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Speaker 1: Hey, there, folks. It is March tenth, the day that

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Speaker 1: we are told a thirteen hundred pound object is hurling

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Speaker 1: towards Earth. We don't know where it's going to hit.

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Speaker 1: And when we said it's going to hit today, well

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Speaker 1: let's give a take a day or two. And with that,

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Speaker 1: welcome to this hilarious episode of Amy and TJ. Normally

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Speaker 1: this wouldn't be hilarious, but they are warning us robes, NASA,

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Speaker 1: our space for us, warning us that an object is

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Speaker 1: coming towards us right now, don't know where and don't

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Speaker 1: exactly know when.

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Speaker 2: So you find it amusing. I find it alarming. Maybe

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Speaker 2: it's a combination of both.

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Speaker 1: I think when we read some of the statement that

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Speaker 1: NASA put out, it gets comical.

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Speaker 2: It's sounds dangerous, yes, But when I see that there

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Speaker 2: is a thirteen hundred pound satellite that they didn't expect

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Speaker 2: to re enter the Earth's atmosphere for another ten years

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Speaker 2: is now arriving much earlier than anticipated. They can't pinpoint

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Speaker 2: exactly where it's going to hit, exact science and when

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Speaker 2: it's going to hit soon. We've been told the best

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Speaker 2: estimate is seven five pm Eastern time, give or take

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Speaker 2: twenty four hours, so any time between now and tomorrowrow

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Speaker 2: more basically.

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Speaker 1: Folks, is it's it's comical in that they're warning us

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Speaker 1: about something and telling us not to worry about something.

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Speaker 1: But they're telling us that there is an object that's

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Speaker 1: the size of maybe two refrigerators coming towards us, hurling ropes.

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Speaker 1: It's coming from these are haven't we talked about extinction

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Speaker 1: level events? If some object big enough is coming from

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Speaker 1: space and hitting the Earth, that's the first thing you

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Speaker 1: think about when you hear something like this. But then

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Speaker 1: how they downplay it is the part that gets It's comical, yes,

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Speaker 1: but I'm.

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Speaker 2: Not even buying necessarily their downplay. Tell me if you've

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Speaker 2: read it differently, well, it makes me. I guess I

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Speaker 2: understand the risk is low as they put it. However,

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Speaker 2: what I read the reason why they're able to say

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Speaker 2: that with some certainty is that seventy percent of this

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Speaker 2: Earth is covered by water, and they're hoping this satellite

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Speaker 2: lands in water.

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Speaker 1: So here's my okay, you maybe think of something else.

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Speaker 1: Are you telling me they're making the prediction just based

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Speaker 1: on percentages about the Earth, or they're making a prediction

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Speaker 1: based on how this thing, and the trajectory of this

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Speaker 1: thing that they're keeping an eye on.

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Speaker 2: I'm going to go with I don't know, okay, and

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's been actually clarified.

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Speaker 3: And that's what's a little concerning.

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Speaker 2: They say that the risk of harm coming to anyone

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Speaker 2: on Earth is approximately one in forty two hundred. But

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Speaker 2: here's what makes me nervous. This is from NASA. The

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Speaker 2: next line from NASA is NASA and Space Force will

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Speaker 2: continue to monitor the re entry and update predictions.

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Speaker 1: So let's update you first of all and explain what

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Speaker 1: we're talking about. I have to go back. This is

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Speaker 1: the Van Allen Probe. A is what it's called, and

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Speaker 1: it's called A is because there is a B. These

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Speaker 1: two probes were sent up a decade plus ago, twenty

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Speaker 1: twelve actually, and what they were gonna do. I'm not

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Speaker 1: gonna get into too much of the technical stuff because

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Speaker 1: you might have a hard time keeping up, So I'll

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Speaker 1: just tell you that it went up to study space stuff, So.

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Speaker 3: Tell me about weather and bands.

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Speaker 1: Don't want to confuse you all by getting into all

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Speaker 1: the technical aspects. But it was doing some space stuff

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Speaker 1: up there, all right. It was only supposed to be

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Speaker 1: up there for a two year mission. It ends up

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Speaker 1: going seven plus years because it just had a longer life.

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Speaker 1: But it's been floating around up there at robes. But

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Speaker 1: they always predicted it was going to have to come

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Speaker 1: back crashing to Earth, but they didn't think it was

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Speaker 1: coming any time soon.

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Speaker 2: Yes, it was I believe scheduled to re enter Earth

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Speaker 2: around twenty thirty four. So that's a big, big difference.

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Speaker 2: But they say the Sun has been more active than anticipated,

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Speaker 2: and so because of all this solar activity, apparently it

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Speaker 2: I guess the satellite degenerated further than they thought.

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Speaker 3: So now it is headed back to Earth. They know

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Speaker 3: that much.

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Speaker 2: Look, I'm always amazed at what scientists, and specifically NASA

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Speaker 2: scientists can predict in terms of where things are going

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Speaker 2: to land and when they're going to It's amazing the

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Speaker 2: precision with which they do everything that they do. So

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Speaker 2: this feels a little uncertain, and that isn't something that

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Speaker 2: I'm used to reading about or seeing.

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Speaker 1: Okay, and we need to be okay. So we're going

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Speaker 1: to read the two very relevant paragraphs from the NASA statement,

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Speaker 1: and it is important to note here first of all,

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Speaker 1: that yes, they do believe so much of it is

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Speaker 1: going to burn up in the atmosphere, and it shouldn't

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Speaker 1: necessarily hit the Earth wherever it hits as a big chunk,

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Speaker 1: some big mass, is what they're telling us. But robes

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Speaker 1: are telling us they don't know where this sucker is.

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Speaker 1: So this from NASA, the relevant lines at least where

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Speaker 1: they explain and folks, this is not a joe. We're

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Speaker 1: kind of laughing. You have to be a little amused

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Speaker 1: by this. But you'll see why now that we're told

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Speaker 1: a thirteen hundred pound thing is hurling to Earth today

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Speaker 1: and this is how NASA let us know about it.

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Speaker 2: As of March ninth, twenty twenty six, the US Space

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Speaker 2: Force predicted that the roughly thirteen hundred twenty three pound

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Speaker 2: spacecraft will re enter the atmosphere at approximately seven forty

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Speaker 2: five pm Eastern Time on March tenth, with an uncertainty

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Speaker 2: of plus or minus twenty four hours. NASA expects most

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Speaker 2: of the spacecraft to burn up as it travels through

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Speaker 2: the atmosphere, but some components are expected to survive re entry.

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Speaker 2: The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low,

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Speaker 2: approximately one in two hundred. NASA and Space Force will

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Speaker 2: continue to monitor the re entry and update predictions.

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Speaker 1: They need a word better than low. The risk of

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Speaker 1: harm to anyone is low. I need it to be zero, minuscule, infantismal.

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Speaker 1: I need them to use.

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Speaker 3: Word really impossible.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, oh zero, Just put something with a zero point

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Speaker 1: zero zeros. Give me something. Low is no good, babe.

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Speaker 2: Do you know what the words are that stick out

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Speaker 2: to me when I'm looking at this statement on my screen? Uncertainty, low, approximately,

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Speaker 2: update predictions, monitor. Those are all words I don't want

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Speaker 2: to hear from a space agency telling me that a

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Speaker 2: spacecraft is hurling towards Earth.

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Speaker 1: Low is a problem for me, robes, Low is a problem.

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Speaker 1: You can't say low, there's a low chance. Yeah, that's

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Speaker 1: a low chance I'll get into a car accident. There's low,

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Speaker 1: but row one in forty two hundred. If you're going

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Speaker 1: to a outdoor concert tonight, you really really want to

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Speaker 1: see the artist, but somebody tells you forty two hundred

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Speaker 1: people are going to go, one is going to die.

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to the content. I'm not going.

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Speaker 1: That's no good. I don't like Oh my gods, man,

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Speaker 1: come on now. We need something a little more reassuring

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Speaker 1: than that come on, even you know what. This is

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Speaker 1: where I'm okay with the government lying to me, go ahead.

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Speaker 3: You know what, I agree.

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Speaker 2: And I've always wondered because, look, we see this in Hollywood.

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Speaker 2: We've seen stories like this where the government knows about

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Speaker 2: some mass tragedy about to happen.

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Speaker 3: And I've always thought, I'd rather not know.

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Speaker 2: If you can't prepare for it, if you can't do

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Speaker 2: anything about it, if I can't alter my activity in

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Speaker 2: any way to increase my risk of surviving, I would

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Speaker 2: rather not know.

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Speaker 1: You know, this is one. It seems weird to promote that,

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Speaker 1: but we have seen this so many times, to those

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Speaker 1: scenarios like don't we have to keep this from the

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Speaker 1: public because they would be panic? Yes, it would be

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Speaker 1: chaos that all these things. Hey, this is one.

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Speaker 3: Now where are you running to?

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Speaker 2: It's coming from outer space and we don't know where

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Speaker 2: it's hitting, so there's nothing we can do.

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Speaker 1: You can't run, you can't run from it.

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Speaker 3: We're sitting duck, giving.

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Speaker 1: Me a chance. But they really are telling us we're targets. Now,

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Speaker 1: there is more to their statement. It's a kind of

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Speaker 1: a long statement, but the other relevant line we include

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Speaker 1: in here wanted to make sure we pass this along now,

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Speaker 1: which is why they're how they're explaining robes. This thing

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Speaker 1: that was we weren't supposed to worry about for another decade.

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Speaker 1: Almost we're worrying about it now and for the next

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Speaker 1: twenty four hours.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, so NASA said this when the mission ended in

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Speaker 2: twenty nineteen. Analysis found that the spacecraft would re enter

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Speaker 2: Earth's atmosphere in twenty thirty four. However, those calculations were

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Speaker 2: made before the current solar cycle, which has proven far

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Speaker 2: more active than expected. In twenty twenty four, scientists confirmed

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Speaker 2: the Sun had reached its solar maximum, triggering intense space

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Speaker 2: weather events. These conditions increased atmospheric drag on this spacecraft

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Speaker 2: beyond initial estimates, resulting in an earlier than expected re entry.

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Speaker 2: And again, I'm looking at this now and there are

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Speaker 2: words that are jumping out to me that I don't like,

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Speaker 2: as in then expected, triggering intense events earlier than expected.

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Speaker 2: It's just basically saying, as much as we know, and

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Speaker 2: as much as we trust our scientists to know things

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Speaker 2: that we couldn't possibly even get our head around, hearing

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Speaker 2: their uncertainty is just a little unnerving.

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Speaker 1: Sound like a miscalculation in here, somewhere, the sun did

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Speaker 1: something we weren't expecting or predicting. Man, that's when you're

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Speaker 1: off by h about ten years. That's a that's a

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Speaker 1: pretty big miss.

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Speaker 3: Yes, and now they're telling us that the risk is low, just.

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Speaker 1: One in forty two hundred rose one in forty two

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Speaker 1: hundred is my biggest problem with all they have said.

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Speaker 1: Those odds are too hot, even though right when we

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Speaker 1: talk about the what are your chances of winning the lottery? Oh?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, one?

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Speaker 1: And what is it?

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Speaker 3: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: It's an astronomical number. It's a million, four digit numbers.

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Speaker 1: We are the odd This cannot be right. Something is

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Speaker 1: not right here, baby, It cannot be with how many

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Speaker 1: billion people on planet Earth the chan this wait a minute,

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Speaker 1: this isn't right. Are you reading this right?

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Speaker 3: I have read it.

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Speaker 2: This is from NASA and what's been reported from their

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Speaker 2: initial statement. And yes, and you'd think that they were

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Speaker 2: going to they would make sure that it was the

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Speaker 2: greatest so we would feel more safe. One in forty

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Speaker 2: two hundred. I am looking at it wrong. Okay, let

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Speaker 2: me let me try something out.

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Speaker 1: Let me try. Maybe we're reading it wrong.

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Speaker 3: We're not yes, Well, we're not scientists. Let me try mathematicians.

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Speaker 1: What if they're saying the risk of harm coming to

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Speaker 1: anyone one in forty two hundred, meaning if this thing

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Speaker 1: crashes to Earth forty two hundred times, only one of

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Speaker 1: those chances is somebody going to get injured.

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Speaker 2: Probably, But I still don't like those odds either. Yes,

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Speaker 2: that might be what they're saying.

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Speaker 1: But that's a weird way to put it.

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Speaker 3: It doesn't feel safe.

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Speaker 1: The risk of harm coming to anyone on Earth is low,

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Speaker 1: approximately one in forty two hundred.

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Speaker 2: I wanted it to say one in and then have

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Speaker 2: like ten digits.

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Speaker 3: Four digits not enough.

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Speaker 1: One in forty is so bizarre. But this is happening, folks.

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Speaker 1: It's happening today. They say they're gonna update this. I

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Speaker 1: actually have that website up I don't have where they're

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Speaker 1: supposed to have.

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Speaker 3: Can we sign up for alert updates?

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Speaker 1: They do? They have a whole lot in Oh no,

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Speaker 1: do you want that on your phone?

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Speaker 3: I do not, Like I said, I want to be

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Speaker 3: blissfully ignorant.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. Can you imagine getting that notification every time you're

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Speaker 1: looking up duck? Okay, so this is happening, but folks

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Speaker 1: get this. We're going through this now. We might have

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Speaker 1: to go through it again soon. Remember this satellite was

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Speaker 1: called Van Allen Probe A. There is a Van Allen

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Speaker 1: Probe B. So if A doesn't take us out, Probe

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Speaker 1: B is coming. Stay here.

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Speaker 2: Welcome back to everyone to this episode of Amy and TJ.

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Speaker 2: We hope that it isn't our last I say that

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Speaker 2: tongue in cheek, but yes, TJ, I feel like you've

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Speaker 2: been a little more amused by it. I've been a

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Speaker 2: little more alarmed by it. But we have been given

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Speaker 2: word from NASA that there is a thirteen hundred pound

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Speaker 2: spacecraft satellite that is hurling back towards Earth and it

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Speaker 2: will crash into Earth. Most of it will burn up

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Speaker 2: by the way in the atmosphere, but there will be

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Speaker 2: parts of it they believe that will come crashing to Earth.

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Speaker 2: The problem is they don't know exactly when, and they

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Speaker 2: don't know exactly where.

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Speaker 1: Which is a problem for some. But they're letting us know.

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Speaker 1: The chances robes are so low that any harm is

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Speaker 1: going to come to anyone in the world, So that

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Speaker 1: should give you some level of comfort.

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Speaker 3: But they can't guarantee that it won't be okay.

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Speaker 1: So we've seen a lot of movies. I wonder how

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Speaker 1: much of this plays into it. But Robes, I, what

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Speaker 1: is happening is terrifying. How they are choosing to inform

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Speaker 1: us about it is the part that I find hilarious.

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Speaker 1: If sometimes they give us we've seen things in the past,

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Speaker 1: they give us warnings or something's coming to Earth, like

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Speaker 1: a something is going to hurl into Earth some common

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Speaker 1: what we've seen these Yes, even when they say there's

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Speaker 1: going to be a close it's going to be close

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Speaker 1: to Earth, it's still farther away the moon. Is that

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Speaker 1: kind of a thing. This doesn't come off that way

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Speaker 1: to me to where we're used to just ignoring. Ah,

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Speaker 1: it's no big deal. This one felt a little different.

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Speaker 1: And maybe it's nothing either, But I.

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Speaker 2: Just don't like the fact that they're just estimating things

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Speaker 2: and they'll be updating their predictions in the coming hours.

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Speaker 2: Talk tick talk, and Look. We were asking about the percentages.

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Speaker 2: There is a site called space dot com that claims

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Speaker 2: when you look at the numbers they gave us in

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Speaker 2: terms of the low risk, they're saying that low risk

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Speaker 2: of injury is about zero point zero two percent that's

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Speaker 2: stuff and does take into account the fact that water

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Speaker 2: covers seventy percent of Earth's surface. So they're saying any

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Speaker 2: parts that would survive re entry that would come crashing

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Speaker 2: down to Earth most likely just given that will splash

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Speaker 2: down in the water, not on land or in a city.

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Speaker 3: But what if it does.

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Speaker 1: I don't like that's a prediction based on the Earth's.

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Speaker 3: Surface.

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Speaker 1: Yes, that's not a prediction based on I'm watching this

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Speaker 1: thing the trajectory, that is what I'm I haven't seen

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Speaker 1: that prediction.

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Speaker 3: I haven't either. I haven't seen them say the trajectory.

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Speaker 2: We've all put this into place, you know, way back

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Speaker 2: when we put this up in the air fourteen years ago,

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Speaker 2: we already had a plan for it to crash in

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Speaker 2: the Indian Ocean.

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Speaker 3: No, no one's saying.

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Speaker 2: That there is a noted or a specific trajectory where

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Speaker 2: it's expected to land in a body of water.

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Speaker 3: It sounds like they're crossing their fingers.

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Speaker 1: Based on the Earth's surface, as you said. But wrote,

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Speaker 1: would they have to give us a heads up if

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Speaker 1: they thought even there was a chance it was going

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Speaker 1: to hit in the Midwest?

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Speaker 2: Yes, Well, I do believe that is why we're getting

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Speaker 2: the caveat They're saying, we're going to update predictions in

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Speaker 2: the coming hours, so once they get more information, once

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Speaker 2: they see where this thing is, I mean, we have

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Speaker 2: to know that they're tracking the sucker. So when if

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Speaker 2: they saw that it was headed somewhere other than open ocean,

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Speaker 2: I would think, yes, if there's enough time to evacuate,

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Speaker 2: to get people, just in case there could be who

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Speaker 2: I don't know what the size of these particles could

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Speaker 2: be that are coming down, raining down, And I don't

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Speaker 2: think they know either, because they don't know how much

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Speaker 2: will burn up and how much particles will be remaining.

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Speaker 1: This is wild, folks, this is happening. This is happening today.

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Speaker 1: Keep your eyes on the news, keep your eyes on

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Speaker 1: the skies, I suppose. But there is a thirteen hundred

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Speaker 1: pound satellite that is coming today. We're told Brother twin

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Speaker 1: Brother is coming. We're told when was.

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Speaker 2: It twenty thirty? Before twenty thirty? Actually it's not even specific.

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Speaker 2: They believe that Van Allen probe B will re enter

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Speaker 2: Earth before twenty thirty.

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Speaker 1: So next week probably, it's what they're telling us.

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Speaker 3: They don't know, right, correct, Oh sorry I didn't either.

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Speaker 2: It's not expected before twenty thirty, so anytime after twenty thirty. Sorry,

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Speaker 2: let me be specific, because they initially thought that both

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Speaker 2: of these probes were coming in twenty thirty four. Now

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Speaker 2: they're saying Probe B will be coming between twenty thirty

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Speaker 2: and twenty twenty four.

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Speaker 1: You know what, my smart ass comment stands, it'll be

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Speaker 1: next week.

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Speaker 2: I mean, with the Sun's increased solar activity. It's anyone's guess.

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Speaker 1: This is something. So folks, keep your eyes on the news,

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Speaker 1: keep your eyes on the skies. We suppose today as well.

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Speaker 1: But this is for real. They tell us it is coming. Look,

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Speaker 1: if there was enough alarm to raise, I assume they

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Speaker 1: would tell people to stay inside even if they needed

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Speaker 1: to robes. But it's just a crazy story to tell

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Speaker 1: us that a thirteen hundred pound object is on the

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Speaker 1: way and it's going to hit at some point in

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Speaker 1: the next twenty four hours.

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Speaker 2: Yes, let's just hope that we can safely report on

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Speaker 2: where it in fact landed on tomorrow's morning run.

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Speaker 3: So look for that.

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Speaker 2: In the meantime, I'm not going to be looking up.

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Speaker 2: Thank you for listening to us, everyone. I maybe roboch

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Speaker 2: alongside TJ.

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Speaker 3: Holmes. We will talk to you soon.