00:40:27,400
Speaker 3: the run. They can't stop the pass. I expect the

846
00:40:27,480 --> 00:40:29,879
Speaker 3: San Jose State offense to be able to do whatever

847
00:40:29,880 --> 00:40:33,040
Speaker 3: they want. And then the Spartans' biggest weakness is their

848
00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 3: run defense. But this is not the Jamie Chadwell Coastal

849
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:39,400
Speaker 3: Carolina running offense. They're one hundred and fourth in the

850
00:40:39,440 --> 00:40:42,160
Speaker 3: country in success right on the ground. Now, they don't

851
00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 3: have their starting running back, so I think San Jose

852
00:40:45,160 --> 00:40:49,080
Speaker 3: State just rolls them here. So yeah, this is another one.

853
00:40:49,280 --> 00:40:52,480
Speaker 3: I have the Spartans like second in my confidence picks

854
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:55,080
Speaker 3: money line wise and I bet them minus ten.

855
00:40:55,560 --> 00:40:58,920
Speaker 2: I mean as of recording right now and stuff. You

856
00:40:58,960 --> 00:41:01,680
Speaker 2: will update on the tracker. But Coastal has the most

857
00:41:01,719 --> 00:41:03,839
Speaker 2: players in the portal in all ball season. They get

858
00:41:03,960 --> 00:41:06,960
Speaker 2: nineteen players in total. They also have the longest road

859
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:11,399
Speaker 2: trip from Conway to Honolulu, just absolute brutal stretch. San

860
00:41:11,480 --> 00:41:13,520
Speaker 2: Jose State has already done this road trip once, so

861
00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,880
Speaker 2: there's no novelty for them. They won thirty five nothing

862
00:41:16,160 --> 00:41:18,480
Speaker 2: against the Fighting Rainbows. So yeah, this is one of

863
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:22,800
Speaker 2: my favorites too. I think State homecoming baby, Yeah, I

864
00:41:22,840 --> 00:41:24,600
Speaker 2: mean he should have some you know, fans in the

865
00:41:24,680 --> 00:41:27,880
Speaker 2: stands for this one. And honestly, I think, you know,

866
00:41:28,440 --> 00:41:32,200
Speaker 2: in terms of the differential between the Sun Belt and

867
00:41:32,719 --> 00:41:34,960
Speaker 2: the Mountain West, I think the Mountain West and certainly

868
00:41:35,120 --> 00:41:38,040
Speaker 2: the non con prepared San Jose State for this run.

869
00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:40,520
Speaker 2: I love their head coach as well. He hasn't been

870
00:41:40,560 --> 00:41:43,720
Speaker 2: able to break through and consistently win in Bowl season,

871
00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 2: but I think what he's accomplished this year is so

872
00:41:46,120 --> 00:41:48,239
Speaker 2: impressive that I want to keep bright in the hot hand.

873
00:41:48,520 --> 00:41:52,440
Speaker 2: Going from the tropical climate of Honolulu to Detroit, Michigan

874
00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:54,799
Speaker 2: for the Quick Laying Bowl between Bowling Green who's there

875
00:41:54,880 --> 00:41:58,560
Speaker 2: for the second straight year, and Minnesota. Minnesota gross. They're

876
00:41:58,600 --> 00:42:02,040
Speaker 2: three and a half point favorite. How oh boy this game.

877
00:42:02,680 --> 00:42:05,200
Speaker 2: This is the first game that I immediately just thought.

878
00:42:05,200 --> 00:42:06,759
Speaker 2: I was like, I have to blindly bet under. I

879
00:42:06,760 --> 00:42:08,920
Speaker 2: don't care what the number is. Came in under forties

880
00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,040
Speaker 2: and at thirty eight and have still going under on

881
00:42:11,120 --> 00:42:14,719
Speaker 2: this one. Minnesota somehow this season they beat Iowa and

882
00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 2: they beat Nebraska. They finished thirty eighth in S and

883
00:42:17,280 --> 00:42:20,200
Speaker 2: P plus defense in nineteenth and special teams, but their

884
00:42:20,320 --> 00:42:24,239
Speaker 2: offense is horrific. The Greek rifle is now out Cole

885
00:42:24,320 --> 00:42:28,359
Speaker 2: Kramer probably in at quarterback. Minnesota went five and seven.

886
00:42:28,719 --> 00:42:30,799
Speaker 2: They also finished three to nine against the spread, which

887
00:42:30,800 --> 00:42:32,279
Speaker 2: is the worst of all Bowl teams. I think they're

888
00:42:32,320 --> 00:42:35,320
Speaker 2: tied with USC, not in the same conversation, after the

889
00:42:35,360 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 2: same reason. USC was laying some pretty big numbers early

890
00:42:38,400 --> 00:42:41,560
Speaker 2: in the year against a Bowling Green team that's awful

891
00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:45,040
Speaker 2: on special teams, not really special anywhere else. They have

892
00:42:45,120 --> 00:42:47,919
Speaker 2: losses in their secondary Jalen Husky into the portal, Trent

893
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:50,920
Speaker 2: Simms out with an injury. The Bowling Green defense, though,

894
00:42:51,000 --> 00:42:54,080
Speaker 2: held five of seven teams to nineteen or fewer points

895
00:42:54,160 --> 00:42:57,640
Speaker 2: in their wins this year. So yeah, I'm just going

896
00:42:57,719 --> 00:43:00,760
Speaker 2: under this is just an absolute rock fight. These teams

897
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 2: do not have it offensively, and I don't know, I

898
00:43:04,120 --> 00:43:06,600
Speaker 2: think Minnesota's got a little bit of momentum in terms

899
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:09,000
Speaker 2: of the portal. I saw early on they signed one

900
00:43:09,000 --> 00:43:11,719
Speaker 2: of the best FCS quarterbacks from New Hampshire, so I

901
00:43:11,760 --> 00:43:13,480
Speaker 2: think they're trying to like build off of this. And

902
00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 2: you know that mister row the boat PJ. Fleck is

903
00:43:17,640 --> 00:43:19,960
Speaker 2: a motivator. I think I'll get his guys focused at

904
00:43:20,040 --> 00:43:22,200
Speaker 2: least on defense here. But it's the same Golden Gopher

905
00:43:22,239 --> 00:43:25,080
Speaker 2: offense that's been stuck in neutral all season.

906
00:43:25,520 --> 00:43:28,879
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, iileen Minnesota, especially if they don't throw

907
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:31,439
Speaker 3: past the whole game, would be just ideal because Bowling

908
00:43:31,440 --> 00:43:33,759
Speaker 3: Green's one hundred and tenth and success right against the run.

909
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:36,160
Speaker 3: You know that's all Minnesota wants to do and all

910
00:43:36,200 --> 00:43:39,320
Speaker 3: they really are even halfway decent that but you mentioned it,

911
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:43,640
Speaker 3: mister throw the boat, mister motivator. And what better motivator

912
00:43:44,280 --> 00:43:49,040
Speaker 3: than this being just an epic revenge game because Bowling

913
00:43:49,080 --> 00:43:52,200
Speaker 3: Green went into Minnesota two years ago and beat them

914
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:55,239
Speaker 3: fourteen to ten, and I bet you PJ Flack has

915
00:43:55,280 --> 00:43:58,160
Speaker 3: made them. He's like, hey, we're not watching Christmas vacation.

916
00:43:58,440 --> 00:44:01,520
Speaker 3: We're not watching now, We're watching this fourteen to ten

917
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:05,279
Speaker 3: game tape where freaking mac McDonald lit it up for

918
00:44:05,520 --> 00:44:07,960
Speaker 3: one hundred and seventy yards. So I bet you the

919
00:44:08,440 --> 00:44:11,280
Speaker 3: reshowing that game and this will be a nice revenge

920
00:44:11,320 --> 00:44:15,440
Speaker 3: spot for Minnesota. Not betting it, but ilean the Gophers.

921
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:18,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's one of those Big Ten Classic games they

922
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:21,720
Speaker 2: put on during like June on the Big Ten network,

923
00:44:21,920 --> 00:44:24,239
Speaker 2: just to just in case you're getting a real itch

924
00:44:24,280 --> 00:44:26,080
Speaker 2: for college football. It's like, we should throw your roll

925
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:26,799
Speaker 2: a little bit. Games.

926
00:44:28,080 --> 00:44:31,880
Speaker 3: Here's a good tip for everyone. This game is December

927
00:44:32,160 --> 00:44:35,879
Speaker 3: or yeah, December twenty sixth, Tuesday at two pm. Maybe

928
00:44:35,880 --> 00:44:38,359
Speaker 3: you're in loss. Came over for Christmas, and now we're

929
00:44:38,360 --> 00:44:42,439
Speaker 3: getting into Tuesday and it's two o'clock and they're still there.

930
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,520
Speaker 3: You throw this game on and make them watch it.

931
00:44:45,680 --> 00:44:48,600
Speaker 3: I promise you they'll be gone by halftime. So use

932
00:44:48,680 --> 00:44:52,520
Speaker 3: this as your little tip. You're like, listen, Grandma, we're

933
00:44:52,600 --> 00:44:55,520
Speaker 3: throwing on Bowling Green, Minnesota, and she'll be out of

934
00:44:55,560 --> 00:44:56,600
Speaker 3: your hair by halftime.

935
00:44:57,120 --> 00:45:00,759
Speaker 2: You're welcome from one of the lowest projections in all

936
00:45:00,840 --> 00:45:03,040
Speaker 2: both seasons. So a game that I think as absolute

937
00:45:03,080 --> 00:45:05,680
Speaker 2: shootout potential, hit me with this next one.

938
00:45:06,400 --> 00:45:10,359
Speaker 3: Yes, we are going to the Serve Pro First Responders Bowl.

939
00:45:10,960 --> 00:45:14,799
Speaker 3: Texas State is minus four and a half against Rice.

940
00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 3: Two big opt outs here. We have Calvin Hill opt

941
00:45:18,200 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 3: out for Texas State and Rice. JT. Daniels, Joe Brat,

942
00:45:23,360 --> 00:45:25,440
Speaker 3: Frank Harris. He's probably a doctor too, because he's been

943
00:45:25,480 --> 00:45:27,480
Speaker 3: in college at nine different schools.

944
00:45:27,600 --> 00:45:30,440
Speaker 2: He diagnosed his own head, which is a broken glass.

945
00:45:30,760 --> 00:45:30,920
Speaker 1: Yeah.

946
00:45:31,320 --> 00:45:33,839
Speaker 3: Yeah, when they stay medically retired, they it's not because

947
00:45:33,840 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 3: the injuries. He just he went into medicine. He's practicing medicine.

948
00:45:37,920 --> 00:45:41,640
Speaker 3: I'm saying that, so JT. Daniels is out. I don't

949
00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:44,319
Speaker 3: have a strong opinion on here. So I would say

950
00:45:44,360 --> 00:45:48,439
Speaker 3: take a shot with Rice, because I think Texas State

951
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:52,480
Speaker 3: is totally unpredictable this season and they're really up and down,

952
00:45:52,560 --> 00:45:54,680
Speaker 3: so they're either going to win big or lose outright.

953
00:45:54,760 --> 00:45:57,319
Speaker 3: And I think a lot of casual fans who don't

954
00:45:57,360 --> 00:46:00,680
Speaker 3: listen to the Group of five Deep Dive regularly, they

955
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:04,160
Speaker 3: saw you know, ESPN and all the big names tweet

956
00:46:04,160 --> 00:46:07,400
Speaker 3: about JD. Daniels Menathee retiring. He's the only player on

957
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:09,880
Speaker 3: either of these teams that casual fans can name, so

958
00:46:09,920 --> 00:46:12,200
Speaker 3: they're probably like, oh, Rice doesn't have their quarterback. Let's

959
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,719
Speaker 3: bet Texas State. I think this is a good shot.

960
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,400
Speaker 3: Take a shot with Rice. Take take the upset pick here.

961
00:46:17,800 --> 00:46:21,120
Speaker 2: Ajm bat looked totally fine in the full two fifty

962
00:46:21,160 --> 00:46:24,920
Speaker 2: five and three TDS like JT. Daniels was someone who

963
00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:27,520
Speaker 2: could play at like a B plus a mis level,

964
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 2: and he also had plenty of stinkers during his career, right,

965
00:46:30,160 --> 00:46:32,320
Speaker 2: so like, let's not act as though he was the

966
00:46:32,360 --> 00:46:34,040
Speaker 2: difference maker. I agree with you. I think that's an

967
00:46:34,040 --> 00:46:35,319
Speaker 2: over correction by the market.

968
00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 3: And I think when people look at like the underdogs

969
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:39,680
Speaker 3: to take, they're like, who's like a two and a

970
00:46:39,719 --> 00:46:42,080
Speaker 3: half three point this four and a half. I feel

971
00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:45,040
Speaker 3: like it's enough of a threshold where it's a little

972
00:46:45,080 --> 00:46:46,560
Speaker 3: bit more of a risk that not a lot of

973
00:46:46,560 --> 00:46:48,040
Speaker 3: people are gonna take it. So I think this is

974
00:46:48,080 --> 00:46:51,520
Speaker 3: a perfect spot to target an underdog in your confidence pools.

975
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:53,520
Speaker 3: If you want to bet the game, I would just

976
00:46:53,560 --> 00:46:55,239
Speaker 3: bet rice money line and just hope for the best.

977
00:46:55,520 --> 00:46:57,200
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go over on that one. Sixteen and a

978
00:46:57,239 --> 00:46:59,279
Speaker 2: half I do not think is high enough for two

979
00:46:59,360 --> 00:47:02,480
Speaker 2: offenses that potentially could score in the upper thirties or

980
00:47:02,520 --> 00:47:05,239
Speaker 2: forties on their own. It would be a real shot

981
00:47:05,280 --> 00:47:06,960
Speaker 2: in the arm at Joey Hilbert could come back. He's

982
00:47:06,960 --> 00:47:09,440
Speaker 2: the best wide receiver for Texas State. So keep an

983
00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:12,120
Speaker 2: eye on that all right. From one shootout to another.

984
00:47:12,280 --> 00:47:14,799
Speaker 2: The Guaranteed Rate Bowl, Kansas laying twelve and a half

985
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:19,359
Speaker 2: against UNLV sixty four and a half, I'm thinking over there.

986
00:47:19,680 --> 00:47:22,400
Speaker 2: I mean, my only concern is pretty simple. Penn State

987
00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:27,160
Speaker 2: goes ahead and snatches the Jayhawks play caller Andy Kotelnikki,

988
00:47:27,680 --> 00:47:30,239
Speaker 2: that is a correct pronunciation on that one. He's off

989
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:33,160
Speaker 2: to Penn State. Kansas. I mean they got injuries on

990
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:36,240
Speaker 2: their line that could be down two starters. Jordan maya

991
00:47:36,440 --> 00:47:39,800
Speaker 2: Ava is at least rumored to be in the portal.

992
00:47:40,000 --> 00:47:42,759
Speaker 2: Stucky said that he thinks that's the wrong one that

993
00:47:42,920 --> 00:47:46,080
Speaker 2: somebody like misconstrued at tweet or something on social media

994
00:47:46,400 --> 00:47:48,880
Speaker 2: about another one with the exact same last name at BYU.

995
00:47:49,320 --> 00:47:52,120
Speaker 2: Bottom line is I like the over here. UNLV's defense

996
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:55,880
Speaker 2: looked awful against Boise, and they have injuries in their

997
00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:59,480
Speaker 2: secondary that are not going to get patched up before

998
00:47:59,560 --> 00:48:02,440
Speaker 2: this game. I think Kansas in general is still at

999
00:48:02,480 --> 00:48:05,000
Speaker 2: a point in their program building that they're not going

1000
00:48:05,080 --> 00:48:07,160
Speaker 2: to overlook a bowl game. They're not going to snub

1001
00:48:07,200 --> 00:48:09,440
Speaker 2: their nose at the guaranteed rate bol So I see

1002
00:48:09,480 --> 00:48:13,040
Speaker 2: this potentially turning into a shootout. My only caveat is, yes,

1003
00:48:13,120 --> 00:48:17,399
Speaker 2: it's December eleventh, you're listening, probably the week of the tenth,

1004
00:48:17,560 --> 00:48:21,240
Speaker 2: the fifteenth, whatever it is. Just check in if Brennan

1005
00:48:21,320 --> 00:48:23,680
Speaker 2: Marian has been plucked away from UNLV, because he is

1006
00:48:23,719 --> 00:48:25,960
Speaker 2: somebody who's interviewed for head coaching jobs. I think at

1007
00:48:26,040 --> 00:48:29,080
Speaker 2: UTEP he's certainly gonna have opportunities to move up to

1008
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:32,160
Speaker 2: the Power five level as well. He's the difference maker here.

1009
00:48:32,440 --> 00:48:35,360
Speaker 2: His go go offense gives UNLV a chance to score

1010
00:48:35,480 --> 00:48:37,759
Speaker 2: twenty thirty points in this game, which would certainly aid

1011
00:48:37,840 --> 00:48:40,200
Speaker 2: the over if he leaves, I'm pulling this bet off

1012
00:48:40,239 --> 00:48:40,560
Speaker 2: the board.

1013
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, definitely follow that, but I agree I

1014
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:45,920
Speaker 3: love the over. I already bet it. You mentioned it

1015
00:48:46,040 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 3: Kolton Ike's off depense date. I'm so excited us an

1016
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:51,920
Speaker 3: Ami throughout when we talked coaching cares So two weeks ago.

1017
00:48:52,680 --> 00:48:55,840
Speaker 3: Even without him, you know, most of the work, the install,

1018
00:48:55,960 --> 00:48:57,960
Speaker 3: the prap, all this coach, all the other coaches are

1019
00:48:57,960 --> 00:49:00,759
Speaker 3: still there. Salvens was ten in the country in success rate,

1020
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:03,120
Speaker 3: twenty fifth and exposed in this there they can run,

1021
00:49:03,200 --> 00:49:05,680
Speaker 3: they can pass. This offense is so creative, and that's

1022
00:49:05,680 --> 00:49:08,160
Speaker 3: something that kind of followed Liopolts. I think it's just

1023
00:49:08,239 --> 00:49:11,400
Speaker 3: as much as of him one hundred and thirteenth on

1024
00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:14,960
Speaker 3: the defense can't stop anything, especially bad against the run.

1025
00:49:15,840 --> 00:49:17,560
Speaker 3: You mentioned the brand and Marion thing. That's kind of

1026
00:49:17,600 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 3: my one, Like, I really hope he stays. But because

1027
00:49:20,800 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 3: this go go offense super explosive, also does a ton

1028
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:26,799
Speaker 3: of creative things. So just like Kansas, you said, their

1029
00:49:26,840 --> 00:49:29,080
Speaker 3: defense sucks, So I think this is gonna be a

1030
00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:33,480
Speaker 3: super fun game, and I think we see some crazy plays,

1031
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:37,520
Speaker 3: some cool tricks, some innovative stuff. I it's gonna be

1032
00:49:37,520 --> 00:49:39,360
Speaker 3: a super exciting game, and both teams are going to

1033
00:49:39,719 --> 00:49:41,640
Speaker 3: pull out all their bag of tricks. And these are

1034
00:49:41,680 --> 00:49:43,920
Speaker 3: two coaching staffs that have a lot of bag of tricks.

1035
00:49:44,040 --> 00:49:46,520
Speaker 3: So I am very excited for this game and I

1036
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:50,680
Speaker 3: love the over here. Next on Wednesday, December twenty seventh,

1037
00:49:51,520 --> 00:49:55,760
Speaker 3: we are in the Military Bowl Virginia Tech minus seven

1038
00:49:55,960 --> 00:50:00,839
Speaker 3: and a half against Tulane. Virginia Tech we have their

1039
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:05,000
Speaker 3: cornerback is out Julane. The real big news head coach

1040
00:50:05,080 --> 00:50:09,920
Speaker 3: Willie Fritz off to Houston. Great hire for Houston Socksford Kulane,

1041
00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:12,200
Speaker 3: but I thought they replaced him very very well with

1042
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:15,319
Speaker 3: John summerw I really like that hire the Green Wave.

1043
00:50:15,760 --> 00:50:18,239
Speaker 3: Chris Brazel is in the portal, which is big because

1044
00:50:18,280 --> 00:50:20,799
Speaker 3: Lawrence Keys there is also out two of their three

1045
00:50:20,880 --> 00:50:24,600
Speaker 3: best receivers. They have a couple of d linemen out

1046
00:50:25,360 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 3: oki seven and a half. I have no real feel

1047
00:50:28,400 --> 00:50:30,720
Speaker 3: this is a weird game where Fritz left for Houston

1048
00:50:31,000 --> 00:50:35,439
Speaker 3: and the opposite of James Madison. His entire staff's going

1049
00:50:35,520 --> 00:50:37,960
Speaker 3: with him too. O se d C D line coach,

1050
00:50:38,000 --> 00:50:41,640
Speaker 3: wide receiver coach, but they're staying to coach the bowl game. Yeah,

1051
00:50:41,800 --> 00:50:44,040
Speaker 3: that doesn't make sense because like how much are they

1052
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:47,000
Speaker 3: recruiting for Houston? How much are they prepping for this game?

1053
00:50:47,160 --> 00:50:51,040
Speaker 3: Like are they just practicing without coaches? So I lean

1054
00:50:51,160 --> 00:50:53,600
Speaker 3: Virginia Tech. I don't know that I trust them to

1055
00:50:53,760 --> 00:50:56,600
Speaker 3: lay seven and a hook, but this is a game

1056
00:50:56,920 --> 00:51:00,680
Speaker 3: where I'm closely monitoring Michael Pratt's status and I have

1057
00:51:00,760 --> 00:51:03,120
Speaker 3: tweet notifications on this time of year for like twenty

1058
00:51:03,160 --> 00:51:06,359
Speaker 3: five different accounts. If I see tweet that Pratt's going

1059
00:51:06,400 --> 00:51:08,759
Speaker 3: into the portal or opting out for the draft, I'll

1060
00:51:08,800 --> 00:51:13,240
Speaker 3: probably fire in the hookies because I just without Fritz.

1061
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:16,480
Speaker 3: And again, I don't know how much is coaching staff's

1062
00:51:16,520 --> 00:51:19,880
Speaker 3: paying attention. So no play for me right now, but

1063
00:51:19,960 --> 00:51:21,600
Speaker 3: I'm closely monitoring Michael Pratt.

1064
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:25,960
Speaker 2: Michael Pratt winner of the Gambling Heisman last year. Tulane

1065
00:51:26,040 --> 00:51:28,279
Speaker 2: also in atm If you just bet they're under in

1066
00:51:28,320 --> 00:51:32,320
Speaker 2: every game this season two and eleven, so two overs

1067
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:35,880
Speaker 2: eleven unders. That is wild for the Green Wave. I

1068
00:51:35,920 --> 00:51:38,320
Speaker 2: think just the expectations were that they were going to

1069
00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:40,600
Speaker 2: get it figured out. They played in so many rock fights,

1070
00:51:41,040 --> 00:51:43,120
Speaker 2: so I think I would lean under here forty six

1071
00:51:43,160 --> 00:51:45,680
Speaker 2: and a half. I like Kyen drones from Virginia SEC.

1072
00:51:45,920 --> 00:51:49,279
Speaker 2: I think he gives them obviously plenty in terms of

1073
00:51:49,360 --> 00:51:51,920
Speaker 2: the running game, and he had his moments as a passer.

1074
00:51:52,360 --> 00:51:54,759
Speaker 2: I like what Prie is doing. I think he's like

1075
00:51:54,920 --> 00:51:58,440
Speaker 2: slowly building. So I think seven and a half is

1076
00:51:58,520 --> 00:52:02,160
Speaker 2: probably too much, but I'll probably upper teams low twenties

1077
00:52:02,360 --> 00:52:04,759
Speaker 2: in terms of confidence points. For the Hokies here this

1078
00:52:04,960 --> 00:52:06,600
Speaker 2: is it's a weird thing to say, but like they

1079
00:52:06,719 --> 00:52:09,279
Speaker 2: need a win like this as a stepping stones, like

1080
00:52:09,400 --> 00:52:12,279
Speaker 2: getting back to the middle class of the ACC. So

1081
00:52:12,400 --> 00:52:14,400
Speaker 2: hopefully they can get it for for the Hokies.

1082
00:52:14,800 --> 00:52:18,319
Speaker 3: All right, we're chopping up to Boston. December twenty eighth,

1083
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:21,920
Speaker 3: my birthday. Have the birthday me and I used to

1084
00:52:21,960 --> 00:52:24,360
Speaker 3: sit down and watch the Fenway Bowl, which I was

1085
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:25,880
Speaker 3: supposed to go to a couple of years ago and

1086
00:52:25,960 --> 00:52:26,880
Speaker 3: it got canceled, Like.

1087
00:52:27,160 --> 00:52:29,960
Speaker 2: The Wasabi Fenway Bowl, I thank you very much. One

1088
00:52:29,960 --> 00:52:32,560
Speaker 2: of the most ridiculous pairings in terms of a name

1089
00:52:32,840 --> 00:52:33,680
Speaker 2: and the bowl.

1090
00:52:33,840 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 3: Actually that was gonna be the that was going to

1091
00:52:36,200 --> 00:52:40,280
Speaker 3: be the SMU like Tanner Mordecai SMU against the Brandon

1092
00:52:40,640 --> 00:52:44,000
Speaker 3: the Brendan Armstrong Virginia team the year he was really good.

1093
00:52:44,400 --> 00:52:46,600
Speaker 3: The total for that game was like seventy eight and

1094
00:52:46,640 --> 00:52:50,040
Speaker 3: a half. It was gonna be a and then it

1095
00:52:50,160 --> 00:52:53,120
Speaker 3: got like canceled that morning because a bunch of Virginia

1096
00:52:53,160 --> 00:52:56,720
Speaker 3: players got COVID and I was still pissed, ruined my birthday. Anyway,

1097
00:52:57,080 --> 00:53:00,480
Speaker 3: Unlike that game, I like the under here because as

1098
00:53:00,520 --> 00:53:05,040
Speaker 3: we saw from SMU, their defense is just absolutely elite.

1099
00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:09,320
Speaker 3: As of now, their entire team is expected to play. Obviously,

1100
00:53:09,360 --> 00:53:12,759
Speaker 3: Preston Stone is out. BC doesn't really have any key

1101
00:53:12,840 --> 00:53:14,960
Speaker 3: guys anyway. All their guys in the portal, you know

1102
00:53:15,640 --> 00:53:17,600
Speaker 3: that pretty much either been hurt all year.

1103
00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:19,840
Speaker 2: Or BC was just ravaged by injuries.

1104
00:53:19,920 --> 00:53:20,359
Speaker 3: All Yeah.

1105
00:53:20,520 --> 00:53:23,000
Speaker 2: They just like couldn't catch a break without losing starters

1106
00:53:23,080 --> 00:53:23,600
Speaker 2: week to week.

1107
00:53:23,920 --> 00:53:26,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, Pat Garrow has been out all year. They lost

1108
00:53:26,719 --> 00:53:30,080
Speaker 3: their their best receiver, Ryan O'Keeffe the UCF transfer, like

1109
00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:33,560
Speaker 3: super early on. They lost their tight end. So it's weird.

1110
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:35,800
Speaker 3: You look at the names. You got like four injuries

1111
00:53:35,920 --> 00:53:37,600
Speaker 3: and eight guys in the portal, but none of them

1112
00:53:37,640 --> 00:53:40,120
Speaker 3: have played since like week nine, So it's kind of

1113
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:43,600
Speaker 3: not a huge factor for them, and we said, you

1114
00:53:43,680 --> 00:53:46,399
Speaker 3: know how elite this defense is, and we saw them

1115
00:53:46,440 --> 00:53:48,759
Speaker 3: step out without Preston Stone in the AC title game.

1116
00:53:48,800 --> 00:53:51,000
Speaker 3: They held too On into two hundred and seventy yards.

1117
00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:53,600
Speaker 3: Fourth in the country in success right, And then you

1118
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:56,319
Speaker 3: look at Boston College. They can't throw the ball. Their

1119
00:53:56,360 --> 00:54:00,399
Speaker 3: top twenty in rushing rate. Quarterback Thomas Caslanos was good,

1120
00:54:00,480 --> 00:54:02,120
Speaker 3: but he's much more of a runner than a passer.

1121
00:54:02,880 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 3: And the Boston College has a terrible pass defense, but

1122
00:54:05,600 --> 00:54:08,440
Speaker 3: they're pretty decentenst Run, I don't expect sme to throw

1123
00:54:08,480 --> 00:54:11,319
Speaker 3: the ball all that much. So BC, as I said,

1124
00:54:11,320 --> 00:54:13,360
Speaker 3: they lost their best running back, they lost their starting

1125
00:54:13,520 --> 00:54:16,640
Speaker 3: their best receiver. So I think both teams want to

1126
00:54:16,960 --> 00:54:20,439
Speaker 3: rely on the run. Here you said it Fenway Park

1127
00:54:20,719 --> 00:54:23,919
Speaker 3: on December twenty eighth, It's probably going to be cold

1128
00:54:23,960 --> 00:54:26,880
Speaker 3: and miserable. So I like under fifty one and a

1129
00:54:26,960 --> 00:54:29,839
Speaker 3: half in the Fenway Bowl. It's a picture's park.

1130
00:54:30,880 --> 00:54:33,759
Speaker 2: I think that's that's a good line. I think that's

1131
00:54:33,760 --> 00:54:35,320
Speaker 2: the only way you can play this. I think it

1132
00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,600
Speaker 2: could be aided even further by winds and potentially snow

1133
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:39,280
Speaker 2: or sleep.

1134
00:54:41,840 --> 00:54:44,040
Speaker 3: Hard to me to kick Field goes over the Green Monster.

1135
00:54:45,400 --> 00:54:47,399
Speaker 2: It is going to be difficult. You know, if Big

1136
00:54:47,480 --> 00:54:50,160
Speaker 2: Poppy can do it, then hopefully, you know, these two

1137
00:54:50,239 --> 00:54:54,400
Speaker 2: kids can. My only concern with SMU and a confidence

1138
00:54:54,480 --> 00:54:58,040
Speaker 2: pool perspective is this is why the bowl system has

1139
00:54:58,040 --> 00:55:00,239
Speaker 2: always been a joke. They went from be in the

1140
00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:02,840
Speaker 2: conversation for the New Year six Bowl, they beat Too Lane,

1141
00:55:03,520 --> 00:55:05,520
Speaker 2: and now they get to go to the Wasabi Fenway

1142
00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:08,920
Speaker 2: Bowl against a broken down BC team. Like that to me,

1143
00:55:09,040 --> 00:55:11,840
Speaker 2: seems like a pretty big emotional letdown, Like you already

1144
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:16,320
Speaker 2: won the big Like this literally means nothing. Where you

1145
00:55:16,560 --> 00:55:19,160
Speaker 2: you're conference champions, you can, you know, put put that

1146
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:21,239
Speaker 2: ring on for the rest of your life and know

1147
00:55:21,360 --> 00:55:22,879
Speaker 2: that you earned it. And they did it the hard

1148
00:55:22,920 --> 00:55:25,239
Speaker 2: way with a backup quarterback. But like so that's why

1149
00:55:25,320 --> 00:55:29,040
Speaker 2: the emotional element of this. I'm clearly gonna take SMU.

1150
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 2: But if Stone was playing, or if there's this was

1151
00:55:32,600 --> 00:55:35,720
Speaker 2: just closer to like an upper you know, middle class

1152
00:55:35,760 --> 00:55:38,680
Speaker 2: bowl game as opposed to this thing, like I don't know,

1153
00:55:38,680 --> 00:55:40,840
Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna go ten points on SMU, and actually,

1154
00:55:41,239 --> 00:55:43,799
Speaker 2: because of the lower point total, be rooting for BC

1155
00:55:44,280 --> 00:55:46,759
Speaker 2: to win via upset and to you know, turn over

1156
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:49,640
Speaker 2: the apple cart for some people picking SMU just based

1157
00:55:49,640 --> 00:55:51,920
Speaker 2: on the point spread, saying oh, they're ten half point favorites,

1158
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:54,719
Speaker 2: they can't lose. They could absolutely lose this game if

1159
00:55:54,719 --> 00:55:57,759
Speaker 2: it gets mucked up in bad weather and Tommy c

1160
00:55:58,040 --> 00:55:59,719
Speaker 2: is just run around. You almost have a thousand years

1161
00:55:59,760 --> 00:56:02,960
Speaker 2: rush this year. Eleven TVs. But from one home game

1162
00:56:03,360 --> 00:56:06,080
Speaker 2: to another and one where I actually like the dog here,

1163
00:56:06,200 --> 00:56:09,040
Speaker 2: maybe to win outright, Maybe Memphis gets a little feisty

1164
00:56:09,360 --> 00:56:12,040
Speaker 2: point at home in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl eight and

1165
00:56:12,040 --> 00:56:14,400
Speaker 2: a half point dogs to Iowa State fifty seven and

1166
00:56:14,440 --> 00:56:16,800
Speaker 2: a half as the total. This is too many points

1167
00:56:16,880 --> 00:56:18,799
Speaker 2: in my opinion. You know Memphis, when you look at

1168
00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:20,760
Speaker 2: what they have in the portal, they got two linemen

1169
00:56:20,840 --> 00:56:24,000
Speaker 2: there TJ. Tampa could opt out for Iowa State. And

1170
00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:26,000
Speaker 2: then you start to like get into some of the

1171
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:28,920
Speaker 2: specifics year. First of all, Memphis is comfortable playing in

1172
00:56:29,000 --> 00:56:31,320
Speaker 2: high scoring games. They were the best over team in

1173
00:56:31,400 --> 00:56:33,479
Speaker 2: all of the G five. Ten of their twelve games

1174
00:56:33,520 --> 00:56:36,319
Speaker 2: went over the closing number by an average of ten

1175
00:56:36,400 --> 00:56:39,759
Speaker 2: points per game over the closing total. That's incredible. So

1176
00:56:39,800 --> 00:56:42,920
Speaker 2: they're blowing past whatever these numbers are. Then he got

1177
00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:45,560
Speaker 2: Matt Campbell at Iowa State, who For a while it

1178
00:56:45,640 --> 00:56:47,719
Speaker 2: seemed like this Iowa State job is going to be

1179
00:56:47,760 --> 00:56:50,719
Speaker 2: a stepping stone for Campbell, and now it's like, is

1180
00:56:50,760 --> 00:56:52,680
Speaker 2: he going to be there forever? Is he, like ever

1181
00:56:52,760 --> 00:56:54,920
Speaker 2: going to get this together? Three and five against the

1182
00:56:54,960 --> 00:56:57,760
Speaker 2: spread and bowl games, so he kind of like whenever

1183
00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:01,080
Speaker 2: the expectations are a little bit high, he seems to

1184
00:57:01,200 --> 00:57:04,360
Speaker 2: fall back. And Memphis played really well down the stretch.

1185
00:57:04,440 --> 00:57:07,279
Speaker 2: They went five and one. They nearly upset SMU, and

1186
00:57:07,400 --> 00:57:10,319
Speaker 2: that was with Preston Stone. I don't know. This could

1187
00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:13,600
Speaker 2: be a fun Memphis money line or spread an over

1188
00:57:13,760 --> 00:57:16,080
Speaker 2: same game parlay for me, I'm gonna have to check

1189
00:57:16,120 --> 00:57:18,280
Speaker 2: out the math on both of those angles. But I

1190
00:57:18,320 --> 00:57:20,120
Speaker 2: think if they win, they do it with lots of points.

1191
00:57:20,600 --> 00:57:23,000
Speaker 2: They have, you know, a veteran quarterback. I think this

1192
00:57:23,160 --> 00:57:24,080
Speaker 2: is the right team at home.

1193
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:27,320
Speaker 3: Yep, I wrote down no real feel, so take a

1194
00:57:27,360 --> 00:57:30,680
Speaker 3: shot on Memphis money line. I think conference pools this

1195
00:57:30,800 --> 00:57:32,680
Speaker 3: is another good one, a big one. This is probably

1196
00:57:32,720 --> 00:57:35,320
Speaker 3: your biggest underdog bet. You'll have eight and a half.

1197
00:57:36,560 --> 00:57:38,640
Speaker 3: Memphis is playing at home and they just play a

1198
00:57:38,680 --> 00:57:41,080
Speaker 3: ton of weird games. All their games, like the South

1199
00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,640
Speaker 3: Florida game was Banana Lands. They had like took a

1200
00:57:43,720 --> 00:57:46,280
Speaker 3: mind flag one hundred and thirty points. They just play

1201
00:57:46,320 --> 00:57:48,520
Speaker 3: a lot of weird games. They can't stop a nosebleed,

1202
00:57:48,600 --> 00:57:51,160
Speaker 3: but they can score on anyone. Everything they do turns

1203
00:57:51,160 --> 00:57:55,000
Speaker 3: into a shootout, And I is I always take built

1204
00:57:55,040 --> 00:57:57,080
Speaker 3: for that? Do they want to get into a shootout

1205
00:57:57,120 --> 00:58:00,240
Speaker 3: in Memphis home stadium? So I think this is the

1206
00:58:00,360 --> 00:58:04,440
Speaker 3: perfect high variance team. Throw a money line picking there

1207
00:58:04,480 --> 00:58:06,880
Speaker 3: for your conference pools. If you're gonna bet it, take

1208
00:58:06,960 --> 00:58:09,560
Speaker 3: Memphis money line and just hope Shi gets weird, which

1209
00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:10,920
Speaker 3: it tends to do with Memphis.

1210
00:58:10,680 --> 00:58:15,480
Speaker 1: Games speak gonna getting weird, like Zach Transition talking about

1211
00:58:15,640 --> 00:58:21,439
Speaker 1: the bar speak gonna get weird the barstool sports Arizona Bowl.

1212
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:24,800
Speaker 3: The bet should be how many times does Portnoy and

1213
00:58:24,880 --> 00:58:27,040
Speaker 3: Bigcat drop an F bomb on the CW. I don't

1214
00:58:27,040 --> 00:58:28,760
Speaker 3: think you're allowed to sware on the CW. I don't

1215
00:58:28,760 --> 00:58:30,600
Speaker 3: know they never dropped F bombs and go more girls,

1216
00:58:30,640 --> 00:58:33,880
Speaker 3: but we'll see if see if Portnoy is thrown around here.

1217
00:58:34,400 --> 00:58:38,680
Speaker 3: This is so easy for me Hammer Wyoming because Craig

1218
00:58:38,760 --> 00:58:42,520
Speaker 3: Bowl is retiring after this game after ten years in Laramie.

1219
00:58:42,920 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 3: That's pretty much the best motivational evan you're gonna get

1220
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:49,560
Speaker 3: on any Bowl team this season. I get it. Bigcat

1221
00:58:49,680 --> 00:58:51,840
Speaker 3: has a key to the city of Toledo, so the

1222
00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:56,480
Speaker 3: broadcast will likely be very pro Toledo. But this is

1223
00:58:56,520 --> 00:58:59,000
Speaker 3: a Toledo team coming off a loss in the MAC

1224
00:58:59,080 --> 00:59:02,600
Speaker 3: title game quarterback to Kwan Finns. In the transfer portal

1225
00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:07,520
Speaker 3: Quinnon Mitchell probably opts out for the NFL, so I

1226
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:10,000
Speaker 3: get it. It's kind of sock to watch his game

1227
00:59:10,240 --> 00:59:12,800
Speaker 3: betting against all the bar still guys on the call

1228
00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:18,240
Speaker 3: openly rooting for Toledo, But Craig Bowl retirement game does

1229
00:59:18,320 --> 00:59:20,960
Speaker 3: not get more motivational than that. This line was like

1230
00:59:21,160 --> 00:59:23,920
Speaker 3: two and a half. It like swung with that announcement,

1231
00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:26,480
Speaker 3: which is crazy to see just the coach saying he's

1232
00:59:26,520 --> 00:59:30,280
Speaker 3: announcing and the lines swung. So I expect the Cowboys

1233
00:59:30,400 --> 00:59:33,680
Speaker 3: to send Craig Bowl out a winner, carry him off

1234
00:59:33,720 --> 00:59:36,080
Speaker 3: the field. I love Wyoming here.

1235
00:59:36,560 --> 00:59:40,200
Speaker 2: I love fading teams that lose in their conference championship game.

1236
00:59:40,240 --> 00:59:42,960
Speaker 3: It's one thing in fading Toledo in general.

1237
00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:47,040
Speaker 2: I just always start my card for bowl season just

1238
00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:50,160
Speaker 2: looking at those spots. Jason Kandall as the head coach

1239
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:53,120
Speaker 2: of Toledo and bowls one in five against the spread.

1240
00:59:53,400 --> 00:59:55,960
Speaker 2: As you mentioned, Finn's out, their star left guard is out.

1241
00:59:56,280 --> 00:59:58,920
Speaker 2: I don't think Mitchell's gonna play. And Craig Bowle, who

1242
00:59:59,080 --> 01:00:02,920
Speaker 2: I said during our preseason extravaganza back in August, probably

1243
01:00:02,960 --> 01:00:06,840
Speaker 2: smells like onion rings and sawdust. This guy is such

1244
01:00:07,680 --> 01:00:12,600
Speaker 2: a perfect Midwestern blue collar, hard hat kind of dude.

1245
01:00:12,960 --> 01:00:15,320
Speaker 2: And he's never lost against the spread and bowls. He's

1246
01:00:15,360 --> 01:00:17,200
Speaker 2: four to zero to one as the head coach of

1247
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:20,000
Speaker 2: the Pokes, and he was a god in the postseason

1248
01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:22,680
Speaker 2: for North Dakota State. They are not losing for this

1249
01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:25,880
Speaker 2: guy against Toledo, who went from probably playing in the

1250
01:00:25,880 --> 01:00:27,520
Speaker 2: New Year six Bowl. They're going to put a one

1251
01:00:27,600 --> 01:00:31,040
Speaker 2: loss Toledo because they lost by what or two to Illinois.

1252
01:00:31,520 --> 01:00:33,360
Speaker 2: If they had been Ohio, they would have put him

1253
01:00:33,360 --> 01:00:34,920
Speaker 2: in over Liberty. They could have been playing in the

1254
01:00:34,960 --> 01:00:37,520
Speaker 2: Fiesta Bowl. And now they're playing out in the desert

1255
01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:42,000
Speaker 2: against Wyoming, emotional letdown city. I am with you. We're

1256
01:00:42,040 --> 01:00:45,000
Speaker 2: riding with bowl the Pokes. Wyoming's to play here.

1257
01:00:45,560 --> 01:00:48,720
Speaker 3: That's a good high confidence pick and confidence in pools too.

1258
01:00:49,240 --> 01:00:51,200
Speaker 3: To a a half point. Favorites probably won't be high

1259
01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:54,160
Speaker 3: on many people's list. Throw them way up there.

1260
01:00:54,680 --> 01:00:56,760
Speaker 2: All right, we're closing things out, as I mentioned at

1261
01:00:56,800 --> 01:01:00,320
Speaker 2: the top, starting with the Ohio Georgia Southern Game, all

1262
01:01:00,320 --> 01:01:03,440
Speaker 2: the way down to Liberty against Oregon and the Festavowl.

1263
01:01:03,480 --> 01:01:06,800
Speaker 2: Oregon at the time of recording, the biggest favorite in

1264
01:01:06,880 --> 01:01:09,560
Speaker 2: bowl season, not that that's ever gone wrong for any

1265
01:01:09,640 --> 01:01:12,800
Speaker 2: team Land sixteen. The total is high, but I don't

1266
01:01:12,800 --> 01:01:14,760
Speaker 2: think high enough at sixty five and a half. So

1267
01:01:14,840 --> 01:01:17,440
Speaker 2: here we go some backups in the portal for the Flames.

1268
01:01:17,800 --> 01:01:20,200
Speaker 2: Two defensive contributors that didn't play in the conference. You

1269
01:01:20,200 --> 01:01:22,520
Speaker 2: will say title game, they make it. Then back, but

1270
01:01:22,600 --> 01:01:26,000
Speaker 2: then there's Oregon and this is the black box. Here,

1271
01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:29,360
Speaker 2: there's just a clown car of potential opt outs like

1272
01:01:29,600 --> 01:01:31,560
Speaker 2: Stuck went through and laid this out. What I love

1273
01:01:31,800 --> 01:01:34,480
Speaker 2: is he also attaches the snap counts for the season,

1274
01:01:35,200 --> 01:01:38,720
Speaker 2: like you're looking at five thousand snaps potentially lost in

1275
01:01:38,800 --> 01:01:42,560
Speaker 2: opt outs. Bucky Irving, Troy Franklin, Tes Johnson, Jackson, Powers

1276
01:01:42,640 --> 01:01:46,040
Speaker 2: Johnson at center, you know their right tackle. Three defensive

1277
01:01:46,080 --> 01:01:49,400
Speaker 2: players who've played looks like an average of six hundred snaps.

1278
01:01:49,480 --> 01:01:52,880
Speaker 2: This year. This is I just mentioned it. Fading teams

1279
01:01:52,920 --> 01:01:56,480
Speaker 2: coming off of a conference championship lost extra painful for

1280
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:58,520
Speaker 2: the Ducks because they would have had a chance to

1281
01:01:58,520 --> 01:02:00,760
Speaker 2: play their way, and had they beaten More Washington and

1282
01:02:00,880 --> 01:02:03,600
Speaker 2: been the Pac twelve champs. They lost as a ten

1283
01:02:03,680 --> 01:02:05,560
Speaker 2: point favorite. I think they closed in the packs old

1284
01:02:05,600 --> 01:02:08,760
Speaker 2: title game. I have concerns that they are not going

1285
01:02:08,840 --> 01:02:10,840
Speaker 2: to be fully bought in, and the only thing that

1286
01:02:10,960 --> 01:02:14,280
Speaker 2: mitigates those fears is that Bonick said he's playing. He's

1287
01:02:14,320 --> 01:02:17,080
Speaker 2: their captain. They're going to turn to him, and Liberty

1288
01:02:17,120 --> 01:02:20,080
Speaker 2: can't stop a nosebleed. I mean, Diego Pavia was going

1289
01:02:20,160 --> 01:02:21,760
Speaker 2: up and down the field. They bring in a backup

1290
01:02:21,880 --> 01:02:24,680
Speaker 2: that neither you and I had ever heard of, and

1291
01:02:24,800 --> 01:02:28,480
Speaker 2: this guy immediately is just shredding their defense. So Oregon,

1292
01:02:28,560 --> 01:02:30,280
Speaker 2: if they were focused, I'm not even joking, this is

1293
01:02:30,320 --> 01:02:32,640
Speaker 2: like a Portland State situation. They could score eighty four

1294
01:02:32,640 --> 01:02:35,600
Speaker 2: points in this game. But if they're not focused, you

1295
01:02:35,680 --> 01:02:39,040
Speaker 2: got Jamie Chadwell, who I have a ton of admiration for.

1296
01:02:39,600 --> 01:02:42,480
Speaker 2: He basically stiff armed away all the job offers and

1297
01:02:42,600 --> 01:02:47,120
Speaker 2: interview offers during this coaching carousel. He's bought in their

1298
01:02:47,160 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 2: offense couldn't have been more explosive. They were top five

1299
01:02:49,800 --> 01:02:52,920
Speaker 2: in explosive plays this year. Kaiden Salters looked phenomenal. Another

1300
01:02:52,960 --> 01:02:55,360
Speaker 2: player to keep an eye on, just in case there's

1301
01:02:55,760 --> 01:02:58,160
Speaker 2: an opt out. I don't I think, yeah, he's eligible.

1302
01:02:58,160 --> 01:02:59,280
Speaker 2: If he wanted to go to the NFL, I think

1303
01:02:59,280 --> 01:03:01,680
Speaker 2: that'd be ridiculous. But he could go into the portal.

1304
01:03:01,960 --> 01:03:04,320
Speaker 2: Somebody could offer him a bag. This is the nil

1305
01:03:04,480 --> 01:03:07,640
Speaker 2: Wild West days. Anything could happen. But if they get

1306
01:03:07,760 --> 01:03:11,560
Speaker 2: this team in the current state to the stadium, I

1307
01:03:11,720 --> 01:03:13,480
Speaker 2: guarantee you when you flip this game on and they

1308
01:03:13,520 --> 01:03:16,040
Speaker 2: go this is the Taco Bell student section, there's gonna

1309
01:03:16,040 --> 01:03:18,760
Speaker 2: be a million frickin' Liberty fans doing that like weird

1310
01:03:19,000 --> 01:03:23,080
Speaker 2: lu crap, Like there's fifty thousand undergrads at Liberty. It's

1311
01:03:23,120 --> 01:03:25,640
Speaker 2: one of the biggest schools in the entire country, and

1312
01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:28,560
Speaker 2: they have a cult like vibe. They got a Texas

1313
01:03:28,600 --> 01:03:30,720
Speaker 2: A and M vibe at the G five level. These

1314
01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:34,200
Speaker 2: psychos are gonna be there and they're gonna absolutely take

1315
01:03:34,240 --> 01:03:37,120
Speaker 2: over the stadium. It's their super Bowl. They're the Boise

1316
01:03:37,240 --> 01:03:39,960
Speaker 2: State from two thousand and six where Oregon just like

1317
01:03:40,040 --> 01:03:42,720
Speaker 2: that Oklahoma team, you know, would prefer to be playing

1318
01:03:42,720 --> 01:03:44,840
Speaker 2: in the National se game or at least in the playoff.

1319
01:03:45,240 --> 01:03:48,960
Speaker 2: Same thing. It's like this letdown sixteen. I think it's

1320
01:03:48,960 --> 01:03:51,400
Speaker 2: gonna go one of two ways. Either Liberty is going

1321
01:03:51,480 --> 01:03:54,080
Speaker 2: to be in a four quarter you know, shootout and

1322
01:03:54,120 --> 01:03:56,520
Speaker 2: potentially win this outright, or Oregon's just going to score

1323
01:03:56,560 --> 01:03:59,440
Speaker 2: a million points. Because Liberty can't stop anything, particularly the

1324
01:03:59,520 --> 01:04:02,200
Speaker 2: running game, They're gonna have major issues if Bucky Irving

1325
01:04:02,240 --> 01:04:03,200
Speaker 2: straps up in this one.

1326
01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:07,360
Speaker 3: Yeah, I love Oregon, and I think again, it's obviously

1327
01:04:07,400 --> 01:04:09,480
Speaker 3: the big caveat of who plays, and this could go

1328
01:04:09,680 --> 01:04:13,920
Speaker 3: really wrong and really sideways. But for Starry's confidence pools,

1329
01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:17,400
Speaker 3: this is my number one most confident pick of I

1330
01:04:17,440 --> 01:04:19,600
Speaker 3: mean teasy to say it's the biggest spread, but I

1331
01:04:19,920 --> 01:04:23,439
Speaker 3: see no situation with Oregon loses this game. As you said,

1332
01:04:23,480 --> 01:04:26,360
Speaker 3: bo Nick Staty's play, and I expect that'll help others

1333
01:04:26,440 --> 01:04:30,520
Speaker 3: follow him. Troy Franklin Teed Johnson Bucky Irving, I just

1334
01:04:30,560 --> 01:04:32,760
Speaker 3: don't think. I just I think Sam you should have

1335
01:04:32,760 --> 01:04:34,120
Speaker 3: been in this game. I think they give him a

1336
01:04:34,160 --> 01:04:37,400
Speaker 3: better game. Liberty played the worst strength of schedule in

1337
01:04:37,440 --> 01:04:40,320
Speaker 3: the entire country. They did not play a single like

1338
01:04:40,440 --> 01:04:42,160
Speaker 3: New York State was the best team they played all year.

1339
01:04:42,720 --> 01:04:45,520
Speaker 3: So sure, the offense is good, but the defense is

1340
01:04:45,640 --> 01:04:47,600
Speaker 3: just so. So they give up a ton of big plays,

1341
01:04:47,800 --> 01:04:49,920
Speaker 3: and I expect Oregon to get a ton of big plays.

1342
01:04:50,640 --> 01:04:53,720
Speaker 3: Oregon's defense is top twenty five. I think Liberty is

1343
01:04:53,920 --> 01:04:58,880
Speaker 3: just totally outclassed. You mentioned Chadwell. I am so high

1344
01:04:58,920 --> 01:05:02,120
Speaker 3: on Dan Lanning. I I think he is a phenomenal coach.

1345
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:04,760
Speaker 3: I think he's gonna win national titles at Oregon, or

1346
01:05:04,760 --> 01:05:07,160
Speaker 3: at least, you know, maybe titles is getting ahead of myself.

1347
01:05:07,280 --> 01:05:09,120
Speaker 3: I think he'll win a national title Orgon. I think

1348
01:05:09,120 --> 01:05:11,680
Speaker 3: he's that good of a coach. Every every you know

1349
01:05:12,200 --> 01:05:13,960
Speaker 3: get they only put like a light every clip. I

1350
01:05:14,000 --> 01:05:15,840
Speaker 3: see him like I would run through a brick wall

1351
01:05:15,960 --> 01:05:18,760
Speaker 3: this guy. So I'm a huge fand in Landing. I

1352
01:05:18,840 --> 01:05:20,880
Speaker 3: think he'll get them ready to play. I think he'll

1353
01:05:21,600 --> 01:05:24,080
Speaker 3: hit the right messages to get them fired up, especially

1354
01:05:24,120 --> 01:05:26,640
Speaker 3: if Bo plays, and if Bo gets his guys to play,

1355
01:05:27,240 --> 01:05:30,720
Speaker 3: Oregon just have they have such a massive advantage at

1356
01:05:30,760 --> 01:05:33,440
Speaker 3: the lines of scrimmage. I think they're just gonna bully Liberty.

1357
01:05:34,040 --> 01:05:36,240
Speaker 3: And in terms of the yeah, obviously the sixteen and

1358
01:05:36,320 --> 01:05:38,160
Speaker 3: a half is not going to be great if bo

1359
01:05:38,320 --> 01:05:40,880
Speaker 3: Nicks and all these guys don't play. But in terms

1360
01:05:40,880 --> 01:05:43,960
Speaker 3: of confidence pool, I have a number one because even

1361
01:05:44,000 --> 01:05:46,360
Speaker 3: if they all opt out, I think Oregon's backups are

1362
01:05:46,600 --> 01:05:49,560
Speaker 3: likely all better than Liberty starters, so they should be

1363
01:05:49,560 --> 01:05:51,720
Speaker 3: able to win this game even if they all opt out.

1364
01:05:52,040 --> 01:05:55,000
Speaker 3: So give me the ducks here, I think they I

1365
01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:58,320
Speaker 3: think if yeah, this is your handicap. Motivation for college

1366
01:05:58,360 --> 01:06:00,400
Speaker 3: studentshich is never easy. But I'm i' kind of just

1367
01:06:00,520 --> 01:06:02,560
Speaker 3: going to gamble that they're motivated and if they want

1368
01:06:02,600 --> 01:06:04,120
Speaker 3: to win this game by fifty they will.

1369
01:06:04,440 --> 01:06:06,320
Speaker 2: Can we at least get to some middle ground here

1370
01:06:06,360 --> 01:06:10,080
Speaker 2: to end this Bowl? Preview over is the right bet?

1371
01:06:10,200 --> 01:06:10,320
Speaker 3: Right?

1372
01:06:10,400 --> 01:06:12,360
Speaker 2: Sixty five and a half does not seem like enough

1373
01:06:12,640 --> 01:06:15,640
Speaker 2: with two offenses that can obviously score over thirty points.

1374
01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:18,160
Speaker 3: That's kind of my point, right, we either both win

1375
01:06:18,280 --> 01:06:21,400
Speaker 3: or we both lose, because I think if if Oregon covers,

1376
01:06:21,400 --> 01:06:24,480
Speaker 3: it's because they score fifty. So to your point, yeah,

1377
01:06:24,520 --> 01:06:27,080
Speaker 3: I do agree with you. They they either both there

1378
01:06:27,120 --> 01:06:30,200
Speaker 3: or they both lose, mostly because all these guys opt out,

1379
01:06:30,240 --> 01:06:32,360
Speaker 3: and it's or they all if they play and try

1380
01:06:32,520 --> 01:06:34,880
Speaker 3: Oregon puts them a fifty burger and they win this

1381
01:06:35,040 --> 01:06:36,479
Speaker 3: game sixty two to seven.

1382
01:06:36,560 --> 01:06:38,960
Speaker 2: All right, programming notes, This has been the Group of

1383
01:06:39,040 --> 01:06:43,000
Speaker 2: five Bowl Preview. On Wednesday, December thirteenth, we'll have our

1384
01:06:43,040 --> 01:06:46,680
Speaker 2: bullseason best bets. That's a combination of our best bets,

1385
01:06:46,880 --> 01:06:49,640
Speaker 2: both favorites and underdogs for your confidence pool, as well

1386
01:06:49,720 --> 01:06:52,479
Speaker 2: as Stucky and Collins. Then they're going to break down

1387
01:06:52,680 --> 01:06:56,040
Speaker 2: the Bulls into these different windows that get you a

1388
01:06:56,120 --> 01:06:58,360
Speaker 2: little bit closer to kickoff time, to get you more

1389
01:06:58,400 --> 01:07:03,600
Speaker 2: accurate information in terms of weather, coaching changes, injury availability,

1390
01:07:03,640 --> 01:07:07,040
Speaker 2: all of it. So the first Bowl preview is Part one,

1391
01:07:07,240 --> 01:07:09,960
Speaker 2: comes out on Thursday the fourteenth, The second comes out

1392
01:07:10,080 --> 01:07:13,919
Speaker 2: on December twentieth, it's a Wednesday. Then Tuesday, the twenty sixth,

1393
01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:17,680
Speaker 2: day after Christmas is Part three, and Part four on

1394
01:07:18,120 --> 01:07:22,560
Speaker 2: December twenty eighth is their final betting preview, and then

1395
01:07:22,600 --> 01:07:26,120
Speaker 2: they will be back for a National Championship extravaganza on

1396
01:07:26,320 --> 01:07:30,240
Speaker 2: January fifth. That's a Friday, so plenty of BBOC coming

1397
01:07:30,320 --> 01:07:33,120
Speaker 2: your way. We're also going to start folding in some

1398
01:07:33,280 --> 01:07:36,000
Speaker 2: college basketball action. I'm excited to get back on the

1399
01:07:36,040 --> 01:07:39,640
Speaker 2: pod with Stucky and we have some new personnel to

1400
01:07:39,720 --> 01:07:42,959
Speaker 2: be able to trot out as well. So exciting things

1401
01:07:43,040 --> 01:07:47,000
Speaker 2: on the collegiate front coming from BBOC. Any closing thoughts

1402
01:07:47,160 --> 01:07:49,280
Speaker 2: here for ballseason, Idelo, go.

1403
01:07:49,400 --> 01:07:52,840
Speaker 3: Diego, go Baby. We're riding with our boy. He's back.

1404
01:07:53,840 --> 01:07:55,480
Speaker 3: Enjoy it while we got it, folks.

1405
01:07:58,560 --> 01:08:01,520
Speaker 2: Land of enchantment. Locomotive doesn't have to go very far,

1406
01:08:02,000 --> 01:08:05,520
Speaker 2: just from campus right there in Las Crusis to Albuquerque,

1407
01:08:06,360 --> 01:08:09,640
Speaker 2: So keeping it local, keeping its in the land of

1408
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:12,080
Speaker 2: hatch Chili's. As we learned when we watched together for

1409
01:08:12,120 --> 01:08:14,720
Speaker 2: the Conference USA title game, trying to have everything new

1410
01:08:14,760 --> 01:08:17,120
Speaker 2: Mexico theme didn't work out for us there, but I

1411
01:08:17,200 --> 01:08:19,560
Speaker 2: think it will here in Bull season. I love the

1412
01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:21,720
Speaker 2: Aggies in their game. All right. For Mike I and

1413
01:08:21,760 --> 01:08:23,800
Speaker 2: Ella on Mike Calabery's this has been the Group of

1414
01:08:23,840 --> 01:08:28,679
Speaker 2: five Deep dive Our Bowl Extravaganza. Keep your eyes peeled

1415
01:08:29,000 --> 01:08:31,439
Speaker 2: for more content coming from us because we have our

1416
01:08:31,479 --> 01:08:33,960
Speaker 2: Bull Season best bets on Wednesday and then Stuck in

1417
01:08:34,040 --> 01:08:37,880
Speaker 2: Colin giving you the very first episode of their four

1418
01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:42,200
Speaker 2: part Bowl betting preview on Thursday, December fourteenth. All right, guys,

1419
01:08:42,320 --> 01:08:56,880
Speaker 2: have fun. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if

1420
01:08:56,960 --> 01:08:59,479
Speaker 2: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1421
01:09:00,160 --> 01:09:03,280
Speaker 3: Was available twenty four seven at one eight hundred gambler