WEBVTT - Bloomberg Wall Street Week: Ross, Brouillette, Langone

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week. What's the state of

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<v Speaker 1>corporate governance? The deficit is a real issue. The US

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<v Speaker 1>economy continues to send mixed signals, the financial stories that

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<v Speaker 1>keep our world fed, action to con concerns over dollar liquidity,

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<v Speaker 1>and encouraging China data. The five hundred wealthiest people in

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<v Speaker 1>the world. Through the eyes of the most influential voices

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<v Speaker 1>Larry Summers, the former Treasury Secretary, star Ward CEO, Kevin Johnson,

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<v Speaker 1>sec Chairman J Clayton. Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David

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<v Speaker 1>Weston from Bloomberg Radio. The issue is joined. Republicans lay

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<v Speaker 1>out a very different view of where we're headed, but

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<v Speaker 1>equity markets will They just seemed to keep on climbing

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<v Speaker 1>no matter what they hear. This is a special election

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<v Speaker 1>edition of Wall Street Week. I'm David Weston. President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>began rolling back Obama era regulations early in his administration

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<v Speaker 1>when he took the United States out of the Paris

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<v Speaker 1>Climate Accord. In order to fulfill my solemn duty to

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<v Speaker 1>protect America and its citizens, the United States will withdraw

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<v Speaker 1>from the Paris Climate a Court. The Trump administration also

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<v Speaker 1>lowered US vehicle emission standards, saying it would save automakers

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<v Speaker 1>one billion dollars in compliance costs. But just last week,

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<v Speaker 1>California finalized its own fuel efficiency agreements with five automakers

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<v Speaker 1>that are more closely in line with the Obama era standards.

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<v Speaker 1>The Trump administration has placed big emphasis on increasing use

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<v Speaker 1>and production of fossil fuels. Republicans and Democrats are far

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<v Speaker 1>apart on their climate policies, but Dan Briette, Secretary of Energy,

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<v Speaker 1>says it is possible to have a bipartisan energy plan.

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<v Speaker 1>Sure you can. I mean, natural gas is a very

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<v Speaker 1>clean source, and we're developing technologies here at the at

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<v Speaker 1>the U. S. Department of Energy to make it even cleaner.

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<v Speaker 1>We're also developing technologies to make you know, carbon intense

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<v Speaker 1>fuels like coal, even cleaner. And of course we always

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<v Speaker 1>you know, have had nuclear power for the last seventy years,

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<v Speaker 1>which is entirely emissions free. So I mean, you can

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<v Speaker 1>do both. You can have a renewal generation base and

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<v Speaker 1>you can have an emissions free baseload generation available to you.

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<v Speaker 1>Said to choose to do it, and I think that's

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<v Speaker 1>what the fundamental problem is in places like California, they've

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<v Speaker 1>relied too heavily or focused too heavily on renewable power

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<v Speaker 1>like wind and solar, at the exclusion of some of

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<v Speaker 1>this baseload power which you absolutely need in today's world

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<v Speaker 1>to ensure that you have the energy you need when

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<v Speaker 1>you need it. Prisoner Trump's administration has done a fair

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<v Speaker 1>amount and trying to really, as I say, reinforce energy

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<v Speaker 1>independence of United States, relying in part and significant partner

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<v Speaker 1>fossil fuels. What's left to be done if he's elected

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<v Speaker 1>for a second term, what's on your agenda, Well, we

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<v Speaker 1>need to continue to build out infrastructure. So you know,

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<v Speaker 1>as you and I have discussed in the past, we

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<v Speaker 1>have done a great job in America of increasing our production,

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<v Speaker 1>making ourselves energy independent, relying on new technologies, are new

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<v Speaker 1>work technologies like horizontal frack, horizontal drilling and fracking to

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<v Speaker 1>allow us to increase production of of these resources here

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<v Speaker 1>in the States. Our challenge today is actually getting the

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<v Speaker 1>product to market. It's building out pipeline infrastructure to get

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<v Speaker 1>it to the oceans, to get it to the coastlines.

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<v Speaker 1>It's building export facilities so that we can make this

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<v Speaker 1>oil and gas available to the rest of the world,

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<v Speaker 1>because they're going to continue to use these types of

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<v Speaker 1>fuels for the foreseeable future, perhaps as many as forty

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<v Speaker 1>to fifty years out. And I think it's important that

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<v Speaker 1>as we do this, we maintain our posture in the

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<v Speaker 1>world as the number one producer of oil and gas.

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<v Speaker 1>And the reason we'd like to do that is because

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<v Speaker 1>it gives us four policy options. The whole notion that

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<v Speaker 1>we are able to, you know, for instance, of Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>of State traveling to Sudan to perhaps normalize relations between

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<v Speaker 1>Sudan and Israel, to work on deals like the U

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<v Speaker 1>a E And Israel. Those things couldn't have happened forty

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<v Speaker 1>years ago because we would have been afraid of the

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<v Speaker 1>reaction in the Middle East, and perhaps we would have

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<v Speaker 1>endangered our national security by putting our oil supply at risk.

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<v Speaker 1>We were entirely dependent upon them. The fact that we

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<v Speaker 1>are independent today allows us to pursue these types of

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<v Speaker 1>foreign policy options. Energy is important in our society for

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts of reasons, but it also is the source

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<v Speaker 1>of a lot of employment. There are a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>jobs in the energy industry. And one place where the

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<v Speaker 1>repolis of the Democrats seem to be two ships passing

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<v Speaker 1>the night is how we're going to create more jobs.

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<v Speaker 1>We heard uh for Vice President Biden say he's going

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<v Speaker 1>to create millions and more jobs by going to green energy.

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<v Speaker 1>We heard Republicans criticize his positis for saying, you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>lose a lot of jobs, Which is it, aren't we

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<v Speaker 1>adding more jobs and renewables right now that we're adding

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<v Speaker 1>in traditional energy? Yeah? Well, I can't really comment on

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<v Speaker 1>Mr Biden's comments. As part of the campaign, I'm prohibited

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<v Speaker 1>from doing that, so I'll stay away from that. But

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<v Speaker 1>what I will comment on is that, you know, when

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<v Speaker 1>we look at the technologies that have put us at

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<v Speaker 1>the top of the world in terms of energy production,

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<v Speaker 1>hydraulic fraction we just mentioned, you know, the US Chamber

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<v Speaker 1>of Commerce tells me that if we were to do

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<v Speaker 1>away with that technology, we would lose approximately nineteen million

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<v Speaker 1>jobs over the next few years. And you know, it's

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<v Speaker 1>not a question of retraining those people and putting them

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<v Speaker 1>into renewable technologies. Certainly you can do that, and people

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<v Speaker 1>may be forced to do that if you if you

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<v Speaker 1>if you do away with this technology. But the challenge

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<v Speaker 1>with that, David, is that the salaries, according to the

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<v Speaker 1>unions that we have talked to, the salaries in the

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<v Speaker 1>oil and gas business are about twice what we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>in the renewable energy space. So it's one thing to

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<v Speaker 1>suggest that you might retrain people and put them into

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<v Speaker 1>a new role, which are also giving them a fifty

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<v Speaker 1>percent pay cut according to these Unionsas just briefly here

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<v Speaker 1>at the end, give us something of the investment you're

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<v Speaker 1>making a new technology of the Department Energy, Well, it's enormous.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, we're across the board. We spend about sixteen

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars a year just in basic science, basic research

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<v Speaker 1>that leads to these technologies that we just discussed. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>very excited about what's just over the horizon with regard

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<v Speaker 1>to advanced nuclear reactors. I think we're right on the

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<v Speaker 1>cusp of not only smaller reactors, higher density energy sources

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<v Speaker 1>for America that will be connected to micro grids in

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<v Speaker 1>some cases. We're also excited about moving perhaps even beyond

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<v Speaker 1>fision energy nuclear energy as we know it today, to

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<v Speaker 1>fusion energy. So it's a very exciting world that we're

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<v Speaker 1>about to face. Is there a real process with the

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<v Speaker 1>fusion energy people and talking about that forever? That's true, Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>they have been, but we've made real progress. We've turned

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<v Speaker 1>around some of the management issues around a large facility

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<v Speaker 1>in France known as the Eater Facility. But we also

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<v Speaker 1>have private sector companies here in the United States who

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<v Speaker 1>have made tremendous advances, General Atomic, several others out in California.

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<v Speaker 1>They're doing a great job. That was Secretary of Energy

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<v Speaker 1>Dan Briett. Coming up. President Trump is running on his

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<v Speaker 1>record of talking tough on trade. We talked with Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>of Commerce Wilburg Ross on what the President has accomplished

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<v Speaker 1>so far. That's next on walstret Week on Bloomberg. This

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<v Speaker 1>is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David Weston from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 1>As a candidate in two thousand sixteen, President Trump promised

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<v Speaker 1>to make trade deals that would be fair to American

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<v Speaker 1>workers and businesses. Over the past three years, he raised

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<v Speaker 1>harrifs on imports, renegotiated a trade deal with Canada, Mexico,

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<v Speaker 1>and broke in a Phase one deal with China. In

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<v Speaker 1>spite of some of the progress on the trade deal,

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<v Speaker 1>US exports to China fell by nearly eight percent from

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<v Speaker 1>and China continues to fall short of its promises to

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<v Speaker 1>buy US goods. The US trade deficit narrowed slightly in

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<v Speaker 1>June as global lockdown restrictions from COVID nineteen East, but

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<v Speaker 1>the recovery is expected to be uneven. We asked Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>of Commerce Wilburt Ross what President Trump has accomplished on

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<v Speaker 1>his trade agenda so far. Well, in terms of China,

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<v Speaker 1>a lot has been accomplished. On the enforcement side, we

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<v Speaker 1>really have been enforcing quite vigorously. You're familiar with the

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<v Speaker 1>actions we've taken on wild Way, You're familiar with the

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<v Speaker 1>actions that we've taken on ZTE, two major telecom companies.

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<v Speaker 1>Most recently, we've been working very hard are on the

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<v Speaker 1>semiconductive part of things, because while China does have technology,

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<v Speaker 1>we still have the best software design and the best

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<v Speaker 1>fabrication equipment for semiconductors, so we're trying to avoid them

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<v Speaker 1>taking unfair advantage of our technology. Technology is really important

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<v Speaker 1>because while protecting things like steel and aluminum help take

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<v Speaker 1>care of today's world, technology is tomorrow's world, So that's

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<v Speaker 1>a big deal. Very recently, we put on the entity

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<v Speaker 1>list of five hundred companies since two thousand and seventeen.

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<v Speaker 1>Awful lot of those are Chinese companies, and that's because

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<v Speaker 1>they are the ones that seem to be doing the

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<v Speaker 1>most to violate sanctions, to violate human rights, and most

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<v Speaker 1>recently also to create problems in Hong Kong. So that's

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<v Speaker 1>been a big, big series. And then of course you

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<v Speaker 1>have the tariffs, the Section three Old one tariffs that

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<v Speaker 1>USTR imposed on China. So the cumulative effect of ball

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<v Speaker 1>this is enormously greater than the long term camulative effect

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<v Speaker 1>of everything that had been done pre Trump, Mr Secretary,

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<v Speaker 1>As you think about a second for your term for

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<v Speaker 1>President Trump, there's a lot of concern that we may

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<v Speaker 1>be entering into what some people call a tech cold

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<v Speaker 1>war with China. Do you believe at the end of

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<v Speaker 1>four years with President Trump still in office, we would

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<v Speaker 1>be more disengaged with China when it comes to technology. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>first of all, in the Cold War and technology started

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<v Speaker 1>long before President Trump. It wasn't only under President Trump

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<v Speaker 1>that the Chinese was stealing intellectual property. Wasn't only under

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<v Speaker 1>President it in Trump that the Chinese were requiring joint

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<v Speaker 1>ventures and lo and behold, the joint venture partners required

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<v Speaker 1>technology transfers. So this abuse of technology, which you've called

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<v Speaker 1>the technology cold War, really had its origins many years

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<v Speaker 1>before the differences. President Trump is mounting the ramparts and

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<v Speaker 1>starting to defend US against the technology war. Then he's

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<v Speaker 1>doing it with the whole variety of measures that I've

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<v Speaker 1>described before. But he's doing it also in another way

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the big initiative that was just announced

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<v Speaker 1>about a billion dollars for further artificial intelligence research and

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<v Speaker 1>quantum computing research. Those are two of the most significant

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<v Speaker 1>technological advances yet to come, and so putting money here

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<v Speaker 1>helping our companies go further is a very good thing.

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<v Speaker 1>So there are two edges to what we're doing. The

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<v Speaker 1>one is clamping down on their abuses, and the other

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<v Speaker 1>is fostering US technology we've been helping to propagate in

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<v Speaker 1>the Congress Senator Cornyn's legislation relating to semiconductor funding so

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<v Speaker 1>that we can bring more fabs back to the US.

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<v Speaker 1>I hope the Congress will go along with that when

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<v Speaker 1>they go back into session, and if they do, that

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<v Speaker 1>will be a very very good thing for America. Secretary

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<v Speaker 1>was one of the things that we have heard a

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<v Speaker 1>good deal out of out of the Trump administration is

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<v Speaker 1>the fact that the coronavirus originated in China. There is

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of concern that they were not forthcoming and

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<v Speaker 1>disclosing what happened, a lot of blame and finger point.

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<v Speaker 1>Let's be frank, is there any serious contemplation of possible

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<v Speaker 1>sanctions against China coming out of the coronavirus and how

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<v Speaker 1>they handle it seen sanctions for the Trunk Administration in

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<v Speaker 1>other situations. We believe that they did not handle the

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<v Speaker 1>coronavirus very well. Nobody knows right now whether the original

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<v Speaker 1>outburst was something deliberate, was it leakage from a laboratory

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<v Speaker 1>that was inadvertent, or how it exactly started. But what

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<v Speaker 1>we do know is that at the same time as

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<v Speaker 1>they blocked air travel from Wuhan to Beijing, Shanghai and

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<v Speaker 1>other big Chinese cities, they didn't block travel to the US,

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<v Speaker 1>to Europe and to Africa. That was a deliberate decision,

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<v Speaker 1>and obviously that contributed mightily to the spread of coronavirus

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<v Speaker 1>to the United States. Second, they've not been very forthcoming

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<v Speaker 1>to our health authorities about what was actually going on

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<v Speaker 1>over there, and in fact, designed to stand it. They've

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<v Speaker 1>now prohibited their virologists from doing joint papers with American

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<v Speaker 1>virologists trying to sort through coronavirus, So those are not

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<v Speaker 1>very helpful things. There's those some severe question as to

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<v Speaker 1>how forthcoming they were in their relations with the w

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<v Speaker 1>t O. So there's a lot to worry about in

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<v Speaker 1>their handling of coronavirus. But be that as it may,

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<v Speaker 1>it's pretty clear on a national basis, and incidents of

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<v Speaker 1>new cases is coming down quite a bit. Had been

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<v Speaker 1>up around seventy six thousand on a seven day average.

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<v Speaker 1>Now it's down into forty thousand, so it's still too many,

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<v Speaker 1>but direction of change is a very good one. Plus

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<v Speaker 1>every day we're having announcements about a potential cure, every

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<v Speaker 1>day we're having announcements about a potential vaccine. We're going

0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 1>to get there and want to get there pretty quickly.

0:14:05.960 --> 0:14:10.319
<v Speaker 1>We will get this ugly monster under control. And the

0:14:10.400 --> 0:14:15.000
<v Speaker 1>decisive action taken by the President both cutting off travel

0:14:16.120 --> 0:14:22.480
<v Speaker 1>to China early on despite the objections of Nancy Pelosi

0:14:22.520 --> 0:14:26.000
<v Speaker 1>and Joe Biden, was a very wise thing. That was

0:14:26.120 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 1>U s Commerce Secretary Wilburt Ross coming up. The US

0:14:29.880 --> 0:14:33.560
<v Speaker 1>healthcare system is facing its biggest test from COVID nineteen.

0:14:34.080 --> 0:14:36.280
<v Speaker 1>We talked with Ken Langon, chairman of the n y

0:14:36.400 --> 0:14:39.600
<v Speaker 1>U Langon Medical Center about what the pandemic says about

0:14:39.600 --> 0:14:42.720
<v Speaker 1>our health care system. That's next on Wall Street Week

0:14:43.000 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David

0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:56.040
<v Speaker 1>Weston from Bloomberg Radio. COVID nineteen is shining a light

0:14:56.080 --> 0:14:59.080
<v Speaker 1>on the state of healthcare in the United States. President

0:14:59.080 --> 0:15:01.320
<v Speaker 1>Trump has made no secret of what he thinks of

0:15:01.320 --> 0:15:07.160
<v Speaker 1>the Affordable Care Act. We have to repeal and replace Obamacare.

0:15:08.640 --> 0:15:12.520
<v Speaker 1>We can repeal it, but the best is repeal and

0:15:12.560 --> 0:15:16.360
<v Speaker 1>replace and let's get going. President Trump's Jobs and Tax

0:15:16.440 --> 0:15:20.600
<v Speaker 1>Cuts Active seventeen scrapped the c A individual mandate, but

0:15:20.680 --> 0:15:22.920
<v Speaker 1>his request for the Supreme Court to strike down the

0:15:23.080 --> 0:15:26.600
<v Speaker 1>entire law is still pending. Healthcare spending grew four point

0:15:26.640 --> 0:15:31.400
<v Speaker 1>six two eighteen, reaching three point six trillion dollars. Healthcare

0:15:31.440 --> 0:15:34.200
<v Speaker 1>expenditures as a share of the nation's GDP has been

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:37.480
<v Speaker 1>growing steadily as tax revenue as a share of GDP

0:15:37.720 --> 0:15:41.000
<v Speaker 1>comes down. We asked Ken Langne, chair of the board

0:15:41.000 --> 0:15:42.880
<v Speaker 1>of Trustees of n y U Land Gone and co

0:15:42.960 --> 0:15:46.320
<v Speaker 1>founder of home Depot, what COVID nineteen taught us about

0:15:46.440 --> 0:15:53.080
<v Speaker 1>US healthcare. The virus to me is rapidly receding an

0:15:53.080 --> 0:15:58.000
<v Speaker 1>impact and importance. For example, the results in New York

0:15:58.000 --> 0:16:01.400
<v Speaker 1>City hospitals are dramatically lower than they were back in April.

0:16:01.800 --> 0:16:06.760
<v Speaker 1>We whether it's heard immunity, whether it's compliance or not,

0:16:06.920 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 1>if you wear a mask, everybody wore a mask, the

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:14.000
<v Speaker 1>problem would go away, because that's the easiest way to

0:16:14.120 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 1>convey inflections. So I am very optimistic about how we're

0:16:19.080 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 1>learning to deal with it. For example, one of the

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 1>things we learned about an m y U was we

0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 1>had patients who have IT lying prone, lying on their bellies,

0:16:29.760 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 1>and believe it or not, it had a significant effect

0:16:33.440 --> 0:16:37.120
<v Speaker 1>on their dependence on a ventilator, which if you don't

0:16:37.160 --> 0:16:39.440
<v Speaker 1>have to put somebody in the ventilator, God, please don't.

0:16:40.680 --> 0:16:46.800
<v Speaker 1>I think we've addressed the issue of supply of PPE successfully,

0:16:46.880 --> 0:16:49.360
<v Speaker 1>and I think the pharmaceutical industry, by the way, deserves

0:16:49.360 --> 0:16:52.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot of credit the effort they've all made collectively,

0:16:52.920 --> 0:16:57.880
<v Speaker 1>not with a profit motive. Uh. I believe, based upon

0:16:58.640 --> 0:17:02.160
<v Speaker 1>hearing people smarter than me, that will have at least

0:17:02.240 --> 0:17:08.160
<v Speaker 1>one successful vaccine by Christmas, and maybe more, maybe more,

0:17:08.240 --> 0:17:12.879
<v Speaker 1>maybe multiples are one. Uh. I think there's there's there's

0:17:12.920 --> 0:17:18.560
<v Speaker 1>the anybody therapy, which looks very promising and that could

0:17:18.600 --> 0:17:22.000
<v Speaker 1>be now. That doesn't prevent you from getting it, but

0:17:22.160 --> 0:17:24.480
<v Speaker 1>God forbid, if you get it, it's going to be

0:17:24.600 --> 0:17:28.800
<v Speaker 1>very helpful in treating you. And and if you haven't

0:17:28.800 --> 0:17:31.679
<v Speaker 1>had it, it might give you an immunity for a

0:17:31.680 --> 0:17:34.320
<v Speaker 1>couple of months of the vaccine obviously is meant to

0:17:34.320 --> 0:17:39.720
<v Speaker 1>have a longer duration as with any issue. I think

0:17:39.720 --> 0:17:43.280
<v Speaker 1>the President made some good decisions. I think he made

0:17:43.320 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 1>some unwise decisions. The good decision was jumping on it

0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:52.600
<v Speaker 1>right away regarding flights in from China. I wish she

0:17:52.680 --> 0:17:55.520
<v Speaker 1>had a different stand on mask because I said earlier,

0:17:55.920 --> 0:17:59.960
<v Speaker 1>but mass to me a very critical part of the defense. Again,

0:18:00.000 --> 0:18:03.879
<v Speaker 1>it's a pandemic, so I wish that he had embraced

0:18:04.280 --> 0:18:09.440
<v Speaker 1>masks sooner and more enthusiastically. I would feel better if

0:18:09.440 --> 0:18:13.440
<v Speaker 1>he had a little higher regard for the pharmaceutical industry.

0:18:13.440 --> 0:18:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Not let me say this to you, David, and I

0:18:15.359 --> 0:18:17.960
<v Speaker 1>want to warn you when I in a spirit offul disclosure,

0:18:18.520 --> 0:18:22.000
<v Speaker 1>I am a very major investment in healthcare industry, in

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:26.200
<v Speaker 1>a number of companies, my biggest position in the industry

0:18:26.240 --> 0:18:30.840
<v Speaker 1>being Eli Lily. I give the industry straight aged for

0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:33.840
<v Speaker 1>pulling together in the last four months and doing what

0:18:33.960 --> 0:18:35.639
<v Speaker 1>they could to help the country out of this more

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:40.479
<v Speaker 1>ask uh. I think the effort they're all making now

0:18:40.560 --> 0:18:44.760
<v Speaker 1>on a vaccine, it's very good, and I think the motive,

0:18:44.880 --> 0:18:48.679
<v Speaker 1>thank god, it is not their bottom line, but alleviate

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.920
<v Speaker 1>the tragedy that it's had on humanity around the world.

0:18:53.080 --> 0:18:56.240
<v Speaker 1>And that's that's the name one of the redeeming features

0:18:56.280 --> 0:19:00.679
<v Speaker 1>of the pharmaceuticals. So I would He's done a lot

0:19:00.720 --> 0:19:06.000
<v Speaker 1>of great things, and I wish he had done his

0:19:06.359 --> 0:19:11.320
<v Speaker 1>his passion for this hydrochloric quam for me. Uh, I'm not.

0:19:11.640 --> 0:19:14.360
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it was merrited. I don't think it's

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:17.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't even like the drug that they thought it

0:19:17.240 --> 0:19:21.200
<v Speaker 1>would be. It has purposes, it's been around a long time,

0:19:21.280 --> 0:19:24.360
<v Speaker 1>and it's effective for different conditions that it might help

0:19:24.760 --> 0:19:29.679
<v Speaker 1>a few people through the through the infection of COVID.

0:19:30.480 --> 0:19:33.480
<v Speaker 1>But so what I'm saying is I liked some of

0:19:33.560 --> 0:19:38.680
<v Speaker 1>the things he did. I like the fact that because

0:19:38.720 --> 0:19:40.600
<v Speaker 1>they were they were arguing with each other in the

0:19:40.760 --> 0:19:43.440
<v Speaker 1>last couple of weeks, that he issued an executive order

0:19:44.480 --> 0:19:49.840
<v Speaker 1>to help out. I'm I'm thrilled with his compassion and

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:53.760
<v Speaker 1>a sensitivity to the health care delivery system we have

0:19:53.880 --> 0:19:56.600
<v Speaker 1>in America. Because n y U we lost in one

0:19:56.680 --> 0:20:00.440
<v Speaker 1>month million dollars. There were hospitals in New York that

0:20:00.560 --> 0:20:04.199
<v Speaker 1>lost even more than we did. And thank god they

0:20:04.280 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 1>got that first bill through and nominally it's alone. Uh,

0:20:11.280 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 1>if it is a loan, we have to play it back.

0:20:13.440 --> 0:20:15.520
<v Speaker 1>That means we lost five of a million because don't

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:18.840
<v Speaker 1>forget in that period of time we stopped doing everything

0:20:18.920 --> 0:20:23.600
<v Speaker 1>except dealing with COVID patients. We will overwhelmed the number

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:25.760
<v Speaker 1>of people that came in, so we had nothing. We

0:20:25.840 --> 0:20:29.280
<v Speaker 1>could do nothing but focus on dealing for the epidemic

0:20:29.359 --> 0:20:32.840
<v Speaker 1>of the pandemic. So that's the best dancer I can

0:20:32.880 --> 0:20:35.440
<v Speaker 1>give it. That was Ken Lane Gone Home Depot, co

0:20:35.600 --> 0:20:37.920
<v Speaker 1>founder and chairman of the n y U Land Gone

0:20:38.240 --> 0:20:41.159
<v Speaker 1>Medical Center. Coming up, we wrap up the week with

0:20:41.240 --> 0:20:45.120
<v Speaker 1>our special contributor Larry Summers. This is Wall Street Week

0:20:45.640 --> 0:20:54.440
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg. This is Bloomberg Wall Street Week with David

0:20:54.520 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 1>Weston from Bloomberg Radio to take us through the economy

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:00.480
<v Speaker 1>under President Trump. We convene now our virtual round table

0:21:00.560 --> 0:21:03.800
<v Speaker 1>contributors Larry Summers, who served under President Clinton as treasure

0:21:03.840 --> 0:21:06.440
<v Speaker 1>Secretary and then as the Director of the National Economic

0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.359
<v Speaker 1>Council under President Obama and Glenn Hubbard, who served as

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors under President George W. Bush.

0:21:12.840 --> 0:21:15.639
<v Speaker 1>So let me start since we're telling a candidate for

0:21:15.760 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 1>President Trump on the Republican side, Glen, let me start

0:21:17.920 --> 0:21:20.880
<v Speaker 1>with you. When you hear the plans that were being

0:21:20.920 --> 0:21:22.919
<v Speaker 1>told for the second four years, will they get us

0:21:23.000 --> 0:21:27.040
<v Speaker 1>that full employment? The President Trump that really promised. Well.

0:21:27.119 --> 0:21:29.920
<v Speaker 1>I think conventions are obviously great theater. The President was

0:21:30.000 --> 0:21:32.360
<v Speaker 1>pointing back to the pre COVID world, and he could

0:21:32.440 --> 0:21:35.600
<v Speaker 1>point to some good successes. He did have success with

0:21:35.720 --> 0:21:40.120
<v Speaker 1>the economy. Unemployment was very low, market valuations were very high.

0:21:40.520 --> 0:21:44.280
<v Speaker 1>GDP growth was solid. I think he could well point

0:21:44.359 --> 0:21:47.440
<v Speaker 1>to the Tax Cut and Jobs Act, and he could

0:21:47.480 --> 0:21:51.720
<v Speaker 1>point to his regulatory agenda, having said that there's uncertainty

0:21:51.760 --> 0:21:55.440
<v Speaker 1>about trade policy, and what missing was missing to me

0:21:55.840 --> 0:21:58.560
<v Speaker 1>was a sense more of the future. He talks about

0:21:58.640 --> 0:22:02.000
<v Speaker 1>make America great again, to see make America flourish again,

0:22:02.119 --> 0:22:05.160
<v Speaker 1>what would it take to get every American to participate

0:22:05.359 --> 0:22:09.000
<v Speaker 1>and prosper. I think their ideas there on the Republican side,

0:22:09.080 --> 0:22:10.960
<v Speaker 1>but I wish more of them had been at the

0:22:11.000 --> 0:22:13.680
<v Speaker 1>geop convention. So Larry, let me bring you in on

0:22:13.760 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 1>the other side of this, as it were, is what

0:22:16.240 --> 0:22:19.119
<v Speaker 1>you heard from foreign Vice President Biden going against the

0:22:19.119 --> 0:22:21.119
<v Speaker 1>full employment either when he's talking about something a three

0:22:21.160 --> 0:22:23.359
<v Speaker 1>point eight trillion dollars in new taxes. Is that what

0:22:23.440 --> 0:22:26.720
<v Speaker 1>this economy needs right now? This economy needs a serious

0:22:26.800 --> 0:22:30.800
<v Speaker 1>program of public investment. And some part of that public

0:22:31.119 --> 0:22:35.520
<v Speaker 1>investment program will pay for itself. And some part of

0:22:35.600 --> 0:22:39.480
<v Speaker 1>that public investment program is rational to finance with debt,

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:43.600
<v Speaker 1>but some part of that public investment program probably should

0:22:43.640 --> 0:22:48.080
<v Speaker 1>be paid for with tax increases, especially when those taxes

0:22:48.160 --> 0:22:52.440
<v Speaker 1>increases would make the economy fairer and would also make

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:57.920
<v Speaker 1>the economy more efficient. We don't serve any useful purpose

0:22:58.680 --> 0:23:03.119
<v Speaker 1>by failing to elect billion dollars a year, most of

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:06.200
<v Speaker 1>it from the highest income people, because we don't do

0:23:06.320 --> 0:23:10.760
<v Speaker 1>a competent job of enforcing the tax law. We could

0:23:10.800 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 1>move towards fixing that and raise a trillion dollars over

0:23:13.640 --> 0:23:18.040
<v Speaker 1>the next decade from high income people and close tax shelters.

0:23:18.119 --> 0:23:21.880
<v Speaker 1>At the same time, we've got a variety of loopholes

0:23:21.960 --> 0:23:27.280
<v Speaker 1>and special breaks that divert resources into inefficient uses and

0:23:27.760 --> 0:23:32.080
<v Speaker 1>cost the government a ton of revenue. The famous carried

0:23:32.119 --> 0:23:38.080
<v Speaker 1>interest provision is one example. UH. In that regard, those

0:23:38.119 --> 0:23:43.480
<v Speaker 1>are candidates for rational tax reform that at the same

0:23:43.600 --> 0:23:48.760
<v Speaker 1>time would finance government doing what it UH needs to do.

0:23:49.560 --> 0:23:53.040
<v Speaker 1>I'm for that. I think there are people who have

0:23:53.240 --> 0:23:56.920
<v Speaker 1>the idea that, caused by envy, we should have tax

0:23:57.040 --> 0:24:00.320
<v Speaker 1>increases in order to tear down the rich. I think

0:24:00.359 --> 0:24:03.119
<v Speaker 1>that would be a mistake. There are people who have

0:24:03.280 --> 0:24:06.080
<v Speaker 1>the idea that we should have tax increases for the

0:24:06.200 --> 0:24:09.719
<v Speaker 1>sake of having tax increases, or just as a device

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:14.440
<v Speaker 1>for reducing the deficit. I think that's a mistake. But

0:24:14.960 --> 0:24:18.560
<v Speaker 1>should we pay for some portion over time of the

0:24:19.560 --> 0:24:24.320
<v Speaker 1>huge public investment we need? Yes, I think uh we should.

0:24:24.440 --> 0:24:27.120
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's the spirit in which Vice President

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:31.639
<v Speaker 1>Biden has talked about tax increases. And so Glenn, what

0:24:31.680 --> 0:24:33.399
<v Speaker 1>about it year from Larry that it's a matter of

0:24:33.440 --> 0:24:35.800
<v Speaker 1>public investment, which really is what we need right now.

0:24:36.240 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>On the Republican side, for President Trump, we said let's

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:40.920
<v Speaker 1>cut the cattital gains tax. Well, private investment is that

0:24:41.119 --> 0:24:43.720
<v Speaker 1>the most efficient way really of getting investment? Where is

0:24:43.840 --> 0:24:47.120
<v Speaker 1>Larry right? Well? I think public investment is very important.

0:24:47.200 --> 0:24:50.440
<v Speaker 1>We need a strong infrastructure program, not just physical but

0:24:50.600 --> 0:24:53.840
<v Speaker 1>also technological. We're seeing that play out before our very eyes.

0:24:54.359 --> 0:24:57.600
<v Speaker 1>It's hard to disagree with Larry on issues like avoiding

0:24:57.880 --> 0:25:00.760
<v Speaker 1>tax avoidance. Of course we should do that. Having said that,

0:25:01.400 --> 0:25:05.040
<v Speaker 1>is Vice President Biden serious about a large tax increase

0:25:05.119 --> 0:25:08.520
<v Speaker 1>on business and business owners in a recession or an

0:25:08.560 --> 0:25:12.320
<v Speaker 1>incipient recovery. We've got very large proposed increases in the

0:25:12.400 --> 0:25:16.359
<v Speaker 1>corporation tax and individual tax rates, and the most radical

0:25:16.440 --> 0:25:18.920
<v Speaker 1>expansion of the payroll tax. Not to be used for

0:25:19.000 --> 0:25:21.960
<v Speaker 1>seal security, but do you be used for other purposes?

0:25:22.480 --> 0:25:24.440
<v Speaker 1>So the Biden plan may have been developed at a

0:25:24.520 --> 0:25:26.560
<v Speaker 1>time and a place, but we're not at that time

0:25:26.640 --> 0:25:28.840
<v Speaker 1>in that place. So while I don't disagree with Larry,

0:25:29.400 --> 0:25:32.320
<v Speaker 1>it's not really the Biden plan. Okay, so fairly quickly,

0:25:32.440 --> 0:25:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Larry sort of more or less yes or no? Do

0:25:34.600 --> 0:25:37.520
<v Speaker 1>you think Vice President Biden is serious about that three

0:25:37.560 --> 0:25:40.720
<v Speaker 1>point a trillion dollar tax increase? I think Vice President

0:25:40.800 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 1>Biden is serious about a major increase in public investment

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:50.159
<v Speaker 1>and paying for an important part of it, though not

0:25:50.359 --> 0:25:53.760
<v Speaker 1>necessarily all of it, and I think that's the right

0:25:53.880 --> 0:25:57.400
<v Speaker 1>thing to do. I do not think that it's anybody's

0:25:57.520 --> 0:26:01.640
<v Speaker 1>intention to impose a may your new set of austerity

0:26:02.320 --> 0:26:06.440
<v Speaker 1>on the current economy. Glenn and I may have a disagreement.

0:26:06.840 --> 0:26:11.000
<v Speaker 1>Uh the business community before the Trump tax cuts thought

0:26:11.080 --> 0:26:13.840
<v Speaker 1>it would be fantastic if the corporate tax rate were

0:26:13.880 --> 0:26:19.640
<v Speaker 1>cut to. In fact it was cut to. There were

0:26:19.960 --> 0:26:23.400
<v Speaker 1>a set of tax cuts proposed for non corporate businesses

0:26:23.480 --> 0:26:27.080
<v Speaker 1>that nobody was even asking for. I think we should

0:26:27.119 --> 0:26:31.359
<v Speaker 1>repeal and replace some of that and use the revenues

0:26:31.880 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 1>to push the economy forward for everyone. And I think

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:39.440
<v Speaker 1>that is the right thing to do, and that's the

0:26:39.520 --> 0:26:42.480
<v Speaker 1>spirit of the of the Biden plan. As I understand, Larry,

0:26:42.520 --> 0:26:44.639
<v Speaker 1>I think you get old victory lap this week, because

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:46.960
<v Speaker 1>over five years ago you wrote in the Financial Times

0:26:47.000 --> 0:26:49.480
<v Speaker 1>and I'll quote it, the FED could inject much needed

0:26:49.560 --> 0:26:52.879
<v Speaker 1>confidence in the economy today and minimize future risks by

0:26:52.920 --> 0:26:55.960
<v Speaker 1>announcing and following a strategy of not raising rates until

0:26:56.000 --> 0:26:58.800
<v Speaker 1>it sees the whites of inflations eyes now as best

0:26:58.880 --> 0:27:01.320
<v Speaker 1>I understand. That's sore. Know what j Pal said this week,

0:27:01.359 --> 0:27:03.240
<v Speaker 1>isn't it? I think it's more or less exactly what

0:27:03.400 --> 0:27:06.520
<v Speaker 1>he said. I think he said two important things. He

0:27:06.800 --> 0:27:10.520
<v Speaker 1>made clear that the two percent figure was a two

0:27:10.600 --> 0:27:14.480
<v Speaker 1>sided target, and after a decade of being below two percent,

0:27:14.680 --> 0:27:16.440
<v Speaker 1>it would be okay with him if we were above

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:19.840
<v Speaker 1>two percent for a while and we weren't being religious

0:27:19.880 --> 0:27:22.920
<v Speaker 1>about two percent as the ceiling. That's what I and

0:27:23.040 --> 0:27:26.480
<v Speaker 1>many others have been advocating for a long time. And

0:27:27.160 --> 0:27:31.239
<v Speaker 1>he also said that he was gonna reject what has

0:27:31.320 --> 0:27:34.960
<v Speaker 1>been a FED staff preoccupation for a long time, the

0:27:35.000 --> 0:27:40.560
<v Speaker 1>Phillips curve idea that we should stop the party before

0:27:40.600 --> 0:27:44.840
<v Speaker 1>it gets started by raising rates when it looks like

0:27:45.000 --> 0:27:47.919
<v Speaker 1>the economy is going to be really strong and unemployment

0:27:48.119 --> 0:27:51.159
<v Speaker 1>is going to be low, and wages are gonna rise fast,

0:27:51.400 --> 0:27:55.120
<v Speaker 1>and the last last people to be hired are gonna

0:27:55.200 --> 0:27:58.760
<v Speaker 1>be hired, and employers are going to be reaching for

0:27:59.560 --> 0:28:05.720
<v Speaker 1>less guild workers and those with some blot on their backgrounds. UH,

0:28:05.960 --> 0:28:10.760
<v Speaker 1>that we're not gonna cut off economies growth when those

0:28:10.880 --> 0:28:17.320
<v Speaker 1>kinds of things happen until we actually see inflation materialized.

0:28:17.359 --> 0:28:21.360
<v Speaker 1>And I think those are too welcome, welcome and frankly

0:28:21.480 --> 0:28:27.240
<v Speaker 1>overdue changes in UH perspective from the fat there are

0:28:27.320 --> 0:28:32.119
<v Speaker 1>things that I've been calling for for half a dozen years,

0:28:32.600 --> 0:28:36.760
<v Speaker 1>UH in recognition of the fact that our economy's basic

0:28:36.920 --> 0:28:42.840
<v Speaker 1>problem isn't an inflationary gap. It's a deflationary gap where

0:28:43.360 --> 0:28:48.240
<v Speaker 1>savings succeeds investment, and that pushes interest rates too far down,

0:28:48.960 --> 0:28:53.920
<v Speaker 1>causes UH money to flow into liquid assets that then

0:28:54.000 --> 0:28:58.920
<v Speaker 1>get inflated and caused bubbles, and UH risks too much

0:28:59.000 --> 0:29:02.000
<v Speaker 1>sluggishness in the economy. So I think the FED has

0:29:02.680 --> 0:29:06.680
<v Speaker 1>moved to substantial distance in the right direction. I think

0:29:06.760 --> 0:29:10.760
<v Speaker 1>they've still got some way to go UH in terms

0:29:10.800 --> 0:29:13.520
<v Speaker 1>of recognizing the limits of what they're able to do

0:29:13.840 --> 0:29:17.320
<v Speaker 1>and putting the right kind of pressure on other policies

0:29:17.800 --> 0:29:21.160
<v Speaker 1>to push demand forward. Well, let's talk about those limits exactly, Gland.

0:29:21.360 --> 0:29:24.120
<v Speaker 1>Let's assume you agree with Larry essentially more or less

0:29:24.240 --> 0:29:25.960
<v Speaker 1>better late than never. But at the same time, is

0:29:26.120 --> 0:29:28.880
<v Speaker 1>this the cure for what ails us right now? Because

0:29:28.920 --> 0:29:30.800
<v Speaker 1>this doesn't get rid of the coronavirus, it doesn't get

0:29:30.840 --> 0:29:33.680
<v Speaker 1>increased productivity, it doesn't get growth going necessarily, does it.

0:29:34.440 --> 0:29:36.520
<v Speaker 1>I think it's a it's a good step. I too

0:29:36.600 --> 0:29:39.800
<v Speaker 1>have called for average inflation targeting for some time, but

0:29:39.920 --> 0:29:42.040
<v Speaker 1>it's not a free launch. I mean, it does give

0:29:42.080 --> 0:29:44.320
<v Speaker 1>the FED room to let the economy run hot. It's

0:29:44.320 --> 0:29:47.240
<v Speaker 1>a good thing. It gives room for interest rates and

0:29:47.400 --> 0:29:49.560
<v Speaker 1>you curve to steepen that too, would be a good

0:29:49.600 --> 0:29:54.200
<v Speaker 1>thing in the present environment. However, it may cause misallocation

0:29:54.760 --> 0:29:58.920
<v Speaker 1>in capital markets relative to say, a fiscal policy response,

0:29:59.000 --> 0:30:02.400
<v Speaker 1>and it isn't going to cure the coronavirus for supply side.

0:30:02.480 --> 0:30:05.760
<v Speaker 1>So yes, we can say good job to the FED

0:30:05.920 --> 0:30:08.840
<v Speaker 1>for the Jackson Whole announcement, but I don't think it's

0:30:08.880 --> 0:30:10.480
<v Speaker 1>time for the FED at least to be taking a

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:14.400
<v Speaker 1>victory lap. I think Washington needs to focus on fiscal policy.

0:30:14.720 --> 0:30:17.640
<v Speaker 1>Share Powell's doing his part, but it's only a part.

0:30:18.320 --> 0:30:20.320
<v Speaker 1>Is there another danger, Larry actually which we met called

0:30:20.440 --> 0:30:22.560
<v Speaker 1>mission creep bar from the military, and I think in

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:25.320
<v Speaker 1>Vietnam is there mission creep here? Because as you read

0:30:25.360 --> 0:30:27.160
<v Speaker 1>what j. Pow had to say, he was talking about

0:30:27.160 --> 0:30:30.680
<v Speaker 1>all sorts of things like really fixing inequalities and income

0:30:30.760 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 1>and a wayes addressing problems with municipalities. Is that something

0:30:34.040 --> 0:30:36.440
<v Speaker 1>really the FED is competent to do. I think Glenn

0:30:36.520 --> 0:30:41.040
<v Speaker 1>and I are again in violent agreement. Uh, what the

0:30:41.160 --> 0:30:44.520
<v Speaker 1>Fed did is necessary, it is a long way from

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:51.040
<v Speaker 1>sufficient to address America's economic challenges. Because the FED, frankly,

0:30:51.120 --> 0:30:53.920
<v Speaker 1>has been more successful and more competent in the last

0:30:54.000 --> 0:30:58.280
<v Speaker 1>few years. The other parts of the government, there's a

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:01.440
<v Speaker 1>tendency to turn to the FED to solve every problem.

0:31:02.000 --> 0:31:06.280
<v Speaker 1>I don't think the FED can fix the environment and

0:31:06.400 --> 0:31:09.400
<v Speaker 1>make America green. I don't think the FED is the

0:31:09.520 --> 0:31:14.160
<v Speaker 1>right instrument for dealing with struggling municipalities. I don't think

0:31:14.240 --> 0:31:19.640
<v Speaker 1>the FED is the right instrument for addressing racial inequality.

0:31:20.120 --> 0:31:25.240
<v Speaker 1>So I think the feds new emphasis on a strong economy,

0:31:25.800 --> 0:31:30.120
<v Speaker 1>it's move away from a single minded UH focus on

0:31:30.440 --> 0:31:38.000
<v Speaker 1>preempting inflation, is overdue and appropriate. But I don't think

0:31:38.360 --> 0:31:45.000
<v Speaker 1>we should turn ourselves into an economy run by the FED.

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:48.320
<v Speaker 1>Are many thanks right now? So Larry Summers of Harvard

0:31:48.360 --> 0:31:51.400
<v Speaker 1>and Glenn Hubbard of Colombia, and both of them are

0:31:51.440 --> 0:31:54.400
<v Speaker 1>contributors to Wall Street Week for this virtual round table.

0:31:54.720 --> 0:31:56.840
<v Speaker 1>And that does it for this edition of Wall Street Week.

0:31:57.160 --> 0:32:05.280
<v Speaker 1>I'm David Weston. This is Bloomberg. See next week. M HM.