1 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: What's up, guys? How are you welcome into well a 2 00:00:15,640 --> 00:00:18,480 Speaker 1: different looking edition of the Daily Juice podcast here on 3 00:00:18,520 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: a Wednesday. My name is Matt Parolt. You guys can 4 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:22,880 Speaker 1: follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. This podcast 5 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:24,919 Speaker 1: being brought to you by our friends at Omaha Steaks 6 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 1: dot com. You guys, go to Omaha Steaks dot com. 7 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: In the search bar top right hand corner, type in juice. 8 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: You guys are gonna save sixty one percent off of 9 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:36,400 Speaker 1: their gourmet grill pack just ninety nine ninety nine on 10 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,960 Speaker 1: that plus eight free Omaha Steak burgers when you use 11 00:00:40,040 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 1: that code Juice in the search bar at Omaha Steaks 12 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:46,480 Speaker 1: dot com. Okay, I had the travel day from Holy heck, 13 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:51,159 Speaker 1: I am beat tired. I've been in I had a 14 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:54,720 Speaker 1: five and a half hour flight delayed two hours, took 15 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 1: forty five minutes to get off the plane. I should 16 00:00:56,760 --> 00:00:59,800 Speaker 1: have been here in Boston a lot earlier, like three 17 00:00:59,800 --> 00:01:02,360 Speaker 1: hours before I should have, So I am burned out 18 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 1: at the moment. But two and o day yesterday because 19 00:01:05,640 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 1: the Darvish scratch caused that game to go off the board. 20 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:11,679 Speaker 1: So I always bet action. Sorry, I never bet action. 21 00:01:11,720 --> 00:01:14,399 Speaker 1: Excuse me, I always bet pictures. I don't bet action 22 00:01:14,560 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 1: for that very reason. You guys can do that. People 23 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 1: say I always bet action. I handicap based on the 24 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: starting pitchers. So if you Darvis get scratched, that kills 25 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 1: the whole bet. I don't, and I'm gladly so because 26 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 1: the Pirates wound up winning that game in the first five. 27 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: So that's why I do that. I don't handicap just anyone. 28 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,120 Speaker 1: I want the starting pitcher to be active if that 29 00:01:36,319 --> 00:01:39,480 Speaker 1: scratch happens. That's why I do not bet action. I 30 00:01:39,560 --> 00:01:42,679 Speaker 1: do end up betting for the pitcher. So two and 31 00:01:42,720 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: oh Red Sox game goes over first five under with 32 00:01:46,240 --> 00:01:49,400 Speaker 1: the Reds. Amazing. Somehow we got that correct, but I'll 33 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:51,720 Speaker 1: take that every time. If we get those things correct 34 00:01:51,720 --> 00:01:54,360 Speaker 1: and get those things right, that's often really fun. We're 35 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,200 Speaker 1: able to do that. So this is going to be 36 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 1: a very brief podcast today. I got two picks for 37 00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: you guys going today. I'm in a legal betting state. 38 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:04,680 Speaker 1: I'm in Massachusetts, so I can use FanDuel, I can 39 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:08,440 Speaker 1: use DraftKings. This is great, Okay, So I got two plays. 40 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,440 Speaker 1: If I do add anything, I'll let you know on 41 00:02:10,480 --> 00:02:12,480 Speaker 1: the Discord channel. Once I get the cobwoos out of 42 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:14,440 Speaker 1: my head, maybe I'm gonna be able to focus and 43 00:02:14,480 --> 00:02:17,280 Speaker 1: have a better grasp as to what's going on. But 44 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: there's two bets that jump straight off the page to 45 00:02:19,840 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: me that I think I have to get into. The 46 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,720 Speaker 1: Reds and the Orioles. Okay, So it's Luke Weaver going again. Okay, 47 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:27,919 Speaker 1: And we've talked about Luke Weaver on this podcast a 48 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:30,280 Speaker 1: lot about just what he has thrown, what he looks 49 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:33,519 Speaker 1: like on the road. He's just a guy who three. 50 00:02:33,600 --> 00:02:35,320 Speaker 1: I don't want to call him a gas can, but 51 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: he's definitely a pitcher that we're gonna when he's pitching, 52 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 1: we're gonna look to fade him as much as possible. 53 00:02:41,280 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 1: So for that reason, total is nine. I thought about 54 00:02:45,080 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 1: betting the first five over, but it's five and a 55 00:02:47,960 --> 00:02:51,320 Speaker 1: half at fandle and so they're basically saying, you know, 56 00:02:51,680 --> 00:02:54,080 Speaker 1: we're not gonna play around with this Luke Weaver on 57 00:02:54,120 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 1: the road overall. Luke here's one and two with a 58 00:02:56,360 --> 00:02:59,480 Speaker 1: six point eighty six er. But Luke Weaver on the 59 00:02:59,560 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 1: road era not as bad as home, but on the 60 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:04,200 Speaker 1: road it's not good. Five point eight one zero to 61 00:03:04,240 --> 00:03:06,239 Speaker 1: two in the year, posting batting average of three to 62 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:09,200 Speaker 1: twenty three. Okay, so I thought about saying, let's go 63 00:03:09,200 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 1: ahead and bet this from a first five over, but 64 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 1: it's five and a half. So I don't want to 65 00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:15,120 Speaker 1: do that. Okay. So now we're gonna come in and 66 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 1: we're gonna jump in and look at this from a 67 00:03:17,520 --> 00:03:20,960 Speaker 1: game perspective, it's nine. The total is nine. I don't 68 00:03:21,040 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 1: hate that being nine, just because I know the bullpens 69 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:27,360 Speaker 1: for either team is not great. Cal Gibson's been okay 70 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 1: eight and five with a four point three zero ERA. 71 00:03:30,240 --> 00:03:32,760 Speaker 1: He's definitely one of the better pitchers for the Baltimore Orioles, 72 00:03:33,120 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: but the Oriols offense has been pretty good. Gibson at 73 00:03:35,600 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: home has been okay, four point four to two ERA 74 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:41,520 Speaker 1: four and three record for him at home, posing batting 75 00:03:41,520 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 1: average two seventy five, nineteen earned runs in thirty eight 76 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,960 Speaker 1: and a half thirty thirty eight point two thirds innings 77 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:55,119 Speaker 1: worth of work over nine reds. And the Orioles it's 78 00:03:55,120 --> 00:03:57,800 Speaker 1: Miss one twenty five. It's a little juicy. DraftKings has 79 00:03:57,800 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: it at Mis one twenty five. Will take the one 80 00:03:59,800 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 1: point two five units here, jump in on that and 81 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: jump in. Let me just double check on that FanDuel 82 00:04:04,920 --> 00:04:06,600 Speaker 1: liign to make sure you were getting the best price 83 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 1: on that for tomorrow. And I think that's I think 84 00:04:08,160 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: that's where That's why I played at and that's I 85 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 1: was shopping around. So oh no, let's play that Fandel's 86 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:15,280 Speaker 1: one eighteen. It's moved. Okay, it's mine one eighteen. Let's 87 00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,839 Speaker 1: play that Fandel Minice one eighteen over nine one point 88 00:04:18,920 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 1: one eight units down, Reds and the Orioles here today 89 00:04:22,960 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 1: for over nine. Now, second bet, let's talk a little 90 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 1: bit about the Padres in the in the in the 91 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:34,240 Speaker 1: Pirates again. Again, this is important, Okay, I'm betting pitchers. 92 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:38,440 Speaker 1: I'm not betting action Snell against Keller. Okay, this is important, 93 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: Snell against Keller. Gonna take a look at the first 94 00:04:41,400 --> 00:04:44,160 Speaker 1: five again with both these pitchers. Blake Snell has been 95 00:04:44,440 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: very good on the road. Keller needs to pitch well. 96 00:04:47,240 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: But at home, Mitch Keller's been halfway decent. He's not 97 00:04:49,720 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: actually a bad pitcher at home. The total is four 98 00:04:52,640 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: and a half in the first five for this it's 99 00:04:55,520 --> 00:04:58,520 Speaker 1: Mie one twenty eight, okay, but eight and a half 100 00:04:58,560 --> 00:05:01,080 Speaker 1: being the game total. Four and half there with the 101 00:05:01,120 --> 00:05:03,560 Speaker 1: first five total. I think we're getting a little value there, 102 00:05:03,720 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 1: half a run value potentially out of that. I like 103 00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:11,360 Speaker 1: it here with these two pitchers to perform. Blake Snell 104 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:15,479 Speaker 1: historically does not get much help from the Padres offense, 105 00:05:16,279 --> 00:05:20,520 Speaker 1: and well first fives have been just very profitable fading 106 00:05:20,560 --> 00:05:23,200 Speaker 1: the Pirates. Their offense just is not very good, not 107 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,720 Speaker 1: good at home, not good on the road. Snell's been 108 00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:28,640 Speaker 1: very good. Keller has been up and down recently, but 109 00:05:28,839 --> 00:05:31,839 Speaker 1: I think he could pitch well here today. Overall, Mitch 110 00:05:31,880 --> 00:05:34,119 Speaker 1: Keller has been the best pitcher for the Pirates. He's 111 00:05:34,320 --> 00:05:37,080 Speaker 1: eight and three with a three point four or five ERA, 112 00:05:37,279 --> 00:05:39,800 Speaker 1: but recently he has been getting hit pretty hard. It 113 00:05:39,839 --> 00:05:42,360 Speaker 1: hasn't been very pretty for him on this but at 114 00:05:42,360 --> 00:05:44,640 Speaker 1: home the two point seven to eight ERA four and 115 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:47,280 Speaker 1: one on the road pushing bating average of one ninety five. 116 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:49,880 Speaker 1: Mitch Keller is much better at home. Snell is good 117 00:05:49,880 --> 00:05:51,880 Speaker 1: on the road. We're going under four and a half 118 00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 1: runs first five Pirates Padres at minus one twenty eight 119 00:05:56,680 --> 00:05:58,960 Speaker 1: that is available at Fandals, So both bets are at 120 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:03,200 Speaker 1: fandels for today. Okay, Reds and the Orioles over nine 121 00:06:03,240 --> 00:06:07,159 Speaker 1: at mis one eighteen first five under four and a half, 122 00:06:07,360 --> 00:06:09,960 Speaker 1: Padres and the Pirates. If I have a third bet, 123 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:11,760 Speaker 1: I'll give it to you. A lot of games are 124 00:06:11,800 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: so going on right now. The lines are fluctuating a 125 00:06:13,960 --> 00:06:15,760 Speaker 1: little bit for tomorrow. I don't know how you guys 126 00:06:15,800 --> 00:06:17,960 Speaker 1: do this. It's ten o'clock. Their games are barely even 127 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,880 Speaker 1: over on the East Coast. I can't do this. West 128 00:06:20,880 --> 00:06:22,840 Speaker 1: Coast time for sports is so much better. It's not 129 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: even a debate here. But hopefully if I add one, 130 00:06:25,560 --> 00:06:27,640 Speaker 1: I'll give it you in the Discord channel. Bettingpros dot 131 00:06:27,640 --> 00:06:30,840 Speaker 1: Com slash chat to get into the Discord channel two 132 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 1: bets two and oh yesterday. Let's see if we go 133 00:06:33,000 --> 00:06:35,839 Speaker 1: two and oh again today back on a Thursday for 134 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:38,479 Speaker 1: maybe a larger slate of bets for us coming at 135 00:06:38,560 --> 00:06:40,839 Speaker 1: you for that mis MATP Parld followed me on Twitter 136 00:06:40,920 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: at Sports dot Matt eached every morning. It is the 137 00:06:43,040 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast being brought to you by Omaha Steakes 138 00:06:45,800 --> 00:06:59,719 Speaker 1: dot com