1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,400 Speaker 1: Cable news is ripping us apart, dividing the nation, making 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:05,920 Speaker 1: it impossible to function as a society and to know 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:08,720 Speaker 1: what is true and what is false. The good news 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: is that they're failing and they know it. That is 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: why we're building something new. Be part of creating a new, better, healthier, 6 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:17,960 Speaker 1: and more trustworthy mainstream by becoming a Breaking Points Premium 7 00:00:17,960 --> 00:00:21,520 Speaker 1: member today at breakingpoints dot com. Your hard earned money 8 00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:23,400 Speaker 1: is going to help us build for the midterms and 9 00:00:23,440 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: the upcoming presidential election so we can provide unparalleled coverage 10 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:28,640 Speaker 1: of what is sure to be one of the most 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,320 Speaker 1: pivotal moments in American history. So what are you waiting for? 12 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 1: Go to Breakingpoints dot com to help us out. Good morning, everybody, 13 00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:56,960 Speaker 1: Happy Monday. We have an amazing show for everybody today. 14 00:00:56,960 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: What do we have, Crystal Indeed, we do lots of 15 00:00:58,720 --> 00:01:00,880 Speaker 1: big stories, breaking this more learning. We are taking a 16 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: look at the very latest out of Ukraine and some 17 00:01:03,000 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 1: new pretty stunning comments from Biden again on the subject 18 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 1: of Taiwan. He said unequivocally the US would commit troops 19 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 1: to defend Taiwan in the event that they were attacked. 20 00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:17,600 Speaker 1: In the White House again walked back this has happened 21 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:19,960 Speaker 1: several times at this point, and it continues to be 22 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:23,560 Speaker 1: extremely distressing. Also, new questions about whether, if Democrats hold 23 00:01:23,560 --> 00:01:25,520 Speaker 1: on to the House, whether a Pelosi will continue to 24 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: be the Speaker of the House or whether she will 25 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:29,800 Speaker 1: remain the leader of the Democratic Party in the House 26 00:01:29,880 --> 00:01:33,039 Speaker 1: if they lose control. So that is very interesting. We 27 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:34,720 Speaker 1: have some new polling we want to break down for 28 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 1: you that is interesting with regards to the midterms and 29 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 1: also in terms of the ongoing realignments between the two parties. 30 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:45,560 Speaker 1: Stunningly wrong reporting from The New York Times about this 31 00:01:45,920 --> 00:01:50,640 Speaker 1: Patagonia donation and specifically the tax treatment of it. They 32 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,080 Speaker 1: went out of their way to say this was totally 33 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 1: different from this other massive political gift that happened to 34 00:01:56,280 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: come from a right wing billionaire. Well it turns out 35 00:01:58,920 --> 00:02:02,000 Speaker 1: actually they it in almost exactly the same manner and 36 00:02:02,080 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 1: got caught just completely get I mean, forget about the 37 00:02:05,200 --> 00:02:07,440 Speaker 1: buis like, they just got it wrong. So we'll break 38 00:02:07,440 --> 00:02:10,919 Speaker 1: all of that down for you and CNN our friends 39 00:02:10,919 --> 00:02:14,639 Speaker 1: over there making some very big moves reshuffling their lineup. 40 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 1: Don Lemon getting kicked off of his primetime show, getting 41 00:02:18,440 --> 00:02:21,800 Speaker 1: moved to the morning swearing that it's definitely not a demotion. 42 00:02:22,000 --> 00:02:23,720 Speaker 1: We're going to do it. We'll talk about all of that, 43 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:27,520 Speaker 1: and we also have an update from Sager on TikTok. 44 00:02:27,600 --> 00:02:30,680 Speaker 1: Update from me on the rail strike. Was it averted? 45 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:32,720 Speaker 1: Are we still facing a showdown? And all of that. 46 00:02:32,800 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 1: But before we get to that, we were in Atlanta 47 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:38,840 Speaker 1: over the weekend. We had an incredible time. If we 48 00:02:38,840 --> 00:02:41,040 Speaker 1: see amslow and a little tired this morning, it's because 49 00:02:41,080 --> 00:02:45,080 Speaker 1: we are. I don't know, show people, I really don't it. 50 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:47,840 Speaker 1: It's a tough game. It takes so much out of you. 51 00:02:48,639 --> 00:02:50,519 Speaker 1: But we had a truly wonderful time. It was great 52 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: to just feel the energy of all these people in 53 00:02:52,520 --> 00:02:55,000 Speaker 1: the room and we interact with them and all fans 54 00:02:55,040 --> 00:02:57,080 Speaker 1: and meeting people and having such a great time. It 55 00:02:57,080 --> 00:02:59,440 Speaker 1: was a real participatory show, like we asked a lot 56 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:03,120 Speaker 1: of questions and we just put together engage exactly. Yeah, 57 00:03:03,520 --> 00:03:05,960 Speaker 1: we wanted to just make sure, you know, the people 58 00:03:06,000 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 1: who are at the show know this, but it was 59 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,040 Speaker 1: all just about thank you to the audience. All of 60 00:03:10,080 --> 00:03:12,080 Speaker 1: you showed up for us, as that's how we were 61 00:03:12,080 --> 00:03:14,040 Speaker 1: thinking about it. So from the shows from here on out, 62 00:03:14,280 --> 00:03:17,400 Speaker 1: the vibe was good. Vibes only everything was positive. That's 63 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: something that we really wanted to program entirely in the show, 64 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: and not just making a good show, but a good 65 00:03:21,360 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: experience for everybody, Like while they were there with each other, 66 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:26,960 Speaker 1: people were talking, having a great time. We put together 67 00:03:27,280 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: a little promo reel just to show you what exactly 68 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:32,520 Speaker 1: it was like there in Atlanta and to show you 69 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:36,200 Speaker 1: why you should buy tickets to Chicago and to future shows. 70 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 1: So we're gonna have links to the Chicago show in 71 00:03:38,520 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 1: the description. If you live in the vicinity, here's a 72 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:44,440 Speaker 1: little taste of what you can expect. We wanted to 73 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: start Sager Overrol. We finally have wepen the announcement the link. 74 00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:54,080 Speaker 1: It's all over Pattle. After I've gone to war for 75 00:03:54,160 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 1: all of you, We're coming to Atlanta, Hia. It gives 76 00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:21,560 Speaker 1: me great pleasure to say this good evening, everybody. We 77 00:04:21,680 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 1: have an amazing show for all of you Atlanta. Hristle. 78 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:30,280 Speaker 1: What do we have today? So guys, we are very 79 00:04:30,680 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: very excited to be here with you this evening. We 80 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:37,000 Speaker 1: have all kinds of things planned for you. Our friend 81 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:39,559 Speaker 1: Kyle and Marshall are going to join us a little while. 82 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:43,159 Speaker 1: We love y'all. Thank you so much, and we will 83 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:47,159 Speaker 1: see you. We'll see you all next time. We'll see 84 00:04:47,160 --> 00:04:49,320 Speaker 1: you on Brandy. I want to thank you, every single 85 00:04:49,320 --> 00:04:55,640 Speaker 1: one of you. Thank you so much. Wow. I do 86 00:04:55,720 --> 00:04:57,800 Speaker 1: not wish anyone else the curse of having to hear 87 00:04:57,839 --> 00:05:00,479 Speaker 1: your own voice. But it was a great show. We 88 00:05:00,520 --> 00:05:03,400 Speaker 1: had a great time. I think everybody there really enjoyed it. 89 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 1: So we had a lot of fun segments. We learned 90 00:05:05,200 --> 00:05:06,919 Speaker 1: to some lessons about things we're going to turn up 91 00:05:07,200 --> 00:05:09,880 Speaker 1: more well during the next show. Because we asked people 92 00:05:09,960 --> 00:05:12,120 Speaker 1: in the audience where they came from, right, and of course, 93 00:05:12,160 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 1: I mean you had a lot of people actually not 94 00:05:13,880 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 1: even that many people from Atlanta. There are way more 95 00:05:15,960 --> 00:05:19,840 Speaker 1: people from out Georgia and Georgia, a bunch of East Coast, 96 00:05:19,920 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 1: bunch of like Midwest, bunch of West Coast. Then we 97 00:05:22,520 --> 00:05:24,320 Speaker 1: started to saying, okay, were there people that came from 98 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,800 Speaker 1: out of the country. Somebody came from Japan. Yeah, yeah, 99 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: we had Japan, we had New Zealand, we had two 100 00:05:30,160 --> 00:05:33,400 Speaker 1: two people from It was wild to me. So yeah, 101 00:05:33,440 --> 00:05:35,720 Speaker 1: the people who came from New Zealand. You got a 102 00:05:35,760 --> 00:05:38,120 Speaker 1: T shirt for being from the shout outs to way Yeah, 103 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:40,640 Speaker 1: that's our that's our gimmick, which is that whoever comes 104 00:05:40,640 --> 00:05:42,680 Speaker 1: from the farthest away just a T shirt. That's the 105 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,960 Speaker 1: bare minimum of our gratitude. Originally the thought was to 106 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:48,040 Speaker 1: send them home with our like monologue, but how is 107 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:50,039 Speaker 1: it going to take them on the plane? Was like 108 00:05:50,080 --> 00:05:53,080 Speaker 1: a curse. It's a curse then again, so we're not 109 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: going to curse. So thank you all so so much 110 00:05:56,040 --> 00:05:58,280 Speaker 1: for coming. That's why we've got Chicago. We've got the 111 00:05:58,279 --> 00:06:00,320 Speaker 1: tickets down there. If you're in the Midwest, Vicinity highly 112 00:06:00,360 --> 00:06:02,919 Speaker 1: recommend buying those tickets. The pace is going to be 113 00:06:03,080 --> 00:06:05,120 Speaker 1: kind of like one a month, So we've got it 114 00:06:05,200 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 1: right there the vic Theater, Chicago, October fifteenth. The tickets 115 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:10,920 Speaker 1: are on sale now for the general public. There is 116 00:06:10,960 --> 00:06:13,560 Speaker 1: a link down in the description of this video. Also, 117 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:17,800 Speaker 1: it Friday was not just Atlanta. It was Counterpoints. The 118 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:21,599 Speaker 1: launch of Counterpoints, which was awesome. They did a fantastic job. 119 00:06:22,040 --> 00:06:24,400 Speaker 1: You guys really responded to it. It did really really 120 00:06:24,440 --> 00:06:27,320 Speaker 1: well for a debut show, both on podcasts on YouTube, 121 00:06:27,360 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 1: So we're really happy with how it all turned out. 122 00:06:30,040 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 1: I mean, sending your feedback, Premium members and others like 123 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:35,680 Speaker 1: obviously and just you know, we just want to thank 124 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:37,480 Speaker 1: you all so much, so many of the people who've 125 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,320 Speaker 1: signed up to continue to fund the expansion of things 126 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:42,880 Speaker 1: like Counterpoints, our partners and all that. We have that 127 00:06:42,960 --> 00:06:45,640 Speaker 1: discount going on right now ten percent as a Counterpoints 128 00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:48,800 Speaker 1: special until I think, what is it October fifth, I 129 00:06:48,880 --> 00:06:52,360 Speaker 1: forget whatever if you guys wanted extended to it. As 130 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: you see, we have very rigid corporate practice. October fifth, 131 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:56,840 Speaker 1: We've got the discount there so you can get ten 132 00:06:56,880 --> 00:06:59,080 Speaker 1: percent off on your annual membership. That's the one that 133 00:06:59,160 --> 00:07:02,239 Speaker 1: absolutely helps us most in terms of cash flow planning 134 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:03,640 Speaker 1: and all of those things. So thank you all to 135 00:07:03,640 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: those who've taken advantage of it so far. It really 136 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:07,160 Speaker 1: does mean a lot. That was one of the thing 137 00:07:07,200 --> 00:07:09,720 Speaker 1: that was really cool about being live in Atlanta is 138 00:07:09,760 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: to see how psyched people were about counter Yeah, it 139 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:14,200 Speaker 1: got a huge pop, like it was a cheer spot 140 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:17,880 Speaker 1: to the launch of Counterpoints. So that was exciting to see. 141 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:20,560 Speaker 1: And like you said, I watched back the show. Obviously 142 00:07:20,560 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 1: we're a little bitusy on Friday getting ready for our 143 00:07:23,560 --> 00:07:25,400 Speaker 1: live show, but I watched it back and yeah, I 144 00:07:25,400 --> 00:07:28,040 Speaker 1: thought they did a phenomenal job. They got great chemistry together, 145 00:07:28,320 --> 00:07:32,320 Speaker 1: very thoughtful content, and as we said before, like their 146 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,160 Speaker 1: ideological differences are a little different than ours, the things 147 00:07:35,160 --> 00:07:37,160 Speaker 1: they focus on are a little bit different. So I 148 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 1: really like having that added into the mix with you. 149 00:07:40,000 --> 00:07:42,040 Speaker 1: As to the whole content, I thought Emily did a 150 00:07:42,080 --> 00:07:44,240 Speaker 1: great job on the border thing also, and that means 151 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:45,880 Speaker 1: we don't have to cover it since you already did. 152 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: So I was like, that's great. I was like, thank you, Emily. 153 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 1: That was another you know. The other thing was they 154 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 1: got they get to cover timely stuff like there was 155 00:07:52,920 --> 00:07:55,120 Speaker 1: the Trump comments, they covered it, they had the you know, 156 00:07:55,160 --> 00:07:57,560 Speaker 1: and that's one of my only regrets, Like with the schedules, 157 00:07:57,560 --> 00:07:58,920 Speaker 1: sometimes we had to wait a couple of days, so 158 00:07:58,960 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 1: the audience got you know, like an immediate take with that, 159 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:04,080 Speaker 1: which is something the stuff that gets left the longest 160 00:08:04,240 --> 00:08:07,200 Speaker 1: is things that break like Thursday. For things that break 161 00:08:07,280 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 1: Thursday afternoon, then we don't get a chance to cover 162 00:08:10,360 --> 00:08:13,040 Speaker 1: until Monday. So now we have them to you know, 163 00:08:13,080 --> 00:08:15,240 Speaker 1: cover in a timely manner things that are breaking over 164 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:17,600 Speaker 1: Thursday and Friday. So I do think it fills a 165 00:08:17,600 --> 00:08:19,560 Speaker 1: hole in terms of, you know, what we're able to 166 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:22,040 Speaker 1: provide here. So absolutely congrats to them, Thank you guys 167 00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:24,640 Speaker 1: for the great response. Thank you to Atlanta, and would 168 00:08:24,640 --> 00:08:26,160 Speaker 1: love for you to jump on top of getting the 169 00:08:26,280 --> 00:08:29,040 Speaker 1: Chicago tickets. It's now open to anyone can go out 170 00:08:29,080 --> 00:08:32,120 Speaker 1: and grab the tickets. Response already has been super, super positive, 171 00:08:32,200 --> 00:08:34,480 Speaker 1: so very excited about that. Yes, everyone will be recovered 172 00:08:34,480 --> 00:08:37,360 Speaker 1: by that. Everyone who attended. I've gotten so many amazing 173 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:39,680 Speaker 1: messages and you know, tweets, instagrams, like all those people 174 00:08:39,720 --> 00:08:41,800 Speaker 1: are just so happy to be there. My favorite part 175 00:08:41,840 --> 00:08:43,480 Speaker 1: was not even about them come to see us, is 176 00:08:43,480 --> 00:08:45,800 Speaker 1: them connecting with each other. Yeah, talking, you know, having 177 00:08:45,840 --> 00:08:47,599 Speaker 1: a good time. Apparently there are people having debates in 178 00:08:47,640 --> 00:08:49,320 Speaker 1: the audience with each other, very friendly debate. It was 179 00:08:50,280 --> 00:08:52,120 Speaker 1: I love that. I mean, this was actually this kind 180 00:08:52,120 --> 00:08:54,120 Speaker 1: of blew Kyle's mind because you know, we talk all 181 00:08:54,160 --> 00:08:57,240 Speaker 1: the time about the audience is really ideological diverse. It 182 00:08:57,280 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: really is across the map, and in real time, we 183 00:08:59,480 --> 00:09:01,720 Speaker 1: did a debate on student loan debt. Like you could 184 00:09:01,720 --> 00:09:03,880 Speaker 1: see the audience was fifty I mean, it was completely 185 00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:09,360 Speaker 1: finding it and like, imagine what other podcast or show 186 00:09:09,520 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 1: or anything can actually bring those people together and like 187 00:09:12,720 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: nothing but love in the room when you have that 188 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:18,360 Speaker 1: total divide on a like central issue right now. So 189 00:09:18,400 --> 00:09:20,680 Speaker 1: it was cool to see that live the like diversity 190 00:09:20,720 --> 00:09:23,079 Speaker 1: and a a lot of the age ever, racial everything, I mean, 191 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 1: across the board. So it really was. It did. Even 192 00:09:27,679 --> 00:09:30,040 Speaker 1: though I'm tired today, it did restore me in a 193 00:09:30,080 --> 00:09:33,360 Speaker 1: certain way as well to just be with everybody and 194 00:09:33,520 --> 00:09:35,720 Speaker 1: reconnect with the people who you know, the show really 195 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:37,440 Speaker 1: means something to them. So thank you to everyone who's 196 00:09:37,440 --> 00:09:39,559 Speaker 1: everyone from a ninety year old to like, I think 197 00:09:39,559 --> 00:09:41,120 Speaker 1: there was a child. There was a kid there with 198 00:09:41,120 --> 00:09:44,520 Speaker 1: a fine Yeah, like a small child, so yeah, which 199 00:09:44,520 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: I love. That might have purbed someone. Yeah, I didn't 200 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:48,840 Speaker 1: know he was there, there was a kid there. Afterwards, 201 00:09:49,920 --> 00:09:52,480 Speaker 1: language it is what it is, you know. Just I 202 00:09:52,480 --> 00:09:54,480 Speaker 1: guess we should put a rating, you know whatever in 203 00:09:54,520 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 1: the future. So thank you all so so much. All right, 204 00:09:57,080 --> 00:09:59,679 Speaker 1: let's get to the show. And this is one of 205 00:09:59,720 --> 00:10:01,640 Speaker 1: the most important things, and we often talk about here. 206 00:10:01,679 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: There's you know, things going on in politics day to day, polling, 207 00:10:04,559 --> 00:10:07,240 Speaker 1: et cetera. But probably the most important thing that we 208 00:10:07,280 --> 00:10:10,240 Speaker 1: all try to avoid is a nuclear exchange. So anytime 209 00:10:10,240 --> 00:10:12,520 Speaker 1: that there's an update or news on the nuclear front, 210 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:14,920 Speaker 1: I think that generally should be the leading thing that 211 00:10:14,960 --> 00:10:17,319 Speaker 1: we start with. And that's exactly what happened President Biden 212 00:10:17,400 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 1: sitting down with sixteen minutes. There's a lot of stuff 213 00:10:19,520 --> 00:10:21,520 Speaker 1: in the show that we'll talk about today with regards 214 00:10:21,559 --> 00:10:24,280 Speaker 1: to that, but in my opinion, the most important one 215 00:10:24,320 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 1: was whenever Scott Pelly actually asked President Biden about fears 216 00:10:28,120 --> 00:10:31,079 Speaker 1: that Putin was feeling embarrassed and may ramp up his 217 00:10:31,120 --> 00:10:34,520 Speaker 1: military campaign in Ukraine, and especially what would the US 218 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,480 Speaker 1: response be and the Western Allied response be to any 219 00:10:37,520 --> 00:10:40,960 Speaker 1: sort of chemical or nuclear or biological attack. Here's what 220 00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:45,160 Speaker 1: President Biden had to say. As Ukraine succeeds on the battlefield, 221 00:10:45,880 --> 00:10:49,840 Speaker 1: Vladimir Putin is becoming embarrassed and pushed into a corner. 222 00:10:51,120 --> 00:10:53,760 Speaker 1: And I wonder, mister President, what you would say to 223 00:10:53,840 --> 00:10:59,040 Speaker 1: him if he is considering using chemical or tactical nuclear weapons. 224 00:10:59,400 --> 00:11:06,400 Speaker 1: Don't don't don't. It will change the face of war 225 00:11:07,480 --> 00:11:11,319 Speaker 1: unlike anything since World War Two, And the consequences of 226 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:14,760 Speaker 1: that would be what what would the US response be? 227 00:11:15,400 --> 00:11:17,040 Speaker 1: Do you think I would tell you if I knew 228 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:18,959 Speaker 1: exactly what it would be. Of course, I'm not going 229 00:11:19,000 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 1: to tell you. It'll be consequential, They'll become more of 230 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:24,839 Speaker 1: a pariah in the world than they ever have been, 231 00:11:25,280 --> 00:11:27,199 Speaker 1: and depending on the extent of what they do, will 232 00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 1: determine what response was there. It would be consequential an 233 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:34,160 Speaker 1: important line being drawn there by the President, and especially 234 00:11:34,200 --> 00:11:36,160 Speaker 1: as things on the ground in Ukraine changing up at 235 00:11:36,200 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 1: the same time, though not everything is as hawkish as 236 00:11:38,960 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 1: some might believe. And this is always a strange thing 237 00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:44,560 Speaker 1: with Biden. On the one hand, he has basically shipped 238 00:11:44,679 --> 00:11:47,680 Speaker 1: Ukraine almost everything that they want. We've passed like billions 239 00:11:47,679 --> 00:11:49,920 Speaker 1: and billions. They want fifteen more billion on top of 240 00:11:49,920 --> 00:11:52,199 Speaker 1: the forty billion that we've already sent to Ukraine. He's 241 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 1: like nothing without Ukraine without Ukraine. First, all of that, 242 00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:57,720 Speaker 1: but then behind the scenes, apparently he's having a real 243 00:11:57,760 --> 00:12:00,640 Speaker 1: spat right now with Zelensky. So let's put this up there, 244 00:12:00,800 --> 00:12:03,560 Speaker 1: which is that Zelenski and the Ukrainian government is making 245 00:12:03,600 --> 00:12:06,000 Speaker 1: a major campaign to hawks in the US media and 246 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 1: on Congress to ship them long range missile systems, long 247 00:12:10,000 --> 00:12:14,239 Speaker 1: range guided missile systems, specifically because Ukraine wants new options 248 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,400 Speaker 1: for striking Crimea. And I talked about this previously, which 249 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:20,600 Speaker 1: is that Biden, however, has concluded that it would be 250 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:25,200 Speaker 1: seen as a quote major provocation by the Ukrainians and 251 00:12:25,320 --> 00:12:27,439 Speaker 1: especially on behalf of the United States, if we were 252 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:30,200 Speaker 1: to specifically provide them weapons so that they could strike 253 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:33,240 Speaker 1: deeper into Crimea. And obviously the reason why that's important 254 00:12:33,280 --> 00:12:37,480 Speaker 1: is that, of course Ukraine considers Crimea part of Ukraine. However, 255 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:40,960 Speaker 1: the Russians annexed it. According to them in twenty fourteen, 256 00:12:41,040 --> 00:12:43,800 Speaker 1: they see it as sovereign Russian territory. So, you know, 257 00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:45,800 Speaker 1: obviously it's all in the eyes of the beholder as 258 00:12:45,840 --> 00:12:49,360 Speaker 1: to what exactly a provocation is or means. And apparently 259 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,679 Speaker 1: it seems that US Intel and Biden specifically see this 260 00:12:52,720 --> 00:12:55,000 Speaker 1: as something that could really push things in the wrong 261 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:58,360 Speaker 1: direction Crystal. So it's fascinating to kind of see Biden's 262 00:12:58,400 --> 00:13:00,520 Speaker 1: own red lines as to like what he will test 263 00:13:00,559 --> 00:13:02,800 Speaker 1: and what he won't. Yeah, and of course we always 264 00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,000 Speaker 1: take you know, your Times or any mainstream reporting with 265 00:13:05,040 --> 00:13:06,560 Speaker 1: a grain of salt. It was a really I mean, 266 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:08,560 Speaker 1: it was a really fascinating look at the debates that 267 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,920 Speaker 1: are unfolding inside of the administration and may very well 268 00:13:11,960 --> 00:13:14,280 Speaker 1: have been leaked by you know, a hawk, a general 269 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,400 Speaker 1: or one certainly the case he wants to try to 270 00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,200 Speaker 1: pressure him and show like, oh, you're not doing everything 271 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,720 Speaker 1: you could do to support Ukraine. Biden, according to the story, 272 00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 1: keeps telling his aids, we're trying to avoid World War three. 273 00:13:27,679 --> 00:13:30,440 Speaker 1: So good to see that he has that in mind 274 00:13:30,559 --> 00:13:34,000 Speaker 1: as a concern. Because the bottom line is the missiles, 275 00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 1: the longer range missiles that Ukraine is requesting right now. 276 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:39,920 Speaker 1: I mean, it's very hard to really characterize them as 277 00:13:40,080 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 1: just defensive AID. It's very hard to avoid the implication 278 00:13:43,040 --> 00:13:45,200 Speaker 1: that you know, yes, Lensky swears up and down of 279 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:48,200 Speaker 1: course he wouldn't strike inside Russia, but these would be 280 00:13:48,320 --> 00:13:51,600 Speaker 1: capable of striking inside of Russia. And you know, I 281 00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:55,319 Speaker 1: don't think that anyone can really trust that in the 282 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:58,840 Speaker 1: heat of war, if things got desperate, that there might 283 00:13:58,920 --> 00:14:02,160 Speaker 1: be some escal on that front. And even if there's not, 284 00:14:02,760 --> 00:14:06,600 Speaker 1: how would putin read this, you know, this latest escalation 285 00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,880 Speaker 1: from US providing these longer range weapons. What they said 286 00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:13,040 Speaker 1: is they feel so far that they have succeeded at 287 00:14:13,160 --> 00:14:17,200 Speaker 1: quote boiling the frog, meaning that if we had started 288 00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 1: out of the gates with all of the aid and 289 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:22,920 Speaker 1: the intelligence sharing and everything that we're doing in this 290 00:14:23,040 --> 00:14:25,480 Speaker 1: war now where it is effectively a proxy war, and 291 00:14:25,480 --> 00:14:28,160 Speaker 1: Putin is, you know, the conversation in Russia is very 292 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:29,960 Speaker 1: much like we are at war with the US and 293 00:14:29,960 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: with NATO. If we had started with all of that, 294 00:14:32,680 --> 00:14:35,720 Speaker 1: it would have been much more provocative. Putin would have responded, 295 00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:38,960 Speaker 1: likely in a much more aggressive manner. But because we 296 00:14:39,080 --> 00:14:43,080 Speaker 1: built up step by step by step without taking any 297 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:47,160 Speaker 1: huge leaps in terms of escalation, that their view is 298 00:14:47,400 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: we have succeeded at boiling the frog. So that's kind 299 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:53,080 Speaker 1: of Biden's goal, at least as presented by this article. 300 00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:57,240 Speaker 1: With regards to his comments on you know, nuclear use 301 00:14:57,280 --> 00:15:00,000 Speaker 1: of nuclear weapons by Russia and what would be the response, 302 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 1: Biden said something there that was interesting. He said, well, 303 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:06,200 Speaker 1: it kind of depends on what exactly they do, and 304 00:15:06,240 --> 00:15:08,360 Speaker 1: what he seems to be referring to there is there 305 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:12,320 Speaker 1: is deepening concern within the administration that is Putin and 306 00:15:12,320 --> 00:15:14,960 Speaker 1: the Russians, you know, have more losses and then he 307 00:15:15,000 --> 00:15:16,960 Speaker 1: gets more desperate. And this is something we've talked about 308 00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:18,800 Speaker 1: from the beginning of the war, this idea of gambling 309 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 1: for resurrection, that he may have his hand forced and 310 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:26,240 Speaker 1: take more sort of outrageous actions, whether it is use 311 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 1: of what they call this tactical nukes or whether it's 312 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:32,760 Speaker 1: something like hitting supply lines or you know, targeting government 313 00:15:32,760 --> 00:15:36,080 Speaker 1: buildings in Kiev. But what they're concerned about is that 314 00:15:36,120 --> 00:15:39,000 Speaker 1: he might detonate some sort of nuclear weapon in not 315 00:15:39,240 --> 00:15:42,320 Speaker 1: in Ukraine, but like a test. And so then when 316 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:43,920 Speaker 1: he says, you know, it kind of depends on what 317 00:15:44,640 --> 00:15:47,920 Speaker 1: Putin ultimately does. Those are the sorts of scenarios that 318 00:15:47,920 --> 00:15:50,760 Speaker 1: they're thinking through. It sort of reminds me of before 319 00:15:50,920 --> 00:15:54,200 Speaker 1: Russia invaded Ukraine. Remember we used to joke about. Biden 320 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:56,000 Speaker 1: was like, well, maybe if Putin does like the just 321 00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:59,560 Speaker 1: the tip invasion, that's kind of what he's referring to here, 322 00:15:59,640 --> 00:16:03,720 Speaker 1: is like just the tip nuclear weapon detonation, which I'm 323 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:06,600 Speaker 1: not sure that such a thing is really possible. It's 324 00:16:06,600 --> 00:16:10,680 Speaker 1: a kind of all or nothing scenarios. So always important 325 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,480 Speaker 1: to remember what the stakes ultimately here are and how 326 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:15,640 Speaker 1: grave and how serious they are. Oh absolutely, I mean 327 00:16:15,680 --> 00:16:17,920 Speaker 1: even a nuclear test like what you're discussing would be 328 00:16:17,960 --> 00:16:23,800 Speaker 1: a tremendously tremendously Askiltory ban As. I recall, I don't 329 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:26,720 Speaker 1: believe that Russia has like above ground tested a nuclear 330 00:16:26,760 --> 00:16:29,840 Speaker 1: weapons since the days of the Soviet Union. I'm pretty 331 00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:32,000 Speaker 1: sure I could be completely wrong on that, but that's 332 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,040 Speaker 1: part of the reason why whenever North Korea would do 333 00:16:34,080 --> 00:16:36,400 Speaker 1: those you know, nuclear tests like inside of a mountain 334 00:16:36,520 --> 00:16:38,880 Speaker 1: or yeah, freak out a not only from radiation, but 335 00:16:38,880 --> 00:16:41,280 Speaker 1: it's like that is just that's exactly how we got 336 00:16:41,280 --> 00:16:43,400 Speaker 1: to the Cuban missile crisis back in nineteen sixty three. 337 00:16:43,400 --> 00:16:45,360 Speaker 1: And there's a reason that we all signed the nuclear 338 00:16:45,360 --> 00:16:47,200 Speaker 1: test Ban Treaty and all that, because it was a 339 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:49,640 Speaker 1: literal utter madness that was happening here. I don't know 340 00:16:49,760 --> 00:16:52,440 Speaker 1: exactly what's on the table, however, with Putin, I mean, look, 341 00:16:52,440 --> 00:16:54,600 Speaker 1: we should take the guy seriously. He's got his back 342 00:16:54,640 --> 00:16:57,400 Speaker 1: against the corner. We have no idea exactly what he's 343 00:16:57,440 --> 00:17:00,440 Speaker 1: going to do. Obviously domestically more precarious in my than 344 00:17:00,440 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: probably at any time in his presidency. And you know, 345 00:17:03,280 --> 00:17:05,359 Speaker 1: he's signaling to the Ukrainians. Let's put this up there. 346 00:17:05,480 --> 00:17:09,600 Speaker 1: At most recent conference in Uzbekistan in Samarkand here's what 347 00:17:09,640 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: he says. Quote, Phutin warns Ukraine the war can get 348 00:17:13,040 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 1: more serious. Speaking, he said the invasion was a necessary 349 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,359 Speaker 1: step to prevent what he said was a Western plot 350 00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:21,199 Speaker 1: to break Russia. Apart, and here's exactly what he said. Quote, 351 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:23,719 Speaker 1: the Kiev authorities announced that they have launched and are 352 00:17:23,720 --> 00:17:28,119 Speaker 1: conducting an active counter offensive. Will we'll see how it develops, 353 00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,360 Speaker 1: how it ends up, he said with a grim and 354 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:35,919 Speaker 1: warned things can get more serious. Specifically, recently, the Russian 355 00:17:36,000 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: armed forces have inflicted a couple of sensitive blows. Let's 356 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:42,000 Speaker 1: assume they're a warning. If the situation continues to develop 357 00:17:42,119 --> 00:17:46,119 Speaker 1: like this, the situation will be more serious. Obviously, you 358 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: know casting that. So look, I mean, there's dangerous stakes 359 00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:51,280 Speaker 1: here in the war. It doesn't all necessarily stop at 360 00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:53,560 Speaker 1: the conventional conflict that we're seeing right there on the 361 00:17:53,560 --> 00:17:57,000 Speaker 1: ground and all the rhetoric. I mean, yes, Biden did 362 00:17:57,000 --> 00:18:00,160 Speaker 1: respond to this as a result of a question. However, 363 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:02,520 Speaker 1: I have to believe that with all the environment kind 364 00:18:02,560 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 1: of as it is, with the New York Times discussing 365 00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:07,080 Speaker 1: this putin saying things more serious, that the concern about 366 00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:10,119 Speaker 1: this is very, very high. And actually I also found 367 00:18:10,280 --> 00:18:12,359 Speaker 1: a very interesting quote which is Colin Kahal. He's a 368 00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:15,120 Speaker 1: Secretary of Defense for policy, very close to President Biden, 369 00:18:15,240 --> 00:18:17,480 Speaker 1: used to be his foreign policy advisor. I've spoken with 370 00:18:17,560 --> 00:18:19,679 Speaker 1: him a little bit in the past. He gave a 371 00:18:19,760 --> 00:18:23,320 Speaker 1: statement specifically to The Times, which gave credence to this quote. 372 00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:27,399 Speaker 1: Ukraine's success on the battlefield could cause Russia to feel 373 00:18:27,440 --> 00:18:30,720 Speaker 1: backed into a corner. That is something we must remain 374 00:18:30,920 --> 00:18:34,280 Speaker 1: mindful of. That is directly from the Secretary of Defense 375 00:18:34,480 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: for Policy and the Pentagon, one of the most important 376 00:18:36,520 --> 00:18:39,400 Speaker 1: positions in national security, and someone who I know has 377 00:18:39,440 --> 00:18:41,440 Speaker 1: the absolute ear of the President and worked for him 378 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,520 Speaker 1: for a long time when in the Obama administration. So 379 00:18:43,840 --> 00:18:45,440 Speaker 1: that gives us a little bit of a view into 380 00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,119 Speaker 1: where they're thinking and like what exactly their thought process 381 00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,160 Speaker 1: is right now. I mean, just ask yourself the question, 382 00:18:50,640 --> 00:18:52,560 Speaker 1: are they going to just are they going to let 383 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:54,840 Speaker 1: themselves just lose? Or are they going to ask because 384 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:58,360 Speaker 1: I mean, right now they are sustaining significant battlefield losses. 385 00:18:58,400 --> 00:19:00,920 Speaker 1: Obviously will have an update for you the very latest, 386 00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:05,639 Speaker 1: but they also are getting hurt economically and humiliated in 387 00:19:05,680 --> 00:19:07,359 Speaker 1: the eyes of the world. I mean that probably matters 388 00:19:07,359 --> 00:19:09,720 Speaker 1: more than anything. That's very true. I mean, as gas 389 00:19:09,800 --> 00:19:12,840 Speaker 1: prices have fallen, all of the coverage we did earlier 390 00:19:12,880 --> 00:19:16,040 Speaker 1: about how like the sanctions regime isn't really hurting Russia 391 00:19:16,080 --> 00:19:19,879 Speaker 1: that much. That is not the case as much anymore, 392 00:19:20,080 --> 00:19:23,359 Speaker 1: because as gas prices have fallen, that means they're getting 393 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:25,639 Speaker 1: a lot less into their treasury and it's becoming a 394 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:28,720 Speaker 1: lot more difficult to sustain. At the same time, you know, 395 00:19:28,760 --> 00:19:30,879 Speaker 1: European governments are starting to get their acts together in 396 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:33,919 Speaker 1: terms of like backstopping their own population making so they 397 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:36,600 Speaker 1: can get through the winter. Russia has already kind of 398 00:19:36,640 --> 00:19:39,400 Speaker 1: blown their wad in terms of their own economic warfare 399 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:43,359 Speaker 1: against Europe, so even on that front, things are getting 400 00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 1: increasingly difficult as well as energy prices have been consistently falling. 401 00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,919 Speaker 1: So so yeah, just ask yourself, do you think that 402 00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:52,959 Speaker 1: Putin is just going to kind of stay the course 403 00:19:53,480 --> 00:19:57,520 Speaker 1: even as they're being defeated in you know, on a 404 00:19:57,560 --> 00:20:00,840 Speaker 1: variety of fronts and the pressure that he's getting domestically. 405 00:20:00,840 --> 00:20:02,560 Speaker 1: And I think it's really important that we just continue 406 00:20:02,600 --> 00:20:06,240 Speaker 1: to underscore this isn't from the doves, it's from the hawks. 407 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 1: It's from the people who are saying, you aren't doing enough, 408 00:20:09,040 --> 00:20:11,680 Speaker 1: you aren't going far enough. We need to strike those 409 00:20:11,720 --> 00:20:14,280 Speaker 1: government buildings, we need to disrupt the supply lines. We 410 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:18,439 Speaker 1: need to have full scale mobilization and conscription so that 411 00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 1: we can have an all full on assault. So that's 412 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,520 Speaker 1: the pressure that's coming domestically not to end the war. 413 00:20:24,680 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 1: So that's I think always important context keeps in mind 414 00:20:27,560 --> 00:20:29,120 Speaker 1: and all let's also go to the next part here. 415 00:20:29,119 --> 00:20:31,639 Speaker 1: This is very important, which is that for a while 416 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,399 Speaker 1: what we were trying to understand was the relationship between 417 00:20:34,520 --> 00:20:37,600 Speaker 1: China and Russia and how exactly China was looking at 418 00:20:37,640 --> 00:20:40,199 Speaker 1: this conflict, whether it was positive. There does seem to 419 00:20:40,240 --> 00:20:42,640 Speaker 1: have been some sort of green light from Shishin Pang 420 00:20:42,720 --> 00:20:44,600 Speaker 1: at the very least, like you probably knew about it 421 00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:46,439 Speaker 1: before it was going to happen, given their meeting at 422 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:49,360 Speaker 1: the Olympics before the invasion. At the same time, there's 423 00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 1: been speculation as to whether and how much support their 424 00:20:52,200 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 1: Chinese would give the Russians. They're going to buy their oil, 425 00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:56,359 Speaker 1: but so far have not shipped them any weapons and 426 00:20:56,400 --> 00:20:58,840 Speaker 1: are becoming very uncomfortable or about to talk a top 427 00:20:58,920 --> 00:21:01,960 Speaker 1: Taiwan in a little bit, because it actually just showed 428 00:21:02,000 --> 00:21:05,480 Speaker 1: you the tremendous political response that would come like Ukraine, 429 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:08,119 Speaker 1: which is, look, let's be honest, like you know, emotional, 430 00:21:08,200 --> 00:21:12,000 Speaker 1: but not as nearly economically important. If that's the response there, 431 00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,399 Speaker 1: I mean, just consider what it would mean then for 432 00:21:14,440 --> 00:21:16,560 Speaker 1: the Chinese was very eye opening and also in terms 433 00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:20,080 Speaker 1: of what inferior military can inflict whenever you're literally fighting 434 00:21:20,240 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 1: for your life, and especially with Western support. So what 435 00:21:23,400 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 1: happened very recently in Uzbekistan at this conference where both 436 00:21:29,200 --> 00:21:32,440 Speaker 1: Chinese President Shishinping and the Range Remodi of India were 437 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:37,639 Speaker 1: was a very stiff arm from both countries publicly towards Putin. 438 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:40,399 Speaker 1: And that is a genuinely shocking event because it just 439 00:21:40,400 --> 00:21:44,000 Speaker 1: shows you how isolated Russia is, even with ostensible allies, 440 00:21:44,119 --> 00:21:46,080 Speaker 1: or in the case of India, not an ally but 441 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:48,560 Speaker 1: a non aligned country who's like, we're in it for ourselves. 442 00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:50,520 Speaker 1: They were really trying to be neutral. They're like, look, 443 00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,040 Speaker 1: you know, we're friends with this is what they did 444 00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:53,800 Speaker 1: during the Cold War. They're like, yeah, look we'll play 445 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:55,199 Speaker 1: with the Ovia Union, play with They're like, who's going 446 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 1: to pay us more? Which, you know, how can you 447 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:58,800 Speaker 1: blame them? All? Right, let's put this up there on 448 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 1: the screen. So from the Financial Times, what a lot 449 00:22:01,840 --> 00:22:04,600 Speaker 1: of people are viewing is that the Ji and Mody 450 00:22:04,640 --> 00:22:07,600 Speaker 1: made clear at this conference that while they'll appear with Putin, 451 00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:12,520 Speaker 1: they are quote not standing with Putin. Mody's comments were 452 00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:16,680 Speaker 1: the most significant whenever he was with Putin. He specifically 453 00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,119 Speaker 1: said in Hindi, which was then translated directly, and by 454 00:22:19,160 --> 00:22:22,080 Speaker 1: the way, they know exactly what they are saying. This 455 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:25,480 Speaker 1: is the direct English translation from the Indian government. Today's 456 00:22:25,600 --> 00:22:29,520 Speaker 1: era is not an era of war. He specifically told 457 00:22:29,560 --> 00:22:33,560 Speaker 1: that to Putin in the bilateral meeting. That was a 458 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:37,000 Speaker 1: in diplomatic speak, that's like a backhand across the face, 459 00:22:37,080 --> 00:22:39,600 Speaker 1: that's like, I don't support what you're doing. I want 460 00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:42,000 Speaker 1: this war to end as soon as possible. He's like, yeah, 461 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:44,080 Speaker 1: I'll take your oil at a cheap discount and I'll 462 00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:45,840 Speaker 1: sit down with you because you send me a lot 463 00:22:45,880 --> 00:22:47,880 Speaker 1: of oil. But don't think for a second that I'm 464 00:22:47,880 --> 00:22:50,600 Speaker 1: like supporting what exactly you're doing here in Ukraine. It's 465 00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:52,919 Speaker 1: very much I'm in this for myself. I'm not going 466 00:22:53,000 --> 00:22:56,159 Speaker 1: to listen to some of the Western finger wagging at me. 467 00:22:56,359 --> 00:22:59,080 Speaker 1: But don't think that I'm just sitting here and supporting 468 00:22:59,119 --> 00:23:02,040 Speaker 1: exactly what you're doing there. Putin was a little bit 469 00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:04,120 Speaker 1: caught off guard because here's what he said. He said, 470 00:23:04,160 --> 00:23:06,000 Speaker 1: we will do our best to stop this as soon 471 00:23:06,040 --> 00:23:10,639 Speaker 1: as possible. With the concerns that you constantly express, meaning 472 00:23:10,720 --> 00:23:13,919 Speaker 1: also that it appears that Mody has been saying this 473 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 1: to Putin behind the scenes now for some time. He 474 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:19,840 Speaker 1: was aware of this exactly, not the first time that 475 00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:23,359 Speaker 1: this was made, and that also came after Putin acknowledged 476 00:23:23,400 --> 00:23:27,520 Speaker 1: She's quote concerns. So what happened there is that Shishingping 477 00:23:27,880 --> 00:23:32,400 Speaker 1: expressed again. Remember this is very specific diplomatic language. Whenever 478 00:23:32,440 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 1: you listen to the Chinese, they pick every single word 479 00:23:34,960 --> 00:23:37,679 Speaker 1: extraordinary carefully. They know exactly what they're doing. And with 480 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:42,680 Speaker 1: this in particular, Sheishingping express quote concerns over the geopolitical 481 00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,080 Speaker 1: environment and the fallout from Ukraine. So if to have 482 00:23:45,200 --> 00:23:47,560 Speaker 1: both those leaders say that to the face of the 483 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,359 Speaker 1: Russian president, who ostensibly, you know, been cast in the 484 00:23:50,359 --> 00:23:53,280 Speaker 1: Western media's allies, but making very clear they're like, yeah, look, 485 00:23:53,320 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: well buy the oil and you know we're not going 486 00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:56,880 Speaker 1: to go as far as the West, but we are 487 00:23:56,920 --> 00:23:59,399 Speaker 1: not supporting what you're doing here. That's very important. I 488 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:01,800 Speaker 1: mean that shows you how geopolitically isolated they don't have 489 00:24:02,320 --> 00:24:05,880 Speaker 1: real steadfast allies in the way that you know, acts 490 00:24:05,920 --> 00:24:08,439 Speaker 1: as powers and others in the past would have. So 491 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,000 Speaker 1: it's a big lesson well, and with India, I mean, 492 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,919 Speaker 1: it makes perfect sense because you've got two things going on. 493 00:24:14,040 --> 00:24:16,720 Speaker 1: First of all, you have what we're humiliating defeats for 494 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:19,040 Speaker 1: Russia on the battlefield. So they're looking at this and 495 00:24:19,080 --> 00:24:22,240 Speaker 1: they're going, oh, you are not winning. In fact, you're losing, 496 00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:24,600 Speaker 1: and this looks bad for you know, for China. They're like, 497 00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,440 Speaker 1: this looks bad for US. India is like, I don't 498 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:27,960 Speaker 1: really know if I want to be on your side 499 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:29,840 Speaker 1: because this doesn't look like it's going all that well. 500 00:24:30,280 --> 00:24:34,359 Speaker 1: But probably more importantly, you know, India has obviously developed 501 00:24:34,400 --> 00:24:37,240 Speaker 1: incredibly rapidly and made a lot of gains in terms 502 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,280 Speaker 1: of their economy, but this is still a nation that 503 00:24:39,320 --> 00:24:41,639 Speaker 1: has a lot of poor people who you know are 504 00:24:41,760 --> 00:24:44,399 Speaker 1: very sensitive to food prices for lots of prices all 505 00:24:44,440 --> 00:24:48,280 Speaker 1: of these things, and so food prices have spiked and 506 00:24:48,600 --> 00:24:51,960 Speaker 1: you know, they are really hurting because of that. So 507 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,280 Speaker 1: I think they're also looking out for their interest in 508 00:24:54,280 --> 00:24:57,040 Speaker 1: it shows that they don't really buy what Putin has 509 00:24:57,040 --> 00:24:58,560 Speaker 1: been trying to sell. Is just like you know, the 510 00:24:58,640 --> 00:25:01,679 Speaker 1: escalation food prices as and energy prices, that this is 511 00:25:01,760 --> 00:25:05,119 Speaker 1: all just because of the Western response and India is 512 00:25:05,160 --> 00:25:08,960 Speaker 1: not really buying that line obviously. Listen, we've talked about 513 00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:10,800 Speaker 1: like the Western response is definitely part of that, but 514 00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 1: the original sinner or is Russia invading Ukraine. So MODI 515 00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:16,600 Speaker 1: not buying that. They say in this article that he 516 00:25:16,640 --> 00:25:21,239 Speaker 1: didn't raise any quote contentious issues around Ukraine's sovereignty or 517 00:25:21,320 --> 00:25:24,120 Speaker 1: territorial integrity, but rather focused on issues around the war's 518 00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:27,960 Speaker 1: impact on areas such as food security, fuel, and fertilizer supplies. 519 00:25:28,560 --> 00:25:32,119 Speaker 1: The increase in food costs has been devastating around the world. 520 00:25:32,200 --> 00:25:35,560 Speaker 1: I mean, I really like you cannot possibly overstate the 521 00:25:35,600 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 1: impact of the increase in grain prices, bread prices, and 522 00:25:38,640 --> 00:25:43,160 Speaker 1: also fertilizer. Like the difficulty of obtaining sufficient fertilizer really 523 00:25:43,200 --> 00:25:45,080 Speaker 1: makes it difficult for these countries not only in the 524 00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:48,000 Speaker 1: short term, but for you know, seasons and seasons to come. 525 00:25:48,119 --> 00:25:52,760 Speaker 1: So patients seeming to run thin with some of the 526 00:25:52,960 --> 00:25:56,600 Speaker 1: major countries that have kind of, if not been allies 527 00:25:56,640 --> 00:25:58,919 Speaker 1: of Russia, have been happy to sort of support them 528 00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:01,960 Speaker 1: in certain ways that have been critical. They're telling them basically, 529 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:04,359 Speaker 1: you're kind of unborrowed time here, right, and also for 530 00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:06,639 Speaker 1: Putin to acknowledge it, I mean, he opened his speech 531 00:26:06,680 --> 00:26:10,080 Speaker 1: with Shishinpin being like, we understand your questions and concerns, 532 00:26:10,240 --> 00:26:12,320 Speaker 1: you know, it's like we will answer them here at 533 00:26:12,359 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: this meeting. Look, he's on the back foot, you know, 534 00:26:14,600 --> 00:26:17,480 Speaker 1: even with his so called allies in the middle of Samarkhan, 535 00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:22,600 Speaker 1: he's getting not smacked around, but the great powers of Asia, 536 00:26:22,760 --> 00:26:25,439 Speaker 1: India and China making it clear we are not one 537 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 1: hundred percent behind you, Like, just because we're not with 538 00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:30,320 Speaker 1: the West does not mean we're with you. So to 539 00:26:30,359 --> 00:26:33,320 Speaker 1: have that situation for him, it's a big, big problem, 540 00:26:33,400 --> 00:26:35,040 Speaker 1: all right, And then let's move on to the final 541 00:26:35,080 --> 00:26:38,199 Speaker 1: part here breaking out of the sixty minutes interview that 542 00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:40,960 Speaker 1: just happened last night. So well, first of all, yeah, 543 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,200 Speaker 1: the Russians, in terms of what's happening on the ground, 544 00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:46,199 Speaker 1: the Ukrainian offensive continues to go forward, not nearly at 545 00:26:46,240 --> 00:26:49,000 Speaker 1: the same lightning pace. At the same time, however, Russia 546 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,560 Speaker 1: is closing in actually on a critical city in the 547 00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:55,720 Speaker 1: Ukrainian East, so this is a little bit further east 548 00:26:55,880 --> 00:27:00,919 Speaker 1: of where the Ukrainian offensive had been continue also to 549 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:04,720 Speaker 1: attack in that eastern region despite the setbacks, and making 550 00:27:04,760 --> 00:27:07,920 Speaker 1: it clear that they're going to shell the currently reoccupied 551 00:27:07,960 --> 00:27:10,760 Speaker 1: positions by the Ukrainians and make it as difficult for 552 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,520 Speaker 1: them to hold the territory as possible. So we'll continue 553 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 1: to cover that. On the Biden front, though, this is 554 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,159 Speaker 1: very very important news, which is that the President Biden, 555 00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 1: for what the fifth time now in his presidency, I 556 00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,160 Speaker 1: want to say, or at least third major high profile time, 557 00:27:24,440 --> 00:27:27,880 Speaker 1: has said now definitively that he, as the American president, 558 00:27:28,040 --> 00:27:32,119 Speaker 1: would militarily defend Taiwan with US troops, and then the 559 00:27:32,160 --> 00:27:36,919 Speaker 1: White House changing their response or changing and contradicting the 560 00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,680 Speaker 1: President after he has said that now publicly. So let's 561 00:27:39,720 --> 00:27:41,560 Speaker 1: take a listen to exactly what he said and they'll 562 00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,400 Speaker 1: tell you what the White House said after. But would 563 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:47,719 Speaker 1: US forces defend the island, Yes, if in fact there 564 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 1: was an unprecedented attack. After our interview of White House 565 00:27:51,480 --> 00:27:56,480 Speaker 1: official told US, US policy has not changed. Officially, the 566 00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:01,240 Speaker 1: US will not say whether American forces would defend Taiwan. 567 00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:05,040 Speaker 1: But the commander in chief had a view of his own, 568 00:28:05,480 --> 00:28:10,280 Speaker 1: so unlike Ukraine, to be clear, Sir, US forces, US 569 00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:13,359 Speaker 1: men and women would defend Taiwan in the event of 570 00:28:13,359 --> 00:28:17,000 Speaker 1: a Chinese invasion. Yes, he said it as clear as day, 571 00:28:17,400 --> 00:28:20,160 Speaker 1: I don't said it. He said it now to retime, 572 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:24,080 Speaker 1: not leave himself. Yeah, any wicked room, right, because the 573 00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:26,399 Speaker 1: first response was like, in the event of what are 574 00:28:26,400 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 1: you saying on the president is attack? Yeah, okay, well 575 00:28:28,960 --> 00:28:30,960 Speaker 1: maybe you could spin that as like, oh well, this 576 00:28:31,040 --> 00:28:34,520 Speaker 1: attack is didn't meet the standard of unprecedented. But he's like, 577 00:28:35,080 --> 00:28:38,720 Speaker 1: so let's be clear, unlike Ukraine, where we didn't commit 578 00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:41,480 Speaker 1: this on the ground, with Taiwan, you would and he 579 00:28:41,560 --> 00:28:45,960 Speaker 1: says flat out yes. Right then the White House once again, no, 580 00:28:46,080 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 1: policy hasn't changed inaguity, all of this US maintained strategic 581 00:28:51,040 --> 00:28:52,800 Speaker 1: This is from the US, from the State Department and 582 00:28:52,840 --> 00:28:55,280 Speaker 1: from the White House quote the US maintained strategic ambuity 583 00:28:55,440 --> 00:28:58,760 Speaker 1: on whether American forces would defend Taiwan. The Taiwan Relations 584 00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:01,120 Speaker 1: Act up oddly gates to the US to help equip 585 00:29:01,120 --> 00:29:05,080 Speaker 1: Taiwan to defend itself. That's not congruent with what he said. No, 586 00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:08,520 Speaker 1: this is like, this is like whenever he did the 587 00:29:08,760 --> 00:29:11,200 Speaker 1: by God, this man cannot remain in power, and that 588 00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:13,440 Speaker 1: the White House is like, oh no, this is not 589 00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,080 Speaker 1: a declaration of regime change in Russia. Really yeah, but 590 00:29:16,120 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: he's the president, like he's the one who gets to 591 00:29:19,040 --> 00:29:22,000 Speaker 1: decide the policy. As far as I'm concerned, President Biden 592 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:24,000 Speaker 1: now has made it very clear exactly what he's going 593 00:29:24,040 --> 00:29:26,800 Speaker 1: to do in Taiwan. And the reason why this is 594 00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:31,560 Speaker 1: so dangerous is mixed signals when you're dealing with nuclear powers, 595 00:29:31,680 --> 00:29:34,360 Speaker 1: is the exact opposite of what you want to do. Okay, 596 00:29:34,400 --> 00:29:36,400 Speaker 1: you said you're going to defend Taiwan. Stick to it. 597 00:29:36,440 --> 00:29:38,920 Speaker 1: Then that's now the policy of the US government. Now 598 00:29:39,000 --> 00:29:41,480 Speaker 1: you should maintain that, and at the very least let's 599 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:44,280 Speaker 1: get the possible deterrent effect that that may have in 600 00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:47,040 Speaker 1: the future. But now if you're shishingping, you're like, what 601 00:29:47,200 --> 00:29:50,120 Speaker 1: is the policy? Who is running the government? Because if 602 00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:52,280 Speaker 1: I go is Biden going to do? Does he even 603 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:54,880 Speaker 1: run the government? Is it the White House? Like you know? 604 00:29:54,920 --> 00:29:57,640 Speaker 1: I mean to them too, the idea that the American 605 00:29:57,680 --> 00:30:00,240 Speaker 1: president can say something and then be contradicted by his 606 00:30:00,240 --> 00:30:02,920 Speaker 1: own government. That makes no sense to the Chinese. So 607 00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:04,720 Speaker 1: they're like, I don't know what the hell is happening here. 608 00:30:04,920 --> 00:30:07,920 Speaker 1: I yeah, was actually after I read that piece about 609 00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:09,880 Speaker 1: like Biden Moore and we don't want World War three 610 00:30:09,920 --> 00:30:12,000 Speaker 1: and all this stuff, I was like, Okay, like I've 611 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:14,360 Speaker 1: got some disagreements, but at least these things. And then 612 00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,040 Speaker 1: I saw this, I was like, what the hell is 613 00:30:17,120 --> 00:30:20,840 Speaker 1: going on here? I mean, this is insane. China is 614 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:23,920 Speaker 1: not Russia. Like the people who think we could do 615 00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: the same thing to China that we've done to Russian 616 00:30:26,240 --> 00:30:30,080 Speaker 1: like cut ourselves off economic you're smoking something because the 617 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:34,920 Speaker 1: level of economic interdependence between US and China. Forget about it. 618 00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:37,280 Speaker 1: I mean, we did we not learn this lesson during 619 00:30:37,280 --> 00:30:39,560 Speaker 1: the pandemic when it was like, oh, guess what we 620 00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 1: don't have mass guess what we don't have, like enough 621 00:30:43,240 --> 00:30:45,720 Speaker 1: like materials for the shots. We don't have. We rely 622 00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:48,560 Speaker 1: on them for everything, for gowns, for ppe, for everything. 623 00:30:49,200 --> 00:30:51,880 Speaker 1: And you think that we're anywhere close to being able 624 00:30:52,040 --> 00:30:54,920 Speaker 1: to have the same response with China that we have 625 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:58,760 Speaker 1: with Russia, that is bananas. Not to mention how many 626 00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,680 Speaker 1: Americans are out there clam for a war with China, 627 00:31:01,720 --> 00:31:04,280 Speaker 1: like you want to talk about World War three, let's 628 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 1: talk about a direct military conflict with China, which is 629 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 1: exactly what he is floating, not just floating here saying 630 00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:13,200 Speaker 1: definitively that he is on board for. So this is insane. 631 00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:16,880 Speaker 1: And then you add to it. The total contradiction between 632 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 1: what he's saying then what the White House is trying 633 00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:22,560 Speaker 1: to spin and what it's a disaster. My thing is 634 00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:24,240 Speaker 1: is like, look, if that's a policy, then you need 635 00:31:24,240 --> 00:31:26,280 Speaker 1: to orient all US forces towards that pot. This might 636 00:31:26,320 --> 00:31:27,880 Speaker 1: you know, Bridge Colby, who we've had on the show, 637 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:30,080 Speaker 1: has discussed this. He's like, look, if that's actually the policy, 638 00:31:30,120 --> 00:31:31,800 Speaker 1: He's like, you have to change literally everything about the 639 00:31:31,880 --> 00:31:35,120 Speaker 1: US military, about the US alliance, about our economy. You 640 00:31:35,160 --> 00:31:37,720 Speaker 1: need to prepare like all of this because otherwise, if 641 00:31:37,720 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 1: you stick by this policy exactly for the reasons that 642 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,120 Speaker 1: you're saying, you could both possibly lose a war with 643 00:31:42,200 --> 00:31:45,600 Speaker 1: China and you could suffer complete economic intast I mean, 644 00:31:45,600 --> 00:31:47,880 Speaker 1: it would be an economic catastrophe regardless, just because of 645 00:31:47,880 --> 00:31:51,120 Speaker 1: interdependence with Taiwan. Absolutely. The other problem, too, is that 646 00:31:51,160 --> 00:31:54,000 Speaker 1: the spokesperson for the Chinese government obviously they see this 647 00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:57,600 Speaker 1: and they're immediately saying that this is severely jeopardizing China 648 00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:01,760 Speaker 1: US relations stability, and the Taiwan's China is firmly opposed 649 00:32:01,760 --> 00:32:04,320 Speaker 1: to this. And another problem is that I was reading 650 00:32:04,320 --> 00:32:07,680 Speaker 1: actually very recently that ever since the Pelosi visit to Taiwan. 651 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 1: Once again, the Chinese government does not believe that the 652 00:32:11,040 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 1: US government had nothing to do with that visit. They're like, 653 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:15,520 Speaker 1: I don't believe that President Biden didn't want her to go. 654 00:32:15,600 --> 00:32:17,640 Speaker 1: I don't really believe it either. I don't really know it. 655 00:32:17,760 --> 00:32:19,680 Speaker 1: I mean, I think that she is enough of a 656 00:32:19,760 --> 00:32:23,480 Speaker 1: narcissist to go. I certainly don't blame China for reading 657 00:32:23,480 --> 00:32:26,080 Speaker 1: it that way, because I'm not convinced that that Biden 658 00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 1: didn't green light it either, right, So, like, I don't 659 00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:29,920 Speaker 1: know anyway. If I'm the Chinese and I grew up 660 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:32,080 Speaker 1: in an authoritarian system, I'm like, I straight up just 661 00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:34,480 Speaker 1: don't believe like so called co equal branches of government. 662 00:32:34,560 --> 00:32:36,360 Speaker 1: So I get it from their perspective, and at the 663 00:32:36,440 --> 00:32:38,600 Speaker 1: end of the day, their perspective, you know, matters equally 664 00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,280 Speaker 1: as much as ours does. Well, there has apparently been 665 00:32:41,280 --> 00:32:44,800 Speaker 1: almost a near total diplomatic cutoff between Beijing and Washington 666 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:46,920 Speaker 1: ever since then. You know, remember when they fired those 667 00:32:46,920 --> 00:32:50,880 Speaker 1: missiles into around the Taiwan straight after the Pelosi visit, 668 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,440 Speaker 1: there was no military deconfliction pick up by the Chinese military. 669 00:32:54,680 --> 00:32:57,960 Speaker 1: So once again, like, if you want that policy, I 670 00:32:57,960 --> 00:32:59,880 Speaker 1: think that's fine, but then you need to be one 671 00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,400 Speaker 1: hundred committed to that, and then we should at very 672 00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:04,880 Speaker 1: least get the detern effect and prepare the US armed forces, 673 00:33:04,880 --> 00:33:07,520 Speaker 1: in the US military, and the US population for the 674 00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:09,800 Speaker 1: democratic buy in if such thing we're going to happen. 675 00:33:09,800 --> 00:33:11,680 Speaker 1: But you can't just offhand say these things like he 676 00:33:11,760 --> 00:33:14,920 Speaker 1: did with regime change and then also have the White 677 00:33:14,920 --> 00:33:18,880 Speaker 1: House directly contradict you. It's incredibly dangerous. Yeah, for the future. 678 00:33:18,920 --> 00:33:22,200 Speaker 1: I really, I really think it's it's so it's more 679 00:33:22,200 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 1: destabilizing as if he wouldn't as if he didn't just 680 00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:26,720 Speaker 1: commit to it in this yeah place. And I mean, 681 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,239 Speaker 1: I don't think it's fine in any regard, even if 682 00:33:29,280 --> 00:33:32,160 Speaker 1: we were like aggressively preparing our military, economy or whatever. 683 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:36,640 Speaker 1: We've taken some small tepid steps like the Chips Act 684 00:33:36,920 --> 00:33:41,560 Speaker 1: towards being more economically uh you know independent, that's good, 685 00:33:41,920 --> 00:33:44,880 Speaker 1: but we are nowhere there. And I don't want a 686 00:33:44,920 --> 00:33:46,840 Speaker 1: war with China. I don't want World War three. That 687 00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:50,040 Speaker 1: would be a disaster the bottom line here, And you know, 688 00:33:50,120 --> 00:33:52,840 Speaker 1: even the policy that we've we've sort of ramped up 689 00:33:53,160 --> 00:33:56,160 Speaker 1: weapons shipments to Taiwan. I mean, now they feel like Okay, 690 00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:58,200 Speaker 1: we've got a playbook with what we did in Ukraine. 691 00:33:58,200 --> 00:34:01,760 Speaker 1: Which again, even that thinking that is insane because China 692 00:34:01,840 --> 00:34:04,880 Speaker 1: and Russia totally different situation, but that seems to be 693 00:34:04,920 --> 00:34:07,880 Speaker 1: what they're thinking. That they've ramped up weaponshipments to Taiwan. 694 00:34:08,560 --> 00:34:11,520 Speaker 1: Even that is a really double edged sword. Like I 695 00:34:11,719 --> 00:34:14,480 Speaker 1: understand the impulse of like, let's arm them so that 696 00:34:14,520 --> 00:34:16,759 Speaker 1: they are really prepared in case there is some sort 697 00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,600 Speaker 1: of invasion. But the other thing that can happen here, 698 00:34:19,640 --> 00:34:22,799 Speaker 1: which may have been what happened with Ukraine, is that 699 00:34:22,920 --> 00:34:25,440 Speaker 1: China feels like, oh, since we're arming them and we're 700 00:34:25,480 --> 00:34:27,839 Speaker 1: shipping them all these weapons, making it more difficult for them, 701 00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:29,399 Speaker 1: It's like we got to go now or never else 702 00:34:29,400 --> 00:34:31,440 Speaker 1: it's going to be more difficult. Because that's what some 703 00:34:31,440 --> 00:34:34,640 Speaker 1: people think happened basically with Ukraine. When we started arming them, 704 00:34:34,640 --> 00:34:36,520 Speaker 1: when we started training them, there was a sense of 705 00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:38,960 Speaker 1: putin of like I've got to act now before they 706 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,480 Speaker 1: get further down this road and it becomes impossible to 707 00:34:41,520 --> 00:34:44,120 Speaker 1: take over this country. Ultimately, I think it's possible. I 708 00:34:44,160 --> 00:34:46,080 Speaker 1: actually think it probably would have much less to do 709 00:34:46,120 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 1: with us and a lot more to do with China 710 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:49,920 Speaker 1: and domestic political conditions there. I don't really think it 711 00:34:49,920 --> 00:34:51,480 Speaker 1: would have as much to do with us or I mean, 712 00:34:51,520 --> 00:34:53,799 Speaker 1: we've been arming the Taiwan since like nineteen seventy three, 713 00:34:53,880 --> 00:34:56,920 Speaker 1: so and nothing we're doing right now is unprecedented. More, 714 00:34:56,960 --> 00:34:59,560 Speaker 1: what it would be is if they genuinely believe that 715 00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:01,800 Speaker 1: their moment which is now and they have no other choice, 716 00:35:01,840 --> 00:35:03,799 Speaker 1: and also to stick with the twenty twenty five plan 717 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:06,600 Speaker 1: and the one hundred year anniversary of like the CCP 718 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 1: and Mao's you know, revolution or whatever. I think I 719 00:35:09,440 --> 00:35:10,920 Speaker 1: think it would have a lot more to do with that. 720 00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:14,400 Speaker 1: And it's also if he especially had economic collapse and 721 00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:18,120 Speaker 1: they needed the population in China to be united around something. 722 00:35:18,160 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 1: I mean, people forget this, like the Chinese population actually 723 00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 1: does really agree with the Chinese government on Taiwan. It's 724 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,360 Speaker 1: an uncomfortable truth, but it's true. It's like kind of 725 00:35:25,360 --> 00:35:27,240 Speaker 1: in the way that you know, Russians believe that Ukraine 726 00:35:27,320 --> 00:35:30,080 Speaker 1: really is an independent country. Most Russians believe that. Most 727 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:32,759 Speaker 1: Chinese also believe that about Taiwan. Like the idea that 728 00:35:32,800 --> 00:35:35,440 Speaker 1: they don't have domestic political support on this is very 729 00:35:35,680 --> 00:35:39,800 Speaker 1: very uh misguided, So they have their own domestic political concerns. 730 00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,520 Speaker 1: I think that would probably fuel their thinking more than anything. Look, 731 00:35:43,560 --> 00:35:45,920 Speaker 1: I honestly have no idea. I do think they probably 732 00:35:45,920 --> 00:35:48,200 Speaker 1: had to learn something from Ukraine. I mean they have 733 00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:50,800 Speaker 1: to learn that it wouldn't be costless, that they couldn't 734 00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:53,480 Speaker 1: just quote unquote get away with it. So anyway, I 735 00:35:53,719 --> 00:35:57,280 Speaker 1: have no idea. Troubling, troubling, you believe it at that. Okay, 736 00:35:57,560 --> 00:36:00,400 Speaker 1: let's turn to the domestic political front. Some pretty interesting 737 00:36:00,480 --> 00:36:03,440 Speaker 1: reporting about how Democrats are feeling about the leadership of 738 00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,920 Speaker 1: Nancy Pelosi. Let's go ahead and put this first part 739 00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,440 Speaker 1: up on the screen. CNN was the outlet that was 740 00:36:09,480 --> 00:36:12,800 Speaker 1: doing the reporting here, and go ahead. But this tweet episode. 741 00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,880 Speaker 1: This is from one of their reporters, Edward Isaac Dovier. 742 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:19,160 Speaker 1: He says, has some of the quotes here from Democratic 743 00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:22,359 Speaker 1: members of the House who basically are saying, look, if 744 00:36:22,360 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 1: we win the House, I guess we'll give Pelosi the 745 00:36:24,160 --> 00:36:27,279 Speaker 1: speakership again. But if they lose the majority, quote, the 746 00:36:27,400 --> 00:36:31,400 Speaker 1: dynamics change. I think it changes the game. If you 747 00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,080 Speaker 1: dig into this article, they interviewed more than two dozen 748 00:36:34,120 --> 00:36:37,880 Speaker 1: House Democrats. That seem to be the consensus that among 749 00:36:38,040 --> 00:36:40,160 Speaker 1: most of them that quote. If they lose the majority, 750 00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:42,799 Speaker 1: there would be overwhelming pressure for Pelosi to go, a 751 00:36:42,840 --> 00:36:45,800 Speaker 1: prospect that Democratic sources say the House Speaker is keenly 752 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:48,040 Speaker 1: aware of. If they do hold control, it could lead 753 00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:51,120 Speaker 1: to Pelosi extending her time and power, But Democrats are 754 00:36:51,120 --> 00:36:54,160 Speaker 1: split about that possibility. A sizable contingent is eager for 755 00:36:54,239 --> 00:36:58,240 Speaker 1: new leadership regardless of the outcome, even if she would 756 00:36:58,239 --> 00:37:01,279 Speaker 1: be the heavy favorite to hold on to the gavel. Now, 757 00:37:01,360 --> 00:37:04,560 Speaker 1: the thing that is always interesting to me about this 758 00:37:05,160 --> 00:37:07,960 Speaker 1: is that the like corporatists and the centrists are willing 759 00:37:08,000 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 1: to go so much harder than the lefties. Yeah, so 760 00:37:11,239 --> 00:37:14,560 Speaker 1: AOC is quoted in here, and it's very squishy. Yeah, 761 00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:16,560 Speaker 1: what does she say? She says, I think if we're 762 00:37:16,560 --> 00:37:19,080 Speaker 1: in a minority, then I think that the desire for 763 00:37:19,160 --> 00:37:22,200 Speaker 1: change will be broader, potentially within the party. But I 764 00:37:22,200 --> 00:37:24,880 Speaker 1: think that desire exists. We saw in her that desire 765 00:37:24,880 --> 00:37:26,800 Speaker 1: in the last two terms the Democrats were the majority. 766 00:37:26,800 --> 00:37:28,359 Speaker 1: So it really is just a question of not if 767 00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:31,279 Speaker 1: people want that, but how many whereas you've got. You know, 768 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:35,160 Speaker 1: you've got another senior like corporatist Democrat here who says 769 00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,719 Speaker 1: she has to go no way she can stay, she 770 00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:41,640 Speaker 1: doesn't have the votes. So always interesting to me that 771 00:37:41,719 --> 00:37:44,240 Speaker 1: the but and part of that is that the people 772 00:37:44,320 --> 00:37:47,440 Speaker 1: who challenge her from the right like they get forgiven 773 00:37:47,520 --> 00:37:49,759 Speaker 1: for it, you know. I mean there was a sort 774 00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:53,600 Speaker 1: of like uprising in twenty sixteen, was it, where it 775 00:37:53,680 --> 00:37:55,880 Speaker 1: was like, okay, we might make a run from the 776 00:37:55,960 --> 00:37:59,000 Speaker 1: right at pushing Pelosi out of power. Those people were 777 00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,279 Speaker 1: all welcome back in with open arms, Whereas if it 778 00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:03,600 Speaker 1: was a lefty challenge, then forget it. They would be 779 00:38:03,760 --> 00:38:07,320 Speaker 1: you know, excides for the party and demonize as Russian 780 00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:11,160 Speaker 1: traders or whatever forever. I also thought that there was 781 00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:14,880 Speaker 1: an interesting quote here from Henry Quaar, who, you know, 782 00:38:14,920 --> 00:38:17,520 Speaker 1: Pelosi really went to bat or dragged him across the 783 00:38:17,520 --> 00:38:19,680 Speaker 1: finish line in his primary where he was facing a 784 00:38:19,760 --> 00:38:22,480 Speaker 1: challenger to his left, and you see very clearly in 785 00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:25,640 Speaker 1: this article why she was so committed to keeping him. 786 00:38:25,719 --> 00:38:29,520 Speaker 1: Quaar says, I support Pelosi. I'll support her for whatever 787 00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,120 Speaker 1: position that's ultimately the bottom line of in spite of 788 00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:34,640 Speaker 1: the fact that he's anti choice and pro gun and 789 00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:37,920 Speaker 1: totally at odds with her on any number of other issues, 790 00:38:37,960 --> 00:38:40,239 Speaker 1: that she still backed him, dragged him across the finish 791 00:38:40,320 --> 00:38:42,840 Speaker 1: line because ultimately he was going to be there for 792 00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,799 Speaker 1: her in the vote that most is most important to her. 793 00:38:46,880 --> 00:38:50,480 Speaker 1: So if she does go, who would be the replacements? 794 00:38:50,760 --> 00:38:53,800 Speaker 1: This is also very interesting the two that are always floated, 795 00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:56,120 Speaker 1: King Jeffreys in particular, I think, is the person who's 796 00:38:56,120 --> 00:38:59,400 Speaker 1: floated the most Democrat out of the New York area. 797 00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:01,759 Speaker 1: What is her present Brooklyn? I think? And then you 798 00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:04,480 Speaker 1: have Adam Schiff, who you know, you guys know who 799 00:39:04,520 --> 00:39:07,239 Speaker 1: Adam shifp is. But in this article they say that 800 00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:14,000 Speaker 1: two of the current deputies, Stenny Hoyer and Jim Clyburn, 801 00:39:14,440 --> 00:39:18,279 Speaker 1: are also thinking about it, which like, if your case 802 00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:21,120 Speaker 1: is Pelosi's too old, these zers are just as old. 803 00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:23,520 Speaker 1: So that's the piece gun put that tweet back up 804 00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,480 Speaker 1: on the screen. They say, much attention on Pelosi's plans, 805 00:39:26,480 --> 00:39:29,080 Speaker 1: but also Stenny Hoyer has privately indicated to allies he 806 00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:31,120 Speaker 1: would run for the top job of Pelosi bowed out, 807 00:39:31,239 --> 00:39:34,280 Speaker 1: according to multiple Democratic sources. I don't think we're ruling 808 00:39:34,280 --> 00:39:38,440 Speaker 1: out anything Hoyer said, And Cliburn is also keeping options open. 809 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:42,040 Speaker 1: So there you go. That's the state of play. Pretty interesting, 810 00:39:42,080 --> 00:39:45,560 Speaker 1: I mean, and Stenny Hoyer is a whopping eighty three 811 00:39:45,680 --> 00:39:49,320 Speaker 1: years old. Just sorry, roon, he's actually older than Nancy Pelosi. 812 00:39:49,360 --> 00:39:51,760 Speaker 1: I believe Cliburn is also up. That's actually what strikes 813 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:54,840 Speaker 1: me more than that. I'm like, God, is there nobody forty? 814 00:39:54,880 --> 00:39:56,920 Speaker 1: I mean even fifty five? I'd take it. You know, 815 00:39:56,960 --> 00:39:59,080 Speaker 1: It's like at this point, like, how is there not 816 00:39:59,280 --> 00:40:02,480 Speaker 1: a bench real leadership? I really do think that they 817 00:40:02,480 --> 00:40:05,160 Speaker 1: have done themselves a tremendous disservice. We were looking I 818 00:40:05,200 --> 00:40:08,040 Speaker 1: was looking at GRAF recently about average age in Congress, 819 00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,880 Speaker 1: and they're the recent spike to the seventies and eighties, 820 00:40:10,920 --> 00:40:14,520 Speaker 1: especially in leadership. That's a very recent phenomenon. It really 821 00:40:14,520 --> 00:40:17,040 Speaker 1: only happened in the last like twenty five years, and 822 00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:19,240 Speaker 1: much of it is because of Pelosi and the people 823 00:40:19,239 --> 00:40:22,360 Speaker 1: around hers are complete inability to let go of power. 824 00:40:22,440 --> 00:40:25,280 Speaker 1: I mean, Cliburn is a very malevolent influence in politics, 825 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,120 Speaker 1: as is Adam Ship. I mean, none of these people 826 00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:29,200 Speaker 1: they are floating are an improvement over Pelosi. In fact, 827 00:40:29,239 --> 00:40:33,000 Speaker 1: several of them are actually worse. Like Cliburn is probably 828 00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:36,719 Speaker 1: the reason Kamala Harris is vice president. Really he's the 829 00:40:36,760 --> 00:40:38,920 Speaker 1: one that you know kneecaps the left and the primary 830 00:40:39,280 --> 00:40:42,160 Speaker 1: ultimately Biden's able to win. He is a big part 831 00:40:42,200 --> 00:40:46,080 Speaker 1: of the reason that the Democratic Party stays so closely 832 00:40:46,120 --> 00:40:49,280 Speaker 1: aligned to corporate power and never like you know, breaks 833 00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:52,560 Speaker 1: that hard and fast alliance. So the idea of him 834 00:40:53,120 --> 00:40:56,799 Speaker 1: stepping in a speaker is, you know, it's not a 835 00:40:56,800 --> 00:40:59,799 Speaker 1: good one. In my opinion, none of these, as I said, 836 00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:03,759 Speaker 1: any improve Adam shift. I mean, at least with Pelosi, 837 00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:07,400 Speaker 1: you gotta say, like she's she is relatively effective at 838 00:41:07,480 --> 00:41:10,239 Speaker 1: keeping the caucus in line. She's kind of politically savvy 839 00:41:10,320 --> 00:41:14,480 Speaker 1: and like strategic and tactically savvy. Like these people, I 840 00:41:14,480 --> 00:41:17,440 Speaker 1: don't think they have that level of tactical skill, and 841 00:41:17,480 --> 00:41:22,440 Speaker 1: they're ideologically all terrible. So not an improvement in my opinion, 842 00:41:22,600 --> 00:41:27,680 Speaker 1: any of this. They discussed the possibility of Pelosi either 843 00:41:27,719 --> 00:41:30,520 Speaker 1: stepping aside or being pushed out on CNN. Let's take 844 00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:31,879 Speaker 1: a listen to a little bit of how that went. 845 00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:34,120 Speaker 1: But it is really an open question. You have this 846 00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:38,120 Speaker 1: situation where we have three leaders of Democratic leadership who've 847 00:41:38,160 --> 00:41:40,600 Speaker 1: been there for a very long time, and so there's 848 00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:43,600 Speaker 1: a lot of interest in coming up the ranks. Any women, 849 00:41:43,760 --> 00:41:46,920 Speaker 1: any women. There are women who are in consideration for 850 00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:50,600 Speaker 1: other posts. But the top job is probably going to 851 00:41:50,600 --> 00:41:52,359 Speaker 1: not be a woman. At this point, we'll see, it's 852 00:41:52,400 --> 00:41:54,800 Speaker 1: too early to tell where this will go. So CNN's 853 00:41:54,840 --> 00:41:59,440 Speaker 1: top concern there is where is the woman? As if 854 00:41:59,480 --> 00:42:01,520 Speaker 1: that's the thing that matter. Yeah, apparently that's the most 855 00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:05,840 Speaker 1: important thing, now what they believe? You know, this typical anyway, 856 00:42:05,840 --> 00:42:08,000 Speaker 1: there's a reason that lady is losing her job or 857 00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:10,279 Speaker 1: at the very least losing her primetime slot on c 858 00:42:10,880 --> 00:42:13,400 Speaker 1: or whatever morning show slot. Yes, yet we're getting to 859 00:42:13,440 --> 00:42:16,160 Speaker 1: that later in the show, the CNN shakeup. But I 860 00:42:16,160 --> 00:42:19,240 Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I don't I don't really buy 861 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:21,359 Speaker 1: that Pelosi is going to step aside. I don't either, 862 00:42:21,880 --> 00:42:24,399 Speaker 1: especially if they do hold on to the majority, which 863 00:42:24,440 --> 00:42:28,400 Speaker 1: I think is unlikely, but you know, theoretically possible. I 864 00:42:28,560 --> 00:42:32,040 Speaker 1: don't see any way she steps aside. And she supposedly, 865 00:42:32,120 --> 00:42:35,080 Speaker 1: you know, back when she did face this like leadership threat, 866 00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:37,880 Speaker 1: before she made a deal with them, that she was like, 867 00:42:37,920 --> 00:42:39,680 Speaker 1: I'm going to step aside in four years now. It 868 00:42:39,760 --> 00:42:41,560 Speaker 1: was like an unofficial deal, and no one should have 869 00:42:41,560 --> 00:42:44,719 Speaker 1: ever taken her word for it. But clearly, you know, 870 00:42:44,960 --> 00:42:48,319 Speaker 1: she's sort of thrown those calculations aside. So I don't know. 871 00:42:48,360 --> 00:42:51,719 Speaker 1: I do think she has that narcissistic tendency to feel like, oh, 872 00:42:51,760 --> 00:42:54,480 Speaker 1: the republic, future of the Republic depends on me staying 873 00:42:54,560 --> 00:42:56,920 Speaker 1: in this position, and no one could possibly replace me, 874 00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,319 Speaker 1: So I'm gonna have to stay here no matter what. 875 00:43:00,320 --> 00:43:03,520 Speaker 1: And I also, you know, I don't think any of 876 00:43:03,600 --> 00:43:09,000 Speaker 1: these potential replacements, they're all close allies of Pelosi. So 877 00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:12,520 Speaker 1: are they really gonna step up and like mount this 878 00:43:12,640 --> 00:43:15,279 Speaker 1: direct challenge to her? I find it a little bit 879 00:43:15,360 --> 00:43:18,120 Speaker 1: hard to believe, but it is interesting that you have, 880 00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:22,120 Speaker 1: you know, a significant number of members right now saying 881 00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:24,359 Speaker 1: that they think it's time to move on and that 882 00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:26,759 Speaker 1: they think she'll be replaced. I think you're right. I yeah, 883 00:43:26,800 --> 00:43:28,640 Speaker 1: I mean, I think she's too much of a narcissist 884 00:43:28,680 --> 00:43:30,799 Speaker 1: to actually let go. She's intimated in the past, like 885 00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,800 Speaker 1: maybe I'll leave, maybe I won't. She always ends up staying. 886 00:43:33,880 --> 00:43:35,640 Speaker 1: I honestly think she'll just die in office. Like, I 887 00:43:35,880 --> 00:43:37,600 Speaker 1: don't think that she has it in her to stay 888 00:43:37,600 --> 00:43:39,440 Speaker 1: to go well at the very lead, Yeah, I mean, 889 00:43:39,719 --> 00:43:42,319 Speaker 1: look at how much she just loves being fitted. She's 890 00:43:42,320 --> 00:43:45,520 Speaker 1: in like Armenia right now. You know, she's loves to travel, 891 00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:49,120 Speaker 1: she's always on board. The military escort plane is like 892 00:43:49,200 --> 00:43:51,640 Speaker 1: part of the in the you know, the actual line 893 00:43:51,640 --> 00:43:53,799 Speaker 1: of succession for the US government. I think she just 894 00:43:53,840 --> 00:43:56,520 Speaker 1: really likes the flex of being speaker, and you know, 895 00:43:56,760 --> 00:43:59,160 Speaker 1: being minority leader in the House is not an insignificant 896 00:43:59,200 --> 00:44:02,560 Speaker 1: position either. Will still have tremendous responsibility. So it wouldn't 897 00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:04,799 Speaker 1: surprise me for a second if she stayed on. Yeah, 898 00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:11,480 Speaker 1: me neither. And we've got some new pulling about how 899 00:44:11,520 --> 00:44:13,400 Speaker 1: things are shaking out for the midterms. Let's put this 900 00:44:13,440 --> 00:44:16,920 Speaker 1: first piece up on the screen. This is from NBC News, 901 00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:20,600 Speaker 1: Mark Murray tweeting here that the GOP has huge issue 902 00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:24,719 Speaker 1: handling leads on the economy, crime, and border slash, immigration, 903 00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:29,520 Speaker 1: Dems have leads big leads on abortion and healthcare, and 904 00:44:29,560 --> 00:44:31,759 Speaker 1: you can see the graph there over on the side. 905 00:44:31,760 --> 00:44:34,520 Speaker 1: I mean, the biggest area where Republicans have a lead 906 00:44:34,560 --> 00:44:38,560 Speaker 1: appears to be border security, but pretty close behind is 907 00:44:38,600 --> 00:44:42,560 Speaker 1: the economy, which obviously continues to be really important issue 908 00:44:42,560 --> 00:44:46,680 Speaker 1: for people as it always is. Overall, in this poll 909 00:44:47,120 --> 00:44:50,839 Speaker 1: you had tie in terms of the generic ballot. So 910 00:44:50,880 --> 00:44:53,239 Speaker 1: that's when you ask people, hey, would you rather have 911 00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:56,000 Speaker 1: a Democrat or Republican as your member of Congress. That's 912 00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:58,800 Speaker 1: the generic ballot, and it came in at a tie. Now, 913 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:02,319 Speaker 1: Democrats previously had a deficit on that measure, so that 914 00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:04,480 Speaker 1: represents an improvement. But if they were actually going to 915 00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:07,040 Speaker 1: hold onto the House, most analysts think they would have 916 00:45:07,080 --> 00:45:10,520 Speaker 1: to be ahead by several points on that metric, just 917 00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,600 Speaker 1: because of you know, the way the districts are drawn 918 00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:16,440 Speaker 1: and jerry mandering, and the fact that you pretty consistently 919 00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:20,799 Speaker 1: have Republican support understated in these polls. Interesting Also, let's 920 00:45:20,800 --> 00:45:24,960 Speaker 1: put this next piece on the breakdown demographic breakdown of 921 00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:28,960 Speaker 1: who supports the Dems and who supports the GOP in 922 00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:31,480 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty two midterms. As I said, overall, it's 923 00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:33,960 Speaker 1: forty six to forty six, so it's a tie among 924 00:45:34,080 --> 00:45:37,520 Speaker 1: white voters overall Republicans with a sizable advantage forty one 925 00:45:37,600 --> 00:45:42,680 Speaker 1: for Democrats fifty four for Republicans. Huge college split, so 926 00:45:42,880 --> 00:45:46,320 Speaker 1: white people with a college degree fifty eight percent backing Democrats, 927 00:45:46,360 --> 00:45:49,640 Speaker 1: thirty eight percent Republicans without a college degree. Those numbers 928 00:45:49,680 --> 00:45:53,239 Speaker 1: are totally flipped and even more lopsided, thirty one for 929 00:45:53,320 --> 00:45:58,200 Speaker 1: Democrats sixty four for Republicans. Black voters still overwhelmingly with Democrats. 930 00:45:58,440 --> 00:46:02,279 Speaker 1: Democrats with a narrow lead among Latino's forty six forty two. 931 00:46:02,280 --> 00:46:03,839 Speaker 1: We're going to dig into that a little bit more. 932 00:46:04,080 --> 00:46:06,880 Speaker 1: And there's a sizeable gender gap here too. Women are 933 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:10,480 Speaker 1: backing Democrats Democrats fifty three to forty. Men are backing 934 00:46:10,520 --> 00:46:14,840 Speaker 1: Republicans thirty nine for Democrats, fifty three for Republicans. So 935 00:46:14,920 --> 00:46:16,560 Speaker 1: that is kind of the overall picture that is coming 936 00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:19,400 Speaker 1: out of this NBC newspool. Yeah, it's interesting also whenever 937 00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:22,239 Speaker 1: you're looking even more into the breakdown in terms of 938 00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:25,200 Speaker 1: what voters care about and what they also believe about 939 00:46:25,200 --> 00:46:27,279 Speaker 1: the economy, it matters a lot. Sixty three percent of 940 00:46:27,360 --> 00:46:31,200 Speaker 1: voters believe their income has fallen behind the cost of living. 941 00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:34,880 Speaker 1: Fifty eight percent disapprove of Biden's handling of the economy. 942 00:46:35,040 --> 00:46:37,399 Speaker 1: So even though you have like that forty forty six, 943 00:46:37,520 --> 00:46:40,760 Speaker 1: forty six something, and you know, during the twenty twenty campaign, 944 00:46:40,800 --> 00:46:43,239 Speaker 1: something I would always hear from the Trump folks was, yes, 945 00:46:43,680 --> 00:46:47,360 Speaker 1: you look at all that, but look at his economic numbers, 946 00:46:47,400 --> 00:46:50,640 Speaker 1: and always he was either tied or slightly above Joe Biden. 947 00:46:50,719 --> 00:46:53,200 Speaker 1: And so when I see this and I see the economy, 948 00:46:53,320 --> 00:46:57,200 Speaker 1: so heavily weighted towards Republicans again at forty seven to 949 00:46:57,280 --> 00:46:59,480 Speaker 1: twenty eight in terms of who you think is going 950 00:46:59,520 --> 00:47:02,360 Speaker 1: to handle things better. That's just a tremendous lead that 951 00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,000 Speaker 1: it's going to be very very hard to decouple from. 952 00:47:05,040 --> 00:47:07,480 Speaker 1: And you know, demographics and all that other stuff aside, 953 00:47:07,680 --> 00:47:09,040 Speaker 1: the one thing that we all have to deal with 954 00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,640 Speaker 1: is prices, and whenever prices are high as they are 955 00:47:12,719 --> 00:47:15,920 Speaker 1: right now eight point two I think percent inflation highest 956 00:47:15,920 --> 00:47:18,520 Speaker 1: in over forty years, there's just going to be a 957 00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:20,440 Speaker 1: price for that. I don't think there's any way to 958 00:47:20,480 --> 00:47:24,920 Speaker 1: spin it. Crystal and abortion and all the other stuff aside. Structurally, like, 959 00:47:24,960 --> 00:47:28,000 Speaker 1: things are looking pretty good. I mean, so we actually 960 00:47:28,120 --> 00:47:30,279 Speaker 1: down in Atlanta, we gave our prediction, yes for the 961 00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:34,719 Speaker 1: mid term way here too. Yeah, shameless, shameless prognostications that 962 00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:36,640 Speaker 1: I'm sure we'll backfire and blow up in our faces, 963 00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:39,360 Speaker 1: but what the hell. And I think people were a 964 00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:42,319 Speaker 1: little bit surprised that I did pick Republicans not only 965 00:47:42,360 --> 00:47:44,799 Speaker 1: to take the House, which to me is you know, 966 00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:46,600 Speaker 1: that's an easy one to make. I think it's pretty 967 00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:49,520 Speaker 1: certain just because of the advantages they have structurally that 968 00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:51,279 Speaker 1: they'll probably take the House, they only need to pick 969 00:47:51,320 --> 00:47:54,920 Speaker 1: up a few seats. But I also, if I had 970 00:47:54,960 --> 00:47:59,040 Speaker 1: to say, would still predict that they win the Senate. 971 00:47:59,080 --> 00:48:00,880 Speaker 1: And I know that you know, five point thirty eight 972 00:48:00,880 --> 00:48:03,640 Speaker 1: and these other metrics say that Democrats are very much 973 00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:05,839 Speaker 1: favored to hold on to the Senate. The polling looks 974 00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:07,800 Speaker 1: pretty good for them, and all of the battle ground 975 00:48:07,840 --> 00:48:10,440 Speaker 1: states and even in some surprising places like Wisconsin and 976 00:48:10,480 --> 00:48:14,880 Speaker 1: Ohio those ones I discount entirely. But ultimately this is 977 00:48:14,920 --> 00:48:18,120 Speaker 1: going to come down to likely very close races in 978 00:48:18,239 --> 00:48:21,239 Speaker 1: states like Georgia and in states like Nevada, and they 979 00:48:21,360 --> 00:48:24,640 Speaker 1: only have to net one seat. So if they win 980 00:48:24,719 --> 00:48:27,600 Speaker 1: those two, which again the polling is extremely close on, 981 00:48:27,840 --> 00:48:31,439 Speaker 1: Republicans win control of the Senate. And when I look 982 00:48:31,520 --> 00:48:33,680 Speaker 1: at the economic numbers, when I look at the fact 983 00:48:33,680 --> 00:48:35,960 Speaker 1: that Republicans still have an advantage in terms of how 984 00:48:36,000 --> 00:48:39,319 Speaker 1: they would manage the economy, and a significant advantage, the 985 00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:41,600 Speaker 1: economy is still the number one issue people are talking about. 986 00:48:41,640 --> 00:48:43,840 Speaker 1: The economy is always the number one issue that people 987 00:48:44,120 --> 00:48:47,200 Speaker 1: vote on election after election, Like we always have to 988 00:48:47,239 --> 00:48:49,680 Speaker 1: relearn this lesson. When you look at the fact that, yeah, 989 00:48:49,719 --> 00:48:52,560 Speaker 1: Biden's approval is a little better but it's still not good. 990 00:48:52,880 --> 00:48:55,879 Speaker 1: When you still have so many people saying the nation 991 00:48:56,040 --> 00:48:59,120 Speaker 1: is on the wrong track, and you have the historic 992 00:48:59,360 --> 00:49:02,319 Speaker 1: precedent of the party in power doing poorly in this 993 00:49:02,360 --> 00:49:06,120 Speaker 1: first midterm election, it's just hard for me to really 994 00:49:06,200 --> 00:49:10,080 Speaker 1: believe that abortion is going to be enough to completely 995 00:49:10,080 --> 00:49:12,000 Speaker 1: turn the fortunes around for Democrats. Now, is it going 996 00:49:12,040 --> 00:49:14,080 Speaker 1: to be closer than expcted to Yes, of course, now 997 00:49:14,120 --> 00:49:15,760 Speaker 1: they have a shot. They didn't have a shot before, 998 00:49:16,360 --> 00:49:19,240 Speaker 1: and it really is sort of balanced on a knife edge. 999 00:49:19,680 --> 00:49:22,839 Speaker 1: But when I look at numbers like this, I do 1000 00:49:22,880 --> 00:49:26,719 Speaker 1: feel like it's just so hard to overcome that economic 1001 00:49:26,960 --> 00:49:30,520 Speaker 1: deficit that even if you have this newly motivated you know, 1002 00:49:30,560 --> 00:49:33,319 Speaker 1: women in particular young people maybe around student loan debt, 1003 00:49:33,760 --> 00:49:36,600 Speaker 1: it's still a really uphill climb for Democrats to be 1004 00:49:36,640 --> 00:49:38,799 Speaker 1: able to overcome an estate like Georgia or state like 1005 00:49:38,840 --> 00:49:41,640 Speaker 1: Nevada where the Senate will be won or lost. So 1006 00:49:42,080 --> 00:49:43,719 Speaker 1: we'll see how it all shakes out. It's still a 1007 00:49:43,719 --> 00:49:45,799 Speaker 1: long way to go before November. God knows what will 1008 00:49:45,800 --> 00:49:49,560 Speaker 1: happen between now and then. But even as Democrats have 1009 00:49:49,680 --> 00:49:52,920 Speaker 1: very much improved their positioning, I still think it's going 1010 00:49:53,000 --> 00:49:55,400 Speaker 1: to be a tough hill to climb, all right, co 1011 00:49:55,520 --> 00:49:57,880 Speaker 1: sign all of that, and yeah, I think it's very 1012 00:49:57,920 --> 00:50:00,640 Speaker 1: important just underscore like why that is such an important 1013 00:50:00,680 --> 00:50:04,600 Speaker 1: dynamic and all the polls, exciting ones which are probably 1014 00:50:04,600 --> 00:50:07,440 Speaker 1: fake and completely wrong, just like they were in twenty twenty. 1015 00:50:07,680 --> 00:50:10,520 Speaker 1: It's more of a bet on that and not always 1016 00:50:10,520 --> 00:50:13,600 Speaker 1: just bet on the absolute quote unquote fundamental that has 1017 00:50:13,680 --> 00:50:17,600 Speaker 1: ruled American politics now for decades, which is the economy. Stupid. 1018 00:50:17,800 --> 00:50:19,920 Speaker 1: It's a joke and a meme for a reason, because 1019 00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:23,040 Speaker 1: it literally is basically the only thing that really matters 1020 00:50:23,040 --> 00:50:25,120 Speaker 1: whenever people come to the ballot box. So at the 1021 00:50:25,120 --> 00:50:28,600 Speaker 1: same time, we had a new deep dive into how 1022 00:50:28,719 --> 00:50:32,960 Speaker 1: Latino voters are feeling what party they're identifying with at 1023 00:50:32,960 --> 00:50:34,520 Speaker 1: this point in time. This one came from the New 1024 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:37,400 Speaker 1: York Times that did a poll just of it was 1025 00:50:37,440 --> 00:50:39,319 Speaker 1: New York Times in Siena College that did like an 1026 00:50:39,360 --> 00:50:42,160 Speaker 1: oversample of Latino voters to dig in and get some 1027 00:50:42,200 --> 00:50:43,640 Speaker 1: insights here, let's go ahead and put this up on 1028 00:50:43,680 --> 00:50:47,040 Speaker 1: the screen. They say a majority of Latino voters are 1029 00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:50,560 Speaker 1: out of geop's reach. A New York Times Siana College 1030 00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:53,160 Speaker 1: pool found Democrats fearing far worse than they have in 1031 00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:56,800 Speaker 1: past with Hispanic voters, but overall, the party has maintained 1032 00:50:56,840 --> 00:51:00,359 Speaker 1: a hold on the Latino electorate, and so what they're 1033 00:51:00,360 --> 00:51:05,359 Speaker 1: seeing here is, obviously there has been some realignment, especially 1034 00:51:05,440 --> 00:51:12,399 Speaker 1: among young, working class Latino males, huge shift towards Republicans. 1035 00:51:13,280 --> 00:51:17,600 Speaker 1: There is weakness for Democrats in some areas, and I 1036 00:51:17,640 --> 00:51:19,239 Speaker 1: think it also, I mean, the big thing you get 1037 00:51:19,239 --> 00:51:21,480 Speaker 1: out of this is like we talk about the Latino 1038 00:51:21,520 --> 00:51:25,720 Speaker 1: community like that's a fiction. There's a very different picture 1039 00:51:25,840 --> 00:51:28,080 Speaker 1: in the South with Latino voters than in other parts 1040 00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:29,640 Speaker 1: of the country. So in the South you've had more 1041 00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:32,799 Speaker 1: of a realignment, especially in Florida and Texas, towards Republicans 1042 00:51:32,840 --> 00:51:35,920 Speaker 1: than you haven't had in other parts of the country. 1043 00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:39,480 Speaker 1: They say that Democrats have maintained a grow up on 1044 00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:42,280 Speaker 1: the majority of Latino voters, driven in part by women 1045 00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:45,239 Speaker 1: and the belief that Democrats remain the party of the 1046 00:51:45,280 --> 00:51:48,640 Speaker 1: working class. Overall, Hispanics are more likely to agree with 1047 00:51:48,680 --> 00:51:52,040 Speaker 1: Democrats on many issues, including immigration, gun policy, and climate 1048 00:51:52,719 --> 00:51:54,920 Speaker 1: and they are also more likely to see Republicans as 1049 00:51:54,960 --> 00:51:57,280 Speaker 1: the party of the elite and is holding extreme views. 1050 00:51:57,560 --> 00:52:00,320 Speaker 1: Majority of Hispanic voters fifty six percent still planned to 1051 00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:02,720 Speaker 1: vote for Democrats this fall, compared with thirty two percent 1052 00:52:03,160 --> 00:52:06,839 Speaker 1: for Republicans. But again, the trouble spots are, you know, 1053 00:52:07,080 --> 00:52:10,359 Speaker 1: handling of the economy. Trouble spots are there is a 1054 00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:14,440 Speaker 1: sizable chunk of the Latino electorate that does agree with 1055 00:52:14,480 --> 00:52:18,200 Speaker 1: Republicans on issues like crime in the border. So and 1056 00:52:18,360 --> 00:52:22,920 Speaker 1: they also they asked about latin X and they found 1057 00:52:22,920 --> 00:52:26,160 Speaker 1: basically like they didn't really like the term, but they 1058 00:52:26,160 --> 00:52:28,680 Speaker 1: were like offended by it. So anyway, that's kind of 1059 00:52:28,719 --> 00:52:31,000 Speaker 1: the big picture is they're trying to make the case 1060 00:52:31,040 --> 00:52:33,760 Speaker 1: that even though there has been some shift towards the GOP, 1061 00:52:34,600 --> 00:52:37,120 Speaker 1: there's still a bulk of Hispanic voters that identify more 1062 00:52:37,160 --> 00:52:39,120 Speaker 1: with the Democrats and feel like the Democrats are still 1063 00:52:39,120 --> 00:52:40,480 Speaker 1: the party of the world. Yeah, I just still felt 1064 00:52:40,520 --> 00:52:42,480 Speaker 1: like it's a big cope, which is that nobody's ever 1065 00:52:42,480 --> 00:52:45,360 Speaker 1: claimed that Republicans are winning the majority of Latinos. The 1066 00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:47,200 Speaker 1: whole point is that if it's even fifty five to 1067 00:52:47,200 --> 00:52:49,640 Speaker 1: forty five, like, it's actually a huge disaster because they've 1068 00:52:49,640 --> 00:52:51,719 Speaker 1: been waiting it by seventy five to twenty five like 1069 00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:54,359 Speaker 1: five years ago. So what happened. Go and look at 1070 00:52:54,360 --> 00:52:56,759 Speaker 1: the margins well, I mean on Obama. Compare this to 1071 00:52:57,000 --> 00:53:01,279 Speaker 1: the expectations of the Democratic Party just a few cycles back, 1072 00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:04,680 Speaker 1: especially when back in twenty twelve, you know, all the 1073 00:53:04,680 --> 00:53:07,200 Speaker 1: way up through Trump's first election, when the thought was 1074 00:53:07,239 --> 00:53:09,400 Speaker 1: because his rhetoric was so extreme in terms of the 1075 00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:12,040 Speaker 1: border and immigration, that you'd have a flood of Latinos 1076 00:53:12,040 --> 00:53:14,560 Speaker 1: in the Democratic camp. I mean, this was actually fearce 1077 00:53:14,560 --> 00:53:16,640 Speaker 1: all the way where Republicans were secretly very afraid of 1078 00:53:16,640 --> 00:53:19,120 Speaker 1: this as well. Yes, this was Mitt Romney believed this. Yeah, 1079 00:53:19,480 --> 00:53:21,640 Speaker 1: you're correct, Yeah, And there was remember after twenty twelve, 1080 00:53:21,640 --> 00:53:25,320 Speaker 1: this is autossy or even had people like Sean Hannity 1081 00:53:25,360 --> 00:53:27,320 Speaker 1: saying like, ah, we got to soften on immigration, we 1082 00:53:27,400 --> 00:53:29,600 Speaker 1: got to reach out to this constituency in a different way, 1083 00:53:30,040 --> 00:53:34,240 Speaker 1: which was also very all around the whole political class. 1084 00:53:34,280 --> 00:53:37,799 Speaker 1: The idea that you could just that immigration was the 1085 00:53:37,880 --> 00:53:41,800 Speaker 1: only issue that this large and extraordinarily diverse group of 1086 00:53:41,920 --> 00:53:45,520 Speaker 1: voters cared about was always really, i mean, frankly racist 1087 00:53:45,640 --> 00:53:50,480 Speaker 1: and incredibly essentializing. So there was that mistake. And then 1088 00:53:50,680 --> 00:53:53,640 Speaker 1: obviously after twenty sixteen and then in twenty twenty, when 1089 00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,160 Speaker 1: Trump gains with this demographic, it's like what the hell's 1090 00:53:56,200 --> 00:53:58,839 Speaker 1: going on here? So compare where they are now, where 1091 00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:01,359 Speaker 1: it's like, well, we're not doing you know, Democrats are 1092 00:54:01,400 --> 00:54:04,880 Speaker 1: doing not that great, but they're still barely holding on 1093 00:54:04,960 --> 00:54:08,160 Speaker 1: to a majority. Versus the expectation that this was going 1094 00:54:08,239 --> 00:54:11,360 Speaker 1: to become a solid Democratic voting block the way that 1095 00:54:11,360 --> 00:54:15,920 Speaker 1: African Americans are, there's a very different reality that has unfolded. 1096 00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:18,839 Speaker 1: My reaction to this is Latinos they're just like all 1097 00:54:18,880 --> 00:54:23,320 Speaker 1: of us, as in they are bifurcating on class lines, 1098 00:54:23,640 --> 00:54:26,359 Speaker 1: predominantly on whether you have a four year college degree 1099 00:54:26,440 --> 00:54:28,960 Speaker 1: or not. General lines two and gender two. No, but 1100 00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:32,560 Speaker 1: that's the GOP as well. It's the only group, once 1101 00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:36,000 Speaker 1: again who actually voted less as part of a demographic 1102 00:54:36,160 --> 00:54:39,879 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty for white men, every other black man, 1103 00:54:39,960 --> 00:54:44,640 Speaker 1: Latino men, Indian men, whatever, all went much more Republican, 1104 00:54:44,719 --> 00:54:47,000 Speaker 1: including women as well. So it's more like a white 1105 00:54:47,040 --> 00:54:49,400 Speaker 1: man felt like shame, I guess and decided not to 1106 00:54:49,440 --> 00:54:52,440 Speaker 1: vover Trump. But like in general, gender split has always 1107 00:54:52,480 --> 00:54:55,600 Speaker 1: been extremely reliable on whether you vote, like they did 1108 00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:58,240 Speaker 1: that one map right where it's like if only women voted, 1109 00:54:58,360 --> 00:55:00,839 Speaker 1: every single state would have gone blue. If every only 1110 00:55:00,880 --> 00:55:03,359 Speaker 1: men voted, in a vast majority would have gone. It's 1111 00:55:03,400 --> 00:55:06,520 Speaker 1: always been a major dividing line in America. Nobody likes 1112 00:55:06,520 --> 00:55:09,040 Speaker 1: to talk about it, but it is true. So especially 1113 00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:11,720 Speaker 1: when you introduce the class dynamic. I mean, once again, 1114 00:55:12,280 --> 00:55:14,720 Speaker 1: one of the best predictors outside of gender and guns 1115 00:55:15,200 --> 00:55:17,680 Speaker 1: is did you go to college or not? Shocking, it 1116 00:55:17,719 --> 00:55:19,759 Speaker 1: turns out Latinos are just like all of us, yeah, 1117 00:55:19,800 --> 00:55:22,160 Speaker 1: and vote just like everybody else. Well. In the difference 1118 00:55:22,160 --> 00:55:25,160 Speaker 1: between Latinos in the South and other parts of the 1119 00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:27,520 Speaker 1: country was also interesting to me and also makes a 1120 00:55:27,560 --> 00:55:29,040 Speaker 1: lot of sense. I mean, in Texas, you have a 1121 00:55:29,040 --> 00:55:31,200 Speaker 1: lot of Latinos. You've been there for generations. I mean, 1122 00:55:31,280 --> 00:55:34,400 Speaker 1: you know, it's a different it's a it's an own identity. 1123 00:55:34,440 --> 00:55:36,320 Speaker 1: This is you know. This is also driven me crazy. 1124 00:55:36,320 --> 00:55:38,600 Speaker 1: It's like you have people there in Texas their fourth 1125 00:55:38,680 --> 00:55:43,400 Speaker 1: fifth generation, sometimes before even you know, the whites showed 1126 00:55:43,480 --> 00:55:45,960 Speaker 1: up in Texas. So they're like, yo, like we don't 1127 00:55:45,960 --> 00:55:48,880 Speaker 1: we don't look at ourselves as Mexican. They're like, we're Texican, 1128 00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:51,719 Speaker 1: They're you know, and sometimes they even uh, this is 1129 00:55:51,760 --> 00:55:53,839 Speaker 1: there's a term which is like nebulous, but it does 1130 00:55:53,920 --> 00:55:56,760 Speaker 1: mean something like white Hispanic, Like what they literally consider 1131 00:55:56,800 --> 00:55:59,080 Speaker 1: themselves why, which is fine. I mean, you could consider 1132 00:55:59,080 --> 00:56:03,600 Speaker 1: yourself whatever you want, but they legitimately do not consider themselves. 1133 00:56:04,160 --> 00:56:07,120 Speaker 1: And I really have any real like cultural connection to 1134 00:56:07,200 --> 00:56:09,640 Speaker 1: like a new arrival from like Puerto Rico. Yeah, they're like, 1135 00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:11,560 Speaker 1: we don't really have anything in common. We have a 1136 00:56:11,680 --> 00:56:14,240 Speaker 1: very distinct culture. They're like, we have a deep connection 1137 00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:17,279 Speaker 1: to Texas, to the land. They're like even Mexico, They're like, yeah, 1138 00:56:17,280 --> 00:56:19,480 Speaker 1: we know it's close by, we may have relatives, but 1139 00:56:19,520 --> 00:56:22,239 Speaker 1: like we're very different people. Border patrol also an important 1140 00:56:22,320 --> 00:56:25,160 Speaker 1: of jobs in border patrol for communities, and I guess 1141 00:56:25,239 --> 00:56:26,840 Speaker 1: is to work for border patrol, you know, you have 1142 00:56:26,880 --> 00:56:28,920 Speaker 1: to speak Spanish. Who do you think that the best 1143 00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:33,719 Speaker 1: bilingual people near the border are? These people are Latinos themselves. 1144 00:56:33,760 --> 00:56:36,000 Speaker 1: So yeah, it's always annoyed me, Like you ra sure 1145 00:56:36,040 --> 00:56:38,359 Speaker 1: of a lot of these people. Florida you obviously have 1146 00:56:38,680 --> 00:56:43,719 Speaker 1: large Cuban but also growing Venezuelan population, where you know, 1147 00:56:43,760 --> 00:56:47,120 Speaker 1: the politics again are very different. So anyway, that's that's 1148 00:56:47,160 --> 00:56:49,840 Speaker 1: the latest breakdown reflects a lot of the shifts that 1149 00:56:49,840 --> 00:56:53,120 Speaker 1: we see in other polling and pretty interesting to dig 1150 00:56:53,160 --> 00:56:56,000 Speaker 1: into the different issues in the way it's being viewed 1151 00:56:56,120 --> 00:57:00,360 Speaker 1: and you know, with hispanics across the country. Next piece 1152 00:57:00,440 --> 00:57:04,640 Speaker 1: that we wanted to get to here. So last week 1153 00:57:04,840 --> 00:57:06,800 Speaker 1: there was a big report in the New York Times. 1154 00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:09,839 Speaker 1: They got the scoop about how the founder of Patagonia, 1155 00:57:10,120 --> 00:57:12,719 Speaker 1: who's this kind of like hippy ish guy who was 1156 00:57:12,760 --> 00:57:16,800 Speaker 1: like a rock climber and sort of you know accidentals. Yeah. 1157 00:57:16,800 --> 00:57:19,040 Speaker 1: I mean, I was not like to smear him. This 1158 00:57:19,160 --> 00:57:20,880 Speaker 1: is to smear the New York Times, to tell you 1159 00:57:20,920 --> 00:57:24,760 Speaker 1: that they're bad at their job. So this guy decides 1160 00:57:24,920 --> 00:57:27,400 Speaker 1: he's getting older and he's trying to figure out what 1161 00:57:27,440 --> 00:57:29,680 Speaker 1: he wants to do with his company, and he ultimately 1162 00:57:29,720 --> 00:57:32,040 Speaker 1: decides that through a series of mechanisms I'll get into 1163 00:57:32,080 --> 00:57:35,120 Speaker 1: in a moment, his family's going to keep basically control 1164 00:57:35,160 --> 00:57:37,480 Speaker 1: of it. It's a private company, it's not public company, 1165 00:57:37,840 --> 00:57:40,960 Speaker 1: and all of the proceeds are going to be donated 1166 00:57:41,000 --> 00:57:44,200 Speaker 1: to this nonprofit which is meant to flight fight climate 1167 00:57:44,280 --> 00:57:47,000 Speaker 1: change and to support the environment. I think he cares 1168 00:57:47,040 --> 00:57:49,840 Speaker 1: a lot about like conservation of wild spaces and things 1169 00:57:49,840 --> 00:57:52,120 Speaker 1: like that as well, which makes sense is his background 1170 00:57:52,160 --> 00:57:55,120 Speaker 1: as a rock climber. So New York Times writes up 1171 00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:59,320 Speaker 1: this glowing article. Again, this is nothing against this guy, 1172 00:57:59,400 --> 00:58:02,120 Speaker 1: who I have no reason to believe that he has 1173 00:58:02,160 --> 00:58:05,480 Speaker 1: ill intentions here or whatever. But there was a really 1174 00:58:05,600 --> 00:58:10,040 Speaker 1: explicit effort to pretend that there were no tax benefits 1175 00:58:10,440 --> 00:58:13,480 Speaker 1: to him or the family from handling the company in 1176 00:58:13,560 --> 00:58:16,200 Speaker 1: this way. Gun put the article up on the screen. 1177 00:58:16,280 --> 00:58:21,120 Speaker 1: Here it says billionaire no more. Patagonia founder gives away 1178 00:58:21,320 --> 00:58:25,840 Speaker 1: the company. Here is the technical specifics and how they 1179 00:58:25,880 --> 00:58:28,120 Speaker 1: describe it of how this is all happening. They say, 1180 00:58:28,120 --> 00:58:32,320 Speaker 1: in August, the family irrevocably transferred all the company's voting 1181 00:58:32,440 --> 00:58:36,040 Speaker 1: stock into a newly established entity known as the Patagonia 1182 00:58:36,120 --> 00:58:38,200 Speaker 1: Purpose Trust. So that's the company and the voting stock 1183 00:58:38,280 --> 00:58:40,760 Speaker 1: goes there. Then the trust, which is going to be 1184 00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:42,920 Speaker 1: overseen by members of the family and their close advisors, 1185 00:58:43,000 --> 00:58:45,480 Speaker 1: is intended in sure Patagonia makes good on its commitment 1186 00:58:45,520 --> 00:58:48,800 Speaker 1: to run a socially responsible business and to give away 1187 00:58:48,920 --> 00:58:53,200 Speaker 1: its profits. The Tweeyards, I think is how you say it. 1188 00:58:53,200 --> 00:58:55,000 Speaker 1: I don't know, donated their shares to a trust. The 1189 00:58:55,000 --> 00:58:57,880 Speaker 1: family will play about seventeen point five million in taxes 1190 00:58:57,880 --> 00:59:00,720 Speaker 1: on the gift. Then they donated the other ninety eight 1191 00:59:00,720 --> 00:59:04,000 Speaker 1: percent of Patagonia. It's common shares to a nonprofit called 1192 00:59:04,000 --> 00:59:07,760 Speaker 1: the hold Fast Collective. It's a five oh one C four, 1193 00:59:07,880 --> 00:59:11,200 Speaker 1: which they say allows it to make unlimited political contributions. 1194 00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:16,800 Speaker 1: But the family received no tax benefit for its donation. Okay, 1195 00:59:16,960 --> 00:59:20,520 Speaker 1: remember that line. Then they go on to very explicitly 1196 00:59:21,040 --> 00:59:26,280 Speaker 1: draw contrast with another big company gifting for political causes 1197 00:59:26,600 --> 00:59:29,880 Speaker 1: that they had previously covered, but that one came from 1198 00:59:29,960 --> 00:59:33,160 Speaker 1: a right wing billionaire. So then they say, Barry Seed, 1199 00:59:33,320 --> 00:59:35,880 Speaker 1: a Republican donor, is the only other example in recent 1200 00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:38,400 Speaker 1: memory of a wealthy business owner who gave away his 1201 00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:41,760 Speaker 1: company for philanthropic and political causes. But he took a 1202 00:59:41,800 --> 00:59:44,240 Speaker 1: different approach in giving one hundred percent of his company 1203 00:59:44,240 --> 00:59:48,520 Speaker 1: to a nonprofit, reaping an enormous personal tax windfall as 1204 00:59:48,520 --> 00:59:50,360 Speaker 1: he made a one point six billion dollar gift to 1205 00:59:50,440 --> 00:59:55,720 Speaker 1: fund conservative causes, including efforts to stop action on climate change. Now, 1206 00:59:56,480 --> 01:00:00,360 Speaker 1: the reality is that that Republican donor, whatever you think, 1207 01:00:00,400 --> 01:00:02,520 Speaker 1: and I don't like the use that he is intending 1208 01:00:02,520 --> 01:00:05,720 Speaker 1: to put his funds to. It was the same basic 1209 01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:10,680 Speaker 1: structure as what the Patagonia did do. So the tax 1210 01:00:10,720 --> 01:00:13,240 Speaker 1: benefits that are accruing to the Republican donor are the 1211 01:00:13,280 --> 01:00:17,040 Speaker 1: same ones that are accruing to the Patagonia founder, namely 1212 01:00:17,520 --> 01:00:20,600 Speaker 1: the fact that because he used this mechanism, they don't 1213 01:00:20,640 --> 01:00:24,240 Speaker 1: have to recognize any of the capital gains on this company, 1214 01:00:24,640 --> 01:00:27,240 Speaker 1: so the you know, appreciation of value, all of that 1215 01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:32,720 Speaker 1: that would be a huge tax hit that is all foregone, 1216 01:00:32,880 --> 01:00:35,440 Speaker 1: and they're able to transfer it over with paying like 1217 01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:37,720 Speaker 1: very minimal taxes. Now, it is true for both of 1218 01:00:37,720 --> 01:00:40,320 Speaker 1: these men, by the way, that because it's not going 1219 01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:43,080 Speaker 1: to a five oh one c three where you could 1220 01:00:43,080 --> 01:00:45,640 Speaker 1: get a charitable tax deduction, it is true that they 1221 01:00:45,640 --> 01:00:48,880 Speaker 1: are not maximizing their tax benefits. But that's also true 1222 01:00:49,320 --> 01:00:54,320 Speaker 1: for the right wing donor. So it's pretty pretty remarkable. 1223 01:00:54,440 --> 01:00:56,680 Speaker 1: And you know, they went out of their way to 1224 01:00:56,720 --> 01:01:00,280 Speaker 1: get like quotes from people in this Patagonia article saying, Oh, 1225 01:01:00,280 --> 01:01:02,960 Speaker 1: it's so amazing and it's incredible that they're not benefiting 1226 01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:05,400 Speaker 1: from this and all of this. Again, I don't have 1227 01:01:05,480 --> 01:01:09,360 Speaker 1: an issue personally with saying, like, I support what this 1228 01:01:09,440 --> 01:01:11,080 Speaker 1: money is going to, and I don't support what that 1229 01:01:11,120 --> 01:01:12,720 Speaker 1: money is going to, But the fact that they just 1230 01:01:12,720 --> 01:01:17,080 Speaker 1: got the story blatantly wrong is a real disservice to everyone. Oh, 1231 01:01:17,120 --> 01:01:19,240 Speaker 1: it's completely ridiculous cause everyone's like, oh, this is the 1232 01:01:19,240 --> 01:01:21,440 Speaker 1: good you know, it's this is exactly Also, it just 1233 01:01:21,520 --> 01:01:23,360 Speaker 1: shows you why it's very dangerous to play the good 1234 01:01:23,400 --> 01:01:25,800 Speaker 1: billionaire bad billionaire game. It's like, no, they actually all 1235 01:01:25,840 --> 01:01:28,080 Speaker 1: exploit the exact same loopholes in the tax code in 1236 01:01:28,160 --> 01:01:30,520 Speaker 1: order to just benefit whatever cause that they want. So 1237 01:01:30,560 --> 01:01:32,640 Speaker 1: once again, like you can think, yeah, it's great that 1238 01:01:32,680 --> 01:01:35,640 Speaker 1: he avoided taxes in order to support climate change stuff, 1239 01:01:35,840 --> 01:01:38,840 Speaker 1: But if you support that, then you also are supporting 1240 01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:41,720 Speaker 1: the underlying mechanism through which the right wing billionaire gives 1241 01:01:41,720 --> 01:01:46,000 Speaker 1: a billion six to the federalist society guy. So well 1242 01:01:46,120 --> 01:01:48,080 Speaker 1: as that as long as that loophole exists in the 1243 01:01:48,080 --> 01:01:51,080 Speaker 1: tax code, it is going to be used for dueling 1244 01:01:51,120 --> 01:01:53,680 Speaker 1: political purposes. And then you have to just be okay 1245 01:01:53,720 --> 01:01:56,160 Speaker 1: with the fact that right wingers exist too amongst the 1246 01:01:56,240 --> 01:02:00,240 Speaker 1: ultra wealthy. Well, and here's the thing. Bloomberg actually accurately 1247 01:02:00,280 --> 01:02:02,880 Speaker 1: covered the story. Let's put that up on the screen 1248 01:02:02,880 --> 01:02:05,200 Speaker 1: because I think it's important. And they go into the 1249 01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:09,240 Speaker 1: details and the parallels between what the Patagonian dude and 1250 01:02:09,320 --> 01:02:12,480 Speaker 1: the other dude did, and that it basically with some 1251 01:02:12,600 --> 01:02:14,960 Speaker 1: you know, small details was the same structure and they 1252 01:02:14,960 --> 01:02:18,760 Speaker 1: got the same tax benefits. And in fact, this allows 1253 01:02:18,880 --> 01:02:24,080 Speaker 1: the Patagonia billionaire to skirt seven hundred million dollars in taxes. 1254 01:02:24,520 --> 01:02:27,360 Speaker 1: And they had some good quotes in this article from 1255 01:02:27,840 --> 01:02:31,120 Speaker 1: you know, an analyst and expert on sort of I 1256 01:02:31,160 --> 01:02:33,760 Speaker 1: want to see an expert in like taxation and billionaires, 1257 01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:35,960 Speaker 1: I guess, but I thought he put it well. He said, 1258 01:02:36,000 --> 01:02:38,920 Speaker 1: we're letting people opt out of supporting all the expenses 1259 01:02:38,960 --> 01:02:41,280 Speaker 1: of government to do whatever they want with their money. 1260 01:02:41,280 --> 01:02:43,600 Speaker 1: This is a highly problematic from the point of view 1261 01:02:43,600 --> 01:02:46,400 Speaker 1: of democracy, and it can mean a higher tax burden 1262 01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:49,280 Speaker 1: for the rest of Americans. Using a five to one 1263 01:02:49,320 --> 01:02:51,440 Speaker 1: C four in trust lets him and his family continue 1264 01:02:51,440 --> 01:02:54,760 Speaker 1: to effectively control the company. And they say, if someone 1265 01:02:54,800 --> 01:02:57,480 Speaker 1: wanted to leave their votes behind after they died, we 1266 01:02:57,560 --> 01:03:00,360 Speaker 1: don't let people do that. But through these organizations, they're 1267 01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:02,960 Speaker 1: doing something similar, and their money is so much more 1268 01:03:03,000 --> 01:03:06,920 Speaker 1: powerful than a single vote. So again I'm not saying 1269 01:03:06,960 --> 01:03:08,960 Speaker 1: that these guys have like ill In ten or an 1270 01:03:09,120 --> 01:03:12,200 Speaker 1: Farris or whatever, but the bottom line is, rather than 1271 01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:15,680 Speaker 1: allowing their assets and their estates to be taxed when 1272 01:03:15,680 --> 01:03:19,560 Speaker 1: they pass and for those massive ports seven hundred billion 1273 01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:22,760 Speaker 1: dollars in this case million dollars, sorry, not billion, seven 1274 01:03:22,880 --> 01:03:25,640 Speaker 1: dred million dollars in this case to go into government 1275 01:03:25,680 --> 01:03:28,520 Speaker 1: coffers where there's a democratic process where we all get 1276 01:03:28,560 --> 01:03:30,880 Speaker 1: to have a say in terms of what this money 1277 01:03:30,880 --> 01:03:33,400 Speaker 1: goes towards, whether it's roads or bridges, or schools or 1278 01:03:33,400 --> 01:03:38,560 Speaker 1: war or whatever. Instead, they get to keep control over 1279 01:03:38,960 --> 01:03:42,160 Speaker 1: how this money ultimately is used. And we've talked a 1280 01:03:42,160 --> 01:03:45,880 Speaker 1: lot on the show about how you know, the billionaire 1281 01:03:45,920 --> 01:03:48,920 Speaker 1: is controlling these social causes and relying on the benevolent 1282 01:03:49,240 --> 01:03:52,520 Speaker 1: billionaire to fund your causes is ultimately very problematic and 1283 01:03:52,640 --> 01:03:54,400 Speaker 1: leads to all sorts of others. You see this with 1284 01:03:54,400 --> 01:03:56,760 Speaker 1: Bill Gates in the public health sector as one example. Yeah, 1285 01:03:56,800 --> 01:03:58,960 Speaker 1: of course, exactly, Bill Gates and public s healths. I mean, 1286 01:03:59,000 --> 01:04:01,920 Speaker 1: so many of these guys dom the Waltons and water 1287 01:04:02,000 --> 01:04:04,600 Speaker 1: rights in Montana, and there's all kinds of insanity. Oh 1288 01:04:04,640 --> 01:04:07,160 Speaker 1: that's happening around this country. And this is exactly the issue, 1289 01:04:07,160 --> 01:04:08,920 Speaker 1: which is that if you want to defend this, okay, 1290 01:04:09,040 --> 01:04:11,280 Speaker 1: be my guest, but then just understand the exact tax 1291 01:04:11,280 --> 01:04:13,680 Speaker 1: mechanism which is going to be used by everyone, every 1292 01:04:13,680 --> 01:04:16,040 Speaker 1: billionaire in the United States in order to dodge taxes 1293 01:04:16,360 --> 01:04:19,760 Speaker 1: to just basically donate to whatever cause they believe in. Also, 1294 01:04:20,080 --> 01:04:22,280 Speaker 1: this is the more important one to me. He's actually 1295 01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:24,880 Speaker 1: avoiding the forty percent gift tax on if he was 1296 01:04:24,880 --> 01:04:27,040 Speaker 1: going to give this money to his heirs because he's 1297 01:04:27,040 --> 01:04:29,280 Speaker 1: a man, is eighty three years old. So his heirs 1298 01:04:29,320 --> 01:04:32,400 Speaker 1: now have to pay nothing. And they didn't build Patagonia, Okay, 1299 01:04:32,440 --> 01:04:34,640 Speaker 1: they were just there along, there for the ride. So 1300 01:04:34,680 --> 01:04:37,200 Speaker 1: now they get the social cachet of being a big 1301 01:04:37,240 --> 01:04:40,360 Speaker 1: spender in the Democratic Party and they don't have to 1302 01:04:40,360 --> 01:04:42,760 Speaker 1: pay any taxes. That's crazy. And I was reading an 1303 01:04:42,800 --> 01:04:45,880 Speaker 1: article this morning about the La Times. This billionaire guy 1304 01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:49,080 Speaker 1: buys the La Times. His daughter is like some crazy 1305 01:04:49,400 --> 01:04:52,960 Speaker 1: social justice lib and is literally making the La Times 1306 01:04:53,000 --> 01:04:56,200 Speaker 1: like change its style guide language. And they don't know 1307 01:04:56,200 --> 01:04:57,600 Speaker 1: what to do because they're like, yeah, I mean it's 1308 01:04:57,640 --> 01:05:00,880 Speaker 1: the owner's daughter, like and this is a huge paper 1309 01:05:01,040 --> 01:05:03,560 Speaker 1: like in Los Angeles. So and at the time everyone 1310 01:05:03,600 --> 01:05:06,080 Speaker 1: hailed it. They're like, oh, Patrick, I forgot I don't 1311 01:05:06,120 --> 01:05:07,880 Speaker 1: know how to pronounce his last name. Like he's bailing 1312 01:05:07,880 --> 01:05:10,120 Speaker 1: out the La Times, like he's coming into the says 1313 01:05:10,160 --> 01:05:12,080 Speaker 1: like this is the price that we pay for this 1314 01:05:12,160 --> 01:05:14,240 Speaker 1: total control. Like do you want that guy's daughter to 1315 01:05:14,280 --> 01:05:17,320 Speaker 1: be controlling the style guide for a city, the second city, 1316 01:05:17,480 --> 01:05:20,280 Speaker 1: the start largest city in America. That's nuts. The same 1317 01:05:20,320 --> 01:05:22,040 Speaker 1: thing with this guy and whoever his kids are, I 1318 01:05:22,080 --> 01:05:23,920 Speaker 1: don't know his kids. Well, the way you put it 1319 01:05:23,960 --> 01:05:25,880 Speaker 1: is really good, Like just stay out of the business 1320 01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:29,200 Speaker 1: of playing the good billionaire bad billionaire game. Just understand 1321 01:05:29,240 --> 01:05:33,360 Speaker 1: that all of these mostly men with this large amount 1322 01:05:33,440 --> 01:05:37,120 Speaker 1: of money, it distorts democracy. Okay. McKenzie Bezos though, is 1323 01:05:37,120 --> 01:05:39,760 Speaker 1: a good example. Absolutely, she gets all this money from 1324 01:05:39,760 --> 01:05:42,080 Speaker 1: his divorce. She rules left wing whe she is the 1325 01:05:42,200 --> 01:05:45,680 Speaker 1: single largest amount of money given the way our system 1326 01:05:45,720 --> 01:05:49,840 Speaker 1: is structured, is incredibly distortive and incredibly you just want 1327 01:05:49,880 --> 01:05:52,280 Speaker 1: to talk about thrust to democracy, like the fact that 1328 01:05:52,320 --> 01:05:55,000 Speaker 1: they can create this whole separate ecosystem that none of 1329 01:05:55,080 --> 01:05:57,600 Speaker 1: us has any saying whatsoever, Like that is a real 1330 01:05:57,640 --> 01:06:01,480 Speaker 1: threat to democracy. So yeah, not the New York Times 1331 01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:04,160 Speaker 1: finest moment in how they covered these things, and it 1332 01:06:04,200 --> 01:06:06,360 Speaker 1: really is funny. I encourage you to go and read 1333 01:06:06,400 --> 01:06:09,520 Speaker 1: the article they that I think was actually very good 1334 01:06:09,600 --> 01:06:12,600 Speaker 1: article written by Ken Vogel about the right wing dude. Yes, 1335 01:06:12,840 --> 01:06:17,560 Speaker 1: compare it to the article the fawning not critical at all, 1336 01:06:17,720 --> 01:06:21,360 Speaker 1: didn't raise any of these questions article about the Patagonia Dude, Like, 1337 01:06:21,440 --> 01:06:23,920 Speaker 1: go and compare them side to side, the types of 1338 01:06:24,000 --> 01:06:26,680 Speaker 1: quotes that they got on the one hand versus the 1339 01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:28,920 Speaker 1: other hand, and the way they presented and everything. It 1340 01:06:29,040 --> 01:06:32,760 Speaker 1: is like the definition of propaganda, and you can see it. 1341 01:06:32,840 --> 01:06:35,400 Speaker 1: This is an actual, like one of the most perfect, 1342 01:06:35,520 --> 01:06:38,280 Speaker 1: glaring examples of fakeness. Yeah. I think it's important that 1343 01:06:38,320 --> 01:06:40,800 Speaker 1: you set it up too, because everybody in the left 1344 01:06:40,800 --> 01:06:42,560 Speaker 1: wing media just doesn't want to talk about it because 1345 01:06:42,600 --> 01:06:44,320 Speaker 1: are like, well, we support the cause. It's like it 1346 01:06:44,360 --> 01:06:48,680 Speaker 1: doesn't matter. Well, you reported something that was actually factually incorrect. 1347 01:06:48,800 --> 01:06:50,960 Speaker 1: I actually the person I reached out to, I don't 1348 01:06:50,960 --> 01:06:52,760 Speaker 1: think he would mind me saying this, But because he 1349 01:06:52,800 --> 01:06:55,080 Speaker 1: had done a lot of reporting on the right wing donation, 1350 01:06:55,240 --> 01:06:57,960 Speaker 1: David Sirota with clever Yeah, And I was like, is 1351 01:06:58,000 --> 01:07:00,560 Speaker 1: this because this looks like the same struck sure, So 1352 01:07:00,680 --> 01:07:02,840 Speaker 1: are they just getting this wrong? And he checked in 1353 01:07:02,880 --> 01:07:05,440 Speaker 1: with the people that he relies on to understand the 1354 01:07:05,520 --> 01:07:09,080 Speaker 1: complicated tax mechanics. He's like, no, they just blatantly got 1355 01:07:09,160 --> 01:07:12,640 Speaker 1: it wrong. So like even putting like the biased cover 1356 01:07:12,800 --> 01:07:16,320 Speaker 1: just like this, just factually incorrect. The way they presented 1357 01:07:16,320 --> 01:07:19,640 Speaker 1: it pretty astonishing. Just another reminder these people are bad 1358 01:07:19,640 --> 01:07:22,560 Speaker 1: at their jobs. Yeah, bottom line exactly. It's actually shocking 1359 01:07:22,640 --> 01:07:25,040 Speaker 1: speaking of people who are bad at their jobs. Let's 1360 01:07:25,040 --> 01:07:26,360 Speaker 1: go ahead and put this up there on the screen. 1361 01:07:26,480 --> 01:07:29,960 Speaker 1: Is a big shake up going on CNN. We're covering this. 1362 01:07:30,040 --> 01:07:33,280 Speaker 1: So Don Lemon has officially been taken off of as 1363 01:07:33,320 --> 01:07:36,360 Speaker 1: a nightly primetime show with his own name on it, 1364 01:07:36,560 --> 01:07:40,000 Speaker 1: and he's being transferred to the morning Now. I don't 1365 01:07:40,000 --> 01:07:42,560 Speaker 1: know how else you would describe somebody who has a 1366 01:07:42,600 --> 01:07:45,160 Speaker 1: show with their name on it at the most coveted 1367 01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:48,360 Speaker 1: timeslot in television and then moving them to a panel 1368 01:07:48,400 --> 01:07:51,720 Speaker 1: show with multiple co hosts from six to nine am, 1369 01:07:51,880 --> 01:07:54,080 Speaker 1: which in TV terms means that you actually have to 1370 01:07:54,080 --> 01:07:56,080 Speaker 1: wake up at three thirty in the morning in order 1371 01:07:56,120 --> 01:08:00,280 Speaker 1: to go do your job, and not describe that as demoted. However, 1372 01:08:00,760 --> 01:08:03,120 Speaker 1: mister Lemon is very very sensitive about this. Is put 1373 01:08:03,160 --> 01:08:06,960 Speaker 1: us up there. He says explicitly, I was not demoted. 1374 01:08:07,160 --> 01:08:09,720 Speaker 1: He's like, no, no, no no, no. For those who are saying, oh, 1375 01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:12,080 Speaker 1: he moved me out, I could have said no, I 1376 01:08:12,200 --> 01:08:14,600 Speaker 1: was not demoted. None of that this is an opportunity 1377 01:08:14,800 --> 01:08:16,599 Speaker 1: for it to create something around me and I get 1378 01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,280 Speaker 1: to work with two great ladies who you know, and 1379 01:08:19,320 --> 01:08:22,799 Speaker 1: he basically just ends the quote right there, turning lemons 1380 01:08:22,840 --> 01:08:26,360 Speaker 1: into lemonades, turning lemons. Yeah, there's a lot. There's only 1381 01:08:26,479 --> 01:08:29,400 Speaker 1: so many puns that we can make here. I don't know. 1382 01:08:29,479 --> 01:08:31,200 Speaker 1: Maybe he's got tears in his eyes because he's got 1383 01:08:31,439 --> 01:08:33,800 Speaker 1: I'm not gonna keep going, all right, So, but christ 1384 01:08:33,920 --> 01:08:35,479 Speaker 1: I don't think there is a way to describe this 1385 01:08:35,640 --> 01:08:40,080 Speaker 1: as obviously a demotion clearly also also just shows you 1386 01:08:40,200 --> 01:08:42,680 Speaker 1: once again, you know, for all I do support Chris Lick, 1387 01:08:42,840 --> 01:08:45,400 Speaker 1: like firing Brian Sealter and all this, but they fundamentally 1388 01:08:45,479 --> 01:08:50,599 Speaker 1: lack imagination. They described this as a quote mass appeal play. Yes, 1389 01:08:50,800 --> 01:08:54,120 Speaker 1: let's take the lowest rated and frankly dumbest man on 1390 01:08:54,160 --> 01:08:57,120 Speaker 1: television and put him in the morning. That'll appeal to 1391 01:08:57,160 --> 01:08:59,240 Speaker 1: the masses, and then we'll put a blonde woman right 1392 01:08:59,240 --> 01:09:02,160 Speaker 1: next to him because that'll soften him up. Like, what 1393 01:09:02,160 --> 01:09:04,360 Speaker 1: what do you? What are you thinking here? Funny to 1394 01:09:04,479 --> 01:09:08,160 Speaker 1: me is I they are describing this. The thing that 1395 01:09:08,200 --> 01:09:09,760 Speaker 1: was strange to me is like they're describing this this 1396 01:09:09,880 --> 01:09:12,880 Speaker 1: big game change. Yeah, Like, no, it's not. It's the 1397 01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:16,200 Speaker 1: same type of people. Like all of these CNN characters 1398 01:09:16,200 --> 01:09:18,799 Speaker 1: are very plug and play, like they're probably very similar. 1399 01:09:19,040 --> 01:09:22,400 Speaker 1: And so oh, I took this blonde woman in man 1400 01:09:22,439 --> 01:09:24,920 Speaker 1: Combo and I switched it for a different blonde woman 1401 01:09:24,960 --> 01:09:28,120 Speaker 1: in man Combo and threw in Caitlin Collins. Totally. It's like, 1402 01:09:28,280 --> 01:09:31,600 Speaker 1: that's not a game changer. That's just like a regurgitation 1403 01:09:31,760 --> 01:09:34,320 Speaker 1: of a very similar thing that you've been doing. I mean, look, 1404 01:09:34,360 --> 01:09:36,439 Speaker 1: we'll see what it looks like when it actually comes 1405 01:09:36,479 --> 01:09:39,360 Speaker 1: to the light of day. But I was surprised at 1406 01:09:39,400 --> 01:09:42,559 Speaker 1: the lack of ambition that this represented, I guess is 1407 01:09:42,560 --> 01:09:45,799 Speaker 1: what I would say, because Chris Lickt comes from Morning 1408 01:09:45,840 --> 01:09:48,120 Speaker 1: TV is kind of his thing. He created Morning Joe, 1409 01:09:48,120 --> 01:09:50,840 Speaker 1: I'll create Morning Joe. What did he also? CBS, I 1410 01:09:50,880 --> 01:09:53,360 Speaker 1: think their morning show you're the lowest rated one, so 1411 01:09:53,520 --> 01:09:57,240 Speaker 1: you know, yeah, and that was actually but I think 1412 01:09:57,240 --> 01:10:00,719 Speaker 1: the last element that we have here for PUK News. Yeah, 1413 01:10:00,760 --> 01:10:04,000 Speaker 1: so this was when life gives you Lemon. Lol. This 1414 01:10:04,160 --> 01:10:07,400 Speaker 1: was an interesting analysis by Dylan Buyers. I don't know 1415 01:10:07,439 --> 01:10:09,160 Speaker 1: if it's accurate or not, but I thought it was 1416 01:10:09,200 --> 01:10:11,679 Speaker 1: an interesting way to look at it. He said, Listen, 1417 01:10:11,880 --> 01:10:13,920 Speaker 1: the audience that watches cable news is growing older and 1418 01:10:14,080 --> 01:10:17,439 Speaker 1: it's growing smaller. Zucker, who's now of course ousted, may 1419 01:10:17,479 --> 01:10:20,240 Speaker 1: have felt confident he could have fought that trend, but 1420 01:10:20,479 --> 01:10:25,200 Speaker 1: licked strategy is to embrace it. So basically what he's 1421 01:10:25,400 --> 01:10:28,479 Speaker 1: arguing here, Dylan Buyers is that he's not even though 1422 01:10:28,520 --> 01:10:30,479 Speaker 1: they say this is a mass appeal play, He's really 1423 01:10:30,560 --> 01:10:33,360 Speaker 1: not going for the mass appeal play. He is trying 1424 01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:35,559 Speaker 1: to appeal to this, you know, the normans that are 1425 01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:38,640 Speaker 1: still watching cable news, like the older retirees who are 1426 01:10:38,640 --> 01:10:41,960 Speaker 1: still watching cable news. Is trying to pair back expenses 1427 01:10:42,439 --> 01:10:45,360 Speaker 1: and make it less costly and basically, you know, make 1428 01:10:45,400 --> 01:10:48,439 Speaker 1: it financially viable in a future where ratings are not 1429 01:10:48,600 --> 01:10:52,040 Speaker 1: coming back. So I thought that was an interesting insight 1430 01:10:52,120 --> 01:10:55,799 Speaker 1: into potentially what he is ultimately thinking here. That's smart, 1431 01:10:55,960 --> 01:10:57,320 Speaker 1: That could be a smart way to look at it. 1432 01:10:57,360 --> 01:10:59,320 Speaker 1: I mean, I think the other one is that Lemon 1433 01:10:59,360 --> 01:11:01,160 Speaker 1: was a huge pain the ass he needed to kind 1434 01:11:01,160 --> 01:11:02,519 Speaker 1: of quote get rid of him, put him in a 1435 01:11:02,600 --> 01:11:04,840 Speaker 1: less high profile role. He also seems to have a 1436 01:11:04,840 --> 01:11:07,720 Speaker 1: real thing against Brionna Keeler, which they talk a lot 1437 01:11:07,760 --> 01:11:10,280 Speaker 1: about in that piece who we played earlier, the woman thing. 1438 01:11:10,320 --> 01:11:12,599 Speaker 1: I don't blame him. I also find her very unpleasant 1439 01:11:12,600 --> 01:11:14,200 Speaker 1: to watch, so I guess I also would want to 1440 01:11:14,200 --> 01:11:15,800 Speaker 1: get rid of her in the morning, right. But it's 1441 01:11:15,800 --> 01:11:19,040 Speaker 1: not like Poppy Harlowe is Poppy Hart's exactly to me. 1442 01:11:19,240 --> 01:11:21,320 Speaker 1: I don't know where this is all coming from. I mean, look, 1443 01:11:21,360 --> 01:11:23,320 Speaker 1: Kaitlin is actually quite good at her job. She's going 1444 01:11:23,360 --> 01:11:25,880 Speaker 1: to be like a roving correspondent type. I think he 1445 01:11:25,920 --> 01:11:27,719 Speaker 1: should be fine at that. I mean, that's that's good 1446 01:11:28,200 --> 01:11:30,360 Speaker 1: moving on from the White House, so you know, she'll 1447 01:11:30,360 --> 01:11:32,679 Speaker 1: probably just be traveling a lot like the hurricane person. 1448 01:11:32,720 --> 01:11:35,679 Speaker 1: You know, I'm here on whatever. That's a fine gig. 1449 01:11:35,720 --> 01:11:37,519 Speaker 1: But at the end of the day, like what they 1450 01:11:37,560 --> 01:11:40,120 Speaker 1: point to is, and he actually says this, He's like, well, 1451 01:11:40,240 --> 01:11:43,520 Speaker 1: Chris Slick is going for the competition of muted screens 1452 01:11:43,560 --> 01:11:46,800 Speaker 1: and airports, and here on K Street. I couldn't find 1453 01:11:46,800 --> 01:11:49,040 Speaker 1: a better way to describe it, which is that even 1454 01:11:49,160 --> 01:11:52,000 Speaker 1: morning show television CNN, what they say is there's only 1455 01:11:52,120 --> 01:11:55,519 Speaker 1: way up because at best only four hundred thousand people 1456 01:11:55,520 --> 01:11:58,000 Speaker 1: are watching it in the morning, and about less than 1457 01:11:58,000 --> 01:12:00,000 Speaker 1: one hundred thousand of them are in the key demographic, 1458 01:12:00,080 --> 01:12:02,800 Speaker 1: which is all that matters. I mean that's like, you know, 1459 01:12:02,920 --> 01:12:06,160 Speaker 1: a tenth or whatever of whatever happens here on breaking 1460 01:12:06,200 --> 01:12:09,400 Speaker 1: about how much they spend right, I mean millions of 1461 01:12:09,479 --> 01:12:14,000 Speaker 1: dollars and promotion in the set in the quote unquote talent, 1462 01:12:14,080 --> 01:12:17,360 Speaker 1: I mean the whole thing all in. It's just mind 1463 01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:21,360 Speaker 1: boggling how much money they spend to achieve such incredibly 1464 01:12:21,400 --> 01:12:24,240 Speaker 1: poor results. It really is incredible. There's another article out 1465 01:12:24,320 --> 01:12:28,200 Speaker 1: about the fact that the Sunday shows are dying too. 1466 01:12:28,479 --> 01:12:32,040 Speaker 1: They can't book like high level guests. Nobody's watching. It's 1467 01:12:32,040 --> 01:12:33,920 Speaker 1: not I mean, the Sunday shows used to be like 1468 01:12:34,000 --> 01:12:36,200 Speaker 1: this set the agenda and this is where the news 1469 01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:38,880 Speaker 1: was made in all of this. But it's just a 1470 01:12:39,000 --> 01:12:42,280 Speaker 1: totally different world. And you know, it becomes a self 1471 01:12:42,320 --> 01:12:44,960 Speaker 1: fulfilling prophecy where it's like, Okay, they can't get the 1472 01:12:44,960 --> 01:12:46,960 Speaker 1: big guests and they can't break the big news, and 1473 01:12:47,000 --> 01:12:49,080 Speaker 1: so there's even less reason for people to try to 1474 01:12:49,280 --> 01:12:52,320 Speaker 1: it and watch, and it becomes a downward spiral. You 1475 01:12:52,360 --> 01:12:55,960 Speaker 1: see this playing out really across all of network news 1476 01:12:55,960 --> 01:12:58,920 Speaker 1: and cable news frankly, where there's just there's so many 1477 01:12:58,960 --> 01:13:01,600 Speaker 1: other options. It's so boring and predictable. They've gotten so 1478 01:13:01,640 --> 01:13:05,760 Speaker 1: many key moments so incredibly wrong. But yeah, if that's 1479 01:13:05,800 --> 01:13:08,080 Speaker 1: the strategy, is just to kind of like pair back 1480 01:13:08,200 --> 01:13:10,880 Speaker 1: expenses and make it cheaper and try to hold on 1481 01:13:11,000 --> 01:13:13,880 Speaker 1: to the relatively small audiences that they have, I guess 1482 01:13:13,880 --> 01:13:15,880 Speaker 1: it's not the dumbest play in the world. Completely. My 1483 01:13:15,880 --> 01:13:17,880 Speaker 1: favorite term with regards to the Sunday shows, I think 1484 01:13:17,920 --> 01:13:20,320 Speaker 1: you taught me this is the full Ginsburg Yeah right, 1485 01:13:20,640 --> 01:13:24,160 Speaker 1: where named after the lawyer for Monica Lewinsky who went 1486 01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:27,840 Speaker 1: on all six Sunday shows back when people cared about 1487 01:13:27,880 --> 01:13:29,720 Speaker 1: such things. Yeah, I mean, I can't even tell you 1488 01:13:29,760 --> 01:13:31,800 Speaker 1: it was on Fox New Sunday even five years ago. 1489 01:13:31,800 --> 01:13:34,040 Speaker 1: That used to be kind of a big deal. Now yeah. Nothing. 1490 01:13:34,160 --> 01:13:37,240 Speaker 1: By the way, the person there that's being floated for 1491 01:13:37,600 --> 01:13:40,519 Speaker 1: Don Lemon's replacement in the evening, who is it? Casey Hunt? 1492 01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:47,360 Speaker 1: Oh my god, that'll be a fun one to celebrate, sire. 1493 01:13:47,439 --> 01:13:48,840 Speaker 1: What are you looking at? I spend a lot of 1494 01:13:48,840 --> 01:13:51,720 Speaker 1: time here criticizing Joe Biden rightfully, so I think it's 1495 01:13:51,720 --> 01:13:53,840 Speaker 1: always important, as we did with Trump or though with 1496 01:13:53,880 --> 01:13:56,200 Speaker 1: any politician, if they do something right or in the 1497 01:13:56,280 --> 01:13:58,800 Speaker 1: right direction. Let's give them as much due attention and 1498 01:13:58,880 --> 01:14:02,439 Speaker 1: highlight how they're new victim could spur another more important 1499 01:14:02,439 --> 01:14:04,960 Speaker 1: step that is vital for our country. Let's start with 1500 01:14:05,000 --> 01:14:07,920 Speaker 1: the good and important news. If you'll recall the Chips Act, 1501 01:14:07,920 --> 01:14:10,120 Speaker 1: which spurred billions of dollars in new investment for the 1502 01:14:10,120 --> 01:14:13,120 Speaker 1: semiconductor industry here in the US, there were a few 1503 01:14:13,160 --> 01:14:16,080 Speaker 1: big engaping problems. First amongst them was that while the 1504 01:14:16,080 --> 01:14:19,000 Speaker 1: bill itself was designed to protect the US competition for 1505 01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:22,200 Speaker 1: China in the critical chip sector, it didn't include enough 1506 01:14:22,200 --> 01:14:26,599 Speaker 1: provisions to actually stop Chinese money from infiltrating US supply chains. 1507 01:14:26,800 --> 01:14:29,800 Speaker 1: It gets really complicated in the exact legal language, but 1508 01:14:29,840 --> 01:14:32,679 Speaker 1: it was enough that more than a few GOP senators 1509 01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:36,240 Speaker 1: who are pro chips investment voted against the bill. Mostly, 1510 01:14:36,280 --> 01:14:39,599 Speaker 1: it seemed like standard issue Washington corruption, but apparently at 1511 01:14:39,600 --> 01:14:43,240 Speaker 1: the bare minimum, the Biden administration did take notice after 1512 01:14:43,280 --> 01:14:46,439 Speaker 1: Congress on behalf of Chinese interests, took out anti Chinese 1513 01:14:46,479 --> 01:14:49,280 Speaker 1: protections from the bill they drafted, and have now signed 1514 01:14:49,280 --> 01:14:52,479 Speaker 1: an executive order mimicking what that law would have originally done, 1515 01:14:52,600 --> 01:14:55,040 Speaker 1: beefing up one of the most important and unknown parts 1516 01:14:55,080 --> 01:14:57,840 Speaker 1: of the US government the Committee on Foreign Investments in 1517 01:14:57,880 --> 01:15:01,000 Speaker 1: the United States, known in DC by the Act Syfius. 1518 01:15:01,160 --> 01:15:04,679 Speaker 1: Cyphius has a mandate from Congress to block US foreign 1519 01:15:04,680 --> 01:15:07,919 Speaker 1: investment in companies that have a direct impact on national security, 1520 01:15:08,080 --> 01:15:10,200 Speaker 1: think like a rate Theon or on North of Grumman. 1521 01:15:10,400 --> 01:15:13,760 Speaker 1: It's been limited in scope, and criticals critics like myself, 1522 01:15:13,920 --> 01:15:17,599 Speaker 1: for years have alleged Syphius has been approving transactions clearly 1523 01:15:17,640 --> 01:15:20,679 Speaker 1: designed to undermine the US but have bowed to corporate pressure. 1524 01:15:21,400 --> 01:15:25,080 Speaker 1: A new order direct Scifius to consider whether any pending 1525 01:15:25,120 --> 01:15:28,440 Speaker 1: deal in US markets involves the purchase of a business 1526 01:15:28,560 --> 01:15:34,200 Speaker 1: to access with two American sensitive data, and specifically whether 1527 01:15:34,360 --> 01:15:37,720 Speaker 1: data has dual use purposes for business could also be 1528 01:15:37,760 --> 01:15:40,920 Speaker 1: exploited by a foreign government. This new direction comes amid 1529 01:15:40,960 --> 01:15:43,519 Speaker 1: a flurry of new signs the Biden administration, while far 1530 01:15:43,560 --> 01:15:45,800 Speaker 1: too slow to act in my opinion, may actually be 1531 01:15:45,880 --> 01:15:49,120 Speaker 1: considering either a total ban on TikTok or a forced 1532 01:15:49,160 --> 01:15:51,720 Speaker 1: sale of the Chinese company to one controlled by a 1533 01:15:51,840 --> 01:15:54,960 Speaker 1: US corporation. The data provisions in Sophius, in my opinion, 1534 01:15:54,960 --> 01:15:57,519 Speaker 1: should have been law years and years ago, and it 1535 01:15:57,560 --> 01:16:00,600 Speaker 1: also highlights how incompetent the Trump administration of it was. 1536 01:16:00,920 --> 01:16:03,200 Speaker 1: Remember when Trump said he would ban TikTok, but then 1537 01:16:03,200 --> 01:16:05,320 Speaker 1: he tried to do so in the dumbest way possible, 1538 01:16:05,479 --> 01:16:08,360 Speaker 1: resulting the existence of the service and its continued domination 1539 01:16:08,439 --> 01:16:11,880 Speaker 1: in US markets. Breaking points remembers. Trump also failed on 1540 01:16:11,960 --> 01:16:14,439 Speaker 1: multiple occasions thanks to certain of failed Sun's son in 1541 01:16:14,520 --> 01:16:17,799 Speaker 1: law to beef upsifius and continued review of US investments 1542 01:16:17,800 --> 01:16:20,800 Speaker 1: in China. His incompetence aside, the case for banning or 1543 01:16:20,840 --> 01:16:24,519 Speaker 1: spanning TikTok off has been quadrupled in years since that 1544 01:16:24,640 --> 01:16:27,519 Speaker 1: was considered to review. The case is actually quite simple. 1545 01:16:27,640 --> 01:16:30,240 Speaker 1: In China, there is no such thing as private business. 1546 01:16:30,400 --> 01:16:32,680 Speaker 1: National security laws in the books which have already been 1547 01:16:32,720 --> 01:16:35,479 Speaker 1: used against TikTok's parent company byke Dance may clear their 1548 01:16:35,560 --> 01:16:38,400 Speaker 1: data belongs to the Chinese state, not to them privately. 1549 01:16:38,720 --> 01:16:42,040 Speaker 1: They exist at the pleasure of the CCP and nothing more. Thus, 1550 01:16:42,200 --> 01:16:44,439 Speaker 1: when TikTok claims its data and its companies are separate 1551 01:16:44,479 --> 01:16:47,920 Speaker 1: from its overall Chinese operations, it's laughable. The basic truth 1552 01:16:47,960 --> 01:16:49,759 Speaker 1: is that one of the most used and most downloaded 1553 01:16:49,760 --> 01:16:52,919 Speaker 1: apps in the United States, especially amongst teenagers, is controlled 1554 01:16:52,920 --> 01:16:55,320 Speaker 1: directly by a foreign adversary, and the proof of this 1555 01:16:55,400 --> 01:16:58,080 Speaker 1: has been solid since twenty nineteen, but like I said, 1556 01:16:58,320 --> 01:17:00,760 Speaker 1: only grows day by day. In June, I covered that 1557 01:17:00,840 --> 01:17:04,040 Speaker 1: investigation that showed direct audio proof. TikTok lied to the 1558 01:17:04,120 --> 01:17:06,720 Speaker 1: US Congress about has processes in place to keep the 1559 01:17:06,720 --> 01:17:11,000 Speaker 1: Beijing parent company without control over TikTok the audio proof. Internally, 1560 01:17:11,040 --> 01:17:15,040 Speaker 1: TikTok routinely acknowledges how in control Beijing is of their 1561 01:17:15,120 --> 01:17:18,240 Speaker 1: day to day operations, and a new profile though of 1562 01:17:18,280 --> 01:17:22,599 Speaker 1: TikTok's quote unquote ceo, also hammers home this point. TikTok 1563 01:17:22,680 --> 01:17:24,920 Speaker 1: hired several CEOs in the last several years with a 1564 01:17:25,000 --> 01:17:27,920 Speaker 1: chief mission of fooling US regulators and consumers that it 1565 01:17:27,960 --> 01:17:30,679 Speaker 1: is not straight up controlled by China. They first hired 1566 01:17:30,680 --> 01:17:32,840 Speaker 1: a long time executive from the Walt Disney Company and 1567 01:17:32,960 --> 01:17:36,759 Speaker 1: since have hired Singaporean citizens Shaoshi Chew. Now, the smoke 1568 01:17:36,840 --> 01:17:40,719 Speaker 1: screen was, well, he's Singaporean, it's cool, it's a US ally. 1569 01:17:41,000 --> 01:17:43,839 Speaker 1: Yet when you look under the hood, it's exact same scenario. 1570 01:17:44,280 --> 01:17:47,240 Speaker 1: Chew turns out doesn't run the damn thing at TikTok. 1571 01:17:47,479 --> 01:17:50,679 Speaker 1: Decisions on everything from live streaming to shopping are made 1572 01:17:50,880 --> 01:17:54,799 Speaker 1: by Jiang Ziming this mysterious multi billionaire founder of TikTok 1573 01:17:54,880 --> 01:17:58,000 Speaker 1: and ByteDance, its parent corporation. In fact, the most critical 1574 01:17:58,040 --> 01:18:00,599 Speaker 1: part of the company, TikTok's research and dev alopment team, 1575 01:18:00,720 --> 01:18:03,679 Speaker 1: as well as their growth and strategy team, report directly 1576 01:18:03,800 --> 01:18:06,920 Speaker 1: to Beijing, not to the CEO. They have no reporting 1577 01:18:06,920 --> 01:18:10,759 Speaker 1: lines whatsoever to the supposed CEO of the company. TikTok 1578 01:18:10,840 --> 01:18:13,920 Speaker 1: shamelessness was best on display when their chief operating officer, 1579 01:18:13,920 --> 01:18:17,240 Speaker 1: who used to work at YouTube, testified before Congress on Thursday, 1580 01:18:17,400 --> 01:18:20,519 Speaker 1: where she would not definitively say that the company would 1581 01:18:20,560 --> 01:18:23,479 Speaker 1: cut off data and metadata flows to China. Just take 1582 01:18:23,479 --> 01:18:26,679 Speaker 1: a listen her own words. Can you make the commitment 1583 01:18:26,720 --> 01:18:28,439 Speaker 1: though that I just asked you to make, that you 1584 01:18:28,520 --> 01:18:31,320 Speaker 1: will commit to cutting off all data and metadata flows 1585 01:18:31,320 --> 01:18:34,200 Speaker 1: to China, Chinese based TikTok employees, by Dance employees, or 1586 01:18:34,240 --> 01:18:37,280 Speaker 1: any other party located in China. What I can commit 1587 01:18:37,320 --> 01:18:40,120 Speaker 1: to is that our final agreement with the US government 1588 01:18:40,160 --> 01:18:44,160 Speaker 1: will satisfy old national security concents. Yes, but you won't 1589 01:18:44,160 --> 01:18:46,880 Speaker 1: make a commitment to agree to what I have now 1590 01:18:47,000 --> 01:18:51,280 Speaker 1: twice asked you. Got sorry, given the confidentiality of Siphius, 1591 01:18:51,320 --> 01:18:54,640 Speaker 1: I'm not able to talk specifically about that agreement on 1592 01:18:54,800 --> 01:19:02,200 Speaker 1: that happy she would make the commitment today, will you 1593 01:19:02,240 --> 01:19:06,519 Speaker 1: make that commitment? I am committing to what I've stated, 1594 01:19:06,520 --> 01:19:09,679 Speaker 1: which is we are working with the United States government 1595 01:19:09,840 --> 01:19:13,120 Speaker 1: on a resolve through the scifious process in which we 1596 01:19:13,280 --> 01:19:17,160 Speaker 1: will continue to minimize that data as well as working 1597 01:19:17,200 --> 01:19:19,759 Speaker 1: with Oracle to protect that data in the United States. 1598 01:19:19,920 --> 01:19:22,160 Speaker 1: That is corporate speak for no, we won't commit to it. 1599 01:19:22,200 --> 01:19:24,760 Speaker 1: So it's actually simple. The company claims that despite being 1600 01:19:24,760 --> 01:19:27,599 Speaker 1: wholly owned outright and controlled by China, they are not 1601 01:19:27,640 --> 01:19:30,479 Speaker 1: controlled by China. When asked under oath if they'll stop 1602 01:19:30,520 --> 01:19:32,560 Speaker 1: sending them data, they're not going to say yes. It 1603 01:19:32,600 --> 01:19:35,120 Speaker 1: seems cut and dry. The longer we draw this out, 1604 01:19:35,200 --> 01:19:37,080 Speaker 1: the more it makes a mockery of our country and 1605 01:19:37,120 --> 01:19:39,120 Speaker 1: how weak we are that has taken us this long 1606 01:19:39,240 --> 01:19:41,360 Speaker 1: to even get the conversation to a place where it 1607 01:19:41,400 --> 01:19:43,760 Speaker 1: is being considered. I'm just gonna end with this. A 1608 01:19:43,800 --> 01:19:46,320 Speaker 1: situation is making it clear as day why TikTok either 1609 01:19:46,320 --> 01:19:48,680 Speaker 1: needs to go or needs a forced sale. Now in 1610 01:19:48,680 --> 01:19:52,080 Speaker 1: twenty eighteen, a Chinese news aggregator, which I'm not going 1611 01:19:52,120 --> 01:19:54,519 Speaker 1: to try and pronounce on, is chow Cho owned and 1612 01:19:54,640 --> 01:19:57,639 Speaker 1: operated by by Dance. The same company that owns TikTok 1613 01:19:57,960 --> 01:20:00,840 Speaker 1: was literally shut down overnight, despite being one of the 1614 01:20:00,880 --> 01:20:03,360 Speaker 1: largest in the entire country of China. The reason why 1615 01:20:03,560 --> 01:20:06,439 Speaker 1: because the CCP said it was causing too much social 1616 01:20:06,479 --> 01:20:09,200 Speaker 1: disruption to their liking and they just decided to nuke 1617 01:20:09,240 --> 01:20:12,519 Speaker 1: it overnight. In his bid to keep the job, Jiang Jiming, 1618 01:20:12,720 --> 01:20:15,439 Speaker 1: the current controller of TikTok, wrote in an open letter 1619 01:20:15,520 --> 01:20:17,840 Speaker 1: in Chinese. Here's what he wrote, quote, the product has 1620 01:20:17,840 --> 01:20:21,200 Speaker 1: gone astray posting content that goes against socialist core values. 1621 01:20:21,400 --> 01:20:24,240 Speaker 1: It's all on me. I accept all the punishment since 1622 01:20:24,240 --> 01:20:28,800 Speaker 1: it failed to direct public opinion in the right way. 1623 01:20:29,439 --> 01:20:32,200 Speaker 1: Do we need more proof? The guy literally said his 1624 01:20:32,320 --> 01:20:36,439 Speaker 1: content should promote CCP values and should quote direct public 1625 01:20:36,479 --> 01:20:40,200 Speaker 1: opinion in the way that they wanted. If you think 1626 01:20:40,240 --> 01:20:42,320 Speaker 1: that isn't at play here in our country when the 1627 01:20:42,320 --> 01:20:46,160 Speaker 1: same guy literally owns TikTok, you're delusional. TikTok needs to 1628 01:20:46,200 --> 01:20:49,240 Speaker 1: go or be spun off. Biden administration needs to capitalize 1629 01:20:49,280 --> 01:20:51,599 Speaker 1: on the newfound momentum and just do all of us 1630 01:20:51,600 --> 01:20:53,519 Speaker 1: a favor to make us safer. I mean, I just 1631 01:20:53,560 --> 01:20:55,599 Speaker 1: think it's very basic, crystal and look I mean, I've 1632 01:20:55,640 --> 01:20:57,400 Speaker 1: come around to these and if you want to hear 1633 01:20:57,640 --> 01:21:00,840 Speaker 1: my reaction to Sager's monologue, become a pre WIAM subscriber 1634 01:21:00,840 --> 01:21:06,000 Speaker 1: today at breakingpoints dot com, Crystal, what do you take 1635 01:21:06,000 --> 01:21:08,680 Speaker 1: a look at? Well, Guys, After a traumatic showdown last week, 1636 01:21:08,720 --> 01:21:12,040 Speaker 1: our nation's railroads were kept open by a last minute 1637 01:21:12,040 --> 01:21:15,040 Speaker 1: deal that was struck between rail bosses and union leaders 1638 01:21:15,320 --> 01:21:17,800 Speaker 1: that was in meetings that were led by the Biden administration. 1639 01:21:17,920 --> 01:21:20,920 Speaker 1: So President Biden released a triumphant statement saying that the 1640 01:21:20,960 --> 01:21:23,920 Speaker 1: deal was quote a big win for workers. Most of 1641 01:21:23,920 --> 01:21:26,400 Speaker 1: the media took the bait, declaring the crisis over. Hardly 1642 01:21:26,439 --> 01:21:28,639 Speaker 1: surprising given that they were so late to this story 1643 01:21:28,640 --> 01:21:31,679 Speaker 1: and did such a terrible job of covering it, parroting 1644 01:21:31,680 --> 01:21:34,280 Speaker 1: corporate talking points about the potential economic impact of a 1645 01:21:34,320 --> 01:21:39,080 Speaker 1: strike without giving any space to the worker's entirely legitimate concerns, 1646 01:21:39,120 --> 01:21:42,639 Speaker 1: while also ignoring how rail bosses were actually the ones 1647 01:21:42,680 --> 01:21:45,679 Speaker 1: holding the entire economy hostage. You tried to pressure Congress 1648 01:21:46,040 --> 01:21:49,320 Speaker 1: was crazy. After the tenet of agreement was negotiated, Biden 1649 01:21:49,360 --> 01:21:53,040 Speaker 1: himself went on sixty minutes, was thrown a totally softball question, 1650 01:21:53,320 --> 01:21:56,840 Speaker 1: and all but declared mission accomplished. Mister President, you have 1651 01:21:57,120 --> 01:22:01,720 Speaker 1: just averted a nationwide railroad strike that would have been 1652 01:22:02,000 --> 01:22:07,680 Speaker 1: crippling to the economy. How did you do that and 1653 01:22:07,760 --> 01:22:11,719 Speaker 1: what were those last hours like in the negotiations. Look, 1654 01:22:13,680 --> 01:22:16,880 Speaker 1: we brought business and labor together. One of the things 1655 01:22:16,920 --> 01:22:21,120 Speaker 1: that happens in negotiations, particularly if they've been elongated like 1656 01:22:21,160 --> 01:22:26,599 Speaker 1: these have, is people saying do things where their pride 1657 01:22:26,640 --> 01:22:29,400 Speaker 1: gets engaged as well, and it's allful hard to back 1658 01:22:29,439 --> 01:22:31,439 Speaker 1: off of some of these things. So what we did 1659 01:22:31,520 --> 01:22:33,880 Speaker 1: was just say, look, let's take a look. Let's take 1660 01:22:33,880 --> 01:22:37,240 Speaker 1: a look at what's happening. You have a good deal 1661 01:22:37,360 --> 01:22:40,800 Speaker 1: being made for labor, for their income is going to 1662 01:22:40,800 --> 01:22:43,160 Speaker 1: go up twenty four percent over the next five years. 1663 01:22:43,560 --> 01:22:46,960 Speaker 1: They've worked out the healthcare piece, they worked out days off, 1664 01:22:47,400 --> 01:22:49,280 Speaker 1: and they both sat down, in my view, and they 1665 01:22:49,360 --> 01:22:52,920 Speaker 1: ran the office today saying, well, we finally figured out 1666 01:22:54,439 --> 01:22:57,200 Speaker 1: this is fair on both sides. And it took that 1667 01:22:57,320 --> 01:23:03,280 Speaker 1: time to focus. The alternative was just not thinkable. What 1668 01:23:03,320 --> 01:23:05,519 Speaker 1: do you mean if in fact they had gone on 1669 01:23:05,600 --> 01:23:07,680 Speaker 1: strike to supply a change in this country has come 1670 01:23:07,760 --> 01:23:10,400 Speaker 1: to Screech and Hall, we would have seen a real 1671 01:23:10,479 --> 01:23:14,519 Speaker 1: economic crisis. But since that Victory Lap something strange has happened. 1672 01:23:14,720 --> 01:23:17,760 Speaker 1: The details of that deal have remained hidden. We still 1673 01:23:17,760 --> 01:23:20,280 Speaker 1: don't know what exactly is in that tentative agreement, and 1674 01:23:20,320 --> 01:23:23,360 Speaker 1: more importantly, the rail workers who will ultimately ratify or 1675 01:23:23,400 --> 01:23:26,920 Speaker 1: reject this tentative agreement, they still don't have the details. Now, 1676 01:23:27,000 --> 01:23:29,519 Speaker 1: some things have been reported by the press, but workers 1677 01:23:29,640 --> 01:23:32,479 Speaker 1: have far from a complete picture. Why does that matter? 1678 01:23:32,520 --> 01:23:35,040 Speaker 1: While Jonah Furman put it well, he wrote, the thing 1679 01:23:35,120 --> 01:23:38,400 Speaker 1: is negotiations rely to some extent on momentum. Members were 1680 01:23:38,400 --> 01:23:40,679 Speaker 1: extremely fired up. They had pickets, teams organized, They felt 1681 01:23:40,680 --> 01:23:42,799 Speaker 1: confident in their demands and knew what they were holding 1682 01:23:42,800 --> 01:23:46,280 Speaker 1: out for. Calling it off without anything to discuss is 1683 01:23:46,360 --> 01:23:49,000 Speaker 1: like icing the kicker. So we're being told by the 1684 01:23:49,040 --> 01:23:51,400 Speaker 1: Biden administration, backed up by much of the media, that 1685 01:23:51,479 --> 01:23:54,160 Speaker 1: this is a good deal. But workers, they have some 1686 01:23:54,479 --> 01:23:57,559 Speaker 1: severe doubts. What's more, the reaction to the details we 1687 01:23:57,640 --> 01:24:01,200 Speaker 1: do have has been overwhelmingly negative. One example, workers had 1688 01:24:01,240 --> 01:24:05,040 Speaker 1: asked for fifteen paid days off. This agreement reportedly only 1689 01:24:05,040 --> 01:24:09,280 Speaker 1: includes one. Details on healthcare and unpaid time off, those 1690 01:24:09,360 --> 01:24:13,320 Speaker 1: remain murky. A locomotive engineer told the Post quote, it's 1691 01:24:13,320 --> 01:24:15,320 Speaker 1: impossible right now to make heads or tails of what 1692 01:24:15,360 --> 01:24:18,280 Speaker 1: this agreement means, and it's disgraceful how opaque it is. 1693 01:24:18,680 --> 01:24:20,760 Speaker 1: Even the best case scenario does not look like a 1694 01:24:20,760 --> 01:24:23,320 Speaker 1: massive victory for labor, but the devil is in the details. 1695 01:24:23,439 --> 01:24:27,479 Speaker 1: The worst case scenario could be quite awful. Another worker 1696 01:24:27,479 --> 01:24:30,479 Speaker 1: posted on Facebook, quote, why is our union posting this 1697 01:24:30,640 --> 01:24:33,800 Speaker 1: like this is some kind of game changing deal? One day? 1698 01:24:34,040 --> 01:24:38,320 Speaker 1: Is laughable? We need to strike. Meanwhile, workers on Twitter 1699 01:24:38,360 --> 01:24:40,840 Speaker 1: shared stories about being penalized for taking time off to 1700 01:24:40,920 --> 01:24:43,920 Speaker 1: witness the birth of their child, or for taking care 1701 01:24:43,960 --> 01:24:46,600 Speaker 1: of their sick child, or for the crime of themselves 1702 01:24:46,640 --> 01:24:49,519 Speaker 1: being sick. These issues are not just issued for the workers, 1703 01:24:49,520 --> 01:24:51,800 Speaker 1: by the way, they are safety issues with potential real 1704 01:24:51,800 --> 01:24:54,960 Speaker 1: life consequences. One worker wrote about how she was quote 1705 01:24:55,160 --> 01:24:57,720 Speaker 1: forced to take a non compensated day because there is 1706 01:24:57,760 --> 01:24:59,920 Speaker 1: no way I can drive a fifteen thousand foot TI 1707 01:25:00,040 --> 01:25:02,920 Speaker 1: twelve thousand ton trained two hundred and fifty six miles 1708 01:25:02,920 --> 01:25:06,080 Speaker 1: safely while having a fever and puking my guts up. 1709 01:25:06,479 --> 01:25:09,479 Speaker 1: Seems reasonable bottom line. While much of the media and 1710 01:25:09,520 --> 01:25:12,439 Speaker 1: political class has already forgotten about these workers in their lives, 1711 01:25:12,520 --> 01:25:15,840 Speaker 1: the fight is far from over, and after whatever the 1712 01:25:15,880 --> 01:25:18,719 Speaker 1: current cooling off period is we might be right back 1713 01:25:18,800 --> 01:25:21,599 Speaker 1: in the same place, facing down a deadline, with rail 1714 01:25:21,680 --> 01:25:24,200 Speaker 1: bosses willing to commit corporate terrorism and risk the entire 1715 01:25:24,200 --> 01:25:27,200 Speaker 1: economy in order to get their way. We will certainly 1716 01:25:27,280 --> 01:25:29,599 Speaker 1: not stop covering it here, but you know, I can't 1717 01:25:29,600 --> 01:25:31,360 Speaker 1: help but think about the big picture here as well. 1718 01:25:31,360 --> 01:25:34,080 Speaker 1: In the utter insanity of having such a critical piece 1719 01:25:34,120 --> 01:25:37,880 Speaker 1: of national infrastructure, vital for everyone from commuters to farmers 1720 01:25:37,880 --> 01:25:42,080 Speaker 1: of businesses subject to the whims of a few rich executives. Remember, 1721 01:25:42,479 --> 01:25:45,040 Speaker 1: not only these companies not care about their workers, they 1722 01:25:45,080 --> 01:25:47,880 Speaker 1: also don't care about the supply chain, about farmers getting 1723 01:25:47,880 --> 01:25:50,360 Speaker 1: their crops to market, about water treatment facilities getting the 1724 01:25:50,439 --> 01:25:52,840 Speaker 1: chemicals they need, about commuters getting to work who depend 1725 01:25:52,880 --> 01:25:56,160 Speaker 1: on the freight rail lines. They care about profit. That's 1726 01:25:56,160 --> 01:25:59,040 Speaker 1: why they've given themselves massive handouts and stock buybacks and 1727 01:25:59,080 --> 01:26:02,000 Speaker 1: dividends rather than investing in an adequate workforce. That's why 1728 01:26:02,000 --> 01:26:04,960 Speaker 1: they're perfectly willing to threaten the entire nation with economic 1729 01:26:05,000 --> 01:26:08,000 Speaker 1: calamity just to keep from having to treat their workers 1730 01:26:08,040 --> 01:26:11,360 Speaker 1: with basic decency. Now to us, such a thing might 1731 01:26:11,400 --> 01:26:15,760 Speaker 1: be unimaginable, the height of unchecked greed and immorality, but 1732 01:26:15,800 --> 01:26:19,000 Speaker 1: to them, it's just business as usual. A veteran train 1733 01:26:19,040 --> 01:26:20,920 Speaker 1: dispatcher who pen and op ed for our friends over 1734 01:26:21,000 --> 01:26:24,400 Speaker 1: the Real News implored Americans to consider that big picture. 1735 01:26:24,439 --> 01:26:27,559 Speaker 1: He wrote, I can understand why people around the country 1736 01:26:27,600 --> 01:26:30,280 Speaker 1: are concerned about the calamitous impact a national rail striker 1737 01:26:30,360 --> 01:26:33,120 Speaker 1: rail lockout could have on the economy and an already 1738 01:26:33,120 --> 01:26:36,479 Speaker 1: creaking supply chain. What I hope people understand in return, 1739 01:26:36,800 --> 01:26:39,960 Speaker 1: is that railroad workers are the ones fighting to save 1740 01:26:40,280 --> 01:26:42,679 Speaker 1: what is left of the supply chain from the same 1741 01:26:42,720 --> 01:26:46,120 Speaker 1: corporate greed that has upended the nation's freight rail industry. 1742 01:26:46,479 --> 01:26:49,920 Speaker 1: If you stand with us, we can win. Sounds like 1743 01:26:49,920 --> 01:26:52,960 Speaker 1: a pretty good plan to me. Step one, continue to 1744 01:26:53,040 --> 01:26:55,720 Speaker 1: stand with these workers who are still very much in 1745 01:26:55,800 --> 01:27:00,080 Speaker 1: this fight. Step two, reform this monstrous system. These our 1746 01:27:00,120 --> 01:27:02,879 Speaker 1: road bosses can never hold the nation hostage to protect 1747 01:27:02,920 --> 01:27:06,960 Speaker 1: their own cruelty. Again, Sager, it was pretty remarkable. You 1748 01:27:07,040 --> 01:27:08,720 Speaker 1: saw the way that quick and if you want to 1749 01:27:08,720 --> 01:27:12,080 Speaker 1: hear my reaction to Crystal's monologue, become a premium subscriber 1750 01:27:12,120 --> 01:27:17,880 Speaker 1: today at Breakingpoints dot Com. No guest today. We wanted 1751 01:27:17,920 --> 01:27:20,320 Speaker 1: to talk and spend some time talking about Atlanta, so 1752 01:27:20,479 --> 01:27:22,800 Speaker 1: Thank you guys so much for watching. We really appreciate it. 1753 01:27:23,160 --> 01:27:25,880 Speaker 1: As we said, we've got the Counterpoints discount discount going 1754 01:27:25,880 --> 01:27:27,680 Speaker 1: on right now. We gave you a little taste of 1755 01:27:27,680 --> 01:27:29,000 Speaker 1: what it was like in Atlanta if you want to 1756 01:27:29,000 --> 01:27:31,599 Speaker 1: come and join us in Chicago, if you're in the Midwest. 1757 01:27:31,640 --> 01:27:32,720 Speaker 1: It was a hell of a lot of fun and 1758 01:27:32,720 --> 01:27:34,960 Speaker 1: we learned a lot of lessons. So otherwise, we will 1759 01:27:34,960 --> 01:27:37,280 Speaker 1: see you all on Tuesday. Love you'all, See you tomorrow.