Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place
Speaker 1: your bets. This be Joey Pai, Joe Pisa, Pia, and
Speaker 1: it's week fourteen. I can't even believe it. It's time is
Speaker 1: flying when you're having fun, and I'm having a good
Speaker 1: time here every single week I'm betting pros with all
Speaker 1: of you who listen and watch on our YouTube channel.
Speaker 1: Of course, my good friends Patty Cakes, Pat fitz Morris
Speaker 1: and Sam Hoppin, who's always got the bets popping. Because
Speaker 1: this guy and Pat they are in a good mood
Speaker 1: this morning. They stayed up all night last night partying
Speaker 1: after that big Green Bay Packer win against the Kansas
Speaker 1: City Chiefs. They are on a roll. They're beating the Chiefs,
Speaker 1: they're beating the Lions. Sam Hoppin, what's it feel like
Speaker 1: to be a playoff team?
Speaker 2: Huh, it feels great. I was kind of on this
Speaker 2: team a couple of weeks ago, like when they were
Speaker 2: going through their slump. But man, they they've got me excited.
Speaker 2: They're playing super well. I mean, even if even if
Speaker 2: things don't you know, I mean, I don't think they're
Speaker 2: gonna win the super Bowl this year, but The fact
Speaker 2: that they're playing this well with this many young players,
Speaker 2: I think is huge, and it shows that as they've
Speaker 2: gotten better throughout the season, they're improving, they're developing, all
Speaker 2: that sort of stuff. It makes me very, very excited
Speaker 2: for the future.
Speaker 1: It's a very different feel. I bet for you guys too.
Speaker 1: I mean, twenty five years of expectations. This year you
Speaker 1: had none, right because no Farv, no Rogers, right, So
Speaker 1: all the expectations are out now and now Pat like,
Speaker 1: how does this feel? This must be like a Christmas bonus.
Speaker 3: Right, It is like a bonus show.
Speaker 4: And I mentioned this on one of the Fantasy Pro
Speaker 4: shows we recorded earlier today, where really the season was
Speaker 4: all about affirming that Jordan Love was going to be
Speaker 4: the quarterback of the future. Like that was basically it
Speaker 4: find out whether he's the guy we've found out and
Speaker 4: he is, Like he's strung together a number of really
Speaker 4: good games, outplayed Patrick Mahomes last night, and now would
Speaker 4: just be gravy to get this playoff appearance. And it's
Speaker 4: looking pretty good since we're currently holding down the seventh
Speaker 4: spot and don't play a team with a winning record
Speaker 4: the rest of the way. And I said, we so
Speaker 4: I apologies, man, it's the Green Bay Packers. It's there's
Speaker 4: no WI. Although I am a Green Bay Packers stockholder,
Speaker 4: so I guess I can say, oh, yeah, that's all.
Speaker 1: I think. That's absolutely the Wei. I think that yeah,
Speaker 1: speaking of well, maybe not we's, but maybe me's top
Speaker 1: of the show. I promised on Monday I would come
Speaker 1: here and take my licks if the Eagles took theirs,
Speaker 1: and they did so. Brock Perdy, you are the truth,
Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan. You had the team ready to go. You
Speaker 1: had a good game plan. The Eagles could not tackle.
Speaker 1: The Eagles could not stop you in the backfield. They
Speaker 1: get a hand on somebody and they will go buy them.
Speaker 1: Momentum did seem to swing at one point after the
Speaker 1: security guard incident, and I thought the worm was turning,
Speaker 1: but it did not. So the San Francisco Wine and
Speaker 1: Cheese forty nine ers, you did it. You went in there,
Speaker 1: you were physical, you were tough. You showed me everything
Speaker 1: I needed to believe, So now I believe. Of course,
Speaker 1: the Welsh certainly was texting me immediately after that last
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel touchdown. I actually texted him and literally as
Speaker 1: I sent it, I got something back from him at
Speaker 1: a message, So I hear you, Welsh on Friday, you
Speaker 1: can go have me. I'm gonna have my wine and
Speaker 1: cheese while you have at me though that I'm going
Speaker 1: to do. So good job by the forty nine ers,
Speaker 1: good job by Purty, great game by McCaffrey, by Debo
Speaker 1: and the defense as well. So shout out to the
Speaker 1: forty nine ers. You went in there to a tough spot,
Speaker 1: you came away with a victory. So good on you.
Speaker 1: Now now I take you seriously, So there you go,
Speaker 1: so we'll take a beat there. Doesn't stop for the
Speaker 1: Eagles too. They get the Cowboys this week, but we'll
Speaker 1: get to those games in the second. Don't forget drop
Speaker 1: your comments below, subscribe to the channel. You just might
Speaker 1: win a Betting Pros one year free premium upgrade. That's right.
Speaker 1: All you gotta do, drop a comment, subscribe ring the
Speaker 1: beltill it goes dang. That's it. That's all you have
Speaker 1: to do to get the betting tools that you've always
Speaker 1: been waiting for the best version of them, to start
Speaker 1: getting smarter, not harder. With us at Betting Pros. I'd
Speaker 1: love to say we're gonna kick off Week fourteen with
Speaker 1: an exciting game. But I can't say that because the
Speaker 1: Patriots are involved in Thursday Night Football. The Patriots coming
Speaker 1: off zero points, zero big gooseig nothing, not a not
Speaker 1: a field goal, not a safety, not anything. New England
Speaker 1: now and ten goes on the road to Pittsburgh. Now,
Speaker 1: Pittsburgh does not have its quarterback Kenny Pickett. He's gonna
Speaker 1: be done for a while. Steelers are seven and five.
Speaker 1: They're coming off a loss and a weird game that
Speaker 1: was delayed twice. Pat. The Steelers are six point favorites
Speaker 1: in this one. You've got thirty and a half is
Speaker 1: the over under plus two twenty on the New England
Speaker 1: side of the money line. I'm taking under here, Pat,
Speaker 1: and I'm taking it now. What do you think?
Speaker 3: Agree?
Speaker 4: I have already hit the under because I'm worried this
Speaker 4: might go lower and we might see something like under.
Speaker 3: Thirty Iowah Hawkeye style. So yeah, I.
Speaker 4: Do like the under, and that's really the only thing
Speaker 4: I like in this game. There's no way I'm laying
Speaker 4: six points with the Steelers, like they've burned me too
Speaker 4: many times in their home games, including just yesterday. Like
Speaker 4: I really thought after the rejuvenated offensive showing. We saw
Speaker 4: in their first game post Matt Canada that the Pittsburgh
Speaker 4: offense was back, and sadly it was not back yesterday.
Speaker 3: And I don't think it.
Speaker 4: Was entirely related to the Kenny Pickett like. They were
Speaker 4: sputtering with Kenny Pickett at quarterback, they were sputtering after
Speaker 4: Kenny Pickett got hurts. I just don't want to take
Speaker 4: either side in this hideous game. And yeah, I'll bet
Speaker 4: the under and you know, tell me how it turns out.
Speaker 1: Sam, speaking of sputtering, Bill Belichick and the Patriots coming
Speaker 1: off a against scoreless game against Brandon Staley, uh, and
Speaker 1: the Chargers going on the road to New England at home.
Speaker 1: So what do you make of this one too? You
Speaker 1: just pound the under with us and running away.
Speaker 2: I actually like the Patriots here. I mean, I don't
Speaker 2: think Mitch Trubisky should be a six point favorite against
Speaker 2: really any team as bad as the Patriots are. And
Speaker 2: the Patriots defense, I think has improved lately to have
Speaker 2: by far the best rushing defense in the league. They
Speaker 2: haven't allowed a success rate overall over forty five percent
Speaker 2: since Week seven against the Bills. They're allowing negative point
Speaker 2: two point five ep of per play on early downs.
Speaker 2: So I think they'll put Pittsburgh behind the sticks and
Speaker 2: force them to throw on on third. And I think again,
Speaker 2: with a total this low, I want to take as
Speaker 2: many points as I can get in. Six points I
Speaker 2: think is enough for New England to stay in. I mean,
Speaker 2: they kept it close against the Chargers. Now, obviously the
Speaker 2: Chargers defenses is much worse than Pittsburgh's, but I think,
Speaker 2: excuse me, New England has enough to keep this game
Speaker 2: within six points.
Speaker 1: All right. Atlanta is at home there two and a
Speaker 1: half point favorites against Tampa. Thirty nine is the number
Speaker 1: on this one plus one fifteen If you think Tampa
Speaker 1: could go in there and come out with a victory,
Speaker 1: Sam this line feels pretty right to me. I don't
Speaker 1: see any value on it right now, Do you see.
Speaker 3: Any I don't.
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay was once a very stout run defense, but
Speaker 2: they've allowed a forty nine percent success right over the
Speaker 2: last four weeks, which is the worst in the league.
Speaker 2: Over that span, they've let both the Colts and the Panthers,
Speaker 2: of all teams, run all over them. Now they face
Speaker 2: a team in the Falcons that are the most heavy
Speaker 2: team this season. That said, I do like the alternates
Speaker 2: with Tampa Bay, you know, taking them minus two and
Speaker 2: a half, minus six and a half something like that,
Speaker 2: because I think Baker is the better quarterback, has a
Speaker 2: much higher ceiling than Desmond Ritter, and he'll be able
Speaker 2: to pass the ball against this Falcons defense. But I
Speaker 2: want to give a quick shout out to Mike evans
Speaker 2: Man ten one thousand straight, ten thousand yard seasons to
Speaker 2: start his career. He's a Hall of Famer for me.
Speaker 1: First ballot Hall of Famer at this point. I mean,
Speaker 1: that's a stunning accomplishment. I know he got to play
Speaker 1: with Tom Brady for a couple of years, but it
Speaker 1: wasn't always tom Brady there. I'll just remind everybody, all right, Pat,
Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on this one here with Atlanta
Speaker 1: and Tampa. Atlanta did look great on the road, they
Speaker 1: never do. Ridder plays better at home. Anything you want
Speaker 1: to take out of this one, Yeah, I.
Speaker 4: Mean, I'm just so thoroughly unimpressed with the Falcons offense.
Speaker 4: For an offense that has Jon Robinson and Kyle Pitts
Speaker 4: and Drake London and it's this underwhelming.
Speaker 3: Hello Arthur Smith.
Speaker 4: This number sort of says that maybe the Falcons on
Speaker 4: a neutral field would be deemed about half a point better.
Speaker 4: I don't really believe that. Like I think there's a
Speaker 4: little bit of value here on the Buccaneers. I'm not
Speaker 4: sure if I like it enough to actually bet at.
Speaker 4: But I know in the pools I plan where I'm
Speaker 4: forced to pick every game against the spread, I'm gonna
Speaker 4: be taking.
Speaker 3: The box in this one.
Speaker 1: If the Falcons just go out there and get aggressive
Speaker 1: on the QB market next year, they could really be
Speaker 1: a force, I think, especially in that NFC South. It
Speaker 1: is not a good division. Let's get to speaking of
Speaker 1: not being very good, the Carolina Panthers. They're now one
Speaker 1: to eleven. As we said, the coaching firing bounce was
Speaker 1: not a thing here for the Carolina Panthers necessarily, although
Speaker 1: they did keep that game closer than I think a
Speaker 1: lot of people like myself thought that they would. New
Speaker 1: Orleans is five and seven. They were at home. Five
Speaker 1: and a half is the number Derek Carr another injury
Speaker 1: last week. Thirty eight is the number on this one.
Speaker 1: Carolina plus two hundred. They getting two to one. I
Speaker 1: would think pat that this would be a larger number
Speaker 1: than that, just a plus two hundre on the money line.
Speaker 1: If this was three to one, I'd be really interested
Speaker 1: in Caroline on the money line, maybe sneaking out of
Speaker 1: victory here with the Saints, especially if Winston ends up
Speaker 1: being quarterback. Do you want to bet this now when
Speaker 1: you have the uncertainty of who's playing quarterback? Or do
Speaker 1: you want to wait for clarity and then maybe lose
Speaker 1: some value?
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I'm operating under the assumption that Derek
Speaker 4: Carr is gonna miss this one, not only the concussion,
Speaker 4: but like he injured everything on that hit back shoulder
Speaker 4: like this the whole nine yards. Yeah, I mean, he
Speaker 4: was just crushed on that hit. So I think it
Speaker 4: will be James money line. Is interesting that that's an
Speaker 4: angle I hadn't thought about. Joe, Like, I just don't
Speaker 4: know if there's enough value to take the Panthers in
Speaker 4: the points, because the Panthers are a pretty sorry outfit overall,
Speaker 4: but like you could see enough Jamis mistakes to basically
Speaker 4: like hand over a win to the Carolina Panthers. And
Speaker 4: also Jamis playing in this one sort of makes me
Speaker 4: want to bet the over in this one, because Jamis
Speaker 4: throws so aggressively downfield like it can lead to big
Speaker 4: plays for the Saints. It could also lead to you know,
Speaker 4: pick sixes or setting up the Panthers on a really
Speaker 4: short field like I think it's going to maybe spike
Speaker 4: the score of this game a little bit. So getting
Speaker 4: a low total like this gives me some mild interest
Speaker 4: in betting the over.
Speaker 1: Sam, how about you? Do you have a mile interested
Speaker 1: in maybe betting the over in this one?
Speaker 2: Also, that's probably the one lean I would have if
Speaker 2: I were betting on this. I don't really have a
Speaker 2: lean on this game right now. It's Car's second concussion
Speaker 2: in the last three weeks, I think, so I wouldn't
Speaker 2: be surprised if he's out even longer than just this game.
Speaker 2: So I expect Jamis Winston in this game. So in
Speaker 2: a game with Jamis, you're shooting for anything with variants
Speaker 2: and I mean even some alternate overs here too against
Speaker 2: this Panthers defense.
Speaker 1: All right, let's look to the next one here and
Speaker 1: what should be theoretically maybe one sided contest. We'll see
Speaker 1: the Houston Texans seven and five. Tank Dell is gonna
Speaker 1: be out now for a while with that broken leg. Unfortunately,
Speaker 1: very sad situation. They're also sad the New York Jets,
Speaker 1: who are now four and eight. They are six point
Speaker 1: underdogs at home. Feels about right to me. Thirty five
Speaker 1: and a half is the number for this one, plus
Speaker 1: two to twenty. Now, Sam, when we're looking here at
Speaker 1: the New York Jets, you know, we keep talking about, oh,
Speaker 1: you know, the defense of the Jets, defense of the Jets.
Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, you can run
Speaker 1: the football on the Jets. So if you just run
Speaker 1: the football effectively and let CJ. Stroud continue to go
Speaker 1: out there and do what he does best. And he's
Speaker 1: made Noah Brown useful, He's made Robert Woods useful. Clearly
Speaker 1: Nuco Collins coming off a huge game. This feels like
Speaker 1: maybe Houston Texans are getting respect? Are they getting enough
Speaker 1: respect here on this one? I know the money line
Speaker 1: of the Jets is plus two fifteen. I want no
Speaker 1: part of that. The way the Jets offense runs, But
Speaker 1: do you think that the Houston Texans could go out
Speaker 1: there and really just kind of embarrass the Jets with
Speaker 1: the offense that they have.
Speaker 2: I think they can, but I think the market is
Speaker 2: finally caught up to the Texans and who they are,
Speaker 2: understanding that they're or probably top six seven team in
Speaker 2: the AFC right now. And what's keeping me off of
Speaker 2: betting on the Texans is they just had a number
Speaker 2: of situational or process related mistakes. They had three red
Speaker 2: zone field goals this past week. Again it's Denver. They
Speaker 2: used a timeout on defense with thirty seconds left, which
Speaker 2: I get you want to get your best defense in place,
Speaker 2: but that extra time out could have been very helpful
Speaker 2: if Denver scored a touchdown earlier. And they were just
Speaker 2: running the ball too much on early downs to put
Speaker 2: them behind the sticks, and it was just third and
Speaker 2: long for them too too many times. And C. J. Stratt,
Speaker 2: as good as he is, can't play hero ball every
Speaker 2: single third down. That said, I'm not spending any of
Speaker 2: my hard earned money backing the Jets here. Whether it's
Speaker 2: Trevor Simeon or Tim Boyleer or Zach Wilson. I don't
Speaker 2: even know who's going to start in this game, so
Speaker 2: I'm laying off of this one.
Speaker 1: I'm not I'm gonna go with the Houston Texan side
Speaker 1: of this game. I'm confident here and then maybe I'm
Speaker 1: too confident. Maybe Sam is right that you know, everything's
Speaker 1: catching up a little bit to the Houston Texans. They
Speaker 1: keep coming out with victories, but pat they are still
Speaker 1: green and they show that they are still work in progress.
Speaker 1: That being said, I see no progress with the Jets offense,
Speaker 1: no matter who's playing quarterback, and I think more than
Speaker 1: a touchdown. It's one thing when the Falcons they come
Speaker 1: into your building on the road. This is not Desmond Ritter,
Speaker 1: this is C. J. Stroud, and that guy has been
Speaker 1: a difference maker this year.
Speaker 4: Yeah, but we've seen Trevor Simeon flash competence in uh
Speaker 4: when forced to come in and play in a pinch before.
Speaker 4: Like I'm skeptical of that, of course, but I have
Speaker 4: a little bit of trouble laying six points to a
Speaker 4: home dog that has a really legitimate defense like that
Speaker 4: makes me a little bit nervous. I don't know if
Speaker 4: I can do it. I understand what you're saying, like
Speaker 4: there's no confidence in this Jets offense whatsoever. But I
Speaker 4: kind of think the Texans have been overvalued in the
Speaker 4: batting markets. We saw that coming into Week thirteen, they
Speaker 4: had gone I think three and two in their last
Speaker 4: five games, but only one in four against the spread
Speaker 4: over that stretch. And then they did get a cover
Speaker 4: against the Broncos, but it took Russell Wilson committing three
Speaker 4: turnovers in the last what fifteen or sixteen minutes.
Speaker 1: Well, but that'savers that were forced to which I think
Speaker 1: you know they did. They did put some pressure on
Speaker 1: Wilson at the end, and the secondary played well. Will
Speaker 1: Anderson had a really good game. I actually think that
Speaker 1: that Texans defense, which is something we talked about in fantasy,
Speaker 1: like one of the better fantasy stretch runs last playoff defenses,
Speaker 1: they have some great and they have two matchups against
Speaker 1: the Titans they think remaining too, like they've got some
Speaker 1: good situations there the Houston Texans too.
Speaker 4: So I mean a lot of people are going to
Speaker 4: look at this game and say, well, you know, really
Speaker 4: good offense versus really bad offense, slam dunk Texans. I
Speaker 4: don't think it's quite that easy, and I don't see
Speaker 4: the value on betting the Texans.
Speaker 1: All right, Well, I will stand with the lone wolf
Speaker 1: here on my island that I will take the huston
Speaker 1: in Texans. The Indianapolis Colts seven and five making some
Speaker 1: noise in their own What a great story they've been
Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew coming out with a big overtime victory taking
Speaker 1: on the Bengals coming off a Monday night game. We'll
Speaker 1: see what the results are of that. The Bengals are
Speaker 1: five and six. They are two and a half point
Speaker 1: home underdogs, which is understandable. Forty one is the number
Speaker 1: in this one plus one point fifteen forty one pretty
Speaker 1: decent sized number here, considering we're dealing with not one,
Speaker 1: but two secondary quarterbacks. But yet, Pat, I still look
Speaker 1: at it and I'm almost confident in the over. Am
Speaker 1: I crazy?
Speaker 3: H man?
Speaker 4: I'm not touching this one, Joe. I think like the
Speaker 4: total and the spread are pretty spot on. Like, I
Speaker 4: just haven't been able to get on the right side
Speaker 4: of any Colts games this year.
Speaker 3: I can understand the interest in the over with the.
Speaker 4: Fast paced the Cults like to play at and like,
Speaker 4: I don't think Jake Browning is by any stretch of
Speaker 4: the imagination, the worst backup quarterback in the league, and
Speaker 4: he's got a lot of weapons around him, so I
Speaker 4: can see the case for the over. I'm just not
Speaker 4: interested in taking it right now. Maybe if they have,
Speaker 4: and I showing against Jacksonville tonight and the total doesn't
Speaker 4: spike as a result.
Speaker 3: Yeah, you can maybe interesting to your.
Speaker 1: Point, and that's why I want it like I want
Speaker 1: it now before they look halfway decently, if they put
Speaker 1: up seventeen points tonight, you know, you just put up
Speaker 1: fourteen next week all of a sudden. That makes me
Speaker 1: feel pretty good about maybe getting to this over What
Speaker 1: do you think here? You think? Sam? That again, this
Speaker 1: is one of those conundrums. Betting the Colts has been
Speaker 1: very difficult all year. As Pat was saying, it's hard
Speaker 1: to be on the right side of this. Do you
Speaker 1: feel confident that there is a right side, Sam?
Speaker 2: I don't feel very confident. I mean, five of indianapolis
Speaker 2: seven wins this year have been on the road, and
Speaker 2: in their four game win streak that they're currently riding,
Speaker 2: three of those wins have come on the road. So
Speaker 2: it's hard to say that that's going to continue. And
Speaker 2: I don't know which ones they've been favored in, but
Speaker 2: the Cincinnati defense continues to be just a massive sieve,
Speaker 2: especially against the pass and Indianapolis this could be a
Speaker 2: function of the teams they faced in Tampa Bay and
Speaker 2: Tennessee has a passwright over expectation of six percent or
Speaker 2: greater in their last two games, so I expect them
Speaker 2: to come out throwing the ball against this Bengals defense.
Speaker 2: Michael Pittman looks like a star right now with the
Speaker 2: way that Garner Minshew is targeting him. So I think
Speaker 2: the fast pace plus the Colts passing the ball a
Speaker 2: little bit more definitely leads to the over. And to
Speaker 2: your point, Jake Browning played decently well against Pittsburgh last week.
Speaker 2: Obviously had a couple of lucky bounces that padded his
Speaker 2: stats a little bit, but he's still playing with Jamar
Speaker 2: Chase and t Higgins who's going to be back in
Speaker 2: the game on Monday Night football, and I think with
Speaker 2: just the talent they have on offense, can keep it competitive.
Speaker 2: I do think again I've mentioned this several times, but
Speaker 2: the Colts have a massive coaching advantage here with with
Speaker 2: Shane Steiken. Zach Taylor, I think is getting exposed a
Speaker 2: little bit without having Joe Burrow to cover for some
Speaker 2: of his mistakes. But I slightly lean towards the Colts,
Speaker 2: but I think this line is pretty darn accurate.
Speaker 1: The Rams are now six and six they will take
Speaker 1: on the Baltimore Ravens in Baltimore. Baltimore's nine and three
Speaker 1: coming off of bye. They are seven and a half
Speaker 1: point favors, which makes sense here. Forty four and a
Speaker 1: half is the number The Rams are plus two sixty
Speaker 1: on the money line for an upset. Look, the line's
Speaker 1: telling you that Baltimore should handle their business here against
Speaker 1: this Rams team. Do you think that that is going
Speaker 1: to be the case for this contest? Sam?
Speaker 2: I do You're getting the Ravens off of a bye,
Speaker 2: a team many might consider to be the best team
Speaker 2: in the AFC. If not, the NFL teams have have
Speaker 2: been able to have success on the ground against the Rams.
Speaker 2: That should be no different for the Ravens. I love
Speaker 2: the Ravens here as a potential teaser leg, teasing them
Speaker 2: down from seven or seven and a half down to
Speaker 2: one one and a half. But the Rams defense has
Speaker 2: played somewhat better since thereby the last couple of weeks.
Speaker 2: But that's been against the Seahawks, Cardinals in Browns. So
Speaker 2: nothing really to write home about there.
Speaker 1: All right, Pat, your thoughts on this game here coming up?
Speaker 1: Because the Rams, obviously you know it's got a tough
Speaker 1: spot there on the road in balked More, a tough
Speaker 1: place to play, especially with that week of rest that
Speaker 1: the Ravens are coming off, and you know, still uncertainty.
Speaker 1: The health of Cooper Cup clearly not one hundred percent,
Speaker 1: and Puka Nakua soldiering back onto the field doesn't mean
Speaker 1: he's one hundred percent either.
Speaker 4: I could not bet the Ravens fast enough when I
Speaker 4: saw this line on Sunday Night, Joe, and honestly, I
Speaker 4: was pretty surprised that this number was as modest as
Speaker 4: it was given the Ravens pretty lengthy track record of
Speaker 4: success at home. Plus you've got the West Coast team
Speaker 4: coming out east for the early kickoff, like it's it's
Speaker 4: the classic setup where yeah, I bet the home sitting
Speaker 4: Eastern time zone team. So yeah, the Rams have not
Speaker 4: been the pushovers this season. We thought they were gonna be.
Speaker 4: They a little more teeth both offensively and defensively, I
Speaker 4: think than we were expecting. But man, like, not only
Speaker 4: did I get the Rams at plug or the Ravens
Speaker 4: at minus seven and a half, but I got them
Speaker 4: at minus one oh five, And like, I'm expecting this
Speaker 4: thing to move closer to like eight or nine points
Speaker 4: as the week goes on. So I'm really super if
Speaker 4: I got it at one oh five, like it's gonna
Speaker 4: take some Ravens to get it right now.
Speaker 1: It actually went in the other direction, which I think
Speaker 1: is kind of crazy. So just this morning when from
Speaker 1: seven and a half to seven in some spots, good, Yeah, they.
Speaker 2: Are thing to remember and I don't remember that have
Speaker 2: the exact stet off the top of my head. But
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson against NFC teams, I think he's got like
Speaker 2: one loss against them in his career, and yes, and
Speaker 2: I hate I hear trend betting like that, but I
Speaker 2: think there is some signal to these teams who don't
Speaker 2: see a Lamar Jackson type player as often. Obviously the
Speaker 2: Rams get Kyler Murray, but I think they're slightly different
Speaker 2: play styles despite their both him being mobile.
Speaker 1: Now, the next game on our list today is this
Speaker 1: NFC North matchup between the Bears and the Lions, and
Speaker 1: the Bears are at home. They are three and a
Speaker 1: half point underdogs at home, which again makes sense here
Speaker 1: the Lions have had trouble closing out games and also
Speaker 1: the Lions defense has given up a fair amount of
Speaker 1: points this last few weeks. So I'm a little concerned
Speaker 1: here with this trend line. Forty three is the over
Speaker 1: under plus one fifty for Chicago on the money line, Pat,
Speaker 1: I know that the Detroit Lions are the better team,
Speaker 1: but if I'm pointing at one game this week on
Speaker 1: the schedule that feels like a potential upset, it's this one.
Speaker 1: As the Bears continue to find their identity and know
Speaker 1: that they're all playing basically for their jobs, including justin
Speaker 1: Fields to say, hey, I'm the franchise guy. I feel
Speaker 1: like there's a lot riding on this. And not to mention,
Speaker 1: the Bears defense has played a lot better than I
Speaker 1: think people give him credit for in the last few weeks,
Speaker 1: especially in the secondary once Brisker got healthy again. So
Speaker 1: what do you think about this matchup here? Is this
Speaker 1: the potential upset on the slate that maybe a lot
Speaker 1: of people don't see coming.
Speaker 4: I do see value on the Bears, Joe, and I
Speaker 4: wouldn't mind a money line bats on Chicago as a
Speaker 4: home dog. So like it seems like this line in
Speaker 4: this total are being swayed somewhat by the Bears last
Speaker 4: game that Monday night game, against the Vikings, where the
Speaker 4: Bears did win thanks to you know, like a host
Speaker 4: of turnovers. But like the Bears offense wasn't clicking and
Speaker 4: they could not get into the ends and they kept
Speaker 4: settling for field goals, And I think that has people
Speaker 4: sort of misconstruing the Bears as some sort of offensively
Speaker 4: challenged team, which I don't think is the case.
Speaker 3: I mean, we know.
Speaker 4: They've got a very explosive quarterback and a very explosive
Speaker 4: receiver in Dj Moore.
Speaker 3: So yeah, I like this.
Speaker 4: Like the Lions laid an egg on Thanksgiving Day against
Speaker 4: the Packers, they jumped out to a huge early lead
Speaker 4: against the Saints and let the Saints back in the game.
Speaker 4: The Lions have just not been that impressive lately, and
Speaker 4: the Lions they have just been an over machine lately.
Speaker 4: So seeing this game, like it opened at forty four
Speaker 4: and a half DraftKings, it was down to forty three
Speaker 4: and a half and I'm not sure why the total
Speaker 4: is going down.
Speaker 1: Rather it's forty three on the consensus. O.
Speaker 4: Man, Yeah, I'm smashing the over in that absolutely, Sam.
Speaker 1: How do you feel about this one? Dude? Do you
Speaker 1: see what Pat and I see are you just gonna
Speaker 1: be a little bit more conservative maybe and just take
Speaker 1: the over I do.
Speaker 2: I mean, I think the the Lions, well, yeah, from
Speaker 2: the total perspective, I'm for sure taking the over. I've
Speaker 2: already taken the over this morning. Both of these teams
Speaker 2: have capable offenses and defenses that are suspect. You mentioned
Speaker 2: that Chicago's defense had been playing better, but you know,
Speaker 2: you look at the again, the opponents that they faced,
Speaker 2: the Saints offense that's been sort of all over the place,
Speaker 2: a Panthers team that hasn't been great. They got eviscerated
Speaker 2: by the Lions just a couple weeks ago, and then
Speaker 2: we're saved by a bunch of turnovers against Minnesota. So
Speaker 2: I think Detroit's offense being able to put up against
Speaker 2: this Bears defense and the Lions defense not you know,
Speaker 2: being great. They've been one of the worst defenses in
Speaker 2: the last several weeks, and Chicago was able to score
Speaker 2: against them a couple of weeks ago. So I would
Speaker 2: have ran to Lions minus three and a half if
Speaker 2: not for the heart palpitations that they gave this past
Speaker 2: week against the Saints, because I had them minus four
Speaker 2: and I was sitting, you know, lounging back when they
Speaker 2: were up twenty one to nothing and then jeez, I
Speaker 2: almost lost it. If they would would have lost, so
Speaker 2: almost I do. I do still like the Lions, but
Speaker 2: the to or excuse me, the over is what I'm
Speaker 2: targeting here, all.
Speaker 1: Right, Before we get to our next game, which is
Speaker 1: an AFC matchup with big time playoff implications, don't forget
Speaker 1: to tune into our newest NBA show over Betting Pros,
Speaker 1: and that's Fast Break Bets with Matt Mody. Every single
Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday eleven am Eastern. He is live breaking
Speaker 1: down the NBA betting slate for you over on our
Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel, So make sure you subscribe for
Speaker 1: the hottest picks and the juiciest odds for that day's
Speaker 1: NBA action. So Matt is absolutely crushing it there again
Speaker 1: Fast Break Bets right here on Betting Pros. Now, Cleveland
Speaker 1: seven and five is going to be a home underdog
Speaker 1: to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Whore eight and three thirty six
Speaker 1: and a half is a number for this one plus
Speaker 1: one thirty five on the money line for the Cleveland Browns.
Speaker 1: I gotta say, right, now my early lean and I
Speaker 1: might even be more of a more of a better
Speaker 1: than a leaner at this point is on the Cleveland
Speaker 1: side of this game. I don't know what it is,
Speaker 1: but maybe I'm just drinking the Joe Flacco kool aid.
Speaker 1: And I think when he gets back with another week
Speaker 1: of practice here with the Cleveland Browns at home, I
Speaker 1: think they can come out with a victory. I kind
Speaker 1: of like the money line on this one. Sam, what
Speaker 1: do you think, am I getting a little too too
Speaker 1: excited about another Joe? Is that what's happening?
Speaker 2: I think you are. I think Joe Flacco sort of
Speaker 2: looked better than how he actually played. I mean it's
Speaker 2: also relative to how Browns quarterbacks have played this year,
Speaker 2: which is has not been great at all. I think
Speaker 2: some of that shine is gonna wear off. Amari Cooper
Speaker 2: is dealing with a concussion injury as well, which would
Speaker 2: be a huge loss to them. And I think the
Speaker 2: Jacksonville defense is much better than the Rams as well. Impredictable,
Speaker 2: which is a website that uses betting odds looking out
Speaker 2: into the future, has them rated as the seventh best defense,
Speaker 2: compared to just the twentieth best for the Rams. And
Speaker 2: the Jacksonville offenses looked fixed the last couple of weekends,
Speaker 2: and excuse me, the last couple of weeks, and the
Speaker 2: Cleveland defense just had their worst output from an EPA
Speaker 2: per play perspective against the Rams. I like the Jaguars here,
Speaker 2: even coming off of a short week.
Speaker 1: All right, so we're split here, pat break the tie,
Speaker 1: Cleveland or Jacksonville. Do you have any early leans in
Speaker 1: this game?
Speaker 2: Oh?
Speaker 4: I'm not going to be a very good tie breaker
Speaker 4: because I'm torn between your two points of view. When
Speaker 4: I first saw this line, my instinct was that, you know,
Speaker 4: there was value on the Jaguars here. But then the
Speaker 4: more I thought about it and how Cleveland can be
Speaker 4: a pretty tough place for visiting teams to play, the
Speaker 4: Joe Flack like, I do think Joe Flacco does sort
Speaker 4: of legitimize this offense and give them at least a
Speaker 4: little bit of balance. Yeah, we're probably due for some
Speaker 4: horrible Joe Flacco game at some point. Maybe it's this
Speaker 4: week against the Jaguars defense, which is one of the
Speaker 4: more underrated defenses in the league. But boy, right now,
Speaker 4: I think this is just a good number and I'm
Speaker 4: not really interested in betting it either way.
Speaker 3: Honestly, from good numbers to big numbers.
Speaker 1: The Seattle Seahawks put up a big thirty five, came
Speaker 1: up with a loss, though regardless against the Cowboys earlier.
Speaker 1: They're gonna have some extra time rest, but it doesn't
Speaker 1: matter to go into San Francisco to take on the
Speaker 1: forty nine ers minus ten and a half favorites at
Speaker 1: home at minus one ten, that's a consensus line. Forty
Speaker 1: six and a half right now is the total for
Speaker 1: this game, plus four hundred for this Seattle upset. So Pat,
Speaker 1: this really comes down to one thing. Is there any
Speaker 1: sort of residual jet lag after that big Philly loss
Speaker 1: where a letdown against Seattle? I don't think there is.
Speaker 2: That.
Speaker 1: Being said, ten and a half is a big number,
Speaker 1: so can you get behind that? I was all about
Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football, the Seahawks covering the nine and
Speaker 1: a half. I'm less confident here in this one against
Speaker 1: San fran than I was against Dallas.
Speaker 3: Yeah.
Speaker 4: Same, I got that cover along with you in Seattle, Joell,
Speaker 4: though towards the end, I was starting to feel like
Speaker 4: it was kind of a greasy cover if not gonna lie,
Speaker 4: but we did just see Seattle hang with Dallas and
Speaker 4: fight them tooth and nail in that game, and yet
Speaker 4: here they are opening as a double digit road dog
Speaker 4: against San Francisco. And who can argue after what San
Speaker 4: Francisco did to Philadelphia.
Speaker 3: In Week thirteen.
Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean, if I were going to bet
Speaker 4: this one, I would probably lay the points with the
Speaker 4: forty nine ers. I mean, we've seen that they they
Speaker 4: can absolutely land the heaviest punch of any team in
Speaker 4: the NFL, and boy did the Eagles take one on
Speaker 4: the chin in Week thirteen.
Speaker 3: So I'm not betting against the Niners right now.
Speaker 1: Does Seattle have any unfinished business here with the forty
Speaker 1: nine ers from last year at all? Where maybe Sam
Speaker 1: they're taking this game more seriously than the forty nine
Speaker 1: ers are.
Speaker 2: I mean, they have unfinished business, but I don't think
Speaker 2: they're going to finish it on Sunday by any means.
Speaker 2: I mean, the forty nine Ers blew the breaks off
Speaker 2: the Seahawks on Thanksgiving, you know, ten twelve days ago,
Speaker 2: however long ago that was, and Seattle had their best
Speaker 2: offensive output of the season against a great Dallas defense.
Speaker 2: But I don't think that continues against San Francisco. The
Speaker 2: forty nine ers at full health are the best team
Speaker 2: in the NFL. They're clicking on all cylinders offensive defensively
Speaker 2: like they are just In I think, a class of
Speaker 2: their own, and so I don't think the Seahawks really
Speaker 2: keep it close.
Speaker 1: Unfortunately, all right, Minnesota six and six goes to Las Vegas.
Speaker 1: Who's five and seven? Vegas at home three point underdogs.
Speaker 1: Minus one ten forty and a half is the number
Speaker 1: in the consensus betting pros app right now plus one
Speaker 1: thirty for the Raiders to win this game. Now, you're
Speaker 1: getting Jefferson back, some lack of clarity of who's going
Speaker 1: to be throwing the ball to him, Sam, do you
Speaker 1: take advantage of that fact? Or do you think the
Speaker 1: line is even right here? This is a a tough
Speaker 1: game to really peg down. For me, this is more
Speaker 1: of a two or maybe a one and a half here,
Speaker 1: And I don't know, I feel like the Vikings are
Speaker 1: getting a little too much credit. What do you think, Sam?
Speaker 2: Yeah, this was a very tough one. We got both
Speaker 2: teams coming off there by the Vikings getting Justin Jefferson back,
Speaker 2: Las Vegas has allowed a nine point one percent explosive
Speaker 2: pass rate the last four weeks, and Jefferson is only
Speaker 2: going to help that. I think the Vikings defense is
Speaker 2: probably a bit too much for Las Vegas. Vikings have
Speaker 2: a lot a negative point zero seven ep of per
Speaker 2: play this year, which is seventh best in the league,
Speaker 2: of forty two point one percent success rate which is ninth.
Speaker 2: So I would prefer taking the Vikings on the money
Speaker 2: line here without the points. I just think again from
Speaker 2: a coaching perspective, to Minnesota has the edge, I would
Speaker 2: be more excited about having Josh Dopps back there than
Speaker 2: any of the other options that Minnesota has.
Speaker 1: All Right, Pat, what are your thoughts your Vikings Raiders?
Speaker 4: Boy, Sam is trying to talk to me out, talk
Speaker 4: me out of this about I basically saw this the
Speaker 4: same way you did, Joe, Like, I thought this should
Speaker 4: be closer to.
Speaker 3: A pick them.
Speaker 2: Like.
Speaker 4: The Raiders are three and one against the spread in
Speaker 4: their last four and they've played undeniably like respectably since
Speaker 4: firing Josh McDaniels. They've been like a totally different team.
Speaker 4: And the Vikings. Yeah, maybe part of this line is
Speaker 4: the bounce from the impending just and Jefferson return, But man,
Speaker 4: it does seem like it's too big a bounce like
Speaker 4: this Josh Dobbs feel good story, like he played so
Speaker 4: badly against the Bears that we went from this feel
Speaker 4: good story with Dobbs, the you know, fairy tale season
Speaker 4: for him to Kevin O'Connell being like, uh, yeah, I
Speaker 4: don't know what we're doing at quarterback for Week fourteen
Speaker 4: when we come out of the bottom like it was
Speaker 4: that wretch at a performance. So, man I I am
Speaker 4: inclined to just take the Raiders on the money line
Speaker 4: like a very small bats. Yeah, just because I think
Speaker 4: they are absolutely live in this game. Like I don't
Speaker 4: think they are too out goned by any you know,
Speaker 4: there's not a big talent gap in this game.
Speaker 3: There just isn't.
Speaker 4: So I know there's not the usual home field advantage
Speaker 4: for the Raiders in Las Vegas, but man I still
Speaker 4: think that's where the value.
Speaker 1: Is, all right. The next one here, this is a
Speaker 1: fascinating one. The Chief's coming off of a tough loss.
Speaker 1: They have, they're eight and four, but they don't look
Speaker 1: like a dominant team right now. Six and six Buffalo
Speaker 1: Bills are coming into Kansas City, and maybe this is
Speaker 1: exactly what both of these teams need. I don't know.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are just two and a half point favorites,
Speaker 1: though forty seven and a half is the consensus number.
Speaker 1: At minus one ten you get plus one eighteen on
Speaker 1: the Buffalo side. Pat. This game kind of reminds me
Speaker 1: of like two aging divas who are picking up a
Speaker 1: Las Vegas residency, where you know, it's like, oh, come
Speaker 1: see Celine Dion and Share do this? You know, like
Speaker 1: neither of these teams right now look like the best
Speaker 1: team in the AFC, yet they are still you know,
Speaker 1: in a lot of ways, favorites and a lot of
Speaker 1: people's minds. So what do you take out of this one?
Speaker 3: Any early value could we get that?
Speaker 4: Like Selene versus Share is the undercard at Caesar's Palace
Speaker 4: for someday.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'd pay to see that. I don't know what
Speaker 1: the odds are on that one. I think I've got.
Speaker 1: I got Celine Dion. You know, she's her stamina is
Speaker 1: very good. Although Share, you know what is she like
Speaker 1: eighty years old?
Speaker 2: Now?
Speaker 1: I feel like, I mean, she's still out there sicking,
Speaker 1: so God bless her.
Speaker 4: Even even with the loss to the Packers and Sunday Night,
Speaker 4: I think a lot of people will look at this
Speaker 4: line and instantly be have the instinct to bet the Chiefs,
Speaker 4: Like this number isn't big enough. But it was interesting
Speaker 4: that last week in the massive Peabody ratings, I think
Speaker 4: the Bills were ranked like a quarter of a point
Speaker 4: higher than the Chiefs, and certainly the Chiefs number didn't
Speaker 4: go up with that loss to Green Bay. So like this,
Speaker 4: this feels like the right line to me. I mean,
Speaker 4: plus the Bills. Boy, right now, the Bills and the
Speaker 4: Texans are on the outside looking in in the playoff hunt,
Speaker 4: like we got to get them in over the Browns,
Speaker 4: and you know, like nothing against the Colts, but I'd
Speaker 4: rather see the Texans or the Broncos, or even the Bills,
Speaker 4: Bills or even the Broncos play in the playoffs over.
Speaker 3: The Browns the anyway.
Speaker 4: So yeah, like that is going to incentivize the Bills
Speaker 4: because they are fighting for their lives right now, Like
Speaker 4: they can't afford many more losses, got maybe one more loss, No,
Speaker 4: they really can't.
Speaker 1: The Chiefs can't either. I think that's a great Argument's
Speaker 1: argument I made last week for a game where I said,
Speaker 1: you know, this team just needs this game more than
Speaker 1: the other one and then it turned out to be true.
Speaker 1: And I think to a certain extent you saw that
Speaker 1: on Sunday against the Eagles too. I think the forty
Speaker 1: nine Ers probably needed that game more than the Eagles did,
Speaker 1: and they wanted it more. Sam. I mean, both these
Speaker 1: teams kind of desperately need this game. So at the
Speaker 1: end of the day, how do you how do you
Speaker 1: bet it?
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think I leaned the Bills here. I originally
Speaker 2: said that I was going to say that I don't
Speaker 2: have a read on this game and wanted to go
Speaker 2: through the sort of the details of how these teams
Speaker 2: match up a little bit more quickly or excuse me,
Speaker 2: a little bit more deeper. But I just think the
Speaker 2: Bills have just continued to be underrated and their offense
Speaker 2: played extremely other just like not coming out on the
Speaker 2: right side of these these wins.
Speaker 1: No nothing breaks their way. They never have that moment
Speaker 1: that goes their way. They always have that one thing
Speaker 1: that goes against them, or that one moment that you
Speaker 1: know they don't take advantage of. That seems to be
Speaker 1: the whole mo of their twenty three season.
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think coming off the buy, it'll give
Speaker 2: them a chance to reset and have an opportunity to
Speaker 2: again get ready for this massive game and hopefully assert
Speaker 2: themselves as continuing to be one of the best teams
Speaker 2: in the AFC.
Speaker 1: All right, Denver at the Chargers. Denver coming off a
Speaker 1: tough loss, or they are two and a half point
Speaker 1: underdogs going to the Chargers, don't I don't understand this
Speaker 1: at all. Forty three and a half is the number
Speaker 1: plus one twenty five for the Denver Broncos. Give me
Speaker 1: the plus one twenty five. I'm taking the Broncos on
Speaker 1: the money line and I'm not looking back. Sam your thoughts.
Speaker 3: Yes, I agree.
Speaker 2: Denver's turnover loook finally ran out against Houston this past week,
Speaker 2: and where I said Houston falter early, Benver benefited from
Speaker 2: that to an extent, but again they still kept it
Speaker 2: within five points against Uston had a chance to win
Speaker 2: the game. Denver has wanted to rely on their ground game.
Speaker 2: They've had a negative eight percent pass right over expectation
Speaker 2: the last two games, and the Chargers defense can be
Speaker 2: run on. I mean that the Chargers are also just
Speaker 2: lackluster on offense. Quinton Johnston has just been a massive wiff.
Speaker 2: He continues to have some terrible drops. Austin Eckler looks
Speaker 2: like dust at this point. They have just one game
Speaker 2: with a forty five percent success rate since Week four,
Speaker 2: and that was against the Lions defense that we mentioned
Speaker 2: has been historically terrible. So I like the Broncos here
Speaker 2: like it. It sounds secretly just to say at this
Speaker 2: point given the quarterbacks on either side, but it hasn't
Speaker 2: looked pretty at all for Los Angeles.
Speaker 1: No. I mean in La pat is not a home
Speaker 1: field advantage, so throw that out the window too. Brandon
Speaker 1: Staley got lucky last week that he came out with
Speaker 1: a victory here against the Patriots team that can't do
Speaker 1: anything offensively. But I think Denver bounces back here in
Speaker 1: a big way and look, regardless of his loss of
Speaker 1: the Texans, you know, I still think Denver to make
Speaker 1: the playoffs is a fascinating bet. I talked about it
Speaker 1: last week on my Best Bets video. I feel like,
Speaker 1: you look at the schedule they have. They've got two
Speaker 1: games against the Chargers, they got a game against the Raiders,
Speaker 1: like they can handle their business and still get the
Speaker 1: ten wins here.
Speaker 4: Yeah, it does feel like the value is with the
Speaker 4: Broncos but I cannot shake this paranoid feeling that this game.
Speaker 3: Is a trap, Like I just can't. I mean, like
Speaker 3: I want to see it.
Speaker 4: The way you guys see it, and it does feel like,
Speaker 4: you know, as you said, Joe, not the traditional home
Speaker 4: field advantage for the Chargers, the Broncos with you know,
Speaker 4: a lot of momentum going into that Texans game. And
Speaker 4: it wasn't like they played terribly in that game, you know,
Speaker 4: until committing the turnovers at the end. So boy, I
Speaker 4: do want to like the Bronx goes in this one.
Speaker 3: But man, I just there's a bad feeling I cannot shake.
Speaker 3: I watched this game.
Speaker 1: Go watch some more tape of Brandon sdally coach football games.
Speaker 1: I think it'll bring you around. Philadelphia Eagles Dallas Cowboys.
Speaker 1: This is the one Sunday Night football. Get ready, folks.
Speaker 1: Three and a half point favorites are the Dallas Cowboys.
Speaker 1: Fifty two fifty two and a half is the number
Speaker 1: plus one fifty for the Eagles. So Pat has the
Speaker 1: gauntlet finally caught up with the Eagles that they running
Speaker 1: out of steam or do they bounce back here after
Speaker 1: a tough home loss against the Cowboys, who you know,
Speaker 1: they've been their daddy for the last couple of years.
Speaker 4: I am leaning the Cowboys here, and this would have
Speaker 4: sounded crazy if anyone would have said it a year ago.
Speaker 4: But I don't know if Jalen Hurts can go toe
Speaker 4: to toe against Dak Prescott as a passer.
Speaker 3: In this game.
Speaker 4: Like I Dak has just been so hot, and this
Speaker 4: Dallas passing game is functioning at such a high level.
Speaker 4: And meanwhile, I don't think we are seeing anything close
Speaker 4: to the sort of success Jalen Hurts had through the
Speaker 4: air last year. Like you know, like there's some big plays,
Speaker 4: some splash plays to AJ Brown. Yes, of course we've
Speaker 4: seen that. But if this game does turn into the
Speaker 4: shootout that the total suggests is, it's going to be man.
Speaker 4: I would much rather roll with Dak than with Jalen Hurts.
Speaker 4: And by the way, this Eagles pass defense is such
Speaker 4: an achilles heel, Like if they cannot get to the
Speaker 4: quarterback and they didn't get to Brock Purty on Sunday, like,
Speaker 4: those cornerbacks are defenseless, and I think Cede Lamb is
Speaker 4: just going to rampage against this Eagles secondary.
Speaker 1: Dak, Jalen Hurts brock Purty are nearly all tied for
Speaker 1: the MVP voting right now in terms of Vegas odds,
Speaker 1: So Sam, this has a lot at stake here, not
Speaker 1: just for the NFC, but also for maybe MVP. Is
Speaker 1: this a statement game for DAK or a bounce back
Speaker 1: for the Eagles?
Speaker 2: I think it's a statement game for Dak. To Pat's point,
Speaker 2: the Eagles secondary has been a weakness for them all season.
Speaker 2: You saw them get torn apart against San Francisco this
Speaker 2: past week. Dak is I think whichever quarterback wins this
Speaker 2: game probably comes out at the top of the MVP
Speaker 2: market afterwards. I just I don't see how Philadelphia is
Speaker 2: able to keep up with with Dallas. I mean, I
Speaker 2: think they can, but Jalen Hurts has been hobbled the
Speaker 2: last couple of weeks, left the game for a little bit.
Speaker 2: I don't remember if he missed any any plays in
Speaker 2: the game against San Francisco, but clearly dealing with some
Speaker 2: lingering issues that I think are limiting his mobility a
Speaker 2: little bit. And Dallas just again they I think Thursday
Speaker 2: night was the potential one spot where again they maybe
Speaker 2: falter a little bit and variants doesn't go their way
Speaker 2: and they got through it. I mean, similar to the
Speaker 2: way the Eagles have have been getting through their games,
Speaker 2: you know, all season. So give me Dallas. I I'm
Speaker 2: excited to watch this game.
Speaker 1: All right. We got not one, but two Monday night
Speaker 1: games too, Green Bay, New York Giants. The Giants thirty
Speaker 1: seven is the number. They are six and a half
Speaker 1: point underdogs at home to your Green Bay Packers. Gentlemen,
Speaker 1: all these primetime Packer games, you gotta be loving this
Speaker 1: plus two forty for the Giants upset. So Sam, you
Speaker 1: still spreading the love with Jordan. You're still feeling really
Speaker 1: good about this guy who's now three games, eight touchdowns,
Speaker 1: no picks. I know, probably not gonna have Christian Watson
Speaker 1: this game, but does it matter against the Giants?
Speaker 2: No, it doesn't. Give me. Give me the Packers. The
Speaker 2: Packers just recorded zero point two to sixty pa per
Speaker 2: play and a forty eight point six percent success rate
Speaker 2: against one of the best defenses in the league. It
Speaker 2: was Green Bay's best performance of the season on offense
Speaker 2: in Kansas City's worst performance on defense this season. Tyrod
Speaker 2: Taylor could be at quarterback here for the Giants, but
Speaker 2: that team hasn't had a success rate on offense over
Speaker 2: forty percent since Week eight. The Packers are gonna go
Speaker 2: into MetLife Stadium and Teor Park this Giants team.
Speaker 1: All right, Pat, are you co signing that?
Speaker 4: Yeah? Joe, this is our second year doing this show together,
Speaker 4: so you you can attest that. I am not like
Speaker 4: an overt Green Bay Packers homer from a betting perspective,
Speaker 4: If anything, I tend to be a pessimist.
Speaker 3: So but I like them against the Chiefs.
Speaker 4: Last week, and I was pretty surprised when I saw
Speaker 4: how modest this number was. Only I think they're more
Speaker 4: than a touchdown better than the Giants, whether it's Tyrod
Speaker 4: Taylor or our guy Tommy DeVito, like he's gonna run
Speaker 4: into trouble like this. Packers past defense is legit. You
Speaker 4: can run on the Packers, but it's really hard to
Speaker 4: throw on the Packers. So I don't think you're gonna
Speaker 4: see the Giants move the ball consistently. And you know,
Speaker 4: Jordan Love's on a roll bet the hot hand.
Speaker 1: Tua is also in a role, so its Tyreek Hill.
Speaker 1: The Miami Dolphins will close us out here with the
Speaker 1: other Monday night game thirteen point favorites minus one ten
Speaker 1: or the Miami Dolphins at home against the Titans. Forty
Speaker 1: seven is the number plus five fifty for the Titans upset. Look,
Speaker 1: Miami has been all year. They take care of lesser teams.
Speaker 1: It's beating the big boys where they struggle. So it's
Speaker 1: just another Miami romp where you just can't stop all
Speaker 1: the speed. I mean, moster has fourteen touchdowns already, eight
Speaker 1: Chan has this is right in HM has six touchdowns
Speaker 1: in or something in six games. He's played something crazy
Speaker 1: like that. I gotta look at this that I heard
Speaker 1: it this morning. I was like, that doesn't even seem right.
Speaker 1: But Tyree kill the rest of this offense, pat they've
Speaker 1: been so good. Is this gonna be in just another
Speaker 1: role to a double digit victory? Yet again?
Speaker 4: Oh, I know in the pools where I have to
Speaker 4: bet this, I'm probably gonna bet the Dolphins. But it's
Speaker 4: just the number is where it should be and I'm
Speaker 4: not seeing enough value to bet the Dolphins.
Speaker 1: Nine touchdowns in six games, that's what it was for
Speaker 1: a champ. By the way, in the sixth healthies games
Speaker 1: he's had, he's at nine touchdowns. Sam, what do you
Speaker 1: think about this one. You got any love for this
Speaker 1: game early on?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I take the Dolphins here too. Derek
Speaker 2: Henry is in concussion protocol. I doubt he plays. Jeffrey
Speaker 2: Simmons for the Titans defense.
Speaker 3: Got up.
Speaker 2: The Titans pasty has been atrocious all year. And you
Speaker 2: know then now you gotta face the Dolphins, which you
Speaker 2: have one of the best passing offenses in the league.
Speaker 2: I'm I don't know how I feel about this Monday
Speaker 2: night doubleheader, especially with both of them playing at the
Speaker 2: same time. But eh, whatever, more football.
Speaker 1: You go back and forth. I mean, I mean for
Speaker 1: you guys, it's a little tougher as the Packer fans,
Speaker 1: but for us general football fans, it's fun. I'll watch
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill every time Will Levis has got the ball.
Speaker 1: That's why I switch back over to the Packer game.
Speaker 1: That's how I think I'm going to approach this one.
Speaker 1: But again, make sure you're approaching all of your bets
Speaker 1: the right way, using the betting pros app get the
Speaker 1: best lines, the best time set the notifications, you get,
Speaker 1: the line alerts, and also don't forget about our NFL contest.
Speaker 1: Make your picks count. There's so plenty of time to
Speaker 1: win free stuff here. We've got weekly prizes, monthly prizes
Speaker 1: for our NFL contest joined today Betting Pros dot Com
Speaker 1: slash NFL Contest. That's the way to do it. Or
Speaker 1: just download the app and go to the community tab
Speaker 1: and click that bad boy and go sign up there.
Speaker 1: It's just make five picks a week and a weekly prize.
Speaker 1: Every single week we're giving away swag to our FPMBP shops.
Speaker 1: We're also doing monthly prizes too. Month of December just started,
Speaker 1: so you can win an upgrade to Betting Pros or
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros Premium just for making picks. That sounds good
Speaker 1: to me, And don't forget to drop your comments below.
Speaker 1: Tell us who you are in on this week in
Speaker 1: the NFL. What's your favorite game of the week. I
Speaker 1: want to hear from you. Drop your comments below and
Speaker 1: shout out again to brock Perty and the forty nine ers. Yes,
Speaker 1: stuff the big fat L in my mouth and I
Speaker 1: will take the L. I will chew on it all
Speaker 1: the way until on Friday show which will we must
Speaker 1: be television what Welsh gets to basically rated over me?
Speaker 1: Which is gonna be fun? You think I was an
Speaker 1: Eagles fan, but I'm not. That'll do it for us,
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Sam
Speaker 1: and Pat. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you
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