WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2019 NFL MegaPod Week 13 Preview 0:00:03.400 --> 0:00:12.600 Check it on Man Now Down Now, Wednesday, November twenty seven, 0:00:13.560 --> 0:00:18.880 Beating the BOS podcast Mega Pod one Day Early Skill Alexander. 0:00:18.880 --> 0:00:23.279 It's Thanksgiving, so we decided to get it out before 0:00:23.360 --> 0:00:27.160 the holiday because there's three games tomorrow. Obviously the largest 0:00:27.280 --> 0:00:31.400 or the biggest travel day of the year today, So 0:00:31.480 --> 0:00:35.120 everybody coming in going throughout the land to get to 0:00:35.120 --> 0:00:39.200 their families for Thanksgiving. Not us. No, alright, we're working hard, 0:00:39.280 --> 0:00:41.680 and by we I mean me, Mike Palm and Todd 0:00:41.720 --> 0:00:44.520 wishing it. Mikey, how you doing, man, We're doing great. 0:00:44.920 --> 0:00:48.360 I'm on a show, uh where the other two hosts 0:00:48.479 --> 0:00:50.559 are thankful to be alive, so I have to be 0:00:50.600 --> 0:00:53.440 extra thankful. Yes, thank you very much. I know I 0:00:53.479 --> 0:00:56.560 am after what happened last week, so yes, I certainly am. 0:00:56.760 --> 0:00:59.880 Mike Palm, the conciliary to Derik Stevens, the vice president 0:01:00.000 --> 0:01:04.000 operations over there at Circus Sports, and of course the 0:01:04.040 --> 0:01:07.800 third party from Shoe Times, Smash docuseries Action. It's Todd 0:01:07.800 --> 0:01:10.240 WISHNEV was happening to Dot Hey, how you doing man? 0:01:10.400 --> 0:01:12.840 You good? I'm good? All right, Well, this has been 0:01:12.840 --> 0:01:16.240 a fascinating conversation. Mike. Let's start with the Circus Sports 0:01:16.400 --> 0:01:20.080 Quarterly Update who won the quarterly prize well, and there 0:01:20.160 --> 0:01:24.160 was another fascinating finish Joe Um. The key set up 0:01:24.200 --> 0:01:27.000 to the whole weekend was the Packers not covering on 0:01:27.040 --> 0:01:30.000 Sunday night as I think eight out of the top 0:01:30.160 --> 0:01:32.600 ten or some number eight out of the top twelve 0:01:32.959 --> 0:01:35.520 at the Packers, So that opened it up. So it 0:01:35.600 --> 0:01:39.200 came down to four entries, two of them in the 0:01:39.280 --> 0:01:43.880 house at sixteen and four, UM Booty Blockers who is 0:01:43.920 --> 0:01:46.399 actually the current leader of the contest at forty three 0:01:46.400 --> 0:01:48.760 and a half points, and Miss Kan who was a 0:01:48.800 --> 0:01:51.960 group of two gentlemen from Michigan and both and their 0:01:52.040 --> 0:01:54.160 sons who hung out at Long Bar. Now they had 0:01:54.200 --> 0:01:57.760 an interesting strategy. They played all five of the ten 0:01:57.840 --> 0:02:00.680 AM Pacific games. They said, we're gonna go bay or 0:02:00.720 --> 0:02:03.600 go home. If we hit them all, we're gonna start partying. 0:02:03.920 --> 0:02:06.320 If we don't do well, we'll forget about it. If 0:02:06.320 --> 0:02:07.920 we go three and two or four and one, then 0:02:07.920 --> 0:02:10.560 we'll have to study the results to uh. They were 0:02:10.560 --> 0:02:13.000 a half game out going in study the results to 0:02:13.040 --> 0:02:17.320 see about hedging. Then there were two entries at thirteen 0:02:17.440 --> 0:02:22.480 five excuse me, at fifteen UM three and one fifteen 0:02:22.520 --> 0:02:24.840 and a half points, but we're live to the Rams 0:02:25.320 --> 0:02:27.560 plus three and a half. And that was Al Cabong, 0:02:27.680 --> 0:02:31.600 who's James Selina's friend of East and your friend UH. 0:02:31.840 --> 0:02:36.600 Prolific contest winner both Westgate two thousand and fifteen, he 0:02:36.639 --> 0:02:39.120 one it all two thousand and sixteen, he finished third. 0:02:39.320 --> 0:02:43.200 He won the inaugural Visa in College Basketball Handicapping March 0:02:43.280 --> 0:02:47.240 Madness Tournament as well. And then and then another entry 0:02:47.320 --> 0:02:50.400 d s I. So it came down to this, either 0:02:50.639 --> 0:02:53.880 if if the Rams covered, then James Salinas and the 0:02:53.919 --> 0:02:57.160 other entry we're gonna split UH and get basically seventy 0:02:57.160 --> 0:03:02.320 two each. Or if Baltimore covered, then Booty Blockers and 0:03:02.440 --> 0:03:05.120 Michikan we're gonna win with sixteen points against seventy two 0:03:05.160 --> 0:03:09.280 thousand each. Three of the four entries hedged with us UM. 0:03:09.400 --> 0:03:13.400 James Hedge thirty thousand, UH at thirty thousand on Baltimore 0:03:13.520 --> 0:03:15.720 three and a half. Because the line stayed the same, 0:03:16.080 --> 0:03:18.480 he got thirty thousand that minus three and a half. 0:03:18.560 --> 0:03:20.480 Even you were you were the only guys who had 0:03:20.560 --> 0:03:23.120 even at that point in the day. The other entry, 0:03:23.680 --> 0:03:26.359 the other instry that was in his spot. I think 0:03:26.880 --> 0:03:29.800 at thirty seven thousand, almost halfing it halfing to win, 0:03:30.520 --> 0:03:34.880 and and then the Michigan group who eventually won heads 0:03:34.880 --> 0:03:38.360 thirteen thousand on Baltimore since if the Rams covered, they 0:03:38.400 --> 0:03:40.800 were going to get knocked out. So it was interesting 0:03:40.800 --> 0:03:42.800 the way it played out. Obviously it was a route. 0:03:42.880 --> 0:03:45.920 And uh, the Booty Blockers and Michikan split up on 0:03:46.600 --> 0:03:49.920 our first shared pool as we had had individual winners 0:03:49.920 --> 0:03:53.440 in quarter one and two, so it went seventeen seventeen 0:03:53.480 --> 0:03:55.240 and a half, and then quarter three the winners were 0:03:55.280 --> 0:03:58.360 at sixteen sixteen and four wins it and you said, 0:03:58.480 --> 0:04:00.760 and you said, Booty Blockers is now leading the whole thing. 0:04:00.840 --> 0:04:03.800 Boody Blockers, who wins quarter three has a two game 0:04:03.880 --> 0:04:07.080 lead over m J Tade forty three and a half 0:04:07.120 --> 0:04:09.720 to forty one and a half. CB Elite who won 0:04:09.760 --> 0:04:12.840 the first quarter is five points back at thirty eight 0:04:12.840 --> 0:04:15.320 and a half and Concrete and he's in thirteen tied 0:04:15.360 --> 0:04:19.240 fort and Concrete. Mike, who won the second quarter is 0:04:19.279 --> 0:04:21.760 tied for twenty nine at thirty seven, six and a 0:04:21.800 --> 0:04:24.839 half points back. Wow. Wow. That of course for the 0:04:24.880 --> 0:04:28.080 million dollar prize ten prizes cash and this is a 0:04:28.160 --> 0:04:31.240 five week quarterly because it's the seventeen week season, so 0:04:31.320 --> 0:04:33.440 this one is a five week and it begins Todd, 0:04:33.480 --> 0:04:35.480 We're all oh and oh again, we can all try 0:04:35.520 --> 0:04:40.839 to win a hundred forty three thousand dollars, okay, Todd. 0:04:41.000 --> 0:04:43.080 Todd is like, you know, when Arsenio Hall had Eddie 0:04:43.160 --> 0:04:45.280 Murphy on the show. Arsenio Hall and Eddie Burphy were 0:04:45.279 --> 0:04:47.480 great friends, and Eddie Murphy never used to come on 0:04:47.560 --> 0:04:50.040 the Arsenio Hall Late night show, and finally one day 0:04:50.080 --> 0:04:51.720 he decided to, and he decided he was going to 0:04:51.800 --> 0:04:53.920 be the worst guest ever, just to mess with our 0:04:53.960 --> 0:04:56.240 cideo and so our Cidio would ask him these long, 0:04:56.480 --> 0:05:04.240 very thoughtful questions and Eddie would go, yes, that's Todd today. Yes, Gil. 0:05:04.320 --> 0:05:06.599 I like to share a story at the beginning, please, 0:05:07.400 --> 0:05:11.679 Over the course of having a bit role on Vista, 0:05:11.760 --> 0:05:13.640 to begin with two and a half years ago, and 0:05:13.680 --> 0:05:16.120 then more of a role the last year being on 0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:18.839 My Guys and then other shows Mitch and Paul and 0:05:18.920 --> 0:05:23.440 your show. I've had literally hundreds, maybe even a thousand 0:05:23.520 --> 0:05:27.120 people come downtown to meet me, meet me and Derek 0:05:27.400 --> 0:05:30.040 at even though they're staying on the strip or somewhere else. 0:05:30.880 --> 0:05:33.119 Last week for the first time, I had two people 0:05:33.160 --> 0:05:36.000 come down because they listened to the megapod. Uh to 0:05:36.279 --> 0:05:38.880 two gentlemen. They live in other areas now, but one 0:05:38.880 --> 0:05:41.960 graduated from Iowa State and one from northern Iowa. And 0:05:42.040 --> 0:05:45.040 so I feel like I finally arrived. Now now now 0:05:45.120 --> 0:05:47.920 you have reached the big time. Yes, the megapod which 0:05:47.920 --> 0:05:50.560 is in its that was a great story. Mike, can 0:05:50.680 --> 0:05:52.680 can you give us another forty five seconds on on 0:05:52.760 --> 0:05:55.000 boring this? Todd? It was a story because it has 0:05:55.000 --> 0:05:56.640 to do with the Mega pond. Now I know how 0:05:56.720 --> 0:06:02.880 Dr Bob fell a ninth year of the megapod. Todd, 0:06:02.960 --> 0:06:05.560 don't knock it. The mega pod is you know what 0:06:05.640 --> 0:06:09.400 everyone listens to? Of course it is. UM let us 0:06:09.440 --> 0:06:12.080 begin then with any Thursday listen. We usually we've talked 0:06:12.120 --> 0:06:13.919 with Thursday night thoughts, and we're doing this on a 0:06:13.960 --> 0:06:18.359 Thursday today. UM. We will incorporate these into our best bets. 0:06:18.400 --> 0:06:22.080 But there are three Thanksgiving games, of course, Chicago at 0:06:22.120 --> 0:06:25.880 Detroit in the morning. Chicago now four point favorites across 0:06:25.920 --> 0:06:29.279 the board. As we learn that perhaps it's not Jeff 0:06:29.320 --> 0:06:32.320 Driscoll starting at quarterback for Detroit, it might be David 0:06:32.360 --> 0:06:36.120 Blow out of Purdue. Jeff Driscoll has a hamstring issue. 0:06:36.160 --> 0:06:38.560 He's day to day, so we'll see about that. Then 0:06:38.560 --> 0:06:41.240 as Dallas touchdown favorites at home against Buffalo and New 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:45.080 Orleans touchdown meaning seven point favorites on the road against 0:06:45.160 --> 0:06:48.560 Atlanta in the nightcap, are any of these games? First 0:06:48.560 --> 0:06:49.760 of all? Do you have any thoughts on any of 0:06:49.760 --> 0:06:51.320 these three games? And then are any of these into 0:06:51.360 --> 0:06:54.000 your best bets? Mikey, it's gonna take the under in 0:06:54.040 --> 0:06:57.479 the Bears. I know he loves that about it. I'll 0:06:57.480 --> 0:06:59.520 tell you y'all, this is gonna be a run range 0:07:00.040 --> 0:07:01.760 away train on the Bears. I wish I could have 0:07:01.839 --> 0:07:03.840 got one and a half like Mitch Moss took early 0:07:03.920 --> 0:07:07.039 in the week. Um, now, are you know we put 0:07:07.080 --> 0:07:09.960 the circuit contest lines out at ten am today, twenty 0:07:09.960 --> 0:07:13.200 four hours ahead of time because of the Thanksgiving games, 0:07:13.440 --> 0:07:16.960 and we got this at four and a half. Four 0:07:17.000 --> 0:07:19.320 and a half, yeah, four and a half. So what 0:07:19.360 --> 0:07:20.800 does that tell you where you think the money is 0:07:20.800 --> 0:07:25.520 gonna right there? Shading it already? Yes, already? Um, I 0:07:25.560 --> 0:07:28.120 don't know if I want to lay uh lay even 0:07:28.160 --> 0:07:31.560 three and a half right now? With with the m 0:07:31.640 --> 0:07:34.960 V p Mitch on the road. Um, but David Blow 0:07:35.120 --> 0:07:39.600 was nothing special at at Purdue, Todd, I am tempted 0:07:39.960 --> 0:07:43.080 to play under thirty eight here. I don't know I 0:07:43.440 --> 0:07:47.080 even though the line. What is it? Tell me what 0:07:47.120 --> 0:07:50.480 the line is before I start talking. Okay, don't Mike, 0:07:50.520 --> 0:07:53.280 don't tip your hands, just ask for it first. Well, 0:07:53.280 --> 0:07:55.200 he know I was gonna play this under any how, 0:07:55.200 --> 0:07:59.400 What is it now? Thirty two? Todd? Why don't you 0:07:59.440 --> 0:08:01.960 do what we are? Please do? Mike says thirty eight? 0:08:01.960 --> 0:08:05.880 I say no, it's thirty seven? Gil? What is it? Whoa? 0:08:06.280 --> 0:08:09.440 And we have another winner? All right? What's the total 0:08:09.480 --> 0:08:15.240 on the Dallas Buffalo game? First, here's my first best bet, 0:08:15.320 --> 0:08:20.440 Gil under forty seven. I'm gonna take a page out 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:23.720 of the Todd wish Ne Debbie Downer playbook and go 0:08:23.880 --> 0:08:26.880 Dallas under. As he's explained for many weeks why Dallas 0:08:26.920 --> 0:08:30.920 is a great under team because they want that. Yeah, 0:08:31.080 --> 0:08:34.520 I understand, but you still say it in every week. Uh. 0:08:34.800 --> 0:08:36.400 What what I want to say here, though, is this 0:08:36.440 --> 0:08:39.880 Bill's defense is ferocious, and I actually think this is 0:08:39.920 --> 0:08:42.320 my best bet under forty seven. But I like an 0:08:42.360 --> 0:08:45.640 opportunity here if Buffalo takes the lead early and you 0:08:45.679 --> 0:08:48.280 can still get them plus money in game. I'm gonna 0:08:48.320 --> 0:08:50.760 hammer the bills in this game. I think Dallas is 0:08:50.880 --> 0:08:53.120 right with their mentality to lose this game at home 0:08:53.160 --> 0:08:56.440 on Thanksgiving, and I believe in this Buffalo deepense. I 0:08:56.480 --> 0:08:58.520 also think Jake Allen can hurt you more with his 0:08:58.600 --> 0:09:00.840 feet than his arm. And the why is this number 0:09:00.840 --> 0:09:03.120 going up? I don't know how it open, but I'll 0:09:03.160 --> 0:09:06.040 go under. Josh Allen can also beat you with his 0:09:06.120 --> 0:09:08.600 feet in his arm, You said, Jake Allen, Josh Allen, 0:09:09.360 --> 0:09:16.280 that's all right, getting logan Allen. Um, it's an interesting 0:09:16.400 --> 0:09:18.160 that's all right. It's an interesting game. I mean one, 0:09:18.840 --> 0:09:20.920 you know, I said on the radio this morning, Dallas 0:09:20.960 --> 0:09:22.480 is six and five. They're one game up in the 0:09:22.559 --> 0:09:25.400 NFC East. If they're as good as they're supposed to be, 0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:28.880 right with all that talent, shouldn't they beat Buffalo handily? Like? 0:09:28.960 --> 0:09:31.480 Isn't this again because Buffalo hasn't beaten anybody Dallas, by 0:09:31.480 --> 0:09:33.520 the way, I hadn't beatn all that many great teams either, 0:09:33.840 --> 0:09:37.040 But buffalo schedule has really been patsy to this point. 0:09:37.320 --> 0:09:38.840 So there's that, and then there's this thing where you 0:09:38.840 --> 0:09:40.520 see if you turn on ESPN, all you see this 0:09:40.559 --> 0:09:43.440 morning is is this Jason Garrett's last game? You know, 0:09:43.559 --> 0:09:45.400 is he get if he if they if they this up, 0:09:45.440 --> 0:09:47.360 that it used up on ESPN. But if they mess 0:09:47.440 --> 0:09:49.800 this up, you know, is this the end of Jason Garrett? 0:09:49.800 --> 0:09:51.280 Based on what Jerry Jones had to say after that 0:09:51.320 --> 0:09:54.160 Patriots game where the Cowboys, by the way, completely got 0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:57.520 hosed on those phantom tripping penalties down the stretch, didn't 0:09:57.520 --> 0:10:00.199 give them a chance to perhaps win that game. Dak 0:10:00.200 --> 0:10:02.560 Prescott was nineteen of thirty three for two twelve against 0:10:02.559 --> 0:10:06.080 the Pats in that terrible weather, no touchdowns, one pick, 0:10:06.600 --> 0:10:08.120 It was not sacked at all. They were two of 0:10:08.200 --> 0:10:09.960 thirteen on third downs, but I mean the weather had 0:10:09.960 --> 0:10:11.840 a lot to do with that one. But Amori Cooper 0:10:11.880 --> 0:10:14.120 was held without a catch in that game. Patriots held 0:10:14.120 --> 0:10:16.439 the Cowboys without a touchdown for the first time this season. 0:10:16.720 --> 0:10:19.400 They basically took away Cooper and Jason Witten, as Bill 0:10:19.440 --> 0:10:22.720 Belichick is want to do, taken away your your biggest targets, 0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:25.160 and they stacked the box on first and second down. 0:10:25.160 --> 0:10:27.160 And then Jerry Jones after the game was like, you know, hey, 0:10:27.200 --> 0:10:30.800 that's all great, but special teams is coaching, and he 0:10:30.880 --> 0:10:35.080 was taking his coaches to task. Um Buffalo best record 0:10:35.240 --> 0:10:39.960 through eleven games since nineteen nineties six, they are at 0:10:39.960 --> 0:10:43.240 eight and three are the UH are the Buffalo Bills. 0:10:43.600 --> 0:10:45.839 This is a big test for them again, seven point dogs. 0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:48.040 Josh Allen was fifteen of twenty five and they're twenty 0:10:48.200 --> 0:10:51.520 three rout of Denver for two touchdowns, one pick, sacked one, 0:10:51.520 --> 0:10:54.319 Stevin Singletary twenty one for one oh six, and Frank 0:10:54.360 --> 0:10:57.480 Gore became the third leading rusher in NFL history. They 0:10:57.520 --> 0:11:00.200 limited the Broncos, did the Bills. They limited of the 0:11:00.200 --> 0:11:03.400 Broncos to one hundred and thirty four yards and nine 0:11:03.440 --> 0:11:08.760 first downs while forcing eight punts. So under Dallas, Buffalo, 0:11:08.880 --> 0:11:12.720 that is your play. That's your first best bet as well, Todd, 0:11:12.720 --> 0:11:15.480 any thoughts on either the first two early games. I 0:11:15.480 --> 0:11:17.280 I lean with mikey on that. I'm not going to 0:11:17.400 --> 0:11:18.960 use it as one of my picks, but I think 0:11:18.960 --> 0:11:22.360 he's right about this under UH, you know in the Cowboys, 0:11:22.440 --> 0:11:25.840 the Cowboys, Buffalo should be able to hold them down 0:11:25.880 --> 0:11:28.160 and Buffalo and We'll have a hard time scoring. So 0:11:28.720 --> 0:11:31.400 I like, I like what Mike's going with there and 0:11:31.440 --> 0:11:34.280 then New Orleans at Atlanta is the final of the 0:11:34.320 --> 0:11:36.719 three games. Any thoughts there, guys. I don't like it. 0:11:36.800 --> 0:11:39.640 I don't like it. I I I don't want to 0:11:39.679 --> 0:11:41.880 offend the people in the Southeast, but it's just a 0:11:41.960 --> 0:11:44.560 point of this. Seems like the late game is always 0:11:44.559 --> 0:11:47.520 an NFC South South game. Now. I remember when they 0:11:47.559 --> 0:11:50.240 used to have an NFC West game, And maybe it's 0:11:50.240 --> 0:11:55.120 a regional bias, but regional bias, but you know, having 0:11:55.360 --> 0:11:58.800 uh the Seahawks or play somebody here. I know they 0:11:58.840 --> 0:12:01.400 set the schedule away ahead of time, but it's just 0:12:01.559 --> 0:12:03.920 kind of a letdown game for me. I'd rather see 0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:06.240 Texas and Texas A and M. What's college football? We 0:12:06.280 --> 0:12:08.640 got Old miss in Mississippi State Thursday night. Yeah, by 0:12:08.640 --> 0:12:10.640 the way, I love Mississippi getting two and a half. 0:12:10.679 --> 0:12:12.559 And you were saying the wrong team is favorite in 0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:14.680 this one in your opinion, I really believe that. Look 0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:18.960 at the comparative scores against at SEC West schedule. Every 0:12:19.000 --> 0:12:22.720 team Mississippi State has been ten points closer to Mississippi 0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:25.280 has been ten points closer than Mississippi State. What I 0:12:25.320 --> 0:12:28.360 think Mississippi can score and uh, I think they're better 0:12:28.400 --> 0:12:30.200 on both sides of the ball. I like it. Do 0:12:30.240 --> 0:12:32.800 you like it better than Buffalo Dallas under? If you 0:12:32.840 --> 0:12:35.360 had one pick on Thursday, would you play the college one? Well, 0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.280 it's it's a road game in a rivalry game, so 0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:41.320 I'll stay with the Dallas play Okay, Dallas A Buffalo 0:12:41.440 --> 0:12:44.640 under is Mikey's first best bet. Uh, let's go to 0:12:44.679 --> 0:12:46.760 the real deal then, So that's Mike's first bet, Todd, 0:12:46.800 --> 0:12:48.720 what's yours? Well, First of all, if you don't want 0:12:48.760 --> 0:12:51.880 to watch New Orleans Atlanta at five o'clock five twenty 0:12:51.920 --> 0:12:55.520 local time here in Vegas on Thursday night, and you're 0:12:55.559 --> 0:12:58.280 sick of arguing with your relatives, come on down to 0:12:58.360 --> 0:13:03.400 the Orleans for to dremendous college basketball games where you 0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:06.440 can literally sit in the front row and heckle the 0:13:06.559 --> 0:13:09.000 crap out of those kids. After you make your in 0:13:09.200 --> 0:13:11.400 game bet, and if you have the over, you can 0:13:11.440 --> 0:13:14.640 just scream what what? Or if you have the under, 0:13:14.840 --> 0:13:18.360 slow down, or if the coaches are telling their players 0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:20.280 what to do, you can, you know, do the same 0:13:20.320 --> 0:13:22.120 thing as they're doing in s fantast Todd, this is 0:13:22.160 --> 0:13:24.760 not a local Las Vegas podcast, though, so that that 0:13:25.040 --> 0:13:27.240 only hit on like a very small percentage of the audience. 0:13:27.760 --> 0:13:30.120 You want to come, as Mike will tell you, for 0:13:30.200 --> 0:13:34.640 Thanksgiving is a destinations Okay, okay, Bill, come down of 0:13:34.640 --> 0:13:37.400 the Orleans to hear you screaming stuff like that. What's 0:13:37.440 --> 0:13:41.960 your first best bet? That my first my first best bet. 0:13:42.000 --> 0:13:45.120 I want to get a good number. I'm gonna go 0:13:45.280 --> 0:13:49.679 with the Carolina Panthers against the Doug Williams, I mean 0:13:49.760 --> 0:13:56.720 Clem Haskins led Washington Redskins Carolina minus ten. Is that 0:13:56.760 --> 0:14:00.400 the correct number? By the way. That is so I'll 0:14:00.400 --> 0:14:05.360 take the Carolina Panthers against the Washington Redskins. Why well, 0:14:05.679 --> 0:14:08.840 you may ask me who's the quarterback of the Redskins. 0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:13.240 I believe that's Clem Haskins or whatever name is, Dwayne Haskins. 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:17.320 I call him Clemt. The point is he spinks and 0:14:17.360 --> 0:14:20.760 I don't that when the Detroit gave them a gift win. 0:14:21.200 --> 0:14:24.920 Remember the Redskins got one touchdown on a kickoff return. 0:14:25.240 --> 0:14:30.080 They also got a couple more gifts field goal. They stink. 0:14:30.520 --> 0:14:34.440 Okay and Carolina at home. They seem to get their 0:14:34.480 --> 0:14:37.560 mojo back last week against New Orleans. All they have 0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:39.960 to do is whoop up on the Redskins by ten. 0:14:40.480 --> 0:14:42.840 I don't think there should be much of a problem. 0:14:42.880 --> 0:14:46.800 Haskins could throw three picks. Give me Carolina minus ten. Well, 0:14:46.840 --> 0:14:49.120 I hate to mush you here because my pre flop 0:14:49.160 --> 0:14:52.360 has really not been that good. That's an understatement, but 0:14:52.440 --> 0:14:55.000 I like Carolina minus ten too. On Guessing Lines on 0:14:55.040 --> 0:14:58.480 Monday with Chrissy Andrews from the South Point Hotel Casino 0:14:58.560 --> 0:15:01.360 Sports Book, the director of that sports hook. Uh, this 0:15:01.400 --> 0:15:02.720 was one of the three lines. First of all, let 0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:04.920 me just say this week thirteen, this was one of 0:15:04.960 --> 0:15:09.280 these guessing lines situations where nothing was that far off, Like, 0:15:09.400 --> 0:15:12.600 these are pretty tight these lines, and CAROLINEA minus ten. 0:15:13.160 --> 0:15:16.680 If I was searching for ones to like, that was 0:15:16.800 --> 0:15:19.400 kind of the one. And it was basically, as you said, Todd, 0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:22.240 just picking on Dwayne Haskins junior Dwayne Haskins Jr. Who 0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:25.200 was taking a selfie while the Redskins were in victory 0:15:25.240 --> 0:15:27.960 formation against the Lions last week, a game they had 0:15:28.000 --> 0:15:30.000 no business winning. They only had two hundred thirty total 0:15:30.040 --> 0:15:33.640 yards of offense. Uh. Dwayne Haskins only completed thirteen passes. 0:15:33.640 --> 0:15:35.760 He was thirteen of twenty nine for one fifty six, 0:15:36.000 --> 0:15:39.560 no touchdowns, one pick Zack three times. Redskins had eight 0:15:39.600 --> 0:15:41.920 penalties for sixty three yards. By the way, Josh Norman 0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:44.160 doesn't even play defense anymore, They only put him in 0:15:44.480 --> 0:15:47.880 on special teams. But Quentin Dunbar intercepted Jeff Dristco in 0:15:47.880 --> 0:15:50.520 the final minute Dustin Hopkins from thirty nine yards and 0:15:50.520 --> 0:15:52.400 the Redskins won their second game of the year. But 0:15:52.520 --> 0:15:54.920 nothing about that leads me to believe that the Panthers 0:15:54.960 --> 0:15:58.560 can't destroy them even in defeat. Carolina should have won 0:15:58.600 --> 0:16:00.560 that game, by the way, against New Orleans, it's amazing 0:16:00.600 --> 0:16:04.160 they didn't um Joey Sly really choked twenty eight yard 0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:06.760 field goal at the end. Kyle Allen is going to 0:16:06.840 --> 0:16:09.360 find Dj Moore. He is going to have a big 0:16:09.440 --> 0:16:11.680 day in the air, and Christian McCaffrey is going to 0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:13.400 fill up the box score, both on the ground and 0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:16.480 in the passing game as well. I like Carolina as well. 0:16:16.520 --> 0:16:18.440 I know it's given a whole bunch of points, but 0:16:18.560 --> 0:16:21.760 the Skins are as terrible as they were even before that. 0:16:21.800 --> 0:16:25.160 When Carolina minuston my best bet as well, Mike pick 0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:29.560 number two. What are we seen on the game? And Jacksonville, 0:16:30.480 --> 0:16:34.080 what are you looking for? The spread or the total. Uh, 0:16:34.120 --> 0:16:36.920 this is a pick them consensus. I I say that 0:16:36.960 --> 0:16:40.080 because I know Todd will play the total. Uh. I'm 0:16:40.120 --> 0:16:44.160 gonna take Sir Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 0:16:44.240 --> 0:16:50.280 at a pick wow. Wow, I think talk about the 0:16:50.280 --> 0:16:53.360 Toronto Maple leaves quitting on my Bagcock, I mean, what 0:16:53.360 --> 0:16:55.800 what is going on in Jacksonville the last two weeks 0:16:55.800 --> 0:16:59.640 at two division games where they just give us cower? Mike, 0:16:59.680 --> 0:17:02.360 you're out on the NHL network. Enough with the hockey. 0:17:02.400 --> 0:17:05.360 Come on, God, I don't say a skin word when 0:17:05.359 --> 0:17:12.320 you're given your lame mask against Wayne Haskins. House shut. 0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:19.040 That's awesome, But green Haskins is a football player, Mike. 0:17:19.640 --> 0:17:23.159 Enough of Clem Haskins. I think Jameis Winston they have 0:17:23.240 --> 0:17:27.040 the better team here. I know that they're prone to turnovers, 0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.439 but I know on a Jacksonville team that has nothing 0:17:29.480 --> 0:17:32.520 to play for, I thought this number would be too 0:17:32.800 --> 0:17:35.000 like the Buccaneers would be a two point favorite in 0:17:35.040 --> 0:17:37.440 this game, maybe two and a half. I just don't 0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:39.720 see Jacksonville beating them here. What do they have to 0:17:39.760 --> 0:17:42.800 play for? What they give up a hundred seventy points 0:17:43.160 --> 0:17:46.400 to Bright Hannah Hill last week in Tennessee. I'm going 0:17:46.400 --> 0:17:48.320 with Tampa Bay. Yeah, you know, a lot of what 0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:50.359 you said. By the way, there's a few Jacksonville minus 0:17:50.359 --> 0:17:52.639 ones out there, but consensus pick them. A lot of 0:17:52.640 --> 0:17:54.640 what you said could apply to Tampa Bay as well. 0:17:55.240 --> 0:17:57.160 But I get it because Tampa Bay at least shows 0:17:57.240 --> 0:17:59.080 up from time to time. They beat Atlanta thirty five 0:17:59.119 --> 0:18:01.920 to twenty two, beat him handily last week. Tampa Bay 0:18:01.920 --> 0:18:04.560 is such a weird team, right because like every week 0:18:05.080 --> 0:18:07.600 Jamis throws for over three hundred yards. I think he's 0:18:07.600 --> 0:18:10.840 done it five straight weeks now, uh six, excuse me, 0:18:10.960 --> 0:18:13.400 six straight weeks he's throwing for three hundred yards. But 0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:15.520 then there's bad Jamis. Right, He's been picked off in 0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.399 NFL high twenty times. So every time you're betting this, 0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:20.439 you're betting on good Jamis showing up. It was their 0:18:20.440 --> 0:18:21.840 second win, by the way for the Bucks in their 0:18:21.880 --> 0:18:24.480 last seven games. Last week. They did have four hundred 0:18:24.520 --> 0:18:27.439 forty six total yards against Atlanta, so I mean they 0:18:27.440 --> 0:18:30.200 can get it done. Chris Godwin filling up a statuet 0:18:30.240 --> 0:18:33.320 even more than Mike Evans uh and Jacksonville was just 0:18:33.600 --> 0:18:36.800 miserable against the Titans in that flurry in the third quarter. 0:18:36.960 --> 0:18:39.239 So Tampa Bay is a pick. Yeah, And I'd like 0:18:39.280 --> 0:18:42.640 to mention this too. In the common game where Jacksonville 0:18:42.680 --> 0:18:45.359 just got run out of Tennessee, Tampa Bay got totally 0:18:45.440 --> 0:18:48.800 jobbed in a game they should have won. On several accounts. 0:18:48.840 --> 0:18:51.320 They out gained them, they got a terrible call on 0:18:51.359 --> 0:18:54.320 a block field goal. I just think Tampa is a 0:18:54.320 --> 0:18:57.120 better team. Todd pick number two, I'm mourning you don't 0:18:57.160 --> 0:18:58.960 land on one that I have. Well, you know, I 0:18:59.000 --> 0:19:01.440 was thinking about going act to Tampa over, but I 0:19:01.440 --> 0:19:04.679 have a feeling that the overstreet could come to an 0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:08.000 end finally against jackson I think I'm gonna I may 0:19:08.119 --> 0:19:10.840 lay off Tampa over this week after I've you know, 0:19:11.080 --> 0:19:13.080 said Tampa over a thousand times in a row, and 0:19:13.080 --> 0:19:16.920 it's gone over a thousand times a row. So I 0:19:16.960 --> 0:19:20.080 am thinking about a different ballgame for my second pick, 0:19:20.480 --> 0:19:26.480 and that's gonna be the Oakland raid Is. Oakland raid 0:19:26.720 --> 0:19:30.840 Is got their asses handed to them, very similar to 0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:33.199 the way you guys got your asses handed to you 0:19:33.280 --> 0:19:36.480 in tennis. In the Las Vegas Invitational over and over, 0:19:36.960 --> 0:19:40.600 it was a very similar scenario where the Oakland Raiders 0:19:40.640 --> 0:19:44.040 lost thirties seven to through a thirty four to three 0:19:44.040 --> 0:19:47.720 against the New York Jets. Very surprising outcome with how 0:19:47.760 --> 0:19:50.320 well the Raiders have played this year. I don't think 0:19:50.320 --> 0:19:53.080 the Raiders are gonna play as bad and that probably 0:19:53.119 --> 0:19:56.520 got the attention of the boys. Uh Gruden probably said, 0:19:56.680 --> 0:19:59.760 knock on would if you're with me, men, because we're 0:19:59.760 --> 0:20:03.520 not getting blown out again. Now Here's why. Kansas City 0:20:03.760 --> 0:20:07.080 has a tendency to be very high scoring, but doesn't 0:20:07.119 --> 0:20:09.160 seem to be able to stop anyone. And they never 0:20:09.200 --> 0:20:12.280 seem to cover these big spreads because the back doors 0:20:12.280 --> 0:20:15.000 are always open. By the way, remember how early in 0:20:15.000 --> 0:20:17.760 the season when they crushed the Ravens and the Ravens 0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:19.959 still got the back door. We were all like, wow, 0:20:19.960 --> 0:20:22.679 he look glad they couldn't cover. Blah blah blah blah blah. 0:20:22.680 --> 0:20:26.000 Boy how things have changed. But anyways, they never seemed 0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:29.880 to cover these big numbers. If Oakland's down sixteen late, 0:20:30.160 --> 0:20:32.320 you've got a good chance to at least push or cover. 0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:36.399 I'm gonna take the ten points with the Raiders. I 0:20:36.400 --> 0:20:38.840 think they have a good offense. They have a crappy defense, 0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:41.400 but a good enough offense to get them back door 0:20:41.480 --> 0:20:44.360 touchdowns here and get inside the ten points. So give 0:20:44.359 --> 0:20:47.320 me Raiders plus ten. Todd, my friend, I am op 0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:50.720