1
00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:16,200
Speaker 1: Hey guys, im are you welcome into a Thursday morning

2
00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,639
Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice podcast with me MATP. Paroalt

3
00:00:18,640 --> 00:00:22,159
Speaker 1: Here on the Betting Pros YouTube channel, always where you

4
00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,560
Speaker 1: find all your audio podcasts bettingpros dot com. You can't

5
00:00:25,560 --> 00:00:27,360
Speaker 1: find it on the audio podcast, it will be on

6
00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:29,680
Speaker 1: Bettingpros dot com. On the bottom of the website. You'll

7
00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:33,720
Speaker 1: find the podcast and well YouTube for the video like

8
00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:36,440
Speaker 1: I mentioned, and you can go to bet mgm and

9
00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:38,760
Speaker 1: use that promo code ten dollars to win one hundred

10
00:00:38,800 --> 00:00:41,080
Speaker 1: and fifty dollars on any event. The promo code actually

11
00:00:41,159 --> 00:00:43,040
Speaker 1: is above me on the YouTube video. If you ever

12
00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:46,639
Speaker 1: forget it Juice one fifty, betmgm dot Com, the bet

13
00:00:46,800 --> 00:00:50,200
Speaker 1: mgm app, or wherever bet mgm is available for you.

14
00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:53,199
Speaker 1: All right, So three and one yesterday, so two and

15
00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:56,600
Speaker 1: oh into an O three and one mark the Bamma

16
00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,720
Speaker 1: game was the push Lucky to get it. They missed

17
00:00:59,840 --> 00:01:02,760
Speaker 1: so many free throws a three at the buzzer for

18
00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:05,640
Speaker 1: LSU they cover. You know, it's interesting because I was

19
00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:07,560
Speaker 1: talking to somebody about this on Twitter. I'll spend some

20
00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:11,440
Speaker 1: time on this on my on my daily show, talking

21
00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,800
Speaker 1: about we need a better way of determining who is

22
00:01:14,880 --> 00:01:18,440
Speaker 1: beating the spread and who is not the ATS number,

23
00:01:18,600 --> 00:01:23,400
Speaker 1: like LSU technically covered the spread right ATS, it's always

24
00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:26,600
Speaker 1: the closing number. But if you bet minus two and

25
00:01:26,680 --> 00:01:31,040
Speaker 1: a half for Bama, you won, I bet three, I pushed.

26
00:01:31,200 --> 00:01:33,200
Speaker 1: You bet three and a half, you lost, You bet four,

27
00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:37,039
Speaker 1: you lost. So it's just interesting that, like we say

28
00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:42,000
Speaker 1: that LSU won that game ATS, but really they didn't

29
00:01:42,200 --> 00:01:44,600
Speaker 1: because the opening number was two and a half. So

30
00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,520
Speaker 1: that's why the pros bet the opening number because oftentimes

31
00:01:47,520 --> 00:01:49,840
Speaker 1: they get the best of the numbers when it first

32
00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:52,400
Speaker 1: comes out. They're the ones that helped to dictate and

33
00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,520
Speaker 1: set the line. The book said two and a half,

34
00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:56,880
Speaker 1: the pro said, no, it should be three. The public

35
00:01:56,920 --> 00:01:59,720
Speaker 1: came in behind it and made it four. So the

36
00:02:00,000 --> 00:02:03,800
Speaker 1: solution of a line, how the line actually is made,

37
00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,440
Speaker 1: and then where it is bet to. It's kind of

38
00:02:06,440 --> 00:02:08,880
Speaker 1: like a blunt instrument, and the professionals come in and

39
00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:11,200
Speaker 1: they're the ones who sharpen the blade, if you will,

40
00:02:11,320 --> 00:02:14,080
Speaker 1: to get into the right number. And minus four was

41
00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:16,960
Speaker 1: the right number, and so it was coming down to

42
00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,840
Speaker 1: a free throw here or there. So we push. But

43
00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:21,960
Speaker 1: if you bet two and a half, well, guess what

44
00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:26,080
Speaker 1: you won. Everybody else lost. So it's just interesting the

45
00:02:26,120 --> 00:02:28,880
Speaker 1: way that we quantify who is against the spread when

46
00:02:28,919 --> 00:02:31,560
Speaker 1: it comes to basketball. It's not really a football thing

47
00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:34,640
Speaker 1: for me because really, you know, it's one or two scores,

48
00:02:34,639 --> 00:02:37,079
Speaker 1: but it oftentimes doesn't come down to the crunch time

49
00:02:37,160 --> 00:02:39,839
Speaker 1: like basketball does, where a team who misses I think

50
00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:42,560
Speaker 1: five straight free throws like Bama did when they're up

51
00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,040
Speaker 1: by four, should have easily covered the number. But they

52
00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:46,880
Speaker 1: miss so many free throws, and you could say, well,

53
00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:49,040
Speaker 1: you got lucky to get the push. Matt LSU hits

54
00:02:49,040 --> 00:02:51,480
Speaker 1: that three, they go to overtime, who knows what happens.

55
00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,080
Speaker 1: I'll give you that, But still I would look at

56
00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,160
Speaker 1: that as a bad beat and say Bama had numerous

57
00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,160
Speaker 1: chances to ice that game and make it. They're up

58
00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:02,240
Speaker 1: by six, give up a three, missed three four free

59
00:03:02,240 --> 00:03:04,480
Speaker 1: throws right in a row right after that. So it

60
00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,480
Speaker 1: was it was a really weird scatter, very odd end

61
00:03:07,480 --> 00:03:10,240
Speaker 1: of that game between the LSU and Alabama. But look,

62
00:03:10,240 --> 00:03:14,040
Speaker 1: I'll take the push Northern Iowa bad. They were down

63
00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,040
Speaker 1: by seven with like a minute to play, they rallied,

64
00:03:16,040 --> 00:03:18,079
Speaker 1: get the game into overtime, and then they lose by

65
00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:21,800
Speaker 1: three to Valpo. That's stunk. Memphis had it down to

66
00:03:22,040 --> 00:03:25,680
Speaker 1: three points with about two minutes to play, plus seven,

67
00:03:26,320 --> 00:03:28,920
Speaker 1: and then they just stopped scoring. It was right there,

68
00:03:29,000 --> 00:03:31,600
Speaker 1: the cover was right there for us, and we couldn't

69
00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:34,800
Speaker 1: get it done against Milwaukee. That stunk. And then I

70
00:03:34,840 --> 00:03:36,800
Speaker 1: picked the wrong game. I told you last night, I

71
00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,760
Speaker 1: was looking at Creighton in Saint John's over first half,

72
00:03:40,040 --> 00:03:43,440
Speaker 1: or I was looking at Iowa and Rutgers over in

73
00:03:43,480 --> 00:03:46,520
Speaker 1: the first half. Iowa they scored like fifty four points.

74
00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:49,600
Speaker 1: Total was seventy three and a half or seventy one

75
00:03:49,600 --> 00:03:53,120
Speaker 1: and a half. Creighton went way over. They scored eighty

76
00:03:53,160 --> 00:03:55,720
Speaker 1: plus points in the first half. Picked the wrong one.

77
00:03:56,160 --> 00:03:58,040
Speaker 1: If I picked the Creighton game, that game goes over.

78
00:03:58,120 --> 00:04:00,640
Speaker 1: Iowa does not. So unfortunately, just one of those nights

79
00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:02,680
Speaker 1: could have been a great night turned into a bad night.

80
00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:04,720
Speaker 1: But that's betting oh three and one for the night.

81
00:04:04,800 --> 00:04:07,000
Speaker 1: So down one and a half units on the night.

82
00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:10,280
Speaker 1: All right, So today I'm going to go slow and

83
00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:13,080
Speaker 1: small here on a Thursday. Tomorrow, I'll open up the

84
00:04:13,120 --> 00:04:14,920
Speaker 1: window a little bit and bet a little more. We'll

85
00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:16,800
Speaker 1: do the don't bet a parlay parlay tomorrow so we

86
00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:18,839
Speaker 1: have a bit more in the betting menu for tomorrow.

87
00:04:19,240 --> 00:04:21,120
Speaker 1: I am going to just do two bets half a

88
00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:23,640
Speaker 1: unit like I did a couple days ago. We went

89
00:04:23,680 --> 00:04:25,960
Speaker 1: two and oh. Kind of right back to it. I

90
00:04:26,000 --> 00:04:30,160
Speaker 1: want to start in hockey with Washington in the Boston Bruins.

91
00:04:30,279 --> 00:04:33,799
Speaker 1: I've been watching the Boston Bruins here in their first

92
00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:38,080
Speaker 1: period for the last four or five games, seven consecutive times,

93
00:04:38,240 --> 00:04:40,720
Speaker 1: the Boston Bruins have gone over one and a half

94
00:04:40,800 --> 00:04:43,480
Speaker 1: goals in the first period. Last game, they gave up

95
00:04:43,560 --> 00:04:45,480
Speaker 1: five goals in the first period. I mean, it's been

96
00:04:45,560 --> 00:04:47,400
Speaker 1: like whoa. But for a lot of them, it's like

97
00:04:47,440 --> 00:04:51,120
Speaker 1: two to one, three to one, and Washington is the opponent.

98
00:04:51,360 --> 00:04:54,400
Speaker 1: The last time these two teams played Washington in Boston,

99
00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:58,240
Speaker 1: it was a really high scoring shootout affair. Boston's twelve

100
00:04:58,279 --> 00:05:01,440
Speaker 1: to two to one against the Capitals seven to three.

101
00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:05,359
Speaker 1: The win for the Boston Bruins in that game. Let's see,

102
00:05:05,520 --> 00:05:08,200
Speaker 1: in that game, we lost seven to one in Carolina

103
00:05:08,240 --> 00:05:10,680
Speaker 1: game but five goals there. But they beat the Washington

104
00:05:10,680 --> 00:05:14,200
Speaker 1: Capital seven to three first period goals four of them

105
00:05:14,320 --> 00:05:17,919
Speaker 1: to a piece. Here. Poor goaltending for both teams. The

106
00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:21,040
Speaker 1: total is six. It opened at five and a half

107
00:05:21,080 --> 00:05:22,360
Speaker 1: and it's been an it's been bet all the way

108
00:05:22,440 --> 00:05:24,960
Speaker 1: up to six here, so we've got that to take

109
00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:27,960
Speaker 1: a look at. You know, it's climbing as we speak,

110
00:05:28,360 --> 00:05:31,120
Speaker 1: but I don't mind a goal in the first ten minutes.

111
00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:33,279
Speaker 1: You want to bet that little extra juice, a little

112
00:05:33,320 --> 00:05:35,479
Speaker 1: extra action on this game, you can do that. But

113
00:05:35,720 --> 00:05:37,000
Speaker 1: I just think this is going to be a high

114
00:05:37,000 --> 00:05:39,480
Speaker 1: scoring first period. I need two goals in the first

115
00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,440
Speaker 1: period from the Bruins and the Washington Capitals. And the

116
00:05:42,440 --> 00:05:45,720
Speaker 1: Bruins have been on an absolute tear on this. The

117
00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:48,600
Speaker 1: last time it didn't go for them, it was a

118
00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:52,320
Speaker 1: five to three game where Boston scored one goal and

119
00:05:52,360 --> 00:05:54,919
Speaker 1: they won the game five to three, game went over.

120
00:05:55,120 --> 00:05:58,200
Speaker 1: The first period was one nothing. But that's the last

121
00:05:58,240 --> 00:06:00,680
Speaker 1: time that we saw this where the Bruins did not

122
00:06:00,760 --> 00:06:03,360
Speaker 1: have two goals scored in the first period. And we're

123
00:06:03,360 --> 00:06:06,279
Speaker 1: going all the way back to a game that took place.

124
00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:11,040
Speaker 1: Let's see what one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine,

125
00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:15,880
Speaker 1: nine games ago. It's been a while, so let's ride

126
00:06:15,960 --> 00:06:19,040
Speaker 1: the streak here. Let's bet the streak Bruins at bet

127
00:06:19,160 --> 00:06:22,080
Speaker 1: MGM over one and a half goals is minus one

128
00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:25,920
Speaker 1: twenty right now, half a unit Bruins capitals over one

129
00:06:25,920 --> 00:06:28,839
Speaker 1: and a half goals at minus one twenty. We're jumping

130
00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,480
Speaker 1: on that other half a unit. Where are we going

131
00:06:31,680 --> 00:06:33,680
Speaker 1: to the NBA in the game of the night in

132
00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:37,080
Speaker 1: the NBA Phoenix at Dallas, Dallas on the back end

133
00:06:37,080 --> 00:06:39,520
Speaker 1: of it, back to back Phoenix minus two and a half.

134
00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,400
Speaker 1: My guess is this number is gonna climb. Public's gonna

135
00:06:42,400 --> 00:06:44,520
Speaker 1: be on the Suns. It's gonna be a public play, Okay,

136
00:06:44,880 --> 00:06:47,359
Speaker 1: But I think if we get the better number, three

137
00:06:47,560 --> 00:06:50,839
Speaker 1: is my ceiling on this one possession game. Okay, don't

138
00:06:50,920 --> 00:06:53,320
Speaker 1: like it more than that line was four last night

139
00:06:53,360 --> 00:06:56,120
Speaker 1: for Dallas against the Raptors. They won in cover or start,

140
00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:59,600
Speaker 1: won and pushed one by four, closing number, but think

141
00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:01,320
Speaker 1: it open to three and a half, close at four,

142
00:07:01,400 --> 00:07:03,800
Speaker 1: but you got, you know, minus four on a push

143
00:07:03,839 --> 00:07:07,080
Speaker 1: against the Raptors who are not very good. DeAndre and

144
00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,280
Speaker 1: eight and is out of this game. But man, if

145
00:07:09,320 --> 00:07:11,280
Speaker 1: you talk about where the Suns are and how the

146
00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,080
Speaker 1: good and the hell good they've been against the spread,

147
00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,880
Speaker 1: really on the road, thirteen and eight against the spread.

148
00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:19,480
Speaker 1: Dallas has a losing record against the spread at home.

149
00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:23,680
Speaker 1: They're ten and eleven over the last three games, all covers.

150
00:07:23,800 --> 00:07:27,480
Speaker 1: For the Phoenix Suns. Phoenix has won four games in

151
00:07:27,520 --> 00:07:31,400
Speaker 1: a row outright, and they have won seven of their

152
00:07:31,480 --> 00:07:35,320
Speaker 1: last eight games. Same thing going right now for the

153
00:07:35,400 --> 00:07:37,840
Speaker 1: Dallas Mavericks THO. Dallas has won three games in a

154
00:07:37,960 --> 00:07:40,440
Speaker 1: row straight up and they have covered more than that

155
00:07:40,720 --> 00:07:44,160
Speaker 1: one two, three, four, five, six, seven eight nine. They're

156
00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:46,600
Speaker 1: nine and one straight up over the last ten. Okay,

157
00:07:47,160 --> 00:07:51,360
Speaker 1: huge game in the West, big deal home team. I'm

158
00:07:51,400 --> 00:07:54,160
Speaker 1: gonna take what I think is the more talented team. Okay,

159
00:07:54,240 --> 00:07:56,040
Speaker 1: I'm gonna lay the two and a half points here.

160
00:07:56,320 --> 00:07:59,480
Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Phoenix on the road at minus two

161
00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:02,200
Speaker 1: and a half. I like Phoenix minus two and a

162
00:08:02,240 --> 00:08:06,320
Speaker 1: half for their game against the Dallas Mavericks. Great game,

163
00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:08,600
Speaker 1: big game, game of the night in the NBA. I'm

164
00:08:08,600 --> 00:08:10,920
Speaker 1: gonna take the Suns at minus two and a half. Okay,

165
00:08:11,080 --> 00:08:16,040
Speaker 1: So just two plays for us here over on the night.

166
00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:18,560
Speaker 1: I may have more, but probably not because I'm gonna

167
00:08:18,600 --> 00:08:21,560
Speaker 1: have multiple plays on Saturday for football, multiple plays on

168
00:08:21,600 --> 00:08:24,480
Speaker 1: Sunday for football. I'll do a little more tomorrow because

169
00:08:24,520 --> 00:08:27,080
Speaker 1: I mentioned we'll have the don't bet a parlay parlay tomorrow,

170
00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,280
Speaker 1: but like, I don't want to just you know, stumble

171
00:08:30,320 --> 00:08:32,240
Speaker 1: into the weekend. I want to go with a little momentum.

172
00:08:32,320 --> 00:08:34,000
Speaker 1: So these are two plays I like and I'm going

173
00:08:34,080 --> 00:08:37,439
Speaker 1: to stay with that. We're going first period over one

174
00:08:37,480 --> 00:08:40,480
Speaker 1: and a half goals Boston and Washington, and we're going

175
00:08:40,600 --> 00:08:42,959
Speaker 1: minus two and a half. Phoenix Suns on the road

176
00:08:43,240 --> 00:08:45,480
Speaker 1: against the Dallas Mavericks are on the back end of

177
00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:47,760
Speaker 1: a back to back minus Matt Paroltz. You guys have

178
00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,280
Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. Each every

179
00:08:50,320 --> 00:08:52,680
Speaker 1: morning it's the Daly Juice Podcast. I was being brought

180
00:08:52,720 --> 00:09:03,800
Speaker 1: to you by Betemgmertector