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Speaker 1: Hello, everyone, Welcome to the Betting Pros PGA Championship Betting Preview.

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Speaker 1: I'm Pat fitz Morris, Managing editor of Fantasy Pros and

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Speaker 1: Betting Pros, and you can find me on Twitter at

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Speaker 1: fits underscore ff and joining me to discuss how to

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Speaker 1: bet this week's tournament. The second major of the season

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Speaker 1: is my friend and colleague Bo mcbraer. He is a

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Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros and bettingcro Pros contributor and he also contributes

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Speaker 1: to IBT Media where he hosts the nineteenth holl A

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Speaker 1: Weekly PGA DFS Show. Find him on Twitter at bow

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Speaker 1: Underscore mcbig Time. Thank you for joining me, mister mcbig time.

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Speaker 2: Bo.

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Speaker 1: Before we get started, I have to ask, You've got

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Speaker 1: this gorgeous looking golf course as the background photo on

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Speaker 1: your Twitter profile page. What is it? Where is it? So?

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Speaker 2: That is my new home course. I live in Woodland, California,

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Speaker 2: which is northwest of Sacramento, and if I go twenty

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Speaker 2: five minutes west of my house, it's called Yoshadihi and

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Speaker 2: it's a championship course designed by Troon Golf and it's

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Speaker 2: out at the Cash Creek Casino resort here in northern California.

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Speaker 2: They sponsor like the Kings and the Sharks and the

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Speaker 2: Giants and the A's, so it's all the North cal

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Speaker 2: sporting teams that are sponsored by this giant casino resort.

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Speaker 2: And they have this flawless golf course out there, Championship

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Speaker 2: Course seventy four hundred yards set up in the Kpe Valley,

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Speaker 2: which is just a really gorgeous wine region of northern California,

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Speaker 2: and it only costs on a hundred bucks to play,

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Speaker 2: and they roll out the red cart before you. The

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Speaker 2: carts have GPS in them, they have starters, they have

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Speaker 2: marshalls that everything's free. They bring the carts out to

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Speaker 2: your two in the parking lot and then they clean

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Speaker 2: your clubs after the round. Everything's full service. They spare

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Speaker 2: no expense. And the first t is a four hundred

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Speaker 2: and fifty yard par four, but it's on an eighty

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Speaker 2: foot elevated tea box and it's called Eagle's Nest and

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Speaker 2: all the holes have a Native American name and then

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Speaker 2: the translation and that one translates to eagles Nest. So

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Speaker 2: you're overlooking the entire valley off the first tee, and

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Speaker 2: of course you feel like when you hit a t

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Speaker 2: shot off an eighty foot cliff. The ball just keeps

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Speaker 2: flying and that four hundred and fifty yard part four

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Speaker 2: ends up being pretty short. But it's just that's where

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Speaker 2: that picture is taken from it. I was just standing

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Speaker 2: on the t box and took a picture of the

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Speaker 2: whole course from where I was standing.

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Speaker 1: Oh man, Yes, spectacular vista. Looks really cool. I got

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Speaker 1: to get out there, visit you sometime and play that

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Speaker 1: course because it looks absolutely gorgeous. Yes, all right, we're

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Speaker 1: gonna dive into our PGA betting preview just a moment,

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Speaker 1: but first of all, I need to actually I want

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Speaker 1: to implore everyone to download the free Betting pros app

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Speaker 1: for iOS and Android. You can sink your sports books

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Speaker 1: across all sports books in one spot, and after sinking,

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Speaker 1: you'll enjoy access to detailed bet analytics by sport and

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Speaker 1: by bet type, including game picks, props, and parlays. You'll

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Speaker 1: also get insights and personalized recommendations for props, game picks,

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Speaker 1: and more, all tailored to your interests. To enjoy the

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Speaker 1: benefits of the Sportsbook Sync, download the Betting pros app

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Speaker 1: by visiting Bettingpros dot com, slash apps, or search betting

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Speaker 1: Pros in the app Star. All right, bo, I think

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Speaker 1: it's fair to say that the PGA is the ugly

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Speaker 1: step sister of golf's four majors, But there have definitely

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Speaker 1: been some memorable PGA championships over the years. Is there

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Speaker 1: a particular edition of the PGA that stands out in

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Speaker 1: your mind or even just a particular PGA memory that

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Speaker 1: jumps out to you. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: So there's been a number of them over years, including

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Speaker 2: a couple here at oak Hill. But the one that

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Speaker 2: sticks out to me for whatever reason, I'm not even

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Speaker 2: sure what year it was exactly, but it was the

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Speaker 2: year David Thom's tip that famous five wood off the

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Speaker 2: tee and stuck it on the long part three and

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Speaker 2: ended up winning. That that still sticks back in my

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Speaker 2: mind because I used to root for David Toms. That

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Speaker 2: guy was a fiery competitor. He went out there not

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Speaker 2: not hitting the ball a long way, but straight as

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Speaker 2: an arrow, and the dude was just.

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Speaker 1: Tough as nails.

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Speaker 2: So when I was a kid watching golf and I

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Speaker 2: remember David Tom's hitting that five wood and that that

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Speaker 2: that that still sticks to me.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Tom's could not hit the ball out of his

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Speaker 1: own shadow. But that guy was like always contending in

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Speaker 1: PGAs and US opens like where that it was a

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Speaker 1: really tight track and you had to just hit fairways. Yes,

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Speaker 1: yes for me. I mean it was that duel between

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Speaker 1: Tiger Woods and Bob May in two thousand at Valhalla.

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Speaker 1: They both finished at minus eighteen, five shots ahead of

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Speaker 1: the field, and Woods edged May by one stroke in

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Speaker 1: the three hole playoff. But man, this was when Tiger

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Speaker 1: was just in full terminator more mode, like this unbeatable

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Speaker 1: cyborg and Bob May, this journeyman pro just goes toe

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Speaker 1: to toe with him and didn't flinch all day. Almost

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Speaker 1: slay the dragon that day, but not quite. And then

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Speaker 1: you mentioned at o'kill bo that great finishing. I think

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Speaker 1: it was a seven iron from one hundred and seventy

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Speaker 1: four yards that Sean mckeel hit in two thousand and three,

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Speaker 1: I mean, hits it, yeah, three inches, just unbelievable, another

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Speaker 1: journeyman pro. I mean, maybe this is the tournament where

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Speaker 1: the journeyman pros can make noise. It does seem like

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Speaker 1: the breakthrough Major where apparently you know every so often

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Speaker 1: these guys sort of come out of the fog, and

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Speaker 1: you know, someone unexpected wins. But speaking of o'kill bow,

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Speaker 1: the version that the players are going to see this

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Speaker 1: week is not the same as the one they saw

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Speaker 1: back in two thousand and three when Sean mckill won,

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Speaker 1: or back in twenty thirteen when Jason Dufner won and

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Speaker 1: edged Jim Furick by a shot. Since then, golf course

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Speaker 1: architect Andrew Green has overseen a major renovation of this course,

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Speaker 1: which is in Pittsford, New York, basically intended to make

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Speaker 1: it truer to the original Donald Ross design. O'kill well

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Speaker 1: once again plays a par seventy, but last time they

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Speaker 1: had the PGA Championship here with seven and sixty three yards.

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Speaker 1: Now it's been stretched out to seventy four hundred yards,

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Speaker 1: so it's going to play long, and you know, a

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Speaker 1: couple of new holes, a couple of radical redesigns. But

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Speaker 1: do you think Oakill favors any particular players or any

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Speaker 1: particular types of players.

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Speaker 2: I wouldn't say overall that it does. But what you're

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Speaker 2: going to find is that a hot golfer does well

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Speaker 2: here because you have to with the PGA being the

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Speaker 2: ugly steps sister of the majors. I think that really

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Speaker 2: applies to most courses that they have on the PGA

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Speaker 2: Championship rotation, but it doesn't apply Okill. Okill's legendary venue,

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Speaker 2: whether it's for a US Open, a PGA Ryder Cup.

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Speaker 2: Oak Hill's one of the toughest courses on the planet,

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Speaker 2: and they set it up even if it's US Open

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Speaker 2: standards where it's ungodly difficult, it's still going to be

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Speaker 2: really tough on these guys. So I think it's going

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Speaker 2: to equalize the field quite a bit. That's why you

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Speaker 2: saw Sean mckeel win here. Even if the course was different,

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Speaker 2: it's not going to be so radically different that it's

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Speaker 2: going to favor a certain type of player over another.

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Speaker 2: I will say that if you have a hot driver

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Speaker 2: and you can put yourself in good approach positions to

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Speaker 2: stay below the holes here, because the greens pretty much

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Speaker 2: all are very severely sloped from back to front. They

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Speaker 2: have a lot of crowning, they have deep bunkers. If

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Speaker 2: you're hitting good approach shots from decent fairway positions, that's

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Speaker 2: the kind of player I'm looking for as a type

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Speaker 2: of guy who is traditionally a good driver the golf

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Speaker 2: ball and good from tea green, but also is doing

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Speaker 2: that extremely well right now in the moment, because if

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Speaker 2: you're off a little bit with your driver here, you're

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Speaker 2: going to be over par and in jeopardy of missing

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Speaker 2: a cut.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. One of the things I had seen about the

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Speaker 1: redesign is that over the years, I guess, from players

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Speaker 1: splashing sand out of bunkers, like around the edges of

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Speaker 1: the greens, that had given the greens sort of a

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Speaker 1: bowl effect. So it was like shots that shouldn't have

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Speaker 1: been holding the greens were holding the greens. And now

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Speaker 1: that's not going to happen with the redesign, Like those

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Speaker 1: Aaron shots are going to be trickling out into the rough,

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Speaker 1: and you know, maybe it'll be if not you at

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Speaker 1: Open Roff, it'll probably be pretty penal rough, all right. Bo.

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Speaker 1: So the favorites here, we've got John Rahm and Scottie

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Speaker 1: Scheffler coming in as the co favorites, both plus seven

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Speaker 1: fifty to win, and then we've got Rory McElroy at

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Speaker 1: now he's up to plus twelve hundred on DraftKings, he

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Speaker 1: was plus eleven hundred just a day or two ago.

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Speaker 1: They're the three heaviest favorites. We saw Scheffler contend this

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Speaker 1: week at the AT and T by Ron Nelson. Do

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Speaker 1: any of them present value to you?

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Speaker 2: Absolutely not. This we just said it's a great equalizer, course,

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Speaker 2: And I think other than Scotty, who's showed just recently

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Speaker 2: this week that he's in decent form, he hasn't been

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Speaker 2: in top Scotty form for a few weeks. And that's

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Speaker 2: that's the best I can say, because Rom hasn't looked

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Speaker 2: the same since his very very hot start where he

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Speaker 2: had four wins to kick off the season, and Rory

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Speaker 2: hasn't been anywhere close to the top form we've seen

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Speaker 2: him at recently. So I think at their current numbers,

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Speaker 2: they're a little too short for me because their recent

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Speaker 2: form isn't blazing hot like some of these guys in

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Speaker 2: the next group where the odds are a little.

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Speaker 1: Bit more favorable. Yeah, Scotty interests me a little more

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Speaker 1: than Rom. And just the fact that like he had

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Speaker 1: that bad Saturday this week and still was like, you know,

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Speaker 1: in contention down the final holes, and just like this

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Speaker 1: this guy is I feel like he's just by far

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Speaker 1: the most consistent guy on tour this year, as good

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Speaker 1: as Rom was early in the year. I kind of

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Speaker 1: agree with you. The price is a little a little

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Speaker 1: too short for me to be interested. And Rory, I

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Speaker 1: don't know how you can touch Rory. I mean, you

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Speaker 1: know Bo how good Rory always is at Quail Hollow,

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Speaker 1: and two weeks ago, Rory was a train wreck at

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Speaker 1: Quail Hollow, Like he couldn't find the fairway with a

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Speaker 1: seeing eye dog exactly in that tournament. So like, if

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Speaker 1: he's sprang it around with the driver, I just do

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Speaker 1: not want any piece of him in a PGA championship.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, it's it's hard to trust a guy who we

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Speaker 2: haven't seen drive the ball like he's He's been known

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Speaker 2: to drive the ball better than anybody in the world.

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Speaker 2: We just haven't seen it this season. And that's really

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Speaker 2: what makes Rory so dominant. When he's on his game

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Speaker 2: and he's finding fairways, he's also hitting the ball farther

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Speaker 2: thanbody else. When he finds fairways, he's hitting wedges into

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Speaker 2: greens that the other guys are hitting mid iron two

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Speaker 2: And that's when you see Rory completely take over and

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Speaker 2: win by a lot of shots. But that hasn't been

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Speaker 2: twenty twenty three. Rory Rom is kind of cooled off.

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Speaker 2: I still think he has plenty of firepower for a

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Speaker 2: course like this if he's in good form. Just like

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Speaker 2: I said about Scotty last week, is I said Scotty

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Speaker 2: has not been in good form entering the week, but

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Speaker 2: if there's one event where he could get into form,

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Speaker 2: it would be at TPC Craig Ranch. And we saw that,

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Speaker 2: even though he didn't quite win, he's finished top five,

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Speaker 2: and we saw a lot of that Scheffler magic where

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Speaker 2: the guy can score from anywhere, and he's a great

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Speaker 2: driver of the golf ball, great approach player, and his

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Speaker 2: short game is immaculate. So out of the top favorites,

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Speaker 2: if I'm going to throw extra units to overcome how

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Speaker 2: short the odds are, I'm going to favorite Scheffler too.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, just to I'll mention that the odds for Scheffler

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Speaker 1: and Rom to finish top five are both plus one

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Speaker 1: eighty on DraftKings, and for them to finish top ten

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Speaker 1: minus odds for both guys actually Scheffler minus one fifteen,

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Speaker 1: Rom minus one ten. So I guess technically Scheffler is

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Speaker 1: the favorite, if only by a heir over John Ram.

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Speaker 1: Before we continue, bet mgm is offering one thousand dollars

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00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:26,480
Speaker 1: to new users with their first bet free offer. Sign

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00:12:26,559 --> 00:12:30,200
Speaker 1: up at bet mgm using the promo code Juice and

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00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:33,120
Speaker 1: get paid back up to one thousand dollars in free

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Speaker 1: bonuses even if you don't win. All right, let's talk

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Speaker 1: about some of the other top guys. Bo Patrick Cantley,

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Speaker 1: Justin Thomas, Brooks, Koepka, Xanderschoffley, Tony Feno, Victor Hoblin, Dustin Johnson,

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Speaker 1: and Jordan Speith all dwell in the plus twenty two

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Speaker 1: hundred two plus three thousand range, and I think Jason

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Speaker 1: Day has now joined that tier after winning. He's in

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Speaker 1: twenty eight at and T Byron Nelson with a scintillating

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Speaker 1: sixty two on Sunday. Yeah, he's plus twenty eight hundred,

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Speaker 1: So BOE from that group, Who do you like? Who

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Speaker 1: are you fading?

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Speaker 2: It's hard to fade any of these guys. I would

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Speaker 2: say Justin Thomas could be a fade because his approach

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Speaker 2: game has not been strong this year, nor has his

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Speaker 2: puttering stroke been anywhere close to good enough to win

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Speaker 2: a major. Xanderschoffley is one of my favorites this week

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Speaker 2: twenty two hundred plus twenty two hundred odds for a

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Speaker 2: guy who's playing his lights out as he is lately.

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Speaker 2: I think that this course sets up extremely well for

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Speaker 2: somebody like Xander Schoffley, and then I like Victor Hovelin,

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Speaker 2: but I don't love him. I'm liking Jason Day a

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Speaker 2: lot more than he won this week, full fading Jordan

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Speaker 2: Speith because just like mister sprays a lot Rory mcelroyd,

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Speaker 2: Jordan Speith hasn't found a fairway since what since high school?

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Speaker 2: It seems like because the guy is always in the trees,

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Speaker 2: you cannot live in the trees with all these giant

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Speaker 2: oaks at Oak Hill, I mean everything its name implies,

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Speaker 2: even though they took a bunch of them out to

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Speaker 2: free up the course layout. So it's back to Donald

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Speaker 2: Ross's esque site lines and planning. I don't think Jordan

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Speaker 2: Speith makes the cut this week, so if you want

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Speaker 2: to bet Jordan speif missed cut, you'll probably get some

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Speaker 2: good odds. But one of my favorites at the end

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Speaker 2: of this thirty to one kind of window is calling

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Speaker 2: more Kawa. From tee to Green. There is hardly anybody

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Speaker 2: who can think of better than Colin Moore Kawa. If

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Speaker 2: his putting is average, he's going to be in contention

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Speaker 2: this week.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, back to Speed for a second. I mean, I'm

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Speaker 1: is he even going to play? Is that a lock? Like?

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Speaker 1: He is dealing with a wrist injury too, and actually

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Speaker 1: had to skip the Byron Nelson even though it's just

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Speaker 1: outside his hometown of Dallas. That's like an annual stop

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Speaker 1: for him and he had to bail out. So yeah,

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Speaker 1: this red flash, this is a good yep. So you know,

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Speaker 1: like if you if you look at it and see

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Speaker 1: Jordan Speed, the guy's contended on a lot of majors.

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Speaker 1: You know, he would appear to present some value at

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Speaker 1: plus three thousand to win, but you know, considering the

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Speaker 1: form and just really the injury, I'm more worried about

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Speaker 1: the injury than the form. With him. You mentioned Shoffley,

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Speaker 1: I think he has finished top five in his last

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Speaker 1: three events, top ten in his last five, so absolutely

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Speaker 1: he has been on fire lately, scorching. Yeah, what do

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Speaker 1: you think about Brooks bo I mean, this is a

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Speaker 1: dude who just always gets up for the majors he does.

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Speaker 2: But also what we saw was I don't think he's

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Speaker 2: conditioned for majors the same way he was three or

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Speaker 2: four years ago. We saw him pretty much collapse at

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Speaker 2: Augusta on Sunday, and that is really concerning for me

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Speaker 2: and so brooks Kopka. I think he's a decent player

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Speaker 2: to bet on as a first round leader, because you

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Speaker 2: know he's going to get up for a major. But

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Speaker 2: as far as winning outright, I'm not going to go

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Speaker 2: that far. I might throw a couple of dimes on

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Speaker 2: him making top ten or top five, but I'm not

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Speaker 2: going to get aggressive with him just because of what

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Speaker 2: I saw at Augusta. Oakhill is kind of a course

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Speaker 2: where he can. If he's getting squirrely off the tee

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Speaker 2: like he did at Sunday at Augusta, that would be

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Speaker 2: death for him, because as great as he is when

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Speaker 2: he's on, I want to see him put it together

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Speaker 2: for four days.

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Speaker 1: Yeah. I like the idea of a first round leader,

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Speaker 1: bet On. Are you at all interested in Dustin Johnson?

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Speaker 1: He just won on the Live Tour in Tulsa this weekend.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he's another guy coming in red hot. It's looking really,

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Speaker 2: really good and as a bomber who is more reliably

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Speaker 2: hitting fairways than Rory McElroy. It wasn't that long ago

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Speaker 2: that Dustin Johnson was the class of the PGA Tour

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Speaker 2: as far as off the tea game, and then he

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Speaker 2: can get as hot as anybody in the world. So

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Speaker 2: I think out of the live guys, he would be

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Speaker 2: my favorite over Kopka. But that's that's just preference for me.

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Speaker 2: I think DJ is he's just as good as it

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Speaker 2: gets at top form, and if that shows up to Okaill,

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Speaker 2: it's going to be over in a hurry for everyone.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, let me ask you about the live guys in general. Well,

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Speaker 1: first of all, like, is there anyone from the live

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Speaker 1: tour we should maybe consider besides Koepka, besides DJ? And

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Speaker 1: second of all, like, do you think generally like are

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Speaker 1: what's your willingness to back live tour players in the majors.

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Speaker 1: I don't know about you, but I worry that they

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Speaker 1: do not have the same sort of competitive environment on

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Speaker 1: the live tour. You know, these guys are getting a

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Speaker 1: lot of guaranteed money. It's like a kind of a

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Speaker 1: lighter environment. They're playing music and they've got these side

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Speaker 1: team competitions, and it just seems like a lot more

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Speaker 1: like you know, buddies playing on a Sunday relative to

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Speaker 1: the PGA Tour. So I don't know, do you Does

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Speaker 1: that make you any less inclined to back the Live

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Speaker 1: Tour guys?

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Speaker 2: Maybe a little, but I'm not going to get carried away.

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Speaker 2: These guys just showed it Augusta that there's still plenty

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Speaker 2: good at golf. There's still plenty good enough to compete

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Speaker 2: all the way through. Most of these guys that were

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Speaker 2: talking about were number one in the world for a

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Speaker 2: period of time, and that wasn't that long ago. So

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Speaker 2: I'm not going to, I think, to go farther and

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Speaker 2: farther away from their PGA Tour tenure, then yes, it

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00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,119
Speaker 2: starts to become more of a factor because they're farther

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Speaker 2: removed from that type of competition. But if they're able

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Speaker 2: to play all four majors in the future, I don't

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Speaker 2: think there's going to be any distinguishment at all, because

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Speaker 2: I think there's still plenty of competitiveness on the Live Tour.

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Speaker 2: It's a little bit more of a different product, but

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Speaker 2: I don't think it's that much different to those guys.

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Speaker 2: I think that they still want to win money, They

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Speaker 2: still want to go out there and compete, especially these

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Speaker 2: guys at the top, because they know what it's like

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Speaker 2: to win majors and to feel that and compete and

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00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:04,080
Speaker 2: have that edge on a Sunday. I don't think it

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Speaker 2: matters which tour they play for.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, which is why I'm still kind of interested in

350
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Speaker 1: Patrick Reid at plus eight thousand.

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00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:16,200
Speaker 2: It's such a soft, soft line for him.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, eighty to one odds for a guy who, man, like,

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Speaker 1: when he has got you know, when he's in contention,

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Speaker 1: he's tough to get rid of. Yeah, And you know,

355
00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:30,080
Speaker 1: like we kind of saw a little bit of that

356
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Speaker 1: at a gospel like he was he was kind of

357
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Speaker 1: hanging around there. So man, yeah, he's getting faded, and

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Speaker 1: I wonder if he's maybe out of sight, out of

359
00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:42,119
Speaker 1: mind for better these lines.

360
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Speaker 2: He won me damn good money at the Masters, so

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00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,440
Speaker 2: I'll keep I'll keep riding that too, because he's getting

362
00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,639
Speaker 2: really soft odds and he's still a really good player.

363
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Speaker 2: Even if he's the most unlikable athlete on the planet

364
00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:56,760
Speaker 2: right now, it really doesn't matter because that's the guy

365
00:19:57,240 --> 00:19:59,720
Speaker 2: wins your money. I'm going to keep rooting for him

366
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Speaker 2: to make me money. I don't have to listen to

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Speaker 2: what he says or who he sues.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, plus eight thousand win, plus sixteen hundred to finish

369
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Speaker 1: top five, plus seven hundred to finish top ten. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: So are there any longer shots or guys we haven't

371
00:20:19,000 --> 00:20:21,520
Speaker 1: talked about who you think might be worth Better's attention

372
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Speaker 1: this week?

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Speaker 2: So the first one I'll tell you about is another

374
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Speaker 2: Live guy. Joaquin Neeman is another guy that on the

375
00:20:27,760 --> 00:20:30,640
Speaker 2: Live that's a world class player, especially from tee to green,

376
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Speaker 2: and he's kind of folded up and choked a few

377
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Speaker 2: times in majors, but I think he's on the verge

378
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Speaker 2: this This guy is really good, one of those just

379
00:20:41,400 --> 00:20:44,120
Speaker 2: awesome pure strikers of the ball that's great off the tee,

380
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:47,639
Speaker 2: great from the fairway, on approach. I think that he

381
00:20:47,680 --> 00:20:49,800
Speaker 2: could make some noise here. Ninety to one odds for

382
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,920
Speaker 2: him to win outright, And I'm going to go way

383
00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 2: down here to my guy from Chico, California. He just

384
00:20:56,920 --> 00:20:59,320
Speaker 2: showed us already this year. It was first PG tourment

385
00:20:59,320 --> 00:21:02,040
Speaker 2: at the Arnold. Kurt Kitty Yamack can hang with the

386
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:05,480
Speaker 2: big boys on Sunday and he had five of the

387
00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:09,800
Speaker 2: top ten chasing him down at bay Hill earlier this season,

388
00:21:09,920 --> 00:21:12,560
Speaker 2: he stared them down and beat all of them to

389
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:16,159
Speaker 2: win three point six million dollars. I think he's the

390
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:18,639
Speaker 2: moment's not too big, the pressure's not too big for

391
00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,679
Speaker 2: Kirk Kitty Yama, and he's definitely got the t degree

392
00:21:21,800 --> 00:21:25,239
Speaker 2: green game to get hot and win this. Saying at

393
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,439
Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty to one, that believe is the

394
00:21:27,440 --> 00:21:29,360
Speaker 2: same exact line he had at bay Hill.

395
00:21:30,280 --> 00:21:33,320
Speaker 1: Well, yeah, two hundred and fifty to one, and you

396
00:21:33,359 --> 00:21:36,040
Speaker 1: got Niemen at ninety to one. So those are interesting

397
00:21:36,160 --> 00:21:41,359
Speaker 1: long shots. Indeed, I guess my my guy who I

398
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,680
Speaker 1: think could be worth a look as a deep long shot,

399
00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,280
Speaker 1: A guy I'll probably throw like two or three dollars

400
00:21:47,280 --> 00:21:51,000
Speaker 1: on who's two hundred and fifty to one is Hayden Buckley, Yeah,

401
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:52,960
Speaker 1: who's just been really good over the last month and

402
00:21:52,960 --> 00:21:56,960
Speaker 1: a half. He's grinding out, Yeah pretty much. He's having

403
00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:59,000
Speaker 1: a nice year. And you know, just one of those

404
00:21:59,040 --> 00:22:04,400
Speaker 1: guys who doesn't read with betters here, hence the long odds.

405
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:09,480
Speaker 1: Any interest in either Max Homa or Sam Burns good

406
00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: young players who now I believe Holma is sixth in

407
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,919
Speaker 1: the world, Burns thirteenth, and you know, Burns won the

408
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:22,119
Speaker 1: match Play Championship, you know, beat Scottie Scheffler head to

409
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:25,960
Speaker 1: head in I think the semi finals of that one.

410
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:29,879
Speaker 1: But neither of these guys with a real illustrious track

411
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Speaker 1: record in the majors so far. I don't think Burns

412
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 1: is finished. Granted he's only like twenty six, yeah, but

413
00:22:35,640 --> 00:22:37,800
Speaker 1: I don't think he's finished better than like twentieth in

414
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:38,760
Speaker 1: a major so far.

415
00:22:39,640 --> 00:22:42,000
Speaker 2: I think I favor him over Homa at this course

416
00:22:42,119 --> 00:22:45,720
Speaker 2: because his off the T game is great. He can

417
00:22:45,760 --> 00:22:48,760
Speaker 2: score in bunches on tough courses. We've seen that from Burns.

418
00:22:49,600 --> 00:22:52,919
Speaker 2: But Holma's off the TA game it's a really bad lately,

419
00:22:52,960 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 2: and I really do fear for him hanging on that.

420
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:00,480
Speaker 2: He's an amazing grinder. He does really well on tough

421
00:23:00,520 --> 00:23:03,600
Speaker 2: courses in general, but he has not been accurate off

422
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:05,840
Speaker 2: the tea lately, and so that kind of scares me

423
00:23:05,880 --> 00:23:08,960
Speaker 2: off of Maxhoma because we've seen him at his best

424
00:23:09,000 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 2: earlier in the season and then lately, kind of like rom,

425
00:23:11,520 --> 00:23:14,919
Speaker 2: he's just cooled off. And you kind of have to

426
00:23:14,960 --> 00:23:17,879
Speaker 2: be in really really good all through the bag form

427
00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:19,480
Speaker 2: to win at O'khill.

428
00:23:20,160 --> 00:23:22,679
Speaker 1: All right, But let's talk about one more guy before

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00:23:22,720 --> 00:23:25,040
Speaker 1: we get to our respective betting cards, and that's a

430
00:23:25,040 --> 00:23:28,359
Speaker 1: guy we were talking about pre show where we both

431
00:23:28,359 --> 00:23:31,160
Speaker 1: seem to be expressing at least mild interest in this guy,

432
00:23:31,680 --> 00:23:36,440
Speaker 1: Matthew Fitzpatrick, who's been mister Majors of lates. He has

433
00:23:36,560 --> 00:23:39,919
Speaker 1: finished no worse than twenty sixth in any of his

434
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:44,720
Speaker 1: last six Majors appearances. He of course won the US

435
00:23:44,800 --> 00:23:48,960
Speaker 1: Open last year, and I think he finished maybe either

436
00:23:49,040 --> 00:23:52,600
Speaker 1: fourth or fifth in the PGA, or maybe it was

437
00:23:52,640 --> 00:23:55,439
Speaker 1: the British Open. I can't remember one of those. He

438
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:59,760
Speaker 1: was a top five so tied for tenth at the

439
00:23:59,800 --> 00:24:03,440
Speaker 1: Masters in April. What do you think about young mister Fitzpatrick.

440
00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,880
Speaker 2: It's green flag racing as far as I'm concerned. Great

441
00:24:06,960 --> 00:24:10,160
Speaker 2: number at thirty five to one to win outright, and

442
00:24:10,600 --> 00:24:13,760
Speaker 2: he's nails. He's tough as nails. He's won this season,

443
00:24:14,359 --> 00:24:16,639
Speaker 2: coming in with great form. Another guy that's coming in

444
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,399
Speaker 2: red hot. We like to see that, especially at a

445
00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,480
Speaker 2: course this difficult. We're talking about a course that's probably

446
00:24:22,480 --> 00:24:25,720
Speaker 2: gonna have a range of a winning score between two

447
00:24:25,920 --> 00:24:28,440
Speaker 2: over par and six under par. I don't think it's

448
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:30,840
Speaker 2: going to be any better than six hunder par for

449
00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:33,840
Speaker 2: a total winning score this year at the PGA. So

450
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:35,800
Speaker 2: that that's to tell you all you need to know

451
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:37,520
Speaker 2: about what kind of grinder it's going to take to

452
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:43,639
Speaker 2: win this tournament. And fits your guy, fits fitz Morris

453
00:24:43,640 --> 00:24:47,080
Speaker 2: and Fitzpatrick are. I mean, the Irish got to stick

454
00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:55,160
Speaker 2: together here, and even though he's English, the Fitzes should

455
00:24:55,240 --> 00:24:57,880
Speaker 2: stick together because I think matt Fitzpatrick is a great

456
00:24:57,920 --> 00:24:58,679
Speaker 2: pick this week.

457
00:25:00,119 --> 00:25:03,919
Speaker 1: Got experienced in the same general neighborhood too, because we

458
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:09,439
Speaker 1: are not far from the Northwestern campus in Evanston, Illinois,

459
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:15,800
Speaker 1: where Matthew Fitzpatrick was a standout collegiate golfer. Yeah, man,

460
00:25:15,880 --> 00:25:18,280
Speaker 1: I like him. I don't know. I don't understand the

461
00:25:18,359 --> 00:25:21,480
Speaker 1: lack of respect with the odds. Maybe it's because he

462
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:24,720
Speaker 1: looks like your annoying kid brother or whatever, and he's small.

463
00:25:24,840 --> 00:25:27,199
Speaker 1: I know, I don't want people to bet him up.

464
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:30,720
Speaker 1: But yeah, you look at him and he looks like

465
00:25:30,760 --> 00:25:33,040
Speaker 1: he's maybe one hundred and fifty pounds soaking wet, but

466
00:25:33,040 --> 00:25:33,840
Speaker 1: the guy bombs it.

467
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:34,360
Speaker 2: Yeah.

468
00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:36,359
Speaker 1: I think I want to say he's top thirty in

469
00:25:36,480 --> 00:25:39,440
Speaker 1: driving distance this year. Right now, play golf.

470
00:25:39,480 --> 00:25:41,040
Speaker 2: All you have to do is figure out a way

471
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:43,520
Speaker 2: to build club at speed with the body type that

472
00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:46,280
Speaker 2: you're given. We saw with Rory maclas he designed as

473
00:25:46,760 --> 00:25:51,040
Speaker 2: he put his body and conditioned it for speed with

474
00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:53,679
Speaker 2: all the core strength and inflection that they require to

475
00:25:53,760 --> 00:25:56,600
Speaker 2: generate speed at that low weight. Fitz has done the

476
00:25:56,640 --> 00:26:01,760
Speaker 2: same thing. He's completely retooled his body to generate a

477
00:26:01,760 --> 00:26:05,000
Speaker 2: ton of speed and he can hang with the big boys.

478
00:26:05,000 --> 00:26:07,720
Speaker 2: He'd bonsa just as far as anybody else. He's really

479
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:10,320
Speaker 2: accurate off the tea too. That's gonna be huge this week.

480
00:26:11,560 --> 00:26:14,440
Speaker 1: Yeah. Justin Thomas too, not a big man, and he

481
00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,439
Speaker 1: crushes the ball, so you do not have to be

482
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:18,920
Speaker 1: big to hit it a long way? All right, Bob.

483
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,000
Speaker 1: Now we've reached the end of this show, so why

484
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,080
Speaker 1: don't we discuss our betting cards. What have you got,

485
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:25,520
Speaker 1: my friend?

486
00:26:26,720 --> 00:26:31,000
Speaker 2: So I have the most weight thrown onto Xander Shoffley

487
00:26:31,119 --> 00:26:35,160
Speaker 2: so far, I've thrown some on fits and Cam Young

488
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:38,560
Speaker 2: also at thirty five to one, and then a little

489
00:26:38,560 --> 00:26:43,040
Speaker 2: bit on Tommy Fleetwood. And I'm getting down to where

490
00:26:43,119 --> 00:26:45,320
Speaker 2: I do want to throw a little bit more on

491
00:26:45,359 --> 00:26:49,520
Speaker 2: some of the guys we talked about here tonight. But

492
00:26:49,920 --> 00:26:52,520
Speaker 2: I think those are the other only ones I didn't

493
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:57,240
Speaker 2: mention Cam Young and Tommy Fleetwood. Those guys just stand

494
00:26:57,280 --> 00:27:00,360
Speaker 2: out to me as from Tea to Green being listen

495
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,040
Speaker 2: for smart enough to work their experience, enough to work

496
00:27:04,080 --> 00:27:07,159
Speaker 2: their way around a challenging course like this where the

497
00:27:07,160 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 2: new sidelines for Donald Ross have been restored by the

498
00:27:09,880 --> 00:27:13,000
Speaker 2: new guy Green, and that's going to be important because

499
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:14,840
Speaker 2: you have to plan your way around the golf course

500
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:18,600
Speaker 2: and hit good quality shots one at a time. If

501
00:27:18,640 --> 00:27:20,440
Speaker 2: you get too far ahead of yourself and a major,

502
00:27:20,720 --> 00:27:22,480
Speaker 2: especially on a course of this caliber, it's going to

503
00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 2: eat yep.

504
00:27:23,800 --> 00:27:26,880
Speaker 1: So I've got Scotty Scheffler to win at plus seven

505
00:27:26,880 --> 00:27:30,879
Speaker 1: point fifty. I've got Xander Schoffley too, Bo. I'm feeling

506
00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:33,080
Speaker 1: you on this one. Man. The PGA seems like, and

507
00:27:33,119 --> 00:27:34,720
Speaker 1: we talked about it at the top of the show,

508
00:27:34,720 --> 00:27:37,639
Speaker 1: that it can be the breakthrough major. This seems like

509
00:27:37,680 --> 00:27:40,840
Speaker 1: a fitting place for Xander Schoffley to get his first one.

510
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,879
Speaker 1: I do have Brooks Kopka to finish top five at

511
00:27:44,920 --> 00:27:48,480
Speaker 1: plus four hundred. Wow. You know, I didn't feel great

512
00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:51,080
Speaker 1: about betting him to win, but I like him to contend.

513
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:55,080
Speaker 1: I bet fits across the board Fitzpatrick at plus thirty

514
00:27:55,080 --> 00:27:57,560
Speaker 1: five hundred to win, plus six hundred for top five

515
00:27:57,600 --> 00:28:02,160
Speaker 1: and plus two point eighty for top ten. I've got

516
00:28:02,200 --> 00:28:05,480
Speaker 1: a bet on Tyrrell Hatton Bow to finish top ten

517
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:09,240
Speaker 1: at plus four hundred. Not my favorite player, he's a

518
00:28:09,280 --> 00:28:12,760
Speaker 1: whiny little fellow, but man, he's he's having a really

519
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:16,800
Speaker 1: nice year though he's playing. He's Yeah, he's had I

520
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:20,639
Speaker 1: think four top sixes this year, including a solo second

521
00:28:20,640 --> 00:28:24,760
Speaker 1: at the Players Championship, So really nice year. I've got

522
00:28:24,800 --> 00:28:30,240
Speaker 1: Patrick Reid to finish top ten at plus seven hundred,

523
00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:33,400
Speaker 1: and then I did, in fact bet Hayden Buckley a

524
00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,800
Speaker 1: very small little bet to win at two hundred and

525
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 1: fifty to one, and also a little bet something on

526
00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:42,440
Speaker 1: him for a top ten at plus sixteen hundred. So

527
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:48,880
Speaker 1: it's a very full betting card completely Gama with Kidiyama

528
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:53,320
Speaker 1: something to win in something on top ten. Nice all right,

529
00:28:53,320 --> 00:28:55,520
Speaker 1: but one last question for you, what do you see

530
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 1: is you sort of alluded to it, what do you

531
00:28:57,640 --> 00:29:00,160
Speaker 1: see as a winning number here relative to part.

532
00:29:00,680 --> 00:29:03,520
Speaker 2: Depending on whether it is an upstate New York by Rochester,

533
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:05,800
Speaker 2: so it could get a little hairy for weather, but

534
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,480
Speaker 2: probably looking at a beautiful forecast up there this time

535
00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 2: of year.

536
00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:13,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, not bad wins in the ten to twelve mile

537
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:14,640
Speaker 1: an hour rank. It's not going to be gets you.

538
00:29:14,760 --> 00:29:16,680
Speaker 2: The issue is going to be this course and planning

539
00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:20,960
Speaker 2: way around it. Avoiding huge numbers. Looking at bogie avoidance

540
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:22,600
Speaker 2: numbers is going to be a big part of my

541
00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:26,920
Speaker 2: week and weighted model this week. Being able to get

542
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:30,120
Speaker 2: off with a par on tough, tougher holes. This course

543
00:29:30,200 --> 00:29:33,960
Speaker 2: is littered with very few relief holes comparison to the

544
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:37,400
Speaker 2: challenging ones where you're just scraping for par so I'll

545
00:29:37,440 --> 00:29:39,320
Speaker 2: say the winning sore wi be at minus one.

546
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:43,360
Speaker 1: Oh wow. Yeah, that's going to be tough. That is

547
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:49,080
Speaker 1: a survival type track, so that's very interesting, ladies and gentlemen.

548
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 1: That is going to do it. For the Betting Pros

549
00:29:51,560 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 1: PGA Championship betting preview, I'm going to thank Paul mcbrair

550
00:29:55,360 --> 00:29:58,600
Speaker 1: for joining me. Find him on Twitter at bow underscore

551
00:29:58,640 --> 00:30:02,840
Speaker 1: Mcbig time luck if you are betting the tournament this week.

552
00:30:03,480 --> 00:30:06,840
Speaker 1: Enjoy the PGA Championship. Everyone, so long,