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Speaker 1: Happy Labor Day, everybody. Welcome to the Monday morning edition

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Speaker 1: of the Daily Juice podcast. Here off Bettingpros dot Com.

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Speaker 1: I'm your host, Matt Perrault. As we get going, thanks

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Speaker 1: to BEDMGM. And it's a Labor Day holiday edition, and

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Speaker 1: welcome to the Monday morning of a new week, because

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Speaker 1: we're gonna forget about last week and we're gonna move

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Speaker 1: on from last week. It was not a good week.

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Speaker 1: That's back to back months for the first week put

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Speaker 1: us in a hole. So we're in a hole right now.

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Speaker 1: We're down a bunch of units, so we need to

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Speaker 1: get roll in here. We got to figure things out.

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Speaker 1: So not great, okay, And this is the long term approach, right,

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Speaker 1: this is the fifty three percent approach, and this is

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Speaker 1: one of the valleys. Look last week we went twelve

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Speaker 1: and oh at one stretch, right, and then we turn

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Speaker 1: around this past weekend and we wound up going four

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Speaker 1: and ten over the weekend, two and five, yesterday, two

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Speaker 1: and five. The day before, I went one in four.

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Speaker 1: If you're going off of the podcast, but I've been

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Speaker 1: telling you guys to make sure you're following me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter because we are adding plays for the Daily Juice

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Speaker 1: for baseball. I'm not betting overnight baseball. I'm not. I

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Speaker 1: just won't do it. But there were two games yesterday,

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Speaker 1: the Reds on the on the money line, which they

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Speaker 1: had a two to one lead going into the bottom

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Speaker 1: of the ninth inning and they blew it to the

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Bleeping Pirates. I mean you serious. We handicapped that right.

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Speaker 1: And then we played the run line for the White

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Speaker 1: Sox against the Royals and they win eight to two.

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Speaker 1: So we got that right. And that was minus one

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Speaker 1: thirty on the run line, last one forty on the

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Speaker 1: money line, I believe, or maybe it was vice versa.

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Speaker 1: I can't remember exactly those prices were in there, but

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Speaker 1: it was a one in one in baseball. So we're

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Speaker 1: adding baseball plays before the day begins for baseball because

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Speaker 1: I'm not betting overnight. So at Sports Talk, Matt is

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Speaker 1: my Twitter account hashtag daily Juice on Twitter. We're doing

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Speaker 1: that hashtag and you can find my picks quick and easy.

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Speaker 1: If you can't go to my Twitter profile, you want

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Speaker 1: to find it hash tag daily juice to be able

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Speaker 1: to find my place. So not that you really want

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Speaker 1: to be following my plays, right, now with the way

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Speaker 1: I'm going, I'm ice, but we're turning the page. And

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Speaker 1: this is sort of one of the techniques I'm trying

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Speaker 1: to remind myself of, and I think you guys could

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Speaker 1: benefit too from It. Is this mental toughness that I'm

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Speaker 1: trying to calcify myself with. And I've always kind of

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Speaker 1: had it, but because we're doing this podcast every day,

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Speaker 1: It's one thing when I'm betting and losing and I'm

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Speaker 1: by myself. Now we're betting, and I've bet every day

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Speaker 1: for years now, but it's different when I'm doing this

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Speaker 1: this public and I'm giving you guys my advice and

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Speaker 1: what my thoughts are, and then you guys get pissed

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Speaker 1: off when I lose, and I get it. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I totally understand. Some of you guys are really nice.

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Speaker 1: And one guy named Jeff was really complimentary and nice

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Speaker 1: yesterday who kind of reached out and said, hey, look

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Speaker 1: at what Look how close you were on these bets.

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Speaker 1: And he's right. I mean the Reds game, we were

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Speaker 1: really close. We lost that the free throw for DiVincenzo.

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Speaker 1: If he hits both free throws, the Bucks win and

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Speaker 1: the under comes in. So we get the under right

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Speaker 1: in that game for the Bucks in the Heat. Now

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Speaker 1: we would have lost the Heat game, but we would

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Speaker 1: have had that right. We had the under in the

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Speaker 1: Lakers game two twenty four and a half. Well, the

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Speaker 1: total was two twenty six. It just barely went over,

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Speaker 1: but it went over, So we got that. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's a one bucket right if one less bucket is made.

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Speaker 1: If if the Rockets don't have a forty one point

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Speaker 1: quarter in that game and it's a thirty nine point quarter,

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Speaker 1: well more likely than not we're gonna wind up hitting

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Speaker 1: the under. So we missed that closely. The Lakers covered,

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Speaker 1: So it's a one in three day in the NBA.

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Speaker 1: We got hockey way wrong, and our hockey betting is

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Speaker 1: cooling off a little bit, So I'm a little bit concerned.

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Speaker 1: You're going I got a hockey play coming up today.

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Speaker 1: But our hockey betting is starting to come back down

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Speaker 1: to earth. We were red hot in that sport. We're

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Speaker 1: hitting at like sixty five percent for a little while

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Speaker 1: there for hockey, but we've cooled down a bunch. So

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Speaker 1: like one in one in baseball, we went one in

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Speaker 1: three in the NBA, and we got hockey wrong. Going

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Speaker 1: oh to one. So it's a two and five day

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Speaker 1: for us yesterday, two and five day day before, So

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Speaker 1: it's it's not where we want to be obviously, right,

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Speaker 1: not great. So for the week last week, we wind

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Speaker 1: up going nineteen twenty five and one. Eh, that's not

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Speaker 1: what we want. So we're in a hole here. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna turn the page and we're gonna get back at

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Speaker 1: it here on a Monday. So Monday to Sunday, how

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Speaker 1: our weeks go. And like I've said for a while

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Speaker 1: here on the podcast, the idea is to try to

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Speaker 1: stack winning weeks. Hopefully we can dig ourselves out like

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Speaker 1: we did last month and get rolling here. So this

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Speaker 1: is where we go today with three plays and one

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Speaker 1: future wager that I want to make. And this is

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Speaker 1: one of the things I look to do. When I'm

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Speaker 1: not going hot, I pull back, so I limit the

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Speaker 1: number of bets I make. I start to kind of

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Speaker 1: contract a little bit, just bet the picks I like

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Speaker 1: the most, because you know, when you're losing and your

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Speaker 1: you know the board, you're not seeing the board all

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Speaker 1: that great. You gotta be careful. So that's kind of

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Speaker 1: where I am today here with my picks. Is that

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Speaker 1: we're gonna go with three picks today and one future

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Speaker 1: wager before we get to the place and the picks.

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Speaker 1: five hundred bucks. Really cool, hundred bucks. Hundred bucks. So

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Speaker 1: I've got a college football play you could go with today.

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Speaker 1: I've got a hockey play you could go with today.

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Speaker 1: But basketball, baseball, football football season starts on Thursday. What

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Speaker 1: sponsor of this podcast. Okay, let's start talking a bit

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Speaker 1: about the college football game happening on Monday night. It's

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Speaker 1: BYU at It's Navy at BYU. This game got thrown

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Speaker 1: together due to the pandemic, so the schedules had to

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Speaker 1: be rearranged. It worked out, but Navy at BYU. Now

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Speaker 1: this line has moved a lot. I got this at

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Speaker 1: plus one and a half. This is the problem. And

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Speaker 1: I tried to tell you guys this on Twitter where

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Speaker 1: the line had gone to a pick and I said,

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Speaker 1: bet it now. And this is why follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter is really important. And I was told by the

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Speaker 1: way really quick that there are some new things coming

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Speaker 1: for the betting pros app that will enable us to

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Speaker 1: do some cool things with this type of situation where

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Speaker 1: I'm asking them if I can have like a push

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Speaker 1: alert where I can tell you guys, hey, there's a

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Speaker 1: bet where the lines move, and I want to tell

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Speaker 1: you about it because if you like it like I do,

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Speaker 1: you should take it now. Because it opened at one

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Speaker 1: and a half. That's when I took it. Navy plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half, I bet at the same time

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Speaker 1: I bet Army minus three. And the rationale for these

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Speaker 1: early plays on the Military Academy are this. I just

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Speaker 1: believe that Army and Navy are going to be in

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Speaker 1: better physical condition because we don't know what these kids

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Speaker 1: have been doing. Look what happened in that first game

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Speaker 1: for Army against MTSU. Everybody, all the sharps, all the

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Speaker 1: respected money came in on MTSU was forty two nothing. Now,

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Speaker 1: I'm not predicting that to a blowout. Here there was

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Speaker 1: a home game versus a road game. But here comes

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Speaker 1: Navy with this incredibly talented offense, and you don't like

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Speaker 1: playing No one likes playing the triple option. It's incredibly

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Speaker 1: tough to stop these guys in Navy's offense is better

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Speaker 1: than Army's offense. And BYU had a huge injury in

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Speaker 1: camp where their potential All American tight end Matt Bushman's

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Speaker 1: out for the year with a ruptured achilles tendon. So

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Speaker 1: that's a huge loss. I know Zach Wills is a

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Speaker 1: really good quarterback. I get that here, But this is Navy.

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Speaker 1: Were last year they went eleven and two. They ran

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Speaker 1: for over three hundred and sixty yards per game last year,

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Speaker 1: bouncing back after a horrible year in twenty eighteen. Dylan

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Speaker 1: Morris now taking over Malcolm Perry, who won an unbelievable career.

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Speaker 1: But he, according to the off the coordinator, has looked

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Speaker 1: really good in camp and I just think when it

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Speaker 1: comes to the offensive and defensive lines, this is a

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Speaker 1: really physical team in Navy. Now BYU is as well

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Speaker 1: because their guys are all twenty four years old. That's

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Speaker 1: the hook about BYU is that a lot of their

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Speaker 1: kids after high school go on missions and come back

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Speaker 1: three years older and bigger, so they always have an

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Speaker 1: age advantage. It's like men versus boys in some ways

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Speaker 1: when it comes to the trenches. But this is Navy.

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Speaker 1: This is what they do, man. They slam people, They

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Speaker 1: go and crack people. They won the Liberty Bowl over

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Speaker 1: Kansas State. They went on a four game win streak

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Speaker 1: to end the year. Last year they went seven and

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Speaker 1: one in the American and they were really one of

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Speaker 1: the fun teams to watch. They run a style that's

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Speaker 1: very difficult. It's tough to play defense against it. And

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Speaker 1: I think conditioning matters. Fourth quarter matter. This is a

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Speaker 1: tight football game, I believe, But I like Navy plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half here. One is the number right

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Speaker 1: now at the time of taping, but I got it

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Speaker 1: one and a half. Take Navy plus the one here.

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Speaker 1: I know everyone's in love with this BYU offense, but

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Speaker 1: I'm telling you, I think when it comes to the

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Speaker 1: early time, the early part of the college football season,

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Speaker 1: I just think it's why I took Army. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: Navy for the same reason. Discipline COVID nineteen bubble. You know,

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Speaker 1: they pretty much have had a typical camp, right they

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Speaker 1: are in camp the way they always have been in camp.

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Speaker 1: They're going to school, they're going to class, they're going

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Speaker 1: to practice. Their regiment is pretty much as is. Everyone

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Speaker 1: else is messed up completely. But Army Navy they got

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Speaker 1: a bubble and they've got their routine down. I think

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Speaker 1: that matters a ton when it comes to games early

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Speaker 1: in the season, where teams we don't know how much

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Speaker 1: hitting they've done, we don't know how much conditioning they've done.

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Speaker 1: We don't know what they're going to look like. I mean,

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Speaker 1: MTSU look horrible. SMU looked horrible. Could be why you

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Speaker 1: look horrible? Absolutely, that's on the table. Impossible. I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: take a more known commodity in that triple option rushing

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Speaker 1: attack for the midshipman for Navy. I'm taking Navy plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half over BYU for our first play

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Speaker 1: here today on a Monday. All Right, two hockey plays

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Speaker 1: I want to talk about. The first one is Tampa

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Speaker 1: taking on a pretty tough team in the New York

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Speaker 1: Islanders and Barry Trotz, who's a very good head coach.

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Speaker 1: This is a matchup of a team that was supposed

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Speaker 1: to be here in the Eastern Conference Finals versus an

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Speaker 1: upstart team that wasn't Tampa. Bay has been good for

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Speaker 1: a very long time. No Stevens, damcos that's a big blow.

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Speaker 1: But they've been great without stamcoachs. Yes, the Islanders here

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Speaker 1: have played great defense. Tampa, however, is too talented. This

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Speaker 1: is a very good Tampa team. I don't like the

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Speaker 1: series price here or I would bet Tampa to win

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Speaker 1: the series, but I think Tampa here in game number one.

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Speaker 1: They are well rested. They have not played here for

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Speaker 1: six days. The Islanders came off of a really tough

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Speaker 1: series with the Flyers. I think this is a tough

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Speaker 1: off matchup to turn run around and play a team

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Speaker 1: like Tampa, who hasn't played since last Monday after they

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Speaker 1: knocked out the Boston Bruins, a very good team, and

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Speaker 1: they dispatch them pretty simply. I just think Tampa they

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Speaker 1: could win the Stanley Cup here. They're the best team

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Speaker 1: in hockey, and they've got the goaltending, they've got the

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Speaker 1: offensive firepower, they've got the defense here. I got the

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Speaker 1: money line at minus one forty five for Tampa in

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Speaker 1: Game one against the Islanders, and I'm gonna lay the

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Speaker 1: one forty five here. Tampa's gonna take Game one. I

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Speaker 1: don't know how much of a series this is. I

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Speaker 1: like the Islanders a lot. They're kind of like this

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Speaker 1: team of destiny. They're not supposed to be here, but

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Speaker 1: I just think they're gonna run into this level of competition.

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Speaker 1: I just think it's too high. They're in really deep

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Speaker 1: water now, and I think you start to see how

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Speaker 1: inexperienced this team is taking on Tampa, who has been

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Speaker 1: in contention for the Cup now for several several years.

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Speaker 1: This is not a shock with Tampa being in the

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Speaker 1: Eastern Conference finals, but the Islanders, we'll see how they

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Speaker 1: handle the pressure of being on this stage. I'm taking

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Speaker 1: tamp minus one forty five minus one forty five on

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Speaker 1: the money line, and second, playing hockey is a series bet.

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Speaker 1: So the Vegas Golden Knights, well, they were as high

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Speaker 1: as minus two ten to win this series against the

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Speaker 1: Dallas Stars. Now it's always juiced up a little bit

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Speaker 1: higher here in Vegas. But the Vegas gold Knights losing

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Speaker 1: one nothing, I think this is a little bit of

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Speaker 1: an overcorrection. Now the Knights have got to win four

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Speaker 1: games of the next six. I understand that that's difficult,

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Speaker 1: but they didn't play Robin Leonard last night. They played

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Speaker 1: Marc Andre Fleury and they lost one nothing. Dallas played

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Speaker 1: solid defense. They four checked and they back checked. They

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Speaker 1: played more physical and they were faster than the puck.

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Speaker 1: Vegas looked tired, really, they looked tired, and they lost

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Speaker 1: one nothing. They played a really poor game and they

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Speaker 1: lost one nothing. I still think Vegas is a better team,

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Speaker 1: and I still think Vegas is going to be able

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Speaker 1: to win this series. I'm gonna lay the minus one twenty.

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Speaker 1: It was down to minus one fifteen and it came

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Speaker 1: back up by a nickel, and I took it Vegas

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Speaker 1: minus one to win this series and to make it

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Speaker 1: to the back to the Stanley Cup Finals. I know

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Speaker 1: Dallas is playing really well, but I saw a Dallas

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Speaker 1: team playing not a perfect game, but a really good

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Speaker 1: game in Game one and they won one nothing, So

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Speaker 1: I think there's gonna be a little bit of an

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Speaker 1: overcorrection I think a little bit of a panic moment here.

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Speaker 1: So I'm taking the Vegas Golden Knights at minus one

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Speaker 1: twenty to win this series. And that's not bad juice

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Speaker 1: at all. Here. Vegas gotta win four of six. I

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Speaker 1: think they bounced back. We'll talk about Game two later,

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Speaker 1: but I think Vegas wins this series. So minus won twenty.

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Speaker 1: Vegas on the series price to beat the Dallas Stars

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Speaker 1: in the Western Conference Finals. So Tampa money line minus

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Speaker 1: won forty five, and we're taking the Vagas gold Knights

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Speaker 1: on the series price at minus one twenty along with

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Speaker 1: Navy at plus one and a half in our final

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Speaker 1: pick today here for a Labor Day Monday, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to bet an over in basketball. I know it's a

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Speaker 1: little scary here. The under has been coming in so consistently.

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Speaker 1: I know I got one listener who's gonna go crazy

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Speaker 1: at this, But I got the total price at two

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Speaker 1: twelve for the Raptors and the Celtics. So in games

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Speaker 1: one and two, Boston shot really well and Toronto did not.

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Speaker 1: In Games three and four, Toronto didn't shoot great from two,

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Speaker 1: but they shot great from three. Boston did not. I

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Speaker 1: think here in Game five, I think both teams are

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Speaker 1: gonna put together an offensive explosion. I think we're gonna

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Speaker 1: see a lot of points here from both teams. We've

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Speaker 1: yet to see a game where both teams get hot

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Speaker 1: from three. I think this is the game where both

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Speaker 1: teams get hot from three. And I think it's time

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Speaker 1: for an over bet to come in here. I'm going

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Speaker 1: over to twelve. That's a low number here. I think

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Speaker 1: Boston gets hot. I think the Raptors get hot. I'm

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Speaker 1: going over to twelve for Boston and the Raptors. And

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Speaker 1: I know that might be really dangerous here, and I

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Speaker 1: get it. I can already hear one listener is gonna

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Speaker 1: so why did you do this. I told you to

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Speaker 1: bet the under. I just don't think this underplay here.

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Speaker 1: As this series progresses, I just think Theors are gonna

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Speaker 1: hit more shots, and you think they're feeling it. I

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Speaker 1: told you if Siakam gets going, look out, he's starting

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Speaker 1: to feel it. I think Boston knows they got a score.

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Speaker 1: They may need to play more up tempo. I mean

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Speaker 1: Jason Tatum shot really poorly in Game four. I think

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Speaker 1: he comes back to life here in Game five. I

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Speaker 1: think both teams score. I'm going over to twelve for

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Speaker 1: Boston and the Raptors. This is my scary play of

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Speaker 1: the day. I always have one of them. This is

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Speaker 1: my scary play of the day with the Raptors and

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Speaker 1: the Celtics going over to twelve here for a team total.

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Speaker 1: So over Raptor, Celtics to twelve, Navy plus one and

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Speaker 1: a half, Tampa on the money line at minus one

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Speaker 1: forty five, and the Vegas gold Knights to win their

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Speaker 1: series at minus one twenty. Those are our plays for

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Speaker 1: Labor Day at Sports Talk Matt. That's my Twitter feed.

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Speaker 1: We're back each and every day, every morning for the

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Speaker 1: Dili Juice Podcast, presented by BETMGM of betting pros dot

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Speaker 1: com