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Speaker 1: What's going on everybody? Scott Bogman here for Betting Pros

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Speaker 1: to give you my favorite picks and props for the

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Speaker 1: conference championship week of twenty twenty five here in the

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Speaker 1: college football season. Look, before we jump in here, I

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Speaker 1: got to tell you, guys, if you're looking to up

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Speaker 1: your game in sports betting, join our exclusive sports betting

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Speaker 1: discord community at bettingpros dot com slash chat. Now only

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Speaker 1: can you connect with expert handicappers who provide free pick

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Speaker 1: for the NBA, NFL, MLBNHL player props, live betting, and more,

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Speaker 1: but now you can also participate in our weekly community picks,

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Speaker 1: cast your vote, see how your picks stack up against

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Speaker 1: the experts, and track your success today. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: start by reviewing what happened in Week fourteen. We crushed

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Speaker 1: the picks again, bad on the props again, but the

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Speaker 1: picks North Texas minus nineteen and a half cleared easy

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Speaker 1: Arizona Arizona State under forty eight and a half. They

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Speaker 1: only scored thirty. Oklahoma minus nine and a half or

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Speaker 1: zelis you did not work out seventeen to thirteen was

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Speaker 1: final there. Indiana over forty one and a half at Purdue.

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Speaker 1: This fifty six Colorado team total under seventeen and a

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Speaker 1: half at Kansas State got that that was twenty four

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Speaker 1: to fourteen BYU minus seventeen and a half. First, UCF

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Speaker 1: looked a little dicey to start the game when UCF

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Speaker 1: got up fourteen nothing, but that final was forty one

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Speaker 1: twenty one b YU Vanderbilt plus three at Tennessee and

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Speaker 1: the team total over thirty one and a half. They

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Speaker 1: won forty five to twenty four on the road against Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: That one was a win. Wisconsin has got me three

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Speaker 1: weeks and three weeks in a row. Luckily they can't

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Speaker 1: get me again because they don't play this week. Seventeen

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Speaker 1: to seven I at Auburn plus six and a half

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Speaker 1: versus Alabama. They lost twenty seven to twenty, So that

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Speaker 1: was another one I missed. But we did get the

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Speaker 1: hard rock bet of the week Missouri minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half at Arkansas. They ended up winning that one

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Speaker 1: thirty one to seventeen, putting the picks seventy five and

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Speaker 1: sixty four in the year, so eleven games over five

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Speaker 1: hundred three and seven on the props didn't get a

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Speaker 1: touchdown call at all. Haines King didn't score for me again.

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Speaker 1: Burt Ficklin, after screwed me out of the Parker touchdown

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Speaker 1: the week before, didn't score this week against Kansas, and

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Speaker 1: then Leonora Sellers did not get in against Clemson either.

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Speaker 1: I had over two and a half passing touchdowns for Mendoza,

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Speaker 1: he only had two. We did hit Mason Heischel under

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Speaker 1: two hundred and forty and a half. That was one

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Speaker 1: ninety nine. Darian Menza had two hundred and sixty eight

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Speaker 1: passing yards when I picked him under two hundred sixty

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Speaker 1: one and a half. Thank you wake for us for

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Speaker 1: turnover the ball four times. Dean Connors for Houston did

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Speaker 1: not get to sixty nine and a half, fifty one

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Speaker 1: for him. Brennan Thompson was over sixty two and a half.

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Speaker 1: Antonio Williams was over fifty eight and a half. Eighty

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Speaker 1: and sixty six for those guys. But cam Coleman two

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Speaker 1: yards short, three yards short of getting clearing US forty

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Speaker 1: five and a half. He had forty three, So bad

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Speaker 1: breaks on some of those, but bad process on some

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Speaker 1: of them as well. But eleven games over on the picks,

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Speaker 1: two games under on the props, so nine total over

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Speaker 1: five hundred for this season. But we got a lot

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Speaker 1: left here, and I'm gonna give you a lean for

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Speaker 1: every game, at least the games that I didn't pick.

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Speaker 1: But I do have picks in most of the nine

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Speaker 1: conference championships here. So let's just go ahead and kick

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Speaker 1: it off. We're gonna go James Madison versus Troy this game. Look,

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Speaker 1: James Madison has a chance to make the tournament very outside.

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Speaker 1: Duke would have to win against Virginia. Their margin is

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Speaker 1: very small, but they're gonna do everything they can to

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Speaker 1: beat down Troy to impress the committee to try to

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Speaker 1: get in. So we're gonna go team total over thirty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. Troy has had a good year,

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Speaker 1: but they're not even the second best team here in

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Speaker 1: the Sunbelt. So this should not have been the conference championship,

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Speaker 1: but you play the games that are in front of you.

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Speaker 1: I think JAMU scores way more than this. They're way better.

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Speaker 1: The strength of schedule is early similar, but statistically James

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Speaker 1: Madison and is easily the best team. So thirty four

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Speaker 1: and a half, I think they're going to clear that

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Speaker 1: pretty easy. We're gonna go to UNLV we're gonna do

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Speaker 1: another team total here over twenty six and a half

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Speaker 1: at Boise State. They've scored more than this in every

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Speaker 1: single game that they played. They scored more than this

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Speaker 1: the last time they played Boise State. There is going

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Speaker 1: to be some rain in this game. It's gonna be cold,

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Speaker 1: but it's not gonna be cold enough to snow in

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Speaker 1: Boise or at least the forecast today says it's not

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Speaker 1: going to be. So I think UNOV is gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to put up some points. Boise State's played strong defense,

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Speaker 1: but UNLV has been really really good on offense this year.

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Speaker 1: I don't know who wins this game. I was initially

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Speaker 1: wanted to take UNLV, but Boise State gets their quarterback

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Speaker 1: Matters SPACs and back who They put up a lot

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Speaker 1: of points in this game last time. So less confident

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Speaker 1: about UNLV than I was. But I do think they'll score.

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Speaker 1: So twenty six and a half over for them, I

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Speaker 1: think is nice. We're gonna go under in the MATC

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Speaker 1: Conference Championship Miami o higover sweat Michigan. It's under forty

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Speaker 1: three and a half. Now, Look, we are fading the

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Speaker 1: public on this public is way way big on the over.

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Speaker 1: Gott Kowski looks pretty good for Miami in his starts. Obviously,

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Speaker 1: this is a different game than what it was earlier

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Speaker 1: because to Kawan Finn was a quarterback at Miami and

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Speaker 1: he decided to go pro and left in Miami early,

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Speaker 1: so they've been, you know, trying to find the quarterback.

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Speaker 1: They had Hessen in their first who benched him and

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Speaker 1: went to Gottkowski, and he looks better. I like Western

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Speaker 1: Michigan in this game, but I think I like the

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Speaker 1: under better because both these defenses are strong. Both these

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Speaker 1: offenses a week Specifically, Western Michigan is a run heavy team.

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Speaker 1: I do think they'll win this game running heavy, but

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Speaker 1: they play very strong defense as well. Going up a

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Speaker 1: quarterback up against the quarterback in his second career start

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Speaker 1: in a conference championship game, I think it's just going

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Speaker 1: to be too much. But I like the under here more.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna go BYU team total under seventeen and a

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Speaker 1: half versus Texas Tech. We saw this play out last time,

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Speaker 1: and look, Texas Tech is now own for their offense overall, right,

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Speaker 1: but they have been winning this year on defense led

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Speaker 1: by David Bailey. David Bailey's one of the best defensive

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Speaker 1: linemen in the country. He has been harassing passers, stopping

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Speaker 1: the run. This whole defense is great. Jacob Rodriguez may

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Speaker 1: maybe should be in the Heisman talk as well. They've

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Speaker 1: been giving him touchdowns on offense last couple weeks to

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Speaker 1: try to get his name in there. He's had so

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Speaker 1: many turnovers as their main play caller on linebacker. This

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Speaker 1: defense for Texas Tech is just very, very stacked, and

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Speaker 1: this is what BYU does. They do usually run down

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Speaker 1: everybody's throat. Can't do that against Texas Tech. Now, they

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Speaker 1: played defense very well against Texas Tech in that first game.

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Speaker 1: They held him into two touchdowns, have five field goals

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Speaker 1: on their drives. And this is a very good offense

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Speaker 1: from Texas Tech as well. But they're led by their

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Speaker 1: defense and I think they hold BYU under seventeen and

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Speaker 1: a half. We're going to go both sides of the

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Speaker 1: ACC title game duke team total under twenty six and

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Speaker 1: a half in UVA minus three and a half. We

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Speaker 1: saw this game three week and it was thirty four

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Speaker 1: to seventeen Virginia one. And Virginia lost their second week

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Speaker 1: against North Carolina State and then won every game until

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Speaker 1: wake Forest hurt their quarterback Chandler Morris, and they lost

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Speaker 1: that game sixteen to nine. The defense for Virginia is real.

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Speaker 1: It's been better moving closer to the end of the season.

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Speaker 1: Chandler Morris is a great quarterback and Duke is all offense,

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Speaker 1: no defense, right, and their one dimensional on offense as well,

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Speaker 1: it's Darien mens in the passing game is all they have.

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Speaker 1: I think it's going to be really easy for Virginia

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Speaker 1: to control the clock here, and I think they're gonna

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Speaker 1: win this game going away, just like they did the

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Speaker 1: first matchup, which was at Duke, by the way, So

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Speaker 1: I just think Virginia dominates this game. I don't think

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Speaker 1: Duke is gonna hold the ball long enough to put

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Speaker 1: up twenty six and a half points either, So under

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Speaker 1: twenty six and a half for Duke and Virginia minus

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Speaker 1: three and a half. The other games that we have

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Speaker 1: here Kennesaw minus two and a half at Jacksonville Stay

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Speaker 1: and over fifty seven and a half, I think this

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Speaker 1: one's gonna be back and forth. I think I'm more

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Speaker 1: into the over now than I am Kennesaw. It is

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Speaker 1: gonna go back and forth, or boy, Seth knows the

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Speaker 1: G five probably a little bit better than me, and

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Speaker 1: he really likes Jacksonville State. It's one of his favorite

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Speaker 1: bets of the week. I just think that this game

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Speaker 1: was very close last time, and Kenesaw turned the ball

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Speaker 1: over four times. I think if they can cut those back,

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Speaker 1: they're in this game. So it's a very close spread.

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Speaker 1: Maybe whoever you like on the money line, or if

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Speaker 1: you like Kennesaw, maybe the money line for them and

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Speaker 1: eat the juice a little bit. I'm gonna lean towards

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Speaker 1: Georgia versus Alabama. I think Alabama is more desperate. I

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Speaker 1: just think george is a better team, and Georgia has

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Speaker 1: a buy to play for as well. It's not like

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Speaker 1: they have nothing to play for, so I think that

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Speaker 1: I think Georgia does win this game. I just think

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Speaker 1: Bama is a step behind what Georgia is right now.

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Speaker 1: I'll say this though this there's a reason it's a

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Speaker 1: lean right and not a take. I'm not taking this one.

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Speaker 1: I just I don't really think that Alabama has enough

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Speaker 1: to beat this current version of Georgia. Now, Alabama already

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Speaker 1: beat Georgia once this year. I know that, but I

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Speaker 1: think they're playing different levels of football. I think we

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Speaker 1: saw Georgia peak in that stretch. They beat Georgia, they

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Speaker 1: beat Tennessee, they beat a tough Missouri team on the

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Speaker 1: road as well. Right, and Georgia has won eight straight

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Speaker 1: since that loss. They've looked better. They've won going away

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Speaker 1: in some of those games. They beat Texas thirty five

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Speaker 1: to ten. I think Georgia is one of the best

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Speaker 1: teams in the country right now. I think they're better

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Speaker 1: than Bama. So Georgia minus two and a half, but

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Speaker 1: that game is razor thin. And Ohio State versus Indiana,

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Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I would love to give you

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Speaker 1: a heavy lean one way or the other. I don't

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Speaker 1: have that. I'll say this, we know these are probably

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Speaker 1: the two best teams in the country. But we definitely

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Speaker 1: know that Ohio State's the best team in the country.

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Speaker 1: That's what we know right now. Could that change out

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Speaker 1: of this game, Yes, But they've played one one score game.

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Speaker 1: That was Texas Week one and Julian Sands's first start ever.

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Speaker 1: That was their only one score game, fourteen to seven.

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Speaker 1: Every other game they've won by double digits so or

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Speaker 1: at least nine points. So I just I think that

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Speaker 1: Ohio State is dominant, and until I see someone play

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Speaker 1: within a touchdown of them, which has not happened this year,

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Speaker 1: I'm going to take Ohio State. That's just going to

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Speaker 1: be the way that I roll on that. Now let's

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Speaker 1: get to the props. But before we do, let me

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Speaker 1: remind you guys. You can track your bets, stay accountable

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Speaker 1: sportsbooks Sink, you can automatically track your bets across all

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Speaker 1: your bet performance by sport and bet type, including game picks, props,

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Speaker 1: and parlays. You can create custom betting systems to find

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Speaker 1: winning trends and profitable opportunities. You can get a seven

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Speaker 1: in active your trial on the upgrade screen. All right,

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Speaker 1: three touchdown calls for you this week? None of the

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Speaker 1: same ones I had last week, Thank god. But James

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Speaker 1: Madison QB Linza Barnett versus Kennesaw versus Troy. Excuse me,

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Speaker 1: he leads JAMU in rushing touchdowns. I think they're going

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Speaker 1: to score a lot against Troy, obviously, have the team

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Speaker 1: total over thirty five and a half thirty four and

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Speaker 1: a half for James Madison, so I think that he

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Speaker 1: could easily get that one. We're gonna go to a

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Speaker 1: surging wide receiver here for North Texas wide receiver White

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Speaker 1: Young at two lane to score touchdowns. He has four

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Speaker 1: touchdowns in the last five games here. He has become

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Speaker 1: one of mess to Maker's main guys and he has

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Speaker 1: had some huge production over the last few weeks. So

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Speaker 1: he's been This is the whole North Texas offense is

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Speaker 1: winning us money. So let's just follow it and let's

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Speaker 1: go to I think UNLV is going to go over

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Speaker 1: their team total. So Jaiden Thomas, the running back at BOIS.

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Speaker 1: He said he has thirteen touchdowns this season. He had

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Speaker 1: one against Boys State in that first matchup as well,

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Speaker 1: so those are three touchdowns. James Madison, North Texas James

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Speaker 1: Madison quarterback along Barnett, North Texas wide receiver White Young,

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Speaker 1: un V running back Jadan Thomas. Let's go to Texas

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Speaker 1: Tech QB Barren Morton. I'm gonna go under two hundred

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Speaker 1: and forty eight and a half passing yards versus BYU.

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Speaker 1: I do think that the Texas Tech defense holds BYU down. However,

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Speaker 1: I don't really think that Texas Tech moves the ball

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Speaker 1: exponentially better against this BYU defense. This defense has been

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Speaker 1: really strong in the last game, Barreon Morton at two

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Speaker 1: hundred nineteen yards in a touchdown. They should lean on

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Speaker 1: their lead with the run game, so I think they'll

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Speaker 1: run the ball a lot. I don't know that Baron

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Speaker 1: Morton gets his total, so we're gonna go under on that.

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Speaker 1: We are going to take two lane quarterback Jake Rutz

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Speaker 1: laugh over thirty three and a half rushing yards versus

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Speaker 1: North Texas. He's averaging forty eight yards per game, thirty

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Speaker 1: one designed eighteen in scrambles. He's the team's leading rusher.

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Speaker 1: And North Texas stops the pass better than they stop

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Speaker 1: the run. They're seventieth and they're in the seventies ranked

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Speaker 1: in sacks per game and in pass rush grade. So

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Speaker 1: North Texas will let Jake Retz Laugh run and he

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Speaker 1: will bail out when he needs to, and they don't

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Speaker 1: get a bunch of sacks there. You know, sackyards count

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Speaker 1: against rushing yards for quarterbacks. I understand that, but North

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Speaker 1: Texas they're outscoring opponents. They tackle well, but they don't

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Speaker 1: get after the pass that well. Alabama quarterback Tys Simpson

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Speaker 1: over thirty two and a half passing attempts fort Georgia.

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Speaker 1: I picked Georgia to win, and not only did I

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Speaker 1: pick them to win, but Alabama has had to pass

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Speaker 1: ball a bunch because they don't have a very good

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Speaker 1: run game this season. He's passed this in four of

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Speaker 1: his last five games. Ty Simpson has and one hundred

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Speaker 1: and twenty ninth and sex in the country for Georgia.

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Speaker 1: So with talent like Jeremy Bernard, Ryan Williams Quavis right,

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Speaker 1: I think that we're gonna see a lot of passing

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Speaker 1: from Alabama in this game. And they are projected to lose,

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Speaker 1: so they should be playing comeback late, which leads to

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Speaker 1: more passing attempts to the running backs. Here we're gonna go.

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Speaker 1: Jacksonville State running back Camp Cook over one hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty four and a half rushing yards versus Kannessall. He

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Speaker 1: hit this in seven games. Troy is ninety six statistically

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Speaker 1: against the run, seventieth in run defense grade. This is

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Speaker 1: what they do to win. They run, run, run, run, run,

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Speaker 1: cam Cook, I believe is leading the country in rushing

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Speaker 1: yards right now, he's gonna have a ton versus Kenna

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Speaker 1: saw Here Boise State running back Dylan Riley over seventy

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Speaker 1: eight and a half rushing yards versus UNLV. I like

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Speaker 1: Boise tas to score some points here. The best game

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Speaker 1: of his season so far was in the first game

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Speaker 1: against UNLV, where he had fifteen rushes for two hundred

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Speaker 1: one yards and a touchdown. Ditto for Jamari Taylor. This

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Speaker 1: wasn't his best game of the year, but as sold

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Speaker 1: was eighty nine and a half rushing yards for Virginia

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Speaker 1: In their game against Duke a couple of weeks ago,

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Speaker 1: he had one hundred and thirty three and he has

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Speaker 1: at least eighteen carries in the last five weeks, so

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Speaker 1: I think eighty nine and a half against a week

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Speaker 1: run defense like Duke has is easily attainable. Here. Kennisaw

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Speaker 1: wide receiver Gabriel Bernard over sixty six and a half

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Speaker 1: receiving yards vers Jacksonville State is our last prop. Six targets,

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Speaker 1: five catches, one hundred yards. In the last game. He

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Speaker 1: leads in targets on Kennesaw by thirty two over the

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Speaker 1: next over the number two wide receiver and thirty nine

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Speaker 1: over the third highest target guy on the team here,

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Speaker 1: So Benyard has just been there guy. I think Kennasall

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Speaker 1: is in that game, right. I think Odaman is going

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Speaker 1: to be able to pass the ball here, So over

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Speaker 1: sixty six and a half receiving yards, I think that

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Speaker 1: is too low. So it's a review before we get

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Speaker 1: to the hard rock bet of the week. Our Conference

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Speaker 1: Championship picks official picks going on the record, JAMU team

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Speaker 1: total over thirty four and a half. You know, v

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Speaker 1: team total over twenty six and a half, Miami versus

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Speaker 1: West Western Michigan under forty three and a half, BYU

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Speaker 1: team total over under seventeen and a half, and Duke

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Speaker 1: team total under twenty six and a half plus UVA

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Speaker 1: minus three and a half. So seven picks there plus

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Speaker 1: the hard by of the week. We'll get too in

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Speaker 1: a second. My leans Kennesaal minus two and a half.

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Speaker 1: I like the over fifty seven and a half. I

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Speaker 1: like Georgia, and we like Ohio State minus four and

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Speaker 1: a half. The props three touchdowns Alonzo Barnett, y Young

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Speaker 1: Gaiden Thomas for James Madison, North Texas un ov Barren

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00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:19,920
Speaker 1: Morton under two hundred and forty eight and a half

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Speaker 1: for Texas Tech two lane quarterback Jake retz Laugh over

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Speaker 1: thirty three and a half rushing yards versus North Texas

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Speaker 1: Alabama quarterback Tys Simpson over thirty two and a half

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Speaker 1: pass attempts. Jacksonville State running back Cam Cook over one

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Speaker 1: hundred and twenty four and a half rushing yards versus

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Speaker 1: Kennesaw Dylan Riley over seventy eight and a half rushing

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00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:38,920
Speaker 1: yards Samari Taylor over eighty nine and a half in

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00:16:38,920 --> 00:16:42,280
Speaker 1: Gabrielle Benyard over sixty six and a half receiving yards

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Speaker 1: versus Jacksonville State. The hard rock bet of the week, Well,

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Speaker 1: All right, our hard rock bet of the week to

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Speaker 1: end out the show. We're riding this train, baby, We've

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Speaker 1: done it all year long. North Texas minus two and

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Speaker 1: a half at TWU Lane. There's supposed to be light

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Speaker 1: rain and wind in this game. When it's light rain

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Speaker 1: and wind, it typically favors the offense. North Texas has

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Speaker 1: outscored their opponents all year long. They got a little

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00:18:46,240 --> 00:18:50,399
Speaker 1: hamstrung by Navy. Tulane doesn't have Navy's defense. This is

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Speaker 1: a good game. I think Jake Retz left keeps tu

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Speaker 1: Lane in it obviously. I think he's going to run

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Speaker 1: and pass the ball well. But North Texas offense, just

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Speaker 1: to me, is too much for Tulane here. I think

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Speaker 1: they win going away. So minus two and a half

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Speaker 1: we will take it. We are showing value to that side.

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Speaker 1: We got it closer to a four and a half

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Speaker 1: to five point game in North Texas favor. So that

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Speaker 1: is it for me. Good luck everybody and we'll be

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Speaker 1: back with bowl coverage for you. Seth and I we'll

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Speaker 1: be covering the Bowls. I'll be doing this show as

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Speaker 1: well with the props, so stick around. We got way

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Speaker 1: more college football to come in bowl season and playoff seasons.

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Speaker 1: So that is it for us. Now take it easy

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Speaker 1: and good luck. We will see you in a couple weeks.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast.

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Speaker 3: If you love the show, the best freeway to support

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Speaker 3: us is by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts

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Speaker 3: Pros and Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to

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Speaker 3: our YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros