1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:06,680 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. 2 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:11,639 Speaker 2: We efforted Richard Haas yesterday we are unable to get him. 3 00:00:12,039 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 2: We have him today and we extend out here commercial 4 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:20,200 Speaker 2: free for you. In a conversation with the President Emeritus, 5 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:24,520 Speaker 2: the consult Foreign Relations and of course senior counselor was 6 00:00:24,560 --> 00:00:27,160 Speaker 2: sent of you partners with Paul. Far more than that. 7 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:33,160 Speaker 2: The single best clarity before the attack I put out 8 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:38,760 Speaker 2: on Twitter and LinkedIn Ambassador Has's essay in the Financial 9 00:00:38,840 --> 00:00:42,760 Speaker 2: Times of It's forever ago. Richard, it was three or 10 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:47,879 Speaker 2: four days ago, go to Jewel of short clarity of 11 00:00:47,960 --> 00:00:51,000 Speaker 2: what to do, what to hope for? If you wrote 12 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:54,480 Speaker 2: that essay now, how would you change it? 13 00:00:54,560 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 3: Well, good morning, Tom, and thank you. Look, the United 14 00:00:57,400 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 3: States based difficult decisions the aftermath of the Israeli actions. 15 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:09,120 Speaker 3: We chose the path of acting in this case to 16 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 3: do an intense but idealistically or optimally narrow military strike 17 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:16,959 Speaker 3: against Iran. What's so interesting to me if I had 18 00:01:16,959 --> 00:01:19,520 Speaker 3: to say one thing at this point, if you think 19 00:01:19,520 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 3: about this crisis over the last ten or so days, 20 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:26,520 Speaker 3: the first week was dominated by israel It deciding in 21 00:01:26,560 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 3: the aftermath of October seventh, the weakening of Iran's proxies. 22 00:01:30,000 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 3: It was going to act against the Iranian nuclear program 23 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:36,399 Speaker 3: and more broadly against the Iranian political leadership. Then the 24 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 3: United States decided this was the moment to set back 25 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:43,840 Speaker 3: the Iranian nuclear program. But now initiative has passed to 26 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:46,600 Speaker 3: Iran for the first time in this crisis. It's the 27 00:01:46,640 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 3: Iranian leaders who control as much as anybody. How this 28 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:55,040 Speaker 3: unfolds from this point on. And that's what's different. If 29 00:01:55,040 --> 00:01:58,040 Speaker 3: I were writing today, indeed I will be writing later today. 30 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 3: That's what's different. For the first time since this phase 31 00:02:01,240 --> 00:02:04,960 Speaker 3: of the crisis began, decision making, if you will, is 32 00:02:05,000 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 3: in the hands of Iran more than Israel, more than 33 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:08,880 Speaker 3: the United States. 34 00:02:09,080 --> 00:02:11,280 Speaker 2: Investador has And I want to make clear here that 35 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,359 Speaker 2: Richard Hass redefined the international relations debate with the invention 36 00:02:15,480 --> 00:02:20,400 Speaker 2: of the Internet. At the Council Unfeigned Relations John Bellinger 37 00:02:20,480 --> 00:02:24,960 Speaker 2: at CFR, Richard Hass writes a blistering essay with his 38 00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:30,760 Speaker 2: legal expertise. Does President Trump have the authority to strike Iran? 39 00:02:31,440 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 2: From where you sit with all your work back to 40 00:02:33,680 --> 00:02:37,560 Speaker 2: Northern Ireland? Did the President have the ability to act 41 00:02:37,639 --> 00:02:40,280 Speaker 2: from the executive branch? Or did he need to use 42 00:02:40,320 --> 00:02:42,359 Speaker 2: a different process with Congress. 43 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:46,760 Speaker 3: Now, the president had the authority, like go all of 44 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 3: his predecessors. If you look at the history of a 45 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:54,200 Speaker 3: modern American foreign policy initiative, and foreign policy has decidedly 46 00:02:54,280 --> 00:02:57,040 Speaker 3: passed to the executive I mean, Tom what was it 47 00:02:57,080 --> 00:03:00,519 Speaker 3: sixty years ago? Author Slessiger Junior wrote his essay and 48 00:03:00,600 --> 00:03:04,639 Speaker 3: book about the impurial presidency. This is nothing new. Congress 49 00:03:04,760 --> 00:03:09,920 Speaker 3: virtually never ever fulfills its constitutional obligation to declare war, 50 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:14,320 Speaker 3: and we have used military force hundreds of times in 51 00:03:14,360 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 3: the absence of anything so formal. So I just flat 52 00:03:18,160 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 3: out disagree with that kind of a narrow legalist interpretation. 53 00:03:23,080 --> 00:03:25,840 Speaker 3: That said, if I had been advising President Trump, I 54 00:03:25,840 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: would have said, take a page out of the book 55 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:31,240 Speaker 3: of President Bush, the father Bush forty one. Do things 56 00:03:31,240 --> 00:03:36,000 Speaker 3: with the internationally, with building on the International Atomic Energy 57 00:03:36,000 --> 00:03:39,720 Speaker 3: Agency Skating report of Iran, Do things with the Congress, 58 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 3: do things with the American public. If you're going to 59 00:03:42,160 --> 00:03:45,520 Speaker 3: use military force, people should come to conclude that you 60 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 3: tried to do diplomacy and at the end of the 61 00:03:47,880 --> 00:03:50,960 Speaker 3: day you reluctantly had to use it. But also, by 62 00:03:50,960 --> 00:03:53,360 Speaker 3: the way, would have helped this president with his magabase. 63 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,120 Speaker 3: So I think he should have gone about this differently. 64 00:03:56,400 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 3: But did he under American political tradition? Did he yes 65 00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:01,720 Speaker 3: the authority to do what he did? 66 00:04:01,760 --> 00:04:05,520 Speaker 1: Absolutely, Richard. As the world awaits some type of response 67 00:04:05,520 --> 00:04:08,480 Speaker 1: from Morn, do we have any good information as to 68 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:13,000 Speaker 1: their capabilities today from just their military capabilities and to 69 00:04:13,080 --> 00:04:16,040 Speaker 1: their leadership, because Israel has dealt a blow to their leadership, 70 00:04:16,160 --> 00:04:17,000 Speaker 1: what should we expect? 71 00:04:18,000 --> 00:04:22,240 Speaker 3: No, they're both good points. I actually think they're unlikely 72 00:04:22,320 --> 00:04:26,919 Speaker 3: to retaliate. My reading of the Iranians is they're focused 73 00:04:26,960 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 3: on regime survival. In some ways. This is the second 74 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:36,040 Speaker 3: great difficult period crisis for Iran's leadership since their nineteen 75 00:04:36,120 --> 00:04:38,839 Speaker 3: seventy nine revolution, the first one being a decade later 76 00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,480 Speaker 3: during the Iran Iraq War. So my guess is they're 77 00:04:41,480 --> 00:04:45,000 Speaker 3: going to focus on regime consolidation. Down the road, they 78 00:04:45,040 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 3: may focus on reconstituting their nuclear program. We have no 79 00:04:49,120 --> 00:04:54,479 Speaker 3: idea how much of their nuclear program is intact, but 80 00:04:54,520 --> 00:04:57,160 Speaker 3: I think it is difficult for the Iranian leadership to act. 81 00:04:57,240 --> 00:04:59,320 Speaker 3: They're trying to stay off the net because they don't 82 00:04:59,320 --> 00:05:05,280 Speaker 3: want to give signols for Americans or Israelis to target them. 83 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 3: They obviously have lost control over the airspace of their 84 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,839 Speaker 3: own country. Their proxies are much diminished, so I don't 85 00:05:12,839 --> 00:05:15,280 Speaker 3: think they have very good options. That said, they can 86 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:19,080 Speaker 3: still lob missiles at the forty thousand American soldiers in 87 00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:21,919 Speaker 3: the region. They can play havoc with shipping. It doesn't 88 00:05:21,920 --> 00:05:24,600 Speaker 3: take a lot to drive insurance raids up. They can 89 00:05:24,680 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 3: do asymmetrical warfare using cyber or terrorism, so they actually 90 00:05:28,800 --> 00:05:31,800 Speaker 3: have lots of capability. You don't have to compete with 91 00:05:31,920 --> 00:05:35,520 Speaker 3: US be two stealth fighters in order to be militarily effective. 92 00:05:35,520 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 3: But I just think the Iranians right now their priority 93 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 3: in the short run is not to retaliate against the 94 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:42,719 Speaker 3: United States. 95 00:05:43,000 --> 00:05:46,200 Speaker 2: Richard Hass With this, we continue with Ambassador House Paul Sweene, 96 00:05:46,240 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 2: and I welcome all of you across the nation. Are 97 00:05:49,080 --> 00:05:52,520 Speaker 2: continuing that coverage here a difference this morning. The markets 98 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:55,840 Speaker 2: are open. We will consider the markets across the arc 99 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:57,960 Speaker 2: of the show. We thank Golder mount a Vali from 100 00:05:58,000 --> 00:06:01,039 Speaker 2: London for being with this. Jimani sent you from Dubai. 101 00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:04,680 Speaker 2: And we continue here on YouTube and all of our 102 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 2: commute our audio radio affiliates as well, and we say 103 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:10,479 Speaker 2: good morning. 104 00:06:10,200 --> 00:06:13,840 Speaker 1: Paul, Richard For many observers, the American strike on the 105 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:18,760 Speaker 1: nuclear facilities in Iran was a bold strike, a surprising strike. 106 00:06:19,000 --> 00:06:21,400 Speaker 1: Does that have an impact in other parts of the world. 107 00:06:21,440 --> 00:06:25,400 Speaker 1: I'm thinking about Ukraine and Russia, thinking about China. How 108 00:06:25,440 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 1: do you think those actors are viewing this? 109 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,559 Speaker 3: It was surprising more in the tactical rather than strategic sense. 110 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:34,760 Speaker 3: We've been talking for years that we weren't going to 111 00:06:34,920 --> 00:06:38,240 Speaker 3: letter on gain nuclear weapons or even get close to them. 112 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:41,400 Speaker 3: What was surprising, perhaps tactically, was when the President talked 113 00:06:41,400 --> 00:06:44,280 Speaker 3: about is two week last chance for diplomacy to work. 114 00:06:44,600 --> 00:06:46,800 Speaker 3: That turned out to be a faint or a ruse. 115 00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:50,080 Speaker 3: I think it was surprising tactically, not strategically. I think 116 00:06:50,120 --> 00:06:51,960 Speaker 3: the rest of the world took note both that the 117 00:06:52,040 --> 00:06:56,279 Speaker 3: United States acted, as well as how effectively the US 118 00:06:56,440 --> 00:07:02,039 Speaker 3: military looked. What was brought together was criite extraordinary. My 119 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:07,080 Speaker 3: guess is the Russians probably have liked this crisis. Anytime. 120 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 3: They like when energy prices go up. They like when 121 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:12,400 Speaker 3: the United States expends munitions in other parts of the world. 122 00:07:12,480 --> 00:07:14,840 Speaker 3: That means we don't have to give to Ukraine. People 123 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:16,760 Speaker 3: aren't talking as much about Ukraine. I thought it was 124 00:07:16,840 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 3: quite interesting at the G seven that Ukraine almost seemed 125 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:24,440 Speaker 3: to be something of an afterthought. So the Russians have 126 00:07:24,560 --> 00:07:27,000 Speaker 3: to like that. My guess isn't. The Chinese are probably 127 00:07:27,040 --> 00:07:30,160 Speaker 3: concerned about on the opposite side of the coin, as 128 00:07:30,200 --> 00:07:34,520 Speaker 3: a massive energy importer, they don't much like instability in 129 00:07:34,600 --> 00:07:37,000 Speaker 3: the Middle East, but all of them have to be happy. 130 00:07:37,040 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 3: I would think that the United States is once again 131 00:07:39,600 --> 00:07:43,320 Speaker 3: involved in the Middle East. That means we have less bandwidth, 132 00:07:43,400 --> 00:07:46,600 Speaker 3: less ability to focus on say East Asia or Taiwan, 133 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 3: or on helping Ukraine. 134 00:07:48,680 --> 00:07:51,120 Speaker 2: Richard has with US and folks. I can't say enough 135 00:07:51,240 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 2: about This is a book you can throw at your 136 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 2: smart Alec kids, the college brats. They're home from Oberlin 137 00:07:58,040 --> 00:08:00,000 Speaker 2: and you throw this book at I mean you won't 138 00:08:00,320 --> 00:08:04,720 Speaker 2: because it's beautifully brief. Bill of obligations. I can't say 139 00:08:04,800 --> 00:08:10,400 Speaker 2: enough about Richard Hass's cry for citizenship in America. Again, 140 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:12,120 Speaker 2: I can't say enough about it. I'll put that out 141 00:08:12,160 --> 00:08:15,840 Speaker 2: on Twitter and LinkedIn as well. Part of our bill 142 00:08:15,880 --> 00:08:20,960 Speaker 2: of obligations, Richard Haass is to have a coherent foreign policy. 143 00:08:21,520 --> 00:08:24,480 Speaker 2: We can go back to Clash of civilizations, staggered a 144 00:08:24,560 --> 00:08:28,480 Speaker 2: Zakaria in a post American world Roberty cap and coming 145 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:32,080 Speaker 2: up in a bit maybe with a Kissingerian realist theory. 146 00:08:32,520 --> 00:08:36,160 Speaker 2: What's the host theory you observe at the State Department 147 00:08:36,280 --> 00:08:36,760 Speaker 2: Right now? 148 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:41,480 Speaker 3: The State Department is very little to observe. It's actually 149 00:08:41,520 --> 00:08:46,079 Speaker 3: a sad story over the last decade or two of 150 00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 3: the weakening of an institution, the hollowing out of the 151 00:08:48,960 --> 00:08:52,800 Speaker 3: Foreign Service, more broadly, the hollowing out of our interest 152 00:08:52,880 --> 00:08:58,200 Speaker 3: or capability in terms of diplomacy, in terms of the 153 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 3: whole mission of the Agency for Internet Development, the whole 154 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:05,960 Speaker 3: promotion of democracy and American values around the world. We 155 00:09:06,000 --> 00:09:09,880 Speaker 3: have dramatically weakened one of the principal instruments of American 156 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 3: national security. We've then compounded a top with the hollowing 157 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,559 Speaker 3: out of the National Security Council. This is an administration, 158 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:18,800 Speaker 3: I would argue that is in some ways it's put 159 00:09:18,840 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 3: itself dangerously dependent on a top down approach to foreign policy, 160 00:09:23,320 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 3: where the president does things and quite honestly, the rest 161 00:09:26,320 --> 00:09:28,640 Speaker 3: of the administration falls in behind. I don't see an 162 00:09:28,640 --> 00:09:32,080 Speaker 3: awful lot of ground up analysis, but I do worry 163 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:35,079 Speaker 3: about what's been now more than what decade and a 164 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:40,280 Speaker 3: half of the weakening of the diplomatic dimension diplatic instrument 165 00:09:40,440 --> 00:09:44,400 Speaker 3: of American foreign policy and national security, Richard. 166 00:09:44,880 --> 00:09:49,040 Speaker 1: Some folks who even discussing probably a small chance, but 167 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,880 Speaker 1: still discussing regime change in a rent How do you 168 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:53,960 Speaker 1: think about that topic? 169 00:09:55,440 --> 00:09:59,079 Speaker 3: A couple of ways. One is I find regime change 170 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:02,960 Speaker 3: in the category of wish, not a strategy. If bb Netsignahu, 171 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:05,280 Speaker 3: the Prime Minister of Israel or Donald Trump said to 172 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:09,160 Speaker 3: their generals, I want regime change, they wouldn't know how 173 00:10:09,160 --> 00:10:11,800 Speaker 3: to implement it. Regime change is not something you can 174 00:10:11,880 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 3: design an operation to bring about. Colin Powell used to say, 175 00:10:15,880 --> 00:10:20,200 Speaker 3: the military military instruments do two things. They destroy and 176 00:10:20,240 --> 00:10:23,440 Speaker 3: they kill. Regime change is not is not on the menu. 177 00:10:23,760 --> 00:10:26,800 Speaker 3: So that's one thing. Second of all, you never know 178 00:10:26,840 --> 00:10:28,520 Speaker 3: if you can bring about you also never know what 179 00:10:28,559 --> 00:10:32,760 Speaker 3: comes of it. You know what would follow this this regime? 180 00:10:32,840 --> 00:10:35,520 Speaker 3: Is it necessarily something that you want? For all? You know, 181 00:10:35,640 --> 00:10:38,839 Speaker 3: nuclear materials, which it clearly still exists in around could 182 00:10:38,840 --> 00:10:41,760 Speaker 3: get into the hands of all sorts of groups that 183 00:10:41,880 --> 00:10:43,680 Speaker 3: might be in the Be careful what you wish for. 184 00:10:43,760 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 3: So I take I take regime changes unserrious foreign policy 185 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:50,520 Speaker 3: if it comes about it's going to come from within Iran. 186 00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:53,160 Speaker 3: It's not going to come, if you will, from Israeli 187 00:10:53,240 --> 00:10:54,400 Speaker 3: or American bayonets. 188 00:10:54,880 --> 00:11:00,559 Speaker 2: Do we underestimate, ambassador, has the military violence of the 189 00:11:00,559 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 2: theocracy in Iran? The news flow to me, Ambassador, with 190 00:11:05,760 --> 00:11:12,360 Speaker 2: respect to my colleagues is so simplistic. Iatola theocracy, the 191 00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:15,679 Speaker 2: people of Iran. What's in between them? And the answer 192 00:11:15,840 --> 00:11:18,120 Speaker 2: is a harsh dictatorship. 193 00:11:18,240 --> 00:11:22,120 Speaker 3: Right, You've got that, You've got all sorts of citizen 194 00:11:22,160 --> 00:11:27,120 Speaker 3: groups that are uh listened to them, the so called basis, 195 00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:28,920 Speaker 3: you know, the the guys who used to come out 196 00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:30,959 Speaker 3: with the sticks and beat beat up on the Green 197 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 3: Movement protesters. And then you've got formal authorities, the military 198 00:11:36,559 --> 00:11:38,280 Speaker 3: and and and so forth. So this is this is 199 00:11:38,320 --> 00:11:41,120 Speaker 3: a regime that has tools, if you will, time of 200 00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:44,200 Speaker 3: repression in addition to what it can do as a 201 00:11:44,440 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 3: more traditional military, in addition to its its proxies. But 202 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,720 Speaker 3: this is a this is a system, it's been in 203 00:11:50,760 --> 00:11:53,400 Speaker 3: place now for more than half a century, that has 204 00:11:53,480 --> 00:11:55,760 Speaker 3: instruments of repression and coercion. 205 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:59,760 Speaker 2: Paul, I remember exactly where it was in the shock 206 00:12:00,120 --> 00:12:05,080 Speaker 2: the hostages. Are you ready a country road in Pittsfield, Vermont, 207 00:12:05,559 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 2: and a cold, cold November day walking down the road 208 00:12:09,880 --> 00:12:13,079 Speaker 2: trying not to slip in my two tone Tony Lahma 209 00:12:13,200 --> 00:12:16,600 Speaker 2: cowboy boots, and we were in shock. Is a nation 210 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:18,679 Speaker 2: over the failed hostage event? 211 00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,440 Speaker 1: Yep, absolutely, Richard. Give us the point of view of 212 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: Israel here. A lot of folks are saying this might 213 00:12:25,080 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: be a special time for Israel to kind of reset 214 00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,959 Speaker 1: the Middle East as it takes care of, you know, 215 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:34,520 Speaker 1: many of what it perceives to be its enemies, including 216 00:12:34,559 --> 00:12:39,520 Speaker 1: obviously a Ran most recently, can Israel change its position 217 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:41,120 Speaker 1: in the Middle East or the balance of power in 218 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:41,800 Speaker 1: the Middle East? 219 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:46,280 Speaker 3: Well, I would argue Israel has much improved its strategic position, 220 00:12:46,400 --> 00:12:49,600 Speaker 3: mainly through the weakening of Iran's proxies as Bola first 221 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:53,720 Speaker 3: and foremost Hamas secondarily, then through regime change what we 222 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 3: saw in Syria. Israel has improved its position against Iran, 223 00:12:58,920 --> 00:13:03,760 Speaker 3: but hasn't result. By that, I mean Iran remains hostile 224 00:13:03,800 --> 00:13:07,200 Speaker 3: to Israel, has capabilities, and again we don't know how 225 00:13:07,320 --> 00:13:11,320 Speaker 3: much of their nuclear components survived. For all we know 226 00:13:11,360 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 3: a lot of them were parked in undisclosed location. So 227 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:16,840 Speaker 3: Israel is not out of the woods there, and even more, 228 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:20,400 Speaker 3: Israel's not out of the woods dealing with Gaza or 229 00:13:20,440 --> 00:13:24,440 Speaker 3: with the three million Palestinians in the West Bank. And 230 00:13:24,480 --> 00:13:28,040 Speaker 3: I think that's still the biggest strategic question. So Israel 231 00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 3: has the Iranian dimension and still has the Palestinian dimension 232 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:31,840 Speaker 3: very much. 233 00:13:32,040 --> 00:13:34,600 Speaker 2: Richard has one final question Paul and I in our 234 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:39,040 Speaker 2: broadcast yesterday, Paul, please help me. I agree that we 235 00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:43,959 Speaker 2: were thunderstruck by the acuity and concision of our Chairman 236 00:13:44,000 --> 00:13:47,680 Speaker 2: of the Joint chief of Staff. I was blown away 237 00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:51,720 Speaker 2: by his report. Richard Hass you're the grizzled veteran. What 238 00:13:51,800 --> 00:13:54,560 Speaker 2: did you think of the press conference of our Chairman 239 00:13:55,040 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 2: of the Joint chiefs of Staff. 240 00:13:57,760 --> 00:14:00,520 Speaker 3: Tom He was impressive. General career of the head of 241 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:03,440 Speaker 3: Central Command is impressive. Let me just make a larger point. 242 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:06,800 Speaker 3: When I look at American society, I think there's two 243 00:14:06,960 --> 00:14:10,679 Speaker 3: great pools of talent. One is in the American military. 244 00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:14,280 Speaker 3: The professionalization there is awesome. And the other is something 245 00:14:14,280 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 3: you guys you in boll deal with all the time, 246 00:14:16,679 --> 00:14:20,000 Speaker 3: which is the best of American corporate leadership. These are 247 00:14:20,040 --> 00:14:23,160 Speaker 3: people who know how to run big operations and do 248 00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:26,840 Speaker 3: it in a really responsible, accountable way. So I'm not 249 00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:29,720 Speaker 3: surprised when I see great talent in the military rise 250 00:14:29,760 --> 00:14:32,600 Speaker 3: to the top. It is a meritocracy. These people are 251 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:37,280 Speaker 3: tested and they are responsible for large numbers of lives. 252 00:14:37,320 --> 00:14:41,440 Speaker 3: So I find the post Vietnam American military is quite 253 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 3: an extraordinary institution. 254 00:14:44,400 --> 00:14:46,960 Speaker 2: Richards, thank you so much. Just send of your partners, 255 00:14:46,960 --> 00:14:50,040 Speaker 2: and of course is definitive work the Council on Foreign 256 00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:55,000 Speaker 2: Relations Ambassador huts Back decades to the diplomacy of a 257 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,080 Speaker 2: Northern Ireland solution