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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.

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Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. We're heading into week three of

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Speaker 1: the NFL season. It's already going so so fast. Everything

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Speaker 1: is upside down. Big Ben is out for the season.

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Speaker 1: Drew Brees is out for six weeks. Uh. Sam Donald

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Speaker 1: didn't play in the Monday night football game, and they're

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Speaker 1: down to Luke Falk. Uh. There's so much activity on

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Speaker 1: the betting boards and we're gonna get to it all

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Speaker 1: in a few precious seconds. I wanna remind everybody that

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Speaker 1: later on in the show, Uh, Darren Ravel and Simon

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Speaker 1: Hunter are gonna come out. We're gonna go through our

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Speaker 1: Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest picks. We're six and four

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Speaker 1: lt Uh after two weeks, folks six and four, three

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Speaker 1: and two each week. Last week Darren made us pick

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Speaker 1: the Patriots and it totally were doubt. We went against

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Speaker 1: our better instincts. Later on the show, you're also going

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Speaker 1: to get Scooch Roulette, me and my co host, who

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Speaker 1: I'm going to introduce right now, picking our favorite bets

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Speaker 1: of the week. But first let me introduce Bob Scucci

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Speaker 1: from BOYD Gaming, representing the Orleans and all the boyd

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Speaker 1: giving books throughout the land. My brother Chad, what's going on?

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Speaker 1: As you know, I'm betting every game this NFL season.

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Speaker 1: It's UH called Project to or Bust. People can follow

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Speaker 1: along in the Action Network app. They can see every

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Speaker 1: pick I'm making. Just look for two fifty six or

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Speaker 1: bust in the Your Network gap uh scooch I eleven

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Speaker 1: through the first two weeks. Fantastic. I'm up eight point

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Speaker 1: to eight units. That is amazing, right, it really is.

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Speaker 1: That's a that's a real yeah. The game that really

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Speaker 1: sort of turned the corner for me this past week

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Speaker 1: was we were headed for probably an eight and eight

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Speaker 1: week maybe in nine and seven weeks at best, and

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Speaker 1: the Bears. I was in the perfect situation because I

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Speaker 1: had the Broncos plus two and a half and um,

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Speaker 1: I had resigned myself to the Bears winning my hometown team,

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Speaker 1: the Bears winning but losing the bat and then miracles

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Speaker 1: of miracles, Battered Flacco, battered Joe Flacco, the breaded the

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Speaker 1: panco breaded steak came through for me. And then the

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Speaker 1: Bears found themselves a kicker who came through for me again.

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Speaker 1: I got the double win instead of getting the emotional

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Speaker 1: hedge getting the Bears win and losing the money. It

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Speaker 1: was a win win. It was a literal win win,

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Speaker 1: literal win win. Yeah. I mean we were fortunate we

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Speaker 1: didn't take too much money at minus two in that one.

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Speaker 1: But those are the kind of games that, uh boy,

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Speaker 1: they just think they have you on the edge of

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Speaker 1: your See wasn't exciting finish? That was, Oh my god,

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Speaker 1: it was amazing. I mean the drama just attached to

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Speaker 1: going for two points, having a penalty, then going for

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Speaker 1: the kick, then you know, to kick the extra point

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Speaker 1: to to tie the game. I mean just the back

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Speaker 1: and forth was just unbelievable in just the last few

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Speaker 1: seconds of the game. It was great. It was totally great.

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Speaker 1: And you know what it did made me really made

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Speaker 1: me really excited to bet even more games this weekend. Well,

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Speaker 1: I'll tell you a game that had me on the

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Speaker 1: edge of my seat. That was our the bookmaker's favorite game.

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Speaker 1: Because if you told me before the weekend that the

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Speaker 1: Chiefs would cover, the Patriots would cover, and the Cowboys

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Speaker 1: would cover and we were still able to have a

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Speaker 1: winning week, I said, you were crazy. But the one

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Speaker 1: game that bailed us out and saved us from complete disaster.

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Speaker 1: Was the Cardinals Ravens and we and we had the

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Speaker 1: Ravens at a thirteen point favorite and they were up

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Speaker 1: six points. And if you saw the end of that game,

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Speaker 1: as there's about two and a half minutes left in

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Speaker 1: the game and we're hoping the Ravens would just run

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Speaker 1: the clock out and La Mar Jackson's thrown thirty yards

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Speaker 1: down field. The Ravens are inside the five yard line

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Speaker 1: and with about a minute and a half left, and

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Speaker 1: if they scored a touchdown, we'd have gotten destroyed. But

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Speaker 1: fortunately they made a first down at about the four

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Speaker 1: yard line, five yard line and they were able to

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Speaker 1: run the clock out. So that game, you talked about

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Speaker 1: one game making a difference because of the Parley situation

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Speaker 1: we were in with the Chief, Patriots and Cowboys all

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Speaker 1: covering that would have been the four team or that

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Speaker 1: everybody had the joys of betting. My friend, listen, you

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Speaker 1: can get everything Scooch and I are talking about. We

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Speaker 1: do our show live on Sundays. We just debuted this

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Speaker 1: this past Sunday. We're doing it live on Radio dot

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Speaker 1: Com and the Radio dot Com app, and basically we're

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Speaker 1: going through every game and talking about where the lines

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Speaker 1: are moving, and in real time lines are actually moving,

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Speaker 1: so you can get a sense of what the wise

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Speaker 1: guys are doing and where you might find your advantage

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Speaker 1: of Scooch. It's Tuesday afternoon. We got another game coming

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Speaker 1: up in forty eight hours. Tennessee is visiting Jacksonville. These

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Speaker 1: teams like, Wow, Jacksonville, they're on the precipice of disaster.

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Speaker 1: But they are. But I don't mean, I don't think

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Speaker 1: that means you automatically bet against the Jags short home

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Speaker 1: dogs at home on a Thursday night. Um Jacks are

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Speaker 1: one of a half point underdogs here. What's been happening, Well,

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Speaker 1: all the public money is on the Titans in this one,

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Speaker 1: but at one and a half. You know, all these

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Speaker 1: teams in that in that conference seemed to be just

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Speaker 1: play every game type. They look at Houston, Jacksonville, Fantasy Indianapolis.

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Speaker 1: They're all within three points in terms of power ranking.

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Speaker 1: So you're not going to see kind of a whole

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Speaker 1: lot of UH, big line movements in a lot of

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Speaker 1: these UH conference games. Uh, And they seem to be

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Speaker 1: playing a lot of low scoring, tight, tight games. So

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Speaker 1: this figure is to be another one we have a

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Speaker 1: total of forty figures to be another uh tight defensive game. Um,

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Speaker 1: the wise guys really haven't weighed in on this one,

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Speaker 1: so it's just all public money on on Tennessee. Um,

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Speaker 1: we're fortunate to get the underdog last week and the

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Speaker 1: Thursday night game. Uh, we're gonna need another underdog in

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Speaker 1: this one. But uh, I don't I don't mind needing

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Speaker 1: the Jaguars and this one, I'm not. Uh. And we

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Speaker 1: talked a little bit about the Titans and that big

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Speaker 1: win against Cleveland in the Week one, and you really

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Speaker 1: can't take too much uh from that game. So I

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Speaker 1: think the line is right. I don't think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see a whole lot of line movement in this one.

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Speaker 1: I think the right play here the Jags on the

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Speaker 1: money line. Yeah, you're able to get anywhere from plus

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Speaker 1: one oh five, maybe plus one ten if you shop

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Speaker 1: even money at the worst. But uh yeah, the one

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Speaker 1: and a half point isn't going to be that much value. No,

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Speaker 1: I like that. I'm going to make that bet. Why

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Speaker 1: is guy play? Uh? Green Bay? This line shot up,

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Speaker 1: It opened it six and a half. They're now what

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Speaker 1: mine is? Eight? Against the Broncos. Nobody's buying flat. No,

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Speaker 1: one's buying bad and Flacco. No, they're really not. You know,

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Speaker 1: they really thought a lot of a lot of people

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Speaker 1: were high on the Broncos this year coming into the season.

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Speaker 1: Even some of the sharp guys were taking a flyer

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Speaker 1: on the Broncos to either you know, when the division,

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Speaker 1: when the conference, thinking that, you know, a veteran quarterback

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Speaker 1: was kind of the missing piece that this team needed,

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Speaker 1: that they already had the defense. But uh, they're they're

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Speaker 1: still struggling. You can see that offense is just spluttering.

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Speaker 1: You know, two games in a row where the first

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Speaker 1: two actually two and a half quarters there, the offense

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Speaker 1: was just a nimick going into the fourth quarters. If

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Speaker 1: they play with that sense of urgency, it seems like

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Speaker 1: the end of both games. You look at the end

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Speaker 1: of the Raider game, and you look at the end

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Speaker 1: of the Bears game. With the Broncos and they play

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Speaker 1: with that sense of urgency in the last half of

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Speaker 1: the fourth quarter, maybe they just need to just kind

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Speaker 1: of extend that to the other quarters. But the public

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Speaker 1: is not sold on them. We were kind of looking

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Speaker 1: at the Packers a six and a half point favorite

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Speaker 1: going into this weekend and after both the Packers beat

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Speaker 1: the Vikings and the Broncos losing. Um we uh, we

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Speaker 1: jacked this line up and still they laid it. So

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Speaker 1: we opened this game, uh seven and a half. We're

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Speaker 1: already up to eight. I could see this game going

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Speaker 1: up a little higher. Actually, we're looking at about of

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Speaker 1: the tickets right now are on the Packers, so sharp

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Speaker 1: guys haven't taken the Broncos, so they're not believers either.

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Speaker 1: So I definitely see this line moving up by game time.

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Speaker 1: Everybody can see everything I'm looking at and asking Scooch

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Speaker 1: about with line moves. Uh total bets on each game,

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Speaker 1: the betting ticket percentages, the money percentages, download the free

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Speaker 1: action network GAP. I love this next game. I love it,

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Speaker 1: and I feel like I might have lost the value already.

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Speaker 1: Indianaples coats uh two point favorites over the Atlanta Falcons.

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Speaker 1: This game open lower. Yeah, I kind of like I

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Speaker 1: favored the Falcons and this one myself. We've already gotten

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Speaker 1: some some big plays on the Falcons. The sharp guys

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Speaker 1: are on the Falcons, and actually even the public is

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Speaker 1: on the Falcons. And I've said it often when the

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Speaker 1: public and the sharp guys are on the same side,

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Speaker 1: and it usually means we made a little bit of

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Speaker 1: a mistake. And I think the the the issue here

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Speaker 1: is we didn't adjust Falcons up enough. There's still the

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Speaker 1: same rating we had going into the Sea season. We

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Speaker 1: certainly adjusted the Colts up. We've been high on the Colts,

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Speaker 1: but I think the Colts already got all of their

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Speaker 1: value in Week one and week two, uh where where

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Speaker 1: they covered both those weeks and and actually uh you

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Speaker 1: know beat the Titans, which was which it was a

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Speaker 1: huge win. So I think the value was out of

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Speaker 1: the Colts and there's still quite a bit of value

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Speaker 1: and the Falcons they can easily win this game. Talk

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Speaker 1: about a money line play, This might be a nice

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Speaker 1: money line play as well. Wow, I couldn't disagree with

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Speaker 1: more with everything you're saying. I was disappointed. I was

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Speaker 1: disappointed I hadn't gotten the Colts at minus one. Wow. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I mean we were high on the Colts all all season.

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Speaker 1: I think this one, I think we just haven't adjusted

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Speaker 1: the Falcons enough. We've we've over adjusted the Colts and

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Speaker 1: as I said, we've already we've already seen a couple

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Speaker 1: of plays on the Falcons. We opened this game three

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Speaker 1: and we're down to two. So, uh, maybe we did

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Speaker 1: open it too high, But I do favor the Falcons,

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Speaker 1: and I don't know what people are seeing, like the

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Speaker 1: Falcons escaped with their lives at home and needed a

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Speaker 1: miracle sixty four yard final two minutes screen and run

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Speaker 1: from Julio Jones, Like they're not that good on the road,

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Speaker 1: They're not that good of a team. I'm just not

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Speaker 1: going to pay the Falconscons. I did listen, I did

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Speaker 1: bet the Falcons this weekend, and that's yeah, as part

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Speaker 1: of my ten and six run. Well, I'll tell you what.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna need the Colts if you are right. Like

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Speaker 1: I said, I'm shocked at the public and the Sharp

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Speaker 1: guys are both on this on the same side. It's

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Speaker 1: possible the public is just following some of the move

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Speaker 1: but uh, you know, we we we opened like I said,

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Speaker 1: we opened three, down to two, So definitely money on

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Speaker 1: the Falcons. Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Baltimore Ravens. They're

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Speaker 1: favored by six and a half points. Kansas City is uh,

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Speaker 1: is this the week the Baltimore Avens get exposed? Yeah? Yeah,

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Speaker 1: here's another game that I think we wanted to be

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Speaker 1: on the high side to the Chiefs two weeks in

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Speaker 1: a row where one of our biggest parlay games, most

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Speaker 1: heavily bet games, and as long as they keep covering,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna have a lot of liability. Uh, you know,

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Speaker 1: no matter who they play, except for maybe the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: So going up and going into this game, you have

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Speaker 1: to throw the Ravens Dolphins game out out of the mix.

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Speaker 1: But you look at how Arizona kind of moved the

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Speaker 1: ball against the Ravens. So that was a bit of

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Speaker 1: a surprise in that Ravens defense that was highly touted

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Speaker 1: that they're looking to become the number one defense in

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Speaker 1: the NFL got a little exposed by the Cardinals in

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Speaker 1: a rookie quarterback. So what is this Chief's offense gonna

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Speaker 1: do if the Cardinals were able to move the ball? Uh,

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Speaker 1: you know, I haven't seen anybody so far be able

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Speaker 1: to stop the Chiefs going and starting from you know,

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Speaker 1: last season and going into the first two games of

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Speaker 1: this season, so we definitely wanted to be as high

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Speaker 1: as possible. We opened seven and a half. We did

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Speaker 1: take a small wise guy play on the Ravens at

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Speaker 1: plus seven and a half, but I think that's only

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Speaker 1: because there were no other seven and a halfs out there,

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Speaker 1: not because it was a legitimate play on the Ravens

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Speaker 1: at seven, Um, we're kind of even. Ticket count is

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Speaker 1: definitely high on the Chiefs, but I think seven is

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Speaker 1: probably the right number. I don't know how in this

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Speaker 1: game there's two teams, the Chiefs and the Patriots. If

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Speaker 1: you do anything other than bed on these teams, then

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Speaker 1: you're just wasting your money until they prove you otherwise.

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Speaker 1: There are exceptions to every rule. Yeah, yeah, I mean

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Speaker 1: we've said that so many times with the Patriots, and

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Speaker 1: now I think we can lump the Chiefs in that.

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Speaker 1: In that same category, you have to throw out all

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Speaker 1: those kind of models that you've used over the years

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Speaker 1: in terms of home dogs and about double digit favorites,

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Speaker 1: and when you have just juggernaut like these teams, it's just, uh,

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Speaker 1: you have to throw all those rules out the window

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Speaker 1: and make exceptions. And you know, why step in front

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Speaker 1: of a moving train if these teams just keep covering,

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Speaker 1: just ride that until it stops. Speaking of Juggernauts, Buffalo

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Speaker 1: Bills are now six point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals

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Speaker 1: at home. I hate both of these teams, I do too,

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Speaker 1: you know, Um, particularly the Bengals, you know, you can't

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Speaker 1: figure them out that Uh, they really looked. The Bengals

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Speaker 1: looked really bad in that loss. It's one thing to

253
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Speaker 1: lose a game, and I'm talking about the Bengals game

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Speaker 1: this past weekend. It's one thing to lose a game,

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Speaker 1: but it's another to just look pathetic and not be

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Speaker 1: able to move the ball, and their defense just to

257
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Speaker 1: be giving up you know, ten fifteen yard plays every play. Uh.

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Speaker 1: They were just never in that game from the beginning. Uh.

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Speaker 1: And coming off of the a game against Seattle, were

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Speaker 1: they only lost by one point and actually looked pretty

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Speaker 1: good and have a legitimate shot of winning that game. Uh.

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Speaker 1: Just uh, you know, you can't figure that stuff out.

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Speaker 1: And Uh, the Bills, on the other hand, you know,

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Speaker 1: the big comeback win in in in Week one and

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Speaker 1: then another win this this past week. Uh, certainly we've

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Speaker 1: had to upgrade their ratings. You know, this game we

267
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Speaker 1: would have been looking at about two and a half

268
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Speaker 1: prior to the season started, and we're up to six.

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Speaker 1: So huge adjustments on on both these teams. But if

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Speaker 1: you adjusted way down on the Bengals, what's your adjustment

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Speaker 1: on the Bengals down? Uh, well, it's more of a

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Speaker 1: Bill's adjustment up. The Bengals adjustment down was really just

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Speaker 1: off of uh, off of last week. Um, and just

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Speaker 1: the public perception of what what they're going to see

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Speaker 1: in this one. And we know all the money is

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Speaker 1: just going to be coming in on the Bill, So

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Speaker 1: I will say that this line is inflated. So I mean,

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Speaker 1: if we had to take the game as bad as

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Speaker 1: the those look last week, I probably said there's more

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Speaker 1: value in the five and a half with the Bengals.

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Speaker 1: The sharp guys haven't weighed in on this one yet,

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Speaker 1: but again, if you're looking at just two weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: line would have been two and a half and now

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Speaker 1: the line's five and a half. It's just more of

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Speaker 1: a reflection of where we think the public is going

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Speaker 1: to come in on all right, this next game? Is

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Speaker 1: this going to be the storyline every week for the

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Speaker 1: New England Patriots? Historic lines involving the New England Patriots.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, that's the headline that's blaring blaring from Action

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Speaker 1: network dot com. Go check it out, check out the

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Speaker 1: Action Network app. What do you got the Patriots at

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Speaker 1: right now? Twenty two and a half. I actually moved

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Speaker 1: to twenty three and a half before we started doing

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Speaker 1: the show. And yeah, so I I think this is

295
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Speaker 1: the highest line I've ever put up. I want to say,

296
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Speaker 1: it's not not you add you had you had the

297
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Speaker 1: Broncos point favorites over the Jags in like Peyton Manning's

298
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Speaker 1: first or second year there. Wow, Okay, well thanks for that.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate you. I'm glad you told me because everyone's

300
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Speaker 1: asking me if this was the highest line. Uh. And

301
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Speaker 1: I don't quite remember, but we opened this line at

302
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Speaker 1: eighteen just to give you an idea. And that was

303
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Speaker 1: before Trevor Simeon went out of Monday Nights game. So

304
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Speaker 1: the the adjustment, and when you're talking about having to

305
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Speaker 1: adjust the game because Trevor Simeons out of the game,

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Speaker 1: you know you're kind of scraping the scraping the bottom

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Speaker 1: of the barrel. But just the ticket count alone, I

308
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Speaker 1: am not exaggerating. Okay, I know it's only Tuesday and

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Speaker 1: we kind of adjusted the line. I've got two tickets

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Speaker 1: on the Jets. Oh my god, if there, if, if

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Speaker 1: you guys are listening out there, I want to give you.

312
00:17:58,040 --> 00:17:59,640
Speaker 1: I want to buy you a butt fet for bet

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Speaker 1: to Jet. Oh my god, that is incredible. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: just two who knows how Yeah, two tickets. And I

315
00:18:15,760 --> 00:18:18,959
Speaker 1: mean if they couldn't they couldn't move the ball at

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Speaker 1: all at all against the Browns, and so now they're

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Speaker 1: going up against the Patriots, and we saw Miami uh

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Speaker 1: not be able to move the ball against against the Patriots. Uh.

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Speaker 1: The only saving grace. I know the Patriots offensive line

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Speaker 1: is banged up. They were down to only one reserve

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Speaker 1: um book by the end of the game last Sunday,

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Speaker 1: So I know they're looking to pick up some some personnel.

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Speaker 1: They're looking at some offensive lineman just they can't afford

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Speaker 1: to have any other old lineman hurt. So if there

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Speaker 1: is a weak spot, that's it. But I just don't

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Speaker 1: know if the Jets can form any sort of pass rush.

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Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, what do wise

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Speaker 1: guys do here? They they're obligated to bet a more

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Speaker 1: than three touchdown dog, aren't they? Like? Does it? Does it? Professional?

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Speaker 1: Better see this number and just skip it. I think

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Speaker 1: they skip it until if they haven't taken the twenty

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Speaker 1: three and a half already, which they haven't. I mean

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Speaker 1: not even not even for a little bit, the sharp guys.

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Speaker 1: So they're wondering how high this thing can get. So

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Speaker 1: I would think they were they're probably gonna take it,

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Speaker 1: but they're gonna take it, uh, probably closer to game time.

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Speaker 1: I mean, we've got, you know, we've got a lot

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Speaker 1: of you know, four figure bets, thousand dollar bets, four

339
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Speaker 1: thousand dollar bets on the Patriots. UM. I wouldn't say

340
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Speaker 1: they're necessarily from from professional betters, but there's people that

341
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Speaker 1: aren't that are willing to put up their their money

342
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Speaker 1: believing in the Patriots. I mean, three thousand dollars not

343
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,920
Speaker 1: a bad sized bet, and we're getting a lot of them.

344
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Speaker 1: Jesus h. The Philadelphia Eagles are seven point favorites at

345
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Speaker 1: home against the Detroit Lions. Who's doing what they're skeoch

346
00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:07,800
Speaker 1: sharp guys all over the Lions in this one. Two

347
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Speaker 1: weeks in a road now. So the sharp guys were

348
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Speaker 1: on the Lions last week against the Chargers. We saw

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Speaker 1: that line go from the Chargers minus three on the road.

350
00:20:16,200 --> 00:20:19,159
Speaker 1: It closed at to pick them, so uh and it

351
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:22,320
Speaker 1: was a tight game, but the Lions got the uh,

352
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Speaker 1: got got the cash. So sharp guys are coming right

353
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Speaker 1: back on the Lions again. They got seven and a

354
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Speaker 1: halfs in this one. Um then they also got seven flat.

355
00:20:33,760 --> 00:20:37,440
Speaker 1: We're actually down to, uh, the Eagles minus seven even money,

356
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Speaker 1: So if you want to get the Lions now, you've

357
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Speaker 1: got to lay a dollar twenty with the plus seven.

358
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,159
Speaker 1: The public is still betting the Eagles, but only at

359
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,080
Speaker 1: about a two to one ratio. It's not overwhelming and

360
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,160
Speaker 1: there's no big public plays on this, so right now

361
00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:53,880
Speaker 1: it's just all sharp money all on the Lions. This

362
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Speaker 1: is the weekend of big spreads. I like the Lions

363
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Speaker 1: in that game. By the way, I think the Eagles

364
00:20:58,280 --> 00:21:01,720
Speaker 1: are getting a little bit too much credit for some

365
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:04,520
Speaker 1: some for a last minute win against the Redskins and

366
00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:09,200
Speaker 1: a last second loss to the to the Falcons. Minnesota

367
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 1: is a nine point favorite at home against Oakland. Is

368
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Speaker 1: this a line that is reflective of how bad Oakland

369
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Speaker 1: did against Kansas City or Minnesota's ability to come back

370
00:21:18,240 --> 00:21:22,479
Speaker 1: and almost pull went out against the Packers. Uh. Probably

371
00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:24,040
Speaker 1: a little bit of both. More so the more so

372
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Speaker 1: the Vikings ability to come back against the Packers. We

373
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Speaker 1: saw what they did in Week one against the Falcons.

374
00:21:30,760 --> 00:21:32,880
Speaker 1: They were still one of the most highly rated teams

375
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Speaker 1: coming into the season. Uh so, I think the Raiders

376
00:21:38,119 --> 00:21:42,400
Speaker 1: are probably overachieved up till now, even though they uh

377
00:21:42,640 --> 00:21:44,840
Speaker 1: you know, came away on the short end of those games,

378
00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:48,520
Speaker 1: but they still hung in there. We're actually at seven

379
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,399
Speaker 1: and a half, so we weren't at nine. I'm not

380
00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:53,960
Speaker 1: sure which places are using nine on this one, but

381
00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:57,719
Speaker 1: we opened seven and a half and we're probably a

382
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:01,000
Speaker 1: little heavy on the vikings we've I go to eight.

383
00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:03,119
Speaker 1: A matter of fact, I'm going to test the waters.

384
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:05,240
Speaker 1: I'm going to go to eight right now. Line change

385
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:12,199
Speaker 1: at nine, mine change there. We go. Tell me if

386
00:22:12,240 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 1: anything happens while we're on the phone, I will They

387
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:20,840
Speaker 1: don't take eight eight a dead number. I think they

388
00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,560
Speaker 1: would have to if they didn't take seven and a half.

389
00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:25,840
Speaker 1: They're they're not going to take eight. They would probably

390
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:31,320
Speaker 1: wait for the eight and a half. Uh you know

391
00:22:31,480 --> 00:22:40,640
Speaker 1: why nine is afraid of seven? Why because seven? Eight? Nine?

392
00:22:42,640 --> 00:22:45,480
Speaker 1: All right? Or is it is that why tenant ten

393
00:22:45,560 --> 00:22:48,280
Speaker 1: is afraid of seven? I can't remember. I can't remember

394
00:22:48,280 --> 00:22:50,600
Speaker 1: the joking. I don't know who's afraid of who? You know,

395
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Speaker 1: I haven't told that jokes. And my kids were young,

396
00:22:52,920 --> 00:22:58,640
Speaker 1: all right, we got another record setting line, record setting

397
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Speaker 1: line minute. So Miami is a twenty one and a

398
00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:08,000
Speaker 1: half point We're close to a three touchdown underdog on

399
00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 1: the road against the Dallas Cowboys, who I think they're

400
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:17,119
Speaker 1: a juggernaut. Yeah, you know, I'm afraid you're right they are.

401
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,840
Speaker 1: They are looking pretty good. We opened twenty one in

402
00:23:20,840 --> 00:23:24,280
Speaker 1: the game. Um, and here's another one prior to the weekend.

403
00:23:24,320 --> 00:23:27,680
Speaker 1: We're looking at Dallas as a at a sixteen point favorite.

404
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:33,320
Speaker 1: Seventeen point favorite, um, Miami. Uh. You know, in addition

405
00:23:33,359 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: to like we talked about it last week, how do

406
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:40,640
Speaker 1: you handicap emotion and how do you handicap morale? And uh,

407
00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:43,560
Speaker 1: not only the unloading players, but the players they have

408
00:23:43,840 --> 00:23:47,679
Speaker 1: or are wanting out or there's already been some movements

409
00:23:48,320 --> 00:23:52,440
Speaker 1: today as a matter of fact, and some trades. So, uh,

410
00:23:52,480 --> 00:23:55,159
Speaker 1: you know, there's no bottom on on how bad this

411
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:58,959
Speaker 1: Miami team can can get. There's no indication that they

412
00:23:59,000 --> 00:24:02,119
Speaker 1: can be competitive. So, uh, you know, how high do

413
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,080
Speaker 1: we make these numbers? I was encouraged by the fact

414
00:24:05,119 --> 00:24:06,800
Speaker 1: that when we went to twenty one and a half,

415
00:24:07,560 --> 00:24:09,760
Speaker 1: we took some we had some resistance there. So the

416
00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:12,560
Speaker 1: sharp guys are taking the twenty one and a half. UM.

417
00:24:12,680 --> 00:24:15,359
Speaker 1: At least for now, we're actually a little bit heavier

418
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:17,879
Speaker 1: and straight bets on the Dolphins than we are on

419
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:21,600
Speaker 1: the Cowboys, which is good as opposed to how the

420
00:24:21,640 --> 00:24:24,680
Speaker 1: Patriot game is just all one way right now. So

421
00:24:25,240 --> 00:24:28,080
Speaker 1: at least this game we're getting some money on both sides.

422
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,919
Speaker 1: Here's a question from a friend of the podcast, Alan Lobe.

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Speaker 1: He's been in the podcast many times, world famous screenwriter,

424
00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:40,720
Speaker 1: written many movies, written, wrote twenty one what Wall Street

425
00:24:40,760 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 1: two um regular regular bond vivant, Alan Lobe, what would

426
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,639
Speaker 1: the odds be on for this is a question for you.

427
00:24:50,720 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 1: What would the odds be on the Pats going sixteen

428
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:56,720
Speaker 1: or no? Well, Mammy goes, oh and sixteen. Well, it's funny.

429
00:24:56,760 --> 00:24:59,280
Speaker 1: I actually put that prop up yesterday, and I made

430
00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:02,760
Speaker 1: the Dolphins. I made the Dolphins minus one and a

431
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,040
Speaker 1: half games, So the prop was actually, uh, well, well

432
00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:10,800
Speaker 1: who will have more and of the two uh Patriots

433
00:25:10,800 --> 00:25:15,399
Speaker 1: wins versus Dolphins losses. And and the interesting thing is

434
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:19,080
Speaker 1: Week seventeen the Dolphins play the Patriots. So depending on

435
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,400
Speaker 1: you know, if the uh, if the Patriots go undefeated,

436
00:25:22,440 --> 00:25:25,440
Speaker 1: and you know whether they rest their players in week seventeen.

437
00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:28,160
Speaker 1: It can set up all types of drama. I think

438
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: the two biggest challenges for the Patriots or I think

439
00:25:31,520 --> 00:25:34,440
Speaker 1: they play at the Cowboys is actually one of their

440
00:25:35,240 --> 00:25:38,119
Speaker 1: one of the games, and and uh possibly at the

441
00:25:38,200 --> 00:25:40,560
Speaker 1: Chiefs if I'm not mistaken, But there was two games

442
00:25:40,600 --> 00:25:43,119
Speaker 1: we're looking that can be very tough for the Patriots.

443
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 1: And then of course if you're looking at the Dolphins,

444
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:48,320
Speaker 1: they play the Jets twice, so it's going to be intriguing.

445
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,239
Speaker 1: I like it. And we do have a prop up

446
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:52,159
Speaker 1: on the board. So what are the what are the

447
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:56,840
Speaker 1: numbers and the problems? Uh, well, the Dolphins are minus

448
00:25:56,840 --> 00:26:00,359
Speaker 1: one and a half games. Who's gonna have more Dolphins

449
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 1: Dolphins losses or Patriots wins? So so I think the

450
00:26:06,400 --> 00:26:10,879
Speaker 1: Dolphins will have uh more more losses than the Patriots wins.

451
00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:12,520
Speaker 1: But you didn't do a sixteen or no oh in

452
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:17,439
Speaker 1: sixteen problems. Didn't do that one specifically. Now, what do

453
00:26:17,480 --> 00:26:19,479
Speaker 1: you think the chances of both of those things happening are?

454
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:22,879
Speaker 1: What would you put the odds at on that? Uh?

455
00:26:22,920 --> 00:26:26,080
Speaker 1: Probably six to one, seven to one. He you know

456
00:26:26,119 --> 00:26:31,520
Speaker 1: what he said, eight to one? Wow, good friends, he's

457
00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:36,960
Speaker 1: pretty shut alright, New York Giants, uh, led by Daniel

458
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,120
Speaker 1: Jones on the road to the Tampa by Buccaneers. Give

459
00:26:40,160 --> 00:26:42,080
Speaker 1: me a little bit of your thought process on what

460
00:26:42,160 --> 00:26:44,719
Speaker 1: happened this morning when that news broke on Eli Manning

461
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:49,240
Speaker 1: being benched. Yeah. So, I mean, on one hand, you

462
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:51,360
Speaker 1: have to make some adjustment. There's going to be some

463
00:26:51,400 --> 00:26:54,320
Speaker 1: public perception that they're gonna come in on the on

464
00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:55,920
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers, and they were going to come in on

465
00:26:55,960 --> 00:26:59,240
Speaker 1: the Buccaneers regardless, even if Eli Manning will remain the starter.

466
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:04,000
Speaker 1: It's just difficult to when it when rookie comes in

467
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:06,760
Speaker 1: for for his first real game, you know, regardless of

468
00:27:06,760 --> 00:27:10,160
Speaker 1: how highly touted the rookie is. So uh, he could

469
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 1: surprise a lot of people and have the kind of

470
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:16,040
Speaker 1: performances he had in preseason. But we're still going to

471
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:19,800
Speaker 1: stick with that, you know, two to three point adjustment

472
00:27:19,880 --> 00:27:22,879
Speaker 1: based on you know, a veteran starter like Manning and

473
00:27:23,240 --> 00:27:27,040
Speaker 1: a rookie. So the line went from three and a

474
00:27:27,040 --> 00:27:29,960
Speaker 1: half up to six and a half. Six in some places.

475
00:27:30,240 --> 00:27:32,840
Speaker 1: We're still seeing a lot of public money on the Buccaneers,

476
00:27:32,920 --> 00:27:35,920
Speaker 1: but nothing yet from the Sharp guys, so they haven't

477
00:27:35,960 --> 00:27:38,960
Speaker 1: weighed in. But you took Did you take the game

478
00:27:39,000 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 1: down and then repost it? Yeah? Yeah, so so initially

479
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:45,960
Speaker 1: the line was three and a half when we posted it. Uh,

480
00:27:46,040 --> 00:27:48,200
Speaker 1: Sunday night, we put the line up, took it down,

481
00:27:48,359 --> 00:27:52,000
Speaker 1: re hung a six and a half. Did you did

482
00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:55,280
Speaker 1: anybody bet the Giant the bucks at minus three and

483
00:27:55,320 --> 00:27:57,000
Speaker 1: a half while it was up before you were able

484
00:27:57,000 --> 00:27:59,360
Speaker 1: to take it down after the news broke you? Did

485
00:27:59,359 --> 00:28:01,679
Speaker 1: you hear the news and be able to adjust before

486
00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:06,160
Speaker 1: any betters? No? Actually, Uh, it was fortunate enough that

487
00:28:06,640 --> 00:28:08,600
Speaker 1: we didn't take any wagers at minus three and a

488
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:11,639
Speaker 1: half and the lines were down when we when we

489
00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:15,000
Speaker 1: got the news, so we were able to kind of

490
00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 1: make the adjustment and rehan it without any liability. Good

491
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:20,960
Speaker 1: for you. I'm always happy for you when you guys win.

492
00:28:23,600 --> 00:28:27,399
Speaker 1: Here's a game that I'm really interested in. Carolina is

493
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:29,200
Speaker 1: a two and a half point favorite on the road

494
00:28:29,240 --> 00:28:33,080
Speaker 1: at Arizona. You're gonna get toasted on this game. Toasted.

495
00:28:33,240 --> 00:28:35,640
Speaker 1: So actually, here's here's a game that we actually do

496
00:28:35,800 --> 00:28:39,560
Speaker 1: have down off the board, uh, temporarily until we get

497
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:45,840
Speaker 1: a little bit more confirmation about Cam Newton's ankle. So initially,

498
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,960
Speaker 1: when when we hung the line, the Panthers. We made

499
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:52,680
Speaker 1: a three point favorite, and the first couple of bets

500
00:28:52,680 --> 00:28:55,440
Speaker 1: were on the Cardinals plus three. We went to plus

501
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:58,719
Speaker 1: three minus twenty, took another couple of bets, and and

502
00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:01,360
Speaker 1: that's when we took the line down, just to make

503
00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:03,960
Speaker 1: sure that the betters didn't know any more than than

504
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:08,800
Speaker 1: than we knew. So we'll probably put it up shortly,

505
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,760
Speaker 1: but uh we may we may stick with two and

506
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 1: a half and we put it back up instead of

507
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:17,480
Speaker 1: the three. I will bet the Cardinals no matter what

508
00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:21,760
Speaker 1: number you put up here. So the sharp guys agree

509
00:29:21,800 --> 00:29:25,080
Speaker 1: with you on this one, and uh, you know I

510
00:29:25,120 --> 00:29:29,400
Speaker 1: can't disagree. You look at the big comeback to get

511
00:29:29,440 --> 00:29:32,040
Speaker 1: the tie with Detroit. You look at how they hung

512
00:29:32,120 --> 00:29:35,800
Speaker 1: tough with the Ravens as a thirteen point dog. Um

513
00:29:36,360 --> 00:29:39,200
Speaker 1: talk about a rookie quarterback making some impact, I mean,

514
00:29:39,880 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 1: and they can surprise you. And this kid is uh

515
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:45,880
Speaker 1: is looking pretty good. So we know the public will

516
00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:49,960
Speaker 1: be uh on on the Cardinals, but not not overwhelming.

517
00:29:50,040 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 1: I'm looking at it at it right now. The public

518
00:29:52,520 --> 00:29:55,720
Speaker 1: is only on them at about fifty five, so it's

519
00:29:55,760 --> 00:29:59,920
Speaker 1: not not overwhelming. But people like the way they play.

520
00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,280
Speaker 1: I've seen the same numbers in the Action Network app.

521
00:30:02,280 --> 00:30:05,760
Speaker 1: It's free you go downloaded San Francisco. The juggernaut that

522
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:09,120
Speaker 1: is the forty Niners hosting Mason Rudolph and the Ben

523
00:30:09,240 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 1: Roethlisberger less Pittsburgh Steelers. Big, big open for the Niners

524
00:30:16,200 --> 00:30:19,160
Speaker 1: as more than touchdown favorites or touchdown favors, depending what

525
00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 1: you're looking at. Wow, that is a big number for

526
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 1: the Niners on the Steelers. Huge number, huge number. And uh,

527
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:30,480
Speaker 1: a couple of things obviously. I mean, the Niners looking

528
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,800
Speaker 1: really good in their first couple of games, the Steelers

529
00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 1: looking really bad then losing Roethlisberger, and um, just uh,

530
00:30:40,720 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 1: the public is just not gonna be playing the Steelers.

531
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:46,280
Speaker 1: They're just completely off the Steelers, and and and and frankly,

532
00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:48,600
Speaker 1: they would have been off the Steelers even with a

533
00:30:48,640 --> 00:30:53,480
Speaker 1: healthy Roethlisberger, you know, even having lost that game against Seattle.

534
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:57,959
Speaker 1: So the public loves the forty Niners all of a sudden,

535
00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:01,040
Speaker 1: they're they're on this game. Aim at about a three

536
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:03,400
Speaker 1: to three to one ratio, four to one ratio, but

537
00:31:03,840 --> 00:31:08,000
Speaker 1: we're looking at about a seven seven and a half

538
00:31:08,280 --> 00:31:11,920
Speaker 1: point adjustment from just two weeks ago. It's a huge adjustment.

539
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:16,280
Speaker 1: So Um, I think the sharp guys would have to

540
00:31:16,320 --> 00:31:18,800
Speaker 1: take the seven. They haven't taken it now, but I

541
00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:21,480
Speaker 1: think by game time they will. I mean, that's an

542
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:24,520
Speaker 1: awful big adjustment for just for just two weeks into

543
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:29,040
Speaker 1: the season. Well, different quarterback. You can't just say like

544
00:31:29,160 --> 00:31:32,080
Speaker 1: you're going from a two time Super Bowl winning quarterback

545
00:31:32,120 --> 00:31:34,160
Speaker 1: if you've for the most yards in the NFL last

546
00:31:34,200 --> 00:31:37,840
Speaker 1: year to a second year player who's thrown you know,

547
00:31:38,000 --> 00:31:42,880
Speaker 1: twenty passes, doesn't seem that's not dramatic. It would have

548
00:31:42,880 --> 00:31:46,240
Speaker 1: been so even with uh, it would have been a

549
00:31:46,240 --> 00:31:50,120
Speaker 1: big adjustment, even with Roethlisberger in there. I'm just we're

550
00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:54,000
Speaker 1: we've adjusted a lot on the forty Niners off two

551
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,600
Speaker 1: weeks and off of public perception. I just think the

552
00:31:56,680 --> 00:32:01,239
Speaker 1: values out of the forty Niners. All right, all right,

553
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:05,520
Speaker 1: l A Chargers host in the Houston Texans. Chargers are

554
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:07,880
Speaker 1: two and a half three point favorites, which is a

555
00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:15,320
Speaker 1: big difference in the number. M M. Yeah, you know,

556
00:32:15,480 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: just uh, not much on this game at all. I mean,

557
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,440
Speaker 1: this is one of the games that's surprising. They just

558
00:32:22,480 --> 00:32:25,960
Speaker 1: had some of the the least the least amount of

559
00:32:25,960 --> 00:32:30,239
Speaker 1: action on the board. Haven't done anything with it. Then

560
00:32:30,480 --> 00:32:35,480
Speaker 1: the number is pretty solid at three. Um, you know, Houston,

561
00:32:35,560 --> 00:32:38,240
Speaker 1: as good as they are, they haven't become a public

562
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:41,480
Speaker 1: team and and the Chargers have always kind of flown

563
00:32:41,480 --> 00:32:44,960
Speaker 1: onto the radars. Radar, so this might be one of

564
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:48,960
Speaker 1: the quarantity V games at least with the bad teams

565
00:32:49,000 --> 00:32:52,040
Speaker 1: like the Jets and the Dolphins, you have that underlying

566
00:32:52,080 --> 00:32:54,640
Speaker 1: story factor with the biggest points breads. Ever, so there's

567
00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:58,200
Speaker 1: more interest in those games. But this game is just

568
00:32:58,360 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 1: like okay, uh, just not a whole lot of interest. Yeah.

569
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:04,640
Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Action Network gap right now, and

570
00:33:04,720 --> 00:33:11,480
Speaker 1: the three least bad games are the Chargers, the Steelers,

571
00:33:12,000 --> 00:33:16,000
Speaker 1: and the Giants in the Bucks right now. Yep, it

572
00:33:16,080 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 1: makes sense. No, exactly, No, absolutely uh, New Orleans with

573
00:33:20,720 --> 00:33:24,240
Speaker 1: Teddy Bridgewater another sort of quarterback no one seems to

574
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:28,480
Speaker 1: really care about. Uh in terms of inspiring viewership visiting

575
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:31,800
Speaker 1: the Seattle Seahawks, who are a very interesting team right now.

576
00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:35,280
Speaker 1: And the Seahawks are only the adjustment for this game,

577
00:33:35,320 --> 00:33:39,200
Speaker 1: not huge. The Seahawks are only a four point favorite. Yeah,

578
00:33:39,200 --> 00:33:42,240
Speaker 1: so actually we we kind of like the Seahawks in

579
00:33:42,360 --> 00:33:44,480
Speaker 1: this one. We made him a five point favorite. We're

580
00:33:44,480 --> 00:33:47,200
Speaker 1: trying to draw a little money on the Saints, but

581
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:51,600
Speaker 1: so far happened, so uh, wondering how how high we

582
00:33:51,640 --> 00:33:53,520
Speaker 1: have to move this to get a little Saints money

583
00:33:53,560 --> 00:33:57,959
Speaker 1: on this one. Um. Fortunately the Seahawks in their winds

584
00:33:58,040 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 1: didn't look dominating. Uh. And that's kind of like what

585
00:34:01,680 --> 00:34:03,880
Speaker 1: the public is looking at a lot of times, the

586
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,920
Speaker 1: public remembers having a bet on the team, and even

587
00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,279
Speaker 1: if the team wins, if they didn't cover, in the

588
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 1: perceptions that they lost the game. So, uh, we don't

589
00:34:14,120 --> 00:34:17,560
Speaker 1: have as much money on the Seahawks, um as we

590
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 1: probably would have had the Seahawks covered in Week one.

591
00:34:20,680 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 1: It's a big, big favorite. UM. But here just again,

592
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:29,160
Speaker 1: the public they don't like unknown quarterbacks. They like they

593
00:34:29,200 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 1: like to know that. Uh, you know we have Drew Brees,

594
00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:34,839
Speaker 1: or we have Tom Brady, or you know we we

595
00:34:34,880 --> 00:34:39,719
Speaker 1: have Mahomes. Uh. They don't like all these unknowns, so

596
00:34:40,800 --> 00:34:42,800
Speaker 1: they're they're they're not gonna be bet in the Saints.

597
00:34:42,840 --> 00:34:44,960
Speaker 1: I mean, we might get a little action done at

598
00:34:44,960 --> 00:34:47,640
Speaker 1: our Mississippi properties that are close to New Orleans, but

599
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:51,160
Speaker 1: right now we haven't got much Saints money. Look at

600
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:53,520
Speaker 1: you talking about all your properties all over the country.

601
00:34:53,560 --> 00:34:58,600
Speaker 1: Book Maker to the world Rams, the Rams on the

602
00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:00,840
Speaker 1: road at the brown and all of a sudden, a

603
00:35:00,880 --> 00:35:05,360
Speaker 1: more interesting game. You only make the Rams what to

604
00:35:05,400 --> 00:35:08,759
Speaker 1: two and a half point favorites? We we made them three.

605
00:35:08,880 --> 00:35:12,279
Speaker 1: We knew we'd get some Rams money. Um. And I'm

606
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:16,880
Speaker 1: surprised that the sharp guys haven't played the Browns yet. Um.

607
00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:19,560
Speaker 1: This is this is a great game, what a great matchup.

608
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:23,040
Speaker 1: And rightly so, it's the Sunday night game. We tried

609
00:35:23,080 --> 00:35:26,080
Speaker 1: a little we try to be a little bit high

610
00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:29,200
Speaker 1: on the Sunday night game, especially when there's so many

611
00:35:29,239 --> 00:35:32,279
Speaker 1: big favorites. Uh. And it's a lot of these big

612
00:35:32,320 --> 00:35:35,600
Speaker 1: favorites cover than a reliability on this Sunday night game.

613
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:39,640
Speaker 1: It's just going to be that much bigger. So um,

614
00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:44,040
Speaker 1: I mean right now it's about bets on the Rams

615
00:35:44,560 --> 00:35:48,800
Speaker 1: and uh, we're probably going to move this to three

616
00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:50,960
Speaker 1: flat as I'm speaking, So I know it's not a

617
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 1: point spread move rams direction, juice change, juice change. I

618
00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:04,560
Speaker 1: like that. That's a tough one for me, that game,

619
00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:10,800
Speaker 1: It really is. It really is. It's really tough. I

620
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 1: don't think I haven't I don't have to lean yet

621
00:36:12,760 --> 00:36:16,120
Speaker 1: on that game. Yeah, I think the line is Uh,

622
00:36:16,320 --> 00:36:18,560
Speaker 1: I think the line is right on this one. Um.

623
00:36:21,040 --> 00:36:23,840
Speaker 1: Let's see. So, I mean some some places have the

624
00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:31,840
Speaker 1: game off the board only because Odell Beckham's lifted as probable.

625
00:36:32,040 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: I mean he has the hip injury. But uh, I

626
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:38,840
Speaker 1: don't know why they still have that game off the board.

627
00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:42,160
Speaker 1: We think he's gonna play all right. Last game on

628
00:36:42,200 --> 00:36:47,040
Speaker 1: the board, Chicago Bears visiting the Washington Redskins. Redskins are

629
00:36:47,080 --> 00:36:50,320
Speaker 1: four point dogs in this game. I don't think the

630
00:36:50,360 --> 00:36:54,799
Speaker 1: Bears can outscore anybody by four points. And that's the thing.

631
00:36:54,880 --> 00:36:56,799
Speaker 1: And I think the sharp guys agree with you on

632
00:36:56,840 --> 00:36:59,719
Speaker 1: this one. They took the four and a half, we

633
00:36:59,800 --> 00:37:03,440
Speaker 1: went down to four. Public will still be on Chicago,

634
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:07,000
Speaker 1: but the Chicago just can't score. And like like you said,

635
00:37:07,360 --> 00:37:11,120
Speaker 1: their their games so far have just been low scoring affairs. Um,

636
00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:14,440
Speaker 1: Washington was good to us in Week one against the Eagles.

637
00:37:14,440 --> 00:37:17,280
Speaker 1: We got to cover. They hung tough with the Cowboys

638
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:21,480
Speaker 1: in the first half last week, but then ultimately losing

639
00:37:21,560 --> 00:37:25,760
Speaker 1: by ten. Uh not getting the cover a favorite Washington

640
00:37:25,840 --> 00:37:27,600
Speaker 1: at home. I mean, if we had to had to

641
00:37:27,640 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 1: play it, I think the the public won't be overwhelmingly

642
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:34,960
Speaker 1: on Chicago. This should be a good game in terms

643
00:37:34,960 --> 00:37:38,919
Speaker 1: of action on both sides, and probably at the number four,

644
00:37:38,960 --> 00:37:41,160
Speaker 1: the wise guys will probably drive this down a little bit.

645
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:47,040
Speaker 1: Excuse you know what time it is? I think I do. Yeah,

646
00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: let's play the music. Alright, So last week you had

647
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:58,960
Speaker 1: the Bengals, you lost. I had the Steelers. I lost,

648
00:37:59,120 --> 00:38:01,200
Speaker 1: But since my quarter back was knocked out, I get

649
00:38:01,239 --> 00:38:06,600
Speaker 1: to go first. Okay, you're ready, go ahead. I am

650
00:38:06,680 --> 00:38:19,279
Speaker 1: gonna go with Indianapolis Colts minus two over the Atlanta Falcons. Wow. Nice. Yeah.

651
00:38:19,320 --> 00:38:21,239
Speaker 1: I like the other side and that one, but not

652
00:38:21,360 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 1: enough to make it a play. I'm gonna take seven

653
00:38:26,000 --> 00:38:30,080
Speaker 1: points with with the Lions. I think I agree with

654
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:32,880
Speaker 1: you on not a believer in the Eagles. That was

655
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:34,440
Speaker 1: my next bet. That was the next thing I was

656
00:38:34,440 --> 00:38:36,279
Speaker 1: gonna bet was that that was gonna be my next one.

657
00:38:36,360 --> 00:38:39,319
Speaker 1: So I like that choice too. All right, Bob Scucci,

658
00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:41,640
Speaker 1: thank you for coming on your podcast. Don't forget You

659
00:38:41,640 --> 00:38:43,759
Speaker 1: can listen to Scooch and I go through every game

660
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:46,200
Speaker 1: from the wise guy perspective, the money percentage, the betting

661
00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:50,320
Speaker 1: ticket percentage, the line move percentage. At noon Eastern on Sundays,

662
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:53,520
Speaker 1: listen to the radio dot com. Excuse me, just to

663
00:38:53,520 --> 00:38:57,120
Speaker 1: have lunch. Radio dot com, app radio dot com. Coming

664
00:38:57,200 --> 00:38:59,440
Speaker 1: up next, Dan Ravelle is gonna sit with me. We're

665
00:38:59,440 --> 00:39:02,040
Speaker 1: gonna try to choose five games for the one point

666
00:39:02,040 --> 00:39:05,800
Speaker 1: five million Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest. Simon Hunter Professional

667
00:39:05,840 --> 00:39:08,640
Speaker 1: Better is gonna grade us, guide us, cajole us into

668
00:39:08,680 --> 00:39:13,399
Speaker 1: making better decisions than we plan on making. Scooch talk

669
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 1: to you later. Alright, Chad, take care of body. Alright,

670
00:39:18,360 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 1: we're back. It's time to pick some games to win

671
00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:25,760
Speaker 1: one point five million dollars. Darren and I are six

672
00:39:25,760 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 1: and four right now, Um, which is a pretty good

673
00:39:29,040 --> 00:39:30,839
Speaker 1: start if you want to finish in the money. And

674
00:39:30,920 --> 00:39:33,680
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter Professional Gambler, it's going to come out on

675
00:39:33,719 --> 00:39:38,560
Speaker 1: a little bit and help us continue our winning ways. Um, Daren,

676
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,320
Speaker 1: we're gonna bring a little more structure to the segment

677
00:39:41,640 --> 00:39:46,200
Speaker 1: this week. Uh, I am going to guess the games

678
00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:50,440
Speaker 1: that you are most likely to be Okay, do I

679
00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:51,960
Speaker 1: do the same for you, and then you're gonna do

680
00:39:52,000 --> 00:39:53,880
Speaker 1: the same for me. And then Simon is going to

681
00:39:53,960 --> 00:39:56,960
Speaker 1: join us with his leans and uh, we're gonna see

682
00:39:57,000 --> 00:39:59,160
Speaker 1: if we can find matches. Okay, so you pick the

683
00:39:59,200 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 1: most public games possible. Yes, I think you were going

684
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:08,200
Speaker 1: to take the Chiefs minus seven. I think you're going

685
00:40:08,239 --> 00:40:11,480
Speaker 1: to take New England minus twenty two and a half.

686
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:16,160
Speaker 1: I think you're gonna take Dallas minus twenty one and

687
00:40:16,160 --> 00:40:20,799
Speaker 1: a half. And I think you're gonna take Tampa Bay

688
00:40:21,120 --> 00:40:23,759
Speaker 1: as more than a touchdown favorite against Daniel Jones and

689
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:27,279
Speaker 1: the New York Giants. I believe that's four. And I

690
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:34,239
Speaker 1: think you're gonna take um, uh, Green Bay minus nine

691
00:40:34,280 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 1: against Denver. I think that was probably as bad as

692
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:41,160
Speaker 1: you could do. Um, you got one? Which one? Cowboys?

693
00:40:42,760 --> 00:40:46,400
Speaker 1: The Dolphins are just that bad. They have no Listen,

694
00:40:47,040 --> 00:40:50,760
Speaker 1: the Jets do have who knows how good the Browns

695
00:40:50,800 --> 00:40:55,680
Speaker 1: really are, but the Jets do have something resembling a defense.

696
00:40:55,800 --> 00:41:00,319
Speaker 1: The Dolphins do not. The Cowboys are we're at home

697
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:03,480
Speaker 1: here twenty one and I don't like the half. The

698
00:41:03,520 --> 00:41:07,839
Speaker 1: half is very bad, But twenty one and a half Cowboys?

699
00:41:08,560 --> 00:41:12,560
Speaker 1: I you you know I I profited from the seventeen

700
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:17,279
Speaker 1: and a half then became eighteen and a half. No problem.

701
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 1: So hold on, do I get a on? Darren? I

702
00:41:21,120 --> 00:41:24,480
Speaker 1: am very impressed with how you got us to better

703
00:41:24,520 --> 00:41:27,880
Speaker 1: the Patriots. Um. That was the game that put us

704
00:41:27,880 --> 00:41:29,680
Speaker 1: over the edge and made us over five hundred for

705
00:41:29,680 --> 00:41:31,279
Speaker 1: the week. It was it was a big game. So

706
00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:33,640
Speaker 1: am I going now you or do I do my

707
00:41:34,120 --> 00:41:36,920
Speaker 1: Now give me the rest of your picks. Okay, so

708
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,759
Speaker 1: I can judge you. I like the Ravens side of

709
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:42,640
Speaker 1: the Chiefs. So the plus seven or the plus six

710
00:41:42,719 --> 00:41:47,520
Speaker 1: and a half on the Ravens. Um, I stay away

711
00:41:47,520 --> 00:41:50,440
Speaker 1: from me. That is a stay away again? Okay, All right,

712
00:41:50,560 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 1: Well that I'm just giving you that. So I actually

713
00:41:53,480 --> 00:41:59,839
Speaker 1: liked that. Um. I then like, um, Arizona plus two

714
00:41:59,880 --> 00:42:03,839
Speaker 1: and a half against Carolina. I don't think they're that

715
00:42:03,960 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 1: I do not. I think they're gonna I think I

716
00:42:05,680 --> 00:42:08,040
Speaker 1: had moneyline this thing. I think Arizona is gonna win

717
00:42:08,080 --> 00:42:14,800
Speaker 1: this game. Um. Wow, that is really interesting. I don't

718
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:17,600
Speaker 1: I don't think they're that bad. I am doing the

719
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:21,600
Speaker 1: whole thing that betters do, which is to make stuff up,

720
00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:26,280
Speaker 1: which is that I think Kyler Murray's getting a custom. Um,

721
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:28,960
Speaker 1: and I think Arizona is gonna win that game out right,

722
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:31,000
Speaker 1: So I would take that. Are you saying there's virdo

723
00:42:31,120 --> 00:42:33,640
Speaker 1: science behind what we there there there is there's convincing

724
00:42:33,680 --> 00:42:38,600
Speaker 1: their psychological mess. Uh. I am taking and I've heard

725
00:42:38,880 --> 00:42:43,120
Speaker 1: you guys talk, uh, scooch. I am taking Seattle minus

726
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:46,279
Speaker 1: four and a half against the Saints, UM, and I

727
00:42:46,360 --> 00:42:50,720
Speaker 1: would take I do not think I think the Jets

728
00:42:50,760 --> 00:42:53,080
Speaker 1: have a good defense, but I don't think their defense

729
00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:56,600
Speaker 1: is that good. And I don't think the Browns had

730
00:42:56,640 --> 00:43:00,040
Speaker 1: that convincing of a performance their first week performance, so

731
00:43:00,160 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 1: I thought was awful. And I think the Chargers are

732
00:43:03,120 --> 00:43:05,600
Speaker 1: going to smoke them out of the Rams. Sorry, you're

733
00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:09,239
Speaker 1: gonna smoke them out of the water. The Ms minus three,

734
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:13,560
Speaker 1: that's my Rams minus three is my number one pick.

735
00:43:13,960 --> 00:43:16,320
Speaker 1: I don't want you to move from that if possible. Wow,

736
00:43:16,520 --> 00:43:19,919
Speaker 1: okay you like so your picks are Rams minus three,

737
00:43:20,760 --> 00:43:23,920
Speaker 1: Seattle minus four and a half, Arizona plus two and

738
00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:26,799
Speaker 1: a half, Ravens plus seven. UM, I should say who

739
00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:30,440
Speaker 1: they're playing. Rauns minus three over the Browns, Seattle minus

740
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:34,520
Speaker 1: four and a half against against the Saints, Arizona plus

741
00:43:34,640 --> 00:43:38,600
Speaker 1: two and a half at home against Carolina, Ravens plus

742
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:41,680
Speaker 1: seven on the road against the Chiefs. Dallas minus twenty

743
00:43:41,719 --> 00:43:44,799
Speaker 1: one and a half over the Miami Dolphins. Those are

744
00:43:44,840 --> 00:43:50,200
Speaker 1: my five. All right, let's start with what I love. Uh,

745
00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:54,120
Speaker 1: I'm with you on the Rams love that pick Rams

746
00:43:54,160 --> 00:43:56,600
Speaker 1: minus three. Book it you said it's your number one.

747
00:43:56,640 --> 00:44:02,960
Speaker 1: I agree. Love the Cardinals plus two and have love him. Uh.

748
00:44:04,320 --> 00:44:07,640
Speaker 1: I also want the Colts minus two. Um, I want

749
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:10,319
Speaker 1: the Colts minus two against Carolina, and I want the

750
00:44:10,400 --> 00:44:15,880
Speaker 1: Lions the Colts. No, what did I the Colts against

751
00:44:15,880 --> 00:44:18,000
Speaker 1: the Falcons. Oh yeah, that's right. Sorry, Colts against the

752
00:44:18,000 --> 00:44:23,239
Speaker 1: Falcons and m minus two. The Colts are two point favorite. Yep, yep,

753
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:28,640
Speaker 1: that's what that means. And then I also like, um,

754
00:44:28,840 --> 00:44:34,200
Speaker 1: Detroit plus seven against Philadelphia. Philadelphia is one of those teams.

755
00:44:34,239 --> 00:44:36,120
Speaker 1: I still don't know who they are, I do. I

756
00:44:36,160 --> 00:44:38,239
Speaker 1: don't think they're I don't. I think they're overrated. I

757
00:44:38,239 --> 00:44:40,880
Speaker 1: think they're probably overrated. But I think about Philadelphia and

758
00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:43,719
Speaker 1: I think Cartson Wentz and I kind of overcompensate for

759
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 1: how bad they are and think they're better than they are.

760
00:44:46,040 --> 00:44:49,640
Speaker 1: So potentially you're right there. What's the line on that one? Seven?

761
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:52,840
Speaker 1: It's a lot of points. It's a lot of points.

762
00:44:52,880 --> 00:44:55,200
Speaker 1: I like that. Then I like I like that game

763
00:44:55,400 --> 00:44:57,799
Speaker 1: that let's book that game the Lions. All right, so

764
00:44:57,880 --> 00:45:01,640
Speaker 1: we're seven were agreed on Cardon plus two and a half.

765
00:45:01,640 --> 00:45:04,440
Speaker 1: We're agreed on lines plus seven. We're agreed on Rams

766
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:08,080
Speaker 1: minus three. UM, I like the Colts minus two. You

767
00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:10,080
Speaker 1: haven't weighed in on that. I definitely don't like the

768
00:45:10,160 --> 00:45:12,600
Speaker 1: Ravens plus seven. I don't. I don't feel. I don't

769
00:45:12,600 --> 00:45:14,480
Speaker 1: feel either way on the call. I'd like to not

770
00:45:14,600 --> 00:45:18,680
Speaker 1: take that pick. I I like the you said I

771
00:45:18,719 --> 00:45:21,600
Speaker 1: was gonna take him, right. I do like the Boxes

772
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:24,360
Speaker 1: six and a half point favorites over the Giants. I

773
00:45:24,480 --> 00:45:27,960
Speaker 1: do like the Bills as six point favorites over the Bengals,

774
00:45:28,920 --> 00:45:31,359
Speaker 1: and you're I'm not going to take the Jets. Wait,

775
00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:33,279
Speaker 1: we screwed up this segment. You were supposed to guess

776
00:45:33,320 --> 00:45:34,719
Speaker 1: what games I like? I know? Do you what you

777
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:42,000
Speaker 1: want to know? Though? I don't really like? UM, I

778
00:45:42,040 --> 00:45:44,960
Speaker 1: could I could see you really liking that Colts matchup.

779
00:45:45,040 --> 00:45:47,400
Speaker 1: That's something that you would do, so the Colts Atlanta.

780
00:45:47,400 --> 00:45:50,920
Speaker 1: I thought that you would you would do that one. UM,

781
00:45:51,120 --> 00:45:55,000
Speaker 1: I think you would like the too big of a

782
00:45:55,040 --> 00:45:58,120
Speaker 1: line on the on the Vikings Raiders for you? You You don't.

783
00:45:58,239 --> 00:46:02,560
Speaker 1: You don't like those big lines there? Um would you

784
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:05,120
Speaker 1: do six? And I think you might have done six

785
00:46:05,160 --> 00:46:10,520
Speaker 1: and a half? Uh forty Niners over Steelers. I thought

786
00:46:10,560 --> 00:46:14,920
Speaker 1: about it. Yeah, and then uh and then um, I

787
00:46:14,960 --> 00:46:19,200
Speaker 1: think you probably like the the Seattle line four and

788
00:46:19,239 --> 00:46:22,560
Speaker 1: a half over the Saints. No, you're wrong. Uh, my

789
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:25,960
Speaker 1: five picks that I like our Colts minus two, Cardinals

790
00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:28,800
Speaker 1: plus two and a half lines plus seven, Rams minus

791
00:46:28,840 --> 00:46:32,399
Speaker 1: three and then Texans plus three on the road at

792
00:46:32,400 --> 00:46:33,719
Speaker 1: the Chargers. But you know what it's time to do.

793
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:45,200
Speaker 1: Let's introduce Mr Simon Hunter. And now a word from

794
00:46:45,200 --> 00:46:54,640
Speaker 1: a wise guy? Would Simon Hunter? How about and now

795
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:59,920
Speaker 1: deep thoughts by Jack Handy? I mean, Simon Hunter, Simon,

796
00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:03,400
Speaker 1: what did you think of your introduction? Wow? What an honor? Boys?

797
00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:05,680
Speaker 1: Did you know it was coming? Probably I was in

798
00:47:05,719 --> 00:47:10,439
Speaker 1: the Middle Ages. I bet you didn't know that was coming,

799
00:47:10,480 --> 00:47:14,560
Speaker 1: did you? Uh? Definitely unexpected how to take it yet?

800
00:47:14,600 --> 00:47:16,640
Speaker 1: But I think I like it. That's what you get

801
00:47:16,680 --> 00:47:19,239
Speaker 1: when we're really excited going into week three. You might

802
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:21,560
Speaker 1: you might not have an introduction next week. I mean,

803
00:47:21,600 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 1: do you guys want to do a British accent podcast?

804
00:47:24,600 --> 00:47:26,880
Speaker 1: If that's what we need me to do a British

805
00:47:26,880 --> 00:47:31,440
Speaker 1: accent saw him in Onto, so listen, so listen. Uh.

806
00:47:31,640 --> 00:47:33,640
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell, who was one of the proachers of the podcast,

807
00:47:33,719 --> 00:47:37,480
Speaker 1: had a great note for us, which was you as

808
00:47:37,480 --> 00:47:40,840
Speaker 1: a professional better actually approach what you do in the

809
00:47:40,880 --> 00:47:43,360
Speaker 1: condo and the super contest. And you're in Super Contest Gold,

810
00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:45,000
Speaker 1: which is sort of the high end contest, and then

811
00:47:45,000 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 1: you're in Super Contest mass Media, which is us um

812
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:52,239
Speaker 1: a little bit differently, and so tell us about your

813
00:47:52,320 --> 00:47:59,239
Speaker 1: leans based on Super Contest for philosophy, um and strategy

814
00:47:59,520 --> 00:48:03,120
Speaker 1: and then in uh, I want to mix that into

815
00:48:03,280 --> 00:48:05,320
Speaker 1: our picks and see if we can come to a consensus.

816
00:48:07,080 --> 00:48:09,040
Speaker 1: Yeah are you talking. You're asking me what what I'm

817
00:48:09,040 --> 00:48:11,520
Speaker 1: doing this week for Gold? Yeah, well tell me, tell

818
00:48:11,560 --> 00:48:13,920
Speaker 1: me your leans, like as a super contest player, not

819
00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:17,879
Speaker 1: just as a better but as a super contest player, right,

820
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:20,360
Speaker 1: this kind of thing, Um, well, you have to approach

821
00:48:20,400 --> 00:48:24,719
Speaker 1: both super contests differently. Um, Like a lot of people

822
00:48:24,760 --> 00:48:26,839
Speaker 1: are going to get done. But um, I think there's

823
00:48:26,920 --> 00:48:29,640
Speaker 1: fourteen of us end up taking the Jets the plus

824
00:48:29,680 --> 00:48:32,640
Speaker 1: two and a half in the Gold. Um. I think

825
00:48:32,719 --> 00:48:35,000
Speaker 1: right Angles Sports, they're nine and one in Gold and

826
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:37,280
Speaker 1: they're winning it. I think they're loss they're only losses

827
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:40,120
Speaker 1: on the Jets. So there's other groups out there that

828
00:48:40,200 --> 00:48:42,920
Speaker 1: do the same mentality where we try to fade the

829
00:48:42,960 --> 00:48:46,200
Speaker 1: other people in gold. Um, so like this week just

830
00:48:46,239 --> 00:48:49,439
Speaker 1: looking at the lines, like, I think good fades would

831
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:53,080
Speaker 1: probably be like New Orleans, I mean not Nowlans. The

832
00:48:53,239 --> 00:48:55,920
Speaker 1: Rams are a good fade. I think a good one

833
00:48:55,920 --> 00:49:00,319
Speaker 1: will be the Chargers. Um. But the goal it was

834
00:49:00,400 --> 00:49:02,120
Speaker 1: kind of weird this week in the sense that a

835
00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:05,239
Speaker 1: lot of a lot of them took favorites. Um, they're

836
00:49:05,239 --> 00:49:06,920
Speaker 1: pretty sharp on that. It was a good week for

837
00:49:07,040 --> 00:49:10,879
Speaker 1: taking road road favorites. Uh, it's been a wonky year.

838
00:49:10,920 --> 00:49:13,719
Speaker 1: I think it's like road road favorites are covering and

839
00:49:13,840 --> 00:49:17,040
Speaker 1: unders are really big right now. Unders are big. I

840
00:49:17,040 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 1: I had two beautiful unders this this past weekend. It

841
00:49:20,880 --> 00:49:23,960
Speaker 1: is a weird year, though, You're right signing like some

842
00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:28,600
Speaker 1: rules will be broken. I mean I told you that

843
00:49:28,719 --> 00:49:30,960
Speaker 1: Patriots one was a prime example of the rule is broken.

844
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:33,600
Speaker 1: One like that that should not work out for like

845
00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:35,960
Speaker 1: like when Darren sided free money. Whenever you hear someone

846
00:49:36,000 --> 00:49:39,359
Speaker 1: say free money, you're not gonna win that bat. This

847
00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:42,080
Speaker 1: year has been really weird where you say that. With

848
00:49:42,200 --> 00:49:44,879
Speaker 1: the Patriots game, people said that Cleveland and I mean

849
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:47,680
Speaker 1: that game would have went different honestly if he honestly

850
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:51,800
Speaker 1: didn't break his ankle. We'll never know. You just keep dropping.

851
00:49:52,040 --> 00:49:55,880
Speaker 1: By the way, A cool note um from David Purdham,

852
00:49:56,000 --> 00:49:59,400
Speaker 1: which is that, uh, this is the first time since

853
00:49:59,520 --> 00:50:03,480
Speaker 1: Week five of the seven season that we've had to

854
00:50:03,880 --> 00:50:06,720
Speaker 1: think that's probably a gold cheat note the two two

855
00:50:06,920 --> 00:50:09,920
Speaker 1: uh favorites of more than twenty and that was the

856
00:50:09,960 --> 00:50:14,480
Speaker 1: eight that was, of course the replacement season. Yeah, yeah,

857
00:50:14,520 --> 00:50:17,080
Speaker 1: which which I can't imagine betting and can you imagine

858
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:19,000
Speaker 1: betting in that year? Like I feel like you don't

859
00:50:19,040 --> 00:50:22,240
Speaker 1: know anything, but yes, so that's kind of interesting. So simon,

860
00:50:22,280 --> 00:50:24,760
Speaker 1: without giving away what your card is going to be

861
00:50:24,880 --> 00:50:28,400
Speaker 1: for the super contest, give me your leans for the

862
00:50:28,440 --> 00:50:31,719
Speaker 1: contest based on and think about the mass contest, not

863
00:50:31,800 --> 00:50:34,839
Speaker 1: the Gold contest. Uh, And then let me see if

864
00:50:34,880 --> 00:50:38,080
Speaker 1: I can find the intersection between your leans and the

865
00:50:38,160 --> 00:50:40,440
Speaker 1: picks Darren and I have and we can come to

866
00:50:40,480 --> 00:50:44,480
Speaker 1: the consensus that makes uh, that makes you deliver on

867
00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:48,160
Speaker 1: your promise to help us finishing the money. Yeah, well

868
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:51,600
Speaker 1: I did. I did, like Carolina against the Cardinals, but

869
00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:53,680
Speaker 1: that one's obviously out with Camp, So I don't know

870
00:50:53,719 --> 00:50:55,200
Speaker 1: what that line is gonna be. It's I think it's

871
00:50:55,200 --> 00:51:00,560
Speaker 1: probably gonna open reopen, or Cardinals minus one or minus two. Um,

872
00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:03,040
Speaker 1: so I would honestly take Cardinals on that side now

873
00:51:03,200 --> 00:51:06,799
Speaker 1: just because I think it's I'm pretty sure it's Will Greer,

874
00:51:06,880 --> 00:51:11,560
Speaker 1: the w kid is their backup in Carolina, So I

875
00:51:11,560 --> 00:51:14,440
Speaker 1: mean he's a big downgrade. I know Cam doesn't look

876
00:51:14,480 --> 00:51:16,360
Speaker 1: good this year, and obviously he's coming off injuries, but

877
00:51:16,480 --> 00:51:20,040
Speaker 1: Cam still he wasn't m VP. He's a great, great player.

878
00:51:20,400 --> 00:51:22,600
Speaker 1: Um well, Greer is a little bit of the unknown.

879
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:28,720
Speaker 1: So I do like the Cardinals now in that one. Um,

880
00:51:28,760 --> 00:51:31,120
Speaker 1: I told you another one I really like, I'm leaning

881
00:51:31,120 --> 00:51:34,279
Speaker 1: with as the Rams uh India is another big lean

882
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:36,799
Speaker 1: like I feel back. I keep taking them every week

883
00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:39,560
Speaker 1: and it keeps hitting. It's it's due not to hit.

884
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:45,080
Speaker 1: But um that's just a all the numbers everything points

885
00:51:45,120 --> 00:51:47,400
Speaker 1: to that being a good one. With Indie, Well, explain,

886
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:50,480
Speaker 1: explain why on the Rams and on Indie what? What is?

887
00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:55,600
Speaker 1: What are your numbers showing you the Rams? The Rams

888
00:51:55,600 --> 00:51:58,479
Speaker 1: one is a funny game where they they honestly didn't

889
00:51:58,480 --> 00:52:00,560
Speaker 1: look good. They needed to get hit in the mouth

890
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:02,239
Speaker 1: there for New Orleans to kind of wake up. They

891
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:06,759
Speaker 1: got that lucky blown call on. I'll never get over

892
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:09,600
Speaker 1: the fact that rest On Swaller ref like their ref uh,

893
00:52:10,920 --> 00:52:13,000
Speaker 1: I mean, how do you blow the whistle in that

894
00:52:13,000 --> 00:52:16,480
Speaker 1: that game? But that that happens it feels like every

895
00:52:16,520 --> 00:52:18,959
Speaker 1: other week, So there's no point. It's the playing about it.

896
00:52:19,960 --> 00:52:22,399
Speaker 1: But the Saints fans, by the way, I know three

897
00:52:22,440 --> 00:52:25,200
Speaker 1: Saints fans, I all got the text did you see

898
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:28,000
Speaker 1: this video? And asking me as if it was like

899
00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:31,839
Speaker 1: a public service, can you tweet this out? So that

900
00:52:32,320 --> 00:52:34,839
Speaker 1: I would use my audience to potentially get to, like

901
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:37,120
Speaker 1: I don't know, the head of referees like that, I

902
00:52:37,160 --> 00:52:42,000
Speaker 1: would do something these people seriously, I get I get

903
00:52:42,040 --> 00:52:45,000
Speaker 1: their complaints, so like they're it feels like every week

904
00:52:45,000 --> 00:52:49,600
Speaker 1: they're having weird calls and like like everything in their

905
00:52:49,640 --> 00:52:51,400
Speaker 1: games has something come down with the referee in it.

906
00:52:51,920 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 1: Even the week before something like weird things happened the

907
00:52:54,200 --> 00:52:57,960
Speaker 1: reft of them. So I mean that that that obviously

908
00:52:58,040 --> 00:52:59,719
Speaker 1: drew reasons or for them change the whole game. So

909
00:52:59,719 --> 00:53:02,000
Speaker 1: I would go to take credit for really liking Rams

910
00:53:02,080 --> 00:53:05,440
Speaker 1: last week, But but what what about the Rams? Uh

911
00:53:05,520 --> 00:53:08,440
Speaker 1: and Indie both just what are your numbers showing you?

912
00:53:08,480 --> 00:53:10,120
Speaker 1: What is it saying about the matchup and what is

913
00:53:10,120 --> 00:53:13,560
Speaker 1: it saying about where they are right now. Right. So

914
00:53:14,800 --> 00:53:18,200
Speaker 1: with the Rams, I still think it's a Super Bowl

915
00:53:18,239 --> 00:53:20,360
Speaker 1: hangover there going through, but I think they looked like

916
00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:22,360
Speaker 1: they got out of it, like their their receivers are

917
00:53:22,360 --> 00:53:25,160
Speaker 1: really stepping it up. So I had this game when

918
00:53:25,160 --> 00:53:28,040
Speaker 1: I put it in at Ram's mind of seven in Cleveland,

919
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:30,520
Speaker 1: which is a pretty big number, and then I think

920
00:53:30,560 --> 00:53:35,080
Speaker 1: it opened at um Cleveland plus one, and then the

921
00:53:35,160 --> 00:53:39,640
Speaker 1: public and the Sharps shitted up to three. So it's

922
00:53:39,640 --> 00:53:41,920
Speaker 1: one of those spots where now Vegas needs Cleveland. So

923
00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:43,759
Speaker 1: I do I like Rams, and I know that these

924
00:53:43,880 --> 00:53:46,000
Speaker 1: these guys in Gold they're gonna be on Cleveland. Cleveland's

925
00:53:46,000 --> 00:53:49,000
Speaker 1: a really sharp number this week. And the Indie game

926
00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:54,359
Speaker 1: is it's classic. Everyone saw Land on Sunday night win

927
00:53:54,400 --> 00:53:58,200
Speaker 1: a big game, and in Indianapolis they didn't play great

928
00:53:58,719 --> 00:54:01,839
Speaker 1: against the Titans, but it was a divisional game where

929
00:54:01,840 --> 00:54:04,160
Speaker 1: you're just you're trying to survive. That was a slug

930
00:54:04,160 --> 00:54:05,759
Speaker 1: it out match. That's why I thought the three was

931
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:08,080
Speaker 1: a good number, because I didn't see either team winning

932
00:54:08,120 --> 00:54:11,600
Speaker 1: by more than a field goal. But the Colts now

933
00:54:11,760 --> 00:54:13,640
Speaker 1: are still kind of being slipped on this line. I

934
00:54:13,640 --> 00:54:15,920
Speaker 1: don't know why. I didn't open that minus three, So

935
00:54:15,960 --> 00:54:17,640
Speaker 1: I think you're getting really good value where it's at

936
00:54:17,640 --> 00:54:20,640
Speaker 1: one and a half two right now, Darren, I think

937
00:54:20,800 --> 00:54:26,040
Speaker 1: uh Simon professional better has so far confirmed for US Cardinals,

938
00:54:26,400 --> 00:54:31,040
Speaker 1: Rams and Cults. I like it. The culture. Yeah, the

939
00:54:31,040 --> 00:54:33,799
Speaker 1: Coults is the one that I, um, I don't know.

940
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:39,239
Speaker 1: I'm just not my my Joe que public mind. I

941
00:54:39,400 --> 00:54:44,279
Speaker 1: haven't seen enough from the Colts. But I trust Chad

942
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:47,120
Speaker 1: here and I trust you and we're going with that.

943
00:54:47,200 --> 00:54:51,319
Speaker 1: But Arizona, for sure, I'm gonna bet the money line

944
00:54:51,320 --> 00:54:55,440
Speaker 1: on that game. Um. And then and then the Rams

945
00:54:55,440 --> 00:54:59,120
Speaker 1: popped out to me too, having maybe its recency bias,

946
00:54:59,200 --> 00:55:03,719
Speaker 1: having suffer through the complete Monday night football game in

947
00:55:03,800 --> 00:55:09,560
Speaker 1: person or god? Yeah right, um? Who are your other leans?

948
00:55:09,560 --> 00:55:12,839
Speaker 1: Where should we be? Uh? Where should be contemplating? How

949
00:55:12,920 --> 00:55:15,719
Speaker 1: can I give you Dallas Dallas twenty one and a half?

950
00:55:15,960 --> 00:55:19,839
Speaker 1: What do you think about that? Dallas free money? Every week?

951
00:55:20,200 --> 00:55:22,520
Speaker 1: Every week? There can we just go against my en?

952
00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:25,440
Speaker 1: I don't know about keep doing it every week? But

953
00:55:26,520 --> 00:55:29,280
Speaker 1: every every they just got rid of their second best defender.

954
00:55:30,960 --> 00:55:35,879
Speaker 1: Um because I loved I love New England last week,

955
00:55:35,960 --> 00:55:37,600
Speaker 1: just because I had it at a forty one to

956
00:55:37,680 --> 00:55:39,319
Speaker 1: ten a game. That's what my system told me. So

957
00:55:39,360 --> 00:55:42,600
Speaker 1: I was like that, honestly, would never let you take

958
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:46,719
Speaker 1: these kind of fervorts. But this year is bizarre. This

959
00:55:46,800 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 1: is the weirdest year. So are you letting? Are you

960
00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:53,200
Speaker 1: letting me and thus us take twenty one and a half?

961
00:55:53,719 --> 00:55:55,880
Speaker 1: When we put that, when we put that as a

962
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:58,160
Speaker 1: lean like, maybe I think we can maybe we can

963
00:55:58,200 --> 00:56:01,360
Speaker 1: find a better, better Joe pub favorite for you? What

964
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:06,040
Speaker 1: do you what is your numbers say on Dallas? I

965
00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:09,759
Speaker 1: so last week there was three games where it was

966
00:56:09,800 --> 00:56:13,440
Speaker 1: proven proven to me team games. So the Chiefs was

967
00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:15,759
Speaker 1: a previous to me game where they're in Oakland, and

968
00:56:16,239 --> 00:56:18,040
Speaker 1: it was kind of game where the Sharps arena in

969
00:56:18,040 --> 00:56:20,480
Speaker 1: Oakland and all the publics in Kansas City looking at

970
00:56:20,560 --> 00:56:23,560
Speaker 1: like an easy number, and the Chiefs showed up. They

971
00:56:23,560 --> 00:56:26,040
Speaker 1: won that and the Cowboys they shouldn't have covered that

972
00:56:26,160 --> 00:56:30,080
Speaker 1: number against Washington, like that's how averages. Average teams just

973
00:56:30,239 --> 00:56:32,600
Speaker 1: maybe squeaked by the game, loses by a couple of points,

974
00:56:33,160 --> 00:56:36,120
Speaker 1: and Dallas really showed up and put their will. I

975
00:56:36,160 --> 00:56:37,840
Speaker 1: think it was in the second quarter that kind of

976
00:56:38,040 --> 00:56:42,279
Speaker 1: woke up and just dominated Washington. The whole game. So

977
00:56:42,360 --> 00:56:46,279
Speaker 1: I I do. I do think that it's a good

978
00:56:46,360 --> 00:56:50,080
Speaker 1: number because I have them winning by twenty. But it's

979
00:56:50,200 --> 00:56:52,719
Speaker 1: the kind of thing where it's just one little fluke

980
00:56:52,800 --> 00:56:55,000
Speaker 1: touchdown the end of the game if we don't cover

981
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,439
Speaker 1: that number. That's why people hate taking numbers this big.

982
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:02,200
Speaker 1: Can I ask you two questions, how horrible as a

983
00:57:02,200 --> 00:57:05,600
Speaker 1: as a lay better here? How horrible is that point five?

984
00:57:08,239 --> 00:57:12,440
Speaker 1: It's horrible, um, just because the odds go way against

985
00:57:12,480 --> 00:57:14,440
Speaker 1: you if you look at all the numbers. I mean,

986
00:57:15,719 --> 00:57:18,400
Speaker 1: but once again, you can't. There's nothing like this to

987
00:57:18,520 --> 00:57:22,000
Speaker 1: use numbers with. It's just it's they're anomalies. It's does

988
00:57:22,120 --> 00:57:24,160
Speaker 1: it does not make sense. There's two people we're looking at,

989
00:57:24,160 --> 00:57:26,080
Speaker 1: two teams. I have a couple of books show in

990
00:57:26,080 --> 00:57:31,200
Speaker 1: New England three right now mine isy. Um, So it's

991
00:57:31,240 --> 00:57:34,160
Speaker 1: just a weird, weird thing where cowboys or minus twenty

992
00:57:34,200 --> 00:57:38,120
Speaker 1: one and a half. It might jump up with the

993
00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:40,080
Speaker 1: the book might feel comfortable and to sit there, but

994
00:57:40,120 --> 00:57:43,880
Speaker 1: the public is just pounding the cowboys again like Vegas

995
00:57:43,960 --> 00:57:48,720
Speaker 1: isn't here just to give money away? And then, um,

996
00:57:48,760 --> 00:57:50,840
Speaker 1: I do I do like it, but I mean I'm

997
00:57:50,920 --> 00:57:53,040
Speaker 1: kind of with Chad there it's not a smart play.

998
00:57:53,400 --> 00:57:56,360
Speaker 1: Like over the numbers, the averages, it shouldn't work out

999
00:57:56,360 --> 00:57:58,720
Speaker 1: for us, but it's my numbers are telling us telling

1000
00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 1: me that we should take that else. All right, well

1001
00:58:01,680 --> 00:58:05,280
Speaker 1: let's let's leave it there for now. UM, give me

1002
00:58:05,320 --> 00:58:10,920
Speaker 1: two other leans right now, I mean the the sharp

1003
00:58:11,160 --> 00:58:13,040
Speaker 1: The sharp Leans are definitely gonna be able sinse Yet

1004
00:58:13,400 --> 00:58:15,760
Speaker 1: I'm thinking since you might be of these teams, that's exact.

1005
00:58:16,080 --> 00:58:18,800
Speaker 1: They're They're bad one week, good the next week. But

1006
00:58:19,200 --> 00:58:23,040
Speaker 1: I'm not playing them Super Contest because I can't. I

1007
00:58:23,080 --> 00:58:27,040
Speaker 1: can't do it again with Andy Dalton Buffalo. Buffalo's defense

1008
00:58:27,120 --> 00:58:30,520
Speaker 1: looks like they're pretty pretty good up front. With Andy Dalton,

1009
00:58:30,560 --> 00:58:35,880
Speaker 1: they're running the Bengals running Game two. We are never

1010
00:58:35,960 --> 00:58:38,080
Speaker 1: betting Andy Dalton in this contest. You're done with them.

1011
00:58:39,040 --> 00:58:43,440
Speaker 1: I can see that. Um, and then another. Uh. I

1012
00:58:43,440 --> 00:58:46,760
Speaker 1: don't like doing Thursday Nights and super contests. The jobs

1013
00:58:46,840 --> 00:58:49,800
Speaker 1: the Jacks. The Jacks really stick out. I am totally

1014
00:58:49,800 --> 00:58:51,400
Speaker 1: going to bet the Jacks, but we're not doing them

1015
00:58:51,400 --> 00:58:54,520
Speaker 1: in the Super Contest because it's it's it's one of

1016
00:58:54,560 --> 00:58:57,680
Speaker 1: those games where I don't like doing Thursday because they're

1017
00:58:57,720 --> 00:59:01,400
Speaker 1: very unpredictable. You don't know what team like it's feeling

1018
00:59:01,440 --> 00:59:04,640
Speaker 1: good after their rough Sunday games. What do you think?

1019
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:07,560
Speaker 1: What do you think about? Like? I do like the Chargers.

1020
00:59:08,200 --> 00:59:13,160
Speaker 1: All right, No, all right, that's interesting. They're probably the

1021
00:59:13,240 --> 00:59:15,080
Speaker 1: last one that would come in because why do you

1022
00:59:15,080 --> 00:59:19,720
Speaker 1: like to host? I like, I'd like that they had

1023
00:59:19,720 --> 00:59:23,600
Speaker 1: an ugly loss on the road. They're coming home, and

1024
00:59:23,680 --> 00:59:26,880
Speaker 1: Houston had an ugly win at home against the divisional team.

1025
00:59:26,880 --> 00:59:29,960
Speaker 1: Now they're going on the road. So I got this

1026
00:59:30,360 --> 00:59:32,240
Speaker 1: Chargers minus six and a half. So you're getting a

1027
00:59:32,280 --> 00:59:34,240
Speaker 1: free three and a half points right now. But I

1028
00:59:34,240 --> 00:59:37,080
Speaker 1: think it's been shooting up charges minus three and a

1029
00:59:37,080 --> 00:59:40,680
Speaker 1: half and down to three. I like to close that

1030
00:59:40,720 --> 00:59:44,720
Speaker 1: three and a half. I wouldn't take it, okay, but

1031
00:59:44,840 --> 00:59:46,560
Speaker 1: I do like I do like the charges that three

1032
00:59:46,640 --> 00:59:49,160
Speaker 1: for just playing it safe. I like the charges of

1033
00:59:49,200 --> 00:59:50,520
Speaker 1: three two. You know what I think we should do?

1034
00:59:51,440 --> 00:59:55,000
Speaker 1: Here's what I'm gonna do. Tell me that you want

1035
00:59:55,000 --> 01:00:02,440
Speaker 1: the lines of plus seven? Um, it's a trap. It

1036
01:00:02,480 --> 01:00:05,320
Speaker 1: feels like a trap game with this lines number because

1037
01:00:05,320 --> 01:00:07,560
Speaker 1: I immediately saw that number seven a half and I

1038
01:00:07,600 --> 01:00:10,280
Speaker 1: took it. And then the public has kind of been

1039
01:00:10,320 --> 01:00:14,400
Speaker 1: hitting the lines too. I don't really like UM. I

1040
01:00:14,440 --> 01:00:16,160
Speaker 1: don't like being on the same like I don't like

1041
01:00:16,200 --> 01:00:18,720
Speaker 1: public dogs. I mean they do work out. Like last week,

1042
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:21,760
Speaker 1: the Cardinals were a good public dog, like they they

1043
01:00:21,840 --> 01:00:24,120
Speaker 1: might have not covered that number the Ravens just scored.

1044
01:00:24,120 --> 01:00:27,000
Speaker 1: The touchdown would have been a push, But the Cardinals

1045
01:00:27,040 --> 01:00:29,880
Speaker 1: were the right side to that whole game last week. UM,

1046
01:00:29,920 --> 01:00:32,960
Speaker 1: and they were a big public dog, but the lines

1047
01:00:33,880 --> 01:00:37,040
Speaker 1: they just gotta win at home that day honestly didn't

1048
01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:40,360
Speaker 1: deserve UM. And they're going against the Eagles team that

1049
01:00:40,440 --> 01:00:42,960
Speaker 1: got kind of embarrassed and their whole teams banged up

1050
01:00:43,400 --> 01:00:45,400
Speaker 1: on a Sunday night, So they're looking at a team

1051
01:00:45,440 --> 01:00:48,640
Speaker 1: that's gonna be We're not looking for revenge, but they're

1052
01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:51,040
Speaker 1: gonna be really piste off the Eagles. So I'd stay

1053
01:00:51,080 --> 01:00:53,560
Speaker 1: away from that one. As here's what I think we

1054
01:00:53,560 --> 01:00:55,560
Speaker 1: should do. Can you just talk about the Super Contest

1055
01:00:55,600 --> 01:00:57,440
Speaker 1: and how we submit our picks and how the lines work,

1056
01:00:57,560 --> 01:01:00,120
Speaker 1: just just to remind you, like we're doing this on

1057
01:01:00,120 --> 01:01:03,080
Speaker 1: Tuesday afternoon. The lines with the Super Contest come out

1058
01:01:03,120 --> 01:01:06,000
Speaker 1: Wednesday night, and so they get adjusted a little bit

1059
01:01:06,000 --> 01:01:10,440
Speaker 1: between what we're looking at now and exactly someone might

1060
01:01:10,480 --> 01:01:13,520
Speaker 1: get mono, so they change a little bit. Um, here's

1061
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:16,960
Speaker 1: what I think I want to do. I'm gonna give

1062
01:01:17,040 --> 01:01:19,520
Speaker 1: Darren what he wants. We're gonna we're gonna see what

1063
01:01:19,600 --> 01:01:23,040
Speaker 1: Dallas looks like. If that is a good play, we'll

1064
01:01:23,080 --> 01:01:27,720
Speaker 1: play Dallas. If if it's not, we're gonna play the

1065
01:01:27,800 --> 01:01:30,440
Speaker 1: lines of plus seven. But we're also gonna play the

1066
01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:33,680
Speaker 1: Chargers at minus three, and so I think our I

1067
01:01:33,720 --> 01:01:36,600
Speaker 1: think our bets are gonna be Cardinals. What it reopens

1068
01:01:36,600 --> 01:01:40,080
Speaker 1: out probably minus one Colts minus two Rams minus three,

1069
01:01:40,400 --> 01:01:43,560
Speaker 1: Chargers minus three. My god, we're going with all favorites

1070
01:01:44,200 --> 01:01:47,080
Speaker 1: and then either the Lines plus seven or the Cowboys

1071
01:01:47,080 --> 01:01:50,440
Speaker 1: plus twenty one and a half and the cow The

1072
01:01:50,480 --> 01:01:53,720
Speaker 1: Cowboys would be contingent on the half. I think I'm

1073
01:01:53,760 --> 01:01:56,560
Speaker 1: willing to let the Cowboys go. If I don't get

1074
01:01:56,600 --> 01:02:00,480
Speaker 1: that down to we will, we will tell Exton, we

1075
01:02:00,560 --> 01:02:03,640
Speaker 1: will reconvene. I won't pull the trigger. I don't like

1076
01:02:03,720 --> 01:02:07,280
Speaker 1: that half. I really don't good because I definitely like

1077
01:02:07,440 --> 01:02:10,480
Speaker 1: last week, Um, after the after we did the bank

1078
01:02:10,560 --> 01:02:12,800
Speaker 1: as a good, wow, did we really just take Andy Dalton?

1079
01:02:13,040 --> 01:02:14,439
Speaker 1: Like after we hung up, I was like, I don't

1080
01:02:14,440 --> 01:02:16,080
Speaker 1: know if that was a fess what we should have

1081
01:02:16,120 --> 01:02:19,240
Speaker 1: just done. Never we're just taking five games. We don't

1082
01:02:19,280 --> 01:02:21,480
Speaker 1: need to force any kind of game. We're just picking

1083
01:02:21,600 --> 01:02:26,880
Speaker 1: five games. Never again, Simon, never again. That's all I

1084
01:02:26,920 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 1: have to say about that, Simon Hunter. Professional gambler, damn revels,

1085
01:02:34,040 --> 01:02:37,680
Speaker 1: not professional gambler. These are gonna be our super contest picks.

1086
01:02:37,720 --> 01:02:39,720
Speaker 1: Let's see if we continue the streak three and two,

1087
01:02:39,800 --> 01:02:41,560
Speaker 1: three and two, six and four for the year, that's

1088
01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:45,000
Speaker 1: pretty good numbers. That ends us in the money. Talk

1089
01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:49,120
Speaker 1: about the money, money, money, Simon Hunter, thanks for coming out.

1090
01:02:49,160 --> 01:02:53,720
Speaker 1: I hope you enjoyed your your Godfather like theme music.

1091
01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:59,000
Speaker 1: Oh yeah, very really appreciate the intro boys. Always a pleasure.

1092
01:02:59,040 --> 01:03:01,320
Speaker 1: I have a good feeling this. I don't know about

1093
01:03:01,400 --> 01:03:03,680
Speaker 1: Darren's side. Darren's make me nervous. You're getting a little

1094
01:03:03,680 --> 01:03:06,560
Speaker 1: sharp with his cardinal picks. But we'll see how when

1095
01:03:06,600 --> 01:03:08,720
Speaker 1: the public guy goes sharp, I mean that's the time

1096
01:03:08,720 --> 01:03:11,720
Speaker 1: they get out. It also means it's not too hard.

1097
01:03:11,920 --> 01:03:13,680
Speaker 1: It's not too hard to figure out what sharp is

1098
01:03:13,720 --> 01:03:17,120
Speaker 1: and what sharp is in this business. Alright, Simon, thank

1099
01:03:17,120 --> 01:03:22,040
Speaker 1: you brother, all right, thanks guys, with a pleasure. This

1100
01:03:22,120 --> 01:03:25,160
Speaker 1: has been the favorites from the Action Network. Download at

1101
01:03:25,160 --> 01:03:29,360
Speaker 1: Apple podcast, rate, review, subscribe, listen to us on radio

1102
01:03:29,560 --> 01:03:34,200
Speaker 1: dot com, search the favorites, or wherever you like your podcast.

1103
01:03:34,280 --> 01:03:38,000
Speaker 1: Until next time, I Love you, Love you,