1 00:00:02,920 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the 2 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:15,000 Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live weekdays at ten am 3 00:00:15,040 --> 00:00:18,040 Speaker 1: Eastern on Affo, Cardplay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg 4 00:00:18,079 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 1: Business App. Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts, 5 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:23,360 Speaker 1: or watch us live on YouTube. 6 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 2: But it's hard to understand, at least for me. The 7 00:00:27,240 --> 00:00:29,760 Speaker 2: ISM Services index. John was just saying comes in a 8 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:33,240 Speaker 2: bit light. Price is paid coming in light, employment coming 9 00:00:33,320 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 2: in light, and new orders coming in light, but like 10 00:00:35,600 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 2: some of them are still over expansion. So we've got 11 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 2: to get to the guy behind the data. Anthony Yavis 12 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:42,960 Speaker 2: is chair of the Ism Services Business Committee, and he 13 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 2: is here with us to help break down this data. 14 00:00:45,080 --> 00:00:47,839 Speaker 2: Is this a good report or is this a slowing 15 00:00:48,000 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: bad report? 16 00:00:51,000 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 3: I look at it as being a good report, and 17 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,960 Speaker 3: the reason being, as we know the baseline being fifty, 18 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 3: we're still experiencing growth month over months. So even though 19 00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 3: we had this pulled back of one point two percentage 20 00:01:01,640 --> 00:01:04,240 Speaker 3: points to the fifty one point four from fifty two 21 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:08,119 Speaker 3: point six, activity still looks fairly strong. It's up point 22 00:01:08,120 --> 00:01:11,520 Speaker 3: two percentage points and new orders, which tells us what's 23 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:14,800 Speaker 3: in the pipeline. Did come down one point seven percent, 24 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,200 Speaker 3: but again we're north of the fifty baseline. It's a 25 00:01:17,280 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 3: fifty four point four, which indicates that we'll have continued growth. 26 00:01:21,720 --> 00:01:24,759 Speaker 3: As you mentioned in the prelude, that we see employment 27 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 3: and deliveries of what's pulling down the composite index here. 28 00:01:29,680 --> 00:01:32,120 Speaker 4: So again, as we think about the services part of 29 00:01:32,160 --> 00:01:36,000 Speaker 4: the economy, the major part of the US economy, again 30 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:38,640 Speaker 4: just for our listeners and our viewers, anything above fifty 31 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:42,000 Speaker 4: is expansion, So that part of the economy is still expanding, 32 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 4: is that the way that you think about it. 33 00:01:45,440 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 3: Absolutely, And we're measuring change month over a month, So 34 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 3: what we're seeing is just a slowing in the rate 35 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:54,480 Speaker 3: of growth. And the employment picture is continues. As I've 36 00:01:54,480 --> 00:01:56,400 Speaker 3: been saying for several months now, it's a mixed bag. 37 00:01:56,600 --> 00:01:59,560 Speaker 3: Forty eight point five, it's down point five percentage points. 38 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,160 Speaker 3: And what the respondents are indicating is that, you know, 39 00:02:03,200 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 3: they're very cautious and it's a controllable expense for them, 40 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:10,320 Speaker 3: and so interesting some of the respondents indicated in their 41 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 3: comments that even though business activity is still going good, 42 00:02:15,200 --> 00:02:17,720 Speaker 3: that they're not hiring. They're holding back, waiting to see 43 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:21,560 Speaker 3: how things materialize. In the upcoming months, because as you 44 00:02:21,639 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 3: mentioned about pricing, pricing still shows increases month over month. 45 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 3: It's strong, but it's somewhat stabilizing from where it was 46 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:32,639 Speaker 3: in the past. And well we see the most volatility 47 00:02:32,720 --> 00:02:34,440 Speaker 3: continues to be in the food items. 48 00:02:34,680 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 2: Do you get the impression when you talk to the 49 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 2: respondents that they're going to have to look at layoffs 50 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:42,320 Speaker 2: or is it just more about hiring more. 51 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:46,640 Speaker 3: It's a combination, and it depends on the industry. It 52 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 3: varies by industry within the sectors within this sector, i 53 00:02:50,360 --> 00:02:54,359 Speaker 3: should say, and you know, certain industries like accommodation and 54 00:02:54,440 --> 00:02:57,960 Speaker 3: food services is continuing to hire, whereas we know with 55 00:02:58,080 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 3: the slowdown that we experienced in the past with real 56 00:03:00,760 --> 00:03:03,239 Speaker 3: estate rental and leasing, there you're not hiring. 57 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 2: All right, Anthony, thanks a lot, We really appreciate it. 58 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,600 Speaker 2: It's always good to get the details here. Anthony Javis 59 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 2: share of the Ism Business Services Committee again that overall 60 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:15,880 Speaker 2: index still an expansionary territory, but definitely still slowing down just. 61 00:03:15,840 --> 00:03:16,320 Speaker 5: A little bit. 62 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:21,760 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 63 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:25,359 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android 64 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,160 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business app. You can also listen 65 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,360 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station. 66 00:03:31,760 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 1: Just say Alexa play Bloomberg eleven thirty. 67 00:03:35,840 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 2: This is Bloomberg Intelligence Radio. We bring you all the 68 00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 2: amazing work from our Bloomberg Intelligence analysts. They cover over 69 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,400 Speaker 2: two thousand companies and one hundred and forty industries all 70 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:48,200 Speaker 2: around the world. And one of them is named Tim 71 00:03:48,200 --> 00:03:53,280 Speaker 2: Craighead Bloomberg Intelligence Research Director for content fancy title. And 72 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 2: the reason why is because he came up with a 73 00:03:55,520 --> 00:03:59,560 Speaker 2: really great list along with his teammates about fifty companies 74 00:03:59,560 --> 00:04:01,880 Speaker 2: to why in January they came up with that and 75 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:03,760 Speaker 2: that was the ones you got to watch for this year. 76 00:04:03,800 --> 00:04:07,200 Speaker 2: And they're now back with ten specifically just for the 77 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:11,240 Speaker 2: second quarter, based on scenarios from Bloomberg Intelligence. You want 78 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 2: to get the good apples from the bad apples, cross sector, 79 00:04:14,160 --> 00:04:16,680 Speaker 2: cross regions, and he's here now to help us break 80 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 2: it down. Hey, Tim, thanks for joining. Okay, so what 81 00:04:19,480 --> 00:04:20,200 Speaker 2: are the top ten? 82 00:04:21,440 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 6: So Alex, thanks for having me on a couple of 83 00:04:25,560 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 6: things to keep in mind here. Top ten for two Q. 84 00:04:30,920 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 6: These are part of a broader set of focus ideas 85 00:04:33,240 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 6: that we've got there's roughly seventy five to eighty of 86 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:40,440 Speaker 6: them right now, across sectors, across regions. These specifically have 87 00:04:40,600 --> 00:04:44,360 Speaker 6: important catalysts coming up into Q that we think can 88 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:47,520 Speaker 6: bring the market around to our perspective. All of these 89 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:52,000 Speaker 6: focus ideas have really strong, high conviction fundamental views that 90 00:04:52,040 --> 00:04:54,440 Speaker 6: we think are different from the market, and these catalysts 91 00:04:55,240 --> 00:05:00,919 Speaker 6: should bring that awareness around. It's it's a group of 92 00:05:01,720 --> 00:05:05,799 Speaker 6: US companies. There's four of them. Uh, there's three in Europe, 93 00:05:05,960 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 6: three in in Asia, and they span the gamut from healthcare, 94 00:05:11,120 --> 00:05:18,120 Speaker 6: med tech products to big financials to tires. So interesting group. 95 00:05:18,000 --> 00:05:20,480 Speaker 4: And Tim one of the ones that you know, I've 96 00:05:20,480 --> 00:05:22,919 Speaker 4: been kind of thinking about. I just think these Olympics 97 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,200 Speaker 4: in Parish are going to be just huge, and I'm 98 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 4: thinking that ways to play it. You guys have one 99 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:29,599 Speaker 4: of them in the lodging space. Talk to us about 100 00:05:29,960 --> 00:05:30,720 Speaker 4: that opportunity. 101 00:05:31,320 --> 00:05:36,679 Speaker 6: Yeah, we do. Acor it's a big French hotel company. 102 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:40,400 Speaker 6: You might not know Acor, but you probably know some 103 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 6: of their underlying brands. And you know, anybody who's made 104 00:05:45,640 --> 00:05:49,320 Speaker 6: a hotel booking as of late knows that the prices 105 00:05:49,360 --> 00:05:56,680 Speaker 6: seem to be really high. Surprisingly so that's feeding Acor's 106 00:05:57,279 --> 00:06:00,479 Speaker 6: rev par They're they're pricing, which is playing through into 107 00:06:00,480 --> 00:06:04,719 Speaker 6: profit margins, and the catalyst for these guys is, in fact, 108 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:09,520 Speaker 6: the Paris Olympics. We should start to see early booking 109 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 6: data over the course of two Q heading into Summer Olympics. 110 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 6: Now Paris is only one part of their portfolio. They're 111 00:06:15,520 --> 00:06:18,599 Speaker 6: across Europe and Asia, and we're seeing a strong sustained 112 00:06:18,640 --> 00:06:22,120 Speaker 6: travel recovery story that we think is better than consensus expects. 113 00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,040 Speaker 2: But apparently they have to like clean out the send. 114 00:06:24,080 --> 00:06:25,840 Speaker 2: Did you read that that there's so much to you, 115 00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:29,080 Speaker 2: Like can you imagine being an Olympic swimmer and like 116 00:06:29,080 --> 00:06:30,600 Speaker 2: there's garbage hitting you in the send? I mean they're 117 00:06:30,640 --> 00:06:31,000 Speaker 2: working on it. 118 00:06:31,040 --> 00:06:31,960 Speaker 6: They're definitely working on it. 119 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:32,839 Speaker 5: Okay. 120 00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,720 Speaker 2: Your second one is in retail chow Tai Fuk. No 121 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:37,560 Speaker 2: one's going to know this company here in the US, 122 00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,719 Speaker 2: So tell us about it and why this makes the outlook. 123 00:06:40,400 --> 00:06:40,640 Speaker 1: Yep. 124 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,560 Speaker 6: So that and the next one on the list from 125 00:06:43,560 --> 00:06:48,080 Speaker 6: an alphabetical perspective, are both sort of interesting twists on 126 00:06:48,120 --> 00:06:52,280 Speaker 6: the same underlying theme, and that's China. We all know 127 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:55,039 Speaker 6: that there's problems in China. From the standpoint that the 128 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 6: property market, and now that's playing through in terms of sentiment, 129 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:03,320 Speaker 6: uh with the wealth effect on spending plans, et cetera. 130 00:07:03,880 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 6: Child Tai Fook is arguably the best known Chinese retailer 131 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,960 Speaker 6: when it comes to jewelry, and it's a big market 132 00:07:12,080 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 6: historically for tourists and travelers coming into Hong Kong and 133 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:19,720 Speaker 6: to make those purchases. In fact, what we're seeing right 134 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:23,360 Speaker 6: now is Hong kongers are going out of Hong Kong 135 00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:26,240 Speaker 6: across the border in the mainland China to shop for 136 00:07:26,360 --> 00:07:31,280 Speaker 6: pretty much everything because it's cheaper. So you combine that 137 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,360 Speaker 6: with negative sentiment, we think Hong Kong retail sales are 138 00:07:34,360 --> 00:07:37,400 Speaker 6: going to disappoint, and Child Tai Fuk is a poster child. 139 00:07:37,760 --> 00:07:42,760 Speaker 6: The other one, CSC Financial is one of the largest 140 00:07:42,840 --> 00:07:47,560 Speaker 6: Chinese brokerages you know, good old fashioned, you know, wealth management, 141 00:07:47,960 --> 00:07:50,520 Speaker 6: and they are the investment banking business we think is 142 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 6: set for disappointment because I POS and other new new 143 00:07:53,840 --> 00:07:59,800 Speaker 6: stock listings are way under way, underwater, and you know, 144 00:07:59,840 --> 00:08:03,320 Speaker 6: we think you're going to see investment banking revenue disappoint 145 00:08:03,720 --> 00:08:03,920 Speaker 6: You know. 146 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,600 Speaker 4: I was looking through the list here, Tim, and I 147 00:08:05,640 --> 00:08:08,280 Speaker 4: was looking for a name from Michael Dean and the 148 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:10,680 Speaker 4: European Autos team, and I think I found one in 149 00:08:10,760 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 4: Perelli Tires. 150 00:08:13,760 --> 00:08:17,280 Speaker 6: Yes, indeed, I started to say, if you're an F 151 00:08:17,360 --> 00:08:20,200 Speaker 6: one fan, but that's more from a European perspective than 152 00:08:20,320 --> 00:08:25,040 Speaker 6: NASCAR in the US. But Perelli is a well known 153 00:08:25,080 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 6: tire maker and what they're doing is twofold Number one, 154 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 6: upgrading their mix. They're getting rid of some of their 155 00:08:32,720 --> 00:08:36,679 Speaker 6: lower end products. And number two, they've taken on a 156 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:41,040 Speaker 6: pretty big initiative to shift production from core Europe to 157 00:08:41,160 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 6: places like Romania over here in Mexico over there, all 158 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 6: of which is driving better margins. And we think that 159 00:08:48,679 --> 00:08:51,520 Speaker 6: this is going to continue more than what consensus currently 160 00:08:51,559 --> 00:08:51,960 Speaker 6: bakes in. 161 00:08:52,280 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 4: Plus, it's from one of my favorite analysts over in 162 00:08:54,559 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 4: our London office, Gillian Davis, doing some good work there, 163 00:08:57,679 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 4: so good stuff. 164 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:01,200 Speaker 7: Home Building Morrison made the list. 165 00:09:01,240 --> 00:09:02,960 Speaker 2: That's not normally the company you think of when you 166 00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,880 Speaker 2: think of like a homebuilder, right, you're thinking Lenar, KB homes, 167 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,720 Speaker 2: et cetera. How does one make a list? 168 00:09:08,280 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 6: Yeah, I mean they're they're continuing to expand, specifically in 169 00:09:12,440 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 6: some larger developments in Florida and Texas, and it just 170 00:09:16,679 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 6: seems to be a case of good old fashioned running 171 00:09:21,120 --> 00:09:26,559 Speaker 6: the numbers with those expansion plans feeding through and their 172 00:09:26,679 --> 00:09:30,080 Speaker 6: order book coming through better than anticipated, where we think 173 00:09:30,120 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 6: their positive surprises d but it certainly is you know, 174 00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:38,120 Speaker 6: it is a classic story from the standpoint of expanding 175 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 6: order books, expanding volumes. 176 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:43,480 Speaker 4: You know, one name that's onnor that surprising, but I 177 00:09:43,480 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 4: think it's a potential rule opportunity. Is Tencent talks about 178 00:09:47,679 --> 00:09:49,839 Speaker 4: big Chinese e commerce because for a lot of people 179 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 4: tim as you well know, China's kind of taboot right now. 180 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:54,240 Speaker 4: From an investment perspective. 181 00:09:54,360 --> 00:09:58,360 Speaker 6: It is, especially when it comes to technology and regulatory concerns, 182 00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:02,040 Speaker 6: and you know, beij focusing in on you know, what 183 00:10:02,120 --> 00:10:05,400 Speaker 6: the big tech companies are doing. You know, historically these 184 00:10:05,480 --> 00:10:11,600 Speaker 6: have ten cents driven by online gaming and that growth 185 00:10:11,679 --> 00:10:16,400 Speaker 6: rate is still somewhat muted. But there's more video that's 186 00:10:16,440 --> 00:10:21,959 Speaker 6: coming through. There's AI assisted advertising that is that is growing. 187 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 6: Both of those are drivers of their income statement that 188 00:10:26,200 --> 00:10:30,200 Speaker 6: we think are underappreciated. We think it's mid teams of 189 00:10:30,200 --> 00:10:32,720 Speaker 6: growth going forward. But if you do the math, the 190 00:10:32,760 --> 00:10:37,360 Speaker 6: market seems to be discounting basically static to maybe low 191 00:10:37,440 --> 00:10:40,320 Speaker 6: single digit growth rates and so there it's just a 192 00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 6: it's just a case where we think the market doesn't 193 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 6: realize that they're back to having good, solid forward growth. 194 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:48,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gonna be I mean it could be a 195 00:10:49,000 --> 00:10:51,240 Speaker 4: really interesting story. A lot of folks again really not 196 00:10:51,240 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 4: sure how to play that part of the market. Tim Craig, 197 00:10:53,559 --> 00:10:55,760 Speaker 4: thanks for joining us. Always appreciate getting your thoughts. Tim 198 00:10:55,840 --> 00:10:58,520 Speaker 4: craigett Research director for Content. He has also got a 199 00:10:58,559 --> 00:11:01,760 Speaker 4: day job European Equity Streates just and we're appreciating some 200 00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,480 Speaker 4: of his times from Bloomberg Intelligence. He's based in our 201 00:11:04,559 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 4: London office, the Queen Victoria Street offices, which are just 202 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 4: awesome right in the City of London, right near the 203 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 4: Bank of England. You can't get more city of London 204 00:11:13,240 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 4: and heart of the financial system in London than the 205 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:19,040 Speaker 4: Bank of England, and that's where Bloomberg has their offices. 206 00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:25,280 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live 207 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,440 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Playing and broud 208 00:11:28,480 --> 00:11:31,560 Speaker 1: Otto with the Bloomberg Business app. Listen on demand wherever 209 00:11:31,640 --> 00:11:35,240 Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube. 210 00:11:36,000 --> 00:11:39,680 Speaker 4: Intel disappointing outlooks, dock down seven percent. It's one of 211 00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 4: those chip makers that's really bucking the trend here. It's 212 00:11:42,160 --> 00:11:45,360 Speaker 4: down nineteen percent a year to date, while you got 213 00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:49,080 Speaker 4: some of the others, Nvidia Broadcom putting up just extraordinary gains. 214 00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:51,439 Speaker 4: So it feels like it's Intel's missing that. So let's 215 00:11:51,480 --> 00:11:53,280 Speaker 4: break it down a little bit more for Intel, the 216 00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,000 Speaker 4: chip names, tech, the markets overall. We can do that 217 00:11:56,040 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 4: on our next guest, Kim Forest. She's the founder and 218 00:11:58,160 --> 00:12:03,640 Speaker 4: chief investment officer at Boca Partners, I believe, located in Pittsburgh, 219 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:07,720 Speaker 4: lovely city, big fan of Pittsburgh. All right, Kim, on 220 00:12:07,760 --> 00:12:10,880 Speaker 4: your list on your notes, top picks continue to be Intel, 221 00:12:10,920 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 4: A and D mu Let's start with Intel. What is 222 00:12:13,880 --> 00:12:16,640 Speaker 4: Intel just not getting right here? 223 00:12:17,920 --> 00:12:20,040 Speaker 5: Sure? Well, a couple of things. 224 00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:24,040 Speaker 8: They are coming up a very steep hill from where 225 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 8: prior CEOs left them, and what happened was they kind 226 00:12:28,160 --> 00:12:32,400 Speaker 8: of fell behind the curve in making sure that they 227 00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:36,839 Speaker 8: could make the very fastest, best chips they could, and 228 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:38,719 Speaker 8: their technology just floundered. 229 00:12:38,920 --> 00:12:41,160 Speaker 5: That's pretty much the short answer. 230 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:46,720 Speaker 8: Now. Pat Gelsinger was a long time Intel employee, went 231 00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:50,200 Speaker 8: over to run VMware, came back to Intel, and he's 232 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:52,679 Speaker 8: been trying to write the ship. But more than that, 233 00:12:52,800 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 8: he's been trying to make them into a foundry for 234 00:12:55,160 --> 00:13:00,440 Speaker 8: other company companies that designed chips. So this is a 235 00:13:00,480 --> 00:13:05,160 Speaker 8: long and arduous process. Becoming a foundry is they've they've 236 00:13:05,200 --> 00:13:08,600 Speaker 8: done that for specific companies in the past, but they 237 00:13:08,640 --> 00:13:12,120 Speaker 8: want to make it more broad like akin to what 238 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 8: Taiwan's Semiconductor can do. And they're just going to have 239 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,000 Speaker 8: to come up the curve and spend some money. So 240 00:13:18,480 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 8: they have the one two Pine ship spending money and 241 00:13:20,920 --> 00:13:24,560 Speaker 8: then not having that hot AI chip, which is what 242 00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:27,839 Speaker 8: is driving everybody else in the world apparently. 243 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly. 244 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,520 Speaker 4: So let's I love to just get your your AI 245 00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:34,360 Speaker 4: AI call if you will. How much do you believe 246 00:13:34,400 --> 00:13:37,720 Speaker 4: in it? How big can it be? And how are 247 00:13:37,720 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 4: you guys maybe playing it? 248 00:13:39,679 --> 00:13:41,160 Speaker 5: Sure? Well? A couple of things. 249 00:13:41,200 --> 00:13:43,480 Speaker 8: You have to understand that before I came over to 250 00:13:43,520 --> 00:13:46,040 Speaker 8: this side of the world finance, I was a software 251 00:13:46,080 --> 00:13:47,559 Speaker 8: engineer doing AI. 252 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 5: Like how lucky is that? Okay? 253 00:13:49,960 --> 00:13:54,719 Speaker 8: I know how Right's super Yes, it's nerd girl right 254 00:13:54,760 --> 00:13:57,959 Speaker 8: here anyhow. But moving on, So I believe in AI 255 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:01,040 Speaker 8: and I think a couple of things that are going 256 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 8: to drive it forward. 257 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:03,360 Speaker 5: First, we have enough data. 258 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 8: We didn't have enough data in the nineties when I 259 00:14:05,440 --> 00:14:09,000 Speaker 8: was doing it to be able to meaningfully understand the 260 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 8: world through the lens of AI problems. The second thing 261 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:17,440 Speaker 8: is we have cheap fast computers. Again, we're spending a 262 00:14:17,440 --> 00:14:20,680 Speaker 8: lot of money on these computers, but for the compute 263 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 8: power back in the day. These are incredibly fast machines 264 00:14:24,640 --> 00:14:27,840 Speaker 8: that are incredibly cheap. And the third thing is, and 265 00:14:27,880 --> 00:14:31,480 Speaker 8: I always look through technologies with technology with this lens, 266 00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 8: is we can actually make AI be productive, right like 267 00:14:39,280 --> 00:14:42,640 Speaker 8: help humans out. And I think putting those three things together, 268 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:46,040 Speaker 8: I'm a strong believer in it. But the caveat is this, 269 00:14:46,200 --> 00:14:48,280 Speaker 8: it's not going to happen in the next fifteen minutes 270 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,640 Speaker 8: or even next year. It's probably going to take seven 271 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 8: to ten years for this really to play out and 272 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:58,280 Speaker 8: to change the world in fundamental ways, much like the 273 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:00,600 Speaker 8: rollout of the Internet was so kim. 274 00:15:00,640 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 7: How do you play that? 275 00:15:01,320 --> 00:15:01,480 Speaker 5: Then? 276 00:15:01,920 --> 00:15:03,680 Speaker 2: Like, is it not an Nvidia play? Is it going 277 00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:05,480 Speaker 2: to be a different kind of play? 278 00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:08,280 Speaker 8: Well, I think you're going to have to cast your 279 00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:11,280 Speaker 8: net a little wider than in Nvidia. I love Nvidia, 280 00:15:11,440 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 8: but they do have a reputation for making the fastest 281 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:18,160 Speaker 8: chips at the highest prices, and that's why I'm a 282 00:15:18,200 --> 00:15:21,960 Speaker 8: believer still in Intel, even as it rolls that rock 283 00:15:22,040 --> 00:15:25,160 Speaker 8: up the hill to correct itself. I think that it 284 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:28,120 Speaker 8: can do that. And I also think AMD is a 285 00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:32,240 Speaker 8: good supplier as well, and people building aid data centers 286 00:15:32,280 --> 00:15:36,160 Speaker 8: aren't going to want to spend the bucks for Nvidia 287 00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:40,920 Speaker 8: in perpetuity, and I think that's just what is going 288 00:15:40,960 --> 00:15:43,800 Speaker 8: to drive those two names. 289 00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 2: Micron, Micron, go ahead, go ahead, go ahead. 290 00:15:48,400 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 8: Okay, yeah, and I love to be cool like nerd girl, 291 00:15:51,320 --> 00:15:54,560 Speaker 8: cool but still cool. Okay, but I'm back so Micron, 292 00:15:54,840 --> 00:15:59,320 Speaker 8: I can't under estimate or understate this or overstate this enough. 293 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 8: That's what I mean is that AI needs a lot 294 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:05,440 Speaker 8: of data, like tons and tons of data, and I 295 00:16:05,480 --> 00:16:08,480 Speaker 8: won't get into it. That's beyond here. There are really 296 00:16:08,480 --> 00:16:13,160 Speaker 8: good reasons why. But you're gonna need tons of data 297 00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:16,560 Speaker 8: and you're gonna need to store it in duplicative ways, 298 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 8: and so any bet on storing data is a good 299 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:23,000 Speaker 8: bet right now. And I think Micron is among the 300 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:28,280 Speaker 8: leaders of land storage, which is kind of non volatile 301 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:31,200 Speaker 8: chip storage and not a spinning disk. 302 00:16:31,520 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 5: So that's the shortest answer. I can get for that one. 303 00:16:34,680 --> 00:16:37,080 Speaker 2: Kim, I have an ancillary This is totally talking my 304 00:16:37,120 --> 00:16:40,440 Speaker 2: own book here. What about power plays in relation to AI? 305 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,480 Speaker 2: Just because if you want to run all the stuff, 306 00:16:43,520 --> 00:16:46,040 Speaker 2: you need a ton of power and the amount of 307 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:47,880 Speaker 2: money that these companies are gonna be willing to pay 308 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 2: for it has got to be astronomical concerning that we 309 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:52,360 Speaker 2: haven't seen power demand grow at all in twenty years. 310 00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:54,440 Speaker 7: Are you playing this derivative play at all? 311 00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,200 Speaker 8: Not yet, because I don't really see a good way 312 00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 8: to do it. You know, there you can by like 313 00:17:03,360 --> 00:17:07,760 Speaker 8: certain power companies that are probably physically well positioned, that 314 00:17:07,920 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 8: have assets that are somewhat cheaper where the companies will 315 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:15,840 Speaker 8: build their data centers. That's one way to do it. 316 00:17:15,840 --> 00:17:18,399 Speaker 8: It's too long of a play, Like, I'd rather stay 317 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:21,960 Speaker 8: back in the AI kind of direct space rather than 318 00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:27,000 Speaker 8: that or even you know, the the data center providers. 319 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 8: You could play it that way too, But again, I 320 00:17:30,640 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 8: like my margins a little higher than those end markets. 321 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:39,720 Speaker 4: Yeah, hey, it's interesting Kim thinking about Tesla. I'm just 322 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:42,080 Speaker 4: I want to want to get your opinion on if 323 00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:43,680 Speaker 4: you have one. I mean a stocks down thirty two 324 00:17:43,680 --> 00:17:47,159 Speaker 4: percent year to date. Boy, has the tide turn on 325 00:17:47,320 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 4: that name, the sentiment turned on that name. Do you 326 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:50,560 Speaker 4: have an opinion on Tesla here? 327 00:17:52,880 --> 00:17:56,400 Speaker 8: I've never invested in Tesla because I like my CEO 328 00:17:56,600 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 8: is more focused than Elon must But that being said, 329 00:18:02,160 --> 00:18:07,280 Speaker 8: like it is a battery storage play, and your other question, 330 00:18:07,480 --> 00:18:11,159 Speaker 8: Alex was on power plays. Maybe batteries are going to 331 00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 8: be one of the ways that we allow for, you know, 332 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:18,120 Speaker 8: the build out of electric power. So I think they 333 00:18:18,119 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 8: have more than one product there. I think evs have 334 00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 8: also been overrated and people didn't do enough use case scenarios, 335 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,520 Speaker 8: Like I have family that lives in North Dakota. There's 336 00:18:31,680 --> 00:18:34,880 Speaker 8: no way they could ever have an EV it gets 337 00:18:34,920 --> 00:18:38,600 Speaker 8: to negative twenty three. There a lot, right, you can't 338 00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:43,160 Speaker 8: charge them. There aren't enough towns where you could pull 339 00:18:43,200 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 8: over and you know, recharge. It's just like it's like 340 00:18:47,560 --> 00:18:49,399 Speaker 8: I look at use cases like that, and I know 341 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:52,040 Speaker 8: that not everybody lives in North Dakota, but enough people, 342 00:18:52,080 --> 00:18:55,760 Speaker 8: do you know, like, and enough people live in the 343 00:18:55,800 --> 00:18:59,720 Speaker 8: North that these things are not necessarily ready for it 344 00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:03,159 Speaker 8: to be your only car. And I think that's a 345 00:19:03,160 --> 00:19:06,280 Speaker 8: little bit behind it. I think they make a good automobile, 346 00:19:06,560 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 8: and I'm not sure, people are just dying for that 347 00:19:09,359 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 8: Chevy Vault or whatever they're making, So I think they 348 00:19:13,400 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 8: they still have a product, and they still have a 349 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:20,480 Speaker 8: certain cachet, and they were a good first mover in evs, 350 00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:23,000 Speaker 8: so I wouldn't throw them out necessarily. 351 00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:26,440 Speaker 2: But funnily enough, my work car's recently all been Teslas. 352 00:19:26,720 --> 00:19:29,439 Speaker 7: I don't know what that means, but that I mean something. 353 00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,120 Speaker 2: Maybe they're as you're talking about Ed Ludlow, like, there's 354 00:19:32,160 --> 00:19:34,320 Speaker 2: actually more teslas now because no one's actually buying them. 355 00:19:34,320 --> 00:19:37,560 Speaker 7: So then you can tree hugger capital of the world. 356 00:19:37,840 --> 00:19:42,440 Speaker 2: Yes, I live in parks that, yeah, but not necessarily. 357 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:44,240 Speaker 2: My drivers don't necessarily live there. 358 00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:47,640 Speaker 4: Bar's not taking a EV from eastern Ohio here. 359 00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:55,440 Speaker 1: I'm from Pennsylvania. We are a lot of pickups stack Yeah. 360 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 2: Kim, before we let you go, do you care if 361 00:19:55,960 --> 00:19:58,919 Speaker 2: the FED cuts rates or not? And when they do it? 362 00:19:59,119 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 5: Oh? Sure I do. 363 00:20:00,240 --> 00:20:03,600 Speaker 8: Heck yeah, I mean I think we're signed up for 364 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 8: a rate cut, and I'll say it even crazy relatively soon, 365 00:20:08,200 --> 00:20:12,600 Speaker 8: I'd say before July. And I do think that they 366 00:20:12,640 --> 00:20:15,919 Speaker 8: need to cut. The dollar is awfully strong relative to 367 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:19,000 Speaker 8: other currencies, and that might be able to cool us 368 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:20,760 Speaker 8: off a little bit more on that, and I think 369 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:25,120 Speaker 8: that's important because even though I'm a generalist, I love technology. 370 00:20:25,600 --> 00:20:28,200 Speaker 8: We sell technology to the rest of the world at 371 00:20:28,240 --> 00:20:31,359 Speaker 8: the price of a dollar, and we have to have 372 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:32,200 Speaker 8: that in mind. 373 00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:35,400 Speaker 4: Kim, thank you for joining us, as I always appreciate 374 00:20:35,440 --> 00:20:38,200 Speaker 4: getting your views there. Kim Farest. She is to founder 375 00:20:38,320 --> 00:20:42,439 Speaker 4: and chief investment officer Boca Capital Partners in Pittsburgh, a 376 00:20:42,560 --> 00:20:45,920 Speaker 4: former software person, a tech geek by her own admissions, 377 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:49,239 Speaker 4: So good stuff there talking about AI and boy that 378 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,520 Speaker 4: Intel news that John was reporting earlier having problems with 379 00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,920 Speaker 4: this the founder here, it's one of those chip stocks 380 00:20:55,960 --> 00:20:59,800 Speaker 4: that is not participating in the whole AI rising tide 381 00:21:00,119 --> 00:21:02,320 Speaker 4: thing like it is for Nvidia and Broadcommon others. 382 00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:04,040 Speaker 2: We'll talk about a long play, right, because if they 383 00:21:04,040 --> 00:21:05,720 Speaker 2: can get the founder of business really going, it could 384 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:08,080 Speaker 2: really help them either make chips for themselves and then 385 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:09,639 Speaker 2: also make it for others, and it could be a 386 00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:11,440 Speaker 2: nice driver. I mean, just look at the revenue that 387 00:21:11,480 --> 00:21:14,880 Speaker 2: TSM is minting. But you got to get it there, right, 388 00:21:15,359 --> 00:21:17,720 Speaker 2: and it's just not quite there yet. 389 00:21:18,920 --> 00:21:22,800 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us Live 390 00:21:22,880 --> 00:21:26,440 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten Am Eastern on Applecar Play and Android 391 00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:29,240 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business Act. You can also listen 392 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:32,440 Speaker 1: live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, 393 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:35,560 Speaker 1: Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty. 394 00:21:36,960 --> 00:21:39,520 Speaker 4: Matt Winkler joins us here in studio. Matt Winkler is 395 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:44,080 Speaker 4: the founder of Bloomberg News, as he editor at Meritis 396 00:21:44,160 --> 00:21:45,879 Speaker 4: right now Bloomberg News. He joins us here in our 397 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,360 Speaker 4: studio and he's been doing a series of opinion pieces 398 00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:52,560 Speaker 4: about key swing states in the upcoming election and give 399 00:21:52,680 --> 00:21:54,880 Speaker 4: us the latest on county how the economies are doing 400 00:21:55,480 --> 00:21:57,639 Speaker 4: in those key states. We started with Michigan ethic and 401 00:21:57,640 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 4: then we did California by looking at La San Francisco. 402 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:04,000 Speaker 4: Now heading down to the great state of Georgia. Matt, 403 00:22:04,000 --> 00:22:05,000 Speaker 4: what did you find in Georgia. 404 00:22:05,040 --> 00:22:05,720 Speaker 1: I love Georgia. 405 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:08,000 Speaker 4: It seems like it's been growing for I don't know, 406 00:22:08,160 --> 00:22:09,200 Speaker 4: twenty thirty years. 407 00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 5: It's a great story. 408 00:22:10,680 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 9: Well, great to be with you, and you're right. Georgia 409 00:22:14,240 --> 00:22:16,800 Speaker 9: population of more than eleven million makes it the eighth 410 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:21,040 Speaker 9: largest state, and it's booming right now like it never 411 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:24,520 Speaker 9: did before. Joe Biden became the forty sixth president and 412 00:22:24,560 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 9: we know this because not since data was initially collected 413 00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:31,920 Speaker 9: in nineteen ninety has there been a three year period 414 00:22:32,640 --> 00:22:36,439 Speaker 9: when growth in the Peach States manufacturing payrolls came close 415 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:41,159 Speaker 9: to matching the eleven point nine percent increase in jobs 416 00:22:41,160 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 9: since twenty twenty one, or its rate of employment gains 417 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:49,480 Speaker 9: compared with the US overall. And that's according to data 418 00:22:49,480 --> 00:22:53,600 Speaker 9: compiled by Bloomberg. So we are seeing a manufacturing boom 419 00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,439 Speaker 9: job boom in Georgia the likes of which Georgia has 420 00:22:57,800 --> 00:23:01,439 Speaker 9: never seen. And by the way, this is counter to 421 00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:05,960 Speaker 9: the trend in the twenty first century. Every presidency in 422 00:23:06,000 --> 00:23:09,960 Speaker 9: the New century except Biden's has seen a decline in 423 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:12,399 Speaker 9: manufacturing jobs. So this is a departure. 424 00:23:12,880 --> 00:23:15,159 Speaker 7: So how much of that do you attribute to the 425 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,760 Speaker 7: Chips Act and the Inflation Reduction Act, Because something that 426 00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 7: gets lost in all this messaging is with the IRA 427 00:23:19,960 --> 00:23:22,320 Speaker 7: for example, So much of that money is actually going 428 00:23:22,359 --> 00:23:26,400 Speaker 7: to Red States because they have the space to build stuff. 429 00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:30,920 Speaker 9: Well, there's no question that actually Red states are a 430 00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 9: big beneficiary. But it's not just the American Rescue Act 431 00:23:34,840 --> 00:23:39,600 Speaker 9: of twenty twenty one. It's also the Infrastructure Investment Jobs Act, 432 00:23:39,680 --> 00:23:43,520 Speaker 9: the Chips and Science Act again, the Inflation Reduction Act, 433 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:51,359 Speaker 9: all of which have helped Biden make a legitimate claim, 434 00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:55,200 Speaker 9: which is he created close to eight hundred thousand manufacturing 435 00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,600 Speaker 9: jobs since he took office. And we know this is 436 00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:02,280 Speaker 9: not an idle boast because those very careful fact checkers 437 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:06,160 Speaker 9: called PolitiFact actually took a look at this claim and 438 00:24:06,320 --> 00:24:11,400 Speaker 9: they showed that the nation's manufacturing rebound is the strongest 439 00:24:11,440 --> 00:24:15,560 Speaker 9: at this point after a recession since nineteen fifty one. 440 00:24:15,680 --> 00:24:16,439 Speaker 10: You weren't around. 441 00:24:16,440 --> 00:24:19,080 Speaker 7: There wasn't either. 442 00:24:20,560 --> 00:24:21,199 Speaker 5: I'll leave it there. 443 00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:21,760 Speaker 10: I'm not sure. 444 00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:28,919 Speaker 4: So is Georgia per se doing anything right versus I mean, 445 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:31,679 Speaker 4: is this all just the largest of the federal government 446 00:24:31,720 --> 00:24:35,240 Speaker 4: met or does Georgia have just better incentives, better tax 447 00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:35,679 Speaker 4: and centives? 448 00:24:35,680 --> 00:24:36,359 Speaker 5: Are they doing something? 449 00:24:36,359 --> 00:24:38,040 Speaker 4: Maybe some other states aren't doing well. 450 00:24:37,960 --> 00:24:43,000 Speaker 9: Well, There's no question that some of the credit has 451 00:24:43,080 --> 00:24:46,119 Speaker 9: to go to, as I said, these acts, because the 452 00:24:46,200 --> 00:24:53,280 Speaker 9: investments include, for example, South Korea's Hanwa Solutions Corp. Expansion 453 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:56,600 Speaker 9: of solar panel and manufacturing. They were already there. They 454 00:24:56,640 --> 00:24:59,080 Speaker 9: got incentives to do a lot more than what they 455 00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:05,879 Speaker 9: were doing. The same thing with Hyundai with EV vehicles, 456 00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:09,400 Speaker 9: They're already there. They're doing more. And then there's this 457 00:25:09,600 --> 00:25:14,159 Speaker 9: battery company from Norway, freyer Or Battery, which is going 458 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:20,320 Speaker 9: to make clean battery manufacturing in Koeda County in Georgia. 459 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:25,000 Speaker 9: So those things are definitely tied to the incentives that 460 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:29,359 Speaker 9: come out of these acts. There's no question state and 461 00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:34,000 Speaker 9: local officials have been supportive. But interestingly enough, the governor 462 00:25:34,040 --> 00:25:38,040 Speaker 9: of Georgia voted against or would have voted against, the 463 00:25:38,040 --> 00:25:42,399 Speaker 9: Inflation Reduction Act. All of the Republicans in Congress voted 464 00:25:42,440 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 9: against the Inflation Reduction Act, which is a big part 465 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,960 Speaker 9: of why George is doing well. But they're not ready 466 00:25:48,960 --> 00:25:52,440 Speaker 9: to give the money back. They're very happy that it's 467 00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:53,080 Speaker 9: all happening. 468 00:25:53,480 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 2: We have seen with some of these acts that we 469 00:25:56,800 --> 00:25:59,879 Speaker 2: get all excited about the money that's being spent, but 470 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,360 Speaker 2: then getting the shovel in the ground and actually doing 471 00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:05,400 Speaker 2: the hiring and the manufacturing gets delayed a little bit 472 00:26:05,480 --> 00:26:08,840 Speaker 2: and gets pushed out, or the plans get scaled back 473 00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,600 Speaker 2: a bit. Are we seeing any of this in Georgia 474 00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:14,000 Speaker 2: or is the outlook particularly rosy. 475 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:17,879 Speaker 9: It's more of the latter, you know. And then again 476 00:26:17,920 --> 00:26:21,240 Speaker 9: the proof of that is that if you look at 477 00:26:21,280 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 9: the unemployment rate, uh in. In Georgia it actually declined 478 00:26:27,640 --> 00:26:31,919 Speaker 9: most recently and is several percentage points, you know, less 479 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:36,000 Speaker 9: than the national average. So you know, unemployment in the 480 00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:39,200 Speaker 9: US actually is ticked up a bit. In Georgia it's 481 00:26:39,240 --> 00:26:42,960 Speaker 9: gone the other way. And that's an example that the 482 00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:47,600 Speaker 9: boom is very much underway and shows no signs of abating. 483 00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,560 Speaker 4: You know, you have to remind yourself, I mean, how 484 00:26:50,600 --> 00:26:54,119 Speaker 4: the economy in the South has really changed from you know, 485 00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:59,680 Speaker 4: agricultural textiles, you know, very low technology touch types of 486 00:26:59,760 --> 00:27:02,639 Speaker 4: venggees to now it seems like every new auto plant 487 00:27:02,760 --> 00:27:07,639 Speaker 4: that you know, international automakers, they want to build them in. 488 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:08,280 Speaker 7: The movie studios. 489 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,520 Speaker 4: So much investments going to the Southeast. And that's again 490 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:15,600 Speaker 4: been a twenty third thirty year story. What's next on 491 00:27:15,880 --> 00:27:16,720 Speaker 4: your state? 492 00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:17,080 Speaker 5: Yeah? 493 00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:17,720 Speaker 6: What state is? 494 00:27:17,800 --> 00:27:18,200 Speaker 1: Next year? 495 00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:25,280 Speaker 9: We'll probably get to Nevada. So we've done Pennsylvania and Michigan, 496 00:27:26,240 --> 00:27:29,359 Speaker 9: now Georgia, and we're working through the list. 497 00:27:30,200 --> 00:27:35,120 Speaker 4: So if you were advising President Biden his campaign about 498 00:27:35,440 --> 00:27:37,840 Speaker 4: the messaging here, what would you say in terms of 499 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:40,920 Speaker 4: because I would argue that the messaging has not been effective, 500 00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:45,000 Speaker 4: that this message of economic success has not been told well. 501 00:27:44,840 --> 00:27:47,240 Speaker 9: I'd say actually their messaging has been pretty good. A 502 00:27:47,280 --> 00:27:51,000 Speaker 9: lot of this data that we've compiled at Bloomberg is 503 00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:56,240 Speaker 9: available in various announcements from either the White House or 504 00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:59,760 Speaker 9: the Treasury. But the saying is, you know, you can 505 00:27:59,840 --> 00:28:02,320 Speaker 9: lead a horse to water, but you can't get the 506 00:28:02,320 --> 00:28:05,800 Speaker 9: horse to drink. The horse in this case is our profession, 507 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,600 Speaker 9: the media, and it's pretty much ignored what's in front 508 00:28:09,640 --> 00:28:13,240 Speaker 9: of its nose, which are the fact. So unless reporters 509 00:28:14,440 --> 00:28:17,520 Speaker 9: find this relevant, I do. 510 00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:19,800 Speaker 4: It. 511 00:28:19,960 --> 00:28:23,120 Speaker 9: You know, they'd rather focus on poles. And so that's 512 00:28:23,200 --> 00:28:24,600 Speaker 9: perception not reality. 513 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:26,639 Speaker 4: Before we went on the area, you made a comment 514 00:28:26,640 --> 00:28:29,679 Speaker 4: about California. How big is that economy now? Because I 515 00:28:29,760 --> 00:28:31,080 Speaker 4: used to to me it was the seventh or ay 516 00:28:31,119 --> 00:28:31,760 Speaker 4: largest economy. 517 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 9: It's number four. It's now numbers and it's poised to 518 00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:39,080 Speaker 9: overtake Germany. And that's because you know, you keep talking 519 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 9: about the Magnificent seven on this show. If you look 520 00:28:42,640 --> 00:28:48,560 Speaker 9: at corporate California, Corporate California just dwarfs corporate Anywhere, dwarfs 521 00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:54,800 Speaker 9: Corporate Texas, It dwarfs corporate Germany. Corporate California is still 522 00:28:54,840 --> 00:28:58,280 Speaker 9: a juggernaut. And you know who those companies are, but 523 00:28:58,320 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 9: it's not just the big companies, big and small companies alike. 524 00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:06,320 Speaker 9: In the Russell three thousand, Yeah, that make California unique. 525 00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 4: It's yeah, it's just extraordinary, all right, Matt, thank you 526 00:29:08,800 --> 00:29:10,800 Speaker 4: so much for joining us. Matt Winkler, he's the editor 527 00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,840 Speaker 4: in chief emeritus. He is the founder of Bloomberg News 528 00:29:14,720 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 4: for and he's now part of Bloomberg Opinion, and he 529 00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:20,560 Speaker 4: joins us here in our office talking about the great 530 00:29:20,640 --> 00:29:25,000 Speaker 4: state of Georgia and the strong economic performance our friends 531 00:29:25,080 --> 00:29:28,760 Speaker 4: down there are seeing, particularly you know, manufacturing and employment, 532 00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:31,280 Speaker 4: and for my media business, they've long been a destination. 533 00:29:33,960 --> 00:29:37,800 Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live 534 00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:41,440 Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on applecar Play and Android 535 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,600 Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business. You can also listen live 536 00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:47,880 Speaker 1: on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New York station, Just 537 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 1: say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty. 538 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:52,800 Speaker 5: So here's a. 539 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:53,360 Speaker 7: Stop for you. 540 00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:57,400 Speaker 2: At Vander it's up about ten percent so far this year, 541 00:29:57,760 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 2: done pretty well. The top on the street is that 542 00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:04,000 Speaker 2: it wants to be really a mini Thermo Fisher. So 543 00:30:04,240 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 2: part of its business is a supplier of R and 544 00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:09,880 Speaker 2: D labs for the global farmer industry, and now it's 545 00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,680 Speaker 2: trying to make a big push into bioproductions. That's basically 546 00:30:12,720 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 2: the equipment of manufacturing biologic and biotech drugs. Luckily, we 547 00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:19,640 Speaker 2: have the CEO and president with us to help understand 548 00:30:19,680 --> 00:30:22,120 Speaker 2: what this company does, what's the opportunity, what's the margin, 549 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:25,320 Speaker 2: what's the growth. Michael Stubblefield is president and CEO of 550 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:29,320 Speaker 2: A vand Or and he joins us now from Allentown, Pennsylvania. Michael, 551 00:30:29,320 --> 00:30:32,160 Speaker 2: thanks for joining walk us through dumb down what you 552 00:30:32,240 --> 00:30:33,640 Speaker 2: guys do for people like me and Paul. 553 00:30:34,640 --> 00:30:36,440 Speaker 10: Yeah, Alex and Paul, thanks for having me. Really happy 554 00:30:36,480 --> 00:30:38,400 Speaker 10: to be here today now. I think it's a great 555 00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:41,880 Speaker 10: place for us to start the conversation today. We're probably 556 00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:43,360 Speaker 10: one of the bigger companies that a lot of people 557 00:30:43,400 --> 00:30:46,120 Speaker 10: have never heard of, and we are really ubiquitous in 558 00:30:46,320 --> 00:30:51,520 Speaker 10: the biopharma space. I would say we enable innovation across 559 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:55,360 Speaker 10: the life sciences and events technology industries, and we really 560 00:30:55,400 --> 00:30:58,920 Speaker 10: embed ourselves with our customers. We support them every step 561 00:30:58,960 --> 00:31:02,400 Speaker 10: of their scientific journey. We were in virtually every research 562 00:31:02,480 --> 00:31:05,000 Speaker 10: lab around the world, more than three hundred thousand locations, 563 00:31:06,120 --> 00:31:10,320 Speaker 10: and we have a really robust portfolio, an e commerce platform, 564 00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:13,840 Speaker 10: and a whole host of productivity enhancing services that really 565 00:31:13,880 --> 00:31:17,240 Speaker 10: help our the scientists that our customers, you know, develop 566 00:31:17,320 --> 00:31:21,640 Speaker 10: the new therapies that you're referencing, and as those innovations 567 00:31:21,800 --> 00:31:26,320 Speaker 10: advance to development and production, our materials and technologies become 568 00:31:26,360 --> 00:31:29,880 Speaker 10: embedded into our customers applications, everything from biological therapies to 569 00:31:29,960 --> 00:31:32,080 Speaker 10: medical plants to electronics. 570 00:31:32,440 --> 00:31:34,160 Speaker 4: So, Michael, give us a sense of maybe who you're 571 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:39,320 Speaker 4: you know, a common customers, an average customer of your company. 572 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 4: Who are your customer rebase and what did they really 573 00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:43,080 Speaker 4: look to you guys for. 574 00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:45,680 Speaker 10: You're really not going to be able to find too 575 00:31:45,720 --> 00:31:48,640 Speaker 10: many customers that are doing work in the biopharma or 576 00:31:48,640 --> 00:31:51,920 Speaker 10: the biotech space that we wouldn't be serving in some capacity. 577 00:31:52,440 --> 00:31:54,640 Speaker 10: I think that's one of the more interesting aspects of 578 00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:56,680 Speaker 10: our of our business model, is that we are deeply 579 00:31:56,720 --> 00:32:01,400 Speaker 10: embedded across this space. So it's everything from you know, 580 00:32:01,480 --> 00:32:04,280 Speaker 10: the traditional large pharma you know, the Johnson and Johnson's 581 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 10: amjen No Artist's of the world all the way through 582 00:32:07,880 --> 00:32:10,400 Speaker 10: to you know a lot of the startups and you 583 00:32:10,480 --> 00:32:13,920 Speaker 10: know biotech companies that are out there. We have an 584 00:32:13,960 --> 00:32:17,800 Speaker 10: exclusive relationship with one of the bioconsortiums here in the 585 00:32:17,920 --> 00:32:21,240 Speaker 10: in the US that you know, literally thousands of how 586 00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,920 Speaker 10: tech startups you know, uh, access our products and services 587 00:32:24,960 --> 00:32:29,160 Speaker 10: across that platform. So we're extremely well positioned to serve 588 00:32:29,240 --> 00:32:29,680 Speaker 10: this space. 589 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,520 Speaker 2: And so basically they come to you for stuff, right like, Hey, 590 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 2: I need this ingredient do this thing, or I need 591 00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:35,960 Speaker 2: this piece of equipment to do this thing. 592 00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:39,200 Speaker 10: Right Yeah, I'm not sure we would call it stuff, but. 593 00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:42,960 Speaker 5: We break it down for you here, so talk about it. 594 00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:45,800 Speaker 10: So we have you know, you can almost think about, 595 00:32:46,640 --> 00:32:49,040 Speaker 10: you know, there's nothing in a laboratory that a scientist 596 00:32:49,120 --> 00:32:50,960 Speaker 10: would need that we don't supply. We have over six 597 00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:54,640 Speaker 10: million products. That's everything from chemicals and reagents, to equipment 598 00:32:54,720 --> 00:32:58,040 Speaker 10: and instruments to you know, plastic wear and glassware consumables. 599 00:32:58,080 --> 00:33:00,920 Speaker 10: Think about just what a scientist needs in order to 600 00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,960 Speaker 10: conduct their research in a laboratory they would be able 601 00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:07,280 Speaker 10: to procure from us. We look to be a one 602 00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:10,800 Speaker 10: stop shop to meet all of our customers needs within 603 00:33:10,880 --> 00:33:14,080 Speaker 10: that laboratory environment. And one of the things that we 604 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,480 Speaker 10: really focus on is you know, bringing efficiency, you know, 605 00:33:17,560 --> 00:33:20,440 Speaker 10: to our customers. A lot of the discussion in our 606 00:33:20,480 --> 00:33:23,000 Speaker 10: space is how do we return time to the scientists 607 00:33:23,400 --> 00:33:25,840 Speaker 10: so that they can really focus on, you know, pushing 608 00:33:25,960 --> 00:33:29,160 Speaker 10: forward these breakthrough therapies that are really game changing for 609 00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:32,280 Speaker 10: patients around the world. And so we have, in addition 610 00:33:32,360 --> 00:33:35,040 Speaker 10: to the products, a whole host of services and digital 611 00:33:35,080 --> 00:33:38,600 Speaker 10: capabilities that we deploy really all meant to improve the 612 00:33:38,600 --> 00:33:40,080 Speaker 10: efficiency of how a lab works. 613 00:33:41,040 --> 00:33:42,600 Speaker 4: I like to ask, you know, when we talk to 614 00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,840 Speaker 4: healthcare companies anywhere within the space, I like to ask 615 00:33:46,040 --> 00:33:49,960 Speaker 4: this following question, how is your business impacted by the pandemic? 616 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:52,520 Speaker 4: And maybe how is it different today than it was before, 617 00:33:52,560 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 4: because it just seems like that whole corner of the 618 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,959 Speaker 4: you know, that the healthcare space really had to adjust. 619 00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:02,240 Speaker 10: Yeah, certainly interesting time from a lot of different aspects. 620 00:34:02,320 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 10: And you know, I think it's important to point out 621 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:06,520 Speaker 10: that we did play a really important role in you know, 622 00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,000 Speaker 10: helping address you know, the pandemic. A lot of our 623 00:34:09,040 --> 00:34:12,839 Speaker 10: materials were being used to produce you know, the vaccines 624 00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:16,120 Speaker 10: and as well as a lot of the materials that 625 00:34:16,160 --> 00:34:18,800 Speaker 10: needed to go into produce the tests to detect COVID. 626 00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,240 Speaker 10: But you know, there's probably a couple of different dynamics 627 00:34:22,280 --> 00:34:24,440 Speaker 10: that that I would point out that we experienced during 628 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:29,279 Speaker 10: the pandemic, first, really unpredestant, unprecedented supply chain constraints. There 629 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:32,239 Speaker 10: was shortages you know, throughout the value chain that made 630 00:34:32,360 --> 00:34:35,799 Speaker 10: executing our supply chain you know, rather challenging. We had 631 00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:38,360 Speaker 10: you know, significant step up in demand to support you know, 632 00:34:38,440 --> 00:34:41,560 Speaker 10: some of these COVID based workflows. And then as things 633 00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:43,840 Speaker 10: started to normalize, of course, you know, our industry has 634 00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:47,359 Speaker 10: been facing some of the headwindes associated with just uh 635 00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:51,560 Speaker 10: normalization of procurement and supply chain trends. So it's been 636 00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:54,800 Speaker 10: a really dynamic time. But I think we've we've weathered 637 00:34:54,840 --> 00:34:56,560 Speaker 10: the storm well, and you know, we've offered a lot 638 00:34:56,600 --> 00:35:00,279 Speaker 10: of value you know, during that process to focus on 639 00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:03,799 Speaker 10: executing our growth strategy, and we're really pleased with how 640 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:05,040 Speaker 10: we're positioned coming out of all that. 641 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,080 Speaker 2: So, as I mentioned, the stock up ten percent so 642 00:35:07,200 --> 00:35:11,160 Speaker 2: far this year, zero cell ratings, six holds and fifteen buys, 643 00:35:11,239 --> 00:35:14,320 Speaker 2: with a twelve month price target of about twenty seven, 644 00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:16,440 Speaker 2: we're almost there, or like a stone's throw away from that. 645 00:35:16,560 --> 00:35:16,680 Speaker 10: Now. 646 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:19,480 Speaker 2: I was talking to Jonathan Palmer, he's our Bloomberg intelligence 647 00:35:19,520 --> 00:35:21,400 Speaker 2: guy who covers your company, and he was saying that 648 00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:24,839 Speaker 2: the debate now on the street is when you can 649 00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:29,000 Speaker 2: really return to growth and show some profitability improvements. 650 00:35:29,360 --> 00:35:29,800 Speaker 6: When is that? 651 00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:33,440 Speaker 10: Yeah, So, you know, one of the things that I 652 00:35:33,520 --> 00:35:35,759 Speaker 10: really like about our business is just the exposure we 653 00:35:35,880 --> 00:35:38,560 Speaker 10: have to some really attractive end markets. You've reught ferenced 654 00:35:38,560 --> 00:35:41,920 Speaker 10: bile pharma and biotech and healthcare space, which is more 655 00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:45,359 Speaker 10: than sixty percent of our revenues. And when I look 656 00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:47,480 Speaker 10: at the health of those end markets, you know, I 657 00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:51,279 Speaker 10: think we're quite excited about the long term positioning of 658 00:35:52,120 --> 00:35:56,840 Speaker 10: the space, really driven by record levels of new drug approvals, 659 00:35:57,160 --> 00:36:00,440 Speaker 10: pipelines that are as robust as they've ever been, and 660 00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 10: new therapeutic platforms, whether that be you know, selling gene therapy, 661 00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:06,400 Speaker 10: you know, GLP ones that have been getting a lot 662 00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,279 Speaker 10: of attention. And so I would say the fundamentals for 663 00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:12,359 Speaker 10: our space are are really robust, and you know, as 664 00:36:12,480 --> 00:36:15,120 Speaker 10: some of these headwinds that have been plaguing the industry 665 00:36:15,160 --> 00:36:16,919 Speaker 10: that we just talked about, whether it be supply chain 666 00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:20,080 Speaker 10: or you know, just some of the normalization coming out 667 00:36:20,120 --> 00:36:23,239 Speaker 10: of covid is, as those things subside, you know, I 668 00:36:23,280 --> 00:36:25,680 Speaker 10: think we're really well positioned to, you know, for a 669 00:36:25,760 --> 00:36:28,280 Speaker 10: strong setup and to be able to leverage the momentum 670 00:36:28,360 --> 00:36:29,760 Speaker 10: that's that's in our end markets. 671 00:36:30,280 --> 00:36:34,759 Speaker 4: So one of the I guess, just what's one of 672 00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:37,680 Speaker 4: the bigger headwinds that you are facing here that you 673 00:36:37,800 --> 00:36:41,320 Speaker 4: need to get you know, your your hands around to 674 00:36:41,400 --> 00:36:43,880 Speaker 4: kind of move this forward here. I mean, again, Stock's 675 00:36:43,920 --> 00:36:46,879 Speaker 4: done well, but what's a key challenge for you guys 676 00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:47,480 Speaker 4: these days. 677 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:50,640 Speaker 10: Yes, when we looked at, you know, some of the 678 00:36:50,920 --> 00:36:53,920 Speaker 10: things that have impacted our growth in our industry over 679 00:36:53,960 --> 00:36:57,799 Speaker 10: the last years. So it's things like inventory d stockings 680 00:36:57,880 --> 00:37:01,000 Speaker 10: as our customers are normalizing their inventory, is you know, 681 00:37:01,080 --> 00:37:03,840 Speaker 10: some of the supply chain constraints, whether it be access 682 00:37:03,880 --> 00:37:06,480 Speaker 10: to raw materials or even just our own production capacity 683 00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,920 Speaker 10: that we've been able to you know deep bottleneck with 684 00:37:09,120 --> 00:37:13,080 Speaker 10: with investments, or you know some of the funding constraints 685 00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:17,279 Speaker 10: in biotech and things as the capital markets have you know, 686 00:37:17,400 --> 00:37:19,360 Speaker 10: been a bit challenged here over the last year. So 687 00:37:19,920 --> 00:37:22,319 Speaker 10: you know, those things have largely normalized. When I look 688 00:37:22,360 --> 00:37:24,560 Speaker 10: at the instability of the business in the back half 689 00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:28,000 Speaker 10: of that last year and into the early you know 690 00:37:28,719 --> 00:37:31,680 Speaker 10: quarter here in twenty twenty four, you know, I would 691 00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:34,880 Speaker 10: say that things have largely stabilized and you know, the 692 00:37:35,680 --> 00:37:38,439 Speaker 10: business I think is poised for you know, a nice 693 00:37:38,480 --> 00:37:40,719 Speaker 10: recovery trajectory here as we move, you know, through this 694 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:41,759 Speaker 10: year and into next year. 695 00:37:42,120 --> 00:37:44,319 Speaker 2: Before I let you go, we got jobs Friday coming up. 696 00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:47,320 Speaker 2: You got a blood ADP. We had a super strong 697 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:50,919 Speaker 2: manufacturing ism data. We got a good jolt number. How's 698 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:51,799 Speaker 2: your hiring front? 699 00:37:51,880 --> 00:37:52,600 Speaker 6: Are you hiring? 700 00:37:52,760 --> 00:37:53,160 Speaker 3: Are you not? 701 00:37:53,440 --> 00:37:55,960 Speaker 7: What is it like to get and retain talent? 702 00:37:57,239 --> 00:37:57,439 Speaker 5: Yeah? 703 00:37:57,440 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 10: I mean you mentioned a lot of you know, leading 704 00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,680 Speaker 10: indicators there that that I think we look at, and 705 00:38:01,840 --> 00:38:03,719 Speaker 10: you know, we also look at a whole host of 706 00:38:03,800 --> 00:38:07,960 Speaker 10: other you know, levels of you know, activity and laboratories, funding, 707 00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:11,800 Speaker 10: capital markets, you know, the pipelines. I think we just 708 00:38:11,880 --> 00:38:14,200 Speaker 10: kind of put all that together and it does certainly 709 00:38:14,320 --> 00:38:17,680 Speaker 10: signal you know, I think strong momentum in our in 710 00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:20,959 Speaker 10: our space, and you know, has this incredibly optimistic about 711 00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:24,319 Speaker 10: where things are headed. Talent is is critical to us, 712 00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,840 Speaker 10: and you know, we're we're proud of the fourteen thousand 713 00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:29,359 Speaker 10: plus associates that we have around the world that are 714 00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,279 Speaker 10: focused on, you know, growing our business and serving our 715 00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:36,400 Speaker 10: customers and helping enable some of these breakthrough therapies that 716 00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,440 Speaker 10: are that are being developed, and you know, We're continuously 717 00:38:39,560 --> 00:38:42,200 Speaker 10: in the market, you know, adding capabilities, whether that be 718 00:38:43,440 --> 00:38:45,480 Speaker 10: you know, new new capabilities to serve some of the 719 00:38:45,560 --> 00:38:48,160 Speaker 10: new modalities like selling gene therapy or you know, some 720 00:38:48,239 --> 00:38:52,640 Speaker 10: of the digital capabilities around AI and automation. But you know, 721 00:38:52,719 --> 00:38:54,480 Speaker 10: we've got a global footprint. We're in one hundred eighty 722 00:38:54,520 --> 00:38:58,200 Speaker 10: countries around the world, and so you know, this is 723 00:38:58,239 --> 00:39:01,320 Speaker 10: the heart of our business ours and we continue to 724 00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:03,279 Speaker 10: lean in to make sure that we have the right 725 00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:05,200 Speaker 10: capabilities to serve our customers. 726 00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:06,279 Speaker 2: All right, Michael, thanks lot. 727 00:39:06,400 --> 00:39:07,880 Speaker 7: We really appreciate Michael S. Doublefield. 728 00:39:07,920 --> 00:39:12,279 Speaker 2: He's a ban Tour CEO joining us from Allentown, Pennsylvania. 729 00:39:12,440 --> 00:39:14,520 Speaker 2: That stock is up by one point two percent today, 730 00:39:14,680 --> 00:39:17,800 Speaker 2: up ten percent plus for the year. As I mentioned, 731 00:39:17,960 --> 00:39:22,120 Speaker 2: zero cells and five hold with seventeen buys, sixteen buys 732 00:39:22,200 --> 00:39:23,880 Speaker 2: something like that, a lot of buys there on the 733 00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:25,560 Speaker 2: stock with an average price target of the next twelve 734 00:39:25,560 --> 00:39:27,400 Speaker 2: months or about twenty seven dollars. 735 00:39:27,640 --> 00:39:32,120 Speaker 1: This is the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast, available on apples, Spotify, 736 00:39:32,360 --> 00:39:35,520 Speaker 1: and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live each 737 00:39:35,560 --> 00:39:38,719 Speaker 1: weekday ten am to noon Eastern on Bloomberg dot com, 738 00:39:39,040 --> 00:39:42,399 Speaker 1: Thehart Radio app Tune in and the Bloomberg Business App. 739 00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:45,520 Speaker 1: You can also watch us live every weekday on YouTube 740 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:47,560 Speaker 1: and always on the Bloomberg terminal