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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: Podas all Right, here we go.

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Speaker 3: Fifteen cuny twenty five, thirty thirty five, forty forty five

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Speaker 3: fifty and the kick as block Book College Football World Stunde.

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Speaker 4: Oh my goodness, he's.

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Speaker 5: Stumbled and football the lateral turn the corner on the inside.

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Speaker 5: Can't you believe that? Tap them off the.

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Speaker 1: Field to night.

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Speaker 5: It's not the side of the dog.

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Speaker 3: In the fight.

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Speaker 5: It's the side of the fight in the roll.

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Speaker 1: What's up the gener nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 1: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett NGM. This is the

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Speaker 1: week zero betting preview and season long futures recap. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I'm stucky in joining me. As always, it's my BBOC

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Speaker 1: fellow co host Colin Wilson. We are almost all the

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Speaker 1: way back, less than forty eight hours from the first

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Speaker 1: kickoff of the twenty twenty four college football season, naturally

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Speaker 1: in Dublin, Ireland. Collin, what's going on?

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Speaker 5: We are back? I mean, we actually have real games

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Speaker 5: to talk about, enough planning and futures and win totals,

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Speaker 5: which we're gonna get to at the end of the

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Speaker 5: podcast with our favorites. But you know, it's gonna feel

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Speaker 5: real stuck when it's about noon on Saturday, and whatever

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Speaker 5: bet we have in Florida State, Georgia Tech is probably

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Speaker 5: in the trash already. That my friend is the beauty

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Speaker 5: of week zero in week one. Just try to survive

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Speaker 5: and go five hundred the next two weeks, and then

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Speaker 5: you and I can cruise on the information that we got.

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Speaker 5: That's my goal over week zero. I don't have.

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Speaker 1: Any bets for week zero or week one yet because

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Speaker 1: I did a personal challenge. I told myself I can't

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Speaker 1: place any bets for college football until I lose exactly

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Speaker 1: thirty pounds. I've lost twenty nine point eight and have

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Speaker 1: been stuck there for last tw days.

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Speaker 5: Now.

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Speaker 1: If another day goes by, I'm gonna throw that out

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Speaker 1: the window. I'm obviously good at bet if it didn't happen,

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Speaker 1: but that was a personal challenge of mine, so I'm

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Speaker 1: very very close. A couple of vacations kind of spoiled

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Speaker 1: an eating in France for a couple of weeks didn't help.

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Speaker 1: But yeah, it's been a fun summer, a lot of

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Speaker 1: preparation as well, and now it's lock into the grind,

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Speaker 1: basically just being a dungeon until the college basketball National Championship.

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Speaker 1: So it's eight month, full on grind. It's a labor

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Speaker 1: of love. I'm excited for it. Before we get started

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Speaker 1: here and dive into week zero, if you haven't yet,

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Speaker 1: please subscribe to the new BBOC YouTube channel. You know

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Speaker 1: a lot of you already have, but if you're watching

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Speaker 1: this on YouTube and you haven't subscribed yet, hit that

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Speaker 1: subscribe button. That's where you'll get early access to these

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Speaker 1: episodes plus exclusive content you want to find it anywhere else.

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Speaker 1: We'll have interviews, we'll have live stuff. We'll even have

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Speaker 1: a portion of our show this season that will be

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Speaker 1: live when we record on Thursdays and that's our three

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Speaker 1: and out. We'll out of fourth down, we'll do like

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Speaker 1: favorite bet or underdog money on my probably a favorite favorite,

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Speaker 1: and then we'll talk about the Friday night games. That

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Speaker 1: might even add some additional content there where we just

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Speaker 1: rapid fire talk about some other games because we're live

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Speaker 1: and there's really no time limits, so that'll be exciting.

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Speaker 1: To subscribe, just go to YouTube and search BPOC or

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Speaker 1: follow the link in this episode's description. All right, let's

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Speaker 1: let's dive right in two Week zero. It's a you know,

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Speaker 1: part of me just wishes like summer was extended one

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Speaker 1: more week because looking at this slate, if you're gonna

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Speaker 1: give us a week zero slate, like give us a

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Speaker 1: slate or just wait and then we have another week

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Speaker 1: for all the futures. And I mean, at least it's

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Speaker 1: one of the we have only four games. I feel

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Speaker 1: like this has been one of This is one of

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Speaker 1: the worst week zero slates, right, would you agree?

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Speaker 5: McNeice and Tarleton doesn't do it for you? In North

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Speaker 5: Alabama Southeast the CIMO, I mean, that doesn't do it

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Speaker 5: for you. Stuck.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm way behind on like FCS. I don't have

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Speaker 1: FCS numbers that I feel really strong. So we'll talk

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Speaker 1: about that. Because there's two FCS teams playing FBS teams,

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Speaker 1: including Delaware State. Are they going to make it to

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Speaker 1: Hawaii for the game? College football is the best They

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Speaker 1: missed their flight, So Georgia Tech and Florida State are

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Speaker 1: going to Dublin. But Delaware State, I mean, one of

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Speaker 1: the worst programs at the FCS level. They are bad, bad,

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Speaker 1: They have a longer flight, they have a longer travel.

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Speaker 1: Apparently this was as of yesterday. They were over the

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Speaker 1: next like thirty six hours. They're going to try and

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Speaker 1: just get their players on a bunch of commercial flights

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Speaker 1: out there, and then they're going to play a game

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Speaker 1: that's midnight eastern bodyclockwise. So like, yeah, it's not ideal.

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Speaker 1: I mean, there's going out there for the experience. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I don't know how much it's gonna ruin the preparation.

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Speaker 1: I don't think the spread is forty. But anyway, let's

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Speaker 1: start with Florida State Georgia Tech. That is the best

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Speaker 1: game on the board. It'll kick off at noon Eastern on.

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Speaker 2: ESPN Whenhish guys a Smiley short. Is like.

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Speaker 1: Florida State sitting around a ten ten and a half

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Speaker 1: point favorite total fifty five and a half. Florida State

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Speaker 1: favored to win the ACC but they did have significant

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Speaker 1: roster turnover on both sides of the ball. Georgia Tech

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Speaker 1: exciting offense, questionable defense. I think that offense that'll be

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Speaker 1: the case once again this year. I'm not sure that

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Speaker 1: they addressed their defensive issues. The offense I think has

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Speaker 1: the potential to be even better under Buster Faulkner. He

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Speaker 1: saw quarterback Haynes King really start to pick up that

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Speaker 1: offense they started to implement some more things as the

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Speaker 1: season went on. Now you have a full off season,

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Speaker 1: so I think the offense will be electric. But can

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Speaker 1: they get any stops is the question. I think we

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Speaker 1: probably have differing views on this game. I got too

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Speaker 1: cute Number one I was waiting to I couldn't bet

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Speaker 1: any week zero because of my own personal challenge, But

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Speaker 1: it wouldn't matter because the one game I wanted to

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Speaker 1: bat was Georgia Tech, and I wanted it to get

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Speaker 1: to fourteen, and it didn't get there. I'm lower on

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Speaker 1: Florida State than most. One of the reasons why I

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Speaker 1: like Clemson to win the ACC and Clemson to get

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Speaker 1: to the College Football Playoff. That plays a part in that.

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Speaker 1: But the reason I wanted to wait till fourteen is

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Speaker 1: I was I'm semi concerned about the matchup in that

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Speaker 1: I'm not a DJU guy. This is maybe I don't

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Speaker 1: know if it's still a DJU podcast, you'll you'll talk

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Speaker 1: about that next from your perspective, but I think that

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Speaker 1: the way to beat this Florida State team. And by

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Speaker 1: the way, someone out there, either as some intel or

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Speaker 1: an influential group, does not like this Florida State team

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Speaker 1: because this number got beat down. It's even touched ten

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Speaker 1: at some places, and then a couple hours ago BC

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Speaker 1: got hit across the key number next week against Florida State.

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Speaker 1: For what it's worth, I bring this up every year,

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Speaker 1: and we'll talk about this more next week. But I've

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Speaker 1: wrote about this for the last six seven years since

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Speaker 1: we started action. Teams that are playing their first game

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Speaker 1: against teams that already played, and I remove fcs because

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Speaker 1: it's not that efficient of the market. So teams playing

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Speaker 1: their first game against teams that already played in week zero,

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Speaker 1: sixty thirty four against the spreads in two thousand and five,

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Speaker 1: sixty three point eight percent went four and one last year.

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Speaker 1: And the rationale there is that you actually have tape

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Speaker 1: on your opponent, so that outweighs the rust that you

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Speaker 1: were able to shake off. And by the way, you

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Speaker 1: don't worry about travel, right, you're not going to overseas

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Speaker 1: and that cuts into your prep time and you get

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Speaker 1: extra time to just prepare for one opponent. So keep

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Speaker 1: that in mind next week. Ab an article as I

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Speaker 1: always do about those specific games in my thoughts, but

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Speaker 1: when it comes to this specific game, when looking to

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Speaker 1: fade Florida State this year. I want teams that can

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Speaker 1: stop their ground game and force DJU to throw in

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Speaker 1: known passing situations, and I'm just not sure Georgia Tech

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Speaker 1: has the horses to do that. This is a team

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Speaker 1: that was bottom five nationally and standard down success rate, So, like,

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Speaker 1: I just have concerns that Florida State is going to

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Speaker 1: have a lot of talent on that defense. I know

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Speaker 1: that they lost a lot of guys to the pros,

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Speaker 1: but they still have a lot of talent. They're going

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Speaker 1: to be able to get some stops. And is Georgia

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Speaker 1: Tech just not going to be able to get any

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Speaker 1: stops because they can't stop the run, you know, And

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Speaker 1: that's going to set up the play action because I

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Speaker 1: think that the way to stop dis Florida State offense

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Speaker 1: because of some of dju's deficiencies is to stop the

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Speaker 1: run on early downs. Not sure the Ramblin Reck can

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Speaker 1: do that. What are your thoughts here?

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Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean you touched on a lot of things.

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Speaker 5: You and I both had differing approaches, like where we

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Speaker 5: wanted to get the team that we wanted to get

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Speaker 5: and we were trying to make a case for it,

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Speaker 5: and I think both of us are kind of like,

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Speaker 5: what the heck is going on in the market right now?

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Speaker 5: And you're right, you know, BC getting hit against Florida

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Speaker 5: State Georgia Tech Open thirteen thirteen and a half. I

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Speaker 5: believe there was a flicker of a fourteen sometime during

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Speaker 5: the summer, But you know, once this thing got to

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Speaker 5: eleven and a half, I started sending the birds in

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Speaker 5: the air earlier this week, like what is going on?

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Speaker 5: And it's week zero, week one. Just be prepared, guys.

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Speaker 5: There's going to be first half suspensions, there's going to

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Speaker 5: be full game suspensions. But in this case, the only

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Speaker 5: thing that we can find is that offensive coordinator Alex

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Speaker 5: Atkins is going to serve a three game suspension for

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Speaker 5: recruiting violations. Now does that mean anything here? I don't

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Speaker 5: think it does because we'll go through unit by uni here.

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Speaker 5: But the crux of this game is this Florida State

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Speaker 5: offensive line. Dju and his eleven hundred yards he has

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Speaker 5: career on the ground and roydla Williams three point foty

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Speaker 5: yards after contact getting transferred in from Bama. One hundred

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Speaker 5: and ninety starts on this offensive line, ninety percent of

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Speaker 5: the snaps from last year, they should dominate the Georgia

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Speaker 5: Tech defensive front. This is supposed to be the worst

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Speaker 5: linebacking corps all the acc The defensive line isn't too

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Speaker 5: far back, and what does Florida State run all the time?

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Speaker 5: Alex Atkins loves outside zone? He loves counter. So the

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Speaker 5: first thing you want to do is go to that

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Speaker 5: Georgia Tech defense and say, well, can they defend outside zone?

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Speaker 5: Can they defend counter? Well? That really comes down on

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Speaker 5: your edge rushers. And when you look at this Sylvian

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Speaker 5: Yo John twenty seven snaps last year, you had three

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Speaker 5: hundred the year before, not even replacement level numbers. He's

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Speaker 5: on the depth chart as number one. Then Romelo height

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Speaker 5: is listed as the rush edge on the depth chart

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Speaker 5: for this game. Just a few hundred career snaps at

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Speaker 5: Auburn and USC nothing above replacement level production. There is

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Speaker 5: nothing on the defensive end, says Georgia Tech's going to

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Speaker 5: be able to defend outside zone run by DJU and

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Speaker 5: Roy del Williams, which I'm glad Roy Williams is going

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Speaker 5: to get a full carry load here because he's he

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Speaker 5: was pretty explosive when he ran for Bama. Then you

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Speaker 5: look at the linebackers. The depth is a major issue.

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Speaker 1: Now.

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Speaker 5: Now remember this is a new defensive coordinator for Georgia Tech.

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Speaker 5: Tyler Santucci comes in. This is the first time he's

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Speaker 5: ever been a defensive coordinator, So that's another thing for

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Speaker 5: Georgia Tech. He's going to implement the four two five

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Speaker 5: because he's been at Texas A and M he's been

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Speaker 5: a duke. He's in at Mikeelko disciple. You're gonna see that.

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Speaker 5: But Mike Elko's best four to two fives is when

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Speaker 5: they have great linebackers. We don't have that here. Trenalius

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Speaker 5: Tatum had twenty six tackles a very high seventeen percent

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Speaker 5: mistackle rate last year. It's unacceptable. Kyle Effert had fifty

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Speaker 5: one tackles, high tackling grade, probably the worst coverage grading

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Speaker 5: on the entire team. If you if you look on

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Speaker 5: PAFF if you like that kind of stuff. So I

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Speaker 5: don't see what's stopping Florida State here, and we're not

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Speaker 5: asking DJU to throw down the field. I don't think

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Speaker 5: most of the third downs are going to be longer

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Speaker 5: than the third and four. This tandem here, with this

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Speaker 5: offensive line should be able to absolutely plow through these

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Speaker 5: defensive ends when you go to the other side of

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Speaker 5: the ball stuck down, and when.

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Speaker 1: He does throw like he's gonna be throwing. It's like

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Speaker 1: a Oregon State last year when Oregon State was able

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Speaker 1: to run right yeah.

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Speaker 5: And run it well.

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Speaker 1: Dju throwing with play action is perfectly capable. It's when

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Speaker 1: which he'll be able to do that on some early

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Speaker 1: downs here. Novell is a good play caller. It's that

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Speaker 1: if you're stopping their run and then forcing him to throw,

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Speaker 1: and there's are questions with a receiver for parts, and

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Speaker 1: you're forcing to throw when the defense knows you have

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Speaker 1: to throw. That's why I have questions with Florida State

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Speaker 1: this season. But I'm not sure that, like as you said,

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Speaker 1: Georgia Tech has the horses to make them do that,

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Speaker 1: because the strength of this team is their offensive line,

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Speaker 1: as you mentioned, their backfield and their ground game, and

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Speaker 1: Georgia Tech just doesn't have the horses to really slow

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Speaker 1: that down.

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Speaker 5: I think the other thing from Oregon State for Dju

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Speaker 5: is also he increased his average depth of target for

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Speaker 5: his for his career number increased by like two yards.

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Speaker 5: And I know there's a lot of play action involved,

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Speaker 5: there's a lot more deeper shots. His big time throw

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Speaker 5: rate spiked last year, so I could be, you know,

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Speaker 5: a product of the Oregon State offense and that great

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Speaker 5: rushing attack that they had could be a product of

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Speaker 5: Pac twelve defenses. But dju had career numbers at Oregon State,

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Speaker 5: so we'll see if that applies here. I just don't

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Speaker 5: see resistance on the other side of the ball. You

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Speaker 5: can make a case, excuse me, you can make a

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Speaker 5: case for Georgia Tech easily. I mean the offense is

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Speaker 5: going to move the chains with quarterback Haynes King and

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Speaker 5: with running back Jamal Haynes buster Faulkner. I don't know

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Speaker 5: how he's the offensive coordinator here as soon to be

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Speaker 5: a head coach, soon to be one of the best coordinators.

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Speaker 5: It's mentioned in households from are on out. He called

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Speaker 5: a fifty five percent rush last year, heavy zone option,

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Speaker 5: some inside zone. More than you know Florida State runs

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Speaker 5: the outside. This will be inside zone. And he had

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Speaker 5: about one hundred and twenty rushing attempts called last year

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Speaker 5: using counter so a lot of the same philosophies that

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Speaker 5: Florida State runs and the strength of the FSU defense

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Speaker 5: is a secondary. It is an elite secondary. Absolutely tackles

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Speaker 5: great in space, They're good just about everywhere. The secondary

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Speaker 5: ranked is the best cover unit nationally and on target ball.

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Speaker 5: Now I love on target rate because that determines if

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Speaker 5: your wide receivers have a clean catch in the numbers

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Speaker 5: in stride, Florida State secondary last year was number one

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Speaker 5: in the nation at stopping teams from throwing a clean

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Speaker 5: ball to a wide receiver and stride, they're going to

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Speaker 5: eliminate explosive plays. I think this is number nineteen. SP

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Speaker 5: plus makes it nineteen. Sagarin came out this week. They

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Speaker 5: make it fourteen and a half. I don't know if

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Speaker 5: this is Alex Atkins. I don't know if there are suspensions.

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Speaker 5: I don't know if there's just a lot of hate

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Speaker 5: for Florida State because they're not going to be what

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Speaker 5: they were last year. But when you just base it

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Speaker 5: purely upon Florida State's ground game against Georgia Tech's front seven,

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Speaker 5: this isn't even going to be close. So I'm taking

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Speaker 5: Florida State. I got minus eleven. I'm going to bet

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Speaker 5: Florida State here.

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Speaker 1: You're way, way, way higher than me. But I'm going

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Speaker 1: to need probably fourteen bet or better live. That's the

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Speaker 1: number I wanted originally, so that's probably what I'm gonna

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Speaker 1: wait for in that one. Let's move on to the

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Speaker 1: second game, Nevada taking on SMU in prime time. This

295
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Speaker 1: number was way lower than it got up to twenty

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Speaker 1: seven ish then it got hit back down Nevada. A

297
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Speaker 1: couple of groups have hit them this weekend next week,

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Speaker 1: so they've taken money. Even though Brandon Lewis is getting

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Speaker 1: the start at quarterback because Choba Party is hurt and

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Speaker 1: he's not that good. Uh, you know, I'm between twenty

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Speaker 1: four and twenty seven on this game, so just didn't

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Speaker 1: really interest me. The you know what, the thought I

303
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Speaker 1: do have on this game is just something I'm thinking

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Speaker 1: about more at from a general perspective, is you know,

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Speaker 1: with all of the the new landscape of college football

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Speaker 1: with nil, all of the movement in rosters, and you know,

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Speaker 1: the transfer portal and then you know, now these some

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Speaker 1: of these lower level programs have to go get you know,

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Speaker 1: guys from fcs D two, Chuco. You know, there's so

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Speaker 1: much more player movement makes, you know, getting ready for

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Speaker 1: the season much more arduous task. But you know, part

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Speaker 1: of me is starting to think, because that report came

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Speaker 1: out that Preston Stone is going to start and he's

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Speaker 1: healthy and good to go. He's injured at the end

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Speaker 1: of last year, their star quarterback. But Kevin Jennings, who

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Speaker 1: fared well in his absence, is also going to play.

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Speaker 1: Like that's the report came out, Like you and naturally think, yeah,

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Speaker 1: that would probably happen if you know, they were up

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Speaker 1: by thirty late as you know, the spread indicates that

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Speaker 1: it's going to be a blowout. But I'm starting to think, like, okay,

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Speaker 1: with this new nil, are are we going to see

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Speaker 1: more favorites? You know, and it might just be marginal,

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Speaker 1: but bigger favorites cover a little more often because it's like, hey,

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Speaker 1: Kevin Jennings is a sophomore and he goes to the

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Speaker 1: coach like, hey, I want to audition right for where

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Speaker 1: I might be going next. So instead of like running

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Speaker 1: out the clock, you go out and you give kids

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Speaker 1: more of a chance to like shine on TV. I

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Speaker 1: don't know, I don't know if it's a nonsensical thought,

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Speaker 1: but it's something I thought about this game because that

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Speaker 1: report came out.

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Speaker 5: That's the Florida coaches philosophy. Right, I'm going to run

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Speaker 5: as my tempo as fast as possible, even in the

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Speaker 5: fourth quarter, up by thirty.

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Speaker 1: So your boy scared money, don't make money?

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Speaker 5: You know what?

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Speaker 1: Do you think you have any thoughts here?

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Speaker 5: The side for me was a no play from the beginning.

339
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Speaker 5: I make it twenty five. There's a lot of reasons

340
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Speaker 5: to not like SMU here playing in Elevation Monster Elevation

341
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Speaker 5: here in Reno. You know, there's not really an overlook

342
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Speaker 5: spot for them. They're playing Houston Christian Houston Baptists, so

343
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Speaker 5: there's not really an overlook here. But the one thing

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Speaker 5: that I was drawn to immediately was the total. It's

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Speaker 5: a total that I made at fifty one, and I'm

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Speaker 5: not expecting, oh, pace is not going to change for

347
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Speaker 5: SMU at all. And when you look at Nevada, you

348
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Speaker 5: have to talk about what is it they're going to

349
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Speaker 5: do on offense because Jeff Chod takes over as head coach,

350
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Speaker 5: but he's a defensive minded coach his entire career. They

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Speaker 5: went and got Matt Lubick the offensive coordinator. He's the

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Speaker 5: offensive coordinator now, but he spent the last two years

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Speaker 5: as an analyst at Kansas, Well, what do we know

354
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Speaker 5: about Kansas? Thirty seconds per play, slow, a lot of

355
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Speaker 5: pre snap motion. The reason why Kansas looks like they're

356
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Speaker 5: a fast up tempo team, especially on the scoreboard, is

357
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Speaker 5: because they have huge explosive plays that's not in Nevada's

358
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Speaker 5: offense whatsoever. They've got Sewan Dollers and Pat Garwo who

359
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Speaker 5: practice full health this week. They've got that two headed

360
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Speaker 5: monster at running back. He's going to be heavily utilized

361
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Speaker 5: with their quarterback that's going to be starting here, and

362
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Speaker 5: I think it's just going to be a complete ground

363
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Speaker 5: attack from Nevada here, and that is also going to

364
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Speaker 5: eat away at the clock. There's plenty of other things.

365
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Speaker 5: The secondary brings back seventy five percent of their PBUs

366
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Speaker 5: on defense. I'm not saying that you can stop SMU

367
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Speaker 5: and their passing attack, but Nevada does have a pulse

368
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Speaker 5: when it comes to PBUs and pressures that they created

369
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Speaker 5: last year. They get cornered kk Meyer and Nicol Kane

370
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Speaker 5: Savage and safety Ad and salutle Back and they combined

371
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Speaker 5: for double digit PBUs last year. Again, I'm not saying

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Speaker 5: you're stopping the Smu're passing attack. But it's not like

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Speaker 5: they're dead. They have a pulse. So I mean, if

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Speaker 5: you can stop just a couple throws, that could change

375
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Speaker 5: the complexity of this, especially from a totals perspective, And

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Speaker 5: you know, I get it. Nevada was bottom ten and

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Speaker 5: almost every single stat last year on defense, but there

378
00:19:12,119 --> 00:19:15,040
Speaker 5: was one category where they slipped into the top one hundred,

379
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Speaker 5: and that was on targetball allowed. That means they were

380
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Speaker 5: changing up wide receivers where they caught the ball, getting

381
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Speaker 5: him to stop and stride, getting quarterbacks to maybe switch

382
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Speaker 5: and off their progressions and go to another option. So

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Speaker 5: you know, I'm not I don't have any love for

384
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Speaker 5: the Nevada defense, but the best part of them is

385
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Speaker 5: the secondary and that's exactly where SMU is going to

386
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Speaker 5: sink their teeth in. Except for Jalen Knight running behind

387
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Speaker 5: an offensive line as one hundred and twenty starts, that

388
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Speaker 5: could be a problem. Preston Stone, I mean, he was unbelievable.

389
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Speaker 5: Talk about him more for how much I love SMU

390
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Speaker 5: in this team. Twenty eight to six tds that I

391
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Speaker 5: and T's last year tripled the big time throw rate

392
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Speaker 5: versus turnover where they play that just that doesn't happen

393
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Speaker 5: very much. But you already mentioned it, like when is

394
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Speaker 5: Kevin Jennings going to come in and get his reps?

395
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Speaker 5: You know Lashley does not mine subbing in Kevin Jenny.

396
00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:05,800
Speaker 5: We've seen Kevin Jennings a lot before, and so you

397
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Speaker 5: have to ask, you know, what can they do here?

398
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,760
Speaker 5: They're Romelo, Brinston's coming back Muchie Dixon, a wide receiver,

399
00:20:10,880 --> 00:20:12,480
Speaker 5: both over two yards per rout run and it's an

400
00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,320
Speaker 5: extremely explosive offense. But you have to ask when Redd

401
00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:17,040
Speaker 5: Lashley is going to take his foot off the pedal.

402
00:20:17,920 --> 00:20:20,760
Speaker 5: Two years he's been the coach at SMU, thirteen games

403
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:22,720
Speaker 5: on the road, eight of them have gone to the under.

404
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:25,560
Speaker 5: This Novada offense is not going to be fast, It's

405
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Speaker 5: going to be ground based, and I think Red Lashley

406
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,359
Speaker 5: takes his foot off the pedal at some point. This

407
00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,000
Speaker 5: could be similar to Temple. Last year SMU went on

408
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Speaker 5: the road and beat Temple fifty five to zero. I

409
00:20:35,640 --> 00:20:38,160
Speaker 5: could see a shutout thrown on Nevada, and I could

410
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Speaker 5: see Raded Lashley calling the dogs off at about forty

411
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Speaker 5: eight forty five points. So I like the under here.

412
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Speaker 5: I wrote it up in our mismatches piece earlier this

413
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Speaker 5: week at Action Network, and really what I said was

414
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Speaker 5: fifty five is key, fifty nine is key. I would

415
00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:53,920
Speaker 5: love to get that fifty nine. After that piece came out,

416
00:20:53,960 --> 00:20:56,760
Speaker 5: the total twoket hit closer to fifty five. I am

417
00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,200
Speaker 5: resigned with the fact here I'm going to play SMU

418
00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,480
Speaker 5: and Avada live on the under if I can get

419
00:21:01,520 --> 00:21:03,639
Speaker 5: fifty nine. If not, and I miss it, that's fine

420
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Speaker 5: because I've got a real feel in this thing lands

421
00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:07,840
Speaker 5: fifty five or fifty eight in the game. So if

422
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Speaker 5: I don't get fifty nine, I'm gonna play under live.

423
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Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't mind that, assuming that SMU does Eventually,

424
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Speaker 1: They're not in there just with Jennings running their fast

425
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Speaker 1: paced offense because it is a team last year that

426
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Speaker 1: just the one thing I'm concerned about with SMU is

427
00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:25,760
Speaker 1: like can they because last year and really the last

428
00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:29,520
Speaker 1: couple of years against Power five teams, their offense hasn't

429
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Speaker 1: really fared as well as it has against you know,

430
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Speaker 1: teams that are at or below their level, and against

431
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Speaker 1: those teams, they just crush them. At twenty four probably

432
00:21:41,760 --> 00:21:45,760
Speaker 1: lean SMU, but there's definitely some uncertainty with how SMU

433
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,840
Speaker 1: is going to approach this from a quarterback perspective, but

434
00:21:48,000 --> 00:21:50,760
Speaker 1: I don't mind. Don't mind your underlooked there. Let's move

435
00:21:50,800 --> 00:21:56,400
Speaker 1: on to the two FCS FBS games. We have New

436
00:21:56,440 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 1: Mexico a eleven and a half home dog, pretty crazy

437
00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:06,480
Speaker 1: to Montana State. If the spread holds at above double digits,

438
00:22:06,480 --> 00:22:10,040
Speaker 1: it will be the largest home FBS dog against an

439
00:22:10,119 --> 00:22:15,600
Speaker 1: FCS team in college football history. That's definitely a historical line.

440
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:20,199
Speaker 1: Oh no, we suck again. You know, I make this

441
00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:24,720
Speaker 1: under ten. So at this price range, I would it

442
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:26,840
Speaker 1: would be New Mexico or nothing. I just I don't

443
00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:29,320
Speaker 1: have a ton of confidence in my FCS numbers at

444
00:22:29,320 --> 00:22:32,120
Speaker 1: this moment. But what I can tell you about Montana State,

445
00:22:32,160 --> 00:22:35,760
Speaker 1: they've been an elite they're top three FCS team in

446
00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:37,639
Speaker 1: the mix for the national title this year. They have

447
00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:41,320
Speaker 1: an elite rushing offense. You know, they did lose three

448
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:44,560
Speaker 1: offensive linemen to the FBS level. Still have a really

449
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:48,199
Speaker 1: really good center and tackle. Both guards are dealing with injuries,

450
00:22:48,240 --> 00:22:52,359
Speaker 1: and their top back who might not play in this game.

451
00:22:53,119 --> 00:22:55,639
Speaker 1: And they have one quarterback back and a lot but

452
00:22:55,760 --> 00:22:58,359
Speaker 1: there are other chambers. He's gone. They kind of like

453
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:02,360
Speaker 1: did a dual quarter system. The New OC I think

454
00:23:02,440 --> 00:23:04,920
Speaker 1: wants to be more balanced and throw it more because

455
00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,760
Speaker 1: they were just a great rushing offense, pretty inconsistent when

456
00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:11,520
Speaker 1: they threw the ball. Chambers has been injured in the past,

457
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:16,040
Speaker 1: so that is a question, like how much do they

458
00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:19,760
Speaker 1: want to run and keep men if they're up against

459
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:22,440
Speaker 1: an FBS team. It's not really I don't know, it's

460
00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,359
Speaker 1: on TV. I'm sure they really care about this game.

461
00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:27,160
Speaker 1: They're projected starting free safety from air Force. He's likely

462
00:23:27,200 --> 00:23:31,240
Speaker 1: out the past. He was pretty vulnerable last year the

463
00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:35,120
Speaker 1: New DC, so you know they they did really get

464
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:37,080
Speaker 1: after the quarterback that was the strength. But they lost

465
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:39,879
Speaker 1: two key defensive linemen, still two very good ones up

466
00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:42,719
Speaker 1: front in their four two five D. Does New Mexico

467
00:23:42,800 --> 00:23:45,399
Speaker 1: have the weapons to take advantage of some of the

468
00:23:45,400 --> 00:23:47,160
Speaker 1: potential weaknesses.

469
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:48,240
Speaker 5: In the back end?

470
00:23:48,400 --> 00:23:52,240
Speaker 1: Pick Maybe Devin Dampier had not really offenive, but he's

471
00:23:52,280 --> 00:23:57,680
Speaker 1: played and they have some promising wide receivers. Broncko mendon

472
00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:00,719
Speaker 1: All takes over for New Mexico. A lot of uncertainty

473
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:03,639
Speaker 1: on this roster. You think this line is too.

474
00:24:03,520 --> 00:24:08,600
Speaker 3: High maybe by point I mean there I tried to

475
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:11,679
Speaker 3: make a case for New Mexico knowing you know, I

476
00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:14,400
Speaker 3: talked to Bronco Menden Hall in Vegas at Mountain West

477
00:24:14,440 --> 00:24:15,160
Speaker 3: Media Day.

478
00:24:15,880 --> 00:24:18,679
Speaker 5: And this is not even a year zero situation. This

479
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:21,840
Speaker 5: is anybody can play any position if they show out

480
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,119
Speaker 5: in practice. I mean it is a complete reset in

481
00:24:24,240 --> 00:24:26,919
Speaker 5: so many spots on both sides of the ball. I

482
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:28,919
Speaker 5: don't know how you make a case for him. I tried.

483
00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:32,440
Speaker 5: There's no elevation advantage here. I mean Boseman is forty

484
00:24:32,440 --> 00:24:35,280
Speaker 5: eight hundred plus feet in the air. I mean ABQ

485
00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,760
Speaker 5: Albuquerque's fifty three hundred. So it's not like you can

486
00:24:37,760 --> 00:24:41,720
Speaker 5: get Montana State on the elevation factor. You know, when

487
00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,600
Speaker 5: you look at Montana State, they ended twenty twenty three

488
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 5: losing in the second round of North Dakota State by

489
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,880
Speaker 5: one in overtime. If that's not motivation to come out

490
00:24:48,880 --> 00:24:52,320
Speaker 5: with your hair on fire, they do return quarterback temmym

491
00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:54,119
Speaker 5: a lot, like you said, is a twenty four to

492
00:24:54,160 --> 00:24:56,879
Speaker 5: six career TD to I in t shared time with

493
00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,240
Speaker 5: Sean Chambers. Chambers has gone. I think what's interesting about

494
00:25:00,280 --> 00:25:03,600
Speaker 5: Tommy mellot. He committed two turnover worthy plays and one

495
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:07,080
Speaker 5: hundred and forty two dropbacks. Last year. That's pretty impressive.

496
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,680
Speaker 5: The kid does not make mistakes. He added another five

497
00:25:09,760 --> 00:25:12,880
Speaker 5: hundred yards on the ground from designed calls. I think

498
00:25:12,960 --> 00:25:15,680
Speaker 5: that's important here because the lead rusher, Julian Davis also

499
00:25:15,680 --> 00:25:19,120
Speaker 5: returns the average seven yards per carry last year, kind

500
00:25:19,119 --> 00:25:21,280
Speaker 5: of insane. And I know that they want to pass

501
00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:22,919
Speaker 5: more and they said they want to be more balanced,

502
00:25:22,920 --> 00:25:25,520
Speaker 5: but they lose their top three pass catchers. Jacob Trimble

503
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,040
Speaker 5: returns with the most targets he had twenty two, so

504
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:29,679
Speaker 5: I'm not sure how much they're going to be passing here,

505
00:25:29,720 --> 00:25:32,160
Speaker 5: which kind of lead me into I could be talked

506
00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:34,640
Speaker 5: into an under numbers at fifty four and a half,

507
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:37,320
Speaker 5: I'd like fifty five. First half numbers at twenty seven

508
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 5: and a half, I'd like twenty eight. So just use

509
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,760
Speaker 5: those as your boundaries. Now. The question is can Bronco

510
00:25:41,800 --> 00:25:44,200
Speaker 5: get this the Lobos to produce. I'm not sure any

511
00:25:44,200 --> 00:25:46,199
Speaker 5: of us really know that, But what we do know

512
00:25:46,240 --> 00:25:48,040
Speaker 5: is who the three best players are. On defense, It's

513
00:25:48,080 --> 00:25:51,800
Speaker 5: Kyler dracot Edge, It's Tyler Ken at defensive interior, and

514
00:25:51,880 --> 00:25:54,600
Speaker 5: Tavi and Combs at nickel. That's great, but when you

515
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:55,159
Speaker 5: go home.

516
00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,080
Speaker 1: He schedule could play the next level.

517
00:25:57,640 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 5: Oh yeah, yeah. But if you go and look at

518
00:25:59,600 --> 00:26:03,800
Speaker 5: their name as far as rush defensive grading per PFF,

519
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:06,359
Speaker 5: none of those players finished in the top fourteen on

520
00:26:06,359 --> 00:26:10,199
Speaker 5: the roster last year. So while like Tavi and Combs,

521
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 5: can you know, could play coverage, you can defend the pass.

522
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 5: He can do a lot of great things run defense

523
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:20,200
Speaker 5: was not a forte of their three best players on defense.

524
00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:23,800
Speaker 5: So I'm a little nervous that they can't contain Montana State.

525
00:26:24,240 --> 00:26:26,560
Speaker 5: I think the one thing that, you know, maybe we

526
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,760
Speaker 5: need to do a little bit more research is Bronco

527
00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 5: Mendenhol has so many connections to Utah, to you know,

528
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:39,119
Speaker 5: to New Mexico from previous coaching stops. Does he have

529
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,200
Speaker 5: ties to some of this staff on Montana State that

530
00:26:42,240 --> 00:26:44,560
Speaker 5: would say, hey, we're up by fourteen, we're up by seventeen,

531
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,520
Speaker 5: We're not gonna We're just gonna snap the ball, turn around,

532
00:26:47,560 --> 00:26:48,840
Speaker 5: handed off, and this is going to be a low

533
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,480
Speaker 5: scoring game. So I am leaning under I'm probably gonna

534
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:53,520
Speaker 5: end up playing it. I don't know if it'll be

535
00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:56,120
Speaker 5: first half or full game, but I just don't see

536
00:26:56,119 --> 00:26:57,520
Speaker 5: a lot of explosive plays in this game.

537
00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:00,119
Speaker 1: Stuck, Yeah, I would tend to agree. There is some

538
00:27:00,200 --> 00:27:03,160
Speaker 1: uncertainty with like does Montana State is saying they want

539
00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,480
Speaker 1: to be more balanced, do they like try and practice

540
00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:09,200
Speaker 1: some of that more throwing or do they hold it back?

541
00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:11,800
Speaker 1: So it's uncertady there. Jason back to new OC for

542
00:27:11,880 --> 00:27:14,680
Speaker 1: New Mexico, but I Frecomenderos tend to be more conservative.

543
00:27:15,080 --> 00:27:17,080
Speaker 1: The focus in camp for New Mexico has been all

544
00:27:17,119 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 1: about stopping the run. And then all it's going to

545
00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:22,040
Speaker 1: run is three three five, So that is like what

546
00:27:22,080 --> 00:27:24,320
Speaker 1: they want to do. There is there's some size, they

547
00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 1: had some some size on the defensive line, a lot

548
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:29,919
Speaker 1: of uncertay there wasn't good last year. That is all

549
00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:32,040
Speaker 1: they've been focused on though, is just stopping the run,

550
00:27:32,440 --> 00:27:35,320
Speaker 1: which if Montana State plays they usually do that. Maybe

551
00:27:35,359 --> 00:27:37,840
Speaker 1: that pays dividends. So yeah, fifty five are better. I

552
00:27:37,840 --> 00:27:46,400
Speaker 1: don't mind the under here either. All right, Final game

553
00:27:46,480 --> 00:27:50,040
Speaker 1: of the night, midnight Eastern. His game is not on TV,

554
00:27:50,200 --> 00:27:51,800
Speaker 1: It's on pay per view on Spectrum. What do you

555
00:27:51,840 --> 00:27:54,119
Speaker 1: have to pay like seventy bucks for it? Hawaii. We

556
00:27:54,160 --> 00:27:55,719
Speaker 1: don't know if delawar State will be there, how many

557
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:58,960
Speaker 1: players will be there. Their start back, their star running

558
00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:03,160
Speaker 1: back is out well, they did get this UNLV transfer

559
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:07,840
Speaker 1: wide receiver. He's not eligible either. This team is bad.

560
00:28:07,960 --> 00:28:10,320
Speaker 1: They're forty point underdog here. The total's gone up. Even

561
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:13,200
Speaker 1: if there's like a tropical store and that might hit Honolulu,

562
00:28:13,480 --> 00:28:15,440
Speaker 1: pretty windy city anyway, but there could be like twenty

563
00:28:15,480 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 1: five mile an hour wins. The Steve McBride won't play

564
00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 1: for Hawai, their star receiver. It's dealing with eligibility issues.

565
00:28:23,320 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 1: He was also arrested, but I don't I think those

566
00:28:26,840 --> 00:28:29,600
Speaker 1: charges got dropped. The thing that I worry about is

567
00:28:29,640 --> 00:28:32,399
Speaker 1: like Hawaii, so they have UCLA next week. Maybe they

568
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,280
Speaker 1: don't want to show much. But then again, their offense

569
00:28:35,359 --> 00:28:37,680
Speaker 1: is all about like timing and rhythms, so maybe they

570
00:28:37,760 --> 00:28:41,320
Speaker 1: want to get that timing down. And if they just

571
00:28:41,480 --> 00:28:45,400
Speaker 1: run the ball, like maybe that's enough. Last year, Dela

572
00:28:45,480 --> 00:28:48,800
Speaker 1: Or State played two FBS teams, Miami Ohio and Army.

573
00:28:49,600 --> 00:28:52,200
Speaker 1: Those two teams had eighty four carries for seven hundred

574
00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,920
Speaker 1: and sixty yards, over nine yards per carry. Miam Ohio

575
00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:59,720
Speaker 1: ran for I mean Gabbert came out. He just threw

576
00:28:59,760 --> 00:29:01,560
Speaker 1: it for like one hundred and twenty and they ran

577
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:04,080
Speaker 1: it for like four hundred and eighty yards. Yeah, I

578
00:29:04,120 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 1: mean I think Army won like fifty six nothing. Miami,

579
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: Ohio won like sixty two to twenty. I don't know

580
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,760
Speaker 1: how to handy I will fully, man, I don't know

581
00:29:13,760 --> 00:29:15,760
Speaker 1: how to handicap this game. If I had a bet,

582
00:29:15,840 --> 00:29:18,160
Speaker 1: I would bet Hawaii. I got nothing here. Good luck

583
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:20,200
Speaker 1: if you have stot conviction on this game.

584
00:29:20,600 --> 00:29:22,760
Speaker 5: I mean it's week zero. I had extra time, so

585
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:25,000
Speaker 5: I went down a wormhole on Delaware State, and man,

586
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 5: I wish I didn't do that. So out of two

587
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,080
Speaker 5: hundred and sixty three teams listed on SAGGER, in Delaware

588
00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 5: State's two hundred and fifty eighth. But you know what,

589
00:29:31,560 --> 00:29:33,840
Speaker 5: there is a heavy amount of returning production here for

590
00:29:33,880 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 5: the Hornets, and you know I'll try to get through this.

591
00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 1: Their freshman QV comes back.

592
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,680
Speaker 5: Yeah, Marquis Adam is back. He had one hundred and

593
00:29:40,720 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 5: four passing attempts. Last year. He had double the turnover

594
00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:45,400
Speaker 5: worthy plays, the big time throws. That's going to be bad.

595
00:29:45,760 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 5: Wide receiver Nagee Lali is back. Tight end aj Kor.

596
00:29:48,480 --> 00:29:50,360
Speaker 5: They were their top pass catchers from last year. They

597
00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:52,920
Speaker 5: combined for eighty nine targets. Now, as I read this,

598
00:29:53,000 --> 00:29:54,600
Speaker 5: and I tell you guys. This stuff about Delaware State,

599
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:56,640
Speaker 5: that doesn't mean that they're any good. They're not. Four

600
00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,480
Speaker 5: of the five offensive linemen return that led by tackle

601
00:29:59,520 --> 00:30:04,000
Speaker 5: Malcolm He's by far the highest graded run, run and

602
00:30:04,160 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 5: pass protector there on that offensive line. And then when

603
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:08,480
Speaker 5: you go to the defensive side, eleven of the top

604
00:30:08,520 --> 00:30:10,760
Speaker 5: twelve tacklers return on this three three five defense. They

605
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,600
Speaker 5: run a ton of cover three trying to stop explosive plays.

606
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,280
Speaker 5: They never did, but they try, and they were just

607
00:30:17,320 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 5: outside the top one hundred of one hundred and twenty

608
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:22,000
Speaker 5: two teams in FCS. They were outside the top one

609
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:27,160
Speaker 5: hundred and defensive pass efficiency, total defense, and red zone defense.

610
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:29,880
Speaker 5: What is that spell? Hawaii's just gonna have a red

611
00:30:29,880 --> 00:30:32,000
Speaker 5: carpet rolled out getting into the end zone here. They're

612
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,640
Speaker 5: going to be finding this run and shoot offense. They're

613
00:30:33,680 --> 00:30:36,360
Speaker 5: going to be able to connect gets some scores. And

614
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:39,520
Speaker 5: so when you look, you know at this, I spoke

615
00:30:39,560 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 5: with Timmy Chang, you would think this is just Hawaii

616
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:44,720
Speaker 5: running them over. This is just Hawaii's scoring. It will

617
00:30:44,800 --> 00:30:46,920
Speaker 5: until they don't want to score. But with you SLA

618
00:30:47,040 --> 00:30:49,640
Speaker 5: on deck, I was talking to Timmy Chang on the

619
00:30:49,840 --> 00:30:52,920
Speaker 5: literally on the floor of the circus sports book, and

620
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:55,640
Speaker 5: I asked them immediately. I was like, you're gonna go

621
00:30:55,720 --> 00:30:59,760
Speaker 5: vanilla against Delaware State with USLA on deck. Timmy's response

622
00:30:59,880 --> 00:31:02,600
Speaker 5: was no words whatsoever. I said, You're going to go vanilla, right,

623
00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:05,800
Speaker 5: he paused, his face went like this, and he just

624
00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:08,640
Speaker 5: stared at me for three seconds, and then I said,

625
00:31:09,240 --> 00:31:11,160
Speaker 5: that's all I need to know, Timmy, thank you. So

626
00:31:11,880 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 5: you're not going to get this huge, high explosive run

627
00:31:14,560 --> 00:31:17,280
Speaker 5: and shoot the entire game. I don't even know if

628
00:31:17,280 --> 00:31:19,040
Speaker 5: you get it in the second half. Hawaii's not going

629
00:31:19,080 --> 00:31:21,400
Speaker 5: to show anything here. If they connect on passes that

630
00:31:21,480 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 5: turn into explosive touchdowns, it's because Delaware State can't tackle.

631
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,760
Speaker 5: So the only play that I can make here stuck.

632
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:30,480
Speaker 5: The only play I can make was an over in

633
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,520
Speaker 5: the first half. I think if they get a twenty

634
00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:34,400
Speaker 5: one point lead, it might be time to start doing

635
00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:36,760
Speaker 5: other things. But they're not going to show one single

636
00:31:36,800 --> 00:31:38,160
Speaker 5: play that they're going to do against each to day,

637
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:40,560
Speaker 5: not that you have to with Delaware State. I think

638
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:42,920
Speaker 5: this game is going to be a circus, and there's

639
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:44,240
Speaker 5: going to be names that we don't even know that

640
00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,320
Speaker 5: are on these rosters. Maybe scoring touchdowns and getting playing

641
00:31:47,360 --> 00:31:50,440
Speaker 5: time here. But I do like Hawaii trying their best

642
00:31:50,440 --> 00:31:52,400
Speaker 5: to score for the first two quarters. I will take

643
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:54,760
Speaker 5: a first half over and if Delaware State wants to

644
00:31:54,760 --> 00:31:57,920
Speaker 5: contribute by actually scoring a touchdown, or if they actually

645
00:31:57,920 --> 00:31:59,880
Speaker 5: want to contribute by giving up a pick six, I'll

646
00:31:59,880 --> 00:32:01,760
Speaker 5: be more than happy for it. So first off over

647
00:32:01,800 --> 00:32:02,600
Speaker 5: here is the play for me.

648
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:05,120
Speaker 1: All right, I got to cut it off there. There's

649
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:08,520
Speaker 1: enough Delaware State football talk. Hopefully they all make it

650
00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:09,080
Speaker 1: to the Islands.

651
00:32:09,520 --> 00:32:12,880
Speaker 4: This podcast is presented by BETTMGM. Use bonus code action

652
00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 4: when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred dollars

653
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:17,800
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654
00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:24,880
Speaker 4: For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan,

655
00:32:24,880 --> 00:32:29,280
Speaker 4: New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia,

656
00:32:29,640 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 4: and Wyoming. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty one

657
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:36,120
Speaker 4: plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler.

658
00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:39,600
Speaker 1: For those people that like ask about like, so my

659
00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 1: college basketball is like suffered over the past couple of years.

660
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:44,240
Speaker 1: So I'm trying to like get ahead of it now

661
00:32:44,440 --> 00:32:47,200
Speaker 1: because it's now even harder, Like the markets set more efficient,

662
00:32:47,240 --> 00:32:49,120
Speaker 1: but it's harder because there's so much more player movement

663
00:32:49,280 --> 00:32:54,040
Speaker 1: and they keep adding teams like Merciers. But I speel

664
00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:56,600
Speaker 1: a horrible college football better. I mean, I don't spend

665
00:32:56,600 --> 00:32:59,080
Speaker 1: any time on it. I would bet it fire the

666
00:32:59,120 --> 00:33:03,360
Speaker 1: board and just bleed money every weekend. But I was

667
00:33:03,360 --> 00:33:08,680
Speaker 1: spending my entire summer spring all in college basketball. Started

668
00:33:08,720 --> 00:33:11,880
Speaker 1: Action said we got to do college football. We're gonna

669
00:33:11,920 --> 00:33:15,000
Speaker 1: do a podcast. I got to up right about it.

670
00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:17,040
Speaker 1: So I was like, I got to get good at

671
00:33:17,080 --> 00:33:19,040
Speaker 1: college football. I gotta spend a shit ton of time

672
00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:22,800
Speaker 1: on it. So then my summer has been so much

673
00:33:22,840 --> 00:33:24,600
Speaker 1: more at college football. I would just go into the

674
00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:28,520
Speaker 1: colleg football season blind, not totally blind, but most of

675
00:33:28,560 --> 00:33:32,360
Speaker 1: my off season I was just digging into college basketball.

676
00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:35,560
Speaker 1: So I've been trying to figure out that that right mix.

677
00:33:35,600 --> 00:33:37,800
Speaker 1: Because college football has been good, college basketball is they're

678
00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:40,880
Speaker 1: gonna step back. It's always give and take, but we

679
00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:43,360
Speaker 1: have a lot more to get to today, that's not it.

680
00:33:43,720 --> 00:33:47,360
Speaker 1: We're going to go through pretty rapid fire every conference

681
00:33:47,960 --> 00:33:51,280
Speaker 1: and we'll give our favorite future could be win total,

682
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,560
Speaker 1: could be just a division a conference, future could be playoff,

683
00:33:54,560 --> 00:33:56,760
Speaker 1: could be anything. The rules already you can only talk

684
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:59,479
Speaker 1: about one, but if you want to mention a couple others,

685
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 1: you feel free to listen them out. After. Let's start

686
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:03,240
Speaker 1: with the AAC.

687
00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:04,480
Speaker 5: I'll start.

688
00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:08,719
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go ECU over six. I think there's a

689
00:34:08,760 --> 00:34:12,080
Speaker 1: six out there right now. I'm gonna talk about all

690
00:34:12,480 --> 00:34:15,280
Speaker 1: currently available lines because I don't no one cares about.

691
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:19,360
Speaker 1: That's the people got months ago that you can't get anymore.

692
00:34:19,760 --> 00:34:22,920
Speaker 1: They still yet six is out there. But East Carolina

693
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:25,200
Speaker 1: I think, like last year, this is the team they

694
00:34:25,239 --> 00:34:27,600
Speaker 1: lost three games when they didn't allow more than thirteen points.

695
00:34:28,080 --> 00:34:31,120
Speaker 1: Huge upgrade at quarterback position. The offensive line is still

696
00:34:31,239 --> 00:34:34,120
Speaker 1: very questionable. Couldn't block anybody last year, but at least

697
00:34:34,160 --> 00:34:36,480
Speaker 1: they have experience coming back. But they did bring you

698
00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:41,040
Speaker 1: more weapons. Winston Wright co productive seasons at West Virginia.

699
00:34:41,080 --> 00:34:43,800
Speaker 1: He's at Florida State. He's in their defense, which was

700
00:34:43,840 --> 00:34:46,000
Speaker 1: good last year, especially against the run, and they have

701
00:34:46,040 --> 00:34:48,560
Speaker 1: a lockdown corner. Some other questions in the SECONDAR, but

702
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:50,440
Speaker 1: it's gonna be good against the run. Why is that important?

703
00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:54,040
Speaker 1: The bottom half of the AAC A lot of quarterback

704
00:34:54,120 --> 00:34:56,960
Speaker 1: questions and you play they play Army and Navy. So

705
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,600
Speaker 1: the run he's gonna be good. That's really important to

706
00:34:59,640 --> 00:35:06,759
Speaker 1: schedule is extremely forgiving easiest jump in scheduled difficulty and

707
00:35:06,880 --> 00:35:09,080
Speaker 1: the largest jump in ease of schedule difficulty if any

708
00:35:09,080 --> 00:35:10,839
Speaker 1: team in the country. This year I did to get

709
00:35:10,840 --> 00:35:14,600
Speaker 1: to a leaset bawl eligibility higher ceiling ECU over a

710
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:18,360
Speaker 1: SEE and then also Memphis to win potential ads TOLSA

711
00:35:18,440 --> 00:35:21,360
Speaker 1: under maybe USF under. How about you AAC.

712
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:26,720
Speaker 5: Well, first off, I think ECU is the best dark horse,

713
00:35:26,840 --> 00:35:29,360
Speaker 5: extremely long shot to make the college football Playoff. You

714
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:31,520
Speaker 5: can bet out of ida of the G five conferences.

715
00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:33,319
Speaker 5: I'll give you two win totals out of the AC

716
00:35:33,480 --> 00:35:34,799
Speaker 5: that I love. I'm going to go with Rice on

717
00:35:34,840 --> 00:35:36,480
Speaker 5: the over here as a team I was hot on

718
00:35:36,520 --> 00:35:38,880
Speaker 5: at the beginning of even I mean way back in

719
00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 5: the spring. Ninety percent of returning production on both sides

720
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 5: of the ball. EJ. Warner comes in from Temple. This

721
00:35:44,640 --> 00:35:47,280
Speaker 5: is an arm that probably doesn't it didn't belong at Temple,

722
00:35:47,560 --> 00:35:50,759
Speaker 5: probably doesn't belong in the AAC. And this is, you know,

723
00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 5: a roster that's just loaded on both sides. Of the

724
00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:55,399
Speaker 5: ball around. There are numerous hedge spots in the month

725
00:35:55,400 --> 00:35:57,839
Speaker 5: of November for this win total, which means you know,

726
00:35:57,880 --> 00:35:59,840
Speaker 5: you can plan it out a game or two ahead

727
00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:01,239
Speaker 5: of whether you want to get off this or try

728
00:36:01,280 --> 00:36:02,920
Speaker 5: to get your money back. It is a perfect schedule

729
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:04,160
Speaker 5: for a hedge. But I don't think you need to.

730
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,200
Speaker 5: I think Bryce is going to be on fire and

731
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:11,000
Speaker 5: Tulsa is going to be horrific this year. I project

732
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:14,399
Speaker 5: them at three point seven wins. They returned sixty six

733
00:36:14,440 --> 00:36:16,680
Speaker 5: percent on offense and just fifty three percent on defense.

734
00:36:16,719 --> 00:36:19,400
Speaker 5: They were near dead last and success rate and havoc.

735
00:36:20,040 --> 00:36:22,480
Speaker 5: It is not working out there for Kevin Wilson whatsoever.

736
00:36:23,040 --> 00:36:24,640
Speaker 5: It's looking pretty rough here for Tulsa.

737
00:36:25,239 --> 00:36:28,319
Speaker 1: Yeah, I like Tulsa under as well. Not a Wilson guy.

738
00:36:28,640 --> 00:36:31,240
Speaker 1: Not a Wilson guy. Oh maybe you should Mitchell should

739
00:36:31,239 --> 00:36:35,279
Speaker 1: clip that I'm not a Wilson guy. Well, well, god,

740
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,960
Speaker 1: let's move on to the acc My I have a

741
00:36:40,960 --> 00:36:43,759
Speaker 1: write up with all my best bets, my favorite that

742
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:46,520
Speaker 1: I submitted yesterday. It'll probably be out. It'll be out

743
00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:48,400
Speaker 1: by the time you're listening to this episode. And I

744
00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,480
Speaker 1: go I ramble as always, it's I don't know six

745
00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:55,200
Speaker 1: seven thousand words for ACC. I chose Clemson. It got

746
00:36:55,280 --> 00:36:57,759
Speaker 1: hit today. So but if you can find a seven

747
00:36:57,800 --> 00:36:59,880
Speaker 1: and a half juiced, I would bet that, but I

748
00:36:59,880 --> 00:37:03,000
Speaker 1: go into that. So I'll say, out of the ones

749
00:37:03,000 --> 00:37:06,080
Speaker 1: that are out there now, I played Louisville under, I

750
00:37:06,120 --> 00:37:09,800
Speaker 1: played pitt under Clemson to make the College Ball Playoff,

751
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:11,320
Speaker 1: and Clemson to win the ACC, I'll say it is

752
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:15,120
Speaker 1: my favorite. I'm lower on Florida State. I still think

753
00:37:15,239 --> 00:37:17,239
Speaker 1: this team's defense is going to be dominant. I think

754
00:37:17,280 --> 00:37:20,279
Speaker 1: the offense is going to take a step forward year

755
00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:23,720
Speaker 1: two of the QBOC kind of buying after the DIP.

756
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:27,120
Speaker 1: I think the offensive line should be better. Good offensive

757
00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:30,240
Speaker 1: line coach higher. I like the weapons, especially the freshman

758
00:37:30,320 --> 00:37:34,240
Speaker 1: on the outside. So I think, look, Clemson's falling behind,

759
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:38,799
Speaker 1: but I think the ACC the top is down. I

760
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:40,879
Speaker 1: think Clemson has some value here to make the College

761
00:37:40,920 --> 00:37:45,279
Speaker 1: babclof and to win the ACC. But favorite you could

762
00:37:45,320 --> 00:37:48,520
Speaker 1: find a seven ff juice with Syracuse under. Just think

763
00:37:48,560 --> 00:37:50,920
Speaker 1: that's it's too high for this team play a ton

764
00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:53,359
Speaker 1: of coin flips and very inexperienced staff. At the first

765
00:37:53,360 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 1: time when his first time head coach yes to bringing

766
00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:57,839
Speaker 1: in a lot of talent, but they might get out

767
00:37:57,880 --> 00:38:02,279
Speaker 1: coached in adjustments and just game planning, and that might

768
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:04,120
Speaker 1: cost them a lot of coin flip games, Like they

769
00:38:04,120 --> 00:38:06,080
Speaker 1: play a ton of coin flip games from a power

770
00:38:06,160 --> 00:38:10,040
Speaker 1: in perspective. So that's my ACC. It's all about Clem's

771
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:13,680
Speaker 1: is a dabbo podcast. I mean, I'm just I'm just

772
00:38:13,760 --> 00:38:16,480
Speaker 1: telling you, man, that's what it's all about. By the way,

773
00:38:16,520 --> 00:38:18,120
Speaker 1: is it a DJU podcast this year?

774
00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,880
Speaker 5: It is not a DJU podcast. He can't throw it, stip.

775
00:38:21,560 --> 00:38:22,400
Speaker 1: How about you ACC.

776
00:38:22,800 --> 00:38:24,600
Speaker 5: I'll be quick because we've already talked about this team

777
00:38:24,600 --> 00:38:26,640
Speaker 5: on the podcast. My favorite bet is smu over and

778
00:38:26,719 --> 00:38:29,040
Speaker 5: I don't think it's done running. I project them at

779
00:38:29,120 --> 00:38:31,640
Speaker 5: nine point seven wins. You can get an over eight

780
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:34,400
Speaker 5: and a half at plus one twenty here. This is

781
00:38:34,480 --> 00:38:37,920
Speaker 5: the easiest schedule in the ACC. They were really gifted

782
00:38:38,080 --> 00:38:42,600
Speaker 5: a just a Christmas schedule here. When it comes to

783
00:38:42,640 --> 00:38:45,440
Speaker 5: who they have to face in the ACCY, I think

784
00:38:45,480 --> 00:38:47,640
Speaker 5: they easily have room to go over eight wins here.

785
00:38:47,760 --> 00:38:49,680
Speaker 5: When you look at their returning production, they're just loaded

786
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:51,520
Speaker 5: on both sides of the ball. And this is a

787
00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:55,960
Speaker 5: roster that Rhett Lashly absolutely nailed the transfer portal in

788
00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:58,000
Speaker 5: twenty twenty two and twenty twenty three, some of the

789
00:38:58,120 --> 00:39:00,720
Speaker 5: best the best transfer portal rankings out of those two years.

790
00:39:01,160 --> 00:39:03,040
Speaker 5: This is the roster that's gonna fit and they're going

791
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,319
Speaker 5: to make noise in the ACC from day one. I

792
00:39:05,360 --> 00:39:08,279
Speaker 5: love quarterback Preston Stone. We talked about running back Jalen

793
00:39:08,360 --> 00:39:10,840
Speaker 5: knighton here. A couple of fresh faces from Miami and

794
00:39:10,840 --> 00:39:14,080
Speaker 5: Oklahoma on the offensive line to surround Justin Osborne is

795
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:17,080
Speaker 5: gonna make this an electric offense that I think is

796
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:19,680
Speaker 5: gonna take this conference by storm. I got them double

797
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 5: digit favorites in nine games. I got them as a

798
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:23,920
Speaker 5: TD fave against Cal I got them as a short

799
00:39:23,920 --> 00:39:26,400
Speaker 5: dog at home against Florida State. By the way, Florida

800
00:39:26,400 --> 00:39:29,040
Speaker 5: State has gone overlook to Clemson in that game. Great

801
00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:31,239
Speaker 5: spot for SMU. And they're gonna have some problems with

802
00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:33,359
Speaker 5: Louisville here, but we'll see how good Louisville is. There

803
00:39:33,480 --> 00:39:37,600
Speaker 5: is enough games here to get over and even plus

804
00:39:37,640 --> 00:39:39,440
Speaker 5: money juice eight and a half in the market. I

805
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:41,719
Speaker 5: like SMU. I don't There's not an end to how

806
00:39:41,800 --> 00:39:42,880
Speaker 5: much I love them.

807
00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:46,919
Speaker 1: All right, big ten, I'm gonna go Michigan to miss

808
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:52,160
Speaker 1: the Coswall playoff. This is my favorite bet, just obviously

809
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:55,120
Speaker 1: extreme turner on the offensive line. You lose Blake Rm,

810
00:39:55,160 --> 00:39:57,959
Speaker 1: you lose JJ McCarthy, Alex Orgy, I don't think has

811
00:39:58,000 --> 00:39:59,880
Speaker 1: the arm. I think he's probably gonna be the starter.

812
00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:02,880
Speaker 1: The passing game is just not gonna be there. And

813
00:40:02,880 --> 00:40:05,719
Speaker 1: are they gonna be able to run like they were

814
00:40:05,840 --> 00:40:12,279
Speaker 1: last year? No, And the schedule is absolutely brutal, And

815
00:40:12,480 --> 00:40:14,080
Speaker 1: I think, look, the defense is gonna be good. They

816
00:40:14,080 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 1: got a great defensive line and they have a really

817
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:20,200
Speaker 1: good lockdown corner and Will Johnson. Even though they lost

818
00:40:20,239 --> 00:40:21,560
Speaker 1: eight I mean they look as a team that lost

819
00:40:21,560 --> 00:40:24,480
Speaker 1: eighteen players. That eighteen players went to the combine, thirteen

820
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:28,680
Speaker 1: got drafted, seven in the top one hundred, and a

821
00:40:28,680 --> 00:40:31,200
Speaker 1: few other signed is free undrafted free agents by the way,

822
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:34,719
Speaker 1: So I think this offense and you got a coaching turnover.

823
00:40:35,400 --> 00:40:37,840
Speaker 1: The one thing that I don't hear enough people talking

824
00:40:37,840 --> 00:40:41,360
Speaker 1: about is the loss of Minter at DC. This defense

825
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,960
Speaker 1: obviously was super talented. That ship. It was so well schooled,

826
00:40:44,480 --> 00:40:48,319
Speaker 1: so well schemed, always prepared in a complex defense that

827
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:51,279
Speaker 1: confues opposing quarterbacks. Then you bring a wig Martin dal

828
00:40:51,800 --> 00:40:53,480
Speaker 1: It's kind of like a one trick pony. You know

829
00:40:53,600 --> 00:40:55,480
Speaker 1: you're gonna get. I think it's gonna cost them in

830
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:57,879
Speaker 1: a couple of games. I think this seems way much

831
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:00,839
Speaker 1: much more likely to win eight than ten. I liked

832
00:41:00,840 --> 00:41:05,400
Speaker 1: in the midst of playoff Indiana over. I played Wisconsin

833
00:41:05,520 --> 00:41:11,160
Speaker 1: under Northwestern under and am I adding Illinoilander. That's the

834
00:41:11,160 --> 00:41:13,200
Speaker 1: one I have on pending illan Lander. Am I ading

835
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:13,759
Speaker 1: Bird under.

836
00:41:14,040 --> 00:41:16,840
Speaker 5: You should he's got nothing on this offensive roster.

837
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:20,000
Speaker 1: He's in trouble, all right about you? A big ten.

838
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:22,359
Speaker 5: I'm going Penn State to make the playoff. Yes, there

839
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:24,120
Speaker 5: is a minus one thirty out there at a couple

840
00:41:24,120 --> 00:41:25,960
Speaker 5: of big books. So that's the I think the cheapest

841
00:41:25,960 --> 00:41:28,680
Speaker 5: price that you can get it. This roster is absolutely loaded.

842
00:41:28,719 --> 00:41:32,279
Speaker 5: Apparently Drew Aller has learned to run Andy Coda Nickel,

843
00:41:32,360 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 5: Andy cotal Nicky's his formations, his shifts, his motions, all

844
00:41:36,320 --> 00:41:38,720
Speaker 5: that stuff that Andy Cota Nicky likes to do pre staff.

845
00:41:38,719 --> 00:41:41,960
Speaker 5: Apparently Drew Alers pretty comfortable with it. Right now. They

846
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:44,439
Speaker 5: do have to replace their wide receivers and thirty offensive line,

847
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:46,440
Speaker 5: but everywhere else they're pretty much loaded. We'll see if

848
00:41:46,520 --> 00:41:48,879
Speaker 5: Nick Singleton and Kate on Allen. The running backs can

849
00:41:48,880 --> 00:41:50,759
Speaker 5: get back to the level that they were two years ago.

850
00:41:51,040 --> 00:41:52,360
Speaker 5: You go on the defensive side of the ball, and

851
00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:54,360
Speaker 5: Abdul Carter is going to be playing in the NFL

852
00:41:55,239 --> 00:41:59,120
Speaker 5: first round draft pick, no doubt. I don't really have

853
00:41:59,160 --> 00:42:01,919
Speaker 5: a lot of questions this. This schedule was tailor made

854
00:42:01,920 --> 00:42:05,040
Speaker 5: for what Penn State does. Ten wins, two losses. I

855
00:42:05,080 --> 00:42:07,640
Speaker 5: mean that, and if your ten wins two losses in

856
00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:09,640
Speaker 5: the Big Ten, you're making the playoff. I don't see

857
00:42:09,640 --> 00:42:12,640
Speaker 5: any resistance to Penn State finishing between fifth and eleventh

858
00:42:12,680 --> 00:42:14,600
Speaker 5: in the College Football Playoff rankings. I will take minus

859
00:42:14,640 --> 00:42:15,880
Speaker 5: one thirty on them to make the playoff.

860
00:42:16,400 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 1: I moved on to the Big twelve. I do have

861
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:23,359
Speaker 1: an Iowa State ticket. Colorado under see if you can five,

862
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:26,200
Speaker 1: I found a six, found a six at one point.

863
00:42:26,320 --> 00:42:28,520
Speaker 1: See if you can wait, just get it, just just

864
00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:31,439
Speaker 1: wait as long as possible. I'm thinking about Arizona under

865
00:42:31,480 --> 00:42:34,000
Speaker 1: I'm sorry Arizona. I still haven't pulled the trigger waiting

866
00:42:34,000 --> 00:42:36,440
Speaker 1: on a few things there. But I'll say my favorite

867
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:39,799
Speaker 1: West Virginia under look. They won eight eight eight regular

868
00:42:39,840 --> 00:42:42,520
Speaker 1: season games last year. Remember before the season they were

869
00:42:42,560 --> 00:42:46,360
Speaker 1: picked to finish last. That's bad for West Virginia. I

870
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:49,120
Speaker 1: know you were high on them. They definitely exceeded expectations.

871
00:42:49,200 --> 00:42:53,319
Speaker 1: But they blocked two fuel goals in the final five

872
00:42:53,360 --> 00:42:56,399
Speaker 1: minutes to beat TCU by three. They had a goal

873
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,359
Speaker 1: line stand in the final minut against Texas Tech when

874
00:42:58,360 --> 00:43:01,360
Speaker 1: Barrymoreton played with one arm. They had a last minute

875
00:43:01,360 --> 00:43:03,799
Speaker 1: touchdown drive, eighty minute, eighty yard drive in a final

876
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:06,600
Speaker 1: minute to beat Baylor. They even got extreme turnover luck,

877
00:43:06,640 --> 00:43:08,800
Speaker 1: and against UCF and Pitt those games are double digit,

878
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:12,920
Speaker 1: but the yardage was even. They definitely got pretty fortunate.

879
00:43:13,200 --> 00:43:15,600
Speaker 1: The defense didn't prove after they made a schematic shift

880
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:17,799
Speaker 1: late in the year, but they lose a lot from

881
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:21,080
Speaker 1: that defense close to I think they're outside the top

882
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:24,080
Speaker 1: ninety in returning production, but they lose their two most

883
00:43:24,160 --> 00:43:27,480
Speaker 1: important offensive linemen. It's a goblet of a schedule. They

884
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 1: have one of the ten hardest schedules in the country.

885
00:43:29,480 --> 00:43:32,000
Speaker 1: Only a home game against Albany in Week two is

886
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:33,799
Speaker 1: the game where I'm like, they're definitely gonna win that game.

887
00:43:33,960 --> 00:43:35,640
Speaker 1: Schedules brutal. I'll make them prove they can get the

888
00:43:35,680 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 1: eight wins. It's gonna be under there.

889
00:43:37,160 --> 00:43:39,279
Speaker 5: Io State's gonna make the Big Toal championship game. But

890
00:43:39,440 --> 00:43:41,040
Speaker 5: this team is the team that I think that is

891
00:43:41,040 --> 00:43:43,560
Speaker 5: going to win the Big Twelve. I'm going with UCF. Baby,

892
00:43:43,560 --> 00:43:45,959
Speaker 5: gimme Gus males On, give me the Wildcat. I'm gonna

893
00:43:46,000 --> 00:43:47,920
Speaker 5: call all the woo pig sue, except it's wearing the

894
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:51,839
Speaker 5: Knights colors here. kJ Jefferson is in a quarterback whoo

895
00:43:52,200 --> 00:43:55,399
Speaker 5: pig sue. I'm not sure these Big twelve defensive lines

896
00:43:55,440 --> 00:43:58,239
Speaker 5: are ready for the size of kJ Jefferson is. Oh,

897
00:43:58,280 --> 00:44:00,239
Speaker 5: by the way, they get the best running back that's

898
00:44:00,239 --> 00:44:02,240
Speaker 5: been in the MAC in several years, and Penny booned

899
00:44:02,520 --> 00:44:06,000
Speaker 5: to join RJ. Harvey to run this wildcat Gus males

900
00:44:06,080 --> 00:44:09,640
Speaker 5: On offense that is going to confuse and embarrass a

901
00:44:09,680 --> 00:44:13,880
Speaker 5: few defensive lines and a few defensive linebackers. I love UCF.

902
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:17,400
Speaker 5: The schedule is tough, but you know, we'll see what

903
00:44:17,480 --> 00:44:18,759
Speaker 5: kJ is going to be able to do now that

904
00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:21,760
Speaker 5: he has some you know, wide receivers capable of catching

905
00:44:21,760 --> 00:44:25,359
Speaker 5: the ball. Everything from camp down there is great from

906
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:28,239
Speaker 5: the perspective of kJ getting along with the locker room,

907
00:44:28,320 --> 00:44:30,680
Speaker 5: being a leader, being a voice to everybody in the huddle.

908
00:44:30,719 --> 00:44:32,560
Speaker 5: It's like a kJ that I haven't seen since twenty

909
00:44:32,600 --> 00:44:35,960
Speaker 5: twenty one. And when Gus Maleson says out loud, you know,

910
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:38,440
Speaker 5: he doesn't say this lightly. He's the closest I've ever

911
00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:40,879
Speaker 5: had to Cam Newton, you know, since I coach camp.

912
00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:43,240
Speaker 5: I think everybody should just, you know, kind of pause

913
00:44:43,280 --> 00:44:46,279
Speaker 5: and say what happens when Gus Maleson gets his prototype

914
00:44:46,360 --> 00:44:50,040
Speaker 5: quarterback in this offense? UCF nine to one I think

915
00:44:50,080 --> 00:44:52,080
Speaker 5: is out there. I think we've hit this thing for

916
00:44:52,200 --> 00:44:53,920
Speaker 5: so many months. Here it's down to nine to one,

917
00:44:53,960 --> 00:44:55,480
Speaker 5: but that still like that number.

918
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 1: Conference USA. I'm gonna throw at Knasall State under two

919
00:44:59,080 --> 00:45:02,960
Speaker 1: and a half. This team isn't ready for this level.

920
00:45:03,160 --> 00:45:05,200
Speaker 1: They went oh and six last year against FBS and

921
00:45:05,280 --> 00:45:07,600
Speaker 1: FCS teams. Look, I know they read shirted a couple

922
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:09,279
Speaker 1: of people, but I don't think this ross is ready.

923
00:45:09,280 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 1: It's typically a quarterback. Their quarterback depth chart is Davis Brison.

924
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:17,680
Speaker 1: He started one game last year against Lincoln California. He

925
00:45:17,719 --> 00:45:21,680
Speaker 1: went oh of six in that game. Lincoln California. They're

926
00:45:21,680 --> 00:45:26,239
Speaker 1: the Oaklanders, by the way, they're an unaffiliated traveling team.

927
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:31,479
Speaker 1: They finished oh to twelve in their independent and affiliated team.

928
00:45:32,040 --> 00:45:34,960
Speaker 1: The other quarterback, the next quarterback on the depth chart

929
00:45:35,040 --> 00:45:37,640
Speaker 1: is the coach's son. There's no college stats. I don't

930
00:45:37,640 --> 00:45:41,160
Speaker 1: even think he started in high school. Or like, this

931
00:45:41,320 --> 00:45:43,040
Speaker 1: team is bad and they don't they should go back

932
00:45:43,040 --> 00:45:44,960
Speaker 1: to the triple option. They want to run this pistol option.

933
00:45:45,960 --> 00:45:49,359
Speaker 1: I don't think they're ready. Half of their final eight

934
00:45:49,400 --> 00:45:52,080
Speaker 1: opponents are coming off of BUYE, which is an ideal,

935
00:45:52,160 --> 00:45:54,160
Speaker 1: especially a team that lacks depth. And they got to

936
00:45:54,160 --> 00:45:56,080
Speaker 1: go through this FBS schedule for the first time, and

937
00:45:56,200 --> 00:45:59,040
Speaker 1: most of their easiest games are at the end of

938
00:45:59,040 --> 00:46:01,840
Speaker 1: the year. I'd be just beat up. And who knows

939
00:46:02,400 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 1: who's that quarterback at that point? And if they're in

940
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,440
Speaker 1: some close games with some of the shitty teams in

941
00:46:07,520 --> 00:46:10,960
Speaker 1: Conference USA, they can't kick. That could cost some games too.

942
00:46:11,120 --> 00:46:13,400
Speaker 1: Under two and a half. I also have New Mexico

943
00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:17,080
Speaker 1: State under. Maybe I'll add Sam Houston over. I like

944
00:46:17,160 --> 00:46:19,760
Speaker 1: Jacksonville State under. I know you have that. I missed

945
00:46:19,800 --> 00:46:22,800
Speaker 1: the number. Yeah, might still play it, but what do

946
00:46:22,840 --> 00:46:23,359
Speaker 1: you how about you?

947
00:46:23,520 --> 00:46:25,080
Speaker 5: You know I'm gonna go long shot here. You already

948
00:46:25,120 --> 00:46:27,160
Speaker 5: mentioned the team. I'm gonna go Sam Houston State twenty

949
00:46:27,160 --> 00:46:29,719
Speaker 5: five to one to win the conference. Can they beat

950
00:46:29,760 --> 00:46:32,680
Speaker 5: Liberty The answer is absolutely not. Can they make the

951
00:46:32,719 --> 00:46:34,680
Speaker 5: championship game The answer is absolutely yes.

952
00:46:36,960 --> 00:46:38,240
Speaker 2: Eat them up. Cats.

953
00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:41,960
Speaker 5: Ooh, you're gonna have to have a twenty to one

954
00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:44,640
Speaker 5: when you walk into that championship game with Liberty because

955
00:46:44,640 --> 00:46:46,719
Speaker 5: you're gonna be staring at potentially like a minus eight

956
00:46:46,760 --> 00:46:49,680
Speaker 5: hundred minus one thousand money line here. So get yourself

957
00:46:49,680 --> 00:46:51,960
Speaker 5: a big enough, you know number here and just be

958
00:46:52,040 --> 00:46:53,799
Speaker 5: prepared to take it at the end. But I like

959
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,640
Speaker 5: Sam Houston State. When you look at this last year,

960
00:46:56,640 --> 00:46:58,799
Speaker 5: they had no offensive identity. There was just way too

961
00:46:58,800 --> 00:47:01,480
Speaker 5: many injuries. The trick they tried to pull from the

962
00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:04,040
Speaker 5: FCS to FBS didn't really pay off by sitting guys

963
00:47:04,080 --> 00:47:06,640
Speaker 5: out two years ago. A lot of those guys are healthy. Now.

964
00:47:06,640 --> 00:47:09,520
Speaker 5: They have Jace Bower coming in from Central Michigan. He's

965
00:47:09,560 --> 00:47:11,759
Speaker 5: going to be taking over a quarterback. That's not a

966
00:47:11,800 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 5: bad thing. That's a decent quarterback, especially for this team.

967
00:47:15,000 --> 00:47:17,840
Speaker 5: Nolan Smith, the wide receiver, returns two point one yards

968
00:47:17,840 --> 00:47:20,120
Speaker 5: per route run. That is a quality wide receiver for

969
00:47:20,160 --> 00:47:24,400
Speaker 5: Sam Houston Here. Easiest roads schedule in all of Conference USA.

970
00:47:24,480 --> 00:47:27,640
Speaker 5: We're going to UTEP, We're going to Florida International, We're

971
00:47:27,680 --> 00:47:30,719
Speaker 5: going to Kannesas State, and we're going to Jacksonville State

972
00:47:30,719 --> 00:47:32,960
Speaker 5: on November twenty third. But this is the easiest Conference

973
00:47:33,040 --> 00:47:34,160
Speaker 5: USA schedule by far.

974
00:47:34,760 --> 00:47:38,000
Speaker 1: Eat them up, Cats, It's good to see you on

975
00:47:38,719 --> 00:47:45,080
Speaker 1: the bandwagon. A little disrespect for FIU. Nobody, Nobody goes

976
00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 1: into Pitbull Stadium and comes out with an easy win

977
00:47:49,080 --> 00:47:52,680
Speaker 1: now that their stadium is now named Pitbull after the

978
00:47:52,800 --> 00:47:54,800
Speaker 1: rapper Pitbull. You don't get money.

979
00:47:54,880 --> 00:47:59,000
Speaker 5: It's the world wag, but I do see FIU pad.

980
00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:12,279
Speaker 1: The been a good time, all right. The MAC Sorry, y'all.

981
00:48:12,680 --> 00:48:14,640
Speaker 1: You gonna have to wait for the MAC Manifesto to

982
00:48:14,719 --> 00:48:17,080
Speaker 1: be out, probably like Monday next week, waiting on like

983
00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:19,120
Speaker 1: final depth charts. They actually matter to me.

984
00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:20,840
Speaker 5: Are you serious?

985
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:22,319
Speaker 1: Mac shit?

986
00:48:22,520 --> 00:48:23,480
Speaker 5: You gotta love it.

987
00:48:23,840 --> 00:48:26,920
Speaker 1: You have to wait for my future. But favorite Ohio

988
00:48:27,040 --> 00:48:30,440
Speaker 1: under this team got hit, is hit harder than any

989
00:48:30,480 --> 00:48:34,000
Speaker 1: team in the country. With the new collegeootball landscape, roster

990
00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:37,319
Speaker 1: has been decimated. I can't see them getting the seven

991
00:48:37,360 --> 00:48:40,440
Speaker 1: wins you. I took Bowling Green eight to one to

992
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:41,200
Speaker 1: win the conference.

993
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:43,759
Speaker 5: A combination of returning production on both sides of the

994
00:48:43,800 --> 00:48:47,719
Speaker 5: ball scheduling, I make them the second best team in

995
00:48:47,840 --> 00:48:50,359
Speaker 5: the conference eighty two percent returns on the offensive side.

996
00:48:50,760 --> 00:48:52,399
Speaker 5: You never want to take any team at the top

997
00:48:52,640 --> 00:48:55,200
Speaker 5: inside the MAC. I haven't gone through the rough drafts

998
00:48:55,239 --> 00:48:57,040
Speaker 5: and looked at your MAC manifesto. I don't know which

999
00:48:57,080 --> 00:48:59,560
Speaker 5: way you're leaning. I am a big fan of bowling

1000
00:48:59,600 --> 00:49:02,560
Speaker 5: green here to pull it off and actually cash at

1001
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:03,799
Speaker 5: eight to one, which I think is seven to one

1002
00:49:03,800 --> 00:49:05,120
Speaker 5: out there, I'd still buy that too.

1003
00:49:06,080 --> 00:49:09,479
Speaker 1: Well, you guys gotta forgive me, you see, falling for money.

1004
00:49:09,920 --> 00:49:15,360
Speaker 1: It's my only advice. Moving on to the Mountain West.

1005
00:49:16,560 --> 00:49:19,440
Speaker 1: The only thing I have here. I have some boise

1006
00:49:19,640 --> 00:49:24,160
Speaker 1: to win. Man, it's been getting hit like NINEUS one

1007
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:27,839
Speaker 1: twenty maybe, which is out there, but I probably can't

1008
00:49:27,880 --> 00:49:31,279
Speaker 1: recommend that in good faith, but it's getting a little

1009
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:35,640
Speaker 1: too expensive. Now. Might add Hawaii over, but I don't

1010
00:49:35,640 --> 00:49:37,279
Speaker 1: have much in the mount West. What do you got?

1011
00:49:38,200 --> 00:49:40,239
Speaker 5: You see that the total came out on Texas A

1012
00:49:40,280 --> 00:49:42,959
Speaker 5: and M Commerce and San Diego State came out fifty

1013
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 5: four and a half. You know, you know what we're doing, right?

1014
00:49:44,880 --> 00:49:45,640
Speaker 5: You know we're doing with that?

1015
00:49:46,000 --> 00:49:46,439
Speaker 1: Oh boy?

1016
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 5: All right, we'll talk about that next week. After getting

1017
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,279
Speaker 5: to know these teams. I like Hawaii to overachieve with

1018
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 5: what they have. I think San Jose stay with this

1019
00:49:53,640 --> 00:49:55,719
Speaker 5: scheme that they're gonna run on offense, not gonna work.

1020
00:49:55,719 --> 00:49:57,920
Speaker 5: I like them to underachieve. And I think the team

1021
00:49:57,960 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 5: that I love here that most is UNLV. UNLV was

1022
00:50:00,880 --> 00:50:03,160
Speaker 5: six to one, five to one. Out there, got a

1023
00:50:03,280 --> 00:50:05,200
Speaker 5: chance to speak to Barry otam out in Las Vegas.

1024
00:50:05,840 --> 00:50:11,279
Speaker 5: Harek comes the Rebel Ruler, a giant slot machine used

1025
00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:14,640
Speaker 5: in the wake of any UNLV score or turnover. Forced

1026
00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:17,640
Speaker 5: the fact that Hodge Maleiku Daniels is here. This is

1027
00:50:17,680 --> 00:50:20,359
Speaker 5: the Campbell quarterback that everybody you've been with Action Network

1028
00:50:20,360 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 5: and following us forever, we bet on Campbell the first

1029
00:50:22,640 --> 00:50:25,560
Speaker 5: four games of the twenty twenty one season. Because of

1030
00:50:25,640 --> 00:50:28,279
Speaker 5: Hodje maleik So they bring in another FCS quarterback I

1031
00:50:28,320 --> 00:50:32,239
Speaker 5: believe from Holy Cross. They are absolutely fine without Jayden

1032
00:50:32,320 --> 00:50:35,360
Speaker 5: Mama there. Ricky White is probably the best wide receiver.

1033
00:50:35,440 --> 00:50:37,200
Speaker 5: I mean, he's making a lot of All American teams

1034
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,560
Speaker 5: and he's a G five wide receiver here. The go

1035
00:50:39,719 --> 00:50:41,759
Speaker 5: go offense is still in place with Brendan Meryon there.

1036
00:50:42,360 --> 00:50:44,960
Speaker 5: Like the schedule, I think UNLV they made the championship

1037
00:50:44,960 --> 00:50:47,279
Speaker 5: game last year. Not seeing there's I don't see a

1038
00:50:47,320 --> 00:50:49,200
Speaker 5: huge drop off here with the loss at quarterback and

1039
00:50:49,280 --> 00:50:51,960
Speaker 5: what they've gained through the portal, considering how well we

1040
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:54,640
Speaker 5: know their two quarterbacks. So I like UNLV to win

1041
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:57,759
Speaker 5: the conference. I did like Wyoming. So for those of

1042
00:50:57,800 --> 00:50:59,960
Speaker 5: you who listen to the Mountain West podcasts, Harrison Way

1043
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:03,960
Speaker 5: is injured. I don't know the length, but that really

1044
00:51:04,040 --> 00:51:06,520
Speaker 5: threw me off Wyoming because Evan Sumoda, their new quarterback,

1045
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:08,239
Speaker 5: is going to run a lot a lot of Josh

1046
00:51:08,320 --> 00:51:10,400
Speaker 5: Allen stuff. He's going to take off himself. He's the

1047
00:51:10,440 --> 00:51:12,839
Speaker 5: same size, he's wearing the same number. But he did

1048
00:51:12,920 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 5: lose his zone raid option partner in Harrison Wheley. So

1049
00:51:16,160 --> 00:51:18,040
Speaker 5: kind of cooled on Wyoming there if you're still looking

1050
00:51:18,080 --> 00:51:20,160
Speaker 5: to place bets, but you and LD to win the conference.

1051
00:51:20,960 --> 00:51:22,920
Speaker 1: Speaking of text atom Commerce, I just told you about that.

1052
00:51:22,960 --> 00:51:24,840
Speaker 1: It won one game last year, and they should have

1053
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:28,640
Speaker 1: eat Old Dominion Sun Belt Old Dominion under still like

1054
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:31,480
Speaker 1: it where it is. This team could go oh in twelve.

1055
00:51:31,800 --> 00:51:34,879
Speaker 1: I mean, look, their schedule is brutal for an FCS team.

1056
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:38,600
Speaker 1: They could start zero to four. This team lost so

1057
00:51:38,840 --> 00:51:41,680
Speaker 1: much talent, like one of their best linebackers to Michigan State,

1058
00:51:42,320 --> 00:51:45,000
Speaker 1: their slot to Memphis. They're strong safety to Indiana, they're

1059
00:51:45,000 --> 00:51:47,680
Speaker 1: free safety to Indiana. Their corner to TCU. Their other

1060
00:51:47,719 --> 00:51:50,239
Speaker 1: corner graduated. He's here going to power for programs. And

1061
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:52,399
Speaker 1: it wasn't like this defensive gread last year. Yes, Jayson

1062
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:55,000
Speaker 1: Anders is a stud a linebacker, but he's coming off

1063
00:51:55,040 --> 00:51:57,200
Speaker 1: of an injury. But the guys they brought in to

1064
00:51:57,239 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 1: replace some of this talent they lost just not there.

1065
00:52:00,000 --> 00:52:02,239
Speaker 1: By the way, the offensive line stinks. The offensive line,

1066
00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:04,000
Speaker 1: you have the most sacks in college football this year.

1067
00:52:04,000 --> 00:52:06,520
Speaker 1: They had one good pass protector. Well, he transferred out

1068
00:52:06,520 --> 00:52:09,480
Speaker 1: in the spring to Washington and Memphis, so there goes that.

1069
00:52:09,920 --> 00:52:12,680
Speaker 1: And last year this team was a pure luck box.

1070
00:52:13,160 --> 00:52:17,640
Speaker 1: They beat Louisiana by seven on a goal line stand.

1071
00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:20,479
Speaker 1: They beat Texas am Commerce by one at home because

1072
00:52:20,480 --> 00:52:23,280
Speaker 1: they didn't convert a two point conversion in the final

1073
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:25,520
Speaker 1: play of the game. They beat Southern Miss by four

1074
00:52:26,239 --> 00:52:29,120
Speaker 1: and another goal line stand in the final minute. They

1075
00:52:29,200 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 1: beat app State by seven. They trailed by one in

1076
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,000
Speaker 1: the final minute, and they scored a touchdown in the

1077
00:52:34,040 --> 00:52:36,520
Speaker 1: final minute after coverting a fourth and ten. They beat

1078
00:52:36,520 --> 00:52:38,560
Speaker 1: Georgia Southern by three on a field goal in the

1079
00:52:38,640 --> 00:52:41,640
Speaker 1: final second. They beat Georgia State by one. They trailed

1080
00:52:41,680 --> 00:52:43,960
Speaker 1: by ten with five minutes to go, got a blocked

1081
00:52:43,960 --> 00:52:46,840
Speaker 1: field goal, a safety, and then a touchdown on the

1082
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,200
Speaker 1: final play of the game on fourth down. Those are

1083
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:51,520
Speaker 1: the six wins, all by one possession. I don't want

1084
00:52:51,560 --> 00:52:55,040
Speaker 1: to hear it Ianella Under on Odu. What do you

1085
00:52:55,080 --> 00:52:57,640
Speaker 1: got in the belt? By the way, Troy Under and

1086
00:52:57,960 --> 00:53:00,560
Speaker 1: JMU and I might sprinkle just for on Arc State

1087
00:53:00,600 --> 00:53:01,600
Speaker 1: to win the belt? What do you got?

1088
00:53:02,040 --> 00:53:04,160
Speaker 5: I love Arc State to win the belt. Boy, you

1089
00:53:04,239 --> 00:53:05,880
Speaker 5: and I didn't get to do that podcast together. I

1090
00:53:05,960 --> 00:53:09,640
Speaker 5: love Arkansas State like I actually was what fourteen to one?

1091
00:53:09,719 --> 00:53:11,600
Speaker 5: Is that out there? I mean this officially put it

1092
00:53:11,680 --> 00:53:13,960
Speaker 5: on the board here. I've had nothing but love for

1093
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:16,360
Speaker 5: the top of the conference here. I got three overs Louisiana,

1094
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:18,000
Speaker 5: Texas State, and app State. I think all of their

1095
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,520
Speaker 5: numbers are deserving going up there at least I think

1096
00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:22,759
Speaker 5: a half wind shy of where they are in the

1097
00:53:22,800 --> 00:53:26,280
Speaker 5: market right now. All of them have really high returning

1098
00:53:26,320 --> 00:53:29,360
Speaker 5: production rates per TARP, and you know the wind totals

1099
00:53:29,400 --> 00:53:30,800
Speaker 5: are still good to go. You look at some of

1100
00:53:30,840 --> 00:53:33,200
Speaker 5: these schedule, like Louisiana, they should start the season three

1101
00:53:33,280 --> 00:53:35,080
Speaker 5: and so easily. Then they're gonna be t D favorites

1102
00:53:35,120 --> 00:53:37,960
Speaker 5: in conference against Southern Mist Coastal South Bama, and ULM.

1103
00:53:38,640 --> 00:53:40,279
Speaker 5: That gets them to seven wins and then all we

1104
00:53:40,320 --> 00:53:42,279
Speaker 5: gotta do is figure out a couple of the other games,

1105
00:53:42,280 --> 00:53:44,959
Speaker 5: which should be no problem for these guys. Texas State,

1106
00:53:45,040 --> 00:53:47,240
Speaker 5: I mean Sun Belt player of the Year, Jordan McLeod

1107
00:53:47,320 --> 00:53:49,319
Speaker 5: is going to be there. The quarterback depth chart goes

1108
00:53:49,360 --> 00:53:51,040
Speaker 5: three deep. They're going to start the season off three

1109
00:53:51,080 --> 00:53:53,960
Speaker 5: and zero. They're going to steamroll this November schedule, which

1110
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:57,200
Speaker 5: is completely cake. I like the over on the heavies

1111
00:53:57,239 --> 00:54:01,160
Speaker 5: in the Sun Belt. The app states Louisiana in Texas State.

1112
00:54:01,719 --> 00:54:04,000
Speaker 1: I disagree with that. On Texas State, everyone loves them.

1113
00:54:04,239 --> 00:54:06,880
Speaker 1: I'm not there. Go listen to the Sun Belt prevpod

1114
00:54:06,920 --> 00:54:09,279
Speaker 1: if you want to hear us argue, we will argue incessantly.

1115
00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:13,319
Speaker 1: Me and calabresee about that about Texas State. He kind

1116
00:54:13,320 --> 00:54:14,600
Speaker 1: of gets ganged up on. But me and I know

1117
00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:16,840
Speaker 1: we gang up on. I l about who do you

1118
00:54:17,960 --> 00:54:20,120
Speaker 1: final say the best for last? Because it just means

1119
00:54:20,160 --> 00:54:26,600
Speaker 1: more the sec here. It just means more, gig them

1120
00:54:27,120 --> 00:54:30,400
Speaker 1: A and M to make the College Ball Playoff. You know,

1121
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:33,719
Speaker 1: I love this, that's my favorite bet. I'm lower on

1122
00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:36,239
Speaker 1: ole Miss and Missouri than the market. Like the SEC

1123
00:54:36,360 --> 00:54:37,839
Speaker 1: last ye would have got five teams in the College

1124
00:54:37,840 --> 00:54:40,880
Speaker 1: Ball Playoff if you include Texas who moved. I think

1125
00:54:40,880 --> 00:54:42,359
Speaker 1: they're more likely to get three or more than five,

1126
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:45,600
Speaker 1: but it's possible. Just never doubt the SEC's poll. So

1127
00:54:46,120 --> 00:54:48,840
Speaker 1: let's assume Georgia and Texas get there a couple other spots.

1128
00:54:49,320 --> 00:54:51,759
Speaker 1: I'm not a believer in LSU in that defense, not

1129
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:55,160
Speaker 1: a believer in Tennessee yet. Oklahoma's schedule is too difficult.

1130
00:54:55,520 --> 00:54:57,760
Speaker 1: Like I said, I'm lower on Ole Miss, lower than Missouri.

1131
00:54:57,880 --> 00:54:59,879
Speaker 1: Who's left open zoo for Texas, A and M who

1132
00:54:59,880 --> 00:55:03,040
Speaker 1: I loving week one, been saying that all summer. They've

1133
00:55:03,080 --> 00:55:05,839
Speaker 1: taken money now, but if they win that game, that's

1134
00:55:05,840 --> 00:55:08,080
Speaker 1: a resume builder, Like that's a huge game. The first

1135
00:55:08,080 --> 00:55:09,520
Speaker 1: and the last game of the season are huge. When

1136
00:55:09,520 --> 00:55:13,120
Speaker 1: they host Texas and they host Notre Dame, that's a theme.

1137
00:55:13,360 --> 00:55:15,840
Speaker 1: They only have three SEC own games, but they're all

1138
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:18,200
Speaker 1: against the hardest teams on their schedule, and they also

1139
00:55:18,320 --> 00:55:21,440
Speaker 1: avoid Georgia Alabama and Old Miss. But the biggest reason

1140
00:55:21,480 --> 00:55:24,000
Speaker 1: I really like this team Elco coming in. I'm a

1141
00:55:24,080 --> 00:55:29,239
Speaker 1: huge fan, and it'll just be a serious team like

1142
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:31,759
Speaker 1: under Jimofisher they were not. They always have talent and

1143
00:55:32,120 --> 00:55:35,600
Speaker 1: just at least they're not going to run Jimbo's old offense.

1144
00:55:35,760 --> 00:55:38,280
Speaker 1: That like being super conservative. They're gonna be a modern,

1145
00:55:38,360 --> 00:55:43,000
Speaker 1: serious team. Love Alco, big coaching upgrade and maybe the

1146
00:55:43,080 --> 00:55:45,239
Speaker 1: quarterback and finally stay healthy that never they never stay out.

1147
00:55:45,120 --> 00:55:46,920
Speaker 5: The Texas A Now I've said the over under a

1148
00:55:46,960 --> 00:55:48,799
Speaker 5: week with at nine and a half game appearances nine

1149
00:55:48,840 --> 00:55:50,040
Speaker 5: and a half? What do you got you going over?

1150
00:55:50,080 --> 00:55:52,000
Speaker 5: You're going under? Obviously you got to go over over.

1151
00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:55,239
Speaker 1: They're due, dude, fast baby Aggie's I also played South

1152
00:55:55,280 --> 00:55:58,840
Speaker 1: Carolina over and I might add LSU under. What do

1153
00:55:58,880 --> 00:56:00,839
Speaker 1: you got in the SEC? Arkansas over?

1154
00:56:01,239 --> 00:56:03,000
Speaker 5: Listen? I love Arkansas. I've already made a bet that

1155
00:56:03,040 --> 00:56:04,759
Speaker 5: if they don't make a bowl where my neck brace

1156
00:56:04,840 --> 00:56:07,520
Speaker 5: Bobby Petrino style won't matter, he'll be fired to if

1157
00:56:07,520 --> 00:56:09,799
Speaker 5: they don't make a bowl. I will say this, I'm

1158
00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:12,959
Speaker 5: not being a homer. It has been an exceptionally good camp.

1159
00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:15,279
Speaker 5: There are a lot of good vibes coming off this

1160
00:56:15,440 --> 00:56:18,279
Speaker 5: roster that has not been there the last two years.

1161
00:56:18,400 --> 00:56:20,960
Speaker 1: Via reports. Vibe Reports is what I got.

1162
00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:23,239
Speaker 5: Vibe Reports. Man, they love me, Hi bology each other,

1163
00:56:23,480 --> 00:56:25,360
Speaker 5: all right, So let's play into more Texas A and

1164
00:56:25,480 --> 00:56:28,640
Speaker 5: M love by saying I'm taking Texas on the under,

1165
00:56:28,800 --> 00:56:30,839
Speaker 5: but I am not taking that ten and a half.

1166
00:56:30,880 --> 00:56:33,520
Speaker 5: I'm not taking that ten. Give me the alternate team

1167
00:56:33,600 --> 00:56:36,879
Speaker 5: total under nine and a half on the Long Horns. Yes,

1168
00:56:36,960 --> 00:56:39,360
Speaker 5: that includes a final season game against Texas A and M.

1169
00:56:39,400 --> 00:56:40,880
Speaker 5: I'm going to need the AGGI he's pretty bad to

1170
00:56:40,880 --> 00:56:42,600
Speaker 5: win that game. I think the best version you get

1171
00:56:42,640 --> 00:56:44,080
Speaker 5: of Texas A and M is the final game of

1172
00:56:44,120 --> 00:56:46,120
Speaker 5: the season when they're all in their new when they're

1173
00:56:46,120 --> 00:56:47,879
Speaker 5: in their new systems or new schemes, they've got it down.

1174
00:56:47,920 --> 00:56:49,200
Speaker 5: I think Texas A and M will be a well

1175
00:56:49,239 --> 00:56:51,040
Speaker 5: oiled machine there by the end of the year. My

1176
00:56:51,160 --> 00:56:53,279
Speaker 5: love for Oklahoma has been there all summer.

1177
00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:55,919
Speaker 1: No matter for a twenty eight point favorite ko Ford

1178
00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:56,759
Speaker 1: three point doll.

1179
00:56:57,160 --> 00:56:59,719
Speaker 5: That's what being all in means. I believe I haven't

1180
00:56:59,719 --> 00:57:01,800
Speaker 5: even heard from Stucky on this podcast that Danny Stutsman

1181
00:57:01,840 --> 00:57:02,600
Speaker 5: is going to win the Heisman.

1182
00:57:02,680 --> 00:57:04,720
Speaker 1: How do you not mentioned Danny Stetsons is your favorite

1183
00:57:04,719 --> 00:57:06,600
Speaker 1: beat for Big Twelve. We went through the Big twelve

1184
00:57:06,640 --> 00:57:08,319
Speaker 1: portion you to mention Stutsman one time.

1185
00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:11,319
Speaker 5: Yeah, Oklahoma's live in that game. But when you get

1186
00:57:11,360 --> 00:57:13,799
Speaker 5: past that, go look at the history of the Longhorns

1187
00:57:13,840 --> 00:57:18,400
Speaker 5: after red River, it's been an abomination. Losses to almost everybody,

1188
00:57:18,840 --> 00:57:21,560
Speaker 5: almost lost to Houston one time. I mean, it's just

1189
00:57:21,760 --> 00:57:24,760
Speaker 5: it's been horrible that this Texas program has not been

1190
00:57:24,800 --> 00:57:26,680
Speaker 5: able to pick themselves up off the mat. Even if

1191
00:57:26,720 --> 00:57:28,840
Speaker 5: they win red River, they're terrible the following week. That's

1192
00:57:28,840 --> 00:57:30,320
Speaker 5: how big of a game this is. Who do they

1193
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:34,040
Speaker 5: play the week after that? Georgia a huge problem, right,

1194
00:57:34,120 --> 00:57:35,680
Speaker 5: I don't know. If you're going to beat Oklahoma, you

1195
00:57:35,720 --> 00:57:37,840
Speaker 5: get Georgia, the following week, you get Texas, A and M.

1196
00:57:37,880 --> 00:57:39,840
Speaker 5: At the end of the year, Michigan's got the goods

1197
00:57:39,840 --> 00:57:41,080
Speaker 5: because all they're going to do is run the ball

1198
00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,360
Speaker 5: between the tackles and you can't defend that. And oh,

1199
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:46,560
Speaker 5: by the way, hey sir, what's going on? You were

1200
00:57:46,680 --> 00:57:48,760
Speaker 5: fourth in red zound TD percentage and last year you

1201
00:57:48,800 --> 00:57:50,760
Speaker 5: finished one hundred and twentieth and he says, you know,

1202
00:57:50,880 --> 00:57:53,640
Speaker 5: you lose Jon Robinson and Roshawn Johnson. I can't run

1203
00:57:53,680 --> 00:57:55,600
Speaker 5: the wildcat. The rogue cat is what they called him

1204
00:57:55,640 --> 00:57:57,640
Speaker 5: down there. Do you have any options this year to

1205
00:57:57,760 --> 00:58:00,480
Speaker 5: run something like that? And we haven't identified yet. Well,

1206
00:58:00,520 --> 00:58:02,480
Speaker 5: since I talked to Sark in Dallas and a SEC

1207
00:58:02,640 --> 00:58:05,440
Speaker 5: media days, they've lost CJ. Baxter, They've lost another running back. Like,

1208
00:58:05,960 --> 00:58:07,840
Speaker 5: I am not comfortable with this team and where it's

1209
00:58:07,880 --> 00:58:10,520
Speaker 5: going whatsoever? Right, I'm not saying they fall off the

1210
00:58:10,600 --> 00:58:13,000
Speaker 5: map under nine and a half. I feel comfortable enough

1211
00:58:13,000 --> 00:58:14,520
Speaker 5: saying that. I think Texas is probably gonna land as

1212
00:58:14,520 --> 00:58:15,480
Speaker 5: a nine win team this year.

1213
00:58:16,280 --> 00:58:19,040
Speaker 1: Checked all the boxes. In the final segment, we got

1214
00:58:19,080 --> 00:58:23,520
Speaker 1: a media SEC media day, as Sark mentioned, Danny Stutsman mentioned,

1215
00:58:23,960 --> 00:58:26,840
Speaker 1: and the vibes of Arkansas are high. I feel like

1216
00:58:26,840 --> 00:58:29,640
Speaker 1: that's a good place to stop. By the way, We'll

1217
00:58:29,640 --> 00:58:33,960
Speaker 1: have a live show ten thirty am Eastern on Saturday

1218
00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:36,480
Speaker 1: ahead of week zero, talk a little bit more about

1219
00:58:36,480 --> 00:58:39,640
Speaker 1: those games, talk about our one favorite future, and we

1220
00:58:39,680 --> 00:58:42,280
Speaker 1: will reveal our brackets, our college wall flout brackets. To

1221
00:58:42,320 --> 00:58:43,760
Speaker 1: make sure you tune in there. If you're watching on

1222
00:58:43,800 --> 00:58:45,680
Speaker 1: YouTube again, hit that subscribe button. Really helps us out.

1223
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:48,560
Speaker 1: Thanks to Colin for joining me, thanks for producing the

1224
00:58:48,600 --> 00:58:50,160
Speaker 1: back end. Most importantly, thanks to all of you. It

1225
00:58:50,280 --> 00:58:51,840
Speaker 1: is good to be back. Can't wait to sweat with

1226
00:58:51,920 --> 00:58:56,200
Speaker 1: all of you all season voicemails. They will be back

1227
00:58:56,320 --> 00:58:58,280
Speaker 1: nine to five to nine, bad beat fall in. We

1228
00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:00,160
Speaker 1: won't have a recap show for week zero, but will

1229
00:59:00,200 --> 00:59:02,080
Speaker 1: for week one. If there's any good ones, we'll play them.

1230
00:59:02,320 --> 00:59:04,520
Speaker 1: Pump on socials. I get used to calling. Say the number.

1231
00:59:04,560 --> 00:59:06,920
Speaker 1: It's always in my Twitter handle as well. It's good

1232
00:59:06,960 --> 00:59:09,360
Speaker 1: to be back. Subscribe on Subscribe, Subscribe, tell a friend,

1233
00:59:09,400 --> 00:59:12,200
Speaker 1: telling enemy, leave a review, five star review. Do that

1234
00:59:12,320 --> 00:59:14,640
Speaker 1: right now really helps us out. Subscribe on YouTube by

1235
00:59:14,720 --> 00:59:18,720
Speaker 1: star of you. I'll do a bunch of getaways and yeah,

1236
00:59:19,160 --> 00:59:21,680
Speaker 1: it's just good. I'm already hyped. I can't wait for

1237
00:59:21,760 --> 00:59:25,120
Speaker 1: the games to start. Thanks for tuning in. We will

1238
00:59:25,160 --> 00:59:27,680
Speaker 1: see you Saturday morning for the live show. Good luck

1239
00:59:27,800 --> 00:59:31,440
Speaker 1: on week zero, en the entire season. Cheers, he's out.

1240
00:59:39,040 --> 00:59:43,520
Speaker 5: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1241
00:59:43,560 --> 00:59:45,640
Speaker 5: someone you care about has a gambling problem.

1242
00:59:46,000 --> 00:59:48,600
Speaker 1: Help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

1243
00:59:48,720 --> 00:59:49,440
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler