WEBVTT - Alphabet Fights Effort to Break Up Google, Netflix’s “Recession-Proof” Appeal

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news from the heart of

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<v Speaker 1>where innovation, money and power collide in Silicon Valley and beyond.

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Technology with Caroline Hyde and Ed Ludlow.

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<v Speaker 2>Live from New York. This is Bloomberg Technology. Coming up.

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<v Speaker 2>Google heads back to court to take on the Department

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<v Speaker 2>of Justice over a search monopoly fix.

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<v Speaker 3>Plus in an era of tariffs.

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<v Speaker 2>Netflix stands out why Wall Streets is the stock as

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<v Speaker 2>recession proof, and TSMC warns there will be challenges limiting

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<v Speaker 2>China from its AI chips. Details this hour, but first

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<v Speaker 2>we check in on the markets, which once again are

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<v Speaker 2>under pressure. The Naza bears the brunt when NASAK one

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<v Speaker 2>hundred off by more than two point three let's call

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<v Speaker 2>it two point four percent on the day. We are

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<v Speaker 2>worried about the macro, about the future of j. Powell

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<v Speaker 2>at the Fed, and we see the impact on the

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<v Speaker 2>Magnificent seven.

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<v Speaker 3>Not though on crypto.

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<v Speaker 2>We see bitcoin bounce that as gold gets once again

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<v Speaker 2>that desire to get into a haven trade, so too.

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<v Speaker 2>There's a shorter end of the treasuries, but Bitcoin up

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<v Speaker 2>three point seven percent, the high sets we've seen since

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<v Speaker 2>the beginning of March eighty eight thousand, Move on and

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<v Speaker 2>have a look at some individual stocks, because Tesla, on

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<v Speaker 2>the downside, what off by more than six percent, one

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<v Speaker 2>of the key contributors in terms of points. Apple's falling

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<v Speaker 2>in video is falling, but Tesla too. Will dig into

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<v Speaker 2>why we're concerned kind of all important earnings this week

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<v Speaker 2>come Tuesday. Remember we've got a whole raft of earnings,

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<v Speaker 2>but we've already got a little bit of sentiment. Check

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<v Speaker 2>on what seems to be resilient in the face of

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<v Speaker 2>macro pressure. Netflix up two point eight percent, the best

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<v Speaker 2>performer on the Nasdaq one hundred from a points perspective.

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<v Speaker 2>But let's get to Ryanvstelica, who can join us now

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<v Speaker 2>on the weight that mag seven is feeling today. Seems

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<v Speaker 2>to be a macro one, seems to be one of

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<v Speaker 2>the fed. There are some standouts when it comes to earnings.

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<v Speaker 4>Hey, good morning, thanks for having me.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, there's still a lot of uncertainty out there, and

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<v Speaker 5>the new news surrounding you know, is Powell potentially at risk?

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<v Speaker 5>That is just adding to the level of uncertainty out there.

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<v Speaker 5>There's so much polity uncertainty in this broader sense that

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<v Speaker 5>maybe the US isn't the sort of safe haven economy

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<v Speaker 5>that it has been viewed as really for decades. So

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<v Speaker 5>that is a massive shift out there and causing a

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<v Speaker 5>lot of uncertainty.

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<v Speaker 2>Netflix is, from an equity perspective, deemed a haven.

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<v Speaker 3>We are going to hear from so many.

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<v Speaker 2>CEOs this week, whether it's well some that have to

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<v Speaker 2>face the court but also have to fase earnings. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>we know that we're going to be hearing from the

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<v Speaker 2>CEO of Google in that capacity.

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<v Speaker 3>It's to capacity that being alphabet too.

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<v Speaker 2>But also you've got intell, You've got IBM, you've got

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<v Speaker 2>Texas instruments.

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<v Speaker 3>There's a lot that we can take a gauge of. Ryan.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, absolutely so Netflix is maybe a little bit of

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<v Speaker 5>an anomaly compared to those other names you mentioned, not

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<v Speaker 5>quite as subject to the tear of risk as some

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<v Speaker 5>of the chip makers and hardware companies out there, which

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<v Speaker 5>have really been driving a lot of the selling this year.

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<v Speaker 5>It is also seen as a recession resistant company, given

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<v Speaker 5>the idea that you know, if people are pulling back,

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<v Speaker 5>by which I mean consumers, they're not likely to cut

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<v Speaker 5>their Netflix subscription in the way that they might be

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<v Speaker 5>pulling back on other kinds of discretionary spending. So it

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<v Speaker 5>seems like it has both offensive and defensive characteristics. That's

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<v Speaker 5>what one of the analyst notes I read this morning said.

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<v Speaker 5>So obviously a pretty positive company, a pretty positive earnings report,

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<v Speaker 5>and that stock has been doing well this year, especially

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<v Speaker 5>relative to the rest of the mag seven, the old fangs,

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<v Speaker 5>just the broader market.

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<v Speaker 2>Certainly, and the moment only five names on the nasat

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<v Speaker 2>one hundred are in the green. One of the micro strategy,

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<v Speaker 2>the other Netflix, Key ran Vasselica.

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<v Speaker 3>We thank you so much.

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<v Speaker 2>Let's get more on the tech market sell off more broadly,

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<v Speaker 2>Scott Labner's with US Horizon Investments, and just at this moment, Scott,

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<v Speaker 2>within this uncertainty from a macro perspective, do you want

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<v Speaker 2>to be buying in some of this weakness and tech?

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<v Speaker 6>Hey, Caroline, Yeah, I think you actually do.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, I think this is one place where you

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<v Speaker 7>can start putting some some money to work and some

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<v Speaker 7>some new money to work. Probably I'd be a little careful,

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<v Speaker 7>you know, as you guys are just talking about it's

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<v Speaker 7>probably not the time for the chips because of all

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<v Speaker 7>the tarif uncertainty. But you know, something more like like

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<v Speaker 7>an equal weight sort of tech play. You know, you

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<v Speaker 7>get you know, catch on the themes with AI. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>like if you remember, you know, the starting place before

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<v Speaker 7>all the tarif stuff, we're all talking about AI.

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<v Speaker 6>Still because it was still a really big deal. It

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<v Speaker 6>will continue to be a big deal.

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<v Speaker 7>It's just being overshadowed currently, and so you know, this

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<v Speaker 7>is probably a pretty good time to start putting money

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<v Speaker 7>to work towards that sector and towards that theme.

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<v Speaker 2>Okay, but if it's not chips, how are you thinking

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<v Speaker 2>about the AI opportunity.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, look, I think it's a little bit more nuanced

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<v Speaker 6>right now.

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<v Speaker 7>You know that this is you know, you can think

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<v Speaker 7>about the AI trade as being or you know, the

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<v Speaker 7>AI investments broadly, as as following a couple of different phases.

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<v Speaker 6>You know, we've been in mostly sort of.

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<v Speaker 7>The infrastructure phase and that's and that's dominated obviously by chips,

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<v Speaker 7>by the hard work kind of kinds of things, just

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<v Speaker 7>like routers dominated the first part.

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<v Speaker 6>Of the Internet cycle.

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<v Speaker 7>We're getting now into more of the prove it stage

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<v Speaker 7>of AI, which is where you know, we're comps.

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<v Speaker 6>You're gonna have to figure out and prove to the

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<v Speaker 6>market that hey, I'm using this stuff. I know how

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<v Speaker 6>to make it.

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<v Speaker 7>I know how to use it in my company to

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<v Speaker 7>dry productivity, dry processes, and to get higher margins ultimately,

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<v Speaker 7>which is really the name of the game for this.

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<v Speaker 7>And so you know, finding those companies that can help

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<v Speaker 7>deliver that type of margin expansion through through productivity growth

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<v Speaker 7>using AI is really is what we think is kind

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<v Speaker 7>of the next trade. And so that's why that that

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<v Speaker 7>more equal weight treatment we think is probably a better play.

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<v Speaker 2>When we think about this week, though, Scott and the

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<v Speaker 2>amount of guidance we might get from earnings from CEOs,

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<v Speaker 2>whether it's the telecom sector that comes thick and fast,

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<v Speaker 2>whether you've got some of those chip names, whether it's

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<v Speaker 2>Intel or Texas Instruments, Are you expecting the guidance to

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<v Speaker 2>be lower?

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<v Speaker 7>We expect the guidance to be completely fuzzy, Like, look,

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<v Speaker 7>I'm not sure who's who's gonna leave guidance.

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<v Speaker 6>You know.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, United Airlines come out, you know, last week and say, look,

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<v Speaker 7>here's our guidance for a recession. Here's our guidance for

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<v Speaker 7>non recession. Like that's not guidance, I mean, that's actually

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<v Speaker 7>it's just fairly useless. And so you know, what we're

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<v Speaker 7>really going to be focusing on is like how are

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<v Speaker 7>companies thinking operating? So, you know, in terms of the guidance,

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<v Speaker 7>like the numbers aren't really going to mean anything, nobody's

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<v Speaker 7>gonna believe them, But in terms of like philosophically, like

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<v Speaker 7>how are you operating in this environment through this uncertainty?

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<v Speaker 7>How are you thinking about cappex What sort of contingency

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<v Speaker 7>plans do you have in place? It's really gonna be

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<v Speaker 7>those types of things that the people are going to

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<v Speaker 7>be looking for. It's it's going to be a you know,

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<v Speaker 7>a kind of a tip of the cap towards good management.

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<v Speaker 7>You know, good management and thoughtful management will probably you know,

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<v Speaker 7>get a premium through this kind of cycle. Yeah, but

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<v Speaker 7>it's you know, it's gonna be really those types of

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<v Speaker 7>more squishy qualitative things that folks can be looking for

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<v Speaker 7>rather than focusing on the hard numbers this quarter.

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<v Speaker 3>Let's go to the squishy CAPEX then, Scott, because what.

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<v Speaker 2>Are you expecting in terms of companies commitment to continue

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<v Speaker 2>to spend? We're all questioning it from well, the hyperscale

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<v Speaker 2>is when it comes to in video investment, for example, you.

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<v Speaker 7>Know, I think I think it's going to be a

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<v Speaker 7>time scale type of type of argument. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 7>I don't think like nobody's very confident in the next

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<v Speaker 7>few months, Like nobody has any visibility into what these policies.

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<v Speaker 6>Are actually going to look like, what these serves are

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<v Speaker 6>actually going to look like.

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<v Speaker 7>What we're really focusing on is like, what are folks

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<v Speaker 7>thinking about for the next two to three years and

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<v Speaker 7>are they actually being are they going to start executing

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<v Speaker 7>on some of those plans? So, you know, again, it's

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<v Speaker 7>it's just a tip towards the towards of management, towards

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<v Speaker 7>the guide you know, towards uh, you know, teams that

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<v Speaker 7>are proven that they can think through some of the

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<v Speaker 7>short term issues, manage through some of the short term issues,

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<v Speaker 7>and really focus more on the medium term stuff that

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<v Speaker 7>will like you know, that can have the benefits accrue

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<v Speaker 7>to them through time. It's you know, again, it's not

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<v Speaker 7>going to be a easy charge. I mean, this is

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<v Speaker 7>not going to be an easy earning season to figure

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<v Speaker 7>out and sort of bottom line for folks. It's really

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<v Speaker 7>going to be kind of a company by company, hand

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<v Speaker 7>to hand battle.

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<v Speaker 2>What about global exposure versus domestic exposure? I think of

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<v Speaker 2>the telecoms names, and they've weathered relatively resiliently because they're

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<v Speaker 2>focused on a.

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<v Speaker 3>Consumer here in the US.

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<v Speaker 2>How do you think about opportunities to invest abroad or

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<v Speaker 2>companies that have exposure abroad right now?

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<v Speaker 6>Scott, Yeah.

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<v Speaker 7>I mean, look, if you're thinking about investing in broad

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<v Speaker 7>you know, it's really about two things right now for US.

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<v Speaker 7>One is, you know, we do think the dollar down

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<v Speaker 7>trend is going to be fairly strong and and fairly

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<v Speaker 7>persistent for the next couple of years.

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<v Speaker 6>And you know that that in and of itself, it gives.

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<v Speaker 7>You a pretty to a tailwind if you're an international

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<v Speaker 7>investor investing international equities. So you know that's that's a

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<v Speaker 7>starting place and so you've got to get the dollar

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<v Speaker 7>part right for that, and we do think that dollar

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<v Speaker 7>trend is lower.

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<v Speaker 6>The other thing, though, is importantly the fiscal expansion.

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<v Speaker 7>You know, like on fiscal thrust is now the realm

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<v Speaker 7>of internationals and not the realm of the United States,

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<v Speaker 7>you know, companies and or the United States governments. Sorry,

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<v Speaker 7>and you know that the market definitely rewards fiscal expansion.

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<v Speaker 6>We saw that through COVID, We've seen that over the

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<v Speaker 6>last ten years.

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<v Speaker 7>Really and so you know, the sort of the dual

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<v Speaker 7>thing of fiscal expansion internationally versus the US, and you know,

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<v Speaker 7>and and the dollar trending lower against most major trading partners.

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<v Speaker 7>You know, we think those two tailwinds are going to

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<v Speaker 7>you know, really really be to be to the benefit

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<v Speaker 7>of international equity investing for the next probably year or so.

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<v Speaker 3>Most major trading partners.

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<v Speaker 2>I don't know if you count China as one of

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<v Speaker 2>them any more, Scott, but what about China's investment the

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<v Speaker 2>fiscal stimulus and whether or not you want to me

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<v Speaker 2>in some of these Chinese internet names for.

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<v Speaker 6>Example, yeah, Karion Lens.

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<v Speaker 7>Really, it's obviously a pretty tricky one, you know. You know,

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<v Speaker 7>China we think is going to get it's kind of

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<v Speaker 7>getting bullied, just like Europe is kind of getting bullied

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<v Speaker 7>in into doing the fiscal expansion thing. We think China's

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<v Speaker 7>gonna get bullied a little bit by Trump into doing

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<v Speaker 7>uh sort of countercyclical fiscal expansion, countercyclical policies, which.

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<v Speaker 6>They've really been resistant to for the last couple of years.

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<v Speaker 7>You know, one thing that we think is pretty important,

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<v Speaker 7>especially for Chinese tech though, is you know, you premiere

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<v Speaker 7>she he's dropped the common prosperity language. We've not heard

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<v Speaker 7>common prosperity come out of his mouth or or in

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<v Speaker 7>written for him for many months now, and that you

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<v Speaker 7>know that when that common prosperity the language just started

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<v Speaker 7>to take hold, it's really the death note towards Chinese,

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<v Speaker 7>so towards Chinese equities and Chinese tech in particular. And

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<v Speaker 7>so you know that that language being dropped, we think

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<v Speaker 7>is important. And so you know, the combination of that

0:09:37.120 --> 0:09:39.880
<v Speaker 7>language being dropped, so he's signaling a changed uh, you know,

0:09:39.960 --> 0:09:42.960
<v Speaker 7>changing his mindset towards capitalism, changes his mindset towards those

0:09:43.040 --> 0:09:44.959
<v Speaker 7>Chinese tech companies. Plus what we think is going to

0:09:45.040 --> 0:09:47.640
<v Speaker 7>have to be some sort of fiscal countercyclical uh you

0:09:47.640 --> 0:09:49.960
<v Speaker 7>know response by the Chinese governments, you know, you know,

0:09:50.040 --> 0:09:52.440
<v Speaker 7>makes those you know, probably probably okay to invest in.

0:09:52.640 --> 0:09:53.960
<v Speaker 7>But man, that is a tricky one.

0:09:54.200 --> 0:09:57.880
<v Speaker 2>Scott Ladner, Horizon Investments, thanks so much for joining us today.

0:09:58.080 --> 0:09:59.800
<v Speaker 3>Coming up, Alphabet heads to.

0:09:59.760 --> 0:10:03.520
<v Speaker 2>Call as the government continues its push to split up Google.

0:10:04.240 --> 0:10:16.840
<v Speaker 3>This is Blue Meg Technology today. Alphabet's Google.

0:10:16.920 --> 0:10:19.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's in court of a US government prosal to

0:10:19.679 --> 0:10:22.720
<v Speaker 2>split up the company. It follows a ruling last year

0:10:22.720 --> 0:10:26.080
<v Speaker 2>that Google has an illegal monopoly in web search. Lumeg's

0:10:26.080 --> 0:10:28.880
<v Speaker 2>Michael Shepherd has the details in Washington, and last week

0:10:28.960 --> 0:10:31.080
<v Speaker 2>it was all about that landmark ad.

0:10:30.800 --> 0:10:31.880
<v Speaker 3>Tech monopoly ruling.

0:10:31.920 --> 0:10:34.320
<v Speaker 2>This week, when we're reminded of the search ruling, what

0:10:34.360 --> 0:10:36.400
<v Speaker 2>are the remedies that likely to be discussed?

0:10:36.440 --> 0:10:40.720
<v Speaker 8>Chat Well, Carol, you're right that this is another front

0:10:40.840 --> 0:10:45.000
<v Speaker 8>in a broader antitrust push against Alphabet and a number

0:10:45.040 --> 0:10:47.880
<v Speaker 8>of other tech companies. But here we're talking about search,

0:10:48.120 --> 0:10:51.400
<v Speaker 8>and what the government is saying is that, look, Google

0:10:51.480 --> 0:10:54.960
<v Speaker 8>has this illegal monopoly per judges ruling back in August,

0:10:55.320 --> 0:10:57.600
<v Speaker 8>and these are the remedies that we would like to see.

0:10:57.640 --> 0:11:00.200
<v Speaker 8>This is the so called penalty a remedy phase, and

0:11:00.240 --> 0:11:02.760
<v Speaker 8>before the same judge who made that rolling back in August,

0:11:02.800 --> 0:11:05.360
<v Speaker 8>they are calling for a couple of big changes. One

0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:08.840
<v Speaker 8>is that Google should sell off its Chrome browser. Another

0:11:08.960 --> 0:11:12.319
<v Speaker 8>is that it should be licensing more data to its competitors,

0:11:12.520 --> 0:11:15.440
<v Speaker 8>and then finally, it should stop making all those billions

0:11:15.440 --> 0:11:18.559
<v Speaker 8>of dollars in payments to companies like Apple and others

0:11:18.840 --> 0:11:23.400
<v Speaker 8>to guarantee a good position on those platforms for its

0:11:23.400 --> 0:11:28.200
<v Speaker 8>search engine. Something that the judge found signaled anti competitive behavior.

0:11:28.440 --> 0:11:32.120
<v Speaker 8>Now Google has countered with saying that, look, making changes

0:11:32.200 --> 0:11:36.360
<v Speaker 8>like this will hinder innovation, it will put us at risk,

0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:39.080
<v Speaker 8>put the US at is at risk of losing a

0:11:39.160 --> 0:11:42.400
<v Speaker 8>competitive edge on the global stage. In essence, they are

0:11:42.440 --> 0:11:46.600
<v Speaker 8>saying that, look, the Justice Department's proposed fixes would seek

0:11:46.679 --> 0:11:48.840
<v Speaker 8>to break something that doesn't need fixing.

0:11:49.559 --> 0:11:53.199
<v Speaker 2>What's really interesting is just the time that it's been

0:11:53.280 --> 0:11:56.280
<v Speaker 2>more than forty years since we got the breakup of

0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:59.000
<v Speaker 2>marbll AT and t is in twenty five years since

0:11:59.080 --> 0:12:03.280
<v Speaker 2>Microsoft was under the microscope chev What do we think

0:12:03.320 --> 0:12:05.440
<v Speaker 2>will actually be an outcome in any sort of time

0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:06.280
<v Speaker 2>horizon here.

0:12:07.559 --> 0:12:11.400
<v Speaker 8>Well, they're talking about perhaps August to actually learn what

0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:14.560
<v Speaker 8>the judge's decision as far as the remedy goes. But

0:12:14.679 --> 0:12:17.559
<v Speaker 8>this will go on for years to come. This case

0:12:17.720 --> 0:12:22.040
<v Speaker 8>is not over now or in August. No matter what happens,

0:12:22.480 --> 0:12:24.920
<v Speaker 8>either a ruling in favor of the government again or

0:12:24.960 --> 0:12:27.800
<v Speaker 8>against the government, it will head to the Supreme Court

0:12:27.840 --> 0:12:30.520
<v Speaker 8>Foreign Appeal. Both sides have a lot at stake here,

0:12:30.720 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 8>and the US government is not showing any signs of

0:12:33.000 --> 0:12:36.160
<v Speaker 8>letting up in its anti trust push against the major

0:12:36.200 --> 0:12:39.560
<v Speaker 8>tech companies. We saw the Meta trial being pushed in

0:12:39.600 --> 0:12:42.640
<v Speaker 8>the case being pushed by the Federal Trade Commission proceeding

0:12:42.720 --> 0:12:46.040
<v Speaker 8>last week with testimony from Mark Zuckerberg and Cheryl Sandberg

0:12:46.440 --> 0:12:50.040
<v Speaker 8>about the company's alleged anti competitive behavior there and then

0:12:50.080 --> 0:12:52.840
<v Speaker 8>here in Google. As we were talking at the top

0:12:52.920 --> 0:12:57.000
<v Speaker 8>about the two front push there from the government against Alphabet,

0:12:57.240 --> 0:13:00.360
<v Speaker 8>and then there are other companies as well, Apple for

0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:05.440
<v Speaker 8>instance and Amazon are also under pressure over competitive practices

0:13:05.480 --> 0:13:08.440
<v Speaker 8>that the government has singled out is potentially harmful to

0:13:08.480 --> 0:13:08.920
<v Speaker 8>the market.

0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:12.240
<v Speaker 2>Care not to mention on the EU's been looking at too.

0:13:12.440 --> 0:13:15.960
<v Speaker 2>Greenberg's Michael Shepherd with all things from Washington, let's discuss

0:13:16.000 --> 0:13:19.360
<v Speaker 2>this further the former Nebraska Attorney General Doug Peterson with

0:13:19.480 --> 0:13:24.280
<v Speaker 2>US currently at Keating O'Gara and Doug, it's really interesting

0:13:24.400 --> 0:13:28.240
<v Speaker 2>as to how much you with AG and Nebraska pushed

0:13:28.280 --> 0:13:31.000
<v Speaker 2>forward on this particular case or many others that surround

0:13:31.040 --> 0:13:33.400
<v Speaker 2>Alphabet at the moment, and it was under the previous

0:13:33.440 --> 0:13:35.920
<v Speaker 2>Trump administration that first kicked off in twenty twenty.

0:13:36.520 --> 0:13:38.120
<v Speaker 3>What impact remind.

0:13:37.880 --> 0:13:40.720
<v Speaker 2>Us does this have on the consumer, on the tech

0:13:41.080 --> 0:13:43.160
<v Speaker 2>industry at large, this sort of form of.

0:13:43.040 --> 0:13:48.320
<v Speaker 9>Control, I think the biggest issue that as attorney generals.

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:49.559
<v Speaker 4>That we had concerned.

0:13:49.160 --> 0:13:53.720
<v Speaker 9>About was that big tech was accumulating so much personal data,

0:13:54.320 --> 0:13:59.360
<v Speaker 9>and that data really presented the consumer almost as the product,

0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:03.520
<v Speaker 9>because the data was what fed search, it's what feeds AI.

0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:07.240
<v Speaker 9>And really we felt as AGS that we needed to

0:14:07.280 --> 0:14:11.000
<v Speaker 9>step forward because their privacy and the use of their

0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:12.760
<v Speaker 9>data for profit was a big concern.

0:14:13.400 --> 0:14:16.199
<v Speaker 2>Let's talk about that for the consumer in this scenario,

0:14:16.320 --> 0:14:18.839
<v Speaker 2>because Google would counter that this is going to hurt

0:14:18.840 --> 0:14:21.880
<v Speaker 2>the consumer if you separate, for example, Chrome off suddenly

0:14:21.880 --> 0:14:24.240
<v Speaker 2>that seamless approach if you're an Android user, if you're

0:14:24.240 --> 0:14:28.760
<v Speaker 2>a Chrome user disintegrates. Does that ultimately hold firm in

0:14:28.800 --> 0:14:29.640
<v Speaker 2>your mind?

0:14:30.880 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 6>You know, I don't think so.

0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 9>I think one of the biggest concerns we had was

0:14:33.760 --> 0:14:36.320
<v Speaker 9>that what Google did in maintaining and this is in

0:14:36.360 --> 0:14:40.840
<v Speaker 9>the judge's August opinion, in maintaining this monopoly, it basically

0:14:40.880 --> 0:14:44.960
<v Speaker 9>created this ecosystem where they entered into exclusionary contracts with

0:14:45.000 --> 0:14:48.720
<v Speaker 9>all the important players, had some revenue sharing with us,

0:14:48.760 --> 0:14:51.520
<v Speaker 9>which were very important, and then as a result they

0:14:51.560 --> 0:14:57.080
<v Speaker 9>create this basically this feedback loop that keeps everything contained

0:14:57.160 --> 0:15:01.520
<v Speaker 9>within Google, and the result of that is a disincentivize

0:15:01.560 --> 0:15:04.360
<v Speaker 9>anyone from the outside actually being able to get any

0:15:04.400 --> 0:15:07.600
<v Speaker 9>capital to challenge with a certain type of search engine

0:15:07.600 --> 0:15:10.640
<v Speaker 9>that may be a better product, may better protect privacy.

0:15:10.880 --> 0:15:13.040
<v Speaker 9>All of that is pretty much locked out because investors

0:15:13.080 --> 0:15:15.040
<v Speaker 9>weren't going to invest in someone who's going to go.

0:15:15.080 --> 0:15:15.800
<v Speaker 4>Up against Google.

0:15:16.160 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 9>And second of all, all the players within that loop

0:15:19.600 --> 0:15:23.520
<v Speaker 9>that they had through these exclusionary contracts, you know, we're

0:15:23.600 --> 0:15:27.520
<v Speaker 9>disincentivized to look at working with any other technologies. So frankly,

0:15:28.040 --> 0:15:30.360
<v Speaker 9>I think it's put a ten year hold on really

0:15:30.400 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 9>developing better search technology.

0:15:33.080 --> 0:15:33.520
<v Speaker 3>Interesting.

0:15:33.600 --> 0:15:35.400
<v Speaker 2>I mean, eddie q is going to be giving evidence

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:37.800
<v Speaker 2>from Apple they get about twenty six billion dollars a

0:15:37.880 --> 0:15:40.680
<v Speaker 2>year in terms of payments to be offering that exclusive

0:15:40.760 --> 0:15:44.160
<v Speaker 2>nature of Google as a search option. But there are

0:15:44.240 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 2>other companies out there are the search options that actually

0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:49.920
<v Speaker 2>get money from Google too. What do you think we'll

0:15:49.960 --> 0:15:54.600
<v Speaker 2>hear in terms of some of the evidence given this week, Well.

0:15:54.440 --> 0:15:56.520
<v Speaker 4>I think there's several things.

0:15:56.560 --> 0:15:56.720
<v Speaker 6>One.

0:15:56.800 --> 0:15:59.080
<v Speaker 9>I think the Court in its August opinion made some

0:15:59.200 --> 0:16:02.800
<v Speaker 9>really important five feeds about the effects of these revenue

0:16:02.800 --> 0:16:06.440
<v Speaker 9>sharing contracts. I think the Court also really realized the

0:16:06.480 --> 0:16:10.120
<v Speaker 9>importance of scale because having that data and Google being

0:16:10.160 --> 0:16:12.240
<v Speaker 9>able to acquire so much of that just builds a

0:16:12.320 --> 0:16:16.760
<v Speaker 9>scale that actually makes it very difficult for any competition

0:16:16.840 --> 0:16:19.440
<v Speaker 9>to occur. So I think we're going to once again

0:16:19.480 --> 0:16:23.200
<v Speaker 9>see evidence about how companies who wanted to develop products

0:16:23.200 --> 0:16:25.480
<v Speaker 9>in general search and also in the area of search

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:28.880
<v Speaker 9>advertising text advertising will see evidence of how they've been

0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:31.800
<v Speaker 9>kept out of the market and how it's necessary, including

0:16:31.840 --> 0:16:36.840
<v Speaker 9>the divestiture of Chrome is an important element to balance

0:16:36.880 --> 0:16:38.400
<v Speaker 9>out competition in the market.

0:16:38.880 --> 0:16:41.000
<v Speaker 2>Alphabet shares currently act session laws by two and a

0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:43.440
<v Speaker 2>half percent. They've got their earnings later this week, So

0:16:43.440 --> 0:16:44.840
<v Speaker 2>Sono Pitch is a busy guy.

0:16:45.280 --> 0:16:45.520
<v Speaker 3>Doug.

0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:49.360
<v Speaker 2>I'm interested though, in the countering nature from Google also,

0:16:49.520 --> 0:16:52.160
<v Speaker 2>is this is backward looking. We suddenly got a lot

0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:55.040
<v Speaker 2>more competition in the search space because open AI is

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:59.960
<v Speaker 2>there and all perplexity these other generative AI forms of search.

0:17:00.360 --> 0:17:03.120
<v Speaker 3>Is that an interesting argument. Is the timing wrong here?

0:17:04.480 --> 0:17:04.800
<v Speaker 10>Well?

0:17:04.960 --> 0:17:08.119
<v Speaker 9>No, Actually, I think the timing's really important because I

0:17:08.119 --> 0:17:11.560
<v Speaker 9>think we both the Department of Justice and the state

0:17:11.840 --> 0:17:16.480
<v Speaker 9>Attorneys General recognize that technology is moving so quickly. AI

0:17:16.560 --> 0:17:19.000
<v Speaker 9>is moving very quickly. But what's the fuel of all

0:17:19.040 --> 0:17:22.640
<v Speaker 9>of that, once again is data, And so we think

0:17:22.760 --> 0:17:25.280
<v Speaker 9>actually part of what we're asking for in the remedy

0:17:25.720 --> 0:17:28.480
<v Speaker 9>is to ask the court to keep a monitoring process

0:17:28.600 --> 0:17:31.119
<v Speaker 9>going so that we can follow this as we go

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:35.840
<v Speaker 9>into the AI world development because really from a vent diagram,

0:17:35.840 --> 0:17:38.520
<v Speaker 9>there's a lot of overlap, and so having an ongoing

0:17:38.640 --> 0:17:41.960
<v Speaker 9>monitoring ability by the court will allow us to address

0:17:42.200 --> 0:17:45.160
<v Speaker 9>some of the new technology challenges that might come forward.

0:17:45.680 --> 0:17:46.800
<v Speaker 3>Back in private practice.

0:17:46.880 --> 0:17:49.880
<v Speaker 2>But of course, the former Nebraska Attorney General Doug Peterson,

0:17:50.080 --> 0:17:51.280
<v Speaker 2>wonderful to have some time with you.

0:17:51.520 --> 0:18:00.119
<v Speaker 3>Thank you.

0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:00.199
<v Speaker 8>You.

0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:01.119
<v Speaker 3>Look at Tessa shares.

0:18:01.240 --> 0:18:04.360
<v Speaker 2>They're off by or more than seven percent, worst day

0:18:04.440 --> 0:18:07.160
<v Speaker 2>since April tenth for the stop the company's biggest falls.

0:18:07.240 --> 0:18:09.639
<v Speaker 2>One of them at least sent a start warning to investors.

0:18:09.680 --> 0:18:11.880
<v Speaker 2>Wedbush analyst d and I saying that this is code

0:18:11.960 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 2>read this moment for Tesla and the elol Musk needs

0:18:15.080 --> 0:18:17.359
<v Speaker 2>to pivot his focus from the Department of Government efficiency

0:18:17.480 --> 0:18:21.240
<v Speaker 2>to avoid lasting brand damage. Remberg's David Welch joins us, Now,

0:18:21.400 --> 0:18:24.640
<v Speaker 2>we've heard this revives before, but earnings come Tuesday.

0:18:24.680 --> 0:18:25.800
<v Speaker 3>It's an important moment.

0:18:27.480 --> 0:18:31.400
<v Speaker 11>That's right, and I think investors obviously Dan ives among them,

0:18:32.040 --> 0:18:34.600
<v Speaker 11>he's an analyst, course, but I want to hear that

0:18:34.680 --> 0:18:36.400
<v Speaker 11>Elon is going to come back. They want to hear

0:18:36.440 --> 0:18:38.840
<v Speaker 11>that there's a focus again on getting the sales going,

0:18:39.240 --> 0:18:41.880
<v Speaker 11>that you're going to coo or praise TV coming out.

0:18:41.920 --> 0:18:44.240
<v Speaker 11>And I think the big thing too that's kind of

0:18:44.320 --> 0:18:48.280
<v Speaker 11>kept the narrative going before this sort of politically related

0:18:49.000 --> 0:18:51.600
<v Speaker 11>route that they've had is what's going on with the

0:18:51.680 --> 0:18:56.560
<v Speaker 11>autonomous vehicle, with the whole AI and AV business that

0:18:56.720 --> 0:19:00.240
<v Speaker 11>Eon talked about a while back, and with him in

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:04.520
<v Speaker 11>the government and cutting government costs with DOGE, Investors aren't

0:19:04.520 --> 0:19:05.919
<v Speaker 11>seeing a lot of that. This is the sort of

0:19:05.920 --> 0:19:09.200
<v Speaker 11>thing that goes back years right when investors were worried

0:19:09.240 --> 0:19:11.879
<v Speaker 11>Elon was spending too much time at SpaceX or with

0:19:11.960 --> 0:19:14.520
<v Speaker 11>the boring company and not enough time at Tesla, And

0:19:14.560 --> 0:19:17.040
<v Speaker 11>here he's basically spending most of his time at the government.

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:19.920
<v Speaker 11>And they want to see that the guy who built

0:19:19.920 --> 0:19:22.480
<v Speaker 11>the company and who has steered it and made a

0:19:22.520 --> 0:19:23.960
<v Speaker 11>lot of people a lot of money is back and

0:19:24.000 --> 0:19:25.960
<v Speaker 11>focused on Tesla.

0:19:26.119 --> 0:19:27.040
<v Speaker 3>And on innovation.

0:19:27.240 --> 0:19:30.840
<v Speaker 2>Many looking towards other evs, particularly in China that are

0:19:30.880 --> 0:19:33.800
<v Speaker 2>speeding up with charging in c ATL, maybe having charges

0:19:34.160 --> 0:19:37.240
<v Speaker 2>that bring us to five minutes or less to full charge.

0:19:37.320 --> 0:19:40.080
<v Speaker 2>David just move us away from Also, where areas that

0:19:40.800 --> 0:19:43.199
<v Speaker 2>cars being impacted? Right now, I'm looking at Hurts, a

0:19:43.200 --> 0:19:46.680
<v Speaker 2>big investment coming into Hurts. Interestingly, they made a poor

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:50.080
<v Speaker 2>decision around Tesla investments in the past, but now it

0:19:50.119 --> 0:19:52.680
<v Speaker 2>looks as though Pershing Square like what they're doing now.

0:19:54.200 --> 0:19:54.640
<v Speaker 4>That's right.

0:19:54.680 --> 0:19:57.080
<v Speaker 11>And remember in the fourth quarter Hurtz said that they

0:19:57.119 --> 0:20:01.439
<v Speaker 11>were done sewing down this Tesla bed that really caused

0:20:01.440 --> 0:20:04.280
<v Speaker 11>like two point nine billion dollars worth of losses last year.

0:20:04.440 --> 0:20:07.120
<v Speaker 11>So if that's behind them and the market still isn't

0:20:07.160 --> 0:20:09.680
<v Speaker 11>rewarding them for that, it was trading down below four

0:20:09.680 --> 0:20:13.240
<v Speaker 11>dollars a share before Acman bought in, it doesn't take

0:20:13.280 --> 0:20:16.560
<v Speaker 11>too much in terms of operating improvements for Hurts to

0:20:16.640 --> 0:20:19.000
<v Speaker 11>really start to move the needle and get things going

0:20:19.040 --> 0:20:22.560
<v Speaker 11>again in the right direction, assuming that there's no more

0:20:22.560 --> 0:20:26.520
<v Speaker 11>of a wicked tail here from the Tesla bet and

0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:28.360
<v Speaker 11>Acman mentioned that in his letter. And the other thing

0:20:28.359 --> 0:20:31.080
<v Speaker 11>too he's looking at is could this be a tariff

0:20:31.080 --> 0:20:33.840
<v Speaker 11>bet here? If tariffs drive up the prices of new cars,

0:20:34.119 --> 0:20:36.040
<v Speaker 11>it always has an impact brings up the price of

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:39.159
<v Speaker 11>used cars as well. Herts has hundreds of thousands of

0:20:39.200 --> 0:20:40.800
<v Speaker 11>them in their fleets, and if they sell them at

0:20:40.800 --> 0:20:42.680
<v Speaker 11>a better price than they bottom for, that's just good

0:20:42.680 --> 0:20:45.080
<v Speaker 11>for the company and will help them pay down some

0:20:45.119 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 11>of their debts. So there are some potential tail winds

0:20:47.520 --> 0:20:52.240
<v Speaker 11>here and some potential operating improvements for Hurts and Actmen's

0:20:52.240 --> 0:20:55.639
<v Speaker 11>betting that the Tesla damage is behind the company and

0:20:55.680 --> 0:20:59.760
<v Speaker 11>it's all at least some kind of improvement going forward.

0:21:00.080 --> 0:21:03.280
<v Speaker 2>To nineteen percent bet David Welch, thanks so much, and

0:21:03.359 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 2>all the things evs and Auto's welcome back to bloemag

0:21:13.760 --> 0:21:15.880
<v Speaker 2>Technology and Caroline Hide in New York. A quick check

0:21:15.920 --> 0:21:18.160
<v Speaker 2>on these markets that are once again on a downdraft.

0:21:18.320 --> 0:21:20.520
<v Speaker 2>Now we're seeing the NAZNAT one hundred feeling the brunt

0:21:20.560 --> 0:21:22.440
<v Speaker 2>of the sell off right now. We're off by two

0:21:22.440 --> 0:21:24.359
<v Speaker 2>and three quarters of a percent. In fact, on the

0:21:24.400 --> 0:21:26.679
<v Speaker 2>naszat one hundred and only five stocks we're actually in

0:21:26.720 --> 0:21:28.800
<v Speaker 2>the green, everything in the red. We move from the

0:21:28.880 --> 0:21:32.879
<v Speaker 2>micro anxiety of chip stocks, of worries about earnings, but

0:21:32.920 --> 0:21:35.560
<v Speaker 2>also to the macro perspective, what of J. Powell, what

0:21:35.680 --> 0:21:38.040
<v Speaker 2>of his future? We're currently on the downside. Move on

0:21:38.080 --> 0:21:39.840
<v Speaker 2>to some of the individual movers that we're keeping.

0:21:39.720 --> 0:21:40.119
<v Speaker 3>An eye on.

0:21:40.359 --> 0:21:42.760
<v Speaker 2>Nvidia is one of the key that is on the downside.

0:21:42.800 --> 0:21:44.959
<v Speaker 2>From the points perspective, we're currently seeing off by more

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:47.640
<v Speaker 2>than five percent. For three straight days, we've seen losses.

0:21:47.760 --> 0:21:50.080
<v Speaker 2>It's wiped out almost four hundred billion dollars worth of

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.760
<v Speaker 2>market cap in those three days. I'm also looking though

0:21:52.760 --> 0:21:55.800
<v Speaker 2>at TSMC off by three point three percent. They're putting

0:21:55.800 --> 0:21:58.359
<v Speaker 2>out a warning in an annual report saying, now, maybe

0:21:58.400 --> 0:22:00.520
<v Speaker 2>we're going to find it very hard to ensure that

0:22:00.560 --> 0:22:04.280
<v Speaker 2>the end users of our chips aren't Chinese. Let's talk

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:06.200
<v Speaker 2>about that a little bit more with Ian King who

0:22:06.240 --> 0:22:09.600
<v Speaker 2>joins us now. And look, this is TSMC saying, look,

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:12.399
<v Speaker 2>we hear you US government. We understand you want to

0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:15.560
<v Speaker 2>be limiting some of the exports to certain Chinese entities.

0:22:15.800 --> 0:22:17.120
<v Speaker 3>We don't always know where they're going.

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:20.640
<v Speaker 12>Yeah, I mean this is obviously an attempt by them

0:22:20.840 --> 0:22:23.560
<v Speaker 12>to try to sort of shift the blame or shift

0:22:23.600 --> 0:22:27.280
<v Speaker 12>the focus. They're saying, look, hey, we just make these things.

0:22:27.800 --> 0:22:30.479
<v Speaker 12>You know, the companies that design them, the companies that

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:33.000
<v Speaker 12>sell them, they're the ones that kind of should know

0:22:33.040 --> 0:22:34.959
<v Speaker 12>where they're going. They're the ones that are sort of

0:22:35.000 --> 0:22:38.320
<v Speaker 12>more directly involved. And then maybe it's the computer makers

0:22:38.320 --> 0:22:40.400
<v Speaker 12>who actually take them and then put them in computers

0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:43.800
<v Speaker 12>or cell phones or whatever that So this is, as

0:22:43.840 --> 0:22:47.120
<v Speaker 12>you say, there's a heightened environment of like, look, how

0:22:47.160 --> 0:22:48.520
<v Speaker 12>are these chips getting to China?

0:22:48.560 --> 0:22:49.200
<v Speaker 6>We need to know.

0:22:49.440 --> 0:22:51.720
<v Speaker 12>And this is TSMC saying, hey, it wasn't us.

0:22:52.440 --> 0:22:55.560
<v Speaker 2>What's interesting is TSMC itself has been trying to appease

0:22:55.600 --> 0:22:58.520
<v Speaker 2>the administration more investment into the United States. I've just

0:22:58.520 --> 0:23:01.360
<v Speaker 2>come back from Arizona. Is all about the investment they're

0:23:01.359 --> 0:23:03.400
<v Speaker 2>making in that state, but it's costing.

0:23:03.040 --> 0:23:05.199
<v Speaker 3>Them more in yeah, it is.

0:23:05.280 --> 0:23:07.880
<v Speaker 12>I mean, this is the whole point behind the Chipsack

0:23:08.080 --> 0:23:10.520
<v Speaker 12>was to say, look, we need to make the price

0:23:10.760 --> 0:23:14.200
<v Speaker 12>of doing business in the US of building these giant,

0:23:14.400 --> 0:23:18.119
<v Speaker 12>massively expensive factories equivalent to what it would be to

0:23:18.240 --> 0:23:20.919
<v Speaker 12>make them in Taiwan or make them in South Korea

0:23:21.359 --> 0:23:25.080
<v Speaker 12>or China for that matter. And the delta has always

0:23:25.080 --> 0:23:29.080
<v Speaker 12>been government support. That's the Chipsack. That's what TSMC wants

0:23:29.119 --> 0:23:32.880
<v Speaker 12>more of. But frankly, whether that's absolutely the case, whether

0:23:32.920 --> 0:23:35.320
<v Speaker 12>it can still get the same level of economics, that's

0:23:35.320 --> 0:23:36.560
<v Speaker 12>still a challenge.

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:39.440
<v Speaker 2>Ian King always brilliant to have you, thank you more

0:23:39.480 --> 0:23:42.679
<v Speaker 2>on a semiconductor sector now I'm in this geopolitical uncertainty

0:23:42.960 --> 0:23:45.920
<v Speaker 2>and welcome back to the show, Michelle geider Kirk Institute

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:48.400
<v Speaker 2>for Tech Diplomacy at Purdue CEO there.

0:23:48.680 --> 0:23:49.040
<v Speaker 3>Michelle.

0:23:49.080 --> 0:23:51.280
<v Speaker 2>Always great to have your voice, and let's just talk

0:23:51.320 --> 0:23:54.159
<v Speaker 2>about what you're hearing from semiconductor companies at the moment.

0:23:54.640 --> 0:23:58.080
<v Speaker 2>Are we still seeing the administration getting what it wants.

0:24:00.160 --> 0:24:03.399
<v Speaker 13>I think we are seeing a tightening of export controls,

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:06.960
<v Speaker 13>which has been the trajectory for the past few years,

0:24:07.200 --> 0:24:09.639
<v Speaker 13>and I think it speaks to the strategic nature of

0:24:09.720 --> 0:24:14.360
<v Speaker 13>semiconductors because they're powering consumer technologies and they're also powering

0:24:14.400 --> 0:24:16.760
<v Speaker 13>defense tech at the same time. So if you look

0:24:16.760 --> 0:24:21.600
<v Speaker 13>at American chip companies like Nvidia, like AMD, or allied

0:24:21.720 --> 0:24:24.840
<v Speaker 13>chip companies like TSMC, they have a very strategic role

0:24:24.880 --> 0:24:28.240
<v Speaker 13>to play. They're at the front lines of geopolitical competition,

0:24:28.359 --> 0:24:31.320
<v Speaker 13>and so they are not passive but active players and

0:24:31.400 --> 0:24:34.320
<v Speaker 13>making sure that the US and the free world maintains

0:24:34.359 --> 0:24:38.359
<v Speaker 13>technological leadership. And so these increasing export controls are a

0:24:38.359 --> 0:24:39.119
<v Speaker 13>reflection of that.

0:24:40.119 --> 0:24:43.360
<v Speaker 2>When TSMC puts out an annual report saying.

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:45.960
<v Speaker 3>We're going to struggle with this, when they're trying to.

0:24:45.880 --> 0:24:49.320
<v Speaker 2>Own the fact that they perhaps don't always understand the

0:24:49.359 --> 0:24:52.520
<v Speaker 2>exact end user. Of course, there was reports that TSMC

0:24:52.800 --> 0:24:55.359
<v Speaker 2>chips ended up in Huawei products.

0:24:55.880 --> 0:24:59.120
<v Speaker 3>How do you rate that acknowledgement from a company.

0:25:00.200 --> 0:25:02.960
<v Speaker 13>Well, I'd say the great opportunity for a company like

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:06.840
<v Speaker 13>TSMC is the fact that TSMC produces ninety percent of

0:25:06.880 --> 0:25:09.520
<v Speaker 13>the world's most advanced semiconductors, and so if you look

0:25:09.560 --> 0:25:12.199
<v Speaker 13>at the leverage that they have, if they were to

0:25:12.200 --> 0:25:17.720
<v Speaker 13>issue guidance requiring more disclosure, more transparency and understanding downstream

0:25:17.920 --> 0:25:20.119
<v Speaker 13>who the end users are of the chips that they're making,

0:25:20.359 --> 0:25:22.119
<v Speaker 13>I think they would see that their customers would be

0:25:22.160 --> 0:25:25.199
<v Speaker 13>highly responsive to that because of the leadership role that

0:25:25.200 --> 0:25:29.280
<v Speaker 13>they play, and that's an important thing here. Companies can't

0:25:29.320 --> 0:25:32.920
<v Speaker 13>just be passive bystanders, waiting for governments to issue regulations

0:25:32.920 --> 0:25:36.159
<v Speaker 13>and then comply. There's actually a leadership opportunity here for

0:25:36.240 --> 0:25:38.639
<v Speaker 13>companies who are on the ground, who are operating in

0:25:38.640 --> 0:25:41.680
<v Speaker 13>this environment, to play a key role in shaping what

0:25:41.720 --> 0:25:43.840
<v Speaker 13>the disclosures need to look like, so we all make

0:25:43.840 --> 0:25:45.920
<v Speaker 13>sure that these chips don't end up in the hands

0:25:45.960 --> 0:25:46.880
<v Speaker 13>of our adversaries.

0:25:47.640 --> 0:25:51.280
<v Speaker 2>Disclosure is one thing, but designing new types of chips

0:25:51.320 --> 0:25:54.840
<v Speaker 2>to abide by changing rules is another, and Nvidia has

0:25:54.880 --> 0:25:57.160
<v Speaker 2>been trying to do that. Every time the rules have changed,

0:25:57.240 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 2>they've designed a different type of chip that China is

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:00.600
<v Speaker 2>allowed access.

0:26:00.680 --> 0:26:02.560
<v Speaker 3>And now the crack down on the H twenty.

0:26:02.960 --> 0:26:06.440
<v Speaker 2>How do you think Jensen Wang has navigated this thus far?

0:26:07.800 --> 0:26:10.840
<v Speaker 13>Well, I think it's worth taking a step back and

0:26:10.880 --> 0:26:12.960
<v Speaker 13>looking at the bigger picture here, which is, if you

0:26:13.080 --> 0:26:17.840
<v Speaker 13>have to modify your product so that a totalitarian customer

0:26:17.960 --> 0:26:21.760
<v Speaker 13>isn't using it to undermine your country's national security, something's wrong.

0:26:22.800 --> 0:26:24.840
<v Speaker 13>So how do you take a look at what the

0:26:24.920 --> 0:26:29.159
<v Speaker 13>overall business strategy is and national security strategy is and

0:26:29.200 --> 0:26:31.560
<v Speaker 13>start to think about what is a long game here?

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:34.200
<v Speaker 13>And for American chip companies in China, it's not going

0:26:34.240 --> 0:26:36.879
<v Speaker 13>to be a long game because China has declared that

0:26:36.920 --> 0:26:40.360
<v Speaker 13>it wants to be self sufficient in critical technology. Semiconductors

0:26:40.440 --> 0:26:42.920
<v Speaker 13>is one of them in all critical technologies by twenty

0:26:43.000 --> 0:26:45.920
<v Speaker 13>thirty five. And so the clock is ticking on American

0:26:45.960 --> 0:26:48.560
<v Speaker 13>chip companies right now. And whether it is the company

0:26:48.840 --> 0:26:51.359
<v Speaker 13>leaving the market on its own terms, or it's a

0:26:51.480 --> 0:26:55.480
<v Speaker 13>US government issuing new export control regulations, or ultimately China

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:58.639
<v Speaker 13>creating its own national champions like Huawei and then ousting

0:26:58.680 --> 0:27:02.520
<v Speaker 13>American companies, the opportunities for a business leader to decide

0:27:02.520 --> 0:27:04.960
<v Speaker 13>now whether they want to get out on their own

0:27:05.040 --> 0:27:07.960
<v Speaker 13>terms or have it be dictated by China.

0:27:08.480 --> 0:27:11.320
<v Speaker 3>But then Jensenwang, as the crackdown on.

0:27:11.400 --> 0:27:15.600
<v Speaker 2>H twenties happened, goes to Beijing, is in China reconfirming

0:27:15.600 --> 0:27:19.439
<v Speaker 2>his commitment to the country. How did you assess that

0:27:19.520 --> 0:27:22.160
<v Speaker 2>particular level of diplomacy from the company.

0:27:22.720 --> 0:27:24.520
<v Speaker 13>Well, I think it was equally important that he also

0:27:24.600 --> 0:27:28.720
<v Speaker 13>went to Japan thereafter. And look, China's a significant market

0:27:28.720 --> 0:27:31.119
<v Speaker 13>for Nvidian, for other chip companies. I think it's their

0:27:31.119 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 13>fourth largest by sales, so I'm not surprising that he

0:27:34.359 --> 0:27:37.480
<v Speaker 13>went there. But at the end of the day, we've

0:27:37.520 --> 0:27:40.359
<v Speaker 13>got to make sure that American companies, not just chip companies,

0:27:40.359 --> 0:27:42.919
<v Speaker 13>but companies and all critical tech sectors are working with

0:27:42.960 --> 0:27:46.600
<v Speaker 13>trusted partners and trusted allies in order to advance our

0:27:46.640 --> 0:27:49.600
<v Speaker 13>collective national and international security. And the fact that he

0:27:49.680 --> 0:27:52.880
<v Speaker 13>was in Japan emphasizing the need for increased energy and resources,

0:27:52.960 --> 0:27:57.280
<v Speaker 13>Japan's been a trusted partner in technology. Those types of conversations,

0:27:57.320 --> 0:28:00.840
<v Speaker 13>that type of tech diplomacy is really important, and you know,

0:28:00.880 --> 0:28:03.640
<v Speaker 13>you see Vice President advances in India today as well.

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:06.639
<v Speaker 13>Working with democratic partners like that is going to be

0:28:07.200 --> 0:28:10.560
<v Speaker 13>even more better news for US national security.

0:28:10.640 --> 0:28:14.879
<v Speaker 2>When we have the idea though, that necessity is the

0:28:14.880 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 2>mother of all invention, our and indeed innovation, Michelle, are

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:20.919
<v Speaker 2>we just pushing China to go and build it themselves

0:28:20.920 --> 0:28:21.720
<v Speaker 2>at a faster rate?

0:28:23.440 --> 0:28:25.879
<v Speaker 13>They're going to do it anyway, So you know, the

0:28:25.920 --> 0:28:28.760
<v Speaker 13>alternative would be, well, let's hand them our critical technologies

0:28:28.800 --> 0:28:31.520
<v Speaker 13>and save them some time. The argument doesn't really stand.

0:28:31.760 --> 0:28:35.280
<v Speaker 13>America's got to be focused on innovating faster and smarter

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:38.440
<v Speaker 13>and better and being the leader in all critical areas

0:28:38.440 --> 0:28:43.040
<v Speaker 13>of technology and addressing what competitors and adversaries like China

0:28:43.160 --> 0:28:45.600
<v Speaker 13>or Russia or Iran or doing in these sectors. But

0:28:46.360 --> 0:28:49.000
<v Speaker 13>the imperative for the United States is to focus on

0:28:49.080 --> 0:28:52.080
<v Speaker 13>innovation first and make sure we maintain a global leadership position.

0:28:52.440 --> 0:28:54.440
<v Speaker 13>China is going to continue doing that on its own.

0:28:54.440 --> 0:28:56.440
<v Speaker 13>So the more that we focus on winning what we

0:28:56.480 --> 0:29:00.360
<v Speaker 13>do best, which is innovation and enterprise, the better will be.

0:29:00.920 --> 0:29:02.720
<v Speaker 3>Michelle. It's great to have you back. Thank you.

0:29:02.800 --> 0:29:06.000
<v Speaker 2>Michelle Geider at the Crack Institute for Tech Diplomacy now

0:29:06.040 --> 0:29:09.280
<v Speaker 2>coming up. Netflix's record profit is giving investors something to

0:29:09.280 --> 0:29:12.320
<v Speaker 2>cling to amid of all this economic uncertainty and challenges

0:29:12.360 --> 0:29:14.400
<v Speaker 2>for traditional TV and movie businesses.

0:29:15.080 --> 0:29:15.520
<v Speaker 3>More on that.

0:29:15.920 --> 0:29:26.920
<v Speaker 2>Next, this is Bluemot Technology quick check in on Netflix

0:29:26.960 --> 0:29:29.560
<v Speaker 2>shares because they had been holding onto gains and in

0:29:29.600 --> 0:29:31.640
<v Speaker 2>fact one of the only stocks in the green on

0:29:31.640 --> 0:29:33.480
<v Speaker 2>the last that one hundred are up two point eight

0:29:33.520 --> 0:29:35.760
<v Speaker 2>percent after the streaming giant reported.

0:29:35.440 --> 0:29:37.640
<v Speaker 3>A record profit to start the year.

0:29:37.960 --> 0:29:40.520
<v Speaker 2>And I see the company business as resilient amid a

0:29:40.520 --> 0:29:43.360
<v Speaker 2>tougher macro environment. Blubogs luca sure can break it down. First,

0:29:43.440 --> 0:29:46.520
<v Speaker 2>we got the numbers on Thursday evening, and of course

0:29:46.560 --> 0:29:48.880
<v Speaker 2>then the markets went on holiday. So today they react,

0:29:48.920 --> 0:29:49.800
<v Speaker 2>Lucas and they like it.

0:29:50.680 --> 0:29:51.440
<v Speaker 6>They like it a lot.

0:29:51.520 --> 0:29:55.560
<v Speaker 14>I mean, there had been a belief among investors, analysts,

0:29:55.600 --> 0:29:57.800
<v Speaker 14>and I think everyone that Netflix was a company that

0:29:57.880 --> 0:30:02.840
<v Speaker 14>was not particularly at because of the current uncertainty, trade

0:30:02.840 --> 0:30:05.440
<v Speaker 14>war and the like. And it's also just a company

0:30:05.480 --> 0:30:08.360
<v Speaker 14>that continues to operate on all cylinders.

0:30:08.440 --> 0:30:08.640
<v Speaker 4>Right.

0:30:08.680 --> 0:30:12.000
<v Speaker 14>It is excelling, even if there are some people who

0:30:12.080 --> 0:30:14.760
<v Speaker 14>think that it's slowed down in terms of subscribers in

0:30:14.800 --> 0:30:15.760
<v Speaker 14>the first quarter of the year.

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:17.320
<v Speaker 4>At least in the US and Canada.

0:30:17.680 --> 0:30:20.960
<v Speaker 14>The numbers that it is now reporting revenue and profit

0:30:20.960 --> 0:30:22.680
<v Speaker 14>both look really good. I mean, the thing where Netflix

0:30:22.720 --> 0:30:26.840
<v Speaker 14>has continued to over deliver for investors has been its

0:30:26.840 --> 0:30:29.000
<v Speaker 14>free cash flow and its profit over the last.

0:30:28.880 --> 0:30:29.400
<v Speaker 4>Couple of years.

0:30:29.440 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 14>It's kind of crazy to think that there was a

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:34.000
<v Speaker 14>time in which people were worried that they might collapse

0:30:34.080 --> 0:30:34.560
<v Speaker 14>under debt.

0:30:34.560 --> 0:30:35.719
<v Speaker 4>Are never make any money.

0:30:36.240 --> 0:30:38.920
<v Speaker 2>The fact that first quarter earnings are up twenty five percent,

0:30:39.000 --> 0:30:41.480
<v Speaker 2>the fact that they're talking about resiliency in the face

0:30:41.520 --> 0:30:43.000
<v Speaker 2>of potentially.

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:44.520
<v Speaker 3>Weakened consumer lucas.

0:30:45.120 --> 0:30:47.680
<v Speaker 2>Are they continuing, though, to double down on the commitment

0:30:47.680 --> 0:30:50.240
<v Speaker 2>to produce abroad, to continue to roll out when new movies,

0:30:50.320 --> 0:30:50.840
<v Speaker 2>new content.

0:30:51.800 --> 0:30:52.280
<v Speaker 6>Yeah, I mean that.

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:54.760
<v Speaker 14>They actually had a whole section in their letter to

0:30:54.840 --> 0:30:58.240
<v Speaker 14>shareholders last week talking about the investment they're making in

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:01.160
<v Speaker 14>international production. I think they said that they're now producing

0:31:01.320 --> 0:31:03.120
<v Speaker 14>in something like fifty countries.

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:05.239
<v Speaker 4>It might be even even north of that.

0:31:05.400 --> 0:31:07.720
<v Speaker 14>You know, they have started to increase their programming budget

0:31:07.800 --> 0:31:09.600
<v Speaker 14>after it being flat for a couple of years.

0:31:09.640 --> 0:31:11.920
<v Speaker 4>I think they're up to eighteen billion dollars a year.

0:31:12.320 --> 0:31:15.160
<v Speaker 14>They still produce and release more programming than any streaming

0:31:15.240 --> 0:31:18.640
<v Speaker 14>service by a mile, and yeah, they see an opportunity.

0:31:18.680 --> 0:31:21.400
<v Speaker 14>I mean, if people do get more cost conscious and

0:31:21.400 --> 0:31:24.680
<v Speaker 14>look to cut their streaming services, every service would experience

0:31:25.200 --> 0:31:27.840
<v Speaker 14>a higher cancelation rate what's known in the industry as churn.

0:31:28.120 --> 0:31:30.600
<v Speaker 14>But Netflix has the industry best and I think would

0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:33.440
<v Speaker 14>continue to because of all that you get for it. Right,

0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:36.080
<v Speaker 14>Whereas there are other services that if you only watch

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:38.360
<v Speaker 14>one or two shows you might say, I can cut

0:31:38.360 --> 0:31:39.800
<v Speaker 14>this for a month, I think it's a lot harder

0:31:39.800 --> 0:31:41.480
<v Speaker 14>for the average person to cut Netflix.

0:31:41.800 --> 0:31:44.719
<v Speaker 2>Luka sure on all things Arnings, Thanks so much for that,

0:31:44.760 --> 0:31:47.200
<v Speaker 2>And let's just stick a little bit longer with Netflix.

0:31:47.440 --> 0:31:49.320
<v Speaker 3>Bring in Rich Greenfield of light Shed.

0:31:49.520 --> 0:31:52.600
<v Speaker 2>You really pointed to the fact that they're producing content

0:31:52.720 --> 0:31:54.200
<v Speaker 2>in so many countries.

0:31:54.520 --> 0:31:55.880
<v Speaker 3>Does that help with the weakening dollar?

0:31:57.480 --> 0:31:59.360
<v Speaker 15>I mean, look, I think first of all, you know,

0:31:59.520 --> 0:32:02.320
<v Speaker 15>having pretuction resources all over the world, I mean, more

0:32:02.360 --> 0:32:05.800
<v Speaker 15>than anything else, Carolyn, it makes it cheaper to make content.

0:32:05.880 --> 0:32:08.560
<v Speaker 15>You know, the cost of making an hour drama in

0:32:08.600 --> 0:32:10.280
<v Speaker 15>the US, I mean you can run, you know, you

0:32:10.320 --> 0:32:13.880
<v Speaker 15>look at something like you know, take a Yellowstone or

0:32:13.920 --> 0:32:16.600
<v Speaker 15>an eighteen eighty three like those can cost twenty five

0:32:16.640 --> 0:32:19.440
<v Speaker 15>plus million dollars an episode. When you're producing overseas, you're

0:32:19.440 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 15>taking advantage of generally far lower cost production environments, but

0:32:23.920 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 15>you're also creating content that caters very much to local tastes.

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:30.760
<v Speaker 15>And so what Netflix has been really unique about is

0:32:30.800 --> 0:32:33.480
<v Speaker 15>not just creating great content in the US it's exported

0:32:33.520 --> 0:32:34.520
<v Speaker 15>around the world, but.

0:32:34.520 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 10>Creating great content all around the world.

0:32:36.400 --> 0:32:37.960
<v Speaker 15>I mean, whether it's a squid game or a loop

0:32:37.960 --> 0:32:41.080
<v Speaker 15>pen in France, like really figuring out how to produce

0:32:41.200 --> 0:32:44.120
<v Speaker 15>at scale all around the world. And I think that's

0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:48.440
<v Speaker 15>becoming an increasing advantage versus the peer set. Nobody else

0:32:48.560 --> 0:32:51.480
<v Speaker 15>is producing the way Netflix is producing around the world,

0:32:51.480 --> 0:32:54.360
<v Speaker 15>and I think it's becoming a bigger and bigger advantage,

0:32:54.440 --> 0:32:57.000
<v Speaker 15>especially as you have you know, you just listen to

0:32:57.080 --> 0:32:59.160
<v Speaker 15>Lucas talk about, you know, sort of the pressure that

0:32:59.160 --> 0:33:02.080
<v Speaker 15>everyone's going to be facing from a weakening economy. You know,

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:03.640
<v Speaker 15>if you think about the way a lot of these

0:33:03.640 --> 0:33:06.560
<v Speaker 15>big media companies, legacy media companies are pulling back on

0:33:06.600 --> 0:33:10.640
<v Speaker 15>their spending, really retrenching, focusing on just their top projects,

0:33:10.840 --> 0:33:14.480
<v Speaker 15>it's giving Netflix a greater advantage versus the peer set.

0:33:14.840 --> 0:33:17.760
<v Speaker 2>And interestingly, they're catering to more than seven hundred million

0:33:17.880 --> 0:33:21.440
<v Speaker 2>uses worldwide. They get Korean viewers for squid games, but

0:33:21.480 --> 0:33:23.720
<v Speaker 2>also it becomes an international hit too.

0:33:23.800 --> 0:33:25.520
<v Speaker 3>Is that going to be the recipe for the future.

0:33:26.560 --> 0:33:31.440
<v Speaker 15>Look, you know, there's no perfect formula for how you

0:33:31.520 --> 0:33:33.760
<v Speaker 15>get a hit, but I will say when you look

0:33:33.760 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 15>at Netflix, whether it's a squid game from Korea, look

0:33:37.160 --> 0:33:40.400
<v Speaker 15>at adolescents, it's a you know, four episode, it's a

0:33:40.480 --> 0:33:43.680
<v Speaker 15>few hours of content, it's a global sensation out of

0:33:43.720 --> 0:33:46.880
<v Speaker 15>the UK. You need to take shots on goal to

0:33:47.000 --> 0:33:49.800
<v Speaker 15>have successes. I mean there's no doubt, you know, the

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:54.440
<v Speaker 15>successes overall. I'd say, you know, huge pieces of content

0:33:54.560 --> 0:33:57.320
<v Speaker 15>are fewer and further between now for everybody.

0:33:57.600 --> 0:33:59.160
<v Speaker 10>But you need to take shots on goal.

0:33:59.200 --> 0:34:02.120
<v Speaker 15>And Netflix is taking more shots on goal by a

0:34:02.160 --> 0:34:05.560
<v Speaker 15>pretty wide margin than everybody else. And I think that

0:34:05.640 --> 0:34:08.759
<v Speaker 15>has sort of been the key advantage is nobody is

0:34:08.760 --> 0:34:11.919
<v Speaker 15>spending on this much content the way Netflix is, and.

0:34:11.880 --> 0:34:12.400
<v Speaker 10>You can see it.

0:34:12.440 --> 0:34:16.400
<v Speaker 15>I mean every quarter, basically, certainly every six months, it

0:34:16.440 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 15>feels like there's one big show that sort of breaks

0:34:19.000 --> 0:34:22.719
<v Speaker 15>out on Netflix. The other services are just struggling to

0:34:22.800 --> 0:34:25.279
<v Speaker 15>make really big hits, and part of it is they

0:34:25.320 --> 0:34:27.960
<v Speaker 15>don't have enough users, Like they don't have enough daily engagement.

0:34:28.280 --> 0:34:31.279
<v Speaker 15>Netflix wants you on Netflix every single day, and so

0:34:31.360 --> 0:34:34.240
<v Speaker 15>there's always something new bringing.

0:34:33.840 --> 0:34:35.080
<v Speaker 10>You back to the service.

0:34:35.400 --> 0:34:38.200
<v Speaker 15>And again that point of making it so you have

0:34:38.320 --> 0:34:41.000
<v Speaker 15>reason a to pay more and be not to churn

0:34:41.440 --> 0:34:42.879
<v Speaker 15>rich shots on goal?

0:34:43.080 --> 0:34:45.080
<v Speaker 3>Now, tell me have the shots been on goal when.

0:34:45.000 --> 0:34:48.360
<v Speaker 2>It comes to live content, Because yes, from a grand perspective,

0:34:48.360 --> 0:34:52.440
<v Speaker 2>everyone's loving ww law, but sometimes just the technology hasn't

0:34:52.440 --> 0:34:55.759
<v Speaker 2>been there to service the amountious scale of demand to

0:34:55.800 --> 0:34:57.200
<v Speaker 2>watch all at the same time.

0:34:58.200 --> 0:35:02.719
<v Speaker 15>Look, there's no doubt that live streaming of content with

0:35:02.880 --> 0:35:05.200
<v Speaker 15>mass audiences is not an exact science.

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:08.200
<v Speaker 10>You saw that with the Tyson fight, the Tyson Paul

0:35:08.280 --> 0:35:09.120
<v Speaker 10>fight last year.

0:35:09.360 --> 0:35:10.600
<v Speaker 15>I think if you were to look at, you know,

0:35:10.640 --> 0:35:13.359
<v Speaker 15>the NFL on Christmas Day, it worked incredibly well.

0:35:13.400 --> 0:35:16.359
<v Speaker 10>The WWE has not had problems. But I mean, look,

0:35:16.520 --> 0:35:18.560
<v Speaker 10>you've seen YouTube TV and Hulu Live.

0:35:18.560 --> 0:35:20.759
<v Speaker 15>Those things have certainly gone out at you know, at

0:35:20.960 --> 0:35:23.600
<v Speaker 15>specific moments. You've seen every one of these services have

0:35:23.760 --> 0:35:24.920
<v Speaker 15>problems at scale.

0:35:25.360 --> 0:35:26.560
<v Speaker 10>Live streaming is hard.

0:35:27.080 --> 0:35:29.640
<v Speaker 15>I think Netflix has learned a tremendous amount over the

0:35:29.719 --> 0:35:32.000
<v Speaker 15>last year and is getting better and better at it.

0:35:32.239 --> 0:35:34.360
<v Speaker 15>But I don't think anybody who is in the live

0:35:34.480 --> 0:35:38.080
<v Speaker 15>sports streaming where there is massive instantaneous demand. I don't

0:35:38.080 --> 0:35:40.200
<v Speaker 15>think you're ever going to see perfection. It's the Internet.

0:35:40.280 --> 0:35:43.040
<v Speaker 15>It is fallible, it has problems. But I do think

0:35:43.040 --> 0:35:46.759
<v Speaker 15>that Netflix is building up very strong muscle skills in

0:35:46.880 --> 0:35:48.080
<v Speaker 15>understanding how to do it.

0:35:48.480 --> 0:35:48.839
<v Speaker 10>But I don't.

0:35:48.840 --> 0:35:50.880
<v Speaker 15>But I also don't think, Carolyn, I don't think sports

0:35:50.960 --> 0:35:53.040
<v Speaker 15>is ever going to be the core of Netflix. I

0:35:53.040 --> 0:35:56.080
<v Speaker 15>think they really see it as a global entertainment service

0:35:56.360 --> 0:35:59.600
<v Speaker 15>where sports has a place and they live has a place,

0:36:00.080 --> 0:36:02.840
<v Speaker 15>especially as they build out the advertising side of the equation.

0:36:03.320 --> 0:36:06.080
<v Speaker 15>But I'd be surprised if sports became critical the way

0:36:06.120 --> 0:36:09.719
<v Speaker 15>sports is critical to a peacock, or critical obviously to

0:36:09.800 --> 0:36:10.520
<v Speaker 15>an ESPN.

0:36:10.840 --> 0:36:13.520
<v Speaker 10>I don't think sports is going to be the winner.

0:36:13.280 --> 0:36:16.000
<v Speaker 15>Lose for Netflix anytime over the course of the next

0:36:16.080 --> 0:36:16.920
<v Speaker 15>five plus years.

0:36:17.040 --> 0:36:19.160
<v Speaker 3>What becomes the win for the shares right now?

0:36:19.360 --> 0:36:21.680
<v Speaker 2>Rich Because we're up, as we can see on the screen,

0:36:21.760 --> 0:36:24.160
<v Speaker 2>more than eleven percent over the course of year to date,

0:36:24.200 --> 0:36:27.160
<v Speaker 2>we're up close to record highs for the stock in

0:36:27.200 --> 0:36:28.360
<v Speaker 2>this macro environment.

0:36:28.480 --> 0:36:30.160
<v Speaker 3>Are we going to be able to juce any further?

0:36:31.120 --> 0:36:34.200
<v Speaker 15>Look, the big growth from here it really comes from

0:36:34.239 --> 0:36:37.240
<v Speaker 15>two things. I mean, obviously, having pricing power in the US.

0:36:37.280 --> 0:36:40.320
<v Speaker 15>There's no doubt that whether that's from driving the subscription

0:36:40.400 --> 0:36:43.200
<v Speaker 15>price higher or whether it's actually being able to put

0:36:43.239 --> 0:36:44.799
<v Speaker 15>the right ad to the right person at the right

0:36:44.800 --> 0:36:48.360
<v Speaker 15>time and driving the advertising revenue from the increasingly large

0:36:48.360 --> 0:36:52.000
<v Speaker 15>base of advertising supported subscribers on the platform. But the

0:36:52.040 --> 0:36:53.920
<v Speaker 15>real gwin, Carolyn, as you look at over the next

0:36:54.000 --> 0:36:55.440
<v Speaker 15>five years, is going to be Asia.

0:36:55.480 --> 0:36:57.000
<v Speaker 10>You know, there's still relatively small.

0:36:57.040 --> 0:36:59.600
<v Speaker 15>They' stopped proporting subscriber numbers, but we know that the

0:36:59.719 --> 0:37:03.120
<v Speaker 15>apecific numbers are still small. When you look at the scale,

0:37:03.200 --> 0:37:05.160
<v Speaker 15>you know they could ten x the size of their

0:37:05.160 --> 0:37:09.120
<v Speaker 15>subscriber base in Asia and still not be fully penetrated.

0:37:09.160 --> 0:37:11.200
<v Speaker 15>So there is massive room to run and I think

0:37:11.239 --> 0:37:13.160
<v Speaker 15>the next the story over the next five to ten

0:37:13.280 --> 0:37:16.040
<v Speaker 15>years is going to be how they execute and build

0:37:16.080 --> 0:37:18.960
<v Speaker 15>in Asia the way they've been successful in the US,

0:37:19.040 --> 0:37:20.600
<v Speaker 15>Latin America and Europe.

0:37:21.280 --> 0:37:23.400
<v Speaker 2>Rich, so it's great to check in with you. Thanks

0:37:23.400 --> 0:37:34.520
<v Speaker 2>so much, Rich. Greenfields of Light shed on all things Netflix, Chat,

0:37:34.560 --> 0:37:37.920
<v Speaker 2>what arena, the crowdsourced site, ranking AI models, but a

0:37:37.960 --> 0:37:42.040
<v Speaker 2>sufficient becoming a company betting there's big business in benchmarking

0:37:42.360 --> 0:37:44.840
<v Speaker 2>for more. Blommerg's Rachel Metz joins us now and before

0:37:44.880 --> 0:37:48.000
<v Speaker 2>this has been sort of the passion project of academics,

0:37:48.040 --> 0:37:49.120
<v Speaker 2>and now it's becoming formal.

0:37:50.280 --> 0:37:50.480
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:37:50.520 --> 0:37:54.319
<v Speaker 16>I mean, this was the project formed by academics at

0:37:54.400 --> 0:37:57.840
<v Speaker 16>EC Berkeley, and they had been working on this. It

0:37:57.880 --> 0:38:01.279
<v Speaker 16>had got super popular. Companies use it to test new

0:38:01.320 --> 0:38:03.520
<v Speaker 16>and unreleased models. A lot of people use it to

0:38:03.560 --> 0:38:07.200
<v Speaker 16>try out the latest and hopefully greatest models, and.

0:38:07.120 --> 0:38:09.600
<v Speaker 17>They wanted to make it more than just an academic project.

0:38:09.600 --> 0:38:11.560
<v Speaker 16>They wanted to scale up. To do that, you need

0:38:11.600 --> 0:38:13.840
<v Speaker 16>to get money. To do that, you often need to

0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:17.280
<v Speaker 16>be a company. So yeah, it's growing up in a sense.

0:38:17.440 --> 0:38:19.799
<v Speaker 2>Growing up, and more and more people are using it.

0:38:19.800 --> 0:38:22.560
<v Speaker 2>You've got on this graphic two p eight million user votes.

0:38:22.680 --> 0:38:25.520
<v Speaker 2>How are people approaching it and making the most of

0:38:25.560 --> 0:38:27.840
<v Speaker 2>the well the recommendations that it offers.

0:38:29.160 --> 0:38:33.359
<v Speaker 16>So people I think who are individuals are using it

0:38:33.600 --> 0:38:36.840
<v Speaker 16>to try things out, get a sense of what they.

0:38:36.760 --> 0:38:39.120
<v Speaker 17>Like what they don't. I mean, really this is sort

0:38:39.160 --> 0:38:41.120
<v Speaker 17>of vibe spaced ranking.

0:38:41.160 --> 0:38:43.480
<v Speaker 16>I guess I would say one of the key things

0:38:43.480 --> 0:38:44.960
<v Speaker 16>that you can do on this website is try two

0:38:44.960 --> 0:38:45.880
<v Speaker 16>different chatbots.

0:38:46.760 --> 0:38:48.439
<v Speaker 17>You are not knowing what they are.

0:38:48.800 --> 0:38:51.080
<v Speaker 16>You type in a prompt and then you rate which

0:38:51.120 --> 0:38:54.320
<v Speaker 16>answer you like better, and based on that the chatbots

0:38:54.360 --> 0:38:56.080
<v Speaker 16>will go up or they will go down on the

0:38:56.160 --> 0:38:59.640
<v Speaker 16>leaderboard there. I think companies increasingly see this as a

0:38:59.680 --> 0:39:04.120
<v Speaker 16>really important marker of how well users like their models,

0:39:04.280 --> 0:39:06.640
<v Speaker 16>and so that could be really valuable to them a

0:39:06.760 --> 0:39:09.160
<v Speaker 16>kind of data. Typically, this data is actually really hard

0:39:09.200 --> 0:39:12.400
<v Speaker 16>for companies to get on their own, so having it

0:39:12.440 --> 0:39:15.640
<v Speaker 16>be available publicly is quite useful open ai.

0:39:15.719 --> 0:39:18.560
<v Speaker 2>I think GPT four oh it released it on the

0:39:18.640 --> 0:39:21.320
<v Speaker 2>arena before it went out more broadly.

0:39:21.400 --> 0:39:25.480
<v Speaker 16>Right, So what some companies are doing is they will

0:39:25.480 --> 0:39:28.520
<v Speaker 16>put models on there and they'll have code names, so

0:39:28.600 --> 0:39:30.319
<v Speaker 16>you won't know exactly what they are.

0:39:30.800 --> 0:39:33.080
<v Speaker 17>Perhaps, I mean, you might be able to guess pretty well.

0:39:33.120 --> 0:39:34.759
<v Speaker 16>I mean there have been some that I've seen on

0:39:34.800 --> 0:39:37.360
<v Speaker 16>there that I'm like, I know where you're coming from.

0:39:38.360 --> 0:39:42.080
<v Speaker 17>But yeah, it's really increasingly valuable and open.

0:39:41.920 --> 0:39:43.759
<v Speaker 16>Ai has done this a number of times, put up

0:39:43.800 --> 0:39:47.000
<v Speaker 16>models that are unreleased and people can try them out.

0:39:47.000 --> 0:39:48.759
<v Speaker 16>They might not know where they're coming from, but they

0:39:48.840 --> 0:39:49.759
<v Speaker 16>might be from open ai.

0:39:50.160 --> 0:39:52.040
<v Speaker 2>And just tell us about the people that you see

0:39:52.040 --> 0:39:54.840
<v Speaker 2>Berkeley that are behind this, and whether they become the

0:39:54.880 --> 0:39:57.360
<v Speaker 2>executives and now what will be a company.

0:39:56.960 --> 0:39:58.360
<v Speaker 3>A formal one.

0:39:58.600 --> 0:39:58.839
<v Speaker 6>Yeah.

0:39:58.880 --> 0:40:03.040
<v Speaker 16>So this was a the project out of Jan Stouyker's

0:40:03.160 --> 0:40:06.400
<v Speaker 16>Sky Computing Lab at UC Berkeley, and a bunch of

0:40:06.400 --> 0:40:09.440
<v Speaker 16>graduate students worked on it and undergraduate students helped with

0:40:09.480 --> 0:40:13.440
<v Speaker 16>it as well. And a number of the graduate students

0:40:13.800 --> 0:40:16.960
<v Speaker 16>along with Yan are going to be the co founders

0:40:17.000 --> 0:40:17.239
<v Speaker 16>of it.

0:40:17.320 --> 0:40:19.399
<v Speaker 17>And I think they're still trying to figure.

0:40:19.080 --> 0:40:21.320
<v Speaker 16>Out who's going to have what role in the company,

0:40:21.360 --> 0:40:24.279
<v Speaker 16>but yeah, some of them will have sea level titles.

0:40:24.719 --> 0:40:27.200
<v Speaker 2>Rachel Mattz, it's a great story. Thanks for bringing it

0:40:27.239 --> 0:40:29.600
<v Speaker 2>to us on all things general to AI. And that

0:40:29.640 --> 0:40:32.239
<v Speaker 2>does it for this edition of BlueBag Technology. Let's just

0:40:32.680 --> 0:40:34.880
<v Speaker 2>keep our eyes on these markets though, because it is

0:40:34.920 --> 0:40:37.359
<v Speaker 2>once again another day down day for the nastat one hundred,

0:40:37.440 --> 0:40:39.920
<v Speaker 2>off by more than three percent. Now we're hitting session lows.

0:40:40.200 --> 0:40:42.320
<v Speaker 2>Nearly every stock is in the red. TESA in particular,

0:40:42.360 --> 0:40:45.600
<v Speaker 2>off by more than seven percent. Earnings coming out Tuesday, remember,

0:40:45.640 --> 0:40:47.360
<v Speaker 2>are thick and faster with earnings throughout the week. We

0:40:47.440 --> 0:40:50.319
<v Speaker 2>got Alphabet coming Thursday, We've got Texas Instruments, We've got

0:40:50.320 --> 0:40:53.840
<v Speaker 2>Intel IBM. Much to be digested from these CEOs and

0:40:53.880 --> 0:40:57.279
<v Speaker 2>executives but Tesla. On the downside, we've got bitcoin up

0:40:57.320 --> 0:40:59.799
<v Speaker 2>though three point four percent, eighty eight thousand, hitting the

0:40:59.840 --> 0:41:03.400
<v Speaker 2>high since March. This as we see a move into

0:41:03.520 --> 0:41:06.959
<v Speaker 2>havens such as gold. Maybe digital gold is being seen

0:41:06.960 --> 0:41:09.239
<v Speaker 2>as the haven choice when it comes to bitcoin. And

0:41:09.280 --> 0:41:12.279
<v Speaker 2>indeed you're seeing money move into short term treasury, so

0:41:12.320 --> 0:41:13.439
<v Speaker 2>the two year gets to the bid.

0:41:13.680 --> 0:41:15.279
<v Speaker 3>The ten year is still being sold off.

0:41:15.719 --> 0:41:18.319
<v Speaker 2>But do check out of Bloomberg Technology podcasts as well.

0:41:18.360 --> 0:41:19.920
<v Speaker 3>You can find it on the terminal as well as

0:41:19.920 --> 0:41:23.480
<v Speaker 3>online on Apple, Spotify, and iHeart. From New York, this

0:41:23.560 --> 0:41:24.520
<v Speaker 3>is Blue Beg Technology