1
00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:13,280
Speaker 1: Hello, Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume

2
00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:17,919
Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I am Chad Milman, your co host, chief

3
00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,239
Speaker 1: Content Officer of the Action Network. At the Action Network,

4
00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:25,600
Speaker 1: we do everything we can to make you smarter about betting, research,

5
00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:33,240
Speaker 1: data analysis, stories, picks from our wide, wide panel of experts,

6
00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:39,200
Speaker 1: which includes our good friend, my bff, my companion, my compadre,

7
00:00:39,520 --> 00:00:46,200
Speaker 1: professional better Simon Hunter co host, What's up brother, Good morning,

8
00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,080
Speaker 1: my friend, Good morning to you. I saw you yesterday.

9
00:00:49,400 --> 00:00:57,040
Speaker 1: We had our first annual Halloween cookie decorating contest for

10
00:00:57,120 --> 00:00:59,120
Speaker 1: the Action Network. This is why I love this company.

11
00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:02,960
Speaker 1: We had a cookie decorating contest yesterday. So interesting. In

12
00:01:02,960 --> 00:01:04,840
Speaker 1: the four years we've had the business, almost four years

13
00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:06,360
Speaker 1: we've had the business, there are a lot of people

14
00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,120
Speaker 1: who are younger, a lot of people who were just

15
00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:10,880
Speaker 1: getting married, a lot of people who have since gotten

16
00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,480
Speaker 1: married and now like people who are starting to have kids.

17
00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,160
Speaker 1: So on the call, there were a bunch of folks

18
00:01:16,560 --> 00:01:19,880
Speaker 1: that some people brought their husbands and wise, some people

19
00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:22,840
Speaker 1: brought their kids and they were decorating and whatever. And

20
00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:29,360
Speaker 1: then and then there was Simon Bachelor, Simon joining the

21
00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:35,160
Speaker 1: cookie decorating party to celebrate Halloween instead of the party tonight,

22
00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,840
Speaker 1: which is the virtual make your own cocktail. Everybody who

23
00:01:38,959 --> 00:01:42,080
Speaker 1: signed up was sent like this premium make your own

24
00:01:42,080 --> 00:01:46,240
Speaker 1: cocktail kit. Simon joined the cookie decorating. I mean, I'll

25
00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:49,200
Speaker 1: never pass an opportunity cookies, Chad, So I knew that

26
00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:51,240
Speaker 1: if I could signed up the cookie challenge, I'd get

27
00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:53,720
Speaker 1: cookies mailed to me. And that's exactly what happened. So

28
00:01:53,960 --> 00:01:56,000
Speaker 1: it was a win win for the record. I would

29
00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,040
Speaker 1: I would also go to the drinking I would have

30
00:01:58,080 --> 00:02:00,920
Speaker 1: done the cooking either way. Today as my son's fifteenth birthday,

31
00:02:01,120 --> 00:02:03,200
Speaker 1: we got some big plans. We got the bulls. Next

32
00:02:03,240 --> 00:02:06,800
Speaker 1: tonight we have a huge, huge show, and I will

33
00:02:06,800 --> 00:02:09,640
Speaker 1: tell you right now, we will do as we always

34
00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,799
Speaker 1: do on this show. We will narrow down the slate.

35
00:02:13,040 --> 00:02:15,000
Speaker 1: We will focus on the games that we started to

36
00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,440
Speaker 1: think we loved. On Tuesday. We will talk about our

37
00:02:17,440 --> 00:02:19,680
Speaker 1: Survivor pick. We will talk about our money line parlay

38
00:02:19,760 --> 00:02:23,320
Speaker 1: pick um. We will get too sharp calls, the calls

39
00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:25,720
Speaker 1: from professional betters that you've gotten in the past forty

40
00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:29,560
Speaker 1: hours where they either love or hate your picks. We

41
00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:31,520
Speaker 1: will probably have to get to big balls because we

42
00:02:31,560 --> 00:02:34,960
Speaker 1: had Simon says the other day, which was the Colts.

43
00:02:37,480 --> 00:02:40,120
Speaker 1: We had a foxhold that was the Saints. But I

44
00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:42,000
Speaker 1: don't want a Dilly Daly man like I want to

45
00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:45,160
Speaker 1: get into it because I made some notes this morning.

46
00:02:45,639 --> 00:02:51,239
Speaker 1: I had four games written down that I freaking loved, loved.

47
00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:55,920
Speaker 1: Oh god, what were the I So let's get into it.

48
00:02:56,320 --> 00:02:58,400
Speaker 1: I didn't love it, but I do want us to

49
00:02:58,520 --> 00:03:01,440
Speaker 1: get back to it. The new were Jets ten point

50
00:03:01,760 --> 00:03:04,560
Speaker 1: underdogs at the Bengals. I think it's I think the

51
00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:06,320
Speaker 1: Jets of the right side. I'm not sure it's a

52
00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:08,920
Speaker 1: final five like we talked about, that's a that's a

53
00:03:08,919 --> 00:03:11,400
Speaker 1: pro game where if it was Zack Wilson, we would

54
00:03:11,400 --> 00:03:14,080
Speaker 1: have loved this number. We would have taken Jets money line.

55
00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:18,279
Speaker 1: This is such a good trap game for the Cincinnati team.

56
00:03:18,320 --> 00:03:21,200
Speaker 1: But now it's not. It's I mean, we could be

57
00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,240
Speaker 1: way off, like how do we know what this kid white?

58
00:03:23,240 --> 00:03:26,280
Speaker 1: It's gonna be the quarterback for the Jets. But mathematically

59
00:03:26,360 --> 00:03:30,880
Speaker 1: there are no real reasons to be backing this Jets team. Um,

60
00:03:30,919 --> 00:03:33,360
Speaker 1: the number is good. Other than that, it's it's kind

61
00:03:33,360 --> 00:03:34,920
Speaker 1: of like an unknown so that there's just too much

62
00:03:34,960 --> 00:03:37,160
Speaker 1: variance for me to really feel confident betting this number

63
00:03:37,680 --> 00:03:40,960
Speaker 1: for a lot of people. Mike White might be rated

64
00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:43,360
Speaker 1: the saint as Zack Wilson, it might not be a downgrade.

65
00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:46,600
Speaker 1: So what you're really betting in this game is and

66
00:03:46,640 --> 00:03:49,400
Speaker 1: Stucky and Raybond. Stucky and Chris Raybond talked about this

67
00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:52,040
Speaker 1: in the Action That Were a podcast earlier. Today. You're

68
00:03:52,080 --> 00:03:54,600
Speaker 1: getting a Jets team that a couple of weeks ago

69
00:03:54,640 --> 00:03:56,680
Speaker 1: would have been a one point underdog in this game,

70
00:03:57,120 --> 00:04:00,080
Speaker 1: but now, all of a sudden, the Bengals because of

71
00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,360
Speaker 1: what they did against the Ravens and because they they're

72
00:04:03,360 --> 00:04:07,320
Speaker 1: streaking a little bit, they're flying high. Just a massive

73
00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,640
Speaker 1: potential overcorrection in the market. I look into what the

74
00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,400
Speaker 1: number was that was preseason, the number you're talking about,

75
00:04:13,440 --> 00:04:14,720
Speaker 1: and then last week I believe it was three and

76
00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:16,520
Speaker 1: a half, four and a half when Zach Wilson was

77
00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,360
Speaker 1: supposed to be the quarterback. So, again, like you just said,

78
00:04:19,680 --> 00:04:22,680
Speaker 1: is Zach Wilson really reverse worth seven points? Is that

79
00:04:22,720 --> 00:04:24,159
Speaker 1: why there were so much movement? Or is it because

80
00:04:24,200 --> 00:04:26,240
Speaker 1: the bank will just blew out the Ravens. So like

81
00:04:26,320 --> 00:04:28,279
Speaker 1: you're just talking about that, it's way too much movement

82
00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:31,240
Speaker 1: for a team that you know, what, have they're really

83
00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:35,000
Speaker 1: done to make it that big other than yeah, we

84
00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:38,480
Speaker 1: were just unsure about this quarterback position. All right. Then

85
00:04:38,520 --> 00:04:41,640
Speaker 1: we got to talk about the next game because the

86
00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:45,440
Speaker 1: Colts opened as one and a half point underdogs. We

87
00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:47,800
Speaker 1: said it was the Simon says bet might be one

88
00:04:47,839 --> 00:04:50,040
Speaker 1: of your biggest bets of the week. Matt Mitchell has

89
00:04:50,080 --> 00:04:52,560
Speaker 1: said that he has since made it one of the

90
00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:56,200
Speaker 1: biggest bets of his life on the on the Colts. Uh,

91
00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:58,400
Speaker 1: and he bet him on the money line, you were

92
00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:03,080
Speaker 1: way ahead of the market. Now the line is Cults

93
00:05:03,160 --> 00:05:07,000
Speaker 1: minus two. Yeah. Anytime you are ahead of a three

94
00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,359
Speaker 1: and a half point movement off no injury news and

95
00:05:09,400 --> 00:05:12,440
Speaker 1: nothing else, you feel pretty damn good like you're a

96
00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:14,960
Speaker 1: way ahead of the market, which again we talked about.

97
00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,040
Speaker 1: I told people to stop what they're doing, pull over

98
00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:19,720
Speaker 1: and make this bet because I knew pros are gonna

99
00:05:19,720 --> 00:05:21,760
Speaker 1: come in really heavy on it, especially all the different

100
00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:24,240
Speaker 1: professionals I talked to. We all kind of matched up

101
00:05:24,279 --> 00:05:28,440
Speaker 1: and loved this matchup. But man, that's crazy movement. Three

102
00:05:28,440 --> 00:05:30,680
Speaker 1: and a half points. That's that's a big deal for

103
00:05:30,680 --> 00:05:33,760
Speaker 1: sports books to move it that much when all the money,

104
00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:35,920
Speaker 1: all the tickets are still coming in on the Titans

105
00:05:36,160 --> 00:05:39,159
Speaker 1: and they're moving against it. So yeah, a lot of

106
00:05:39,200 --> 00:05:42,280
Speaker 1: signals there. Um, I'm feeling a little too confident. That's

107
00:05:42,320 --> 00:05:44,800
Speaker 1: the problem. Now. It's like, Wow, I nailed this. If

108
00:05:44,839 --> 00:05:47,120
Speaker 1: this gets a three three and a half with the Titans,

109
00:05:47,320 --> 00:05:48,960
Speaker 1: I'll have to come back on the other side. But

110
00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:50,960
Speaker 1: for right now, it's still a good number to me.

111
00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:52,640
Speaker 1: As long as it stays below two and a half

112
00:05:52,680 --> 00:05:54,840
Speaker 1: and it stays at two, that's that's good value for

113
00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,440
Speaker 1: the Colts. Yeah, this is a This is a pros

114
00:05:57,680 --> 00:06:01,119
Speaker 1: Joe's game in every sense of the word. Massive ticket

115
00:06:01,160 --> 00:06:07,599
Speaker 1: discrepancy of the tickets coming in on the Titans, of

116
00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:09,880
Speaker 1: the money coming in the Colts. That tells you that

117
00:06:09,920 --> 00:06:12,680
Speaker 1: the professional bettors have come in on the Colts. It's

118
00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:16,920
Speaker 1: why it has moved so much. Before we get any further,

119
00:06:17,000 --> 00:06:19,200
Speaker 1: I forgot to bring in sharp calls. So we've talked

120
00:06:19,200 --> 00:06:21,360
Speaker 1: about the Colts. We love the Colts. We loved them

121
00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:22,720
Speaker 1: a plus one and a half. We're still going to

122
00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,640
Speaker 1: be on them. If it gets any higher, we've got

123
00:06:24,640 --> 00:06:27,080
Speaker 1: to reconsider it. Let's talk about the sharp calls you've

124
00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:40,680
Speaker 1: got this week. Hello, who's there? I'm talking. Maybe the

125
00:06:40,680 --> 00:06:43,320
Speaker 1: guys were a little more timid this week after last weekend.

126
00:06:43,760 --> 00:06:46,880
Speaker 1: Last weekend, you loved the Packers, and they were calling

127
00:06:46,880 --> 00:06:49,359
Speaker 1: you saying no, no, we're on Washington football team, and

128
00:06:49,400 --> 00:06:51,440
Speaker 1: you stuck with the Packers. The line moved to get

129
00:06:51,480 --> 00:06:53,680
Speaker 1: moved in the opposite direction. It moved with the Washington

130
00:06:53,720 --> 00:06:56,920
Speaker 1: football team, and we nailed it. We were spot on. Yeah,

131
00:06:57,000 --> 00:06:59,840
Speaker 1: that's that's the rare case where it's like this one

132
00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:02,320
Speaker 1: just keeps covering. This other team sucks and they just

133
00:07:02,320 --> 00:07:04,760
Speaker 1: can't figure out how to cover. It was kind of

134
00:07:04,880 --> 00:07:06,880
Speaker 1: as simple as that, and I thought it was a

135
00:07:06,880 --> 00:07:08,680
Speaker 1: good number. I headed at ten. It was still nine

136
00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:11,320
Speaker 1: and a half, like closing. I never had any fear

137
00:07:11,360 --> 00:07:13,440
Speaker 1: of that number. But this week it's kind of the

138
00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:16,080
Speaker 1: same thing. I would say. Multiple guys called me about

139
00:07:16,120 --> 00:07:18,480
Speaker 1: them really liking the Patriots. They really love the Patriots.

140
00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:20,400
Speaker 1: Its massive with the Chargers and they've come in and

141
00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:23,200
Speaker 1: they've got that number down. Nothing's change. I still think

142
00:07:23,200 --> 00:07:24,720
Speaker 1: the Chargers is the right side. I still think you're

143
00:07:24,720 --> 00:07:26,240
Speaker 1: getting a good number on that. And the other one

144
00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:28,720
Speaker 1: they've kind of had me waivering now is Miami. They

145
00:07:28,760 --> 00:07:31,160
Speaker 1: love Miami. They love Miami a fourteen. They loved it

146
00:07:31,200 --> 00:07:33,480
Speaker 1: off short fourteen and a half. Some books it's down

147
00:07:33,480 --> 00:07:35,120
Speaker 1: to thirteen a half. I believe Fando it's down to

148
00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:37,760
Speaker 1: thirteen and a half. Maybe I'm wrong, maybe I'm overlooking

149
00:07:38,120 --> 00:07:40,400
Speaker 1: um this Miami team, but I just can't go to

150
00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:43,600
Speaker 1: the fact that Bills dominate Miami and they domin him

151
00:07:43,640 --> 00:07:46,120
Speaker 1: at home. People forget last year, the final week of

152
00:07:46,160 --> 00:07:48,960
Speaker 1: the season, the Bills were going to arrest their starters

153
00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:51,600
Speaker 1: and Miami was playing for a playoff spot. I believe

154
00:07:51,640 --> 00:07:54,760
Speaker 1: they hung fifty points up on Miami. It just seems

155
00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:56,880
Speaker 1: like match up wise, this Bills team just matches up

156
00:07:56,920 --> 00:07:59,520
Speaker 1: really well. This Miami's team. I get what the guys

157
00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:02,720
Speaker 1: are saying, this is Miami's you know, throw it all

158
00:08:02,800 --> 00:08:05,080
Speaker 1: against this one team, this is for their whole season.

159
00:08:05,800 --> 00:08:07,720
Speaker 1: But I feel like, after it's such a good game

160
00:08:07,720 --> 00:08:09,840
Speaker 1: by two it last week, I kind of still want

161
00:08:09,840 --> 00:08:11,800
Speaker 1: to fade him this week going on the road playing

162
00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:14,840
Speaker 1: it up in Buffalo, So you know, I get what

163
00:08:14,920 --> 00:08:17,320
Speaker 1: they're coming from, but nothing's changing me from that standpoint,

164
00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:23,440
Speaker 1: and the final one. They they hate that. I'm just

165
00:08:23,480 --> 00:08:26,160
Speaker 1: so confident this Giants team. They think this is a

166
00:08:26,160 --> 00:08:28,119
Speaker 1: great bounce back week for the Chiefs, and we're gonna

167
00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:30,640
Speaker 1: talk with the Chiefs. That's probably up in our Survivor pick.

168
00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,120
Speaker 1: I don't think I'm overthinking this. I feel like that

169
00:08:33,400 --> 00:08:35,200
Speaker 1: this is the right side to take with the Giants,

170
00:08:35,200 --> 00:08:36,840
Speaker 1: and I was shocked to hear that so many of

171
00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:40,360
Speaker 1: them are cool taking this Chief's team at home. I

172
00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,199
Speaker 1: get the reason. It's a primetime game to get right game.

173
00:08:43,880 --> 00:08:46,640
Speaker 1: The Giants are coming off a huge win. But ten points,

174
00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:48,679
Speaker 1: ten a half points, that's way too many points for

175
00:08:48,720 --> 00:08:51,960
Speaker 1: this Chief's team. So we'll see how it chicks out. Chat.

176
00:08:51,960 --> 00:08:53,520
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be one of our five,

177
00:08:53,679 --> 00:08:56,520
Speaker 1: but I feel confident in that number. And I think

178
00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:58,120
Speaker 1: you're getting a good deal here with the Giants on

179
00:08:58,160 --> 00:09:00,120
Speaker 1: the road. All right, well, we're gonna put Those are

180
00:09:00,120 --> 00:09:01,800
Speaker 1: all games that we're probably gonna want to talk about,

181
00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:05,560
Speaker 1: except for probably the the Dolphins. Like I'm with you,

182
00:09:05,800 --> 00:09:10,000
Speaker 1: one thing to note. During the Sean McDermott era, they've

183
00:09:10,040 --> 00:09:13,320
Speaker 1: beaten the Dolphins by an average of something like twenty

184
00:09:13,360 --> 00:09:16,439
Speaker 1: points a game. I don't even know that, And I'm

185
00:09:16,440 --> 00:09:19,880
Speaker 1: with you. I think there's times where you wanna fade

186
00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:25,280
Speaker 1: the huge favorite looks smart taking the big dog. I

187
00:09:25,320 --> 00:09:29,040
Speaker 1: don't know that this Dolphins team has the talent or

188
00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:33,280
Speaker 1: the confidence going against the team like the Bills that

189
00:09:33,400 --> 00:09:36,600
Speaker 1: is coming off of by the other game which I'm

190
00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,959
Speaker 1: feeling less confident about is the top five Bears plus

191
00:09:39,960 --> 00:09:43,839
Speaker 1: three and a half. Yeah, it makes sense you take

192
00:09:43,880 --> 00:09:46,120
Speaker 1: the Bears in this spot, but I don't know if

193
00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:51,040
Speaker 1: I like I want to put on it. It's mainly

194
00:09:51,040 --> 00:09:54,800
Speaker 1: because of Hicks and macjuries. Um, if they're hurt on

195
00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:56,440
Speaker 1: that d line. Of the same reason I told you

196
00:09:56,520 --> 00:10:00,000
Speaker 1: I really like Tampa last week. I like Tampa's matchup

197
00:10:00,040 --> 00:10:02,280
Speaker 1: with this team, and I just the Bears that too

198
00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:03,920
Speaker 1: many injuries on that front line to be able to

199
00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:07,360
Speaker 1: stop the run. And Hicks is an absolute game changer.

200
00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:10,160
Speaker 1: I know Mac gets all the love Hicks. He might

201
00:10:10,160 --> 00:10:13,000
Speaker 1: be better than Mac honestly, and you can look at

202
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:16,160
Speaker 1: statistically what he does for this team. So yeah, Chad,

203
00:10:16,200 --> 00:10:18,080
Speaker 1: I'm not gonna fight you on that. I do like

204
00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:20,560
Speaker 1: the Bears. It feels like the smart side here, But yeah,

205
00:10:20,559 --> 00:10:22,600
Speaker 1: I got other games I like way more than this one.

206
00:10:22,640 --> 00:10:25,200
Speaker 1: So with the injuries adding up now for this Bears team,

207
00:10:25,480 --> 00:10:27,960
Speaker 1: I got no issue passing on this one. Yeah, that

208
00:10:28,400 --> 00:10:30,120
Speaker 1: I don't disagree with you about Hicks. I'm not sure

209
00:10:30,120 --> 00:10:33,520
Speaker 1: he's like as impactful as Khalil Mack just because one

210
00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:35,960
Speaker 1: of the reasons he can be so impactful is because

211
00:10:36,000 --> 00:10:39,520
Speaker 1: Khalil Mack takes up some requires so much attention, right,

212
00:10:39,559 --> 00:10:42,520
Speaker 1: And so you've got a guy like Hicks who's incredibly

213
00:10:42,559 --> 00:10:46,280
Speaker 1: talented and incredibly powerful on the defensive line, but there

214
00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:50,200
Speaker 1: are times where he's getting better blocking matchups because he's

215
00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:53,240
Speaker 1: got Khalila Mack on the outside who's requiring more attention.

216
00:10:53,920 --> 00:10:56,160
Speaker 1: We're gonna pass on that one. The game you mentioned

217
00:10:56,160 --> 00:11:00,720
Speaker 1: in sharp Calls, Chargers opened at six again the Patriots

218
00:11:01,240 --> 00:11:03,040
Speaker 1: when we talked about it on Tuesday, they were at

219
00:11:03,080 --> 00:11:04,760
Speaker 1: five and a half. So the wise guys that started

220
00:11:04,760 --> 00:11:08,760
Speaker 1: coming in the past that game right now is down

221
00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:13,160
Speaker 1: to four and a half four and a half. There's

222
00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:15,839
Speaker 1: a lot of talk about how much professional betters, as

223
00:11:15,880 --> 00:11:18,719
Speaker 1: you mentioned, love the Patriots. They love them defensively, they

224
00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,920
Speaker 1: love them on special teams. They don't like how much

225
00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:24,360
Speaker 1: the Chargers have been living in dime by third and

226
00:11:24,400 --> 00:11:27,920
Speaker 1: fourth down conversions which totally bit them against the Ravens,

227
00:11:27,960 --> 00:11:30,880
Speaker 1: which you and I capitalized on because we agreed that

228
00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:34,680
Speaker 1: was gonna be a regression spot. But I'm with you, man.

229
00:11:34,800 --> 00:11:36,320
Speaker 1: I look at the Chargers at four and a half,

230
00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:39,880
Speaker 1: I'm like, are you freaking kidding me? And we talked

231
00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:41,720
Speaker 1: all the time. I hate that, always go back to it,

232
00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:43,439
Speaker 1: but I just love the stock market. This is the

233
00:11:43,520 --> 00:11:46,839
Speaker 1: same exact thing people are buying at the highest point now.

234
00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:49,640
Speaker 1: The Patriots are coming off what they put up fifty

235
00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:52,200
Speaker 1: one points last week against this Jets team, playing the

236
00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,400
Speaker 1: team the last time people saw them got blown out

237
00:11:54,400 --> 00:11:57,199
Speaker 1: by the Ravens. I love it. I feel like them,

238
00:11:57,320 --> 00:12:00,400
Speaker 1: especially them coming off a bye at home, giving them

239
00:12:00,400 --> 00:12:03,520
Speaker 1: extra time to prepare for this team. The Patriots are

240
00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:07,760
Speaker 1: just bad um in certain ways. But the best thing

241
00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:09,720
Speaker 1: that Patriots do is run the ball. So that's why

242
00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:12,320
Speaker 1: I think the professionals are coming in because they're saying, okay,

243
00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:14,600
Speaker 1: they'king about a run the ball against the Chargers defense.

244
00:12:14,640 --> 00:12:17,360
Speaker 1: Give Mac short fields of work with which we've seen it.

245
00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:19,960
Speaker 1: Mac Jones is really good at three to five guard passes.

246
00:12:20,000 --> 00:12:22,880
Speaker 1: That's where he thrives. Like these short, quick throws. He

247
00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:24,600
Speaker 1: is really good at him. He gets him out quick

248
00:12:24,880 --> 00:12:27,200
Speaker 1: and he gets first downs that way. But I have

249
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:31,280
Speaker 1: to look at it this that, Okay, the Patriots haven't

250
00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:34,520
Speaker 1: been anyone good. They're there have only been bad teams.

251
00:12:34,679 --> 00:12:37,480
Speaker 1: Like they beat Houston and they beat the Jets twice, Like,

252
00:12:38,400 --> 00:12:40,280
Speaker 1: what are we doing here? I'm trying to keep it simple,

253
00:12:40,320 --> 00:12:42,960
Speaker 1: stupid and this is one of those opportunities where you

254
00:12:43,040 --> 00:12:44,840
Speaker 1: just take the charges and you live and die with

255
00:12:44,840 --> 00:12:47,640
Speaker 1: what the results are. It's it's just an overinflated team

256
00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:51,800
Speaker 1: right now in the Patriots. Yeah, it's it's fascinating to

257
00:12:52,559 --> 00:12:58,280
Speaker 1: hear the conversation about Mac Jones best quarterback drafted when

258
00:12:59,040 --> 00:13:02,920
Speaker 1: he's not really doing anything, he's not winning them games.

259
00:13:03,640 --> 00:13:05,439
Speaker 1: They look good. I'll give it to him. He does.

260
00:13:05,440 --> 00:13:08,160
Speaker 1: Look he didn't beat the Bucks. He looks good by

261
00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:11,000
Speaker 1: the way. He looks good in comparison, meaning he's not

262
00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,839
Speaker 1: making the mistakes. He's got great protection and there Josh

263
00:13:14,880 --> 00:13:17,280
Speaker 1: McDaniels is given a great game plan because he's not

264
00:13:17,320 --> 00:13:20,240
Speaker 1: asking him to throw it downfield. You look at what

265
00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:23,680
Speaker 1: the other quarterbacks are having to do, Trevor Lawrence justin fields,

266
00:13:23,760 --> 00:13:26,800
Speaker 1: Zack Wilson, like Trey Lance, who's not even on the field.

267
00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:29,720
Speaker 1: Like those guys, They're being asked to do different things.

268
00:13:30,679 --> 00:13:32,600
Speaker 1: There's a reason that pat for the Patriots for the

269
00:13:32,640 --> 00:13:35,240
Speaker 1: fifte pick. Okay Obo said they had town on that team.

270
00:13:35,600 --> 00:13:38,240
Speaker 1: They spend money off season add to talent, and he

271
00:13:38,320 --> 00:13:41,559
Speaker 1: was like a fifth year senior. So Mac again, he's

272
00:13:41,559 --> 00:13:44,360
Speaker 1: looked good right now. This is it Like Mack isn't

273
00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:46,120
Speaker 1: going to get that much better than what he is

274
00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:48,040
Speaker 1: right now. He's kind of That's why he was a

275
00:13:48,080 --> 00:13:51,160
Speaker 1: fifth pick. His upside was very limited. But on the

276
00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,720
Speaker 1: low side, it's limited to this guy is just a solid,

277
00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:56,400
Speaker 1: good quarterback. I think that's that's what people are getting

278
00:13:56,480 --> 00:14:00,720
Speaker 1: right now. But yeah, like the hype around him again,

279
00:14:00,760 --> 00:14:04,480
Speaker 1: he's beaten the three teams he's beaten, I won't fallt him.

280
00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:06,439
Speaker 1: He looked good against Dallas, he played well, I guess

281
00:14:06,520 --> 00:14:10,120
Speaker 1: against the Buccaneers. But at the same time, it's I

282
00:14:10,160 --> 00:14:12,320
Speaker 1: feel like it's more about Belichick and this team that

283
00:14:12,440 --> 00:14:15,839
Speaker 1: keeps them in this game. So I I just if

284
00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:17,920
Speaker 1: you're if you're betting a rookie quarterback on the road

285
00:14:18,000 --> 00:14:21,600
Speaker 1: here like that comeback the head against Houston, that's not

286
00:14:21,640 --> 00:14:24,240
Speaker 1: gonna happen against the Chargers. The Chargers are light years

287
00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,880
Speaker 1: better team than that Houston team. So if he gets

288
00:14:26,880 --> 00:14:30,400
Speaker 1: down by two touchdowns of Herbert. I just cannot see

289
00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:34,040
Speaker 1: this kid coming back. Chargers not as good defensively as

290
00:14:34,840 --> 00:14:37,160
Speaker 1: I would like them to be, especially against the run,

291
00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:39,600
Speaker 1: which is the one thing the Patriots can do. They're

292
00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:42,080
Speaker 1: awful against the run, they really are, but they're really

293
00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:45,080
Speaker 1: good against the past, honestly. So we're just going with it.

294
00:14:45,240 --> 00:14:47,400
Speaker 1: We're saying four and a half is the right number. Yeah,

295
00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:48,840
Speaker 1: if that's what it is, and if that's what it

296
00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:50,680
Speaker 1: is and that our top five, I would put it

297
00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:53,240
Speaker 1: in there. But we'll keep putting alonger because there are

298
00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:55,680
Speaker 1: other other games that we do love well. The other

299
00:14:55,760 --> 00:15:00,880
Speaker 1: game that is just gross. Sometimes betting means doing bad things.

300
00:15:01,840 --> 00:15:06,960
Speaker 1: This is truly disgusting, gross bets, gross profits. But the

301
00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:12,040
Speaker 1: Seattle Seahawks with Gino Smith are probably a bottom five

302
00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:16,160
Speaker 1: team and they're playing the Jacksonville Jaguars and there are

303
00:15:16,200 --> 00:15:18,480
Speaker 1: three and a half point favorites. And I will say

304
00:15:18,480 --> 00:15:21,120
Speaker 1: the same thing we said a couple of weeks ago.

305
00:15:21,480 --> 00:15:24,440
Speaker 1: The Jaguars can stop the run, the Jaguars can run

306
00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:27,520
Speaker 1: the ball, and they have a better quarterback. Everything you

307
00:15:27,600 --> 00:15:30,080
Speaker 1: just said is why I we talked on Tuesday. Three

308
00:15:30,120 --> 00:15:33,240
Speaker 1: and a half. You're giving me two ugly dogs. I'm

309
00:15:33,240 --> 00:15:35,040
Speaker 1: gonna take the three and a half with the uglier

310
00:15:35,160 --> 00:15:38,080
Speaker 1: team and the Jaguars in the sense that this is

311
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:39,840
Speaker 1: a field goal game where it's two and a half.

312
00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:41,760
Speaker 1: I think it's down to three and most books now,

313
00:15:42,160 --> 00:15:44,280
Speaker 1: so hopefully you can still get the three and a

314
00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:46,840
Speaker 1: half of your with us and you like this Jaguars team.

315
00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:49,840
Speaker 1: But yeah, coming off a bye week, I do like

316
00:15:49,880 --> 00:15:51,760
Speaker 1: what the Seats are trying to do with Gino. But

317
00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,600
Speaker 1: he is bad. I just rewatched that game from Monday

318
00:15:54,720 --> 00:15:57,880
Speaker 1: night again bad, Like he makes the stupidest throws. He

319
00:15:57,920 --> 00:16:00,960
Speaker 1: still throws off his back foot into average He's just

320
00:16:01,440 --> 00:16:03,920
Speaker 1: he's just not a smart quarterback. And say what you

321
00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:06,600
Speaker 1: want about Trevor Lawrence. My favorite thing to see from

322
00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:09,040
Speaker 1: the young quarterbacks is if they're throwing an interception, they

323
00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:10,920
Speaker 1: come back and they just go right back to it.

324
00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,960
Speaker 1: Like Mac Jones last Weekgainst Dallas, he threw that picks six,

325
00:16:14,360 --> 00:16:16,840
Speaker 1: he went right back at it. That's I love seeing

326
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:19,320
Speaker 1: that from a quarterback. To me, that's bigger than anything

327
00:16:19,320 --> 00:16:22,040
Speaker 1: else they can really do. So with Trevor Lawrence, I've

328
00:16:22,040 --> 00:16:23,880
Speaker 1: seen it where he's throwing your receptions, he's done. He's

329
00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:26,480
Speaker 1: doing stupid stuff. He doesn't let it affect him. He

330
00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:28,600
Speaker 1: comes right back and he keeps throwing it downfield. So

331
00:16:29,120 --> 00:16:32,120
Speaker 1: you're gonna mean one offense like a complete high powered offense.

332
00:16:32,600 --> 00:16:35,040
Speaker 1: I feel like the Jaguars offensively are way above the

333
00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:40,760
Speaker 1: Seahawks team. Defensively, they're both awful. I really that Seahawks

334
00:16:40,800 --> 00:16:42,680
Speaker 1: game against No. Orleans that was more than New Orleans

335
00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:44,960
Speaker 1: just couldn't capitalize on opportunities. They kept getting in the

336
00:16:44,960 --> 00:16:48,720
Speaker 1: red zone and getting stopped. I actually think the Jaguars

337
00:16:48,680 --> 00:16:50,880
Speaker 1: and put up points in this matchup. So if you're

338
00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:52,080
Speaker 1: still out there to be able to get the three

339
00:16:52,120 --> 00:16:53,800
Speaker 1: and a half of this Jaguars team, I really like

340
00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:59,320
Speaker 1: that number pros Joe's tickets on Seattle sixty one of

341
00:16:59,360 --> 00:17:02,480
Speaker 1: the money. That's crazy me that many people are still

342
00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:04,760
Speaker 1: bet in the Seahawks even after watching that game. I mean,

343
00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,040
Speaker 1: I guess the Jags are that bad, but that's that's

344
00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:09,360
Speaker 1: pretty crazy. I think it's really about the Jags being

345
00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,240
Speaker 1: that bad. And look, there's a lot of there's Look

346
00:17:11,520 --> 00:17:13,120
Speaker 1: there's a lot of people in the market, Like there's

347
00:17:13,160 --> 00:17:16,639
Speaker 1: new people in the market that are seeing the Seahawks

348
00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:20,720
Speaker 1: and maybe they saw the Seahawks play really well or

349
00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,119
Speaker 1: play well enough. You know, they played well back to

350
00:17:24,119 --> 00:17:27,360
Speaker 1: back weeks, so that that's what they're betting on right there.

351
00:17:27,560 --> 00:17:30,320
Speaker 1: And the pros are doing what they always do. They're

352
00:17:30,359 --> 00:17:32,840
Speaker 1: betting the worst team in football getting the hook and

353
00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:35,240
Speaker 1: you can still get three and a half in certain places.

354
00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:39,080
Speaker 1: I'm with you, though, love the Jackson here. If we

355
00:17:39,080 --> 00:17:41,920
Speaker 1: can get it three and a half, all the better. Um.

356
00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:47,040
Speaker 1: Speaking of the team the Seahawks played, the New Orleans

357
00:17:47,080 --> 00:17:52,960
Speaker 1: Saints are currently it might be the six buddy, it's

358
00:17:53,040 --> 00:17:56,600
Speaker 1: definitely at five and a half. It's growing up. All

359
00:17:56,640 --> 00:18:00,480
Speaker 1: the tickets on the Tampa Bay Bucks. Let's ends game.

360
00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:02,280
Speaker 1: We we both loved it at four and a half.

361
00:18:02,520 --> 00:18:04,480
Speaker 1: And now what's move in the other way always a

362
00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:07,000
Speaker 1: little scary because I mean, that's that's not public money

363
00:18:07,040 --> 00:18:10,119
Speaker 1: moving that number, that's professional money coming and moving that number.

364
00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:13,200
Speaker 1: But I feel like we're still getting a grade number.

365
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:15,360
Speaker 1: I'm still gonna be taking the Saints money line. Thank

366
00:18:15,359 --> 00:18:17,159
Speaker 1: you for the pros betting this up, giving me more

367
00:18:17,240 --> 00:18:20,200
Speaker 1: value on the money line. You have to do it, people.

368
00:18:20,240 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 1: This is one of many traps being laid this week.

369
00:18:23,359 --> 00:18:27,439
Speaker 1: And again, Tommy terrific. We talked about his road, his

370
00:18:27,520 --> 00:18:30,320
Speaker 1: road and home splits, very big difference of Tommy on

371
00:18:30,359 --> 00:18:33,560
Speaker 1: the road than at home. So Saints, I get it,

372
00:18:33,760 --> 00:18:36,640
Speaker 1: they've been bad, but the best thing they can do

373
00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,000
Speaker 1: is kind of move the ball through the air. And

374
00:18:40,240 --> 00:18:42,360
Speaker 1: we have a team that has linebackers that can't cover

375
00:18:42,440 --> 00:18:44,960
Speaker 1: running backs, so that's a huge advantage to Kamara and

376
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:47,960
Speaker 1: at the wide receiver position against this really banged up

377
00:18:48,000 --> 00:18:50,600
Speaker 1: buck secondary. You have to like the value you're getting

378
00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:52,919
Speaker 1: on the Saints here. So even if we're just begging

379
00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:54,399
Speaker 1: for a back door, the same thing we did with

380
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:56,560
Speaker 1: the Eagles and they played the Buccan Years, I'm always

381
00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,040
Speaker 1: gonna feel like we have a chance for that back

382
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:03,359
Speaker 1: door just because the Bucking Years. They they are really good,

383
00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,480
Speaker 1: there's no doubt about that, but they aren't kind of

384
00:19:06,520 --> 00:19:09,840
Speaker 1: like this one of these teams that really has enough

385
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,160
Speaker 1: on the side of the defense to really be fair

386
00:19:12,240 --> 00:19:14,959
Speaker 1: by this many points. So last week was a matchup

387
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:16,399
Speaker 1: thing with them in the Bears. This week and the

388
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,600
Speaker 1: same thing. The Saints have always matched up well this

389
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,600
Speaker 1: Buckaneers team, and I saw some crazy stat could be

390
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:23,480
Speaker 1: made up. I could get full by internet here, but

391
00:19:23,560 --> 00:19:25,760
Speaker 1: it makes sense when you really think about it. Tampa

392
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:28,760
Speaker 1: Bay has never been favorite by this many points in

393
00:19:28,840 --> 00:19:31,240
Speaker 1: the Orleans. Even in the year they won the Super Bowl,

394
00:19:31,240 --> 00:19:33,720
Speaker 1: they got swept by New Orleans both times. Okay, so

395
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:36,760
Speaker 1: it is interesting looking back at the history that the

396
00:19:36,840 --> 00:19:39,520
Speaker 1: Saints have always played so well. I guess this sucking

397
00:19:39,760 --> 00:19:41,720
Speaker 1: team at home and they've never been a big underdog

398
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:44,600
Speaker 1: like this. So we we have to take these points

399
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:47,800
Speaker 1: where we're literally riding with history here. Uh, Simon, of

400
00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,160
Speaker 1: course you can believe it if it's on the internet.

401
00:19:50,400 --> 00:19:52,719
Speaker 1: Everything on the internet is true. I think that's how

402
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:54,560
Speaker 1: it works. Right. Are you ready to get to the

403
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:58,199
Speaker 1: game of the week. We're talking about the Dallas Cowboys

404
00:19:58,720 --> 00:20:05,840
Speaker 1: visiting the Minnesota Vikings. Line has moved up since we

405
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:10,840
Speaker 1: talked about it on Tuesday. Everybody loves them cowboys. How

406
00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:14,639
Speaker 1: about them cowboys? Actually in New Jersey because me and

407
00:20:14,680 --> 00:20:17,080
Speaker 1: my friends it's removed the other way. We bet it

408
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:18,639
Speaker 1: down from two and a half, it's down to one

409
00:20:18,640 --> 00:20:21,480
Speaker 1: and a half on Fandel now in New Jersey. Wow,

410
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,000
Speaker 1: mover of lines over here, you know, do you want

411
00:20:24,000 --> 00:20:27,240
Speaker 1: to listen? You move lines. That's what you do. My job,

412
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:32,720
Speaker 1: Simon Hunter, line mover the Vikings at two and a

413
00:20:32,800 --> 00:20:37,560
Speaker 1: half outside of Simon Hunter's jurisdiction. Read your little stats, Chad,

414
00:20:37,680 --> 00:20:41,000
Speaker 1: go ahead, do your do your stat thing. Hey, this

415
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:43,639
Speaker 1: is another prose Joe's game, right. We got eighty percent

416
00:20:43,840 --> 00:20:46,960
Speaker 1: Jesus Christ eight percent of the bets coming in and

417
00:20:47,000 --> 00:20:50,879
Speaker 1: the Cowboys about sixty of the money coming in on

418
00:20:50,920 --> 00:20:52,679
Speaker 1: the Vikings and the fact that in most places this

419
00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:57,760
Speaker 1: line has moved up. That's something special, right, So UM

420
00:20:57,880 --> 00:21:02,440
Speaker 1: fast Number one Brandon Anderson, who is a massive Vikings fan.

421
00:21:02,520 --> 00:21:09,000
Speaker 1: Brandon Anderson UH senior writer for The Action Network. UM.

422
00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:14,000
Speaker 1: He hosts podcast on Action the Action Network Football podcast

423
00:21:14,520 --> 00:21:19,280
Speaker 1: with the Action Network podcast about the NFL with Raheem Palmer.

424
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,200
Speaker 1: He is a massive Vikings fan. I love his story

425
00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:24,360
Speaker 1: every week where he sort of gives his leans for

426
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,240
Speaker 1: every game. He sent me something after listening to our

427
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:30,359
Speaker 1: podcast on Tuesday going into bet Labs, which is that

428
00:21:30,480 --> 00:21:33,080
Speaker 1: you know super secret system we have that everybody has

429
00:21:33,119 --> 00:21:36,119
Speaker 1: access to millions and millions of data points. You just

430
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:40,520
Speaker 1: got to subscribe, basically, it said Mike Zimmer. For the

431
00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,639
Speaker 1: first part of his career to two thousand nineteen, amazing

432
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:47,199
Speaker 1: at Home against the spread, past two seasons, a bit

433
00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:50,600
Speaker 1: of a money loser. So I think there's a lot

434
00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:52,440
Speaker 1: of ways to interpret data. There's a lot of ways

435
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,919
Speaker 1: to interpret that. How do you interpreted, Simon? And I

436
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:57,680
Speaker 1: didn't say anything. I'll let you guys post these things

437
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,280
Speaker 1: in our slack channel. Just wait for this moment. I

438
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 1: wonder what happened last year that the home field advantage

439
00:22:03,640 --> 00:22:05,879
Speaker 1: kind of took a dip from Minnesota? Was it that

440
00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:08,639
Speaker 1: there was no fans in the stadium? Chad? Do you

441
00:22:08,640 --> 00:22:12,080
Speaker 1: think that's one of the reasons. Yeah, I do so

442
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:14,760
Speaker 1: when I saw you post that's that, I'm with him. Yeah,

443
00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:17,439
Speaker 1: he's he's kind of slipped her last two years. Just

444
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:20,120
Speaker 1: throw it out. The whole reason that stadium is so

445
00:22:20,200 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 1: hard that you can't hear anything. The way they built it,

446
00:22:23,040 --> 00:22:25,919
Speaker 1: it's one of the loudest stadiums. They got the Viking

447
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:28,520
Speaker 1: hornblowing on third downs. It's madness in there when the

448
00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:31,000
Speaker 1: fans are in there. So yeah, I threw that out

449
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,760
Speaker 1: just because it doesn't really mean much. This is one

450
00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:35,919
Speaker 1: of these teams that rely on the fans. It's like

451
00:22:35,960 --> 00:22:38,719
Speaker 1: the Colts. The Colts need fans and net indoor stadium

452
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,000
Speaker 1: to be really loud. It's different when they're pumping in

453
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 1: loud music or whatever they're doing last year. So yeah,

454
00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:46,960
Speaker 1: I'm with him. That's a fair criticism to say he's

455
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,359
Speaker 1: he slipped the last two years with the home field advantage.

456
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:52,280
Speaker 1: Well this year it's been back to what it was.

457
00:22:52,359 --> 00:22:55,159
Speaker 1: They had the Seahawks at home, they killed him, they

458
00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:58,520
Speaker 1: blew them up. So that's that's a fair argument. But

459
00:22:58,520 --> 00:22:59,920
Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna stick to what I believe in

460
00:23:00,040 --> 00:23:02,720
Speaker 1: with this With this Vikings team, and we've seen it

461
00:23:02,800 --> 00:23:07,640
Speaker 1: time and time again. Dallas is really good. They're incredible.

462
00:23:07,680 --> 00:23:09,560
Speaker 1: There's a reason the public is coming in so heavy

463
00:23:09,560 --> 00:23:12,440
Speaker 1: on this number, but they're not looking at my little

464
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:15,240
Speaker 1: numbers where Doc hasn't been pressured that much. Now he's

465
00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:16,719
Speaker 1: going up against the team of the Vikings that want

466
00:23:16,760 --> 00:23:19,200
Speaker 1: to highest pressure rates in all football. Okay, so they

467
00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,159
Speaker 1: get after the quarterback, they might not get home, they

468
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:24,120
Speaker 1: might not get the sacks. They're moving the quarterbacks off

469
00:23:24,119 --> 00:23:27,679
Speaker 1: their spots and that is great. Mobile it's coming off

470
00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:30,119
Speaker 1: a calf injury that he was literally in a walking

471
00:23:30,160 --> 00:23:33,159
Speaker 1: boot during their bye week. So just looking at it

472
00:23:33,200 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 1: on paper, I understand what these people are saying, why

473
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:37,720
Speaker 1: they want to just take Dallas and they're six and

474
00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:39,720
Speaker 1: oh against the spread. I can't fault them for that.

475
00:23:40,119 --> 00:23:42,240
Speaker 1: I talk at the time. My my main goal is

476
00:23:42,280 --> 00:23:45,639
Speaker 1: to find where is there gonna be regression? Where is

477
00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,159
Speaker 1: it going to these teams gonna come back to the

478
00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:50,080
Speaker 1: meeting because they're not going seventeen and against the spread.

479
00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:52,280
Speaker 1: It's never happened. I mean, a great year for them

480
00:23:52,760 --> 00:23:55,160
Speaker 1: be eleven and six or something like that against the spread.

481
00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:58,920
Speaker 1: That's an incredible season. So they're gonna trip up some places.

482
00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,919
Speaker 1: This is just a really really good spot for this

483
00:24:02,160 --> 00:24:05,840
Speaker 1: Kings team, coming off of by at home. Everyone's loving

484
00:24:05,880 --> 00:24:09,120
Speaker 1: this Dallas team. The Dallas teams feeling themselves. They get

485
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:12,400
Speaker 1: humbled by this Flkings team. And again this is gonna

486
00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,600
Speaker 1: come down to matchups. We'll see what's gonna happen here.

487
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:17,680
Speaker 1: You have to sense regression for this Dallas defense. They're

488
00:24:17,680 --> 00:24:20,320
Speaker 1: not gonna have pick sixes every other game for touchdowns.

489
00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:23,160
Speaker 1: It's just not feasible. So I do think you're getting

490
00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:25,399
Speaker 1: good value still if you can get Minnesota plus two

491
00:24:25,440 --> 00:24:27,639
Speaker 1: and a half, take that number of throwing a teaser,

492
00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:30,240
Speaker 1: that's just a really good number. Two Have you made

493
00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:35,680
Speaker 1: all my points from a how I set you up

494
00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,600
Speaker 1: knowing that that stat from last year, from from from

495
00:24:40,680 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 1: two past two years included a year at home where

496
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,480
Speaker 1: there are no fans in the stands and there was

497
00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 1: no home field advantage, and included a year the past

498
00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 1: this season and last season, so two seasons in which

499
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 1: Mike Zimmer has kind of been rebuilding the defense on

500
00:24:54,119 --> 00:24:57,440
Speaker 1: the fly. They played better last three weeks, totally, man,

501
00:24:57,480 --> 00:24:58,960
Speaker 1: look at that, Look at it this way, look at

502
00:24:59,000 --> 00:25:00,960
Speaker 1: it this way. It turns out the Vikings are what

503
00:25:01,040 --> 00:25:03,520
Speaker 1: there's three and three. Two of their losses to the

504
00:25:03,560 --> 00:25:06,719
Speaker 1: Cardinals and the Bengals in flukey circumstances in which they

505
00:25:06,720 --> 00:25:09,479
Speaker 1: could have won. We always talk about like, look at

506
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:12,080
Speaker 1: the little place. We talked about it last week with

507
00:25:12,119 --> 00:25:14,439
Speaker 1: the Ravens. The Ravens were a couple of little fluky

508
00:25:14,520 --> 00:25:17,880
Speaker 1: plays away from being a five team, not a team

509
00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:19,479
Speaker 1: that was leading the a f C North. And that's

510
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:24,360
Speaker 1: why we like the Bengals. Um the Chargers were flukey

511
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,760
Speaker 1: fourth down conversions away from not looking as dominant as

512
00:25:27,760 --> 00:25:29,320
Speaker 1: they have been. That's the way, like, that's why we

513
00:25:29,359 --> 00:25:32,600
Speaker 1: liked the Ravens against the Charges last week. It turns

514
00:25:32,600 --> 00:25:35,280
Speaker 1: out the Vikings have lost to the two best teams

515
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,320
Speaker 1: in the NFL potentially in the Bengals and the Cardinals

516
00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:41,120
Speaker 1: and the Browns. One that's they're only lost at home.

517
00:25:41,359 --> 00:25:44,520
Speaker 1: I think they lost four to seven. Yes, he started

518
00:25:44,520 --> 00:25:46,199
Speaker 1: the game, they drove the field for a touchdown, and

519
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,399
Speaker 1: then Kirk Kirk did like that's the only fear with

520
00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,760
Speaker 1: this game. And you're betting on Kirk where he might

521
00:25:50,800 --> 00:25:52,600
Speaker 1: open the game up with the seven points and then

522
00:25:52,600 --> 00:25:54,919
Speaker 1: do nothing for three and a half quarters. So that

523
00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:56,879
Speaker 1: is always the fear. But you have to believe in

524
00:25:56,920 --> 00:25:59,080
Speaker 1: this defense. And like you just said, Zama at home,

525
00:25:59,280 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 1: I just have to keep riding that trend. Bottom line,

526
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:09,159
Speaker 1: we love the Vikings here. Smash Smash is that you

527
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:16,160
Speaker 1: was my Viking song? Oh my god? Did you like it? She? Yeah,

528
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:24,480
Speaker 1: that was That was intimidating Minnesota Vikings. And it's one

529
00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:32,560
Speaker 1: of those things. Look at you, look at you. And

530
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:35,639
Speaker 1: now a word from our friends at FanDuel. The NFL

531
00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,720
Speaker 1: season is approaching the halfway point. In FanDuel sports book

532
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:41,000
Speaker 1: has a little something different to offer for the Sunday

533
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 1: night matchup between Dallas and Minnesota because FanDuel is giving

534
00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 1: new customers to one odds on any touchdown scored in

535
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,919
Speaker 1: the game. That means you can end the NFL Sunday

536
00:26:52,240 --> 00:26:56,240
Speaker 1: right by winning one dollars on a five dollar back.

537
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,000
Speaker 1: I love this matchup, and after listening to Simon, I'm

538
00:26:59,119 --> 00:27:03,119
Speaker 1: leaning towards the Kings ending the Cowboys undefeated streak against

539
00:27:03,119 --> 00:27:06,000
Speaker 1: the spread. Vandel sports Betting made Simple. They have the

540
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,400
Speaker 1: number one rated sports book app in America and they're

541
00:27:08,440 --> 00:27:13,280
Speaker 1: always looking to hook you up with great offers. Plus,

542
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,920
Speaker 1: they now accept venmo and when you win, you'll get paid.

543
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,000
Speaker 1: And as little as two hours to sign up with

544
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,359
Speaker 1: promo code Favorites this week before the Sunday night matchup,

545
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:26,200
Speaker 1: you could win one hundred and twenty five dollars and

546
00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,359
Speaker 1: a five dollar bet. Remember to use the promo code

547
00:27:29,400 --> 00:27:33,679
Speaker 1: Favorites so they know I sent you exclusively on the

548
00:27:33,720 --> 00:27:37,680
Speaker 1: FanDuel sports book app. You must be and over and

549
00:27:37,800 --> 00:27:41,480
Speaker 1: present in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, New Jersey, Tennessee,

550
00:27:41,560 --> 00:27:45,640
Speaker 1: Virginia or West Virginia. New users only. Ten dollar first

551
00:27:45,640 --> 00:27:50,240
Speaker 1: deposit required, Must wager and designated offer Marke max bonus

552
00:27:50,520 --> 00:27:53,440
Speaker 1: A hundred and see full terms at sports book de

553
00:27:53,560 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 1: Vando dot Converstrictions apply gambling problem called one next step

554
00:27:58,000 --> 00:28:02,320
Speaker 1: or text next step to five on it one eight

555
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:05,400
Speaker 1: hundred seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit

556
00:28:05,680 --> 00:28:10,080
Speaker 1: CCPG dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight hundred

557
00:28:10,119 --> 00:28:14,520
Speaker 1: gambler or visit fandel dot com slash r g in Colorado, Indiana,

558
00:28:14,600 --> 00:28:18,680
Speaker 1: New Jersey, and Virginia one eight seven zero seven seven

559
00:28:18,720 --> 00:28:21,520
Speaker 1: for confidential help in Michigan called the Tennessee Red Line

560
00:28:21,560 --> 00:28:24,359
Speaker 1: one eight hundred eight eight nine seven eight nine in Tennessee.

561
00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,400
Speaker 1: Visit one eight hundred gambler dot com in West Virginia.

562
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,359
Speaker 1: Now let's get back to the show. I think we

563
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:35,600
Speaker 1: do have to make this next one our big balls better.

564
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:42,520
Speaker 1: The week Giants visit in the Chiefs plus ten get

565
00:28:42,520 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 1: a little flak from the wise guys on this and

566
00:28:45,080 --> 00:28:47,560
Speaker 1: what they're saying. I get. The only time the Chiefs

567
00:28:47,600 --> 00:28:49,560
Speaker 1: have looked really good at the dominant this year is

568
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:51,560
Speaker 1: playing in the NFC East. They beat the crap out

569
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:53,440
Speaker 1: of Washington, They beat the crap out of the Eagles.

570
00:28:53,600 --> 00:28:56,000
Speaker 1: That's fair. Now they're getting this Giants team after a

571
00:28:56,000 --> 00:28:59,440
Speaker 1: big one at home. That's just so many points, so

572
00:28:59,480 --> 00:29:02,160
Speaker 1: many points for such a bad defense, and we've seen it.

573
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:04,760
Speaker 1: Daniel Jones has been running the ball more. The Chiefs

574
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,800
Speaker 1: team is bad against running quarterbacks. We saw them are

575
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,840
Speaker 1: tear them up. Obviously, Daniel Jones isn't anything compartable lamar,

576
00:29:11,400 --> 00:29:13,880
Speaker 1: but he's slippery like that that read option he does

577
00:29:13,920 --> 00:29:16,040
Speaker 1: when he gets outside that tackle on the left or

578
00:29:16,080 --> 00:29:18,600
Speaker 1: the right. Once he gets out there into space, he's

579
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:23,200
Speaker 1: pretty quick. So ten points. Again, I'm not gonna make

580
00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:25,160
Speaker 1: a big deal of it because it's like I could

581
00:29:25,160 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 1: look like an idiot come next week when they lose

582
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,960
Speaker 1: by twenty. But something ay right with this Chiefs team.

583
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 1: So I I liked it at ten and a half,

584
00:29:33,600 --> 00:29:35,720
Speaker 1: still like it at ten. As only the stays above

585
00:29:35,800 --> 00:29:38,160
Speaker 1: the nine, I'm happy to take this number. I did

586
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:42,200
Speaker 1: have it rated at nine, So yeah, it's it's gonna

587
00:29:42,280 --> 00:29:44,080
Speaker 1: be weird because this is definitely probably gonna be our

588
00:29:44,080 --> 00:29:46,080
Speaker 1: survivor picking the Chiefs like this is the only real

589
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:50,040
Speaker 1: week you can use them left. But man, this is uh,

590
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 1: this is a literally a must win game for this

591
00:29:52,120 --> 00:29:55,680
Speaker 1: Chiefs team. We can all look like idiots every week.

592
00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:58,160
Speaker 1: That's just the way of my lefe. Yeah, we can

593
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:01,360
Speaker 1: look like idiots every day in front of everybody, front

594
00:30:01,360 --> 00:30:03,560
Speaker 1: of the people. We love. It's just part of life

595
00:30:04,280 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 1: to me. We are we are looking at six games

596
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:17,160
Speaker 1: that we will narrow down to five. Four Sunday Colts, Jags, Saints, Vikings, Chargers, Giants,

597
00:30:17,960 --> 00:30:19,360
Speaker 1: and like, you know, I like to have at least

598
00:30:19,400 --> 00:30:21,640
Speaker 1: one favorite in there, so we'll try to force one

599
00:30:21,680 --> 00:30:23,840
Speaker 1: in there. It is a Charger, Charger. The Chargers are

600
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:25,960
Speaker 1: a favorite. That's that's what we end up on. So

601
00:30:26,120 --> 00:30:29,120
Speaker 1: be it, but that that could change obviously comes some day.

602
00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 1: I love this lineup, like I felt so confident coming

603
00:30:32,200 --> 00:30:34,360
Speaker 1: into you know. I like to do my Thursdays and

604
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:38,120
Speaker 1: get up early. Well I don't get up early, but

605
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:41,560
Speaker 1: I am up at my normal time, but I cleared

606
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,720
Speaker 1: my schedule in those first two hours of the day.

607
00:30:44,040 --> 00:30:47,320
Speaker 1: I'm like eight to ten. I'm just focused on our

608
00:30:47,400 --> 00:30:52,400
Speaker 1: picks research deep dive. I finished my work this morning

609
00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:55,880
Speaker 1: and thought, I got four games that I know I love,

610
00:30:56,480 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 1: and Chargers and Giants. We just added I really love

611
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:02,400
Speaker 1: the Chargers right now too. Yeah, we need a five

612
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:05,440
Speaker 1: and o a week. We're so close. We're so close, dude,

613
00:31:05,800 --> 00:31:08,360
Speaker 1: you just gotta hang out. We just gotta hang out.

614
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,240
Speaker 1: We gotta keep keep grinding. We're gonna get there. Three

615
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 1: and two the past two weeks, the Survivor Pool pick

616
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:23,800
Speaker 1: of the week. Let's talk about Survivor for a second,

617
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:26,240
Speaker 1: because you said Chiefs the other the other games I

618
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:31,560
Speaker 1: was thinking about obviously the Bills. Um, uh, those were

619
00:31:31,560 --> 00:31:34,840
Speaker 1: two that I was that I was deeply considering. I

620
00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 1: also for a minute, for a minute, I thought about

621
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:41,680
Speaker 1: the Chargers. No, that's that's crazy. The Bills. One um

622
00:31:41,680 --> 00:31:43,840
Speaker 1: pulled the Bill schedule right now. I think we're having

623
00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:47,160
Speaker 1: a couple opportunities with them. So listen, this Bills have

624
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:50,239
Speaker 1: Miami this week. Next week they're at the Jaguars, Then

625
00:31:50,280 --> 00:31:53,640
Speaker 1: they're at the Jets, So the two different weeks we'll

626
00:31:53,640 --> 00:31:56,800
Speaker 1: beout taking there. Unfortunately, the end of the season with

627
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:59,960
Speaker 1: the Jets at home, so if they're locked up there

628
00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:01,960
Speaker 1: and see by then they might just be sitting guys.

629
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:03,800
Speaker 1: We might not be able to use them that final week.

630
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,680
Speaker 1: So it's looking like we need to use them either

631
00:32:06,720 --> 00:32:09,840
Speaker 1: next week or the week after. Where we talked about

632
00:32:09,840 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 1: this Kansas City Chiefs team, they're in a hard division,

633
00:32:13,440 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 1: Like obviously the easiest matchup they'll have is with Denver.

634
00:32:17,040 --> 00:32:19,200
Speaker 1: I don't know, it's always little sketchy with them in Denver,

635
00:32:19,440 --> 00:32:21,240
Speaker 1: so pull up their schedule right now. They have the

636
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:25,600
Speaker 1: Giants this week, then they go Green Bay Vegas, Dallas

637
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:29,120
Speaker 1: by week Denver Vegas. Yeah, all these games are just tough.

638
00:32:29,320 --> 00:32:31,960
Speaker 1: So this is it. We probably had to take the

639
00:32:32,000 --> 00:32:34,120
Speaker 1: Chiefs this week. This is literally the only easy matchup

640
00:32:34,160 --> 00:32:35,680
Speaker 1: for them for pretty much the rest of the year.

641
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,760
Speaker 1: All right, well we'll go with the Chiefs then. And

642
00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:40,840
Speaker 1: that's the scariest part is I feel like everyone's gonna

643
00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:42,680
Speaker 1: take this Chiefs and this is like such a week.

644
00:32:42,720 --> 00:32:45,280
Speaker 1: That's do I looked it up. We actually have a thousand,

645
00:32:45,280 --> 00:32:49,800
Speaker 1: five hundred people left in our contest. Survivor not bad again.

646
00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:52,400
Speaker 1: First place gets a million dollars. We're going for it,

647
00:32:52,480 --> 00:32:55,360
Speaker 1: and we're going for it. So I am worried because

648
00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:57,200
Speaker 1: I know everyone's gonna be taking the Chiefs, but it

649
00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,719
Speaker 1: just we have no other option. This is such a

650
00:33:00,040 --> 00:33:03,640
Speaker 1: I think everyone's going to take the Bills, you think so, yeah, yeah,

651
00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:06,120
Speaker 1: that that could happen. Actually, I wouldn't hate that either,

652
00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:08,800
Speaker 1: because we just talked about it that of all the

653
00:33:08,840 --> 00:33:11,280
Speaker 1: teams that could pull up the upset again, Houston maybe

654
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,360
Speaker 1: they could with if Tarag's back, that could be their

655
00:33:13,400 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 1: big thing, but I don't know. It's I'm cool with

656
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,680
Speaker 1: saving the bills for another week or two from Let's

657
00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,840
Speaker 1: go with the Chiefs, all right, let's talk about our

658
00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:25,880
Speaker 1: money line round robin play. Yeah, I can throw one out.

659
00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:28,280
Speaker 1: So if you would not listen to me last week,

660
00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:29,840
Speaker 1: or no, if you listen to me on the show,

661
00:33:29,880 --> 00:33:32,480
Speaker 1: you had the Colts in there with the Bengals, with Tennessee,

662
00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:36,040
Speaker 1: you had a good, good week. Unfortunately, was an idiot

663
00:33:36,120 --> 00:33:39,880
Speaker 1: and I didn't do that. So this week going back

664
00:33:39,880 --> 00:33:43,800
Speaker 1: to the well we we love home dogs, no, no surprise,

665
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:46,120
Speaker 1: so the culture no longer and underdogs. I won't throw

666
00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:47,880
Speaker 1: them in there anymore. I did have them in there

667
00:33:48,320 --> 00:33:50,640
Speaker 1: earlier in the week. If you want to ride with

668
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:53,720
Speaker 1: I'm still in the Packers tonight, still in the Packers

669
00:33:53,760 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 1: plus six and a half, still in their money line tonight.

670
00:33:56,040 --> 00:33:58,040
Speaker 1: If anyone wants to ride with that one. If not,

671
00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 1: we could throw it out. Let's go through like the

672
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:03,000
Speaker 1: Jaguars on the money line, like the Saints on the

673
00:34:03,080 --> 00:34:06,480
Speaker 1: money line, like the Vikings on the money line. I

674
00:34:06,480 --> 00:34:10,080
Speaker 1: am gonna wait and see if it's Trod Taylor Pcent

675
00:34:10,160 --> 00:34:13,040
Speaker 1: will have the Texans in on my money line. Parlay again.

676
00:34:13,320 --> 00:34:16,400
Speaker 1: Wait and see, he just came back to practice today.

677
00:34:16,680 --> 00:34:20,720
Speaker 1: He is a difference maker for that offense and round

678
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:24,279
Speaker 1: it out with some other ugly dogs. People don't like it,

679
00:34:24,320 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 1: but I'm still gonna take the Panthers money line. It's

680
00:34:27,040 --> 00:34:30,120
Speaker 1: I just have to do it against the Falcons um

681
00:34:30,200 --> 00:34:32,040
Speaker 1: and you know, if they're looking for a six one

682
00:34:32,080 --> 00:34:35,320
Speaker 1: to throw in there, don't hate, don't hate the football team.

683
00:34:35,400 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 1: They've they've been unlucky last couple of weeks. It feels

684
00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:39,759
Speaker 1: like all the teams that really do for a win

685
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:43,040
Speaker 1: against Tobracos team that just seems like they're completely falling apart.

686
00:34:43,120 --> 00:34:46,160
Speaker 1: With Eddy Bridgewater being banged up, it just does not

687
00:34:46,200 --> 00:34:47,960
Speaker 1: see him right over there. And I think Bond Miller

688
00:34:48,000 --> 00:34:50,600
Speaker 1: is out as well for this game. So if you're

689
00:34:50,600 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 1: looking for a six one to throw in, you don't

690
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:54,719
Speaker 1: want to put Green Bay in tonight. Got's not gonna

691
00:34:54,800 --> 00:35:00,480
Speaker 1: issue taking Washington in this, all right, Saints, Vike's Jags, Panthers,

692
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:05,799
Speaker 1: Washington football team for the money line parlay just gross,

693
00:35:06,840 --> 00:35:08,640
Speaker 1: that's terrible. I don't know that I hit the three

694
00:35:08,640 --> 00:35:10,960
Speaker 1: out of four, three out of seven weeks though, So

695
00:35:11,080 --> 00:35:12,920
Speaker 1: it's it's been a nice run for us with these

696
00:35:13,080 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 1: all right, we've done it. We've never done the slate.

697
00:35:15,440 --> 00:35:18,360
Speaker 1: We've gotten a down to about six that will choose

698
00:35:18,400 --> 00:35:21,760
Speaker 1: five from on Sunday. We've talked about Survivor Go Chiefs.

699
00:35:21,760 --> 00:35:24,240
Speaker 1: We've talked about moneyline Parlor. We've meet our big balls

700
00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,160
Speaker 1: better the week we covered the sharp Calls. I think

701
00:35:27,200 --> 00:35:29,719
Speaker 1: we nailed it. I think we totally nailed everything. We

702
00:35:29,719 --> 00:35:33,200
Speaker 1: want to do today and don't forget. We update everything

703
00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:35,680
Speaker 1: on Sunday morning and we do a show eleven am.

704
00:35:35,719 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 1: Convinced me where we will run through all the games

705
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:40,560
Speaker 1: and talked about the say things really change. You are

706
00:35:40,719 --> 00:35:44,120
Speaker 1: such a media professional. I would have forgotten all of

707
00:35:44,160 --> 00:35:48,400
Speaker 1: that you did. You did, I noticed totally we forgot it.

708
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:53,120
Speaker 1: Well done, Simon Hunter. This has been the favorites from

709
00:35:53,120 --> 00:35:57,160
Speaker 1: the Volume podcast Network. I'm Chatmillman, He's Simon Hunter. Join

710
00:35:57,320 --> 00:36:01,720
Speaker 1: us Sunday morning at Action Network HQ eleven a m Eastern.

711
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,279
Speaker 1: All the things you need to get ready for the day,

712
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:08,359
Speaker 1: none of the freaking fluff, nothing sentimental. Just watch it

713
00:36:08,400 --> 00:36:13,800
Speaker 1: and get smarter by listening to us. Download the podcast

714
00:36:13,800 --> 00:36:17,040
Speaker 1: from Spotify, Apple Podcasts, wherever you get podcasts. Don't forget

715
00:36:17,120 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 1: to rate review, Subscribe until Tuesday, wh