WEBVTT - The 2024 All-Breakout Team (EP. 768) 0:00:06.080 --> 0:00:08.680 Welcome and everybody to Fantasy Crows. This is the Fantasy 0:00:08.720 --> 0:00:12.160 Baseball Podcast has with Joey Paid jopis a Pia. Today 0:00:12.600 --> 0:00:14.800 we're gonna have some fun. It's time for the All 0:00:14.880 --> 0:00:18.279 Breakout Team for twenty twenty four. The guys we're gonna 0:00:18.280 --> 0:00:21.480 win you, leagues. The guys are gonna carry you to glory. 0:00:21.720 --> 0:00:25.680 And by glory, well I mean maybe some money, maybe 0:00:25.840 --> 0:00:29.840 some I don't know, trophies, or perhaps even an incredible belt, 0:00:29.920 --> 0:00:31.920 which we're gonna be giving away here pretty soon on 0:00:31.960 --> 0:00:34.159 the channel. But before we give away things, I want 0:00:34.200 --> 0:00:36.040 to keep one thing, and it's the Welsh. I always 0:00:36.080 --> 0:00:37.839 want to keep you around because it's fun to have 0:00:37.920 --> 0:00:42.600 you around. Welsh breakouts the definition can be all over 0:00:42.640 --> 0:00:45.400 the place. What's your definition of a breakout player? 0:00:45.640 --> 0:00:45.840 Oh? 0:00:45.920 --> 0:00:48.919 Man, I completely agree with what you're saying. Like the 0:00:49.000 --> 0:00:55.320 line between breakouts and sleepers is a very very thin line, 0:00:55.560 --> 0:00:57.480 Like I'm not really sure where it completes. I mean, 0:00:57.520 --> 0:00:59.360 sleepers kind of lives in a world of a player 0:00:59.360 --> 0:01:03.280 that is being so undervalued. Breakouts are a player that 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:06.280 is ready to take that next step in value, And 0:01:06.319 --> 0:01:08.199 that's kind of how I view them, you know, even 0:01:08.200 --> 0:01:10.399 looking at my own list, I would say for the 0:01:10.400 --> 0:01:13.360 most part, every single player on here is not seen 0:01:13.440 --> 0:01:17.399 in some like elite tier, and sometimes the jumps might 0:01:17.440 --> 0:01:21.600 not even be I don't know, like insanely exponential. But 0:01:22.400 --> 0:01:24.600 to me, it is about the tier change that ends 0:01:24.680 --> 0:01:27.080 up happening. A guy that you know hits two point 0:01:27.080 --> 0:01:30.600 fifty with twenty something homers can jump into being a 0:01:30.640 --> 0:01:33.760 two seventy thirty plus homerun hitter. That changes the tier 0:01:34.040 --> 0:01:36.920 a player. I have a player that was a twenty 0:01:37.000 --> 0:01:40.480 twenty guy last year, but the average stunk. I think 0:01:40.840 --> 0:01:44.479 this player can improve their batted ball skills this year, 0:01:44.760 --> 0:01:47.680 can improve overall on the batting average and turn that 0:01:48.000 --> 0:01:50.680 twenty twenty into closer to a thirty thirty with a 0:01:50.720 --> 0:01:53.480 better batting average, and that changes the tier. So these 0:01:53.480 --> 0:01:57.960 are definitely players that are on my watch list, on 0:01:58.000 --> 0:02:00.320 my draft list I want on all my teams, But 0:02:00.360 --> 0:02:03.240 there is no O'Neill Cruise. I did not put him 0:02:03.240 --> 0:02:07.240 on this list just out of like you know, sanity 0:02:07.280 --> 0:02:09.960 for everybody, because I put him on everything. I absolutely 0:02:09.960 --> 0:02:12.200 think he is a breakout, but he is I've actually 0:02:12.240 --> 0:02:14.200 defined him more as a sleeper because his value has 0:02:14.200 --> 0:02:16.040 been so low but I did not put him on 0:02:16.080 --> 0:02:18.640 this list, so you guys can all feel okay, we 0:02:18.680 --> 0:02:21.400 will pick a different shortstop and it is the twenty 0:02:21.440 --> 0:02:22.480 twenty guy I spoke about. 0:02:22.760 --> 0:02:25.560 Well for more onneal Cruz content, just watch any other 0:02:25.680 --> 0:02:29.680 video with Welsh that we've recorded. But no, what you 0:02:29.680 --> 0:02:31.920 did stop, I think everybody appreciates that. 0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:33.679 And we're trying to get different names. We're trying to 0:02:33.680 --> 0:02:35.760 throw out some other you guys are gonna hear some names. 0:02:35.520 --> 0:02:37.400 But we're also trying to drive home certain things that 0:02:37.440 --> 0:02:40.160 we think and when we are on something like last 0:02:40.240 --> 0:02:42.640 year we were on Corbyn Carrol, we were on Azzi Albi's. 0:02:42.639 --> 0:02:44.720 A lot of things that we were on were right 0:02:44.760 --> 0:02:46.360 and we kept driving into the ground and we did 0:02:46.360 --> 0:02:47.720 it for a reason because we wanted you to be 0:02:47.800 --> 0:02:50.240 in on them as well. But for me, whilst the 0:02:50.280 --> 0:02:53.640 breakout is a player that's shown you at least the 0:02:53.720 --> 0:02:56.160 piece you know, they haven't quite you know, put it 0:02:56.160 --> 0:02:58.040 over a full season, I think these are the guys 0:02:58.080 --> 0:03:00.600 that are ready to show it to you over a 0:03:00.600 --> 0:03:02.840 full season that can really give you that productivity that 0:03:02.880 --> 0:03:05.480 you're looking for. And again, when you're trying to figure 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:07.880 out how to approach your drafts. Make sure you go 0:03:07.880 --> 0:03:10.240 over to Fantasypros dot com because the Draft kid is live. 0:03:10.320 --> 0:03:12.760 It is free. Of course if your premium get access 0:03:12.800 --> 0:03:14.960 to more. We want you to sink all your leagues 0:03:15.000 --> 0:03:18.040 here Fantasy Pros because again that's free. Also, when you 0:03:18.080 --> 0:03:19.960 sink your leagues, no matter how many you have, you 0:03:20.000 --> 0:03:22.200 have ten leagues, two leagues, it doesn't matter. You can 0:03:22.280 --> 0:03:25.320 set all your lineups right from the Fantasy Pros app. 0:03:25.360 --> 0:03:27.240 Of course, Draft Wizard is up and running. We want 0:03:27.280 --> 0:03:29.720 you to be successful. That's why we're here. We're trying 0:03:29.720 --> 0:03:31.120 to give you the content. We're trying to give you 0:03:31.120 --> 0:03:32.919 the tools so you can go out there and crush 0:03:33.000 --> 0:03:35.400 all of your drafts, crush all of your leagues, crush 0:03:35.440 --> 0:03:38.080 all of your trades. And when you do all those things, 0:03:38.160 --> 0:03:42.240 you might just win this a championship belt from Trophy Smack, 0:03:42.360 --> 0:03:46.480 the Ultimate Fantasy Baseball Championship Belt giveaway. To qualify for 0:03:46.560 --> 0:03:49.240 this glorious belt, all you have to do is subscribe 0:03:49.240 --> 0:03:52.280 to Fantasy Pros MLB YouTube channel and comment below on 0:03:52.360 --> 0:03:54.840 any video. That's it. That's all you got to do, 0:03:54.920 --> 0:03:57.640 and make sure that you not only subscribe but also 0:03:57.720 --> 0:04:00.120 ring that belt that it goes ding for notifications so 0:04:00.160 --> 0:04:02.160 you know every time a new episode is up, and 0:04:02.280 --> 0:04:04.640 also so you can claim your prize of this glorious 0:04:04.840 --> 0:04:09.080 Fantasy Baseball championship belt. Only want trophy, smack. 0:04:09.520 --> 0:04:14.040 Want to touch the shiny want to touch the shiny belt. 0:04:14.520 --> 0:04:16.920 Speaking of shiny things, how about this hat that Welsh 0:04:17.000 --> 0:04:18.880 is wearing on the YouTube channel today? What hat is 0:04:18.960 --> 0:04:21.840 this for? What hat? It's staring me down, It's looking 0:04:21.880 --> 0:04:23.600 into my soul? What team is this? 0:04:24.000 --> 0:04:25.960 Did you say what the hat? By the way, did 0:04:25.960 --> 0:04:27.960 you say what the hat is this? 0:04:27.960 --> 0:04:29.279 This is there's a little bit here in it. 0:04:29.520 --> 0:04:31.680 This is the bit is killing on the audio only 0:04:31.800 --> 0:04:32.599 version of the show. I know. 0:04:33.080 --> 0:04:36.320 Anyway, I actually teased this hat that I wasn't sure 0:04:36.320 --> 0:04:38.160 if I would wear it because it might stress people out, 0:04:38.160 --> 0:04:39.880 but I decided today We're going to do it. I'm 0:04:39.920 --> 0:04:41.880 looking into your soul? Who are your brain? 0:04:42.440 --> 0:04:44.920 The future for breakouts? I think it's the very appropriate we. 0:04:44.880 --> 0:04:47.960 Are This is the lake elsinor storm. I believe this 0:04:48.000 --> 0:04:50.400 is one of their alternative hats. Their logo is like 0:04:50.960 --> 0:04:52.960 a storm with eyes on it, and then they have 0:04:53.040 --> 0:04:55.520 this alternative one where it is just eyes that stare 0:04:55.520 --> 0:04:55.800 at you. 0:04:55.920 --> 0:04:57.840 So yeah, this is like the double vision. This is 0:04:57.880 --> 0:04:59.000 like a pseudo. 0:04:59.040 --> 0:05:02.000 Doctor Strange third eye, but it's third and fourth thigh 0:05:02.120 --> 0:05:03.160 looking for the breakout. 0:05:03.200 --> 0:05:05.800 It feels like a Looney Tunes, like a character lurking 0:05:05.839 --> 0:05:06.400 in the dark. 0:05:06.480 --> 0:05:08.200 I could do this funny is going like this. 0:05:08.320 --> 0:05:10.400 No, no, don't do that. Let's not do that, guys. 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:13.160 Let's get to the breakouts. Let's start a catcher. And 0:05:13.240 --> 0:05:15.560 my guy is somebody we talked about last year and 0:05:15.600 --> 0:05:18.800 we saw a little bit in twenty twenty three, but 0:05:18.839 --> 0:05:21.640 not enough, unfortunately, because Logan o'hapi ended up having some 0:05:21.720 --> 0:05:25.559 injuries that derailed him. But he did flash the power. 0:05:25.680 --> 0:05:28.680 In just fifty one games last year, he had fourteen homers. Yeah, 0:05:28.720 --> 0:05:30.479 the batting average did drag, but we could say that 0:05:30.520 --> 0:05:32.960 about a lot of catchers. When we're trying to draft catchers, 0:05:32.960 --> 0:05:34.640 we're looking for power most of the time. And those 0:05:34.640 --> 0:05:36.919 two catcher leagues right now, this guy is currently going 0:05:37.279 --> 0:05:40.839 as the fourteenth catcher overall ADP of one to ninety six. 0:05:41.040 --> 0:05:42.960 I think, oh Hopy's one of these guys that you 0:05:42.960 --> 0:05:45.520 can wait on catcher, even a fifteen team league snag 0:05:45.600 --> 0:05:49.440 this guy. He could probably match the same productivity or 0:05:49.440 --> 0:05:51.200 close to it that you might get out of a 0:05:51.240 --> 0:05:54.320 Francisco Alvarez was going ahead of him, maybe even a 0:05:54.320 --> 0:05:56.599 Cal Rawley if things really go well for a Hopy. 0:05:56.680 --> 0:05:59.520 But again, the fourteenth catcher overall, I think he's a 0:05:59.560 --> 0:06:01.680 steal and I think he's gonna be one of the 0:06:01.680 --> 0:06:04.360 bright spots for an Angels team that might not have 0:06:04.400 --> 0:06:06.640 a lot of light shining on it. So a Logan 0:06:06.680 --> 0:06:09.360 o'hapi is that guy for me? Welsh, who's the catcher 0:06:09.400 --> 0:06:11.599 that made your all breakout team of twenty twenty four? 0:06:11.880 --> 0:06:14.920 Well, you can have some catchers with good batting average. 0:06:14.920 --> 0:06:16.839 A question is going to be the counting stats and 0:06:16.839 --> 0:06:19.760 where are they going to go? My favorite catcher this 0:06:19.800 --> 0:06:21.400 is a homer play. I believe this is well. 0:06:21.440 --> 0:06:23.240 Now I have two diamondback homers here. 0:06:23.560 --> 0:06:27.120 Gabriel Moreno is my favorite of the catchers to not 0:06:27.160 --> 0:06:30.040 only just draft because he comes in at an overall 0:06:30.080 --> 0:06:30.720 lower cost. 0:06:31.040 --> 0:06:31.960 He's eleventh. 0:06:32.080 --> 0:06:35.200 As far as the ECR goes on catchers one sixty 0:06:35.320 --> 0:06:37.400 six to EIGHTYP, I'll say he can go even go 0:06:37.520 --> 0:06:39.760 later in the ADP gets pushed up a little bit 0:06:39.760 --> 0:06:42.440 by like two catcher NFBC leagues that throw that up, 0:06:42.480 --> 0:06:45.040 so it's even a little bit later. But Gabby Moreno 0:06:45.720 --> 0:06:49.080 in the playoffs absolutely lit it on fire, multiple home 0:06:49.160 --> 0:06:51.320 runs hitting in that three spot. He's an under twenty 0:06:51.400 --> 0:06:55.159 percent strikeout guy. Hit two eighty four this past year. 0:06:55.360 --> 0:06:57.360 He had an expected batting average it was still over 0:06:57.400 --> 0:07:00.680 two sixty. He improved his hard hit numbers. The thing 0:07:00.760 --> 0:07:02.479 he's got to do is get the ball in the air, 0:07:02.720 --> 0:07:04.520 and that's what we see from a lot of young players, 0:07:04.880 --> 0:07:07.000 and this is a pretty hit or friendly environment. 0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:07.560 He's going to be. 0:07:07.560 --> 0:07:12.440 Put in RBI opportunities throughout the year, and this team 0:07:12.480 --> 0:07:14.800 absolutely rallies around him, and the playoffs I think was 0:07:14.840 --> 0:07:17.840 like a really first early sign to realize that they 0:07:17.920 --> 0:07:20.320 are comfortable as can be with this guy being the 0:07:20.400 --> 0:07:22.600 number three hitter because he's a good contact guy. 0:07:22.680 --> 0:07:24.400 So can he improve the launch angle? 0:07:24.560 --> 0:07:25.160 Yes? Will he? 0:07:25.320 --> 0:07:27.040 That's going to be the thing in question. He was 0:07:27.080 --> 0:07:29.720 like a four or five percent launch angle guy based 0:07:29.760 --> 0:07:31.920 on hard hit and barreling. If he can get the 0:07:31.920 --> 0:07:35.600 ball near double digits, he will surpass twenty home runs 0:07:35.600 --> 0:07:37.320 this year. I think the RV I think he is 0:07:37.360 --> 0:07:40.160 going to blow pass all of his projected numbers, and 0:07:40.160 --> 0:07:42.360 that's why I'm so heavily invested. 0:07:42.400 --> 0:07:44.120 Projections in general have him. 0:07:44.000 --> 0:07:46.760 Beating last year's numbers, but there's still I think low 0:07:47.080 --> 0:07:49.200 eleven homers, sixty one RBIs. 0:07:49.520 --> 0:07:50.560 I'll put the check down. 0:07:50.600 --> 0:07:55.560 He is going to beat every single projection from ATC 0:07:56.000 --> 0:07:58.640 or the bat X this year and he is my 0:07:58.680 --> 0:08:01.680 favorite breakout catcher where I think next year we'll be 0:08:01.720 --> 0:08:03.920 looking at him as a top five or six catcher. 0:08:03.960 --> 0:08:04.360 Overall. 0:08:04.920 --> 0:08:06.560 I love him and head to head points leagues too, 0:08:06.560 --> 0:08:09.640 because the contact rate. Even though he might not hit 0:08:09.760 --> 0:08:13.200 fifteen home runs, I'll take the hits, I'll take the 0:08:13.280 --> 0:08:14.680 run score, and I'll take where he's hitting in the 0:08:14.720 --> 0:08:16.400 batting order. Let's take a quick break in the action 0:08:16.480 --> 0:08:19.280 to tell you about fan Tracks, the most customizable fantasy 0:08:19.320 --> 0:08:23.520 platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for 0:08:23.640 --> 0:08:27.440 your dynasty, keeper, redraft and best ball leagues. Create or 0:08:27.560 --> 0:08:30.440 join a Fantasy Baseball commissioner league, invite your friends, and 0:08:30.560 --> 0:08:33.720 dominate your draft this season. Fan tracks Free MLB League 0:08:33.720 --> 0:08:37.240 Manager is the most customizable, easy to use, and feature 0:08:37.320 --> 0:08:40.360 rich platform in the industry. 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Welsh, 0:09:34.760 --> 0:09:35.520 who do you have all right? 0:09:35.640 --> 0:09:37.520 Going out to first base? This is one of my 0:09:37.679 --> 0:09:42.000 absolute favorites. Tristan Cassis with the Boston Red Sox. He 0:09:42.120 --> 0:09:45.600 is the ninth first baseman on the board ninety five overall, 0:09:45.880 --> 0:09:50.400 and Tristan Kassas exemplifies like everything that you're looking out 0:09:50.880 --> 0:09:52.600 of a first basement as far as you like, big 0:09:52.600 --> 0:09:56.200 hard hit metrics, thirteen percent barrel percentage, forty six percent 0:09:56.280 --> 0:09:59.120 hard hit rate. He had expected batting average just about 0:09:59.120 --> 0:10:02.440 within ten batting average points of what he did. High 0:10:02.559 --> 0:10:04.880 launch angle, gets the ball in the air fifteen point 0:10:04.880 --> 0:10:07.800 seven degree and average over ninety one miles per hour 0:10:07.880 --> 0:10:10.559 on his overall hits. So he hits the ball really hard. 0:10:10.840 --> 0:10:13.800 He makes sures he makes sure he barrels. He also 0:10:14.600 --> 0:10:17.480 is putting up a pretty respectable batting average that I 0:10:17.559 --> 0:10:22.360 think has more upside I think for a high walk 0:10:22.960 --> 0:10:26.080 not exceptionally high strikeout guy with these type of batt 0:10:26.080 --> 0:10:29.120 of ball skills, he is going to again I'm picking 0:10:29.120 --> 0:10:31.280 on this again. He's going to surpass what projections have 0:10:31.360 --> 0:10:33.480 him at. They don't have him at thirty. I firmly 0:10:33.520 --> 0:10:35.120 believe he's going to be a thirty home run hitter 0:10:35.160 --> 0:10:37.080 this year. I think he's going to cross the eighty 0:10:37.679 --> 0:10:40.800 run and eighty RBI territory. He's one of my favorite 0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:43.680 third basemen our first baseman, and there are a few 0:10:43.720 --> 0:10:46.160 I don't really like that are a little bit ahead. 0:10:46.240 --> 0:10:48.440 If you can get him at a corner infielder two, 0:10:48.679 --> 0:10:51.040 I'm in Tristan Costa is my breakout first baseman. 0:10:51.480 --> 0:10:53.640 Well, my guy, you can definitely get at corner at 0:10:53.679 --> 0:10:57.240 first base. It's Josh Nayler of the Cleveland Guardians one 0:10:57.400 --> 0:11:00.959 twenty two consensus ADP. Again, you can find that Fantasypros 0:11:01.000 --> 0:11:03.800 dot com. The rank right now is the seventeenth first 0:11:03.800 --> 0:11:06.760 baseman going off the board. And you know Naylor last 0:11:06.840 --> 0:11:08.560 year had to deal with injuries. He only played one 0:11:08.600 --> 0:11:10.559 hundred and twenty one games, but he did seventeen homers 0:11:10.600 --> 0:11:12.959 and he drove in ninety seven runs. He's hitting behind 0:11:13.040 --> 0:11:15.559 Jose Ramirez in that order. He hit three zero eight 0:11:15.640 --> 0:11:18.320 last year. The X batting average was two ninety three. 0:11:18.360 --> 0:11:21.000 The K percentage was thirteen point seven. He is a 0:11:21.120 --> 0:11:23.320 very valuable player, and I think far more valuable than 0:11:23.360 --> 0:11:26.240 the ADP suggests. I remember last year when we had 0:11:26.240 --> 0:11:28.440 Aero conon talking about projections. It was one of his 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:30.320 favorite players, and he was one hundred percent right. He 0:11:30.559 --> 0:11:33.240 really did perform. But I think there's a breakout coming 0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:36.080 where if this guy can play one hundred and fifty 0:11:36.120 --> 0:11:40.200 games this year just adding the volume alone. Not only 0:11:40.280 --> 0:11:42.560 could he drive in one hundred runs easily, but I 0:11:42.559 --> 0:11:44.480 think you're also looking at a guy that could approach 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:47.000 twenty five homers. There might even be a thirty homer 0:11:47.080 --> 0:11:49.360 season than there two for him if everything breaks right. 0:11:49.520 --> 0:11:53.040 Steamer hasn't projected for a four to eighty slugging percentage. 0:11:53.200 --> 0:11:54.679 That's what I want to see. But the funny thing 0:11:54.720 --> 0:11:56.840 is you look at all the projections for Naylor. Everything's 0:11:56.840 --> 0:11:58.920 around one hundred and thirty something games, and I just 0:11:58.920 --> 0:12:00.640 think he's going to play more than that this year 0:12:00.720 --> 0:12:03.440 as long as you know, the injury gods are kind 0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:05.640 to us, and Josh Naylor could be a guy that 0:12:05.760 --> 0:12:09.280 absolutely breaks out. And the Cleveland Guardians need that too. 0:12:09.320 --> 0:12:11.520 They need somebody else in that order to really stand 0:12:11.559 --> 0:12:14.480 out besides Ramirez. I think it was a really tough 0:12:14.520 --> 0:12:17.240 season for them offensively as a whole, as a unit, 0:12:17.480 --> 0:12:19.480 and Naylor could be a guy that could really change 0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:22.240 that dynamic for them if he does develop and take 0:12:22.280 --> 0:12:24.520 that next step. And you could say last year was 0:12:24.520 --> 0:12:27.520 the breakout maybe, but again, I think there's another gear 0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:29.400 in this player and I think the ADP is far 0:12:29.400 --> 0:12:31.040 too low Welsh. Do you agree? Yep? 0:12:31.120 --> 0:12:32.360 I love him probably. 0:12:32.640 --> 0:12:34.600 I mean, if I didn't love Costas as much as 0:12:34.679 --> 0:12:36.840 I do, he would have probably been number two as 0:12:36.920 --> 0:12:39.040 far as far as like identifying breakout. So, by the way, 0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:40.920 I don't know if it was last year too, but 0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:42.760 Ariol we talked about Naylor this. 0:12:42.800 --> 0:12:43.360 Year as well. 0:12:43.480 --> 0:12:45.880 Yeah, said, this is one of those guys and when 0:12:45.920 --> 0:12:48.240 you can get batting average from players, I actually don't 0:12:48.240 --> 0:12:50.640 even think Costas and Naylor as a combo is the 0:12:50.679 --> 0:12:52.800 worst thing in the world, because you're gonna get a 0:12:52.840 --> 0:12:54.000 bunch of RBI from Naylor. 0:12:54.040 --> 0:12:55.720 I think Costas is going to score more runs than 0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:56.319 you expect. 0:12:56.320 --> 0:12:59.319 But yeah, I love it, especially if you're hugging batting 0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:01.720 average a little bit more or you're trying to make 0:13:01.800 --> 0:13:04.360 up for it. Naylor is a great piece to put 0:13:04.440 --> 0:13:06.880 in there. He is a home run threat. He makes 0:13:06.960 --> 0:13:10.320 really really good contact, consistent contact, and we saw the 0:13:10.400 --> 0:13:13.000 RBIs kind of fly up last year. We just got 0:13:13.000 --> 0:13:14.920 to make sure that the rest of the pieces around 0:13:15.120 --> 0:13:17.880 him are, you know, in RBI opportunities. But yeah, I 0:13:17.880 --> 0:13:19.560 think Naylor is a fantastic pick here. 0:13:19.800 --> 0:13:21.599 Well, look ninety seven last year and one hundred and 0:13:21.600 --> 0:13:23.920 twenty one games. That's pretty good. I also think, well, 0:13:24.120 --> 0:13:25.520 you know, when you're looking at a guy like Naylor, 0:13:25.559 --> 0:13:27.400 it's also a matter you know, not only his health, 0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:29.720 but also you know, is that player ready to make 0:13:29.760 --> 0:13:31.440 that next step. He's been in the league a little 0:13:31.480 --> 0:13:33.560 while now, I think you know that comfortability factor starts 0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:35.840 to set in where you see these kids start to blossom. 0:13:35.880 --> 0:13:37.640 And I'll tell you this, I'll take an a step further. 0:13:37.840 --> 0:13:40.959 If you're a salary cap league, what a great value 0:13:41.000 --> 0:13:42.960 play he is? Like, you don't want to pay for 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:45.520 a big first baseman. You know, maybe you get a 0:13:45.600 --> 0:13:48.440 twenty five, one hundred season out of Naylor with a 0:13:48.480 --> 0:13:50.719 two ninety or three hundred batting average, I'd be a 0:13:50.720 --> 0:13:53.440 pretty sweet return on investment. That probably be a lot 0:13:53.520 --> 0:13:56.240 cheaper than going after the top tier first basement. All right, 0:13:56.280 --> 0:13:58.719 for me at second base at two twenty two and 0:13:58.800 --> 0:14:04.320 adp second baseman off of the board, it's Edward Julian 0:14:04.360 --> 0:14:07.120 of the Minnesota Twins. I love this guy. Last year 0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:09.200 he was the player that popped for me in the spring. 0:14:09.760 --> 0:14:11.400 I was very excited about him last year and he 0:14:11.440 --> 0:14:13.320 got called up things didn't go well, got sent down, 0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:16.080 came back and started to show you all the things 0:14:16.080 --> 0:14:18.400 that I was very excited about. And if you go 0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:20.040 back and look at the minor league track record of 0:14:20.040 --> 0:14:22.040 this player, two hundred and sixty three games in the 0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:24.480 minor leagues, right over three seasons, he hit two to 0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:27.280 eighty five with a four to thirty seven OBP, a 0:14:27.320 --> 0:14:30.200 four eighty seven slugging, and a nine to twenty four OPS. 0:14:30.240 --> 0:14:33.920 They moved on from Horey Polanco. They've made room. Julian's 0:14:33.960 --> 0:14:36.240 the guy. Last year, one hundred nine games for the Twins, 0:14:36.240 --> 0:14:38.600 he had sixteen homers, hit two sixty three, but that 0:14:38.800 --> 0:14:42.000 OBP three point eighty one. I'm telling you this guy 0:14:42.120 --> 0:14:44.360 is going to be an on base machine. I love 0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:46.840 him in OBP leagues. I love him in points leagues, 0:14:46.880 --> 0:14:49.600 which is where I prefer to play, but also Welsh. 0:14:49.720 --> 0:14:52.760 I've compared him statistically. I think he's the next Jose Vedro, 0:14:53.160 --> 0:14:55.280 a player that egans just set it and forget it. 0:14:55.440 --> 0:14:57.080 And I think that's gonna be a very valuable thing 0:14:57.120 --> 0:14:59.360 in fantasy and for the Minnesota Twins this year. Who's 0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:02.160 your second base breakout of twenty twenty four? 0:15:02.280 --> 0:15:04.040 I probably would have picked Julian by the way, had 0:15:04.040 --> 0:15:04.320 you not. 0:15:05.080 --> 0:15:06.240 Okay, but let's go. 0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:10.040 I do love me some Nolan Gorman, and this might 0:15:10.080 --> 0:15:12.560 be a case of we have to have like the 0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:14.000 breakout may have already happened, you know how you said 0:15:14.000 --> 0:15:15.800 that when Naylor, You're like, well, the breakout may have 0:15:15.840 --> 0:15:16.720 already kind of been there. 0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:18.360 Gorman and may have kind of been there. He did 0:15:18.480 --> 0:15:19.400 hit twenty seven. 0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:21.440 I think there's a better version of Gorman, just like 0:15:21.480 --> 0:15:23.040 there could be a better version of Nailer two. 0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:26.520 That's right, But he also hit twenty seven homers and 0:15:26.600 --> 0:15:29.040 he barely has an ADP inside the top two hundred. 0:15:29.040 --> 0:15:32.280 He's the sixteenth second baseman, so not a starter in 0:15:32.360 --> 0:15:35.960 fifteen team rod O. It's one eighty two according to 0:15:35.960 --> 0:15:39.440 the consensus ADP that you can find over in Fantasy pros. 0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:41.920 And there's still another gear in here, but that gear 0:15:42.000 --> 0:15:43.840 has to be about the batting average. So he hit 0:15:43.880 --> 0:15:45.880 two thirty six this past year, which was a ten 0:15:45.960 --> 0:15:48.760 point jump from the year before, and the strike cups 0:15:48.760 --> 0:15:52.280 have been an issue consistently. His issue has been higher 0:15:52.280 --> 0:15:54.320 in the zone, and that's what they had had him 0:15:54.320 --> 0:15:57.720 go work with driveline the previous year on and that's 0:15:57.760 --> 0:16:00.560 still kind of a you know, a work in progress. 0:16:00.640 --> 0:16:04.200 He's one of the better low zone hitters in all 0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:06.840 of baseball, and the hard hit numbers spoke for itself. 0:16:06.880 --> 0:16:09.200 I mean, forty eight point five percent hard hit rate, 0:16:09.240 --> 0:16:11.760 one of the better ones in baseball, sixteen and a half. 0:16:11.560 --> 0:16:12.680 Barrel rate that's up there. 0:16:12.720 --> 0:16:15.480 One of the best launch angles over twenty degrees twenty 0:16:15.560 --> 0:16:18.760 two point two, and had an average ninety one EV. 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:20.880 So you go back to kasas these are kind of 0:16:20.880 --> 0:16:23.640 similar numbers, except the hard hit and launch angle even bigger. 0:16:23.640 --> 0:16:27.080 For Gorman, his expected batting average has been two thirty 0:16:27.160 --> 0:16:29.800 nine or two thirty eight for two straight years. The 0:16:29.880 --> 0:16:32.760 difference is his actual batting average is two thirty six. 0:16:32.880 --> 0:16:35.480 If he can improve higher in the zone just a 0:16:35.480 --> 0:16:39.120 little bit, he can start matching what our higher expected 0:16:39.160 --> 0:16:41.880 stats and he will be one of the bigger values 0:16:42.040 --> 0:16:45.680 post one point fifty thirty plus homers in the middle infield. 0:16:45.720 --> 0:16:48.480 If you can get a two forty batting average would 0:16:48.840 --> 0:16:52.360 be phenomenal. It'll just be will we get that? Every 0:16:52.400 --> 0:16:56.040 projection system says, so we're well atc two thirty nine, 0:16:56.040 --> 0:16:59.120 I should say, but essentially two forty. But you've got 0:16:59.440 --> 0:17:02.200 right in that range. Give me two forty and give 0:17:02.200 --> 0:17:05.119 me thirty plus homers and Nolan Gorman where he can 0:17:05.160 --> 0:17:06.280 be a big breakout this year. 0:17:06.520 --> 0:17:08.600 Love it all right, Let's get to the third base 0:17:08.720 --> 0:17:10.880 side there. Who is at the hot corner to break 0:17:10.920 --> 0:17:12.200 out in twenty twenty four? Welsh? 0:17:12.760 --> 0:17:17.000 All right, for my third baseman, I'm going off script 0:17:17.000 --> 0:17:20.680 a little bit. I'm picking Michael Busch, who and why 0:17:20.760 --> 0:17:24.760 say off script? ADP of four hundred ranked thirty five 0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:29.640 will not actually most likely play that position. And I'm 0:17:29.680 --> 0:17:33.160 throwing out the bigger caveat is Cody Bellinger. Cody Bellinger 0:17:33.160 --> 0:17:35.840