1 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:11,520 Speaker 1: This is Straight Fire with Jason McIntyre. What is up 2 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: straight Fire? Fam, It's me Jason McIntire, Straight Fire, Thursday, 3 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:19,400 Speaker 1: September six. Got to start the pod with a shout 4 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:23,440 Speaker 1: out to my old man, Pops turns eighty today. Happy birthday, Dad. 5 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:25,640 Speaker 1: You're probably not listening to this, but making a good 6 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:30,280 Speaker 1: one in sunny Florida. Uh. Actually, the sports world today 7 00:00:30,280 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: has a ton of sports news happening, big and not 8 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: always great news. Um, we're gonna get to usc which 9 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 1: we've glossed over on Monday before the Clayhilton firing. Um, 10 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:42,400 Speaker 1: we'll do a little bit Dallas Cowboys in a sec. 11 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 1: But poor Cowboys. Bring on Adam churn Off. You guys 12 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: remember him from last year. Ps. He is in the 13 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 1: four million dollar contest, the one that I went three 14 00:00:50,520 --> 00:00:52,519 Speaker 1: and two in he went five and oh um, So 15 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: he will shed some insights on this week what he's 16 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:58,120 Speaker 1: looking at his process. You guys are gonna love the interview. 17 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:01,160 Speaker 1: So picks for the weekend and I'll wrap up with 18 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 1: a best bet for tonight's giants Washington. Um battle of 19 00:01:07,200 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: awful quarterbacks should be a slop fest, but I have 20 00:01:09,959 --> 00:01:12,600 Speaker 1: to start with the Dallas Cowboys. I mean goodness, gracious, 21 00:01:12,680 --> 00:01:16,520 Speaker 1: can they get any more unlucky? The defense is a joke, 22 00:01:16,640 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 1: can't stop anybody, and they now lose their best defender, 23 00:01:19,760 --> 00:01:22,959 Speaker 1: de Marcus Lawrence out six to eight weeks. Holy hell, 24 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:25,960 Speaker 1: have you looked at who they're gonna throw at the Chargers, who, 25 00:01:25,959 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: by the way, have an incredible offensive line now after 26 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:31,640 Speaker 1: they stole the Packers center and UH draft traded up 27 00:01:31,640 --> 00:01:35,720 Speaker 1: to draft the the kid from Northwestern the Dallas Cowboys. 28 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 1: With DeMarcus Lawrence on the shelf, with Randy Gregory likely 29 00:01:40,080 --> 00:01:44,520 Speaker 1: out this week, they're gonna start a former jet Terrell 30 00:01:44,600 --> 00:01:48,520 Speaker 1: bosh Um at one end. The other end, perhaps somebody 31 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 1: named Doris Drence Armstrong. Never heard of him, first time 32 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 1: I've ever seen his name in my life. Two eighteen 33 00:01:54,840 --> 00:01:57,920 Speaker 1: fourth round pick out of Kansas Um. And on the 34 00:01:57,960 --> 00:02:01,200 Speaker 1: inside they're beat up there too, Carlo Watkins and a 35 00:02:01,280 --> 00:02:02,560 Speaker 1: kid from U C. L A who I'm not going 36 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: to try to pronounce. Uh, folks, this is a gruesome 37 00:02:06,840 --> 00:02:10,240 Speaker 1: front four. And we already know that dan Quinn's defense 38 00:02:10,320 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: is not good. At the opener, Tampa Bay mode up 39 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 1: and down the field against him. They made the mistake 40 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 1: in the off season of drafting a linebacker, picking up 41 00:02:18,680 --> 00:02:21,440 Speaker 1: Keyan O'Neill who was a safety, and they said they're 42 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,240 Speaker 1: gonna play him at linebacker. I'm just telling this, Dallas 43 00:02:24,240 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: defense is a mess. All that being said, they're gonna 44 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:32,320 Speaker 1: still win the division. Sorry to my Washington football team fans. Um, Yes, 45 00:02:32,360 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 1: the Eagles look scary. Um, Washington will be okay with 46 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:38,360 Speaker 1: the defense, but they're already down to their backup quarterback 47 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:41,959 Speaker 1: Taylor Heineke, who at least he's gonna play for six weeks. 48 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:44,240 Speaker 1: And then you've got the Giants who played at night 49 00:02:44,320 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 1: and whold my goodness are they in trouble? Um? The 50 00:02:47,520 --> 00:02:50,040 Speaker 1: division is that bad, and I think Dax offense is 51 00:02:50,120 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 1: that impressive even without Michael Gallup, Yes he is on 52 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:58,880 Speaker 1: the shelf, even without Lyle Collins who is suspended. Um, 53 00:02:58,919 --> 00:03:01,320 Speaker 1: I know it, just it does look good for the Cowboys. 54 00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:03,959 Speaker 1: But I'm just telling you, as long as Doc is healthy, 55 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 1: Dallas is still winning that division. They have the most 56 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:10,239 Speaker 1: talent on offense. Offense matters more than defense, and as 57 00:03:10,320 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: long as Doak is standing upright, I expect the Cowboys 58 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:14,120 Speaker 1: to win this division. I don't know if it's with 59 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: eight wins with nine maybe ten. Um. Obviously, it would 60 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: not be ideal to start the season down oh and 61 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,480 Speaker 1: two heading into Week three a big one against Philly 62 00:03:24,639 --> 00:03:28,560 Speaker 1: on Monday Night Football, then it loosens up a little bit. Carolina, 63 00:03:28,880 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 1: New York Giants, Patriots are tough than the bye week. 64 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 1: If they can get to the bye week three and three, 65 00:03:35,720 --> 00:03:37,800 Speaker 1: that would be a huge win. I don't know about 66 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 1: the Chargers game, by the way, I just got an 67 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:43,080 Speaker 1: invite to check out so far four Chargers Cowboys. Um, 68 00:03:43,320 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: I don't know if I'm going yet. Uh, I kind 69 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,080 Speaker 1: of would like to. I haven't been to a game 70 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:49,119 Speaker 1: at so far, although I did do a walk through 71 00:03:49,120 --> 00:03:51,960 Speaker 1: with the stadium when it was getting built. Looks amazing. Um, 72 00:03:52,800 --> 00:03:55,120 Speaker 1: Chargers Cowboys is all of a sudden, just such a 73 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:57,560 Speaker 1: huge game. I mean every game feels huge. We talked 74 00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: about this yesterday, like, there's only seventeen games. You don't 75 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:04,280 Speaker 1: want to fall in an O two hole. Dallas If 76 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:06,960 Speaker 1: they fall out two and Philly somehow beat San Franz, 77 00:04:07,520 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: Dallas is now two games back of the Eagles, and 78 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:13,040 Speaker 1: they play the Eagles in Week three and you lose that, 79 00:04:14,120 --> 00:04:16,919 Speaker 1: you know, overcoming a three game deficit to win the division. 80 00:04:17,120 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 1: Good luck with that, Dallas Cowboys, they're up against it quickly. 81 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,920 Speaker 1: On college football. Uh, it's so funny. We talked about 82 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:28,119 Speaker 1: Clay Hilton in USC on Monday's pod like five hours 83 00:04:28,160 --> 00:04:31,480 Speaker 1: after the pod drop, they fired Clay Hilton, And if 84 00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: you go back and listen, the name I had heard 85 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:36,159 Speaker 1: was Byron Leftwich. Since then, a bunch of names have 86 00:04:36,279 --> 00:04:38,760 Speaker 1: been floated. Everybody wants to talk Urban Meyer. Oh, we 87 00:04:38,760 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 1: can get urban Meyer. He's gonna come out here. Um, 88 00:04:41,600 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 1: let's just remember urban Meyer was coming out to Fox 89 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:50,400 Speaker 1: for Uh, was doing the studio shows last year. Okay, 90 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:54,360 Speaker 1: I'm not getting into the business of how it now 91 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,040 Speaker 1: he liked it? Did he like l A? Would he 92 00:04:56,120 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 1: move here? All that? All I can say is unequivocally, 93 00:04:58,839 --> 00:05:01,280 Speaker 1: it's not happening. He's not coming out here to USC. 94 00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:03,320 Speaker 1: You guys can dream about it. By in the Sky. 95 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:07,880 Speaker 1: They can sell him hard. It would be Buster Douglas 96 00:05:07,880 --> 00:05:10,640 Speaker 1: over Mike Tyson if Urban Meyer came to USC. That's 97 00:05:10,640 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 1: how much of a long shot we're talking about. This 98 00:05:12,880 --> 00:05:14,600 Speaker 1: guy's old. You think he wants to move across the 99 00:05:14,600 --> 00:05:17,120 Speaker 1: country with his family at this stage in his career, 100 00:05:17,960 --> 00:05:20,720 Speaker 1: it's just not happening. He's a small town guy. He's 101 00:05:20,760 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 1: not enough. I would say zero point zero percent chance. 102 00:05:23,760 --> 00:05:25,520 Speaker 1: Obviously you want to say never, say never. Maybe they 103 00:05:25,560 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 1: throw all the money in the world at him, but 104 00:05:27,720 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: I would say unequivocally it's not happening. They need to 105 00:05:31,120 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 1: set their sights some more realistic names. Now. The name 106 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:37,839 Speaker 1: that keeps coming up is Luke Fickle, who's at Cincinnati, 107 00:05:37,880 --> 00:05:39,760 Speaker 1: And by the way, Cincinnati is going to be one 108 00:05:39,760 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: of my best bets for college football this weekend. The 109 00:05:42,680 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 1: problem with Luke Fickle, anybody you talk to like he's 110 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,160 Speaker 1: in that Ohio state mindset where he wants to control everything, 111 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:51,920 Speaker 1: and folks, USC is one of these weird programs where 112 00:05:51,920 --> 00:05:55,560 Speaker 1: the boosters have a lot of say ah, and I 113 00:05:55,600 --> 00:05:57,680 Speaker 1: shouldn't say weird because that's how it goes in a 114 00:05:57,720 --> 00:06:01,159 Speaker 1: lot of places. But the USC boosters have a ton 115 00:06:01,200 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 1: of say and this whole like, oh, we can bring 116 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:06,240 Speaker 1: me back to Pete Carroll era, like that was an error, 117 00:06:06,279 --> 00:06:09,839 Speaker 1: that's just not happening again. Have you seen what's happened 118 00:06:09,839 --> 00:06:13,360 Speaker 1: since then? Lame Kiffin experiment totally blew up in their face. 119 00:06:14,520 --> 00:06:17,760 Speaker 1: Then they passed on Orgeron who ended up winning a title, 120 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:21,719 Speaker 1: but that's understandable, and they land on Sark he has 121 00:06:21,800 --> 00:06:24,920 Speaker 1: his personal demons. Then I don't really know how they 122 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:27,719 Speaker 1: fell into Clay Helton. He salvaged the season when Sark 123 00:06:27,839 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 1: left and got kind of like a hey, let's let's 124 00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 1: have Clay Helton just stay on. He's a good guy, 125 00:06:33,720 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 1: and the Boosters can kind of run the scenes, run 126 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:38,680 Speaker 1: the show behind the scenes. And Clay went ten and three, 127 00:06:38,720 --> 00:06:42,919 Speaker 1: eleven and three with Sarks guys, and then what Happensen 128 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 1: disaster disaster? It was good, but come on, it was 129 00:06:47,720 --> 00:06:50,599 Speaker 1: a COVID shortened season. And now you lose to Stanford 130 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,400 Speaker 1: when you're favored by a million. That was an ugly loss. 131 00:06:54,800 --> 00:06:59,760 Speaker 1: I just think the more realistic names are guys along 132 00:06:59,800 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 1: the lines of a Byron Leftwich, a player coach who's 133 00:07:02,240 --> 00:07:06,279 Speaker 1: a young guy who's worked with Tom Brady. Uh want 134 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,400 Speaker 1: a Super Bowl again. He's not a USC guy, but 135 00:07:09,480 --> 00:07:11,320 Speaker 1: sometimes this idea of oh, we need to keep it 136 00:07:11,320 --> 00:07:13,760 Speaker 1: in the family. We we gotta get a USC like that. 137 00:07:14,520 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: Remember the Lakers tried that. Like that doesn't always work. 138 00:07:18,680 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: Running your business like a mom and pop shop doesn't 139 00:07:21,960 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 1: always work. Just keep it in the family. Like, sometimes 140 00:07:24,480 --> 00:07:27,760 Speaker 1: it's best to just go outside the family, find somebody 141 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:31,920 Speaker 1: who really, really will be a good fit at USC. UM. 142 00:07:32,120 --> 00:07:33,520 Speaker 1: Some of the other names that are that are out 143 00:07:33,520 --> 00:07:39,320 Speaker 1: there are legitimately comical. Um. Urban Meyer was so perturbed 144 00:07:39,720 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: he actually opened a press conference on Wednesday with, no, 145 00:07:45,160 --> 00:07:47,840 Speaker 1: I'm not going there. There's no chance, no shot. It's 146 00:07:47,920 --> 00:07:52,520 Speaker 1: just not happening. Um. I just people need to stop 147 00:07:52,560 --> 00:07:54,720 Speaker 1: talking about that now. James Franklin of Penn State is 148 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:57,680 Speaker 1: a super popular name. Um, another guy who's kind of 149 00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,480 Speaker 1: a control freak. But listen, a lot of these coaches 150 00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:01,560 Speaker 1: are Nkla has done some great things at Penn State. 151 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:04,360 Speaker 1: I think he's attainable. Could they get Tom Herman? Sure? 152 00:08:04,680 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: Will they want Tom Herman after what happened to Texas? 153 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: Probably not? Um Gus Small's on another guy like one 154 00:08:11,800 --> 00:08:15,680 Speaker 1: in the SEC fell apart quickly. They booted him, like, 155 00:08:16,560 --> 00:08:19,239 Speaker 1: I mean, it's a it's a tough spot. It's gonna 156 00:08:19,240 --> 00:08:24,920 Speaker 1: make it even tougher with U. C l a ascending, okay, 157 00:08:24,960 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: with Oregon taking down Ohio State and Mario Cristo Baal 158 00:08:28,040 --> 00:08:30,360 Speaker 1: he's that guy. Why would he come to USC Why 159 00:08:30,360 --> 00:08:32,200 Speaker 1: would Kristo Ball leave? What he's building it Oregon and 160 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: come to USC. Like in Oregon, Mario Kristo Ball is 161 00:08:37,520 --> 00:08:40,640 Speaker 1: the guy. Right now, you come to l A. Where 162 00:08:40,640 --> 00:08:44,920 Speaker 1: are the USC Trojans? Like, I don't know, it's Lakers. 163 00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: It's oh, the Rams are were in the Super Bowl 164 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:49,800 Speaker 1: and they're one of the favors to get there. The 165 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:53,440 Speaker 1: Chargers and Justin Herbert are on the rise. The Clippers 166 00:08:53,480 --> 00:08:56,480 Speaker 1: will be okay when Kauai comes back. Like, you've fallen 167 00:08:56,679 --> 00:09:00,360 Speaker 1: way behind at USC. Maybe you could uild it up 168 00:09:00,400 --> 00:09:03,960 Speaker 1: to Peate Carol levels. But remember there weren't at least 169 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:06,400 Speaker 1: I don't think there were two football teams in LA 170 00:09:06,480 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 1: when Pete Carroll was dominating. So Chargers were in San 171 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:13,120 Speaker 1: Diego and l A was in St. Louis. Now there's 172 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: just a lot of competition on the weekends in the 173 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,559 Speaker 1: fall and and frankly, USC people just need to get 174 00:09:18,559 --> 00:09:22,520 Speaker 1: a grip. Okay, there is no chances. What urban Meyer said, 175 00:09:23,440 --> 00:09:25,160 Speaker 1: I think that's a that's a safe bet. Now is 176 00:09:25,200 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 1: he struggling at Jacksonville? Yeah, but it's been like eight minutes. 177 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:29,840 Speaker 1: Can we give the guy a break? Why are we 178 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,680 Speaker 1: in such a rush to fire people? Don't we let 179 00:09:33,040 --> 00:09:35,440 Speaker 1: let things breathe, let it hang around. Remember the great 180 00:09:35,480 --> 00:09:39,920 Speaker 1: story about Seinfeld was so low rated and struggled. Imagine 181 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:45,840 Speaker 1: they dumped Seinfeld early on in the first season. It's 182 00:09:45,880 --> 00:09:47,880 Speaker 1: going down as one of the great shows in TV history. 183 00:09:47,880 --> 00:09:49,720 Speaker 1: You gotta give these things a chance, get these coaches 184 00:09:49,960 --> 00:09:53,680 Speaker 1: at least a cycle. All right, let's get to our 185 00:09:53,720 --> 00:10:00,040 Speaker 1: interview the great gambling NFL savant Adam Churnoff. For the 186 00:10:00,280 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: simple handicap, Jason likes to think he knows everything when 187 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,480 Speaker 1: it comes to sports. I know what sports dance want. 188 00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,600 Speaker 1: But for everything he doesn't. He knows a guy who does. 189 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 1: Let's just say I know a guy who knows a 190 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:19,959 Speaker 1: guy who knows another guy. All right, let's welcome in 191 00:10:20,000 --> 00:10:22,160 Speaker 1: to straight Fire. A guy who came on last year. 192 00:10:22,240 --> 00:10:25,760 Speaker 1: You guys loved his stuff. He has a great story 193 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: of how he got into gambling in sports, and he 194 00:10:28,200 --> 00:10:31,679 Speaker 1: lives in Canada. But he's starting to blow up here 195 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,200 Speaker 1: in America. And maybe that's accurate. Maybe he's already blown up. 196 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,199 Speaker 1: Adam turn Off. Adam, how are you you say Canada 197 00:10:37,320 --> 00:10:40,840 Speaker 1: like it's so far away in for it? Yeah, well 198 00:10:40,920 --> 00:10:43,560 Speaker 1: outside Calgary, I mean, gee, goodness great, what is it? Is? It? 199 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:45,560 Speaker 1: Already like three ft of snow on the ground there 200 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:48,920 Speaker 1: or no. Uh, in the mountains we have snow, but 201 00:10:49,200 --> 00:10:52,040 Speaker 1: here it's it's still decent during the day of mornings 202 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 1: and evenings. Uh. The old bones in my body are 203 00:10:55,200 --> 00:10:57,720 Speaker 1: starting to feel the chill. So it's it's getting worse 204 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:00,920 Speaker 1: every year. So Adam has a great podcast, The Simple Handicap. 205 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,960 Speaker 1: Now he's taken it two covers one of the bigger 206 00:11:04,200 --> 00:11:07,000 Speaker 1: gambling shops online. Adam, do you feel like talking about 207 00:11:07,000 --> 00:11:09,040 Speaker 1: that process, because a lot of people want to start 208 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:11,600 Speaker 1: a pod, they don't know how to make that next 209 00:11:11,640 --> 00:11:14,319 Speaker 1: step from mom and pop shop too, I'm going to 210 00:11:14,440 --> 00:11:17,320 Speaker 1: join a big dog. Was that fun or difficult? Or 211 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:19,160 Speaker 1: I mean, I know there's a lot of people clamoring 212 00:11:19,160 --> 00:11:23,480 Speaker 1: for your services. Now just do something that you enjoy 213 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:26,520 Speaker 1: doing every single day and just keep publishing it. It's 214 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 1: don't look at the views, don't look at any of 215 00:11:29,840 --> 00:11:32,880 Speaker 1: the reaction to it from the number side. Just keep 216 00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 1: doing it and doing it, responding to people that listen 217 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:37,600 Speaker 1: to the show, building out a fan base, and the 218 00:11:37,640 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 1: way I look at it, if you start with twenty 219 00:11:40,960 --> 00:11:43,080 Speaker 1: people on a podcast because you really want to get 220 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:45,480 Speaker 1: into the podcast, the way I sort of pictured it 221 00:11:45,520 --> 00:11:48,079 Speaker 1: because I was there, and it's like if twenty people 222 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 1: showed up in your backyard at eight in the morning 223 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:52,439 Speaker 1: and we're willing to listen to anything you have to 224 00:11:52,480 --> 00:11:54,959 Speaker 1: say for ten minutes, like that would be a pretty 225 00:11:55,000 --> 00:11:57,760 Speaker 1: significant thing. And then it gets It goes from twenty 226 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,200 Speaker 1: to a hundred to a thousand to five thousand, like 227 00:12:00,240 --> 00:12:02,240 Speaker 1: it grows quickly. And you keep that same sort of 228 00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:04,800 Speaker 1: thought in your head and when you look at it 229 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 1: from that perspective and you consider how many people that 230 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 1: actually is if you picture him in your yard, like, 231 00:12:10,440 --> 00:12:12,960 Speaker 1: it's significant. So just keep doing it, keep creating, and 232 00:12:13,600 --> 00:12:15,480 Speaker 1: if you're good enough, then you'll end up where you 233 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: need to be. Yeah, I like to bring on guys 234 00:12:17,440 --> 00:12:21,120 Speaker 1: who think differently you guys. Had you enjoyed Preston Johnson 235 00:12:21,440 --> 00:12:24,760 Speaker 1: uh t A was on last week and Adam is 236 00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:27,800 Speaker 1: definitely in that boat of oh man, Like I like 237 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:29,240 Speaker 1: to listen to people who are going to say stuff 238 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:32,280 Speaker 1: Adam that I had not considered or thought of, you know. 239 00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:35,240 Speaker 1: So that's where the value is. You're adding value. And 240 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:38,520 Speaker 1: your Week one numbers were pretty amazing from a gambling standpoint, 241 00:12:38,559 --> 00:12:41,040 Speaker 1: although um, you know you were with you. I believe 242 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 1: on the Patriots right. Um, last week I was not 243 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:49,080 Speaker 1: on the Patriots this week though, the different story. Well, definitely, 244 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:51,400 Speaker 1: but you're on a you're a Jets fan like I, 245 00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 1: I don't know you're are you know are you in 246 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:55,200 Speaker 1: the four million dollar contest or are you not doing 247 00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:59,560 Speaker 1: You're just talking about I'm in the circum millions last 248 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:01,319 Speaker 1: it was. It was a five and oh week for 249 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:04,240 Speaker 1: me last week. I don't like most thing records or anything. 250 00:13:04,280 --> 00:13:06,920 Speaker 1: So it's that you get excited because you're like, maybe 251 00:13:06,960 --> 00:13:09,840 Speaker 1: this is a quarterly prize, but you gotta go eighteen 252 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,320 Speaker 1: and two or nineteen and one totally prizes. I think 253 00:13:13,960 --> 00:13:18,360 Speaker 1: one fifty the first and then their second. Um. Somebody 254 00:13:18,400 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 1: sent me a d M on Instagram that there was 255 00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 1: a hundred ninety people five and oh. I did not 256 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:26,400 Speaker 1: know Adam was one of them. Um, but congratulations, I 257 00:13:26,480 --> 00:13:28,880 Speaker 1: went three and two. I stupid picks on the Ravens 258 00:13:28,880 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 1: and Patriots. Um, although the Patriots were inside the ten 259 00:13:31,880 --> 00:13:34,760 Speaker 1: and fumbled away. I really had liked, uh like the 260 00:13:34,800 --> 00:13:38,079 Speaker 1: Patriots side. But anyways, let's move on to week two. Adam, Um, 261 00:13:38,200 --> 00:13:40,560 Speaker 1: first of all, like you you're when you when I 262 00:13:40,559 --> 00:13:42,520 Speaker 1: listen to your pod. You're betting early in the week, 263 00:13:42,600 --> 00:13:46,160 Speaker 1: Like you're laying money down Sunday night Monday before the 264 00:13:46,200 --> 00:13:51,880 Speaker 1: market moves. Maybe you're influencing the market. Uh, you know, 265 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 1: people don't a lot of people listening to the show, 266 00:13:53,920 --> 00:13:57,040 Speaker 1: but like, and I hate me talking about numbers that 267 00:13:57,080 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 1: were already taken. But in terms of like the look 268 00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:03,240 Speaker 1: everyone that was on listening to the show, including myself, 269 00:14:03,760 --> 00:14:07,079 Speaker 1: we're very high on taking the broncos on the look ahead, 270 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:10,280 Speaker 1: which was very early. Um, that's obviously moved the ton. 271 00:14:10,360 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 1: But when you're when you're betting a game on a 272 00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:17,280 Speaker 1: look aheadline or really late Sunday night or early Monday morning, 273 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:21,640 Speaker 1: it's not taking a ton of money to move a 274 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:24,480 Speaker 1: number half a point, a point point a half, whatever 275 00:14:24,480 --> 00:14:28,320 Speaker 1: it might be, especially on like totals. So it tends 276 00:14:28,360 --> 00:14:31,040 Speaker 1: to it's the most advantageous time to bet because you 277 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: can get ahead of numbers. But in reality, if if 278 00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:36,160 Speaker 1: you have a show with a lot of people listening 279 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 1: to it, and people value information, and you you send 280 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:42,800 Speaker 1: something out that early, it's just a handful of people 281 00:14:42,840 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 1: respond to it collectively, it's it's going to move a 282 00:14:45,880 --> 00:14:47,720 Speaker 1: number just a little bit later. In the week. That 283 00:14:47,760 --> 00:14:50,320 Speaker 1: doesn't happen because the markets are just far too efficient, 284 00:14:50,400 --> 00:14:52,720 Speaker 1: and there's the limits are way too high. Books know 285 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,120 Speaker 1: where they are. But if you're sending out look aheads 286 00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 1: are really early on Sunday, right as the openers come out, 287 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:00,800 Speaker 1: you can definitely get ahead of some pretty close for sure. 288 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:04,560 Speaker 1: So let's look at the Broncos. Jags, Um Jaguars look terrible, 289 00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 1: losing to a team that people talk could go oh 290 00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:10,360 Speaker 1: in seventeen and now they go home and host Teddy covers. 291 00:15:10,440 --> 00:15:13,680 Speaker 1: Everybody knows the numbers. Teddy Bridgewater is nine and zero 292 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:15,960 Speaker 1: against the spread on the road, and it's I mean, 293 00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:19,280 Speaker 1: it's incredible what he's done. But Adam, we'll talk about 294 00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 1: a six point favorite now on the road in Jacksonville. 295 00:15:22,800 --> 00:15:24,920 Speaker 1: Back to back road games. I'm still trying to research. 296 00:15:25,160 --> 00:15:27,280 Speaker 1: I know the forty niners have two straight road games. 297 00:15:27,320 --> 00:15:29,880 Speaker 1: They stayed east, They've done that the last two years. 298 00:15:30,400 --> 00:15:32,320 Speaker 1: I have not been able to find yet if the 299 00:15:32,360 --> 00:15:35,680 Speaker 1: Broncos traveled back and are coming back for Jacksonville or 300 00:15:35,680 --> 00:15:38,520 Speaker 1: they stayed out East. But at six like, you would 301 00:15:38,560 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 1: not tell people, hey man, you gotta back Teddy. It's 302 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:44,200 Speaker 1: get favored by six on the road, right, Yeah, it's 303 00:15:44,440 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 1: at this point the numbers obviously bet into place. The 304 00:15:48,600 --> 00:15:52,120 Speaker 1: one thing I'll say about Bridgewater last week was we 305 00:15:52,280 --> 00:15:55,840 Speaker 1: know him as this conservative, keep them all close to 306 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage, don't make mistakes, make the right 307 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:01,000 Speaker 1: play in the safe play when it needs to happen. 308 00:16:01,680 --> 00:16:05,280 Speaker 1: Last week against the Giants, he had an intended air yards, 309 00:16:05,320 --> 00:16:09,520 Speaker 1: which shows how deep the quarterbacks are throwing the football 310 00:16:09,560 --> 00:16:12,480 Speaker 1: down field if it's caught or not, so basically a 311 00:16:12,520 --> 00:16:14,560 Speaker 1: little bit more advanced in the depth of target. But 312 00:16:14,840 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 1: he was at eight point four yards per attempt on 313 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: his attended air yards, which is a gigantic number for Bridgewater, 314 00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 1: but a number that was bigger than guys like Brady 315 00:16:23,920 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 1: and Prescott and Rogers who was playing from behind for 316 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:29,560 Speaker 1: the majority of the game. Like we we just haven't 317 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 1: seen that from Bridgewater, and so he loses Jerry Judy 318 00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,920 Speaker 1: for a while now. But still, that was a very 319 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:40,560 Speaker 1: different looking Teddy Bridgewater that we saw, and it was 320 00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:43,440 Speaker 1: very interesting to see a guy who's loved anywhere he 321 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:46,000 Speaker 1: goes in the league. But the guys on on both 322 00:16:46,040 --> 00:16:48,960 Speaker 1: the defense and the offensive veterans within that team, some 323 00:16:49,040 --> 00:16:51,840 Speaker 1: of the postgame stuff like they absolutely love the guy 324 00:16:51,880 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 1: and rally around him. So very big change for the 325 00:16:54,560 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 1: Broncos moving on from Locke to Bridgewater. And if that 326 00:16:57,520 --> 00:17:00,960 Speaker 1: deep ball is real, then against this Jags defense as 327 00:17:01,040 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 1: six is in play for for a quarterback that usually 328 00:17:03,760 --> 00:17:06,040 Speaker 1: anytime you see this number, especially on the road, as 329 00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:09,639 Speaker 1: good as he has been, just seems too large. So um, 330 00:17:10,119 --> 00:17:12,720 Speaker 1: it's not out of it's not out of the usual 331 00:17:12,800 --> 00:17:15,679 Speaker 1: Bridgewater range, but it's um, it's a big number to 332 00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:18,240 Speaker 1: be laying on the road as bad as they were 333 00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:21,080 Speaker 1: great in between the twenties, but in the red zone 334 00:17:21,119 --> 00:17:24,000 Speaker 1: only two two for five, and I was it was weird. 335 00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:27,040 Speaker 1: Courtland Sutton does not look like um. And now with 336 00:17:27,119 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: Judy out, you know, I mean, I don't, I don't know. 337 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:31,560 Speaker 1: It just feels like a big price to pay. What 338 00:17:31,640 --> 00:17:34,440 Speaker 1: about silly stuff like, hey man, it's gonna be super 339 00:17:34,480 --> 00:17:39,120 Speaker 1: hot in um in in Jacksonville. Jacksonville should be able 340 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:41,280 Speaker 1: to run the football against Denver. I know the Giants 341 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:43,920 Speaker 1: really couldn't, but say Kwon Barkley, give me a break. UM, 342 00:17:44,119 --> 00:17:46,639 Speaker 1: I don't know. I almost wondered, do you consider the 343 00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: Jags in the contest If there are six six and 344 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 1: a half. I'm not betting the Jags here. If it 345 00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 1: gets seven, that changes it. But it's six, I can't 346 00:17:56,600 --> 00:18:00,240 Speaker 1: do it. Like Meyer just looked so unprepared for the 347 00:18:00,240 --> 00:18:02,840 Speaker 1: pro level. It was, but nobody really expected him to 348 00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:05,520 Speaker 1: look that bad. And the offensive line looked bad in 349 00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:08,159 Speaker 1: pre season, and you sort of look at that and 350 00:18:08,240 --> 00:18:10,080 Speaker 1: you wonder how much of that's going to translate into 351 00:18:10,119 --> 00:18:13,159 Speaker 1: the regular season. It looked just as bad against the 352 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:16,560 Speaker 1: Houston Texans in the Week one, So I'm not running 353 00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:19,399 Speaker 1: the bet the Jags at anything. If it gets to seven, 354 00:18:20,040 --> 00:18:22,320 Speaker 1: it starts to look different because of the value of seven, 355 00:18:22,359 --> 00:18:25,160 Speaker 1: but still it's it's just so hard to bet Jacksonville 356 00:18:25,200 --> 00:18:28,000 Speaker 1: right now based on how they looked. Fox Sports Radio 357 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,920 Speaker 1: has the best sports talk lineup in the nation. Catch 358 00:18:31,000 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 1: all of our shows at Fox sports Radio dot com 359 00:18:34,400 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 1: and within the I Heart Radio app search f s 360 00:18:37,200 --> 00:18:40,040 Speaker 1: R to listen live. The other line that kind of 361 00:18:40,080 --> 00:18:44,200 Speaker 1: seemed to take off was Seattle and Tennessee. Tennessee, of course, 362 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:47,520 Speaker 1: got just eviscerated by Kyler Murray and the Cardinals and 363 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,359 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson. Despite the new offensive coordinator, they came out 364 00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,119 Speaker 1: and just crushed the Colts. I mean that was that 365 00:18:53,160 --> 00:18:55,000 Speaker 1: felt like the easiest win of the weekend for me. 366 00:18:55,119 --> 00:18:58,680 Speaker 1: Seattle just rolling. Um. I don't know though, Tennessee at 367 00:18:58,720 --> 00:19:01,440 Speaker 1: six feel is like a good number. I mean, again, 368 00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:05,640 Speaker 1: this is not a Seattle defense that came in touted whatsoever. Um, 369 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 1: And you gotta think Tennessee has bounced back in them, right, 370 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:11,480 Speaker 1: unless you're totally off on this new oc with this 371 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 1: group of players for the Titans, Tannehill, Henry Um, the 372 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:19,040 Speaker 1: whole crew. This is the biggest number that an opponent 373 00:19:19,080 --> 00:19:21,879 Speaker 1: has laid against them. That isn't the Kansas City Chiefs, 374 00:19:21,960 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: and that was the seven and a half point spread 375 00:19:24,280 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 1: in Kansas City in the playoffs. So this for the Titans, 376 00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:31,760 Speaker 1: with this group of players is uncharted territory in terms 377 00:19:31,800 --> 00:19:34,640 Speaker 1: of a point spread being laid against them. So this 378 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,399 Speaker 1: is a number that's going to move back. It opened 379 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,840 Speaker 1: three and a half, it got the six. It is 380 00:19:39,840 --> 00:19:41,600 Speaker 1: not going to close at six. It is going to 381 00:19:41,640 --> 00:19:44,040 Speaker 1: go back the other way. And a lot of that's 382 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:47,080 Speaker 1: fueled by, like you just mentioned, it was week one. 383 00:19:47,200 --> 00:19:51,800 Speaker 1: Everybody overreacts the week one. The Seahawks look terrific, really 384 00:19:52,000 --> 00:19:54,159 Speaker 1: dominated the game start to finish against the Colts and 385 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,560 Speaker 1: then the Titans had that's as bad as we've seen 386 00:19:56,560 --> 00:19:58,960 Speaker 1: the Titans play with this group of players and under 387 00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:01,160 Speaker 1: Mike Rabel, you just you don't see that from them 388 00:20:01,560 --> 00:20:03,360 Speaker 1: to that level, and so you get that, you get 389 00:20:03,359 --> 00:20:07,360 Speaker 1: the contrasting results there. It's the natural overreaction. But now 390 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:10,080 Speaker 1: as six from a price perspective, it's just way too large. 391 00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,600 Speaker 1: And this Seahawks defense, it is not good. That don't 392 00:20:13,640 --> 00:20:16,520 Speaker 1: don't let anything for you. This is a very bad 393 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:20,840 Speaker 1: unit in coverage. Jamal Adams makes headlines. He's he's terrible 394 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:22,719 Speaker 1: in coverage, He's a phenomenal plit. So you get them 395 00:20:22,720 --> 00:20:24,879 Speaker 1: near the line of scrimmage, it's dangerous. But this number 396 00:20:25,400 --> 00:20:28,280 Speaker 1: way too big. So Tennessee at six is definitely a bedwork. 397 00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:31,520 Speaker 1: If you said overreaction, I mean, and there are a 398 00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,200 Speaker 1: lot of them out there. Uh the Tampa Bay Atlanta line, 399 00:20:34,240 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 1: Like how do you not overreacting? As you personally? Adam? Uh? 400 00:20:38,840 --> 00:20:40,920 Speaker 1: Like when you evaluate some of these teams, like, yes, 401 00:20:40,920 --> 00:20:43,399 Speaker 1: Seattle looked really good, but I don't know, maybe the 402 00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:45,719 Speaker 1: Colts just aren't very good this year. Maybe there are 403 00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:48,359 Speaker 1: below five under team And then you see the Seahawks 404 00:20:48,400 --> 00:20:51,320 Speaker 1: coltslide and you're like, sorry, Rams Colts this week, and 405 00:20:51,320 --> 00:20:54,080 Speaker 1: you're like, why aren't the Rams favored by more? Um? 406 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,879 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's just it's really difficult to not overreact, 407 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,320 Speaker 1: um initially, at least now this is we're still early 408 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,080 Speaker 1: in the week. You know, by Saturday, I think that'll 409 00:21:03,119 --> 00:21:05,639 Speaker 1: have worn off. But I don't know. Man, can you 410 00:21:05,680 --> 00:21:08,159 Speaker 1: talk me out of betting on, say, the Rams on 411 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:10,080 Speaker 1: the road against the Colts, because I I know a 412 00:21:10,080 --> 00:21:13,160 Speaker 1: lot of people are gonna take the Colts the way 413 00:21:13,200 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 1: they struggled defensively against that fast Seattle offense. The Rams 414 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 1: have just as fast as an offense. What So I'll 415 00:21:20,520 --> 00:21:22,879 Speaker 1: put it to you this way, were you hire on 416 00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,520 Speaker 1: the Rams of the Seahawks coming into the season. I was. 417 00:21:25,680 --> 00:21:28,919 Speaker 1: I had the Sea the Seahawks below the Rams. Okay, 418 00:21:29,080 --> 00:21:32,320 Speaker 1: so was it by a significant margin? I mean I was. 419 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:36,480 Speaker 1: I consider essentially the Rams the second best team in 420 00:21:36,480 --> 00:21:39,240 Speaker 1: the NFC, coming in ahead of the Packers. Okay. So 421 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,879 Speaker 1: if we're looking at this price, the Seahawks were a 422 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:45,800 Speaker 1: very expensive two and a half or three flat minus 423 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:50,199 Speaker 1: one ten against the Indianapolis Colts in Indi. Now the 424 00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,520 Speaker 1: Rams are a four point favorite against the Colts in Indy, 425 00:21:53,600 --> 00:21:56,439 Speaker 1: So it's the same venue, but we see a different 426 00:21:56,480 --> 00:21:59,720 Speaker 1: price here with a lower total. So any time that 427 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:04,520 Speaker 1: the total is lower the Seahawks and Coals were at fifty, 428 00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:08,080 Speaker 1: this is at forty seven, the point spread becomes a 429 00:22:08,119 --> 00:22:11,440 Speaker 1: little bit more value per point. So when it when 430 00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:14,240 Speaker 1: it comes to looking at this the Rams at minus 431 00:22:14,320 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 1: four compared to the Seahawks at minus three, it reads 432 00:22:18,320 --> 00:22:21,119 Speaker 1: like one point, but the value of three in the 433 00:22:21,240 --> 00:22:23,880 Speaker 1: NFL is more important than any other number. So even 434 00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:26,520 Speaker 1: though it's just one point higher, it's a very important 435 00:22:26,600 --> 00:22:31,000 Speaker 1: one point higher with a slightly lower total. So we're 436 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:33,760 Speaker 1: really seeing if you think the Rams were better than 437 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:37,160 Speaker 1: the Seahawks coming into the season based off Week one, 438 00:22:37,400 --> 00:22:40,119 Speaker 1: maybe you think a little bit higher about Seattle in general, 439 00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:42,200 Speaker 1: But we're seeing a RAMS line here at minus four 440 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:45,879 Speaker 1: with the shorter total against the same opponent, really reflecting 441 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:48,679 Speaker 1: what you just said, what the wind total markets that 442 00:22:48,720 --> 00:22:51,720 Speaker 1: were up for five months reflected. It's really just the 443 00:22:51,800 --> 00:22:55,879 Speaker 1: price that comes from that preseason market and how we 444 00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,919 Speaker 1: sort of all thought about these teams coming into the season. 445 00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,400 Speaker 1: So it's not a significant difference, and I don't think 446 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,240 Speaker 1: it's too high or too low. I think as we're 447 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 1: seeing now, is this number states steady much of the week. 448 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:08,560 Speaker 1: It's just a price that we're sort of expected to 449 00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 1: see with the shorter tolls. So that's that's how we 450 00:23:11,040 --> 00:23:12,919 Speaker 1: get to this number right now. It's it's not a 451 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,080 Speaker 1: not a huge difference one way or the other. What 452 00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:17,960 Speaker 1: about the RAMS coverings on Sunday Night football, one of 453 00:23:17,960 --> 00:23:21,639 Speaker 1: the games that everybody watches. The public's all over the RAMS, 454 00:23:22,000 --> 00:23:24,000 Speaker 1: do you? I mean, I'm assuming the public is probably 455 00:23:24,000 --> 00:23:26,400 Speaker 1: going to come in on the RAMS again here at 456 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:28,359 Speaker 1: I don't know a percent or anything like that. I mean, 457 00:23:28,400 --> 00:23:33,240 Speaker 1: maybe that doesn't matter to you, not necessarily, because what 458 00:23:33,440 --> 00:23:36,040 Speaker 1: the public lines up on one side or the other 459 00:23:36,160 --> 00:23:38,520 Speaker 1: is not ultimately going to dictate how much the number 460 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:40,920 Speaker 1: moves one way or the other. Necessarily, it's going to 461 00:23:41,040 --> 00:23:45,040 Speaker 1: have a slight impact. But um, if it disagrees with 462 00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:47,640 Speaker 1: the numbers that I have, it's not something I'm looking 463 00:23:47,680 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 1: one way or the other. If I could say anything 464 00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:54,280 Speaker 1: about what I saw Sunday night was this Rams defensive front, 465 00:23:54,400 --> 00:23:56,800 Speaker 1: which is lauded, and this number one defense from a 466 00:23:56,840 --> 00:24:00,440 Speaker 1: season ago, and all of that nonsense, because they benefited 467 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:04,280 Speaker 1: from such an easy schedule, but the Chicago ran at 468 00:24:04,480 --> 00:24:08,040 Speaker 1: Hill against the Rams defensive front the five point two 469 00:24:08,119 --> 00:24:12,560 Speaker 1: yards per rush um, they didn't have a drive the 470 00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 1: Chicago Bears that ended on their side of midfield the 471 00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,119 Speaker 1: entire game. So the Rams were giving Andy Dalton and 472 00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:22,680 Speaker 1: this very weak Bears offense a lot of opportunity to 473 00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:25,239 Speaker 1: move the football. The Bears didn't ultimately do anything with it. 474 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:28,680 Speaker 1: But um, I had huge concerns about the Rams and 475 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,680 Speaker 1: their defense coming into the season just because of how 476 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,439 Speaker 1: they look last year against a very easy schedule that 477 00:24:34,480 --> 00:24:37,919 Speaker 1: benefited them a ton. Um not necessarily gonna be backing 478 00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,000 Speaker 1: one side of the other in this game, but I 479 00:24:40,000 --> 00:24:44,199 Speaker 1: think the numbers fare Um. What about the uh the 480 00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:46,679 Speaker 1: Bengals game? It looks like today as we're recording this 481 00:24:46,760 --> 00:24:50,680 Speaker 1: here on on Wednesday, the Bengals have crossed through three 482 00:24:50,680 --> 00:24:53,520 Speaker 1: and now there's I guess just I'm assuming that's professional 483 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:55,679 Speaker 1: money on Cincinnati. Maybe there was a release that you 484 00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,399 Speaker 1: like to talk about on your pod, but this was 485 00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,960 Speaker 1: I think I believe it opened at four Bengals at 486 00:25:01,000 --> 00:25:04,560 Speaker 1: Bears and now it's down to two. Any thoughts there, Yeah, 487 00:25:04,680 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 1: it's been a ton of professional money. Um, multiple releases, 488 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,720 Speaker 1: and when when we say the word release, it's either 489 00:25:11,960 --> 00:25:14,320 Speaker 1: a group that is moving on a side that bets 490 00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:16,640 Speaker 1: it themselves and then where it gets out and other 491 00:25:16,680 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: people follow or places that operate as a service where 492 00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 1: they have a number of followers who bet at many 493 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:26,560 Speaker 1: different sports books and they collectively bet a game at 494 00:25:26,600 --> 00:25:29,720 Speaker 1: the same time it becomes public and people follow on. 495 00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:32,320 Speaker 1: And so we've seen the case of both sides here 496 00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,600 Speaker 1: where it's professional money. There has been a release on 497 00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:38,400 Speaker 1: the Bengals, and when you see a line move from 498 00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:41,480 Speaker 1: a four down all the way to a one for 499 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:46,719 Speaker 1: a road team as a significant jump, we're talking about 500 00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:50,919 Speaker 1: at them. Yeah, it's but it's beyond Zach Taylor, like 501 00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,280 Speaker 1: it's it's Joe Burrow. It's that offense, and there's a 502 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:56,760 Speaker 1: belief that, like they can put together a pretty decent 503 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 1: team in a pretty decent season. And you think about 504 00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:01,760 Speaker 1: that game against the Vikings. How you get to the 505 00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 1: final score is to me more important than what the 506 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 1: final score was, and it was a game where the 507 00:26:07,600 --> 00:26:11,360 Speaker 1: Bengals got out to a lead very early, held control 508 00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,760 Speaker 1: of the game. Vikings come back late. But I was 509 00:26:14,840 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 1: much more impressed with the Bengals than I was um 510 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,200 Speaker 1: the Vikings in that game, and so you take that away, 511 00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:23,600 Speaker 1: you get the the Bengals winning. You have the Bears 512 00:26:23,640 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 1: losing on Sunday night football. As as productive as they 513 00:26:27,560 --> 00:26:29,200 Speaker 1: might have been on offense. Still, it was a lot 514 00:26:29,200 --> 00:26:31,440 Speaker 1: of people watching the Bears lose, a lot of people 515 00:26:31,480 --> 00:26:34,400 Speaker 1: watching the Bengals win. It's the Week two. It's over reaction, 516 00:26:34,960 --> 00:26:37,920 Speaker 1: and here we are with with a pretty significant move 517 00:26:38,040 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 1: supported by professional money on the Bengals. Yeah, I think 518 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 1: what's what makes me nervous about the Bears? Do you 519 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:45,960 Speaker 1: remember they ran the kickbacks and they're about to score 520 00:26:45,960 --> 00:26:48,919 Speaker 1: and then Dalton, you know, tip pass intercepted the end zone. 521 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,080 Speaker 1: If that, if that's a touchdown for the Bears, that 522 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:54,800 Speaker 1: game changes dramatically. You remember the Bears were still in it, 523 00:26:54,840 --> 00:26:57,399 Speaker 1: I believe into the third quarter, right, Yeah, and they were, 524 00:26:57,440 --> 00:26:59,080 Speaker 1: and then there was a couple of big touchdowns and 525 00:26:59,359 --> 00:27:02,000 Speaker 1: the cup recept and I flipped it. But us, like 526 00:27:02,040 --> 00:27:05,879 Speaker 1: the Bears, despite what the scoreboard says, we're moving the 527 00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 1: football against that Rams defense. That sort of gets disregarded 528 00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:12,879 Speaker 1: and the Rams defenses as to make concerns as I 529 00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:17,159 Speaker 1: have with it, uh much better than his Cincinnati Bengals defense. 530 00:27:17,200 --> 00:27:20,040 Speaker 1: So we'll see what happens with this number, but certainly 531 00:27:20,960 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 1: difficult to oppose that much professional money coming in on 532 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 1: the Bengals. Fox Sports Radio has the best sports talk 533 00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,840 Speaker 1: lineup in the nation. Catch all of our shows at 534 00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:33,240 Speaker 1: Fox sports Radio dot com and within the I Heart 535 00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:36,639 Speaker 1: Radio app search f s R to listen live. I 536 00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,520 Speaker 1: guess we could wrap up with this, you know, this 537 00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,359 Speaker 1: Thursday night football, like there are fans back in the 538 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:43,880 Speaker 1: stadiums uh that that was not the case last year, 539 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:46,639 Speaker 1: And um, I just I don't know how much of 540 00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:49,240 Speaker 1: a home field advantager is here on a Thursday night game. 541 00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:52,280 Speaker 1: Usually these are sloppy. And now you've got a divisional 542 00:27:52,320 --> 00:27:56,960 Speaker 1: matchup Washington Giants. I kind of want to take just 543 00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:00,800 Speaker 1: a little action play on Danny Dimes. Uh, I don't 544 00:28:00,800 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 1: know watching them against the Broncos, so it's just a 545 00:28:03,560 --> 00:28:07,719 Speaker 1: tough team to back. Yeah, but like that Broncos defense 546 00:28:07,760 --> 00:28:11,800 Speaker 1: and that secondary specifically is terrific. Washington their defense nothing 547 00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:14,520 Speaker 1: to sneeze about either. But they were again similar to 548 00:28:14,560 --> 00:28:17,439 Speaker 1: the Rams, a team I think we think highly of 549 00:28:18,000 --> 00:28:19,879 Speaker 1: because of their defense. But it was a team that 550 00:28:19,920 --> 00:28:23,359 Speaker 1: benefited from a very easy schedule last season, So we 551 00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,639 Speaker 1: saw what they looked like against the Chargers. Letting that 552 00:28:25,720 --> 00:28:28,280 Speaker 1: team walk all around the field, a big step back 553 00:28:28,280 --> 00:28:30,560 Speaker 1: to the to the Giants. But this is a game 554 00:28:30,600 --> 00:28:32,800 Speaker 1: that will get to a flat field goal. We've seen 555 00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:35,240 Speaker 1: this number move just a little bit. It was four, 556 00:28:35,280 --> 00:28:37,720 Speaker 1: it's now three and a half. Division game was such 557 00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:40,320 Speaker 1: a short total. It's just a spot that will naturally 558 00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 1: close at three. Uh downgrade for the quarterback situation in Washington, 559 00:28:44,800 --> 00:28:47,040 Speaker 1: we've seen that reflected a little bit within the market, 560 00:28:47,080 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 1: but that's going to continue. Um, I wouldn't be running 561 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:53,000 Speaker 1: about Washington in this spot, but i'd probably lean to 562 00:28:53,000 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 1: your side with the Giants. But it's a game I 563 00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:57,080 Speaker 1: haven't met one way or the other, but a number 564 00:28:57,360 --> 00:29:00,000 Speaker 1: I think we see come down just a little bit more. 565 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:03,080 Speaker 1: I only briefly mentioned COVID. Are you remember last year 566 00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:05,160 Speaker 1: when you came on, there was kind of a wait 567 00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,640 Speaker 1: and see. Firing early in the week could be risky 568 00:29:07,680 --> 00:29:10,320 Speaker 1: given COVID UH and we saw the Saints. I think 569 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,080 Speaker 1: they had like six or seven or eight coaches who 570 00:29:13,240 --> 00:29:15,880 Speaker 1: are vaccinated. But I have to be in COVID protocol, 571 00:29:15,960 --> 00:29:18,000 Speaker 1: so for instance, they won't be at practice this week. 572 00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:20,200 Speaker 1: I guess they'll have to zoom in and then jump 573 00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,240 Speaker 1: in late in the week. Is that impacting any of 574 00:29:23,280 --> 00:29:27,680 Speaker 1: how you look at things so far this season? Honestly, 575 00:29:27,760 --> 00:29:31,160 Speaker 1: last season, aside from the Broncos Saints game, which I 576 00:29:31,160 --> 00:29:34,000 Speaker 1: got lucky on, I never really had a spot where 577 00:29:34,760 --> 00:29:37,120 Speaker 1: any of the COVID news impacted any of the pets 578 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,520 Speaker 1: I made. Maybe that was me getting lucky. I don't know, 579 00:29:39,640 --> 00:29:42,760 Speaker 1: but I didn't really get too far into it last season, 580 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:46,000 Speaker 1: and this year a very little effort on my side 581 00:29:46,040 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 1: to try to sort of look into that or determine it. 582 00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,760 Speaker 1: If it gets to keep players, then obviously it will matter. 583 00:29:50,840 --> 00:29:54,520 Speaker 1: But it's it's now. It seems like the protocol is 584 00:29:54,560 --> 00:29:56,920 Speaker 1: different for every single team at this I just I 585 00:29:56,920 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 1: can't keep up with it and I'm focused elsewhere. Um 586 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:01,680 Speaker 1: I'll oh. I'll leave you with one bet that I 587 00:30:01,760 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 1: had made earlier this As soon as the Raiders one 588 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,680 Speaker 1: that lucky game on Monday night, I knew I was 589 00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 1: going to be on the Steelers. Gruden flying East taits travel, 590 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:16,320 Speaker 1: huge high profile win on Monday Night. Even though the 591 00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:18,240 Speaker 1: Steelers are coming off the win over the Bills. It 592 00:30:18,360 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 1: just screams like a bad matchup. I don't know if 593 00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:23,600 Speaker 1: you've seen some of the Raiders injuries, um, but in 594 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,640 Speaker 1: the contest, I think that's probably unless it's a seven, 595 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:28,840 Speaker 1: probably gonna be my number one pick the Steelers. Do 596 00:30:28,880 --> 00:30:32,640 Speaker 1: you have any thoughts on Pittsburgh and and Vegas? The 597 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,920 Speaker 1: tricky part is trying to determine how much of this 598 00:30:36,000 --> 00:30:39,000 Speaker 1: stuff has already priced into the line, and so from 599 00:30:39,000 --> 00:30:43,240 Speaker 1: the look ahead side, this was Steelers at six after 600 00:30:43,360 --> 00:30:46,560 Speaker 1: the Raiders won, and it reopened Tuesday morning, it was 601 00:30:46,600 --> 00:30:48,960 Speaker 1: at five and a half. It's still there, but like 602 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:52,480 Speaker 1: you mentioned, it's the Raiders off a huge win in 603 00:30:52,560 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 1: the stadium with fans for the first time in overtime, 604 00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:59,720 Speaker 1: flying east for an early start. Gruden doesn't like flying 605 00:30:59,760 --> 00:31:02,120 Speaker 1: your going from an indoor team to an outdoor team 606 00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: in hindes Field a significant step up in class of 607 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:09,720 Speaker 1: opposing defense. Like, there's so many different situations here historically 608 00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 1: that work against the Raiders, but a lot of them 609 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,600 Speaker 1: are just so widely talked about that you wonder how 610 00:31:16,640 --> 00:31:19,480 Speaker 1: much has this factored into the price the Steelers. Last 611 00:31:19,560 --> 00:31:23,120 Speaker 1: week we're six point underdogs against the Bills. They're now 612 00:31:23,200 --> 00:31:27,160 Speaker 1: six point favorites against the Raiders. Is the gap between 613 00:31:27,200 --> 00:31:31,440 Speaker 1: the Raiders and the Bills ten to twelve points? Well, well, no, wait, 614 00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:33,400 Speaker 1: hold on, now, if you had asked me that before 615 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:36,560 Speaker 1: week one, it ten might have been a little stretched, 616 00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,120 Speaker 1: but it probably would have been close to seven. Right 617 00:31:38,120 --> 00:31:40,520 Speaker 1: the Bills were weren't they your number two or three 618 00:31:40,560 --> 00:31:43,680 Speaker 1: power raided team? They are? But and so that's kind 619 00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:45,760 Speaker 1: of what I'm getting at here, is so like like 620 00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:49,160 Speaker 1: if it's seven or eight, right, which sounds reasonable, we're 621 00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 1: now at an adjustment. If we're looking for between where 622 00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:55,000 Speaker 1: they were last week and this week, it's out of ten. 623 00:31:55,720 --> 00:31:58,280 Speaker 1: We're just talking about how bad the situation is. Is 624 00:31:58,320 --> 00:32:03,200 Speaker 1: this number actually inflated because of the situation making that 625 00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: gap between the teams look bigger already accounting for that 626 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:09,600 Speaker 1: with all of that information priced in, or are we 627 00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:13,520 Speaker 1: as betters undervaluing all of that situation and showing that 628 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:16,560 Speaker 1: there might be value here with the Steelers. But it's 629 00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:18,680 Speaker 1: always tough to tell with these in a game where 630 00:32:18,680 --> 00:32:22,040 Speaker 1: there's so many of these narrative and these situations based 631 00:32:22,800 --> 00:32:25,480 Speaker 1: um things that are sort of right around the game 632 00:32:25,480 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 1: and very widely discussed, like how much of that is 633 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,200 Speaker 1: priced in and how much isn't because it's not like 634 00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:34,800 Speaker 1: the bookmakers and people with influence within the betting market 635 00:32:34,840 --> 00:32:37,720 Speaker 1: don't know about these situations. Yeah, I mean everybody has 636 00:32:38,000 --> 00:32:41,680 Speaker 1: basically the same information, right, But I see something and 637 00:32:41,720 --> 00:32:44,120 Speaker 1: again I'm sure this is biked in, But Adam, you 638 00:32:44,200 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 1: saw the Bills. I think they had six holding penalties 639 00:32:46,760 --> 00:32:50,360 Speaker 1: on the offensive line struggling to block Pittsburgh. The Raiders 640 00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,120 Speaker 1: offensive line just got annihilated by the Ravens on the 641 00:32:53,120 --> 00:32:55,560 Speaker 1: blitz and they had I believe two guys injured coming 642 00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 1: out of it. We don't know if Incognito is coming 643 00:32:57,200 --> 00:32:59,600 Speaker 1: back this week. That doesn't that feel like such a 644 00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:01,640 Speaker 1: mism actchin the trenches that I know that they know 645 00:33:01,720 --> 00:33:04,920 Speaker 1: that in Vegas. But they're not moving the line at all, 646 00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:09,160 Speaker 1: are they not. It's a huge mismatch. But again, it's 647 00:33:09,200 --> 00:33:12,880 Speaker 1: the Steelers laying six points like that's a favorite. Yeah, 648 00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:14,960 Speaker 1: that's a big night. It looks that looks a lot 649 00:33:15,000 --> 00:33:18,480 Speaker 1: different than going into Buffalo is a six point dog 650 00:33:18,560 --> 00:33:21,440 Speaker 1: like that's it's it's a huge shift for sure. Yeah, 651 00:33:21,480 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 1: all right, Adam turned off. You gotta listen to his 652 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 1: podcast every day every morning. It's really good. Uh. The 653 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,960 Speaker 1: simple handicap and then where else can they find your stuff? 654 00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: At him just on the simple handicap, Apple, Spotify, and 655 00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 1: then on Twitter at Adam sum Yeah he's he's good. 656 00:33:35,520 --> 00:33:38,960 Speaker 1: He's Canadian. Um, listen, enjoy the winter up there, Adam. 657 00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:41,920 Speaker 1: I'm sure I'll badger you over text for uh. By 658 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 1: the way, do you do any college football betting at all? 659 00:33:43,840 --> 00:33:47,120 Speaker 1: Or no? Just NFL? No, it's so tough to follow 660 00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,280 Speaker 1: it just with everything I have going on, But then 661 00:33:49,320 --> 00:33:52,560 Speaker 1: also being a country and moved, like you said, Canada 662 00:33:52,680 --> 00:33:55,040 Speaker 1: so far away that there is truth to that. In 663 00:33:55,080 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 1: the TV coverage for college is not nearly as good. 664 00:33:57,440 --> 00:34:00,400 Speaker 1: So um not a not a college football gun. So yeah, 665 00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:02,840 Speaker 1: all right, dude, have a good one, thanks very much. 666 00:34:02,920 --> 00:34:07,680 Speaker 1: Talk yet the only thing better than sitting on your 667 00:34:07,720 --> 00:34:12,040 Speaker 1: couch watching the game. He's making money while you do it. 668 00:34:12,400 --> 00:34:17,479 Speaker 1: Here's your best bet. Great stuff from turn Off. Really 669 00:34:17,520 --> 00:34:20,040 Speaker 1: like his work. He's he's a sharp guy. He's worked 670 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:23,520 Speaker 1: on both sides of the counter. You always gotta love that, um, 671 00:34:23,560 --> 00:34:25,640 Speaker 1: And now it's time for the best bet. I I 672 00:34:25,680 --> 00:34:27,279 Speaker 1: can't talk myself out of the giants here. If you 673 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:28,840 Speaker 1: can get a three and a half, I think you 674 00:34:28,880 --> 00:34:31,840 Speaker 1: gotta take it right. Washington has no home field advantage, 675 00:34:31,840 --> 00:34:37,160 Speaker 1: that stadium is always empty or quiet. Um, it's just 676 00:34:37,200 --> 00:34:41,239 Speaker 1: that there's no disadvantage for the Giants traveling right down. Um, 677 00:34:42,040 --> 00:34:44,080 Speaker 1: you know it's a mustard. Weian obviously for both teams. 678 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:46,640 Speaker 1: But I have a funny stat So Fox, because we 679 00:34:46,680 --> 00:34:50,839 Speaker 1: do a lot of gambling content, they have researchers dig 680 00:34:50,920 --> 00:34:55,880 Speaker 1: up some numbers. This is mind blowing. Danny Dimes is 681 00:34:55,920 --> 00:34:59,480 Speaker 1: a pretty bad quarterback. We can all agree. Turnover machine. However, 682 00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:03,960 Speaker 1: into Fox research. In four career starts against Washington. Somehow, 683 00:35:04,640 --> 00:35:08,480 Speaker 1: Danny Dimes is four no completing sixty percent of his passes, 684 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:14,160 Speaker 1: eight t d s, three interceptions. So four now against 685 00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:18,160 Speaker 1: Washington in his career. In twenty three other starts against 686 00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:21,600 Speaker 1: everyone else in the league, he's four and nineteen. A 687 00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:26,920 Speaker 1: turnover machine. He for whatever, Maybe he gets Washington's defense. 688 00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:30,360 Speaker 1: I don't know. Um, I kind of like the Giants 689 00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:32,600 Speaker 1: here getting getting three and a half in individual matchup 690 00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:35,040 Speaker 1: when us when when the totals forty and a half. 691 00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,000 Speaker 1: You heard turn Off talk about that low total. It's 692 00:35:37,000 --> 00:35:38,640 Speaker 1: gonna be a close game. Feels like a field goal 693 00:35:38,680 --> 00:35:41,399 Speaker 1: game game either way, I will have a personal rooting 694 00:35:41,440 --> 00:35:45,319 Speaker 1: interest uh in Terry McLaurin, obviously for fantasy purposes. Not 695 00:35:45,400 --> 00:35:49,720 Speaker 1: a great spot for McLaurin playing with m Taylor Heinekey 696 00:35:49,760 --> 00:35:52,600 Speaker 1: and I joked that Taylor Heinekey was reminded me of 697 00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:56,799 Speaker 1: Matt Saracen a k a QB one from Friday Night Lights. 698 00:35:57,680 --> 00:35:59,960 Speaker 1: Taylor Heneke in that playoff game basically would drop back. 699 00:36:00,320 --> 00:36:03,200 Speaker 1: He's like small, so he was struggling in the pocket 700 00:36:03,360 --> 00:36:05,440 Speaker 1: and he would just dart around and like make some 701 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:07,719 Speaker 1: kind of crazy plays and they would happen and it 702 00:36:07,760 --> 00:36:11,640 Speaker 1: was interesting. Um, you know, kN Taylor Heineken get it 703 00:36:11,640 --> 00:36:14,120 Speaker 1: done against the Giant's defense. It's kind of good, but 704 00:36:14,280 --> 00:36:17,319 Speaker 1: got shredded by Teddy Bridgewater. Um, I have no faith 705 00:36:17,360 --> 00:36:20,799 Speaker 1: whatsoever in Heinekey. I'm taking the Giants getting three and 706 00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:23,760 Speaker 1: a half. Alright, guys, we'll be back tomorrow NFL Picks 707 00:36:23,880 --> 00:36:27,680 Speaker 1: and college Football. Big, big weekend in sports. You love 708 00:36:27,719 --> 00:36:28,839 Speaker 1: to see it. We'll talk to you then.