1 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:06,880 Speaker 1: On this episode of Newtsworld, I'm joined by members of 2 00:00:06,920 --> 00:00:11,080 Speaker 1: my Inner Circle Club for a fascinating conversation about a 3 00:00:11,160 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: wide range of issues and topics on their minds. We 4 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: hold these regular video conference calls so that we can 5 00:00:17,720 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: have an honest discussion about what is happening in America today. 6 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:25,680 Speaker 1: I find it extraordinarily helpful to me personally and helping 7 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,240 Speaker 1: think through the issues that are facing us. So I 8 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 1: hope you'll find this episode of Newts World informative, and 9 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:33,760 Speaker 1: if you'd like to become a member of my Inner 10 00:00:33,760 --> 00:00:37,200 Speaker 1: Circle Club, please go to Newts Inner Circle dot com 11 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:39,639 Speaker 1: and sign up for a one or two year membership. 12 00:00:39,720 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 1: Today this has been, as all of you know, an 13 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 1: extraordinary period. We had the State of the Union, which 14 00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 1: is usually a big deal in Washington, but was completely 15 00:00:56,240 --> 00:01:00,200 Speaker 1: overshadowed this year by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. So 16 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:03,640 Speaker 1: we have the challenge of a war going on between 17 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:07,960 Speaker 1: Europe's largest country, Russia, and second largest country, Ukraine. Ukraine 18 00:01:08,400 --> 00:01:11,720 Speaker 1: is almost the size of Texas, twice the size of California, 19 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: so it's a pretty big country, twenty five twenty six 20 00:01:14,080 --> 00:01:18,200 Speaker 1: million people. That war is still underway, and you can't 21 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:22,160 Speaker 1: quite tell right now whether Putin is looking to negotiate 22 00:01:22,319 --> 00:01:25,039 Speaker 1: to a solution or whether he wants to actually conquer 23 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,600 Speaker 1: the whole country, which if you think about the size 24 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,280 Speaker 1: of Texas, would be a big project, and I don't 25 00:01:30,319 --> 00:01:33,319 Speaker 1: know that the Russians are prepared for that scale of 26 00:01:33,319 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 1: a project. I think he's probably been shaken a little 27 00:01:36,840 --> 00:01:40,520 Speaker 1: bit by the depth of the world reaction, the fact 28 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 1: that only four other countries voted with Russia in the 29 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,160 Speaker 1: UN General Assembly. I think there were like one hundred 30 00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,840 Speaker 1: and forty four countries that voted to condemn what Russia 31 00:01:49,840 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 1: had done and called on Russia to withdraw, So there's 32 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: a solidification underway. He has succeeded in ending the German 33 00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: effort to avoid military defense, and the new chancellor has 34 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: indicated a dramatic reversal from what Chancellor Merkel's policies had been, 35 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 1: and the Germans are now going to build up their military. 36 00:02:11,560 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: A number of the NATO countries are sending arms and 37 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:18,400 Speaker 1: equipment to Ukraine. Their number of volunteers starting to show up, 38 00:02:18,639 --> 00:02:21,920 Speaker 1: so this could end up being a really long drawn out, 39 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:25,080 Speaker 1: bloody fight. It's not clear to me at all that 40 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 1: the Russians are going to be able to clean up 41 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:31,160 Speaker 1: and push over the Ukrainians if the Ukrainians are willing 42 00:02:31,480 --> 00:02:34,359 Speaker 1: to fight, and if outside forces are willing to give 43 00:02:34,400 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 1: them weapons and take care of them. One of the 44 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,520 Speaker 1: dangers which I'll be writing about the near future, is 45 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:42,960 Speaker 1: that you do have with Putin somebody who could end 46 00:02:43,040 --> 00:02:45,240 Speaker 1: up using nuclear weapons, and I think it can be 47 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:48,560 Speaker 1: very serious. Russia is a country with about six thousand 48 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:53,120 Speaker 1: nuclear weapons. Their doctrine involves the use of nuclear weapons. 49 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: They have a policy they call escalate to de escalate, 50 00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 1: which would have them to do something pretty outrageous and 51 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: then back off and agreed to negotiate. So he just 52 00:03:03,400 --> 00:03:06,840 Speaker 1: can't tell you. I'm sure that Putin has been very 53 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: disappointed in the performance of his military, which turned out 54 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:14,600 Speaker 1: to be dramatically weaker than they thought it would be, 55 00:03:15,080 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 1: the state of the Union itself, in addition to being 56 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:22,919 Speaker 1: overshadowed by what happened in Ukraine. It was frankly just 57 00:03:22,960 --> 00:03:26,919 Speaker 1: a very confusing, clumsy speech. The opening part had clearly 58 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 1: been added to it, that's the part about Ukraine, and 59 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:32,640 Speaker 1: there Biden missed one of the great opportunities that he 60 00:03:32,680 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 1: had to turn things around. I'll come back to that. 61 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:37,760 Speaker 1: Then there was a whole section that was sort of 62 00:03:37,800 --> 00:03:41,280 Speaker 1: like the Democratic twenty twenty campaign, the list of the 63 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: things he wanted to say so the Democrats would be happy. 64 00:03:44,640 --> 00:03:47,240 Speaker 1: And then there was a section of things that they 65 00:03:47,280 --> 00:03:51,120 Speaker 1: knew from polling that he should say to reassure moderates. 66 00:03:51,480 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 1: So he said, we're now for funding the police, which 67 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:56,920 Speaker 1: of course the left wing of his party promptly repudiated. 68 00:03:57,320 --> 00:04:00,280 Speaker 1: He said, we have to control the border, which after 69 00:04:00,320 --> 00:04:03,440 Speaker 1: two and a half million people crossed the border illegally 70 00:04:03,840 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: during the first year of the Biden presidency, I suspect 71 00:04:07,040 --> 00:04:09,760 Speaker 1: almost nobody believed him when he said it. He said 72 00:04:09,760 --> 00:04:12,360 Speaker 1: they were somehow going to deal with inflation, and then 73 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:16,000 Speaker 1: the things he talked about were nonsense. He mentioned that 74 00:04:16,040 --> 00:04:20,279 Speaker 1: there are four major meat packing companies, as though somehow 75 00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:23,640 Speaker 1: they're there. Call ups. It's not the meat packing companies 76 00:04:23,920 --> 00:04:26,719 Speaker 1: that are driving up the cost of meat. It's inflation. 77 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:30,080 Speaker 1: It's spending too much money in Washington, having the Federal 78 00:04:30,120 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: Reserve print too much money, and all of that is 79 00:04:32,680 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 1: coming back to roost. That's going to be compounded by 80 00:04:35,839 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 1: the war. Because Ukraine is a very major supplier of 81 00:04:40,120 --> 00:04:42,680 Speaker 1: wheat in the world. Market, and there's going to be 82 00:04:42,680 --> 00:04:45,640 Speaker 1: a very substantial shortage of wheat, and that's going to 83 00:04:45,720 --> 00:04:49,680 Speaker 1: lead wheat prices to skyrocket very parallel to the oil prices. 84 00:04:50,120 --> 00:04:55,240 Speaker 1: Biden had a real opportunity to come out and indicate 85 00:04:55,960 --> 00:04:59,360 Speaker 1: that things have changed, and that therefore he was going 86 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,920 Speaker 1: to open up American oil and gas production, open up 87 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: the shipment of American natural gas to Europe, do all 88 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:08,920 Speaker 1: sorts of things basically what we had done years ago 89 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 1: as drove baby drove, and the idea that you drove here, 90 00:05:12,200 --> 00:05:14,960 Speaker 1: droll now pay less, and that you could get gaslene 91 00:05:14,960 --> 00:05:17,600 Speaker 1: back down to two fifty a gallon. It's, by the way, 92 00:05:17,640 --> 00:05:20,240 Speaker 1: now in some parts of California getting to be an 93 00:05:20,240 --> 00:05:24,120 Speaker 1: average of over five dollars a gallon. By contrast, instead 94 00:05:24,120 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 1: of what he said was weird on three levels. One 95 00:05:27,040 --> 00:05:28,680 Speaker 1: is he said, we're going to really take care of 96 00:05:29,040 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 1: all this energy problem by investing in more green energy. 97 00:05:32,760 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: There's no evidence that wind and solar, which is primarily 98 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:40,240 Speaker 1: what they mean, can possibly fill the gap. Then he said, 99 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 1: you know you could save money if you bought an 100 00:05:41,839 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: electric car. Well, if you think about it, you're an 101 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:48,760 Speaker 1: average person, you're working at a job. Let's say, you're 102 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:51,440 Speaker 1: a flight attendant, or you're a bank teller, or you're 103 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:54,360 Speaker 1: a waiter or a waitress. You're driving a used car. 104 00:05:54,880 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 1: The price of gas line is killing you. And Joe 105 00:05:57,560 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 1: Biden's idea is you should go out and buy an 106 00:06:00,000 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 1: electric car. Now, how many Americans are gonna be able 107 00:06:02,920 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 1: to afford that? And then he said, oh, you'll save 108 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:07,880 Speaker 1: up to eighty dollars a month at the gas bompent. 109 00:06:08,040 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: How much are you going to spend them more electricity? 110 00:06:10,520 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 1: So this whole thing is just, you know, it's a 111 00:06:12,640 --> 00:06:17,239 Speaker 1: kind of shallow kindergarten level repeating on mantra that won't 112 00:06:17,240 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: work very well. Finally, his answer to the price of 113 00:06:20,960 --> 00:06:25,080 Speaker 1: oil and the shortage of oil was to announce that 114 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: he was going to take thirty million barrels out of 115 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:32,599 Speaker 1: the American energy reserve worldwide, other countries are joining in. 116 00:06:32,640 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: They're going to put it in another thirty million. Now 117 00:06:34,520 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 1: to show you how trivial this is, thirty million barrels 118 00:06:39,680 --> 00:06:42,760 Speaker 1: of oil, which sounds like a lot, is one and 119 00:06:42,800 --> 00:06:47,480 Speaker 1: a half days of American consumption. That is thirty six hours. Now, 120 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:51,920 Speaker 1: sophisticated traders in the world market know that thirty million 121 00:06:52,000 --> 00:06:56,320 Speaker 1: barrels is a big political number and a tiny oil number. 122 00:06:56,839 --> 00:07:00,679 Speaker 1: And therefore, as he announced it, the ice of oil 123 00:07:00,720 --> 00:07:02,960 Speaker 1: went up. In fact, I think it's gone up seventeen 124 00:07:03,000 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 1: dollars of barrel since he announced it. Now, why did 125 00:07:05,600 --> 00:07:08,880 Speaker 1: it go up? Because they were expecting him to go 126 00:07:08,920 --> 00:07:13,080 Speaker 1: back to the Donald Trump policy of maximizing American production, 127 00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:17,120 Speaker 1: getting us to be energy independent, making it possible for 128 00:07:17,200 --> 00:07:21,160 Speaker 1: us to ship a liquefied natural gas to Europe. When 129 00:07:21,200 --> 00:07:25,360 Speaker 1: they saw that because of his left wing environmental fanatics, 130 00:07:25,720 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 1: that he was in fact not going to do anything 131 00:07:28,920 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 1: that made sense, but instead was going to simply put 132 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:35,200 Speaker 1: a band aid over a huge problem, they promptly sold 133 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:40,480 Speaker 1: the future oil at a higher price, and so Biden, ironically, 134 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: by having such a weak solution, ended up increasing the 135 00:07:44,600 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 1: cost of oil. And you add that to the other 136 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 1: things that are happening with inflation, and I think the 137 00:07:52,760 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: Democrats has fought a huge problem because I think the 138 00:07:55,800 --> 00:07:58,560 Speaker 1: economy is going to be just an enormous drag. And 139 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:02,520 Speaker 1: as you know, we still have a huge problem with 140 00:08:02,520 --> 00:08:06,280 Speaker 1: our logistics supply lines. We still have ships sitting off 141 00:08:06,320 --> 00:08:09,440 Speaker 1: of Los Angeles and Long Beach, California. When you raise 142 00:08:09,560 --> 00:08:12,400 Speaker 1: the price of gasoline and diesel fuel. This as a 143 00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:14,640 Speaker 1: kind of that delivers an amazing amount of its products 144 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,000 Speaker 1: by truck. Well, the trucks are now going to be 145 00:08:17,040 --> 00:08:19,440 Speaker 1: more expensive. That's going to be passed on in terms 146 00:08:19,480 --> 00:08:22,480 Speaker 1: of even more price increases. So I think that for 147 00:08:22,560 --> 00:08:26,040 Speaker 1: the near future, the Democrats are in for a huge problem, 148 00:08:26,080 --> 00:08:28,840 Speaker 1: and I think that they are likely to have devastating 149 00:08:28,920 --> 00:08:32,640 Speaker 1: losses this November. So that was a sweeping overview. I 150 00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:36,080 Speaker 1: admit I covered a lot of ground very quickly, but 151 00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,040 Speaker 1: I wanted to give you a flavor of what I 152 00:08:38,080 --> 00:08:40,840 Speaker 1: think is going on, and I thought Claire probably would 153 00:08:40,880 --> 00:08:44,200 Speaker 1: be good to take some questions and allow the folks 154 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 1: who are the members the Inner Circle to kind of 155 00:08:46,920 --> 00:09:03,680 Speaker 1: direct where we ought to go. The first question KNW 156 00:09:03,840 --> 00:09:08,040 Speaker 1: comes from Mark. Can the US Congress pass legislation to 157 00:09:08,200 --> 00:09:13,400 Speaker 1: override Biden's ban on US energy production? The Congress certainly 158 00:09:13,400 --> 00:09:16,679 Speaker 1: could pass legislation to override it. They'd have to pass 159 00:09:16,760 --> 00:09:19,600 Speaker 1: the legislation. He would then veto it. Then they'd have 160 00:09:19,640 --> 00:09:23,280 Speaker 1: to override his veto. That takes two thirds plus one 161 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,600 Speaker 1: in both the House and Senate, so it's a tough challenge. 162 00:09:27,000 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 1: They could be done if it gets bad enough, it 163 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:32,599 Speaker 1: probably will be done. But they're willing to lean on 164 00:09:32,600 --> 00:09:35,280 Speaker 1: the Russians. Man, it's really bizarre. At the very time 165 00:09:35,280 --> 00:09:38,559 Speaker 1: we're talking about isolating the Russians and sanctioning the Russians, 166 00:09:38,600 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 1: not only are we buying Russian oil, and Putin makes 167 00:09:42,200 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 1: now well over a billion dollars a day, not a million, 168 00:09:46,720 --> 00:09:49,560 Speaker 1: a billion dollars a day out of the price of 169 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:53,280 Speaker 1: oil and natural gas, which means all these other efforts 170 00:09:53,320 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 1: to sanction his economy maybe hurting somebody, but they're not 171 00:09:57,360 --> 00:09:59,439 Speaker 1: really in the long one, hurting the oligarchs for the 172 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:03,640 Speaker 1: Russian gu So in effect, the Biden policy on energy 173 00:10:04,240 --> 00:10:08,160 Speaker 1: is subsidizing the Russians by raising the price of oil 174 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 1: worldwide and the price of natural gas, and so that 175 00:10:11,800 --> 00:10:15,719 Speaker 1: then funds the war in Ukraine and funds the Russian military. 176 00:10:16,120 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 1: And that's a very real problem that we're faced with 177 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,560 Speaker 1: right now, and it makes me really wonder why we 178 00:10:22,600 --> 00:10:26,440 Speaker 1: don't have some kind of change in the administration policy 179 00:10:26,800 --> 00:10:30,360 Speaker 1: towards a pro American oil and gas policy. But that 180 00:10:30,480 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 1: is where we are, and it's a very real problem. 181 00:10:33,080 --> 00:10:36,440 Speaker 1: Our next question, knew comes from Richard, how can we 182 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 1: force Biden to provide air support to Ukraine. Well, let 183 00:10:40,600 --> 00:10:44,040 Speaker 1: me just say Richard that I would be very cautious 184 00:10:44,960 --> 00:10:50,600 Speaker 1: about providing direct air support. I'm very enthusiastic about providing aircraft, 185 00:10:51,440 --> 00:10:56,040 Speaker 1: providing anti tank missiles, anti helicopter missiles, providing a variety 186 00:10:56,040 --> 00:10:59,560 Speaker 1: of things for the Ukrainians to use. But I don't 187 00:10:59,559 --> 00:11:03,280 Speaker 1: want to see American warplanes in the same space as 188 00:11:03,360 --> 00:11:07,320 Speaker 1: Russian warplanes and have US shoot down some Russian warplanes, 189 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,400 Speaker 1: and then that could spiral out of control, that could 190 00:11:10,520 --> 00:11:14,240 Speaker 1: lead to a nuclear war. The Russian foreign minister said, 191 00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:17,360 Speaker 1: I think yesterday that the next World war would be 192 00:11:17,360 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 1: a nuclear war. The Russians are very clear about this. 193 00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:23,160 Speaker 1: They have six thousand nuclear weapons, about the same as 194 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,920 Speaker 1: we do. Some of them are missile, some of them submarines, 195 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:28,640 Speaker 1: some of them in an aircraft, some of them land based. 196 00:11:29,160 --> 00:11:33,560 Speaker 1: Just before the war started, Putin engaged in a exercise 197 00:11:34,080 --> 00:11:38,840 Speaker 1: where they had seven different kinds of nuclear delivery systems 198 00:11:38,880 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 1: being tested. So they're trying to send signals that they 199 00:11:44,400 --> 00:11:46,960 Speaker 1: do have the weapons, they have a doctrine which would 200 00:11:47,040 --> 00:11:49,720 Speaker 1: let them use the weapons, and that if they were 201 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 1: to start getting into a shooting fight with the Americans, 202 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:55,720 Speaker 1: they know that they can't contest with US head to head, 203 00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:58,680 Speaker 1: and therefore they have to change the game, and that's 204 00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,600 Speaker 1: part of the way they would use new the weapons, 205 00:12:00,960 --> 00:12:03,520 Speaker 1: and so I think we want to be really careful. 206 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:08,000 Speaker 1: I'm totally for helping Ukrainians. I am really against American 207 00:12:08,040 --> 00:12:11,160 Speaker 1: forces colliding with Russian forces because I think it could 208 00:12:11,160 --> 00:12:14,920 Speaker 1: spiral out of control very quickly. Thank you newt Our. 209 00:12:14,960 --> 00:12:19,280 Speaker 1: Next question comes from an anonymous Inner Circle member. They 210 00:12:19,320 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 1: ask can Putin be accused of any war crimes for 211 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,559 Speaker 1: his actions in Ukraine. As a practical matter, it's very 212 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:31,360 Speaker 1: hard to be effective with that kind of accusation because 213 00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,280 Speaker 1: the only people who really have been held accountable have 214 00:12:34,400 --> 00:12:37,680 Speaker 1: lost wars, so he'd have to lose the war and 215 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:41,000 Speaker 1: not be in power. But I think as a factual matter, 216 00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:45,480 Speaker 1: there's no question that the Russian policy right now targets 217 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,520 Speaker 1: women and children and non combatants in a way which 218 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:51,719 Speaker 1: is generally considered to be an international war run. So 219 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:54,800 Speaker 1: in that sense, he is engaged. But look, he's been 220 00:12:54,840 --> 00:12:59,000 Speaker 1: a war criminal for years. He poisoned an anti Putin 221 00:12:59,120 --> 00:13:03,400 Speaker 1: Russian in law with a radioactive material that was produced 222 00:13:03,440 --> 00:13:06,840 Speaker 1: only in Russia, so there's no question what happened. They'd 223 00:13:06,920 --> 00:13:09,600 Speaker 1: recently tried to poison another guy and actually got his 224 00:13:09,679 --> 00:13:12,360 Speaker 1: daughter with part of the poison. They both survived it. 225 00:13:12,480 --> 00:13:16,200 Speaker 1: They was also in London. He's locked up his major 226 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: political opponent now for the last two years and tried 227 00:13:18,679 --> 00:13:21,960 Speaker 1: to poison him, and that guy has come out against 228 00:13:21,960 --> 00:13:25,040 Speaker 1: the war and really talked about the need to change 229 00:13:25,080 --> 00:13:28,560 Speaker 1: the regime. There's no question that Putin has engaged in behavior. 230 00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 1: If you look at what they did in Chechnia, the 231 00:13:30,800 --> 00:13:34,840 Speaker 1: way they bombarded and destroyed the capital of Chechnia. No 232 00:13:35,080 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: question that they targeted civilians, and they targeted women and children. 233 00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 1: And that was back in the nineteen nineties. So I 234 00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:45,360 Speaker 1: don't think Putin's very weird about it being tried as 235 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,640 Speaker 1: a war criminal. I think what he cares about his 236 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 1: raw power, and from his standpoint, he got crimea. We 237 00:13:51,679 --> 00:13:54,840 Speaker 1: did nothing if he could pull this off, and we 238 00:13:54,880 --> 00:13:57,760 Speaker 1: would eventually forget it. And this is a period remember 239 00:13:57,800 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 1: where we say that we are trying to Russia, but 240 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:05,360 Speaker 1: we apparently have the Russian ambassador in Vienna leading the 241 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:09,199 Speaker 1: talks with Iran about letting the Iranians get nuclear weapons. 242 00:14:09,960 --> 00:14:13,560 Speaker 1: Now this is just crazy. But the Biden administration, which 243 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: doesn't seem to have a lique of sense, literally is 244 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 1: following the lead of the Russian ambassador in Vienna, while 245 00:14:21,320 --> 00:14:22,960 Speaker 1: we're claiming that we don't want to deal with the 246 00:14:23,000 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 1: Russian government because it's waging war. I mean, you can't 247 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:29,040 Speaker 1: make this stuff up. If you're the Russians and you 248 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:32,200 Speaker 1: watch the Americans calling you to sell them oil, and 249 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,960 Speaker 1: then you watch the Americans calling you to provide leadership 250 00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 1: and negotiating with Iran, you know, you just shrug off 251 00:14:39,240 --> 00:14:41,520 Speaker 1: everything we say about Ukraine and say, oh, I'll get 252 00:14:41,560 --> 00:14:44,680 Speaker 1: over it. And I think Biden makes it harder to 253 00:14:44,720 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 1: put pressure on Russia when he does things like that. 254 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 1: The next question comes from Robert. If we take back 255 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 1: the House and Senate in November, what can be done 256 00:14:55,400 --> 00:15:00,240 Speaker 1: to reverse the cancelation of the Keystone Axel pipeline. Well, 257 00:15:00,280 --> 00:15:02,280 Speaker 1: I think you certainly would have a huge fight in 258 00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 1: the Congress, and I think he would see the Republicans 259 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:07,400 Speaker 1: moving bills to reopen the pipeline and to do a 260 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:11,040 Speaker 1: series of other things. Presumably Biden would try to veto them. 261 00:15:11,360 --> 00:15:13,400 Speaker 1: Whether or not you could get a veto proof majority, 262 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:15,840 Speaker 1: I don't know yet. If the Democrats are beaten as 263 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 1: badly as I think they will be. You'll have the 264 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:22,480 Speaker 1: largest House Republican majority since nineteen twenty, and you'll have 265 00:15:22,520 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 1: a pretty substantial Republican majority in the Senate. But that's 266 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:29,280 Speaker 1: not clear to me yet that it would be big enough. 267 00:15:29,320 --> 00:15:31,640 Speaker 1: I mean, it will certainly be big enough to pass 268 00:15:31,680 --> 00:15:33,840 Speaker 1: a lot of things, it may not be big enough 269 00:15:33,840 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 1: to override Vetos. Thanks new Our next question comes from Miranda. 270 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: How do you think President Biden's nominee to replace Justice 271 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 1: Stephen Breyer on the Supreme Court will impact the composition 272 00:15:46,680 --> 00:15:50,360 Speaker 1: of the Court and future decisions it makes well. First 273 00:15:50,400 --> 00:15:54,480 Speaker 1: of all, I think she isn't a very distinguished jurist. 274 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 1: She has been endorsed by a number of Republican judges 275 00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:02,760 Speaker 1: former judges who know her and who've worked with her. 276 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:05,600 Speaker 1: You're going to get a liberal in the Court because 277 00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:08,800 Speaker 1: the country elected a liberal to the White House, just 278 00:16:08,960 --> 00:16:11,840 Speaker 1: as when Trump won, we were going to get conservatives 279 00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:13,800 Speaker 1: on the Court, which we did. We got three. I'm 280 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:16,280 Speaker 1: going to change the balance of power of the Court decisively. 281 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 1: The Court on a good day is six to three. 282 00:16:18,680 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 1: On a bad day, it's five to four. But that's 283 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,560 Speaker 1: conservative in a way. It has not been I would 284 00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:27,120 Speaker 1: say since before World War Two. She seems to be 285 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:29,640 Speaker 1: a real professional. Again, they have to do due diligence, 286 00:16:29,640 --> 00:16:31,760 Speaker 1: they have to go through her background. It is a 287 00:16:31,800 --> 00:16:35,000 Speaker 1: lifetime appointment, and the Senate has every reason to be 288 00:16:35,040 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: cautious and get everything out and open. But my guess 289 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:40,920 Speaker 1: is that she will be accepted, and my guess is 290 00:16:40,960 --> 00:16:42,760 Speaker 1: that she won't have any impact in the short run 291 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:45,600 Speaker 1: on the balance of the Court, and may, in fact, 292 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:49,600 Speaker 1: on a number of issues vote more conservatively than the 293 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:52,880 Speaker 1: left expects, because she does seem to be a serious 294 00:16:52,960 --> 00:16:55,480 Speaker 1: jurist and to take seriously the rule of law. So 295 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,800 Speaker 1: we'll see. I think he could have nominated somebody dramatically 296 00:16:58,840 --> 00:17:02,720 Speaker 1: more radical and did not, And I think that from 297 00:17:02,720 --> 00:17:06,000 Speaker 1: everything I've seen so far, she is a legitimate, serious 298 00:17:06,080 --> 00:17:10,080 Speaker 1: nominee who will not by herself change the balance of 299 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:13,560 Speaker 1: power in the Court. The next question comes from David. 300 00:17:14,080 --> 00:17:18,320 Speaker 1: Will the UN do anything else to stop putin? I 301 00:17:18,359 --> 00:17:20,199 Speaker 1: don't know what the in our nations will remember that 302 00:17:20,240 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 1: the General Assembly votes are moral votes, but they're not binding. 303 00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:28,680 Speaker 1: The Security Council in theories binding, but Russia has a 304 00:17:28,800 --> 00:17:31,200 Speaker 1: veto in the Security Council and In fact, I think 305 00:17:31,240 --> 00:17:34,520 Speaker 1: at the present time Russia is chairing the Security Council. 306 00:17:34,760 --> 00:17:38,600 Speaker 1: The chair rotates every month, so it's a very ironic thing. 307 00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:42,560 Speaker 1: In nineteen fifty, when North Korea invaded South Korea, the 308 00:17:42,760 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: Russians were boycotting the Security Council and so they weren't 309 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:50,120 Speaker 1: there to veto the resolution that sent the American forces 310 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: and Allied forces into Korea to defeat the North Korean army. 311 00:17:53,960 --> 00:17:56,199 Speaker 1: Had they been there, they could have vetoed the resolution, 312 00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,040 Speaker 1: and that would oppose the higher standard for Harry Truman 313 00:17:59,080 --> 00:18:02,760 Speaker 1: as president to decide because he was able. With the 314 00:18:02,840 --> 00:18:06,840 Speaker 1: Russians gone, they were able to pass a resolution demanding 315 00:18:06,840 --> 00:18:11,040 Speaker 1: that the North Korea withdraw or the United Nations forces 316 00:18:11,760 --> 00:18:13,840 Speaker 1: go in and kick them out, and that would not 317 00:18:13,920 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 1: have happened I had the Russians been there. Well, the 318 00:18:16,359 --> 00:18:17,919 Speaker 1: Russians are there now. They're not going to make this 319 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:21,359 Speaker 1: mistake twice and so you're not going to get a 320 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:25,959 Speaker 1: serious Security Council vote because the Russians will veto it. 321 00:18:26,359 --> 00:18:29,760 Speaker 1: You can get public relations votes in the General Assembly, 322 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:31,440 Speaker 1: which is good. I mean, I think when you see 323 00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:34,600 Speaker 1: one hundred and forty some countries vote to condemn Russia. 324 00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:38,240 Speaker 1: That's a good thing given what they're doing, and it's 325 00:18:38,280 --> 00:18:41,480 Speaker 1: the highest vote in recent times on a controversial issue, 326 00:18:41,560 --> 00:18:45,680 Speaker 1: So it was a sign that frankly, I was surprised 327 00:18:46,200 --> 00:18:49,200 Speaker 1: that you had that kind of commitment on the part 328 00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: of people who just voluntarily figured out what's going on 329 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:57,840 Speaker 1: and support it. The next question comes from Winston, is 330 00:18:57,880 --> 00:19:00,679 Speaker 1: there a reason to be optimistic it comes to the 331 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:05,680 Speaker 1: Russia Ukraine invasion? Well, tell me what optimism is. I mean, 332 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:09,400 Speaker 1: you're seeing cities bombed, you're seeing children killed, You're seeing 333 00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,080 Speaker 1: a country torn apart. But that's not going to stop 334 00:19:12,080 --> 00:19:14,760 Speaker 1: in the near future. The best future would be a 335 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,639 Speaker 1: Russian withdrawal, which would then leave behind a lot of 336 00:19:17,680 --> 00:19:20,680 Speaker 1: graves and a lot of destroyed buildings and a lot 337 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 1: of blown up infrastructure. The worst outcome maybe the Russians 338 00:19:24,760 --> 00:19:29,280 Speaker 1: going nuclear, picking one or two Ukrainian sites, taking them 339 00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:34,000 Speaker 1: out with tactical nuclear weapon. Can I imagine that Putin 340 00:19:34,040 --> 00:19:37,480 Speaker 1: has figured out this is more expensive and more destructive 341 00:19:37,520 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 1: than he thought, and he wants to get out and 342 00:19:39,480 --> 00:19:43,520 Speaker 1: is looking for a negotiated settlement. Yes, do I think 343 00:19:43,600 --> 00:19:46,639 Speaker 1: that he's going to get out for free? No, he 344 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:50,600 Speaker 1: can't go home and say that they fail. So he's 345 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,960 Speaker 1: got to find some excuse. What is it he can 346 00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:55,320 Speaker 1: claim him as a victory, even if it's only a 347 00:19:55,359 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 1: fig leaf that covers up what really happened. He's got 348 00:19:58,359 --> 00:20:01,080 Speaker 1: to have something that allows him claim that it's a victory. 349 00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:03,880 Speaker 1: And on our side, we frankly want to stop him 350 00:20:03,920 --> 00:20:06,280 Speaker 1: and make sure that people learn. We want Jijian Pink, 351 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,840 Speaker 1: for example, to never take Taiwan because he doesn't want 352 00:20:09,840 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 1: to get caught up in the kind of destructiveness which 353 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:16,680 Speaker 1: I think. You know, if Jijian Pink sees us being 354 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:20,320 Speaker 1: weak enough, he'll be tempted to take Taiwan. If he 355 00:20:20,359 --> 00:20:23,520 Speaker 1: sees us being strong enough, it will really push him 356 00:20:23,560 --> 00:20:26,080 Speaker 1: back and make him think a lot longer about taking Taiwan. 357 00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,520 Speaker 1: So this is a series of big decisions in my judgment. 358 00:20:43,920 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 1: Our next question comes from Andrew. Do you foresee the 359 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:52,880 Speaker 1: United States government enacting more severe sanctions on Russia, specifically 360 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,000 Speaker 1: in the energy sector. Well, this is the great crisis 361 00:20:56,119 --> 00:21:00,080 Speaker 1: for Biden. He can't just take on the Russian energy 362 00:21:00,080 --> 00:21:04,359 Speaker 1: sector because as long as he has this fanatic green 363 00:21:04,400 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 1: approach at home of stopping American oil, stopping American gas, 364 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,600 Speaker 1: the prices would go through the roof. You'd be paying 365 00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,920 Speaker 1: ten to twelve to fourteen dollars a gallon for gasoly. Well, 366 00:21:14,960 --> 00:21:17,840 Speaker 1: he knows he cannot go into the election this fall 367 00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:21,520 Speaker 1: having brought you twelve dollars a gallon gasoly. There'd be 368 00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:24,360 Speaker 1: very few Democrats left in the House or Senate if 369 00:21:24,359 --> 00:21:27,960 Speaker 1: that's what happened. So, on the one hand, they're trapped 370 00:21:27,960 --> 00:21:32,120 Speaker 1: by the need to have lower priced energy. Their left 371 00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:36,719 Speaker 1: will not allow them to have Americans produce it, so 372 00:21:36,920 --> 00:21:40,680 Speaker 1: they've got to have the Russians produce it. And that's 373 00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 1: why his failure the other night in the State of 374 00:21:43,119 --> 00:21:45,840 Speaker 1: the Union to announce that he was dropping all of 375 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: his regulatory prohibitions against liquefied natural gas ports, and he 376 00:21:50,600 --> 00:21:54,280 Speaker 1: was dropping all of his prohibitions about producing oil and 377 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,400 Speaker 1: gas in the United States. The failure to do that 378 00:21:58,160 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 1: made the entire speech of failure in my job, because 379 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:04,879 Speaker 1: that was the one decisive change they could have both 380 00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 1: protected the American consumer with lower prices and drained the 381 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:14,199 Speaker 1: Russian treasury and allowed us to then take very significant 382 00:22:14,200 --> 00:22:16,679 Speaker 1: steps to cut off Russia so it never again has 383 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,920 Speaker 1: an energy weapon be used. Marian rights in given their 384 00:22:21,040 --> 00:22:26,360 Speaker 1: unconstitutional and Unamerican behavior. Can Biden and Harris be impeached 385 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,120 Speaker 1: by a Republican Congress in twenty twenty three? I thought 386 00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:33,439 Speaker 1: what the Democrats did to Trump was terrible. I think 387 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:37,159 Speaker 1: using impeachment as a political tool was wrong. I was 388 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:40,560 Speaker 1: involved in impeaching Bill Clinton, but that occurred because Bill 389 00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,680 Speaker 1: Clinton had lied under oath, committed perjury, which is a felony, 390 00:22:45,080 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 1: and as a Yale trained lawyer he knew it, and 391 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 1: it was in a sexual harassment case. I just thought 392 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 1: you had to hold president's accountable for when they break 393 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,639 Speaker 1: the law like that. But I think the two impeachments 394 00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:00,520 Speaker 1: of Trump were both political. Neither one of them had 395 00:23:00,560 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 1: any substantive merit to it. In fact, what we're learning 396 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:08,000 Speaker 1: from the US Attorney's constant delving into it is that 397 00:23:08,040 --> 00:23:11,400 Speaker 1: the entire Russian hoax may have been a deliberate pain 398 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:15,640 Speaker 1: for political lie, with the Clinton campaign funding it and 399 00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,480 Speaker 1: with help from the CIA and the FBI, in a 400 00:23:18,560 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 1: way that is just extraordinary and destructive of America. But 401 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,720 Speaker 1: I think that the correct answer to Biden and to 402 00:23:26,880 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 1: Harris is to defeat them in two twenty four, not 403 00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:34,480 Speaker 1: to get involved in trying to impeach them. At the 404 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,320 Speaker 1: present time, I don't think you get the votes to impeach. 405 00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: I think unless there's a clear, overwhelming, compelling case, I 406 00:23:41,920 --> 00:23:44,919 Speaker 1: think that it's important for us to keep our powder 407 00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:49,560 Speaker 1: dry and to continue to work on substance and on policy, 408 00:23:49,880 --> 00:23:53,000 Speaker 1: but not to try to destroy the individual Thanks new 409 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,560 Speaker 1: The next question comes from James. Where do you see 410 00:23:56,640 --> 00:23:59,560 Speaker 1: the United States after four years of the Biden and 411 00:23:59,640 --> 00:24:03,399 Speaker 1: minister in terms of inflation, cost of living, in crime 412 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:06,800 Speaker 1: rates for the American people. I figured that Biden would 413 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:08,359 Speaker 1: be so bad we didn't have to write a book 414 00:24:08,359 --> 00:24:11,240 Speaker 1: those anti Biden, and we just completed and sent to 415 00:24:11,320 --> 00:24:13,960 Speaker 1: the publisher a new book for this summer that is 416 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 1: called Defeating Big Government Socialism. I think if the elections 417 00:24:18,080 --> 00:24:19,919 Speaker 1: this fall go the way I think they're going to go, 418 00:24:20,320 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 1: and if the Republican governors continue to be as aggressive 419 00:24:24,200 --> 00:24:27,440 Speaker 1: and as risk taking and as courageous as they have been, 420 00:24:27,880 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 1: I think we could be in surprisingly good shape when 421 00:24:32,160 --> 00:24:36,080 Speaker 1: Biden and Harris leave office. But I think that requires 422 00:24:36,119 --> 00:24:38,640 Speaker 1: that we both win decisively this fall in the House 423 00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:41,960 Speaker 1: of Senate, and that we have people willing to stand 424 00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:44,440 Speaker 1: up and fight for ideas. For all of twenty three 425 00:24:44,480 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 1: and twenty four. I'm an optimist. I've always been an optimists. 426 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,480 Speaker 1: As Reagan used to say, optimism has won an America 427 00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:54,440 Speaker 1: far off and than pessimism. So I'm going to remain optimistic. 428 00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,400 Speaker 1: And I think, as Reagan would say, you ain't seen 429 00:24:57,480 --> 00:25:00,119 Speaker 1: nothing yet. We have a great future had of us 430 00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:04,159 Speaker 1: and going to do amazing things. The next question comes 431 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 1: from Felix. Why doesn't anyone destroy the Russian military convoy 432 00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:15,480 Speaker 1: going toward Kiev. I got into this conversation with Sean 433 00:25:15,560 --> 00:25:18,200 Speaker 1: Hannity the other night because Handy was going on around 434 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:21,200 Speaker 1: about this huge convoy. This huge convoy. I find it's 435 00:25:21,240 --> 00:25:25,080 Speaker 1: ton they're called targets. I think this is one of 436 00:25:25,080 --> 00:25:29,040 Speaker 1: the places where if we were turning over military aircraft 437 00:25:29,080 --> 00:25:33,600 Speaker 1: and allowing the Ukrainians to use them, that they would 438 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,400 Speaker 1: be devastating. My hunch is that what they're currently doing. 439 00:25:36,440 --> 00:25:39,120 Speaker 1: There's a Turkish drone I don't remember the name for it. 440 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,920 Speaker 1: There's a Turkish drone that's very effective militarily, was used 441 00:25:42,920 --> 00:25:47,760 Speaker 1: by Azerbaijan last year and skirmishes with Armenia. The Ukrainians 442 00:25:47,760 --> 00:25:50,520 Speaker 1: bought I think a hundred of them. They carry anti 443 00:25:50,600 --> 00:25:54,040 Speaker 1: tank missiles. They've been very successful. I wish we would 444 00:25:54,040 --> 00:25:56,920 Speaker 1: turn over a bunch of predators and carry two hell 445 00:25:57,000 --> 00:26:00,480 Speaker 1: fires each. Each hellfire can kill one tank. You know, 446 00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,920 Speaker 1: if you suddenly found yourself as a Russian officer sitting 447 00:26:04,000 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 1: in your tank watching the tank ahead of you blow up, 448 00:26:06,720 --> 00:26:09,600 Speaker 1: you would get out of the tank because you'd realize 449 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:12,119 Speaker 1: that the tank was not going to protect you. And 450 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:15,119 Speaker 1: I think that they could tear that column apart, and 451 00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:18,120 Speaker 1: I'm a little confused as to why they haven't. I've 452 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: both been confused by the logistics and competence of the Russians, 453 00:26:22,320 --> 00:26:25,439 Speaker 1: who apparently keep running out of fuel and have not 454 00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:29,400 Speaker 1: got organized just sort of the basic road management that 455 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,600 Speaker 1: comes second nature to any American unit. And at the 456 00:26:32,680 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: same time, I've been puzzled that when you have a 457 00:26:35,119 --> 00:26:37,679 Speaker 1: huge column sitting there like that, that it hasn't just 458 00:26:37,720 --> 00:26:40,480 Speaker 1: been torn apart, because they literally are just targets at 459 00:26:40,480 --> 00:26:43,199 Speaker 1: that stage. And I don't know whether it's because the 460 00:26:43,320 --> 00:26:46,760 Speaker 1: Ukrainians don't have enough of the right kind of weapons 461 00:26:46,880 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 1: or what's going on. I do think they have taken 462 00:26:49,480 --> 00:26:52,440 Speaker 1: out a lot of Russian equipment, and the evidence seems 463 00:26:52,440 --> 00:26:54,560 Speaker 1: to be pretty good that they've been killing tanks, killing 464 00:26:54,560 --> 00:26:58,639 Speaker 1: helicopters have apparently shot down at least two big transport 465 00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:01,960 Speaker 1: planes each other with about one hundred paratroopers on board. 466 00:27:02,280 --> 00:27:05,680 Speaker 1: So this has become a much more expensive campaign than 467 00:27:05,720 --> 00:27:08,359 Speaker 1: Putin thought it would be, and there's every evidence that 468 00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,080 Speaker 1: that's going to get even truer. All right, we have 469 00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 1: time for two more questions. This next one comes from PAULA. 470 00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:19,680 Speaker 1: Do you think that Europe's more assertive posture toward Russia 471 00:27:19,920 --> 00:27:23,440 Speaker 1: is a more permanent shift or world states like Germany 472 00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:28,639 Speaker 1: revert back to their default position after the immediate crisis. Well, 473 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:31,679 Speaker 1: I don't think we know you. This is where Biden 474 00:27:31,760 --> 00:27:35,880 Speaker 1: is so destructive. If we were right now building liquid 475 00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:39,440 Speaker 1: natural gas ports and saying to the Europeans, look, we'll 476 00:27:39,440 --> 00:27:42,359 Speaker 1: sign thirty year contracts will get you all of your 477 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:46,440 Speaker 1: natural gas, then I think the damage to Russia would 478 00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:50,679 Speaker 1: be permanent. As it is, the Europeans are still going 479 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,760 Speaker 1: to be dependent on Russia, and particularly because they've given 480 00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: up a nuclear power in places like Germany, even though 481 00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:00,640 Speaker 1: nuclear power is the cleanest, safest way to produce electricity. 482 00:28:01,160 --> 00:28:05,360 Speaker 1: So you know, if you disarm yourself and you are 483 00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 1: totally dependent for your economy on Russian energy, it's pretty 484 00:28:09,600 --> 00:28:11,640 Speaker 1: tricky to imagine how the next five or ten years 485 00:28:11,680 --> 00:28:13,879 Speaker 1: are going to work. On the other hand, I do 486 00:28:14,040 --> 00:28:17,919 Speaker 1: think the Europeans have been reminded very forcefully that Russia 487 00:28:17,960 --> 00:28:20,280 Speaker 1: is a dangerous neighbor. That you're going to be living 488 00:28:20,280 --> 00:28:22,480 Speaker 1: next to a bear, you want to be pretty well armed. 489 00:28:23,560 --> 00:28:26,640 Speaker 1: All right, And now time for the last question. This 490 00:28:26,680 --> 00:28:29,440 Speaker 1: one comes from Harrison. What's your take on the mid 491 00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:33,240 Speaker 1: turn primaries in Texas from what I've seen so far. 492 00:28:33,840 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 1: The best way to phrase it, which Carl Rove said today, 493 00:28:36,920 --> 00:28:40,400 Speaker 1: we journalism, the broadly conservative wing of the Republican Party 494 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:44,680 Speaker 1: was winning almost everywhere, and the radical wing of the 495 00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:48,200 Speaker 1: Democratic Party was winning their primaries almost everywhere. And the 496 00:28:48,280 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 1: biggest difference was a huge difference in turnout size, that 497 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:57,120 Speaker 1: there were vastly more Republicans turning out than Democrats, and 498 00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 1: that the enthusiasm among Republicans was enormous. So my take 499 00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:03,600 Speaker 1: is that overall we're going to do very very well. 500 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,960 Speaker 1: And it's important to remember George P. Bush, who has 501 00:29:07,040 --> 00:29:10,240 Speaker 1: Jeb Bush's son and is the next generation of Bush's 502 00:29:10,280 --> 00:29:13,280 Speaker 1: if you will, is a terrific guy. He's now in 503 00:29:13,360 --> 00:29:15,640 Speaker 1: the race with the Attorney general the Attorney General is 504 00:29:15,680 --> 00:29:19,560 Speaker 1: more explicitly conservative and was endorsed by Trump. But George 505 00:29:19,600 --> 00:29:23,200 Speaker 1: P has Trump pictures in his brochures, speaks very well 506 00:29:23,240 --> 00:29:27,480 Speaker 1: of Trump, and it's clearly more conservative than either his 507 00:29:27,720 --> 00:29:31,479 Speaker 1: father or his uncle. So I think it's an argument 508 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:35,240 Speaker 1: that this broad will make America great again in conservatism 509 00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:40,000 Speaker 1: beyond personality is moving, and certainly in Texas, it was 510 00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 1: a good day for conservatives and a bad day for liberals. 511 00:29:43,840 --> 00:29:46,840 Speaker 1: Thank you so much, Nute. Do you have any closing comments? Yeah, 512 00:29:46,880 --> 00:29:49,800 Speaker 1: I just want to say that these are extraordinarily exciting times. 513 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,720 Speaker 1: I really appreciate a chance to hear from you and 514 00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:55,200 Speaker 1: to listen to your questions. I hope you'll tell your 515 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:56,840 Speaker 1: friends we'd love to have them join us on the 516 00:29:56,880 --> 00:30:00,480 Speaker 1: Inner Circle and continue to do this. Thank you. Look 517 00:30:00,520 --> 00:30:06,560 Speaker 1: forward to reporting again in a few weeks. Thank you 518 00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,000 Speaker 1: for listening, and thank you to members of my Inner 519 00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:11,720 Speaker 1: Circle club. And if you'd like to become a member, 520 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:15,240 Speaker 1: please go to newts Inner Circle dot com and sign 521 00:30:15,360 --> 00:30:18,560 Speaker 1: up for a one or two year membership today. Newtsworld 522 00:30:18,680 --> 00:30:22,800 Speaker 1: is produced by Gingerish three sixty and iHeartMedia. Our executive 523 00:30:22,800 --> 00:30:27,040 Speaker 1: producer is Guardsey Sloan. Our producer is Rebecca Howe and 524 00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:31,240 Speaker 1: our researcher is Rachel Peterson. The artwork for the show 525 00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:35,320 Speaker 1: was created by Steve Penley. Special thanks to the team 526 00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:38,640 Speaker 1: at Gingwish three sixty. If you've been enjoying Newtsworld, I 527 00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:41,560 Speaker 1: hope you'll go to Apple Podcast and both rate us 528 00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 1: with five stars and give us a review so others 529 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,240 Speaker 1: can learn what it's all about. Right now, listeners of 530 00:30:48,360 --> 00:30:52,600 Speaker 1: Newtsworld can sign up for my three free weekly columns 531 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:57,480 Speaker 1: at Gingwish three sixty dot com slash newsletter. I'm Newt Gingrich. 532 00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:58,880 Speaker 1: This is Newtsworld.