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Speaker 1: Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place

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Speaker 1: your bets. This be Joey Pai, Joe Pisa, Pia, and

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Speaker 1: it's week fourteen. I can't even believe it. It's time is

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Speaker 1: flying when you're having fun, and I'm having a good

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Speaker 1: time here every single week I'm betting pros with all

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Speaker 1: of you who listen and watch on our YouTube channel.

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Speaker 1: Of course, my good friends Patty Cakes, Pat fitz Morris

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Speaker 1: and Sam Hoppin, who's always got the bets popping. Because

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Speaker 1: this guy and Pat they are in a good mood

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Speaker 1: this morning. They stayed up all night last night partying

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Speaker 1: after that big Green Bay Packer win against the Kansas

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Speaker 1: City Chiefs. They are on a roll. They're beating the Chiefs,

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Speaker 1: they're beating the Lions. Sam Hoppin, what's it feel like

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Speaker 1: to be a playoff team?

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Speaker 2: Huh, it feels great. I was kind of on this

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Speaker 2: team a couple of weeks ago, like when they were

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Speaker 2: going through their slump. But man, they they've got me excited.

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Speaker 2: They're playing super well. I mean, even if even if

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Speaker 2: things don't you know, I mean, I don't think they're

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Speaker 2: gonna win the super Bowl this year, but The fact

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Speaker 2: that they're playing this well with this many young players,

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Speaker 2: I think is huge, and it shows that as they've

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Speaker 2: gotten better throughout the season, they're improving, they're developing, all

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Speaker 2: that sort of stuff. It makes me very, very excited

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Speaker 2: for the future.

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Speaker 1: It's a very different feel. I bet for you guys too.

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Speaker 1: I mean, twenty five years of expectations. This year you

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Speaker 1: had none, right because no Farv, no Rogers, right, So

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Speaker 1: all the expectations are out now and now Pat like,

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Speaker 1: how does this feel? This must be like a Christmas bonus.

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Speaker 3: Right, It is like a bonus show.

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Speaker 4: And I mentioned this on one of the Fantasy Pro

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Speaker 4: shows we recorded earlier today, where really the season was

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Speaker 4: all about affirming that Jordan Love was going to be

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Speaker 4: the quarterback of the future. Like that was basically it

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Speaker 4: find out whether he's the guy we've found out and

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Speaker 4: he is, Like he's strung together a number of really

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Speaker 4: good games, outplayed Patrick Mahomes last night, and now would

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Speaker 4: just be gravy to get this playoff appearance. And it's

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Speaker 4: looking pretty good since we're currently holding down the seventh

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Speaker 4: spot and don't play a team with a winning record

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Speaker 4: the rest of the way. And I said, we so

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Speaker 4: I apologies, man, it's the Green Bay Packers. It's there's

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Speaker 4: no WI. Although I am a Green Bay Packers stockholder,

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Speaker 4: so I guess I can say, oh, yeah, that's all.

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Speaker 1: I think. That's absolutely the Wei. I think that yeah,

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Speaker 1: speaking of well, maybe not we's, but maybe me's top

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Speaker 1: of the show. I promised on Monday I would come

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Speaker 1: here and take my licks if the Eagles took theirs,

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Speaker 1: and they did so. Brock Perdy, you are the truth,

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Speaker 1: Kyle Shanahan. You had the team ready to go. You

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Speaker 1: had a good game plan. The Eagles could not tackle.

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Speaker 1: The Eagles could not stop you in the backfield. They

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Speaker 1: get a hand on somebody and they will go buy them.

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Speaker 1: Momentum did seem to swing at one point after the

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Speaker 1: security guard incident, and I thought the worm was turning,

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Speaker 1: but it did not. So the San Francisco Wine and

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Speaker 1: Cheese forty nine ers, you did it. You went in there,

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Speaker 1: you were physical, you were tough. You showed me everything

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Speaker 1: I needed to believe, So now I believe. Of course,

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Speaker 1: the Welsh certainly was texting me immediately after that last

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Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel touchdown. I actually texted him and literally as

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Speaker 1: I sent it, I got something back from him at

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Speaker 1: a message, So I hear you, Welsh on Friday, you

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Speaker 1: can go have me. I'm gonna have my wine and

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Speaker 1: cheese while you have at me though that I'm going

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Speaker 1: to do. So good job by the forty nine ers,

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Speaker 1: good job by Purty, great game by McCaffrey, by Debo

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Speaker 1: and the defense as well. So shout out to the

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Speaker 1: forty nine ers. You went in there to a tough spot,

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Speaker 1: you came away with a victory. So good on you.

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Speaker 1: Now now I take you seriously, So there you go,

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Speaker 1: so we'll take a beat there. Doesn't stop for the

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Speaker 1: Eagles too. They get the Cowboys this week, but we'll

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Speaker 1: get to those games in the second. Don't forget drop

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Speaker 1: your comments below, subscribe to the channel. You just might

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Speaker 1: win a Betting Pros one year free premium upgrade. That's right.

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Speaker 1: All you gotta do, drop a comment, subscribe ring the

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Speaker 1: beltill it goes dang. That's it. That's all you have

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Speaker 1: to do to get the betting tools that you've always

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Speaker 1: been waiting for the best version of them, to start

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Speaker 1: getting smarter, not harder. With us at Betting Pros. I'd

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Speaker 1: love to say we're gonna kick off Week fourteen with

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Speaker 1: an exciting game. But I can't say that because the

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Speaker 1: Patriots are involved in Thursday Night Football. The Patriots coming

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Speaker 1: off zero points, zero big gooseig nothing, not a not

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Speaker 1: a field goal, not a safety, not anything. New England

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Speaker 1: now and ten goes on the road to Pittsburgh. Now,

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Speaker 1: Pittsburgh does not have its quarterback Kenny Pickett. He's gonna

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Speaker 1: be done for a while. Steelers are seven and five.

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Speaker 1: They're coming off a loss and a weird game that

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Speaker 1: was delayed twice. Pat. The Steelers are six point favorites

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Speaker 1: in this one. You've got thirty and a half is

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Speaker 1: the over under plus two twenty on the New England

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Speaker 1: side of the money line. I'm taking under here, Pat,

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Speaker 1: and I'm taking it now. What do you think?

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Speaker 3: Agree?

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Speaker 4: I have already hit the under because I'm worried this

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Speaker 4: might go lower and we might see something like under.

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Speaker 3: Thirty Iowah Hawkeye style. So yeah, I.

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Speaker 4: Do like the under, and that's really the only thing

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Speaker 4: I like in this game. There's no way I'm laying

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Speaker 4: six points with the Steelers, like they've burned me too

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Speaker 4: many times in their home games, including just yesterday. Like

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Speaker 4: I really thought after the rejuvenated offensive showing. We saw

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Speaker 4: in their first game post Matt Canada that the Pittsburgh

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Speaker 4: offense was back, and sadly it was not back yesterday.

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Speaker 3: And I don't think it.

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Speaker 4: Was entirely related to the Kenny Pickett like. They were

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Speaker 4: sputtering with Kenny Pickett at quarterback, they were sputtering after

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Speaker 4: Kenny Pickett got hurts. I just don't want to take

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Speaker 4: either side in this hideous game. And yeah, I'll bet

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Speaker 4: the under and you know, tell me how it turns out.

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Speaker 1: Sam, speaking of sputtering, Bill Belichick and the Patriots coming

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Speaker 1: off a against scoreless game against Brandon Staley, uh, and

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Speaker 1: the Chargers going on the road to New England at home.

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Speaker 1: So what do you make of this one too? You

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Speaker 1: just pound the under with us and running away.

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Speaker 2: I actually like the Patriots here. I mean, I don't

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Speaker 2: think Mitch Trubisky should be a six point favorite against

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Speaker 2: really any team as bad as the Patriots are. And

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Speaker 2: the Patriots defense, I think has improved lately to have

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Speaker 2: by far the best rushing defense in the league. They

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Speaker 2: haven't allowed a success rate overall over forty five percent

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Speaker 2: since Week seven against the Bills. They're allowing negative point

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Speaker 2: two point five ep of per play on early downs.

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Speaker 2: So I think they'll put Pittsburgh behind the sticks and

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Speaker 2: force them to throw on on third. And I think again,

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Speaker 2: with a total this low, I want to take as

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Speaker 2: many points as I can get in. Six points I

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Speaker 2: think is enough for New England to stay in. I mean,

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Speaker 2: they kept it close against the Chargers. Now, obviously the

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Speaker 2: Chargers defenses is much worse than Pittsburgh's, but I think,

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Speaker 2: excuse me, New England has enough to keep this game

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Speaker 2: within six points.

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Speaker 1: All right. Atlanta is at home there two and a

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Speaker 1: half point favorites against Tampa. Thirty nine is the number

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Speaker 1: on this one plus one fifteen If you think Tampa

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Speaker 1: could go in there and come out with a victory,

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Speaker 1: Sam this line feels pretty right to me. I don't

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Speaker 1: see any value on it right now, Do you see.

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Speaker 3: Any I don't.

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Speaker 2: Tampa Bay was once a very stout run defense, but

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Speaker 2: they've allowed a forty nine percent success right over the

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Speaker 2: last four weeks, which is the worst in the league.

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Speaker 2: Over that span, they've let both the Colts and the Panthers,

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Speaker 2: of all teams, run all over them. Now they face

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Speaker 2: a team in the Falcons that are the most heavy

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Speaker 2: team this season. That said, I do like the alternates

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Speaker 2: with Tampa Bay, you know, taking them minus two and

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Speaker 2: a half, minus six and a half something like that,

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Speaker 2: because I think Baker is the better quarterback, has a

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Speaker 2: much higher ceiling than Desmond Ritter, and he'll be able

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Speaker 2: to pass the ball against this Falcons defense. But I

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Speaker 2: want to give a quick shout out to Mike evans

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Speaker 2: Man ten one thousand straight, ten thousand yard seasons to

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Speaker 2: start his career. He's a Hall of Famer for me.

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Speaker 1: First ballot Hall of Famer at this point. I mean,

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Speaker 1: that's a stunning accomplishment. I know he got to play

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Speaker 1: with Tom Brady for a couple of years, but it

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Speaker 1: wasn't always tom Brady there. I'll just remind everybody, all right, Pat,

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Speaker 1: what are your thoughts on this one here with Atlanta

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Speaker 1: and Tampa. Atlanta did look great on the road, they

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Speaker 1: never do. Ridder plays better at home. Anything you want

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Speaker 1: to take out of this one, Yeah, I.

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Speaker 4: Mean, I'm just so thoroughly unimpressed with the Falcons offense.

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Speaker 4: For an offense that has Jon Robinson and Kyle Pitts

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Speaker 4: and Drake London and it's this underwhelming.

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Speaker 3: Hello Arthur Smith.

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Speaker 4: This number sort of says that maybe the Falcons on

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Speaker 4: a neutral field would be deemed about half a point better.

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Speaker 4: I don't really believe that. Like I think there's a

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Speaker 4: little bit of value here on the Buccaneers. I'm not

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Speaker 4: sure if I like it enough to actually bet at.

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Speaker 4: But I know in the pools I plan where I'm

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Speaker 4: forced to pick every game against the spread, I'm gonna

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Speaker 4: be taking.

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Speaker 3: The box in this one.

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Speaker 1: If the Falcons just go out there and get aggressive

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Speaker 1: on the QB market next year, they could really be

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Speaker 1: a force, I think, especially in that NFC South. It

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Speaker 1: is not a good division. Let's get to speaking of

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Speaker 1: not being very good, the Carolina Panthers. They're now one

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Speaker 1: to eleven. As we said, the coaching firing bounce was

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Speaker 1: not a thing here for the Carolina Panthers necessarily, although

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Speaker 1: they did keep that game closer than I think a

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Speaker 1: lot of people like myself thought that they would. New

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Speaker 1: Orleans is five and seven. They were at home. Five

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Speaker 1: and a half is the number Derek Carr another injury

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Speaker 1: last week. Thirty eight is the number on this one.

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Speaker 1: Carolina plus two hundred. They getting two to one. I

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Speaker 1: would think pat that this would be a larger number

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Speaker 1: than that, just a plus two hundre on the money line.

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Speaker 1: If this was three to one, I'd be really interested

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Speaker 1: in Caroline on the money line, maybe sneaking out of

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Speaker 1: victory here with the Saints, especially if Winston ends up

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Speaker 1: being quarterback. Do you want to bet this now when

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Speaker 1: you have the uncertainty of who's playing quarterback? Or do

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Speaker 1: you want to wait for clarity and then maybe lose

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Speaker 1: some value?

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I'm operating under the assumption that Derek

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Speaker 4: Carr is gonna miss this one, not only the concussion,

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Speaker 4: but like he injured everything on that hit back shoulder

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Speaker 4: like this the whole nine yards. Yeah, I mean, he

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Speaker 4: was just crushed on that hit. So I think it

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Speaker 4: will be James money line. Is interesting that that's an

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Speaker 4: angle I hadn't thought about. Joe, Like, I just don't

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Speaker 4: know if there's enough value to take the Panthers in

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Speaker 4: the points, because the Panthers are a pretty sorry outfit overall,

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Speaker 4: but like you could see enough Jamis mistakes to basically

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Speaker 4: like hand over a win to the Carolina Panthers. And

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Speaker 4: also Jamis playing in this one sort of makes me

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Speaker 4: want to bet the over in this one, because Jamis

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Speaker 4: throws so aggressively downfield like it can lead to big

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Speaker 4: plays for the Saints. It could also lead to you know,

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Speaker 4: pick sixes or setting up the Panthers on a really

217
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Speaker 4: short field like I think it's going to maybe spike

218
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Speaker 4: the score of this game a little bit. So getting

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Speaker 4: a low total like this gives me some mild interest

220
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Speaker 4: in betting the over.

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Speaker 1: Sam, how about you? Do you have a mile interested

222
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Speaker 1: in maybe betting the over in this one?

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Speaker 2: Also, that's probably the one lean I would have if

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Speaker 2: I were betting on this. I don't really have a

225
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Speaker 2: lean on this game right now. It's Car's second concussion

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Speaker 2: in the last three weeks, I think, so I wouldn't

227
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Speaker 2: be surprised if he's out even longer than just this game.

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Speaker 2: So I expect Jamis Winston in this game. So in

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Speaker 2: a game with Jamis, you're shooting for anything with variants

230
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Speaker 2: and I mean even some alternate overs here too against

231
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Speaker 2: this Panthers defense.

232
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Speaker 1: All right, let's look to the next one here and

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Speaker 1: what should be theoretically maybe one sided contest. We'll see

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Speaker 1: the Houston Texans seven and five. Tank Dell is gonna

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Speaker 1: be out now for a while with that broken leg. Unfortunately,

236
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Speaker 1: very sad situation. They're also sad the New York Jets,

237
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Speaker 1: who are now four and eight. They are six point

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Speaker 1: underdogs at home. Feels about right to me. Thirty five

239
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Speaker 1: and a half is the number for this one, plus

240
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Speaker 1: two to twenty. Now, Sam, when we're looking here at

241
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Speaker 1: the New York Jets, you know, we keep talking about, oh,

242
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Speaker 1: you know, the defense of the Jets, defense of the Jets.

243
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Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, you can run

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Speaker 1: the football on the Jets. So if you just run

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Speaker 1: the football effectively and let CJ. Stroud continue to go

246
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Speaker 1: out there and do what he does best. And he's

247
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Speaker 1: made Noah Brown useful, He's made Robert Woods useful. Clearly

248
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Speaker 1: Nuco Collins coming off a huge game. This feels like

249
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Speaker 1: maybe Houston Texans are getting respect? Are they getting enough

250
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Speaker 1: respect here on this one? I know the money line

251
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Speaker 1: of the Jets is plus two fifteen. I want no

252
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Speaker 1: part of that. The way the Jets offense runs, But

253
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Speaker 1: do you think that the Houston Texans could go out

254
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Speaker 1: there and really just kind of embarrass the Jets with

255
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Speaker 1: the offense that they have.

256
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Speaker 2: I think they can, but I think the market is

257
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Speaker 2: finally caught up to the Texans and who they are,

258
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Speaker 2: understanding that they're or probably top six seven team in

259
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Speaker 2: the AFC right now. And what's keeping me off of

260
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Speaker 2: betting on the Texans is they just had a number

261
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Speaker 2: of situational or process related mistakes. They had three red

262
00:12:15,720 --> 00:12:18,760
Speaker 2: zone field goals this past week. Again it's Denver. They

263
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Speaker 2: used a timeout on defense with thirty seconds left, which

264
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Speaker 2: I get you want to get your best defense in place,

265
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Speaker 2: but that extra time out could have been very helpful

266
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Speaker 2: if Denver scored a touchdown earlier. And they were just

267
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Speaker 2: running the ball too much on early downs to put

268
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Speaker 2: them behind the sticks, and it was just third and

269
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Speaker 2: long for them too too many times. And C. J. Stratt,

270
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Speaker 2: as good as he is, can't play hero ball every

271
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Speaker 2: single third down. That said, I'm not spending any of

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Speaker 2: my hard earned money backing the Jets here. Whether it's

273
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Speaker 2: Trevor Simeon or Tim Boyleer or Zach Wilson. I don't

274
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Speaker 2: even know who's going to start in this game, so

275
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Speaker 2: I'm laying off of this one.

276
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Speaker 1: I'm not I'm gonna go with the Houston Texan side

277
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Speaker 1: of this game. I'm confident here and then maybe I'm

278
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Speaker 1: too confident. Maybe Sam is right that you know, everything's

279
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Speaker 1: catching up a little bit to the Houston Texans. They

280
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Speaker 1: keep coming out with victories, but pat they are still

281
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Speaker 1: green and they show that they are still work in progress.

282
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Speaker 1: That being said, I see no progress with the Jets offense,

283
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Speaker 1: no matter who's playing quarterback, and I think more than

284
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Speaker 1: a touchdown. It's one thing when the Falcons they come

285
00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:26,679
Speaker 1: into your building on the road. This is not Desmond Ritter,

286
00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:28,559
Speaker 1: this is C. J. Stroud, and that guy has been

287
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Speaker 1: a difference maker this year.

288
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Speaker 4: Yeah, but we've seen Trevor Simeon flash competence in uh

289
00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,880
Speaker 4: when forced to come in and play in a pinch before.

290
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Speaker 4: Like I'm skeptical of that, of course, but I have

291
00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:48,120
Speaker 4: a little bit of trouble laying six points to a

292
00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:52,200
Speaker 4: home dog that has a really legitimate defense like that

293
00:13:52,360 --> 00:13:54,480
Speaker 4: makes me a little bit nervous. I don't know if

294
00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:57,839
Speaker 4: I can do it. I understand what you're saying, like

295
00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:01,480
Speaker 4: there's no confidence in this Jets offense whatsoever. But I

296
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Speaker 4: kind of think the Texans have been overvalued in the

297
00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:08,560
Speaker 4: batting markets. We saw that coming into Week thirteen, they

298
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Speaker 4: had gone I think three and two in their last

299
00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,319
Speaker 4: five games, but only one in four against the spread

300
00:14:14,440 --> 00:14:16,720
Speaker 4: over that stretch. And then they did get a cover

301
00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,560
Speaker 4: against the Broncos, but it took Russell Wilson committing three

302
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Speaker 4: turnovers in the last what fifteen or sixteen minutes.

303
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Speaker 1: Well, but that'savers that were forced to which I think

304
00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:27,120
Speaker 1: you know they did. They did put some pressure on

305
00:14:27,120 --> 00:14:29,200
Speaker 1: Wilson at the end, and the secondary played well. Will

306
00:14:29,240 --> 00:14:31,520
Speaker 1: Anderson had a really good game. I actually think that

307
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Speaker 1: that Texans defense, which is something we talked about in fantasy,

308
00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:37,400
Speaker 1: like one of the better fantasy stretch runs last playoff defenses,

309
00:14:37,440 --> 00:14:39,320
Speaker 1: they have some great and they have two matchups against

310
00:14:39,360 --> 00:14:41,760
Speaker 1: the Titans they think remaining too, like they've got some

311
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Speaker 1: good situations there the Houston Texans too.

312
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Speaker 4: So I mean a lot of people are going to

313
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Speaker 4: look at this game and say, well, you know, really

314
00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:52,120
Speaker 4: good offense versus really bad offense, slam dunk Texans. I

315
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,200
Speaker 4: don't think it's quite that easy, and I don't see

316
00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:56,000
Speaker 4: the value on betting the Texans.

317
00:14:56,000 --> 00:14:58,280
Speaker 1: All right, Well, I will stand with the lone wolf

318
00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:00,000
Speaker 1: here on my island that I will take the huston

319
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,720
Speaker 1: in Texans. The Indianapolis Colts seven and five making some

320
00:15:02,760 --> 00:15:05,040
Speaker 1: noise in their own What a great story they've been

321
00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:08,200
Speaker 1: Gardner Minshew coming out with a big overtime victory taking

322
00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:10,240
Speaker 1: on the Bengals coming off a Monday night game. We'll

323
00:15:10,240 --> 00:15:12,120
Speaker 1: see what the results are of that. The Bengals are

324
00:15:12,120 --> 00:15:14,320
Speaker 1: five and six. They are two and a half point

325
00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:17,400
Speaker 1: home underdogs, which is understandable. Forty one is the number

326
00:15:17,400 --> 00:15:20,600
Speaker 1: in this one plus one point fifteen forty one pretty

327
00:15:20,600 --> 00:15:23,160
Speaker 1: decent sized number here, considering we're dealing with not one,

328
00:15:23,200 --> 00:15:27,480
Speaker 1: but two secondary quarterbacks. But yet, Pat, I still look

329
00:15:27,520 --> 00:15:30,280
Speaker 1: at it and I'm almost confident in the over. Am

330
00:15:30,320 --> 00:15:32,400
Speaker 1: I crazy?

331
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Speaker 3: H man?

332
00:15:33,760 --> 00:15:35,960
Speaker 4: I'm not touching this one, Joe. I think like the

333
00:15:37,160 --> 00:15:40,200
Speaker 4: total and the spread are pretty spot on. Like, I

334
00:15:40,280 --> 00:15:41,920
Speaker 4: just haven't been able to get on the right side

335
00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:43,320
Speaker 4: of any Colts games this year.

336
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Speaker 3: I can understand the interest in the over with the.

337
00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:50,240
Speaker 4: Fast paced the Cults like to play at and like,

338
00:15:50,320 --> 00:15:53,120
Speaker 4: I don't think Jake Browning is by any stretch of

339
00:15:53,160 --> 00:15:55,920
Speaker 4: the imagination, the worst backup quarterback in the league, and

340
00:15:55,920 --> 00:15:58,440
Speaker 4: he's got a lot of weapons around him, so I

341
00:15:58,480 --> 00:16:00,920
Speaker 4: can see the case for the over. I'm just not

342
00:16:01,080 --> 00:16:03,560
Speaker 4: interested in taking it right now. Maybe if they have,

343
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:07,960
Speaker 4: and I showing against Jacksonville tonight and the total doesn't

344
00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:09,080
Speaker 4: spike as a result.

345
00:16:09,280 --> 00:16:11,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, you can maybe interesting to your.

346
00:16:10,920 --> 00:16:12,720
Speaker 1: Point, and that's why I want it like I want

347
00:16:12,760 --> 00:16:15,040
Speaker 1: it now before they look halfway decently, if they put

348
00:16:15,080 --> 00:16:18,280
Speaker 1: up seventeen points tonight, you know, you just put up

349
00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:19,920
Speaker 1: fourteen next week all of a sudden. That makes me

350
00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:22,120
Speaker 1: feel pretty good about maybe getting to this over What

351
00:16:22,160 --> 00:16:25,400
Speaker 1: do you think here? You think? Sam? That again, this

352
00:16:25,560 --> 00:16:28,280
Speaker 1: is one of those conundrums. Betting the Colts has been

353
00:16:28,360 --> 00:16:30,720
Speaker 1: very difficult all year. As Pat was saying, it's hard

354
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:31,760
Speaker 1: to be on the right side of this. Do you

355
00:16:31,760 --> 00:16:36,160
Speaker 1: feel confident that there is a right side, Sam?

356
00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:39,640
Speaker 2: I don't feel very confident. I mean, five of indianapolis

357
00:16:39,640 --> 00:16:42,640
Speaker 2: seven wins this year have been on the road, and

358
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,480
Speaker 2: in their four game win streak that they're currently riding,

359
00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,440
Speaker 2: three of those wins have come on the road. So

360
00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:51,960
Speaker 2: it's hard to say that that's going to continue. And

361
00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:55,120
Speaker 2: I don't know which ones they've been favored in, but

362
00:16:55,480 --> 00:16:59,120
Speaker 2: the Cincinnati defense continues to be just a massive sieve,

363
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:04,359
Speaker 2: especially against the pass and Indianapolis this could be a

364
00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,520
Speaker 2: function of the teams they faced in Tampa Bay and

365
00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:11,679
Speaker 2: Tennessee has a passwright over expectation of six percent or

366
00:17:11,680 --> 00:17:14,640
Speaker 2: greater in their last two games, so I expect them

367
00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:18,640
Speaker 2: to come out throwing the ball against this Bengals defense.

368
00:17:19,040 --> 00:17:22,479
Speaker 2: Michael Pittman looks like a star right now with the

369
00:17:22,520 --> 00:17:26,840
Speaker 2: way that Garner Minshew is targeting him. So I think

370
00:17:26,880 --> 00:17:31,159
Speaker 2: the fast pace plus the Colts passing the ball a

371
00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:33,919
Speaker 2: little bit more definitely leads to the over. And to

372
00:17:33,960 --> 00:17:39,359
Speaker 2: your point, Jake Browning played decently well against Pittsburgh last week.

373
00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:43,159
Speaker 2: Obviously had a couple of lucky bounces that padded his

374
00:17:43,240 --> 00:17:46,639
Speaker 2: stats a little bit, but he's still playing with Jamar

375
00:17:46,720 --> 00:17:49,199
Speaker 2: Chase and t Higgins who's going to be back in

376
00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:52,159
Speaker 2: the game on Monday Night football, and I think with

377
00:17:52,680 --> 00:17:57,040
Speaker 2: just the talent they have on offense, can keep it competitive.

378
00:17:57,080 --> 00:18:00,399
Speaker 2: I do think again I've mentioned this several times, but

379
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:03,240
Speaker 2: the Colts have a massive coaching advantage here with with

380
00:18:03,320 --> 00:18:07,960
Speaker 2: Shane Steiken. Zach Taylor, I think is getting exposed a

381
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:11,199
Speaker 2: little bit without having Joe Burrow to cover for some

382
00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:16,200
Speaker 2: of his mistakes. But I slightly lean towards the Colts,

383
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,680
Speaker 2: but I think this line is pretty darn accurate.

384
00:18:20,720 --> 00:18:23,000
Speaker 1: The Rams are now six and six they will take

385
00:18:23,000 --> 00:18:25,800
Speaker 1: on the Baltimore Ravens in Baltimore. Baltimore's nine and three

386
00:18:25,800 --> 00:18:27,960
Speaker 1: coming off of bye. They are seven and a half

387
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:30,040
Speaker 1: point favors, which makes sense here. Forty four and a

388
00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:32,760
Speaker 1: half is the number The Rams are plus two sixty

389
00:18:32,760 --> 00:18:34,920
Speaker 1: on the money line for an upset. Look, the line's

390
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,840
Speaker 1: telling you that Baltimore should handle their business here against

391
00:18:38,200 --> 00:18:40,480
Speaker 1: this Rams team. Do you think that that is going

392
00:18:40,520 --> 00:18:42,520
Speaker 1: to be the case for this contest? Sam?

393
00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:46,440
Speaker 2: I do You're getting the Ravens off of a bye,

394
00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:49,720
Speaker 2: a team many might consider to be the best team

395
00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:54,320
Speaker 2: in the AFC. If not, the NFL teams have have

396
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:58,080
Speaker 2: been able to have success on the ground against the Rams.

397
00:18:58,080 --> 00:19:00,960
Speaker 2: That should be no different for the Ravens. I love

398
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,440
Speaker 2: the Ravens here as a potential teaser leg, teasing them

399
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,800
Speaker 2: down from seven or seven and a half down to

400
00:19:06,880 --> 00:19:10,520
Speaker 2: one one and a half. But the Rams defense has

401
00:19:10,560 --> 00:19:13,960
Speaker 2: played somewhat better since thereby the last couple of weeks.

402
00:19:13,960 --> 00:19:16,520
Speaker 2: But that's been against the Seahawks, Cardinals in Browns. So

403
00:19:17,080 --> 00:19:19,480
Speaker 2: nothing really to write home about there.

404
00:19:20,480 --> 00:19:22,879
Speaker 1: All right, Pat, your thoughts on this game here coming up?

405
00:19:22,920 --> 00:19:26,960
Speaker 1: Because the Rams, obviously you know it's got a tough

406
00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:28,880
Speaker 1: spot there on the road in balked More, a tough

407
00:19:28,880 --> 00:19:31,080
Speaker 1: place to play, especially with that week of rest that

408
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:33,600
Speaker 1: the Ravens are coming off, and you know, still uncertainty.

409
00:19:33,720 --> 00:19:35,800
Speaker 1: The health of Cooper Cup clearly not one hundred percent,

410
00:19:35,840 --> 00:19:38,679
Speaker 1: and Puka Nakua soldiering back onto the field doesn't mean

411
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:39,760
Speaker 1: he's one hundred percent either.

412
00:19:41,040 --> 00:19:43,679
Speaker 4: I could not bet the Ravens fast enough when I

413
00:19:43,720 --> 00:19:47,320
Speaker 4: saw this line on Sunday Night, Joe, and honestly, I

414
00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:50,080
Speaker 4: was pretty surprised that this number was as modest as

415
00:19:50,119 --> 00:19:53,760
Speaker 4: it was given the Ravens pretty lengthy track record of

416
00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:58,320
Speaker 4: success at home. Plus you've got the West Coast team

417
00:19:58,440 --> 00:20:01,640
Speaker 4: coming out east for the early kickoff, like it's it's

418
00:20:01,720 --> 00:20:05,719
Speaker 4: the classic setup where yeah, I bet the home sitting

419
00:20:05,800 --> 00:20:09,199
Speaker 4: Eastern time zone team. So yeah, the Rams have not

420
00:20:09,280 --> 00:20:11,560
Speaker 4: been the pushovers this season. We thought they were gonna be.

421
00:20:11,560 --> 00:20:15,000
Speaker 4: They a little more teeth both offensively and defensively, I

422
00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:19,040
Speaker 4: think than we were expecting. But man, like, not only

423
00:20:19,080 --> 00:20:22,359
Speaker 4: did I get the Rams at plug or the Ravens

424
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,840
Speaker 4: at minus seven and a half, but I got them

425
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 4: at minus one oh five, And like, I'm expecting this

426
00:20:28,040 --> 00:20:30,200
Speaker 4: thing to move closer to like eight or nine points

427
00:20:30,240 --> 00:20:32,880
Speaker 4: as the week goes on. So I'm really super if

428
00:20:32,960 --> 00:20:34,840
Speaker 4: I got it at one oh five, like it's gonna

429
00:20:34,840 --> 00:20:37,840
Speaker 4: take some Ravens to get it right now.

430
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:39,560
Speaker 1: It actually went in the other direction, which I think

431
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:41,439
Speaker 1: is kind of crazy. So just this morning when from

432
00:20:41,480 --> 00:20:43,960
Speaker 1: seven and a half to seven in some spots, good, Yeah, they.

433
00:20:43,880 --> 00:20:46,240
Speaker 2: Are thing to remember and I don't remember that have

434
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:47,840
Speaker 2: the exact stet off the top of my head. But

435
00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:51,040
Speaker 2: Lamar Jackson against NFC teams, I think he's got like

436
00:20:51,119 --> 00:20:54,000
Speaker 2: one loss against them in his career, and yes, and

437
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:57,320
Speaker 2: I hate I hear trend betting like that, but I

438
00:20:57,320 --> 00:21:00,320
Speaker 2: think there is some signal to these teams who don't

439
00:21:00,359 --> 00:21:04,760
Speaker 2: see a Lamar Jackson type player as often. Obviously the

440
00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 2: Rams get Kyler Murray, but I think they're slightly different

441
00:21:08,960 --> 00:21:12,040
Speaker 2: play styles despite their both him being mobile.

442
00:21:13,000 --> 00:21:15,760
Speaker 1: Now, the next game on our list today is this

443
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:18,439
Speaker 1: NFC North matchup between the Bears and the Lions, and

444
00:21:18,480 --> 00:21:20,440
Speaker 1: the Bears are at home. They are three and a

445
00:21:20,480 --> 00:21:24,400
Speaker 1: half point underdogs at home, which again makes sense here

446
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,160
Speaker 1: the Lions have had trouble closing out games and also

447
00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:29,600
Speaker 1: the Lions defense has given up a fair amount of

448
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,560
Speaker 1: points this last few weeks. So I'm a little concerned

449
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:34,360
Speaker 1: here with this trend line. Forty three is the over

450
00:21:34,560 --> 00:21:37,719
Speaker 1: under plus one fifty for Chicago on the money line, Pat,

451
00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:40,760
Speaker 1: I know that the Detroit Lions are the better team,

452
00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:44,280
Speaker 1: but if I'm pointing at one game this week on

453
00:21:44,320 --> 00:21:47,240
Speaker 1: the schedule that feels like a potential upset, it's this one.

454
00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,960
Speaker 1: As the Bears continue to find their identity and know

455
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:54,000
Speaker 1: that they're all playing basically for their jobs, including justin

456
00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:56,840
Speaker 1: Fields to say, hey, I'm the franchise guy. I feel

457
00:21:56,880 --> 00:21:58,879
Speaker 1: like there's a lot riding on this. And not to mention,

458
00:21:59,280 --> 00:22:01,119
Speaker 1: the Bears defense has played a lot better than I

459
00:22:01,160 --> 00:22:02,760
Speaker 1: think people give him credit for in the last few weeks,

460
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:05,280
Speaker 1: especially in the secondary once Brisker got healthy again. So

461
00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,719
Speaker 1: what do you think about this matchup here? Is this

462
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:09,679
Speaker 1: the potential upset on the slate that maybe a lot

463
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:10,600
Speaker 1: of people don't see coming.

464
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,960
Speaker 4: I do see value on the Bears, Joe, and I

465
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:17,040
Speaker 4: wouldn't mind a money line bats on Chicago as a

466
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:21,679
Speaker 4: home dog. So like it seems like this line in

467
00:22:21,720 --> 00:22:25,040
Speaker 4: this total are being swayed somewhat by the Bears last

468
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:28,040
Speaker 4: game that Monday night game, against the Vikings, where the

469
00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:32,000
Speaker 4: Bears did win thanks to you know, like a host

470
00:22:32,000 --> 00:22:36,919
Speaker 4: of turnovers. But like the Bears offense wasn't clicking and

471
00:22:36,960 --> 00:22:38,640
Speaker 4: they could not get into the ends and they kept

472
00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:42,359
Speaker 4: settling for field goals, And I think that has people

473
00:22:42,400 --> 00:22:44,879
Speaker 4: sort of misconstruing the Bears as some sort of offensively

474
00:22:45,000 --> 00:22:47,520
Speaker 4: challenged team, which I don't think is the case.

475
00:22:47,560 --> 00:22:48,160
Speaker 3: I mean, we know.

476
00:22:48,200 --> 00:22:50,760
Speaker 4: They've got a very explosive quarterback and a very explosive

477
00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:51,920
Speaker 4: receiver in Dj Moore.

478
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:54,640
Speaker 3: So yeah, I like this.

479
00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:57,639
Speaker 4: Like the Lions laid an egg on Thanksgiving Day against

480
00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:00,520
Speaker 4: the Packers, they jumped out to a huge early lead

481
00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,080
Speaker 4: against the Saints and let the Saints back in the game.

482
00:23:03,920 --> 00:23:06,680
Speaker 4: The Lions have just not been that impressive lately, and

483
00:23:07,359 --> 00:23:11,000
Speaker 4: the Lions they have just been an over machine lately.

484
00:23:11,080 --> 00:23:13,439
Speaker 4: So seeing this game, like it opened at forty four

485
00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:15,720
Speaker 4: and a half DraftKings, it was down to forty three

486
00:23:15,760 --> 00:23:18,320
Speaker 4: and a half and I'm not sure why the total

487
00:23:18,480 --> 00:23:19,120
Speaker 4: is going down.

488
00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:22,159
Speaker 1: Rather it's forty three on the consensus. O.

489
00:23:22,320 --> 00:23:26,400
Speaker 4: Man, Yeah, I'm smashing the over in that absolutely, Sam.

490
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:27,480
Speaker 1: How do you feel about this one? Dude? Do you

491
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:29,359
Speaker 1: see what Pat and I see are you just gonna

492
00:23:29,359 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 1: be a little bit more conservative maybe and just take

493
00:23:31,240 --> 00:23:32,720
Speaker 1: the over I do.

494
00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:35,960
Speaker 2: I mean, I think the the Lions, well, yeah, from

495
00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,399
Speaker 2: the total perspective, I'm for sure taking the over. I've

496
00:23:38,440 --> 00:23:41,159
Speaker 2: already taken the over this morning. Both of these teams

497
00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:45,080
Speaker 2: have capable offenses and defenses that are suspect. You mentioned

498
00:23:45,080 --> 00:23:49,399
Speaker 2: that Chicago's defense had been playing better, but you know,

499
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:51,840
Speaker 2: you look at the again, the opponents that they faced,

500
00:23:51,880 --> 00:23:54,879
Speaker 2: the Saints offense that's been sort of all over the place,

501
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:58,320
Speaker 2: a Panthers team that hasn't been great. They got eviscerated

502
00:23:58,400 --> 00:24:00,840
Speaker 2: by the Lions just a couple weeks ago, and then

503
00:24:01,359 --> 00:24:04,680
Speaker 2: we're saved by a bunch of turnovers against Minnesota. So

504
00:24:05,040 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 2: I think Detroit's offense being able to put up against

505
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,959
Speaker 2: this Bears defense and the Lions defense not you know,

506
00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:15,920
Speaker 2: being great. They've been one of the worst defenses in

507
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:19,840
Speaker 2: the last several weeks, and Chicago was able to score

508
00:24:19,840 --> 00:24:23,480
Speaker 2: against them a couple of weeks ago. So I would

509
00:24:23,520 --> 00:24:27,120
Speaker 2: have ran to Lions minus three and a half if

510
00:24:27,160 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 2: not for the heart palpitations that they gave this past

511
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,320
Speaker 2: week against the Saints, because I had them minus four

512
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 2: and I was sitting, you know, lounging back when they

513
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:41,199
Speaker 2: were up twenty one to nothing and then jeez, I

514
00:24:41,240 --> 00:24:43,439
Speaker 2: almost lost it. If they would would have lost, so

515
00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,760
Speaker 2: almost I do. I do still like the Lions, but

516
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,560
Speaker 2: the to or excuse me, the over is what I'm

517
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,240
Speaker 2: targeting here, all.

518
00:24:53,200 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 1: Right, Before we get to our next game, which is

519
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,680
Speaker 1: an AFC matchup with big time playoff implications, don't forget

520
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:00,560
Speaker 1: to tune into our newest NBA show over Betting Pros,

521
00:25:00,600 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 1: and that's Fast Break Bets with Matt Mody. Every single

522
00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:06,200
Speaker 1: Wednesday and Friday eleven am Eastern. He is live breaking

523
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:08,919
Speaker 1: down the NBA betting slate for you over on our

524
00:25:08,920 --> 00:25:11,359
Speaker 1: Betting Pros YouTube channel, So make sure you subscribe for

525
00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: the hottest picks and the juiciest odds for that day's

526
00:25:14,160 --> 00:25:16,920
Speaker 1: NBA action. So Matt is absolutely crushing it there again

527
00:25:16,960 --> 00:25:20,800
Speaker 1: Fast Break Bets right here on Betting Pros. Now, Cleveland

528
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,160
Speaker 1: seven and five is going to be a home underdog

529
00:25:23,200 --> 00:25:25,920
Speaker 1: to the Jacksonville Jaguars. Whore eight and three thirty six

530
00:25:25,920 --> 00:25:27,240
Speaker 1: and a half is a number for this one plus

531
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,360
Speaker 1: one thirty five on the money line for the Cleveland Browns.

532
00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:32,240
Speaker 1: I gotta say, right, now my early lean and I

533
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,440
Speaker 1: might even be more of a more of a better

534
00:25:34,480 --> 00:25:36,400
Speaker 1: than a leaner at this point is on the Cleveland

535
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:38,280
Speaker 1: side of this game. I don't know what it is,

536
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:41,280
Speaker 1: but maybe I'm just drinking the Joe Flacco kool aid.

537
00:25:41,320 --> 00:25:42,880
Speaker 1: And I think when he gets back with another week

538
00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:45,960
Speaker 1: of practice here with the Cleveland Browns at home, I

539
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:47,479
Speaker 1: think they can come out with a victory. I kind

540
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:49,040
Speaker 1: of like the money line on this one. Sam, what

541
00:25:49,040 --> 00:25:51,360
Speaker 1: do you think, am I getting a little too too

542
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,520
Speaker 1: excited about another Joe? Is that what's happening?

543
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 2: I think you are. I think Joe Flacco sort of

544
00:25:57,119 --> 00:26:01,440
Speaker 2: looked better than how he actually played. I mean it's

545
00:26:01,480 --> 00:26:05,840
Speaker 2: also relative to how Browns quarterbacks have played this year,

546
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:08,920
Speaker 2: which is has not been great at all. I think

547
00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:11,480
Speaker 2: some of that shine is gonna wear off. Amari Cooper

548
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,920
Speaker 2: is dealing with a concussion injury as well, which would

549
00:26:14,960 --> 00:26:18,399
Speaker 2: be a huge loss to them. And I think the

550
00:26:18,480 --> 00:26:22,600
Speaker 2: Jacksonville defense is much better than the Rams as well. Impredictable,

551
00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:26,480
Speaker 2: which is a website that uses betting odds looking out

552
00:26:26,480 --> 00:26:30,720
Speaker 2: into the future, has them rated as the seventh best defense,

553
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:33,960
Speaker 2: compared to just the twentieth best for the Rams. And

554
00:26:34,440 --> 00:26:38,480
Speaker 2: the Jacksonville offenses looked fixed the last couple of weekends,

555
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:40,680
Speaker 2: and excuse me, the last couple of weeks, and the

556
00:26:40,720 --> 00:26:44,679
Speaker 2: Cleveland defense just had their worst output from an EPA

557
00:26:44,760 --> 00:26:49,200
Speaker 2: per play perspective against the Rams. I like the Jaguars here,

558
00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:51,800
Speaker 2: even coming off of a short week.

559
00:26:52,720 --> 00:26:55,960
Speaker 1: All right, so we're split here, pat break the tie,

560
00:26:56,080 --> 00:26:58,280
Speaker 1: Cleveland or Jacksonville. Do you have any early leans in

561
00:26:58,280 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 1: this game?

562
00:26:59,119 --> 00:26:59,520
Speaker 2: Oh?

563
00:26:59,560 --> 00:27:01,119
Speaker 4: I'm not going to be a very good tie breaker

564
00:27:01,119 --> 00:27:03,920
Speaker 4: because I'm torn between your two points of view. When

565
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:07,199
Speaker 4: I first saw this line, my instinct was that, you know,

566
00:27:07,240 --> 00:27:10,000
Speaker 4: there was value on the Jaguars here. But then the

567
00:27:10,040 --> 00:27:12,040
Speaker 4: more I thought about it and how Cleveland can be

568
00:27:12,080 --> 00:27:15,920
Speaker 4: a pretty tough place for visiting teams to play, the

569
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:19,640
Speaker 4: Joe Flack like, I do think Joe Flacco does sort

570
00:27:19,680 --> 00:27:22,080
Speaker 4: of legitimize this offense and give them at least a

571
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:25,080
Speaker 4: little bit of balance. Yeah, we're probably due for some

572
00:27:25,200 --> 00:27:27,720
Speaker 4: horrible Joe Flacco game at some point. Maybe it's this

573
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:31,040
Speaker 4: week against the Jaguars defense, which is one of the

574
00:27:31,040 --> 00:27:34,640
Speaker 4: more underrated defenses in the league. But boy, right now,

575
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,600
Speaker 4: I think this is just a good number and I'm

576
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:38,720
Speaker 4: not really interested in betting it either way.

577
00:27:38,760 --> 00:27:40,960
Speaker 3: Honestly, from good numbers to big numbers.

578
00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,720
Speaker 1: The Seattle Seahawks put up a big thirty five, came

579
00:27:44,800 --> 00:27:47,160
Speaker 1: up with a loss, though regardless against the Cowboys earlier.

580
00:27:47,200 --> 00:27:48,840
Speaker 1: They're gonna have some extra time rest, but it doesn't

581
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:51,199
Speaker 1: matter to go into San Francisco to take on the

582
00:27:51,200 --> 00:27:53,800
Speaker 1: forty nine ers minus ten and a half favorites at

583
00:27:53,800 --> 00:27:56,080
Speaker 1: home at minus one ten, that's a consensus line. Forty

584
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:58,600
Speaker 1: six and a half right now is the total for

585
00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,520
Speaker 1: this game, plus four hundred for this Seattle upset. So Pat,

586
00:28:01,560 --> 00:28:04,119
Speaker 1: this really comes down to one thing. Is there any

587
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:08,720
Speaker 1: sort of residual jet lag after that big Philly loss

588
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,119
Speaker 1: where a letdown against Seattle? I don't think there is.

589
00:28:11,560 --> 00:28:11,679
Speaker 2: That.

590
00:28:11,800 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 1: Being said, ten and a half is a big number,

591
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,399
Speaker 1: so can you get behind that? I was all about

592
00:28:15,400 --> 00:28:17,920
Speaker 1: on Thursday Night Football, the Seahawks covering the nine and

593
00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:21,040
Speaker 1: a half. I'm less confident here in this one against

594
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:22,600
Speaker 1: San fran than I was against Dallas.

595
00:28:23,480 --> 00:28:23,760
Speaker 3: Yeah.

596
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:27,000
Speaker 4: Same, I got that cover along with you in Seattle, Joell,

597
00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:29,199
Speaker 4: though towards the end, I was starting to feel like

598
00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 4: it was kind of a greasy cover if not gonna lie,

599
00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:38,120
Speaker 4: but we did just see Seattle hang with Dallas and

600
00:28:38,160 --> 00:28:41,800
Speaker 4: fight them tooth and nail in that game, and yet

601
00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:44,920
Speaker 4: here they are opening as a double digit road dog

602
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 4: against San Francisco. And who can argue after what San

603
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,720
Speaker 4: Francisco did to Philadelphia.

604
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:51,400
Speaker 3: In Week thirteen.

605
00:28:51,560 --> 00:28:54,880
Speaker 4: So yeah, I mean, if I were going to bet

606
00:28:54,920 --> 00:28:57,360
Speaker 4: this one, I would probably lay the points with the

607
00:28:57,400 --> 00:29:00,360
Speaker 4: forty nine ers. I mean, we've seen that they they

608
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,440
Speaker 4: can absolutely land the heaviest punch of any team in

609
00:29:03,480 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 4: the NFL, and boy did the Eagles take one on

610
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,040
Speaker 4: the chin in Week thirteen.

611
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:10,800
Speaker 3: So I'm not betting against the Niners right now.

612
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,840
Speaker 1: Does Seattle have any unfinished business here with the forty

613
00:29:13,880 --> 00:29:16,360
Speaker 1: nine ers from last year at all? Where maybe Sam

614
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 1: they're taking this game more seriously than the forty nine

615
00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:19,280
Speaker 1: ers are.

616
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,520
Speaker 2: I mean, they have unfinished business, but I don't think

617
00:29:22,520 --> 00:29:25,480
Speaker 2: they're going to finish it on Sunday by any means.

618
00:29:25,520 --> 00:29:28,720
Speaker 2: I mean, the forty nine Ers blew the breaks off

619
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:32,600
Speaker 2: the Seahawks on Thanksgiving, you know, ten twelve days ago,

620
00:29:32,640 --> 00:29:36,280
Speaker 2: however long ago that was, and Seattle had their best

621
00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:39,440
Speaker 2: offensive output of the season against a great Dallas defense.

622
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:43,240
Speaker 2: But I don't think that continues against San Francisco. The

623
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,760
Speaker 2: forty nine ers at full health are the best team

624
00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:52,040
Speaker 2: in the NFL. They're clicking on all cylinders offensive defensively

625
00:29:52,280 --> 00:29:56,160
Speaker 2: like they are just In I think, a class of

626
00:29:56,240 --> 00:30:00,240
Speaker 2: their own, and so I don't think the Seahawks really

627
00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:00,840
Speaker 2: keep it close.

628
00:30:00,920 --> 00:30:05,160
Speaker 1: Unfortunately, all right, Minnesota six and six goes to Las Vegas.

629
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:09,040
Speaker 1: Who's five and seven? Vegas at home three point underdogs.

630
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 1: Minus one ten forty and a half is the number

631
00:30:10,880 --> 00:30:13,640
Speaker 1: in the consensus betting pros app right now plus one

632
00:30:13,800 --> 00:30:15,760
Speaker 1: thirty for the Raiders to win this game. Now, you're

633
00:30:15,760 --> 00:30:18,719
Speaker 1: getting Jefferson back, some lack of clarity of who's going

634
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:21,000
Speaker 1: to be throwing the ball to him, Sam, do you

635
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:23,200
Speaker 1: take advantage of that fact? Or do you think the

636
00:30:23,240 --> 00:30:25,760
Speaker 1: line is even right here? This is a a tough

637
00:30:25,800 --> 00:30:28,840
Speaker 1: game to really peg down. For me, this is more

638
00:30:28,840 --> 00:30:31,920
Speaker 1: of a two or maybe a one and a half here,

639
00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:34,800
Speaker 1: And I don't know, I feel like the Vikings are

640
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,920
Speaker 1: getting a little too much credit. What do you think, Sam?

641
00:30:38,440 --> 00:30:41,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, this was a very tough one. We got both

642
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:44,000
Speaker 2: teams coming off there by the Vikings getting Justin Jefferson back,

643
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:48,160
Speaker 2: Las Vegas has allowed a nine point one percent explosive

644
00:30:48,160 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 2: pass rate the last four weeks, and Jefferson is only

645
00:30:51,840 --> 00:30:54,920
Speaker 2: going to help that. I think the Vikings defense is

646
00:30:54,960 --> 00:30:59,520
Speaker 2: probably a bit too much for Las Vegas. Vikings have

647
00:30:59,720 --> 00:31:02,280
Speaker 2: a lot a negative point zero seven ep of per

648
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:05,160
Speaker 2: play this year, which is seventh best in the league,

649
00:31:05,160 --> 00:31:08,600
Speaker 2: of forty two point one percent success rate which is ninth.

650
00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:13,240
Speaker 2: So I would prefer taking the Vikings on the money

651
00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:17,040
Speaker 2: line here without the points. I just think again from

652
00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:21,720
Speaker 2: a coaching perspective, to Minnesota has the edge, I would

653
00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:24,400
Speaker 2: be more excited about having Josh Dopps back there than

654
00:31:24,880 --> 00:31:27,360
Speaker 2: any of the other options that Minnesota has.

655
00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,200
Speaker 1: All Right, Pat, what are your thoughts your Vikings Raiders?

656
00:31:31,120 --> 00:31:33,600
Speaker 4: Boy, Sam is trying to talk to me out, talk

657
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,040
Speaker 4: me out of this about I basically saw this the

658
00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:38,440
Speaker 4: same way you did, Joe, Like, I thought this should

659
00:31:38,440 --> 00:31:39,120
Speaker 4: be closer to.

660
00:31:39,080 --> 00:31:40,560
Speaker 3: A pick them.

661
00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:41,000
Speaker 2: Like.

662
00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:44,040
Speaker 4: The Raiders are three and one against the spread in

663
00:31:44,040 --> 00:31:49,320
Speaker 4: their last four and they've played undeniably like respectably since

664
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:52,640
Speaker 4: firing Josh McDaniels. They've been like a totally different team.

665
00:31:52,800 --> 00:31:57,400
Speaker 4: And the Vikings. Yeah, maybe part of this line is

666
00:31:57,480 --> 00:32:01,920
Speaker 4: the bounce from the impending just and Jefferson return, But man,

667
00:32:01,960 --> 00:32:03,880
Speaker 4: it does seem like it's too big a bounce like

668
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:10,040
Speaker 4: this Josh Dobbs feel good story, like he played so

669
00:32:10,280 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 4: badly against the Bears that we went from this feel

670
00:32:13,080 --> 00:32:16,160
Speaker 4: good story with Dobbs, the you know, fairy tale season

671
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:19,000
Speaker 4: for him to Kevin O'Connell being like, uh, yeah, I

672
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:21,560
Speaker 4: don't know what we're doing at quarterback for Week fourteen

673
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:23,320
Speaker 4: when we come out of the bottom like it was

674
00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:27,600
Speaker 4: that wretch at a performance. So, man I I am

675
00:32:27,600 --> 00:32:29,880
Speaker 4: inclined to just take the Raiders on the money line

676
00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,840
Speaker 4: like a very small bats. Yeah, just because I think

677
00:32:32,920 --> 00:32:35,720
Speaker 4: they are absolutely live in this game. Like I don't

678
00:32:35,720 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 4: think they are too out goned by any you know,

679
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:42,120
Speaker 4: there's not a big talent gap in this game.

680
00:32:42,160 --> 00:32:43,000
Speaker 3: There just isn't.

681
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:47,040
Speaker 4: So I know there's not the usual home field advantage

682
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:50,400
Speaker 4: for the Raiders in Las Vegas, but man I still

683
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,080
Speaker 4: think that's where the value.

684
00:32:51,800 --> 00:32:53,440
Speaker 1: Is, all right. The next one here, this is a

685
00:32:53,440 --> 00:32:56,160
Speaker 1: fascinating one. The Chief's coming off of a tough loss.

686
00:32:56,720 --> 00:32:58,280
Speaker 1: They have, they're eight and four, but they don't look

687
00:32:58,320 --> 00:33:00,720
Speaker 1: like a dominant team right now. Six and six Buffalo

688
00:33:00,720 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 1: Bills are coming into Kansas City, and maybe this is

689
00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,320
Speaker 1: exactly what both of these teams need. I don't know.

690
00:33:06,120 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 1: The Chiefs are just two and a half point favorites,

691
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,040
Speaker 1: though forty seven and a half is the consensus number.

692
00:33:10,040 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 1: At minus one ten you get plus one eighteen on

693
00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:15,640
Speaker 1: the Buffalo side. Pat. This game kind of reminds me

694
00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,840
Speaker 1: of like two aging divas who are picking up a

695
00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:21,880
Speaker 1: Las Vegas residency, where you know, it's like, oh, come

696
00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:24,800
Speaker 1: see Celine Dion and Share do this? You know, like

697
00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:27,760
Speaker 1: neither of these teams right now look like the best

698
00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:31,360
Speaker 1: team in the AFC, yet they are still you know,

699
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:33,680
Speaker 1: in a lot of ways, favorites and a lot of

700
00:33:33,680 --> 00:33:35,960
Speaker 1: people's minds. So what do you take out of this one?

701
00:33:36,000 --> 00:33:38,320
Speaker 3: Any early value could we get that?

702
00:33:38,400 --> 00:33:41,959
Speaker 4: Like Selene versus Share is the undercard at Caesar's Palace

703
00:33:42,000 --> 00:33:42,520
Speaker 4: for someday.

704
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, I'd pay to see that. I don't know what

705
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:47,160
Speaker 1: the odds are on that one. I think I've got.

706
00:33:47,360 --> 00:33:50,160
Speaker 1: I got Celine Dion. You know, she's her stamina is

707
00:33:50,280 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 1: very good. Although Share, you know what is she like

708
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:53,560
Speaker 1: eighty years old?

709
00:33:53,600 --> 00:33:53,719
Speaker 2: Now?

710
00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:55,520
Speaker 1: I feel like, I mean, she's still out there sicking,

711
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:56,560
Speaker 1: so God bless her.

712
00:33:57,600 --> 00:34:00,480
Speaker 4: Even even with the loss to the Packers and Sunday Night,

713
00:34:00,520 --> 00:34:02,120
Speaker 4: I think a lot of people will look at this

714
00:34:02,240 --> 00:34:06,960
Speaker 4: line and instantly be have the instinct to bet the Chiefs,

715
00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:09,440
Speaker 4: Like this number isn't big enough. But it was interesting

716
00:34:09,480 --> 00:34:13,480
Speaker 4: that last week in the massive Peabody ratings, I think

717
00:34:13,520 --> 00:34:15,760
Speaker 4: the Bills were ranked like a quarter of a point

718
00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:19,320
Speaker 4: higher than the Chiefs, and certainly the Chiefs number didn't

719
00:34:19,320 --> 00:34:22,840
Speaker 4: go up with that loss to Green Bay. So like this,

720
00:34:22,840 --> 00:34:25,120
Speaker 4: this feels like the right line to me. I mean,

721
00:34:25,160 --> 00:34:28,240
Speaker 4: plus the Bills. Boy, right now, the Bills and the

722
00:34:28,280 --> 00:34:30,879
Speaker 4: Texans are on the outside looking in in the playoff hunt,

723
00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:32,759
Speaker 4: like we got to get them in over the Browns,

724
00:34:32,920 --> 00:34:36,160
Speaker 4: and you know, like nothing against the Colts, but I'd

725
00:34:36,239 --> 00:34:41,280
Speaker 4: rather see the Texans or the Broncos, or even the Bills,

726
00:34:41,560 --> 00:34:44,560
Speaker 4: Bills or even the Broncos play in the playoffs over.

727
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:47,240
Speaker 3: The Browns the anyway.

728
00:34:47,360 --> 00:34:51,080
Speaker 4: So yeah, like that is going to incentivize the Bills

729
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:53,160
Speaker 4: because they are fighting for their lives right now, Like

730
00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:59,200
Speaker 4: they can't afford many more losses, got maybe one more loss, No,

731
00:34:59,360 --> 00:34:59,959
Speaker 4: they really can't.

732
00:35:00,040 --> 00:35:02,080
Speaker 1: The Chiefs can't either. I think that's a great Argument's

733
00:35:02,200 --> 00:35:04,799
Speaker 1: argument I made last week for a game where I said,

734
00:35:04,840 --> 00:35:06,680
Speaker 1: you know, this team just needs this game more than

735
00:35:06,719 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 1: the other one and then it turned out to be true.

736
00:35:10,920 --> 00:35:12,640
Speaker 1: And I think to a certain extent you saw that

737
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:14,160
Speaker 1: on Sunday against the Eagles too. I think the forty

738
00:35:14,200 --> 00:35:16,600
Speaker 1: nine Ers probably needed that game more than the Eagles did,

739
00:35:16,640 --> 00:35:19,839
Speaker 1: and they wanted it more. Sam. I mean, both these

740
00:35:19,840 --> 00:35:21,920
Speaker 1: teams kind of desperately need this game. So at the

741
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:23,840
Speaker 1: end of the day, how do you how do you

742
00:35:23,920 --> 00:35:24,359
Speaker 1: bet it?

743
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:30,120
Speaker 2: Yeah? I think I leaned the Bills here. I originally

744
00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,760
Speaker 2: said that I was going to say that I don't

745
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:36,040
Speaker 2: have a read on this game and wanted to go

746
00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:40,000
Speaker 2: through the sort of the details of how these teams

747
00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,759
Speaker 2: match up a little bit more quickly or excuse me,

748
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:46,480
Speaker 2: a little bit more deeper. But I just think the

749
00:35:46,520 --> 00:35:51,720
Speaker 2: Bills have just continued to be underrated and their offense

750
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,960
Speaker 2: played extremely other just like not coming out on the

751
00:35:55,040 --> 00:35:56,680
Speaker 2: right side of these these wins.

752
00:35:56,719 --> 00:35:59,319
Speaker 1: No nothing breaks their way. They never have that moment

753
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:00,960
Speaker 1: that goes their way. They always have that one thing

754
00:36:00,960 --> 00:36:03,239
Speaker 1: that goes against them, or that one moment that you

755
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,160
Speaker 1: know they don't take advantage of. That seems to be

756
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:07,840
Speaker 1: the whole mo of their twenty three season.

757
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:11,799
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think coming off the buy, it'll give

758
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:17,360
Speaker 2: them a chance to reset and have an opportunity to

759
00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:23,440
Speaker 2: again get ready for this massive game and hopefully assert

760
00:36:23,480 --> 00:36:28,640
Speaker 2: themselves as continuing to be one of the best teams

761
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:30,040
Speaker 2: in the AFC.

762
00:36:31,480 --> 00:36:35,080
Speaker 1: All right, Denver at the Chargers. Denver coming off a

763
00:36:35,120 --> 00:36:36,719
Speaker 1: tough loss, or they are two and a half point

764
00:36:36,760 --> 00:36:40,160
Speaker 1: underdogs going to the Chargers, don't I don't understand this

765
00:36:40,239 --> 00:36:42,520
Speaker 1: at all. Forty three and a half is the number

766
00:36:42,640 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 1: plus one twenty five for the Denver Broncos. Give me

767
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:48,200
Speaker 1: the plus one twenty five. I'm taking the Broncos on

768
00:36:48,239 --> 00:36:50,840
Speaker 1: the money line and I'm not looking back. Sam your thoughts.

769
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 3: Yes, I agree.

770
00:36:53,320 --> 00:36:57,720
Speaker 2: Denver's turnover loook finally ran out against Houston this past week,

771
00:36:57,800 --> 00:37:02,480
Speaker 2: and where I said Houston falter early, Benver benefited from

772
00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,600
Speaker 2: that to an extent, but again they still kept it

773
00:37:05,640 --> 00:37:08,919
Speaker 2: within five points against Uston had a chance to win

774
00:37:08,960 --> 00:37:13,200
Speaker 2: the game. Denver has wanted to rely on their ground game.

775
00:37:13,239 --> 00:37:15,920
Speaker 2: They've had a negative eight percent pass right over expectation

776
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:19,319
Speaker 2: the last two games, and the Chargers defense can be

777
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 2: run on. I mean that the Chargers are also just

778
00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:27,480
Speaker 2: lackluster on offense. Quinton Johnston has just been a massive wiff.

779
00:37:27,520 --> 00:37:31,360
Speaker 2: He continues to have some terrible drops. Austin Eckler looks

780
00:37:31,400 --> 00:37:34,160
Speaker 2: like dust at this point. They have just one game

781
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:37,600
Speaker 2: with a forty five percent success rate since Week four,

782
00:37:37,640 --> 00:37:41,200
Speaker 2: and that was against the Lions defense that we mentioned

783
00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:46,360
Speaker 2: has been historically terrible. So I like the Broncos here

784
00:37:46,520 --> 00:37:49,880
Speaker 2: like it. It sounds secretly just to say at this

785
00:37:50,040 --> 00:37:53,760
Speaker 2: point given the quarterbacks on either side, but it hasn't

786
00:37:53,800 --> 00:37:56,759
Speaker 2: looked pretty at all for Los Angeles.

787
00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:00,160
Speaker 1: No. I mean in La pat is not a home

788
00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:03,400
Speaker 1: field advantage, so throw that out the window too. Brandon

789
00:38:03,400 --> 00:38:05,400
Speaker 1: Staley got lucky last week that he came out with

790
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,799
Speaker 1: a victory here against the Patriots team that can't do

791
00:38:07,960 --> 00:38:11,960
Speaker 1: anything offensively. But I think Denver bounces back here in

792
00:38:11,960 --> 00:38:13,719
Speaker 1: a big way and look, regardless of his loss of

793
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,440
Speaker 1: the Texans, you know, I still think Denver to make

794
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:18,360
Speaker 1: the playoffs is a fascinating bet. I talked about it

795
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,080
Speaker 1: last week on my Best Bets video. I feel like,

796
00:38:20,560 --> 00:38:22,359
Speaker 1: you look at the schedule they have. They've got two

797
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:24,440
Speaker 1: games against the Chargers, they got a game against the Raiders,

798
00:38:24,440 --> 00:38:26,080
Speaker 1: like they can handle their business and still get the

799
00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:26,759
Speaker 1: ten wins here.

800
00:38:27,960 --> 00:38:30,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, it does feel like the value is with the

801
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:35,360
Speaker 4: Broncos but I cannot shake this paranoid feeling that this game.

802
00:38:35,280 --> 00:38:39,400
Speaker 3: Is a trap, Like I just can't. I mean, like

803
00:38:39,440 --> 00:38:40,239
Speaker 3: I want to see it.

804
00:38:40,200 --> 00:38:42,640
Speaker 4: The way you guys see it, and it does feel like,

805
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,480
Speaker 4: you know, as you said, Joe, not the traditional home

806
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:49,040
Speaker 4: field advantage for the Chargers, the Broncos with you know,

807
00:38:49,120 --> 00:38:51,480
Speaker 4: a lot of momentum going into that Texans game. And

808
00:38:51,520 --> 00:38:54,680
Speaker 4: it wasn't like they played terribly in that game, you know,

809
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 4: until committing the turnovers at the end. So boy, I

810
00:38:58,960 --> 00:39:00,839
Speaker 4: do want to like the Bronx goes in this one.

811
00:39:00,880 --> 00:39:04,920
Speaker 3: But man, I just there's a bad feeling I cannot shake.

812
00:39:05,160 --> 00:39:06,040
Speaker 3: I watched this game.

813
00:39:06,200 --> 00:39:08,600
Speaker 1: Go watch some more tape of Brandon sdally coach football games.

814
00:39:08,640 --> 00:39:12,799
Speaker 1: I think it'll bring you around. Philadelphia Eagles Dallas Cowboys.

815
00:39:12,920 --> 00:39:15,800
Speaker 1: This is the one Sunday Night football. Get ready, folks.

816
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,360
Speaker 1: Three and a half point favorites are the Dallas Cowboys.

817
00:39:18,440 --> 00:39:21,600
Speaker 1: Fifty two fifty two and a half is the number

818
00:39:21,600 --> 00:39:24,520
Speaker 1: plus one fifty for the Eagles. So Pat has the

819
00:39:24,560 --> 00:39:26,959
Speaker 1: gauntlet finally caught up with the Eagles that they running

820
00:39:26,960 --> 00:39:29,160
Speaker 1: out of steam or do they bounce back here after

821
00:39:29,200 --> 00:39:31,880
Speaker 1: a tough home loss against the Cowboys, who you know,

822
00:39:32,120 --> 00:39:33,960
Speaker 1: they've been their daddy for the last couple of years.

823
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,960
Speaker 4: I am leaning the Cowboys here, and this would have

824
00:39:38,120 --> 00:39:40,879
Speaker 4: sounded crazy if anyone would have said it a year ago.

825
00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:43,600
Speaker 4: But I don't know if Jalen Hurts can go toe

826
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:47,440
Speaker 4: to toe against Dak Prescott as a passer.

827
00:39:47,280 --> 00:39:47,960
Speaker 3: In this game.

828
00:39:48,120 --> 00:39:51,480
Speaker 4: Like I Dak has just been so hot, and this

829
00:39:52,320 --> 00:39:54,920
Speaker 4: Dallas passing game is functioning at such a high level.

830
00:39:55,120 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 4: And meanwhile, I don't think we are seeing anything close

831
00:39:58,520 --> 00:40:00,920
Speaker 4: to the sort of success Jalen Hurts had through the

832
00:40:00,960 --> 00:40:05,080
Speaker 4: air last year. Like you know, like there's some big plays,

833
00:40:05,160 --> 00:40:08,479
Speaker 4: some splash plays to AJ Brown. Yes, of course we've

834
00:40:08,520 --> 00:40:11,080
Speaker 4: seen that. But if this game does turn into the

835
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:14,640
Speaker 4: shootout that the total suggests is, it's going to be man.

836
00:40:14,680 --> 00:40:17,520
Speaker 4: I would much rather roll with Dak than with Jalen Hurts.

837
00:40:17,560 --> 00:40:20,960
Speaker 4: And by the way, this Eagles pass defense is such

838
00:40:20,960 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 4: an achilles heel, Like if they cannot get to the

839
00:40:23,200 --> 00:40:26,719
Speaker 4: quarterback and they didn't get to Brock Purty on Sunday, like,

840
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,880
Speaker 4: those cornerbacks are defenseless, and I think Cede Lamb is

841
00:40:30,920 --> 00:40:33,759
Speaker 4: just going to rampage against this Eagles secondary.

842
00:40:34,160 --> 00:40:37,200
Speaker 1: Dak, Jalen Hurts brock Purty are nearly all tied for

843
00:40:37,280 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 1: the MVP voting right now in terms of Vegas odds,

844
00:40:40,680 --> 00:40:43,520
Speaker 1: So Sam, this has a lot at stake here, not

845
00:40:43,560 --> 00:40:46,400
Speaker 1: just for the NFC, but also for maybe MVP. Is

846
00:40:46,400 --> 00:40:48,759
Speaker 1: this a statement game for DAK or a bounce back

847
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:49,360
Speaker 1: for the Eagles?

848
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:53,600
Speaker 2: I think it's a statement game for Dak. To Pat's point,

849
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:57,680
Speaker 2: the Eagles secondary has been a weakness for them all season.

850
00:40:57,760 --> 00:41:00,759
Speaker 2: You saw them get torn apart against San Francisco this

851
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:05,480
Speaker 2: past week. Dak is I think whichever quarterback wins this

852
00:41:05,560 --> 00:41:08,120
Speaker 2: game probably comes out at the top of the MVP

853
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:14,239
Speaker 2: market afterwards. I just I don't see how Philadelphia is

854
00:41:14,280 --> 00:41:17,759
Speaker 2: able to keep up with with Dallas. I mean, I

855
00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:21,000
Speaker 2: think they can, but Jalen Hurts has been hobbled the

856
00:41:21,040 --> 00:41:23,600
Speaker 2: last couple of weeks, left the game for a little bit.

857
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:25,920
Speaker 2: I don't remember if he missed any any plays in

858
00:41:26,000 --> 00:41:29,840
Speaker 2: the game against San Francisco, but clearly dealing with some

859
00:41:30,520 --> 00:41:34,239
Speaker 2: lingering issues that I think are limiting his mobility a

860
00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:39,799
Speaker 2: little bit. And Dallas just again they I think Thursday

861
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:44,600
Speaker 2: night was the potential one spot where again they maybe

862
00:41:45,800 --> 00:41:48,879
Speaker 2: falter a little bit and variants doesn't go their way

863
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:51,000
Speaker 2: and they got through it. I mean, similar to the

864
00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:53,760
Speaker 2: way the Eagles have have been getting through their games,

865
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:58,400
Speaker 2: you know, all season. So give me Dallas. I I'm

866
00:41:58,480 --> 00:41:59,719
Speaker 2: excited to watch this game.

867
00:42:00,320 --> 00:42:02,279
Speaker 1: All right. We got not one, but two Monday night

868
00:42:02,320 --> 00:42:05,680
Speaker 1: games too, Green Bay, New York Giants. The Giants thirty

869
00:42:05,719 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 1: seven is the number. They are six and a half

870
00:42:07,480 --> 00:42:10,240
Speaker 1: point underdogs at home to your Green Bay Packers. Gentlemen,

871
00:42:10,280 --> 00:42:12,359
Speaker 1: all these primetime Packer games, you gotta be loving this

872
00:42:12,640 --> 00:42:16,560
Speaker 1: plus two forty for the Giants upset. So Sam, you

873
00:42:16,680 --> 00:42:19,040
Speaker 1: still spreading the love with Jordan. You're still feeling really

874
00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:22,080
Speaker 1: good about this guy who's now three games, eight touchdowns,

875
00:42:22,080 --> 00:42:24,160
Speaker 1: no picks. I know, probably not gonna have Christian Watson

876
00:42:24,239 --> 00:42:26,400
Speaker 1: this game, but does it matter against the Giants?

877
00:42:26,840 --> 00:42:29,600
Speaker 2: No, it doesn't. Give me. Give me the Packers. The

878
00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,960
Speaker 2: Packers just recorded zero point two to sixty pa per

879
00:42:32,960 --> 00:42:35,600
Speaker 2: play and a forty eight point six percent success rate

880
00:42:35,680 --> 00:42:38,279
Speaker 2: against one of the best defenses in the league. It

881
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:41,320
Speaker 2: was Green Bay's best performance of the season on offense

882
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:46,240
Speaker 2: in Kansas City's worst performance on defense this season. Tyrod

883
00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:49,759
Speaker 2: Taylor could be at quarterback here for the Giants, but

884
00:42:50,280 --> 00:42:53,200
Speaker 2: that team hasn't had a success rate on offense over

885
00:42:53,320 --> 00:42:56,960
Speaker 2: forty percent since Week eight. The Packers are gonna go

886
00:42:57,080 --> 00:43:01,320
Speaker 2: into MetLife Stadium and Teor Park this Giants team.

887
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:04,080
Speaker 1: All right, Pat, are you co signing that?

888
00:43:05,160 --> 00:43:07,920
Speaker 4: Yeah? Joe, this is our second year doing this show together,

889
00:43:08,040 --> 00:43:10,600
Speaker 4: so you you can attest that. I am not like

890
00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:14,239
Speaker 4: an overt Green Bay Packers homer from a betting perspective,

891
00:43:14,239 --> 00:43:16,000
Speaker 4: If anything, I tend to be a pessimist.

892
00:43:16,120 --> 00:43:19,440
Speaker 3: So but I like them against the Chiefs.

893
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:22,319
Speaker 4: Last week, and I was pretty surprised when I saw

894
00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:26,120
Speaker 4: how modest this number was. Only I think they're more

895
00:43:26,160 --> 00:43:30,040
Speaker 4: than a touchdown better than the Giants, whether it's Tyrod

896
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:33,279
Speaker 4: Taylor or our guy Tommy DeVito, like he's gonna run

897
00:43:33,280 --> 00:43:37,120
Speaker 4: into trouble like this. Packers past defense is legit. You

898
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:39,160
Speaker 4: can run on the Packers, but it's really hard to

899
00:43:39,200 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 4: throw on the Packers. So I don't think you're gonna

900
00:43:42,160 --> 00:43:45,360
Speaker 4: see the Giants move the ball consistently. And you know,

901
00:43:45,520 --> 00:43:47,359
Speaker 4: Jordan Love's on a roll bet the hot hand.

902
00:43:48,120 --> 00:43:50,120
Speaker 1: Tua is also in a role, so its Tyreek Hill.

903
00:43:50,120 --> 00:43:52,000
Speaker 1: The Miami Dolphins will close us out here with the

904
00:43:52,040 --> 00:43:56,040
Speaker 1: other Monday night game thirteen point favorites minus one ten

905
00:43:56,120 --> 00:43:58,280
Speaker 1: or the Miami Dolphins at home against the Titans. Forty

906
00:43:58,320 --> 00:44:01,399
Speaker 1: seven is the number plus five fifty for the Titans upset. Look,

907
00:44:01,440 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 1: Miami has been all year. They take care of lesser teams.

908
00:44:04,600 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 1: It's beating the big boys where they struggle. So it's

909
00:44:06,800 --> 00:44:10,399
Speaker 1: just another Miami romp where you just can't stop all

910
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 1: the speed. I mean, moster has fourteen touchdowns already, eight

911
00:44:13,120 --> 00:44:16,719
Speaker 1: Chan has this is right in HM has six touchdowns

912
00:44:16,960 --> 00:44:20,600
Speaker 1: in or something in six games. He's played something crazy

913
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:21,719
Speaker 1: like that. I gotta look at this that I heard

914
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:23,440
Speaker 1: it this morning. I was like, that doesn't even seem right.

915
00:44:23,840 --> 00:44:26,839
Speaker 1: But Tyree kill the rest of this offense, pat they've

916
00:44:26,840 --> 00:44:29,400
Speaker 1: been so good. Is this gonna be in just another

917
00:44:29,480 --> 00:44:31,399
Speaker 1: role to a double digit victory? Yet again?

918
00:44:32,280 --> 00:44:33,960
Speaker 4: Oh, I know in the pools where I have to

919
00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:36,239
Speaker 4: bet this, I'm probably gonna bet the Dolphins. But it's

920
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,239
Speaker 4: just the number is where it should be and I'm

921
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:41,480
Speaker 4: not seeing enough value to bet the Dolphins.

922
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:43,640
Speaker 1: Nine touchdowns in six games, that's what it was for

923
00:44:43,640 --> 00:44:45,239
Speaker 1: a champ. By the way, in the sixth healthies games

924
00:44:45,280 --> 00:44:47,960
Speaker 1: he's had, he's at nine touchdowns. Sam, what do you

925
00:44:47,960 --> 00:44:49,319
Speaker 1: think about this one. You got any love for this

926
00:44:49,360 --> 00:44:49,960
Speaker 1: game early on?

927
00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,839
Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I take the Dolphins here too. Derek

928
00:44:53,880 --> 00:44:57,400
Speaker 2: Henry is in concussion protocol. I doubt he plays. Jeffrey

929
00:44:57,440 --> 00:44:59,720
Speaker 2: Simmons for the Titans defense.

930
00:44:59,760 --> 00:45:00,480
Speaker 3: Got up.

931
00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:04,600
Speaker 2: The Titans pasty has been atrocious all year. And you

932
00:45:04,640 --> 00:45:07,600
Speaker 2: know then now you gotta face the Dolphins, which you

933
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:11,200
Speaker 2: have one of the best passing offenses in the league.

934
00:45:11,440 --> 00:45:14,400
Speaker 2: I'm I don't know how I feel about this Monday

935
00:45:14,480 --> 00:45:18,160
Speaker 2: night doubleheader, especially with both of them playing at the

936
00:45:18,160 --> 00:45:20,640
Speaker 2: same time. But eh, whatever, more football.

937
00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:22,840
Speaker 1: You go back and forth. I mean, I mean for

938
00:45:22,880 --> 00:45:24,680
Speaker 1: you guys, it's a little tougher as the Packer fans,

939
00:45:24,680 --> 00:45:27,480
Speaker 1: but for us general football fans, it's fun. I'll watch

940
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:30,279
Speaker 1: Tyreek Hill every time Will Levis has got the ball.

941
00:45:30,320 --> 00:45:32,200
Speaker 1: That's why I switch back over to the Packer game.

942
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 1: That's how I think I'm going to approach this one.

943
00:45:34,160 --> 00:45:36,640
Speaker 1: But again, make sure you're approaching all of your bets

944
00:45:37,080 --> 00:45:38,960
Speaker 1: the right way, using the betting pros app get the

945
00:45:39,000 --> 00:45:42,120
Speaker 1: best lines, the best time set the notifications, you get,

946
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:44,640
Speaker 1: the line alerts, and also don't forget about our NFL contest.

947
00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:46,320
Speaker 1: Make your picks count. There's so plenty of time to

948
00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:49,880
Speaker 1: win free stuff here. We've got weekly prizes, monthly prizes

949
00:45:49,920 --> 00:45:53,160
Speaker 1: for our NFL contest joined today Betting Pros dot Com

950
00:45:53,160 --> 00:45:55,360
Speaker 1: slash NFL Contest. That's the way to do it. Or

951
00:45:55,440 --> 00:45:57,040
Speaker 1: just download the app and go to the community tab

952
00:45:57,080 --> 00:45:59,560
Speaker 1: and click that bad boy and go sign up there.

953
00:45:59,640 --> 00:46:03,000
Speaker 1: It's just make five picks a week and a weekly prize.

954
00:46:03,040 --> 00:46:05,960
Speaker 1: Every single week we're giving away swag to our FPMBP shops.

955
00:46:05,960 --> 00:46:09,360
Speaker 1: We're also doing monthly prizes too. Month of December just started,

956
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:11,400
Speaker 1: so you can win an upgrade to Betting Pros or

957
00:46:11,440 --> 00:46:14,920
Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros Premium just for making picks. That sounds good

958
00:46:14,960 --> 00:46:16,800
Speaker 1: to me, And don't forget to drop your comments below.

959
00:46:16,880 --> 00:46:19,680
Speaker 1: Tell us who you are in on this week in

960
00:46:19,719 --> 00:46:21,799
Speaker 1: the NFL. What's your favorite game of the week. I

961
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:24,360
Speaker 1: want to hear from you. Drop your comments below and

962
00:46:24,400 --> 00:46:27,960
Speaker 1: shout out again to brock Perty and the forty nine ers. Yes,

963
00:46:28,040 --> 00:46:31,160
Speaker 1: stuff the big fat L in my mouth and I

964
00:46:31,280 --> 00:46:33,399
Speaker 1: will take the L. I will chew on it all

965
00:46:33,440 --> 00:46:35,719
Speaker 1: the way until on Friday show which will we must

966
00:46:35,760 --> 00:46:38,799
Speaker 1: be television what Welsh gets to basically rated over me?

967
00:46:38,840 --> 00:46:40,560
Speaker 1: Which is gonna be fun? You think I was an

968
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:42,960
Speaker 1: Eagles fan, but I'm not. That'll do it for us,

969
00:46:43,000 --> 00:46:44,879
Speaker 1: But the story of the game goes on for Sam

970
00:46:44,920 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 1: and Pat. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

971
00:46:49,920 --> 00:46:52,680
Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

972
00:46:52,719 --> 00:46:55,080
Speaker 1: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

973
00:46:55,080 --> 00:46:58,520
Speaker 1: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

974
00:46:58,840 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 1: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

975
00:47:01,560 --> 00:47:03,400
Speaker 1: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL.

976
00:47:03,840 --> 00:47:06,719
Speaker 4: Also subscribe to our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com

977
00:47:06,760 --> 00:47:07,720
Speaker 4: slash Betting Pros.