WEBVTT - Disney’s Iger Wins Proxy Vote Over Peltz With Board’s Election

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>This is Bloomberg business Week Inside from the reporters and

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<v Speaker 2>editors who bring you America's most trusted business magazine, plus

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<v Speaker 2>global business, finance and tech news. The Bloomberg Business Week

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<v Speaker 2>Podcast with Carol Messer and Tim Stenebeck from Bloomberg Radio.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, we're going to stay with the equity universe, Tim,

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<v Speaker 3>and one stock in particular that's down about two point

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<v Speaker 3>two percent as we speak.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that, of course has shares with the Walt Disney

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<v Speaker 4>Company down two point two percent thanks to a showdown

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<v Speaker 4>between the company and it's CEO Bob Iger and activist

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<v Speaker 4>investor Nelson Peltz and his try on fund management. The

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<v Speaker 4>showdown came down to shareholders declaring the winner. That winner

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<v Speaker 4>Disney and CEO Bob Iiger.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and they had the backing of big institutional investors

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<v Speaker 3>that hold a big junk of Disney shares. We're talking

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<v Speaker 3>about Vanguard and black Rock excuse me, who owned about

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<v Speaker 3>fifteen percent of Disney shares. All right, with more on

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<v Speaker 3>that out and what we need to know about Disney,

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<v Speaker 3>what it really kind of needs to do to get

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<v Speaker 3>back on track back with us as Bloomberg Intelligence technology

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<v Speaker 3>media analyst Getha Ranganathan from RBI headquarters in Princeton, New Jersey.

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<v Speaker 3>All Right, Githa, she's been busy today votes over. What's

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<v Speaker 3>the impact of the vote and the outcome on what

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<v Speaker 3>Disney does next, or maybe what you think it should

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<v Speaker 3>do next.

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<v Speaker 5>I think this is definitely I think a personal win

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<v Speaker 5>for Bob Eiger, who has spent so much time over

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<v Speaker 5>the past few months kind of canvassing for support, I mean,

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<v Speaker 5>rallying all the investors. Remember, Disney has a huge, huge

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<v Speaker 5>retail investor base. Almost forty percent of its shareholders are

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<v Speaker 5>retail investors, and he has spent a lot of resources,

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<v Speaker 5>more than forty million dollars kind of trying to get

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<v Speaker 5>their support. So I think this is just, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>a job well done for him, in a huge sigh

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<v Speaker 5>of relief. But in terms of what the company is doing,

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<v Speaker 5>I don't really necessarily think that this shareholder vote outcome

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<v Speaker 5>has any impact at all on near term trends. Bob

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<v Speaker 5>Iger has already kind of taken control of the narrative.

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<v Speaker 5>He's gotten a lot of things moving in terms of

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<v Speaker 5>you know, content cost cuts, cost cuts actually across the board,

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<v Speaker 5>there's just rationalization of output. There's investments in new growth

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<v Speaker 5>areas including you know, gaming. We saw that one point

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<v Speaker 5>five billion investment in Epic Games. So he is doing

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<v Speaker 5>everything to write the ship. There's obviously a new digital

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<v Speaker 5>strategy for ESPN in place. So I think we're just

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<v Speaker 5>going to continue to see, you know, management do more

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<v Speaker 5>of the same. I think the one thing that's going

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<v Speaker 5>to be a little bit different, Carol, is there's going

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<v Speaker 5>to be intense scrutiny on this board to really come

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<v Speaker 5>up with a good succession plan. I think that is

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<v Speaker 5>one thing that you know, most of these activist investors

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<v Speaker 5>kind of kept founding the table and kept saying, you know,

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<v Speaker 5>you guys really botched succession and please don't bungle it

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<v Speaker 5>this time around.

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<v Speaker 2>So was it?

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<v Speaker 3>Wait, I'm sorry, well, so was it? Do they not

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<v Speaker 3>like that Bob Byger came back? Is that the problem

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<v Speaker 3>that they say that when Bob Ayger left the first time,

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<v Speaker 3>that that was the succession planning that didn't it was

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<v Speaker 3>his place or what?

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, it was not so much Bob Iger coming back,

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<v Speaker 5>but him kind of suggesting Bob Chapek and maybe the

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<v Speaker 5>board didn't push back enough. Got it right? Because he didn't. Yes,

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<v Speaker 5>he was a parks executive, but did he have all

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<v Speaker 5>the experience needed for running kind of the content engine.

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<v Speaker 5>Clearly he didn't, and that's where a lot of the

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<v Speaker 5>missteps kind of surface, right, And so you know, there's

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<v Speaker 5>been this constant complaint about, you know, did the board

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<v Speaker 5>really do their job or were they just so enthralled

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<v Speaker 5>and so enamored by Iiger that they just took his

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<v Speaker 5>word at face value.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, that's what we heard yesterday from Comptroller Brad Lander

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<v Speaker 4>in his comments to Scarlett during that interview late yesterday

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<v Speaker 4>about this ahead of the vote. So, what about some

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<v Speaker 4>names here, keitha that could be floated if we're talking

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<v Speaker 4>succession at Disney now that this proxy battle is behind

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<v Speaker 4>Bob Iger, what are some names we should keep an

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<v Speaker 4>eye on who's being floated around so Disney, Jim.

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<v Speaker 5>It's typically been an internal candidate. I mean, if you

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<v Speaker 5>go back many, many years, I mean, you know, up

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<v Speaker 5>until nineteen eighty four, it's always kind of been an

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<v Speaker 5>internal candidate, and so I think that's what's going to

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<v Speaker 5>happen this time around as well. Obviously, the four big

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<v Speaker 5>division chiefs are in play here. We're talking about Dana Walden,

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<v Speaker 5>who hads TV. We're talking about Josh Tomorrow who has Parks.

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<v Speaker 5>There's Jimmy Pittarro for ESPN, and then there's Alan Bergman

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<v Speaker 5>from the film and the studio segment. The problem with

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<v Speaker 5>Disney is it's just such a diverse conglomerate, right, It's

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<v Speaker 5>this behemoth, and you know, Josh Tomorrow having vast experience

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<v Speaker 5>in Parks isn't really going to help because he has

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<v Speaker 5>absolutely zero experience in running a TV network, or in

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<v Speaker 5>running a streaming service or even like, you know, coming

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<v Speaker 5>up with green lighting a film. So that really is

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<v Speaker 5>a problem. And you know that has kind of always

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<v Speaker 5>been the persistent problem with Disney because you have these

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<v Speaker 5>executives who are so good in one specific area, but

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<v Speaker 5>who have absolutely no exposure on the other, and so

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<v Speaker 5>it's going to be a really challenging you know, obviously,

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<v Speaker 5>Bob IGO's shoe was a very big to fill. So

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<v Speaker 5>the idea is that they're probably going to have somebody

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<v Speaker 5>come in as a COO kind of get that experience

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<v Speaker 5>in all the different segments.

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<v Speaker 3>Got it.

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<v Speaker 4>We're going all in on Disney during the first part

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<v Speaker 4>of this hour today. From how the company prevailed to

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<v Speaker 4>what it means now that it's triumphed over Pelts. First,

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<v Speaker 4>Keida Disney's win was the backing of the company's two

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<v Speaker 4>largest shareholders, none other than Vanguard Group in Blackrock. Together

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<v Speaker 4>they control about fifteen percent of Disney's stock. Crystal c

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<v Speaker 4>is Bloomberg News Deals reporter. She wrote about how each

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<v Speaker 4>side campaigned ahead of the vote and the importance of

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<v Speaker 4>the institutional backers. She's here in the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers studio.

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<v Speaker 4>So we talked about I mentioned Vanguard and Blackrock, but

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<v Speaker 4>talk about how they came out and support aiger ahead

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<v Speaker 4>of this.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, so we reported that Vanguard, the largest institutional shareholder

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<v Speaker 6>with almost eight percent share, was supporting the company the

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<v Speaker 6>management yesterday. So it's actually pretty unusual for an institutional

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<v Speaker 6>sharewoad of to nottsard management. So that was interesting. But

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<v Speaker 6>actually what's missing here is that the biggest voting block here,

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<v Speaker 6>it's actually retail investors over thirty percent. Actually almost forty

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<v Speaker 6>percent of Disney stocks are owned by retail. And you know,

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<v Speaker 6>a lot of kids when they were born, they get

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<v Speaker 6>a share at Disney as a present, and a lot

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<v Speaker 6>of these are Disney fans and they tend to side

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<v Speaker 6>with management. Actually, in any given proxy fight, over eighty so.

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<v Speaker 3>The retail also sides with management.

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<v Speaker 6>So any given proxy fight, eighty percent of retail investors

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<v Speaker 6>that vote would side with management.

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<v Speaker 4>That's just typical.

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<v Speaker 6>It is a typical scenario. Not all of them vote.

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<v Speaker 6>It is incredibly hard to get retail investors to actually

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<v Speaker 6>cast their vote because a lot of them are not

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<v Speaker 6>used to this proxy process. But this actually had happened

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<v Speaker 6>this time as well, Like we've seen the show up

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<v Speaker 6>from retail and those are also siding with management. And

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<v Speaker 6>that's why we see today's result that Eiger and all

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<v Speaker 6>Disney nominees have been re elected into have been elected

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<v Speaker 6>into the board.

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<v Speaker 3>It just feels like, you know, Tim, it was kind

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<v Speaker 3>of a tortuous, long, costly fight for Disney. We know

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<v Speaker 3>that they've been you know, going after this and then

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<v Speaker 3>when all a said and done, you know they're still

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<v Speaker 3>in place. But they obviously, as we heard from we

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<v Speaker 3>talked with Githa bring an Othn of our Bloomberg intelligence team,

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<v Speaker 3>that they've still got to make some changes, especially when

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<v Speaker 3>it comes to succession.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I want to get to those changes in just

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<v Speaker 4>a minute, but about it, But I still want to

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<v Speaker 4>stick on the voting side of things. Even though even

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<v Speaker 4>though this is, you know, Bloomberg reported this yesterday, I

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<v Speaker 4>still think this is fascinating, Crystal, because there were also

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<v Speaker 4>some companies and individuals who came out in a prominent individuals,

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<v Speaker 4>prominent board members who came out in support of Nelson Pelts.

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<v Speaker 3>It's like being picked for, you know, a volley volleyball

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<v Speaker 3>game or dodgeball, right, who gets you gets your guests.

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<v Speaker 6>Yeah, there's a lot of you know, we are endorsing

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<v Speaker 6>Nelson versus we're signing with with Iiger. So there are institutional,

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<v Speaker 6>fusional shareholders that voted with Pelts. Newburger Burman actually said

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<v Speaker 6>in the statement that they would vote for Pelts, and

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<v Speaker 6>they did. And again because so much of this is

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<v Speaker 6>owned by retail shareholders, right, and there's actually no once

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<v Speaker 6>in constitutional shareholders that had over ten percent share. So

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<v Speaker 6>even if you get all the index, all the passive

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<v Speaker 6>investors to vote for you, you're still you really still

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<v Speaker 6>need to count on the retail investors. And that's what

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<v Speaker 6>Disney is doing really well on this proxy fight, where

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<v Speaker 6>they have gone all out in the social media campaign

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<v Speaker 6>and you go on Spotify, you go on Instagram, You're

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<v Speaker 6>getting all these ads of a friendly Disney's voice telling

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<v Speaker 6>you to fight for the white proxy card, and that

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<v Speaker 6>had actually successfully pulled someone out votes for them.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, nothing like a media company don't knowing how to

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<v Speaker 3>market itself, right, I mean I heard some.

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<v Speaker 4>Of those ads yeah ahead a podcast, so I was like,

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<v Speaker 4>why are we hearing these ads?

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<v Speaker 2>That is weird?

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, is it unusual for a company to be

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<v Speaker 3>that aggressive. It's almost like, you know, before the oscars,

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<v Speaker 3>right when the movies go out, like for Bob Iger exactly,

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<v Speaker 3>But is it unusual to kind of reach out in

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<v Speaker 3>that way?

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<v Speaker 6>It is unusual because this is actually the most expensive

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<v Speaker 6>proxy fight that we we've seen. The data is showing

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<v Speaker 6>that Disney actually had said they spent over they budgeted

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<v Speaker 6>forty million dollars. Yeah, this proxy tip and that goes

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<v Speaker 6>to things like social media, post that goes to mailing,

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<v Speaker 6>traditional mailing to their shareholder list, and those things are expensive.

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<v Speaker 6>And now that they've won, that is finally going to

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<v Speaker 6>be set aside, you know, and you can focus on

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<v Speaker 6>running the company again. But it's time consuming and very costly.

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, So speaking of that, I want to bring in

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<v Speaker 4>a Jamie Lumley, senior analyst at Third Bridge Group, joining

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<v Speaker 4>us from New York City. So, igers won the battle, Jamie,

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<v Speaker 4>Now he's got to fight the wars. We just heard

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<v Speaker 4>from Crystal. The pressure is still on. What is at

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<v Speaker 4>the top of the agenda for him to do now

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<v Speaker 4>that he's won the proxy vote.

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<v Speaker 1>Well, the pressure is definitely still on. And it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>to think of just one thing the top the agenda

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<v Speaker 1>because it's so long. But if you had to pinpoint,

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<v Speaker 1>one thing that I think investors will really be looking

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<v Speaker 1>at is streaming profitability. The company's planning on finally driving

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<v Speaker 1>profits in fiscally year twenty twenty four. This is coming

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<v Speaker 1>after so many quarters and years of billions and losses

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<v Speaker 1>in this segment, and we've heard Bob Ayer talk about

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<v Speaker 1>how important the streaming transition is for the business. Really

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<v Speaker 1>making sure that they're hitting their mark and achieving their goals.

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<v Speaker 1>That's definitely priority number one as they move beyond this

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<v Speaker 1>proxy fight.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it is interesting. I mean, Tommy, we're talking kind

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<v Speaker 3>of in the newsroom. It's like they won the battle,

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<v Speaker 3>but have they won the war?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 3>They still have to make some changes. I mean, at

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<v Speaker 3>the core of what Disney is. It's a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>moving parts, and some are much more significant. I find

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<v Speaker 3>it wild to see that we are looking at a

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<v Speaker 3>Disney today that when you talk about what really moves

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<v Speaker 3>the profit needle, it's really parks. At this point, parks

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<v Speaker 3>are definitely huge.

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<v Speaker 1>And if we think back to one of the big

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<v Speaker 1>news stories at the end of twenty three was the

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<v Speaker 1>fact that Disney is doubling its capital expenditures and it's

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<v Speaker 1>parts and experiences business over the next decade, and sixty

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<v Speaker 1>billion dollars is substantial, and it really shows the realization

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<v Speaker 1>at Disney that while of course it is a priority

0:10:55.679 --> 0:10:57.400
<v Speaker 1>to build out streaming to make sure that they have

0:10:57.440 --> 0:11:00.560
<v Speaker 1>a transition away from the linear assets which have historically

0:11:00.640 --> 0:11:04.000
<v Speaker 1>been a big profit driver. Parks have been consistent coming

0:11:04.000 --> 0:11:07.000
<v Speaker 1>out of the pandemic. Domestically, it's been a strong profit driver.

0:11:07.160 --> 0:11:10.320
<v Speaker 1>International has served seeing the year on year improvement in

0:11:10.360 --> 0:11:13.079
<v Speaker 1>those markets. It's definitely a top priority. And one big

0:11:13.160 --> 0:11:16.480
<v Speaker 1>question also that investors have is where this new capital

0:11:16.520 --> 0:11:19.200
<v Speaker 1>investment is going to go. Because today, and you could

0:11:19.200 --> 0:11:22.480
<v Speaker 1>hear this on the shareholder meeting today, Disney is not

0:11:22.559 --> 0:11:25.240
<v Speaker 1>really given. They haven't shown their hand as to where

0:11:25.280 --> 0:11:28.080
<v Speaker 1>these dollars are going to go. There are some large projects,

0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:30.800
<v Speaker 1>but there's still some uncertainty as to how exactly they

0:11:30.840 --> 0:11:33.200
<v Speaker 1>want to strengthen this business for the future.

0:11:33.920 --> 0:11:36.360
<v Speaker 6>Jamie, what do you think this means for the succession

0:11:36.400 --> 0:11:39.240
<v Speaker 6>planning at Disney, because that had come up over and

0:11:39.280 --> 0:11:42.920
<v Speaker 6>over again, and not only just from Nelson Pelts, but

0:11:43.000 --> 0:11:44.480
<v Speaker 6>also the other active as black Whells.

0:11:46.360 --> 0:11:46.560
<v Speaker 5>Well.

0:11:46.600 --> 0:11:49.160
<v Speaker 1>Certainly, if Pelts had been able to get on the

0:11:49.200 --> 0:11:51.880
<v Speaker 1>board here, it would have been really interesting to see

0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:54.280
<v Speaker 1>what that would do to succession planning, as it could

0:11:54.280 --> 0:11:57.320
<v Speaker 1>have definitely elevated the chances of anybody who was not

0:11:57.400 --> 0:12:00.319
<v Speaker 1>currently at Disney. As one of the major points Pelts

0:12:00.320 --> 0:12:03.440
<v Speaker 1>has reiterated over and over again is the advantages of

0:12:03.480 --> 0:12:06.800
<v Speaker 1>having an outside, fresh perspective both with Disney getting their

0:12:06.840 --> 0:12:10.800
<v Speaker 1>board together have solidifying control. Here, it really turns to

0:12:10.880 --> 0:12:14.200
<v Speaker 1>looking at those leading internal candidates, and there's been so

0:12:14.320 --> 0:12:17.679
<v Speaker 1>much speculation about who this might be, whether or not

0:12:17.679 --> 0:12:20.520
<v Speaker 1>you want to prioritize someone in the entertainment division, which

0:12:20.559 --> 0:12:23.800
<v Speaker 1>needs a lot of work, or the parks business, which is,

0:12:23.960 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 1>as we've highlighted, an incredible big profit driver, or sports,

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:30.559
<v Speaker 1>which is you know, another huge dynamic area with Disney,

0:12:30.600 --> 0:12:32.920
<v Speaker 1>with the joint venture coming up, ESPM being lost in

0:12:32.920 --> 0:12:35.600
<v Speaker 1>the flagship. There are arguments for leaders of all these

0:12:35.640 --> 0:12:38.480
<v Speaker 1>divisions taking the reins, but the big question, of course

0:12:38.559 --> 0:12:41.679
<v Speaker 1>is who is best suited to manage all of these altogether.

0:12:41.760 --> 0:12:43.440
<v Speaker 3>Well, let me ask you that, Jamie, I mean, who

0:12:43.559 --> 0:12:45.760
<v Speaker 3>is the best suited? I mean, I remember that you

0:12:45.800 --> 0:12:48.360
<v Speaker 3>know what they did, right, It's always been kind of

0:12:48.360 --> 0:12:51.480
<v Speaker 3>internal candidates. I remember when Jay Rozzulo was CFO and

0:12:51.520 --> 0:12:53.520
<v Speaker 3>Tom Staggs was head of parks and they, you know,

0:12:53.520 --> 0:12:55.720
<v Speaker 3>would switch positions so that they could learn more about

0:12:55.760 --> 0:12:58.160
<v Speaker 3>the company and with the understanding that one of these

0:12:58.160 --> 0:13:00.079
<v Speaker 3>guys might be the air apparent at some point. It

0:13:00.160 --> 0:13:02.880
<v Speaker 3>didn't play out that way. But do you believe that

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:05.120
<v Speaker 3>it needs to be somebody internally or does it need

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.040
<v Speaker 3>to be somebody maybe from outside with a different look,

0:13:09.120 --> 0:13:11.319
<v Speaker 3>for a different view maybe on the company.

0:13:13.400 --> 0:13:16.320
<v Speaker 1>So at Thurdbridge, what we've been hearing from the experts

0:13:16.320 --> 0:13:19.960
<v Speaker 1>we speak with is really just the strength and importance

0:13:20.080 --> 0:13:22.440
<v Speaker 1>of Businesy's culture and determining who this is going to

0:13:22.480 --> 0:13:25.160
<v Speaker 1>be and how more likely than not they're really going

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:27.320
<v Speaker 1>to lean on some of that internal muscle that they have,

0:13:27.800 --> 0:13:29.720
<v Speaker 1>And if we look at some of these leaders, there's

0:13:29.920 --> 0:13:33.640
<v Speaker 1>Dana Walden and Alan Bergman over leading the entertainment division.

0:13:33.720 --> 0:13:36.960
<v Speaker 1>Both could potentially be a good fit to really regalvanize

0:13:36.960 --> 0:13:40.760
<v Speaker 1>that business. Josh Tomorrow over experiences to really lead that.

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 1>There are definitely some individuals with impressive track records who

0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:48.320
<v Speaker 1>could come in here internally and lead this company. But

0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:51.200
<v Speaker 1>of course it's really hard to know exactly how the

0:13:51.240 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 1>board is going about this. They've been fairly hush hush

0:13:54.120 --> 0:13:57.199
<v Speaker 1>about who exactly is even officially in the running here.

0:13:57.440 --> 0:14:00.360
<v Speaker 1>But there are definitely some people to tap internally who

0:14:00.360 --> 0:14:02.600
<v Speaker 1>could be a very strong leader, But you don't think.

0:14:02.520 --> 0:14:04.200
<v Speaker 3>It should be somebody externally.

0:14:04.240 --> 0:14:08.160
<v Speaker 1>Then it seems based off of what we're hearing, it

0:14:08.200 --> 0:14:11.079
<v Speaker 1>is fairly unlikely Disney will turn externally. But then again,

0:14:11.640 --> 0:14:13.360
<v Speaker 1>we'll have to see what the board wants to do here.

0:14:13.480 --> 0:14:16.000
<v Speaker 4>Hey, Jamie, tell us take us into the economics of

0:14:16.040 --> 0:14:18.719
<v Speaker 4>streaming here, Like, why is it so hard to make

0:14:18.760 --> 0:14:21.320
<v Speaker 4>Disney plus profitable? I mean Netflix, Look, it took a

0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:23.920
<v Speaker 4>long time, It's been many years, but Netflix is profitable.

0:14:23.920 --> 0:14:27.560
<v Speaker 1>They know how to do it, and Netflix is profitable.

0:14:27.600 --> 0:14:29.680
<v Speaker 1>And one thing which is amazing is that they've been

0:14:29.720 --> 0:14:32.600
<v Speaker 1>turning an operating profit ever since they launched streaming in

0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:35.480
<v Speaker 1>two thousand and seven, which is definitely amazing and one

0:14:35.480 --> 0:14:38.240
<v Speaker 1>thing that all the streaming players, Disney included, is jealous of.

0:14:38.560 --> 0:14:40.480
<v Speaker 1>And there are a couple of reasons here why it's

0:14:40.520 --> 0:14:43.680
<v Speaker 1>been such a big loss leader. First of just customer acquisition.

0:14:43.800 --> 0:14:46.400
<v Speaker 1>There's been such a race to have growth at all costs,

0:14:46.400 --> 0:14:48.960
<v Speaker 1>to try to catch up to Netflix's scale, which at

0:14:48.960 --> 0:14:51.320
<v Speaker 1>this point is looking increasingly difficult with them at two

0:14:51.360 --> 0:14:53.960
<v Speaker 1>hundred and forty million Disney around one fifty one sixty

0:14:54.000 --> 0:14:58.080
<v Speaker 1>for their core Disney plus offering. With that growth comes

0:14:58.120 --> 0:15:00.440
<v Speaker 1>a lot of marketing so many dollars and to try

0:15:00.440 --> 0:15:02.760
<v Speaker 1>to get people to come and stay. And then also

0:15:02.800 --> 0:15:05.840
<v Speaker 1>the content costs. We've heard so much about how content

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:08.440
<v Speaker 1>is king and how there's been this golden age of

0:15:08.480 --> 0:15:11.520
<v Speaker 1>streaming and the programming spend that it is accompanying that.

0:15:11.520 --> 0:15:13.800
<v Speaker 1>That is one thing which also right now is coming

0:15:13.840 --> 0:15:16.200
<v Speaker 1>to a bit of a shift over the last year

0:15:16.280 --> 0:15:19.360
<v Speaker 1>or two with profitability at the forefront, with the strike,

0:15:19.480 --> 0:15:22.600
<v Speaker 1>some delays and content spend. That's one area which is

0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:24.960
<v Speaker 1>getting a bit of an adjustment as Disney and other

0:15:25.000 --> 0:15:28.960
<v Speaker 1>players try to balance the books and not make sure

0:15:28.960 --> 0:15:32.800
<v Speaker 1>that all their spend is rationalized, so between content, between marketing,

0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.000
<v Speaker 1>between Also it does building the infrastructure for ad supported tears,

0:15:36.320 --> 0:15:38.560
<v Speaker 1>making sure the technical platform is there. There are a

0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:41.080
<v Speaker 1>number of major costs to make this a large, scaled

0:15:41.160 --> 0:15:42.120
<v Speaker 1>and viable business.

0:15:42.160 --> 0:15:44.520
<v Speaker 3>So, Jamie, I don't know if you cover Apple by

0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:47.200
<v Speaker 3>any chance, but we just have a story about our

0:15:47.200 --> 0:15:49.360
<v Speaker 3>own marker, I mean, just crossing the Bloomberg. Apple has

0:15:49.360 --> 0:15:52.920
<v Speaker 3>teams investigating a push into personal robotics, a field with

0:15:52.920 --> 0:15:55.200
<v Speaker 3>the potential to become one of the companies ever shifting

0:15:55.280 --> 0:15:58.320
<v Speaker 3>next big things. This is according to people tim familiar

0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:01.080
<v Speaker 3>with the situation, follows just shortly after they said we're

0:16:01.120 --> 0:16:01.640
<v Speaker 3>done with the car.

0:16:01.840 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Engineers at Apple have been exploring a mobile robot

0:16:04.280 --> 0:16:06.600
<v Speaker 4>that can follow users around their homes, said the people,

0:16:06.600 --> 0:16:09.680
<v Speaker 4>who asked not to be identified because the Skunkworks project

0:16:09.800 --> 0:16:12.400
<v Speaker 4>is private. The iPhone maker has also developed in advanced

0:16:12.440 --> 0:16:16.080
<v Speaker 4>tabletop home device that uses robotics to move a display around,

0:16:16.160 --> 0:16:16.600
<v Speaker 4>they said.

0:16:16.760 --> 0:16:19.600
<v Speaker 3>Gap efforts said to be in beginning stages, and it's

0:16:19.640 --> 0:16:22.240
<v Speaker 3>unclear if the products will ultimately be released. Shares of

0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:25.440
<v Speaker 3>Apple not really necessarily moving, although they look they're moving

0:16:25.480 --> 0:16:27.720
<v Speaker 3>a little bit lower on this news, down about half

0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 3>a percent. Before we go back to Disney, Jamie, any

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:31.360
<v Speaker 3>thoughts do you follow Apple?

0:16:32.720 --> 0:16:34.560
<v Speaker 1>I cover their media team. So we've got an a

0:16:34.600 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 1>question about ted Lasso.

0:16:35.960 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 4>On Yes, that's great, right, well played, Jamie, well done.

0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:44.320
<v Speaker 3>Well done. All right, So I don't know, what is

0:16:44.320 --> 0:16:46.080
<v Speaker 3>there a timeline that we have to give Disney at

0:16:46.080 --> 0:16:46.560
<v Speaker 3>this point?

0:16:48.640 --> 0:16:50.760
<v Speaker 1>Well, the thing which we really have to hold Disney

0:16:50.760 --> 0:16:53.800
<v Speaker 1>too is definitely the streaming profitability goals. I mean seeing

0:16:53.800 --> 0:16:56.040
<v Speaker 1>if they can achieve that. One of the big questions is,

0:16:56.440 --> 0:16:59.200
<v Speaker 1>you know about Bob Iger's return to this company, making

0:16:59.200 --> 0:17:01.680
<v Speaker 1>sure he's executed on that while also seeing the CEO

0:17:01.800 --> 0:17:05.800
<v Speaker 1>transition succession happen. That's key, And then also more color

0:17:05.880 --> 0:17:10.080
<v Speaker 1>about the long term operating margins for streaming. They want

0:17:10.119 --> 0:17:12.880
<v Speaker 1>double digits. It took Netflix a decade to get double

0:17:12.960 --> 0:17:17.280
<v Speaker 1>digit operating margins consistently. So those are definitely some things

0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:19.399
<v Speaker 1>to look at, and really that year timeline is going

0:17:19.440 --> 0:17:20.960
<v Speaker 1>to be key for the company.

0:17:21.440 --> 0:17:23.280
<v Speaker 6>And what about the parks. They have said that they're

0:17:23.280 --> 0:17:26.840
<v Speaker 6>going to spend sixty billion and revamping the park in

0:17:26.920 --> 0:17:29.240
<v Speaker 6>universal studio. It's said that they are going to have

0:17:29.320 --> 0:17:32.320
<v Speaker 6>some new attractions. They have a new location in Florida

0:17:32.359 --> 0:17:35.280
<v Speaker 6>where it's Disney's home turf. What do you think about

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:37.200
<v Speaker 6>the sixty billion, how do you think that should be spent?

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:41.640
<v Speaker 1>So what we've been hearing from our experts is that

0:17:41.840 --> 0:17:44.760
<v Speaker 1>really the priority for Disney is much more on these

0:17:44.960 --> 0:17:49.200
<v Speaker 1>huge immersive experiences than one off rides, think the traditional

0:17:49.200 --> 0:17:52.200
<v Speaker 1>space mountain kind of feature. They're really trying to build

0:17:52.280 --> 0:17:56.080
<v Speaker 1>these new lands which have people just spend so much

0:17:56.119 --> 0:17:58.879
<v Speaker 1>time in the park and drive these really engaging experiences

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:03.679
<v Speaker 1>and then also justify the increasingly expensive day passes that

0:18:03.720 --> 0:18:06.399
<v Speaker 1>Disney commands at its various parks. So in terms of

0:18:06.400 --> 0:18:09.200
<v Speaker 1>where this will go, Disney's announced a variety of different features,

0:18:09.280 --> 0:18:12.479
<v Speaker 1>if you listen to the call today, expanding different uh

0:18:13.040 --> 0:18:16.360
<v Speaker 1>you know, massive experiences in Paris and Tokyo and their

0:18:16.359 --> 0:18:19.280
<v Speaker 1>international stage. So looking at some of these large scale

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:21.639
<v Speaker 1>projects is what we're going to be keeping, you know,

0:18:21.760 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 1>and you're out for for Disney to really get some clarity.

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:27.600
<v Speaker 1>As for them, of course, the constant story is how

0:18:27.640 --> 0:18:31.600
<v Speaker 1>do we monetize their under year history of its and

0:18:31.640 --> 0:18:34.479
<v Speaker 1>their new stories and these immersive experiences are definitely one

0:18:34.480 --> 0:18:35.720
<v Speaker 1>of the areas they may look towards.

0:18:35.800 --> 0:18:37.880
<v Speaker 4>Hey Carroll, you know one character you will not see

0:18:38.560 --> 0:18:42.159
<v Speaker 4>at Disney at the Disney Theme parks, Blue, despite the

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:46.399
<v Speaker 4>fact that Blue is streamed on Disney Plus throughout the

0:18:46.400 --> 0:18:49.400
<v Speaker 4>world except for China, New Zealand and Australia not yet.

0:18:49.520 --> 0:18:50.680
<v Speaker 3>Tim Stenefek, Well, they.

0:18:50.600 --> 0:18:52.280
<v Speaker 4>Don't have the rights to it. They didn't, They didn't

0:18:52.280 --> 0:18:52.960
<v Speaker 4>buy up the rights.

0:18:53.000 --> 0:18:55.240
<v Speaker 3>So maybe just negotiations, or maybe they.

0:18:55.040 --> 0:18:57.159
<v Speaker 4>Miss the last Devin Leonard in a few minutes.

0:18:57.760 --> 0:18:59.879
<v Speaker 3>All I know is I've been to the park. It's

0:19:00.119 --> 0:19:03.080
<v Speaker 3>a long time. My daughter was younger. I got to say,

0:19:03.200 --> 0:19:04.879
<v Speaker 3>I had a blast, and I kind of want to

0:19:04.920 --> 0:19:07.000
<v Speaker 3>go back and go to the Frozen Park. I've never

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:07.440
<v Speaker 3>been there.

0:19:07.560 --> 0:19:08.720
<v Speaker 4>You want to be one of the grown ups who

0:19:08.760 --> 0:19:11.160
<v Speaker 4>goes with out kids today. Yeah, there are a lot

0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:12.800
<v Speaker 4>of them. There are a lot of them out there.

0:19:13.160 --> 0:19:15.600
<v Speaker 3>Oh, Jamie, thank you so much, a lot of fun.

0:19:15.680 --> 0:19:18.080
<v Speaker 3>Really appreciate your insight. Jimmie Lumley, Senior analyst over at

0:19:18.119 --> 0:19:20.000
<v Speaker 3>Third Bridge Group, joining us in New York City, and

0:19:20.000 --> 0:19:22.440
<v Speaker 3>of course our thanks to our own Crystal Sea. She's

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:25.400
<v Speaker 3>a Bloomberg News deal reporter right here in our studio.

0:19:25.640 --> 0:19:26.600
<v Speaker 3>This is Bloomberg.

0:19:30.800 --> 0:19:34.320
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Catch us

0:19:34.359 --> 0:19:37.600
<v Speaker 2>live weekday afternoons from two to five pm Eastern Listen

0:19:37.640 --> 0:19:39.800
<v Speaker 2>on Apple car Play and then brought auto with a

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:44.000
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Business Act or watch us live on YouTube.

0:19:45.480 --> 0:19:48.240
<v Speaker 3>Butts, get to macro backdrop today and also a market reaction.

0:19:48.320 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 3>First to that macro backdrop, you've got the latest set

0:19:50.440 --> 0:19:52.960
<v Speaker 3>of economic data doing little to alter bets. At the FED,

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:56.040
<v Speaker 3>we'll deliver ratecasts this year that included a report showing

0:19:56.040 --> 0:19:58.639
<v Speaker 3>a slowdown in services, a drop also in prices to

0:19:58.680 --> 0:20:00.680
<v Speaker 3>a four year love that was enough to halt a

0:20:00.720 --> 0:20:03.359
<v Speaker 3>slide in equities. And then Timmy had Private Jobs, a

0:20:03.440 --> 0:20:06.360
<v Speaker 3>reading that continue to underscore a solid labor market here

0:20:06.359 --> 0:20:06.800
<v Speaker 3>in the US.

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:08.120
<v Speaker 4>And then in the middle of the day, at least

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:10.040
<v Speaker 4>Wall Street time, we had a FED Shair J. Powell

0:20:10.119 --> 0:20:13.080
<v Speaker 4>speaking just about two hours ago at Stanford's Business Government

0:20:13.080 --> 0:20:15.080
<v Speaker 4>in Society Forum. Check out what he had to say

0:20:15.520 --> 0:20:16.160
<v Speaker 4>on inflation.

0:20:16.400 --> 0:20:18.760
<v Speaker 7>It is too soon to say whether the recent readings

0:20:18.880 --> 0:20:22.320
<v Speaker 7>represent more than just a bunk. We do not expect

0:20:22.320 --> 0:20:24.520
<v Speaker 7>that it will be appropriate to lower our policy rate

0:20:24.600 --> 0:20:28.600
<v Speaker 7>until we have greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably

0:20:28.640 --> 0:20:29.639
<v Speaker 7>down toward two percent.

0:20:29.760 --> 0:20:32.760
<v Speaker 3>All right, greater confidence inflation moving sustainably down to two

0:20:32.760 --> 0:20:35.280
<v Speaker 3>percent with more in J. Powell's comments the latest data,

0:20:35.359 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 3>and not on him wearing a purple tie. Again, we're

0:20:37.880 --> 0:20:39.119
<v Speaker 3>not going to talk about that, although that was in

0:20:39.160 --> 0:20:41.760
<v Speaker 3>our Bloomberg Live blog. Let's get to Bloomberg News Economics

0:20:41.840 --> 0:20:44.520
<v Speaker 3>editor Molly Smith. She's here in our New York studio.

0:20:44.560 --> 0:20:48.320
<v Speaker 3>All right, J Powell, Molly any new messaging and ear

0:20:48.520 --> 0:20:50.159
<v Speaker 3>did you guys not really? Okay?

0:20:50.600 --> 0:20:52.000
<v Speaker 8>Well then I guess we were listening to the.

0:20:51.960 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 4>Same I heard some new messaging about like career advice.

0:20:55.320 --> 0:20:58.199
<v Speaker 8>Toward the end of that was new Okay, right, I

0:20:58.200 --> 0:20:59.119
<v Speaker 8>mean you're looking for.

0:21:00.040 --> 0:21:02.720
<v Speaker 3>That's not the band, but it's not the mad You

0:21:02.720 --> 0:21:03.840
<v Speaker 3>don't hear that from Jay?

0:21:03.960 --> 0:21:07.040
<v Speaker 8>Yeah, I mean situationally. Now he's talking at Stanford versus

0:21:07.080 --> 0:21:09.399
<v Speaker 8>you know, at the FED meetings to a bunch of

0:21:09.440 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 8>economic reporters who are probably staying in their career for

0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:13.520
<v Speaker 8>a while.

0:21:13.840 --> 0:21:15.680
<v Speaker 3>But it does feel like, in terms of FED speak

0:21:15.720 --> 0:21:17.600
<v Speaker 3>that we are getting as of late, that maybe they're

0:21:17.640 --> 0:21:20.760
<v Speaker 3>dialing back how much we might see in terms of

0:21:20.920 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 3>FED cuts are we. I don't know, do we get

0:21:23.200 --> 0:21:25.159
<v Speaker 3>any of that from jet From Jay Powell.

0:21:25.400 --> 0:21:29.040
<v Speaker 8>I think he's still just trying to, you know, basically

0:21:29.520 --> 0:21:31.560
<v Speaker 8>hold the market at bay here and not let people

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:34.240
<v Speaker 8>get too ahead of their skis on when the Fed

0:21:34.320 --> 0:21:36.520
<v Speaker 8>is going to cut and how aggressively that's going to be.

0:21:36.600 --> 0:21:39.000
<v Speaker 8>I think that's still have been pretty consistent with the

0:21:39.040 --> 0:21:41.440
<v Speaker 8>comments we've gotten from him. You know, he's really just

0:21:41.480 --> 0:21:45.320
<v Speaker 8>sticking to the language of cuts will be appropriate. Quote

0:21:45.320 --> 0:21:49.399
<v Speaker 8>at some point this year, saw Bostic earlier today saying

0:21:49.400 --> 0:21:52.640
<v Speaker 8>this year, yes, you know, Bostik's been a bit more

0:21:52.680 --> 0:21:56.800
<v Speaker 8>specific calling for the fourth quarter. Other people more just

0:21:57.080 --> 0:22:00.400
<v Speaker 8>right right, and others more just generally the second the.

0:22:00.480 --> 0:22:02.840
<v Speaker 4>Okay, So how do you weigh that against what we

0:22:02.880 --> 0:22:04.640
<v Speaker 4>heard from Powell? And how do you sort of take

0:22:04.720 --> 0:22:07.040
<v Speaker 4>what we're hearing from some of these other FED speakers

0:22:07.280 --> 0:22:08.639
<v Speaker 4>but also from j Powell.

0:22:08.800 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 8>So that's the thing where it seems like there is

0:22:10.760 --> 0:22:13.600
<v Speaker 8>a bit more divergence splitting in terms of how many

0:22:13.720 --> 0:22:16.840
<v Speaker 8>cuts the policy makers think will be appropriate this year.

0:22:16.880 --> 0:22:20.639
<v Speaker 8>Remember that the FED did uphold in the March Summary

0:22:20.680 --> 0:22:23.679
<v Speaker 8>of Economic Projections three cuts for this year, but that

0:22:23.760 --> 0:22:26.240
<v Speaker 8>was a close call, very easily could have been two.

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:28.520
<v Speaker 8>So there are people really on both ends of the

0:22:28.520 --> 0:22:31.160
<v Speaker 8>spectrum we know now we now know sorry which dot

0:22:31.320 --> 0:22:34.560
<v Speaker 8>bostis is that he's really just seeing one cut this year,

0:22:34.640 --> 0:22:36.879
<v Speaker 8>where others are more split between.

0:22:36.640 --> 0:22:39.159
<v Speaker 3>Two and three. The data that we keep getting, we

0:22:39.240 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 3>got ADP employment today, Global Services, PMI, ISM services, anything

0:22:43.840 --> 0:22:47.119
<v Speaker 3>interesting or just kind of supports this idea that hey, folks,

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:50.359
<v Speaker 3>as J. Powell has said, the US economy doing okay.

0:22:49.880 --> 0:22:52.320
<v Speaker 8>Good, Yeah, both things on that. I mean, it does

0:22:52.320 --> 0:22:54.560
<v Speaker 8>support that the economy is still doing well. But I

0:22:54.600 --> 0:22:58.240
<v Speaker 8>think you know, a really good sign from the ISM

0:22:58.320 --> 0:23:02.160
<v Speaker 8>services gauge to see the services prices easing. That has been,

0:23:02.240 --> 0:23:04.879
<v Speaker 8>of course the stickiest source of inflation. We'll see how

0:23:04.920 --> 0:23:08.920
<v Speaker 8>much that feeds through into the CPI and PCE measures

0:23:08.920 --> 0:23:11.920
<v Speaker 8>of services inflation. But that would be a telling sign

0:23:12.000 --> 0:23:14.120
<v Speaker 8>if that does come to be in the other indicators.

0:23:14.160 --> 0:23:17.080
<v Speaker 3>All right, good stuff as always, and we do see

0:23:17.240 --> 0:23:19.400
<v Speaker 3>yields backing off some of their highs, some of those

0:23:19.440 --> 0:23:22.760
<v Speaker 3>earlier highs that we saw today. All right, Bloomberg News

0:23:22.760 --> 0:23:25.160
<v Speaker 3>Economics editor Molly Smith, thank you so much. Appreciate that.

0:23:26.720 --> 0:23:30.600
<v Speaker 2>You're listening to the Bloomberg Business Week podcast. Listen live

0:23:30.680 --> 0:23:33.840
<v Speaker 2>each weekday starting at two pm Eastern on applecar Play

0:23:33.880 --> 0:23:36.760
<v Speaker 2>and ANDROYD Auto with the Bloomberg Business Ad. You can

0:23:36.800 --> 0:23:40.040
<v Speaker 2>also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our flagship New

0:23:40.119 --> 0:23:43.720
<v Speaker 2>York station, Just Say Alexa playing Bloomberg eleven thirty.

0:23:45.359 --> 0:23:47.320
<v Speaker 4>Well, if your parent kids of a certain age, then

0:23:47.359 --> 0:23:50.720
<v Speaker 4>the TV show Blowy needs no introduction. Like Tim, You've

0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:53.480
<v Speaker 4>probably seen it, you probably love it, and you're more

0:23:53.520 --> 0:23:55.600
<v Speaker 4>than happy to pay Disney plus each month to keep

0:23:55.600 --> 0:23:59.240
<v Speaker 4>those episodes streaming. As Devin Leonard writes for Bloomberg BusinessWeek,

0:23:59.240 --> 0:24:02.399
<v Speaker 4>it's quote a show that's both hilarious and deeply moving,

0:24:02.400 --> 0:24:04.760
<v Speaker 4>and its portrayal of how children come to terms with

0:24:04.800 --> 0:24:07.879
<v Speaker 4>the world by playing games, and how parents can foster

0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:11.480
<v Speaker 4>this by joining the fun, no matter how wacky it becomes.

0:24:11.680 --> 0:24:14.680
<v Speaker 4>Devin Leonard is a Bloomberg BusinessWeek Senior Global Business Writer.

0:24:14.760 --> 0:24:16.840
<v Speaker 4>His story the cover of the new issue of Bloomberg

0:24:16.840 --> 0:24:19.679
<v Speaker 4>BusinessWeek magazine. It's available on newsstands, on the Bloomberg and

0:24:19.720 --> 0:24:22.320
<v Speaker 4>at Bloomberg dot com Slash BusinessWeek. Devin, I can't tell

0:24:22.320 --> 0:24:23.560
<v Speaker 4>you how to let it. I was to see that

0:24:23.560 --> 0:24:27.200
<v Speaker 4>Blue got the cover treatment. He was off the show

0:24:27.280 --> 0:24:29.000
<v Speaker 4>I heard this was happening, I was like, I cannot

0:24:29.040 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 4>wait to do this, but but give us an idea

0:24:30.840 --> 0:24:31.879
<v Speaker 4>of how this story came together.

0:24:32.640 --> 0:24:37.280
<v Speaker 9>You know something Hermant, who's one of the editors, she

0:24:37.400 --> 0:24:38.800
<v Speaker 9>asked me to do it while I was in the

0:24:38.800 --> 0:24:42.640
<v Speaker 9>midst of some piece about Sean Diddy Combs and his demise,

0:24:42.680 --> 0:24:44.719
<v Speaker 9>and you know, it's kind of like, you know, I

0:24:44.760 --> 0:24:47.119
<v Speaker 9>was just like, yeah, sure, because I like to take assignments.

0:24:47.160 --> 0:24:49.040
<v Speaker 9>I had never heard of this show. I'd never watched

0:24:49.080 --> 0:24:53.199
<v Speaker 9>the show, and frankly, all I knew was that it

0:24:53.240 --> 0:24:54.879
<v Speaker 9>was I thought it was a Disney show, which it

0:24:54.920 --> 0:24:57.000
<v Speaker 9>isn't even a Disney show. It's it's just a show

0:24:57.040 --> 0:24:59.920
<v Speaker 9>their license. But I started watching here for them, Yeah,

0:25:00.160 --> 0:25:05.199
<v Speaker 9>well not sound likely for them, but but no, I

0:25:05.320 --> 0:25:07.160
<v Speaker 9>just you know, I started watching it and really really

0:25:07.200 --> 0:25:09.120
<v Speaker 9>got into it. And then I realized actually the people

0:25:09.119 --> 0:25:11.119
<v Speaker 9>who were who were you know, were really sort of

0:25:11.160 --> 0:25:13.399
<v Speaker 9>handling the licensing and the merchandising, well you know, it

0:25:13.440 --> 0:25:16.439
<v Speaker 9>was actually BBC Studios, the commercial arm of the BBC.

0:25:16.640 --> 0:25:18.680
<v Speaker 9>So I started talking to them, and you know, I

0:25:18.720 --> 0:25:19.960
<v Speaker 9>was going to go to London, was I going to

0:25:19.960 --> 0:25:22.240
<v Speaker 9>go to Brisbane Australia. Well, I wound up going to Brisbane, Australia,

0:25:22.280 --> 0:25:23.840
<v Speaker 9>where I also met along with, you know, some of

0:25:23.880 --> 0:25:27.159
<v Speaker 9>the top people from BBC Studios, Joe brom the show's creator,

0:25:27.200 --> 0:25:29.679
<v Speaker 9>and also the founders of Luda Studio who produce it.

0:25:29.720 --> 0:25:31.960
<v Speaker 9>So it's a whole you know, kind of kind of

0:25:31.960 --> 0:25:34.080
<v Speaker 9>a you know, amazing thing culminating the trip you know,

0:25:34.600 --> 0:25:35.120
<v Speaker 9>last month.

0:25:35.280 --> 0:25:38.520
<v Speaker 3>So all right, because you know how popular it is,

0:25:38.560 --> 0:25:39.679
<v Speaker 3>because you watch it a lot, and I think if

0:25:39.680 --> 0:25:41.439
<v Speaker 3>my daughter was much younger, we would be watching it.

0:25:41.480 --> 0:25:43.480
<v Speaker 9>I'm my kids to watch them. Hey, hey, hey, you

0:25:43.520 --> 0:25:44.280
<v Speaker 9>gotta check this out.

0:25:44.320 --> 0:25:46.480
<v Speaker 3>Well, the funny thing is it's not just appealing to kids,

0:25:46.480 --> 0:25:48.320
<v Speaker 3>but talk to us about how popular it is.

0:25:49.320 --> 0:25:52.359
<v Speaker 9>Well, I mean it's it's not. It's not just the

0:25:52.359 --> 0:25:54.920
<v Speaker 9>most streamed kids show in the US last year, it's

0:25:54.920 --> 0:25:58.639
<v Speaker 9>the second most stream show period after Suits and Suits

0:25:58.720 --> 0:26:01.399
<v Speaker 9>is nine seasons of episodes that are about you know,

0:26:01.520 --> 0:26:03.560
<v Speaker 9>almost like forty two minutes. So I mean that's the

0:26:03.600 --> 0:26:05.200
<v Speaker 9>whole thing that you know, lots you had lots of

0:26:05.240 --> 0:26:07.200
<v Speaker 9>streaming numbers for you know, if you have lots of episodes.

0:26:07.560 --> 0:26:09.760
<v Speaker 9>Blue has one hundred and fifty episodes. They're only seven

0:26:09.920 --> 0:26:12.959
<v Speaker 9>minutes long, and it's just just three seasons. And yet

0:26:13.320 --> 0:26:15.800
<v Speaker 9>you know, you know, people are watching more Blue than

0:26:15.840 --> 0:26:18.240
<v Speaker 9>you know, than Friends than gilmore Girls than you know

0:26:18.280 --> 0:26:20.920
<v Speaker 9>and cis so so you know, you know, I mean,

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:23.120
<v Speaker 9>I mean, you know, there's there's something going on. You're

0:26:23.280 --> 0:26:25.679
<v Speaker 9>you know, you know, something really crazy with you know,

0:26:25.720 --> 0:26:27.760
<v Speaker 9>with the It's not just kids watching it, you know,

0:26:27.800 --> 0:26:29.240
<v Speaker 9>it's it's a lot of other people too.

0:26:29.680 --> 0:26:31.560
<v Speaker 4>You know what's interesting in your piece that I had

0:26:31.600 --> 0:26:33.240
<v Speaker 4>no there was. I learned so much in the piece.

0:26:33.240 --> 0:26:35.280
<v Speaker 4>I encourage everybody to read it, even if you've never

0:26:35.400 --> 0:26:39.560
<v Speaker 4>heard of this show. What I found fascinating was this

0:26:39.760 --> 0:26:43.160
<v Speaker 4>wasn't something that was set to be a hit from

0:26:43.480 --> 0:26:46.400
<v Speaker 4>the pilot. I mean, this is not following the formula

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:49.159
<v Speaker 4>of the typical kids show by any means. This is

0:26:49.200 --> 0:26:50.320
<v Speaker 4>not cookie cutter, right.

0:26:50.800 --> 0:26:52.800
<v Speaker 9>Well, no, that's the crazy, that's the crazy thing. You

0:26:52.840 --> 0:26:55.120
<v Speaker 9>have this guy, you know, Joe Brown, he's forty six

0:26:55.200 --> 0:26:57.639
<v Speaker 9>years old. You know, he lives in Brisbane and you

0:26:57.680 --> 0:26:59.320
<v Speaker 9>know that's where he went to high school. He spent

0:26:59.400 --> 0:27:01.639
<v Speaker 9>some time in in London as an animator, you know,

0:27:01.680 --> 0:27:04.480
<v Speaker 9>worked on some shows on the BBC. He came back

0:27:04.520 --> 0:27:06.120
<v Speaker 9>to you know, Australia had a sort of a little

0:27:06.160 --> 0:27:08.600
<v Speaker 9>animation company that he was running for a while out

0:27:08.600 --> 0:27:10.679
<v Speaker 9>of his house and he kind of missed, you know,

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:13.560
<v Speaker 9>being around a big crew. So he was sort of like, well,

0:27:13.840 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 9>if I'm going to have that again, I need to

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:18.560
<v Speaker 9>create a show my own show, becau. That's probably the

0:27:18.560 --> 0:27:20.879
<v Speaker 9>only way it's going to happen. So it's like, well,

0:27:20.920 --> 0:27:23.040
<v Speaker 9>what's that show going to be? And he liked Peppa Pig,

0:27:23.640 --> 0:27:25.640
<v Speaker 9>but he was like, you know, I couldn't he could

0:27:25.680 --> 0:27:28.000
<v Speaker 9>you know, you couldn't rip off Peppa Pig, you know,

0:27:28.040 --> 0:27:30.160
<v Speaker 9>you know, and do you know that's like Peppa Pig's

0:27:30.160 --> 0:27:32.680
<v Speaker 9>family or pigs and all the other families are other species.

0:27:32.680 --> 0:27:35.680
<v Speaker 9>So he's like, okay, so I'll make a show about dogs,

0:27:35.840 --> 0:27:38.119
<v Speaker 9>you know, my you know, you know, you know, my

0:27:38.240 --> 0:27:41.119
<v Speaker 9>family will be Australian blue heelers and their families we

0:27:41.280 --> 0:27:43.359
<v Speaker 9>Dosin's and Bassett Hounds and all stuff.

0:27:43.400 --> 0:27:44.600
<v Speaker 4>So then so.

0:27:44.640 --> 0:27:48.240
<v Speaker 9>Then he's he's he's home. He has two kids, who

0:27:48.280 --> 0:27:50.359
<v Speaker 9>it turns out of the same age as as Blue

0:27:50.600 --> 0:27:52.399
<v Speaker 9>and Bingo are about the same age as Blue and

0:27:52.400 --> 0:27:54.359
<v Speaker 9>Binger are. Now they've actually got an older on the

0:27:54.400 --> 0:27:57.280
<v Speaker 9>show Bluey's seven and Bingo's five. They started out of

0:27:57.280 --> 0:28:00.720
<v Speaker 9>six and four. But but but so he was able

0:28:00.760 --> 0:28:03.680
<v Speaker 9>to draw on his own experiences because he's home with them,

0:28:03.800 --> 0:28:05.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, he's trying to work and he's running up

0:28:05.320 --> 0:28:07.960
<v Speaker 9>and down the stairs, and and anybody watched the show,

0:28:08.440 --> 0:28:10.720
<v Speaker 9>that's what's going on, you know, with Bandit. The show's

0:28:10.760 --> 0:28:14.160
<v Speaker 9>father and banned It, by the way, is an archaeologist,

0:28:14.160 --> 0:28:17.919
<v Speaker 9>you know, sort of a not a state home but

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:21.639
<v Speaker 9>almost a stay at home archaeologist, which is kind of interesting.

0:28:21.720 --> 0:28:24.960
<v Speaker 9>But but but but in any case, he put together

0:28:25.000 --> 0:28:29.760
<v Speaker 9>a pilot. The pilot, you know, you know, it had

0:28:30.119 --> 0:28:33.600
<v Speaker 9>Bandit taken Bluey to the to the playground. Bandits playing

0:28:33.720 --> 0:28:35.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, fruit and Ninch on his phone. He pushes

0:28:35.359 --> 0:28:37.440
<v Speaker 9>Blue around the swing set. Blue goes on the swing set,

0:28:37.480 --> 0:28:39.760
<v Speaker 9>clunks him. He shows it to these guy's at Luna

0:28:39.840 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 9>Studio who he done some work for, and they liked it.

0:28:42.600 --> 0:28:44.000
<v Speaker 9>And it was supposed to being the fun to start,

0:28:44.000 --> 0:28:45.200
<v Speaker 9>he wanted to do a show is kind of both

0:28:45.240 --> 0:28:47.520
<v Speaker 9>for growing ups and for kids. So that's sort of

0:28:47.680 --> 0:28:49.760
<v Speaker 9>you know, with two levels of kind of humor. Even

0:28:49.760 --> 0:28:53.200
<v Speaker 9>though but anyway, Gludos guys liked it. They tied to

0:28:53.200 --> 0:28:55.480
<v Speaker 9>shop around and people said to them, Hey, is this

0:28:55.600 --> 0:28:57.440
<v Speaker 9>family guy or is this Peppa Pig? And they were

0:28:57.520 --> 0:29:00.440
<v Speaker 9>kind of like both and and you know, and you know,

0:29:00.480 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 9>people just didn't get it, except for one guy, Michael Carrington,

0:29:03.920 --> 0:29:06.120
<v Speaker 9>who was head of Childrens at the ABC in this case,

0:29:06.400 --> 0:29:10.360
<v Speaker 9>the Australian Broadcasting Corporation. But but it's just, i mean,

0:29:10.640 --> 0:29:12.320
<v Speaker 9>just just the genesis of the show is you know,

0:29:12.360 --> 0:29:14.600
<v Speaker 9>it's so strange because because really it was just Joe Brum,

0:29:14.800 --> 0:29:16.360
<v Speaker 9>you know, you know, missing being around a lot of

0:29:16.400 --> 0:29:17.120
<v Speaker 9>other animators.

0:29:17.680 --> 0:29:19.680
<v Speaker 3>First of all, I've always adored you and I love

0:29:19.720 --> 0:29:21.880
<v Speaker 3>your reporting of respective but to hear you talk about

0:29:22.000 --> 0:29:24.680
<v Speaker 3>Luian in such detail, it's just takes it to a

0:29:24.680 --> 0:29:25.240
<v Speaker 3>whole other.

0:29:25.200 --> 0:29:31.080
<v Speaker 4>Level difference from talking about Diddy. Yeah, I'm like trying

0:29:31.120 --> 0:29:32.800
<v Speaker 4>to think, we'll wait the last time we talked with you,

0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:35.600
<v Speaker 4>which is what makes you so wonderful, Devin Leonard.

0:29:36.120 --> 0:29:38.880
<v Speaker 9>I know, but it's it's just such this material. It's

0:29:38.960 --> 0:29:41.240
<v Speaker 9>just as rich. It's crazy.

0:29:41.440 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 3>Well speaking of rich, right, it's made a lot of

0:29:43.480 --> 0:29:44.360
<v Speaker 3>money for some people.

0:29:45.200 --> 0:29:49.920
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, I mean, I mean it's it's well, it's well,

0:29:50.720 --> 0:29:54.720
<v Speaker 9>it turns out the ABC basically you might you might

0:29:54.800 --> 0:29:57.520
<v Speaker 9>say that they really sort of discovered the show, and

0:29:57.960 --> 0:30:00.200
<v Speaker 9>Michael Carrington was able to get the ABC to put

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:03.600
<v Speaker 9>some money into a pilot. He said, he said, I

0:30:03.640 --> 0:30:05.240
<v Speaker 9>would have greenlited, you know, you know, on the spot,

0:30:05.280 --> 0:30:07.640
<v Speaker 9>but they didn't have the money. But they did give

0:30:08.400 --> 0:30:11.120
<v Speaker 9>you know, Joe Browman, you know, Ludo's enough money to

0:30:11.120 --> 0:30:15.120
<v Speaker 9>actually you know, make a five minute pilot, which BBC

0:30:15.240 --> 0:30:19.840
<v Speaker 9>Studios loved. But as part of the deal, BBC Studios

0:30:19.880 --> 0:30:24.240
<v Speaker 9>wound up with the international distribution and licensing rights and

0:30:24.360 --> 0:30:27.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, and the you know, the ABC guys like, well,

0:30:27.400 --> 0:30:29.280
<v Speaker 9>we don't have those kind of resources, so they might

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:31.000
<v Speaker 9>as well, they might as well, you know, you know,

0:30:31.040 --> 0:30:34.800
<v Speaker 9>you know, take that. But so then they're the guys

0:30:34.960 --> 0:30:37.600
<v Speaker 9>that have been making making you know, you know, all

0:30:37.600 --> 0:30:39.920
<v Speaker 9>the money. I mean, you know, LUDA Studios controls it,

0:30:39.960 --> 0:30:43.080
<v Speaker 9>so obviously they're making money. Joe gets a gets a

0:30:43.120 --> 0:30:45.680
<v Speaker 9>percentage of the revenues. But but they're the people doing

0:30:45.720 --> 0:30:47.680
<v Speaker 9>all the toy deals, okay and all that.

0:30:47.760 --> 0:30:52.400
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, well what about Disney, Well we'll watch it in most.

0:30:52.280 --> 0:30:52.720
<v Speaker 5>Of the world.

0:30:52.840 --> 0:30:53.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah.

0:30:53.200 --> 0:30:54.880
<v Speaker 9>No, I mean, I think I said before I came

0:30:54.920 --> 0:30:57.120
<v Speaker 9>into this whole thing, this is a Disney show. You know,

0:30:57.240 --> 0:30:58.880
<v Speaker 9>oh no, it's just a show. They licensed it in

0:30:58.920 --> 0:31:03.320
<v Speaker 9>twenty nineteen. They outbid a whole lot of other including

0:31:03.400 --> 0:31:07.120
<v Speaker 9>Nickelodeon to uh, you know, you know, for for the

0:31:07.200 --> 0:31:09.520
<v Speaker 9>rights rights to distribute the show, i e. You know,

0:31:09.600 --> 0:31:12.880
<v Speaker 9>on their platforms, on Disney Junior, Disney Channel and on

0:31:12.920 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 9>Disney Plus. But what they passed up at the time

0:31:15.640 --> 0:31:18.680
<v Speaker 9>they also had had had the chance to license the

0:31:18.720 --> 0:31:20.320
<v Speaker 9>merchandising and the theme park.

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:22.160
<v Speaker 3>Rights, which they understand.

0:31:23.000 --> 0:31:25.360
<v Speaker 9>Yeah yeah, but but but but but but but so

0:31:25.480 --> 0:31:30.680
<v Speaker 9>that's you know, that's something they really regret now because anyway, yeah, good.

0:31:30.600 --> 0:31:32.840
<v Speaker 3>Okay, we'll get about a minute left.

0:31:33.360 --> 0:31:37.160
<v Speaker 4>Season four. Is there going to be a season four?

0:31:37.600 --> 0:31:38.640
<v Speaker 3>Asking for his kids?

0:31:38.800 --> 0:31:42.840
<v Speaker 9>Well, well, you know there has there hasn't. It hasn't

0:31:42.880 --> 0:31:46.800
<v Speaker 9>been announced, and uh you know, season three is about

0:31:46.840 --> 0:31:49.160
<v Speaker 9>to culminate with this with a special episode. The sign

0:31:49.280 --> 0:31:52.200
<v Speaker 9>is twenty eight minutes long, and uh, you know, people

0:31:52.240 --> 0:31:53.600
<v Speaker 9>are sort of saying, oh, you know, there's going to

0:31:53.680 --> 0:31:56.480
<v Speaker 9>be a season four, but well, well, actually nobody can

0:31:57.160 --> 0:31:59.240
<v Speaker 9>say for sure, and we're trying to act as if

0:31:59.280 --> 0:32:02.720
<v Speaker 9>there's going to be one. But season three was greenlit

0:32:02.800 --> 0:32:05.920
<v Speaker 9>in twenty twenty. I mean that's been running in Australia

0:32:05.920 --> 0:32:09.800
<v Speaker 9>since twenty twenty ONETHS so so so basically they wrapped,

0:32:10.200 --> 0:32:12.560
<v Speaker 9>you know, they wrapped season three, you know, you know

0:32:12.640 --> 0:32:14.680
<v Speaker 9>in like around in twenty you know, sometime in like

0:32:14.720 --> 0:32:17.720
<v Speaker 9>twenty twenty two, maybe late twenty twenty's. So there's nothing

0:32:18.240 --> 0:32:21.160
<v Speaker 9>else out there. And this is when when you know,

0:32:21.200 --> 0:32:23.520
<v Speaker 9>the excitement about the show, it's just you know, it

0:32:23.640 --> 0:32:25.800
<v Speaker 9>just keeps getting higher and higher, you know, you know,

0:32:25.840 --> 0:32:28.600
<v Speaker 9>people are really excited about the time. But then what

0:32:28.760 --> 0:32:32.040
<v Speaker 9>and also what's Blue worth? You know I didn't mention

0:32:32.200 --> 0:32:34.160
<v Speaker 9>mentioned before, but but you know Blue has been valued,

0:32:34.480 --> 0:32:36.280
<v Speaker 9>you know as you know, said to be worth as

0:32:36.360 --> 0:32:38.080
<v Speaker 9>much as two billion dollars. It could be worth it,

0:32:38.080 --> 0:32:40.280
<v Speaker 9>you know, going forward, it could be worth as much

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:43.040
<v Speaker 9>as Peppa Pig was and it was sold to Hasbro. Yeah,

0:32:43.120 --> 0:32:45.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, if it's for four billion dollars, but with

0:32:45.400 --> 0:32:49.600
<v Speaker 9>three seasons, you know, I don't know, and it's just unclear.

0:32:50.120 --> 0:32:52.280
<v Speaker 9>Joe browm who's really a creative genus whether or not

0:32:52.520 --> 0:32:54.440
<v Speaker 9>you know, he wants to keep going interesting.

0:32:54.480 --> 0:32:56.920
<v Speaker 3>Well, and when you're a balloon in the Thanksgivings Day

0:32:57.080 --> 0:32:58.640
<v Speaker 3>Thanks Aavy Day parade, you know You're a big deal.

0:33:00.120 --> 0:33:04.200
<v Speaker 3>This was a gem. Devin Leonard, a senior global business

0:33:04.200 --> 0:33:06.200
<v Speaker 3>writer for Bloomberg business Week. It's the cover story of

0:33:06.200 --> 0:33:07.880
<v Speaker 3>the new issue of Bloomberg Business Week that will be

0:33:07.920 --> 0:33:11.280
<v Speaker 3>out on newsstands, already online and on the Bloomberg Terurnal. Devin, thanks.

0:33:12.640 --> 0:33:16.920
<v Speaker 2>Umbromac a journal.

0:33:17.920 --> 0:33:18.920
<v Speaker 3>How about you let me drive?

0:33:19.160 --> 0:33:21.200
<v Speaker 4>Oh no, no, no, no, who's going to drive?

0:33:22.240 --> 0:33:22.600
<v Speaker 8>Honey?

0:33:22.760 --> 0:33:24.480
<v Speaker 4>Please, I'll gravel.

0:33:25.320 --> 0:33:26.440
<v Speaker 3>Wait, I want to drive.

0:33:26.440 --> 0:33:36.560
<v Speaker 2>It's good question. This is the drive to the globe.

0:33:36.760 --> 0:33:39.840
<v Speaker 2>We'll buy around each other down on Bloomberg Radio.

0:33:40.280 --> 0:33:41.920
<v Speaker 4>All right, Well, I don't have to tell any of you.

0:33:42.680 --> 0:33:44.920
<v Speaker 4>This shares a video more than eighty percent so far

0:33:45.000 --> 0:33:49.720
<v Speaker 4>this year, last year forty percent. Although our next guest

0:33:49.800 --> 0:33:52.960
<v Speaker 4>is optimistic about the long term productivity potential of AI

0:33:53.040 --> 0:33:56.440
<v Speaker 4>for business Carol, he says investors need to be selective

0:33:57.120 --> 0:34:00.200
<v Speaker 4>and don't get carried away with the momentum enthusias.

0:34:00.240 --> 0:34:02.360
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, I believe that's Dock is the second best performing

0:34:02.480 --> 0:34:03.360
<v Speaker 3>name in the S and P F.

0:34:03.560 --> 0:34:05.160
<v Speaker 4>What's the first super micro?

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:05.520
<v Speaker 9>Right?

0:34:06.040 --> 0:34:07.160
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, another AI.

0:34:07.000 --> 0:34:09.040
<v Speaker 3>Play exactly exactly, But it hasn't been in the S.

0:34:09.040 --> 0:34:12.120
<v Speaker 4>And P five hundred all year, so we can't really No.

0:34:11.719 --> 0:34:14.560
<v Speaker 3>That's that's fair. But nonetheless, but Nvidio was the top

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:17.000
<v Speaker 3>performing name in the S and P five hundred last year. Hey,

0:34:17.000 --> 0:34:18.719
<v Speaker 3>so let's get to it. Let's bring in our drive

0:34:18.800 --> 0:34:20.880
<v Speaker 3>to the closed guest. Alan Lance back with us, director

0:34:20.880 --> 0:34:24.000
<v Speaker 3>of research at Lance Global dot Com, President of Allan B.

0:34:24.120 --> 0:34:27.800
<v Speaker 3>Lance Associates, joining us once again from Toledo, Ohio. Allan,

0:34:27.960 --> 0:34:31.560
<v Speaker 3>good to have you back with us. Talk to us

0:34:31.800 --> 0:34:34.680
<v Speaker 3>about Yeah, nice to have you here. So when we

0:34:35.480 --> 0:34:38.480
<v Speaker 3>talk about Nvidia, what do you think that there's more

0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:41.040
<v Speaker 3>room to run or that you know that there's yeah,

0:34:41.480 --> 0:34:42.640
<v Speaker 3>break it down for us.

0:34:43.200 --> 0:34:44.840
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I think you know, it's going to be winners

0:34:44.840 --> 0:34:48.520
<v Speaker 10>and losers differentiated much more so than last year. I think,

0:34:48.560 --> 0:34:51.040
<v Speaker 10>like twenty twenty three, Apple was up when they had

0:34:51.080 --> 0:34:55.319
<v Speaker 10>flat earnings and and really just rode that wave of

0:34:55.480 --> 0:34:59.640
<v Speaker 10>the AI and the mega you know tech theme. But

0:35:00.520 --> 0:35:02.640
<v Speaker 10>you know, this year, I think what we're seeing are

0:35:02.480 --> 0:35:05.239
<v Speaker 10>the winners and losers. You we liked in video going

0:35:05.280 --> 0:35:10.839
<v Speaker 10>into the year, and we liked Amazon and Meta and

0:35:11.000 --> 0:35:15.319
<v Speaker 10>Google Alphabet and basically the two that we didn't like

0:35:15.520 --> 0:35:19.719
<v Speaker 10>was Apple and and Tesla. And it's really shown just

0:35:19.760 --> 0:35:21.759
<v Speaker 10>the you know, the first three months of the year

0:35:21.840 --> 0:35:25.279
<v Speaker 10>where in video is still I think cheap. I mean

0:35:25.280 --> 0:35:28.960
<v Speaker 10>I would buy really fifty area or under.

0:35:28.760 --> 0:35:30.480
<v Speaker 4>If you would buy it, sorry repeat that, you'd buy

0:35:30.480 --> 0:35:32.480
<v Speaker 4>a win like eight.

0:35:32.400 --> 0:35:35.839
<v Speaker 10>Fifty there, you know, like a week or so ago,

0:35:35.960 --> 0:35:38.439
<v Speaker 10>and we were nibbling on it for clients that don't

0:35:38.440 --> 0:35:40.680
<v Speaker 10>own it. We have a lot of clients that own

0:35:40.880 --> 0:35:43.880
<v Speaker 10>all those and we sold some Tesla in the two hundreds,

0:35:43.920 --> 0:35:46.880
<v Speaker 10>and we'll probably revisit Tesla if it continues to weaken.

0:35:47.200 --> 0:35:49.080
<v Speaker 10>But you know, I think they are dealt with the

0:35:49.080 --> 0:35:53.000
<v Speaker 10>hardest hand to him here, and and you know, Apple

0:35:53.120 --> 0:35:56.319
<v Speaker 10>is the second most difficult. The one we'd probably buy

0:35:56.320 --> 0:35:59.640
<v Speaker 10>at the Magnificent seven or the former Magnificent seven would

0:35:59.640 --> 0:36:03.200
<v Speaker 10>be Alphabet, just because I think they really watched the

0:36:03.280 --> 0:36:05.680
<v Speaker 10>lots of Gemini, and I think they've got some good

0:36:05.680 --> 0:36:07.600
<v Speaker 10>things to come. And they're going to do probably what

0:36:07.680 --> 0:36:10.680
<v Speaker 10>Meta did and why we like Meta, and that's just

0:36:10.719 --> 0:36:14.880
<v Speaker 10>cut back expenses and really focus on certain areas. And

0:36:15.320 --> 0:36:17.400
<v Speaker 10>Apple's doing that. It's just going to take longer, and

0:36:17.400 --> 0:36:18.800
<v Speaker 10>there's more certainty.

0:36:18.480 --> 0:36:20.600
<v Speaker 3>On that Magnificent seven there, you know, like we've been

0:36:20.600 --> 0:36:23.600
<v Speaker 3>calling it Magnificent four, but on the Magnificent seven, JP

0:36:23.760 --> 0:36:27.080
<v Speaker 3>Morgan about a month ago said Magnificent seven stocks are

0:36:27.120 --> 0:36:29.000
<v Speaker 3>cheaper versus the rest of the equity market than they

0:36:29.000 --> 0:36:32.440
<v Speaker 3>were five years ago, given their latest set of earnings,

0:36:32.480 --> 0:36:34.320
<v Speaker 3>and they kind of put that out so they believe

0:36:34.360 --> 0:36:38.600
<v Speaker 3>that there was more room to run. Having said that,

0:36:38.680 --> 0:36:41.600
<v Speaker 3>how do you kind of distinguish alan between getting caught

0:36:41.640 --> 0:36:44.799
<v Speaker 3>up in momentum plays and just getting caught up in

0:36:44.960 --> 0:36:48.760
<v Speaker 3>that euphoria versus really kind of understanding the fundamental plays,

0:36:48.760 --> 0:36:50.919
<v Speaker 3>which is what you seem to be breaking down when

0:36:50.920 --> 0:36:52.240
<v Speaker 3>it comes to a name like Nvidia.

0:36:53.160 --> 0:36:55.960
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, it's really the fundamentals. I mean, video is cheaper

0:36:56.000 --> 0:36:57.919
<v Speaker 10>than it was a year ago, even though it's done

0:36:58.000 --> 0:37:00.840
<v Speaker 10>so much as far as in the pre shation side,

0:37:01.160 --> 0:37:04.000
<v Speaker 10>while you have a Tesla that's struggling in an Apple

0:37:04.120 --> 0:37:07.400
<v Speaker 10>you know that hasn't shown growth and you know, multiple

0:37:07.520 --> 0:37:10.720
<v Speaker 10>quarters so so. So I think that that's the difference.

0:37:10.719 --> 0:37:13.279
<v Speaker 10>They all rode up in twenty three and now it's

0:37:13.320 --> 0:37:16.719
<v Speaker 10>a matter of people looking at the fundamentals and and

0:37:17.160 --> 0:37:19.759
<v Speaker 10>I think that's going to be the key areas as

0:37:19.760 --> 0:37:22.879
<v Speaker 10>far as into the future. Even as this AI plays out,

0:37:22.920 --> 0:37:25.479
<v Speaker 10>there's going to be big winners and losers and and

0:37:25.920 --> 0:37:27.480
<v Speaker 10>you know, you want to make sure you're in the

0:37:27.560 --> 0:37:30.280
<v Speaker 10>right areas. Everybody's gonna be talking about it and saying

0:37:30.280 --> 0:37:32.480
<v Speaker 10>that they have an advantage with it, but you know

0:37:32.520 --> 0:37:35.200
<v Speaker 10>there's it's going to be few and far between. But

0:37:35.920 --> 0:37:38.640
<v Speaker 10>that that's the biggest difference I think is just looking

0:37:38.680 --> 0:37:42.759
<v Speaker 10>at the fundamentals instead of just momentum and technicals. Uh right,

0:37:43.080 --> 0:37:45.920
<v Speaker 10>and you know, staying away from the higher risk areas.

0:37:46.000 --> 0:37:49.080
<v Speaker 10>Even in video. You know, if it continues to move up,

0:37:49.400 --> 0:37:52.560
<v Speaker 10>you know we'll we'll start lightning positions, especially when when

0:37:52.600 --> 0:37:55.480
<v Speaker 10>it's over concentrated, which it is for some of our accounts.

0:37:55.600 --> 0:38:00.479
<v Speaker 4>Hey Allan, I'm curious about Apple because it's down twelve

0:38:00.480 --> 0:38:03.000
<v Speaker 4>percent so far this year. Our own Mark German out

0:38:03.000 --> 0:38:04.480
<v Speaker 4>with a pretty cool story. I don't know if you've

0:38:04.520 --> 0:38:05.359
<v Speaker 4>had a chance to read it.

0:38:05.440 --> 0:38:07.680
<v Speaker 3>Not so magnificent this year though, No, not no.

0:38:07.719 --> 0:38:10.719
<v Speaker 4>Like I said, down twelve percent, Apple's exploring robots as

0:38:10.760 --> 0:38:14.359
<v Speaker 4>its next big thing after the car fizzles. Where does

0:38:14.400 --> 0:38:16.359
<v Speaker 4>Apple need to go from here for you to get

0:38:16.360 --> 0:38:18.759
<v Speaker 4>to a place where you could start buying and holding again.

0:38:20.360 --> 0:38:24.480
<v Speaker 10>That's a great question. I think another ten percent down

0:38:25.040 --> 0:38:29.120
<v Speaker 10>we'd start looking at it again to buy for accounts

0:38:29.120 --> 0:38:31.480
<v Speaker 10>that don't don't own it. I still think I love

0:38:31.480 --> 0:38:34.840
<v Speaker 10>their you know ecosystem. You know, it's a great company.

0:38:34.880 --> 0:38:37.480
<v Speaker 10>It's just a matter of there's a lot of uncertainty.

0:38:37.520 --> 0:38:40.160
<v Speaker 10>They've got a lot of uh, you know, headwinds with

0:38:40.280 --> 0:38:44.239
<v Speaker 10>China and and different things that they're they're trying to

0:38:44.239 --> 0:38:46.840
<v Speaker 10>square away. It's kind of what we saw, you know,

0:38:46.920 --> 0:38:49.520
<v Speaker 10>with with with Meta, you know when when they had

0:38:49.520 --> 0:38:52.319
<v Speaker 10>their their problems in twenty twenty two. And I think

0:38:52.360 --> 0:38:56.399
<v Speaker 10>Alpha Alphabet and unfortunately Apple will have to go through

0:38:56.440 --> 0:38:59.560
<v Speaker 10>that and the Apple I think the headwinds are even stronger.

0:38:59.120 --> 0:39:01.239
<v Speaker 4>And that I mean to be a year of efficiency

0:39:01.239 --> 0:39:04.440
<v Speaker 4>at Apple Alan where they'd lay off thousands of people

0:39:04.760 --> 0:39:07.400
<v Speaker 4>like Meta did. I mean, that's one way medicare.

0:39:08.120 --> 0:39:10.200
<v Speaker 10>I think Alphabet will be the first to start doing that,

0:39:10.360 --> 0:39:13.239
<v Speaker 10>you know, in a major degree and start cutting back.

0:39:13.280 --> 0:39:16.320
<v Speaker 10>But I think if you continue to see the results

0:39:16.320 --> 0:39:17.839
<v Speaker 10>on Apple, we might even see it there.

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:22.480
<v Speaker 3>But does Apple need to find a new source of revenue?

0:39:22.560 --> 0:39:22.680
<v Speaker 2>Right?

0:39:22.719 --> 0:39:27.440
<v Speaker 3>The iPhone has been you know, such an outstanding product

0:39:27.520 --> 0:39:30.520
<v Speaker 3>for them, right and still the bulk of their revenues.

0:39:30.760 --> 0:39:33.480
<v Speaker 3>But having said that, they scrapped, you know, after almost

0:39:33.520 --> 0:39:36.680
<v Speaker 3>ten years. The car project we're talking about Mark German

0:39:36.760 --> 0:39:39.560
<v Speaker 3>and is exclusive on exploring robots is kind of the

0:39:39.600 --> 0:39:42.919
<v Speaker 3>next big thing. Do they need to in your view,

0:39:42.920 --> 0:39:45.080
<v Speaker 3>they'll find a new source of revenue. I feel like

0:39:45.080 --> 0:39:47.759
<v Speaker 3>we've been talking about this for Apple for a long time,

0:39:47.800 --> 0:39:49.879
<v Speaker 3>and yet the Apple iPhone continues to.

0:39:49.920 --> 0:39:54.759
<v Speaker 10>Deliver exactly exactly, you know, and their service, you know,

0:39:54.960 --> 0:39:57.279
<v Speaker 10>services really picked up, you know, with the apps and

0:39:57.920 --> 0:40:01.600
<v Speaker 10>that you know they have some regulatory you know issues

0:40:01.640 --> 0:40:04.680
<v Speaker 10>and and uh yeah they do that. That's one of

0:40:04.680 --> 0:40:07.880
<v Speaker 10>the reasons we were you know, negative more negative on

0:40:08.080 --> 0:40:11.680
<v Speaker 10>Apple and and Tesla, just because of the uncertainty. And

0:40:12.280 --> 0:40:15.280
<v Speaker 10>you know, we can see the revenue sources with Matta,

0:40:15.400 --> 0:40:19.400
<v Speaker 10>we can see it with Amazon and obviously in the

0:40:19.440 --> 0:40:23.080
<v Speaker 10>video has come through with Flying Colors, But with Apple

0:40:23.160 --> 0:40:26.440
<v Speaker 10>and Tesla, I think it's difficult. They definitely need but

0:40:26.760 --> 0:40:29.120
<v Speaker 10>you know it's unclear right now. And that's why you know,

0:40:29.160 --> 0:40:32.399
<v Speaker 10>we wouldn't chase it, you know, from a standpoint of

0:40:32.440 --> 0:40:34.880
<v Speaker 10>buying it, just because it's down from one ninety to

0:40:34.960 --> 0:40:37.600
<v Speaker 10>you know, one sixty nine. I think you know, in

0:40:37.640 --> 0:40:40.000
<v Speaker 10>the one forties, we'd start revisiting it. And if it

0:40:40.040 --> 0:40:42.480
<v Speaker 10>looked like they're starting to do the right things, you know,

0:40:42.560 --> 0:40:45.799
<v Speaker 10>like I think Alphabet is. Then you know it would

0:40:45.840 --> 0:40:47.760
<v Speaker 10>be time to start accumulating in the weakness.

0:40:47.880 --> 0:40:49.480
<v Speaker 3>All right, Good to leave it there, Hey, listen, Thank

0:40:49.480 --> 0:40:51.320
<v Speaker 3>you so much. Apple shares by the way, folks, just

0:40:51.400 --> 0:40:54.760
<v Speaker 3>up about eight tens of a percent here in today's session.

0:40:54.800 --> 0:40:57.080
<v Speaker 3>And a quick check on what Alphabet is up to.

0:40:57.600 --> 0:40:59.480
<v Speaker 3>Alphabet is up just about two tens of a percent,

0:40:59.520 --> 0:41:02.200
<v Speaker 3>So little change there, Alan, thank you so much, really

0:41:02.200 --> 0:41:04.840
<v Speaker 3>appreciate it. Alan Lance, director of Research at Lance Global

0:41:04.880 --> 0:41:08.080
<v Speaker 3>dot com, President of Alan B. Lance and Associates, Joining

0:41:08.160 --> 0:41:09.920
<v Speaker 3>us once again from Toledo, Ohio.

0:41:10.560 --> 0:41:15.200
<v Speaker 2>This is the Bloomberg Business Week podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

0:41:15.320 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 2>and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Listen live weekday

0:41:19.080 --> 0:41:22.680
<v Speaker 2>afternoons from two to five pm Eastern on Bloomberg dot com,

0:41:22.719 --> 0:41:26.040
<v Speaker 2>the iHeartRadio app, tune In, and the Bloomberg Business App.

0:41:26.120 --> 0:41:29.160
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0:41:29.280 --> 0:41:31.520
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